Speaker 1: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.
Today is a sharp one. We got Gianni the Greek's
gonna get a started with the Steam report. Dave Mason
from bett Online is gonna join us, tell us where
all the money's going, and then we're gonna preview ufc
Abu Dabi will break down Robert Whitaker, We're Neer de
Ritter fight.
Speaker 2: And then we're gonna check in on.
Speaker 1: CFL with our good friend Nick Parsons. So let's dig
into these numbers and find some winners. Uh, sad, sad
couple days man, Hulk Cogan, Ozzy Osbourne, Like Dan, you
said it, it comes in threes.
Speaker 2: Yikes.
Speaker 1: All celebrities got to be on on on high alert here,
man like don't leave the house, yikes.
Speaker 2: Yikes. Well, shout out to the whole COVID watched him
growing up as a kids. I'm sure most of us
did so.
Speaker 1: Uh, rest of peace, whul Cogan and Ozzy Osbourne. All right,
let's bring on Johnny the Greek. Let's get some positive
vibes going here. Uh Johnny, let's see, there's not a
whole whole lot of baseball games today.
Speaker 2: We do have a couple of WNBA.
Speaker 1: I see that we got some steam already in the
Chicago Sky game at Angel Reese looking like she may
not play game time decisions.
Speaker 2: So happy Thursday. How are you today, sir?
Speaker 3: Busy brother busy, U good, doing really well. Can't complain.
Excited about the next couple of days. Looking real quickly
at baseball, there's not a single team in major leagues
baseball as of today. That's one sixty percent of their games. Zero,
not a single team. Not a single team. Come on,
we talked about that from the beginning. Gave you the
whole new point everything.
Speaker 4: All he had to.
Speaker 3: Do just look at those teams that are underperforming, those
teams that are overperforming, and it's free money for you
in baseball. So even Detroit, even Detroit down the fifty
eight percent. With that said, I don't want to forget.
I released two soccer plays in UEFA. Both of them
go off in a couple hours, so there's plenty of time.
Both totals one four percent, best bet one three percent.
Both still readily available, both up for free at wager Talk.
So two premium plays released the subscribers this morning. In soccer,
both of those are avaliuable for free for you over
at wager Talk on my page. That's a four percent
and a three percent take advantage. Those have been doing
well for us long term.
Speaker 2: Uh yeah.
Speaker 1: And then the other thing, Jianni it right before the
All Star Break, I brought up how Colorado had only
won two out of thirty one series and then they
win their first two series coming out of the All
Star Break. Amazing, es amazing. So all right, what are
we looking at for steam? Any steam we got for today?
Speaker 3: All right, here's what we're looking at in baseball so
far nine to fifty two Saint Louis minus one thirty
five minus one, forty nine to fifty five, Toronto at
plus one fifteen nine sixty Angels minus one thirty one
thirty five and nine point fifty eight over eight and
a half minus one twenty athletics, and Houston in w
NBA six point thirty one, Seattle minus seven, seven and
a half and eight. The piggybackers are pushing it up
even higher and then uh strong total six twenty seven
La Connecticut over over over one's sixty seven sixty seven
and a half, sixty eight, sixty eight and a half.
That's why you're looking at sixty nine and a half
right now, So shark over money in that total. Now,
someone said, what about uh, Minnesota. They're ten and a
half games out. Minnesota is not winning that division. That
future is a loss. Let's talk about the futures that
are winners. You can't you know, if the team's gonna
go down, they're gonna go down.
Speaker 5: Nothing you can do again.
Speaker 3: I don't know why we want to keep talking about
the AL Central, but.
Speaker 5: I'm here for it, you know.
Speaker 2: I mean, I'll tell you what I want to tell
you when I lose.
Speaker 3: And yes, Minnesota was a bad bet. I don't think
it was a bad bet. Actually it was a good
bet at the time. Obviously right now it's not turning
into the expectations when we placed that bet. But they
were one of those teams that were under performing based
on season expectations and based on runs scored, runs allowed,
they should have had more wins. It's that simple, based
on that projection. Now, not every team's going to do it.
