Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do podcast. I'm your host,
Corey Evans. This week's episode is titled Sophomore Stockwatch. I
have five sophomores that want to check in on value
wise determine are they rising or following with a sophomore
slump in value this season twenty twenty four. I announced it,
or at least foreshadowed it on last week's episode. But
I am changing the structure of my Patreon billing. It's
not my choice. I used to do per creation, which
meant you were charged X amount each published episode, so
a dollar, five dollars, et cetera. Patreon has changed its structure.
I have to switch to a subscription model as of
November next month. So if you're becoming a new member,
this is for you because you can pick from one
of three tier levels Rookie, Veteran, or MVP. All of
the benefits will be listed and visible on Patreon, So
excuse what you deem best or set a custom pledge
amount that you can afford, with the minimum being five
hours per month. All that with more to come. But
I want to at least preface that because it's a
choice that isn't mine. Patreon is unfortunately forcing it in
all creators to begin their subscription billing, and it's being
enforced essentially right away if you want to keep producing
content on that platform. But back to business software stock
watch up. First, I have Puka Nakua, who was twenty
four in May, a fifth rounder out of BYU won
seventy seven overall last year, a sensational historic rookie season
one oh five, fourteen eighty six and six for fourteen
point two yards per catch, one hundred and sixty targets,
as the PPR wires you for four and twenty twenty three.
Hard to live up to those statistics, let alone replicate
them from here on out, and we've seen some regression,
not his fault due to a knee injury label PCL
two games played so far this season Week one at
Detroit four thirty five four targets, then miss Week two
to seven with the rams by in between. Return to
Week eight versus Minnesota seven grabs a Buco six on
nine targets. Look at the pooka and a cool We're
all accustomed to a fifty seven percent snap share, so
essentially operated as above a part time player, and it's
a great sign for his rest of the season outlook
Hookas we all know, his six two two twelve met
size allows him to be a mismatch. He's utilized pre
snap in motion on the outside for perimeter routes slot
because of his instincts and quick sudden burst short area
quickness resembles and Miles's game around his teammate Cooper Cup.
He's a yard after contact monster, and you're perfect fit
therefore for Sean mcvay's offensive scheme. In my opinion, Pukunakua
is a wide receiver one candidate for the rest of
the year and from here on outon Dynasty and easily
worth a twenty twenty five first round pick in super
flex or one quarterback formats. Now, if Cooper Cup ends
up being traded, which Sean McVay has sort of dismissed
that notion, there's a path to top three, if not
top five, wide receiver value for Pooka in the Rams offense.
Keep in mind that Cooper Cup is thirty one. He's
under contract until twenty twenty seven. LA has been asking
or seeking a second round pick along with guaranteed money
to absorb off of cups remaining contract.
Speaker 2: Or salary.
Speaker 1: By the time you're listening, perhaps Cooper Cup has been
traded or the rumors are true and the Rams want
to make a push now in the NFC West or
even an NFC wildcard. Because the band is back together,
there's health that's cooperating with both Pooka and Cup. One
question mark, undoubtedly is the Rams quarterback situation with Matthew
Stafford being thirty six under contract till twenty twenty seven,
but also being a subject of speculation being shipped in
a trade do Minnesota. There's a lot of different possibilities
or avenues for the Rams to explore with both a
short and long term picture in mind. None of that
really matters when it comes to assessing Pooka and a
Coup as a software. Because he is back and on
the field, performing and functioning as a high end wide
receiver one, we should value him as such.
Speaker 2: The durability woes could.
Speaker 1: Become an issue that's for any player in the NFL, because, unfortunately,
it's a very physical game and we don't necessarily appreciate
what players go through week in or week out unless
you've watched Quarterback or Receiver on Netflix and you can
really see the insights. We might see someone like Pouka
listed as questionable or doubtful and then become frustrated because
we want them producing in fantasy. But it's crucial to
keep in mind that beyond Week one off any NFL season,
there's no player that's one hundred percent. There's something injured
or ailing that they're going through to be out the
further team. So we can't get mad or upset with
players we'd be in the same boat if we were
NFL talents. Up next to this Jaden Reid, who's twenty
five in April, a second rounder of admission State fifty
overall last year, he went sixty four seven to ninety
three and eight as a receiver. That's twelve point four
yards per grab, ninety four targets, and chipped in eleven
totes for abut nineteen and two touchdowns. As a rusher,
he was a PPR wide out twenty five, so just
missed being a wide receiver two in twelve teen formats
a high and wide receiver three obviously, though he delivered
wide receiver one and wide receiver two production in certain games.
