1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:05,639 Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. 2 00:00:05,759 --> 00:00:08,000 If you are new, we do always start to show 3 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:10,640 by being transparent. And yesterday it was another good day. 4 00:00:11,679 --> 00:00:16,000 Two and one. Overall, Pistons was a winner, the Blazers 5 00:00:16,519 --> 00:00:18,559 at the right school to thank you letter for that 6 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:22,600 last second scot that he did there. But honestly, if 7 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:26,199 the Hornets would have covered, I feel like I feel 8 00:00:26,199 --> 00:00:28,320 like the Blazers were the right side in that game. 9 00:00:29,839 --> 00:00:32,159 So those are the two winners. The one loser was 10 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:36,799 the Timberwolves, probably their worst game of the season last night. 11 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:40,320 So overall profitable, Dave, you know, good to be back 12 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:42,200 here with you. How's everything on your end? 13 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 2: Good Ski last night was good. 14 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 3: In the NBA two and out the play that we 15 00:00:48,359 --> 00:00:53,560 left here the Phoenix Milwaukee game over the total Phoenix 16 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:54,439 got one twenty nine. 17 00:00:54,479 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 2: They hadn't really come near one twenty nine and quite a. 18 00:00:56,600 --> 00:01:00,119 Speaker 3: While, but Milwaukee's defense is that bad right now, and 19 00:01:00,159 --> 00:01:01,520 they did their share. And then I was on the 20 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:03,560 Pistons game too, but that was on the Pistons team 21 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:05,040 total over one thirty eight. 22 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 2: Obviously they got way over. So it was a good night. 23 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,760 Picked up a few units here and ready to get 24 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:12,519 on with it today. 25 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll probably. I feel like we should just have 26 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:19,560 a This should be a faster show. It's less games. 27 00:01:19,879 --> 00:01:21,599 I know a lot of people want to watch those 28 00:01:21,599 --> 00:01:26,640 college games anyway right now, So let's just talk about 29 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:29,840 talk about a few of these things here. Cavaliers and 30 00:01:29,879 --> 00:01:32,840 Magic did open two and a half, now three and 31 00:01:32,879 --> 00:01:36,680 a half total, right around the opener. For the Magic, 32 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:40,239 you have I don't think as well. You have friends 33 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:44,680 Bogner and Anthony Black both out for the Cavaliers. You 34 00:01:44,719 --> 00:01:51,359 have Allen Proctor and Strus unavailable. The Magic did have 35 00:01:51,599 --> 00:01:53,599 a couple of days off before this game, so they 36 00:01:53,599 --> 00:01:56,400 do have the rest advantage. They do play tomorrow. It's 37 00:01:56,439 --> 00:01:58,359 not a crazy game. They just played the Wizards. But 38 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:02,319 mentioning it just men mentioning. It is the first of 39 00:02:02,359 --> 00:02:05,280 a back to back for the Cavaliers. It is their 40 00:02:05,319 --> 00:02:10,639 third game in four nights. You know, I was trying 41 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,800 to find reasons to back the Magic. Really, they've been 42 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:15,560 playing a little bit better. You know, they haven't been 43 00:02:15,599 --> 00:02:18,680 playing the best of competition, but they've won what four 44 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,840 in a row here, scoring pretty well, looks like the 45 00:02:21,879 --> 00:02:25,439 offense is picked up. I was trying to back the Magic. 46 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:27,439 I mean you look at the same time. No, the 47 00:02:27,479 --> 00:02:30,000 defense has been good last five games. I believe they're 48 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:34,080 the number one defensive rated team. I thought about either 49 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:36,919 the Magic or I thought about the Cavaliers team total under. 50 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,919 Team total was one fifteen last I saw, and the 51 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,639 Magic haven't given that up in at least ten games. 52 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:48,000 Any thoughts from you here, you know on Magic Cavaliers. 53 00:02:48,159 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I could see that. 54 00:02:49,039 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 3: I could see Cavaliers potentially team total under here. 55 00:02:53,319 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 2: For Lando, they have to keep stacking wins. 56 00:02:57,599 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 3: Last night Miami won them in first place in the division, 57 00:03:01,719 --> 00:03:04,120 but more importantly, it dropped to Orlando behind them in 58 00:03:04,159 --> 00:03:07,560 the conference standing, so Orlando lost a seed here, they 59 00:03:07,599 --> 00:03:10,000 fell out of the playoffs and into the play in 60 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:14,199 So they are half a game now behind Miami to 61 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:16,639 get into the playoffs without having to try and play 62 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:18,879 their way in. So it's really important to them. For 63 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:21,520 the Calves, understanding that they could move up from four 64 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:24,719 to three. That's a close race with the Knicks, or 65 00:03:24,719 --> 00:03:26,840 at least push themselves into a type But there's no 66 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,960 sense of urgency for the Cavs because there's nobody chasing them. 67 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:34,479 Speaker 2: Skiza, I feel like from a mindset. 