Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I am
your host, Corey Evans. Thanks for listening to this week's episode.
It is titled buying a trade or fade simple concept.
After Week one of the NFL season, I am looking
at a handful of players and deciding if in Dynasty
leagues we should be buying them in a trade holding
or fading them because the trend, the output that we
saw that first week of action is not sustainable. So
a fun concept that should help shape value rest of season,
let alone heading into week two. Before that, if you
want to schedule a roster call for thirty minutes or
one hour over on Google Meet, let me know with
a direct message on social media that's Dynasty do Pod
on most platforms, or send me an email to Dynasty
dopod at gmail dot com if you're unsure how to
move forward after a shocking Week one in your leagues,
or we just want to touch base about how to
proceed in week two or going forward. Let's first start
things off with Javonte Williams, who had fifteen rushes fifty
four yards, two touchdowns for three point six yards per rush,
added two receptions for ten yards. That was across three
targets an impressive seventy ten percent of snaps. That was
against Philadelphia opening night. Meanwhile, running back mate Miles Sanders
rushed four times for fifty three yards, including a forty
nine yard carry, with one catch for negative three yards
on a mere eighteen percent of snaps. Not to mention,
Miles Sanders did lose a costly fumble that did result
in Dallas losing the football gamer at least was partially
a reason behind it. Rookie Jaden Blue was a healthy
scratch and is not expected to be active on game days.
That's according to head coach Brian Schottenheimer, at least until
Blue shows more consistency. So as of right now, Javonte
will be gamescript dependent. He's not going to get those
touchdown opportunities every single week where he had the goal
line scores in Week one, Yet Javonte doesnt appear to
have the early down and at least red zone or
goal line reps secure for the time being. Miles Sanders
had that nice as I mentioned forty nine yard rush.
For the most part, though, Javontai Williams appears to be
the Dallas running back two roster and starts in dynasty leagues.
If I had to go buy in a trader fade,
it's going to be fade. I don't believe the production
is sustainable, let alone the potential long term emergence of
Jaden Blue in this backfield. Again, looking long term here,
not just a short term in redraft, I understand more.
Appeal for Javonte Miles Sanders seems like the back end
of an RBBC at this point. Nonetheless, the early results
for Javant Williams are encouraging after his downturn and value
at Denver and a lackluster free agent market.
Speaker 2: Hollywood.
Speaker 1: Brown had ten receptions for ninety nine yards nine point
nine yards per catch, with an astounding sixteen targets against
the LA Chargers. Brown paced the Chiefs in receptions, yards,
receiving in targets. That was with Xavier Worthy sidelined after
the second or third play of the contest where he
and Travis Kelsey collided. We now know that injury is
a dislocated shoulder. He is expected to wear a brace
and play again at some point this season. The timeline
is unclear, could be three to four week injury, or
the surgery route could be taken, which would be devastating
for his twenty twenty five outlook. However, the fact that
Xavier Worthy has not been placed on IR at least
of the time as recording is an encourage of development
with how bad it looked and how light of a
player he is. In terms of wait when Kelsey collided
with him, now until where she writes returns, we should
expect Hallod Brown to function as the chiefs wide receiver
one or at least one A with a bunch of
sub committee members and the top pass catcher alongside Travis Kelcey.
Other contributors could be Jujus Mchchuster, Taekwon Thornton and Jalen Royals,
who could see more value from here on out. Royals
dealt with the inflammation and missed week one. He is
someone that could be somewhat of a riser over the
next few weeks, depending on the absence for Xavier Worthy
on In all though, in terms of buying a trader,
fade Hollywood Brown if you need help. Wide receiver is
someone who buy in a trade. In terms of cost,
He's been for the most part a late second if
not early to mid third and startup value or existing
trade capital. I don't think that changes much, perhaps for
talking early to mid seconds or on the cusp of
a top one hundred player. Overall, in Dynasty, there's opportunity ahead.
I've been a big fan and vocal about even with
Xavier Worthy and Rashi Rice. So this is a boost
and value for Hollywood, at least in the short term.
Harold Fannings Junior seven receptions sixty three yards nine yards
per catch, with nine targets and a rush for three yards.
Best part about it, seventy two percent of snaps vers Cincinnati.
He led Cleveland pass catchers and targets with those nine looks.
David Njoku presumes Darter delivered only three receptions for thirty
seven yards across six targets. He did have a higher
snapshare of eighty four percent. Yet Fannings Junior still the
show in terms of usage and versa til he lined
up in the slot in line. He even took snaps
out of the backfield, reminiscence of the third Brown Draft
capital from Bowling Green that made him a terrific college
product with superb collegiate production, yet carried some question marks
in terms of body size, level competition at Bowling Green
and a questionable athletic profile. You can put all that aside.
Harold Fangs Junior passed the Week one eye test. It
would not be this sort of featured skill set unless
the talent was legit. We saw it at Bowling Green
and now transferable to pro level. It is going to
be a tight end by committee. Let's not cast or
throw away David and Joku to the side. He's a
legitimate top ten to twelve tight end. However, Fannings Junior
could become a situation where it's Mark Andrews a aaa
likely where now it is in Joku and Fantas Junior
in that same capacity for the Cleveland Browns who do
need help when it comes to pass catchers, regardless of
being Joe Flatgoat quarterback or Dylan Gabriel Shade or Sanders.
