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Speaker 1: What's going on, y'all? Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks.

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If you're new, we do always start the show by

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being transparent. And yesterday I had one play and it

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was a loser. It was the Cavaliers plus two and

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a half. Never was even close. So man, the past maybe,

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I don't know. It's been a little bit of slump

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since the weekend. For sure. Got to get back on

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track here today. You know, hopefully you did better than me.

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Speaker 2: Yesterday I was equal to you. Yesterday. I had one play.

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It was the Clippers game over. Did not get there

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to eighteen, but I did go up and down the board,

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you know, ski just to review it, boy, a lot

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of the stuff we talked about. I wish I had

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played Orlando Phoenix wound up getting over the totals. Charlotte

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was really easy, Detroit down to three and a half,

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wound up being easy against Toronto. I was thinking Cleveland

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Lakers over it. Just it makes me shake my head

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sometimes when you have that much of a good hold

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on a board and you pick the one that doesn't

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go right. That's what happened yesterday. But at least I

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know we handicapped it pretty well. Just a poor decision

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on my part which one to play. We'll see if

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we can be better today.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's been the story for me the past couple

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of days. Yesterday and today, I feel like it was

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just like that. I'm like, damn, why didn't I just

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take all this other stuff.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully we're helping the chat. Hopefully you guys are taking

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advantage of it. Certainly we know what we're talking about,

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we just don't know how to apply it right now.

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One of those Let's see if we get it right today.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let's see. We'll start with Philly and Washington opened

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up fifteen down to fourteen and a half. I see

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a thirteen and a half out there too. Total right

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around the opener, Billy and beat us out, Broom is

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out Washington. We have Shawn George, A D. D. Lo

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Sar and Trey Young all out. This is it's a lot.

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It's something dirty games on this slate, you know, But man,

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this is how we gotta start. Huh. You got the

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Sixers coming off for loss of the favorite, so maybe

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they get a chance to bounce back here. They lost

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to the heat of one o nine till one nineteen.

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That was a nice second half by the heat the Wizards.

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It's their first game home after a what is that

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five game road trip, so could be a little bit

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of a flash spot. But I mean it's like they're

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they're always flat. It's also fourth and six. Yeah, I

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just it's hard to look towards the Wizards. I don't

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view the Sixers as the I mean, I guess if

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I'm trying to make a case for the Wizards, it's

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that I don't view the Sixers as a team. I'm

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willing to go like double digits with especially you know

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you're missing in B two, you definitely would won him

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in So for that reason, it will be more of

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a fate of Philly at the current number, with the

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lean on Washington.

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Speaker 2: What do you think, Yeah, maybe, well, I think the

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motivational end of this goes to Philly one game out

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of the playoffs. Right now, they're the number seven seeds

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sitting in the play in but they're only by in

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Toronto by one, with a chance to catch them and

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make it easy on themselves and just be automatically in

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a series. Neither of the centers play tonight. No SAR

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for Washington, no MBD for Philadelphia. Philly's got a little

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more in the backup department. They can always lean on Andre,

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Drummond and Bona to play centers. So I think it's

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advantage Philadelphia from that perspective. They're three to oh against

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these guys this season, Philly one thirty one to one ten,

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Philly one thirty nine, one thirty four, Philly won twenty one,

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one oh two. They've been able to score at will

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against Washington, and we know Philly has been banged up

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for at most of the time this year, either George's

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been on suspension or Embiid's been hurt, so they've played

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these games with different lineups. I feel like if I

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had to isolate something because Philadelphia has the motivation legend,

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because Washington flew all the way back from the West Coast,

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I feel like Philly will score here. Only one o

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nine against Miami, then that was just a bad shooting

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that really you should score more than one o nine

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against Miami. They're pushing pace the entire game. So maybe

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a look toward the Sixers team total here ski I

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believe when I looked it was one twenty six and

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a half. As I look now, it's still one twenty

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six and a half. Interesting here that the line went

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straight down as you mentioned to thirteen and a half

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over the EMBID news and now has come back Philly's

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way a little bit because SAR was announced maybe forty

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five minutes ago as not being a go here. COOLi

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balio play Washington could score too. Maybe I shouldn't exclude

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Washington from the mix here at two thirty eight and

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a half, but I feel a little more oppident in

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Philadelphia playing a what should be a quicker pace game

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and the Wizards having not much in the way of

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rim protection for this one.

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Speaker 1: All right, we'll go over to Hawks and Magic open

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up minus fours down to three or two and a

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half depending where you shop. And the total also came

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down from thinking opener two thirty six, and I think

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consensus will call it two thirty three and a half.

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As far as the injury report for Orlando, Franz Bogner's questionable.

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Interesting to see if they can get him out there.

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Black and Isaac are out for the Hawks. Landale is

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questionable once again. Yeah you know this. I mean this

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Hawks team has been playing really good basketball for a

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while now. This Magic team has not. This Magic team

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is coming off of a win they played yesterday, this

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Hawks team has some rest advantage. I look at the standings.

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You have the Hawks and with that fit seed. Let

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me pull it back up here. Fifth seed, yeah, Hawks,

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fifth seed in the Magic eight seed two and a

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half games behind the Hawks, I mean, very very important

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game here. I'd like to think that well, I don't know.

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The number, just seems like numbers. Seems like I should

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be taking the Magic like it seems cheap to have

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the rest advantage. And if you've been playing so well

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to only lay two and a half for three, I

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think the Magic maybe I found a little something can't compete.