68 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:38,759 Speaker 3: From a focus and motivational standpoint, Orlando's probably the right side. 69 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 2: They need it more. To put it simply at this point. 70 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,879 Speaker 3: With Miami's win last night, and you know, I'd love 71 00:03:45,919 --> 00:03:49,759 to have Franz back, But it seems to me like 72 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:53,680 Ben Carrol and Desmond Dane have grown pretty accustomed to 73 00:03:53,719 --> 00:03:56,280 playing with one another, because when you look through these 74 00:03:56,319 --> 00:04:01,199 box scores recently, those two guys are now sharing and 75 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:05,120 carrying the load like they should. Without Franz in there, 76 00:04:07,199 --> 00:04:10,120 you know, Orlando's got the depth out of Cleveland's defense 77 00:04:10,199 --> 00:04:13,280 is untrustable at times out of Jared Allen. Did you 78 00:04:13,639 --> 00:04:15,439 say he's on the injured list tonight. 79 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 2: Or is he offense? 80 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's out. 81 00:04:17,879 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 2: He's out. 82 00:04:18,439 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 3: So it helps Orlando a little bit in that regard 83 00:04:20,879 --> 00:04:23,319 to without Jared Allen cleaning up a lot of boards 84 00:04:23,319 --> 00:04:24,079 for Cleveland. 85 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:26,639 Speaker 2: You know, their backcourt is what it is. 86 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:30,040 Speaker 3: It's good offensively, hard and Mitchell not great defensively. I 87 00:04:30,079 --> 00:04:33,879 could see Orlando at home in this instance. I could 88 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:38,319 also see maybe a Caps team total under It's a 89 00:04:38,319 --> 00:04:42,000 whole different Seeing Orlando at the top of the defensive 90 00:04:42,079 --> 00:04:44,759 rankings last five games hasn't been something we're accustomed to 91 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:45,480 this year. 92 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:49,720 Speaker 1: And the Cavaliers like they've been, you know, prolific scoring 93 00:04:49,959 --> 00:04:53,959 one fifteen ninety eight, one thirteen, one oh six it 94 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:57,519 I mean one nineteen, one sixteen before that, But just 95 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,800 last four games, I'm surpassed that one fifteen number and 96 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:06,199 uh basing the Magic team playing some good defense. So 97 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:11,000 I don't want to discount that the Magic the way 98 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:16,319 the Magic offense has looked lately in this Cavaliers defense 99 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,839 without without out down there as well. So maybe it's 100 00:05:19,959 --> 00:05:22,439 just take the Magic here. I think I'll think about 101 00:05:22,439 --> 00:05:25,399 it a little bit longer, but it's either Magic or 102 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:29,240 Calves team total under For me, I feel like real. 103 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:31,319 Speaker 3: Quick ski befoward, move on when you were just rattling 104 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:33,920 off the amount of points that the Calves have scored 105 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,040 game by game recently. Feel like they got slower when 106 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,480 they got James Harden, right, and maybe that's why the 107 00:05:39,519 --> 00:05:41,600 point production is going down. We talk an awful lot 108 00:05:41,639 --> 00:05:45,680 and we'll talk again about Clippers getting faster, Calves getting slower. 109 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:48,720 So another kind of decent reason to put into the 110 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:51,079 handicap for maybe playing Cleveland team total. 111 00:05:50,879 --> 00:05:58,079 Speaker 1: Wonder, I'm actually uh see it. Can I get can 112 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:04,160 I get that Calves pace with James Harden? Ninety six 113 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:12,519 point fourteen? Pretty slow? Now let's see without canna do 114 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:16,079 without really quick? Because I damn it, what did I 115 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:22,759 just do here? I agree? And this could help me 116 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:26,839 make my bet without James Harden. This season, the cast 117 00:06:26,879 --> 00:06:30,879 pace was one hundred point fifty four with James Harden 118 00:06:30,879 --> 00:06:35,199 and it has dropped to ninety six point fourteen. So yeah, 119 00:06:35,439 --> 00:06:38,439 I mean, I tell you right there exactly what you 120 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:43,079 just said. And the offense hasn't been great eighteenth offensive 121 00:06:43,079 --> 00:06:47,279 great team, yeah, twenty eighth and paced last five games. 