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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to mid Rats with sal from Commander Salamander, an

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<v Speaker 1>Eagle one from Eagle Speak at Seer Shore your home

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<v Speaker 1>for a discussion of national security issues and all things

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<v Speaker 1>maritime and good to everybody. Welcome board for another edition

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<v Speaker 1>of mid Rats, and for those that are with us

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<v Speaker 1>live if you are so inclined, as always, we have

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<v Speaker 1>the live stream chat up and running. Paul's already there

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<v Speaker 1>ready to welcome you. And if you have some observations

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<v Speaker 1>you wanted to share during the course of the show,

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<v Speaker 1>are even a question you would like for us to

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<v Speaker 1>direct to our guests, that is the perfect place to

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<v Speaker 1>do it because we'll monitor it during the course of

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<v Speaker 1>the show. And if you don't already, go over to iTunes, Spotify, spreaker,

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<v Speaker 1>wherever you aggregate all your podcasts. And if you don't

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<v Speaker 1>subscribe to mid Rats, go ahead and subscribe to us

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<v Speaker 1>that way. If you can't join us live, we'll be

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<v Speaker 1>waiting for you. When you do have time for us

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<v Speaker 1>and today's show, let's just go ahead and dive into it.

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<v Speaker 1>As things just starting to get chilly, there's not a

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<v Speaker 1>better topic out there then, I think the ice around us,

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<v Speaker 1>and when you look at the US territory. One of

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<v Speaker 1>the most militarily and energy strategic spaces we have is

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<v Speaker 1>up in Alaska. We are in our tech nation, and

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<v Speaker 1>we have extensive economic interests with our allies as well, Canada, Denmark,

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<v Speaker 1>Norway up in the Arctic region. But when you look

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<v Speaker 1>at in twenty twenty four, what ship that we have

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<v Speaker 1>icebreakers and not just up there, we have Antarctica requirements

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<v Speaker 1>as well. It's old, it's broken, and decisions were made

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<v Speaker 1>years ago that we needed to get back into the

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<v Speaker 1>icebreaker game.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, and so we got started, but we're.

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<v Speaker 1>Still not there. And a lot of the reasons why

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<v Speaker 1>we're not there will sound familiar to those that have

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<v Speaker 1>looked at other US industrial based ship building issues. And

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<v Speaker 1>we're bringing on today, I think, just just a great

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<v Speaker 1>guest to talk about this topic and plus one of

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<v Speaker 1>our new allies area as well, and that's Peter Ribsky.

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<v Speaker 1>Pete is a retired nuclear trained service warfare officer whose

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<v Speaker 1>last job on ACTI duty was the US Naval attache

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<v Speaker 1>to Finland, and he loved Finland so much he decided

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<v Speaker 1>that he was going to stay right there and say

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<v Speaker 1>hi to the Russians from a little over one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>miles away, Pete, Welcome.

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<v Speaker 2>To mid Rights.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanks so Mark, happy to be here. It should be

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<v Speaker 3>a pretty good conversation today.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's great to have a full hour because

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<v Speaker 1>you can fill up a lot of time on icebreakers

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<v Speaker 1>and it seems like kind of a bespoke, unique topic.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think, as the listeners will see over the

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<v Speaker 1>next hour, it touches every bit of your day to

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<v Speaker 1>day life. It's one of those things that goes on

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<v Speaker 1>in shadows that you really don't appreciate it and its

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<v Speaker 1>capabilities and the risks associated with it until you start

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<v Speaker 1>digging into it. But just as a backgrounder, I'm curious

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<v Speaker 1>what takes a nice American nuclear trained swow and decides,

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<v Speaker 1>you know what, I want to retire and plant my flag.

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<v Speaker 2>Way up north in Finland. Talk a little bit about

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<v Speaker 2>how you decided to stay.

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<v Speaker 1>Put and how are you transitioning to a language nobody

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<v Speaker 1>can really understand.

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<v Speaker 3>That's a pretty good question, and I have kind of

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<v Speaker 3>This story starts with the typical Navy situation for those

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<v Speaker 3>of us who've been around for a bit, this happens

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<v Speaker 3>in everyone's career. So I was coming off with c duty.

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<v Speaker 3>I was the auxiliaries officer around the George W. Bush,

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<v Speaker 3>and I had had a short job lined up. I

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<v Speaker 3>was going out to Damn Neck, Virginia to teach leadership

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<v Speaker 3>to a bunch of reservists for a couple of years.

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<v Speaker 3>And it was Thanksgiving a week and I was just

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<v Speaker 3>PCSD and my phone rang one of those Sunday phone

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<v Speaker 3>calls that said, we need to talk about where you

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<v Speaker 3>think you're going next, Like, well, I've already left. Well,

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<v Speaker 3>what had happened is over on the Theodore Roosevelt, which

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<v Speaker 3>was in refueling overall at the time. Their assistant reactor

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<v Speaker 3>officer had felt some severe back problems. To make a

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<v Speaker 3>long story short, my short tour became three years on

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<v Speaker 3>the Theodore Roosevelt, from taking out of overhaul to a deployment.

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<v Speaker 3>The fortunate thing was the same. I had the same

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<v Speaker 3>detailer when that happened as when I left Theodore Roosevelt

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<v Speaker 3>three years later. So part of the deal, he looked

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<v Speaker 3>at me and said, well, where do you want to go.

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<v Speaker 3>I'll help you get there. And I've always wanted the

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<v Speaker 3>Navy to teach me a foreign language, so I volunteered

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<v Speaker 3>for the at HAS Shape program. I got released, went

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<v Speaker 3>to interview and compete, and there were two spots open

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<v Speaker 3>at the time, at least two spots where the family

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<v Speaker 3>didn't have to take malariy pills. One was Athens, Greece,

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<v Speaker 3>and one was Helsinki, Finland. At the time, Athens was

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<v Speaker 3>pretty much on fire. People were bernie tires in the streets.

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<v Speaker 3>You couldn't get cash out of the ATM. So the

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<v Speaker 3>wife and I talked about it and decided we'd try

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<v Speaker 3>out the Nordics for a bit. I'd already been in

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<v Speaker 3>the area with a short tour that I did in

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<v Speaker 3>London when I was a young lieutenant at the former

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<v Speaker 3>Naval Forces Year of Headquarters, the Year of Language, six

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<v Speaker 3>months of at that say school, and packed the bags

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<v Speaker 3>for Finland. I was in the atche job for about

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<v Speaker 3>three and a half years. It was three years and

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<v Speaker 3>I extended because of COVID they couldn't move folks back

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<v Speaker 3>and forth so easily, so it took an extra year,

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<v Speaker 3>and then retired in twenty twenty one. In the interim,

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<v Speaker 3>my wife picked up employment here in Helsinki. She works

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<v Speaker 3>for the European Center of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats,

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<v Speaker 3>where they do a lot of counter Russian disinformation in

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<v Speaker 3>the Balkans and in the Eastern Europe. And she's the

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<v Speaker 3>US rep there working right now as a DoD contractor.

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<v Speaker 3>So she has a great job.

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<v Speaker 4>She likes it.

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<v Speaker 3>The kids are well planted in their schools, so when

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<v Speaker 3>retirement came along, it just was natural just stick around.

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<v Speaker 3>So it's been now three years since retirement. Then we

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<v Speaker 3>just bought a house here last year. So everyone asked

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<v Speaker 3>when we're coming back to the US, and the answer is,

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<v Speaker 3>I just don't know.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, that's a good answer. Let's talk a little bit

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<v Speaker 5>about about your interest in icebreakers and how you developed

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<v Speaker 5>that interest. I know from your substack location, which the

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<v Speaker 5>Lake will put up in the chat room. But what

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<v Speaker 5>got yours in icebreakers?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, icebreakers were in the news as I came over

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<v Speaker 3>here in mid twenty seventeen. The Coastguard was there. It

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<v Speaker 3>kept talking about funding an icebreaker, funding an icebreaker. Finland

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<v Speaker 3>is known for its sort of icebreaker. The infrastructure for

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<v Speaker 3>the designers, the shipyards, the equipment manufacturers, they are all

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<v Speaker 3>located here. So I had a passing. Well, I had

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<v Speaker 3>an idea when I got here that icebreakers would play

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<v Speaker 3>a large role. But the first visit I actually did.

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<v Speaker 3>I got here in June of twenty seventeen. The first

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<v Speaker 3>visit we had was the comment to the Coastguard who

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<v Speaker 3>came here in November of twenty seventeen. Right around the

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<v Speaker 3>same time the Second of Defense made a visit. So

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<v Speaker 3>as a young at Shay, I handled the Coast Guard

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<v Speaker 3>visit on my own, which is fine and one of

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<v Speaker 3>the things that the Finns did, and as they've been

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<v Speaker 3>doing for years, is well to back up a second

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<v Speaker 3>cooperation between Finland and the US and ice breakers goes

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<v Speaker 3>all the way back. A friend of mine here has

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<v Speaker 3>been researching it and found stuff from the Ford administration

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<v Speaker 3>which talks about it. But he we some of the

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<v Speaker 3>other ice breakers in our inventory are based on Finish design.

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<v Speaker 3>There's intellectual property changes and all this sort of things.

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<v Speaker 3>So with Coastguard icebreakers in the news and the command

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<v Speaker 3>of the Coast Guard here, the first thing we did

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<v Speaker 3>was tour basically one of Finland's ice breakers who went

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<v Speaker 3>to the company that operates their ice breakers, toured the

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<v Speaker 3>polarists toward another one of the ice breakers went to

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<v Speaker 3>the design company, saw their ice test tank, talked to

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<v Speaker 3>some of the naval architects went to where they manufactured

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<v Speaker 3>the azipods down the east side of of Helsinki, or

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<v Speaker 3>they assembled them all.

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<v Speaker 4>They have a simulator there that we test drove around.

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<v Speaker 3>So right from the get go, icebreakers were in front

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<v Speaker 3>of me, and as a good Navy nuke and an

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<v Speaker 3>interested engineer, and I just dove right in and we

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<v Speaker 3>went to the engine room on a couple of these

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<v Speaker 3>ice breakers, and everyone's walking around and listening to the

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<v Speaker 3>crew give us the briefing. I'm there peering underneath the

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<v Speaker 3>diesel engines, is looking for lou Boy leagues, and I

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<v Speaker 3>can't help myself. The engine rooms were pristine, the machines

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<v Speaker 3>were so well maintained, and that sort of brought about

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<v Speaker 3>this interest, and well, I should learn about this. And

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<v Speaker 3>because of the persistent interest in icebreakers by the Coast

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<v Speaker 3>Guard by congressional delegations during the Trump administration, this just

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<v Speaker 3>built up from there. So it started quite with that

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<v Speaker 3>one visit, and then every time we'd bring a Coast

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<v Speaker 3>Guard officer here, which was quite frequent early on because

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<v Speaker 3>Finlan was chair of the Coast Guard Arctic Forum at

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<v Speaker 3>the time, we'd go ahead and do something icebreaker related.

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<v Speaker 3>So I've I think I've had many many coast Guard

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<v Speaker 3>business during my time in the Cetus and Naval Atsche,

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<v Speaker 3>and we'd bring the navy folks out as well to

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<v Speaker 3>see some of the technology involved in modern ice breaking.

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<v Speaker 3>So that's what really sparked the interest, because I find

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<v Speaker 3>them fascinating and just learning how they operate, Learning how

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<v Speaker 3>the more modern machines operate and how the development happened

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<v Speaker 3>from these sort of older idea to the more modern

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<v Speaker 3>ships has been a fascinating stuff for me.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the thing that struck me as I started

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<v Speaker 1>to do my show prep and to dig into this

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit more is, you know, we're a nation

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<v Speaker 1>of three hundred and thirty five million souls. We've got

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<v Speaker 1>the big Atlantic Ocean, Pacific Ocean, we have property up

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<v Speaker 1>in Alaska that the borders on the Arctic Ocean. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're big. We're a big nation. We're all over the place,

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<v Speaker 1>and you have Finland, little Scandinavian country with an interesting

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<v Speaker 1>language tucked away five and a half million souls. Yet

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<v Speaker 1>from a couple of the articles that I've dug up,

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<v Speaker 1>eighty percent of the ice breakers in the world were

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<v Speaker 1>designed in Finland, and they actually build sixty percent of them,

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<v Speaker 1>so you would think that it is. The Coastguard took

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<v Speaker 1>over the ice breakers from the Navy back in nineteen

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<v Speaker 1>sixty six, so nothing new for him. So as you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we as a nation, we're deciding that, you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>need to go go ahead and build our ice breakers

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<v Speaker 1>and go out and start bidding it. That process started.

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<v Speaker 1>I think in like twenty ten that Finland would be

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<v Speaker 1>one of our at that time friendly nations. Now as

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<v Speaker 1>a NATO ally we would really lean on. But it

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<v Speaker 1>hasn't quite turned out that way in twenty twenty four

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<v Speaker 1>with what we're trying to do with ice breakers, which

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<v Speaker 1>is unfortunate. And talk for a little bit for the

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<v Speaker 1>listeners that might not be aware that it's not an accident.

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<v Speaker 1>Why Finland really knows icebreakers? Knows icebreakers?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, right, it's definitely not.

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<v Speaker 2>So.