But with that said, when the dust settles, rest assured
we're going to win a lot more of those season
win totals and those future bets than we're going to lose,
but you're not going to be one hundred percent. You're
gonna have some bad calls.
Speaker 2: Sure, absolutely, what was a move that kind of surprised you?
Here in baseball? There's not too much going.
Speaker 3: On Cleveland, Cleveland, Cleveland that they're sharp betters on Cleveland.
The public's on Cleveland, and the line's not moving with
the way it's supposed to. That's why I'm not betting
Cleveland yet. Okay, Yeah, I mean I've seen multiple groups
bet Cleveland in the accounts. Cleveland's in there like minus
one eleven, minus one twelve, and I'm looking at the
accounts from recreational bet letters all one sided on Cleveland
as well, and yet for whatever reason, that number has
not dropped. I mean, you're seeing a little bit now.
You know, it's the early game, about an hour before
first pitch. It's starting to move a little bit. The
screen's lit up right now on my odds logic. But
still you're talking pennies going from like one thirteen to
one to fourteen to one to fifteen, and with the
amount of money it's attracted that one being the most
heavily bet baseball game so far, which makes sense. It's
the early game, they're straight betting it. They're tying it
into later games. You should see more respect. I'm a
little bit surprised that they're not getting the respect based
on Yeah.
Speaker 5: To me, is a telling sign. I just passed.
Speaker 3: When I see that, I just stepped back.
Speaker 2: I have a buddy. I have a buddy. He just
bets the opposite.
Speaker 1: He's like, whenever I see the line not moving all
the actions on one side, He's like, that's a surefire
sign you take.
Speaker 2: The other side sign.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm asking Dave Bason about that, But we need
to get some insider information about what happens when when
the line just doesn't move yet all the money is.
Speaker 2: On one side. I don't know, we'll, we'll. I have
my sinking suspicion. So yeah, ask me, are you are you?
Speaker 5: Are you taking a position when you do that?
Speaker 3: Or is it just not enough risk for the matter,
you know what I mean?
Speaker 5: Like?
Speaker 3: Or is it like maybe just one better on the
other side offsets all those tickets, you know. Yeah, I'm
gonna pay, I'm gonna keep it open.
Speaker 2: I want to watch that.
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, any UFC moves that have surprised you.
I know Bouche Show, who we talked about. I think
that's how you pronounce it. He's alway after minus three hundred,
opened up less than minus two hundred. Any other lines
I see Robert Whitakers taking a lot of action. He's
all the way after minus one sixty six on DraftKings.
Any line movement kind of surprise you, yeah, man, And.
Speaker 3: Here's what I wanted to do. I got my UFC package, y'all.
I added a pfl LFA bet to it, and I
was gonna give it now to the show for free
as well, because I gave it out to my subscribe yesterday.
It's it's the main event. Eric Wiscandy, Eric Viscandy, I
gave it a four percent best bet, but I gave
the subscribers at minus one thirty five yesterday. And I'm
looking right now. I think I told him it's good.
Up to one fifty six out of ten times, we
still have an edge, but now I'm seeing one seventy
five minus one seventy five.
Speaker 5: So depends how you hand the camp it.
Speaker 3: If you like Viscandhy, I'm on the same side in
that main event.
Speaker 5: I thought he should have been a.
Speaker 3: Minus two hundred. I did breaking that fight down. I
thought he wins two out of three times. I was
surprised it was minus one thirty five. That's why I
pounced right away. I guess I thought it was comfortable
up to minus one fifty. I thought I had a
nice enough edge to still fire four percent up the
minus one fifty. As far as the UFC car, a
couple of things that are sticking out to me. If
you go on my Twitter, my Instagram or TikTok, you'll
see I put out a free uh pick video that's
four percent in there a four percent, and threw in
a parlay wager. So check that out on my Twitter page.
