Speaker 1: What's going on? Thank you so much for listening to
this podcast. It is heard live every day from noon
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smartphone or tablet, And again, thank you so much for
your support. Taylor Swift got engaged to Travis Kelce. Everybody
just thought you should know. Everybody wants me to know,
so I'm letting you know. I feel it's part of
the job. Jason tweets at me it's a Pete tweet
regarding Taylor Swift. Jim Comey must be over the moon excited.
That's good less gosh, imagine what Jim Colemy's Swifty text
group is saying. Really, what is there to say? I
could ask Nick, but I will not cross that personal boundary.
But like, I'm like, how do you okay? So Nick
is saying that his phone is blowing up from all
of the people talking about this, But what is there
really to say? They've been dating for a while and
now they're getting engaged and it's like, okay, cool. What
else is there to say? Are they saying anything like
of import.
Speaker 2: No, it's just my family. The girls are just so excited.
Speaker 1: Right, but what are they But what are they saying? Like,
I'm so excited? Hard heart?
Speaker 2: They didn't believe that it was happening, so they had
to call influential members of the media, such as yourself.
Speaker 1: To check they They did not call me, Well.
Speaker 2: They called me and asked me to ask you.
Speaker 1: Oh okay, but you already knew that because I had
already broken the news. So are they aware how a
radio works? Because they could have just been listening to
the show, well, and then they would have known as
soon as I found out on social media, and then
I would have I would have been the one to
report that. All they're saying is I'm so excited exactly,
and they just can't hide it.
Speaker 2: It's so excited. It's probably going to be a party
tonight at our house because of this. Why, I don't know,
I do.
Speaker 1: I don't understand. Look, I just got to say, like,
best of luck to Travis Kelcey, because dude, I'm not
sure if you're aware of this or not. There's a
there's a bit of a your fiance has a bit
of a reputation that if the relationship doesn't work out,
it's not going to go well for you. In song, okay,
so just best of luck, I do. I wish them
all the best. I don't want anything bad to happen
to like good for them. I don't know what her
songs are going to be about, though, because hasn't she
been kind of like cosplaying as a fourteen year old
heartbroken girl for the last twenty years. I don't know.
I'm not look I don't mean anything by that. It's
just a joke. People don't send the swifties on me,
don't swiftly vote me. All right, So what's today? It's
a day that ends in why So we have a
new story about the democrats existential threat when it comes
to winning elections. Yes, another story indeed. So here is
a piece in The New York Times by Nick Carrasanitti
Carrassani Ti Anyway, Jeff Adelson, a Reno Cabreros, and Charlie Smart.
The year is twenty thirty two. Studying the Electoral College map,
a Democratic presidential candidate can no longer plan to sweep
New Hampshire, Minnesota, eh and the blue Wall battlegrounds of Michigan, Pennsylvania,
and Wisconsin and then expect to win the White House.
Speaker 2: So do you hear that?
Speaker 1: So a Democrat If in twenty thirty two, if a
Democrat candidate for president wins New Hampshire, Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania,
and Wisconsin, and even if they pick up Nevada, they
still don't win. Those were their blue wall states, what
they called it, the blue wall. Right will never will
never lose to a Republican in these states. Well, you've
lost in all the others, and so now your blue
wall is more like a curb. If you will, like,
just step right over that thing. That is the nightmare
scenario many Democratic Party insiders see playing out if US
population projections hold. So this is what the story is
based off of population projections. In the next decade, the
electoral college will tilt significantly away from Democrats. You got
deeply conservative Texas, you got Florida, and they could gain
a total of five seats. Red states of Utah and
Idaho are also expected to add a seat. So now
you're up to seven seats, and those gains come at
the expense of major Democrat states like New York and California.
Midwestern states like Minnesota and Pennsylvania could also lose a seat.
So they run a bunch of these permutations, and they
were using a population projection software by SRI. It's a
non partisan company. They do mapping software and democratic demographic data. Okay, businesses,
governments use this program apparently all over the world. And
so what they do is they plug in all of
these different permutations and they find out, Okay, what are
the paths to victory for a Democrat president to win
the Electoral College votes necessary to win the presidency, and
of the twenty five most plausible paths to victory in
twenty twenty four, so last year there were twenty five paths.
Fast forward to twenty thirty two, and only five of
those now remain. That's due to the population shifts projected
population shifts. The Democrat Party already faces acute challenges after
its disastrous losses in twenty twenty four, including fundraising woes
and electorate that slid decidedly to the right, a vacuum
of leadership, and a sharp decline in voter registrations. And
we've talked about all of these topics. Well, I don't
know if I've covered the fundraising. I've got hang on
a second. Let me let me do a little side
quest here. Jonathan Turley writing at his website Jonathanturley dot org.
