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Speaker 1: Allah.

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to the opening line report, Kelly Stewart. Here

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on this beautiful Monday morning, let's bring in Teddy Covers

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because we've got lots to discuss after wild card weekend.

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Speaker 3: But it's not over just yet.

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Speaker 2: We still have Monday Night football to determine who was

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going to play the Patriots. Teddy, We've got the Houston

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Texans at the Pittsburgh Steelers. Do you have a video up?

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A free play up? Are you selling the pick? What's

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going on with Monday Night football?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I'm going to play for this game on my

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homepage at watertalk dot com WT dot buzz backslash TC

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to take a look and see what we got for today.

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The line for this game has been sitting at three

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all week, you know, I mean there were three. There

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are a couple of three and a halfs at the open,

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but they really didn't last thirty eight the prevailing total.

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We're seeing some pressure. We're seeing some Pittsburgh money, so

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we're seeing some pressure on the threes and we're seeing

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some under money. There's still some thirty eight and a

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half out there. I don't think they'll be there for

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much longer. So if you like the un for the

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Texans and the Steelers. I just looked at the weather

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forecast two minutes ago. They said the wind is expected

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to die down tonight. It's windy right now, but expected

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to die down before kickoff. Temperatures near freezing, so it's

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not going to be frigid, but it's going to be

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a little bit nippy.

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Speaker 2: Hetty used that word on last call this weekend, and

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you know, I got a pretty good chuckle out of me,

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So I think he's going to start putting nippy into

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his vernacular just a little bit more. Teddy, Let's get

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into some of these games for divisional weekend. Do you

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have any thoughts before we do, though on what we

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saw last weekend and how it correlates to the divisional round.

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Speaker 1: Well, certainly, let's talk about the quarterbacks who are still standing. Okay,

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because right now going into Monday Night football, obviously we

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have Aaron Rodgers still standing. He's played in Super Bowls,

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Brock Purdy, Matthew Stafford the other two qbs who played

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at Super Bowls. And then Josh Allen, who's a multi

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time MVP and who we expect to be playing in

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a Super Bowl sooner or later. In his career. I

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think you look at the other side. You know, you've

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got the three quarterbacks who were all drafted last year,

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Drake May, bow Nicks, Caleb Williams, all on their second season.

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You have Sam Donald and c J. Stroud as the

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two veterans. Stroud in is quite his third year. Donald,

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you know, and Donald's a QB. We'll talk about when

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we get to breaking down the Seahawks game against San Francisco.

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For Donald's a quarterback that has proven that you can't

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trust him in games, in big games. He's proven it.

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So there's a pretty big differential between the have qbs

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and they have not qbs. That being said, the Drake

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Mays and bow Nix's and Caleb Williams of the world,

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they may well be the future of this league. And

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it's not no surprise to see some of those young

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quarterbacks standing out. Certainly, you know, Caleb Williams stood out

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this past weekend once again for a Bears team that's

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been remarkable. All you do is put Chicago down at

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the two minute warning, and then they found a way

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second half.

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Speaker 3: Dan Alexander and I were sitting there talking.

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Speaker 2: I had hackers minus one our other producer Tom Viola

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had Bears money line. I said, well, Dan, it we

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can't both win. It's twenty one to three. I'm like, Daniel,

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why didn't I waste the Bears and a teaser? I'm

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talking and Dan goes, Kelly, just bet the Bears second

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half and guess who didn't me? And I really feel

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like if you just bet the Bears in the second

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half or live bet them as you guys do on

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end Zone Live every Sunday here on the Wager Talking

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YouTube channel, you're making money.

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Speaker 3: This has been a okay here.

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Speaker 2: I know we're gonna talk about the Bears game here

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a minute. But when you have regression to the mean

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positive or negative, eventually you'd like to think the Bears

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are going to stop overcoming these deficits at halftime, but

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they just haven't. They just keep on being resilient, finding

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ways to win. I mean, that throw by Caleb Williams

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was nothing short of miraculous.

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Speaker 1: Kayla Wills is pretty good. You know. That's why I

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was in the number one overall pick. And it was

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the number number one overall pick on a year where

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there were many NFL first round You know, there's years

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where the guy can be the number one overall pick

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and it's just the wrong year. But when Caleb Williams

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was the number one overall pick, there was competition and

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he still stood out above the rest. But with the Bear,

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I mean there we don't talk about in game bets here,

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but I mean to look at the Bears at halftime

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and say, hey, let's take some ten to one on

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Chicago to win the game. I mean, to me, that

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was the most no brainer of all the no brainers

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out there. Let's just you know what, you know, just

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ask them that this is what they've done all year,

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it's their mo You're getting ten to one for them

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to come back and win a game at the against

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the team that shown vulnerability. So that was a not

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a bad little score.

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Speaker 2: All right, Well, let's get into this week's games. Divisional

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Round is upon us this weekend, Teddy, anything worth noting, right?

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I know, Ralph Michaels are a good friend, is the

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T and a guy, right, so he dives up all

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this stuff. But historically the Divisional Round seems to be

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we just picked the winner, right, the spread doesn't come

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into play and so forth. Can you kind of break

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that down for our audience? Who may be new to

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betting this season and wants to know what they should

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be looking for for the divisional rounds.

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Speaker 1: Well in general in the postseason. I mean the points spreads. Yeah,

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they're a piece of the equation, but teams that win

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tend to cover. They don't all cover, but teams that

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win tend to cover, and that is you know, when

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you're talking about mostly short point spreads in a game

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from the divisional round. Right now, we've got a game

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this price near pick them. We've got a game this

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price near a field goal. We've got a game this

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price near a touchdown. So we're not talking double digit

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favorites of this time of year or anything like that.

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And you do have games like yesterday where the Rams

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won and didn't cover that they are on Saturday. That

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you know that can happen, especially when you have the

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bigger favorites in this round and moving forward you don't

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tend to have the bigger favorites.

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Speaker 2: Right, But essentially, if you just picked the winner outside

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of Rams Panthers, you bet that dog on the money

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line they want outright, So for the divisional round, should

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we be looking for that same kind of thing? If

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you like the dog. You should be sprinkling on the

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money line.

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Speaker 1: You should be doing that in the regular season, you know,

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change in the playoffs when you play a dog, all right,

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and again there are guys that put it in. And

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you know what, just about every underdog I play, I

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have at least a taste of the money line. You know,

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I sprinkle something on the money line because I'm not

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playing the underdog if I don't think they can win

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the game, or being in petition to win the game,

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unless you're talking about you know, I'm taking plus thirty

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two with someone and you know, in college and you

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say they're going to hang around and maybe they won't

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get bombed. You know. But in the NFL, if I'm

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taking a dog, in the NBA, if I'm taking a dog,

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I'm just about always sprinkling something on the money line.

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I also wanted to go through some future book odds

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what we're looking at right now, and again, of all

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the bets you can make, the future book mets and bets,

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even at this time of year, probably the worst any

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of these teams. You want just bet them on the

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money line and roll it over. Bet them on the

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money line and roll it over. The future book way

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is the way you can. You can put it on X,

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you can put it on Instagram. Oh look what I got.

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But the wise guys who actually make money better on sports,

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they're gonna better on the money line and roll it

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over if they want to, or they can pull, you know,

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they up and pull, you know whether they to, you know,

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take some back out. You don't have to hedge against

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yourself when you know everyone, Oh I get to the

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super Bowl, Do I hedge? What do I do when

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you're better on the money line and rolling it over?

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The debate is not do I hedge against myself? The

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debate is how much do I risk on the next one.

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But we're looking at the Seahawks as the favorites right now.

