WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Here's your nine first one to weatherforar Cask cloudy day

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<v Speaker 1>to day, spotty light rain at a high fifty four

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<v Speaker 1>frost overnight thirty five for the low clouds to move out.

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<v Speaker 1>We got sunny sky tomorrow with a high fifty five,

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<v Speaker 1>more frost, Wednesday night with the lower thirty five and

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<v Speaker 1>clear skys and a sunny Thursday sixty three forty seven

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<v Speaker 1>right now.

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<v Speaker 2>See what Chuck has on traffic from the UC Health

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<v Speaker 2>Tramfic Center.

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<v Speaker 3>Mammogram's Saint Vives called five one three five to eighty

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<v Speaker 3>four Pink to schedule your annual mammogram with UC Health

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<v Speaker 3>expert team. That's five one three five eight four Pink.

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<v Speaker 3>Cruise are working with the wreck right wings bocked. He

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<v Speaker 3>spend two seventy five near the Double A Highway that

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<v Speaker 3>traffic is now backing up to Dixie and close to

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<v Speaker 3>a forty five minute delay. North Found seventy five is

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<v Speaker 3>running close to an extra forty five out of Florence

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<v Speaker 3>into town with a broken down just before the bridge.

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<v Speaker 2>Chuck Ingram went traffic on fifty five KRC the talk station.

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<v Speaker 1>Ay twenty eight to fifty five Karra see de talk

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<v Speaker 1>station Happy Tuesday. Made always happier because it's that time

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<v Speaker 1>we'll get an update on the various conflicts going on

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<v Speaker 1>in the in the around the globe with a deep

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<v Speaker 1>dive with Daniel Davis. It is that time for the

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<v Speaker 1>allertive moment, Daniel Davis Deep Dive. Welcome back, Daniel. It's

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<v Speaker 1>always a pleasure to have you on the fifty five

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<v Speaker 1>KRC Morning Show. My friend.

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<v Speaker 2>I look forward to this every week. Glad to be here.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm glad you do because I find it just absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>fascinating tapping into your years of military expertise in the

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<v Speaker 1>field of conflict. If you don't mind, I'm going to

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<v Speaker 1>start with the Russia Ukraine situation. I've recently read that

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<v Speaker 1>Russia is making some gains taken over some more land Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 1>But the thing I wanted to start with now I've

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<v Speaker 1>acknowledged time and time again with you and other segments

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<v Speaker 1>on the program, the fog of war. You have no

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<v Speaker 1>idea what in the hell's going on on the ground

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<v Speaker 1>and any given conflict, we don't know what the actual

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<v Speaker 1>casualty number is, but the New York Times just recently

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<v Speaker 1>reported that the Russians have suffered six hundred thousand casualties.

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<v Speaker 1>Now that's dead and wounded collective. But I did a

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<v Speaker 1>quick check and during the entire nine years that the

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<v Speaker 1>Soviet Union was in Afghanistan, they lost a total of

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen thousand met and they were there nine years. So

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<v Speaker 1>in terms, even if the figure is half of what

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<v Speaker 1>the New York Times says, I mean, that's a significant

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<v Speaker 1>amount of carnage. And I can only imagine how bad

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<v Speaker 1>it's been for the Ukrainians.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, my, honestly, I don't think that that number is

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<v Speaker 4>anywhere close to being right, just based on how the

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<v Speaker 4>war is being waged, what the Russians are doing. I

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<v Speaker 4>think that that, frankly, is part of the disinformation campaign

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<v Speaker 4>by the West. But I will tell you, and I've

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<v Speaker 4>talked to some pro Russian people who say the number

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<v Speaker 4>isn't minor. They say it's somewhere around eighty thousand dead,

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<v Speaker 4>which is a staggering number. It is when you're talking anything,

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<v Speaker 4>because it's like probably double that wounded, seriously wounded we're

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<v Speaker 4>talking about. So it's massive numbers no matter what. And

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<v Speaker 4>the reason I say I don't think that the high

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<v Speaker 4>number is right is because of how Russia conducts itself.

