WEBVTT 1 00:00:01.760 --> 00:00:06.080 It is The Jesse Kelly Show. Another hour of The 2 00:00:06.200 --> 00:00:11.000 Jesse Kelly Show on a Friday, and ask doctor Jesse Friday, 3 00:00:11.240 --> 00:00:12.880 and we have a bunch to get to. We're going 4 00:00:12.960 --> 00:00:17.160 to talk about deporting illegals, how does polling work, the 5 00:00:17.199 --> 00:00:22.120 Baton death March, being a Texas Ranger, all that and 6 00:00:22.359 --> 00:00:25.039 so much more coming up this hour on The Jesse 7 00:00:25.160 --> 00:00:28.879 Kelly Show. Also, I am going to play voicemails. I 8 00:00:28.960 --> 00:00:31.719 forgot to mention. On top of emailing the show, which 9 00:00:31.719 --> 00:00:36.119 you can do Jesse at Jesse kellyshow dot com. We 10 00:00:36.280 --> 00:00:41.119 also have a place for you to leave voicemails. Yeah, 11 00:00:41.240 --> 00:00:44.280 good call Chris, Jewish producer. Chris wanted me to remind 12 00:00:44.320 --> 00:00:47.600 you to keep him fairly short. You want it to 13 00:00:47.600 --> 00:00:49.640 be played on the air, It's gotta be fairly short, 14 00:00:49.799 --> 00:00:53.359 just like the calls. Get right to the point. But 15 00:00:53.479 --> 00:00:57.399 you can leave us voicemails eight seven seven three seven 16 00:00:57.560 --> 00:01:02.439 seven four three seven three eight seven seven three seven 17 00:01:02.560 --> 00:01:04.959 seven four three seven three. I played a little bit 18 00:01:05.000 --> 00:01:07.439 of this one earlier, but it just seems appropriate. This 19 00:01:07.480 --> 00:01:08.239 would be the first. 20 00:01:08.120 --> 00:01:11.120 Time I was listening last night and you were talking 21 00:01:11.120 --> 00:01:14.079 about hallopena flakes and pizza. Now I'm gonna tell you 22 00:01:14.480 --> 00:01:17.159 those hallopena flakes. As long as they're hot enough to 23 00:01:17.159 --> 00:01:20.040 burn your bawl, those things will be great with some 24 00:01:20.159 --> 00:01:24.319 pineapple and some sweet Italian sausage. Nah, I would not 25 00:01:24.439 --> 00:01:27.480 let you down. You get a nice Brooklyn crust and 26 00:01:27.560 --> 00:01:33.159 some nice sauce, mozzarella, those Halopenia flakes, pineapple, the sausage, 27 00:01:33.760 --> 00:01:34.840 best pizza in the world. 28 00:01:35.680 --> 00:01:39.159 I've better reject the pineapple. Other than that, that sounds fantastic. 29 00:01:39.400 --> 00:01:43.599 Little sausage, little jilapeno pepper flakes, Chris, we should order pizza. 30 00:01:43.959 --> 00:01:45.480 Did we already have pizza this week? 31 00:01:46.560 --> 00:01:46.719 Oh? 32 00:01:46.760 --> 00:01:48.959 Who cares? Let's order some pizza. Oh wait, I don't 33 00:01:48.959 --> 00:01:51.560 have the jilapeno pepper flakes, Chris. Can you order some 34 00:01:51.719 --> 00:01:54.000 for the studio please? How have you not already done 35 00:01:54.079 --> 00:01:57.599 this anyway? Jesse. Trump often mentions that he would deport 36 00:01:57.719 --> 00:02:02.799 all the illegal aliens. Let me push back on you 37 00:02:02.879 --> 00:02:05.400 on that a little bit, Chris. I needed to grab 38 00:02:05.439 --> 00:02:07.359 something for me if you can find it. If not, 39 00:02:07.439 --> 00:02:13.879 it's totally fine. Trump sat down with Cheryl Atkisson, and 40 00:02:14.080 --> 00:02:17.960 Cheryl actually asked him what I had brought up many 41 00:02:18.000 --> 00:02:22.599 many times before that mass deportation. I have no faith 42 00:02:22.680 --> 00:02:27.080 that it will happen, because if they try mass deportation, 43 00:02:27.319 --> 00:02:31.639 you will see the largest propaganda campaign against it in 44 00:02:31.719 --> 00:02:37.159 human history. It will exceed the COVID propaganda you saw. Because, 45 00:02:37.199 --> 00:02:39.080 as we discussed in depth last night, I'm not going 46 00:02:39.159 --> 00:02:45.360 to do this again. The world governments need mass immigration 47 00:02:45.560 --> 00:02:47.840 into countries to destroy them the way they want. It's 48 00:02:47.840 --> 00:02:49.479 a central part of their plan. They're not going to 49 00:02:49.520 --> 00:02:54.719 give it up for nothing. Cheryl Atkisson asked Trump, Hey, 50 00:02:54.759 --> 00:02:57.719 what the first time you load a crying mother on there? Anyway, 51 00:02:58.159 --> 00:03:00.919 As Chris looks that up, I'll move on to the 52 00:03:00.919 --> 