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I'm seeing plus two seventy five plus three dollars on Seattle.

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The Rams in that same range at plus three dollars.

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The Pats are plus five fifty plus six bucks. Same

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thing with the Bills. Denver's plus seven hundred, Houston, twelve hundred,

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Chicago and San fran The long shots in Pittsburgh the

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longest of the long shots at sixty you feelself find

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sixty one are better on the Steelers right now, if

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that's the bet you want to make. I don't personally

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think the Pittsburgh is gonna win their next four games,

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So not a bet that I would make.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get into this week's set of games.

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We're gonna talk about my Denver Broncos. First, the Bills

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are headed to Denver.

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Speaker 3: Hey, Teddy.

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Speaker 2: All season long, I've been saying the Denver Broncos, they

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just keep waiting as a fan, like this metric is

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not working for me. There's something that's got to give,

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and I've been wrong more occasions than not. They weren't

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necessarily blowing teams out or winning by margin.

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Speaker 3: Last year.

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Speaker 2: They were a great underdog, awful favorite. This year, not

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great as an underdog because they weren't in that spot

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very many times. But again, they weren't beating the crap

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out of teams. They weren't covering the seven and a half,

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and that started with Week one versus the Titans. They

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were kind of tooth and nail all season long. Now

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they're catching points here in Denver, and I'm going, Okay,

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this is the spot I want to beat the Broncos.

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Speaker 1: Maybe maybe, so I would like to give you a

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couple sets of lines for all these games. I'd give

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you my powering number for these contests. That'd be the

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first number I give them. We'll talk about where the

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lines opened last night, and we'll talk about where they

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are moving today. And when it comes to movements, not

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seeing a whole lot. This is like vetting market with constipation.

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Not a lot of movements, but my powering number four Buffalo, Denver.

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I've got the bills minus a half of points, all

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right at that pickslash minus zero point five. So Buffalo

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the shortest of favorites. Last night it opened Buffalo, there

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were pick'ms. There were minus ones. There were minus one

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and a half. I called it minus one on a quarter.

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That was the close. There had more ones in one

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and a half. It was like water. Two pickums out there.

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Total opened last night forty six and a half forty seven.

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What are we seeing today mostly Buffalo minus one, minus

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one and a half. There are some prevalent pick'ms out

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there in the marketplace. Is also at two and a

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half out there in the marketplace right now, at least

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in the global books and here in Vegas, I'm seeing

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a pick them at circa right now for the bills

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and the Broncos. So we're seeing New England. I've seeing

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Buffalo short favorite, which is exactly where my number is

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for the total. Again, last night we had forty six

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and a half forty What are we seeing today? Forty

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six and a half forty seven. Not a lot of

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movement when it comes to the numbers at this stage

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of the season, and I don't expect to see a

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lot of movement off the openers. You know, when it

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comes to emergency betgalers. We had a couple last week.

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I'm not convinced we're gonna have any today, but let's

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see if the markets do anything while we're on air.

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That's why we like to go at eight am Pacific time,

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because that's when the markets really start to move here

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in Las Vegas, where I've been for the last twenty

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eight football seasons. So this is a rematch from last

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year's wild Card weekend game that Buffalo won thirty one

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to seven. Pretty dominant victory in that regard. And of course,

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Josh Allen, we talked about the qbs that have won rings.

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You know, Rogers has got one, Stafford's got one, Party

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has been in the big game. If I got one

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quarterback that I want with the game on the line

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in the fourth quarter right now standing in the posty

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and Josh Allen's that guy. You know, three of three

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in the red zone for Buffalo yesterday, two of two

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on fourth down, including the ten yard push push that

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set up the game winning touchdown. You know, and the

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quotes coming out of the Bills locker room after the

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game as positive as positive gets, you know, Sean McDermott quote.

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When your quarterbacks that type of warrior, that type of competitor,

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it just goes through the whole team. And there's truth

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to that Josh Allen quote. We feel like Ben, of course,

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with Buffalo finding a way to win a tight game

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on the road in a hostile environment. You know, that

248
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crowd in Jacksone was something yesterday, you know, as good

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a crowd as I've ever seen in Jacksonville. We've perfectly

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honest quote from Josh Allen. We feel like we've been

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in situations like this now. Every game presents itself in

252
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a different way, but to understand the moment to not

253
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ride the wave again, that was stuff that we've learned

254
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throughout the entire season. We're able to utilize that and

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use it today. The cornerback to Davis White, who had

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the game ceiling interception on the final drive, quote, these

257
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games come down to the last few minutes. Like I've

258
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been saying for weeks. Man, we're calloused as a team.

259
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We get situations like this. We don't blink. Best quarterback

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in the league's gonna get us points, just up to

261
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us to make big time stops at the end of

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the game. We really get one. We got a big

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time pick today. Those are very positive quotes from a

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team that certainly has all kinds of upside this postseason

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with the QB. We want our money on that. Being said, boy,

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that defense is still suspect. The run defense was still

267
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suspected enough to make me concerned, very concerned about this

268
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matchup with Denver. They allowed six point six yards per

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play yesterday in Jacksonville. And I know I wasn't the

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only one who live bet both sides of that game.

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You didn't trust anyone, you know. Obviously I had the

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Jags and the last live bet I made was the Jags.

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After the Bills scored the touchdown, but Lawrence has passed

274
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the first down pass was tipped and picked, so the

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dam made a clutch play. This hope you know Josh Allen.

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I like this quote too from Josh Aller quote. Now

277
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we have a chance to do it again. Feels good.

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At the same time, it just means we get another game.

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I like that focus, not that celebratory aspect for a

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team that's you know, that's the guy they got work

281
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to do to reach their ultimate goal. Worth noting for

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Buffalo a couple of key injuries yesterday. Jordan Poyer, the safety,

283
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the Pro Bowl caliber safety, didn't play in the second half.

284
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That secondary is all banged up. They got a rookie

285
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Jordan Hancock and a second year cole bisherpol bischerp made

286
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a play on that interception. It's still a banged up

287
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secondary right now. And of course wide receiver Gave Davis,

288
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who's not a huge factor for that team, but receiving

289
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depth is a big piece of the Bill's equation. He

290
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got hurt in the second half of that ball game

291
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as well. Check his status. As for the Broncos, I

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mean they're coming off the buy and this is a

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team that if we talk about why Denver is where

294
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they is complimentary football. The games where the defense didn't

295
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play well, the offense stepped up. The games of the

296
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offense didn't play well, the defense stepped up. When the

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game that neither one played well, the special team stepped up.

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I mean, Denver really did a remarkable job at playing

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complimentary football throughout the course of the season. And it's

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a Broncos team when we think about their identity defenses,

301
00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:07,440
certainly at the top. You know, and you read the

302
00:14:07,519 --> 00:14:11,399
quotes coming out of this team. You know, you know

303
00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:15,000
Vance Joseph quote. You know, I don't call a lot

304
00:14:15,039 --> 00:14:16,679
of man what we do with mostly pressure up front,

305
00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,159
with matchup principles on the back end. It's like playing

306
00:14:19,159 --> 00:14:21,559
a box and one beat to defense in basketball, it's

307
00:14:21,639 --> 00:14:25,120
zoned inside and match outside. These days, the beauty of

308
00:14:25,159 --> 00:14:26,919
playing great defense this league is the ability to have

309
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different structures. You can get DB's close to the receivers

310
00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:34,679
without giving the man tag. That's the expertise. You know,

311
00:14:34,919 --> 00:14:37,360
this team, you know, they entered the season with sacking

312
00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:41,320
their opponents more than ten percent of opposing dropbacks. That's

313
00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:43,799
one out of every ten. Only nine teams in the

314
00:14:43,799 --> 00:14:45,960
twenty first century have been able to do that. Denver

315
00:14:46,039 --> 00:14:48,519
is one of them. So the pass rush has been there,

316
00:14:49,039 --> 00:14:52,879
does that work against Buffalo not as much. You know,

317
00:14:53,399 --> 00:14:55,720
six Pro bowlers for Denver, three of them on the

318
00:14:55,759 --> 00:14:59,559
defensive side of the football. Certainly the talent level is there,

319
00:15:00,039 --> 00:15:02,399
and of course you know the defense sixty eight sacks

320
00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:06,120
best in the NFL in the red zone. They're also

321
00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:09,919
minus three and turnover margin for the full season, and

322
00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:14,519
you know, when you talk about turnover margin in the

323
00:15:14,559 --> 00:15:19,879
postseason since two thousand, only one team, the twenty twenty

324
00:15:19,919 --> 00:15:21,600
one LA Rams has gone on to win a Super

325
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Bowl with a negative turnar of margin in the playoffs.

