Speaker 1: Are welcome to Way Did You Talk? Today, the gold
standard of sports betting shows, where we talk the talk
and walk the walk Big Dance continues. We're gonna dive
into n I T as well as NBA and Dan
didn't get in here. Do you realize baseball starts tomorrow? Dude?
Speaker 2: How crazy is that that the tomorrow baseball starts and
the voices let's call it sixty five percent?
Speaker 1: Andy, it doesn't hurt to talk. Finally, so I could.
Speaker 2: I can speak again, but we can do a honey
shot counter because once I hit this, I power through
a little bit more. But yeah, baseball is right around
the corner. We got Ralph Michael's n I T plays
He's gonna give you, and of course Ross Benjamin coming
on some NBA action. So Andy, even though I can't speak,
which I got yelled at by my wife this morning.
She goes, this can't be every weekend. She goes, you
can't be on Tuesday and not able to speak. So folks,
I will restrict myself. Those of you who get in
the comments yesterday, why did Dan lose his voice? One
person right, our friend AWB, who said, I'm guessing it's
because Dan's middies weren't getting back.
Speaker 1: That's right.
Speaker 2: I'm a lacrosse coach and the midfield substitutions. Andy left
a lot to be desired, but we will not leave
a lot to be desired. It's our lacrosse play that
goes tonight. You can get w T do Buzzbackslash Heyl,
Let's go in.
Speaker 1: Oh my god, what a what a transition, What a transition.
We got Ralph Snoop dog for it. Yeah, we got
Ralph Michael's coming up. We got Ross the Boss, Benjamin
Who's gonna talk NBA. And we have a very special
treat that we're gonna do for the next seven episodes
of Wager Talk Today. That is going to be at
the end of the show. It's a surprise in more
than one way. You do not want to miss the
end of the show. We got something really really cool
that we're gonna do. I'm very, very excited. But Dan,
we got we gotta play the new drop for for Tuesday.
You got it, I got it, bas Let's go man,
let's go five dollars Tuesdays in the house. Love it,
love it, love it. We got a lot of five
dollars plays to talk about. We also got some college
basketball to talk about, so let's get after it with Ralph, Michaels,
Ralph and his uh with oh yeah yeah, well Steven,
we will talk about tennis a little bit later we
do some recaps, but tennis is uh. Tennis is on
a heater, Ralph, Ralph and the Penn is joining us.
How are you today?
Speaker 3: Good morning guys. I just want you to know my
bartender was so freaking slow bringing me my Miller lights.
I had to keep screaming at them. Good morning guys.
Speaker 4: Thanks for.
Speaker 3: That's brutal.
Speaker 1: Hopefully you get your voice back, bud uh Well. I
sent Ralph a message yesterday. Dan I was like, hey,
I got some plays that could be graded, and Ralph
was like, you made me put down my cocktail to
grade your tennis place? Ralph?
Speaker 5: When Andy calls Ralph jumps just see you.
Speaker 1: Guys know, Ralph, We're gonna talk some n I t
games here. What's the difference between handicapping the n I
and where we're at with the Big Time Tournament? Here
is it? Are you looking at motivation? Are you looking
at current four? What's the difference between these two tournaments
and how we handicap.
Speaker 5: Well, you know, I'm off to a three and oh
start in the n I T, including a five dollars
play up today looking for four and oh.
Speaker 3: I would say this Andy.
Speaker 5: At this point, I don't think there is much of
a difference, except you are actually playing on a home
court the first two rounds. You really do have to
handicap motivation. There's many teams that were on the bubble
that failed to make March Madness. They are not excited
about playing in the n T, while other teams which
weren't on the bubble are ecstatic to continue practicing and playing.
But after you win the first few games and get
through the first weekend, I think most teams are then
they get re engaged and re excited to be playing
at least for an NIT championship after missing out on
March Madness.
Speaker 1: Well, let's talk about a couple games here. We're going
to talk about one that's tonight, and then we're going
to talk about one that's on Wednesday. So let's talk
about the one that's tonight. We got Saint Joseph's in
New Mexico. Let's let's break this game down. Tell us
a little bit about these teams. I'm sure I'm not
the only one that doesn't know much about these teams.
So tell us about these teams, where they're at in
the tournament, and who you like in this game.
Speaker 5: Well, Saint Jose Andy was my five percent winner against
California Nice.
Speaker 3: It was a late game. I woke they were.
Speaker 5: Down by I think fifteen points. When I checked, I
threw my phone on the bed and said, screw this.
I woke up three hours later and they came from
down eighteen to win by one against cal So. Quite
a comeback. Now, they did have to exert energy with
that comeback, which is an issue I'll talk about here.
Full season Saint Jo's is twenty four to eleven versus
the number one hundred and twelve schedule. They are a
defensive minded team. One ninety one on offense, fifty six
on defense. New Mexico twenty five and ten versus the
number eighty eight schedule, number fifty seven on offense, number
forty two on defense. Well, New Mexico an extra couple wins,
a stronger schedule, much better offense, better defense.