This is buying a trader fade a buy situation for me,
and if you were able to secure Fannings Junior in
rookie drafts third fourth round, it looks like an absolute
profit and huge ROI at least from the early season results.
Speaker 2: Same team.
Speaker 1: Dylan Sampson twelve rushes twenty nine yards two point four
yards per rush not the best effectiveness, however, eight receptions
for sixty four yards eight targets versus the Bengals a
forty three percent snap share. Meanwhile, Jerome Ford only had
six rushes eight yards one point three yards forer tote
and one catch for a three yards with one targets.
He did have a higher snap percentage fifty four percent
if you're watching the game even box score diving, Dylan
Sampson was the far superior talent on the field at
running back. The receiving work is what I am most
intrigued and excited about for Sampson, which we saw on
college film or tape at Tennessee. The fact that he
led the Browns with those eight receptions had twenty touches
compared to fort to seven is a positive note for
his rest of season outlook. The question now or dilemma
is Quinn Shawn Judkins expected to debut as soon as
week two or in a matter of weeks, which does
put a dent into the projective workload or ceiling of
sam after this week one sample size, I will say,
though fully expect, based on what we saw week one,
that when Judkins returns, he will be the early down
rusher and volume driven back for the sake of the
Browns offense, whereas Samson then can carve out that change
of pace or satellite role or the very at least
be the receiving or passing on weapon for the Cleveland backfield.
He is buying a trader fade once again, like his
teammate Harol Fannings Junior. A buy for me, and I've
been vocal about Samson shares all season long, one of
my favorite targets and the third round lookie drafts. This
is a stable asset with ascension and value on the
horizon based on the role and versatility. Let's move along
to Michael Pittman, who had six receptions eighty yards and
a touchdown thirteen point three yards per catch, eight targets
versus Miami, a healthy eighty two percent snap share. Pittman
led Colts pass catchers with those eighty yards receiving.
Speaker 2: Let's look at other wideouts.
Speaker 1: Alec Pierce had one catch thirty six yards, three targets
seventy nine percent of snap so fairly close to Pittman
in snap participation.
Speaker 2: Ady Mitchell two catches.
Speaker 1: Twenty one yards, two targets only on the field for
twenty one percent of snaps and Josh downs two catches
twelve yards, three targets forty nine percent of snaps.
Speaker 2: This is a.
Speaker 1: Hard offense to dissect after how poor Miami looked defensively,
let alone offensively. It looks like it's Michael Pittman and
Tyler Warren at receivers for trustworthy assets week to week
with jon Ta Taylor being the keycog offensively. Hopefully can
stay healthy whatever that neck issue or ailment was that
costs him to sit most of the fourth quarter with
d J. Gidden's got a lot of work. Haven't seen
too much in terms of an update on that status.
Something to keep an eye on. All of that being said,
Michael Pittman, buy in a trader fade. I don't want
to over underreact to the situation, but I feel like.
Speaker 2: It's a fade.
Speaker 1: We've seen Pittman reach peaks in the past and then
plummet in value compared to his previous ceiling. I believe
the Colts are going to mix in match based on matchup.
Daniel Jones is a big factor here too. He made
the most of his Cold State debut will passing for
two hundred and seventy two yards, one touchdown, zero interception,
nine point four yards per attempt, and then seven twenty
six yards and two scores as a rusher. It could
very well be the best performance of the season for
Dannie Jones on the Know, Michael Pittman Tyler Warren is
I believe the safest receiver to roster and start week
over week in this offense. We'll see a better indication
of what to expect rest of season when the Colts
face a very tough test hosting Denver in Week two.
So Michael Pittman is more a fade than a buy,
and a trade for me from adnasy Lens, where he
already was sort of perceived as a falling ninety stock.
This could be a time to sell in the name
and previous output in prior seasons for those that need
wide receiver help in your League's time for quick break,
and I have four more names to discuss from the
week one slate before we get to that. If you
want access to my by position rankings on Patreon, I
publish quarterbacks this week, running backs next week, and then
wide receiver, tight end, and then an eventual top seventy
five or one hundred overall Patreon a spot to be
They are in top fifty four tiered in Google sheets
for you to access on your phone, tablet, computer.
Speaker 2: I have three tier levels Rookie for.
Speaker 1: Five dollars per month, Veteran twelve dollars per month, and
MVP for twenty four dollars per month. Link in my
episode show notes in my social media bio. It is
the only spot you will gain access to those rankings,
which I'll be updating throughout the entire regular season, So be.
Speaker 2: Sure to join.
Speaker 1: Become a member if you're not already on the platform
supporting my work for access to those Dynasty rankings by position,
be right back.
Speaker 2: How about Kayshon Booty.
Speaker 1: He led the Patriots pass catchers versus the Raiders in
yards receiving and an overall effort of six receptions fo
one hundred and three yards seventeen point three yards per
catch across eight targets on eighty two percent of snaps.
