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Speaker 1: Are welcome to Way Did You Talk? Today, the gold

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standard of sports betting shows, where we talk the talk

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and walk the walk Big Dance continues. We're gonna dive

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into n I T as well as NBA and Dan

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didn't get in here. Do you realize baseball starts tomorrow? Dude?

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Speaker 2: How crazy is that that the tomorrow baseball starts and

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the voices let's call it sixty five percent?

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Speaker 1: Andy, it doesn't hurt to talk. Finally, so I could.

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Speaker 2: I can speak again, but we can do a honey

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shot counter because once I hit this, I power through

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a little bit more. But yeah, baseball is right around

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the corner. We got Ralph Michael's n I T plays

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He's gonna give you, and of course Ross Benjamin coming

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on some NBA action. So Andy, even though I can't speak,

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which I got yelled at by my wife this morning.

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She goes, this can't be every weekend. She goes, you

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can't be on Tuesday and not able to speak. So folks,

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I will restrict myself. Those of you who get in

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the comments yesterday, why did Dan lose his voice? One

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person right, our friend AWB, who said, I'm guessing it's

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because Dan's middies weren't getting back.

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Speaker 1: That's right.

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Speaker 2: I'm a lacrosse coach and the midfield substitutions. Andy left

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a lot to be desired, but we will not leave

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a lot to be desired. It's our lacrosse play that

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goes tonight. You can get w T do Buzzbackslash Heyl,

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Let's go in.

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Speaker 1: Oh my god, what a what a transition, What a transition.

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We got Ralph Snoop dog for it. Yeah, we got

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Ralph Michael's coming up. We got Ross the Boss, Benjamin

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Who's gonna talk NBA. And we have a very special

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treat that we're gonna do for the next seven episodes

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of Wager Talk Today. That is going to be at

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the end of the show. It's a surprise in more

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than one way. You do not want to miss the

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end of the show. We got something really really cool

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that we're gonna do. I'm very, very excited. But Dan,

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we got we gotta play the new drop for for Tuesday.

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You got it, I got it, bas Let's go man,

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let's go five dollars Tuesdays in the house. Love it,

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love it, love it. We got a lot of five

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dollars plays to talk about. We also got some college

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basketball to talk about, so let's get after it with Ralph, Michaels,

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Ralph and his uh with oh yeah yeah, well Steven,

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we will talk about tennis a little bit later we

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do some recaps, but tennis is uh. Tennis is on

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a heater, Ralph, Ralph and the Penn is joining us.

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How are you today?

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Speaker 3: Good morning guys. I just want you to know my

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bartender was so freaking slow bringing me my Miller lights.

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I had to keep screaming at them. Good morning guys.

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Speaker 4: Thanks for.

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Speaker 3: That's brutal.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully you get your voice back, bud uh Well. I

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sent Ralph a message yesterday. Dan I was like, hey,

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I got some plays that could be graded, and Ralph

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was like, you made me put down my cocktail to

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grade your tennis place? Ralph?

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Speaker 5: When Andy calls Ralph jumps just see you.

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Speaker 1: Guys know, Ralph, We're gonna talk some n I t

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games here. What's the difference between handicapping the n I

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and where we're at with the Big Time Tournament? Here

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is it? Are you looking at motivation? Are you looking

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at current four? What's the difference between these two tournaments

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and how we handicap.

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Speaker 5: Well, you know, I'm off to a three and oh

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start in the n I T, including a five dollars

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play up today looking for four and oh.

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Speaker 3: I would say this Andy.

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Speaker 5: At this point, I don't think there is much of

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a difference, except you are actually playing on a home

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court the first two rounds. You really do have to

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handicap motivation. There's many teams that were on the bubble

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that failed to make March Madness. They are not excited

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about playing in the n T, while other teams which

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weren't on the bubble are ecstatic to continue practicing and playing.

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But after you win the first few games and get

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through the first weekend, I think most teams are then

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they get re engaged and re excited to be playing

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at least for an NIT championship after missing out on

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March Madness.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's talk about a couple games here. We're going

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to talk about one that's tonight, and then we're going

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to talk about one that's on Wednesday. So let's talk

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about the one that's tonight. We got Saint Joseph's in

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New Mexico. Let's let's break this game down. Tell us

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a little bit about these teams. I'm sure I'm not

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the only one that doesn't know much about these teams.

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So tell us about these teams, where they're at in

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the tournament, and who you like in this game.

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Speaker 5: Well, Saint Jose Andy was my five percent winner against

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California Nice.

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Speaker 3: It was a late game. I woke they were.

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Speaker 5: Down by I think fifteen points. When I checked, I

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threw my phone on the bed and said, screw this.

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I woke up three hours later and they came from

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down eighteen to win by one against cal So. Quite

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a comeback. Now, they did have to exert energy with

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that comeback, which is an issue I'll talk about here.

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Full season Saint Jo's is twenty four to eleven versus

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the number one hundred and twelve schedule. They are a

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defensive minded team. One ninety one on offense, fifty six

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on defense. New Mexico twenty five and ten versus the

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number eighty eight schedule, number fifty seven on offense, number

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forty two on defense. Well, New Mexico an extra couple wins,

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a stronger schedule, much better offense, better defense.

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Speaker 3: You're the date numbers. This makes sense, but when you

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look at current form, the last three weeks.

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Speaker 5: Guys, Saint Jo's is actually rated higher than New Mexico.

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I have them number sixty with New Mexico number sixty two.

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And when we look at this game over under, Saint

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Joe's four and fourteen over under New Mexico twelve and

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six over under at home. So we have an away

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team on the road versus an over team at home.

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So we're going to throw out the total. The Hawks

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started the season eight and seven. They had some injuries,

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but since that start, after their first fifteen games, they

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have gone sixteen and four straight up, seventeen and three

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against the spread, and when they have at least a

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day of rest and a total under one fifty six,

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how about seventeen and two eighty nine percent against the spread,

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including nine to oh ats since mid February, covering by

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over nine points per game. The Lobos ten and eight

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ats at home this year, but as a small favorite

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or a dog, they did well five and two against

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the spread. They only went five and six ats as

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a favorite of eight or more. Now, those numbers say

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Saint Joe's. I was on Saint Joe's and they won

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as a dog as a five percent why are they

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not a client play today. Let me say this, I

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do like Saint Jo's they are a very strong opinion.

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But this is the reason they are.

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Speaker 3: Not a client play.

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Speaker 5: They had to play at Fort Collins in altitude on Wednesday.

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They actually stayed out west because they had to play

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at Kale if they won that game, so they didn't

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have to travel back east and back.

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Speaker 3: What do they do?

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Speaker 5: We talked about that come back at cal and now

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they're playing again at New Mexico. So they're playing their

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third game in six days and their fifth game in

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twelve days.

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Speaker 3: Is that a concern?

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Speaker 5: Well, they're number three hundred and twenty one in bench minutes.

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They don't play a lot of bench people. Their starters

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have long, significant minutes and a tricky thing. Most people

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don't think about playing New Mexico and Albuquerque. Did you

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guys know the elevation of the pit in Albuquerque is

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five thousand, three hundred and twelve feet, so it is

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over a mile high.

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Speaker 3: People talk about playing in Denver and having altitude.

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Speaker 5: New Mexico is actually higher, but people don't talk about

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that altitude. That is my concern. No bench minutes, six

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games all on the three games all on the road

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in six days, all on the road. With this altitude,

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I still like Saint Joe's. It wouldn't surprise me if

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they win this game outright, but that is enough to

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keep this from being a client play tonight.