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<v Speaker 3>If you could pull up some of these ice charts

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<v Speaker 3>which show the persistent sea ice, and you'll see the

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<v Speaker 3>maximum extent. For example, you'll see ice off Alaska. You

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<v Speaker 3>won't see much ice in the Northern Atlantic. But if

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<v Speaker 3>you peel into the Baltic and go to sort of

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<v Speaker 3>the north up there, which is called the Gulf of

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<v Speaker 3>Bothnia at the Day of Basnia. Around Finland, you will

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<v Speaker 3>see ice indicated every year sort of on that western

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<v Speaker 3>coast of Finland. And what happens is that the Baltic's

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<v Speaker 3>a little less salty than the Atlantic Ocean, so the

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<v Speaker 3>ice form is a little bit quicker, and then you

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<v Speaker 3>have a persistent wind that blows west to eat so

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<v Speaker 3>it's not only the ice forming, but the ice that

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<v Speaker 3>hits the land and stacks and stacks and stacks has forms,

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<v Speaker 3>large ridges and large bits of ice that are quite

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<v Speaker 3>quite difficult to penetrate. So with an environment like this,

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<v Speaker 3>if you want to import and export goods twelve months

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<v Speaker 3>out of the year, you need a way to keep

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<v Speaker 3>the ports open. And it's really only been since the

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<v Speaker 3>nineteen seventies that that's been a national thing where they're

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<v Speaker 3>able to actually keep the designated ports open for import

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<v Speaker 3>and export during the winter. So what you have is

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<v Speaker 3>these rather difficult ice breaking conditions, even by some of

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<v Speaker 3>the polar standards, just with the way the ice blows

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<v Speaker 3>around and the pressure on the ice and how it

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<v Speaker 3>stacks up. So you need that if you want to

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<v Speaker 3>eat fresh fruits and vegetables during the winter, if you

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<v Speaker 3>want to export goods, particularly lumber and other goods from

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<v Speaker 3>the North back to the other parts of Europe because

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<v Speaker 3>the rail connections don't work these days. I mean, I

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<v Speaker 3>didn't know what I got here, but the rail here

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<v Speaker 3>is all Soviet gauge and there's only one narrow connection

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<v Speaker 3>to Sweden, so most stuff has to come by sea.

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<v Speaker 3>So in order to keep those ports open, this is

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<v Speaker 3>what the Fins are specialized in. I mean they built

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<v Speaker 3>their own ice breakers. They build ice breakers for commercial use,

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<v Speaker 3>and back when we are more friendly with Russia, if

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<v Speaker 3>they built a lot of icebreakers for Russia and before

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<v Speaker 3>Russia the Soviet Union. So they've taken what they've learned

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<v Speaker 3>in the iterative designs of ice breakers to keep their

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<v Speaker 3>own ports open, applied it to ice breaking in general

248
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<v Speaker 3>and have developed quite the ability to build all kinds

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<v Speaker 3>of ice breakers, and not just sort of Baltic c

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<v Speaker 3>es coort ice breakers, but Arctic research vessels and the

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<v Speaker 3>whole like. It's one of the things that the Fins

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<v Speaker 3>focus on. It is a government support and industry. I

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<v Speaker 3>think in order to keep for a takeover of some

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<v Speaker 3>of the assets, the government has stepped into some of

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<v Speaker 3>the companies and taken an ownership stake, just recognizing that

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<v Speaker 3>it is of national interest. But basically up here everything

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<v Speaker 3>does freeze, and if you don't have the ships, you

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<v Speaker 3>can't keep the trade flowing.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, let's talk a little bit about why the sudden

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<v Speaker 5>what seems to be sudden. I know what didn't exactly

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<v Speaker 5>like within the last ten minutes, but within the last

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<v Speaker 5>ten years, all of a sudden, there seems to be

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<v Speaker 5>a huge effort on the US to get back on

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<v Speaker 5>the icebreaker game. Why is that and what are the

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<v Speaker 5>steps that we've taken some tennity steps south and talking

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<v Speaker 5>about the PSCs, but what other things are we doing

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<v Speaker 5>to try and get back in that game.

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<v Speaker 3>So if you want to get your blood pressure up

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit, you can. We've been doing studies the

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<v Speaker 3>Coast Guard, the government in various forms that I have

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<v Speaker 3>tracked going back to the Reagan administration saying we need

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<v Speaker 3>more icebreakers. You have this nineteen eighty three report in

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<v Speaker 3>front of me that says we need four, that then

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<v Speaker 3>we had three, and you can just read all the

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<v Speaker 3>paper of all the analysis. But what really sparkled about

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<v Speaker 3>ten years ago was was with the Polar Region to

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<v Speaker 3>be the Arctics become more accessible during the summer, so

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<v Speaker 3>you have an increase in traffic, you have an increase

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<v Speaker 3>in ocean traffic, cruise traffic, and a lot of goods

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<v Speaker 3>and services are starting to flow in the high latitudes.

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<v Speaker 3>And because of that, the Coastguard needs to do traditional

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<v Speaker 3>coast guard functions. And this really is coming in about

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<v Speaker 3>the past ten years. It's unbelievable. But in two thousand

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<v Speaker 3>and six they actually essentially gave funding for the ice

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<v Speaker 3>breaker program to the National Science Foundation to support science missions,

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<v Speaker 3>and they had to negotiate with the Coast Guard how

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<v Speaker 3>many days each year and it would become a funding difficulty.

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<v Speaker 4>So they gave it back to the Coast Guard.

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<v Speaker 3>But at that point I think that you had these studies,

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<v Speaker 3>but when it comes to priorities, Dell melting sea ice

291
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<v Speaker 3>and access to the Arctic was in the future, not

292
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<v Speaker 3>in the present. So that ball that can just get

293
00:14:38.919 --> 00:14:41.159
<v Speaker 3>it kept getting pushed down the road. And with two

294
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<v Speaker 3>ice breakers, are one ice breaker available at some points

295
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<v Speaker 3>in time that was sufficient to do the National Science

296
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<v Speaker 3>Foundation missions or the Antarctic break in mission, which is

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<v Speaker 3>what one of our two ice breakers does right now.

298
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<v Speaker 3>So there wasn't this sort of although some people saw

299
00:14:56.080 --> 00:14:58.519
<v Speaker 3>it coming, it wasn't really a priority and didn't get

300
00:14:58.559 --> 00:15:00.519
<v Speaker 3>the funding. And now when you look at these mission

301
00:15:00.559 --> 00:15:03.759
<v Speaker 3>sets that the Coastguard has been ignoring for the past

302
00:15:03.799 --> 00:15:06.279
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty years, and some of the ideas of how

303
00:15:06.279 --> 00:15:08.720
<v Speaker 3>they would use ice breakers to just patrol our own

304
00:15:08.960 --> 00:15:12.960
<v Speaker 3>territorial waters, our own exclusive economic zone, patrol our extended

305
00:15:12.960 --> 00:15:15.320
<v Speaker 3>continental shelf in the north slope of Alaska when you

306
00:15:15.360 --> 00:15:18.559
<v Speaker 3>have significant Russian traffic going back and forth. Now there's

307
00:15:18.600 --> 00:15:20.720
<v Speaker 3>suddenly an interest saying, well, wait a minute, we need

308
00:15:20.720 --> 00:15:23.519
<v Speaker 3>to have ships capable of operating up there, are ships

309
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<v Speaker 3>capable of ensuring that the Navy can operate up there,

310
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<v Speaker 3>just because you know, that's where the Russians are, that's

311
00:15:28.799 --> 00:15:31.559
<v Speaker 3>where the Chinese are, and they can operate rather freely

312
00:15:31.639 --> 00:15:33.879
<v Speaker 3>up there because of the number and capability of their

313
00:15:33.879 --> 00:15:36.960
<v Speaker 3>ice breakers and their ice capable vessels. So we need

314
00:15:37.000 --> 00:15:39.000
<v Speaker 3>to have a presence there as well. Otherwise, you know,

315
00:15:39.000 --> 00:15:41.000
<v Speaker 3>if you can't patrol it, if you can't control it,

316
00:15:41.039 --> 00:15:44.840
<v Speaker 3>and it should things go poorly that you can't contest it.

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<v Speaker 1>In the congressional testimony that you're referencing your article, I

318
00:15:51.960 --> 00:15:54.159
<v Speaker 1>mean there's a lot of I'll go ahead and say it,

319
00:15:54.480 --> 00:15:57.799
<v Speaker 1>a lot of excuses in finger pointing on the US

320
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<v Speaker 1>Coast Guard with the problems they have, part of which

321
00:16:00.320 --> 00:16:02.440
<v Speaker 1>was included they did mention, you know, we haven't built

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<v Speaker 1>an ice breaker in fifty years, like you can't pick

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<v Speaker 1>up the phone and talk to somebody who has. And

324
00:16:07.159 --> 00:16:10.399
<v Speaker 1>they also talk about something that has been a common

325
00:16:11.480 --> 00:16:13.879
<v Speaker 1>point of contention for a lot of people in the industry.

326
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<v Speaker 1>I know this has been an issue for the people

327
00:16:16.720 --> 00:16:20.399
<v Speaker 1>trying to build the Constellation class frigates and others, and

328
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<v Speaker 1>that has to do with having the artisans and work

329
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<v Speaker 1>which if you do quality welding, that is an art

330
00:16:26.519 --> 00:16:29.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, welders, ship fitters, you know, everybody that goes

331
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<v Speaker 1>into building a ship just having trouble finding the people

332
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<v Speaker 1>to do it. And the one thing that has always

333
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<v Speaker 1>bothered me in the series of excuses has been the

334
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<v Speaker 1>one we haven't built one in fifty years. When you

335
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<v Speaker 1>look at you know, the People's Republic of China, which

336
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<v Speaker 1>is not an artic nation, though they're making themselves one.

337
00:16:46.240 --> 00:16:47.960
<v Speaker 1>They and I'm going to quote a little bit from

338
00:16:48.200 --> 00:16:50.480
<v Speaker 1>an article over g Captain that went out this August

339
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<v Speaker 1>quote Chinese shipyards have constructed ice breaking research vessels at

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<v Speaker 1>an impressive rate, albeit smaller in size than the much

341
00:16:57.919 --> 00:17:02.440
<v Speaker 1>delayed US Polar Security cutter. The construction of the Jedi

342
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<v Speaker 1>and Tensu Hung how are you prodounceing that took only

343
00:17:06.640 --> 00:17:10.240
<v Speaker 1>around two years from first steel cutting to completion. The

344
00:17:10.359 --> 00:17:14.359
<v Speaker 1>much larger jue Long To, China's first domestically built polar

345
00:17:14.480 --> 00:17:18.519
<v Speaker 1>ice breaker, was completed in twenty nineteen, in under three years.

346
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<v Speaker 1>There's a lot to this story than just the fact

347
00:17:25.240 --> 00:17:29.000
<v Speaker 1>that we don't produce enough welders or that we don't

348
00:17:29.039 --> 00:17:30.880
<v Speaker 1>know how to pick up the phone. Is that there's

349
00:17:30.880 --> 00:17:34.519
<v Speaker 1>an undercurrent here and a lot of echoes that whatever

350
00:17:35.599 --> 00:17:38.839
<v Speaker 1>different inputs came into how the US Navy and the

351
00:17:38.920 --> 00:17:42.880
<v Speaker 1>US Coast Guard builds, procures, and manages a program ship,

352
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<v Speaker 1>it's simply not working. When other nations who it hasn't

353
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<v Speaker 1>been fifty years, they've never done it, they have the

354
00:17:49.640 --> 00:17:53.480
<v Speaker 1>ability to turn to and make it happen. Both nations

355
00:17:53.480 --> 00:17:57.680
<v Speaker 1>that only have five point five million people compared to

356
00:17:57.680 --> 00:17:59.720
<v Speaker 1>our three hundred and thirty five are nations that have

357
00:18:00.079 --> 00:18:02.640
<v Speaker 1>over a billion more people than we do in population.

358
00:18:02.839 --> 00:18:06.079
<v Speaker 1>There's a larger issue at stake here than just a

359
00:18:06.119 --> 00:18:10.319
<v Speaker 1>couple of program managers having trouble working with a shipyard build.

360
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<v Speaker 3>Yes, absolutely, part of it is just the mess that

361
00:18:16.000 --> 00:18:18.880
<v Speaker 3>is us procurement when it comes to ships. I don't

362
00:18:18.920 --> 00:18:22.359
<v Speaker 3>have a wide range of experience and knowledge of the

363
00:18:22.400 --> 00:18:25.359
<v Speaker 3>constellation class, but I look and it just seems it

364
00:18:25.440 --> 00:18:28.000
<v Speaker 3>rhymes quite well. One of the things, for example, you

365
00:18:28.000 --> 00:18:30.960
<v Speaker 3>brought up the Chinese vessels. So the Shway Long two,

366
00:18:31.599 --> 00:18:34.599
<v Speaker 3>which was built in three years, that's a finished design.

367
00:18:34.920 --> 00:18:37.000
<v Speaker 3>It was designed right down the road here at acker Arctic.

368
00:18:37.200 --> 00:18:39.119
<v Speaker 3>It was tested in the ice tank at acher Arctic.

369
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<v Speaker 3>Than an ocher Arctic. They had a couple of guys

370
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<v Speaker 3>in China who oversaw production to make sure that their

371
00:18:44.359 --> 00:18:50.160
<v Speaker 3>brand quality was maintained and construction of the vessel. So

372
00:18:50.480 --> 00:18:53.400
<v Speaker 3>the Chinese basically did it right. They went to the

373
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<v Speaker 3>people who know how to build ice breakers and they said,

374
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<v Speaker 3>we want you to design one that we can build,

375
00:18:58.200 --> 00:19:01.319
<v Speaker 3>and Oker did, and then they overseed construction and there

376
00:19:01.319 --> 00:19:03.720
<v Speaker 3>it came out some of the smaller vessels. I think

377
00:19:03.799 --> 00:19:06.319
<v Speaker 3>most of the Chinese vessels these days. There's only two

378
00:19:06.359 --> 00:19:08.680
<v Speaker 3>of their recent vessels that had been designed in house.

379
00:19:08.799 --> 00:19:11.039
<v Speaker 3>And although they were designed in house. They're actually ice

380
00:19:11.119 --> 00:19:14.960
<v Speaker 3>tested here in Finland in the ice tanks. So basically

381
00:19:15.200 --> 00:19:17.720
<v Speaker 3>they went to the experts and they didn't let themselves

382
00:19:17.720 --> 00:19:19.960
<v Speaker 3>get in the way so much. From an outside perspective,

383
00:19:19.960 --> 00:19:22.519
<v Speaker 3>it seems to be that their own designs that they're

384
00:19:22.519 --> 00:19:24.880
<v Speaker 3>building right now are not quite as capable as the

385
00:19:24.880 --> 00:19:27.880
<v Speaker 3>one that they that they purchased and got from Finland.

386
00:19:28.000 --> 00:19:31.039
<v Speaker 3>But they are making steps and producing them and there's

387
00:19:31.079 --> 00:19:34.839
<v Speaker 3>nothing magic about making an ice breaker. One of NATO's

388
00:19:34.839 --> 00:19:39.039
<v Speaker 3>most capable icebreaker is a French cruise ship right now.