He's a constitutional law guy, believe it, George Washington University,
if I remember correctly, he talks about a story that
Axios did that showed the Democrat National Committee the DNC
continued to pay off the debts from former Vice President
Kamala Harris's presidential campaign. More than fifteen million dollars has
already been paid out by the DNC, which is reportedly
struggling to raise money in the aftermath of that failed campaign.
Axios described it as a private agreement that was not
disclosed to donors who apparently unknowingly contributed to the Harris
campaign rather than the campaigns to retake the House and
the Senate. The question is whether such private agreements are
lawful if they're not disclosed to the donors. Harris, you
may recall, shocked many in burning through more than one
and a half billion dollars during her brief fifteen week
campaign donors were irate over wasteful and excessive spending by
Harris and her campaign that has contributed to the poor
fundraising figures reported from the DNC. He goes on to
say later in this post, what's particularly shocking is that
Axios reports in the first six months of the year
the DNC spent more than fifteen million on her debts.
But Politico is reporting the DNC has only raised fifteen
million as of the end of June. So like all
the money they have raised in six months, fifteen million,
that's it, fifteen million? Republicans what have they raised? Eighty million?
So yeah, fundraising woes. We mentioned the other day the
decline in voter registrations North Carolina is a really good
example of what's happening to the Democrats. I think the
data was that thirty states that allow voters to register
by party. In every single one of those states, Democrats
have lost registered voters and Republicans gained them.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, there are sirens going off all over the place
for the Democrats, and I am here for it. All Right,
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Seth writes in on the text line I'm so interested
in the Swifty Kelsey thing. Do you think, uh, did
Travis Kelcey propose or did she?
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: It's a good question. I'm thinking he did. I'm guessing
he'd but I don't. I don't know. Look, I've exhausted
all of my knowledge of this announcement, okay, and I'm
comfortable with that. Kim says, thank you so much for
the Swifty update. Now I can sleep without the anticipation.
Oh crap, wait, will the wedding beyond CNN and DESBN?
The anxiety starts anew. Do you think they're gonna go
like royal wedding treatment on this thing? Do you think
the Yeah? Do you think CNN will cover it? Are
they gonna carry it live? Or do they do the
you know, private wedding not publicly viewable, the kind of
a thing.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: They could. They could sell tickets and do it in
Arrowhead Stadium, right, they could probably pack that place and
then she does a concert and stuff. All right, So
back to this piece at the New York Times. The
headline is how the electoral College could tilt further from
Democrats amid redistricting and population shifts.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: They do talk in this article about the redistricting fight,
you know, with Texas and California, and we'll see if
other states jump in on this, but I'm not going
to go over that stuff. I've covered the redistricting stuff
and we'll see how it shakes out. The focus I'm
keeping here is on the population trends, because there's only
going to be so much that state legislatures can do
based off of the population trend. If your state loses
a million people in a decade, that's a congressional seat.
You're going to lose a seat someplace. So if you
lose a Republican seat, well, you would have probably just
redrawn that seat out anyway. I like, if the Republicans leave,
then you would just swallow that area up with a
blue district anyway, right, you're going to lose the seat.
So that's why the population trend data is I think
more important for the twenty thirty census and what happens
with that. The Democratic Party already faces these other challenges,
as I mentioned. The article goes on to say the
dire post census projections put the party in a bind
between two necessary tasks. Investing to win in the short term,
including the midterms next year, and building a future in
states that have not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate
in decades. And this is always a challenge if you know,
for both parties, you're in a state, then you're you
know you're not going to win. How much money do
you pour into that state when you know you're not
going to get those Electoral College votes right, And it's
very easy for a party with limited resources. I mean,
there is a limit. It's a lot, but there's it's
not infinite. So they have to make spending decisions on
where to put the money. And so they're going to
try to put the money in the states where they
have a chance to win, but that comes at the
expense of building up party infrastructure, doing you know, get
out the vote stuff, candidate meet and greets and whatever like.
Building that party infrastructure at the state level is sacrificed
by trying to win the next election. So that's the
jam they are in. Also, their brand is pretty toxic.