00:03:02.360 rest of the email, because I have a separate point 53 00:03:02.360 --> 00:03:05.039 to make. The guy said, like you, I'm not sure 54 00:03:05.080 --> 00:03:08.479 the American people have the fortitude and resolved to see 55 00:03:08.479 --> 00:03:14.520 our immigration laws being strictly enforced. Would it help? Do 56 00:03:14.639 --> 00:03:19.759 you think if a narrative was established that, instead forcibly 57 00:03:19.919 --> 00:03:26.240 exporting illegal immigrants were instead of that, we're kindly and 58 00:03:26.319 --> 00:03:31.759 gently repatriating these poor, lost, misguided souls to their homeland 59 00:03:32.159 --> 00:03:36.080 and forefathers. He said, Thanks, Jesse and Chris, you guys 60 00:03:36.080 --> 00:03:38.360 are the closest thing to Russian snurdly out there. His 61 00:03:38.479 --> 00:03:41.599 name is Chuck. Okay, so what if we He's essentially saying, 62 00:03:41.639 --> 00:03:45.159 what if we start prepping the ground now and adjusting 63 00:03:45.199 --> 00:03:48.800 the language and say, no, we're not being mean to them, 64 00:03:49.080 --> 00:03:52.560 We're just trying to help them. Well, let me let 65 00:03:52.560 --> 00:03:57.039 me explain why that's a terrible idea. And I understand 66 00:03:57.039 --> 00:03:59.199 what you're getting at. It's not a stupid email at all, 67 00:03:59.560 --> 00:04:01.800 but let me by way, it's a terrible idea that 68 00:04:01.840 --> 00:04:09.199 would never work. You know, accepting the premise, Accepting a 69 00:04:09.439 --> 00:04:15.599 false premise is the easiest way to lose an argument. 70 00:04:17.000 --> 00:04:20.759 In fact, it's a guaranteed way to lose an argument. 71 00:04:21.439 --> 00:04:27.360 The communists understand this. We have never understood this in 72 00:04:27.399 --> 00:04:30.120 a way we should. I'm going to use a different 73 00:04:30.160 --> 00:04:34.319 political issue, but it's along the exact same lines. Remember 74 00:04:34.399 --> 00:04:38.720 the House passing this cr continuing resolution where they don't 75 00:04:38.720 --> 00:04:41.839 cut a penny, they keep blowing through our money. Remember 76 00:04:41.879 --> 00:04:43.959 what Mike Johnson got up at the podium, this is 77 00:04:43.959 --> 00:04:45.959 this one yesterday, two days ago, got up at the 78 00:04:45.959 --> 00:04:46.720 podium and said this. 79 00:04:46.720 --> 00:04:49.399 Weoth crs as much as anyone, but this is the 80 00:04:49.439 --> 00:04:53.560 situation that the Senate Democrat leadership put us in. It 81 00:04:53.600 --> 00:04:55.800 would be political malpractice to shut the government down. I 82 00:04:55.839 --> 00:04:59.199 think everyone understands that, and so we hope that this 83 00:04:59.240 --> 00:05:01.199 will get done quickly and we get everybody back home 84 00:05:01.759 --> 00:05:03.600 to their districts to work into the campaign trail. 85 00:05:06.319 --> 00:05:12.680 What's that it'd be political malpractice to shut down the government. Well, 86 00:05:13.879 --> 00:05:18.519 as soon as you say that, as soon as you 87 00:05:18.720 --> 00:05:23.000 walk into a negotiation. Let's say, let's say we're having 88 00:05:23.040 --> 00:05:27.920 a merger. I'm a good company, Jesse's Burgers, And let's 89 00:05:27.920 --> 00:05:32.600 say there's an evil company, Chris's Banking. All right, So 90 00:05:32.759 --> 00:05:37.240 Chris's Banking and Jesse's Burgers, we're gonna have a merger, okay. 91 00:05:38.680 --> 00:05:43.560 And in this merger, I the good guys. I walk 92 00:05:43.639 --> 00:05:47.279 in there with Chris's Banking the bad guys, and I 93 00:05:47.439 --> 00:05:51.480 declare that, no matter what happens, we will have a deal, 94 00:05:51.800 --> 00:05:55.800 because I absolutely positively will not walk out of here 95 00:05:56.040 --> 00:06:00.759 without us being merged. What have I just done? I've 96 00:06:00.800 --> 00:06:04.480 just destroyed the negotiations for me. I cannot possibly win 97 00:06:04.879 --> 00:06:10.040 these negotiations at all, because now Chris's Banking, they understand 98 00:06:10.120 --> 00:06:13.560 full well I won't walk away. As long as I've 99 00:06:13.639 --> 00:06:17.399 taken walk away off the table, then I've accepted the 100 00:06:17.439 --> 00:06:20.600 premise that there must be a merger. And if there 101 00:06:20.720 --> 00:06:24.000 must be a merger, then the bad guys Chris's Banking 102 00:06:24.199 --> 00:06:27.199 are going to get more than they ever got before. 