But let me see what really sticks stuck out to me. Yeah,
the one I gave actually in the parlay the Ebo Oslon.
Speaker 5: How he's not a.
Speaker 3: Bigger favorite coming off his first UFC loss, is a
little bit surprising against Elkana, who you know, it didn't
look good so far. I'm a little bit surprised that's
not up the minus three hundred yet.
Speaker 5: I used it already, but I'm starting to.
Speaker 3: Worry that that line hasn't gotten where it should be
on Oslan. That one surprises me a little bit.
Speaker 5: Oh, black cheer moved.
Speaker 3: I thought Black cheer that opener was really low against
Davy Grant, I'm not surprised that one's getting all that
money as well. So yeah, Buddai, I thought I thought Boudai.
Speaker 5: Would be live with all that UFC experience.
Speaker 3: But but that Marcus dude must be such a bjj
ace that.
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's a multiple multi to pull world.
Speaker 1: Champion, and he's five and one in m m A
and his one loss was to Omar Cain, who's a monster,
and it was a competitive fight.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was a really really good fight.
Speaker 1: Yeah, this this is a setup fight for Marcus. I
feel like he's, oh he's a rock star over there. Yeah,
they they want him to win. They may make no
bones about it. Give give the grappler a guy who's
not very good.
Speaker 2: With wrestling grappling. So uh yeah, I'll be I'll be
I'll be playing that one. It's iterating.
Speaker 1: I kind of like Davy Grant as the under He's always.
Speaker 2: Undervalued every fight.
Speaker 1: He's like, he took Daniel Marcos to the distance, split decision,
be Savaris last time.
Speaker 3: So now I couldn't lay three to fifty on Black Year,
no way, like the open Black Year, but not now,
not not now, no way, yeah, no way.
Speaker 5: Yeah, the main events difficult.
Speaker 3: That's that's tough. Maybe if you've got guys coming out,
we can talk about it Tomorrow. I'm going a little
back and forth with the Rider and Whittaker. I'd like
to hear your thoughts on that.
Speaker 2: Boy, I'm gonna do a breakdown Kyle.
Speaker 1: Anthony's out of town, so I'll do the breakdown here
towards the end of the show.
Speaker 2: So great stuff, Jiotti telverm What we have up for clients.
Speaker 3: Thank you, brother.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: The NFL college football packages up with about nine futures
in there season win totals, that is, with a five
percent big move the rest of all four percent best bets. Again,
we isolate plenty of capital all those futures because historically
the return on investment has been there. I have the
UFC package that has also in it a free LFA pick.
Anymore LFA will be added to it as well because
that goes on later in the day, the UFC card.
Don't forget it's early Saturday. I'm probably gonna do the
steam Room tomorrow, if not on Saturday. Going to decide
that probably within the next couple hours. And yeah, if
I'm able to confirm an it as baseball, this will
be up as well as a package. Otherwise it'll just
be for subscribers as we confirm. So yeah, just waiting.
Speaker 4: Oh oh and real quickly.
Speaker 3: The first college football premium bet will be out today.
First college football bet is coming out today. So excited
about that. Already football season.
Speaker 1: All right, Gioanny the Greek Everyone, thank you so much
for joining us.
Speaker 4: Brother.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Sonny brings up Justin Fields with the toe injury
this morning. It's interesting because Dan and I are gonna
bring we happened to pick today to break down the Jets,
unbelievable timing.
Speaker 2: Classic Jets, Classic Classic Jets. I'm trying to figure out.
Speaker 1: What's more incredible about the whole Cogan the fact that
he was only seventy one or the fact that Rick
Flair somehow beat him.
Speaker 2: I loved it.
Speaker 1: It's really wild, Like how like I feel like I
feel like when I was a kid, he was in
his forties. The whole Cogan was like when they said
seventy one, I was absolutely stunned by that. So all right,
all right, Dan, show the picture. So I'm trying to
do my fast and Dan.
Speaker 2: Me this picture. All right, Dan, where is that?