122 00:06:47,879 --> 00:06:54,079 I mean against the number one defense. Oh, I think 123 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:56,160 the Magic can win and I think the team total 124 00:06:56,639 --> 00:07:00,519 under can hit for the Cavaliers might have to play both. 125 00:07:02,879 --> 00:07:04,519 I don't want to rush. I don't want to rush, 126 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:08,680 but I like it, Rob, you know, way. 127 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 2: To talk it through. You know what James Harden says. 128 00:07:10,519 --> 00:07:13,879 Speaker 3: He is a system and need protect system with him 129 00:07:14,079 --> 00:07:14,720 a little. 130 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:20,519 Speaker 1: Slower yep, all right, Raptors Pelicans, I do see Jaka 131 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:26,959 Pero questionable with the illness. T Jackson Davis questionable cn 132 00:07:27,079 --> 00:07:31,519 B out for Repelicans. McGowan's out looks like pretty healthy 133 00:07:31,519 --> 00:07:35,079 outside of that you know, I have systems telling me 134 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:41,680 to back back. The Raptors unrested off of that loss 135 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:44,560 that they had yesterday, But I just I can't trust 136 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:46,480 it if they if I don't know that they're gonna 137 00:07:46,519 --> 00:07:50,360 have bigs to protect the paint, Like Zion should be 138 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:52,120 able to go in there and do whatever he wants, 139 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:54,759 and that's going to open up things for everybody else. 140 00:07:55,279 --> 00:07:58,240 Like this is one where I just couldn't trust the systems. 141 00:07:58,279 --> 00:08:03,079 I'd probably lean more towards Pelicans, would think they know, Yeah, I. 142 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:06,759 Speaker 3: Tend to leank toward Pelicans overs. At this point in time. 143 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:10,040 They're scoring really well. They're also allowing a lot, and 144 00:08:10,079 --> 00:08:14,920 the Raptors just ran into a case last night. They'll 145 00:08:14,959 --> 00:08:18,040 probably run into this defensively. Obviously they don't have size, 146 00:08:18,079 --> 00:08:19,879 but they were in into a team last night that 147 00:08:19,959 --> 00:08:20,639 does have size. 148 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 2: Houston. 149 00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:24,519 Speaker 3: I rebounded Toronto by twenty two last night, fifty two 150 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:27,560 to thirty. They just Toronto had no chance on the boards, 151 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,319 and you have less of a chance when Ingram and 152 00:08:30,399 --> 00:08:33,600 Quickly have bad nights two for eleven combined from three 153 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,279 six or twenty one combined from the floor, I'd expect 154 00:08:37,279 --> 00:08:41,320 those numbers you know, especially Brandon Ingram playing New Orleans, 155 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:43,679 I would expect his numbers to go up tonight. More 156 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:47,600 production out of Toronto, easier defense to conquer than what 157 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:52,720 Houston's was back to backs aside, I think Toronto's going 158 00:08:52,759 --> 00:08:53,440 to get theirs. 159 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 2: And also, like. 160 00:08:54,639 --> 00:08:58,919 Speaker 3: You were just saying, without Toronto's bigs involved, New. 161 00:08:58,919 --> 00:08:59,919 Speaker 2: Orleans should score two. 162 00:09:00,159 --> 00:09:02,399 Speaker 3: Just looking over in New Orleans last three games two 163 00:09:02,399 --> 00:09:06,279 fifty six, two thirty four, two fifty six, prior to 164 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,039 that two eleven, two point fifty four. If they've been 165 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:12,159 up to two forty seven, so they've gone to either 166 00:09:12,279 --> 00:09:15,840 hit this number or going over five of the last seven, 167 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:19,639 which is pretty solid, I would probably lead teams or 168 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:21,159 excuse me, full game total over. 169 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,159 Speaker 1: I could get with that, definitely can understand that. Look, 170 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:30,559 next one we have Nixon Jazz opened up minus twelve 171 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:34,480 up to fourteen total open two thirty three, down as 172 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:37,320 low as two twenty nine and a half for the 173 00:09:37,399 --> 00:09:40,519 next Josh Hard is questionable. McBride is out for the Jazz, 174 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:48,919 Cante George is questionable, Marketing is out contra out man. 175 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:52,720 We'd love to know Canante George's status If he's in, 176 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:56,440 you know, I can go for getting points at home 177 00:09:56,440 --> 00:10:01,080 with this Utah Jazz team, and if he's out, I'll 178 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:04,360 probably