389
00:19:39.079 --> 00:19:42.039
<v Speaker 3>That cruise ship, the La Commandant Scharco, is a polar

390
00:19:42.079 --> 00:19:45.200
<v Speaker 3>class two ice breaker. It's the best thing NATO has

391
00:19:45.319 --> 00:19:48.079
<v Speaker 3>and it was built in a Romanian shipyard. The Romanians,

392
00:19:48.079 --> 00:19:50.200
<v Speaker 3>what do they know about building ice breakers? Well, the

393
00:19:50.279 --> 00:19:53.640
<v Speaker 3>company that does the design work and varred at the shipyard, Bonner.

394
00:19:53.680 --> 00:19:56.079
<v Speaker 3>It came together and made sure that the design not

395
00:19:56.160 --> 00:19:58.559
<v Speaker 3>other requirements and that it could actually be built. And

396
00:19:58.599 --> 00:20:01.720
<v Speaker 3>I think we missed that US Coast Guard. It seems

397
00:20:01.720 --> 00:20:03.960
<v Speaker 3>to me to use a Navy comparison that, but I

398
00:20:04.000 --> 00:20:06.759
<v Speaker 3>think is probably still true. But ice breaking in the

399
00:20:06.799 --> 00:20:09.160
<v Speaker 3>coast Guard is like my warfare in the United States

400
00:20:09.240 --> 00:20:11.799
<v Speaker 3>Navy is this backwater of people who are doing a

401
00:20:11.839 --> 00:20:14.640
<v Speaker 3>great mission of working really hard, but the broader Coast

402
00:20:14.680 --> 00:20:17.559
<v Speaker 3>Guard could care less until they really need it, until

403
00:20:17.599 --> 00:20:20.559
<v Speaker 3>things really keyed up there. One of the frustrating things

404
00:20:20.559 --> 00:20:23.640
<v Speaker 3>about watching this congressional testimony over and over again is

405
00:20:23.839 --> 00:20:25.640
<v Speaker 3>how you hear the same things and if you were

406
00:20:25.680 --> 00:20:28.880
<v Speaker 3>to ask the same question in five consecutive hearings, can

407
00:20:28.920 --> 00:20:32.319
<v Speaker 3>you give example of a successful commercial icebreaker program? I

408
00:20:32.359 --> 00:20:35.359
<v Speaker 3>don't think anyone can answer it. Why the information's out there,

409
00:20:35.400 --> 00:20:37.599
<v Speaker 3>it's not hard to find. You can look at these

410
00:20:37.599 --> 00:20:39.960
<v Speaker 3>things and see them, but it just doesn't seem although

411
00:20:39.960 --> 00:20:43.279
<v Speaker 3>it stated as our top priority or a top priority,

412
00:20:43.319 --> 00:20:46.319
<v Speaker 3>it just doesn't really seem to be. I don't quite

413
00:20:46.400 --> 00:20:49.519
<v Speaker 3>understand this. I've seen a lot of resistance since twenty

414
00:20:49.640 --> 00:20:53.200
<v Speaker 3>seventeen when I would see some of the senior Coast

415
00:20:53.240 --> 00:20:55.480
<v Speaker 3>Guard officials who had travel to Finland and they make

416
00:20:55.519 --> 00:20:57.559
<v Speaker 3>comments like, oh, can you believe the Finns are trying

417
00:20:57.599 --> 00:21:00.000
<v Speaker 3>to push their medium Baltic sea ice breakers on us.

418
00:21:00.200 --> 00:21:03.400
<v Speaker 3>They can't build anything that we need, Like, well, you're wrong.

419
00:21:03.599 --> 00:21:06.200
<v Speaker 3>The Finns built one of the Russians nuclear ice breakers

420
00:21:06.240 --> 00:21:09.519
<v Speaker 3>here at Helsinki's shipyard. Of course, the reactor plants were

421
00:21:09.559 --> 00:21:12.480
<v Speaker 3>added separately later on, but these things can be done

422
00:21:12.559 --> 00:21:16.039
<v Speaker 3>here and again, like three days ago, I was talking

423
00:21:16.079 --> 00:21:19.720
<v Speaker 3>to someone back in DC who said that another, perhaps different,

424
00:21:19.839 --> 00:21:22.519
<v Speaker 3>unnamed senior official had stated the same thing. I can't

425
00:21:22.559 --> 00:21:25.319
<v Speaker 3>believe we're talking about Finland again. They can't do anything

426
00:21:25.359 --> 00:21:26.000
<v Speaker 3>that we need.

427
00:21:26.079 --> 00:21:26.920
<v Speaker 4>So it just seems to.

428
00:21:26.839 --> 00:21:30.000
<v Speaker 3>Be almost a will for willful ignorance in what we

429
00:21:30.079 --> 00:21:33.079
<v Speaker 3>see or hear from the Coast Guard leadership on this issue.

430
00:21:33.119 --> 00:21:35.720
<v Speaker 3>And it's not really that hard now. I think they

431
00:21:35.720 --> 00:21:38.039
<v Speaker 3>did make it harder on themselves if you go back

432
00:21:38.079 --> 00:21:41.079
<v Speaker 3>to the bidding process. This the polar security cutter started

433
00:21:41.119 --> 00:21:44.839
<v Speaker 3>with with these study designs where they picked five shipyards,

434
00:21:45.000 --> 00:21:46.640
<v Speaker 3>told them to find a partner and you know, come

435
00:21:46.680 --> 00:21:49.599
<v Speaker 3>back with the design study. And then from there they

436
00:21:49.640 --> 00:21:52.559
<v Speaker 3>narrowed it down and the three finalists, at least two

437
00:21:52.559 --> 00:21:55.440
<v Speaker 3>of them involved a company that had experienced with ice breaking.

438
00:21:55.599 --> 00:21:59.599
<v Speaker 3>The three finalists were as VT Halter, then it was

439
00:21:59.599 --> 00:22:03.000
<v Speaker 3>Philly Shipyard partnership with ocher Arctic and Vard and it

440
00:22:03.160 --> 00:22:06.880
<v Speaker 3>was a Bullinger and they are partnered with a Danish company.

441
00:22:06.480 --> 00:22:08.319
<v Speaker 4>That's designed some ice capable.

442
00:22:08.000 --> 00:22:10.079
<v Speaker 3>Vessels on which one did we pick the one with

443
00:22:10.240 --> 00:22:12.160
<v Speaker 3>zero experience building ice breakers?

444
00:22:12.160 --> 00:22:12.680
<v Speaker 2>And it just.

445
00:22:12.720 --> 00:22:15.440
<v Speaker 3>Seems to me that it didn't need to be this difficult,

446
00:22:15.519 --> 00:22:18.640
<v Speaker 3>and frankly, I do have problems sometimes understanding it. An

447
00:22:18.640 --> 00:22:22.119
<v Speaker 3>example I can give of resistance is that the Coastguard

448
00:22:22.279 --> 00:22:26.480
<v Speaker 3>just purchased this commercially available icebreaker, the Ivik, which was

449
00:22:26.519 --> 00:22:30.759
<v Speaker 3>built for some offshore oil operation support off of Alaska,

450
00:22:30.799 --> 00:22:33.599
<v Speaker 3>and they asked for the money last year and the

451
00:22:33.680 --> 00:22:36.599
<v Speaker 3>finalized purpose of it, and they panted Coastguard icebreaker read

452
00:22:36.640 --> 00:22:39.000
<v Speaker 3>and it should be up operating in Alaska by twenty

453
00:22:39.039 --> 00:22:42.480
<v Speaker 3>twenty six. That was proposed almost ten years ago, but

454
00:22:42.519 --> 00:22:44.559
<v Speaker 3>the Coast Guard kept saying, no, thank you, we don't

455
00:22:44.599 --> 00:22:47.440
<v Speaker 3>want it, we don't need it, until about two years

456
00:22:47.480 --> 00:22:49.759
<v Speaker 3>ago when it was, oh, thank you, Congress, please give

457
00:22:49.839 --> 00:22:51.680
<v Speaker 3>us the money we need to buy this ship. So

458
00:22:52.000 --> 00:22:54.319
<v Speaker 3>there are some things and solutions that are out there.

459
00:22:54.559 --> 00:22:57.039
<v Speaker 3>It just seemed like the Coastguard wanted to bet all

460
00:22:57.160 --> 00:23:00.880
<v Speaker 3>on this one billion dollar initial cost icebreaker that was

461
00:23:00.920 --> 00:23:03.240
<v Speaker 3>going to do everything. I guess they figured we're only

462
00:23:03.240 --> 00:23:04.799
<v Speaker 3>going to get a couple, we might as well make

463
00:23:04.799 --> 00:23:08.799
<v Speaker 3>them awesome, and that that perfect became the enemy of

464
00:23:08.880 --> 00:23:11.880
<v Speaker 3>the good enough and of the icebreakers available right now.

465
00:23:14.039 --> 00:23:16.279
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it's been interesting. I mean, Salim, I've been talking

466
00:23:16.279 --> 00:23:20.200
<v Speaker 5>about icebreakers almost as long as we've had this this podcast.

467
00:23:20.319 --> 00:23:22.279
<v Speaker 5>You know, it is one of those neglected areas. We

468
00:23:22.319 --> 00:23:25.039
<v Speaker 5>also have mentioned iron warfare and a lot of other

469
00:23:25.119 --> 00:23:28.359
<v Speaker 5>things that like replenishment and things like that that.

470
00:23:30.079 --> 00:23:31.279
<v Speaker 2>People just forget about.

471
00:23:31.279 --> 00:23:35.039
<v Speaker 5>It's been interesting to watch this process because the I

472
00:23:35.119 --> 00:23:37.240
<v Speaker 5>found it. There's a there was an old press release

473
00:23:37.279 --> 00:23:41.200
<v Speaker 5>after VT Alter got this through twenty nineteen, so out

474
00:23:41.240 --> 00:23:43.599
<v Speaker 5>of the US, and I knew Sam Lagron and they're

475
00:23:43.640 --> 00:23:47.440
<v Speaker 5>talking about the ship's combat system on the on the

476
00:23:47.519 --> 00:23:52.279
<v Speaker 5>on the proposed PCs as I guess here, and they're

477
00:23:52.279 --> 00:23:54.079
<v Speaker 5>talking about how it would be based on the Aegis

478
00:23:54.240 --> 00:23:57.039
<v Speaker 5>combat system, and it says the Coastguard is still mulling

479
00:23:57.079 --> 00:23:59.559
<v Speaker 5>over the weapons load out. I'm trying to figure out.

480
00:23:59.680 --> 00:24:01.400
<v Speaker 5>And this is the problem of the constellation A lot

481
00:24:01.400 --> 00:24:04.519
<v Speaker 5>of other the ships that we build or attempt to

482
00:24:04.559 --> 00:24:07.200
<v Speaker 5>build in the US is that somebody comes in the

483
00:24:07.359 --> 00:24:09.680
<v Speaker 5>LCS class example, somebody comes in with a design and

484
00:24:09.720 --> 00:24:12.599
<v Speaker 5>then and then all the the other people get it

485
00:24:12.720 --> 00:24:15.200
<v Speaker 5>start adding things to it. Pretty soon you've got you know,

486
00:24:15.240 --> 00:24:17.440
<v Speaker 5>an elephant instead of the horse you meant to design.

487
00:24:17.599 --> 00:24:20.480
<v Speaker 5>So how much do you see that as as an

488
00:24:20.519 --> 00:24:23.240
<v Speaker 5>impact on why we can't get this done quickly? Is

489
00:24:23.279 --> 00:24:26.720
<v Speaker 5>it the requirements have changed and they change a midstream

490
00:24:26.920 --> 00:24:29.839
<v Speaker 5>The Coast Guard really isn't that interested? What is the

491
00:24:30.039 --> 00:24:31.799
<v Speaker 5>what is what are the big holdbacks on this?

492
00:24:34.759 --> 00:24:38.160
<v Speaker 3>It's hard to say because that the process isn't very transparent.

493
00:24:38.400 --> 00:24:40.640
<v Speaker 3>I've heard from a few folks who had who had

494
00:24:40.720 --> 00:24:44.400
<v Speaker 3>worked at VT Altar early on, and they mentioned some

495
00:24:44.480 --> 00:24:47.079
<v Speaker 3>of the big initial problems that there was a well

496
00:24:47.200 --> 00:24:49.640
<v Speaker 3>to back up a second, the Coast Guard, in trying

497
00:24:49.680 --> 00:24:52.000
<v Speaker 3>to mitigate risk, they require that all the bids be

498
00:24:52.119 --> 00:24:55.079
<v Speaker 3>based on a parent design. Now, most naval architects I

499
00:24:55.119 --> 00:24:57.279
<v Speaker 3>talked to think the idea of a parent design it

500
00:24:57.319 --> 00:24:59.920
<v Speaker 3>has its place, but in general it's not worth it

501
00:25:00.079 --> 00:25:03.279
<v Speaker 3>because for that time, especially in something like an icebreaker.

502
00:25:03.319 --> 00:25:05.680
<v Speaker 3>I mean here in Finland, with decades of data on

503
00:25:05.839 --> 00:25:09.759
<v Speaker 3>hull forms, hull shape sizes, propulsion needs, they can custom

504
00:25:09.799 --> 00:25:13.599
<v Speaker 3>design use something based on proven concepts rather quickly. But

505
00:25:13.680 --> 00:25:16.839
<v Speaker 3>the Coast Guards selected a design for a ship that

506
00:25:17.359 --> 00:25:20.680
<v Speaker 3>still hasn't been built. It's a German research icebreaker. Called

507
00:25:20.720 --> 00:25:25.119
<v Speaker 3>the polar Stern two, which exists in a design at

508
00:25:25.200 --> 00:25:25.920
<v Speaker 3>some level.

509
00:25:26.079 --> 00:25:26.720
<v Speaker 4>The ship's out.

510
00:25:26.920 --> 00:25:29.559
<v Speaker 3>It's out forbids right now apparently, but I've been told

511
00:25:29.559 --> 00:25:31.920
<v Speaker 3>that the German government again doesn't have any money to

512
00:25:31.960 --> 00:25:34.000
<v Speaker 3>build it, so it's not going to go anywhere. But

513
00:25:34.119 --> 00:25:36.720
<v Speaker 3>the problem with this design, as I've heard it, was

514
00:25:36.759 --> 00:25:40.519
<v Speaker 3>that initially, basically the DC deck was below the water line,

515
00:25:40.759 --> 00:25:43.079
<v Speaker 3>so they had to start from scratch. There is some

516
00:25:43.200 --> 00:25:46.920
<v Speaker 3>change involved that created an iterative iterative changes which changed

517
00:25:46.920 --> 00:25:50.880
<v Speaker 3>the size of the ship, the propulsion requirements, the endurance requirements,

518
00:25:50.960 --> 00:25:53.519
<v Speaker 3>everything else, and it almost went back to square one design.