Speaker 3: You're the date numbers. This makes sense, but when you
look at current form, the last three weeks.
Speaker 5: Guys, Saint Jo's is actually rated higher than New Mexico.
I have them number sixty with New Mexico number sixty two.
And when we look at this game over under, Saint
Joe's four and fourteen over under New Mexico twelve and
six over under at home. So we have an away
team on the road versus an over team at home.
So we're going to throw out the total. The Hawks
started the season eight and seven. They had some injuries,
but since that start, after their first fifteen games, they
have gone sixteen and four straight up, seventeen and three
against the spread, and when they have at least a
day of rest and a total under one fifty six,
how about seventeen and two eighty nine percent against the spread,
including nine to oh ats since mid February, covering by
over nine points per game. The Lobos ten and eight
ats at home this year, but as a small favorite
or a dog, they did well five and two against
the spread. They only went five and six ats as
a favorite of eight or more. Now, those numbers say
Saint Joe's. I was on Saint Joe's and they won
as a dog as a five percent why are they
not a client play today. Let me say this, I
do like Saint Jo's they are a very strong opinion.
But this is the reason they are.
Speaker 3: Not a client play.
Speaker 5: They had to play at Fort Collins in altitude on Wednesday.
They actually stayed out west because they had to play
at Kale if they won that game, so they didn't
have to travel back east and back.
Speaker 3: What do they do?
Speaker 5: We talked about that come back at cal and now
they're playing again at New Mexico. So they're playing their
third game in six days and their fifth game in
twelve days.
Speaker 3: Is that a concern?
Speaker 5: Well, they're number three hundred and twenty one in bench minutes.
They don't play a lot of bench people. Their starters
have long, significant minutes and a tricky thing. Most people
don't think about playing New Mexico and Albuquerque. Did you
guys know the elevation of the pit in Albuquerque is
five thousand, three hundred and twelve feet, so it is
over a mile high.
Speaker 3: People talk about playing in Denver and having altitude.
Speaker 5: New Mexico is actually higher, but people don't talk about
that altitude. That is my concern. No bench minutes, six
games all on the three games all on the road
in six days, all on the road. With this altitude,
I still like Saint Joe's. It wouldn't surprise me if
they win this game outright, but that is enough to
keep this from being a client play tonight.
Speaker 1: Saint Joe's versus New Mexico. Another game, this one is tomorrow,
So if you're looking at your sports books, make sure
you're looking at tomorrow's slate before we do that. You
mentioned you have a playoff. It is five dollars Tuesday
here at Wager Talk, tell us about your play that's
up well.
Speaker 5: Number one college basketball this regular season, number one March
Madness profit last year, my nit plays three and oh
this year going for four and oh.
Speaker 3: Tonight. It is a college basketball five dollars play from.
Speaker 5: This regular season's number one cap or WT dot buzz
backslash r M.
Speaker 1: There's a few sports that are like kind of feather
in the cap, like bragging rights to be number one
College basketball is one of them. Ralph, congratulations on that, man.
Let's I'm pulling for you to end the year like.
It would be pretty lame if I was like number
one darts handicapper Wager talks like and subscribe not a
lot of competition in that one, like college basketball, NFL,
college football for sure, probably MLB, NBA. So let's pull
for Ralph Michaels's finish number one. Let's talk about Wednesday's game.
We're going to Nevada and Auburn n IT matchup. What
do we know about these teams and who do you like?
Speaker 5: Well, Auburn was one of those teams that thought they
might make it, even though they were only seventeen and sixteen.
But let's run down this season at date stats. Auburn
finished seventeen and sixteen, they're now nineteen and sixteen. They've
played the number seven schedule, so they have been tested
the number eleven offense, the number one twenty d Nevada
twenty four and twelve versus the number eighty seven schedule
offense seventy eight, defense seventy seven.
Speaker 3: But here again, the last three.
Speaker 5: Weeks, we have the underdog, the better team, and we
have an underdog that's getting nine and a half over
the last couple. Actually, Auburn is a slight edge my apologies.
Auburn is number sixty five over the last three weeks.
Now that is number seventy two, But Auburn failed to
cover each of their first two games by a combined
by double digits. Why, I'll tell you what. This is
one of the most bizarre stories. They're one of their
best players. Kashawn Murray played at Old Miss, wanted to
transfer to Auburn and do something special under Bruce Pearl.
He starts the first twenty nine games, and then when
they're practicing for the nit he just no shows for practice.
He said, I asked to deal with personal stuff. The
coaches are saying, we have no idea what's going on.
So he's listed as suspended. I am taking it that
he is still suspended for this game. I have not
been able to confirm that or deny it. But again,
if he doesn't play, that is a big loss for Auburn.
They were number three forty four in bench minutes when
Murphy started twenty nine games. Right now, without Murphy in
they would clearly be last in college.