103 00:06:27.519 --> 00:06:30.519 Let's circle back to your immigration argument. What if we 104 00:06:30.600 --> 00:06:34.519 started prepping the ground the American people that it should 105 00:06:34.560 --> 00:06:38.439 be done, that they were doing this nicely, we're actually 106 00:06:38.519 --> 00:06:43.519 helping them. Well, we are accepting all kinds of false 107 00:06:43.639 --> 00:06:47.079 premises there at all one, And I'll go ahead and 108 00:06:47.120 --> 00:06:49.720 drive this one home because it's the main one. Why 109 00:06:49.759 --> 00:06:53.360 do I have to be nice? I don't owe you 110 00:06:53.439 --> 00:06:58.639 a thing. You came to my country from your country. 111 00:06:58.920 --> 00:07:02.959 You owe me. I don't owe you. And if you're 112 00:07:03.040 --> 00:07:07.319 here illegally, you can pack up your crap and leave, 113 00:07:07.639 --> 00:07:10.319 and you can scream until you're blue in the face 114 00:07:10.360 --> 00:07:13.839 about how mean I am. I can't believe this. Ba, mommy, 115 00:07:13.920 --> 00:07:18.120 ba bah. I don't give a crap. All of you leave. Leave. 116 00:07:19.199 --> 00:07:24.439 I don't have to be nice. I have to enforce 117 00:07:24.759 --> 00:07:30.079 the law and protect my civilization. We don't need to 118 00:07:30.279 --> 00:07:34.079 prepare the American people or try to convince them that 119 00:07:34.279 --> 00:07:38.879 deportation of people here illegally is the nice thing to do. 120 00:07:39.240 --> 00:07:42.560 What we need to do is explain to the American 121 00:07:42.639 --> 00:07:46.639 people that we are a sovereign country of citizens, and 122 00:07:46.720 --> 00:07:50.120 the most evil people on planet Earth will continue leading 123 00:07:50.160 --> 00:07:53.920 this country if we allow the mass import of barbarians 124 00:07:54.079 --> 00:07:56.399 from all over the planet. So I don't care how 125 00:07:56.480 --> 00:07:58.680 much you wine and cry and sob and mommy and 126 00:07:58.759 --> 00:08:01.439 baba bah bah bah, get on a freaking plane and 127 00:08:01.480 --> 00:08:05.879 go and don't come back. Don't accept the premise that 128 00:08:05.959 --> 00:08:08.439 you have to be nice. You don't have to be nice. 129 00:08:09.079 --> 00:08:13.160 Now back to what you were talking about, deporting all illegals. 130 00:08:13.759 --> 00:08:16.160 Not trying to pour cold water on anybody right now, 131 00:08:16.199 --> 00:08:20.920 but understand that. Well here it is, play it. Chris 132 00:08:20.959 --> 00:08:23.360 Trump sat down with Cheryl Atkinson and she pretty much 133 00:08:23.399 --> 00:08:25.399 asked him what I talked about all the time. 134 00:08:25.319 --> 00:08:27.920 On immigration, which you've mentioned. Most people seem to think 135 00:08:27.959 --> 00:08:30.879 that you can tighten up the border. And for the 136 00:08:31.000 --> 00:08:33.799 untold millions who are here illegally that you referred to, 137 00:08:33.879 --> 00:08:37.720 you've talked about a mass deportation program. How is that 138 00:08:37.840 --> 00:08:41.039 practically possible because a lot of the millions of people 139 00:08:41.159 --> 00:08:44.080 have had children here who are American citizens. And don't 140 00:08:44.080 --> 00:08:46.759 you think the first time there is an image on 141 00:08:46.879 --> 00:08:49.639 television of a family tearfully being told to board a 142 00:08:49.679 --> 00:08:51.840 bus that that whole program would end. 143 00:08:51.879 --> 00:08:52.320 That's right. 144 00:08:52.399 --> 00:08:57.840 If you take a young woman with two beautiful children 145 00:08:58.000 --> 00:09:00.320 and you put her on a bus and it ends 146 00:09:00.360 --> 00:09:02.639 up on the front page of every newspaper makes it 147 00:09:02.639 --> 00:09:03.360 a lot harder. 148 00:09:03.799 --> 00:09:06.000 So we're going to look at it very closely. Are 149 00:09:06.039 --> 00:09:09.200 you The way you phrase it is exactly right. You 150 00:09:09.279 --> 00:09:13.080 put one wrong person onto a bus or onto an airplane, 151 00:09:13.840 --> 00:09:17.759 and your radical left lunatics will try and make it 152 00:09:17.799 --> 00:09:20.759 sound like the worst thing that's ever happened. But we're 153 00:09:20.799 --> 00:09:23.279 getting the criminals out, and we're going to do that fast. 154 00:09:23.399 --> 00:09:24.440 I immigrate. 