become a little disinterested in the game. How about you? 179 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:04,639 You know. 180 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 3: Kind of feel the same way, and we talk about 181 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:13,759 it so often. With Utah home totals full game, they're 182 00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:15,799 not going to put up any resistance on the defensive end, 183 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:17,879 so the Knicks are going to get there as Nicks arrested, 184 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:20,399 so it should be okay. I'm trying to see how 185 00:10:20,399 --> 00:10:22,399 many games he been on his road trip. The Knicks 186 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:27,679 have been there for a little bit, even though even still, 187 00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:30,759 I think they'll be able to score here, and George 188 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:34,799 really a key part of that Utah offense. Give Kyle 189 00:10:34,879 --> 00:10:37,840 Philipowski the x Dukee guys some credit here. 190 00:10:37,879 --> 00:10:38,639 Speaker 2: You know, he was a. 191 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:45,399 Speaker 3: Preseason terror, summer league terror for Utah and starting to 192 00:10:45,399 --> 00:10:47,799 get his chance to put in some minutes as an 193 00:10:47,879 --> 00:10:51,799 extremely small senate. I mean, some of these teams using 194 00:10:51,799 --> 00:10:55,440 the little guys to play center just going fast, Nick 195 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:57,320 should be able to take advantage of him on their 196 00:10:57,360 --> 00:11:01,120 offensive end. I think Philipowski causes trump for Nick Biggs 197 00:11:01,159 --> 00:11:03,440 on the other end, because you have to chase him 198 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:06,000 around a little bit, and I could see points here. 199 00:11:06,039 --> 00:11:09,159 Steve would want George obviously, but the you know what, 200 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:13,240 the betting market might have pushed this down enough already 201 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:14,000 to where I don't have. 202 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:17,039 Speaker 2: To worry if I have George or not on Utah tonight. 203 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:19,919 Speaker 3: I'm two twenty nine and a half is a more 204 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:23,480 than reasonable number where Utah home games are concerned. 205 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:29,159 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I agree with that. That number kind 206 00:11:29,159 --> 00:11:30,960 of makes me feel like George is not gonna play. 207 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:35,480 But I do hear you're dropping dimes likes the next 208 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:38,679 team total? So does Jazz give up one twenty eight 209 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:42,000 points per game off of a win? Interesting stat right there. 210 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:47,559 Appreciate you sharing Hornets Kings. Both teams on the back 211 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,600 to back opened up minus fourteen for the Hornets, that says, 212 00:11:50,639 --> 00:11:53,120 and it's down to twelve or I'm sorry, down to 213 00:11:53,159 --> 00:11:55,960 twelve and a half. Total down as well from two 214 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:58,279 twenty eight as low as two twenty three and a half, 215 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:04,159 Charlotte White as probable, mcneilly's questionable, Slowan Williams both questionable 216 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:08,759 or Sacramento card Well's out, Keegan Murray's out, Malik Monk 217 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:14,960 is doubtful. Yeah, the Hornets have now failed to cover 218 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:19,559 three straight. Is it the regression Hornets. I mean, this 219 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:22,679 King's team off two straight wins here now catching double 220 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:25,360 digits at home. I don't think the Kings even had 221 00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:29,759 to travel. I mean, the spot favors the Kings is 222 00:12:29,799 --> 00:12:32,799 a little bit more. Can we trust them to stay 223 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:34,600 within the margin. What do you think you're of? 224 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:39,279 Speaker 3: You know, well, you might be able to simply because 225 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:44,519 Charlotte and the back to back isn't just as you know, 226 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:48,320 a black and white issue as you would usually think 227 00:12:48,399 --> 00:12:50,480 with back to backs. I think the back to back 228 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:55,080 in this situation somewhat you know, it's Charlotte got off 229 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:57,120 got off real slow last night. 230 00:12:57,679 --> 00:12:58,360 Speaker 2: First quarter. 231 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 3: I think they're they're down like nineteen at one point 232 00:13:02,279 --> 00:13:04,240 in the first half, and they had to climb their 233 00:13:04,279 --> 00:13:05,559 way back to win that game. 234 00:13:07,039 --> 00:13:09,159 Speaker 2: Second quarter through the fourth quarter. They win eighty three 235 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,480 to sixty seven. But it took work, took a little effort. 