Speaker 1: And we are live. Welcome to the best sports betting
show on the planet. This is wager Talk Today. I
am your host, Andy Lang. It is Wednesday, and we're
covering it all. We got college football, we got MLB,
a little bit of everything. Midweek is where the sharp
betters get prepped. That's exactly what we're gonna do today.
Ralph Michaels is gonna join us. We're gonna talk college football.
We're gonna break down the Rice and Charlotte game, and
then we're gonna talk NFL Week three trends. We're gonna
look at these teams that are two and zero and
the teams that are oh and to, what are their
likelihood of making the playoffs? How can it help us
out this weekend? And then Ross Benjamin that's gonna join us.
We're talking Phillies and Dodgers. He's gonna break down Iowa Rutgers,
and we're gonna play This line makes no sense, so
let's get after it. Hit the like button. Thank you
so much for joining us here. Let's do a quick
steam report. Not too much in NFL. The line for
Thursday night is staying pretty pretty. It's twelve and a
half or thirteen. Not really big key numbers there. The
over under has stayed the same. We're gonna look at
college football. Nothing too much on Thursday and Friday, but
there is some movement on the Saturday games. By far,
the biggest one is North Texas at Army. Army opens
up minus two and a half. North Texas is now
minus two and a half, and if you want to
bet it, I would get on at asap because threes
are already popping up at DraftKings and pinnacles, So North
Texas huge line swing there. So if you're gonna bet
on North Texas, you're gonna want to get on it now.
If you're gonna want to bet Army, just wait, you're
gonna get a better number. Some money's coming in on
TCU as the favorite. Georgia Tech has moved off the
key number there at twenty four. That's down to twenty
three and a half. A little bit of money coming
in on Temple. I see sevens are popping up in
the Central Florida game at Central Florida minus seven at
home against North Carolina, So if you want to fade
North Carolina, I'd jump on that one pretty quick. And
let's see there was one other one of no oh,
Duke Duke at minus two that's blown through the key
number of three. Everything's at three and a half right now,
so Duke at home in NC State. We got a
big total in that one. Opened at fifty seven on
the over under, and I'm seeing fifty eights and a
half across the board on that one. I think that
is it for the Saturday games. I didn't see anything
on the late game. Some money is coming in on
Tulane and Kansas has moved to fourteen were they opened
it twelve and a half and it looks like DraftKings
has put it all the way up to fourteen. So
is Pinnacles. Take a look at baseball Pittsburgh. People are
betting on Pittsburgh. I opened minus one fifty six, down
down to minus one thirty six even minus won twenty
eight at one of the books. And some money's coming
in on San Francisco. Here's a game, here's a game
that's interesting. Be careful with this game. I don't know
what to make of this. Oakland Athletics at Boston, and
we're gonna get to them. In all around the world.
The amount of money and the amount of tickets favors Boston,
but the line is moving towards Oakland. That spells a
lot of trouble. Anytime this happens. I feel like you
always want to be on the side of the books
when they're moving this line. When all the money's on
one side, yet the line is moving the complete other direction,
it stinks. Something stinks about that game. So just tread
lightly with that one, because that one makes absolutely no sense.
Royals are taking a lot of money against Seattle, and
late game, no surprise, Milwaukee taking a ton of money
against the Angels. But yeah, I'm going to be monitoring
this Oakland Boston game. Hate situations like that where everyone's
beending on one side and the book's like, oh, we're
going to move the line the other way. So all right,
here we go. Aubrey, Why be on the side of
the books, I don't know, Because the books win ninety
nine percent of the time. I kind of want to
be on that side. So whenever the books have a
strong opinion, they're probably going to be right more than
they are wrong. So, Aubrey, there's a ever there's a
strong opinion one way or the other, you really want
to be on the other side of the books. It's
terrifying when you bet in the line moves a complete
other way. So yeah, it's it's important to be on
the side of the books. We'll just say that. All right,
let's bring let's bring in Ralph. Michael's s F Niner says,
the books are wrong a lot correct correct. The books
are not right every single time. But as winning sports betters,
if you're betting the minus one ten, minus one twenty lines,
you're going to be right fifty five percent of the time.
That means you're losing forty five percent of time. Books
are in the same boat. If they can win fifty
eight sixty percent of the time, that means they're losing
forty percent of the time, but they're still wildly successful.