Speaker 1: It looks absolutely incredible good.
Speaker 6: So so that spot is Mac and Manco's Pizza. Well,
I guess now it's called Manco and Manco Pizza because
they had like fallen out. But Ocean City, New Jersey. Uh,
that's where I'm gonna be here for the rest.
Speaker 5: Of the week.
Speaker 6: Uh, you know, seeing family and whatnot. And it's such
a good fricking pie.
Speaker 4: Andy.
Speaker 6: One of the best parts is is you can go
there hump team times and you never exactly know what
you're gonna get because sometimes it's a little more well done.
Sometimes it's a little less with the swirl. You get
the nice mix of the cheese, the sauce. So I'm sorry, Andy,
but you have more food picks coming your way. This
was This was just one. And if you're wondering, yes,
I did eat the entire pie myself, so so so Andy, Uh,
what are you gonna do?
Speaker 2: Baby? Listen? That looks absolutely increasble It's so good.
Speaker 6: It's and it's just like it's I didn't even grow up,
coming you know, down the shore and go in Ocean City,
New Jersey. So many people from the East Coast that
that's like what they do where they go, so like,
I didn't even have the nostalgia for it before I
met my wife, and now we go every year and
we look forward to it. Like I'll do a pizza
fast if I know I'm going to Ocean City, I
won't eat pizza for like a good like two to
three weeks beforehand, so that it hits that much harder.
So my fast a little bit different than your fast, Dandy,
But I don't eat pizza for two to three weeks.
Speaker 4: When I know I'm gonna be having Mac.
Speaker 2: And mancos amazing, amazing. Man.
Speaker 5: That looks good.
Speaker 2: Well, let's do all around the world.
Speaker 1: Let's give out some some free picks here for everybody. Yeah,
my client played Team total lost wasn't even close. And
then the team total I gave out on the show,
that one hit pretty easily. So let's see if we
can get back to some winning ways here. Let's go
to the w NBA first, Let's talk the storm and
the sky. Storm in the sky under one fifty seven,
the sky are missing several players. Angel Reese game time
decision we saw what happened with Atkins out of the
lineup last five games. Both teams combining for one forty
six points per game, and both teams play a very
slow pace, storm third enforcing turnovers sky last in ball security,
so we expect some good defense. We expect some turnovers
this one, and we do not expect there to be
a lot of points. I'm going to the UFC Nikida Kreeloff.
By finish, it's minus one thirty five over gooset Goff.
Goos Goff has benefited from a very weak schedule. He's
won a couple of fights just because he survived the
first round. I don't think he's gonna survive the first round.
Kreeloff is all gas, no breaks. He's gonna come out good.
Goost Goff struggles with take down defense big time, and
I think Kreeloff gets him on the ground and gets
the finish. So by finish, when it's minus one thirty five,
books are.
Speaker 2: Telling you a story on that one.
Speaker 1: And then we have the oils in the Guardians first
five innings over five.
Speaker 2: Big time hit.
Speaker 1: Her friendly weather ninety degrees there, so air is gonna
be thin, balls shall be flying out, Charlie Morton's got
a five point five eight e er A and Logan
Allen for Cleveland struggles against the Orioles lineup. A lot
of really good successful batters against Logan Allen on this
Orioles team. So Storm in the Sky, we're looking at
the under UFC kreeloff by finish, and then we're looking
at the Orioles in the gardens first five innings on
the over all. Right, we got a new thing on
YouTube here. We just started this a couple of you
taking advantage the Wager Talk insiders where it's only a
couple bucks per month.
Speaker 2: You're gonna be able to do the emojis, the.
Speaker 1: Badges, the special features, shout outs, everything, and then starting
on the first anybody that's an insider will be given.
Speaker 2: A five dollars coupon that's good for that month and
each month after that. So it's kind of a no brainer.