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Speaker 1: Saint Joe's versus New Mexico. Another game, this one is tomorrow,

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So if you're looking at your sports books, make sure

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you're looking at tomorrow's slate before we do that. You

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mentioned you have a playoff. It is five dollars Tuesday

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here at Wager Talk, tell us about your play that's

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up well.

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Speaker 5: Number one college basketball this regular season, number one March

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Madness profit last year, my nit plays three and oh

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this year going for four and oh.

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Speaker 3: Tonight. It is a college basketball five dollars play from.

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Speaker 5: This regular season's number one cap or WT dot buzz

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backslash r M.

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Speaker 1: There's a few sports that are like kind of feather

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in the cap, like bragging rights to be number one

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College basketball is one of them. Ralph, congratulations on that, man.

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Let's I'm pulling for you to end the year like.

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It would be pretty lame if I was like number

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one darts handicapper Wager talks like and subscribe not a

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lot of competition in that one, like college basketball, NFL,

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college football for sure, probably MLB, NBA. So let's pull

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for Ralph Michaels's finish number one. Let's talk about Wednesday's game.

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We're going to Nevada and Auburn n IT matchup. What

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do we know about these teams and who do you like?

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Speaker 5: Well, Auburn was one of those teams that thought they

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might make it, even though they were only seventeen and sixteen.

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But let's run down this season at date stats. Auburn

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finished seventeen and sixteen, they're now nineteen and sixteen. They've

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played the number seven schedule, so they have been tested

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the number eleven offense, the number one twenty d Nevada

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twenty four and twelve versus the number eighty seven schedule

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offense seventy eight, defense seventy seven.

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Speaker 3: But here again, the last three.

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Speaker 5: Weeks, we have the underdog, the better team, and we

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have an underdog that's getting nine and a half over

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the last couple. Actually, Auburn is a slight edge my apologies.

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Auburn is number sixty five over the last three weeks.

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Now that is number seventy two, But Auburn failed to

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cover each of their first two games by a combined

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by double digits. Why, I'll tell you what. This is

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one of the most bizarre stories. They're one of their

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best players. Kashawn Murray played at Old Miss, wanted to

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transfer to Auburn and do something special under Bruce Pearl.

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He starts the first twenty nine games, and then when

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they're practicing for the nit he just no shows for practice.

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He said, I asked to deal with personal stuff. The

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coaches are saying, we have no idea what's going on.

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So he's listed as suspended. I am taking it that

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he is still suspended for this game. I have not

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been able to confirm that or deny it. But again,

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if he doesn't play, that is a big loss for Auburn.

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They were number three forty four in bench minutes when

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Murphy started twenty nine games. Right now, without Murphy in

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they would clearly be last in college.

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Speaker 3: Basketball in the number of bench minutes.

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Speaker 5: I look at these teams, and you look at Auburn again,

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number three forty four in bench minutes their last fifteen games,

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they have covered two games. They're two and thirteen against

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the spread their last fifteen and in those games. They

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fail to cover the NT games combined sixteen points. Auburn

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does have one weakness that is three point defense, their

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number three hundred and forty three in the country, but

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Nevada cannot take advantage of.

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Speaker 3: That or likely will not take advantage because.

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Speaker 5: They are only number three hundred and twenty seven and

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percentage of shots from threes, so even though Auburn's a

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bad three point defense, Nevada doesn't shoot many threes to

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be able to exploit this. Nevada is number twenty three

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in bench minutes, so and they actually have an extra

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day of rest. Sometimes in the NIT you get that

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extra day of wrest, so even though they are coming

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from Nevada, the rest equalizes that road trip. Again a

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strong opinion on Nevada, but the way they've played in

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true road games is enough to keep me off these games.

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They have lost six straight road games and they failed

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to cover the last four road games by a combined

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fifty eight points.

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Speaker 3: That's fourteen and a half points per game.

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Speaker 5: So even though everything else adds up to lean the Wolfpack,

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that road dichotomy for the Wolfpack is enough to make

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it a play here for the show, A free play

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for my clients, but that's also enough to keep it

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from being a client release. Those little things matter, guys.

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Be conservative. Remember it is much more profitable to leave

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a one in one if you're looking to go one

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and one, you leave them off the board. You're saving

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yourself ten cents juice from putting on those two games

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that were in the mix, and if you split them again,

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you're paying the juice for that. So a conservative approach.

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I like both underdogs, but again they just fell short.

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Speaker 1: One of my favorite things you do, Ralph, is talk

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about just the little nuances of what it takes to

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be like just numbers aside when it takes me a

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winning better. Like you're like, if you hit sixty percent

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of your plays and you hit sixty percent of your months,

253
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that means you're winning seven months and losing five. But

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that's like literally literally a winning play. Like, yeah, just

255
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the little things you leave off five losers that you

256
00:14:32,039 --> 00:14:34,039
would put two percent of you that's a ten percent

257
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swing in your favor just over the course of a year.

258
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So yeah, the the devil's in the details, Ralph.

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Speaker 3: So it really is making all the box check and

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don't cut corners. Guys. There's two college basketball games. There's

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no reason you have to bet one if you don't

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like a game.

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Speaker 5: Again, the way I handle these individual games, you know,

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I basically go back to like a full Wednesday or

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Thursday of college basketball in February, when we have fifty games.

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If this game would have been one of my top

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four or five games on a full card in February,

268
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then I'm gonna look at it to be a late

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phone play. But not checking all the boxes, there's no

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way it would be a play on a full card

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in February. Therefore, there's no way it should be a

272
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play just because there's two games today and they're trying

273
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to get some action on it.

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Speaker 1: Agreed, Agreed. These are the games where people just there's

275
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NIT game on, I'll throw a bet on it. Let's

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just watch it and enjoy it as a fan. So

277
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great work, Ralph, Thank you so much. Great breakdowns on

278
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the NIT games. Good luck on your five dollars play

279
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and keep up that number one spot.

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Speaker 3: Andy.

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Speaker 5: Let me share a little round three info with you,

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Oh bous March madness, Round three. I just want to

283
00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:48,679
run some data. There's nothing now. This is just so

284
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you're informed what has happened. In Round three. Remember, these

285
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teams played two physical at least one physical game. Some

286
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teams play two physical games. They traveled back home, they're

287
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now prepping for this new opponent. And remember they're playing

288
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in a different venue again. The first two weeks are

289
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in one venue. Now this is the first game in

290
00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:14,799
a new cavernous venue. So it makes total sense. Since

291
00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:20,159
twenty eighteen over unders in Round three sixteen overs and

292
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:23,080
thirty unders, folks, that is thirty five percent.

293
00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:26,000
Speaker 3: So blindly round three over unders.

294
00:16:25,679 --> 00:16:28,879
Speaker 5: Sixty five percent to the under favorites in round three

295
00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:32,720
twenty one and twenty five forty six percent against the spread.

296
00:16:33,879 --> 00:16:39,240
Top three seeds in round one only forty three percent

297
00:16:39,279 --> 00:16:41,799
against the spread, so that surprised me.

298
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Speaker 3: Couple things I want to mention. If you're in round

299
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three and you won each of the.