519
00:25:53.759 --> 00:25:56.039
<v Speaker 3>And the ship guard blames COVID and all these things,

520
00:25:56.039 --> 00:25:59.000
<v Speaker 3>but that's me. There are other shipyards in the world

521
00:25:59.000 --> 00:26:02.279
<v Speaker 3>who do this very well. I mentioned this cruise ship

522
00:26:02.359 --> 00:26:05.240
<v Speaker 3>Lacammandade Charcot that was five and a half years from

523
00:26:05.799 --> 00:26:09.240
<v Speaker 3>you know, a white paper design to the north Pole.

524
00:26:09.680 --> 00:26:12.119
<v Speaker 3>He built very quickly, even though it's it's state of

525
00:26:12.160 --> 00:26:13.599
<v Speaker 3>the art and it has a lot of things that

526
00:26:13.640 --> 00:26:16.519
<v Speaker 3>hadn't been done before. So I'm not certain what the

527
00:26:16.599 --> 00:26:20.480
<v Speaker 3>problem or the backup is with Bolinger and or vt

528
00:26:20.599 --> 00:26:23.240
<v Speaker 3>Altar before. In Bolinger now, I wish there was more

529
00:26:23.240 --> 00:26:27.319
<v Speaker 3>transparency on it as a taxpayer, especially because the Congressional

530
00:26:27.319 --> 00:26:29.839
<v Speaker 3>Budget Office basically says that this thing is going to

531
00:26:29.880 --> 00:26:32.440
<v Speaker 3>cost not one billion for the first one, but probably

532
00:26:32.440 --> 00:26:34.839
<v Speaker 3>about two billion, and then if you buy all three

533
00:26:34.880 --> 00:26:36.880
<v Speaker 3>instead of costing two point seven, we're going to be

534
00:26:36.880 --> 00:26:38.119
<v Speaker 3>spending over five billion.

535
00:26:38.160 --> 00:26:39.720
<v Speaker 4>The Finns look at me and they're like what.

536
00:26:39.880 --> 00:26:41.680
<v Speaker 3>They look at me like I'm crazy when I talk

537
00:26:41.720 --> 00:26:44.720
<v Speaker 3>about billion dollar ice breakers as something that we had

538
00:26:44.799 --> 00:26:47.640
<v Speaker 3>discussed in the past. Back during the Trump administration, there

539
00:26:47.720 --> 00:26:50.000
<v Speaker 3>was a memo in twenty nineteen which are twenty twenty,

540
00:26:50.000 --> 00:26:53.440
<v Speaker 3>which basically said at tasks the Coastguard, Homeland Security, State

541
00:26:53.480 --> 00:26:56.039
<v Speaker 3>Department in the Navy with basically taking a look at

542
00:26:56.240 --> 00:26:58.680
<v Speaker 3>existing ice breakers in the world for purchase, release, and

543
00:26:59.319 --> 00:27:03.400
<v Speaker 3>then construct of new icebreakers and allied and partnership yards.

544
00:27:03.519 --> 00:27:05.079
<v Speaker 4>Well, we went and looked at all this.

545
00:27:05.359 --> 00:27:07.799
<v Speaker 3>We got some pretty good ideas of what it would

546
00:27:07.880 --> 00:27:10.240
<v Speaker 3>cost to build a ship that would meet the Coastguard's

547
00:27:10.319 --> 00:27:12.880
<v Speaker 3>icebreaking requirements. Now, it might not do all the other

548
00:27:12.960 --> 00:27:15.440
<v Speaker 3>things that you wanted to do, but one of the

549
00:27:15.599 --> 00:27:18.839
<v Speaker 3>arguments that I found persuasive was, well, if you spend

550
00:27:18.880 --> 00:27:20.759
<v Speaker 3>a lot less on ice breakers, Let's say you have

551
00:27:20.839 --> 00:27:23.119
<v Speaker 3>a billion to spend on one ice breaker, and you

552
00:27:23.160 --> 00:27:25.400
<v Speaker 3>can get one here for let's say three hundred million.

553
00:27:25.599 --> 00:27:27.960
<v Speaker 3>Well that frees you up to buy two national security

554
00:27:27.960 --> 00:27:30.000
<v Speaker 3>cutters in the aggregate if you do a couple of

555
00:27:30.039 --> 00:27:32.119
<v Speaker 3>these to buy a couple other cutters. Now you have

556
00:27:32.160 --> 00:27:35.039
<v Speaker 3>a mission package if you have an escort capable icebreaker

557
00:27:35.119 --> 00:27:37.400
<v Speaker 3>and you have a national security cutter. So if you

558
00:27:37.440 --> 00:27:39.759
<v Speaker 3>want to operate off of Alaska, you put them in tandem.

559
00:27:39.960 --> 00:27:40.720
<v Speaker 4>If you only want the.

560
00:27:40.720 --> 00:27:43.160
<v Speaker 3>Icebreaker off of Alaska, you have that for patrol mission,

561
00:27:43.200 --> 00:27:45.680
<v Speaker 3>you get send your cutter somewhere else. It just it

562
00:27:45.720 --> 00:27:49.079
<v Speaker 3>made a lot of sense, but again it was it

563
00:27:49.160 --> 00:27:51.039
<v Speaker 3>felt like we were talking to brick walls when we

564
00:27:51.039 --> 00:27:53.039
<v Speaker 3>were bringing this up with Coastguard leadership at the time.

565
00:27:53.079 --> 00:27:56.559
<v Speaker 3>They just didn't want to entertain anything except their billion

566
00:27:56.559 --> 00:27:57.400
<v Speaker 3>dollar ice breaker.

567
00:27:58.559 --> 00:27:58.759
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

568
00:27:58.799 --> 00:28:01.240
<v Speaker 1>I can see why Thins will just sterer at you

569
00:28:01.279 --> 00:28:03.920
<v Speaker 1>and blink a lot five point one billion for three

570
00:28:03.960 --> 00:28:06.880
<v Speaker 1>ships while they're talking. I just let let my fingers

571
00:28:06.880 --> 00:28:08.440
<v Speaker 1>do the walking through Google. Here.

572
00:28:09.680 --> 00:28:12.440
<v Speaker 2>The defense budget in Finland next.

573
00:28:12.240 --> 00:28:15.440
<v Speaker 1>Year is going to be just a tad north of

574
00:28:15.720 --> 00:28:18.680
<v Speaker 1>six billion, so it's you know, five to six of

575
00:28:18.720 --> 00:28:22.559
<v Speaker 1>their annual defense budget on three ice breakers, and it's

576
00:28:23.079 --> 00:28:27.400
<v Speaker 1>problem appreciation from our appreciation of problem department, is the

577
00:28:27.839 --> 00:28:32.880
<v Speaker 1>acquisitions reform that everybody that we've talked to over the

578
00:28:32.960 --> 00:28:37.119
<v Speaker 1>years about other systems, and we can throw the icebreaker

579
00:28:37.200 --> 00:28:40.440
<v Speaker 1>program in it. It all has a common thread of

580
00:28:40.519 --> 00:28:43.359
<v Speaker 1>the dysfunction of the system we have right now that

581
00:28:43.440 --> 00:28:46.319
<v Speaker 1>again we control because we designed it. There are other

582
00:28:46.599 --> 00:28:51.720
<v Speaker 1>nations with fewer assets to draw on that are able

583
00:28:51.799 --> 00:28:55.559
<v Speaker 1>to produce more, better, faster than we do. So it's

584
00:28:55.599 --> 00:28:58.359
<v Speaker 1>an internal problem that we have to solve.

585
00:28:58.519 --> 00:29:01.200
<v Speaker 2>And there is a quote in that I think.

586
00:29:02.960 --> 00:29:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Is endemic to a lot of the issues, but from

587
00:29:05.720 --> 00:29:07.680
<v Speaker 1>your article in May, I believe it was where I

588
00:29:07.720 --> 00:29:11.960
<v Speaker 1>got it from quote political milestones were more important than

589
00:29:12.039 --> 00:29:17.279
<v Speaker 1>reducing program risk and getting a better product. Unquote where

590
00:29:17.440 --> 00:29:20.359
<v Speaker 1>it looks like the goal of our system is to

591
00:29:20.400 --> 00:29:23.519
<v Speaker 1>get the money first and figure it out later. I

592
00:29:23.559 --> 00:29:26.039
<v Speaker 1>don't know whether that mindset has worked at all in

593
00:29:26.079 --> 00:29:29.400
<v Speaker 1>the last quarter century. And so we're looking at having

594
00:29:29.599 --> 00:29:32.799
<v Speaker 1>our icebreakers ready to go. It was it twenty seven

595
00:29:33.200 --> 00:29:36.240
<v Speaker 1>or twenty nine, and it's not even a mature design yet,

596
00:29:36.240 --> 00:29:37.759
<v Speaker 1>even though they've already cut steel on it.

597
00:29:37.799 --> 00:29:40.039
<v Speaker 4>Is it no, it's not.

598
00:29:40.240 --> 00:29:43.599
<v Speaker 3>And they've built a couple modules. I'm not sure if

599
00:29:43.599 --> 00:29:45.400
<v Speaker 3>they're going to be using the final product or not,

600
00:29:45.559 --> 00:29:48.240
<v Speaker 3>but right they haven't even cut steel. If they're promising

601
00:29:48.319 --> 00:29:51.880
<v Speaker 3>to begin construction by the end of this year, regardless

602
00:29:51.920 --> 00:29:54.359
<v Speaker 3>of how far along the design is. I've heard that

603
00:29:54.440 --> 00:29:58.720
<v Speaker 3>congressional testimony couple of times. You know, it just doesn't

604
00:29:58.759 --> 00:30:02.519
<v Speaker 3>seem to I have a hard time understanding why it's

605
00:30:02.559 --> 00:30:06.119
<v Speaker 3>taking this long. I mean, as many people are. Just

606
00:30:06.400 --> 00:30:09.400
<v Speaker 3>back to your cost point for one quick second. The

607
00:30:09.400 --> 00:30:12.319
<v Speaker 3>Fins are building four ice capable corvettes right now. They're

608
00:30:12.359 --> 00:30:15.519
<v Speaker 3>multi mission ships. They're looking into ages for them at first,

609
00:30:15.599 --> 00:30:17.880
<v Speaker 3>but they had to decline it just because of the cost.

610
00:30:18.440 --> 00:30:21.680
<v Speaker 3>Because the total cost for four they're really frigates but

611
00:30:21.759 --> 00:30:23.559
<v Speaker 3>they call them corvettes is going to be about one

612
00:30:23.599 --> 00:30:26.559
<v Speaker 3>point two billion. For four it's a three hundred milliship.

613
00:30:26.759 --> 00:30:29.079
<v Speaker 3>And then they're not icebreakers per se, but they're enough

614
00:30:29.160 --> 00:30:31.279
<v Speaker 3>to go anywhere in the Baltic Sea they need to

615
00:30:31.319 --> 00:30:33.359
<v Speaker 3>go regardless of the ice conditions, so they're going to

616
00:30:33.359 --> 00:30:35.799
<v Speaker 3>be quite capable and coming in at that cost. The

617
00:30:36.480 --> 00:30:39.400
<v Speaker 3>cruise ship I mentioned, which I pulled into Helsinki a

618
00:30:39.440 --> 00:30:40.920
<v Speaker 3>couple of weeks ago and I had the chance to

619
00:30:40.920 --> 00:30:43.079
<v Speaker 3>go a toy. I mean it is really an icebreaker.

620
00:30:43.359 --> 00:30:44.400
<v Speaker 4>Is powerful.

621
00:30:44.440 --> 00:30:47.079
<v Speaker 3>It's been to the North Pole, it's been down off

622
00:30:47.119 --> 00:30:49.119
<v Speaker 3>into the raw Sea, it's been right off of a

623
00:30:49.200 --> 00:30:51.759
<v Speaker 3>Mcburdo station. I mean, it's been everywhere we need to go.

624
00:30:51.799 --> 00:30:52.599
<v Speaker 4>And that was built for.

625
00:30:52.559 --> 00:30:55.160
<v Speaker 3>About three hundred million US dollars two thousand and six

626
00:30:55.200 --> 00:30:57.920
<v Speaker 3>dollars at the time. It's just there's something about our

627
00:30:57.960 --> 00:31:01.680
<v Speaker 3>process that just sucks up dollars and time and produces nothing. Yeah,

628
00:31:01.680 --> 00:31:04.000
<v Speaker 3>I'm with you on the problem of appreciation problem. You

629
00:31:04.000 --> 00:31:05.759
<v Speaker 3>can go back as I have done and watch these

630
00:31:05.839 --> 00:31:08.319
<v Speaker 3>congressional hearings and it's just the same. It's the same,

631
00:31:08.359 --> 00:31:09.960
<v Speaker 3>and it's the same, and it's the same, and nothing

632
00:31:10.000 --> 00:31:13.039
<v Speaker 3>seems to change. Well, I am hopeful that things may change.

633
00:31:15.240 --> 00:31:18.559
<v Speaker 5>Well, I mean, we have restrictions on there's no reason

634
00:31:18.759 --> 00:31:21.160
<v Speaker 5>conceivably we just couldn't tell the fence, hey, build these

635
00:31:21.160 --> 00:31:25.079
<v Speaker 5>ships to our specifications, which are your specifications, because you

636
00:31:25.079 --> 00:31:26.839
<v Speaker 5>know how to do it, and buy them. Except for

637
00:31:26.880 --> 00:31:30.119
<v Speaker 5>the fact we have this requirement that we can't buy

638
00:31:30.240 --> 00:31:34.200
<v Speaker 5>ships made in foreign countries, and so we're limited to

639
00:31:34.480 --> 00:31:37.359
<v Speaker 5>importing the expertise buying some of the components, but no

640
00:31:37.440 --> 00:31:41.759
<v Speaker 5>more than forty nine percent, I think, and I can't

641
00:31:41.759 --> 00:31:43.920
<v Speaker 5>remember exact terms, but you know, talk a little bit

642
00:31:43.920 --> 00:31:46.079
<v Speaker 5>about the impact of the Jones Act and some of

643
00:31:46.079 --> 00:31:49.279
<v Speaker 5>these other laws have prohibit us from just simply purchasing

644
00:31:50.240 --> 00:31:51.119
<v Speaker 5>some of these ships.