Speaker 1: You get five dollars coupon at the beginning of the
month just to spend two ninety nine. So we're gonna
we're gonna be bringing in more perks for that some
insider content. So if you want to take advantage of
that WT Dot buzz slash insiders two ninety nine a month,
help support the channel and you get a bunch of
little benefits that are only gonna be increasing over time.
So take advantage of that WT dot buzz slash in.
Speaker 2: Let's bring on Nick Parsons.
Speaker 1: Let's talk a little CFL here and Nick, hey man,
you are true to yourself every time you come on here.
You're talking plus points.
Speaker 7: Exactly, always the dogs.
Speaker 2: Always on the dog.
Speaker 1: So we're gonna talk this but yeah, it's it's it's
pretty consistent.
Speaker 2: So let's just get right into it. We'll talk about
sports memo and here it a bit.
Speaker 1: But we got a big number here on the Elks
and Saskatchewan about plus nine and a half to walk
us through this one.
Speaker 7: Yeah, I got my notes on this one, Andy Uh. Basically,
the the Elks the rested here. They had a bye
week last week, and so I think that they're going
to be able to cover with a large spread here
at Saskatchewan at Mosaic Stadium here in Wee Gate despite
their one and four record that as I say, they're
coming off their by there and so that will give
them enough time to properly prepare for this game. Their
quarterback situation with Trey Ford and Cody Fajardo, they're splitting
reps and so that adds versatility here. They should be
able to exploit Saskatchewan's defense, which the Sasketchewan defense is
really strong against the run, but it's been vulnerable to
big plays and so the Elks offense, it's led by
wide receiver Curly Gittons Junior, and it's shown improvement. The
last time these teams played against each other last year,
it was super competitive right until the end. Saskatchewan did
hold on for the eventual twenty eight to twenty four victory.
And now Evonton's secondary it's been a weak point for years,
but it will benefit this week with some key players
returning Gerald Cummings, and so they should be able to
tighten up the coverage here against Writers quarterback Trevor Harris's
deep throws, and I am definitely expecting Saskatchewan's offense to
face considerable pressure from Evonton's aggressive defensive adjustments that they've
made after this bye week. The Riders, they're favored significantly
here due to their four and one NS record, but
they have a game at East leading Montreal next week
and so it's kind of like a letdown look ahead spot.
I wouldn't quite call it a trap game at this
time of year, but there's the potential for the team
to look ahead here as well. And for the Elks though, Andy,
you know it's going to be all gas, no breaks
for them here as well. And so the bottom line is,
I just think that Edmonton's live dog status, their rest advantage,
and they're improved or they're getting healthier there in the defense,
that's going to allow it to keep this one close.
So I'm grabbing the points on Friday night.
Speaker 2: Love it, Love it.
Speaker 1: What else you've been noticing going on in CFL? A
there any injuries we need to keep an eye on,
any teams that are regressing or overperforming, any teams.
Speaker 2: You got your eyes on.
Speaker 7: I mean, it's been difficult from week to week and
from game to game. Last week, going into week seven
there I had been five and OHO over the previous
two weeks, and then I went Oho and too. Last
Thursday I had Montreal and well, they ended up winning
that game, Davis, they went twenty five twenty four, but
they weren't unable to cover that massive spread. Just to
step cautiously and Yeah, just to sort of take it
week to week, and it would be my advice also
looking forward to college football and everything coming up as well.
Speaker 2: Yeah, give us some teams you're excited for college football?
Who you got your own?
Speaker 7: Actually, Andy, I already have a few big plays posted
over at sports Memo right now, some week zero week
one place posted. I've done quite well over the last
two years. I lead Sports Memo over the last two
years in college football since twenty twenty three. So yeah,
lots of different things to break down. I don't want
to give too much away, and I haven't looked too
much further past the first week, but yeah, super excited obviously,
and of course the NFL as well. I also played
the preseason quite heavily.
Speaker 1: Nice nice tell ever we have going on over at
sports Memo.
Speaker 7: Yeah, well, I don't think you've touched on it quite yet, guys.