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I know they're gonna play hard, at least at the

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very least.

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Speaker 2: What do you think you know, Yeah, they played hard

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last night. That was not an easy game to win

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against Phoenix when fifteen to win eleven, all of those

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minutes were taxing minutes. Ben Carrol put in thirty seven,

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I think Baine put in thirty seven, point guard sugs

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thirty seven, thirty eight. All those guys are around the

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same amount of time yesterday, so they needed it. They

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got it yesterday. I kind of doubted whether or not

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they could get it because they haven't been playing good.

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They haven't played good against the Hawks all season long.

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Atlanta's three and zero against these guys, and in two

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of those three Franz did play. They're back towards the

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beginning of the season. But I don't feel like Atlanta

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was in form back in the beginning of the season,

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especially since what they have fired in the trade down.

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Now now they're better, right, And so to me, man,

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don't this is hard. They both need it. Orlando needs

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it more and you look at their spot in the

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standing ski and they could again slide right down to

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the eighth spot by losing year, so they have to

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I'm sure that oh and three against this team means

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something to them. It's a divisional rival. You want to

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beat them for a multitude of reasons. Here tonight, So

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a situation I think almost in the same spot we

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were last night, right Phoenix was the rested team. Gee,

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just go ahead and play the rest advantage, or do

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you play the we need it more advantage, which seems

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to be Orlando, even though Atlanta could use it. I

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don't know. It's a difficult game. I do agree with

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the total coming down a little bit, even though they're

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fast paced teams. Honestly, I think this one will take

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on kind of a playoff type atmosphere with people playing

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defense against one another here tonight for at least some

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periods of time. So maybe a look at Under. Maybe

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I don't know that I could trust. I don't know.

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I don't know that I could bet Orlando here, but

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I don't know that I could bet Atlanta either, even

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though they've owned this series this season.

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Speaker 1: I agree with what you said about the Under. That

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was another look for me. It did come down to

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two thirty two and a half and now going back up,

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so I'm not sure why that's happening. Don't like to

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see that, but Under definitely on my radar, just because of,

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you know, the importance of the game. I think you're

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going to get really good effort on defense. Also, I

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didn't pull the trigger because I'm unsure how that back

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to back will affect the Magic, whether defense suffer could

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And yeah, it made me hesitate a little bit, but

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I agree with that thought.

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Speaker 2: What do we think if Franz plays, does to throw

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a wrench into their offense. He hasn't played in twenty

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two games.

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Speaker 1: I would think so first game back after that long,

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high ustage player. I think it was the other their

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rhythm off a little bit. Not like they had much anyway,

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but I agree.

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Speaker 2: Could get us to the under all right.

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Speaker 1: Celtics and Heat opened up five now four and a half.

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Total open two twenty eight and a half, and I

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see it as high as two thirty and a half.

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For the injuries, I see Norman Powell out. World's there

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still on the injury report for some reason. Lucevich is

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out for the Celtics team other than that pretty team.

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I disagree with the total going up here. You know,

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I'm curious before I even get into it, how do

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you feel do you agree with the total going up?

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Speaker 2: Well, I'll say what we say all the time. No,

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Norman Powell, no doubts. Don't really want a piece, especially

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if it's a good defensive team like Boston. Now, Eric

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Spolstra has had a lot to say. It's kind of

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funny that he's talking about how they should be. They

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haven't predicated themselves on defense all season long, but yet

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he's saying their problems are because they don't play defense.

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That's kind of obvious to all of us. If in

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fact what he's saying, if I put it into context.

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Monday night, they did hold Philly to one o nine,

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and if that's the start of something maybe coaches words

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sinking in, then perhaps you know under is in play here.

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We know Boston can play defense, we know Boston can

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lock down. These guys played on February sixth. It was

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ninety eight to ninety six, only one hundred and ninety

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four points. So that's a good testament to the for

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the under here, I could possibly look that way. Ski

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I viewed Boston as maybe one of the top three

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defensive teams in the league. I think Boston is able

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to Some teams aren't able to control pace, tempo against

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a team that's like Miami that wants to go fast,

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and then Boston, you always have the thought process they're

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gonna shoot forty five threes, are they gonna make a

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bunch tonight or are they gonna miss a bunch? So

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I think for me, a lot depends on whether or

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not Monday's Monday Nights one o nine allowed to Philly

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was a sign of things to come for Miami, and

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they're gonna start to lock down a little bit. They

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don't have to so much as they can score if

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that's the case, then maybe we want under.

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Speaker 1: I think, so I'll listen to all these guys talk

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on the east side. They said how many Hawks was

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talking about like it was one of the best half

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times ever, pretty much saying, you know, Tyler Hero and Bam,

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you know we're leading and you know everybody's just following them,

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and it was one of their best performances. That's what

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he said. And then uh, they asked Hero, they're talking

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to Tyl the Hero. He was just talking about you know,

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they were just stressing playing harder. Everybody knows the situation

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they're in right now towards the end of the season. Bam,

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same thing, you say, we know it's at stake. So

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a combination of that, and you look at that second.

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I mean you look at the game. Yes, their last game,

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sixty percent of the time they were playing his own.

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You know you want to you want you want to

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teams playing his own if you wanted to over.

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Speaker 2: No, but let me ask you this, is it smart

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to zone Boston the way they shoot threes?