326
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So a lot of the hype for Denver during their

327
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bye week was we got to control the turnovers. We

328
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need to win that battle because of something they didn't

329
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do obviously with a minus three for the season. And

330
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to have the record they did despite the not positive

331
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turnover margin regular season speaks to how good this defense

332
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actually was and how clutch bo Nicks was as well.

333
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When it comes to this point spread, I'm telling you

334
00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:54,679
the markets do not fully respect Denver. There's a fair

335
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bit of love for Buffalo in the marketplace. I do

336
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not see the Broncos becoming favorites in this game despite

337
00:16:01,399 --> 00:16:04,559
their defensive numbers that are better than their opponents. The

338
00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:06,320
markets are going to trust Josh Allen more than are

339
00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,120
going to trust Boone Nicks in this one. I think

340
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Buffalo opened the favorite and they stay the favorite. This

341
00:16:12,279 --> 00:16:14,320
is not a game where I'm expecting this number to flip.

342
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Speaker 2: All right, Teddy, Let's get into the next game. And

343
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I think this one's going to be really interesting because

344
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we just talked about Caleb Williams and the Bears and

345
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what they were able to do there on Saturday night,

346
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and that was win another second half. Right, you don't

347
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:30,879
need to play four quarters of football anymore. You just

348
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need to be better in the second half, apparently, and

349
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that's something that the Rams have been really frustrating about.

350
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,759
We talked about winning by margin and whenever the Rams

351
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are going to the East Coast, and I know that

352
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Chicago's not exactly the East coast. That was why I

353
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said I thought I was one of the only ones

354
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on the Panthers the other day, is because it just

355
00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:52,360
didn't seem like every time Matthews traveled east he's really

356
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given much of a you know what. And then he

357
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:57,679
burned me because I had his under two hundred sixty

358
00:16:57,679 --> 00:17:00,360
five and a half passing yards and that last sixty

359
00:17:00,399 --> 00:17:03,720
six yard drive was the dagger for me. Talk to

360
00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:08,079
me about this La Rams team headed into Chicago. Do

361
00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:10,240
we still think Chicago's frauds? Because I've been saying all

362
00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,240
season long that they're frauds, The Broncos are frauds, and

363
00:17:12,279 --> 00:17:13,119
the Patriots are frauds.

364
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Speaker 3: Yet here we are.

365
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:19,759
Speaker 1: Sure well, lots of questions unpacked there. Let's start with

366
00:17:19,839 --> 00:17:25,839
this my party number, the Rams minus four in Chicago.

367
00:17:26,559 --> 00:17:29,119
The markets last night opened, there were three and a halfs,

368
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there were fours, There were four and a halfs. Really

369
00:17:30,799 --> 00:17:33,440
was a split market total fifty one and a half

370
00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:37,720
by far the highest total of these divisional round games.

371
00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:41,880
What are we seeing today? Mostly three and a half,

372
00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:44,279
But there are still fours out there, and a lot

373
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of the three and a halfs have juice on them.

374
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Fifty one the current total, and most books there is

375
00:17:50,039 --> 00:17:51,400
a fifty and a half and a fifty one and

376
00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,839
a half out there if you want to shop around.

377
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:57,200
But certainly again, if you ask me what the number,

378
00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:00,400
you know, four and fifty one. That's my power numbers

379
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:01,880
coming four to fifty one. It is pretty close to

380
00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,880
where the markets are right now. For these two squads

381
00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:08,480
and the Bears again, even with the come from behind

382
00:18:08,519 --> 00:18:12,240
win against the Packers, there's not going to be a

383
00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:14,559
lot of love for the Bears in the betting market

384
00:18:14,559 --> 00:18:16,759
place because the markets to look at Chicago and say,

385
00:18:16,759 --> 00:18:19,240
this is a positive turnover team, and they don't trust

386
00:18:19,279 --> 00:18:21,759
a positive turnover team. You look at Chicago on the

387
00:18:21,799 --> 00:18:25,759
defensive side of the football, and their defensive numbers aren't

388
00:18:25,799 --> 00:18:30,279
particularly pretty, you know. You know, the defense allowed a

389
00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:33,799
full six yards per play in the win against the Packers,

390
00:18:33,839 --> 00:18:35,640
and of course no one's forgotten the Niners game where

391
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:37,680
they give up forty two points and thirty two first

392
00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,519
downs and seven point three yards per play when they're

393
00:18:40,559 --> 00:18:45,880
not creating turnovers. It's a Bears defense that has been suspect.

394
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,359
That being said, you know, I mean, they're down twenty

395
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,839
one to three. Williams is completed less than half his passes,

396
00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:53,799
He's thrown a couple of picks, and they're down still

397
00:18:53,799 --> 00:18:55,960
at the two minute warning of that ballgame at home

398
00:18:56,119 --> 00:19:00,160
as a number two seed. And what happens, playmaker is

399
00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:03,000
making plays. And that's what Chicago has done again seven

400
00:19:03,079 --> 00:19:06,519
different times this year. The Bears have been trailing at

401
00:19:06,559 --> 00:19:08,960
the two minute warning and found a way to win

402
00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,200
a ball game. When you do that again and again

403
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,599
and again, there's a level of confidence, there's a level

404
00:19:13,599 --> 00:19:16,519
of expectation that builds up. So yeah, it's lucky, but

405
00:19:16,559 --> 00:19:18,920
at some point it stops being lucky and it starts

406
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:26,039
to mean something. You know, sure, you know when you

407
00:19:26,079 --> 00:19:28,519
watch Caleb Williams on fourth and eight and third and

408
00:19:28,599 --> 00:19:34,799
ten and throwing the touchdown pass, you know there's a

409
00:19:34,839 --> 00:19:37,839
lot of things to be impressed for that. And again,

410
00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:40,720
they're minus two in turnovers, they have an eighteen point deficit.

411
00:19:40,759 --> 00:19:43,279
They had four fourth down failures in that ball game

412
00:19:43,279 --> 00:19:46,400
and they still won. You know, again, at ten to one,

413
00:19:47,319 --> 00:19:51,000
the Bears are trailing. It's something to look at. That

414
00:19:51,039 --> 00:19:53,319
being said, you know, there's no team in the NFL

415
00:19:53,319 --> 00:19:59,160
I want more on the money line than Chicago and

416
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:05,680
the markets. When you see a team with this type

417
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,720
of profile, the qbuho hasn't been there before, the coach

418
00:20:08,759 --> 00:20:13,000
who hasn't been there before, the positive turnover to Branchell,

419
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:15,680
you know the markets are going to look the other side.