By one of the popular things that wager talk is
the flex picks option, and so they're offering that now
over at sports Memo. There's a lot of news faces
over at sports Memo, so a really great time to
use the flex picks pass. You choose your different cap
for every single day. You don't need to use it.
If you have a thirty day flex pass, you don't
need to use it every single day in a row.
We also have five dollars Wednesdays throughout the summer, and
so that's a popular thing. There's a lot of traffic there.
Every handicapper releases one five dollar pick and then also
fifty percent off Fridays, where every handicapper also releases one package.
Speaker 1: Awesome great stuff. Best jacket in the game. You know,
I love that jack jacket. Thanks, it's awesome. So thanks
so much for joining us. And let's get back those
winning ways and CFL. Let's start with the Elk absolutely
all right, plus nine and a half on those dang
Edmonton Elks. Poor guys, they just can't seem to get
out of their own way. Dan, let's do the jets
here while we're waiting for Dave Mason here. This is
a really really interesting spot here, of all the teams
to break down, it's the one on the day when
their quarterback gets carted off.
Speaker 4: Of course, never fails. It's the most jets thing ever.
Speaker 6: You and I have been planning out, like, all right,
here's the team that we'll do each day. The morning
of you and I discussing the New York Jets season
win total. One of the most important pieces to the
New York Jets puzzles health is now in jeopardy.
Speaker 4: In case you didn't see it this morning.
Speaker 6: We're obviously here live on a Thursday, the twenty fourth
of July, and Justin Fields goes down, gets carted off,
and Adam Schefter now reporting it's a toe injury. And
it's too early for the severity of the toe injury
to you know, be be extrapolated how long he'll be
out for. But Andy, if only we had some day
to draw on on how the New York Jets do
when their star quarterback goes down very early in the season.
Speaker 4: This never happens to the New York Jets, right Andy.
Speaker 1: Well, so Jim who comes at you know, Jim becomes
does our pfl Yeah, our UFC.
Speaker 2: He's a diehard Jets fan.
Speaker 4: I have not his only character flaw.
Speaker 6: It's really like, the only the only character flaw that
a man Jim really at is that that he has
to root for the New York Football Jets.
Speaker 8: Uh.
Speaker 2: He was.
Speaker 1: He was so excited because he thought they were going
to take the tight end from Penn State in the
draft and instead they took like a lineman.
Speaker 2: He just texted me, He's.
Speaker 4: Like, God, no one was happier than I know we
ended up getting It's.
Speaker 2: Quote was god forbid we draft a playmaker?
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, dislocated to but let's suck this. Jets
win total five. I'm going to assume that Justin Fields
is going to be fine. I mean, a cart in
summer camp is just over really cautious. So I'm going
to go into this with Fields as being healthy. So
five and twelve last year. What was interesting is their
defense was a big letdown last year. They had some
injuries and then just they couldn't get it together. So
PFF had them rank eighteenth in offense, twenty fifth in defense.
Offseason moves obviously Justin Fields, I.
Speaker 2: Think just Fields is the second biggest move.
Speaker 1: I think Aaron glenn is the head coach is the
biggest move that they made. They lost DJ Reid, but
they did bring in Brandon Stevens to replace him, so
it wasn't like just a loss and we have nobody
to replace him. With a lot of depth at D line,
a lot of depth of O line, they got Sherwood
at linebacker here. PFF rankings are all over the place,
twenty sixth defensive line, but seventh offensive line, twenty eighth
wide receivers. But when he got Justin Fields, is it
that big of a deal? Eleventh and secondary, ninth in
linebackers here?
Speaker 2: So what's your take on the yet's five and a half?
And then we'll get to the schedule.
Speaker 6: I mean, one thing I will say too is, yeah,
you're gonna be watching the reports that come out about
Justin Fields. It's not an exponential drop off from the
guy who's behind him. You do have Tyrod Taylor as
your backup, So I know some people are gonna be like,
oh god, what a horrible one too, But when you're
just talking about confertent play styles, and also you can
do much worse than Tyrod Taylor as a backup quarterback.
