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Speaker 1: Are the Welcome to Wayne to Talk today the gold

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standard of sports betting shows where we talk to talk

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and walk to the walk. Got a loaded show getting

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you ready for a big, big weekend. We've got NBA,

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we've got Super Bowl, we've got lacrosse, we've got all

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around the world. Dan, come on in here. What do

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we got for today's show that we're Super Bowl rushing?

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Probably got a ton today?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Andy and Island the show yesterday we talked all

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receiving props. We broke down, you know, six or seven

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guys and what they're overs, unders are what you were

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looking at. And we'll do something similar here. Not as

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many options in the rushing game. But I have a

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prop that I really like. I'm sure Andy has a couple.

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But we'll pull up a screen and show you historical

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data how these guys have been doing cash and so

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getting you ready to bet props in the Super Bowl.

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Andy and I are here for you. And then next

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week we will be handicapping which performers will be wearing

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dresses and things like that. But on today's show, Man,

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the football Fridays are dwindling. This we're calling it a

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football Friday because we're going to Teddy and Marco to

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talk about the Super Bowl a week and a half

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before the game even starts. But we're also going to

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be obviously talking NBA College Basketball with those two guys.

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They're gonna have free plays for you coming up. We're

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gonna do sell me with Teddy. I picked a great

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game for you guys to win some people some free

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three day flex passes. But Teddy's also gonna be talking

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Pistons Warriors. Marco is going to be coming on Michigan

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and Michigan State in the battle for Teddy's home state.

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There should be a fun one that Marco is going

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to be breaking down. You've got all around the world.

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Lacrosse kicks off this weekend. I've got free plays for

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you in that Andy. It's a great time to be

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subscribed here to wager Talk TV. And it is a

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great time to celebrate Football Friday. Yeah, it's only two

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left on the year and it's sad man.

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Speaker 1: We got a milk it for all. It's worthier like

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when you only got one right football game, and I

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Football Friday is not that good when it's like XFL

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and things like that. So let's bring in Teddy and

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we're going to talk a little NBA. Then we're going

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to talk to Teddy Bowl. Teddy, We're gonna talk Pistons Warriors.

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But I want to ask you just some general thoughts here.

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We talked about Giannis. Looks like he's probably not going

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to be on the on the Bucks. Warriors are a

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team that's being brought up. But I asked Joe NII

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this yesterday. I love your thoughts. If you're an NBA team,

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are you really that excited with unloading everything to get

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Janis who's now dealing with another calf injury in his thirties,

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this big contract? Are you excited about about trading for Yannis?

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Speaker 3: No? You have you paid attention to the NBA for

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the last forty years?

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Speaker 4: Yes, I have what every once in a while, one

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of these moves works and the team that acquires a

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superstar goes on to win a title.

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Speaker 3: It happens what once every X number of years. The

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other ninety eight.

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Speaker 4: Moves that get made, you know, don't tend to be

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quite as a fortuitous for the team picking up the

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veteran superstar. And of course, the costs for acquiring Giannis

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right now, you know, I've heard some remarkably high costs

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that it might take to bring them on board.

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Speaker 3: I don't think that for any team.

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Speaker 4: You pick up your honest you're like, oh yeah, we

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got a title, now we're locked in. Would the Nicks

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be better without Karl Anthony Towns with Giannis in that spot?

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Maybe you know a little bit. But would they be

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better without Towns and a newbie and too you know,

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some first round picks down the road, of course not.

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And the price to get you know, a superstar in

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the NBA, in that the trade deadline is supposed to

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a free agency is in my mind, usually too high

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to make that trade.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'm looking at these standings, like, what's the

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theory for building a good team. We're going to talk

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about the Troy. It almost feels like the Troy may

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be the model. You got one pretty big contract with Cade,

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one superstar and then just try and load up a good,

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you know, surrounding cast. But I just feel like these

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teams two massive contracts somebody like Giannis, it just doesn't

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feel like it's feasible once it comes to playoff time.

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Speaker 4: And of course the issue was so first of all,

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De Troit hasn't won anything all right, So let's not

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give the Pistons too much credit that they've had a

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good first half of a season after being bottom feeders

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for the better part of the last decade. So there's

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hope for Detroit in a way that there hasn't been,

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you know, since since Johnson Billis was playing, and Detroit

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as opposed to getting thrown out of Portland for betting issues.

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But when you talk about the the strategy and the

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philosophies for winning a title, a lot of it has

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to do with salary cap flexibility. And when you lock

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in someone like Giannis that you have to pay as

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they get older.

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Speaker 3: In my mind, that reduces flexibility.

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Speaker 4: And when you look around the league who's getting traded, everything's, oh,

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this guy's an expiring contract.

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Speaker 3: That guy's an expiring contract. You know, these are guys that.

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Speaker 4: You know two and three and five years ago that

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you wanted to pay twenty thirty and forty million dollars

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a year. So the cost to acquire a Janis in

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my mind, is and Giannis is a what right now?

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He is a top ten NBA player, without a doubt,

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he might be a top five NBA player. He is

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that good, He is that capable, but one top player

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doesn't win you a title. You know, when you need

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a piece, and a high usage piece.

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Speaker 3: Mid season.

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Speaker 4: It's hard to get a guy like Yiannis to be

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in full chemistry with your team, you know. And of course, oh,

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by the way, he's hurt now. So even if you

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get him to expect that your team with Yannis this

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year to find the chemistry and click all through the playoffs,

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you know, in my mind, that's rather optimistic.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess the strategy is somehow trade for SGA. Yeah,

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Jack williams Lynn, Chad Holmgren.

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Speaker 4: Well, the strategy is trade you'r Yannis like OKAC traded

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their Paul George and Lo and behold, you know, look

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what the what the cat can drag in a couple

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of years down the road.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, Well, let's break down this Pistons Warriors game.

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Two teams, like we just mentioned, kind of going in

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opposite directions here, but let's focus on the game tonight. Here,

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Pistons are going to be the big favorite. Kind of

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makes sense, Warriors stand a chance here in this one.

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Speaker 4: So I'm really curious because you're say they're going opposite directions,

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What do you mean because I don't see that at all.

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Speaker 1: Oh, I just I think the Warriors, with the injuries

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that they have, they're a non factor in the playoffs. Meanwhile,

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the Pistons are the number one seed and the East

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I think is wide open. The Knicks seem to be floundering.

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So if I'm picking one team that's going to have

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a lot more success in the playoffs, to me, it's

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the Pistons. That it's not even close, all right, So.

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Speaker 3: The Knicks are going to be there. They'll be fine.

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Speaker 4: It's January, you know, the NBA is a long season,

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and the Knicks are going to be there. And really,

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if you talk to me about the Eastern Conference finals,

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the Pistons will be So we talked about, like, what's

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the future of these two teams in the postseason. I

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don't see Detroit as being a legit likely contender to come.

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Speaker 3: Out of the East. They are the type of regular

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season team that we love, all right. They're young, they're hungry,

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they're focused.

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Speaker 4: So you like in the regular season of the NBA,

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when it comes to the postseason of the NBA, you like,

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they've been there, They've done that. You know, in general,

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not always okay, see obviously last year, when you have

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that young talented corps like the thunder did, you can

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make an exceptional run.

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Speaker 3: But I don't.

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Speaker 4: I mean, Detroit is not okay, see at least not

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in this better's opinion, not yet. And of course it

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is a Pistons team on the second of back to back.

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So anytime we're talking about second of back to backs,

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there's two things we check. One, what happened last night?

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How many minutes got played? How hard were those minutes?

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Two what's the team's track record without rest? Pistons have

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a losing track record against the spread without rest. This season,

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they've not been particularly good in this role. And last

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night I have a no show game in Phoenix. Nothing

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went right from the get go. They did not shoot

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the ball well, they did not defend particularly well, you know,

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low scoring affair for Detroit, and they were pretty much

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blown off the court. But from a minute standpoint, you know,

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Cunningham played thirty three, Duncan Robinson played thirty though, was

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the only two guys that played major minutes, which leaves

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the Pistons in fairly good shape tonight at Golden State

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from a rest perspective, even though obviously their track record

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in these games has.

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Speaker 3: Not been great.

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Speaker 4: The question that we have, and I'm saying we collectively

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as the NBA betting marketplace has right now, is what

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the heck do we do with Golden State? How good

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are the Warriors? And as Andy Lang said coming in

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to this discussion, these feel like two teams going in

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the opp directions since Jimmy Butler got hurt. Golden State

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two and three straight up, two and three against the spread,

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and of course, you know, when you're beating Utah, it's

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not really that much of an accomplishment. And they did

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beat Minnesota when the tea we're in the midst of

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a five game losing streak, so they do have two wins,

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both of which you have.

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Speaker 3: To go yeah, Okay.

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Speaker 4: That said, Golden State has been far better at home

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all year, and they have been on the road. Now

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they're five games into the Butler injury, and it's not

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like they lack depth. The Warriors have some quality depth.

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And note the fact, again looking at my odds logic

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live on screen right now, it's not Detroit as a

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road chalk. The markets are saying Golden State deserves to

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be the favorite here minus two and a half pretty

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much across the board. Total two twenty four and a

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half pretty much across the board, And of course, my

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powering number for the game with Detroit on the second

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of back to backs says, in theory, the Pistons are

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supposed to be favored here, and the markets kind of

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feel that way.

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Speaker 3: The markets kind of have been sniffing that way.

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Speaker 4: So when you see a two and a half holding

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and yet a lot of people are saying, yeah, well

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the other team should be favored here, that'll tells us

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something to be said for Golden State's home court edge

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tonight against the tire Detroit team that honestly, I think

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they have overachieved at least a little bit over the

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first half of the season. I'm not Gonnavince, You're going

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to make as much money with Detroit over the back

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half as you did over the first half. Now the

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markets have caught up to where they are, so the

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lean here's Golden State minus the two and a half.

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I understand that the Pistons are a tough team, and

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step in front of Golden State is the way I

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would look for this one. And of course, at minus

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two and a half in this point spread range, I

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tend to look at money lines when you're talking about

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short NBA favorites. But that's for me. One like the

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two point spreads in particular, where the money line is

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perfect minus one and a half minus two. Once you

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get up to two and a half in the NBA,

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now it's a pretty big price to be laying. So

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lean here's golden state. If it goes down, if I

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see a one and a half two, maybe look at

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the warriors of the money line at some point before tip.

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Speaker 1: Off moving on to the super Bowl, I'm assuming you

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go down and do the whole props thing. The props

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are released, How was it? I've never been. That's got

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to be I have to make it out like it's

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so silly that I that I don't come out there.

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So how was it? How was the bob here? So

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that's ridiculous.

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Speaker 4: Fifty fifty four page packet, fifty three page pack I

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mean this thing, you know, I mean, it's it's significant,

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and of course it's not just like, oh, a little

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bit on it. There's two columns on each page top

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to bottom. You know, there's a lot of problem to

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go through, and what do you do at the end

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of it? You end up with a page of notes

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like this.

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Speaker 3: Went for me.

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Speaker 4: In the next hopefully twenty four to forty eight hours,

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that will get translated into a bunch of bets and

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a bunch of plays for the clients as the proper

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coort comes out. I'm hoping to get that done over

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the course of the next forty eight hours. Let's say

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some point this weekend, I want to turn this page

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into a bunch of bets. And after I make the bets,

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then to make sure that we get the clients, the

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clients get the same thing that I'm betting myself. So

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I mean the super Bowl for me, I mean I

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do it every year, been doing it every year for

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twenty years. It's one of mine. I'm not someone that

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telles props every week. I'm not, But super Bowl's different

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because there's so much public money involved. You can really

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find some good opportunities and it's one of my favorite

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times of the year when it comes to Super Bowl props.

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So and to the bucket list stuff. Everyone talks about,

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what where do you want to be in Vegas? Look, the

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March Madness opening weekend is funner, all right, and it

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lasts longer.

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Speaker 3: So if you have too. What do you want?

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Speaker 4: Do you want march madness? So you want to come

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for the opening night of the props, you probably want

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march madness. That said, there's nothing like it when it

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comes to a wise guy party in town.

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Speaker 3: You know, I go.

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Speaker 4: I've been almost every year, and a handful of years

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I haven't been down there. But now, of course it's

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Wednesday instead of Thursdays.

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Speaker 3: It was a little bit earlier than it has been.

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Speaker 4: And you've never seen if you've never seen like a

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wise guy party. A bunch of guys with these fat bankrolls.