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Speaker 1: Well they could out of the zone. That can be

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a debate. Regardless, I think that you know Boston plays

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at the slowest pace in the League this season, I

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think Miami will be willing to slow their pace, especially

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00:13:09,399 --> 00:13:11,840
after Bam and Hero played what forty something men this

239
00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:17,080
last game. I think we get less pace, more defense

240
00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:18,720
from both sides. I mean the Celtics are off for

241
00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:24,200
lost too. Celtics off for lost this year on this team,

242
00:13:24,279 --> 00:13:27,360
totals are what eighteen and six to the under? That

243
00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:28,799
tells you what they're gonna come out there and do.

244
00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:32,080
They're strapping up after the loss. You're not getting any

245
00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:35,279
easy buckets, so I like under in this game. You know?

246
00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:39,840
How about how about this heat? Last five totals were

247
00:13:39,879 --> 00:13:44,039
two forty plus. We were looking at what eight and

248
00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:47,320
a half today excep to two thirty now, But looks

249
00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:50,960
so easy to go take that over? What do you think?

250
00:13:51,039 --> 00:13:54,000
Speaker 2: You know? But I think I laugh every time you

251
00:13:54,039 --> 00:13:57,960
say Boston plays at the slowest tempo because I go

252
00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:01,240
all the way pack to November for Jaylen Brown lying

253
00:14:01,279 --> 00:14:06,039
to you. This is no track of me. He's lying

254
00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:11,240
to you. You know, the numbers tell the story. He

255
00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:13,039
was lying to me. I fell for it in the

256
00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:15,960
beginning of the year, but now we know, and with

257
00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:21,360
Jason Tatum back, they're just that much better. Defensively. So yeah, again,

258
00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,039
it's funny too. The one thought that ran through my

259
00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:27,320
head while you were talking is we kind of wait,

260
00:14:27,679 --> 00:14:29,360
guys like you and I that bet these games. We

261
00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:33,120
kind of wait all season long for teams to play

262
00:14:33,159 --> 00:14:35,679
with this type of focus, like play play the game,

263
00:14:35,759 --> 00:14:40,120
don't screwball around bench guys don't care. Everybody seems to

264
00:14:40,159 --> 00:14:42,799
care now when it matters. So maybe it makes the

265
00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:47,120
handicaps a little more. I don't want to say easier

266
00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:48,759
because we want to win bets here or I don't

267
00:14:48,759 --> 00:14:52,360
want to jinx myself, but maybe what we're handicapping is

268
00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:54,720
more true to the core than it has been all

269
00:14:54,759 --> 00:14:55,360
season long.

270
00:14:56,440 --> 00:15:02,639
Speaker 1: I agree with that. I definitely agree with that. Yeah,

271
00:15:02,759 --> 00:15:04,360
I like that, unduring this when I disagree with the

272
00:15:04,399 --> 00:15:06,919
move up. I got a worst number. I got two

273
00:15:06,919 --> 00:15:09,399
twenty eight and a half, but I don't think they

274
00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:14,039
make it two twenty Bucks and Rockets. Oh man, Rob,

275
00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:20,399
this is a stinker. I feel like I should just

276
00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:24,240
not waste anybody's time. I'm done. I've nothing smart to

277
00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:26,360
say about this game. Is there anything you would like

278
00:15:26,399 --> 00:15:29,039
to talk about with the Bucks and the Rockets?

279
00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:32,360
Speaker 2: Real quick? I was only joking yesterday when I said

280
00:15:32,399 --> 00:15:35,000
it might be Glenn Rivers appreciation that he made the

281
00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:38,200
Hall of Fame and Milwaukee came out and smoked Dallas

282
00:15:38,279 --> 00:15:42,679
for their head coach. That probably doesn't happen again tonight.

283
00:15:42,799 --> 00:15:47,879
I really think it. Because they're Houston, I'm able to

284
00:15:47,919 --> 00:15:51,000
get this price. But their team total is one seventeen,

285
00:15:51,879 --> 00:15:54,240
and I've made a pretty good amount of or cash,

286
00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,600
a pretty good amount of bats. As I've said off

287
00:15:56,679 --> 00:16:00,559
in here, playing Milwaukee games over in some capacity, whether

288
00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:03,559
I just fade their defense, which I'll do tonight, or

289
00:16:03,559 --> 00:16:06,039
whether or not I play the full game over their lineup.

290
00:16:06,159 --> 00:16:10,000
Now with Gary Trent back in there, they've got some

291
00:16:10,039 --> 00:16:12,279
scoring ability, but I don't want to include them against

292
00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:14,120
the Houston defense. The one thing you worry about is

293
00:16:14,159 --> 00:16:16,200
Houston's off the back to back. They played the Knicks

294
00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:20,320
last night. That was a big game, but they didn't

295
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:23,360
you know, they didn't play really hard minutes. Nobody played

296
00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:26,440
a lot, Nobody had to really go out of their

297
00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:30,720
way the last six minutes to preserve that win. So

298
00:16:30,799 --> 00:16:33,039
to me, the way Milwaukee's been giving up points, I

299
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,480
just see Houston getting to win eighteen here tonight. So

300
00:16:35,559 --> 00:16:37,440
that's the way I did play this one. By the way,

301
00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:40,639
for those watching, I did play Houston up and over

302
00:16:40,679 --> 00:16:43,840
their team total. Just I'd like to focus in and

303
00:16:44,279 --> 00:16:47,279
just continue what I've been doing. Fade Milwaukee's defense.