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<v Speaker 4>It doesn't use these so called meat wave attacks, which

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<v Speaker 4>everybody in the West seems to say as a matter

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<v Speaker 4>of fact that that's what they do. That's not how

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<v Speaker 4>they operate. They actually lead with firepower, artillery, drone strikes,

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<v Speaker 4>missile strikes, et cetera, so that they don't put their

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<v Speaker 4>troops in as much risk. Now then they're not going

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<v Speaker 4>straight bull rushed into cities like they did in back moot.

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<v Speaker 2>They're doing flanking maneuvers, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 4>So I think that they're causing a whole lot more

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<v Speaker 4>casualties on the Ukraine side, but they are now prioritizing

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<v Speaker 4>not losing their men and spending more ammunition in response.

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<v Speaker 1>Honestly, sir, that's exactly what I expect you do to say,

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<v Speaker 1>because when I saw that, I'm like, there's no way

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<v Speaker 1>six hundred thousand. But we'll take the numbers as we

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<v Speaker 1>see them and will analyze them accordingly, which is why

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<v Speaker 1>I appreciate we have you to talk to about it.

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<v Speaker 4>And you know, it doesn't make any sense what they claim,

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<v Speaker 4>which they claim Russia has more casualties than the Ukraine

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<v Speaker 4>side does, even though they also claim that Russia has

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<v Speaker 4>between a five and ten to one firepower advantage, And

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<v Speaker 4>I just don't know how you get the logic that

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<v Speaker 4>says that guys with ten times more ammunition and weapons

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<v Speaker 4>suffer ten times more casualties.

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<v Speaker 2>It's just irrational, all right.

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<v Speaker 1>Moving to what seems to be a certainty, it's widely

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<v Speaker 1>reported Russia has made some gains in Ukraine, in the

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<v Speaker 1>territory within Ukraine, and they are advancing rather than while

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<v Speaker 1>being held held on a line. Yep, that's right, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's it's not a stalemate. It is a methodical

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<v Speaker 1>grind forward.

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<v Speaker 4>And in the last about month and a half, Russia's

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<v Speaker 4>gains have been picking up speed. This incursion into the

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<v Speaker 4>into the Curse where the Ukraine and in August invaded,

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<v Speaker 4>a portion of Russia is being squeezed out, and it's

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<v Speaker 4>it's now a serious risk of being completely cut off

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<v Speaker 4>at the neck, so that Ukraine will either have to

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<v Speaker 4>withdraw them all real quick, or they'll have they may

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<v Speaker 4>lose them. But on the eastern front, around the Pokrolsk area,

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<v Speaker 4>around a city called Tourets around they just lost another city.

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<v Speaker 2>Called around Vuladar. They're moving forward, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 4>All the places that that they're fighting there's three main

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<v Speaker 4>ones in the east and they're just making methodical progress

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<v Speaker 4>in each of them.

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<v Speaker 1>And they're holding the line there too. This isn't like

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<v Speaker 1>they capture a city and then the Ukrainians come in

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<v Speaker 1>around side or flank them and push them back out.

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<v Speaker 1>They're holding the territory as they advance forward.

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<v Speaker 2>That is correct.

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<v Speaker 4>There haven't been any meaningful counter attacks, even tactical counter

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<v Speaker 4>texts by the Ukraine side, maybe since February of this year.

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<v Speaker 2>So it is non stop backwards for the Ukraine side.

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<v Speaker 4>Occasionally as sending reinforcements into one area lock just in

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<v Speaker 4>front of Pokrovs, one of the probably the number one

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<v Speaker 4>target in the east.

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<v Speaker 2>They have slowed down the initial or the.

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<v Speaker 4>Direct front in there, but then that means Russia has

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<v Speaker 4>gone elsewhere around the flanks. So they stop one place,

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<v Speaker 4>but then they pulled troops away to make it firm

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<v Speaker 4>and they hold the line a little while, but then

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<v Speaker 4>when they pulled troops from here, then Russia goes there

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<v Speaker 4>with other troops and then they penetrate there. So it's

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<v Speaker 4>just to lose lose for the Ukraine side right now, well,

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<v Speaker 4>ignoring whether or not they have sufficient arms to defend themselves.