So all right, let's bring on Ralph. Let's talk Rice
and Charlotte. Ralph, do you have anything else to add
to that? Why do you want to be on the
side of the books.
Speaker 2: Yeah, my number was going to be the books are
wrong forty five percent of the time. But yeah, if
if they're correct fifty five percent of the time, let's
add in the ten percent use they're getting. That fifty
five percent now goes to sixty point five percent with
the ten percent choose yeah.
Speaker 1: And Aubrey says ninety nine percent of the time. So
that comes from Dave Mason that ninety nine percent of
the accounts and bet online are in the negative. So
ninety nine percent of accounts, ninety nine percent of betters
at bet online are are have lost. They have losing
long term results. When I say ninety nine percent of
the time, I mean the books beat the betters ninety
nine percent of the times. It's a tough, tough industry
and that's why we show up every day try and
help you guys out here. Something. Ralph, Let's open up
real quick with college football and then we'll get to
the NFL trends. I do want to ask. I want
to pose a trivia question to the chat. Don't google it,
don't look it up. Let's let's do this old school,
all right, So, Ralph, you're gonna talking about oh and
two and two and o teams here in NFL. How
many teams have started off oh to three in the
NFL and have made the playoffs. Don't look it up,
just type it in the live chat here and we'll circle.
We'll circle back.
Speaker 3: Since nineteen eighty eight.
Speaker 1: Since nineteen eighty eight, okay, since nineteen eighty eight, open up,
oh to three? How many teams have made the playoffs?
All right, Ralph, let's move. Let's let's do college football
with a shot? Is up pondering that question. Let's talk
Rice and Charlotte. Here, interesting breakdown on this game. Here, Rice,
they changed their offense this year, didn't there they're running
some kind of they're running a different offense. I haven't
really followed him that much, but their minus two and
a half over unders at forty four and a half.
What's you take on this game?
Speaker 3: Well, Andy, you are correct.
Speaker 2: In fact, they have run the ball one hundred and
sixty eight times. They have passed the ball only forty
one times. They have a new head coach and Scott Abel.
Scott Abel has been at Davidson for the last five years.
He leads that team an all time winning record, and
he is an options type quarterback. So you're looking at
a team that's gonna run the ball, slow down the pace,
and they've brought it to the tune of four point
three yards perk. But that's a little bit misleading because
you have to throw out the Prairie View A and
A game. They ran for three hundred and forty seven
yards and five point eight yards per carry as a
huge favorite last week, but new head coach running scheme.
I am impressed with their defense very much. They held
Houston to three ninety two. That's not great, but again
it's a decent number because only fourteen first downs. They
went to Louisiana. They held Lafayette to two hundred and
thirty nine yards and sixteen first downs. Charlotte also has
a new head coach for this opening AAC game, or
they want to be called American, they don't want to
be called AAC anymore. And their new head coach is
Tim Alban. And you may say to yourself, Tim Albin
won the MAC Tournament, won the MAC Conference championship last year.
He was the MAC Coach of the Year, and he
leaves to go to Charlotte. Why would a coach do that? Well,
let me tell you, the MAC doesn't pay for head coaches.
I think he was making one eight hundred thousand last year.
I think he's making one point eight million at Charlotte
in the upgrade to the AAC. So why does the
coach leave a losing program to try to turn one around.
Oh for about a million dollars a year. So Ohio
is the same type of schemes that Alvin ran at Ohio.
They are run heavy, they play conservative defense. They give
up some yards, but they try to keep you out
of the end zone. The defense has struggled a bit.
They allowed five hundred and eighty six yards to app
State in their opener. Remember this is a team in
Charlotte that only had five wins last year and only
brought back seven returning starters, So it's going to take
a while for his systems to get into effect.
Speaker 1: But don't be.
Speaker 2: Fooled, you might say, Charlotte and Rice, this is probably
one of the worst national TV games we've ever had
on a Thursday. But these kids and these programs are excited.
More people are going to watch this game from these
two programs that'll probably watch them for the rest of
the entire season combined.
Speaker 3: So they will be excited.
Speaker 2: The fan base will be excited at Charlotte, and again.
Speaker 3: That excitement to me means.