304
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:50,679
Speaker 1: I get it. I mean they played a better defensive

305
00:16:50,679 --> 00:16:53,600
game yesterday, but before that, I mean giving it up

306
00:16:53,639 --> 00:16:58,080
like clockwork. So definitely can understand. You do have both

307
00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:01,639
of these teams on a back to back, so maybe

308
00:17:01,879 --> 00:17:08,799
let's defense from both. All right, Kings and Raptors opened

309
00:17:08,839 --> 00:17:11,720
up minus twelve, still twelve total, open two twenty six

310
00:17:11,759 --> 00:17:14,759
and is down to as low as two twenty four

311
00:17:14,759 --> 00:17:18,680
and a half. Scottie Barnes is questionable, ingram is out

312
00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:23,319
quickly is out, battles out for Sacramento, no Westbrook, and

313
00:17:23,319 --> 00:17:29,559
no Murray. I mean, damn you know, these are some

314
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:34,079
bad games. You have the Kings playing what is this

315
00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,400
their fourth straight road game? Yes, no, fifth straight road

316
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:40,480
game the end of a road trip. They have lost

317
00:17:40,599 --> 00:17:44,200
every single game. It is second of it back to

318
00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:46,160
back for the Raptors, third and four nights as well.

319
00:17:46,519 --> 00:17:48,559
They come off of that l versus the Pistons last

320
00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:50,640
night and have to travel back to Canada. I mean,

321
00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:52,519
Detroit from Canada is not far, they're right next to

322
00:17:52,519 --> 00:17:58,000
each other. So the Raptors, I mean absolutely a team

323
00:17:58,039 --> 00:18:00,440
that needs the game more than the Kings. Gonna double

324
00:18:00,519 --> 00:18:02,559
check where they are in the standings. I know twelve

325
00:18:02,599 --> 00:18:04,759
point spread is not you know, what they need, but

326
00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:09,559
they're in that sixth spot, half a game behind Atlanta

327
00:18:10,039 --> 00:18:13,400
in one game from being in the playing Probably for

328
00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:17,359
that reason, I would look towards I would look towards

329
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:20,000
the Rappers, whether it's the first half or I feel

330
00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,119
like the and I'm gonna check it before I pass

331
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:23,720
it to you or while I pass it to you.

332
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:25,559
But I feel like the Raptors have been better in

333
00:18:25,559 --> 00:18:28,480
the first half than the second half. Maybe Raptors first half.

334
00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:30,039
How many thoughts from you here?

335
00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:35,680
Speaker 2: You know, yeah, I was going to play Toronto team

336
00:18:35,799 --> 00:18:38,240
total for a lot of the reasons you described. Feel

337
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,880
like Sacramento is just playing out the string on the road.

338
00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:44,559
They're no good on deepense anyway. And you know, for Toronto,

339
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:48,440
you face Detroit last night, who brought all their bigs

340
00:18:48,519 --> 00:18:51,119
back into the lineup. That's this is a severe step

341
00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,880
down in class defensively what they're gonna face tonight. But

342
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:57,359
then you know they go ahead and scratch Ingram and

343
00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,279
maybe they're gonna scratch Barns, And I start thinking, I

344
00:19:00,279 --> 00:19:03,519
don't know that I want the over anymore. Without these guys,

345
00:19:03,519 --> 00:19:07,200
they could get there quickly. He's already out, But I

346
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,079
don't know. I don't think I want to take the chance.

347
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,519
Toronto does need to win, doesn't mean they have to

348
00:19:11,559 --> 00:19:15,240
win by thirteen. Also doesn't mean that the Kings can't

349
00:19:15,279 --> 00:19:18,000
lose by nineteen, because they're more than capable of that too.

350
00:19:18,519 --> 00:19:20,880
So too many questions for me, Ski, I let it go.

351
00:19:22,599 --> 00:19:28,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I feel you. On that Raptors as a home favorite, Well,

352
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,200
let's actually expand this. See they've been doing lately more

353
00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:35,119
than just five games three and oh is a home

354
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:37,960
favorite one and on a back to back. Let me

355
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:43,680
just look at the season Raptors. Actually, yeah, see, here

356
00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:46,519
we go. This is what I was thinking. The Raptors

357
00:19:46,559 --> 00:19:49,720
as a home favorite are twelve and fourteen ats, but

358
00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:55,240
seventeen and nine ats in the first half. They they

359
00:19:55,599 --> 00:19:59,599
have played some stink, some bad second halves, and I

360
00:19:59,599 --> 00:20:01,599
think this is a game where they should be focused.

361
00:20:02,759 --> 00:20:04,279
You should get a really good effort, at least for

362
00:20:04,279 --> 00:20:09,000
twenty four minutes. Raptor's first half is a Pilly anything

363
00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:13,599
else getting to get out. Yeah, any reason to talk

364
00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:15,279
me off of the first half.

365
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:18,000
Speaker 2: What's the number six and a half?

366
00:20:18,519 --> 00:20:20,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm pulling that up now. I'm assuming it gets

367
00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:23,920
six and a half with the twelve point spread and

368
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:25,960
it's seven.