His weekly output in twenty twenty four so far has
been very violatile four one point thirty eight in a touchdown,
one thirty three and one as a rusher. That was
at Philadelphia, two for nine as a receiver, two for
thirty seven versus Indianapolis, four for fifty as a receiver,
two for nineteen as a rusher at Tennessee seven about
thirty nine a touchdown, and then one rush for two
yards versus Minnesota, four grabs seventy eight yards a receiver,
two for nineteen against the Rams, six twenty eight one
versus Arizona, and two for ten versus Houston. And then
this past week two fifty five at Jacksonville.
Speaker 2: You'll see floors.
Speaker 1: That are in your non existent and ceilings that could
be week winning. He's not even necessarily that, being Jane
Reid a full time player with all of Green Bay's
weapons and how they rotates its talent at wide receiver
reads snap shares per week have checked in at seventy
two percent, fifty six, fifty seven, seventy eight, seventy six,
fifty three, seventy four, fifty nine, So his highest being
in the seventies and lowest in the fifties proves that
he's a bet on efficiency as opposed to pure volume
or operating as a near full time player. He's gone
thirty one five or seven and three touchdowns as a
receiver so far as a sophomore at sixteen point four
yards per grab and forty one targets indicates or reflects that, yes,
Jaden Reed does sort of have the boomer bust label
attached to his name for good reason. He's going to
find the end zone, have a few huge plays, or
disappoint He's five to eleven a buck eighty seven and
does not make him a prototypical wide shiver one by size. However,
Mattlefluir does put him in alignments, personnel groupings positions to
succeed thanks to Is after the catch, prowess and explosion
as a playmaker, Jordan Love is now.
Speaker 2: Dealing with what's deemed a minor growing injury.
Speaker 1: Nonetheless, Milink Willis has proven to be solid, but not
Jordan Love, so Green Bay's offense could suffer in the
short term if Love is unfortunately going to miss any time.
That's up for the and unclear by the time I'm
recording right now. Nonetheless, Jaden Reid is a wide receiver
two with wide receiver one potential. His value does, at
least in my mind, remain tied to scoring touchdowns or
carving out big plays, and that creates the feast or
famine range of outcomes. In terms of Superflex, I'd say
middle eight first probably a first, no matter what in
a one quarterback league. If it's a second in super Flex,
I understand that, especially in twenty twenty five Draft Capital,
it's deemed a very exciting class on paper.
Speaker 2: All in all, I.
Speaker 1: Do think that Jayden Reid is a difficult player to
assess because he has these massive weeks that we all
want shares of. But then there's the downside and the
consistencies that become frustrating in showcase why he is not
at the same level of other wide receivers that perhaps
might be close and adp or perceived dynasty trade market cost.
If you're a listener of my work since Reid's been
NFL talent, you know that I am a bit pessimistic
or at least concerned about his role because it is
so reliant I find the end zone, nobody will deny
its talent or again after the catch instincts or ability
to manufacture yardage, But the week to week ebs and
flows are what create doubt in my mind for being
a reliable week over week or even annual asset for
that matter. You might look back and CJ and Reid
was a wide receiver twenty five and PPR as a
rookie who knows where he finishes this season as a sophomore.
It boils down to strategy and risk tolerance. I prefer
to build a round or roster receivers with safer reception
and yardage floors because there's volatility baked in that could
cost you wins in a playoff spot if Reid has
some down weeks in the regular season, Not to mention
pure opportunity or target share competition with Green Bay having
a loaded offense. Up next is kaishaon Booty. I always
thought of pronounced boota based on the film I watched
out of college, but New England continues to pronounce it
as bootist.
Speaker 2: Will file a suit.