Speaker 3: Basketball in the number of bench minutes.
Speaker 5: I look at these teams, and you look at Auburn again,
number three forty four in bench minutes their last fifteen games,
they have covered two games. They're two and thirteen against
the spread their last fifteen and in those games. They
fail to cover the NT games combined sixteen points. Auburn
does have one weakness that is three point defense, their
number three hundred and forty three in the country, but
Nevada cannot take advantage of.
Speaker 3: That or likely will not take advantage because.
Speaker 5: They are only number three hundred and twenty seven and
percentage of shots from threes, so even though Auburn's a
bad three point defense, Nevada doesn't shoot many threes to
be able to exploit this. Nevada is number twenty three
in bench minutes, so and they actually have an extra
day of rest. Sometimes in the NIT you get that
extra day of wrest, so even though they are coming
from Nevada, the rest equalizes that road trip. Again a
strong opinion on Nevada, but the way they've played in
true road games is enough to keep me off these games.
They have lost six straight road games and they failed
to cover the last four road games by a combined
fifty eight points.
Speaker 3: That's fourteen and a half points per game.
Speaker 5: So even though everything else adds up to lean the Wolfpack,
that road dichotomy for the Wolfpack is enough to make
it a play here for the show, A free play
for my clients, but that's also enough to keep it
from being a client release. Those little things matter, guys.
Be conservative. Remember it is much more profitable to leave
a one in one if you're looking to go one
and one, you leave them off the board. You're saving
yourself ten cents juice from putting on those two games
that were in the mix, and if you split them again,
you're paying the juice for that. So a conservative approach.
I like both underdogs, but again they just fell short.
Speaker 1: One of my favorite things you do, Ralph, is talk
about just the little nuances of what it takes to
be like just numbers aside when it takes me a
winning better. Like you're like, if you hit sixty percent
of your plays and you hit sixty percent of your months,
that means you're winning seven months and losing five. But
that's like literally literally a winning play. Like, yeah, just
the little things you leave off five losers that you
would put two percent of you that's a ten percent
swing in your favor just over the course of a year.
So yeah, the the devil's in the details, Ralph.
Speaker 3: So it really is making all the box check and
don't cut corners. Guys. There's two college basketball games. There's
no reason you have to bet one if you don't
like a game.
Speaker 5: Again, the way I handle these individual games, you know,
I basically go back to like a full Wednesday or
Thursday of college basketball in February, when we have fifty games.
If this game would have been one of my top
four or five games on a full card in February,
then I'm gonna look at it to be a late
phone play. But not checking all the boxes, there's no
way it would be a play on a full card
in February. Therefore, there's no way it should be a
play just because there's two games today and they're trying
to get some action on it.
Speaker 1: Agreed, Agreed. These are the games where people just there's
NIT game on, I'll throw a bet on it. Let's
just watch it and enjoy it as a fan. So
great work, Ralph, Thank you so much. Great breakdowns on
the NIT games. Good luck on your five dollars play
and keep up that number one spot.
Speaker 3: Andy.
Speaker 5: Let me share a little round three info with you,
Oh bous March madness, Round three. I just want to
run some data. There's nothing now. This is just so
you're informed what has happened. In Round three. Remember, these
teams played two physical at least one physical game. Some
teams play two physical games. They traveled back home, they're
now prepping for this new opponent. And remember they're playing
in a different venue again. The first two weeks are
in one venue. Now this is the first game in
a new cavernous venue. So it makes total sense. Since
twenty eighteen over unders in Round three sixteen overs and
thirty unders, folks, that is thirty five percent.
Speaker 3: So blindly round three over unders.
Speaker 5: Sixty five percent to the under favorites in round three
twenty one and twenty five forty six percent against the spread.
Top three seeds in round one only forty three percent
against the spread, so that surprised me.
Speaker 3: Couple things I want to mention. If you're in round
three and you won each of the.
Speaker 5: First two games as a dog, only one team applies
quick Who is it? It's the Texas Longhorns teams in
round three that won their first two games outright as
an underdog. They've gone ten and three seventy seven percent
against the spread, and also three and ten over under
seventy seven percent to the under. And lastly, you may
not think free throws matter. But when we get down
to March madness, when you look at teams from round
one and later, we're not pounting the play in games.
If you have a team shooting over seventy five percent
from free throws and the other team is shooting under
seventy five percent, that's it. Since one team over seventy
five percent, one team under seventy five percent. Those teams
in the last ten years have gone seventy six and
forty one sixty five percent against the spread. I mentioned
Texas one back to back games as a dog that's
in a positive ats situation.
Speaker 3: Texas also falls into.
Speaker 5: This sixty five percent category as a better free throw
shooting team versus Purdue, as does Michigan State. So just
a few Round three tidbits as you make your bets
Thursday and Friday.