300
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Speaker 5: First two games as a dog, only one team applies

301
00:16:50,399 --> 00:16:54,360
quick Who is it? It's the Texas Longhorns teams in

302
00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:56,759
round three that won their first two games outright as

303
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an underdog. They've gone ten and three seventy seven percent

304
00:17:00,279 --> 00:17:03,399
against the spread, and also three and ten over under

305
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:07,799
seventy seven percent to the under. And lastly, you may

306
00:17:07,839 --> 00:17:10,839
not think free throws matter. But when we get down

307
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:14,240
to March madness, when you look at teams from round

308
00:17:14,319 --> 00:17:16,799
one and later, we're not pounting the play in games.

309
00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:21,039
If you have a team shooting over seventy five percent

310
00:17:21,079 --> 00:17:24,720
from free throws and the other team is shooting under

311
00:17:24,759 --> 00:17:28,960
seventy five percent, that's it. Since one team over seventy

312
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:32,640
five percent, one team under seventy five percent. Those teams

313
00:17:32,759 --> 00:17:36,440
in the last ten years have gone seventy six and

314
00:17:36,599 --> 00:17:41,319
forty one sixty five percent against the spread. I mentioned

315
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:44,519
Texas one back to back games as a dog that's

316
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in a positive ats situation.

317
00:17:46,839 --> 00:17:48,839
Speaker 3: Texas also falls into.

318
00:17:48,599 --> 00:17:52,279
Speaker 5: This sixty five percent category as a better free throw

319
00:17:52,319 --> 00:17:56,839
shooting team versus Purdue, as does Michigan State. So just

320
00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:59,920
a few Round three tidbits as you make your bets

321
00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:01,119
Thursday and Friday.

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Speaker 1: Great stuff was always Ralph, always always up to speed

323
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on the trends, the angles, in the details. So thank

324
00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:14,920
you so much, Ralph, Good luck, Thanks guys. Yeah, uh,

325
00:18:15,039 --> 00:18:17,559
Number one in college basketball, let's see, Number one in

326
00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:21,599
lacrosse is a big bragging rights here at here at

327
00:18:21,599 --> 00:18:26,559
wagers one one of one, Andy one. I think I

328
00:18:26,599 --> 00:18:28,519
think we might be kings of the one of one

329
00:18:28,559 --> 00:18:30,559
where you where you go in and we see the

330
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,839
rankings and it's just they're just winning. Andy Kapper, that

331
00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,440
does it so uh but that that works out really

332
00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:40,160
really well for us. A couple guys are talking about

333
00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:44,079
Alcraz losing. Carlos Alcraz. Uh So the tennis tournament's been

334
00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:47,759
fantastic betting wise and watch wise. Uh So, guys, if

335
00:18:47,759 --> 00:18:50,720
you didn't hear what Carlos Alcrez said after the match,

336
00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:54,680
uh he lost. He said, I can't take it anymore.

337
00:18:54,799 --> 00:18:57,920
I'm going home, man, I can't take it anymore. He

338
00:18:58,079 --> 00:19:04,160
sounds like a very tired. He just sounds tired. He

339
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:07,279
sounds exhausted, like it's it's catching up to him. This

340
00:19:07,319 --> 00:19:09,160
is the second year in a row he's gotten upset

341
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,599
early in this particular tournament. But keep your eye on him.

342
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:15,240
He might need he might need a little break just

343
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:18,559
to reset. You know, guys like him, they don't just

344
00:19:18,599 --> 00:19:22,119
go to tournaments. They just play the entire tournament because

345
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,839
they make it to the championship. So he's playing four

346
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,119
times as many games as some of these other guys.

347
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:30,680
So keep your eye on Outcros. That fatigue might be

348
00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,599
setting in with him. So did we wrapped up a

349
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:37,759
huge tournament of tennis. I mean, this has been I

350
00:19:37,799 --> 00:19:39,960
was talking to Yahn yesterday and we're going over what's

351
00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:42,559
been working, what hasn't been working. Tennis has been one

352
00:19:42,559 --> 00:19:46,359
of the one of the bright spots of twenty twenty six.

353
00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:49,400
We crossed over thirty five units of profit for everyone

354
00:19:49,519 --> 00:19:52,079
for all sports but tennis. Yeah, five and zero in

355
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:56,279
the Miami Tournament. We cast everything yesterday. So we're calling

356
00:19:56,279 --> 00:19:58,640
it quits for the Miami Tournament. I don't think I

357
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,400
can get much better than five and for seventeen units,

358
00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:03,759
So we're done for this tournament.

359
00:20:04,039 --> 00:20:06,400
Speaker 2: I think, like you said, Andy, like that's the point is,

360
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:10,119
you take your money and you run. But tennis, it's

361
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:25,440
entered into the territory.

362
00:20:20,599 --> 00:20:26,160
Speaker 1: Doubles, doubles markets is where it's at. So five dollars Tuesday,

363
00:20:26,279 --> 00:20:29,480
we have a massive five dollars Tuesday slate. We have

364
00:20:29,559 --> 00:20:31,720
not one, not two, but three plays that are up.

365
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:35,000
We have an NBA prop, we have a cricket play

366
00:20:35,039 --> 00:20:37,000
that is up. Yes, that's right, cricket is back there.

367
00:20:37,079 --> 00:20:38,839
That sport was kind of on break. There were some

368
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,319
games here or there, but nothing we really like cricket

369
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,880
is back tonight. The best part about our cricket plays,

370
00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:45,240
it's just in the middle of the night, so you

371
00:20:45,279 --> 00:20:48,480
bet it and just check in the morning. And Dan

372
00:20:48,559 --> 00:20:51,519
has a lacrosse play lives up for tonight. Very limited

373
00:20:51,559 --> 00:20:53,759
games today, but there's a spot that really sticks out.

374
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,440
So each one of them is five dollars. Nobody's been

375
00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:59,839
hotter the past three days. So who's running good recently?

376
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,480
It's been us. We're ahead of schedule for the year.

377
00:21:03,759 --> 00:21:05,920
Like I said, we're up thirty five units. My goal

378
00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,799
is kind of be about about that ten unit per

379
00:21:08,839 --> 00:21:11,200
month that way where we end up around one hundred

380
00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:12,759
and twenty units profit at the end of the year.

381
00:21:12,759 --> 00:21:16,400
So looking really good. But NBA Lacrosse and Cricket and

382
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,359
I do believe we need to start another let It

383
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:20,920
Ride mission to celebrate the hot run that we're on.

384
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:24,160
And we're on five dollars Tuesday, So I'll leave it

385
00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:25,319
up to you. Do you want to do lacrosse or

386
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:26,839
you want to do the cricket for a play tonight.

387
00:21:27,279 --> 00:21:30,359
Speaker 2: I let's go cricket since it's back, but I would

388
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:31,839
nominate lacrosse play.

389
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,160
Speaker 1: Lacrosse play. I played it as a four percent play.

390
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:35,480
I believe that's what we put it in for.

391
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:39,000
Speaker 2: And Andy, we got the three ones up, but you

392
00:21:39,039 --> 00:21:41,119
can grab each one of them fifteen bucks or.

393
00:21:41,079 --> 00:21:41,960
Speaker 1: Hop it up a little bit.

394
00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 2: This buy three hit three days for no brainer because

395
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:46,079
you're gonna get all three of them and then we

396
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:47,440
have the continuing access.