Speaker 2: With young quarterbacks, you're gonna have a conservative game plan
to start. I look at Charlotte's defense in their three games,
they have allowed four point eight, four point five and
two point one yards per carry rushing. That is one
hundred and twenty six yards per game and four yards
per carry, So I think their defense can slow that
Rice offense. With that said, it's a low total, but
I do want to mention this to all the viewers
with a total of forty five or less in college football,
if an FBS team is playing an FCS team with
a low total, it's gone over fifty seven percent. But
when you have a low total with an FBS versus
FBS game like this, you are three point fifty one
and four thirty two over under. That is fifty six
point two percent to the under. The total forty four
and a half forty five. I am actually gonna go
first half. Now we are gonna have to give up
a point value. Normally the first half is a few
points less than the full game total. First half under
twenty one to me is the way I'm looking. And
not only is this the best bet, Andy, this still
has a chance to make my client play. So a
lot of times we give out opinions.
Speaker 3: On the show.
Speaker 2: Take that for what it's worth, But when a play
is close to being a client play that is clearly
a stronger best bet for this segment.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff, Ralph, you want to do that.
Let's answer the trivia question where everyone's everyone's put their
guesses in there. I know the answer, So Ralph, what
is what is the answers? It's nineteen eighty eight. How
many teams in the NFL started zero to three and
gone on to make the playoffs?
Speaker 2: Well, there's been one, and it was it was Houston
Texans a couple of years ago. They started oh and
three and they ran off nine straight wins to get
to uh they ran off nine straight wins and finished
eleven and five. But just to know how important it
is for these and two teams, OH and two teams
Since twenty twenty when they expanded the playoffs to add
the extra wild card game, only twelve percent have made
the postseason starting OH to two. So these O and
two teams already have pressure on them, extreme pressure, because
again OH and three are basically saying we're done.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and show the chart and the charts
three parts, the top part OH and two teams, the
middle part two and O teams, and the bottom part
those rare instances where an O and two team is
playing a two and o team, So it's going to
be surprising Andy, And we talk about this all the time.
The charts may help you make your bet better, they
may keep you off a game by analyzing the data,
or it may just be a wow, this is not
what I expected. And I think if you say to
most people, if you have an zero to two team
and they're at home, you would think they're absolutely motivated
to bounce back.
Speaker 3: But look at those ats numbers.
Speaker 2: Teams is a home favorite that are oh and two,
It's only happened seventeen times. They've covered forty four percent.
Teams is a home dog that are oh and two
have only covered forty eight percent. You can see who
it applies to over on the right. But if you're
on the road as an O two team, away favorites
fifty seven percent, and away underdogs that are zero and
two have actually covered sixty six percent against the spread.
If you look to the right, that applies to Houston, Miami,
the New York Jets, and the New Orleans Saints. Now
let's look below at the time two and O teams
home favorites forty five percent, home dogs fifty five percent
away favorites a wash away dogs forty four percent, So
not much that we take out of that, except with
two and O teams as an away dog only seven
and nine against the spread. And you see the teams
that applies to only eleven times as an O two
team face to two OH team, they've gone five and six,
like Cleveland and Tennessee in that role and on the
road ten and seven fifty nine.
Speaker 3: Percent Miami and the New York Jets.
Speaker 2: I will post this on Twitter, guys. I ran through
the data sort of quick. My takeaway two teams you
fade them at home, you play on them on the road,
and especially as an away dog. Hopefully that gives you
some value looking at those zero to two and two
and O teams in to NFL Week number three, all.
Speaker 1: Right, yeah, you know the Dolphins are just boy, what
a tough game. This is short week, going on the
road at Buffalo. I mean the Titans are zero and
two playing the two and OH teams Colts. I would
say they probably need a They probably have a little
bit better shot, but that's a that's a tough spot
to be oh and two going going up against two
and oh teams.
Speaker 2: And if you're one of the sharps that look at stats,
I mean, the Cleveland Browns have to be your favorite
team in the whole world right now, outdating both because
being two and division aption, it's it's crazy when you
look at their statistical profile relative to their record.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, absolutely, Ralph. A great job on the chart,
Great job on the college football game, great job on
the trivia. What do you have up for everyone at wager.