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We're in sweatsuits, going up in line and again and

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again and muttering amongst each other. It really is a

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it's a sight. It's an interesting scene, it really is.

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And of course there's lots of guys that I know.

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So for me, it's fun because you know, in this business,

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you know, you spend a lot of time by yourself,

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You spend a lot of time in handicapping by yourself.

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Getting out and about and talking with your friends that

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you get to see, you know, a couple of times

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a season is always a good thing.

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Speaker 3: So I had a great time down there. I go.

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Speaker 4: I'll like said, almost every year, and I was there

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from you know, like six o'clock till eleven.

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Speaker 3: I went.

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Speaker 4: They stayed after because I was talking with Someboddy so

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And of course when you're talking with people, you're picking

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their brains, they're picking your brains. It's you know, I

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don't mind sharing ideas with friends and colleagues that I respect,

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and as long as they share with me, I'm happy

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to share back with that.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I'm the formula one has become not a

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not a must go to in Vegas. I thought it

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was going to boy, I was excited and then whoopsie,

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well give us your super Bowl preview here. It looks

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like the line is kind of holding steady at four

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four and a half year for Seattle. Yeah, Floorier's total

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forty five and a half side total props. What's your

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take so far?

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Speaker 3: Uh? Just break that super Bowl twenty minutes go.

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Speaker 4: So there, there's one lesson that I learned the hard

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way about Super Bowls, and at this stage it makes

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this game a one way game for me. The lesson

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I learned the hard way about super Bowls is you

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can't lay freaking point. Doesn't matter how much better one

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team is supposed to be in the other team, all right,

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doesn't matter how much better a team was in the

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regular season, doesn't matter how much a team was better

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in the playoffs, doesn't.

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Speaker 3: Matter how big you're powering.

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Speaker 4: Differential is between these two teams once they get on

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that stage. In the modern era, teams are basically even.

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When you look at the track record of favorites in

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the Super Bowl, it's ugly, all right, four and fourteen

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the last eighteen meetings, last eighteen Super Bowl, there's one

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pick them in there. Six and eighteen the last twenty

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five six times the favorite that's covered.

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Speaker 3: And when we.

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Speaker 4: Talk about the favorites that have covered, well you have

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New England twenty eight to three. Yeah, they covered that game.

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Seahawk Steelers, remember that game. I remember that game. Everyone

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in the world was whining about how the worst referee

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game in the history of Super Bowls.

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Speaker 3: Well, that's one with favorite covered, you know.

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Speaker 4: I mean, that's what it takes for the chalk to

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be covering in these games. So for me, from a

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side standpoint, I don't care how good Seattle was. I

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don't care how all the flaws of New England have.

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When February rolls around, these teams are even, and I

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can only take points. Look at the track record of

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teams laying more than a field goal. All right, I

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talked about six and eighteen ats for any favorites. Now

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you look at the checker, the team's laying a you know, four,

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four and a half and plus. There's been eleven tries

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this centery. Those teams laying more than a field goal,

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they're five and six, straight up, straight up, one in

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ten against the spread. Does history matter? How much does

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history play into this? Well, that's the question. Look, Seattle's

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a better team, you know they are. I They've probably

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on both sides of the football. From a statistical standpoint,

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the Seahawks are remarkable in that sense, you know, really

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strong statistical profile. And New England's tiscal profile, while strong,

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is certainly affected by the fact that no team in

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the league played a weaker schedule than the Patriots, and

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people still remember that. And of course, when you talk

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about New England's road to the Super Bowl, fortuitous, fortuitous, fortuitous.

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You know, two warm weather teams coming to playing cold

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weather games. Denver's missing field goals, Denvers without their starting QB.

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I mean, you know, obviously the Patriots are here, not

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necessarily because they're one of the two best teams in

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the league because everything, but because everything is broken right

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for them, and the markets are telling us that that said,

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you know, can't do it. Andy, I've learned this is

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you know, some lessons you learn and you have to

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learn again, and you have to learn again super Bowl

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saying Oh, this team's definitely way better than that team.

359
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Speaker 3: There's a lesson I'd learned a couple of times.

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Speaker 4: But I have learned that lesson and I will not

361
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you know, my choice sidewise, here is New England or past.

362
00:17:25,279 --> 00:17:28,759
There's not a chance. I don't care stats, I don't

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care matchups, I don't care anything.

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00:17:30,759 --> 00:17:36,200
Speaker 3: Not a chance that la plane Patriots or will be about.

365
00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,799
Speaker 1: Your public service announcement. You don't have to bet on

366
00:17:42,839 --> 00:17:44,319
the spread in this game. You don't know if you

367
00:17:44,319 --> 00:17:49,359
don't have there's not a law that says you have to. Yeah, Teddy,

368
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:51,400
what do you have up for everyone at wager talk?

369
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It's a big, big weekend and then we gotta do

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sell me.

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00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:57,039
Speaker 4: Sure, So I'm running good right now, guys. It's been

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00:17:57,039 --> 00:17:59,559
a great week. I'm on an eight and o NBA

373
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,920
run over the last eight plays and tonight real simple

374
00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:08,359
five percent, big ticket, locked and loaded a top total.

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00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:09,240
Speaker 3: The totals have been great.

376
00:18:09,279 --> 00:18:12,079
Speaker 4: I'm hitting eighty percent on NBA totals this year so

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00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:15,359
far in twenty twenty six. Red hot right now, and

378
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,160
of course a long term track or a short and

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00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:19,839
long term tracker for the NBA five percent pick tickets.

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00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:21,359
Speaker 3: They're impressive. You know.

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00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 4: I'm thirty seven and eighteen since twenty twenty two, sixty

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00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:27,519
seven percent. So when I bet, when I there's not

383
00:18:27,559 --> 00:18:28,920
a ton of them, I don't have a ton of

384
00:18:29,079 --> 00:18:31,279
a five percent place. I certainly have a ton of

385
00:18:31,319 --> 00:18:33,039
NBA five percent plays. This is my third one of

386
00:18:33,079 --> 00:18:36,400
the year. I got one tonight. Check it out WT

387
00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:40,440
Dot buzz backslash TC. But again, don't buy the play,

388
00:18:40,839 --> 00:18:44,359
get a package, get the what buy a seven day

389
00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,519
all access for the price of three dude. I mean

390
00:18:46,519 --> 00:18:48,720
it's it's as good a deal as you can find.

391
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,200
Sixty nine bucks every play, every day, every sport for

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00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:52,279
the next seven days.

393
00:18:52,599 --> 00:18:54,359
Speaker 3: I encourage you. Check that out right.

394
00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:58,720
Speaker 4: Now on my home paget buzz backslash t C.

395
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:04,400
Speaker 1: Ted Teddy with a five NBA play. Don't you threaten

396
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:04,839
me with a.

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00:19:04,799 --> 00:19:07,759
Speaker 2: Good time yes, sir, yes, sir.

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00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:10,519
Speaker 3: Three this year so far two and.

399
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:13,000
Speaker 2: On wow, let's go, well, let's make it three and

400
00:19:13,039 --> 00:19:14,839
oh you can get that play at Teddy's page right

401
00:19:14,839 --> 00:19:18,960
now WT buzz backslash TC again as I scan the

402
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,680
board here for sell me. Which is your chance, folks?

403
00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:24,519
If you comment below after the video goes live, We're

404
00:19:24,559 --> 00:19:25,960
going to tell you how you can win a free

405
00:19:26,039 --> 00:19:28,559
three day flex pass for any of these great guests.

406
00:19:28,559 --> 00:19:30,640
Marco coming up next to Teddy right here, and Andy

407
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:32,960
as well. You could do one day of each of

408
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,079
them with the flex pass. He'll win. What's up, Teddy?

409
00:19:35,519 --> 00:19:36,839
Speaker 3: So I want to respond the comments.

410
00:19:36,839 --> 00:19:39,079
Speaker 4: You're saying Teddy's pickings based on historical results more than

411
00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,920
this season, thank you? Aw be four Rex for fun

412
00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:43,799
is saying that doesn't apply this time around. One team

413
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:45,799
is fifteen rookies on the roster, another team emerge from

414
00:19:45,799 --> 00:19:47,000
the best division football.

415
00:19:47,279 --> 00:19:51,039
Speaker 3: I want to address that real quick, poor please all right.

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00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:57,480
Speaker 4: In my mind, based on my experience, the historical results

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00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:01,880
are more important than any that happened this year. When

418
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,720
you look at the track record of this game with

419
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:08,279
two weeks of hype, with two teams that get a

420
00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,400
chance to breathe, and then have to play again. The

421
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:13,920
fact that one team has fifteen rookies the other team

422
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:17,079
was the best team in the best division doesn't matter

423
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:21,880
in February. Occasionally it does, but more often than not,

424
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:25,519
it doesn't. So, yeah, that's my thought process on this.

425
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:27,720
I appreciate the comments and I don't mind the criticism.

426
00:20:27,839 --> 00:20:30,880
It's okay, But I want to explain exactly what my

427
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,400
thought process is. It's not, oh, there's some trend this summer,

428
00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:36,720
random trend. This is twenty eight super bowls in Vegas.

429
00:20:37,079 --> 00:20:40,000
This is what works, this is what doesn't. That's my take.

430
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,759
Speaker 2: Well, and Teddy, I'll even go one further. You know,

431
00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:47,799
fifteen rookies fifteen veterans, like, that's something that I don't

432
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,640
care about. And you know, yes, in the Super Bowl, Okay,

433
00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:52,599
it's fun talking points. We have two weeks to talk

434
00:20:52,599 --> 00:20:55,359
about this game, so it gets analyzed and over analyzed.

435
00:20:55,599 --> 00:20:57,680
But something for me is I don't give a shit

436
00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,640
about the names on the back of the jersey. I'm

437
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:03,000
talking what do these numbers mean to me? And you

438
00:21:03,039 --> 00:21:05,599
know historical trends, you know, you hear it in financial

439
00:21:05,599 --> 00:21:08,680
advisors as well. It's no, it's no Darren Torrr of

440
00:21:08,759 --> 00:21:11,559
future success. But you know, it's definitely something that you

441
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:14,000
have to factor in there. So I think that's just,

442
00:21:14,279 --> 00:21:16,119
you know, maybe a little bit of difference between the

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00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:19,119
people who are watching these type of shows to formulate

444
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,519
their super opinions verse watching First Take and those type

445
00:21:22,559 --> 00:21:25,200
of shows to formulate your ear type of opinions. There's

446
00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:29,039
there's big difference there. But guys, sell me time. I

447
00:21:29,039 --> 00:21:31,240
mean this. I look forward to this every single week

448
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,000
because I get to stand the board and try and

449
00:21:33,039 --> 00:21:36,720
find ugly matchups, fun matchups. I have a feeling though

450
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:41,480
this matchup, gentlemen, will not be Teddy's five percent play

451
00:21:41,799 --> 00:21:43,960
this evening that you can get at wt Dot Buzz

452
00:21:44,039 --> 00:21:47,400
Backslash TC. I picked this one because of the similar logos,

453
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:49,440
and I liked how it looked on my screen here

454
00:21:49,519 --> 00:21:52,559
when I have clippers and nuggets and the spread in

455
00:21:52,599 --> 00:21:56,039
this one, guys, it's painted clippers six and a half

456
00:21:56,079 --> 00:21:59,079
is what we're looking at pretty much. So Andy, I'm

457
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,799
going to give you the here with the Denver Nuggets

458
00:22:01,839 --> 00:22:05,359
simply because the dogs have been very good to you.

459
00:22:05,599 --> 00:22:08,200
During this segment, Teddy, you're gonna be letting me know

460
00:22:08,279 --> 00:22:10,680
why you should be laying six and a half, and Teddy,

461
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:12,519
I was nice at least this week. I didn't make

462
00:22:12,519 --> 00:22:14,559
you break down a thirteen and a half point favorite,

463
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:16,759
just a six and a half point favorite. So Teddy,

464
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,880
why are the Clippers rightfully so six and a half?

465
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,000
And people should comment Teddy with their wager talk username

466
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:25,000
to win a free three day flex pats.

467
00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:28,440
Speaker 4: So when we talk about the LA Clippers, all right,

468
00:22:28,599 --> 00:22:34,359
even now, after all this time, they're still not necessarily

469
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:36,920
being priced like the teams they've been for the last

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00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,200
two months. Remember this team started six and twenty one,

471
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,559
and since their six and twenty one start, they've lost

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00:22:42,559 --> 00:22:46,559
three games three and all three games have been blowouts.