397
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:50,279
Speaker 1: So yeah, so what we're gonna do. We hit the

398
00:21:50,279 --> 00:21:52,480
cricket play tonight. We're gonna come back for the darts

399
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,240
play that's on Thursday. It's five percent darts play that

400
00:21:55,359 --> 00:22:00,279
is up. So yeah, well we also may have another

401
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:04,480
smash spot in uh we may we may have a Okay,

402
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:08,200
So what happened Jean van van van Veen, one of

403
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:10,839
the best darts players, young guy. He had kidney stones

404
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,839
and he had to have surgery. He's scheduled to play

405
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:15,480
on Thursday, and he just came out and said, I

406
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,880
have no energy and if he decides to play, that

407
00:22:19,039 --> 00:22:25,720
is a smash spot fade, oh man. So uh yeah,

408
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:29,000
but five dollars Tuesday. Every handicapper has one. Get as

409
00:22:29,039 --> 00:22:30,880
many as you want. Like I said, we normally have one.

410
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:33,480
We've got three of them up tonight and cricket is

411
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,279
going to be the smash spot. So w T do

412
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,359
buzz slash a l again. Nobody's been hotter the last

413
00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:40,160
three days. Really proud of the work myself and the

414
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:43,359
team have done. So all right, here we go, do

415
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:46,720
we well? Seth? Have you started with Jan's boxing is

416
00:22:46,839 --> 00:22:49,279
leg one? Or if you just want to start over?

417
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:52,079
I mean I cashed big on Yon's boxing play, so

418
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,599
I'm just saying we'll just we'll just start it, start

419
00:22:55,599 --> 00:22:58,599
it new tonight. So uh but but do which you want?

420
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:00,799
These these let It Ride play has been very good.

421
00:23:01,039 --> 00:23:03,480
Our one the one that derailed us was a golfer

422
00:23:03,519 --> 00:23:06,640
that got hurt. It was a injury in the middle

423
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:10,559
of his round. So we're doing well, all right. You

424
00:23:10,559 --> 00:23:15,599
know who else is doing well? Ross the Boss, Benjamin Ross.

425
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:17,799
Happy Tuesday? How are you?

426
00:23:18,599 --> 00:23:20,279
Speaker 4: Happy Tuesday to you guys?

427
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,839
Speaker 6: Always a great day for me when I get to

428
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:23,799
speak to both of you.

429
00:23:25,319 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, man, it's great. How are you saying? Give us

430
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:30,160
the Buffalo Sabers update before we get to h Yeah.

431
00:23:30,079 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 6: We lost one and overtime on Saturday, but you know,

432
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,960
still running hot man thirty two six and three with

433
00:23:37,039 --> 00:23:40,920
their last forty one games, so still on top a

434
00:23:41,039 --> 00:23:45,160
top the Atlantic Division with a four point lead over

435
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:51,079
Tampa Bay and number two overall in the East, two

436
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:55,160
points behind the Carolina Hurricanes. So things are good, man,

437
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:58,640
things are real good. Getting close to clinching a playoff spot,

438
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,720
which hasn't been done fifteen years around here.

439
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:07,720
Speaker 1: That is wild man. Fifteen years.

440
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:13,720
Speaker 6: Yeah, man, you know, sixteen out of the thirty teams,

441
00:24:13,839 --> 00:24:17,839
Andy baked the NHL playoffs and we haven't done so

442
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:19,920
in fourteen years. You know, I don't know what the

443
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:24,240
odds of that happening is, but I'm sure they're extremely long.

444
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:29,240
Speaker 1: You would think mathematically you'd accidentally fall into a player.

445
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:31,920
Speaker 4: Yes, exactly, exactly.

446
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's right. Johnny and Karm are going to

447
00:24:36,759 --> 00:24:40,160
be at the game on Friday, Wings, Wings and Sabers.

448
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,400
So Johnny and Karm are going to get together for

449
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:46,480
that one. So let's talk a little NBA. We got

450
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:52,599
a Peacock doubleheader here tonight. We got I'm really really

451
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,000
interested in this second game.

452
00:24:54,319 --> 00:24:54,839
Speaker 4: I love this.

453
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,079
Speaker 1: I love watching this Phoenix team, and I love watching

454
00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,440
the Nuggets. But before that, we got the Magic and

455
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,039
the Cavil years. I have the Cavaliers slated as a

456
00:25:02,039 --> 00:25:04,440
real sleeper in the East now, especially with what's happened

457
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:07,079
to Kate Cunningham. Hope he's going to be back, but

458
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:10,640
you never know. So let's talk about this double header here,

459
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,920
and we're going to start with Magic versus Calves here,

460
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,960
Orlando seems is Orlando is a pretty big underdog here

461
00:25:18,319 --> 00:25:20,839
in this one. What's your take here on the Magic

462
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:21,359
and the Calves.

463
00:25:21,759 --> 00:25:24,079
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean they're a ten and a half point

464
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:28,960
underdog to be exact. Look, Cleveland hasn't done well in

465
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:33,240
this situation this year as a double digit dog. Specifically,

466
00:25:34,079 --> 00:25:37,000
they're zero to nine against the spread, and their last

467
00:25:37,079 --> 00:25:40,559
nine is a home favorite of between ten and fifteen points,

468
00:25:41,319 --> 00:25:45,039
and they only went six and.

469
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:46,599
Speaker 4: Three in those teams straight up.

470
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:50,119
Speaker 6: So in they're one and twelve against spread home or

471
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:54,240
away as a favorite of minus ten to minus fifteen.

472
00:25:54,279 --> 00:25:58,359
So needless to say, they've been draining money from betters.

473
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:03,680
When back the Cavaliers as a double digit favor, the

474
00:26:03,759 --> 00:26:06,599
Caves will be playing on two days rest, and you

475
00:26:06,599 --> 00:26:09,279
know they should have a big advantage playing in an Orlando

476
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:12,640
team that's playing on no rest in the third game

477
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:15,200
in four days, but I don't see that being the

478
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:19,200
case just because of these teams' recent history. The Cabs

479
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,519
their last four games in which they've played on two

480
00:26:22,599 --> 00:26:25,640
days rest oh and four against Spreading only two and

481
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:30,039
two straight up, So rest hasn't really worked well for

482
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:31,359
the Cavaliers of late.

483
00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 4: And also their last four.

484
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,319
Speaker 6: Games is a favorite of three or greater playing on

485
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:41,519
two days rest and facing a team playing with no rest.

486
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:43,240
Speaker 4: They've gone.

487
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 6: Oh and four in those situations, So not a very

488
00:26:48,279 --> 00:26:54,160
good setup here for the Cleveland Cavaliers. They're looking at

489
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:58,519
a Orlando team that's eight and two straight up in

490
00:26:58,759 --> 00:27:02,079
seven and three against Spread, this in their last ten

491
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:05,440
this year with no rest. Orlando also four and oh

492
00:27:05,599 --> 00:27:09,079
straight up the last four when playing on the road

493
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:13,240
with no rest, and and it's also the third game

494
00:27:13,279 --> 00:27:15,400
in four days, so let me repeat that again. So

495
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:17,680
it's clear Orlando four and oh straight up in their

496
00:27:17,759 --> 00:27:20,160
last four on the road when playing with no rest,

497
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,400
and also it's their third game in four days, which

498
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:26,880
they're in tonight. And you know, Ralph talked about free

499
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:31,240
throw shooting and how it gets overlooked in basketball handicapping, and.

500
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:33,319
Speaker 4: I agree with him wholeheartedly.