This is a guy who gets a raw deal every
single place that he goes. When he's started, he's actually
put up decent numbers, you know, been able to win
games for teams, even though he's bounced around the league
as a journeyman. And now it's led him to being
behind Justin Field. So I really don't think this Field's
thing is as big of a deal as it maybe
seems to be.
Speaker 4: But obviously we'll keep keep our eyes on that.
Speaker 6: The biggest like I like them bringing in the new
head coach. I like them shaping shaking things up. However,
the biggest head scratcher for me is when you have
a defensive minded head coach, why would you go out
and pick Steve Eve Wilkes as your defensive coordinator. I
don't know if you know much about the career of
Steve Wilkes here, Andy, but the guy has gotten bounced
in one year out of his six last spots that
he's been at. He's had one year stints the six
last coordinator jobs that he had, So that was a
little bit of a head scratcher for me, especially a
team who their calling card is usually their defense. However,
you know, I see some people in the chat here.
You know, we got Steve saying not under move on
to the next one. I think, you know, I think
you're being a little bit maybe myopic if you're saying, oh,
this is the Jets, Oh they suck every year under
five and a half, Because when you dive into the schedule, Andy,
I don't know if you saw the same as me.
Speaker 4: The games that stood out to me is that you.
Speaker 6: Get Panthers, Browns, Jags, and Saints, and then outside of that,
really your biggest tests come in division, and this is
a team who, yeah they get beat up every year,
but somehow they make these games in Division tough.
Speaker 4: So I look at those four games and I'm not
saying any things a lock.
Speaker 6: Nothing's an automatic win, but you're really outside of that
looking for two more wins on the schedule, and I
think the Jets can find two more wins. I think
five and a half is a really you know, it
is a really low number. If we're talking six and
a half, all right, then we're then I get myself
a little bit pause. But I would be pretty confident
putting the Jets over five and a half wins on
my card. Here might be something that I bet before
the season starts, not saying they're gonna make the playoffs,
not saying anything like that, but with this schedule, andy
finding six wins, I could run down the card and
do it pretty easily.
Speaker 1: Honestly, Yeah, Steelers Bills at Bucks that's a tough start
to the season, but then at Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos, in
an overseas game at Bengals. Then they get the buy
in the middle of the season, which I like. Then
you're right, Browns at Patriots, at Ravens Falcons. Don't forget
they get the Dolphins at home kind of later in
the year. Dolphin's not good if the weather's cold. At Jags,
at Saints, Patriots, and then at Bills. That Bill's game
could be meaningless for Buffalo. Maybe they might be fighting
for seating or anything, but there's always a chance.
Speaker 2: I just believe in this.
Speaker 1: Head coach, and I'm with you that I'm going to
take the over as well. I like the complete change
of philosophy that they did. It was a complete mess.
They got rid of Aaron Rodgers, which I think is
just going to help in more ways than one. So
I get a new quarterback, I get a new head coach.
Is it enough to overcome the jetsiness of the Jets?
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: Their quarterback just got taken off the field, but I'm
willing to roll the dice here. I like the overfield
stays healthy and Aaron Giln gets his system going.
Speaker 2: I'm with you.
Speaker 1: I think this is an easy over for me, and
I can't believe I'm ending that.
Speaker 4: Andy.
Speaker 6: This now marks the twenty sixth team that we have
broken down over under. Each and every one of the
breakdowns is here on YouTube, so you can watch it afterwards.
Comment below and let us know what you think Jets
over or under. But for the commenters, Andy, I would
like to let the record show the picks for me,
twelve and thirteen thirteen.
Speaker 4: Being towards the under.
Speaker 6: So yes, may seem like it's all overs for you, you're
split right down the middle.
Speaker 4: You're thirteen and thirteen, thirteen overs, thirteen unders.
Speaker 6: So I had one no pick on the Seahawks, which
I probably need to rectify. But but yeah, the the Dan,
the overman from um, from Sean and from from Eric.