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<v Speaker 4>Does that suggest that there are insufficient troops to get

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<v Speaker 4>the job done? On the Ukraine side, that's the primary

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<v Speaker 4>issue right now. It's primarily a troop. Is you actually

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of the sixty one billion dollars that we

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<v Speaker 4>approved earlier this year? A lot of stuff is also

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<v Speaker 4>coming from several European states. They're actually getting more and

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<v Speaker 4>more ammunition right now. But it's a man power issue.

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<v Speaker 4>It's always been. War is always won by men, not machines,

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<v Speaker 4>not money. But they are having an incredibly difficult time

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<v Speaker 4>because they're just running out of men, quite frankly, and

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<v Speaker 4>they've been press ganging them into service.

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<v Speaker 2>They literally take them off the streets.

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<v Speaker 4>They're trying now recruiting print drives, which are kind of

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<v Speaker 4>curious because they featured lots of sexual in tone ads.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know why they think that's going to get

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<v Speaker 4>somebody to go to the front, but that's what they're trying.

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<v Speaker 2>They're doing.

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<v Speaker 4>They're pulling out all the stops. They just don't have

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<v Speaker 4>enough to offset losses.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe they should promise them the number of virgins after

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<v Speaker 1>death when they die as an incentive to anyway, don't

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<v Speaker 1>go down that road. Just let me how about the

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<v Speaker 1>idea of North Korean North Korean troops helping out the

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<v Speaker 1>Soviet or the Soviets very slipped again, north Korean troops

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<v Speaker 1>helping out the Russians. Did I read that correctly?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>You did.

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<v Speaker 4>There's been more and more credible reports that North Korea

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<v Speaker 4>has not simply been helping Russia with artillery shells other

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<v Speaker 4>kinds of military help, which has been enormous. I'm reportedly

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<v Speaker 4>between three and four million shells have been sent by

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<v Speaker 4>North Korea, but now also thousands of men, especially some

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<v Speaker 4>of the defensive positions.

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<v Speaker 2>The rumor is that.

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<v Speaker 4>Some of the North Korean troops are going into places

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<v Speaker 4>to replace Russian troops that are like defending borders, etc.

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<v Speaker 2>To free up more combat troops to go into Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 4>So far, there has been one report of North Korean

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<v Speaker 4>troops that were killed in action, so that there has

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<v Speaker 4>been some fighting in the front, but we don't know

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<v Speaker 4>quite the numbers. Apparently it's in the low thousands at

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<v Speaker 4>the moment, but a lot of that maybe just be

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<v Speaker 4>to kind of test the international waters to see what

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<v Speaker 4>the pushback may be, and if there's not a lot

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<v Speaker 4>more could come later.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, this does not sound like it is aligning up

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<v Speaker 1>to be very good, at least as far as the

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<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian's bargaining position. To the extent some sort of treaty

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<v Speaker 1>or settlement is negotiated, they're going to have to probably

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<v Speaker 1>give up a sizeable chunk of land in order to

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<v Speaker 1>get to get some peace in the region.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, you know, Zelenski continues to make all I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>he just went on another European tour this past few

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<v Speaker 4>days where he keeps talking like he did when he

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<v Speaker 4>was in Washington for the United Nations Summit, that he

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<v Speaker 4>wants to have a strong, peaceful settlement that he can

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<v Speaker 4>quote only get peace through strength, which you said just

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<v Speaker 4>two days ago, that he wants to force Russia into peace.

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<v Speaker 4>But there is no forcing Russia into peace when he's

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<v Speaker 4>losing territory by the day.

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<v Speaker 2>So the longer he waits to make that.