501
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 6: With that being said, the Cleveland Cavaliers have shot sixty

502
00:27:38,039 --> 00:27:42,480
eight point two or worse from the free throw line

503
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,160
in five of their last six games, and that's atrocious

504
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:50,559
by modern day NBA standards. So when you're laying a

505
00:27:50,599 --> 00:27:53,599
double digit number and you're not shooting well from the

506
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,960
free throw line, it could come back to bite you

507
00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:59,559
if you're laying the points. I'm not going to lay

508
00:27:59,599 --> 00:28:01,720
the point. I'm going to take the magic here plus

509
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:06,240
ten and a half at the Cass tonight, I'd.

510
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:08,319
Speaker 1: Have to agree. I like the Cavaliers team, but it's

511
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:11,720
such a monster number ten and a half. That's that's

512
00:28:11,759 --> 00:28:14,680
like line like they're playing a tanking team, Like that's

513
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,039
what the Kings, you know, Like that's the Jazz and

514
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:20,920
the camp That's a crazy number. So that I'd have

515
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:23,759
to agree wholeheartedly with you on that one. So let's

516
00:28:23,759 --> 00:28:27,480
move to the Nuggets and the Suns. I Ross, why

517
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:29,640
do they start these games at eleven o'clock?

518
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,319
Speaker 6: Where you you talked about Andy, you talked about the

519
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:37,079
first game being a sleeper. This is literally a sleeper,

520
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,960
literally East Coast, no chance.

521
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 1: No chance, It's it's crazy eleven o'clock start time. I

522
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:47,920
will stay up for a little bit and try and

523
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,559
watch it because I really enjoy both of these, both

524
00:28:50,599 --> 00:28:53,359
of these teams here. Unfortunately, the Suns. They're just not

525
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,279
going to be full strength and missing quite a few

526
00:28:55,279 --> 00:28:57,559
guys here, So what's your take on this one? This

527
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:01,640
is just a gritty, tough Sun's team. The Nuggets have

528
00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:03,799
been really exciting. They're putting up a ton of points here.

529
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:04,960
Who do you like in this game?

530
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:07,759
Speaker 4: Yeah? And they also give up a ton of points

531
00:29:07,759 --> 00:29:08,839
as well along the way.

532
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:12,279
Speaker 6: I mean, the Nuggets just four and eight straight up

533
00:29:12,319 --> 00:29:15,920
Andy and their last twelve on the road, and also

534
00:29:16,279 --> 00:29:19,680
eleven and twelve straight up in their last twenty three overall.

535
00:29:19,799 --> 00:29:23,000
So when you're talking about a road favorite that's playing

536
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:27,799
pretty mediocre over the last five weeks or so and

537
00:29:28,119 --> 00:29:31,319
especially struggling a little bit on the road going four

538
00:29:31,359 --> 00:29:34,839
and eight straight up, I'm hesitant to lay points here,

539
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,519
even with the Suns, like you alluded to, not being

540
00:29:38,559 --> 00:29:41,759
at full strength. And the Suns this year ten and

541
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,680
three against the spread. Is a home underdog or six

542
00:29:44,839 --> 00:29:47,920
or less. They're gonna be facing a Nuggets team that

543
00:29:48,039 --> 00:29:51,880
allows one hundred and sixteen point four points per game

544
00:29:52,039 --> 00:29:55,279
on the season, and the Suns are eighteen and nine

545
00:29:55,319 --> 00:29:58,359
against the spread this year when facing opponents to allow

546
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:03,200
one sixteen or The Suns are coming off to ninety

547
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:07,559
eight blowout win at home against the Toronto Raptors that

548
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:11,119
ended a five game losing streak. But it must be

549
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:14,880
noted all five of those losses came on the road,

550
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:18,960
and tonight they're at home. Very small, Lean, I'm not

551
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:22,680
going to go crazy with this one. Bet conservatively, folks,

552
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,200
if you're going to follow my advice, which you should,

553
00:30:25,759 --> 00:30:27,119
the Sun's plus five and.

554
00:30:27,039 --> 00:30:29,519
Speaker 4: A half against the Denver Nuggets.

555
00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:33,519
Speaker 1: I wish that we had Dylan Brooks in this one

556
00:30:33,559 --> 00:30:36,480
because Dylan Brooks would certainly get into a shoving match

557
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:36,960
with Joki.

558
00:30:37,079 --> 00:30:41,359
Speaker 4: Well again, I'm sorry, Andy, I didn't mean they're in rock.

559
00:30:41,839 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 1: No, I was just rooting for a fight in the NBA.

560
00:30:43,799 --> 00:30:45,160
It was a lot of fun the other night when

561
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,000
the Wizards got into a fight with the Thunder. It's like,

562
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,400
oh my god, that's the best. That's the most fight

563
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:52,240
the Wizards. Where was that fight when Bam was dropping

564
00:30:52,279 --> 00:30:56,079
eighty three on them? But guys like Dylan Brooks.

565
00:30:56,559 --> 00:31:01,880
Speaker 6: Yeah, just remember when it comes to injuries, folks. And

566
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,119
Andy's well aware of this. He's just bringing it to

567
00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:07,839
your attention doing his job. But when it comes to injuries,

568
00:31:08,319 --> 00:31:11,880
it's all factored into the line. So when you tell me,

569
00:31:12,279 --> 00:31:14,359
how could you take the Suns plus five and a

570
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:17,480
half with Dylan Brooks out he averages over twenty points

571
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:21,119
a game, Well, if he was playing, the line would

572
00:31:21,119 --> 00:31:23,559
not be five and a half, folks, it would be

573
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:27,200
more like two and a half or three. So always

574
00:31:27,599 --> 00:31:31,359
keep that in mind. You're if we know about something

575
00:31:31,839 --> 00:31:34,440
that's going on in a game, when it comes to

576
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:38,759
players availability, you could one and fifty.

577
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,599
Speaker 4: Be assured. The odds makers do too.

578
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:48,079
Speaker 1: My favorite example of this, Ross's backup quarterbacks in the NFL.

579
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,519
They're like, well, you know, starting a backup quarterback.

580
00:31:52,599 --> 00:31:52,759
Speaker 7: Yeah.

581
00:31:52,799 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 1: I think the books realize that as well. I think

582
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:59,799
they noticed exactly that Joe Burrow is not playing in

583
00:31:59,839 --> 00:32:03,880
j Browning is that's why Bengals are getting sixteen and

584
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:09,160
a half. Yes, Ross, it's five dollars Tuesday. I know

585
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:10,960
you got something up. What do you have for us?

586
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 6: I got an NIT semi final winner for you up

587
00:32:15,559 --> 00:32:19,920
right now. It's a winning side in my college basketball sides,

588
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,039
by the way, folks, forty five and nineteen with my

589
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:29,279
last sixty four on college basketball sides. The NCAA Tournament

590
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:34,440
gets resumes on Thursday and Friday to Sweet sixteen, and folks,

591
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,839
in the rounds of sixty four and thirty two, I

592
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:41,160
went eleven and three, including a five percent best bet

593
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:45,240
winner on Duke on Saturday as they were minus ten

594
00:32:45,279 --> 00:32:46,160
and a half and they.

595
00:32:46,119 --> 00:32:48,799
Speaker 4: Blew out TCU by twenty three.