420
00:20:15,759 --> 00:20:17,920
And then that's why you know again, no, no, no, the

421
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:19,720
Bear's are our lane of field goal here there the

422
00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,079
Rams are lanea field goal here. They're laying more than

423
00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,319
a field goal here, which is telling us that, you know,

424
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:30,279
the markets really don't like Chicago very much. But I mean,

425
00:20:30,599 --> 00:20:33,599
the Rams defense down the stretch was not good. Was

426
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:35,359
not a let's lay poinsts them on the road type

427
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:37,000
of defense. You give up thirty four to the Alliances,

428
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:38,960
to give up thirty eight to the Seahawks, twenty seven

429
00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:41,400
of the Falcons, twenty to Arizona, and Arizona passed the

430
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:44,039
ball up and down the field in that ballgame, meaningless game,

431
00:20:44,319 --> 00:20:46,559
you know, thirty one of the Panthers. That's their last

432
00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:48,960
five games, so twenty seven plus and four of those

433
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:53,880
contests Carolina against the Rams defense yesterday, four touchdowns and

434
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:58,599
four red zone trips. All right, Carolina went three on

435
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:01,759
four thousand. They had two turnover and the ram didn't

436
00:21:01,759 --> 00:21:06,000
sniff a point spread cover. Then you had the Matthew

437
00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:09,960
Stafford finger injury as well, you know, which is supposedly

438
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,799
is not gonna be anything but Stafford quote, you know,

439
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:16,160
it wasn't pleasant. We'll see what it is. The reports

440
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,039
are there's no ligament damage, and of course Stafford did

441
00:21:19,079 --> 00:21:21,559
still throw for three hundred passes three hundred yards, three

442
00:21:21,559 --> 00:21:27,720
touchdowns and a pick. But you do worry about that finger.

443
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:31,680
You do worry about that defense from a confidence standpoint,

444
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:33,279
from a coach who's been in, a quarterback who's been

445
00:21:33,319 --> 00:21:37,559
there standpoint, Certainly the Rams have the edge. But right

446
00:21:37,599 --> 00:21:42,079
now we talked about a travel spot again. You're in Carolina,

447
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:43,920
you travel back to the West coast. Now you travel

448
00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:46,680
the Soldier Field, and there's going to be different kind

449
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,400
of weather this week. It's still early, but it's still

450
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:54,160
going to be Chicago in January at night. I think

451
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:55,359
this is going to be the late game, though I

452
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:58,559
haven't seen the times for these yet updated. But the

453
00:21:58,599 --> 00:22:00,599
bottom line is, even if it is the early game,

454
00:22:00,599 --> 00:22:05,880
it's still going to be at night in Chicago on Saturday,

455
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:10,519
which is less rest Rams flying back back west and

456
00:22:10,519 --> 00:22:12,240
then back east. They don't have the extra day to

457
00:22:12,279 --> 00:22:12,480
do that.

458
00:22:12,839 --> 00:22:14,480
Speaker 3: Teddy, I'm gonna chime in here real quick.

459
00:22:14,519 --> 00:22:16,920
Speaker 2: So we do not have the times, but it looks

460
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:20,519
like the Saturday games are San Francisco, Seattle, Buffalo, Denver,

461
00:22:20,599 --> 00:22:23,640
and the Sunday games are La Chicago and then New

462
00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:25,079
England will be the late Sunday game.

463
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 1: All right, So I always taught the Odds Logic Live

464
00:22:29,759 --> 00:22:32,319
odd screen. In this instance, it looks like the Odds

465
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,200
Logic Live od screen has a wrong game.

466
00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:37,519
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I mean the score app I'd like to

467
00:22:37,559 --> 00:22:40,279
think is correct, but you never know. We'll find out

468
00:22:40,319 --> 00:22:43,880
here here shortly, but that's what it appears as of

469
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:44,640
right now.

470
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:45,039
Speaker 3: Sorry.

471
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,359
Speaker 2: If you want to finish any other thoughts on LA Chicago, it's.

472
00:22:48,279 --> 00:22:50,319
Speaker 1: Important note and I'm gonna check one other place real

473
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:52,880
quick so we have maybe a better idea of.

474
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:54,160
Speaker 3: Surecause you're right.

475
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 2: A Sunday afternoon game in Chicago, if the sun is

476
00:22:56,720 --> 00:23:00,000
out partially is a lot more. Is a lot different

477
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,799
than being a freezing cold at night type of game.

478
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:07,519
Speaker 1: For it, Yes, men is showing it on Sunday. Okay,

479
00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:12,440
so for what it's worth. And the early espn ACU

480
00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:17,920
weather forecast has fourteen degrees at Soldier Fields.

481
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:22,640
Speaker 2: Not no, it is not LA weather. All right, anything

482
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,960
else before we move on to the next.

483
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:31,839
Speaker 1: Game again, I'm not anticipating a whole lot of line

484
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:36,160
move on this one. We've seen a little bit of

485
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,519
Bears money and by the littlest of the little bits,

486
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:42,200
I'm not I don't think this goes to three. It could,

487
00:23:42,279 --> 00:23:43,640
but I don't think it will. I think there will

488
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,880
be enough RAM support in the marketplace despite the weather,

489
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:50,119
despite the defensive concerns. You asked Chicago of fraud and

490
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:51,880
you said you thought there were a fraud all season.

491
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,359
The betting markets agree with you, and that's why this

492
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:55,440
number is where it is.

493
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,519
Speaker 3: All right, The betting markets probably won't.

494
00:23:58,279 --> 00:24:00,799
Speaker 2: Agree with me here, but the new Lands Patriots were

495
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:04,359
the third team on the fraud list from me this year,

496
00:24:04,599 --> 00:24:07,319
and they didn't look like it last night, or did they.

497
00:24:07,559 --> 00:24:09,119
That was one of those games where I was just

498
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:12,960
kind of like, not really involved, just kind of casually watching,

499
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,039
getting ready for Monday morning, you know. And it looked

500
00:24:16,079 --> 00:24:19,000
all right until halftime. I'm just a slug fest with

501
00:24:19,039 --> 00:24:23,000
lots of field goals getting kicked, and then the second half.

502
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,400
Speaker 3: It looked at of like the Chargers quit.

503
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:30,119
Speaker 1: So I had a great day on Friday, I had

504
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:31,920
a great day on Saturday, and then I gave it

505
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:35,119
all back yesterday, which was pretty frustrating. I'm sure it

506
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,279
was frustrating for the clients as well. And I came

507
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:39,599
I had applied money on Philly. I had a big

508
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:43,559
ticket play on Philly, and I thought Philly was pretty awful. Well,

509
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:47,960
let Dan quit for his Eagles, but it wasn't Niners good.

510
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,960
It was Eagles bad. And then I had the Chargers,

511
00:24:52,319 --> 00:24:54,319
and I don't think it was Patriots good. I thought

512
00:24:54,319 --> 00:24:57,839
it was the Chargers were. I did see them play

513
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:01,640
that way once this year, lost at Jacksonville right before

514
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,160
their bye week. They won four in a row. That

515
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:05,039
went to Jacksville. They were flat as a pancake. They

516
00:25:05,079 --> 00:25:06,799
were blown out of that game by halftime, and it

517
00:25:06,839 --> 00:25:10,119
was over yesterday's game for the Charger. They weren't blown

518
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,640
out by halftime only because the Patriots weren't good, but

519
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,279
the Charges were pretty awful, and certainly offensively, they were

520
00:25:15,279 --> 00:25:20,880
pretty awful. That being said, you know, the Patriots are

521
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:25,920
a team that the betting markets don't fully trust, and

522
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,480
we're seeing that obviously. We don't have a look at

523
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,920
the lines here. So New England, I've got New England

524
00:25:31,039 --> 00:25:34,039
minus two at home against Houston if the Texans win tonight.