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<v Speaker 4>Kind of offer to where he's willing to make a

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<v Speaker 4>negotiated settlement and lose some territory, they're just going to

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<v Speaker 4>keep losing more territory that's going to be taken by

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<v Speaker 4>force of arms, not by negotiation. And every day his

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<v Speaker 4>position gets weaker, not stronger. So I worry about the

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<v Speaker 4>fate of Ukraine if they don't make a deal pretty soon.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, let's pivot over to Israel and the ongoing conflicts,

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<v Speaker 1>multi front battles being waged there. What's your assessment on

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<v Speaker 1>going forward and where those conflicts are going to lead Israel.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, the biggest thing right now is that a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of people have been surprised, me being one of them,

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<v Speaker 4>that Israel has not already responded to the October first

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<v Speaker 4>Iranian strike of one hundred and eighty missiles. A lot

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<v Speaker 4>of people thought that it would be a response within

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know, a lot like three or four days,

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<v Speaker 4>maybe you're a week, But now then it's two weeks

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<v Speaker 4>since that had happened. And I think that the reason

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<v Speaker 4>is because there's a tremendous amount of diplomacy going on

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<v Speaker 4>behind the scenes where the US is trying to talk

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<v Speaker 4>Israel down from some of their bigger strictures. Because you

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<v Speaker 4>hadf Tally Bennett in the first few days saying, man,

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<v Speaker 4>we need to go after their nuclear weapons, we need

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<v Speaker 4>to go after their oil infrastructure, and a lot in

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<v Speaker 4>the United States were saying that.

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<v Speaker 2>But that's how you get into a region wide war.

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<v Speaker 4>And I think no matter what the administration wants to

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<v Speaker 4>happen on the ground, they also don't want it to

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<v Speaker 4>go into all that war that whose end is unknown,

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<v Speaker 4>that could cost us a great deal. So I think

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<v Speaker 4>that's starting to have some success. There was reports that

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<v Speaker 4>the Israeli said over not that they won't hit the

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<v Speaker 4>energy or the oil infrastructure, and so they're going to

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<v Speaker 4>go after military targets. The problem is, I'm not sure

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<v Speaker 4>that that's going to be viewed as you know, appropriate

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<v Speaker 4>for the Uranian side, and they may still respond back,

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<v Speaker 4>so we may not be out of the woods yet.

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<v Speaker 1>This thing could still escalate into a war. Yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>was surprised that Israel has actually said that out loud.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, what you know, for a Wall Street Journal

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<v Speaker 1>article from this morning, Israel is sure as US it

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<v Speaker 1>will not strike Irans oil and nuclear facilities. Officials say,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know why you would say that out loud,

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<v Speaker 1>even if you were not planning on hitting those. As

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<v Speaker 1>long as the threat exists, maybe you keep her on

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<v Speaker 1>at bail a little bit.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I mean that assumes that that's a true statement

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<v Speaker 4>and is not a deceptive plan, which it could be

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<v Speaker 4>like to make them okay, good, they're not gonna come here.

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<v Speaker 4>Oh shoot, they did, so I don't take that at

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<v Speaker 4>face value at all.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Well, you're now general of the army, and

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<v Speaker 1>you're a five star general, and you're in charge of

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<v Speaker 1>making the decisions on behalf of the Israelis What would

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<v Speaker 1>you do by way of whether retaliate or not? What

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<v Speaker 1>would you what would be your path forward? Considering, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>as we have talked about, and you just alluded to that,

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<v Speaker 1>a serious escalation like hitting their oil manufacturing or hitting

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<v Speaker 1>their nuke sites may very well result in potentially a

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<v Speaker 1>global conflict considering all the players that are involved on

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<v Speaker 1>the Iranian side of the equation.

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<v Speaker 2>Right right, that's exactly right.

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<v Speaker 4>What I would do is I would do some version

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<v Speaker 4>of what they did after the April attack when Iran

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<v Speaker 4>sent all those missiles and drones into Israel in response

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<v Speaker 4>to Israel blowing up the embassy in Syria. By striking

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<v Speaker 4>something that doesn't cause casualties like what the Uranians did.

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<v Speaker 4>They made sure that both of their responses didn't kill

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<v Speaker 4>anybody on the ground. They took out a few targets,

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<v Speaker 4>and they just basically just said, hey, we don't want

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<v Speaker 4>this to escalate, so we're gonna hit nonsensitive targets. If

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<v Speaker 4>you hit do something like that, then there's a chance

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<v Speaker 4>that you can now tamp this down and stop going

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<v Speaker 4>up the escalation rater. Then I would focus on not

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<v Speaker 4>expanding the war, because they've already committed themselves to this

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<v Speaker 4>new incursion into southern eleven, which is a full out

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<v Speaker 4>war by itself.