Speaker 1: He's twenty three in May, a six round selection of
LSU one to eighty seven overall last year, did not
contribute much as a rookie. Two receptions now nineteen yards,
seven targets in five games played. He has taken on
a much larger sophomore role. His snapbreaks per week our
zero percent, zero thirty five, twenty three, sixty seven, eighty three,
eighty three, and eighty two. He's in fact led New
England wideouts and snaps for three consecutive games since Week four.
His receiving locks have been one catch eleven yards at
the forty nine ers, two thirty four versus Miami, three
fifty nine and a touchdown vers Houston, one for thirty
three against Jacksonville, and three for forty six versus Jets.
And he almost scored a game when he touchdown against
the Jets, but was stopped at the one yard line.
It was debatable his knee was down, but the ball
appeared across the goal line, and that rhetoric looks a
lot different if you had another touchdown to Bouti's sophomore line.
Speaker 2: Despite the recent surge in usage.
Speaker 1: There are skeptics when it comes to Bootiz NFL career arc.
He's five to eleven, one ninety seven and he had
an underwhelming devel profile against what creates a lot of
uncertainty about him. A four point five to forty yard
dash twenty nine ers vertical, a nine foot ten inx
broad jump, are all well below average for someone his
size or stature. He does make up for it though
physicality and natural ball skills as a receiver, and we're
seeing that as a sophomore with more volume. I think
as a flex there's wy receiver three upside a twenty
twenty five to third, possibly a mid to late second
if you're really sol I think it's a bit rich
for my blood. But Kaishan Bouti has really turned a corner,
and the Patriots, being a rebuilding franchise, are seeing what
they have in their youth. And I do think that
Bootsy has been better off with Dry Mai own company
than he was a Bill Belichick seemed to be in
the doghouse with Belichick. So if this snapshare and overall
counting stat trend continues, we're looking at potentially a fixture
in two or three receiver sets for the foreseeable future.
He is someone rising in sophomore Donsy stock no doubt
about it.
Speaker 2: Time for a quick break.
Speaker 1: I'll be back with two more sophomores to check in
on with the stockwasher before I get to that. If
you want a one to one roster call to break
down your team, rest of season, or at least a
mid season check in.
Speaker 2: It is available with me on.
Speaker 1: Google Meet It's thirty bucks thirty mins or fifty bucks
for one hour. Hit me up at Dinas du Pod
on all social media platforms, or send me an email
Dinasdeupod at gmail dot com. We will get that locked
in and coordinated to both our schedules so that all
of your questions about trades, player value, twenty twenty five rookies,
or what to do rest of the season can be answered.
Tiph for quick break, I'll be back with those two
more players. How about Cedric Tillman twenty five in April,
a third rounder out of Tennessee seventy four overall last
year amounted to twenty one receptions for two and twenty
four scroless yards ten point seven yards per reception across
forty four targets. It's been a different story for Tilm
in the past two weeks. As a sophomore. He broke
out in Week seven vers Cincinnati to the tune of
eight for eighty one on twelve targets. That was after
Deshaun Watson was replaced by dtr and Jamis Winston followed
up with even better show in Week eight versus Baltimore
seven ninety nine and two touchdowns on nine targets. The
touchdowns were for twenty two and thirty eight yards to
thirty eight yard score being in the game winner verse
Baltimore with the upset. The snap rates the past two
contests have been eighty two percent versus the Bengals and
ninety percent versus the Ravens, and it translates to secret
Tillman functioning as Cleveland's wide receiver one Postmark Cooper being
traded to Buffalo. For those that don't remember, Tilman was
actually a pretty enticing prospect. Sixty three two fifteen four
point five four forty thirty seven ins vertical in a
ten foot eight inch broad jump. His best college season
was his junior year sixty four ten, eighty one and twelve.
He profiles as an NFL wide receiver one or wide
receiver two makes to the body size, solid speed, large
catch radius and after the catchability. His red flags out
of school were primarily based on injury history. Had a
hindkle sprain to twenty twenty two that derailed his draft stock,
and I think combine testing if he goes back, he
might have better forty vert and broad numbers across the board.