155 00:09:26.240 --> 00:09:33.360 One minute. Remember, the campaign against mass immigration will be 156 00:09:33.399 --> 00:09:39.159 the largest, most hostile propaganda campaign in the history of mankind. 157 00:09:39.559 --> 00:09:42.879 You're about to witness it if Trump gets elected. In fact, 158 00:09:43.279 --> 00:09:47.919 I wouldn't. I wouldn't say it's impossible for Republicans and 159 00:09:48.039 --> 00:09:52.639 Democrats to impeach Trump if he actually attempts to do it. 160 00:09:53.480 --> 00:09:56.919 We are two months before the election. He got asked 161 00:09:56.919 --> 00:10:00.399 a very simple, very good question from Shiro Atkinson. We 162 00:10:00.440 --> 00:10:03.840 played a one minute SoundBite and it already went from 163 00:10:03.919 --> 00:10:09.840 mass deportation to well, the criminals. You see, this is 164 00:10:09.879 --> 00:10:13.600 why I've been trying to steal you the American people, 165 00:10:14.440 --> 00:10:23.240 for what we have to do. Mass deportation has to happen. Criminals, men, women, children, 166 00:10:23.559 --> 00:10:27.440 all of them must go without it. We can't put 167 00:10:27.519 --> 00:10:30.600 Humpty Dumpty back together again. There are too many people 168 00:10:30.639 --> 00:10:34.440 here without any loyalty to this place. All right, all right, 169 00:10:34.799 --> 00:10:37.759 let's talk about how polling works in the Baton Death 170 00:10:37.840 --> 00:10:42.600 March and more. It is the Jesse Kelly Show on 171 00:10:42.720 --> 00:10:46.519 a Friday, and ask doctor Jesse Friday. If you missed 172 00:10:46.519 --> 00:10:48.360 any part of the show. You can download the whole 173 00:10:48.399 --> 00:10:52.240 thing on iHeart, on Spotify, on iTunes. Let's go to 174 00:10:52.279 --> 00:10:55.320 the voicemail thing. I remember we take those now, figure, 175 00:10:55.360 --> 00:10:57.360 since we really don't hardly ever take calls, I might 176 00:10:57.399 --> 00:11:01.720 aso get into the voicemail game. Seven seven three seven 177 00:11:01.919 --> 00:11:05.919 seven four three seven three. I like this one. This 178 00:11:05.960 --> 00:11:07.519 is Martin. I'm in New York. 179 00:11:08.360 --> 00:11:13.240 You are the less articulate but equally great guy who 180 00:11:13.279 --> 00:11:15.000 took over for Rush. 181 00:11:15.440 --> 00:11:19.639 Less articulate, that's very true. I don't know a lot 182 00:11:19.639 --> 00:11:22.080 of words and stuff that's very true about this. 183 00:11:22.000 --> 00:11:24.000 One, mister Kelly. I just have a question. Are we 184 00:11:24.039 --> 00:11:26.759 ever going to find out who this clerk is probably 185 00:11:26.799 --> 00:11:29.960 a female on the Supreme Court who keeps leaking all 186 00:11:30.000 --> 00:11:33.519 of these abortion decisions before their time. That seems that 187 00:11:33.559 --> 00:11:35.480 everybody's given up on that and she's just going to 188 00:11:35.519 --> 00:11:38.320 be sitting there getting ready to do it again. So 189 00:11:38.360 --> 00:11:40.799 it's just curious as to your thoughts on that subject. 190 00:11:41.840 --> 00:11:44.039 It's a very good thing to bring up, because we 191 00:11:44.039 --> 00:11:49.240 we move past scandals, even huge scandals. I'm guilty of 192 00:11:49.240 --> 00:11:52.799 this too. We move past scandals because there's always a 193 00:11:52.840 --> 00:11:56.320 new one. Now there's always a new scandal, always a 194 00:11:57.159 --> 00:12:01.080 new lie, a new thing to tackle every day. So 195 00:12:01.279 --> 00:12:07.320 even big things we will move on from. Remember remember 196 00:12:07.320 --> 00:12:12.480 the whole Row versus Wade thing Supreme Court decisions. So 197 00:12:12.519 --> 00:12:14.799 when the Supreme Court meets and they finally make a decision, 198 00:12:14.840 --> 00:12:17.639 this one's about Roe versus Wade, and they decide they're 199 00:12:17.679 --> 00:12:24.559 going to overturn it. Those decisions have always, always, always 200 00:12:25.039 --> 00:12:30.519 been kept secret until the time came to release the decision. 