645
00:31:52.799 --> 00:31:58.559
<v Speaker 3>Sure, so the governing law for the Coastguard isn't the

646
00:31:58.640 --> 00:32:01.480
<v Speaker 3>Jones Zach, but it's this Title fourteen US Code, and

647
00:32:01.720 --> 00:32:05.240
<v Speaker 3>Title fourteen US Code has a provision which basically says

648
00:32:05.240 --> 00:32:07.480
<v Speaker 3>that all the ships a Coastguard, you know, uses Shelby

649
00:32:07.480 --> 00:32:10.640
<v Speaker 3>built the United States. But then there's a waiver says

650
00:32:10.640 --> 00:32:12.960
<v Speaker 3>the President of the United States may issue a national

651
00:32:13.000 --> 00:32:16.160
<v Speaker 3>security waiver if required. He just has to provide a

652
00:32:16.200 --> 00:32:20.440
<v Speaker 3>justification for that waiver. So there's a bit of political

653
00:32:20.440 --> 00:32:23.759
<v Speaker 3>will on this point. This is what we started to

654
00:32:23.799 --> 00:32:26.720
<v Speaker 3>see in back in twenty twenty at the end of

655
00:32:26.720 --> 00:32:29.720
<v Speaker 3>the first Trumpet administration where he had President Trump had

656
00:32:29.759 --> 00:32:32.920
<v Speaker 3>a great relationship with then finished President Sally Ninist and

657
00:32:32.920 --> 00:32:36.160
<v Speaker 3>they would always talk about icebreakers. Ice breakers were a

658
00:32:36.200 --> 00:32:38.160
<v Speaker 3>constant theme between the two of them, and there were

659
00:32:38.200 --> 00:32:40.799
<v Speaker 3>several large visits on this subject and a lot of

660
00:32:41.000 --> 00:32:43.960
<v Speaker 3>things started moving in a certain direction because the Trumpet

661
00:32:43.960 --> 00:32:48.960
<v Speaker 3>administration was willing to issue a Title fourteen waiver, I believe,

662
00:32:49.079 --> 00:32:52.319
<v Speaker 3>and they are working on a medium term solution because

663
00:32:52.400 --> 00:32:55.319
<v Speaker 3>back at that point in time, the polar security cutter

664
00:32:55.680 --> 00:32:59.519
<v Speaker 3>was still relatively new. It wasn't you know, the problems

665
00:32:59.559 --> 00:33:01.720
<v Speaker 3>that have come to light now hadn't come to light

666
00:33:01.759 --> 00:33:03.799
<v Speaker 3>at that point. But that was still going to be that.

667
00:33:03.880 --> 00:33:06.400
<v Speaker 3>The long term solution was to build three or or

668
00:33:06.440 --> 00:33:08.920
<v Speaker 3>more of these vessels. But in the interim there was

669
00:33:08.960 --> 00:33:12.119
<v Speaker 3>a need for vessels now like there still is four

670
00:33:12.200 --> 00:33:14.799
<v Speaker 3>years later. And to fulfill that there are two things

671
00:33:14.799 --> 00:33:17.079
<v Speaker 3>specifically looked at. When was the least or purchase of

672
00:33:17.119 --> 00:33:19.200
<v Speaker 3>an existing ice breaker and that's when our friend the

673
00:33:19.240 --> 00:33:22.200
<v Speaker 3>Ivich down there, since it was US built, came to mind.

674
00:33:22.319 --> 00:33:25.319
<v Speaker 3>And then there are two finish multi purpose ice breakers

675
00:33:25.359 --> 00:33:30.440
<v Speaker 3>which are available for lease or perhaps purchase more light

676
00:33:30.839 --> 00:33:33.640
<v Speaker 3>like lease I believe, depends on the politics here at

677
00:33:33.680 --> 00:33:36.680
<v Speaker 3>the time, that can do polar missions. So that was

678
00:33:36.720 --> 00:33:39.799
<v Speaker 3>sort of a short term solution. Medium term solution was

679
00:33:39.839 --> 00:33:43.680
<v Speaker 3>going to build a commercial spec icebreaker in Finland or

680
00:33:43.720 --> 00:33:46.400
<v Speaker 3>several of them in three or four years. You had

681
00:33:46.400 --> 00:33:48.599
<v Speaker 3>to shipyard loading at the time here in Finland that

682
00:33:48.720 --> 00:33:51.960
<v Speaker 3>was feasible if done quickly. So we had there was

683
00:33:51.960 --> 00:33:54.000
<v Speaker 3>a short term, a medium term, and a long term.

684
00:33:54.160 --> 00:33:57.160
<v Speaker 3>Part of that midterm wasn't just going to be We're

685
00:33:57.160 --> 00:33:59.640
<v Speaker 3>just going to open purchase three ice breakers. There was

686
00:33:59.640 --> 00:34:02.480
<v Speaker 3>an idea of a partnership where you'd have a U

687
00:34:02.519 --> 00:34:05.440
<v Speaker 3>S shipyard come over here, work with the fins of

688
00:34:05.519 --> 00:34:08.519
<v Speaker 3>the finished shipyard and partnership on design and building.

689
00:34:08.119 --> 00:34:11.039
<v Speaker 4>A hull one toll. They toe hull one to.

690
00:34:11.039 --> 00:34:13.800
<v Speaker 3>The US for a final outfitting in assembly, and then

691
00:34:13.840 --> 00:34:17.159
<v Speaker 3>you'd begin building whole two in filland or the US wherever,

692
00:34:17.320 --> 00:34:19.840
<v Speaker 3>with experts from both sides to ensure sort of the

693
00:34:20.119 --> 00:34:23.000
<v Speaker 3>crawl walk run approach to building a type of ship

694
00:34:23.000 --> 00:34:25.840
<v Speaker 3>that our shipyards to start experience in building and designing.

695
00:34:25.920 --> 00:34:27.639
<v Speaker 3>And that was going to be the mid term solution,

696
00:34:27.840 --> 00:34:30.000
<v Speaker 3>and then these polar security cutters are going to be

697
00:34:30.039 --> 00:34:32.800
<v Speaker 3>the long term solution. Because the Coast Guard ultimately says

698
00:34:32.840 --> 00:34:35.639
<v Speaker 3>it needs eight or nine vessels, and that's pretty consistent

699
00:34:35.800 --> 00:34:38.800
<v Speaker 3>with its mission analysis over the years. It sometimes drops

700
00:34:38.800 --> 00:34:40.840
<v Speaker 3>to four or five when it gets rid of the

701
00:34:40.920 --> 00:34:44.760
<v Speaker 3>DoD aspect of that, and by that I mean the

702
00:34:44.840 --> 00:34:46.719
<v Speaker 3>naval operational concepts for a while.

703
00:34:46.800 --> 00:34:48.079
<v Speaker 4>So the Coast Guards should.

704
00:34:47.880 --> 00:34:50.840
<v Speaker 3>Guarantee the Navy twenty four to seven three sixty five

705
00:34:50.880 --> 00:34:54.519
<v Speaker 3>access to the Arctic and the Antarctics simultaneously. You throw

706
00:34:54.559 --> 00:34:57.159
<v Speaker 3>those two requirements in here, four to five goes to

707
00:34:57.199 --> 00:34:59.280
<v Speaker 3>eight or nine, So eight or nine is pretty much

708
00:34:59.280 --> 00:35:01.199
<v Speaker 3>a consistent numb But if you look at the Coast

709
00:35:01.199 --> 00:35:03.320
<v Speaker 3>Guard right now, we have two that are one that's

710
00:35:03.360 --> 00:35:05.960
<v Speaker 3>falling apart. Well, that still has some life left in her,

711
00:35:05.960 --> 00:35:08.599
<v Speaker 3>but it's not the most capable vessel, and we're playing

712
00:35:08.599 --> 00:35:11.440
<v Speaker 3>on building three. So if all goes well, we'll sit

713
00:35:11.480 --> 00:35:14.320
<v Speaker 3>here at twenty forty with three ice breakers and say

714
00:35:14.320 --> 00:35:16.719
<v Speaker 3>we need eight or nine. So what gets me on

715
00:35:16.760 --> 00:35:19.000
<v Speaker 3>this is the lack of a long term plan. You

716
00:35:19.000 --> 00:35:21.960
<v Speaker 3>can criticize the Navy's thirty year shipbuilding plan, but you

717
00:35:21.960 --> 00:35:24.639
<v Speaker 3>could look at the Navy's thirty year shipbuilding plan. You

718
00:35:24.679 --> 00:35:26.880
<v Speaker 3>can't look at the Coast guards thirty year shipbuilding plan

719
00:35:26.960 --> 00:35:28.920
<v Speaker 3>because it doesn't exist, at least publicly.

720
00:35:30.599 --> 00:35:33.639
<v Speaker 1>One of my little pet hobby horses is not that

721
00:35:33.679 --> 00:35:37.199
<v Speaker 1>I covet my neighbor's ice hardened corvettes, but I do

722
00:35:37.440 --> 00:35:40.920
<v Speaker 1>the Danes have an ice hardened I don't know if

723
00:35:40.920 --> 00:35:44.480
<v Speaker 1>they call it a corvette or an offshore support vessel,

724
00:35:44.559 --> 00:35:49.360
<v Speaker 1>but it's armed to the teeth. The Fins they are

725
00:35:49.840 --> 00:35:53.519
<v Speaker 1>what you described as their ice breaking corvette. It also

726
00:35:53.719 --> 00:35:57.760
<v Speaker 1>is armed to the teeth. The Russians have a new

727
00:36:00.679 --> 00:36:02.800
<v Speaker 1>was let me dig it up here, Rovius. Here we go,

728
00:36:02.880 --> 00:36:07.480
<v Speaker 1>Project twenty three five fifty ice class missile armed ice

729
00:36:07.559 --> 00:36:10.480
<v Speaker 1>capable corvette. And you can look back even to the

730
00:36:10.559 --> 00:36:13.599
<v Speaker 1>US Navy's history. We had the Wind class ice breakers

731
00:36:14.440 --> 00:36:16.960
<v Speaker 1>that were built from forty two to two, which for

732
00:36:17.000 --> 00:36:21.519
<v Speaker 1>their time were armed like a destroyer destroyer escort type

733
00:36:21.599 --> 00:36:24.960
<v Speaker 1>ships of the same era. But we have that report

734
00:36:24.960 --> 00:36:28.880
<v Speaker 1>from twenty ten that said we needed six which is

735
00:36:29.000 --> 00:36:30.920
<v Speaker 1>three of which needed to be heavy. We're working on

736
00:36:30.960 --> 00:36:33.039
<v Speaker 1>the heavy part and you outline you depend upon how

737
00:36:33.079 --> 00:36:36.960
<v Speaker 1>you define your terms. We need an additional three doesn't

738
00:36:37.000 --> 00:36:43.440
<v Speaker 1>have to be heavy, but more ships. Is if the

739
00:36:43.519 --> 00:36:47.239
<v Speaker 1>Russians have over forty ice breakers, seven of which are nuclear.

740
00:36:47.360 --> 00:36:50.599
<v Speaker 1>And we know how important Alaska is, we know the

741
00:36:50.679 --> 00:36:54.679
<v Speaker 1>China's going up there more and the fact that relations

742
00:36:54.679 --> 00:36:58.320
<v Speaker 1>aren't getting friendlier with either China or the People's Republic

743
00:36:58.360 --> 00:37:02.320
<v Speaker 1>of China, is there any appetite or at least acknowledge

744
00:37:02.320 --> 00:37:05.800
<v Speaker 1>it of the fact that whether we build three or

745
00:37:05.880 --> 00:37:09.360
<v Speaker 1>nine icebreakers, at some point that they need to be

746
00:37:09.400 --> 00:37:13.639
<v Speaker 1>prepared to defend themselves in the Arctic, because all of

747
00:37:13.679 --> 00:37:18.239
<v Speaker 1>our potential enemies, in some of our allies, seem to

748
00:37:18.280 --> 00:37:21.480
<v Speaker 1>have done the analysis of the situation such that they

749
00:37:21.480 --> 00:37:23.920
<v Speaker 1>are going into Arctic armed while we're not.

750
00:37:25.559 --> 00:37:31.079
<v Speaker 3>Well, most, if not all, polar ice breakers currently are

751
00:37:31.159 --> 00:37:33.880
<v Speaker 3>not armed beyond the small arms levels.

752
00:37:33.920 --> 00:37:35.320
<v Speaker 4>The small arms level.

753
00:37:35.199 --> 00:37:38.519
<v Speaker 3>The Danes and then the Norwegians they have a couple

754
00:37:38.559 --> 00:37:41.599
<v Speaker 3>of patrol vessels that are armed, but they have a

755
00:37:41.639 --> 00:37:44.440
<v Speaker 3>specific purpose. So the Danes have greenland they have to

756
00:37:44.599 --> 00:37:47.280
<v Speaker 3>sort of patrol, and those waters when you're getting close

757
00:37:47.360 --> 00:37:50.079
<v Speaker 3>do you get they do get icy and you can

758
00:37:50.400 --> 00:37:53.079
<v Speaker 3>that candle limit access. So the days they haven't need

759
00:37:53.119 --> 00:37:56.000
<v Speaker 3>to patrol sort of their territory, and their Awegians go

760
00:37:56.079 --> 00:37:58.239
<v Speaker 3>up this fall Bard they have the same thing. So

761
00:37:58.280 --> 00:38:01.519
<v Speaker 3>they have to have a ship capable controlling in those areas.

762
00:38:01.639 --> 00:38:04.239
<v Speaker 3>But those are those are patrol. Those are harder patrol ships.