236 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:14,799 Now you're gonna come play back to back. However, all 237 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:15,679 that said. 238 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:18,679 Speaker 3: I don't really want much part of Sacramento. You know, 239 00:13:18,799 --> 00:13:21,960 last night, in that Sacramento game, what I noticed is 240 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:25,559 if I could pull up my notes here real quick, 241 00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:30,639 ski against Indiana, like Indiana was killing that team, and 242 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:33,440 again We talk about teams all the time that just 243 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:36,159 aren't interested in winning, and it's like Indiana, just flip 244 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:36,759 that switch. 245 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 2: Well, you know what, second half rough. 246 00:13:39,039 --> 00:13:42,679 Speaker 3: Double digits, Better turn it off, And here comes Sacramento 247 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:46,480 to score seventy two points in the second half against Indiana. 248 00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 2: And win that game. Won't be the case against Charlotte 249 00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:49,440 to night. 250 00:13:49,519 --> 00:13:54,279 Speaker 3: Charlotte is still fighting for positioning inside the playoff teams. 251 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 2: In the eastern side. 252 00:13:55,039 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 3: So I think Charlotte's gonna win whether or not they 253 00:13:59,039 --> 00:14:01,039 win by you know, more than thirteen. 254 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:02,639 Speaker 2: It's now down to twelve and a half. 255 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:05,639 Speaker 3: It's a little bit, you know, up in the air 256 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:08,080 because they haven't been really good lately and they're off 257 00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:09,879 of a game where they were at taxed a little 258 00:14:09,879 --> 00:14:13,559 bit last night and having to come back, but they don't. 259 00:14:13,639 --> 00:14:15,559 They're not resting guys. I mean, you just read the 260 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:17,879 injury report. I don't hear any key names on the 261 00:14:17,879 --> 00:14:22,720 injury report for them, and I just think Sacramento gives 262 00:14:22,759 --> 00:14:26,440 up too many points defensively. So for me, I like Charlotte, 263 00:14:26,679 --> 00:14:29,000 don't trust them to cover, but I think I could 264 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,080 trust them to score here tonight. They didn't play the 265 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:33,799 best offensive game all the way through last night. Maybe 266 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:39,320 they do hear Kings generally high scoring. Charlotte's team total 267 00:14:39,399 --> 00:14:41,679 numbers one eighteen and a half. I have not played it, 268 00:14:41,759 --> 00:14:43,399 but it's the way I would look. I would look 269 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:45,960 Charlotte team total over and then I don't have to 270 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:51,519 worry about winning by fourteen points. 271 00:14:49,759 --> 00:14:53,399 Speaker 1: All right. I think I would look at a I 272 00:14:53,399 --> 00:14:55,799 can go for an over, but I would probably refer 273 00:14:55,840 --> 00:15:01,039 to king side Rockets and Nuggets. Is a Rockets team 274 00:15:02,240 --> 00:15:04,960 they played yesterday third game of four knights as well. 275 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:07,320 I think this is the fifth game of seven nights. 276 00:15:08,039 --> 00:15:13,320 The Nuggets definitely the more rested team. Nuggets also lost 277 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:15,879 to the Rockets this season one on one to one 278 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:21,559 fifteen a little bit before Christmas, so maybe a chance 279 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:24,320 for some get back there for Denver and Denver getting 280 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:26,879 a little bit healthier now. I mean, the only person 281 00:15:26,879 --> 00:15:29,639 I'm seeing that it's expected to be out with Peyton 282 00:15:29,679 --> 00:15:33,240 Watson for the Rockets during Phinnie Smith is questionable. Tite 283 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:37,799 is out. This Rockets team. You know they just haven't 284 00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:41,000 been playing good basketball, and you know they're in a spot, 285 00:15:41,039 --> 00:15:45,279 a fatigue spot against a Nuggets team who needs wins. 286 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:48,120 The only way to look at this game is Nuggets, 287 00:15:48,679 --> 00:15:56,279 and I, hey, only way is Nuggets for me. What 288 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:57,000 do you think. 289 00:16:00,559 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 3: We need their defense? I mean we say this every 290 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,600 single day. Head coach Edelman comes out and says, if 291 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,559 we're going to win the playoffs, we need to play defense. 