Let's keep in mind Kaysehan Boody, former six round pick
in twenty twenty three out of LSU, who was viewed
as a borderline Day one or Day two prospects who
ended up sliding to day three because of an injury history,
let alone subpar athletic testing so far, though end of
twenty twenty four and beginning of twenty twenty five, Kayshan
looks like the real deal, potentially the Patriots top or
second best wide.
Speaker 2: Receiver to begin the season.
Speaker 1: Stefon Diggs post acl tair recovery well ahead of schedule
six receptions fifty seven yards, seven targets a suboptimal forty
one percent of snaps, but let's not be surprised by
the ease in usage there and to Mario Douglas had
an absolute ugly line of two catches for negative two yards,
yet found the end zone seven targets sixty three percent
of snaps. Kayshan Boody could very well be Drake May's
top target until Stefon Diggs.
Speaker 2: Is back up to full speed.
Speaker 1: Ultimately, I do expect Diggs to supersede Booty in terms
of county stats. If Booty was dropped, though, in any
of your dynasty leagues, this is the time to dump fab.
I could be a rising star in the NFL, or
at least in emergeny talent for the Patriots. Trey Benson.
The offseason reports of one A one B for the
Cardinals running back room. It rung true in Week one
against New Orleans. Game log wise, Trey Benson eight rush
to sixty nine yards for eight point six yards per carry,
including a fifty two yard rush, added one catch, six yards,
one targets.
Speaker 2: Discouraging part was only.
Speaker 1: Thirty three percent of snaps compared to James Connor on
the field for sixty five percent of snaps. Connor went
twelve for thirty nine on the ground three point three
yards per rush, so not effective. Four catches, five yards
and a touchdown. It was a shovel pass near the
goal line that allowed Connor to score. A Larger sample
size is surely needed here. For now, I am believing
it in RBBC and Benton's by low window is closing fast,
so in terms of buy in a trader fade, this
is potentially the last opportunity if you are a believer
in Trey Benson two buy shares before the cost becomes
out of control or James Connor falls off an efficiency
and becomes the one B to Benton's eventual one to A.
It's purely conjecture at this point, however, in Dynasty, especially
want to be at least a few weeks to a
year ahead of the running back breakout, and that could
be what's occurring here in Arizona for Trede Benson. We
need more games and usage to determine that. Ricky pier
saw four receptions one hundred and eight yards twenty seven
yards per reception, seven targets at Seattle, eighty four percent
of snaps.
Speaker 2: George Kittle he's on ir with the hamstring injury.
Speaker 1: Jawan Jennings is dealing with the shoulder ailment sounds day
to day at the time I recording, DeMarcus Robinson still
serving that suspension. Kendrick Borne was signed receiver help. None
of that's going to matter in the short term. Ricky
Piersall is the go to receiver for hopefully Brock Purdy.
He's dealing with the shoulder and tow injuries. If not,
Mac Jones should be able to funnel Piersall with enough
volume to remain a serviceable fantasy asset if needed. Big
picture buying a trader fade, I am remaining all in.
I'm Ricky pieter Sall not only as a twenty twenty
five star, but a why not who is worth the
now first round price tag as his stats are backing
up the hype.
Speaker 2: Sure Brandon and igre back.
Speaker 1: Eventually, George Kiddo will be back in the fold opportunity
situation all favorite Ky Piersau and this is someone who
really did emerge late last season, and we're seeing all
of the offseason chatter coming to the field right out
of the gate. And last, but not least, Kean Coleman
had a huge game eight catches, one hundred and twelve yards,
one touchdown, fourteen yards per reception, eleven targets versus Baltimore
on eighty eight percent of snaps. One of the best
football games we've all seen in quite some time. That
comeback by Buffalo was sensational. Keon led bills passkeeckers and receptions,
are receiving and targets. Listen, I believe in the town
of Keon Coleman. I did as a product out of
Florida State. However, I'm not sold that Coleman will maintain
a possession role, which is what we saw week one
with so many receivers in the fold to vy for volume,
Khlusu Kir Joshua Palmer of notes in the mix. That
being said, Keon does seem poised for a sophomore leap
as now a more refined receiver from a route running
in football IQ perspective, nor where to be, and he's
built up route time the chemistry Josh Allen that is evident.
There was a lot of times last season where Allan
and Keon are not on the same page. For the
sake of this week's show, buying a trader fade, I'm
probably going to fade Keon at cost eight for one
to twelve in a touchdown. If we fast forward and
then rewind and see all the stats, could very well
present his best.
Speaker 2: Game of the season.
Speaker 1: I don't want to over invest in Coleman because of
the Josh Allen exposure, yet we can't deny what he
accomplished and how he fared in Week one. So basically,
if I have key on Coleman, I am going to
hold on the flip side. If someone comes to me
with an offer that cannot be refused and is a
clear overpay, I'm okay fading him while cashing nowt after
a peak performance. Thanks for listening. I hope you all
enjoyed this week's show. I'll be back next week to
cover Week two and my thoughts from a Donisy perspective.
Until next time, This is the dying as you're joking out.
Enjoy all the games on this week's late and I
will talk to you soon.
Speaker 2: See you