763
00:38:04.360 --> 00:38:06.719
<v Speaker 3>They're not true ice breakers. They're not going to go

764
00:38:06.800 --> 00:38:09.039
<v Speaker 3>up into the hard ice and they're not really going

765
00:38:09.079 --> 00:38:11.159
<v Speaker 3>to be able to bring anyone with them. Up into

766
00:38:11.320 --> 00:38:13.519
<v Speaker 3>into hard ice, or into any ice for that matter.

767
00:38:13.840 --> 00:38:15.440
<v Speaker 3>It's just not the way it is. There is a

768
00:38:15.480 --> 00:38:18.719
<v Speaker 3>recent exercise and name of it escapes me, but they're

769
00:38:18.760 --> 00:38:22.079
<v Speaker 3>doing a search and rescue exercise with a cruise ship

770
00:38:22.199 --> 00:38:25.039
<v Speaker 3>up off of Greenland, and they used the Commandante Charcot,

771
00:38:25.159 --> 00:38:27.400
<v Speaker 3>this French cruise ship, and that actually broke the ice

772
00:38:27.480 --> 00:38:30.000
<v Speaker 3>for the patrol vessels to come on in and do

773
00:38:30.079 --> 00:38:33.480
<v Speaker 3>the rescue operations at one point because the vessels couldn't

774
00:38:33.480 --> 00:38:36.599
<v Speaker 3>penetrate the ice back around Greenland. So there's when we

775
00:38:36.599 --> 00:38:38.679
<v Speaker 3>talk about ice breakers. I think this is a good

776
00:38:38.679 --> 00:38:40.400
<v Speaker 3>point for me to bring this up, that not all

777
00:38:40.440 --> 00:38:43.119
<v Speaker 3>ice breakers are created equal. I mean, saying icebreaker is

778
00:38:43.159 --> 00:38:46.920
<v Speaker 3>like saying warship, and that covers your small harbor patrol

779
00:38:46.960 --> 00:38:50.119
<v Speaker 3>boat and your aircraft carrier with the same turn. So

780
00:38:50.239 --> 00:38:51.760
<v Speaker 3>when you look at ice breakers, you got to look

781
00:38:51.800 --> 00:38:54.639
<v Speaker 3>at really two things. One is the function and the

782
00:38:54.679 --> 00:38:58.480
<v Speaker 3>other is the classification function. I feel a good example

783
00:38:58.480 --> 00:39:00.880
<v Speaker 3>of this is I mentioned these patrol ice breakers, which

784
00:39:00.880 --> 00:39:03.719
<v Speaker 3>are designed to sort of take themselves up and control

785
00:39:03.800 --> 00:39:07.360
<v Speaker 3>areas in shore. National sovereignties maintained maybe enforce the law,

786
00:39:07.400 --> 00:39:10.280
<v Speaker 3>provides some search and rescue and then you have research

787
00:39:10.360 --> 00:39:13.119
<v Speaker 3>ice breakers which are similar, but they took the le

788
00:39:13.239 --> 00:39:15.280
<v Speaker 3>go to the polar regions. So you're going to send

789
00:39:15.360 --> 00:39:18.039
<v Speaker 3>a ship up to the Arctic or down to the Antarctic,

790
00:39:18.559 --> 00:39:21.480
<v Speaker 3>and they are going to conduct scientific research solely on

791
00:39:21.519 --> 00:39:24.639
<v Speaker 3>that vessel. The Heale falls into this category are medium

792
00:39:24.679 --> 00:39:27.880
<v Speaker 3>ice Breaker, which was commissioned or built in nineteen ninety nine,

793
00:39:27.960 --> 00:39:31.239
<v Speaker 3>and actually Healey is based on a Finnish icebreaker design.

794
00:39:31.599 --> 00:39:35.280
<v Speaker 3>The Icebreaker also and there was intellectual property exchange in

795
00:39:35.320 --> 00:39:37.800
<v Speaker 3>her construction with Finland. There were fins on the ground

796
00:39:37.800 --> 00:39:40.920
<v Speaker 3>at Avondale Industries when they are building the ship. Cooperation

797
00:39:41.119 --> 00:39:43.800
<v Speaker 3>going on during that process. But these ships are designed

798
00:39:43.800 --> 00:39:47.320
<v Speaker 3>for independent operations. They're not designed to assist other vessels

799
00:39:47.320 --> 00:39:50.639
<v Speaker 3>in the ice and can they perhaps, but it's not pretty.

800
00:39:50.719 --> 00:39:52.400
<v Speaker 3>I was trying to think of a way to illustrate

801
00:39:52.440 --> 00:39:54.880
<v Speaker 3>this when someone reminded me of what happened to Noam

802
00:39:54.920 --> 00:39:58.360
<v Speaker 3>Alaska back and I think it was twenty twelve when

803
00:39:58.559 --> 00:40:02.639
<v Speaker 3>they missed a fuel large delivery before the winter ice

804
00:40:02.679 --> 00:40:05.599
<v Speaker 3>came in, so they were there out they needed to

805
00:40:05.639 --> 00:40:08.599
<v Speaker 3>get some more petroleum products shipped in there, but the

806
00:40:08.639 --> 00:40:11.440
<v Speaker 3>whole area was iced up and Heally was the only

807
00:40:11.480 --> 00:40:15.320
<v Speaker 3>available vessel to escort in a tanker, so we got

808
00:40:15.320 --> 00:40:18.199
<v Speaker 3>this Russian tanker. They did a Jonzact waiver because it

809
00:40:18.239 --> 00:40:21.679
<v Speaker 3>went from the Illusions up into Nome. And Healey escorted

810
00:40:21.679 --> 00:40:25.079
<v Speaker 3>this tanker for about three hundred miles according to some

811
00:40:25.119 --> 00:40:27.079
<v Speaker 3>of the reports that I've read from the ice pilot,

812
00:40:27.280 --> 00:40:29.880
<v Speaker 3>they made some days only five or six miles. And

813
00:40:29.960 --> 00:40:32.000
<v Speaker 3>part of the problem, I mean Heally could handle that

814
00:40:32.079 --> 00:40:34.639
<v Speaker 3>ice level at a relatively good speed, and the tanker

815
00:40:34.719 --> 00:40:37.599
<v Speaker 3>she was escorting did have an ice hardened double hole,

816
00:40:38.000 --> 00:40:41.320
<v Speaker 3>so she was going to survive. But ice, it's like water, right,

817
00:40:41.480 --> 00:40:43.559
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it is water, but when you have wind

818
00:40:43.599 --> 00:40:46.960
<v Speaker 3>over ice, it creates pressure, just like wind over water

819
00:40:47.159 --> 00:40:51.079
<v Speaker 3>creates your waves. It has a definite effect. So when

820
00:40:51.079 --> 00:40:53.000
<v Speaker 3>you have strong wind blowing, the ice is under a

821
00:40:53.039 --> 00:40:55.159
<v Speaker 3>lot of pressure. So if you're breaking the ice, even

822
00:40:55.159 --> 00:40:57.719
<v Speaker 3>if you're just a little bit, you know, one hundred

823
00:40:57.800 --> 00:40:59.760
<v Speaker 3>yards in front of the ship behind you, the ice

824
00:40:59.840 --> 00:41:02.559
<v Speaker 3>go reform right behind you. So as you break the ice,

825
00:41:02.719 --> 00:41:04.800
<v Speaker 3>you know, you try to break a channel for another vessel.

826
00:41:04.920 --> 00:41:07.639
<v Speaker 3>So what he Y saws, she'd break ice, cut a

827
00:41:07.639 --> 00:41:10.559
<v Speaker 3>swath and freeze up right behind her. Now he use

828
00:41:10.599 --> 00:41:12.840
<v Speaker 3>an older model ice breaker, so she's not quite as

829
00:41:12.840 --> 00:41:16.000
<v Speaker 3>maneuverable as the modern potted ships. So it was a

830
00:41:16.039 --> 00:41:18.599
<v Speaker 3>lot of work for her to turn around and keep

831
00:41:18.719 --> 00:41:21.000
<v Speaker 3>breaking the ice to keep this vessel moving. It was

832
00:41:21.000 --> 00:41:23.360
<v Speaker 3>it was a grind for three hundred miles to bring

833
00:41:23.400 --> 00:41:26.360
<v Speaker 3>this ship in. Meanwhile, here in Finland, that's what the

834
00:41:26.360 --> 00:41:28.639
<v Speaker 3>ice breakers do day in and day out. They do

835
00:41:28.719 --> 00:41:32.039
<v Speaker 3>that close aboard work. They're very very maneuverable. A lot

836
00:41:32.079 --> 00:41:34.159
<v Speaker 3>of the ships, they're not just opening a channel, they're

837
00:41:34.159 --> 00:41:36.679
<v Speaker 3>bringing the vessel in. They have a toe notch. They

838
00:41:36.760 --> 00:41:39.960
<v Speaker 3>have a great towing capability, so they'll they'll let that

839
00:41:40.000 --> 00:41:42.639
<v Speaker 3>big merchant vessel go right up into their stern notch,

840
00:41:42.800 --> 00:41:45.119
<v Speaker 3>tie them off and pull them in through the ice

841
00:41:45.199 --> 00:41:48.599
<v Speaker 3>as a single vessel to eliminate that sort of surging problem.

842
00:41:49.000 --> 00:41:50.840
<v Speaker 3>And just what they do day in and day out,

843
00:41:50.840 --> 00:41:53.039
<v Speaker 3>and they're very good at it. So you can take

844
00:41:53.159 --> 00:41:55.440
<v Speaker 3>an esport ice breaker and you can do another mission.

845
00:41:55.639 --> 00:41:57.480
<v Speaker 3>You can send the ship to show the flag wherever

846
00:41:57.480 --> 00:41:59.719
<v Speaker 3>you want to go, but you can't necessarily take a

847
00:42:00.000 --> 00:42:02.519
<v Speaker 3>control ice breaker and do one of these other missions.

848
00:42:02.559 --> 00:42:04.320
<v Speaker 3>I seem to have lost roles going with this in

849
00:42:04.400 --> 00:42:07.320
<v Speaker 3>answering your question. But this is one of those differences

850
00:42:07.440 --> 00:42:09.920
<v Speaker 3>that's out there when it comes to the Russian ice breakers.

851
00:42:12.360 --> 00:42:15.519
<v Speaker 3>The Russians have a major sea route north to seventy degrees.

852
00:42:16.199 --> 00:42:17.480
<v Speaker 4>They need their.

853
00:42:17.360 --> 00:42:19.920
<v Speaker 3>Fifty to sixty depending on how you count ice breakers.

854
00:42:19.920 --> 00:42:22.880
<v Speaker 3>It's do very various different things. The nuclear ones are

855
00:42:22.920 --> 00:42:26.360
<v Speaker 3>there primarily for northern sea route escort. They want to

856
00:42:26.400 --> 00:42:28.800
<v Speaker 3>keep that northern sea route open in the future all

857
00:42:28.880 --> 00:42:31.920
<v Speaker 3>year round, including during the winter. So having ten nuclear

858
00:42:31.920 --> 00:42:34.960
<v Speaker 3>ice breakers at the hard points will enable a lot

859
00:42:35.000 --> 00:42:38.039
<v Speaker 3>of their liquid natural gas shipments to get out directly

860
00:42:38.159 --> 00:42:40.719
<v Speaker 3>to China and to the east from the Yamal Peninsula

861
00:42:40.719 --> 00:42:43.159
<v Speaker 3>and other locations, and they're seeing quite the increase in

862
00:42:43.199 --> 00:42:46.559
<v Speaker 3>traffic there. So the Russians have ice breakers to keep

863
00:42:46.599 --> 00:42:49.360
<v Speaker 3>that route open to support their oil and gas industry.

864
00:42:49.639 --> 00:42:52.480
<v Speaker 3>So that's the broader reason for all their ships, and

865
00:42:52.679 --> 00:42:56.079
<v Speaker 3>very few of them are armed. I know the Project

866
00:42:56.400 --> 00:42:58.719
<v Speaker 3>two three, five five zero gets a lot of attention,

867
00:42:58.960 --> 00:43:03.719
<v Speaker 3>but it's a talk of the any ship cruise missiles.

868
00:43:03.760 --> 00:43:07.199
<v Speaker 3>This is a modular system for the caliber. It's these

869
00:43:07.199 --> 00:43:10.280
<v Speaker 3>containerized missiles that it's supposed to have space for and

870
00:43:10.400 --> 00:43:13.280
<v Speaker 3>power for. But I don't think we've actually seen these

871
00:43:13.320 --> 00:43:17.800
<v Speaker 3>modular caliber missiles deployed anywhere at all despite them being

872
00:43:18.119 --> 00:43:21.519
<v Speaker 3>being listed as available. So I'm not so concerned. I

873
00:43:21.559 --> 00:43:23.800
<v Speaker 3>think at this point it's just a ship that's well

874
00:43:23.880 --> 00:43:27.239
<v Speaker 3>armed with guns, which the Norwegians have, and the Canadians

875
00:43:27.239 --> 00:43:29.840
<v Speaker 3>are building their offshore patrol vessels, offhore patrol ships which

876
00:43:29.920 --> 00:43:32.599
<v Speaker 3>have small arms as well. You're not really talking about

877
00:43:32.719 --> 00:43:36.360
<v Speaker 3>arming icebreakers yet. I don't think there really is any

878
00:43:36.400 --> 00:43:39.400
<v Speaker 3>movement for that, for sort of these polar missions, rather

879
00:43:39.440 --> 00:43:42.119
<v Speaker 3>for these sort of local patrol missions that involve extending

880
00:43:42.159 --> 00:43:45.519
<v Speaker 3>sovereignty and off Greenland small Barred, the northern parts of

881
00:43:45.559 --> 00:43:47.960
<v Speaker 3>the Bay of Botanya, the eastern parts of the Baltic Sea.

882
00:43:48.039 --> 00:43:49.639
<v Speaker 3>These are where you're seeing a lot of the ice

883
00:43:49.719 --> 00:43:51.159
<v Speaker 3>hardened vessels be built.