596
00:32:49,359 --> 00:32:54,039
Speaker 6: And my college basketball overall on runs of fifty three

597
00:32:54,079 --> 00:32:58,200
and twenty six sixty seven percent in eighty seven and

598
00:32:58,279 --> 00:33:01,920
fifty three sixty two percent. That eighty seven and fifty

599
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:06,200
three dates back to December thirty first, So I've been

600
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,920
making an absolute killing with my college basketball.

601
00:33:11,079 --> 00:33:12,720
Speaker 4: Premium picks for.

602
00:33:12,559 --> 00:33:15,279
Speaker 6: Over two and a half months now and going on

603
00:33:15,359 --> 00:33:19,519
three months actually, and Andy, you talked about Ralph sharing

604
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:23,880
some information to win make yourself a better sports better

605
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,920
or winning sports better. Here's how you could become a

606
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:31,680
winning sports better, Folks. I am up two hundred and

607
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:36,160
two point one nine units since May thirteenth of last year.

608
00:33:37,079 --> 00:33:41,000
That's well over ten months of action, and that's number

609
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,559
one during that period of time at wager Talk over

610
00:33:43,599 --> 00:33:47,839
the last three hundred and sixty five days. That's I'm

611
00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:51,920
also number one in units earned. Last year, I was

612
00:33:52,079 --> 00:33:56,359
number one in the MLB regular season last year, I

613
00:33:56,440 --> 00:34:00,640
was number one in college football last year was number

614
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:05,039
one in units earned in all sports. It's just if

615
00:34:05,039 --> 00:34:07,640
you want to be a winning sports better and you

616
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:12,760
like to bet every day or quite frequently, three hundred

617
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:16,079
and sixty five day all Access pass from yours truly

618
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:19,079
fourteen hundred and fifty nine dollars.

619
00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:21,800
Speaker 4: That's less than four dollars per day, folks.

620
00:34:22,119 --> 00:34:25,519
Speaker 6: And if you don't bet every day, you should exercise

621
00:34:25,599 --> 00:34:28,280
the option a special offer right.

622
00:34:28,079 --> 00:34:30,559
Speaker 4: Now six days for sixty nine dollars.

623
00:34:30,599 --> 00:34:33,880
Speaker 3: It's less than ten dollars a day.

624
00:34:34,639 --> 00:34:39,679
Speaker 6: You'll get six days all access, all premium plays, all

625
00:34:39,679 --> 00:34:42,360
five percent best bets. And the same thing applies to

626
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:46,079
my three hundred and sixty five day pass all Access pass.

627
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:49,840
Speaker 4: And Andy also, when you.

628
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,760
Speaker 6: Buy it three hundred and sixty five day all Access Pass,

629
00:34:53,039 --> 00:34:55,480
we're going to give you a twenty five percent off

630
00:34:55,559 --> 00:34:59,400
bonus coupon that through the entirety of that three hundred

631
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:03,119
and sixty five day package. Anything you buy at wager

632
00:35:03,159 --> 00:35:06,119
Talk from any other handicapper, you're gonna get twenty five

633
00:35:06,159 --> 00:35:10,760
percent off, including all five percent best bets and unlimited usage.

634
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:12,320
Speaker 4: So it doesn't get better in.

635
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:16,599
Speaker 1: That Andy, it's the valuable, valuable Cupon added in there.

636
00:35:16,639 --> 00:35:19,119
You're so generous for including that. Ross. You do it

637
00:35:19,119 --> 00:35:24,280
for the people, so great stuff. Congratulate that's a that's

638
00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:28,199
a two hundred units man. That's a very very impressive,

639
00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:31,880
so awesome stuff from Ross. Ross. Are you doing videos

640
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:33,360
these days? You're doing free play videos?

641
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:37,800
Speaker 6: Well, you know what, I got two ni picks up

642
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:42,159
for tonight and you can get that at wager Talk TV. Also,

643
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:46,079
you can go right to my direct link at wager talkTV,

644
00:35:46,159 --> 00:35:52,599
which is wt dot Buzz Forward slash ROSSTV at wt

645
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:56,360
dot Buzz Forward Slash Ross TV. Last week ten and

646
00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:59,800
four with my college basketball free picks on wager Talk TV.

647
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:06,199
I'm pretty consistent in doing these every day Sundays that

648
00:36:06,559 --> 00:36:09,639
usually take off in Saturdays at this time of year.

649
00:36:09,679 --> 00:36:11,159
I'm still working on the.

650
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:15,239
Speaker 4: Videos, so get all of those right there a w

651
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:18,239
T dot Buzz Forward slash RP. Thank you for asking me.

652
00:36:19,079 --> 00:36:22,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, your free play videos are great, so when

653
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,039
you go watch them, make sure you hit the like

654
00:36:24,039 --> 00:36:26,639
button and drop Ross and comment just really helps YouTube

655
00:36:26,679 --> 00:36:29,679
algorhythm out so five dollars play one of the best

656
00:36:29,679 --> 00:36:32,639
in the business. Ross, Thank you very much, Ross the Boss,

657
00:36:32,639 --> 00:36:33,840
Benjamin have a great two days.

658
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,199
Speaker 6: It's always a pleasure. Take care Dan, I hope you

659
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,760
feel better. Sounds like your voice is a little gravely.

660
00:36:39,559 --> 00:36:40,079
Speaker 1: It's on me.

661
00:36:40,559 --> 00:36:43,760
Speaker 2: I was screaming all weekend at the Adam Cross game,

662
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:44,440
so it's on me.

663
00:36:44,639 --> 00:36:46,639
Speaker 1: Ross, But always a pleasure, buddy.

664
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:48,199
Speaker 4: Thank you, all right, man, take care of Cayse.

665
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:50,119
Speaker 2: All right.

666
00:36:50,159 --> 00:36:52,039
Speaker 1: We got some free plays and then we got a

667
00:36:52,079 --> 00:36:56,519
big surprise that's coming up. Mark says, they have no offense.

668
00:36:56,599 --> 00:36:58,440
But you kind of sound like the Bez right now,

669
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:03,719
just not as loud, he said, a little less raspy,

670
00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:07,400
like hair less. You're like, I'm just like flat.

671
00:37:07,559 --> 00:37:10,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, mine's like flat, I have no rasp I have

672
00:37:10,159 --> 00:37:13,199
no nothing, I I I have nothing. But but like

673
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:15,239
the vocal chords, it sound like they just went ten

674
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:16,119
rounds or ticon.

675
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:20,119
Speaker 1: That's all I yeah, yeah, yeah, ludicrous in my voice

676
00:37:20,159 --> 00:37:24,960
got raspy, you know what, you know the song I'm

677
00:37:25,039 --> 00:37:27,480
smoking on some Cali and my eyes was dazed. I

678
00:37:27,519 --> 00:37:29,639
was in the zone. Could have thrown up them trays.

679
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,320
And if you lost, Little John's got some east Side ways.

680
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:34,760
So stop acting like a bea if your ass ain't blazed.

681
00:37:35,880 --> 00:37:39,199
It's weird how some lyrics just get etched in your head,

682
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:42,320
like why why do I know that actually nailed? Why

683
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:45,239
I absolutely nailed that? Thank you? Why do I why

684
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:48,880
do I remember be a b A lyrics from two thousand?

685
00:37:49,119 --> 00:37:59,840
So clip that, clip that and send it out On's

686
00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:04,079
not Andy, Andy forty six year old just reading the

687
00:38:04,159 --> 00:38:07,400
lyrics as opposed to actually wrapping them. So all right,

688
00:38:07,519 --> 00:38:09,800
let's let's do some free plays and then we got

689
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:19,639
the surprise we gotta do. Charlie McAvoy's our boy. All right,

690
00:38:19,679 --> 00:38:22,199
we're going to Charlie McAvoy. Will you have a point?