525
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,559
I've got New England minus five and a half at

526
00:25:36,559 --> 00:25:40,640
home against the Steelers if the Steelers oh win tonight.

527
00:25:40,839 --> 00:25:43,319
And of course it's worth noting if Houston goes to

528
00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:45,440
New England, they'll be on a ten game winning streak

529
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,200
and coming off of Monday night football victory, they will

530
00:25:48,519 --> 00:25:50,400
be playing on a shorter week I was having played

531
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:53,279
on Monday. Same thing for Pittsburgh. But Pittsburgh, if they

532
00:25:53,319 --> 00:25:57,759
win tonight, they'll have Aaron Rodgers, you know, coming off

533
00:25:57,759 --> 00:26:02,480
back to back National TV wins Dogs. So both teams

534
00:26:02,519 --> 00:26:06,240
could have a decent amount of betting market support, Houston

535
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:09,519
or Pittsburgh if they get the w especially again, the

536
00:26:09,559 --> 00:26:13,839
Patriots were not outstanding in last night's games and turned

537
00:26:13,839 --> 00:26:16,160
it on the outside of the football. Their defense played

538
00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:18,559
very well, but I thought a lot of that was

539
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:22,519
La La just didn't have it. And the Patriots last night,

540
00:26:22,519 --> 00:26:25,240
oh three in the red zone. Two turnovers. That's I'm

541
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:27,519
not going to cut it against teams that plays better

542
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:29,559
than the Chargers did. That. Being said, they had only

543
00:26:29,599 --> 00:26:32,160
two penalties, they had one hundred and forty six rushing yards.

544
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,599
Those are two really good ways to win playoff games.

545
00:26:36,039 --> 00:26:39,839
Don't penalize yourself and run the football. Multiple injuries for

546
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,359
New England in the secondaries a big concern. Christian Gonzalez

547
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,680
was hurt, Carlton Davis was hurt. Gonzales did not come

548
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,960
back in the ballgame, Davis was out for a long time,

549
00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:52,960
came back in then left again. And if those two

550
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:54,440
guys of either of those two guys at heart we're

551
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,559
talking were hurt. We're talking about Charles Woods as a

552
00:26:57,640 --> 00:27:00,160
top backup on the outside, the second year player or

553
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:04,079
the rookie Kobe Minor, the seventh rounder out of Memphis.

554
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:09,000
The slot cornerback Marcus Jones could move outside if need be.

555
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:13,440
But injuries at the cornerback position for New England or

556
00:27:13,519 --> 00:27:18,480
definitely something worth paying attention to. That being said, even

557
00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:20,640
with the injuries, last night, Patriots defense was the best

558
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:22,720
uniton on the field that wasn't close. Herbert was sacked

559
00:27:22,759 --> 00:27:25,839
six times. LA only had one hundred and twenty net

560
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:29,200
passing yards on thirty seven dropbacks against an elite q

561
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,799
you know, with an elite QB. Drake May after the

562
00:27:31,799 --> 00:27:34,480
game quote, how about our defense man. Congrats to the

563
00:27:34,519 --> 00:27:38,519
defense for a night. It was so fun to watch.

564
00:27:39,079 --> 00:27:41,200
Worth noting the Chargers looked I mean, you're right, they

565
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,880
looked on last night. The teams that rested starters in

566
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,960
Week eighteen, the playoff games the Packers didn't win. You know,

567
00:27:48,039 --> 00:27:50,400
they had a big lead and let it get away

568
00:27:51,599 --> 00:27:54,000
and Obviously LA didn't win either. They looked awful. You know,

569
00:27:54,039 --> 00:27:56,640
they had an edge in December, they sat and they

570
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,559
didn't get that edge last night. The passing game didn't work,

571
00:27:59,559 --> 00:28:01,839
they didn't have open receivers, and we'll give New England

572
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:06,079
credit for that, but it's not anything we necessarily expect

573
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,559
for the Patriots moving forward. That being said, doesn't matter

574
00:28:08,599 --> 00:28:10,680
who wins tonight, New England's going to be favored against

575
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:12,799
the Texans or the Steelers. Like I said, my numbers

576
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:17,240
New England minus two versus Houston minus five and a

577
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:19,960
half Versteelers. Let's see if the markets agree with me

578
00:28:20,079 --> 00:28:23,599
as to where these numbers should be based on what

579
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,640
happens this evening. And obviously, if you see a blowout tonight,

580
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,400
if Houston dominates or at Pittsburgh dominates, the numbers are

581
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:35,839
likely to be a little bit lower. But if no

582
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:37,519
one's expecting a blowout tonight.

583
00:28:38,119 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 3: Okay, no one is expecting a blowout tonight.

584
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:45,440
Speaker 2: Take that with what you will, Teddy, Let's kind of

585
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,240
talk about teams playing each other for a third time, right,

586
00:28:49,319 --> 00:28:53,759
that was a discussion when the Bears Packers played. Now,

587
00:28:53,799 --> 00:28:56,200
granted they played three times, and I think five and

588
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:58,640
a half weeks or something just absolutely absurd.

589
00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 3: Forty nine ers got the win in Philly. Now they're

590
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:04,079
going on the road. As you mentioned to start the show,

591
00:29:04,279 --> 00:29:07,160
versus the Super Bowl favorite Sam.

592
00:29:07,039 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 2: Donald and this Seattle Seahawks, I do a little spreadsheet.

593
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:14,960
Everybody knows I'm kind of like a spreadsheet nerd, but

594
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:17,319
I've been doing a lot of stuff with AI and

595
00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,599
I kept telling it. No, Sam Donald does not play

596
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:23,359
for the Jets anymore. He plays for Seattle, and oh

597
00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:28,319
my god, he looks like a possible Super Bowl caliber

598
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:32,039
quarterback at times. I know he's made some mistakes, but

599
00:29:32,319 --> 00:29:36,319
Sam Donald is now good. Sam Donald, Teddy covers. No,

600
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,319
you disagree with me, Okay, let's hear what your thoughts are.

601
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:43,519
Speaker 1: My party number is Seattle six and a half. The

602
00:29:43,559 --> 00:29:46,680
market's open seven and forty five and a half last night,

603
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:49,640
and the sevenths are mostly gone. I'm seeing seven and

604
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:52,160
a half at all the leading indicator books, both globally

605
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:55,000
and here in Vegas. There are still sevens with juice

606
00:29:55,039 --> 00:29:58,559
out there as we speak, but the markets are PREI

607
00:29:58,559 --> 00:29:59,799
to the movement and seven and half. Whether they come

608
00:29:59,839 --> 00:30:04,000
back as another question entirely, but we've certainly seen some

609
00:30:04,079 --> 00:30:06,000
initial Seattle money. A lot of that has to do

610
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:10,759
with the forty nine ers injury report. You brought up

611
00:30:11,119 --> 00:30:14,119
the two meetings between these two teams this year. Let's

612
00:30:14,119 --> 00:30:18,119
talk about them right now. Opening Day, these two teams

613
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:21,480
played in Seattle. San Francisco got the win and cover,

614
00:30:21,599 --> 00:30:25,039
and they were lucky to get that winning cover, all right.

615
00:30:25,119 --> 00:30:27,720
The Sea Bags had first and five after a penalty,

616
00:30:27,759 --> 00:30:30,000
first and five from the nine yard line with a

617
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:34,759
minute to play, and what happened, Sam donald sack fumble.