884
00:43:52.519 --> 00:43:56.519
<v Speaker 5>Back in July, it looks like we signed a pack

885
00:43:56.679 --> 00:44:00.719
<v Speaker 5>with Canada and Finland called the This is Clever, the

886
00:44:01.039 --> 00:44:07.320
<v Speaker 5>Icebreaker Coalition Effort or ice Packed, which allows, as I understand,

887
00:44:07.800 --> 00:44:10.960
<v Speaker 5>we're going to try and get everybody interested in buying icebreakers,

888
00:44:11.000 --> 00:44:14.199
<v Speaker 5>all our allies, some built in Finland, some built in Canada,

889
00:44:14.400 --> 00:44:16.239
<v Speaker 5>some built in the US, and there's gonna be a

890
00:44:16.280 --> 00:44:18.719
<v Speaker 5>lot of cooperation. Are you familiar with that and what's

891
00:44:18.719 --> 00:44:19.239
<v Speaker 5>it all about.

892
00:44:20.280 --> 00:44:22.599
<v Speaker 3>Oh, yeah, I've heard of the ice packed as I'm

893
00:44:22.639 --> 00:44:23.559
<v Speaker 3>sure you can imagine.

894
00:44:23.639 --> 00:44:24.719
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I was.

895
00:44:24.960 --> 00:44:27.320
<v Speaker 3>At first, I was wondering if this was sort of

896
00:44:27.320 --> 00:44:30.280
<v Speaker 3>a continuation of the efforts that I saw during Trumpet

897
00:44:30.239 --> 00:44:33.440
<v Speaker 3>administration to build or least fog icebreakers to fill this

898
00:44:33.719 --> 00:44:37.000
<v Speaker 3>short to medium term gap. But it's not, at least

899
00:44:37.039 --> 00:44:39.880
<v Speaker 3>not yet. It's something different, and right now it just

900
00:44:39.880 --> 00:44:42.280
<v Speaker 3>appears to be a good idea. As someone wrote down,

901
00:44:42.480 --> 00:44:45.920
<v Speaker 3>there's no concrete projects involved. I mean, the idea as

902
00:44:45.960 --> 00:44:50.039
<v Speaker 3>I heard some one of the National Security Council officials say,

903
00:44:50.159 --> 00:44:52.800
<v Speaker 3>was something about if we can all get better together,

904
00:44:52.880 --> 00:44:54.880
<v Speaker 3>we can drive the cost down, then we expect a

905
00:44:54.960 --> 00:44:57.960
<v Speaker 3>large increase in orders of ice breakers and ice capable

906
00:44:58.039 --> 00:45:00.920
<v Speaker 3>vessels up to ninety over the next decade or whatever.

907
00:45:01.079 --> 00:45:04.000
<v Speaker 3>But I honestly, I don't know what he's talking about.

908
00:45:04.119 --> 00:45:04.760
<v Speaker 4>The market for.

909
00:45:04.760 --> 00:45:07.960
<v Speaker 3>Icebreakers is quite finite at the moment, unless we suddenly

910
00:45:08.000 --> 00:45:11.239
<v Speaker 3>decide to open back up Arctic oil and gas exploration

911
00:45:11.320 --> 00:45:13.679
<v Speaker 3>in the West, which we've shut down a couple you know,

912
00:45:13.920 --> 00:45:16.360
<v Speaker 3>for over about a decade now. In the absence of that,

913
00:45:16.440 --> 00:45:19.079
<v Speaker 3>I don't think there's any increasing demand for ice breakers

914
00:45:19.159 --> 00:45:22.360
<v Speaker 3>or ice capable vessels beyond replacing those that are already

915
00:45:22.360 --> 00:45:24.920
<v Speaker 3>in existence that are already planned. As far as reducing

916
00:45:24.960 --> 00:45:28.920
<v Speaker 3>the costs, I mentioned some of the comparative costs earlier

917
00:45:29.000 --> 00:45:31.320
<v Speaker 3>building in Europe or building at Finland versus building in

918
00:45:31.360 --> 00:45:33.800
<v Speaker 3>the United States. Are building in Canada, the costs here

919
00:45:34.039 --> 00:45:37.320
<v Speaker 3>significantly lower. And right now Helsinki ship Yard, which was

920
00:45:37.400 --> 00:45:40.119
<v Speaker 3>just purchased by Davy of Canada has an open order book.

921
00:45:40.159 --> 00:45:42.239
<v Speaker 3>I mean they have no orders right now, so the

922
00:45:42.280 --> 00:45:45.239
<v Speaker 3>market it doesn't exist for that many ice breakers.

923
00:45:45.320 --> 00:45:45.480
<v Speaker 2>Now.

924
00:45:45.519 --> 00:45:47.960
<v Speaker 3>The Swedes and the Fins are are in the process

925
00:45:48.000 --> 00:45:50.400
<v Speaker 3>of replacing some of their older ships. A couple ships

926
00:45:50.440 --> 00:45:52.280
<v Speaker 3>in the finish inventory go back to the Nines, so

927
00:45:52.280 --> 00:45:54.119
<v Speaker 3>they do have to replace some of those vessels. But

928
00:45:54.280 --> 00:45:57.960
<v Speaker 3>right now Sweden, they have their product is out for

929
00:45:58.000 --> 00:46:00.519
<v Speaker 3>bid for construction. It was supposed to be too, but

930
00:46:00.559 --> 00:46:03.960
<v Speaker 3>always decreased to one because of a cost basically available

931
00:46:04.000 --> 00:46:06.320
<v Speaker 3>revenue from from Sweden to buy a vessel right now,

932
00:46:06.880 --> 00:46:09.440
<v Speaker 3>and there are some political and sort of legal wrangling

933
00:46:09.480 --> 00:46:12.440
<v Speaker 3>going on over the finished contracts right now, so those

934
00:46:12.440 --> 00:46:14.679
<v Speaker 3>are both still open, but they'll be coming up. The

935
00:46:14.679 --> 00:46:17.719
<v Speaker 3>next two years. Canada's has a national ship building plan.

936
00:46:17.920 --> 00:46:20.039
<v Speaker 3>They've laid out who's going to build their ships and

937
00:46:20.039 --> 00:46:22.199
<v Speaker 3>when they're going to be built. If you look at

938
00:46:22.199 --> 00:46:24.800
<v Speaker 3>the ones and twos of the Arctic research vessels or

939
00:46:24.840 --> 00:46:27.719
<v Speaker 3>the Antarctic research vessels that will be replaced, the demand

940
00:46:27.800 --> 00:46:31.760
<v Speaker 3>doesn't seem to be anywhere near ninety. I know, those ships,

941
00:46:32.039 --> 00:46:34.320
<v Speaker 3>like I'd say about eighty five percent of them, you

942
00:46:34.360 --> 00:46:36.519
<v Speaker 3>could already tell where they're going to be built just

943
00:46:36.559 --> 00:46:39.679
<v Speaker 3>based on the client, based on the customer. So the

944
00:46:39.679 --> 00:46:41.760
<v Speaker 3>ice pack that it stands now, I mean, the Fins

945
00:46:41.800 --> 00:46:44.280
<v Speaker 3>are excited about it because they think that if the

946
00:46:44.400 --> 00:46:47.840
<v Speaker 3>US is serious about acquiring icebreakers, eventually they'll come to

947
00:46:47.880 --> 00:46:50.840
<v Speaker 3>the only solution available, which is to buy an icebreaker

948
00:46:50.880 --> 00:46:53.840
<v Speaker 3>built in Finland. So even though it's explicitly not part

949
00:46:53.880 --> 00:46:56.760
<v Speaker 3>of the ice packed, the Fins are quite open about that.

950
00:46:56.960 --> 00:46:58.760
<v Speaker 3>You can read about it here in the newspapers, and

951
00:46:58.800 --> 00:47:01.320
<v Speaker 3>if you talk to people at all, they'll tell you directly.

952
00:47:01.440 --> 00:47:03.440
<v Speaker 3>And that's our goal here. But even if we don't

953
00:47:03.440 --> 00:47:05.960
<v Speaker 3>get it, if you want the best diesel engines for

954
00:47:06.000 --> 00:47:08.400
<v Speaker 3>cold weather, if you want the best pod oft propulsion,

955
00:47:08.559 --> 00:47:10.599
<v Speaker 3>if you want you know, the best components. You're going

956
00:47:10.639 --> 00:47:12.320
<v Speaker 3>to have to buy them from US anyway. But if

957
00:47:12.360 --> 00:47:14.360
<v Speaker 3>you really want the ships in the timeline that you

958
00:47:14.400 --> 00:47:16.480
<v Speaker 3>say you need them, and you really want them, you

959
00:47:16.519 --> 00:47:17.920
<v Speaker 3>don't have any other alternatives.

960
00:47:18.119 --> 00:47:18.599
<v Speaker 2>This is it.

961
00:47:19.400 --> 00:47:23.079
<v Speaker 1>And I also see some few echoes of Again, it

962
00:47:23.320 --> 00:47:26.000
<v Speaker 1>depends on whether you're talking to a program manager or

963
00:47:26.119 --> 00:47:28.400
<v Speaker 1>if you talk to somebody who's actually going to have

964
00:47:28.519 --> 00:47:33.000
<v Speaker 1>to fly a crippled plane east of Taiwan. When you

965
00:47:33.000 --> 00:47:36.039
<v Speaker 1>look at the Japanese and they're US two seaplane, it

966
00:47:36.719 --> 00:47:38.960
<v Speaker 1>fills a mission that we presently have gap but we

967
00:47:39.000 --> 00:47:42.199
<v Speaker 1>can't produce it. Here's like, well, you know, the Japanese

968
00:47:42.239 --> 00:47:45.599
<v Speaker 1>buy a lot of a US military kit, why don't

969
00:47:45.639 --> 00:47:47.360
<v Speaker 1>we You know, if you want to want a friend,

970
00:47:47.400 --> 00:47:49.719
<v Speaker 1>be a friend, won't return the favor, and you know,

971
00:47:49.840 --> 00:47:52.079
<v Speaker 1>just just buy some US twos from them.

972
00:47:52.320 --> 00:47:54.840
<v Speaker 2>And the Fins.

973
00:47:54.480 --> 00:47:57.320
<v Speaker 1>Recently, it's not like they don't buy anything from US.

974
00:47:57.400 --> 00:48:01.639
<v Speaker 1>They the State Department just approve a sale to Finland

975
00:48:01.639 --> 00:48:06.119
<v Speaker 1>of over eight hundred million worth of Harpoon anti ship missiles.

976
00:48:06.199 --> 00:48:09.719
<v Speaker 1>The you've all see Sparrow Mark forty one VLS systems

977
00:48:09.760 --> 00:48:12.840
<v Speaker 1>and that's eight hundred million dollars that they've bought from

978
00:48:12.920 --> 00:48:18.199
<v Speaker 1>US for these not heavy ice breakers, but the other

979
00:48:18.280 --> 00:48:19.519
<v Speaker 1>ice breakers.

980
00:48:20.440 --> 00:48:21.079
<v Speaker 2>You could buy.

981
00:48:21.320 --> 00:48:25.119
<v Speaker 1>You could buy something with eight hundred million dollars. Well,

982
00:48:25.400 --> 00:48:25.960
<v Speaker 1>not just that.

983
00:48:26.039 --> 00:48:28.280
<v Speaker 3>If you go back a couple of years, the fins

984
00:48:28.440 --> 00:48:31.000
<v Speaker 3>pended deal. I think they signed it two years ago

985
00:48:31.079 --> 00:48:33.239
<v Speaker 3>to buy sixty four f fives at a cost of

986
00:48:33.320 --> 00:48:37.559
<v Speaker 3>twelve billion dollars. So the money's flowing from Finland. They're

987
00:48:37.599 --> 00:48:40.440
<v Speaker 3>buying lots of US kit. It's not just the fighters

988
00:48:40.440 --> 00:48:42.320
<v Speaker 3>but the weapons that go with them. And you look

989
00:48:42.360 --> 00:48:45.039
<v Speaker 3>into some of the army ammunition. There's a lot of

990
00:48:45.079 --> 00:48:47.519
<v Speaker 3>foreign military sales coming here to fill in. It's not

991
00:48:47.599 --> 00:48:51.199
<v Speaker 3>as if there's a large trade imbalance on defense between

992
00:48:51.320 --> 00:48:54.079
<v Speaker 3>between Filling and the US. So throwing a billion dollars

993
00:48:54.119 --> 00:48:56.920
<v Speaker 3>this way to not throwing, but building. You can even

994
00:48:56.960 --> 00:48:58.880
<v Speaker 3>build a heavy ice breaker here. I mean, you can

995
00:48:58.880 --> 00:49:02.280
<v Speaker 3>build one that does what we want the polar security

996
00:49:02.440 --> 00:49:04.440
<v Speaker 3>to cutter to do. You can build one of those

997
00:49:04.519 --> 00:49:07.280
<v Speaker 3>vessels here in a much shorter period of time. It's

998
00:49:07.360 --> 00:49:11.079
<v Speaker 3>just the fact that it is. I like to compare.