Speaker 1: Great stuff was always Ralph, always always up to speed
on the trends, the angles, in the details. So thank
you so much, Ralph, Good luck, Thanks guys. Yeah, uh,
Number one in college basketball, let's see, Number one in
lacrosse is a big bragging rights here at here at
wagers one one of one, Andy one. I think I
think we might be kings of the one of one
where you where you go in and we see the
rankings and it's just they're just winning. Andy Kapper, that
does it so uh but that that works out really
really well for us. A couple guys are talking about
Alcraz losing. Carlos Alcraz. Uh So the tennis tournament's been
fantastic betting wise and watch wise. Uh So, guys, if
you didn't hear what Carlos Alcrez said after the match,
uh he lost. He said, I can't take it anymore.
I'm going home, man, I can't take it anymore. He
sounds like a very tired. He just sounds tired. He
sounds exhausted, like it's it's catching up to him. This
is the second year in a row he's gotten upset
early in this particular tournament. But keep your eye on him.
He might need he might need a little break just
to reset. You know, guys like him, they don't just
go to tournaments. They just play the entire tournament because
they make it to the championship. So he's playing four
times as many games as some of these other guys.
So keep your eye on Outcros. That fatigue might be
setting in with him. So did we wrapped up a
huge tournament of tennis. I mean, this has been I
was talking to Yahn yesterday and we're going over what's
been working, what hasn't been working. Tennis has been one
of the one of the bright spots of twenty twenty six.
We crossed over thirty five units of profit for everyone
for all sports but tennis. Yeah, five and zero in
the Miami Tournament. We cast everything yesterday. So we're calling
it quits for the Miami Tournament. I don't think I
can get much better than five and for seventeen units,
So we're done for this tournament.
Speaker 2: I think, like you said, Andy, like that's the point is,
you take your money and you run. But tennis, it's
entered into the territory.
Speaker 1: Doubles, doubles markets is where it's at. So five dollars Tuesday,
we have a massive five dollars Tuesday slate. We have
not one, not two, but three plays that are up.
We have an NBA prop, we have a cricket play
that is up. Yes, that's right, cricket is back there.
That sport was kind of on break. There were some
games here or there, but nothing we really like cricket
is back tonight. The best part about our cricket plays,
it's just in the middle of the night, so you
bet it and just check in the morning. And Dan
has a lacrosse play lives up for tonight. Very limited
games today, but there's a spot that really sticks out.
So each one of them is five dollars. Nobody's been
hotter the past three days. So who's running good recently?
It's been us. We're ahead of schedule for the year.
Like I said, we're up thirty five units. My goal
is kind of be about about that ten unit per
month that way where we end up around one hundred
and twenty units profit at the end of the year.
So looking really good. But NBA Lacrosse and Cricket and
I do believe we need to start another let It
Ride mission to celebrate the hot run that we're on.
And we're on five dollars Tuesday, So I'll leave it
up to you. Do you want to do lacrosse or
you want to do the cricket for a play tonight.
Speaker 2: I let's go cricket since it's back, but I would
nominate lacrosse play.
Speaker 1: Lacrosse play. I played it as a four percent play.
I believe that's what we put it in for.
Speaker 2: And Andy, we got the three ones up, but you
can grab each one of them fifteen bucks or.
Speaker 1: Hop it up a little bit.
Speaker 2: This buy three hit three days for no brainer because
you're gonna get all three of them and then we
have the continuing access.
Speaker 1: So yeah, so what we're gonna do. We hit the
cricket play tonight. We're gonna come back for the darts
play that's on Thursday. It's five percent darts play that
is up. So yeah, well we also may have another
smash spot in uh we may we may have a Okay,
So what happened Jean van van van Veen, one of
the best darts players, young guy. He had kidney stones
and he had to have surgery. He's scheduled to play
on Thursday, and he just came out and said, I
have no energy and if he decides to play, that
is a smash spot fade, oh man. So uh yeah,
but five dollars Tuesday. Every handicapper has one. Get as
many as you want. Like I said, we normally have one.
We've got three of them up tonight and cricket is
going to be the smash spot. So w T do
buzz slash a l again. Nobody's been hotter the last
three days. Really proud of the work myself and the
team have done. So all right, here we go, do
we well? Seth? Have you started with Jan's boxing is
leg one? Or if you just want to start over?
I mean I cashed big on Yon's boxing play, so
I'm just saying we'll just we'll just start it, start
it new tonight. So uh but but do which you want?
These these let It Ride play has been very good.
Our one the one that derailed us was a golfer
that got hurt. It was a injury in the middle
of his round. So we're doing well, all right. You
know who else is doing well? Ross the Boss, Benjamin Ross.
Happy Tuesday? How are you?
Speaker 4: Happy Tuesday to you guys?
Speaker 6: Always a great day for me when I get to
speak to both of you.
Speaker 1: Yeah, man, it's great. How are you saying? Give us
the Buffalo Sabers update before we get to h Yeah.