369
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:30,799
Speaker 2: They bumped it even higher on you. But still to

370
00:20:30,839 --> 00:20:34,920
your point, I mean, even without ingram if in fact

371
00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:38,960
Barnes does play and Sacramento I mentioned this yesterday really quick.

372
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,960
These teams that are clustered at the bottom of the

373
00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:47,480
win totals Sacramento nineteen, Wizards and Pacers with seventeen each,

374
00:20:47,559 --> 00:20:50,119
Brooklyn with eighteen while fighting each other to lose the

375
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:55,640
most games right now, Sacramento's totally not trying. Some of

376
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,160
these teams do love to go out and get themselves

377
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:00,920
buried in the first half and then play a better

378
00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:03,000
second half and make it look like they're trying, you

379
00:21:03,039 --> 00:21:04,759
know what I mean, They just kind of disguise the

380
00:21:04,759 --> 00:21:09,480
way they lose games. Right, it's so the first half.

381
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:13,440
If Toronto's really good at first half numbers wise, it's

382
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:14,519
probably worth the book.

383
00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,440
Speaker 1: And also, I just checked the Kings have covered one

384
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,200
of their last five first halfs, so definitely gonna put

385
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:23,279
that on my short list. I like that one.

386
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:26,640
Speaker 2: Let's just get buried early and that will make pretend

387
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:27,279
we care.

388
00:21:30,039 --> 00:21:35,880
Speaker 1: Great out. I like that one. Pacers and Bulls opener

389
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:39,200
was four and a half. Looks like four photo went

390
00:21:39,279 --> 00:21:41,640
up from two forty three. That's as two forty seven

391
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:45,240
and a half. Let's see who is and wow, you

392
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:51,240
have Jakobe Walker, aaron Ne Smith, Andrew nimhar TJ McConnell

393
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:57,400
all out ob topping Pascal Siakam, both probable for the Bulls.

394
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:02,400
You have Josh Giddy questionable, Nick Richard's questionable, Yabouselli questionable,

395
00:22:02,519 --> 00:22:04,839
and Simon's out. A lot can be missing in this one.

396
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,359
You know, I've been wanting to, you know, expect the

397
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:09,920
Patris to score in recent games. But a lot of

398
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:12,359
those guys I trust because like they're not gonna play

399
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,119
McConnell's the pace if Pong guard played from nim Hars

400
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,279
scoring from him shooting from the Smith. I don't like

401
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:22,119
missing all those guys, as well as the possibility of

402
00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:26,319
Giddy missing. So uh, with all those question marks are

403
00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:29,079
guys out. I could not agree with the total going up,

404
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:32,640
and I don't view the Bulls as a team. I

405
00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:35,359
want to lay with. I mean, the thing with the

406
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,319
Pacers is when they had the guys in the lineup,

407
00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:39,880
they play hard, they play good. When the guys are

408
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,039
now in the lineup, it's like they don't care no more.

409
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,079
So this is a tough game for me. You know,

410
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:44,640
what do you think?

411
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,519
Speaker 2: I think they've won too many games recently. And then

412
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:51,640
coach has to start paying Yeah, they have to say,

413
00:22:54,079 --> 00:22:58,200
oh no, we're tied with Washington at seventeen. Everybody sits tonight.

414
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,240
And it's a shame because it's almost one of those

415
00:23:02,279 --> 00:23:05,319
where if guys were playing, I would be in that

416
00:23:06,319 --> 00:23:09,920
kind of why even fight it attitude because the totals

417
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:13,480
and Bulls games have been outrageously high, and this one

418
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:15,839
was bet up to this point. Ski. This didn't start

419
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,119
to forty seven and a half. This thing started around

420
00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:21,319
the two forty three range, and people just piled on

421
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,480
because in bulls games, why not Like I look at

422
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:27,359
these totals and I'm like, man, that's too high for me,

423
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:29,440
too richer, And then the Bulls, you know, go out

424
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:31,960
in total two sixty and I'm like, well, why why

425
00:23:32,039 --> 00:23:36,119
even fight it? Just played bulls games over But to

426
00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:41,119
your point, when you start seeing all these absences from

427
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:45,920
the lineups, I get the defenses of liability on both sides,

428
00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:47,880
and you know, the guys that are on the floor

429
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,440
are still NBA players and want to put up some numbers.

430
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,680
But you want to get the two fifty with a

431
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:57,160
bunch of reserves. It's not easy. It's just not that easy.

432
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,799
I know they're playing. Both of these teams actually are

433
00:24:00,839 --> 00:24:04,599
playing kind of like an All Star game mentality, especially

434
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,960
the Bulls Now the Pacers I think are nine to

435
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,960
one team total over last ten, nine and one over

436
00:24:10,079 --> 00:24:13,240
last ten. They've covered like seven or eight straight. Been

437
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:16,000
too good. Tonight's a good night to take off if

438
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:20,720
you're Indienna, So I'll stay off that game, all right.

439
00:24:20,839 --> 00:24:25,440
Speaker 1: Nixon Grizzlies. This one came down, keeps going down from

440
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,920
sixteen and a half now it's thirteen and a half.

441
00:24:28,519 --> 00:24:33,240
Total's going up though to twenty two as was the opener,

442
00:24:33,319 --> 00:24:36,279
and now it's as high as two twenty six and

443
00:24:36,319 --> 00:24:40,319
a half out there. Looking at the injury report, Shaman

444
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:43,720
is questionable, Mitchell Robinson is doubtful, Todd Gibson is questionable,

445
00:24:43,839 --> 00:24:47,319
Hendrick is doubtful, Ti Jerome is out, and you know,

446
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:49,799
If you know me, you know what that means. Tie

447
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:53,119
Jerome out, I'm out. There's no way I'm betting the Grizzlies.