473
00:22:46,559 --> 00:22:49,160
By the way, when they lose, they get clobbered. Other

474
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,799
than that, it's a CLIPS team that has found a

475
00:22:52,839 --> 00:22:57,680
way to and I found a way. He's not even

476
00:22:57,680 --> 00:22:59,400
the right word. It's a CLIPS team playing good ball,

477
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:03,079
Clips playing we can win the West, we can compete

478
00:23:03,079 --> 00:23:07,160
with OKC type of basketball. And again we look at

479
00:23:07,279 --> 00:23:10,799
the odds Logic Live Odds screen right now and seeing

480
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:14,680
a very reasonable price six and a half for LA

481
00:23:14,839 --> 00:23:18,920
in Denver. Of course, let's not forget it's a Nuggets

482
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:21,000
team and well, of course we know about the Denver injuries,

483
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:23,839
but what we haven't talked about a lot is the

484
00:23:23,839 --> 00:23:28,279
fact that Denver has been kind of up against uscause

485
00:23:28,279 --> 00:23:30,920
you know, the back to back barmbers at Detroit they

486
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,680
had Brooklyn. So the last two games, last three games

487
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,359
really have all come down to one possession at the end.

488
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:41,799
They Milwaukee, Detroit, and Brooklyn came up short in only

489
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:45,279
one of those three contests. But it's certainly a Nuggets

490
00:23:45,319 --> 00:23:49,680
team that, as shorthanded as they are, there are matchup

491
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,119
problems here. They don't have a stopper for Kawhi, you

492
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,680
don't have a stopper for Harden, you know, the low

493
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:58,720
post presence that you need, especially with Valentuna's question.

494
00:23:58,480 --> 00:23:59,440
Speaker 3: Mark for this ball game.

495
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:03,359
Speaker 4: So if I'm playing, I'm laying, you know, ride the

496
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:07,319
hot fade the mediocre. Right now, Denver's a little bit

497
00:24:07,319 --> 00:24:08,240
of mediocre.

498
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,680
Speaker 2: Fade the mediocre playing he is laying, says Teddy Covers

499
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:15,720
in the first part of sell Me and Lino pointing out,

500
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:19,480
I am getting a little bit soft. It into my

501
00:24:19,519 --> 00:24:21,759
head I should have went Brooklyn, Utah. But those the

502
00:24:22,759 --> 00:24:25,559
logos being perfect matches Andy. It was just it was

503
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,400
just too beautiful for me. So your turn to sell

504
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,680
me on this Denver Nuggets side. And folks were great

505
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:32,640
in this one at six and a half. So you're

506
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:35,759
getting the points. Andy, you won't be laying. If you

507
00:24:35,799 --> 00:24:37,839
will be playing, you will be taking at least that's

508
00:24:37,839 --> 00:24:38,839
what I've decided for you.

509
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, this has just been a blessing for the Nuggets.

510
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,039
They're missing some of their guys, but they're getting some

511
00:24:46,079 --> 00:24:48,279
of their younger guys and bench guys plenty of minutes.

512
00:24:48,319 --> 00:24:50,559
And this is a team that's six and four ats

513
00:24:50,839 --> 00:24:53,839
in their last ten games. Yea, they're coming off of

514
00:24:53,079 --> 00:24:56,799
a win last night back to back, a gritty win

515
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:01,240
against the feisty Brooklyn Nets. Clipper on a nice winning streak,

516
00:25:01,279 --> 00:25:03,880
but I don't know a couple of those wins against Brooklyn,

517
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:08,960
couple against Washington. There's a Utah win in there, and honestly,

518
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,920
I think this might potentially be a look ahead spot

519
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:15,640
for the Clippers, who are at Denver on Friday. But

520
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:19,319
then they got a nice matchup at Phoenix and Denver

521
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,839
has the element of surprise here. Christian Brown still out,

522
00:25:23,839 --> 00:25:27,119
Aaron Gordon still out, Jalen Pickett is getting big minutes

523
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:31,359
Peyton Watson has a chance to shine, Spencer Jones gets time,

524
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:34,160
and Bruce Brown is really really good coming off the bench.

525
00:25:34,519 --> 00:25:37,519
I actually think these supporting players are playing much better

526
00:25:37,799 --> 00:25:39,960
and this line is a little inflated due to the

527
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,759
guys that are out right now. These bench players and

528
00:25:42,799 --> 00:25:45,400
these role players are getting plenty of minutes in experience.

529
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,759
I think Clippers win, don't cover, and they look ahead

530
00:25:48,759 --> 00:25:50,200
to this big matchup against Phoenix.

531
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:55,119
Speaker 2: All Right, Andy, Well, Steve Kohler commenting below, why would

532
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:58,440
you not take Teddy's advice too? He is two and

533
00:25:58,559 --> 00:26:00,720
zero on these five percent plays. He's got another one

534
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:04,000
going tonight. Andy's on a nice NBA run, So I

535
00:26:04,039 --> 00:26:06,200
don't know if Steve could be onto something. But you

536
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,480
have to decide, commenters, and let us know six and

537
00:26:09,519 --> 00:26:13,359
a half who's covering it, Clippers or Nuggets. Comment Andy

538
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:15,720
if you think the Nuggets are a live dog, and

539
00:26:15,799 --> 00:26:19,000
comment and comment Teddy with your wager talk use your

540
00:26:19,079 --> 00:26:21,119
name if you think the Clips are covering this six

541
00:26:21,319 --> 00:26:24,920
and half. Teddy always a pleasure, my man. Good luck

542
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,160
tonight on that big play. Brother, I'll think, oh look

543
00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:27,880
I can get brother.

544
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:31,839
Speaker 3: Thank you. Have a great day, guys, cheers.

545
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:36,240
Speaker 2: Sir Teddy covers wt dot buzzbackslash tc Teddy does cover.

546
00:26:36,279 --> 00:26:38,720
I'm sure the clients are hoping tonight as well. So

547
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:39,599
that's a fun one.

548
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:40,400
Speaker 3: Andy. Let's see.

549
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:42,920
Speaker 2: Let's see comment below, folks. Your chance for a free

550
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:43,480
three day.

551
00:26:43,319 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 1: Flex pass real quick? Rex. I think the last two

552
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,920
posts is greater. But the biggest thing here win Seattle

553
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,079
doesn't win by double digits. I will be back with

554
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:56,440
hat in hand. Rex, care to make things interesting? Should

555
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:58,720
we revisit after the Super Bowl?

556
00:26:59,000 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 4: Uh?

557
00:26:59,319 --> 00:27:01,880
Speaker 1: You said doubled, but the line is four and a half.

558
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:04,400
Let's meet in the middle six and a half. I'll

559
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:07,400
bet your three day pass for six and a half,

560
00:27:07,559 --> 00:27:10,440
so they if they cover the six and a half,

561
00:27:10,519 --> 00:27:12,519
you get a free three day pass coming your way.

562
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,279
If they don't cover that, you get to purchase a

563
00:27:15,319 --> 00:27:18,480
three day flex pass. Rex. Do you agree to the terms?

564
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 2: Yes, the turn and laid out Rex, let us know.

565
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:23,440
And this is the folks, This is the thing, folks.

566
00:27:23,599 --> 00:27:26,240
We're always watching the live comments. So you throw down

567
00:27:26,279 --> 00:27:28,720
a colt, We're all for it. Tell us that we're idiots,

568
00:27:28,799 --> 00:27:31,319
tell us that you disagree. Maybe don't tell us for idiots,

569
00:27:31,519 --> 00:27:33,880
but you can tell us that you disagree. Andy and

570
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,440
I are watching the comments and sometimes we'll go head

571
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,519
to head with you and win you some action as

572
00:27:38,559 --> 00:27:41,440
long as you agree to hold up your.

573
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:42,599
Speaker 3: End of the bargain.

574
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,039
Speaker 2: But yeah, no, that's great stuff, Andy, and what I

575
00:27:45,079 --> 00:27:45,720
love about this.

576
00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:49,200
Speaker 1: Hold on, Hold on Dan again, Guys, wait till after

577
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:53,359
the show, then comment with Teddy or Andy and your

578
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:55,640
wager talk name. You're doing it in the live chat,

579
00:27:55,759 --> 00:27:58,240
it's got to be in the comments after the show.

580
00:27:58,279 --> 00:28:01,279
We need record of it in the comments section. So so, uh,

581
00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:03,839
save those till the till the end. Okay, Dan, where

582
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:04,160
were you?

583
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:05,559
Speaker 4: Uh?

584
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:07,680
Speaker 2: No, I was just saying that that I always loved

585
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,119
when the Super Bowl rolls around because, like I I

586
00:28:10,279 --> 00:28:12,400
by the end of the two weeks, dude, I don't

587
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:14,720
even want to bet side or total, like if you

588
00:28:14,759 --> 00:28:17,359
didn't on the opener, it's just like it's been discussed. Uh,

589
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,319
you know, ad nauseum and I do have to address here,

590
00:28:20,599 --> 00:28:23,720
says saying joining late Dan yesterday, No way Bologna scores

591
00:28:23,759 --> 00:28:26,640
three nil. That is not what I said. Roll back

592
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:29,920
the tape. I've verbatim said that Bologna could hit the

593
00:28:30,079 --> 00:28:34,079
over by themselves. I just don't think they'll get a

594
00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:37,200
clean sheet. Never said no way. Bologna scores three, nail

595
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:39,559
I said that was not my projected score line. So

596
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,880
so Bologney bolooney, it happens.

597
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:46,319
Speaker 1: All right, Well, let's bring in Marco, let's let's bring

598
00:28:46,359 --> 00:28:49,640
out the games, and then we're gonna finish with WTF LFG.

599
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:51,480
We're gonna finish with all around the world. We're gonna

600
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,480
finish with the Russian props. Marco U. One of my

601
00:28:54,519 --> 00:28:57,119
favorite things is you waiting in the back because you

602
00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,759
always you're animating.

603
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:00,839
Speaker 2: I love it.

604
00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,119
Speaker 1: It looks like you're just judging us and taking mental

605
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,559
notes and you'll get your right up at the end.

606
00:29:08,119 --> 00:29:11,359
Speaker 5: Well, I do want to comment on one of the

607
00:29:11,359 --> 00:29:13,839
things that you guys did, and Andy, I want to

608
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,160
agree with you, and you know, and I respect the

609
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,279
hell out of Teddy, but I totally disagree with him

610
00:29:19,319 --> 00:29:22,400
on his take on the Pistons as far as not

611
00:29:22,599 --> 00:29:24,480
being a playoff factor.

612
00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:29,559
Speaker 6: The NBA is a creature of habit, okay, And what

613
00:29:29,599 --> 00:29:32,759
you see is, yeah, he said that you know, teams

614
00:29:32,799 --> 00:29:35,240
don't you know, just get into the playoffs and make

615
00:29:35,279 --> 00:29:35,920
that run.

616
00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:36,680
Speaker 2: They don't.

617
00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 6: They have to pay their dues the year before. And

618
00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:44,519
if you look at Oklahoma City two years ago, what

619
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:48,599
did they do. They got into the playoffs, They battled

620
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:52,480
in a six game series, played tight games, but ended

621
00:29:52,559 --> 00:29:56,680
up losing. Then they came back the next year off

622
00:29:56,759 --> 00:30:00,160
of the experience they got the year before. What did

623
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,799
the Pistons do last year? They took the New York

624
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:05,680
Knicks to the limit. They went a six game series,

625
00:30:05,799 --> 00:30:09,279
but if you remember, every one of those games were

626
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:13,039
crazy games. There were a couple that were big leads blown,

627
00:30:13,119 --> 00:30:15,160
but yet it came down to the end of the game.

628
00:30:15,519 --> 00:30:19,400
That was their paying their dues, their learning curve, whatever

629
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:22,519
you want. I think the Pistons are a big factor

630
00:30:22,839 --> 00:30:25,960
in the East this year. Can they win an NBA Championship?

631
00:30:26,119 --> 00:30:28,799
I'm not saying that, but I think the experience they

632
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:32,920
got from last year's playoff appearance is going to serve

633
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:33,920
them well this year.