When it comes to metrics, the talent was never really
an issue, and he's now cashing in on an expanded
role and set of opportunities With James Winston under center,
I think it's a key here right now cent to
Tilman as a wide receiver three with path to wide
out two numbers rest of the way. Assuming Jamis Winston
is in fact cleveland starting quarterback and DTR is not
going to replace in DTR is solid, but he likes
to run the ball a lot. Winston is your traditional
pocket passer, airs it out with almost no care for interceptions, turnovers,
or bad mistakes downfield. That does benefit receivers like Tilman
who thrive with a quarterback that matches their skill set.
Speaker 2: If you're going to.
Speaker 1: Try to acquire Timoll right now, I would not be
shocked if someone wants a second round pick. A third
or two thirds might be more realistic because it's only
a two week sample size of prominent success. I only
have one share of Tilman and actually scooped him off
the waiver wire after our Cooper was traded in a
dynasty league. For the most part, I assume he's universally rostered.
This is a tough call, either bought in or selling high.
I do think though, that it's more legit than flashing
a pan. And last, but not least, perhaps one of
the more polarizing names in dynasty right now as a sophomore,
it's Jordan Addison, who will not turn twenty three until
January twenty third overall pick out of USC last year,
a really good by all accounts rookie campaign seventy nine
to eleven and ten for thirteen yards per reception, one
hundred and eight targets, which resulted in a PPR wide
receiver twenty three finish or wide receiver two in twelve
teen leagues for any rookie wide receiver. That, in my book,
is a green flag and a phenomenal start to an
NFL career. As a sophomore, in five games played, has
been trending in the wrong direction fourteen, two thirty one
and one as a receiver sixteen and a half yards
per catch, twenty three targets.
Speaker 2: Miss time due to various ankle injuries.
Speaker 1: His weekly logs went active three thirty five against Giants,
three seventy two in a touchdown against Green Bay three
thirty six versus Jets, three sixty six versus Troit and
two for twenty two against the Rams this past week
on Thursday Night Football snap breaks per week of fifty
one percent sixty six eighty nine, eighty five, ninety two.
That's a solid step in the right direction of playing time.
It continues to rise. It's actually a matter of opportunity
or a lack of volume. With target totals went active
FO four four, eight, four and three, not to mention TJ.
Hockinson set to return. Therefore, Adisen's role could remain status
quo as the second, third, or even fourth in line
for targets decrease. There's possibilities that are not all that
bright for Addison's value. He's relying on chunk plays or
find the end zone and less Minnesota finds itself negative gamescript.
The issue is Sam Darnolds pasttenh per week have been
twenty four, twenty six, twenty eight, twenty eight, thirty one
by twenty seven to twenty five. Justin Jefferson is the
alph He's going to be fed accordingly with targets in
the Minnesota aerial attack, meaning Addison is number two in
nine wide receiver by Aaron Jones gets his fair share
of volume both rush and receiver. Hockinson is going to
assume a large role. There's also sprinkles of Jalen Naylor
or Tdy Chandler, so Addison the value has certainly plummeted
compared to his rookie year. There's the possibility, if not likelihood,
of suspension occurring late this season, if not in twenty
twenty five, because his offseason duy. All in all, it's
a sophomore slump. He that being Addison might not be
worth much more than a late first or early second,
regardless of format, that being super flex or one quarterback.
I do think there's a by the window because I
believe in the talent and what he did as a
rookie with Jefferson in and out. Sure, the splits are different.
It was remarkable. It was not pooking a cool level.
But the difference is Addison relied heavily on touchdowns ten
with seventy receptions, but this massive fall or downturn in
usage is quite shocking. I do think that Kevin O'Connell
is creative enough to maximize as in skill sets and
keep him viable as well, obviously with three or flex
in fantasy, however, there is legitimate reason for concern unless
we see a change in production rest of season. Thank
you all for listening up. You all enjoyed the sophomore
Stockwatch episode. If you did, please drop a five star
review on Apple or Spotify. GA's clicked. Those five stars
helps me and the show out among other fantasy football
podcasts in the industry.
Speaker 2: Goluck to you all in week nine.
Speaker 1: I'll be back next week with my second quarter report card.
That is assigning letter grades of ABC, D and F
to players at the midway checkpoint already of the NFL season.
Hard to believe, but true. It always flies by a three.
Wait so long during the offseason. Thanks again, Talk to
you all soon. This is the dynas you do.
Speaker 2: Check you out.
Speaker 1: See you