691
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:25,280
The answer to this question, more often than not is yes,

692
00:38:25,480 --> 00:38:27,880
he will have a point. This was actually the play

693
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:29,719
of the day on the prop line the show I

694
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:31,800
just released. We got the same game parlay and the

695
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:35,000
play the Day of McAvoy. He's done this in twenty

696
00:38:35,079 --> 00:38:37,400
six out of the last thirty games. This is not

697
00:38:37,559 --> 00:38:42,719
Connor McDavid. This is Charlie McAvoy Toronto. They've given up

698
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,760
twelve goals the last three games he's played Toronto twice

699
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,199
this season. He scored one in two points in those

700
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:50,840
Bruins are putting up goals. They scored six and four

701
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:53,800
in the last two games, so Charlie McAvoy will have

702
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,800
a point. It's like minus one fifty. Damn, this should

703
00:38:56,800 --> 00:39:00,599
be minus two hundred. It's like they don't believe in

704
00:39:00,639 --> 00:39:02,519
and it's like this is hit twenty six out of

705
00:39:02,559 --> 00:39:07,239
thirty games. So happy Charlie mackavoy day, everybody. I talked

706
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:11,159
about this prop earlier, earlier this year, I think I'm

707
00:39:11,199 --> 00:39:14,159
gonna play this. MLB most wins by a team under

708
00:39:14,159 --> 00:39:17,159
one oh four and a half. They nobody got to

709
00:39:17,199 --> 00:39:21,519
one hundred last year. And I'm telling you, Dan, these

710
00:39:21,559 --> 00:39:24,519
teams they know it's more important to go into the

711
00:39:24,559 --> 00:39:27,920
playoffs healthy than it is to pile up wins. Like

712
00:39:28,119 --> 00:39:31,599
if you gave the Dodgers or the Padre you know

713
00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:35,079
teams Yankees, teams that are gonna be there, would you

714
00:39:35,199 --> 00:39:38,000
rather win one hundred and ten games and not be healthier?

715
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,079
Would you? Would you rather win ninety and be healthy

716
00:39:40,119 --> 00:39:43,159
going to the playoffs. They're always gonna say healthy. I

717
00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:46,400
think teams are gonna rest guys. I think they're gonna

718
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:50,079
manage their injuries. I just don't see one hundred and

719
00:39:50,119 --> 00:39:53,199
five wins by a team. Who is it. It's supposed

720
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:54,920
to be the Dodgers last year and they didn't get

721
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:56,280
close exactly.

722
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 2: And even if you look at projections and the Dodgers,

723
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:00,800
who are the team that you're at asking about this,

724
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,519
their projection is around one hundred and three wins, so

725
00:40:03,519 --> 00:40:05,079
you're getting a point and a half above that.

726
00:40:05,159 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 1: I love this man.

727
00:40:07,039 --> 00:40:07,320
Speaker 4: Yeah.

728
00:40:07,599 --> 00:40:12,199
Speaker 1: Yeah. Now the downside is we play this play before

729
00:40:12,199 --> 00:40:15,000
April first, and we have to wait till Thanksgiving to

730
00:40:15,119 --> 00:40:15,599
cash it.

731
00:40:16,119 --> 00:40:20,559
Speaker 2: You have action on literally every single baseball game until

732
00:40:20,559 --> 00:40:21,800
the end of the regular season.

733
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:25,760
Speaker 1: Oh that makes this a play, yes, because you're right now,

734
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:29,360
I'm gonna gonna pay attention to every single game because

735
00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:35,039
I got every future. Here's a weird one. The Houston

736
00:40:35,079 --> 00:40:37,239
opens sa hitha gala will miss the cutup plus one

737
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:39,880
eighty four. This is very random. To hit the Gala

738
00:40:40,039 --> 00:40:43,639
cost us. Yeah, to hit the Gala cost us. Last week,

739
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:45,960
he played on Thursday and then he was awful and

740
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:47,760
he showed up to his tea time on Friday and

741
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:51,119
his wrist was wrapped. That is a gigantic red flag.

742
00:40:51,159 --> 00:40:53,679
That means it means he did something to his wrist.

743
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:56,239
He was terrible, and he missed the cut. Last week, Dan,

744
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,039
he played in TGL last night it was it's the

745
00:40:59,119 --> 00:41:03,079
championship like last night and tonight. He played last night

746
00:41:03,119 --> 00:41:06,280
and his wrist was still wrapped up and he was awful.

747
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:09,280
He was awful. He is slated to play this week.

748
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:11,440
I don't understand why he's gonna try and play if

749
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:14,079
his wrist is is banged up. If he does, you

750
00:41:14,119 --> 00:41:16,320
can play this and if he withdraws, that's fine. It's

751
00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:18,360
a void. But you're getting plus one eighty four and

752
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:19,960
a guy with a banged up wrist that missed the

753
00:41:19,960 --> 00:41:22,719
cut last week and has looked awful. So there's a

754
00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:25,480
sneaky plus one eighty four on a golf play. So

755
00:41:26,079 --> 00:41:27,760
Houston open to hit the Goblinson.

756
00:41:28,199 --> 00:41:28,559
Speaker 4: All right.

757
00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:32,000
Speaker 2: I'll let Shane know here by the way, I'm taking

758
00:41:32,039 --> 00:41:35,400
the points. I know the bet on it's coming out

759
00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:37,079
and one of them likes the other side.

760
00:41:37,119 --> 00:41:38,480
Speaker 1: You can find their breakdown there.

761
00:41:38,519 --> 00:41:41,599
Speaker 2: But I haven't seen anything from Duke in this tournament

762
00:41:41,639 --> 00:41:43,320
that says, hey, let me lay it against a very

763
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:45,679
good defensive team who can run up and down the court.

764
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:50,280
Speaker 1: So I will be taking points for Saint John's. Nice. Nice, Okay,

765
00:41:51,199 --> 00:41:54,400
let's have a little fun. Here's the here's the surprise. Okay,

766
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:57,000
Dan knows the story. I don't know if some of

767
00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:59,880
you know the story. So years ago, this was like

768
00:42:00,159 --> 00:42:03,360
pre COVID. Uh, before I even got to wager Talk,

769
00:42:04,039 --> 00:42:06,920
I produced TV shows and I also hosted TV shows.

770
00:42:07,639 --> 00:42:10,639
I actually got paid to host a show where me

771
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:13,960
and another guy traveled around and we got good at

772
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:16,480
playing arcade games and carnival games, and we would win

773
00:42:16,559 --> 00:42:20,800
jackpots and big prizes. So I have this weird muscle

774
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,360
memory like etched in my head about going into the

775
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:25,679
places like Dave and Busters. There's a couple games where

776
00:42:25,679 --> 00:42:28,960
I can like just win jackpots every single time. I

777
00:42:29,039 --> 00:42:34,519
hadn't checked the balance on my daven Buster's card from

778
00:42:34,559 --> 00:42:36,880
way back, from like literally from like six or seven

779
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:44,760
years ago, and I had three hundred thousand points on it. Okay,

780
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:53,360
that's insane. So here's what I did. One of their

781
00:42:53,519 --> 00:43:01,920
prizes is mystery autographed baseballs. Okay, so I they're only

782
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:04,199
twenty six thousand points, so I have enough for like

783
00:43:04,559 --> 00:43:07,119
twelve of them. Well, I got seven of them because

784
00:43:07,119 --> 00:43:09,559
that was all they had. So in honor of baseball

785
00:43:09,559 --> 00:43:15,199
season starting, I'm just gonna unbox one here. This is great.