448
00:24:54,079 --> 00:24:55,759
And I probably won't bet the Necks either. I mean,

449
00:24:55,799 --> 00:24:57,480
it's not a good spot for them. It's there, what

450
00:24:58,039 --> 00:25:01,240
fourth straight road game, and it's back to back and

451
00:25:01,319 --> 00:25:04,319
all these points. I mean, Knicks have lost three straight.

452
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,200
They should be hungry and want to come out there

453
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,279
and win. But that's also means they're not playing good basketball.

454
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:14,160
So this is probably one I will not bet. What

455
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:15,200
do you think about this game?

456
00:25:16,839 --> 00:25:20,720
Speaker 2: I think I would love to play the Knicks offense

457
00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:23,640
in a bounce back situation. Ninety four last night against

458
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:25,880
Houston just not a good offensive effort, But that's a

459
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:29,799
really good defense when they want to be and Memphis.

460
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:31,920
You combine that with the fact that Memphis has been

461
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:36,599
an absolutely brutal defense last ten, last five, last ten,

462
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:39,079
last twenty whatever you want to look up. Give up

463
00:25:39,079 --> 00:25:42,400
one thirty one the other night game, totals two forty

464
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,440
nine against the Bulls, give up one nineteen to the Rockets,

465
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:47,440
one twenty three to the Spurs, one forty six to

466
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,559
the Hawks. I could go on and on about this defense.

467
00:25:49,599 --> 00:25:53,559
They just haven't been good, so the Knicks should score.

468
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,680
My inclination is to just take that side of it,

469
00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:59,640
because the Knicks also they're in the three spot, not

470
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,000
really in danger of coming out of the top four

471
00:26:03,039 --> 00:26:05,759
where you get a home floor advantage, but they could

472
00:26:05,799 --> 00:26:08,680
slide behind Cleveland. They're only a game ahead of Cleveland

473
00:26:08,759 --> 00:26:12,079
right now for the three spot, so some importance to them.

474
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,000
I just I would like to be able to trust

475
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:18,039
the Knicks offense against a very very bad defense here tonight,

476
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:21,480
thinking that the Knicks let me look really quick here

477
00:26:21,559 --> 00:26:23,839
Ski with this team told I saw one nineteen and

478
00:26:23,839 --> 00:26:26,359
a half earlier, but I want to make sure that

479
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:30,519
that's even correct. Yeah, we're looking at one twenty and

480
00:26:30,559 --> 00:26:33,119
a half right now for the Knicks, which still against Memphis.

481
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:37,119
One twenty one should be doable for New York. Memphis

482
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:40,519
allows it, so maybe that's like a maybe play one

483
00:26:40,559 --> 00:26:42,279
that's on the short list, as you'd like to say,

484
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:43,599
nixt team total over.

485
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 1: Fair enough Nuggets and Jazz, two forty nine is as

486
00:26:52,279 --> 00:26:54,160
high as two forty nine and a half is what

487
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,799
we're looking at there with a seventeen point spread not

488
00:26:58,039 --> 00:27:00,920
already just makes me uncomfortable, but I mean the Nuggets

489
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:06,079
do score injuries, Aaron Gordon, probable NAUSEI out, Jones, out,

490
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:12,759
Collier E Sean, George Arkless and marketing all out. I mean,

491
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,000
you know, Utah is still gonna play fast and they

492
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:19,240
don't have a whole lot of defense. Nuggets don't play defense.

493
00:27:19,839 --> 00:27:23,079
This number is high, though, But I don't really want

494
00:27:23,079 --> 00:27:25,480
to be better in these two teams under. It's just

495
00:27:25,519 --> 00:27:26,599
how I feel. What do you think?

496
00:27:27,759 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would not play it under. They just played

497
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:32,720
four days ago and they scored two sixty four. The

498
00:27:32,759 --> 00:27:35,640
Nuggets really didn't care. Utah had the lead almost the

499
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,880
whole way and then realized we can't win a game

500
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:41,240
in Denver. Realize we need to win a game in Denver.

501
00:27:41,279 --> 00:27:45,440
Wins one thirty five nine with a crazy last seven

502
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:47,559
minutes of the game, but still to sixty four. It

503
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:51,960
just goes to show you what Denver thinks of playing Utah. Like,

504
00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:54,759
in my mind, Utah is one of those teams they

505
00:27:54,839 --> 00:27:58,200
like have no shame whatsoever, Like they'll do anything possible.