Speaker 2: Talk, Well, we cash a five percent NFL teaser and
that'sh did not surprise you. Six straight NFL five percent
winners and listen to this. My NFL teasers rated four
percent and five percent, Andy eight no O, and fifteen
and one the last twelve months.
Speaker 3: Four.
Speaker 2: I will have an NFL five percent teaser for Sunday
again this week.
Speaker 3: And remember take advantage of the weekend. Warrior sign up today.
You don't need to wait to the weekend. It's only
forty nine dollars.
Speaker 2: You'll get my five percent, which is thirty five dollars,
and get all of my Saturday college football, all of
my Sunday college football, and if I have a play
Monday night in the NFL, you'll receive it as well.
Speaker 3: Make sure you sign up today.
Speaker 2: I'll be loading that five percent either tonight or first
thing in the morning. You want to make sure you
get the positive line value that we afford you. By
releasing these plays early, you'll get notified immediately.
Speaker 1: Great stuff for Ralph Michaels. Yeah, took the words right
out of my mouth. I got that promo. Ralph and
the pen, thank you so much for joining us. Have
a great Wednesday, Ralph h We got Ross Benjamin coming
up here in a bit. Let's go all around the
world though. Let's give the people some free plays. We
got a couple of MLB plays, and we got a
college football play. We're gonna go Guardians at the Tigers.
Let's take this plus one thirty five on the Guardians.
Guardians won five straight, nine and one in their last ten,
and Williams for the Guardians has not allowed over two
runs the last three starts. We're getting a really really
good price on the Guardians here at plus one thirty five.
That one comes off of the free picks page at
wajertalk dot com. This one does as well, going South
Carolina at Missouri. Take a look at the first half
under twenty three and a half. South Carolina likely to
be without their starting quarterback. Backup came in for relief
last week. Didn't put up any points. Expects South Carolina
try and shorten the game on the road, use as
much time on the clock as possible, and not put
up many points. So looking for a low scoring games
South Carolina and Missouri, and we'll do a team at total.
We hit our team total yesterday pretty easily. It's this
game I talked about earlier with the Stave report, so
Red Sox I'm going to over four and a half.
Barnett is pitching for the for the Athletics and he
has been awful. Twelve point two innings, eighteen hits and
twelve earned runs allowed. He's not gonna go very deep
into this game, so this is in essence a bullpen game.
Red Sox have not been lighting the world on fire
with runs, but man, this pitching situation is really bad
for Oakland. So even though the line is wonky supporting Oakland,
I'm gonna take the Red Sox on the team total.
Let's bring in Ross, Benjamin Ross, the Boss. How are
you today? Thanks for joining us. How's your Wednesday?
Speaker 4: It's always better when I see you, Andy.
Speaker 1: Absolutely, flattery will get you everywhere. So we're gonna do
We're gonna do. This line makes no sense. We're gonna
talk a little bit about the Phillies and the Dodgers.
But I want to get started with this Iowa versus
rut curse game. Yeah, Iowa minus two and a half,
we get over under forty five and a half. I
kind of chuckled because I think Iowa thought their offense
was gonna be dynamic. But it's like, it's Iowa. You're
never gonna have a dynamic It's just Iowa. There's no
such thing as a dynamic offense for Iowa. How do
you break this game down here with this Hawkeys team
hanging on to two and a half, not moved to
the three yet.
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, it's hard to be dynamic when you
run the ball sixty five percent of your offensive plays
like they do did excuse me in the first three
games of the season. However, let's look at this game
in its entirety. Andy, you're looking at a Rutgers team.
They're out to a three and oh start, nothing new there.
I mean, they seemed to do that every year as
a matter of fact, since twenty twenty one, Andy Rutgers
is fifteen to oh in their first three games of
the season. Do you know what the record is after
game three of the season since twenty eighteen.
Speaker 1: No clue, what is their record? What is their record?
Speaker 5: Afy, I am so so glad that you asked. Since
twenty eighteen after game three this season, the Rutgers Scarlet
Knights are fourteen and forty nine straight up after game three,
and you know they're three and zero this year.
Speaker 4: Like I said, they're giving up one hundred and forty
eight point seven yards per game on the ground. Really,
by college football standards, not bad, but when you considered
the level of competition they faced in Ohio, Miami of Ohio,
and Norfolk State, I would be a little leary of that.