Speaker 6: We lost one and overtime on Saturday, but you know,
still running hot man thirty two six and three with
their last forty one games, so still on top a
top the Atlantic Division with a four point lead over
Tampa Bay and number two overall in the East, two
points behind the Carolina Hurricanes. So things are good, man,
things are real good. Getting close to clinching a playoff spot,
which hasn't been done fifteen years around here.
Speaker 1: That is wild man. Fifteen years.
Speaker 6: Yeah, man, you know, sixteen out of the thirty teams,
Andy baked the NHL playoffs and we haven't done so
in fourteen years. You know, I don't know what the
odds of that happening is, but I'm sure they're extremely long.
Speaker 1: You would think mathematically you'd accidentally fall into a player.
Speaker 4: Yes, exactly, exactly.
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, that's right. Johnny and Karm are going to
be at the game on Friday, Wings, Wings and Sabers.
So Johnny and Karm are going to get together for
that one. So let's talk a little NBA. We got
a Peacock doubleheader here tonight. We got I'm really really
interested in this second game.
Speaker 4: I love this.
Speaker 1: I love watching this Phoenix team, and I love watching
the Nuggets. But before that, we got the Magic and
the Cavil years. I have the Cavaliers slated as a
real sleeper in the East now, especially with what's happened
to Kate Cunningham. Hope he's going to be back, but
you never know. So let's talk about this double header here,
and we're going to start with Magic versus Calves here,
Orlando seems is Orlando is a pretty big underdog here
in this one. What's your take here on the Magic
and the Calves.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean they're a ten and a half point
underdog to be exact. Look, Cleveland hasn't done well in
this situation this year as a double digit dog. Specifically,
they're zero to nine against the spread, and their last
nine is a home favorite of between ten and fifteen points,
and they only went six and.
Speaker 4: Three in those teams straight up.
Speaker 6: So in they're one and twelve against spread home or
away as a favorite of minus ten to minus fifteen.
So needless to say, they've been draining money from betters.
When back the Cavaliers as a double digit favor, the
Caves will be playing on two days rest, and you
know they should have a big advantage playing in an Orlando
team that's playing on no rest in the third game
in four days, but I don't see that being the
case just because of these teams' recent history. The Cabs
their last four games in which they've played on two
days rest oh and four against Spreading only two and
two straight up, So rest hasn't really worked well for
the Cavaliers of late.
Speaker 4: And also their last four.
Speaker 6: Games is a favorite of three or greater playing on
two days rest and facing a team playing with no rest.
Speaker 4: They've gone.
Speaker 6: Oh and four in those situations, So not a very
good setup here for the Cleveland Cavaliers. They're looking at
a Orlando team that's eight and two straight up in
seven and three against Spread, this in their last ten
this year with no rest. Orlando also four and oh
straight up the last four when playing on the road
with no rest, and and it's also the third game
in four days, so let me repeat that again. So
it's clear Orlando four and oh straight up in their
last four on the road when playing with no rest,
and also it's their third game in four days, which
they're in tonight. And you know, Ralph talked about free
throw shooting and how it gets overlooked in basketball handicapping, and.
Speaker 4: I agree with him wholeheartedly.
Speaker 6: With that being said, the Cleveland Cavaliers have shot sixty
eight point two or worse from the free throw line
in five of their last six games, and that's atrocious
by modern day NBA standards. So when you're laying a
double digit number and you're not shooting well from the
free throw line, it could come back to bite you
if you're laying the points. I'm not going to lay
the point. I'm going to take the magic here plus
ten and a half at the Cass tonight, I'd.
Speaker 1: Have to agree. I like the Cavaliers team, but it's
such a monster number ten and a half. That's that's
like line like they're playing a tanking team, Like that's
what the Kings, you know, Like that's the Jazz and
the camp That's a crazy number. So that I'd have
to agree wholeheartedly with you on that one. So let's
move to the Nuggets and the Suns. I Ross, why
do they start these games at eleven o'clock?
Speaker 6: Where you you talked about Andy, you talked about the
first game being a sleeper. This is literally a sleeper,
literally East Coast, no chance.
Speaker 1: No chance, It's it's crazy eleven o'clock start time. I
will stay up for a little bit and try and
watch it because I really enjoy both of these, both
of these teams here. Unfortunately, the Suns. They're just not
going to be full strength and missing quite a few
guys here, So what's your take on this one? This
is just a gritty, tough Sun's team. The Nuggets have
been really exciting. They're putting up a ton of points here.
Who do you like in this game?
Speaker 4: Yeah? And they also give up a ton of points
as well along the way.
Speaker 6: I mean, the Nuggets just four and eight straight up
Andy and their last twelve on the road, and also
eleven and twelve straight up in their last twenty three overall.