634
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 1: I like this Pistons team. I think in this day

635
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:43,680
and age, they got the recipe. It's very like the

636
00:30:43,799 --> 00:30:45,200
vision I have in my head as I was looking

637
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,960
at the Pacers last year, and it's like, Okay, superstar

638
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:52,200
Halliburton with a big contract, then a Siakam playing great

639
00:30:52,599 --> 00:30:55,279
on a little bit lesser contract and then role players

640
00:30:55,319 --> 00:30:57,000
pitching in and doing their thing. And that's what I

641
00:30:57,079 --> 00:31:00,000
see with Detroit. Like they got Caid, who's in who,

642
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,799
who's a superstar that we know, they can play defense,

643
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:06,000
their top three defensive team. They got Duncan Robinson who

644
00:31:06,079 --> 00:31:10,119
can hit threes. Isaiah Stewart's but a just just incredible

645
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:13,519
player this season. I like him in the East. I'm

646
00:31:14,119 --> 00:31:17,680
I'm with you, buddy, Yeah, yeah, absolutely so. All right,

647
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,319
well I'm not on an island with this one. So

648
00:31:20,839 --> 00:31:23,680
let's go to a lot of Michigan talking. Let's go

649
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,519
to college basketball here. We're gonna go to Michigan teams,

650
00:31:27,039 --> 00:31:29,759
Michigan and Michigan State. Yes they are sports being played

651
00:31:29,759 --> 00:31:33,039
in other states, but we're gonna focus on this. Michigan

652
00:31:33,599 --> 00:31:37,440
Michigan State is this Is this a big rivalry in

653
00:31:37,599 --> 00:31:39,920
state college basketball at this point.

654
00:31:41,279 --> 00:31:44,039
Speaker 6: It's always a rivalry between these two. But we know

655
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:47,960
that when it comes to Michigan and obviously in football,

656
00:31:48,119 --> 00:31:51,599
Ohio State is the big rivalry. It's always a bigger

657
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:54,680
rivalry for Michigan State because Michigan State is always going

658
00:31:54,759 --> 00:31:58,240
to be dean ed. As you know, the little brother not.

659
00:31:58,359 --> 00:32:00,839
You know, they're not the real time any little brother,

660
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:04,599
but they're always generally taking second fiddle to uh Michigan,

661
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:05,680
so it means more for them.

662
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:07,039
Speaker 2: And boy, what a setup.

663
00:32:07,079 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 6: You got one team that's coming in at nineteen and

664
00:32:09,559 --> 00:32:12,960
one and the other one coming in at nineteen and two. Now,

665
00:32:13,359 --> 00:32:17,160
the nineteen and one Michigan team, they've lost seven straight

666
00:32:17,279 --> 00:32:19,680
to the spread. And I'm gonna be honest with you guys,

667
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,440
when I broke this game down, and you know, I

668
00:32:22,519 --> 00:32:24,400
start and I look at one side, then I look

669
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:26,960
at the other side, and then I you know, for

670
00:32:27,119 --> 00:32:31,200
my opinion, my initial reaction had me on one side,

671
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:33,920
and then the more I looked at it, I swung

672
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:37,200
over to the other side. And I'm gonna start with it.

673
00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:39,400
You know, I'm looking at Michigan and yeah they're nineteen

674
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:42,200
and one, but they've lost seven straight to the spread.

675
00:32:42,599 --> 00:32:46,920
But they've been a huge favorite in all of those games. Okay,

676
00:32:47,079 --> 00:32:49,880
until the last one. Now they were smaller favorite, but

677
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:53,240
still a sizable favorite. They were playing Nebraska, who hadn't

678
00:32:53,279 --> 00:32:56,519
lost the game, and yet they were still a big favorite.

679
00:32:56,599 --> 00:33:00,559
Now they're finally in a spot where the spread's not

680
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,240
gonna be a factor. Okay, you just got to win

681
00:33:03,279 --> 00:33:07,640
the game. Now, Michigan State. Why my initial reaction was

682
00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:12,839
to look at Michigan State is I absolutely love Tom Izzo. Okay,

683
00:33:13,039 --> 00:33:16,319
this is a guy that doesn't worry about what his

684
00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:20,279
record might be coming out of you know, the month

685
00:33:20,359 --> 00:33:24,480
of December. He schedules teams every year. He gets his

686
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:28,519
team to play tough games early because it always makes

687
00:33:28,559 --> 00:33:32,119
them a better team in conference play and when you

688
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,039
get to March Madness and you know, look at what

689
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:39,680
you know he did Michigan State in November and December

690
00:33:39,799 --> 00:33:45,599
this year. Their first nine games, they had games against Arkansas, Kentucky,

691
00:33:45,799 --> 00:33:50,720
North Carolina, and Duke. That's a murderer's row. And you

692
00:33:50,839 --> 00:33:54,319
got Kentucky, North Carolina and Duke. You know, blue bed

693
00:33:54,559 --> 00:33:58,599
blue bloods of college basketball. I mean, he doesn't shy

694
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,759
away from anything. It does make his teams tougher. So

695
00:34:02,079 --> 00:34:04,759
looking at Michigan and all, you know, the wins and

696
00:34:04,839 --> 00:34:06,640
no covers, I'm saying, you know what, I'm gonna land

697
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:10,880
on Michigan State here, But when you actually look at it,

698
00:34:11,199 --> 00:34:13,719
and then I went back and looked at stats and

699
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:18,360
going back to last year, this Michigan team when they

700
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:22,880
play a game on the road and the line is

701
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:26,159
between the threes plus three to minus three, so you're

702
00:34:26,199 --> 00:34:30,199
talking about a coin flip game. They're ten and one

703
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,920
against the spread. In those games, they get the job done.

704
00:34:34,119 --> 00:34:36,440
I'm gonna go ahead and go with them, even though

705
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:41,280
Michigan State, you know, has the pedigree to get this

706
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:44,239
game won, and they're coming off a scare in their

707
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:46,960
last game. Obviously they were looking ahead to this game.

708
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:50,760
But I'm going to ride the high of Michigan getting

709
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:52,320
through that Nebraska game.

710
00:34:52,679 --> 00:34:53,599
Speaker 2: That was a big game.

711
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:55,760
Speaker 6: They got the win, they found a way to win it,

712
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,079
and they're gonna take the momentum out on the road.

713
00:34:59,079 --> 00:35:03,519
Both teams play tenacious defense. Should be a fun game

714
00:35:03,559 --> 00:35:05,960
to watch on a Friday night. But I'm gonna go

715
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:07,599
ahead and take Michigan in this one.

716
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:12,880
Speaker 1: All Right, we almost had a tenacious D reference there, Dan, I.

717
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:15,320
Speaker 2: Would have loved it. You know, I was ready. I

718
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:17,400
was ready. I was hoping for it. I was hoping

719
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:17,639
for it.

720
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:22,440
Speaker 1: Marco, what's your take on the Super Bowl? We heard

721
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:26,960
Teddy's historical you know things. Hey, you know, favorites just

722
00:35:27,039 --> 00:35:30,360
not the way to go historically. Then we have some

723
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:32,159
comments I go. You got to throw all those out

724
00:35:32,159 --> 00:35:33,880
the window and just look at this year right now,

725
00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:36,360
it's minus four and a half total forty five and

726
00:35:36,400 --> 00:35:38,480
a half. You're looking at props, you're looking at side,

727
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:40,519
you're looking at total. What intrigues you about this game?

728
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:44,360
Speaker 6: Well, my first take, I'm gonna give you, guys here

729
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:47,400
on the show, we can advance the man to give

730
00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:50,119
you a first a total of first half wager and

731
00:35:50,159 --> 00:35:53,920
I'll explain why. But talking about the historical stuff with

732
00:35:54,039 --> 00:35:57,719
Teddy and yeah, you know, the recency bias has been,

733
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:01,400
the dogs have been, you know, the way to look.

734
00:36:02,079 --> 00:36:04,719
But when I talk about historical stuff and I look

735
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:07,280
at things, one thing I remember, guys, and this game

736
00:36:07,519 --> 00:36:09,920
does remind me a lot of it. Now, I'm not

737
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:13,039
saying that's where I'm gonna land, but I'm saying, as

738
00:36:13,079 --> 00:36:15,480
soon as I saw this game, soon as I saw

739
00:36:15,559 --> 00:36:19,440
the line, it reminded me of a different super Bowl.

740
00:36:20,119 --> 00:36:22,719
And it was a super Bowl that you know, and

741
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:24,599
I don't even remember what year it was now, but

742
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:29,239
it was way back there. Dan Marino goes to the

743
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:34,480
Super Bowl in his second year in the NFL, plays

744
00:36:34,519 --> 00:36:38,559
the San Francisco forty nine ers and absolutely gets annihilated.

745
00:36:39,079 --> 00:36:41,440
I was on the forty nine ers in that game

746
00:36:42,159 --> 00:36:46,400
personally that it was at the time and still is

747
00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:50,199
one of the biggest wagers I've ever made on a

748
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:54,199
Super Bowl And it was because that second year quarterback

749
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:57,119
going Now a little bit different with the forty nine ers,

750
00:36:57,159 --> 00:36:59,360
because we know the forty nine ers, you know, had

751
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:02,679
their stretch of the dynasty in that offense was prolific,

752
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:06,039
you know, and you're you're dealing with you know, you

753
00:37:06,079 --> 00:37:08,960
had on those teams, you had Montana and Steve Young,

754
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:12,840
you know, quarterbacks that were tested. Here you've got two

755
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:15,559
quarterbacks that have never been to the Super Bowl. You

756
00:37:15,559 --> 00:37:18,000
you know, got one that's you know, definitely a veteran.

757
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:20,280
But boy, you want to talk about a veteran that's

758
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:23,320
carrying a lot of baggage with him, you know, did

759
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:25,119
he finally get rid of all those ghosts?

760
00:37:25,119 --> 00:37:26,119
Speaker 2: Probably? Uh?

761
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:28,400
Speaker 6: And I'm happy for him. What a story it's been

762
00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:32,119
for Sam Darnold. He's the winningest quarterback in the NFL

763
00:37:32,199 --> 00:37:35,480
the last two seasons, but the only thing people wanted

764
00:37:35,519 --> 00:37:38,519
to talk about was the last two games of last season,

765
00:37:38,559 --> 00:37:41,159
and he had to carry that all season long. And

766
00:37:41,199 --> 00:37:43,199
here he is in a super Bowl. So kudos to

767
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:47,079
him and Drake may Hey, what a year he's had,

768
00:37:47,159 --> 00:37:51,559
you know, probably the MVP or runner up, which way

769
00:37:51,599 --> 00:37:55,159
they voted. Great year for him, But can he deliver

770
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,559
in the Super Bowl. And That's where I'm going to

771
00:37:57,599 --> 00:38:00,880
segue into why I'm looking at the play I'm looking

772
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:04,920
at for the first half. Wager starts to Super Bowls

773
00:38:05,039 --> 00:38:08,559
are usually slow, and the reason for that is nobody

774
00:38:08,559 --> 00:38:11,639
wants to make that first mistake. Okay, It's almost like

775
00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:14,280
I like to refer to it whenever you get a

776
00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:17,880
big heavyweight boxing match. Okay, the guys don't come out,

777
00:38:18,039 --> 00:38:21,039
just fire and you know, throwing haymakers right in the

778
00:38:21,079 --> 00:38:24,039
first round. You know, they're throwing those jabs, they're filling

779
00:38:24,039 --> 00:38:26,920
each other out. That's what you get in the Super Bowl.

780
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:31,320
And I think more so than ever this year because

781
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:34,039
of the two quarterbacks that are in it. You've got

782
00:38:34,159 --> 00:38:37,079
you know, Drake made, like I said, a second year quarterback.

783
00:38:37,119 --> 00:38:39,639
And remember he's a second year quarterback, but he didn't

784
00:38:39,679 --> 00:38:42,400
start all of the games last year. They brought him

785
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,239
in you know during the season when things you know,

786
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,840
were going bad for New England. They finally made the switch.

787
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,119
So you know, this is a guy with not a

788
00:38:50,119 --> 00:38:52,480
lot of experience, but it's played well. I'm not taking

789
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,079
anything away from them. And then you've got you know,

790
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:59,519
Sam Darnold that still has that mystique of seeing ghosts

791
00:38:59,519 --> 00:39:02,719
and so far, and they're gonna be conservative with him.