999
00:49:11.239 --> 00:49:14.000
<v Speaker 3>I've mentioned this cruise ship several times because it started

1000
00:49:14.000 --> 00:49:16.199
<v Speaker 3>about the same time. I mean, they started in twenty

1001
00:49:16.239 --> 00:49:19.320
<v Speaker 3>sixteen with the planning, looking at all the ice conditions

1002
00:49:19.360 --> 00:49:21.320
<v Speaker 3>they want to take the ship into. They went into

1003
00:49:21.400 --> 00:49:24.719
<v Speaker 3>concept design, detailed design, and by you know, I think

1004
00:49:24.719 --> 00:49:26.360
<v Speaker 3>it was the middle of twenty twenty one, the thing

1005
00:49:26.400 --> 00:49:30.559
<v Speaker 3>was at the North Pole, and this past summer it

1006
00:49:30.599 --> 00:49:34.119
<v Speaker 3>went to something called the North Pole of Inaccessibility, which

1007
00:49:34.159 --> 00:49:38.320
<v Speaker 3>is the farthest point from land in the Arctic Ocean,

1008
00:49:39.519 --> 00:49:42.679
<v Speaker 3>and there's nothing up there. It's the only ship that's

1009
00:49:42.719 --> 00:49:45.679
<v Speaker 3>gone there by itself, I think, besides the Russian iceed,

1010
00:49:45.800 --> 00:49:48.480
<v Speaker 3>the Russian nuclear ice breaker fifty years of victory, may

1011
00:49:48.519 --> 00:49:50.519
<v Speaker 3>have gone up that way doing arrest you a couple

1012
00:49:50.559 --> 00:49:53.119
<v Speaker 3>of years ago. But ships usually go in tandem because

1013
00:49:53.119 --> 00:49:55.360
<v Speaker 3>if you break down up there, I mean, you're screwed

1014
00:49:55.480 --> 00:49:57.800
<v Speaker 3>here a long way from help. So that I think

1015
00:49:57.880 --> 00:50:01.440
<v Speaker 3>goes into the confidence and the reliable and the redundancy

1016
00:50:01.480 --> 00:50:06.159
<v Speaker 3>built into a modern commercial spec icebreaker that costs quarter

1017
00:50:06.440 --> 00:50:08.559
<v Speaker 3>of what we intend to spend to build a vessel

1018
00:50:08.599 --> 00:50:11.239
<v Speaker 3>that might not even be as capable. So I think

1019
00:50:11.280 --> 00:50:13.880
<v Speaker 3>there's a lot of good that can come. And like

1020
00:50:13.920 --> 00:50:16.239
<v Speaker 3>I mentioned earlier, in the last go round in the

1021
00:50:16.239 --> 00:50:18.519
<v Speaker 3>Trump administration, there was a lot of we gathered a

1022
00:50:18.559 --> 00:50:21.960
<v Speaker 3>lot of good information in fact, the reason I started

1023
00:50:22.039 --> 00:50:24.440
<v Speaker 3>by substack was because a lot of the information I

1024
00:50:24.480 --> 00:50:27.320
<v Speaker 3>gathered and reported in channels I don't think made it anywhere,

1025
00:50:27.360 --> 00:50:29.440
<v Speaker 3>and I thought that should this come back around, I'd

1026
00:50:29.440 --> 00:50:31.719
<v Speaker 3>like to hang a lot of this information, this publicly

1027
00:50:31.760 --> 00:50:35.000
<v Speaker 3>available information, in a single location, so that people who

1028
00:50:35.039 --> 00:50:37.199
<v Speaker 3>may have questions and want to find an answer can

1029
00:50:37.239 --> 00:50:39.840
<v Speaker 3>do so quite easily. So I think there's a lot

1030
00:50:39.880 --> 00:50:42.679
<v Speaker 3>of possibility for good. It's going to take some political

1031
00:50:42.719 --> 00:50:45.039
<v Speaker 3>capital to do it, and if we can get this right,

1032
00:50:45.280 --> 00:50:48.880
<v Speaker 3>realize that shipbuilding and strategy is not a US alone piece.

1033
00:50:48.920 --> 00:50:49.639
<v Speaker 4>That the US.

1034
00:50:49.639 --> 00:50:51.599
<v Speaker 3>We have things we do that no one else does,

1035
00:50:51.880 --> 00:50:54.639
<v Speaker 3>like build nuclear submarines that we need to do more

1036
00:50:54.679 --> 00:50:58.079
<v Speaker 3>of right now. So why should we spend what little

1037
00:50:58.119 --> 00:51:01.320
<v Speaker 3>capital we have, Why should we spend our resources trying

1038
00:51:01.360 --> 00:51:04.719
<v Speaker 3>to build for you know, a niche type of vessel

1039
00:51:05.039 --> 00:51:07.400
<v Speaker 3>like an icebreaker that one of our new allies, who

1040
00:51:07.440 --> 00:51:09.760
<v Speaker 3>already spends a lot of money on defense, spends it

1041
00:51:09.800 --> 00:51:13.119
<v Speaker 3>in the United States, can do better for us. And

1042
00:51:14.039 --> 00:51:16.199
<v Speaker 3>I'm hopeful that we'll see that return in the second

1043
00:51:16.239 --> 00:51:18.880
<v Speaker 3>Trump administration, but we'll see.

1044
00:51:19.000 --> 00:51:21.000
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, let me throw one more before I let you go.

1045
00:51:21.119 --> 00:51:23.360
<v Speaker 5>I want to throw one more thing under. Doctor Elizabeth

1046
00:51:23.599 --> 00:51:26.960
<v Speaker 5>Buchanan from Australia has been really writing a lot about

1047
00:51:27.000 --> 00:51:30.480
<v Speaker 5>what China's doing down in Antarctica, which I don't think

1048
00:51:30.519 --> 00:51:33.719
<v Speaker 5>we pay enough attention to, but it does justify spending

1049
00:51:33.840 --> 00:51:38.880
<v Speaker 5>more money on and getting more icebreaks, because the Chinese

1050
00:51:38.920 --> 00:51:42.079
<v Speaker 5>are really active down there and it's to the point

1051
00:51:42.119 --> 00:51:43.400
<v Speaker 5>of being pretty disturbing.

1052
00:51:44.960 --> 00:51:49.440
<v Speaker 3>They are, and that's actually the justification for building their

1053
00:51:49.480 --> 00:51:52.440
<v Speaker 3>polar research vessels is to support there are now three

1054
00:51:52.480 --> 00:51:56.000
<v Speaker 3>science stations in Antarctica, and the way the Antarctic Treaty

1055
00:51:56.000 --> 00:51:58.760
<v Speaker 3>system works, the more sort of scientific research you do

1056
00:51:58.800 --> 00:52:01.400
<v Speaker 3>in the larger presence you have, the more sway you

1057
00:52:01.480 --> 00:52:03.920
<v Speaker 3>have when it comes to negotiate these sorts of things.

1058
00:52:04.280 --> 00:52:07.360
<v Speaker 3>So they are really pushing for more in Antarctica and

1059
00:52:07.559 --> 00:52:10.199
<v Speaker 3>right now, I mean fifty percent of our icebreaker fleet,

1060
00:52:10.199 --> 00:52:13.280
<v Speaker 3>which is the Polar Star, that exists right now solely

1061
00:52:13.440 --> 00:52:17.519
<v Speaker 3>to ensure that our Antarctic research stations get resupplied every

1062
00:52:17.599 --> 00:52:20.440
<v Speaker 3>year as part of Operation Deep Freeze. There's a period

1063
00:52:20.599 --> 00:52:23.039
<v Speaker 3>where both the Polar Star and its sister shifted the

1064
00:52:23.039 --> 00:52:25.320
<v Speaker 3>Polar Sea, which has been broken since twenty ten, and

1065
00:52:25.320 --> 00:52:28.119
<v Speaker 3>it's just a spare parts bin that's slowly emptying for

1066
00:52:28.280 --> 00:52:30.960
<v Speaker 3>the Polar Star, where we didn't have any ships and

1067
00:52:31.119 --> 00:52:34.960
<v Speaker 3>we had to lease or basically charter a vessel, So

1068
00:52:35.000 --> 00:52:37.320
<v Speaker 3>we chartered the Odin from Sweden for a bit, but

1069
00:52:37.480 --> 00:52:39.639
<v Speaker 3>that was the same winter that was really tough up

1070
00:52:39.679 --> 00:52:42.960
<v Speaker 3>here and a lot of goods got trapped in the ice.

1071
00:52:43.000 --> 00:52:45.880
<v Speaker 3>So now Odin is no longer allowed to leave Swedish

1072
00:52:46.000 --> 00:52:50.000
<v Speaker 3>territorial waters or Swedish waters during the northern hemisphere of winter,

1073
00:52:50.079 --> 00:52:52.159
<v Speaker 3>so she's out. And the other vessel we charted it

1074
00:52:52.159 --> 00:52:54.559
<v Speaker 3>was a Russian ice breaker which is now scrapped. So

1075
00:52:54.599 --> 00:52:57.599
<v Speaker 3>there are no other options for us to get our gear,

1076
00:52:57.719 --> 00:53:00.800
<v Speaker 3>mainly our fuel down to mcfernis station, from there to

1077
00:53:00.800 --> 00:53:03.679
<v Speaker 3>the North Pole Station, then right now the Polar Star.

1078
00:53:03.880 --> 00:53:06.239
<v Speaker 3>Although I sometimes showed that we should invite the French

1079
00:53:06.559 --> 00:53:09.079
<v Speaker 3>cruise Shift to make a port of Colin McMurdo, you know,

1080
00:53:09.239 --> 00:53:11.239
<v Speaker 3>once a year, and I could handle that for us

1081
00:53:11.280 --> 00:53:14.480
<v Speaker 3>without having to send one of our fifty percent of

1082
00:53:14.519 --> 00:53:17.920
<v Speaker 3>our operative icebreaking fleet down that way. But yes, Antarctica

1083
00:53:18.000 --> 00:53:21.000
<v Speaker 3>is important, and yeah, presence there would be a good thing,

1084
00:53:21.079 --> 00:53:23.280
<v Speaker 3>and there are a couple of icebreakers up here we

1085
00:53:23.440 --> 00:53:25.280
<v Speaker 3>wish can do that you can get a new build

1086
00:53:25.320 --> 00:53:27.559
<v Speaker 3>icebreaker that can do that in a couple of years,

1087
00:53:27.719 --> 00:53:30.719
<v Speaker 3>because that is probably the hardest mission that the US

1088
00:53:30.719 --> 00:53:32.039
<v Speaker 3>Coast Guard icebreakers have to do.

1089
00:53:32.119 --> 00:53:36.320
<v Speaker 1>Right now, Well, Pete, it's been a great hour, and

1090
00:53:36.840 --> 00:53:39.480
<v Speaker 1>obviously if people wanted to follow what you're working on,

1091
00:53:39.760 --> 00:53:42.599
<v Speaker 1>we'll add a link to your substack there on the

1092
00:53:42.920 --> 00:53:45.039
<v Speaker 1>show page. Where else can people keep an eye on

1093
00:53:45.079 --> 00:53:47.840
<v Speaker 1>what you're working for and working on? And do you

1094
00:53:47.840 --> 00:53:49.920
<v Speaker 1>have anything that you're working on right now that people

1095
00:53:49.920 --> 00:53:51.599
<v Speaker 1>should keep an eye on in the new year.

1096
00:53:53.400 --> 00:53:53.559
<v Speaker 2>Now.

1097
00:53:53.719 --> 00:53:56.679
<v Speaker 3>Substack is where I publish everything the degrees North dot

1098
00:53:56.719 --> 00:53:59.679
<v Speaker 3>substack dot com. Everything I write comes out there right now,

1099
00:53:59.679 --> 00:54:02.599
<v Speaker 3>and that's my main venue. I do share posts from

1100
00:54:02.639 --> 00:54:05.800
<v Speaker 3>there onto other social media channels, but everything goes there first.

1101
00:54:06.000 --> 00:54:08.159
<v Speaker 3>Right now, I'm just working on a couple of pieces

1102
00:54:08.199 --> 00:54:11.239
<v Speaker 3>about what the Chinese icebreaker feet actually looks like and

1103
00:54:11.599 --> 00:54:13.920
<v Speaker 3>finish you the ice packed. I was hoping to write

1104
00:54:13.960 --> 00:54:18.000
<v Speaker 3>more once the actual memorandum of understanding was made public,

1105
00:54:18.400 --> 00:54:20.440
<v Speaker 3>but that has been made public yet, and I'll be

1106
00:54:20.480 --> 00:54:25.280
<v Speaker 3>continuing to follow the Poor Security cutter program closely. We're

1107
00:54:25.280 --> 00:54:28.079
<v Speaker 3>supposed to know the updated cost and timeline by the

1108
00:54:28.159 --> 00:54:30.800
<v Speaker 3>end of this year. I'm guessing that will be leaked

1109
00:54:30.800 --> 00:54:33.239
<v Speaker 3>on New Year's Eve, perhaps if it even happens.

1110
00:54:33.519 --> 00:54:34.280
<v Speaker 4>But if you want.

1111
00:54:34.159 --> 00:54:36.840
<v Speaker 3>To keep track of all this icebreaker stuff in one place,

1112
00:54:37.119 --> 00:54:39.559
<v Speaker 3>my subsacks a place to do it, and I appreciate that.

1113
00:54:39.599 --> 00:54:41.519
<v Speaker 3>The chance to come on board and talk about icebreckers

1114
00:54:41.519 --> 00:54:42.440
<v Speaker 3>with you, Sally.

1115
00:54:42.280 --> 00:54:46.079
<v Speaker 1>Mark, Well, it's been great, Thanks Pete, and thank you

1116
00:54:46.159 --> 00:54:49.199
<v Speaker 1>everybody for join us for another edition of mid Rats.

1117
00:54:49.199 --> 00:54:52.360
<v Speaker 1>This will be the last mid Rats of calendar year

1118
00:54:52.400 --> 00:54:53.199
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty four.

1119
00:54:53.280 --> 00:54:56.320
<v Speaker 2>Pete, So you closed the book on twenty twenty four or.

1120
00:54:56.320 --> 00:54:59.960
<v Speaker 1>Four, We'll be back on the fifth of January four

1121
00:55:00.079 --> 00:55:04.000
<v Speaker 1>our fifteenth anniversary show with one of one of our

1122
00:55:04.360 --> 00:55:06.840
<v Speaker 1>one of our founding entities, Claude bear Abay, and we

1123
00:55:06.880 --> 00:55:09.679
<v Speaker 1>will cover the entire storefront there.

1124
00:55:09.840 --> 00:55:11.800
<v Speaker 2>So hey, hope everybody has.

1125
00:55:11.679 --> 00:55:16.000
<v Speaker 1>A great Christmas, a superb New Year, and a great

1126
00:55:16.079 --> 00:55:16.559
<v Speaker 1>Navy Day.

1127
00:55:16.960 --> 00:55:26.280
<v Speaker 3>Cheers, Merry Christmas all, Thanks, Merry Christmas.

1128
00:55:27.039 --> 00:55:34.039
<v Speaker 6>Moll to need rep War Paddy Mike Madoney wants to

1129
00:55:34.360 --> 00:55:39.440
<v Speaker 6>marry me and leave a friend of be Codily for

1130
00:55:39.719 --> 00:55:47.079
<v Speaker 6>you being to blame for the lol me s flding.

1131
00:55:48.039 --> 00:55:59.079
<v Speaker 7>The It's a long way, it's a long way. It's

1132
00:55:59.199 --> 00:56:04.000
<v Speaker 7>a long way to Dipperary, to the Green.

1133
00:56:04.039 --> 00:56:15.480
<v Speaker 6>And gorb think on fair Well List not well, it's

1134
00:56:15.599 --> 00:56:17.920
<v Speaker 6>a long long way to Dippera.

1135
00:56:19.360 --> 00:56:22.199
<v Speaker 7>But my life, my lad