And I say that because Iowa has been an extremely,
extremely good rushing attack. And by the way, that one
hundred and forty eight point seven yards per game they're
giving up on the ground, they had double digit leads
in each one of those contests, won two of them
by double digit margins, and the opponent had to abandon
the run early because they behind by so much. So
keep that in mind as well. And when I say
Iowa sixty five percent at a time, they've run the
ball on offense this year, on offensive plays, they should
say in their first three games they averaged over two
hundred yards per game and close to five yards per
attempt running the ball. Their defense, what else is new? Andy,
The Iowa defense has just been outstanding over their first
three games. Again, you know, they did play nationally ranked
Iowa State and held them to two hundred and thirty
eight yards all in all over three games. They've allowed
ten points per game, one hundred and seventy eight yards
per game. They've faced Rutgers four times since twenty sixteen,
and they shut them out twice and gave up ten
points in one game seven and the other obviously winning
all four games with those kind of defensive numbers. I
just think that Iowa is going to run the ball
successfully in this game. They're going to control the clock,
They're gonna keep the Rutgers offense off the field, and
when they have to play defense, this defense is shown
to be extremely good and has been for many years now,
and I just think that Rutgers will wear down late
in the third quarter into the fourth quarter in this game.
I'm gonna go money line here because Iowa minus two
and a half on a points spread across the board.
I'm a firm believer. When you get two and a
half or less as a favorite in college football or
the NFL, and you can get money line odds of
minus one fifty or less, I always opt for the
money line. That's my choice. I'm sure I get an
argument from pres on this one, and that's okay. I
like arguing with present present, wakes up in the morning
arguing with somebody, So in any event, I'm gonna take
Iowa here minus one thirty eight against Rutgers.
Speaker 1: I have been on the phone with Presis where we
were just casually talking and all of a sudden, within
ten seconds, there was a full blown argument. Is the
only friend I have that that happens? So I have
no other friend. We're just casually talking. All of a
sudden we're screaming at each other, So don't I don't
hate the money line, Ross. I always tell people, I like,
there's a half, you know, do you want the better
number on the price, the better number on the prop number?
I always want the better prop number. So if you
like the money line and that spread is really really close. Yeah,
by all means, but pay the extra juice. You only
pay the juice. Let's see lose. So it I like that.
I like that approach. Let's talk MLB. Let's do the
Phillies and a Dodgers got Lozardo going for Philly smell
for Dodgers, I believe. Listen, this Dodgers team's only two
games up here on the padres. They got to be
tread and lightly here. Philly's got a huge lead in
the division, and the Dodgers always big favorites. Minus one
forty eight over under seven and a half. Boy, that's
low for a Dodgers game, which will break down to you.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it certainly is. I mean there's a couple eights
out there, but the majority of the sports books are
at seven and a half, like Andy just touched upon,
and that jumps out to me. And why, Well, because
you're looking at two teams that have been red hot
offensively of late. They played a nine to six game yesterday,
and why has that number come from down from eight
to seven and a half? I fully attribute that to
the starting pitchers because both of these bullpens have been
terrible of late. You're looking at a Phillies bullpen with
a five to fifty seven ERA and a one to
fifty two WHIP, five home runs allowed and twenty one
innings pitched over their last seven games. That's not getting
it done for a bullpen. And then the Dodgers are
you know, sixth fifty nine ERA, six home runs allowed
in twenty seven and the third innings over their last
six and by the way, shoey Otani five needs a
no hit baseball yesterday they pulled them out of the
game because again, uh, they've been doing that with Otani
keeping an eye on his UH innings pitched and pitch
count so he's fresh for the postseason. And they pulled
him out of the game with a forur to nothing
lead and him throwing a no hitter, and the Dodgers'
bullpen gave up nine runs in the last four innings
and the Phillies prevailed nine to six.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 4: Then you look at these head to head matchups with
these starting pitchers. The La Dodgers current roster fifteen for
sixty eight against Lazardo. That's just the two twenty one
team batting average. Again, folks, it's the current roster of
the Phillies fifteen for sixty eight lifetime to twenty one
team batting average and forty one point five percent of
the ELTs recorded uh, which were fifty three outs came
by way of strikeouts. So Lozardo seven of his last
nine outings have been quality start, which are six innings
or more and three earned runs are less allowed.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 4: So he's been on his game. And then also Snell
against the current Phillies lineup. You're talking about the Phillies
as a team and their current roster. Again, I want
to clarify that. Uh, they're hitting one fifty one as
a team against Snell, and they've struck out forty six
point eight percent of the time. Uh in terms of
the outs they made. So I like this game. We're
gonna I want to eliminate the bullpens Andy, Okay, for
obvious reasons.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 4: And I'm gonna make this a first five inning totals wager.