So when you're talking about a road favorite that's playing
pretty mediocre over the last five weeks or so and
especially struggling a little bit on the road going four
and eight straight up, I'm hesitant to lay points here,
even with the Suns, like you alluded to, not being
at full strength. And the Suns this year ten and
three against the spread. Is a home underdog or six
or less. They're gonna be facing a Nuggets team that
allows one hundred and sixteen point four points per game
on the season, and the Suns are eighteen and nine
against the spread this year when facing opponents to allow
one sixteen or The Suns are coming off to ninety
eight blowout win at home against the Toronto Raptors that
ended a five game losing streak. But it must be
noted all five of those losses came on the road,
and tonight they're at home. Very small, Lean, I'm not
going to go crazy with this one. Bet conservatively, folks,
if you're going to follow my advice, which you should,
the Sun's plus five and.
Speaker 4: A half against the Denver Nuggets.
Speaker 1: I wish that we had Dylan Brooks in this one
because Dylan Brooks would certainly get into a shoving match
with Joki.
Speaker 4: Well again, I'm sorry, Andy, I didn't mean they're in rock.
Speaker 1: No, I was just rooting for a fight in the NBA.
It was a lot of fun the other night when
the Wizards got into a fight with the Thunder. It's like,
oh my god, that's the best. That's the most fight
the Wizards. Where was that fight when Bam was dropping
eighty three on them? But guys like Dylan Brooks.
Speaker 6: Yeah, just remember when it comes to injuries, folks. And
Andy's well aware of this. He's just bringing it to
your attention doing his job. But when it comes to injuries,
it's all factored into the line. So when you tell me,
how could you take the Suns plus five and a
half with Dylan Brooks out he averages over twenty points
a game, Well, if he was playing, the line would
not be five and a half, folks, it would be
more like two and a half or three. So always
keep that in mind. You're if we know about something
that's going on in a game, when it comes to
players availability, you could one and fifty.
Speaker 4: Be assured. The odds makers do too.
Speaker 1: My favorite example of this, Ross's backup quarterbacks in the NFL.
They're like, well, you know, starting a backup quarterback.
Speaker 7: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I think the books realize that as well. I think
they noticed exactly that Joe Burrow is not playing in
j Browning is that's why Bengals are getting sixteen and
a half. Yes, Ross, it's five dollars Tuesday. I know
you got something up. What do you have for us?
Speaker 6: I got an NIT semi final winner for you up
right now. It's a winning side in my college basketball sides,
by the way, folks, forty five and nineteen with my
last sixty four on college basketball sides. The NCAA Tournament
gets resumes on Thursday and Friday to Sweet sixteen, and folks,
in the rounds of sixty four and thirty two, I
went eleven and three, including a five percent best bet
winner on Duke on Saturday as they were minus ten
and a half and they.
Speaker 4: Blew out TCU by twenty three.
Speaker 6: And my college basketball overall on runs of fifty three
and twenty six sixty seven percent in eighty seven and
fifty three sixty two percent. That eighty seven and fifty
three dates back to December thirty first, So I've been
making an absolute killing with my college basketball.
Speaker 4: Premium picks for.
Speaker 6: Over two and a half months now and going on
three months actually, and Andy, you talked about Ralph sharing
some information to win make yourself a better sports better
or winning sports better. Here's how you could become a
winning sports better, Folks. I am up two hundred and
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That's well over ten months of action, and that's number
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Speaker 4: That's less than four dollars per day, folks.
Speaker 6: And if you don't bet every day, you should exercise
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Speaker 3: It's less than ten dollars a day.
Speaker 6: You'll get six days all access, all premium plays, all
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Speaker 4: And Andy also, when you.
Speaker 6: Buy it three hundred and sixty five day all Access Pass,
we're going to give you a twenty five percent off
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Talk from any other handicapper, you're gonna get twenty five
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Speaker 4: So it doesn't get better in.
Speaker 1: That Andy, it's the valuable, valuable Cupon added in there.
You're so generous for including that. Ross. You do it
for the people, so great stuff. Congratulate that's a that's
a two hundred units man. That's a very very impressive,
so awesome stuff from Ross. Ross. Are you doing videos
these days? You're doing free play videos?
Speaker 6: Well, you know what, I got two ni picks up
for tonight and you can get that at wager Talk TV. Also,
you can go right to my direct link at wager talkTV,
which is wt dot Buzz Forward slash ROSSTV at wt
dot Buzz Forward Slash Ross TV. Last week ten and
four with my college basketball free picks on wager Talk TV.
I'm pretty consistent in doing these every day Sundays that
usually take off in Saturdays at this time of year.
I'm still working on the.
Speaker 4: Videos, so get all of those right there a w
T dot Buzz Forward slash RP. Thank you for asking me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, your free play videos are great, so when
you go watch them, make sure you hit the like
button and drop Ross and comment just really helps YouTube
algorhythm out so five dollars play one of the best
in the business. Ross, Thank you very much, Ross the Boss,
Benjamin have a great two days.
Speaker 6: It's always a pleasure. Take care Dan, I hope you
feel better. Sounds like your voice is a little gravely.