The New York Times calls this an existential threat, which,
by the way, that is on the word list, that's
on the blacklisted terms list. I went over this yesterday
but I was spilling in for Brett, so if you
were listening live on the radio, you did not hear
me and my truly insightful analysis of this piece. So
I will just give you sort of the highlights of
this which is also out of Politico. Can Democrats talk
their way out of the wilderness? They got a new
memo went out from a center left think tank called
Third Way, and they list forty five words and phrases
they want Democrats to avoid using because they say it
puts a wall between us and everyday people of all races, religions,
and ethnicities. Which is what is that an admission of
that they are not They are not able to talk
to normies. They can't talk to us because of these
words that they use. And by the way, the words
that they are using are words that they made up
in order to make us stop saying things and talk
the way they do. And now they're surprised that they
can't communicate with us because we don't want to use
your words. And when we hear you use those words,
we think, oh yeah no, and you just kind of
pat them on the head like, oh you're you're one
of those people. So what are the words among the
list of blacklisted terms privilege, violence as in environmental violence, dialoguing, triggering, othering, microaggression,
holding space, body shaming, subverting norms, systems of oppression, cultural appropriation,
overton window, existential threat, which was just used by the
New York Times, OO, radical transparency, stakeholders, the unhoused, food insecurity,
housing insecurity, person who immigrated, birthing person cis gender dead naming,
heteronormative patriarchy, LGBTQIA plus, bipoc allyship, incarcerated people, involuntary confinement. Okay, So,
in other words, the advice from the center left think
tank Third Way two Democrats is just stop talking and
just shut up, because you guys can't you can't use
these terms. I don't know what you're going to be
able to talk about if you can't use these words,
because they've just adopted this vocabulary which came out of
the universities. So back to the New York Times. Peace.
On the population trends. You got Texas in Florida, they
are expanding their states populations by nearly thirteen percent. What
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make memories that'll last a lifetime. Already, So the New
York Times reporting on the population projections and how they're
going to impact the electoral College. Also, yes, the apportionment
of the House seats and such, but you never know
how those lines are going to get drawn. But you
can make projections on which states are going to likely
get carried by Republicans or Democrats and so they will
get those electoral College votes, and then you can chart
out like what does a Democrat need to do to
win enough electoral College votes to become president? And Texas
and Florida they're expanding their state populations by nearly thirteen percent.
The fastest growing Democrat state is well, hang on, Nick
and Isaac, would either of you like to take a
stab at what is the fastest growing Democrat state? Nick?
Speaker 2: Minnesota?
Speaker 1: Isaac? What say you, sir?
Speaker 2: I'll lock in Minnesota. I'm gonna go ahead and jump
on with Nick.
Speaker 1: Really, this is not Price's right rules, okay, and you're
both wrong. It's Colorado. Colorado, is the fastest growing Democrat state.
It will expand its population by less than ten percent,
less than ten percent. So you got Florida and Texas
growing at thirteen and you've got Colorado growing at less
than ten and that's the fastest. New York and Illinois
are both expected to shrink by twenty thirty. California's population,
they're projecting will stay the same, but I'm not really
so sure about that, depending on how many illegal aliens
Trump can get rid of and how many will self deport.
Projections indicate that Republican states could gain seven electoral votes
after twenty thirty. Democrat states would lose seven electoral votes.
They would come from California, Illinois, New York, and Rhode Island,
which I kind of feel bad about because it's such
a small state. It's actually a commonwealth. It actually has
like the longest name. It's the smallest state with the
longest name. So they've got four They have four electoral
College votes right now, which I was shocked to find
that out. That'll go down to three, so they're going
to lose one. That's the projection. So that's where the
seven losses come from. California, Illinois, New York and Rhode Island.
The Republicans pick up Texas, Florida, Idaho, Utah battleground states,
Arizona picks up electoral college vote, and Georgia picks up one.
Minnesota loses one, so they did not Minnesota did not
grow my poor guessing producers, Minnesota is expected to lose
one of the electoral votes and Pennsylvania expected to lose
one as well. So should the projections hold, there is
hope for Democrats. One hope for Democrats is to do
what seems, at least after last year, a bit impossible. Okay,
but here's the idea. And I always say there are
no bad ideas under the cone of creativity. Right, we're
just spitballing here, people like blue Sky, this bad boy.
Let's come up with some ideas. How can Democrats win
the presidency? Pivot to the south, cozy on up to
the Southerners. I mean, I know we had a hammer
lock on, you know, all of these states for like
a century plus. We may have been doing a bunch
of that clan activity and that sort of thing too,
But okay, and I know, I know recently we've called
y'all like secessionists, and insurrectionists and racists and clansmen and
all that. But can I interest you in some LGBTQ
plus two IA doctrine? No?
Speaker 2: Okay?
Speaker 1: Can I interest you in some dudes beating up on
women in.
Speaker 2: A boxing ring? How about that?
Speaker 1: No, it's not okay. How about dirty porn books for
your little kids in the school libraries. No, that not either.
Speaker 2: Okay.
Speaker 1: So this would mean turning states like Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas,
and Louisiana into competitive battlegrounds. This is what they're looking at.
Desperate times here, people, desperate times. Okay, sorry, we're gonna
look to the south. We got Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana,
and we got our work cut out because Trump won
all of those states by more than twenty points. So
I mean it's a very big that is landslide territory.