506
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:02,519
It just doesn't matter to them, and they've been giving

507
00:28:02,519 --> 00:28:06,559
it up like crazy. It doesn't really matter what group

508
00:28:06,599 --> 00:28:09,160
they put on the floor though. Ski they managed to score,

509
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:13,599
and like you say, Denver allows it again. I just

510
00:28:13,599 --> 00:28:16,519
said this about Indiana Chicago. I look at these numbers

511
00:28:16,559 --> 00:28:19,279
and I think, oh, that's too high for me too,

512
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:21,799
forty nine. As much as I like overs, it seems

513
00:28:21,839 --> 00:28:25,400
too high. And then the other side of my head says, well,

514
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:27,519
why even fight it. All you see is overs out

515
00:28:27,559 --> 00:28:30,160
of these two teams. But I'm probably gonna let this

516
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:33,400
one go Denver. We set it three and a half

517
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:36,440
weeks ago. They needed to stack wins. They hit the

518
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,920
gas pedal. They have stacked wins. They're now into that

519
00:28:40,039 --> 00:28:44,039
four spot, and one more probably keeps them in that

520
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,839
top four spot. They'll they'll have a home floor advantage

521
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:50,240
in some capacity at least first round. So I think

522
00:28:50,279 --> 00:28:52,599
they want it. Whether they want to win it by eighteen,

523
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:55,880
not sure. No, we are in Gordon also means when

524
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:59,440
he doesn't play, they stink defensively. Wow, they're not pay

525
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:03,480
good one. Oh he's probably okay. If he were to

526
00:29:03,519 --> 00:29:05,839
be out, I would really maybe look a little harder,

527
00:29:05,839 --> 00:29:07,160
but I'll take a pass on that.

528
00:29:08,559 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 1: Spurs and Warriors, Uh yeah, I could only bet the Spurs.

529
00:29:15,559 --> 00:29:19,920
I mean, they just continue to continue to roll. This

530
00:29:20,039 --> 00:29:22,880
Warriors team feel like, you know, they'ven been embracing the

531
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:27,440
tank for a while. This injury, this is long, Spurs

532
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:27,920
are passed.

533
00:29:28,359 --> 00:29:31,920
Speaker 2: But you got you know, yeah, I will say that,

534
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:34,680
and you know me, I read these quotes all the time.

535
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:39,640
I'm thoroughly sick of Steve Kerk talking about, oh, the injuries,

536
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,720
Oh the injury. So stop it with the injuries, dude,

537
00:29:42,799 --> 00:29:46,559
because even if you're not injured, you scheduled losses for

538
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:51,640
this team when you weren't injured. So but I will

539
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:54,359
apply everything I said about Detroit yesterday and have said

540
00:29:54,359 --> 00:29:57,319
all season long that they just play, that they come

541
00:29:57,359 --> 00:30:00,599
to play every single night. It doesn't matter. That's the Spurs,

542
00:30:01,359 --> 00:30:03,279
ones in the east, ones in the West, and I

543
00:30:03,319 --> 00:30:05,559
still think the Spurs. I was listening to a couple

544
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:08,319
of quotes and there seems to be a little back

545
00:30:08,359 --> 00:30:12,440
and forth now between Wemby and SGA over this MVP thing.

546
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:17,039
But from a team perspective, san Antonio seems to want

547
00:30:17,079 --> 00:30:19,319
to just keep trying to chase down. Okay, see for

548
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:23,079
that number one seed. Now, mathematically it's still possible seventy

549
00:30:23,079 --> 00:30:25,039
five games played there, two and a half out, so

550
00:30:25,079 --> 00:30:29,519
you got seven left, could be done. But they're not.

551
00:30:29,759 --> 00:30:31,880
You know, they're pretty secure in that two spot and

552
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:35,559
they're not holding back at all. They're actually trying to

553
00:30:35,559 --> 00:30:37,920
get that one spout. So you have to figure san Antonio.

554
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:42,640
They score every night big. Their team total here really

555
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,599
quick against this broken down Golden State defense. One twenty

556
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:49,359
and a half is definitely doable for san Antonio. Seems

557
00:30:49,359 --> 00:30:51,079
like they wake up out of bed and score one

558
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:55,279
twenty So I could see some form of san Antonio there.

559
00:30:55,400 --> 00:31:01,000
Golden State just too small, don't care enough, and seeing

560
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:02,720
Antonio is the exact opposite.

561
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:08,519
Speaker 1: I agree. That is the NBA show for today. Man,

562
00:31:08,559 --> 00:31:10,839
there's some stinkers on this card. It's six double digit

563
00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:14,640
spreads and we have what nine games, six out of

564
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:19,960
nine double digits. That's crazy. But we'll move it on

565
00:31:20,079 --> 00:31:22,240
over to or before we move it to best bets,

566
00:31:22,319 --> 00:31:26,640
let's do the promo and we still have the buy three,

567
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:29,480
get three free at six days for just sixty nine dollars.

568
00:31:30,079 --> 00:31:31,759
That is a good one to get involved with if

569
00:31:31,799 --> 00:31:34,279
you want to do a little longer all in for

570
00:31:34,319 --> 00:31:37,480
the year. Ultimately all access comes out to just under

571
00:31:37,519 --> 00:31:40,279
four dollars a day, and if you were to go,

572
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,279
you know, purchase Rob Vino. For a year, you receive

573
00:31:43,319 --> 00:31:46,599
a twenty five percent bonus coupon that you can use

574
00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:49,559
on anything for anybody else. So if you wanna check

575
00:31:49,599 --> 00:31:52,039
me out too, that's a good way to do it

576
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,920
as well. And this is this is the one that

577
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,000
I think is why I don't still have this. That's

578
00:31:57,039 --> 00:32:01,559
my bad. I'm bad for having this up there. This

579
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:05,839
is the one that I think is I mean, the

580
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:09,440
best for this show right now. NBA playoffs plus the

581
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:13,319
rest of the regular season comes out to just under

582
00:32:13,359 --> 00:32:17,519
two hundred dollars nine and we still have what three