292 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:11,440 Denver just refuses to play defense. But now that Aaron 293 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:15,960 Gordon's back for a few games, I would think that 294 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:17,360 that starts to change a little bit. 295 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 2: Two things here. 296 00:16:18,039 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 3: Houston lucked into a matchup last night where they couldn't 297 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:23,240 help but win. I just talked about plus twenty two 298 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:24,279 rebounding edge. 299 00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:26,039 Speaker 2: They're not going to have that tonight against Denver. 300 00:16:26,159 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 3: No how, no way, Gordon and Jokic down there, there's 301 00:16:29,159 --> 00:16:31,639 no real advantage on the boards for them. 302 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:35,639 Speaker 2: And it almost seems to me ski like maybe Houston. 303 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:38,200 Speaker 3: The one thing that scares me is I don't know 304 00:16:38,279 --> 00:16:41,039 this number, but I do remember on this show more 305 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:45,039 than once you say that the Rockets. If I'm right 306 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:47,320 that the Rockets are pretty good on back to backs, 307 00:16:47,879 --> 00:16:50,879 maybe they are. If they are, that would be the 308 00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:53,639 slightest thing that scares me off here. But I don't 309 00:16:53,679 --> 00:16:56,600 think it would be enough to scare me off Denver. 310 00:16:56,679 --> 00:16:58,919 I think the biggest part of my handicap is what 311 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:00,279 we talked about yesterday. 312 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:04,400 Speaker 2: Oh, there you go, Denver. 313 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:08,480 Speaker 3: They're in sixth place in the West and Phoenix won 314 00:17:08,559 --> 00:17:10,519 last night. There's only one game out of being a 315 00:17:10,559 --> 00:17:13,720 playing team, So the desperation is there, the sense of 316 00:17:13,839 --> 00:17:17,359 urgency is Therefore, Denver, it's not really there. For Houston 317 00:17:17,880 --> 00:17:20,799 got a big win last night. Maybe they looked at 318 00:17:20,799 --> 00:17:22,519 these back to backs and said, let's go out and 319 00:17:22,519 --> 00:17:25,920 crush Toronto and then you know, whatever happens in altitude happens. 320 00:17:27,039 --> 00:17:29,759 But I could see Denver here in this case, despite 321 00:17:29,759 --> 00:17:31,720 the fact that Houston's a good back to back team. 322 00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:34,200 If you don't want to lay points, I mean, this 323 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,319 thing has jumped from five to seven and a half 324 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:39,799 if you don't want to lake points. Nuggets team total 325 00:17:40,039 --> 00:17:42,960 at home always an option because they scored so well. 326 00:17:43,519 --> 00:17:45,960 I'm looking at one eighteen and a half right now. 327 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:49,319 I don't think I would mind playing the Nuggets here. 328 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,200 Skiga just hope that Aaron Gordon picks up the defensive 329 00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:53,279 intensity a little bit. 330 00:17:56,440 --> 00:18:01,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, we're in agreement on this. One game is Nuggets. 331 00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:06,960 I mean, I'm sorry, Timberwolves and Clippers side right around 332 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:13,519 the opener total right around the opener as well. Two 333 00:18:13,519 --> 00:18:14,920 twenty six and a half is what we're looking at 334 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:20,680 right now, though nobody on the injury report for Minnesota. Now, 335 00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:22,599 I mean, they did play yesterday. You know how these 336 00:18:22,599 --> 00:18:26,759 things go. They could always rule somebody out. The Clippers 337 00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:33,839 only see Collins Rode out as of right now. That Minnesota. Man, 338 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:37,039 I hate the timber Wolves. I'm not gonna lie Timberwolves. 339 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,680 They're not. They need to do something else, like blow 340 00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:42,559 it up and do something. This team is just not 341 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:47,039 good enough. But the game, specifically last night, it's probably 342 00:18:47,039 --> 00:18:49,400 the worst game I've seen them play. They shot put 343 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:52,400 that headache from the three point line, didn't really look 344 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:58,240 like they cared too much. And now I know, I 345 00:18:58,279 --> 00:19:01,119 know coach Finch cussed them out. I would expect a 346 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:05,279 much better performance here in the back to back, so 347 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:07,480 Timberwolves would be the way I'm looking here in this game, 348 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:13,000 expecting some positive regression on that shooting three point shooting 349 00:19:13,039 --> 00:19:16,279 as well. What do you think here Timberwolves and Clippers? 