By the way, double digits is landslide, so it's a
double landslide. Mississippi, they point out, has the highest percentage
of black voting age adults in the country. So even
even in this analysis, they still cannot break free of
the racial politics of the identity politics here because they
why are they looking to the south. They look to
the South and they see black people, They're like, oh,
we could get them based solely on the color of
their skin. So it's a bold strategy, Cotton. We'll see
if it works. Twenty twenty four showed democrats that demographics
no longer spell the party's destiny. That's what they thought,
That's what Democrats have thought for a very long time.
They bought into this belief that demographics is destiny, that
we can just completely abandon all the working class white
voters because we're looking at the demographics and the projections
and it looks like we are importing a lot of
Hispanic people and we have a growing population of black people,
and so when you put those together, we just peel
off the college kids, the faux elites, and then we
don't need the working class white people, so they're the oppressors.
But it didn't work out that way. Yeah, slight problem.
Apparently a lot of the Latino voters they don't like
what you've been selling, and so they started voting for Trump,
which is weird because I heard he hates Latinos. So
they started voting for him in bigger numbers. Also, you're
going to have to spend money to try to make
inroads in these southern states, and they don't have any
or they don't have much. All Right, if you're listening
to this show, you know I try to keep up
with all sorts of current events, and I know you
do too. And you've probably heard me say get your
news from multiple sources. Why Well, because it's how you
detect media bias, which is why I've been so impressed
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but It also supports ground news as they make the
media landscape more transparent. From the text line, Mark wants
to know if a Republican president ever won California. I
think Reagan did, but I'm not sure. Well, you are correct, Mark,
Ronald Reagan did carry California, if I recall correctly, twice
in eighty and eighty four. Definitely in eighty four because
he wiped out Mondale, right like Mondale carried one state,
his home state of Minnesota. Eh Stan says. The Democrats
basically have no hope on you, because once you've lost
Snoop Dogg, you're done. Yeah, even Snoop Dogg is mad
at Disney now talking about the cultural rot. I know
Snoop Dogg of all people. Okay, remember Pete. It's not
the message, it's the delivery of the message that the
Dems can't figure out, right, right, That's it, Democrats. It's
never the policy. I always highlight this fact. Democrats really
do believe that. It's not their policies. It's the way
they pitch those policies that just doesn't seem to break
through with you stupid people. Let me rule you. So
I think as long as they keep thinking that I
don't think they're going to improve in their electoral prospects.
Back to the New York Times story, cash remains scarce
after spending billions on the twenty twenty four defeat in
the presidential race, a record sum is actually three billion dollars.
Democrats spent three billion dollars to lose in such fantastic fashion,
record sum roughly equivalent to the gross domestic product of
a small country. Top officials have discussed whether they might
need to borrow money this year to keep paying the bills,
which is actually very on brand for Democrats not being
able to prudently budget. That does make a bit of sense.
Ken Martin is the party chairman. He has initiated a
program where he's going to be writing checks to the
state parties, and he's going to prioritize conservative states over
safer Democrat territory. So if you're a blue state, you're
going to get seventeen five hundred dollars every month, seventeen
to five every month for a blue state. If you're
a red state, you're going to get five grand. More
than that, you're going to get twenty two to five
every month from the DNC, who is apparently going to
borrow the money and to pay to keep the lights
on while they're stroking checks for the state parties. And
so this goes to this idea that Martin is like,
we need to be more competitive, we need to build
the infrastructure in these red states, which is going to
be difficult when they're being advised to stop talking. I
don't know how you're going to go out and make
your pitch to voters if you're not allowed, basically to
use any of the language that you have adopted over
the last ten to fifteen years. Third Way is the
center left think tank that put out this memo with
the forty five words and phrases they want Democrats to
avoid using. They say, we are doing our best to
get Democrats to talk like normal people. Gosh, they are
so close to getting this, so they're right on the brink.
They're so close. You're trying think about what you just said.
We are doing our best to get Democrats to talk
like normal people. Ergo, let's use some logic here, right,
Democrats don't talk like normal people. This is the problem.
We think language is one of the central problems we
face with normy voters signaling that we are out of
touch with how they live, how they think, and how
they talk. And again, perfectly reasonable explanation for this. It's
because you are out of touch with how they live
and how they think and how they talk. That's why
you're out of touch. That's why people think you're out
of touch. They go on to say the Democrat part
brand is toxic across the country at this point, with
way too many people enough that there's no way for
us to win a governing majority without changing that. We
are sticking to messages that were so overly scripted that
they basically sounded like nothing. This is what they think
is the problem. They're too scripted. They're overly scripted. No, no,
when you call women chest feeders like that may be
a script or it may not be a script. It's
not overly scripting. It's just dumb assery. Okay, stop being stupid.
There's my free advice. I'm not even in a think tank.
All right, that'll do it for this episode. Thank you
so much for listening. I could not do the show
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