201 00:12:31.200 --> 00:12:33.559 And that is done for a variety of reasons, and 202 00:12:33.600 --> 00:12:36.320 one of the main ones is they don't want the 203 00:12:36.360 --> 00:12:40.600 public to threaten the justices, try to intimidate the justices 204 00:12:40.720 --> 00:12:43.360 one way or the other. Where they were getting ready 205 00:12:43.399 --> 00:12:47.000 to overturn Roe versus Wade, and one of the commis 206 00:12:47.279 --> 00:12:50.559 for one of the comedy judges. Everyone knows that leaked 207 00:12:50.720 --> 00:12:55.679 the decision. It prompted all kinds of outrage and protests 208 00:12:55.759 --> 00:12:58.440 and oh my gosh, please let me murder my baby. 209 00:12:58.440 --> 00:13:02.080 You know how much the left loves that. Remember, they 210 00:13:02.120 --> 00:13:04.399 said they were going to dig into it, they were 211 00:13:04.399 --> 00:13:07.600 going to find this person, but they never end up 212 00:13:07.679 --> 00:13:12.639 founding founding. They never ended up finding this person. So 213 00:13:13.360 --> 00:13:16.519 what happened there? What happens there? Well, what's going to 214 00:13:16.559 --> 00:13:21.120 happen in the future is other controversial Supreme Court decisions 215 00:13:21.600 --> 00:13:24.879 will be leaked because they never found this one. And 216 00:13:24.919 --> 00:13:27.759 why didn't they find this one? They didn't find the 217 00:13:27.799 --> 00:13:30.960 Supreme Court leaker for the exact same reason they didn't 218 00:13:31.000 --> 00:13:35.480 find the pipe bomber from January sixth, for the exact reason. 219 00:13:35.559 --> 00:13:37.759 They never were able to find a motive for the 220 00:13:37.840 --> 00:13:41.200 Las Vegas shooter for the exact same reason. They never 221 00:13:41.240 --> 00:13:43.759 could work out why a dude parked an RV in 222 00:13:43.840 --> 00:13:47.080 downtown Nashville and blew the thing up for the exact 223 00:13:47.399 --> 00:13:50.879 Do you want them to keep going? They don't find 224 00:13:51.080 --> 00:13:56.559 the things they don't want to find Everyone understands what happened. 225 00:13:57.080 --> 00:14:01.720 Everyone understands that some common law clerk working for one 226 00:14:01.759 --> 00:14:07.240 of the COMMI judges, saw herself as a hardcore abortion activist, 227 00:14:07.720 --> 00:14:11.679 wanted to create outrage, possibly even harm one of the 228 00:14:11.720 --> 00:14:15.919 Supreme Court justices, so she leaked the opinion ahead of time, 229 00:14:16.440 --> 00:14:18.960 just getting rid of all the norms in the world 230 00:14:19.440 --> 00:14:23.120 in an effort to pursue her demonic religion of communism. 231 00:14:23.159 --> 00:14:26.440 Everyone knows that's what happened, and the reason it was 232 00:14:26.480 --> 00:14:33.200 not exposed is the federal law enforcement agencies have all 233 00:14:33.240 --> 00:14:39.320 been conquered and consumed by this exact same way of thinking. 234 00:14:39.720 --> 00:14:42.440 We try, and I do this too. We keep trying 235 00:14:42.480 --> 00:14:45.960 to convince ourselves that there are places where this kind 236 00:14:46.000 --> 00:14:49.879 of six stuff hasn't quite gotten to yet. You know, 237 00:14:50.200 --> 00:14:53.720 we'll accept that, Okay, this judge is super far left, 238 00:14:53.759 --> 00:14:57.080 and yeah, left judge is gonna have some lefty law clerks, 239 00:14:57.080 --> 00:14:59.519 so they all have some of that there. But it's 240 00:14:59.559 --> 00:15:05.320 not it's not in things like the FBI, the atf 241 00:15:07.519 --> 00:15:12.240 The exact same people bounce from department to department. Of course, 242 00:15:12.279 --> 00:15:18.440 it's in the FBI, ATFICK. Pick your organization if it's 243 00:15:18.480 --> 00:15:25.240 a federal government organization. It's almost undoubtedly run by communists now, 244 00:15:25.879 --> 00:15:29.399 any of them, including the United States military. Remember this 245 00:15:29.440 --> 00:15:31.279 audio from last night, General Mattlocke. 246 00:15:31.360 --> 00:15:35.879 This training started in twenty seventeen. It lasted until a 247 00:15:35.960 --> 00:15:40.240 few months ago. Ten thousand soldiers were taught that national 248 00:15:40.360 --> 00:15:44.759 right to life was a potential domestic terrorist thread, or 249 00:15:44.799 --> 00:15:50.000 that soldiers with state issued pro life license plates were 250 00:15:50.039 --> 00:15:52.159 a threat. How in the world does something like that 251 00:15:52.200 --> 00:15:55.240 go on for so long and neither of you or 252 00:15:55.320 --> 00:15:57.080 anyone in leadership ever catches it. 253 00:15:57.440 --> 00:15:58.320 General's start with. 254 00:15:58.279 --> 00:16:02.039 You, Chairman Banks, thank you for the question. So I 255 00:16:02.039 --> 00:16:06.559 want to emphasize again these training materials were improperly developed 256 00:16:06.600 --> 00:16:07.480 and should have never. 