792
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:06,960
We know the history also of the Super Bowls. How

793
00:39:07,199 --> 00:39:09,119
you know one of the player or one of the

794
00:39:09,119 --> 00:39:12,639
props that's always very popular every year is will there

795
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:15,039
be a score in the first six minutes and thirty

796
00:39:15,079 --> 00:39:19,880
seconds And the no has been you know, the side

797
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,400
that gets the money the majority of the time on

798
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:26,599
that particular prop. Just for what I just said, then

799
00:39:26,679 --> 00:39:31,360
throw in we've got two good defenses. You're looking at Seattle,

800
00:39:31,559 --> 00:39:35,119
who's the number one team defensively in points allowed, New

801
00:39:35,119 --> 00:39:39,960
England's number five, yards per play allowed, Seattle's number two,

802
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:46,400
New England's number seven, yards per rushing attempt. You've got

803
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:51,119
Seattle defensively number one, New England number ten. And add

804
00:39:51,119 --> 00:39:55,039
in yards per past play attempt, you've got Seattle number

805
00:39:55,119 --> 00:39:58,559
three in New England number four. So all of that

806
00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:01,559
tells me I'm gonna be looking at a lower scoring

807
00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:04,840
first half. And when you look at New England, and

808
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:08,440
I know everybody's talked about their schedule, and at this

809
00:40:08,559 --> 00:40:10,960
time of the year, we don't care about you know,

810
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,639
who you beat, you're here, okay, So apparently you beat

811
00:40:14,679 --> 00:40:17,199
some teams at the end that were pretty good. But

812
00:40:17,519 --> 00:40:20,639
you know, the first half the scorers in the three

813
00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:24,360
games that New England played. The Charger game, it was

814
00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:27,840
six to three at halftime, the New England Houston game

815
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:30,199
they got to thirty one. It was twenty one to ten,

816
00:40:30,599 --> 00:40:33,239
but there was a pick six in that game in

817
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,920
the second quarter, and CJ. Stroud kept setting them up

818
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:40,360
on short fields. Five turnovers in that game. Horrible game

819
00:40:40,400 --> 00:40:40,840
by c. J.

820
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 2: Stroud.

821
00:40:41,559 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 6: And then last week at halftime it was seven to seven.

822
00:40:44,199 --> 00:40:47,360
And remember the weather was good for most of the

823
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:49,840
first half, so don't throw The weather was a factor

824
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:53,719
in that one. So I'm gonna give you under in

825
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:56,840
the first half for my play, my early play for

826
00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:59,039
the Super Bowl under first half wager.

827
00:41:00,199 --> 00:41:04,320
Speaker 1: All right, Marco going under the total in the first half.

828
00:41:04,599 --> 00:41:06,920
Nice work work, go guys.

829
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:10,159
Speaker 6: An interesting thing on the money line when you're talking,

830
00:41:10,199 --> 00:41:12,039
I know Teddy talked about the money line in the

831
00:41:12,079 --> 00:41:15,239
Super Bowl. If you shop around in Vegas right now,

832
00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:19,400
you're gonna see that money line is all over the place.

833
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:23,360
You're gonna see it as low as Seattle minus two

834
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:26,960
twenty and as high as Seattle minus to forty two

835
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:31,239
sirca is the lowest in town on the money line.

836
00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:33,840
If if you want to bet Seattle on A couple

837
00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:39,159
of reasons it started out with them is they're on

838
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:45,320
the hook for a three hundred and ten k payout

839
00:41:45,639 --> 00:41:49,920
on a one hundred dollars wager they have. They call

840
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:52,320
them super Bowl exact as, and you could have played

841
00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:56,239
these way back when, and you have to pick the

842
00:41:56,320 --> 00:42:00,000
exact two teams to get to the Super Bowl and

843
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:04,000
the winner of that said Super Bowl, and somebody has

844
00:42:04,119 --> 00:42:08,239
New England beating Seattle in the Super Bowl. They put

845
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:11,519
one hundred dollars wager in. That's a three hundred and

846
00:42:11,599 --> 00:42:16,599
ten thousand dollars payoff. That's a pretty nifty score for

847
00:42:16,679 --> 00:42:19,559
somebody if they get it. I hope to god they're

848
00:42:19,559 --> 00:42:21,599
doing some edging.

849
00:42:21,519 --> 00:42:22,920
Speaker 2: On that bet.

850
00:42:23,039 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 6: But that's one of the reasons why they started out lower.

851
00:42:26,519 --> 00:42:29,880
And then they also took a one point one million

852
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:33,239
dollar bet on New England at plus one eighty eight,

853
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:37,159
which will bring back two point one so different houses

854
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:40,199
are going to end up having different numbers trying to

855
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:44,599
entice money for where they need help at and Circa

856
00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:47,599
is definitely going to need some Seattle money come their way.

857
00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:50,320
So if you want to bet the Seattle money line,

858
00:42:50,519 --> 00:42:52,719
that's the place to look at it. And Andy, I

859
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:56,199
know you're familiar with this with big heavyweight fights. The

860
00:42:56,280 --> 00:43:02,079
Super Bowl money line propositions generally create value on the

861
00:43:02,159 --> 00:43:05,639
favorite because people treat the game that are newbies come

862
00:43:05,679 --> 00:43:07,360
to Vegas when you have a lot of them come

863
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:10,039
for Super Bowl Week, they want to bet the game.

864
00:43:10,079 --> 00:43:12,000
And when they go to the window and they go,

865
00:43:12,039 --> 00:43:13,440
what can I win for one hundred dollars?

866
00:43:13,480 --> 00:43:13,639
Speaker 2: You know?

867
00:43:13,639 --> 00:43:15,280
Speaker 6: When I like bet and they find out, you know,

868
00:43:15,599 --> 00:43:17,159
they bet one hundred and ten and they can only

869
00:43:17,159 --> 00:43:19,239
win one hundred, They're not really thrilled about that. They

870
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:21,679
want to make more money, so they take the money

871
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:25,079
line dog. It's the same way as they do with boxing.

872
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:28,440
They'll take the dog, They'll bet the dog, and then

873
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:32,039
you always see the sharp betters come in right before

874
00:43:32,079 --> 00:43:35,519
a fight goes off and grab that reduced favorite at

875
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:37,239
a better money line price.

876
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:42,599
Speaker 1: Wow, some one hundred dollars to win three hundred grand

877
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:47,039
must be nice out there. Wow. I mean that's a yeah.

878
00:43:47,079 --> 00:43:49,519
I mean you go lay one hundred and fifty grand

879
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:51,920
on the other side, or so you do something to

880
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:56,320
guarantee yourself a six figure payout, that's a I mean

881
00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:59,320
let it ride or superhedge. It's a superhedge. It's not

882
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:02,960
even it destrives me nuts to Marco like when you

883
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,159
when you have a big future ticket like that, you

884
00:44:05,199 --> 00:44:07,519
have you have a future ticket like that, my opinion,

885
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:10,519
not for the big win, but for hedging opportunity to

886
00:44:10,599 --> 00:44:14,360
guarantee profit. That's why you take absolutely tickets like that.

887
00:44:14,440 --> 00:44:16,760
It's you're not taking a hundred dollars to hope to

888
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:19,079
win for you take one hundred dollars to hope to

889
00:44:19,119 --> 00:44:22,480
put yourself in this position to guarantee a six figure

890
00:44:22,519 --> 00:44:24,119
pay I that just drive me.

891
00:44:24,119 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 6: Dan those we have this conversation on bet on it

892
00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:29,039
all the time, and I'm gonna I'm gonna answer the

893
00:44:29,079 --> 00:44:32,320
same way. Every time you can lock in a profit,

894
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:35,800
you walk in a profit, You've got to take some

895
00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:38,159
That's the whole thing. And I know a lot of

896
00:44:38,199 --> 00:44:41,039
people say that you know why you're giving up value?

897
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:43,400
You know, when you've got a good number, you know,

898
00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:48,000
and such, that's not it. I want to guarantee winners.

899
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:51,559
If we can guarantee profits, you want to guarantee Now

900
00:44:51,599 --> 00:44:53,760
I'm not saying, you know, if you really have a

901
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:57,800
strong opinion on that side, yeah, sway it that way.

902
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:00,760
But make sure that you're not gonna lose money on this.

903
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:02,719
And in this case, he's only going to lose one

904
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:07,840
hundred dollars. I get that, but still, my god, that's what.

905
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:08,239
That's what.

906
00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:11,360
Speaker 2: Even if you lose okay, just one hundred dollars, it

907
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:14,880
feels like you just lost you know, six figures, you

908
00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:16,760
know what I mean, because because you can taste it,

909
00:45:16,960 --> 00:45:19,559
and that's the thing that blows my mind. Mark, and

910
00:45:19,599 --> 00:45:21,880
you're it all the time, you know, with talking heads

911
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:25,280
and things like that, of value this value that. Guess

912
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:28,360
what if that side that you're way over exposed on loses,

913
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:32,400
your value is this it's zero, It's not a it's zilch.

914
00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:35,119
So the whole like I get it, Like it's fun

915
00:45:35,159 --> 00:45:37,159
to be like, oh, you know, hedging is for gardeners,

916
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:40,079
but like, if you're in this to make money, and

917
00:45:40,119 --> 00:45:43,119
you are in an advantageous position, you likely have the

918
00:45:43,159 --> 00:45:46,280
bank role that allows you to then lock in a

919
00:45:46,679 --> 00:45:49,280
profitable position, kick your feet up, play some Super Bowl

920
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:53,159
squares have fun otherwise than where you could potentially fumble

921
00:45:53,199 --> 00:45:55,440
a bag of a six figure beat market. It just

922
00:45:55,519 --> 00:45:56,400
it blows my mind.

923
00:45:56,440 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 1: Man, wild Wild, All right, Marco, tell him what you

924
00:46:00,039 --> 00:46:01,800
have a for wager talking, then see if you have

925
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:02,559
a sauce of the week.

926
00:46:03,400 --> 00:46:05,159
Speaker 6: We have the sauce of the week. It's gonna be

927
00:46:05,199 --> 00:46:06,320
another Marco rant.

928
00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:07,159
Speaker 2: We'll get to that.

929
00:46:09,559 --> 00:46:10,920
Speaker 6: The this week.

930
00:46:11,199 --> 00:46:11,480
Speaker 2: Guys.

931
00:46:11,519 --> 00:46:14,880
Speaker 6: We've got that still that seven days for the price

932
00:46:15,119 --> 00:46:17,920
of three. Take advantage of it. Hey, guys, full disclosure.

933
00:46:18,199 --> 00:46:19,760
I come on here every week. I tell you what

934
00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:22,719
my five percent record is and how good we've been doing.

935
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:24,719
I lost one last night and it was a tough

936
00:46:24,760 --> 00:46:28,719
one to swallow. We had Hawaii, they were plus two,

937
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:31,239
closed at two and a half. We had it at

938
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:34,960
plus two. They go to overtime and lose in overtime.

939
00:46:35,039 --> 00:46:37,519
And you know what, you know, I love the comments.

940
00:46:37,519 --> 00:46:40,039
It's sample size of one. That's all that matters. If

941
00:46:40,079 --> 00:46:42,639
you bought yesterday. I lost, But you know some of

942
00:46:42,679 --> 00:46:47,280
the comments. I love it when you guys charp on

943
00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:49,679
social media and that and that I'm an idiot. And

944
00:46:49,719 --> 00:46:52,960
so forth, that I had a dog go to overtime,

945
00:46:53,079 --> 00:46:56,280
the game ended in a time. Okay, I don't think

946
00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:58,960
I was that far off base, guys. You know, and

947
00:46:59,079 --> 00:47:02,119
somebody goes, don't you know that Hawaii hasn't won in

948
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:06,599
caol ourvives since twenty eighteen? How many of those kids

949
00:47:06,639 --> 00:47:08,679
are on this team? Could you please tell.

950
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,159
Speaker 2: Me that it's funny?

951
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:11,599
Speaker 4: Yeah?

952
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:15,119
Speaker 6: Okay, so that's how we're handicapping. But yeah, I lost

953
00:47:15,119 --> 00:47:16,239
a five percent last night.

954
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:16,519
Speaker 1: Guys.

955
00:47:16,519 --> 00:47:20,039
Speaker 6: So we're forty one and twenty one the last two

956
00:47:20,079 --> 00:47:22,880
years with five percent plays. I will take that every

957
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:26,199
single day of the week, but one game sample size,

958
00:47:26,199 --> 00:47:29,440
we're zero to one last night. So that's how we're doing.

959
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:31,199
But I would tell you a good time to jump

960
00:47:31,280 --> 00:47:35,000
on seven days for the price of three. And don't

961
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:39,920
forget Marco's Deli. I will be taping it immediately following

962
00:47:39,920 --> 00:47:43,800
this and it will be released later today. We're gonna

963
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:47,800
have five plays on the Deli. The Delhi college basketball addition,

964
00:47:48,199 --> 00:47:51,960
hitting sixty percent through three weeks of the Deli, so

965
00:47:52,039 --> 00:47:55,360
be sure to check out five more college basketball winners

966
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:58,360
for Saturday, all for free. That'll be up on the

967
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:01,440
Wager Talk YouTube channel later today.