350 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:20,319 Speaker 4: You know, yeah, well, I mean you know the way 351 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:23,279 I think about the Clippers right now, And it helped 352 00:19:23,319 --> 00:19:25,599 me last night to make this bet early and I 353 00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:30,759 have my fingers cross ski that Minnesota doesn't rule people out, 354 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:31,839 and I made. 355 00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:33,200 Speaker 2: The bet knowing that they could. 356 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,799 Speaker 3: But it just doesn't seem to me that Anthony Edwards 357 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:38,400 could come off at two for fifteen against the Lakers 358 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:40,480 and say, you know what, I'll just sit it out 359 00:19:40,519 --> 00:19:42,000 tonight against the Clippers. 360 00:19:42,039 --> 00:19:45,519 Speaker 2: I don't think that's happening. I would expect them to 361 00:19:45,559 --> 00:19:48,279 bounce back. You said they played lousy last. 362 00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,759 Speaker 3: Night to numbers speak for themselves at least offensively twenty 363 00:19:50,759 --> 00:19:53,000 five percent from three, and I just mentioned the key 364 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:55,319 guy to the whole tea goes two for fifteen, you. 365 00:19:55,279 --> 00:19:56,319 Speaker 2: Expect him to be better. 366 00:19:56,519 --> 00:19:59,039 Speaker 3: And then it's helpful to me because I'm always a 367 00:19:59,079 --> 00:20:04,279 bounced back guy when I'm betting that I have the 368 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:08,720 standard with the Clippers to stand by here that they're 369 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:12,160 just playing faster and these totals still aren't really climbing 370 00:20:12,279 --> 00:20:14,480 all that much to twenty six and a half. 371 00:20:14,599 --> 00:20:17,200 Speaker 2: I think the other night when we doubled up on 372 00:20:17,319 --> 00:20:18,359 the show and won. 373 00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:20,319 Speaker 3: That total, it was like two twenty and a half 374 00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:25,480 to twenty one something. But here against the Minnesota defense, 375 00:20:25,519 --> 00:20:27,400 that really isn't terrific to start with. 376 00:20:27,559 --> 00:20:29,559 Speaker 2: That could be a little bit fatigue. 377 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,319 Speaker 3: I could see La thinking, you know what, We're just 378 00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:35,359 gonna run at them all night long and get their points. 379 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:38,759 In a Minnesota picks up the offense a little bit here, 380 00:20:39,599 --> 00:20:41,640 we should get home to over two twenty six and 381 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:41,960 a half. 382 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:43,599 Speaker 2: So that's the way I bet it again. 383 00:20:44,559 --> 00:20:47,039 Speaker 3: Fingers crossed when I did this, because he and I 384 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:50,000 talk a little bit off the show off air about 385 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:53,079 how dangerous it is to bet these things early, and 386 00:20:53,599 --> 00:20:55,839 I knew the danger when I walked in. Hopefully I 387 00:20:55,839 --> 00:20:58,559 didn't step into any you know, land mines here. But 388 00:20:58,559 --> 00:21:00,680 I don't think Minnesota's gonna rest a lot of people 389 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:02,079 up in that performance last night. 390 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:08,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think. I think. I don't think they're going 391 00:21:09,039 --> 00:21:11,559 the rest a lot of people either. And I would 392 00:21:11,559 --> 00:21:14,839 agree with you on the Anthony Edwards thing. He probably 393 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:16,440 will go out there and have a really good bounce 394 00:21:16,519 --> 00:21:18,880 back game tonight, so I would agree with you on 395 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:23,680 that as well. That is the NBA car for today. 396 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:29,000 So now before we get over to the best bets, 397 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:34,920 let me do some of this good old promotion. So 398 00:21:35,079 --> 00:21:39,519 first of all, we have the buy three, get three free, 399 00:21:40,279 --> 00:21:42,400 comes out to just comes out to six days for 400 00:21:42,519 --> 00:21:44,680 just sixty nine dollars. It's a good way to be 401 00:21:44,759 --> 00:21:47,640 involved for you know, about a week. Check either Robber 402 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,720 or myself out. If you're interested in, you know, really 403 00:21:50,759 --> 00:21:54,359 long term, you can go with the all in for 404 00:21:54,559 --> 00:21:57,599 the year comes out to just under four dollars a day, 405 00:21:58,000 --> 00:21:59,720 and you'll get every play that we make in a 406 00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,240 long with this, you'll get a twenty five percent bonus 407 00:22:02,279 --> 00:22:06,079 coupon that you can use on something else. So a 408 00:22:06,079 --> 00:22:11,960 lot of different ways to get involved. Veno, I you 409 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:15,559 know what, I'm gonna go first this time, Okay, and 410 00:22:17,079 --> 00:22:23,279 only because I don't wanna let you guys know. Basketball 411 00:22:23,279 --> 00:22:25,240 has been going well for me. I think what am 412 00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,599 I I'm up like maybe in the mid fifties basketball 413 