618
00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:39,359
San fran got the victory. The rematch was Week eighteens.

619
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:41,599
They played Week one and then Week eighteen, and that's

620
00:30:41,599 --> 00:30:44,559
why this game is here in Seattle. In that rematch,

621
00:30:44,759 --> 00:30:46,799
San frank could not control either side of the line

622
00:30:46,839 --> 00:30:49,000
of scrimmage. But it's not like Donald was any more

623
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,160
trustworthy in that game than he was in the first meeting.

624
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,960
The Seahawks scored thirteen points only because they could run

625
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:59,720
the football effectively. Kyle Shanahan talking about playing Seattle, quote,

626
00:31:00,119 --> 00:31:02,799
glad we get another shot. They played us really well.

627
00:31:02,799 --> 00:31:07,000
They definitely beat us, but I know we can play better.

628
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:09,799
From a prop standpoint, it's also worth noting and it

629
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:11,440
was probably a juice to lay with it. But boy,

630
00:31:11,519 --> 00:31:14,720
Christian McCaffrey now has scored a touchdown in all eight

631
00:31:14,799 --> 00:31:18,200
of the postseason games in his career, so it's worth

632
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:21,559
noting McCaffrey, Yes on the TV might be worth a

633
00:31:21,599 --> 00:31:24,319
look in this one. Of course, san Fran got the win.

634
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:26,759
San Fran got the cover. The Eagles weren't very good,

635
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:29,240
you know, the drive to win the game. Aj Brown

636
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:32,519
and DeVante Smith both dropped potential big play passes. But

637
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:34,759
that being said, san Fran looked like the hungary your team.

638
00:31:35,039 --> 00:31:37,880
The offsive line held up rock Purdy was sacked only

639
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:41,200
once in that ballgame. The offense hit a handful of

640
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:43,519
big plays, you know, demark the Robinson had one. John

641
00:31:43,599 --> 00:31:45,759
Jennings had won as a receiver and won as a passer.

642
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,119
And when you hit big plays and you can stay

643
00:31:49,119 --> 00:31:53,400
in games. But now, obviously George Kittles hurt in that game.

644
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:56,880
That's another loss for San Fray. Maybe look at Jake

645
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,519
tongs props for what it's worth. They give one hundred

646
00:31:59,519 --> 00:32:01,680
and forty rush yards on the road in a playoff game.

647
00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:03,599
Barclay had more than one hundred. You don't win a

648
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:05,279
lot of our playoff games, we're giving up one hundred

649
00:32:05,279 --> 00:32:11,160
and forty rushing yards on the road, and I've got

650
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:15,319
some concerns about certainly the linebacking corps. Obviously, you know,

651
00:32:15,359 --> 00:32:18,559
I mean Dee Winters and Luke Gifford and Tatum Bethune

652
00:32:18,559 --> 00:32:25,079
and obviously Fred Warner. You know, you got Eric Kendricks

653
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:28,160
and Garrett Wallow. Eric Kendricks was signed by the team

654
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:31,319
on November twenty ninth, Garrett Walla was signed on December eighth,

655
00:32:31,599 --> 00:32:33,680
and Kendricks goes from the outside looking in, our playoff

656
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,079
run may look super unlikely, but in the being in

657
00:32:36,079 --> 00:32:38,039
the building for the last month and some change, now,

658
00:32:38,039 --> 00:32:40,000
it's not a question of why we're in the situation

659
00:32:40,119 --> 00:32:43,440
we're in. I believe in this team. You know, there's

660
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,519
curely positive chemistry in Sam Fru's going, Chana hancertly a

661
00:32:46,559 --> 00:32:49,839
coach who we trust in these type of ball games.

662
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:55,799
But it's very very much a flawed football team. And

663
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:59,319
that's why there's you know, the money's coming for their opponent.

664
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,839
But you know, brock Party is a QB. He's not

665
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:03,359
getting you know, if you asked me who do I

666
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,599
want in this game? Which which QB? Do I trust

667
00:33:05,599 --> 00:33:09,160
more is not close. It's brock party over Sam Donald.

668
00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:12,119
Sam Donald when he's planning and the numbers, let me

669
00:33:12,119 --> 00:33:13,920
give me some numbers from Sam Donald. Do you know

670
00:33:14,279 --> 00:33:18,720
when Donald played a good defense? He struggled all right,

671
00:33:19,359 --> 00:33:26,279
playing and simple, all right? When we look at what's

672
00:33:26,319 --> 00:33:28,880
happened down the stretch for Donald. Let's see, at one

673
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:33,759
point he was number one in the NFL and total

674
00:33:33,839 --> 00:33:38,920
QBR and since November he's twenty seventh as many passing

675
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,880
touchdowns eight as interceptions eight. During that span, he avers

676
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,839
nine point nine yards to pass attempt other in the

677
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:49,599
season seven point two yards per past attempt since So,

678
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,400
Sam Donald has regressed and the film is out on

679
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:55,359
Sam Donald. And we see us sore Sam Donald in

680
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:58,920
the postseason last year and stepping up with trying to

681
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:02,799
make big plays down the stretch, and he was very good.

682
00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:05,400
And Sam Donald this year trying to make big plays

683
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:08,000
down the stretch wasn't very good. This is not a

684
00:34:08,119 --> 00:34:12,000
quarterback that I trust in a playoff game of this

685
00:34:12,039 --> 00:34:14,400
Magazer is certainly not in this point spread range. But

686
00:34:15,039 --> 00:34:16,719
he's playing the right defense to do it. I mean,

687
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:20,440
the forty nine ers, they're really really banged up and

688
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:24,679
Seattle off a bye, they've won, They've run for one

689
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:26,679
hundred and sixty yards plus in each of the last

690
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:29,960
three games. You know which Clint Kubie is doing something

691
00:34:30,039 --> 00:34:32,800
right when it comes to the offensive game plan for Seattle.

692
00:34:33,039 --> 00:34:34,599
When they can run the football, and we just saw

693
00:34:34,679 --> 00:34:37,960
San Franz defense vulnerable to the run. Saquon Barkley ran

694
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:42,440
all over them yesterday. That's advantage Seattle and boy from

695
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:48,039
a defensive standpoint, I mean, Seattle's defense has been remarkable

696
00:34:48,599 --> 00:34:50,079
throughout the course of the regular season, and down the

697
00:34:50,119 --> 00:34:52,119
stretch they were even better. And they blew up the

698
00:34:52,119 --> 00:34:53,760
line of scrimmage when these two teams played in San

699
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:56,199
Francisco just a couple of weeks ago. I would be

700
00:34:56,199 --> 00:34:58,880
surprised if they do it again. We're talking about again

701
00:34:58,920 --> 00:35:02,480
the elite defense is in the league. You got Denver,

702
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:05,239
You've got Houston, and you've got Seattle. Those are the

703
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:08,920
three that stand out in that regard. Hence the betting

704
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:12,320
market support for the Seahawks here. And this is one

705
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:13,800
where you know, it's hard. It's hard for me to

706
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:17,880
trust Darnold and it's to trust to forty nine ers.

707
00:35:18,559 --> 00:35:21,639
I did not have an early bet early week bet

708
00:35:22,079 --> 00:35:25,800
on the Seahawks and forty nine ers. For me, it's

709
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:27,719
one that we'll think about it for a few days

710
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:32,480
and see if see again. A lot of times I

711
00:35:32,559 --> 00:35:34,679
do my best work when I'm perusing, and you know,

712
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:36,239
you just let it flow through your brain for a

713
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:38,039
day or two. We'll come back and look at it

714
00:35:38,039 --> 00:35:40,480
again Tuesday or Wednesday. But right now I didn't have

715
00:35:40,519 --> 00:35:43,480
a lean on this one. Wow, I know, I know,

716
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:45,760
I know. I can't lay it with Seattle.