257 00:16:07.360 --> 00:16:08.519 Ready to go on for so long. 258 00:16:09.000 --> 00:16:10.279 I understand, I appreciate it. 259 00:16:10.440 --> 00:16:15.759 Acknowledging the Chairman Banks, the failure was in providing anyone 260 00:16:15.840 --> 00:16:20.000 providing feedback, or any supervisor not observing the training. 261 00:16:20.159 --> 00:16:22.480 Yeah, we all know this was done with the consent 262 00:16:22.600 --> 00:16:26.720 of the people in charge. If it is a federal institution, 263 00:16:27.120 --> 00:16:30.480 now we have to operate as if it has been 264 00:16:30.559 --> 00:16:34.600 poisoned and turned against us. They didn't find the Supreme 265 00:16:34.600 --> 00:16:37.000 Court leaker because they didn't want to find the Supreme 266 00:16:37.000 --> 00:16:39.240 Court leaker because the people who will be in charge 267 00:16:39.279 --> 00:16:42.320 of investigating the Supreme Court leaker agree with what the 268 00:16:42.360 --> 00:16:47.159 Supreme Court leaker did. Period. End of story. All right, now, 269 00:16:47.240 --> 00:16:51.559 let's discuss how polling works before we discuss that. I 270 00:16:51.600 --> 00:16:55.879 am sure you saw be Route today or what's left 271 00:16:55.919 --> 00:17:00.480 of Beyrout today. The Israelis went after the has Bella 272 00:17:00.600 --> 00:17:04.200 leadership in Beirut today. Bunch of explosions, a bunch of 273 00:17:04.240 --> 00:17:09.759 people died. And what that means is the sixty thousand 274 00:17:09.920 --> 00:17:13.200 people in northern Israel who are still without a home. 275 00:17:13.640 --> 00:17:17.079 That number is going to increase as this war gets 276 00:17:17.119 --> 00:17:22.720 hotter and more vicious. It is the Jesse Kelly Show 277 00:17:23.039 --> 00:17:26.680 on a Friday and asked doctor Jesse Friday. Remember you 278 00:17:26.720 --> 00:17:30.880 can email the show Jesse at Jesse kellyshow dot com. 279 00:17:30.960 --> 00:17:34.480 Let's dig into this really quickly here, Jesse, can you 280 00:17:34.559 --> 00:17:38.440 explain how polling works. I'm almost fifty years old and 281 00:17:38.599 --> 00:17:43.680 I've never been polled. Okay, well, I actually have done 282 00:17:43.680 --> 00:17:46.200 this before. Remember I ran for Congress a couple of times, 283 00:17:46.559 --> 00:17:49.119 and I know some people who do this. So let's 284 00:17:49.160 --> 00:17:53.519 just do a couple basics when it comes to polling. Polling, 285 00:17:54.839 --> 00:17:57.359 if you want to do it accurately. We'll start there. 286 00:17:57.640 --> 00:18:00.000 If that's your goal, and oftentimes that is not the goal. 287 00:18:00.200 --> 00:18:04.920 But if that is your goal, even then, Polling is 288 00:18:05.079 --> 00:18:10.039 not an exact science at all. And you can tell 289 00:18:10.079 --> 00:18:12.839 this because have you ever looked at one of the 290 00:18:12.839 --> 00:18:14.279 things I want you to look at. We're going to 291 00:18:14.359 --> 00:18:17.359 discuss something here like cross tabs and things like that, 292 00:18:17.400 --> 00:18:19.759 But one thing I want you to look at. Whenever 293 00:18:19.839 --> 00:18:23.279 you see a poll, it will generally be one of 294 00:18:23.319 --> 00:18:25.359 the headlines of the poles, so you won't have to 295 00:18:25.400 --> 00:18:27.680 dig that much. But one thing I want you to 296 00:18:27.720 --> 00:18:33.200 look at is the number of people polled. That's critically, 297 00:18:33.240 --> 00:18:38.279 critically important, the number of people polled. You will see poles. 