Speaker 1: It's on me.
Speaker 2: I was screaming all weekend at the Adam Cross game,
so it's on me.
Speaker 1: Ross, But always a pleasure, buddy.
Speaker 4: Thank you, all right, man, take care of Cayse.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 1: We got some free plays and then we got a
big surprise that's coming up. Mark says, they have no offense.
But you kind of sound like the Bez right now,
just not as loud, he said, a little less raspy,
like hair less. You're like, I'm just like flat.
Speaker 2: Yeah, mine's like flat, I have no rasp I have
no nothing, I I I have nothing. But but like
the vocal chords, it sound like they just went ten
rounds or ticon.
Speaker 1: That's all I yeah, yeah, yeah, ludicrous in my voice
got raspy, you know what, you know the song I'm
smoking on some Cali and my eyes was dazed. I
was in the zone. Could have thrown up them trays.
And if you lost, Little John's got some east Side ways.
So stop acting like a bea if your ass ain't blazed.
It's weird how some lyrics just get etched in your head,
like why why do I know that actually nailed? Why
I absolutely nailed that? Thank you? Why do I why
do I remember be a b A lyrics from two thousand?
So clip that, clip that and send it out On's
not Andy, Andy forty six year old just reading the
lyrics as opposed to actually wrapping them. So all right,
let's let's do some free plays and then we got
the surprise we gotta do. Charlie McAvoy's our boy. All right,
we're going to Charlie McAvoy. Will you have a point?
The answer to this question, more often than not is yes,
he will have a point. This was actually the play
of the day on the prop line the show I
just released. We got the same game parlay and the
play the Day of McAvoy. He's done this in twenty
six out of the last thirty games. This is not
Connor McDavid. This is Charlie McAvoy Toronto. They've given up
twelve goals the last three games he's played Toronto twice
this season. He scored one in two points in those
Bruins are putting up goals. They scored six and four
in the last two games, so Charlie McAvoy will have
a point. It's like minus one fifty. Damn, this should
be minus two hundred. It's like they don't believe in
and it's like this is hit twenty six out of
thirty games. So happy Charlie mackavoy day, everybody. I talked
about this prop earlier, earlier this year, I think I'm
gonna play this. MLB most wins by a team under
one oh four and a half. They nobody got to
one hundred last year. And I'm telling you, Dan, these
teams they know it's more important to go into the
playoffs healthy than it is to pile up wins. Like
if you gave the Dodgers or the Padre you know
teams Yankees, teams that are gonna be there, would you
rather win one hundred and ten games and not be healthier?
Would you? Would you rather win ninety and be healthy
going to the playoffs. They're always gonna say healthy. I
think teams are gonna rest guys. I think they're gonna
manage their injuries. I just don't see one hundred and
five wins by a team. Who is it. It's supposed
to be the Dodgers last year and they didn't get
close exactly.
Speaker 2: And even if you look at projections and the Dodgers,
who are the team that you're at asking about this,
their projection is around one hundred and three wins, so
you're getting a point and a half above that.
Speaker 1: I love this man.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Now the downside is we play this play before
April first, and we have to wait till Thanksgiving to
cash it.
Speaker 2: You have action on literally every single baseball game until
the end of the regular season.
Speaker 1: Oh that makes this a play, yes, because you're right now,
I'm gonna gonna pay attention to every single game because
I got every future. Here's a weird one. The Houston
opens sa hitha gala will miss the cutup plus one
eighty four. This is very random. To hit the Gala
cost us. Yeah, to hit the Gala cost us. Last week,
he played on Thursday and then he was awful and
he showed up to his tea time on Friday and
his wrist was wrapped. That is a gigantic red flag.
That means it means he did something to his wrist.
He was terrible, and he missed the cut. Last week, Dan,
he played in TGL last night it was it's the
championship like last night and tonight. He played last night
and his wrist was still wrapped up and he was awful.
He was awful. He is slated to play this week.
I don't understand why he's gonna try and play if
his wrist is is banged up. If he does, you
can play this and if he withdraws, that's fine. It's
a void. But you're getting plus one eighty four and
a guy with a banged up wrist that missed the
cut last week and has looked awful. So there's a
sneaky plus one eighty four on a golf play. So
Houston open to hit the Goblinson.
Speaker 4: All right.
Speaker 2: I'll let Shane know here by the way, I'm taking
the points. I know the bet on it's coming out
and one of them likes the other side.
Speaker 1: You can find their breakdown there.
Speaker 2: But I haven't seen anything from Duke in this tournament
that says, hey, let me lay it against a very
good defensive team who can run up and down the court.
Speaker 1: So I will be taking points for Saint John's. Nice. Nice, Okay,
let's have a little fun. Here's the here's the surprise. Okay,
Dan knows the story. I don't know if some of
you know the story. So years ago, this was like
pre COVID. Uh, before I even got to wager Talk,
I produced TV shows and I also hosted TV shows.