717
00:35:46,159 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 3: Okay, there you go, Teddy.

718
00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:54,079
Speaker 2: Do you have any definitive plays as of eleven thirty

719
00:35:54,119 --> 00:35:58,400
Eastern on Monday morning, No, I have, So.

720
00:35:58,480 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 1: I have a play on tonight's game.

721
00:36:00,119 --> 00:36:02,920
Speaker 3: Yes, sorry, Monday Night Football. Teddy's in play.

722
00:36:03,159 --> 00:36:05,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in play. And again, I know yesterday was

723
00:36:05,199 --> 00:36:07,480
a crappy day. It's still been a real good I mean,

724
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,840
the last five weeks were over sixty percent across sports

725
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:11,920
were up nearly forty units of profit. The NFL is

726
00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:15,039
above sixty percent over the last five weeks. I mean,

727
00:36:15,079 --> 00:36:19,679
it's been Yesterday stuck, but the bigger picture has been fine.

728
00:36:20,679 --> 00:36:23,760
So check out my homepage, ott Buzz, Backslash TC. I'm

729
00:36:23,800 --> 00:36:26,440
in play for Monday Night football tonight, I expect to

730
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:28,480
have one NBA post. They didn't have time to do

731
00:36:28,519 --> 00:36:29,960
it before I got on air, so I expect to

732
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:33,840
post it soon after passing college basketball tonight. It's a

733
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,840
limited card this evening, and as the week progresses, we'll

734
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,360
put up some I expect to put up something for

735
00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:42,599
the National Championship Game in college football, and I expect

736
00:36:42,639 --> 00:36:46,559
that we'll have something in the NFL as well. But

737
00:36:46,559 --> 00:36:47,920
what are we looking for? Emergency betting alert?

738
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, the comments section is sad. They said, how

739
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,119
come there's no red light plays? Can you make one up?

740
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:55,840
We cannot make one up. But I just wanted you

741
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:57,880
guys to see it. It's still here. It's still sitting

742
00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:00,760
on my desk, patiently waiting in case there is an

743
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:01,960
emergency betting alert.

744
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:04,440
Speaker 1: So I mean, if you guys want, if you guys

745
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:08,280
want something, if you like Seattle, the line has moved

746
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:09,599
from seven to seven and a half at all the

747
00:37:09,639 --> 00:37:15,079
leading Indicator books. So the seven find a seven with

748
00:37:15,199 --> 00:37:17,920
juice a FanDuel you find a seven at circa here

749
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:21,079
in Vegas, Seattle, this line's not going to six and

750
00:37:21,119 --> 00:37:24,559
a half, even though my number says it should not

751
00:37:24,599 --> 00:37:26,840
going to six and a half. So if you like

752
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:30,000
the forty nine ers, there's your emergency betting alert. Okay,

753
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,320
if you like the Seahawks, bet the sevens right now.

754
00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:35,599
If you like the forty nine ers, you can take

755
00:37:35,639 --> 00:37:37,800
plus seven and a half. But san Franz Injins report

756
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,519
is pretty dicey. Look at that piece and I grabbed

757
00:37:40,519 --> 00:37:42,480
Seattle minus six and a half last night. Good job

758
00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:45,079
in the comments. We appreciate it. That's good number.

759
00:37:45,519 --> 00:37:47,559
Speaker 3: That is a great number. That is awesome.

760
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:51,039
Speaker 2: All right, Teddy, We got a little bit of time

761
00:37:51,159 --> 00:37:53,039
left before Dan Alexander has to leave us for a

762
00:37:53,079 --> 00:37:55,679
wager talk today with Andy Lang. Do you have anything

763
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:57,920
you want to leave our audience with. Do you want

764
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:01,239
to answer some questions? Are we taking an ear really out?

765
00:38:01,559 --> 00:38:03,880
Speaker 1: So if anyone so, now's a great time and in

766
00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:05,840
the postseason, and these these are you know, when when

767
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,360
in the regular season we've got sixteen games to go through,

768
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:10,880
so we're you know a lot of times we're a

769
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:13,679
little bit pressed for time. In the postseason, we have

770
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:16,159
six or four or next week two games to go through,

771
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:18,159
or the week after no games to go through. Great

772
00:38:18,199 --> 00:38:20,480
time for questions. If you guys, have any questions, please

773
00:38:20,519 --> 00:38:23,159
leave them in the chat. I wanted that comment from

774
00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:25,360
Johnny Gang because I thought it was really funny. And

775
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,320
it's true because every time you have the diversity you have,

776
00:38:28,599 --> 00:38:30,880
you pick up the light, you're so happy. You're like, yes,

777
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:33,519
so it's it's fun.

778
00:38:33,599 --> 00:38:35,639
Speaker 2: It's fun, you know, just like when I have the

779
00:38:35,639 --> 00:38:38,440
CLV trophy on bat on it that wasn't fun. Nobody

780
00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:41,840
wants a CLV trophy everybody else. Everybody wants a siren

781
00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:45,880
and a light like it's like a good crop. All right, guys,

782
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:49,119
if you do have a question for Teddy regarding the

783
00:38:49,159 --> 00:38:52,320
divisional round of the NFL playoffs or anything leading up

784
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:54,519
to Super Bowl, please jump in.

785
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 3: Oh, Dalton Schultz.

786
00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:59,639
Speaker 2: Receiving yards tonight, Teddy, I know you don't do a

787
00:38:59,639 --> 00:39:00,760
ton with player props.

788
00:39:01,079 --> 00:39:04,280
Speaker 1: I don't anything that I haven't done any work on

789
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,880
Dalton st the Shultz himself and what Pittsburgh allows against

790
00:39:08,119 --> 00:39:10,960
tight ends and all of that. So I'm sorry I'm

791
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:15,199
the wrong guy to ask. I do the props that

792
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:17,480
I bet are the ones that just jump off the

793
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,679
page of me. You know, when I'm looking at something,

794
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:24,239
I'm like, that's stupid. You know, you know those are

795
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:29,559
the ones that that that stand out and that one doesn't.

796
00:39:30,599 --> 00:39:33,480
The Shultz prop did not, So I apologize for But

797
00:39:33,559 --> 00:39:36,320
I don't you know, I'm one thing I'm never gonna do, guys,

798
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:37,920
I'm never gonna give you. Oh yeah, I do this

799
00:39:38,159 --> 00:39:39,679
the other night. That's something I haven't looked at. It's

800
00:39:39,679 --> 00:39:42,960
not how it work. I don't know the answer is

801
00:39:43,039 --> 00:39:43,599
I don't know.

802
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:47,199
Speaker 3: Okay, question and it's okay. I don't see the other

803
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:48,320
questions in the chat. Guys.

804
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:50,719
Speaker 2: We got two thousand of you, almost twenty one hundred

805
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:52,559
of you guys watching live right now. So we just

806
00:39:52,559 --> 00:39:54,440
wanted to say thank you for hanging out with us

807
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:58,119
every single Monday. Here on the opening line report at

808
00:39:58,159 --> 00:40:00,840
Teddy Underscore covers. You can see him all over the

809
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:04,559
place at wager talk dot com. Teddy go ahead interject.

810
00:40:04,679 --> 00:40:06,880
Speaker 1: Oh obviously asked if we've got a double of greeting

811
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:10,119
from Dublin, which we appreciate that. Now we're never for

812
00:40:10,199 --> 00:40:14,159
Josh Allen the Buffalo Bills. No, it is not now

813
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:14,559
or never.