968
00:48:03,199 --> 00:48:05,400
Speaker 1: All right, Marco, I'm in the mood for some wings.

969
00:48:05,599 --> 00:48:06,800
What's awesome the mood?

970
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:10,920
Speaker 6: Well, you know, this has been a year, guys, where

971
00:48:11,639 --> 00:48:18,400
we've seen more coaches go on fourth down than ever before. Okay,

972
00:48:18,599 --> 00:48:22,079
because everybody, all the math geeks with their little cards

973
00:48:22,119 --> 00:48:25,719
and charts and everything, the numbers tell us that we

974
00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:29,199
should do it. And it absolutely drives me nuts. And

975
00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:32,599
I'm gonna tell you what, And I'm gonna probably analienate,

976
00:48:32,920 --> 00:48:36,400
you know, two fan bases. And I've already analienated enough

977
00:48:36,440 --> 00:48:39,039
fan bases this year, so what's two more? But you

978
00:48:39,119 --> 00:48:42,440
know what, if you're a fan base of the Rams

979
00:48:43,440 --> 00:48:47,239
or the Broncos, you got what you deserve. Because Sean

980
00:48:47,320 --> 00:48:53,000
McVay and Sean Payton both did idiotic decisions during this

981
00:48:53,119 --> 00:48:58,320
game on fourth downs to cost both teams what I feel,

982
00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:02,639
their opportunity to win the foot Let's start with Sean Payton.

983
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:08,199
You're up seven to nothing, it's fourth and one. I

984
00:49:08,519 --> 00:49:12,000
get it. It's fourth and one. The metrics say that's

985
00:49:12,039 --> 00:49:16,840
a high percentage, go for it. Okay, accept And this

986
00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:21,079
is what drives me nuts. Nobody considers the metrics and

987
00:49:21,119 --> 00:49:23,199
the numbers, guys, and This is where I have my

988
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:26,079
debate all the time with numbers. Guys that tell me

989
00:49:26,119 --> 00:49:28,400
I'm an idiot for my style of handicapping, because I

990
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:32,239
look at situations and things that aren't factored into the

991
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:35,320
line in the numbers. You know where a team, you

992
00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:38,159
know where they're at, who they played last, who they

993
00:49:38,159 --> 00:49:41,760
play next, whatever, that's not factored into the line. Okay,

994
00:49:42,760 --> 00:49:46,320
that fourth and one chart doesn't factor in the fact

995
00:49:46,679 --> 00:49:50,920
that you're playing with a second string quarterback that is

996
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:54,360
making his first start in over two years, hasn't thrown

997
00:49:54,400 --> 00:49:55,719
a meaningful pass.

998
00:49:55,599 --> 00:49:57,039
Speaker 3: In over two years.

999
00:49:57,840 --> 00:50:00,960
Speaker 6: You're at home, you have the optionpportunity to go up

1000
00:50:01,039 --> 00:50:05,679
ten to nothing, making it a two score game. Your

1001
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:10,679
defense hadn't given up anything to that point, almost to

1002
00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:14,880
the midway point of the second quarter. Why in God's

1003
00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:18,159
name would you take a chance of giving the other

1004
00:50:18,239 --> 00:50:21,960
team momentum by having them stop you on fourth down.

1005
00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:27,039
Not to mention, the play that you called was an

1006
00:50:27,079 --> 00:50:31,519
idiotic play, slow developing play. You know you need a

1007
00:50:31,599 --> 00:50:36,119
quick developing play. You only need one yard and let's

1008
00:50:36,119 --> 00:50:40,320
throw in the last factor. You know what the weather

1009
00:50:40,559 --> 00:50:44,159
was gonna turn to put the points on the board.

1010
00:50:44,519 --> 00:50:47,559
You know when that weather comes in, it's gonna make

1011
00:50:47,679 --> 00:50:52,639
scoring tougher. Take the ten points, keep the momentum, and

1012
00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:58,199
play defense and force a second year quarterback to have

1013
00:50:58,280 --> 00:51:00,960
to come from behind on the road who had done

1014
00:51:01,039 --> 00:51:06,000
absolutely nothing. That's Sean Payton. Now let me get to

1015
00:51:06,039 --> 00:51:10,840
Sean McVay. Fourth and four with four point fifty nine

1016
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:14,320
left in the game. It's fourth and four. I get it,

1017
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:16,880
you're at the six yard line. I get it that

1018
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:21,159
you're down four points. But if you kick the field

1019
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:23,760
goal fourth and four, I don't care what chart you have.

1020
00:51:24,079 --> 00:51:27,400
That's not a high percentage play, and you're going against,

1021
00:51:27,960 --> 00:51:31,119
if not the best defense, the second best defense in

1022
00:51:31,159 --> 00:51:34,360
the NFL. You kick the field goal and make it

1023
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:38,599
a one point game. There's still gonna be just under

1024
00:51:38,639 --> 00:51:41,440
five minutes left in the game. If you make a

1025
00:51:41,480 --> 00:51:44,840
stop and get the ball back, you only need a

1026
00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:48,679
field goal to win the game. Let's play worst case scenario.

1027
00:51:49,599 --> 00:51:54,159
If you give up a touchdown, what's it make the score?

1028
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:59,480
You're gonna be down eight, You're still one possession game,

1029
00:52:00,119 --> 00:52:02,920
score a touchdown and a two point conversion and go

1030
00:52:02,960 --> 00:52:07,119
to overtime. Why would you not give your team the

1031
00:52:07,159 --> 00:52:11,199
best chance to win that game? Not only if you

1032
00:52:11,320 --> 00:52:13,840
cut it to one and then a field goal can

1033
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:17,199
win it, but whenever you kick off to Seattle, now

1034
00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:20,960
Seattle's clinging to a one point lead, it's a lot

1035
00:52:21,039 --> 00:52:26,000
more pressure on the offense to deliver being up one

1036
00:52:26,039 --> 00:52:29,719
than being up four. So you two guys, you deserve

1037
00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:33,360
what you got. And it's poetic justice that all the

1038
00:52:33,400 --> 00:52:36,559
guys that went for fourth downs all year long wanna

1039
00:52:36,639 --> 00:52:40,239
be in, you know, the cool group. You are sitting

1040
00:52:40,320 --> 00:52:43,159
at home. Both teams lost that way. So I'm gonna

1041
00:52:43,199 --> 00:52:44,840
give you the sauce of the week, give you the

1042
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:48,880
cool sauce. You get a mango have the narrow. Okay,

1043
00:52:48,920 --> 00:52:51,679
that's what you get this week. Okay, because you're gonna

1044
00:52:51,719 --> 00:52:54,719
never see this guy order and mango have the narrow,

1045
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:58,320
all right, So enjoy it, guys.

1046
00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:04,119
Speaker 1: Enjoy it in the offseason. Thanks Marco, Thanks Marco, appreciate you, buddy.

1047
00:53:04,159 --> 00:53:04,519
Speaker 3: Good luck.

1048
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:07,599
Speaker 2: I have a good one, guys, it's well done. Yeah,

1049
00:53:07,639 --> 00:53:10,880
that reminds me. I don't know if you're a Scrubs fan,

1050
00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:12,679
but there was a line where he was like, I'm

1051
00:53:12,679 --> 00:53:15,079
gonna goe you a scooter and he's like why, He's like,

1052
00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:17,039
because it's sure for Scooter Pie. He's like, what do

1053
00:53:17,039 --> 00:53:19,199
you mean it's He goes, I hate Scooter Pie. So

1054
00:53:19,239 --> 00:53:21,679
that's how you arrived at the Mango Hobbinieri. He goes,

1055
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:22,880
I'm gonna call Mango Hobbiero.

1056
00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:23,199
Speaker 3: Why is that?

1057
00:53:23,199 --> 00:53:24,039
Speaker 2: Because I hate Mango.

1058
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:29,760
Speaker 1: I hate Mango the h So last time I had wings,

1059
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,679
I I dropped one on the floor. That was that's

1060
00:53:32,719 --> 00:53:33,320
the the pump.

1061
00:53:35,320 --> 00:53:40,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, that's that's the that's the rams on the ground.

1062
00:53:41,039 --> 00:53:42,480
Speaker 1: All right, we got a lot to get to here.

1063
00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:44,639
To close out the show, Let's do w T F

1064
00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:48,639
l F G. And Dan's going to lacrosse and I

1065
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:51,280
specifically asked him to do this because there's an angle

1066
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:54,559
uh in here that Dan has no idea about. So

1067
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:58,000
what's the lacrosse play? And and why why why are

1068
00:53:58,000 --> 00:53:58,960
we talking about this one?

1069
00:53:59,119 --> 00:54:01,960
Speaker 2: First things first, and you know the college across his back,

1070
00:54:02,079 --> 00:54:05,199
because on my phone, I'm currently watching a live stream

1071
00:54:05,639 --> 00:54:08,639
of an indoor lacrosse game. The game got named on

1072
00:54:08,719 --> 00:54:11,519
Thursday that it was getting moved indoors and then they

1073
00:54:11,559 --> 00:54:14,599
said no public's allowed, no media. So we actually have

1074
00:54:14,679 --> 00:54:16,719
someone at the game who is live streaming the game.

1075
00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:21,079
So that is the place that we start at but Andy,

1076
00:54:21,639 --> 00:54:24,000
let's get a win here. First lacrosse play of the

1077
00:54:24,079 --> 00:54:26,800
year for you guys. It's kicking off this weekend, and

1078
00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:28,960
we are taking a dog that I believe we got

1079
00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:34,440
a live dog. Boston University getting six points against Syracuse

1080
00:54:34,760 --> 00:54:36,920
shop around, this is five and a half. It's six

1081
00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:39,480
out there. I'm fine with with five and a half

1082
00:54:39,519 --> 00:54:41,119
because I think we got a live dog, But if

1083
00:54:41,119 --> 00:54:43,159
you can find the six, get it. This is the

1084
00:54:43,199 --> 00:54:46,079
first time these teams have ever played. Syracuse also is

1085
00:54:46,119 --> 00:54:48,800
going to have to kick off this season without one of,

1086
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:52,079
if not their best player. Trey Deer was in a

1087
00:54:52,159 --> 00:54:56,119
car accident this off season, so he's likely going to

1088
00:54:56,159 --> 00:54:58,960
be out the entire season. The distractions that come with

1089
00:54:59,119 --> 00:55:01,679
that alone is the reason why we were looking to

1090
00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:04,639
fade Q's heading into the year. And this Boston team

1091
00:55:04,719 --> 00:55:07,559
just doesn't get blown out no matter who the competition is.

1092
00:55:07,599 --> 00:55:10,639
If you're going back to twenty twenty fours the last

1093
00:55:10,679 --> 00:55:14,440
two seasons, this team has never lost by more than

1094
00:55:14,519 --> 00:55:18,079
six goals in all but three games. So they're thirty

1095
00:55:18,239 --> 00:55:21,599
and three. If you gave them six points in every game,

1096
00:55:21,719 --> 00:55:24,519
you know, not worry about what the factor is. They

1097
00:55:24,639 --> 00:55:27,559
continue to cover even against top flight competition. And this

1098
00:55:27,639 --> 00:55:30,440
is also the first time that Syrahcuse is actually going

1099
00:55:30,519 --> 00:55:34,159
to open the season against good ranked opponent. Boston's currently

1100
00:55:34,199 --> 00:55:37,159
ranked sixteen. They typically play Vermont in Week one and

1101
00:55:37,199 --> 00:55:40,440
they always beat up on Vermont. Q. Yes, they should

1102
00:55:40,480 --> 00:55:43,440
be the favorite at home, but this is scrappy Terrier

1103
00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:45,960
team that year in and year out, gives teams fits.

1104
00:55:46,000 --> 00:55:48,920
It's gonna be q's first game without Deer. I expect

1105
00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:51,239
be you to keep this close, maybe even pull the upset.

1106
00:55:51,280 --> 00:55:55,280
We're taking six points with the Boston Terriers against these

1107
00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:57,840
the Syracuse Orange Handy.

1108
00:55:59,159 --> 00:56:02,800
Speaker 1: Okay, here's why this is an LFG. Could be the

1109
00:56:03,000 --> 00:56:05,480
second play in less than a year where we have

1110
00:56:05,480 --> 00:56:07,079
a fade the car accident theory.

1111
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:09,719
Speaker 2: We love a fade the car accident theory as long

1112
00:56:09,719 --> 00:56:11,679
as everyone is okay obviously, yes.