583
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:21,519
May June, I mean April May June. We have about

584
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:24,279
two and a half months of basketball left. And this

585
00:32:24,359 --> 00:32:27,599
is the good basketball. This is where where we usually

586
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:32,160
do some good work, Ravino and myself. So Vino, I

587
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:35,000
know you'll mention you mentioned that, you know, you talked

588
00:32:35,039 --> 00:32:37,559
to the office and if anybody was interested, they could

589
00:32:37,599 --> 00:32:41,079
reach out for a combination of you know, trying to

590
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:45,160
put you and I together for NBA playoffs. So other

591
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:46,839
than that, or if you want to expand on that

592
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:48,680
or whatever, is there anything else you would like to

593
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:51,039
promote And if you have a best bet for the show,

594
00:32:51,079 --> 00:32:52,839
we'd love to hear it. If you don't, it's okay.

595
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll say real quick that you know, those who

596
00:32:56,279 --> 00:32:59,000
watch the show know that you know Ski and I

597
00:32:59,039 --> 00:33:01,759
have been here covering the end since day one. So

598
00:33:02,279 --> 00:33:04,720
we're waiting for these playoffs where we can actually, as

599
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:08,720
I said earlier, handicap stuff. That's true basketball. And you

600
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,640
could see by the records. Ski's been on a really

601
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:13,960
really nice role extended period of time. I had a

602
00:33:14,039 --> 00:33:17,960
terrific march. It actually extends back to February, so we're

603
00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:20,680
both in pretty good form as of now. And the

604
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,240
office did respond. So anybody who's interested in maybe paying

605
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:27,839
less for both of our plays, I think they were

606
00:33:27,839 --> 00:33:29,559
only going to crank it up by like fifty bucks.

607
00:33:29,559 --> 00:33:32,279
It went from one ninety nine to maybe two forty nine.

608
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:36,279
But again, that package is available for anybody who would

609
00:33:36,319 --> 00:33:38,960
like to just get both of us. We do. I

610
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:42,359
had enough sense. Sometimes were handicap similar sometimes we handicap

611
00:33:42,359 --> 00:33:44,319
a little differently. But you'll get a good variety if

612
00:33:44,359 --> 00:33:48,000
you do combo up. Let's go to best bet here, Ski,

613
00:33:48,279 --> 00:33:52,480
I will I got a choice here of what I

614
00:33:52,559 --> 00:33:56,759
really want to do, and I'm pretty sure I'm on

615
00:33:56,839 --> 00:34:00,640
the same wavelength as you in one of them. So

616
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:03,680
I'll let that one go, and I'm gonna go ahead

617
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:05,200
and go to the back to the top of the board,

618
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:07,759
and I'll play the team total that I like here,

619
00:34:07,799 --> 00:34:11,000
which is the seventy six ers. We explained earlier, Washington

620
00:34:11,159 --> 00:34:15,559
off of the extended West Coast road trip, Washington bad defense,

621
00:34:15,639 --> 00:34:20,199
no center, and Philly without mb does play quicker through

622
00:34:20,199 --> 00:34:22,199
off a bad offensive performance, and maybe it was a

623
00:34:22,199 --> 00:34:25,679
good Miami defensive performance. I'm not sure, but I do

624
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:29,280
think Philadelphia, who has owned Washington all season long and

625
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:32,800
scored in this range or above every time they've played them.

626
00:34:33,119 --> 00:34:36,119
So give me Philly team total over one twenty six

627
00:34:36,159 --> 00:34:37,760
and a half, best bet for the show.

628
00:34:38,519 --> 00:34:42,159
Speaker 1: Good stuff for myself, I will go with I'll go

629
00:34:42,199 --> 00:34:43,960
with that Boston and Miami game. You can get a

630
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,079
better number than I did. I got two twenty eight

631
00:34:46,079 --> 00:34:48,239
and a half. You can get two thirty and a half.

632
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:51,039
I like it under I gave you plenty of reasons

633
00:34:51,039 --> 00:34:56,559
why earlier, but yeah, it's a reason why Miami's totals

634
00:34:56,559 --> 00:34:58,960
have been two forty plus the past five games, and

635
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:01,000
now we're looking at it. You know, two twenty nine

636
00:35:01,039 --> 00:35:03,719
and a half through thirty after it's gone up, So

637
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:07,400
I'm rocking with the under. I expect strong defense from

638
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,920
the Celtics, strong defense from the heat. That would be

639
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:13,119
my best bet for the show. Vino. I do always

640
00:35:13,159 --> 00:35:14,960
appreciate you taking the time to break the games down

641
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:17,639
with me. Like I said on wager Talk today, you

642
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:20,559
help my process out a lot. I'm sure you help

643
00:35:20,679 --> 00:35:24,199
you know everybody else out there as well, and always

644
00:35:24,199 --> 00:35:26,760
gonna let you know we appreciate you chat. You know

645
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,599
it shows nothing without you guys, yo, make it what

646
00:35:29,639 --> 00:35:32,239
it is. You guys bring the energy, guys bring insight

647
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:35,960
and just good vibes in general. So always appreciate the

648
00:35:36,039 --> 00:35:38,920
chat too. Best to look to all of you guys

649
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:41,440
on all of your action. We'll be back again tomorrow

650
00:35:41,559 --> 00:35:42,480
and we will catch you then.