814
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:18,960
Speaker 2: Do you think Sean McDermott is a Super Bowl winning

815
00:40:19,679 --> 00:40:22,159
football coach or do you think that he is possibly

816
00:40:22,159 --> 00:40:23,280
holding this team back?

817
00:40:25,599 --> 00:40:28,320
Speaker 1: I don't think Sean McDermott is holding the team back. Okay,

818
00:40:28,679 --> 00:40:31,000
I think Sean McDermott is capable of winning a Super Bowl.

819
00:40:31,119 --> 00:40:33,199
I don't think he's a clown, all right. There are

820
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:35,559
coaches out there, There are clowns that you know, Yeah,

821
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:38,480
even clowns can win a Super Bowl. You know, when

822
00:40:38,519 --> 00:40:40,440
you have the right team at the right time and

823
00:40:40,519 --> 00:40:43,000
things break right for you, you can go a long way,

824
00:40:43,679 --> 00:40:46,920
you know. You know, we've seen clowns win, you know,

825
00:40:47,639 --> 00:40:49,960
in college basketball. You see it happen all the time

826
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:51,679
in March Madness, or you're like, how the hell did

827
00:40:51,679 --> 00:40:53,440
that guy win six games? And said, wow, he has

828
00:40:53,519 --> 00:40:56,760
better talent. His team got hot, you know.

829
00:40:57,239 --> 00:41:00,559
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna assume this question is for me. Would

830
00:41:00,559 --> 00:41:03,199
you tease denverrop over a touchdown? Already did and I

831
00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:07,760
did it with the with the Indianapolis or Indianapolis Indiana Hoosiers.

832
00:41:08,599 --> 00:41:09,360
Speaker 3: I did that last night.

833
00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:11,639
Speaker 2: When that line came out, I said, fine, fine, I'm

834
00:41:11,679 --> 00:41:13,719
looking down to get any money I can on Indiana

835
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:16,920
here Teddy without laying seven and a half in the

836
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:18,119
National Championship Game.

837
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:20,400
Speaker 3: So I tease it with the Bears, the Bills.

838
00:41:20,559 --> 00:41:24,400
Speaker 2: Now with the Broncos, basically any teaser opportunity now until

839
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:26,119
next Monday for the National Championship.

840
00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:27,440
Speaker 3: I'm locked and loaded.

841
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:29,960
Speaker 1: So you think Indiana's winning that game and winning it,

842
00:41:30,639 --> 00:41:32,719
We're not worried about what kind of margin they're gonna

843
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:33,320
win it by it, But do you.

844
00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 2: Think who's I would just I would like listen if

845
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,119
they win twenty four to twenty three, I'm going to

846
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,639
jump off my roof. But I do think this is

847
00:41:40,679 --> 00:41:45,079
an Indiana offense versus a Miami defense right that we

848
00:41:45,119 --> 00:41:48,920
have seen both be absolutely prolific, especially here in the playoffs.

849
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:52,599
I would be a little I think I think Indiana

850
00:41:52,679 --> 00:41:54,760
is getting a little too much love. But I do

851
00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:57,239
think that they win the football game. I know it's

852
00:41:57,360 --> 00:41:59,000
up to eight in some spots. Now, I know this

853
00:41:59,079 --> 00:42:01,519
is an NFL show, but the teaser question kind of

854
00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:05,400
correlated with that. But yeah, you could absolutely tease the

855
00:42:05,519 --> 00:42:09,119
Niners with the Broncos if the seven and a half

856
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:11,719
getting it up to seven and a half excuse me,

857
00:42:11,920 --> 00:42:15,119
is available at your book and you are not laying

858
00:42:15,119 --> 00:42:17,559
more than minus one twenty on teasers.

859
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:20,639
Speaker 1: Where do you finding minus one twenty on teasers in

860
00:42:20,679 --> 00:42:21,400
the modern world?

861
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,599
Speaker 2: I got minus one ten. In fact, Teddy, you got

862
00:42:24,599 --> 00:42:26,760
to ask. Listen, this is not what I'm allowed to

863
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:28,519
say on the show. This is not anything I should

864
00:42:28,519 --> 00:42:30,400
ever say on air. But I'm going to tell.

865
00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:36,800
Speaker 3: You you can negotiate. Just ask. You'd be surprised.

866
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:38,719
Speaker 1: Ask.

867
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:41,719
Speaker 3: There you go, not not in Vegas. You can't walk

868
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:42,280
up to don't go.

869
00:42:42,639 --> 00:42:44,320
Speaker 2: Don't use that advice and walk up to the super

870
00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:46,519
book or circle and say I want one minus one

871
00:42:46,559 --> 00:42:47,239
ten on teasers.

872
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:49,119
Speaker 3: But if you catch my drift, you know what I'm

873
00:42:49,159 --> 00:42:49,760
talking about.

874
00:42:50,159 --> 00:42:54,039
Speaker 2: Just ask and you too can get minus one ten

875
00:42:54,079 --> 00:42:55,400
on teasers or maybe.

876
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:58,360
Speaker 3: Little kickback or you know, reduced juice.

877
00:42:58,559 --> 00:43:01,639
Speaker 2: Never hurts to ask, they say, no, find somebody new,

878
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:05,519
Teddy covers you are a wealth of knowledge. I am

879
00:43:05,519 --> 00:43:09,159
a wealth of uh not knowledge, but ways to gain

880
00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:12,519
the system. So let's see if we can't have ourselves

881
00:43:12,679 --> 00:43:15,000
a great NFL week between the two of us.

882
00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:16,559
Speaker 3: I'm gonna let you get out of here.

883
00:43:16,559 --> 00:43:18,719
Speaker 2: I know you've got some NBA work to do, as

884
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:21,960
well as lots of NFL ahead of you. Wt dot

885
00:43:22,039 --> 00:43:25,199
buzz backslash TC is Teddy's homepage on wager talk dot

886
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:26,840
com full of free picks.

887
00:43:26,920 --> 00:43:29,840
Speaker 1: Go ahead, oh, I just want to say so. First

888
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,519
of all, I disparaged a live on screen for oddological

889
00:43:32,559 --> 00:43:35,280
moment ago and in fact the live o screen was correct,

890
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:39,000
you know with the Sunday versus Saturday, which where where

891
00:43:39,039 --> 00:43:43,239
the games were loaded A free style seven day all

892
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:46,760
access for Oslogio to oslogic dot com back slash Teddy.

893
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:49,800
Check that out, and boy, guys, we really appreciate the likes.

894
00:43:50,039 --> 00:43:52,480
We appreciate the comments, we appreciate the follows. We've got

895
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:55,760
what two and forty thousand of you yeah, following us

896
00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:58,119
on YouTube, which is remember we started with zero kel

897
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,400
I do I remember having zero? I remember one, you know,

898
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:03,000
and now we have two hundred and forty thousand. So

899
00:44:03,159 --> 00:44:04,880
why are we getting all the you know, if you

900
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:08,039
haven't followed or you know, we appreciate the likes and comments,

901
00:44:08,079 --> 00:44:11,480
but if you haven't subscribed, today's the day. Subscribe to

902
00:44:11,559 --> 00:44:14,039
wager Talk TV. You get instulerts every time these videos

903
00:44:14,039 --> 00:44:17,400
goes live, and we have so much free content every

904
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:21,920
single day. Check it out. Thank you, like, comment and follow.

905
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:25,599
Speaker 3: Thank you guys. Have a wonderful divisional week, Teddy, and

906
00:44:25,599 --> 00:44:28,719
that will be back for the Conference Championships next Monday morning,