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<v Speaker 2>Don't let anybody tell you any differently.

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<v Speaker 4>Every aspect of warfare is being engaged here, and that

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<v Speaker 4>is already going to be a monumentally difficult task for Israel.

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<v Speaker 4>They should not take on more than their military can handle.

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<v Speaker 4>So I would if I was a fovester general, I

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<v Speaker 4>would say, let's figure out what to do about this

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<v Speaker 4>one in Lebanon before we even think about doing anything

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<v Speaker 4>with Iran.

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<v Speaker 1>And then, of course, I presume that strategy that you

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<v Speaker 1>could propose is coupled with maybe cracking down and reimposing

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<v Speaker 1>the sanctions on around to cut off their money supply,

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<v Speaker 1>which the Biden administration hasn't been doing a late.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, you know that's I see that in the news

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<v Speaker 4>a lot, and I scratch my head and I wonder

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<v Speaker 4>what they're talking about, because there are incredible sanctions still

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<v Speaker 4>in place on Iran. They were crippling sanctions, but the

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<v Speaker 4>biggest place where they get money is areas. We don't

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<v Speaker 4>have the power to sanction ie money going to China

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<v Speaker 4>because China and India, because they're buying Iranian oil, not

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<v Speaker 4>subject to our sanctions. Because so there's really not much

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<v Speaker 4>more room to knuckle down there, and none of the

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<v Speaker 4>sanctions have had any impact so far, so that's not

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<v Speaker 4>really going to solve any problems.

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<v Speaker 2>And most of the things that might are beyond our reach.

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<v Speaker 1>So what we then would have is two foreign powers,

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<v Speaker 1>Iran and Israel, just continuing this tit for tat game

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<v Speaker 1>over time with no will.

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<v Speaker 4>Here's the thing, though Iran does not want a war.

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<v Speaker 4>They have signaled in every way possible that they want

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<v Speaker 4>to defend their interest as they see it, but they

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<v Speaker 4>don't want it to escalate. So they're fine, especially after

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<v Speaker 4>seeing is Hassanzreela assassinated in Beyrout in a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>their senior general some of the senior IRGC leaders have

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<v Speaker 4>also been killed. Iran is fine with not escalating this

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<v Speaker 4>and I think they would like nothing more than for

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<v Speaker 4>this tip to tat escalation ladder process to stop.

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<v Speaker 2>So there is a reason to think that could happen.

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<v Speaker 1>I suppose one of the ways they could get it

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<v Speaker 1>to stop is quit funding the terrorist organizations.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, and again that depends on your perspective. From our perspective,

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<v Speaker 4>that's it's a terrorist organization, but from their side, it's

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<v Speaker 4>a resistance to all the things that Israel is doing

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<v Speaker 4>against it, and it's interest in the region.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's an unsolvable deal because you're one guy's freedom fighters,

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<v Speaker 4>another guy's terrorists.

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<v Speaker 1>Lots of layers in this cake, Sir, It's always a

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<v Speaker 1>pleasure to talk through them with you. Retired Lieutenant Colonel

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<v Speaker 1>Daniel Davis. Another fun edition of The Deep Dive with

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<v Speaker 1>Daniel Davis. Search for it online you find his podcast

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<v Speaker 1>throughout the week and I'll look forward to another discussion

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<v Speaker 1>with you next week, my friend, you next week. Take

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<v Speaker 1>care brother A forty two fifty five cars the talk

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<v Speaker 1>stations stick around. We got a little more talk about Joe.

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<v Speaker 2>Open the phone lines.

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<v Speaker 1>If you have a comment, I'd love to hear from you,

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<v Speaker 1>so feel free to call five one, three, seven four

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<v Speaker 1>nine fifty five hundred, eight hundred and eighty two to

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<v Speaker 1>three talk pound five fifty on.

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<v Speaker 2>At and T phones. This is fifty five KRC and

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<v Speaker 2>iHeartRadio station. Men over forty five