I actually got paid to host a show where me
and another guy traveled around and we got good at
playing arcade games and carnival games, and we would win
jackpots and big prizes. So I have this weird muscle
memory like etched in my head about going into the
places like Dave and Busters. There's a couple games where
I can like just win jackpots every single time. I
hadn't checked the balance on my daven Buster's card from
way back, from like literally from like six or seven
years ago, and I had three hundred thousand points on it. Okay,
that's insane. So here's what I did. One of their
prizes is mystery autographed baseballs. Okay, so I they're only
twenty six thousand points, so I have enough for like
twelve of them. Well, I got seven of them because
that was all they had. So in honor of baseball
season starting, I'm just gonna unbox one here. This is great.
You here, Yeah, I'll just we'll just see if we
happen to have a gem. I don't know. Some of
these could be good, some of these cannot be good.
I've got a couple of others. I got a Jim
Turner one that's sell them for like forty or fifty
bucks on eBay. So we'll do an unboxing of a real,
authenticated autographed baseball. So I will open this Jake. Yes,
we are going to do a TGL show tonight. The
first match starts at seven eastern so uh, we will
be live on the Winning in the Shadows YouTube Channe.
If you guys want to come hang out with us
for the TGL Championship, we'll be live.
Speaker 2: Shane asking one with a great NHL pick today. Yeah,
we told you macavoy.
Speaker 1: Charlie McAvoy, Charlie McAvoy, we'll have a point. Of course,
we're gonna make this box really hard to open. Of course,
that's what they like in the unboxing. It goes well
with my asmr voice. It goes perfect Andy unboxing and
asmr RJ says, I bet, I bet I've never heard
of the guy that could very well be hundred. It's
minus two hundred drum roll brand new baseball.
Speaker 4: It is.
Speaker 1: Kevin Mitchell. Kevin Mitchell UH nineteen eighty nine, Sporting News
Player of the Year, nineteen eighty six, World Series Champion
with the Mets, nineteen eighty nine Silver Slugger Award. In
nineteen ninety five, fled to fled to Japan inside a
contract with the Fukoa co Daniel Hawks for four point
five million, becoming the highest played player in the country's history.
Kevin Mitchell is Today's.
Speaker 2: Does it have does it have any is it just
his signature? Does it say MVP, Does it say World Series?
Or is it just his signature?
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's aw shoot, it's a little bright. It says yes,
MVP says eighty nine.
Speaker 2: M so andy MVP ball that says NL eighty nine
MVP currently going for one hundred and one dollars. Kevin
Mitchell signed Kevin Mitchell ball one oh one. If it
says MVP eighty nine.
Speaker 1: On it, it does, it says eighty nine, and yeah,
eighty nine, that's MVP. Bang back.
Speaker 2: Currently going for anywhere anywhere. Some of them are as
high as h one twenty five. We're seeing one nineteen,
but lowest price that he doesn't even say.
Speaker 1: MVP on it is eighty bucks. That's a good poll, Andy,
let's go, let's go. Yeah, I'm gonna. I've got three others.
I got a Joe thias'm an autographed jersey. I'm just
gonna No I did, I did. I did know who
Kevin Mitchell was. I was. It comes with a card
that gives all the thing I did I know who
Kevin Mitchell is? I don't. I don't have any memories
of watching I don't. I don't know who Kevin Mitchell is. Yeah,
that's it. Very famous bare handed catch. I bet we
have all seen that bare handed catch because that that
uh that that that sounds very very familiar. So oh yeah, yeah, I.
Speaker 2: Have seen that Ozzie Smith pop fly one handed catch,
bare handed running towards the wall.
Speaker 1: That's it. That's the one, okay, right, yeah I remember
this one, so all right? Cool too. I think we
might have picked a little early. I think we might have.
Speaker 7: Peaked a little on the tomorrow signed So all right,
that's one. That's one of the fixed more to go.
Speaker 1: I'll probably bundle these all up and sell them as
a as a pack. So if you guys are interested
in sports memorabilia. All right, great show, Thank you Ross,
thank you Ralph. Five dollars Tuesday again, guys, we're doing
a let It Ride mission. It starts at the Cricket
Play tonight. It's only bucks all access clients. You guys
already have that. We lost a five dollars lacrosse play
and five dollars NBA. Let's go three and O tonight.
Speaker 4: Kids.
Speaker 1: Let's go three and oh, let's do it. So hit
the like button. Leave a comment below in the comment section,
tell us what you're liking tonight on the card and
the nit. Appreciate you, guys, And we're gonna be back,
same time, same place tomorrow. We're gonna open another baseball
we're gonna go over more free plays, and hopefully we're
coming back on our second leg of the letter Ride mission.
Hopefully Dan sounds a little bit better. So good luck
at all your play tonight. Bet responsibly on five dollars Tuesday.
We'll see everyone tomorrow. Take care,