298 00:18:38.319 --> 00:18:41.400 I've seen poles. You see them all the time. If 299 00:18:41.400 --> 00:18:43.960 you don't know to look, you don't look. But there 300 00:18:44.000 --> 00:18:47.799 will be some poll out saying Tobala Harris is up 301 00:18:48.200 --> 00:18:52.480 forty eight to forty five nationally on Donald Trump. Oh okay, wow. 302 00:18:54.160 --> 00:18:55.400 How many people did they pull? 303 00:18:56.480 --> 00:18:56.640 Oh? 304 00:18:56.720 --> 00:19:02.400 Six hundred. So in a country of three hundred million people, 305 00:19:03.240 --> 00:19:06.759 you got a hold of six hundred people and from 306 00:19:06.799 --> 00:19:12.519 that you concluded that Harris is winning nationally over Donald Trump. Okay, 307 00:19:12.559 --> 00:19:16.119 So either way. Always pay attention to the number of 308 00:19:16.119 --> 00:19:22.039 people being pulled, pay attention to where they're being pulled 309 00:19:22.119 --> 00:19:27.119 from a national poll. Any national poll you see, I 310 00:19:27.119 --> 00:19:29.880 don't care who did it, whether it's a reputable polling 311 00:19:29.920 --> 00:19:33.960 firm or not. If you see any national poll, reject 312 00:19:34.039 --> 00:19:36.720 it and ignore it. It's the most unimportant thing in 313 00:19:36.759 --> 00:19:40.799 the world when it comes to president excuse me, when 314 00:19:40.799 --> 00:19:44.359 it comes to presidential politics. It's the most unimportant thing 315 00:19:44.519 --> 00:19:49.039 in the world. For presidential politics. What matters is the 316 00:19:49.200 --> 00:19:53.720 state by state polling. Remember state by state polling. If 317 00:19:53.720 --> 00:19:56.160 you are one of these people rooting for Donald Trump 318 00:19:56.240 --> 00:19:59.119 over Kamala Harris this November, you need to be looking 319 00:19:59.160 --> 00:20:04.319 at Arizona poll polling, Georgia polling, North Carolina polling, Michigan polling, 320 00:20:04.400 --> 00:20:09.119 Pennsylvania polling, Wisconsin polling. Anything that says national poll just rejected. Okay, 321 00:20:09.160 --> 00:20:11.839 so let's go to that the poll. How do polls work? 322 00:20:12.240 --> 00:20:16.119 If I I'm trying to take an accurate Pennsylvania poll, 323 00:20:16.480 --> 00:20:20.319 I'm with Jesse Kelly's polling company. I first have to 324 00:20:20.400 --> 00:20:23.799 decide how many people I'm going to call, how many 325 00:20:23.880 --> 00:20:28.160 people I can afford to call. This is an expensive operation. 326 00:20:28.400 --> 00:20:32.160 It costs money. It's not free to just come up 327 00:20:32.160 --> 00:20:35.640 with a list of questions, get the numbers, dial up 328 00:20:35.680 --> 00:20:38.920 the numbers. All this is data that costs money. So 329 00:20:38.960 --> 00:20:42.079 if you tell me, hey, Jesse's polling company, I love you. 330 00:20:42.359 --> 00:20:45.440 I'd love for you to call five thousand people in Pennsylvania, 331 00:20:45.680 --> 00:20:49.079 I'm gonna say, great, sounds good. Write me a gigantic check. 332 00:20:49.720 --> 00:20:53.200 So oh, okay, that checks too much? How about a thousand? Okay, 333 00:20:53.200 --> 00:20:56.680 So the number of people matters. The larger number of people, 334 00:20:56.960 --> 00:20:59.319 the more accurate accurate the poll is going to be. 335 00:20:59.480 --> 00:21:02.839 Remember that. I then have to sit down. Let's say 336 00:21:02.839 --> 00:21:05.960 I'm doing Pennsylvania and it's Jesse's polling Company. We'll make 337 00:21:06.000 --> 00:21:09.119 it about a thousand people. I have to decide where 338 00:21:09.200 --> 00:21:12.519 am I getting those thousand people from? And this is 339 00:21:12.720 --> 00:21:19.039 a total judgment call. Do I call Democrats in Pittsburgh? 340 00:21:19.400 --> 00:21:24.839 Do I call Republicans in Amish Country? Well, I guess 341 00:21:24.839 --> 00:21:26.680 it would be difficult to call them an Amish country, 342 00:21:26.720 --> 00:21:30.160 but you understand what I mean in rural Pennsylvania. If 343 00:21:30.200 --> 00:21:33.799 I call both, and ideally, if you're doing a statewide poll, 344 00:21:34.160 --> 00:21:37.240 you would like to call both. How many of each 345 00:21:37.640 --> 00:21:40.200 I've only got a thousand people I can call? Do 346 00:21:40.319 --> 00:21:43.839 I call two hundred Democrats and one hundred Republicans? Do 347 00:21:43.960 --> 00:21:47.599 I call hundred Republicans one hundred Democrats? If this is 348 00:21:47.640 --> 00:21:51.079 getting confusing, just I'm gonna stop. But I want to explain. 349 00:21:51.680 --> 00:21:55.039 That's why if you want to nerd out on details 350 00:21:55.119 --> 00:21:59.319 of a poll, what is always available? But people generally 351 00:21:59.319 --> 00:22:02.000 don't CLICKO on it when they're looking at these online. 