Speaker 3: You could get.
Speaker 4: Four and a half at Draft Kings and ESPN Bet
right now. DraftKings you're gonna have to lay one forty five.
ESPN Bet you have to lay one thirty five if
you don't have accounts at either one of those sportsbooks.
The rest are gonna be at four. So I'm just
gonna say this. My official pick is under four and
a half for the first five innings, but I would
not shy away from the four. So anything four or
greater for the first five inning total in this game,
got under that number. That is my pick for this
game between the Phillies and the Dodgers.
Speaker 1: Love it, love it. Good breakdown there, Ross, We're gonna
play this line. It makes no sense. But looking here,
you had a really good college football week last week. Yeah, yeah,
nice work. Four to oh what are ten and five
this year? So college football has been going well for you.
Tell us what you have about for clients.
Speaker 4: Yeah. I don't have anything up yet, but I will. Okay,
most likely I'm not going to have anything for Thursday
or Friday. I don't know that for sure yet, but
that's where I'm leaning. And then this card this week
I'm not overly crazy about, but I will have at
least three picks up on Saturday in college football, including
a five percent best bet, possibly four. So again, folks,
college football five percent best bets so far this season
three and zero. I cashed in with LSU in Week
one as an underdog outright at Clemson. Also cashed with
Oklahoma minus five in week twosday won by eleven against Michigan.
And last week I had Tennessee plus four and a
half should have won the game outright, but they didn't,
but they did cover as they lose by three in
overtime to Georgia as a plus four and a half dog.
So a lot of good things happen in college football.
Not only that folks ten and five this year, but
number one in win percentage, in number one and units
earned last year, and since it started the twenty twenty
three college football season, I am number one in units
earned in college football. So keep an eye on my
college football coming up on Saturday, possibly some on Thursday
or Friday. So again WT dot buzz slash RBT at
WT dot buzz slash rb is my direct link over
atwaightertalk dot com.
Speaker 1: You can use the Weekend Warrior Pass on Ross forty
nine dollars get you the entire weekend plus any plays
might have up on Monday. See at all of his
Saturday plays, all of the Sunday plays all Monday in
football only forty nine dollars all right, Speaking of college
football ross. This line makes no sense. Which line did
you pick on this week?
Speaker 4: Well, you know, it's not a powerful conference game, but
it's a game that I think when the casual better
looks at this line and sees un OLB is just
a two and a half point favorite against Miami Ohio,
a lot of people will tend to jump immediately and
say UNLV is the play. Now I'm not saying they're not, okay,
So these segments are for you to be aware of
everything going into that so you're not tricked and you
don't fall into a trap as well. It's called buyer beware.
This is a West Coast team obviously in UNLV, and
they're going to be playing a noon Eastern time kickoff. Okay,
that's that's for starters. They're also going to be playing
a Miami Ohio team that started the year zero and two.
By the way, UNLV is three and oh and are
only minus two and a half against an oh and
two team. So that's another part of the perception of
false perception that could possibly happen when betting on a
game like this in Miami Ohio desperate for a win
after starting out oh and two. I mean Miami, Ohio
started out oh and two, but their two losses came
against big town opponents and Rutgers and also Wisconsin, so
they didn't show much offense in those games. Their defense,
it's wore down late because they couldn't sustain anything offensively.
But you look at u LV e they're three and all
start andy. They barely beat Idaho State, an FCS team,
they needed a late touchdown in that game to win.
And then they beat a terrible Sam Houston State team
that I believe is winless against FBS opponents so far
this year. And then a UCLA team that's oh and
three and just fired their head coach, so it's not
like they have played against extremely good competition. And you know,
on paper, UNLV is the telling the team right. And
you're also looking at UNLV team since it started last
year fourteen and three, okay, fourteen and three overall, and
here they are just a two and a half point
road favored against a MAC team that hasn't won this year.