786
00:43:15,639 --> 00:43:18,440
You here, Yeah, I'll just we'll just see if we

787
00:43:18,519 --> 00:43:20,440
happen to have a gem. I don't know. Some of

788
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:22,280
these could be good, some of these cannot be good.

789
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:24,440
I've got a couple of others. I got a Jim

790
00:43:24,519 --> 00:43:26,480
Turner one that's sell them for like forty or fifty

791
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:30,559
bucks on eBay. So we'll do an unboxing of a real,

792
00:43:30,679 --> 00:43:35,400
authenticated autographed baseball. So I will open this Jake. Yes,

793
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:37,679
we are going to do a TGL show tonight. The

794
00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:42,400
first match starts at seven eastern so uh, we will

795
00:43:42,400 --> 00:43:44,159
be live on the Winning in the Shadows YouTube Channe.

796
00:43:44,159 --> 00:43:45,400
If you guys want to come hang out with us

797
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:48,440
for the TGL Championship, we'll be live.

798
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:51,639
Speaker 2: Shane asking one with a great NHL pick today. Yeah,

799
00:43:51,679 --> 00:43:53,440
we told you macavoy.

800
00:43:53,079 --> 00:43:58,400
Speaker 1: Charlie McAvoy, Charlie McAvoy, we'll have a point. Of course,

801
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:01,280
we're gonna make this box really hard to open. Of course,

802
00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:03,719
that's what they like in the unboxing. It goes well

803
00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:07,800
with my asmr voice. It goes perfect Andy unboxing and

804
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:12,159
asmr RJ says, I bet, I bet I've never heard

805
00:44:12,159 --> 00:44:15,920
of the guy that could very well be hundred. It's

806
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:22,519
minus two hundred drum roll brand new baseball.

807
00:44:24,639 --> 00:44:25,280
Speaker 4: It is.

808
00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:34,199
Speaker 1: Kevin Mitchell. Kevin Mitchell UH nineteen eighty nine, Sporting News

809
00:44:34,199 --> 00:44:36,440
Player of the Year, nineteen eighty six, World Series Champion

810
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:40,599
with the Mets, nineteen eighty nine Silver Slugger Award. In

811
00:44:40,679 --> 00:44:44,559
nineteen ninety five, fled to fled to Japan inside a

812
00:44:44,599 --> 00:44:49,920
contract with the Fukoa co Daniel Hawks for four point

813
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:53,920
five million, becoming the highest played player in the country's history.

814
00:44:54,119 --> 00:44:56,679
Kevin Mitchell is Today's.

815
00:44:57,639 --> 00:45:00,239
Speaker 2: Does it have does it have any is it just

816
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,639
his signature? Does it say MVP, Does it say World Series?

817
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:04,960
Or is it just his signature?

818
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:08,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's aw shoot, it's a little bright. It says yes,

819
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:09,599
MVP says eighty nine.

820
00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:14,400
Speaker 2: M so andy MVP ball that says NL eighty nine

821
00:45:14,519 --> 00:45:17,719
MVP currently going for one hundred and one dollars. Kevin

822
00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:20,960
Mitchell signed Kevin Mitchell ball one oh one. If it

823
00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:23,119
says MVP eighty nine.

824
00:45:22,920 --> 00:45:26,280
Speaker 1: On it, it does, it says eighty nine, and yeah,

825
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:28,440
eighty nine, that's MVP. Bang back.

826
00:45:28,519 --> 00:45:31,119
Speaker 2: Currently going for anywhere anywhere. Some of them are as

827
00:45:31,159 --> 00:45:34,320
high as h one twenty five. We're seeing one nineteen,

828
00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:37,280
but lowest price that he doesn't even say.

829
00:45:37,159 --> 00:45:40,119
Speaker 1: MVP on it is eighty bucks. That's a good poll, Andy,

830
00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:45,320
let's go, let's go. Yeah, I'm gonna. I've got three others.

831
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:47,400
I got a Joe thias'm an autographed jersey. I'm just

832
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:51,119
gonna No I did, I did. I did know who

833
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:54,039
Kevin Mitchell was. I was. It comes with a card

834
00:45:54,079 --> 00:45:56,039
that gives all the thing I did I know who

835
00:45:56,119 --> 00:45:58,159
Kevin Mitchell is? I don't. I don't have any memories

836
00:45:58,199 --> 00:46:03,119
of watching I don't. I don't know who Kevin Mitchell is. Yeah,

837
00:46:04,119 --> 00:46:07,960
that's it. Very famous bare handed catch. I bet we

838
00:46:08,039 --> 00:46:11,119
have all seen that bare handed catch because that that

839
00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:18,119
uh that that that sounds very very familiar. So oh yeah, yeah, I.

840
00:46:18,079 --> 00:46:21,719
Speaker 2: Have seen that Ozzie Smith pop fly one handed catch,

841
00:46:22,079 --> 00:46:23,920
bare handed running towards the wall.

842
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:27,320
Speaker 1: That's it. That's the one, okay, right, yeah I remember

843
00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:31,119
this one, so all right? Cool too. I think we

844
00:46:31,199 --> 00:46:33,199
might have picked a little early. I think we might have.

845
00:46:33,119 --> 00:46:42,039
Speaker 7: Peaked a little on the tomorrow signed So all right,

846
00:46:42,119 --> 00:46:45,239
that's one. That's one of the fixed more to go.

847
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:47,719
Speaker 1: I'll probably bundle these all up and sell them as

848
00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:49,519
a as a pack. So if you guys are interested

849
00:46:49,519 --> 00:46:54,360
in sports memorabilia. All right, great show, Thank you Ross,

850
00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:56,960
thank you Ralph. Five dollars Tuesday again, guys, we're doing

851
00:46:57,000 --> 00:46:58,880
a let It Ride mission. It starts at the Cricket

852
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,800
Play tonight. It's only bucks all access clients. You guys

853
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:04,400
already have that. We lost a five dollars lacrosse play

854
00:47:04,519 --> 00:47:07,039
and five dollars NBA. Let's go three and O tonight.

855
00:47:07,119 --> 00:47:07,400
Speaker 4: Kids.

856
00:47:07,639 --> 00:47:10,840
Speaker 1: Let's go three and oh, let's do it. So hit

857
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,159
the like button. Leave a comment below in the comment section,

858
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:15,639
tell us what you're liking tonight on the card and

859
00:47:15,679 --> 00:47:18,079
the nit. Appreciate you, guys, And we're gonna be back,

860
00:47:18,119 --> 00:47:20,559
same time, same place tomorrow. We're gonna open another baseball

861
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:23,039
we're gonna go over more free plays, and hopefully we're

862
00:47:23,039 --> 00:47:25,760
coming back on our second leg of the letter Ride mission.

863
00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:29,320
Hopefully Dan sounds a little bit better. So good luck

864
00:47:29,360 --> 00:47:32,119
at all your play tonight. Bet responsibly on five dollars Tuesday.

865
00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:33,639
We'll see everyone tomorrow. Take care,