352 00:22:02.359 --> 00:22:07.319 What's always available is something called the cross tabs. They're 353 00:22:07.359 --> 00:22:14.359 known as cross tabs. What are cross tabs? Well? Who 354 00:22:14.400 --> 00:22:19.400 are the thousand people? Who did you call? What questions 355 00:22:19.559 --> 00:22:23.400 did you ask? You can read the questions that were asked. 356 00:22:23.880 --> 00:22:30.119 Those are oftentimes loaded questions. I could call you right 357 00:22:30.160 --> 00:22:33.720 now and I could ask you, are you planning on 358 00:22:33.880 --> 00:22:36.759 voting for Donald Trump over Kamala Harris? That would get 359 00:22:36.759 --> 00:22:40.240 me one answer. I could ask you, do you think 360 00:22:40.319 --> 00:22:45.079 Donald Trump is better for the border than Kamala Harris. 361 00:22:45.559 --> 00:22:47.680 You know, those two answers may be different. I may 362 00:22:47.720 --> 00:22:50.160 be a Kamala Harris voter who thinks Donald Trump's better 363 00:22:50.200 --> 00:22:52.720 for the border. They can get you two different answers. 364 00:22:52.920 --> 00:22:57.920 I could ask you this, do you personally approve of 365 00:22:58.000 --> 00:23:03.440 Donald Trump? The percentages of people who say no would 366 00:23:03.480 --> 00:23:06.359 be higher than the percentages of people who were going 367 00:23:06.400 --> 00:23:11.400 to vote for him. You get a list from data companies, 368 00:23:12.000 --> 00:23:15.880 You figure out who you're going to call, You figure 369 00:23:15.920 --> 00:23:18.680 out what you want your cross tabs to look like, 370 00:23:19.200 --> 00:23:22.079 and then you burn up the phones with your staff 371 00:23:22.640 --> 00:23:25.920 calling people. You have to find someone who's willing to 372 00:23:26.000 --> 00:23:28.480 talk to you, and then you have to go down 373 00:23:28.519 --> 00:23:31.680 the list of questions that you or the campaign came 374 00:23:31.799 --> 00:23:35.440 up with, and from that you will create a poll. 375 00:23:35.759 --> 00:23:38.440 But all of that gets you a poll, and what 376 00:23:38.519 --> 00:23:40.559 do you generally get out of the pole a headline 377 00:23:41.319 --> 00:23:45.839 Trump over Harris in Pennsylvania. I just explained a tiny 378 00:23:45.839 --> 00:23:48.319 amount of the detail that goes into it, and yet 379 00:23:48.319 --> 00:23:50.880 the headline you'll get is Trump up one on Harris 380 00:23:50.880 --> 00:23:54.039 in Pennsylvania. Well, you don't have any idea. I might 381 00:23:54.079 --> 00:23:57.200 have called nine hundred Republicans in one hundred Democrats. You 382 00:23:57.240 --> 00:24:00.200 wouldn't know unless you looked at the cross tabs. You 383 00:24:00.240 --> 00:24:02.759 get the data from a polling company and you call them. 384 00:24:02.880 --> 00:24:06.759 Now you say you've never been called. They love, or 385 00:24:06.759 --> 00:24:09.319 at least they used to love, landlines. So if you 386 00:24:09.359 --> 00:24:12.160 don't have a landline, you won't be called as often, 387 00:24:12.200 --> 00:24:14.480 although I know they've mixed in cell phones with that. 388 00:24:15.400 --> 00:24:19.000 There's also something else that you and I have to 389 00:24:19.000 --> 00:24:22.599 take into account. Whenever we see a poll, they will 390 00:24:22.640 --> 00:24:29.240 be biased almost always for the left. There's a reason 391 00:24:29.480 --> 00:24:33.119 the national polling right now has the race kind of tied, 392 00:24:34.039 --> 00:24:36.759 really tied. Maybe Harris is up one, but Trump is 393 00:24:36.839 --> 00:24:40.359 up one, and yet the Harris campaign appears to be 394 00:24:40.440 --> 00:24:44.400 in panic mode. Why are they in panic mode? Because 395 00:24:44.440 --> 00:24:50.279 the bias is always Democrats want to talk to polsters. 396 00:24:50.680 --> 00:24:56.559 Republicans instinctively distrust anyone who calls them politically, and they 397 00:24:56.599 --> 00:24:59.759 will hang up on them or refuse to answer questions 398 00:25:00.559 --> 00:25:04.839 because and when they call, when upholster calls, I've been called, 399 00:25:04.839 --> 00:25:07.359 and in fact, i've seen them do these calls against 400 00:25:07.359 --> 00:25:09.880 I've been part of it. It's always something along these lines. 401 00:25:09.920 --> 00:25:13.279