00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:30,880 so far this season and today I do have a 414 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:35,279 five percent play, so I'm not gonna give a best bet. 415 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,839 And my dog of the day yesterday did come through 416 00:22:39,559 --> 00:22:41,759 and I did bet it. Who knows I may bet 417 00:22:41,759 --> 00:22:44,839 this when I may not, but we're gonna talk about 418 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,319 it for the end of the show. That's my dog, 419 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:55,920 my dog. That's my dog, and anybody gotta say anything, 420 00:22:56,039 --> 00:23:08,160 you let me know that's my dog. My dog. Would 421 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:11,839 have to be the Orlando Magic here at the house, 422 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:16,799 well rested, trying to stay out of play in territory, 423 00:23:17,559 --> 00:23:19,599 playing the number one defense in the league over the 424 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:24,240 last five games, versus Cavs team who is not playing 425 00:23:24,279 --> 00:23:27,680 the best offense, who's been, who had to travel, playing 426 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:30,400 the third game in four nights here. I just think 427 00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,119 it's a really good spot for Orlando to stay within 428 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,200 the number of not winning the game. So my dog 429 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,000 of the day will be Orlando Magic plus three and 430 00:23:39,039 --> 00:23:42,799 a half. You know, on that note out pass to you, 431 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:44,920 I'll ask you if there's anything else you would like 432 00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:46,839 to promote, and if you do have a best bet 433 00:23:46,839 --> 00:23:48,000 for the show, we love to hear it. 434 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:54,279 Speaker 2: I think we've got promotions covered. Well. 435 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 3: Let me just say this because you did say earlier 436 00:23:56,559 --> 00:23:59,000 people wanted to get on with the show and get 437 00:23:59,039 --> 00:24:00,480 out to watching college basketball. 438 00:24:00,519 --> 00:24:02,519 Speaker 2: If in fact you're betting college basketball, you want to 439 00:24:02,559 --> 00:24:03,880 tune into Full Court Press. 440 00:24:04,519 --> 00:24:07,839 Speaker 3: Wager talks daily college basketball show every morning Eastern time, 441 00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:08,559 ten am. 442 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:09,200 Speaker 2: To eleven am. 443 00:24:09,799 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 3: Adam Trigger and myself sixty minutes of going through the 444 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:15,319 games are going to be on every single day here, guys, 445 00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:17,279 all the way through Sunday night. We'll have our own 446 00:24:17,599 --> 00:24:22,480 selection Sunday show wager Talk beyond that panel, so you 447 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:24,519 can catch us over on wager Talk TV with this 448 00:24:24,599 --> 00:24:28,319 huge college basketball weekend. Is concerned tonight for best batski 449 00:24:28,799 --> 00:24:30,960 I bet two of these. We talked about a bunch 450 00:24:31,039 --> 00:24:32,599 of them, but the one I'm going to leave for 451 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:34,200 the best bet, I'm just gonna stick with. You know, 452 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:37,119 if it ain't broke, don't fix it. Clippers game over 453 00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:40,240 to twenty six and a half against Minnesota. We just 454 00:24:40,319 --> 00:24:44,039 laid out kind of aligned in our thought process of 455 00:24:44,079 --> 00:24:48,519 why this game could get over again. LA is playing 456 00:24:48,559 --> 00:24:51,079 a lot faster in Minnesota bounce back effecture. I would 457 00:24:51,079 --> 00:24:53,920 expect Anthony Edwards to have a big game in Minnesota 458 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:57,759 to score better. So give me Clippers Minnesota full game 459 00:24:57,799 --> 00:24:59,440 total over to twenty six and a half. 460 00:25:00,279 --> 00:25:04,079 Speaker 1: Good stuff, Rob, You know, I like that, And I 461 00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,240 see people in the chat rooting in their college place. 462 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:10,119 Appreciate all you guys in the chat letting us know 463 00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,319 we had a good show and that they appreciate it, 464 00:25:13,279 --> 00:25:16,960 you know, always, you know, always appreciate you taking the 465 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:19,920 time to come catch these games definitely helps me out, 466 00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:21,599 even if you know, sometimes I come on here and 467 00:25:21,599 --> 00:25:23,559 don't feel like I have a player, you can talk 468 00:25:23,559 --> 00:25:26,480 it out. You know, we open up our wallet up 469 00:25:26,599 --> 00:25:29,240 here on this show, so, like I say, definitely helps 470 00:25:29,279 --> 00:25:32,000 my process and I always want to let you know 471 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:35,000 I appreciate you doing that chat. We appreciate you as well. 472 00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:38,880 We'll be back again tomorrow. Best of luck everybody on 473 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,319 all your action and we will catch you all then