So buyer beware. I'm not saying you should take either
side by what I just told you. I just try
and in these segments to make sure you cross the
t's and dot the eyes before you just jump on
a brand name or jump on what looks to be
an obvious play where you feel you're getting an absolute steal.
Speaker 1: That West Coast playing the noon game, that just that
trips people up all the time, Like I feel like
it's such an under studied thing. The Oregon they started
off slow last week at Northwestern. That first quarter was
so sluggish and it was like, oh yeah, West Coast
team starting at noon. So great work, Ross, absolutely fantastic work.
Congrats on college football. Thank you so much for joining us.
Use the weekend Warrior pass on Ross Benjamin forty nine
dollars get you Saturday, Sunday and Monday all football plays.
He's coming off of four to oh clean sweep Happy Wednesday. Ross.
Can't wait to do this again next week.
Speaker 4: I look forward to an Andy and thank you once
again for having me my friend.
Speaker 1: Anytime, anytime. All right, guys, we're almost done here. I
did want to take a look at some props here
for Thursday night football if we could real quick, Chris,
you don't need to pull up anything here. I just
wanted to go over a couple interesting props here. I'm
going to the rushing props and our Week three props
pack is up by the way. We swept Monday, so
we're now we've hit fifty nine percent of our props
in NFL this season. Could not be happier with that.
That is a sustainable winning percentage. We've cashed both weeks.
Like I said, we hit both of our plays on Monday.
So if you want to lock in that, you're gonna
get all props from Thursday all the way through Monday.
It's an absolutely smoking deal. We're sixteen and eleven this year,
just chipping away profit after profit after profit. Pretty decent volume.
We're high volume this year compared to last year, so
we want to lock that in. It's only fifteen bucks.
You get all these props. I'm going to this rushing yards.
I'm looking at Ray Davis over twenty three and a half.
This game could get out of control. This is a
twelve and a half point spread. Miami has just looked terrible.
Buffalo has looked like a buzzsaw. If they get up
in the second half, Buffalo absolutely pulls James Cook and
gets Ray Davis carries. Ray Davis only had one carry
in Week one, then he had nine carries in week
two for twenty four yards. I think ray Davis gets there,
and if you want to play this even sneakier, you
may be able to live bet this if ray Davis
doesn't play on like the first series, but I would
take him now. I like him over twenty three and
a half. I think Ray Davis gets quite a bit.
James Cook has been a monster the last couple weeks.
I'm sure he'll be really good, but again, fourth quarter,
I could see this being a Ray Davis game. You
like Shakiro over forty one and a half receiving yards,
can't be mad at that one. I haven't looked up Shakir,
but it's all I mean. Look at these touchdown props
minus one eighty for James Cook to score a touchdowns
crazy minus won eighty. I don't think I'm laying that
kind of juice, but of course he's gonna cash. So
all right, guys, it's gonna do it for Thank you
so much for joining us. Don't forget we're doing the
same thing tomorrow here noon Eastern. Make sure you hit
that like button. Leave us a comment below in the
comment section, tell us what best bet you like, and
if you want to hear any individual game breakdowns, put
him in the comment section. We'll seef we can do.
I know somebody in the chat asked for the Michigan breakdown.
We'll sue what we can do. So just put him
down there in the comment section again. The weekend Warrior.
That's good for any handicapper on a wager TALKI lock
in Saturday, Sunday and Monday. It went so well last weekend,
decided to do it again, so when you guys tell
us what you like and what works well, we'll keep
doing it. So and so many people sign up for
this and say, hey, do it again next weekend. Doing
it again, so all five percent plays are included, props, parlays,
money line spreads, anything for Saturday and Sunday. And as
a bonus, we're throwing in Monday only forty nine dollars.
It's over at the deal's page WT dot buzz Slash Deals.
All right, thanks for joining us. Oh I wanted to
also say a shout out to Joe, Andrew and Harold
members of the Insiders WT dot buzz Slash Inside. If
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It's only two ninety nine and you get a five
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no brainer. So shout out to Joe, Andrew and Harold
new members for the Insiders. Thanks very much, guys, have
a great Wednesday. We'll see everybody tomorrow. Good luck on
your bets today. Take care,