1113
00:56:11,880 --> 00:56:14,360
Speaker 1: Yes, So Jared Gordon got hit by a car the

1114
00:56:14,440 --> 00:56:17,079
day before his fight and he decided to fight and

1115
00:56:17,119 --> 00:56:20,199
he got knocked out in the third round, easy cash.

1116
00:56:20,280 --> 00:56:22,559
So yes, first game of the season, we have a

1117
00:56:22,559 --> 00:56:25,039
car accident involved. It's faded the car accident. That's what

1118
00:56:25,119 --> 00:56:26,159
makes this an LFG.

1119
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:29,320
Speaker 2: And let's get season I love it here and and

1120
00:56:29,880 --> 00:56:31,639
we'll tell people too. I know we got a lot

1121
00:56:31,639 --> 00:56:33,280
to get here, Andy, so I'll keep it short, but

1122
00:56:33,320 --> 00:56:35,719
we have it two other plays that will be loaded

1123
00:56:35,760 --> 00:56:37,840
for clients of Andy. That's a client play right there,

1124
00:56:37,840 --> 00:56:39,840
and we have two other lacrosse plays for this weekend.

1125
00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:42,960
Wt Dot Buzz, Backslash al great time to buy that

1126
00:56:43,039 --> 00:56:45,440
seven day all access. Three days is what you pay for.

1127
00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:48,559
You get seven and three lacrosse plays come in your

1128
00:56:48,599 --> 00:56:50,280
way to kick off the weekend on top of all

1129
00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:51,519
the great stuff you got. Andy.

1130
00:56:52,280 --> 00:56:54,039
Speaker 1: All right, let's do it. Let's do all around the

1131
00:56:54,039 --> 00:56:56,840
world and then we'll talk rushing props for the Super Bowl.

1132
00:56:56,920 --> 00:57:01,239
Gets ready for the weekend. Uh, I'm all right. So

1133
00:57:02,079 --> 00:57:05,960
let's see here. We're gonna start with UFC. Someone was

1134
00:57:06,000 --> 00:57:08,599
asking about a parlay piece. Here's one for you, Talison

1135
00:57:08,639 --> 00:57:11,280
to share a round one Ko Talison to Shara just

1136
00:57:11,320 --> 00:57:13,199
doesn't get out of the first round, whether he wins

1137
00:57:13,280 --> 00:57:15,639
or loses. He's had one loss. It was his last fight.

1138
00:57:15,679 --> 00:57:17,960
He got knocked out in thirty five seconds. This guy's

1139
00:57:18,119 --> 00:57:20,559
a beast and he's fighting this guy. Dan ty to

1140
00:57:20,679 --> 00:57:24,719
Ivasa TI two. Avasa is his fan favorite in Australia,

1141
00:57:24,800 --> 00:57:26,960
except he's lost like five or six in a row

1142
00:57:27,079 --> 00:57:29,920
like way past this prime. He doesn't take it serious.

1143
00:57:29,960 --> 00:57:33,400
It has showed up to way ends looking like it

1144
00:57:33,440 --> 00:57:36,800
didn't look great. Let's just look Talison to Cher's got

1145
00:57:36,800 --> 00:57:40,280
a big reach advantage, a big height advantage to sher

1146
00:57:40,360 --> 00:57:42,679
A will knock this man out in the first round.

1147
00:57:42,719 --> 00:57:45,239
You can put this one in your parlays. Here's a

1148
00:57:45,280 --> 00:57:48,639
client play at plus two sixty Zion Williamson double double.

1149
00:57:49,480 --> 00:57:51,559
You guys have heard me talk about Zion's rebounding. I

1150
00:57:51,559 --> 00:57:53,599
don't know what's going on with the Pelicans. They have

1151
00:57:53,639 --> 00:57:56,480
a new rebounding style. Zion and Sadik Bay are the

1152
00:57:56,519 --> 00:58:00,000
ones getting the rebounds. Zion has gone from averaging five

1153
00:58:00,159 --> 00:58:02,400
six rebounds and then in his last three games he

1154
00:58:02,440 --> 00:58:05,760
has eleven, ten and eleven. His rebound number is seven

1155
00:58:05,800 --> 00:58:07,760
and a half. No, no, no, we're gonna take the

1156
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:10,840
double double him to get to ten rebounds and ten points.

1157
00:58:10,960 --> 00:58:13,159
He's he's gone over ten points and thirty one out

1158
00:58:13,199 --> 00:58:15,079
of thirty three games. So as all as he plays

1159
00:58:15,079 --> 00:58:18,000
the full minutes, he should get here. Grizzlies all banged up.

1160
00:58:18,920 --> 00:58:22,119
They're out Aldama, so they have limited guys in there.

1161
00:58:22,599 --> 00:58:25,320
Jared Jackson is gonna get big minutes. He's not a

1162
00:58:25,320 --> 00:58:27,800
good rebounder, so Zion plus two sixty two good to

1163
00:58:27,840 --> 00:58:30,800
pass up. And then Anthony Black over one and a

1164
00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:35,280
half made threes. We've bet on Anthony Black several times

1165
00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:37,599
this season and he's done pretty good. But he's on

1166
00:58:37,679 --> 00:58:40,880
fire from threes over in seven of his last eight games,

1167
00:58:40,920 --> 00:58:43,280
fifteen to five to the over his last twenty. What

1168
00:58:43,360 --> 00:58:47,000
I love is he's he's averaging six attempts per game.

1169
00:58:47,239 --> 00:58:49,639
Shooting percentage is a little spotty, but when you're getting

1170
00:58:49,719 --> 00:58:52,280
six attempts per game, we only need him to hit two.

1171
00:58:52,440 --> 00:58:54,280
We can catch that one. So to share around one

1172
00:58:54,360 --> 00:58:56,960
ko Zion double double, Anthony Black over one and a

1173
00:58:56,960 --> 00:58:58,760
half threes. That's your all around the world.

1174
00:58:59,480 --> 00:59:01,599
Speaker 2: Love it, Andy, Let's get it baby.

1175
00:59:02,199 --> 00:59:05,760
Speaker 1: All right? Uh now we're gonna go to the rushing props.

1176
00:59:07,679 --> 00:59:11,920
All right. Uh, there's one that jumps off the page

1177
00:59:11,920 --> 00:59:13,159
for me. Here, Dan, let me see if I can

1178
00:59:13,159 --> 00:59:17,559
make this a little bigger. I just don't see George

1179
00:59:17,639 --> 00:59:19,719
Hallani getting ten and a half rushing yards in a

1180
00:59:19,760 --> 00:59:20,840
Super Bowl lists.

1181
00:59:20,679 --> 00:59:23,320
Speaker 2: Where did that just be? Just because Sharbone is out

1182
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:25,440
we're gonna say, oh, the backup is gonna get care Like,

1183
00:59:25,599 --> 00:59:28,400
do people not realize when sharbone has been out year

1184
00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:31,400
over year, which happens, you know, once or twice this season,

1185
00:59:31,920 --> 00:59:35,000
it's been the Kenneth Walker show. And flip it the

1186
00:59:35,039 --> 00:59:37,880
other way when when Walker is out, which has happened

1187
00:59:37,920 --> 00:59:41,719
several times as well, it's been the Sharbonay show. Halani,

1188
00:59:42,280 --> 00:59:45,960
we're really thinking this guy's gonna get enough attempts to Okay,

1189
00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:48,679
you could rip off a ten yard rush against the

1190
00:59:48,679 --> 00:59:51,960
Patriots rush defense. I don't get this one at all, Andy.

1191
00:59:52,400 --> 00:59:55,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I will. I will gladly take Hallani to he

1192
00:59:55,840 --> 00:59:58,280
maybe comes in for a spell. But in order for

1193
00:59:58,360 --> 00:59:59,960
him to get over this one, I think it needs

1194
01:00:00,119 --> 01:00:02,400
be a blowout late in the in the fourth for

1195
01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:04,320
him to come in. And even then, I'm just not

1196
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:07,000
sure you're gonna put your faith in George Hallani. So

1197
01:00:07,079 --> 01:00:10,280
I will take the the I will take the under

1198
01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:13,360
in that one. Other than that, anything jump out of you.

1199
01:00:14,119 --> 01:00:17,519
Speaker 2: So I alluded to it yesterday Andy, and and I

1200
01:00:17,559 --> 01:00:20,239
didn't fully give it out since we were talking receiving props,

1201
01:00:20,280 --> 01:00:22,440
but I was taking a look at Rashid Shihied to

1202
01:00:22,480 --> 01:00:25,719
have over five rush yards. This is currently minus one

1203
01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:27,559
p fifteen and this is a number that I think

1204
01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:31,840
comes next Sunday won't be as available. You'll probably be

1205
01:00:31,840 --> 01:00:33,599
looking more at like a six and a half or

1206
01:00:33,599 --> 01:00:37,280
a seven. The thing is is since he joined the

1207
01:00:37,280 --> 01:00:40,800
Seattle Seahawks, he's had at least wash one rush attempt

1208
01:00:40,880 --> 01:00:43,920
Andy in eight of their eleven games. And it's just

1209
01:00:44,119 --> 01:00:46,519
what attempts will this guy have? You and I talked

1210
01:00:46,519 --> 01:00:48,679
about it yesterday about you know, taking him for a

1211
01:00:48,679 --> 01:00:51,119
long ball and taping him volume, all all these other

1212
01:00:51,159 --> 01:00:54,039
things he has used in the rush game simply because

1213
01:00:54,039 --> 01:00:55,639
they want to give him an end round, get him

1214
01:00:55,679 --> 01:00:57,920
in space and just see what happens. They'll at least

1215
01:00:57,960 --> 01:01:00,440
try it once in the game. Sure, the Patriots maybe

1216
01:01:00,719 --> 01:01:03,039
ready for it, But in any game that he has

1217
01:01:03,079 --> 01:01:06,199
had two or more rush attempts Andy twenty or more

1218
01:01:06,280 --> 01:01:08,519
rush yards in both of those. So I just think

1219
01:01:08,840 --> 01:01:10,719
in the big game, it's the same reason why we

1220
01:01:10,800 --> 01:01:13,119
don't like Halani. It's like, go to the players that

1221
01:01:13,199 --> 01:01:15,800
got you here, and Shaheed since that trade has been

1222
01:01:15,840 --> 01:01:18,159
a big boon for this offense, and not only in

1223
01:01:18,159 --> 01:01:20,239
the downfield game. It's what he allowed us with the

1224
01:01:20,280 --> 01:01:22,639
ball in his hand, So five or more rush yards

1225
01:01:22,639 --> 01:01:26,519
minus one fifteen Rahid Shaheed A bet that I've already

1226
01:01:26,519 --> 01:01:28,159
played Andy, because I don't think the number is going

1227
01:01:28,239 --> 01:01:28,639
to be there.

1228
01:01:29,239 --> 01:01:37,480
Speaker 1: Oh okay, Sam Darnold rush attempts numbers tell you he's

1229
01:01:37,480 --> 01:01:40,639
gotten over Neil downs count and a half end of game.

1230
01:01:41,360 --> 01:01:44,400
Anytime it's under three, you kind of have my attention.

1231
01:01:45,239 --> 01:01:46,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know even money.

1232
01:01:47,760 --> 01:01:50,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I kind of like this one. So his

1233
01:01:50,880 --> 01:01:54,239
rushing yards are six and a half, I would just

1234
01:01:54,280 --> 01:01:55,679
go at the attempts get in.

1235
01:01:55,800 --> 01:01:58,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you go. I think you go attempts

1236
01:01:58,159 --> 01:02:01,280
Andy Cuz let's say, you know, end of the first half,

1237
01:02:01,360 --> 01:02:03,400
even and they just want to get to the locker room.

1238
01:02:03,400 --> 01:02:05,639
He kneels the ball down. Boom, there's a rush attempt

1239
01:02:05,719 --> 01:02:08,679
right there. If Seattle is you know, everybody's betting this game,

1240
01:02:08,679 --> 01:02:10,719
like they already know how it's ended, and everyone's betting

1241
01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:13,199
Seattle and laying with Seattle. So if Seattle really is

1242
01:02:13,239 --> 01:02:15,599
gonna win by you know, ten points, win by margin,

1243
01:02:15,920 --> 01:02:18,480
figures that Sam Darnald is likely gonna get you know,

1244
01:02:18,519 --> 01:02:20,360
a Neil. And you add that on top of the

1245
01:02:20,360 --> 01:02:25,360
fact that he's a guy who I feel like wrongly

1246
01:02:25,480 --> 01:02:29,880
people think of of of Donald. Excuse me, I was

1247
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:33,079
saying Stafford there, I meant Donald. Obviously they think of

1248
01:02:33,199 --> 01:02:36,719
Donald as this like statue esque quarterback, and he actually

1249
01:02:36,840 --> 01:02:39,119
has a little bit of movement to his game. He's

1250
01:02:39,159 --> 01:02:42,320
not just a pocket passer that I think people just

1251
01:02:42,480 --> 01:02:45,679
categorically label him as. So I like that one quite

1252
01:02:45,679 --> 01:02:47,480
a bit, and you're getting even money on it. If

1253
01:02:47,480 --> 01:02:49,800
you shop around over two and a half, I think

1254
01:02:49,840 --> 01:02:51,760
that'll be a bet for me come Sunday.

1255
01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:56,159
Speaker 1: All right. And then if you're a believer that they're

1256
01:02:56,320 --> 01:03:00,360
just gonna use Kenneth Walker in every facet, you could

1257
01:03:00,400 --> 01:03:03,159
go over one oh four and a half rushing plus receiving.

1258
01:03:03,559 --> 01:03:06,039
Kind of obliterated this number of the last three weeks.

1259
01:03:06,320 --> 01:03:07,400
It's a huge.

1260
01:03:07,079 --> 01:03:10,639
Speaker 2: Has But anytime it's triple digits, Andy, this is the

1261
01:03:10,719 --> 01:03:13,119
super Bowl. You have a million and one things you

1262
01:03:13,159 --> 01:03:14,840
can bet on. Why are you picking the guy to

1263
01:03:14,880 --> 01:03:16,639
go triple digit? And then you get injured on the

1264
01:03:16,679 --> 01:03:18,840
first drive and you're like, shit, I you know what

1265
01:03:18,840 --> 01:03:21,480
I mean. It's the same way as Yeah, I think

1266
01:03:21,559 --> 01:03:23,719
Jackson Smith a jig, but could be the MVP in

1267
01:03:23,760 --> 01:03:25,599
this game. I'll probably take the plus money bet on

1268
01:03:25,679 --> 01:03:27,679
him to do that. I'm not taking his over ninety

1269
01:03:27,719 --> 01:03:29,840
five and a half. I just when you start getting

1270
01:03:29,880 --> 01:03:33,360
too those numbers, Andy, that number is already assuming every

1271
01:03:33,400 --> 01:03:36,079
single thing goes right, you know what I mean, And

1272
01:03:36,119 --> 01:03:38,239
we know in sports a lot of times more things

1273
01:03:38,239 --> 01:03:40,239
will go wrong than go right. And you're playing a

1274
01:03:40,280 --> 01:03:43,159
defensive team one oh four and a half. Yeah, sure

1275
01:03:43,239 --> 01:03:44,960
you could cash it and brag your buddies he did.

1276
01:03:44,960 --> 01:03:46,679
It's not a smart bet in my opinion.

1277
01:03:47,519 --> 01:03:50,679
Speaker 1: So Rashid Chihed rushing plus receivings thirty one and a half.

1278
01:03:52,360 --> 01:03:54,639
Speaker 2: I hate that. I wish I wish you could go

1279
01:03:54,920 --> 01:03:58,639
Rashid Shaheed like uh the uh like. Maybe they'll have

1280
01:03:58,679 --> 01:04:02,639
some special teams props where it's adding his yardage as

1281
01:04:02,719 --> 01:04:06,480
well in punt returns. On some books and.

1282
01:04:08,320 --> 01:04:10,480
Speaker 1: The Super Bowl, you might be able to get it.

1283
01:04:11,119 --> 01:04:15,639
Speaker 2: And uh, things like prize picks, things like Underdog Sports.

1284
01:04:15,920 --> 01:04:18,440
They offer things like that on a weekly basis. So

1285
01:04:18,480 --> 01:04:20,199
I know it's going to be there for the Super Bowl.

1286
01:04:20,239 --> 01:04:22,800
But I would love to take a big chunk of

1287
01:04:22,840 --> 01:04:25,599
pie and say, let's call it sixty and a half

1288
01:04:25,760 --> 01:04:29,480
yards for any time. Rashi Raheid. She he touches the ball.

1289
01:04:29,559 --> 01:04:31,599
That's something that I would bet over on because he

1290
01:04:31,679 --> 01:04:33,079
might take it game.

1291
01:04:33,559 --> 01:04:35,360
Speaker 1: Oh see, I would, I would take the under. I

1292
01:04:35,400 --> 01:04:38,400
don't see New England kicking to him. You don't think

1293
01:04:39,119 --> 01:04:41,679
why would you kick the Rashid Shiheed Man.

1294
01:04:42,119 --> 01:04:44,199
Speaker 2: Sometimes it'll just come off your foot wrong. You can

1295
01:04:44,280 --> 01:04:47,400
plan not to kick to him, you know, Yeah, I know,

1296
01:04:47,880 --> 01:04:51,440
I know, put it back there. I know he's exclusively

1297
01:04:51,480 --> 01:04:53,559
been a lot of punt return, but kickoff you put

1298
01:04:53,599 --> 01:04:55,960
him back there the kickoffs. With the new kickoff rule

1299
01:04:55,960 --> 01:04:57,639
where you have to land it, where you have to

1300
01:04:57,719 --> 01:04:59,880
kick it, it allows for a little bit more chance

1301
01:05:00,079 --> 01:05:00,880
return as well.

1302
01:05:01,599 --> 01:05:05,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I worry about Travion not getting much work in

1303
01:05:05,360 --> 01:05:09,320
this game, only three carries against Denver. It was like, yeah,

1304
01:05:09,360 --> 01:05:11,800
we don't really trust him in these conditions. And honestly

1305
01:05:12,400 --> 01:05:14,800
I looked up you know, Remandre. They talk about his fumble.

1306
01:05:14,840 --> 01:05:17,800
He's only fumbled in two games, yes, entire season.

1307
01:05:18,679 --> 01:05:21,280
Speaker 2: Rabel slapp him on the rest that it's no longer

1308
01:05:21,400 --> 01:05:25,679
like the Ramandre Stevenson fumbled. You know. So if I'm

1309
01:05:25,719 --> 01:05:29,480
betting Traveon Henderson, exact same thought, Andy is does he

1310
01:05:29,559 --> 01:05:32,320
get the volume? I would just take his longest rush

1311
01:05:32,360 --> 01:05:36,000
over because that's the real threat of Traveon Henderson, you know,

1312
01:05:36,280 --> 01:05:39,280
is what seven and a half if he if he

1313
01:05:39,320 --> 01:05:42,280
gets three carries, one of those could be a sixty

1314
01:05:42,360 --> 01:05:45,039
yard rush. You know what like like that is? That

1315
01:05:45,199 --> 01:05:47,599
is the home run ability that Travion Henderson has, So

1316
01:05:47,880 --> 01:05:50,760
any of those props. Seventeen and a half isn't an

1317
01:05:50,840 --> 01:05:53,079
awful one, but he could get seventeen and a half

1318
01:05:53,159 --> 01:05:55,320
over on his longest rush and you're only asking seven

1319
01:05:55,320 --> 01:05:57,800
and a half. He's a he's a home run hit guy.

1320
01:05:57,840 --> 01:05:59,880
He's not a volume, wear you down kind of guy.

1321
01:06:00,000 --> 01:06:01,320
That's where Remandre comes in.

1322
01:06:02,719 --> 01:06:04,760
Speaker 1: Last question before you get out of here, Greg, would

1323
01:06:04,800 --> 01:06:07,599
you ladder Drake May for rushing yards or.

1324
01:06:07,519 --> 01:06:08,400
Speaker 3: Just go for the over?

1325
01:06:09,039 --> 01:06:12,440
Speaker 1: This is a great question because myself and a couple

1326
01:06:12,440 --> 01:06:16,159
of other guys have talked about next season attempting to

1327
01:06:16,239 --> 01:06:20,320
get more into the ladder plays because there were a

1328
01:06:20,320 --> 01:06:23,840
few spots where it was just like, oh man, did

1329
01:06:23,840 --> 01:06:25,599
we did we miss out on them?

1330
01:06:25,719 --> 01:06:27,880
Speaker 2: You said, why didn't I bet more on this? Why

1331
01:06:27,880 --> 01:06:30,039
did I make it a five percent? I remember that Andy,

1332
01:06:30,079 --> 01:06:32,400
when you were like, yeah, we love this guy's spot.

1333
01:06:32,519 --> 01:06:34,320
You know, it wasn't a crazy low number. And he

1334
01:06:34,400 --> 01:06:38,000
goes over all and you could have gotten seven to

1335
01:06:38,039 --> 01:06:39,719
one by the time you would have laddered it up.

1336
01:06:39,840 --> 01:06:43,760
Speaker 1: It was Michael Wilson. When Marvin Harrison Junior was ruled out,

1337
01:06:43,880 --> 01:06:46,079
they put his receiving number at fifty six, and it

1338
01:06:46,159 --> 01:06:48,519
was like they're going to throw the ball a million times.

1339
01:06:48,519 --> 01:06:50,159
I think he had one hundred and seventy. We could

1340
01:06:50,159 --> 01:06:53,320
have hit even money. Two to ones, three to ones,

1341
01:06:53,360 --> 01:06:56,960
four to one, ten to ones. So yeah, listen, Drake

1342
01:06:57,000 --> 01:06:59,360
May when he goes over last two out of three games,

1343
01:06:59,360 --> 01:07:02,119
he'd flown over this one, and yeah, he might have

1344
01:07:02,159 --> 01:07:04,840
to run quite a bit if Seattle gets to him.

1345
01:07:04,920 --> 01:07:10,920
So blocked propstot cash is not free. I will attest

1346
01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:17,280
to that. It is far from free. Whatever the opposite

1347
01:07:17,280 --> 01:07:22,519
of free is. That's what props. So it's worthwhile for

1348
01:07:22,559 --> 01:07:25,239
myself and my team to get it. I'm happy to

1349
01:07:25,280 --> 01:07:28,000
pay for it so everybody can use it, but prepare

1350
01:07:28,000 --> 01:07:32,960
to drop some bucks for it. So so all right,

1351
01:07:33,000 --> 01:07:34,599
we got a lot, a lot of big stuff up

1352
01:07:35,039 --> 01:07:37,280
tomorrow is a huge combat sports. We have our four

1353
01:07:37,320 --> 01:07:39,840
percent UFC and four percent boxing best bet that is

1354
01:07:39,920 --> 01:07:45,000
up four percent NBA tonight, along with lacrosse plays, NBA plays.

1355
01:07:45,119 --> 01:07:47,880
Anything that we have, you'll you'll have. We're probably gonna

1356
01:07:47,880 --> 01:07:50,599
have some daily golf plays. We've got two going today,

1357
01:07:50,639 --> 01:07:53,119
so expect some more on Saturday and Sunday. The best

1358
01:07:53,119 --> 01:07:54,760
thing to do is just get that seven days for

1359
01:07:54,800 --> 01:07:58,559
three days. It runs out, I think tomorrow, so we've

1360
01:07:58,599 --> 01:08:00,480
got brain new specials coming out, and i'd be worried.

1361
01:08:00,559 --> 01:08:02,239
I don't know if that one's going to be in there.

1362
01:08:02,280 --> 01:08:04,960
So if you're hesitant, you're I don't know if I

1363
01:08:04,960 --> 01:08:07,000
should get it. Now's the time. Just get the seven

1364
01:08:07,079 --> 01:08:08,599
days for the price of three. It's one of the

1365
01:08:08,679 --> 01:08:11,440
best specials we run. So all right, that's gonna do

1366
01:08:11,480 --> 01:08:13,800
it for us. Thanks very much, guys, appreciate it. Dan,

1367
01:08:14,000 --> 01:08:16,640
great job this week. Let's get this across. Play home,

1368
01:08:17,000 --> 01:08:19,199
and let's have a big weekend. We'll see everyone Monday.

1369
01:08:19,239 --> 01:08:22,800
It's super Bowl week, guys. It's super Bowl week next week,

1370
01:08:22,840 --> 01:08:25,079
so expect a lot of props, a lot of super

1371
01:08:25,079 --> 01:08:27,439
Bowl talk. Can't wait to see you guys on Monday.

1372
01:08:27,600 --> 01:08:29,199
Good look on your bets. It'll have a big weekend.

1373
01:08:29,319 --> 01:08:30,359
Say everyone Monday. Take care