A little bit over exaggerated, but who doesn't like some overs. Yeah,
So thirteen and thirteen for you.
Speaker 2: My favorite thing about Dan is we're doing this segment.
Speaker 1: It's completely meaningless, like we have there's no stake in
the game, and Dan just does a no pick.
Speaker 4: Yeah, NOE pick was crazy. The note pick was crazy.
I'm gonna I just to maybe rectify. I'll say under
for the Seahawks.
Speaker 1: I'll go under under the Seahawks. Nice try No, you're
in a no pick overgraphic.
Speaker 2: All right, here we go. Dave Mason is joining us.
Speaker 1: We're gonna ask him, uh, We're gonna ASKHIMU that really
important question about about the when money comes in on
one side and the line doesn't move, what are they doing?
And then right after that we'll break down the main
event de Ritter and Whittaker.
Speaker 2: So Dave, Happy Thursday. How are you, sir?
Speaker 5: I'm well.
Speaker 6: How are you?
Speaker 2: I'm good, I'm good. I want to start with this.
Speaker 1: Gianni and I were talking about a certain baseball game
today where it appears all the money and all the
tickets are coming in on one side, and yet the
line hasn't moved.
Speaker 2: And I have a buddy of mine.
Speaker 1: He only makes a few bets per NFL season, and
he always just waits until a bunch of money comes
in on one side and the line doesn't move, and
then he takes the opposite side where all the money's coming.
And I swear to God, this man hits eighty percent
of these bets. So tell us when what is the
situation where when you have a lot of money coming
in on one side and you guys don't move it.
Speaker 2: Is it because you're taking a strong opinion or position
on the game.
Speaker 8: Is it?
Speaker 1: Could it be that somebody that you really respect happens
to be on the other side and the minority.
Speaker 2: What happens in the situation like.
Speaker 5: This, Yeah, yeah, both.
Speaker 8: I mean it's a combination of factors, right, it's Ben's who's.
Speaker 5: Betting it, right, who's betting the other side.
Speaker 8: Which is always more important, and and our opinion as well.
But I mean we take the sharp action here, so
we respect that sharp action. If you know, it's kind
of I always go back to it. But people thinking
all the books are booking action fifty to fifty and
we're just scoop and juice or something close fifty to fifty.
Speaker 5: That's not even close to being true. You know.
Speaker 8: There's such a thing as a reverse line movement where
all the actions on one side.
Speaker 5: It's not even a stay standing pat.
Speaker 8: Like you say, but it's going the opposite way, right,
So we respect the sharp action.
Speaker 5: We do not mind taking a position, and most books don't.
You have to, right, you have to take a position.
You can't get too much value.
Speaker 8: So so yeah, it's probably sharp on one side or
just you know, and it's still early in today.
Speaker 5: You know, it's you can't overreact either.
Speaker 8: You know, there's still eighty percent of the actions you
have to come in throughout the day. So if you
over react on the early action, especially if it's public action,
you can you can have bad odds and then the
sharp's just pick you apart.
Speaker 2: Interesting, Okay, Yeah, you're right.
Speaker 1: Okay, So you've still yet to get a lot of
the money and on the side, So yeah, that makes
complete sense.
Speaker 2: So you're waiting for the move.
Speaker 1: What's what's what was MLB like for you guys first
half of the season.
Speaker 5: It's good. I mean there's a grind, it always is.
Speaker 8: You know, we offer those dimelines, so our margins are
going to be smaller than in the books that are
failing to offer dime lines anymore.
Speaker 5: But it's good.
Speaker 8: It's been really good recently. Yesterday was awesome both live
and pregame. Last few days, so we've had a good
week on MLB. You know, it goes up and down.
August is right around the corner and August, for some reason,
August is always a oh my god, that's a big
time grind for MLB.
Speaker 5: So we're a week away from August can't wait?
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, all right, who's who's who's the sharp's liking today?
Anything jump off the page for you.
Speaker 8: MLB cards minus one thirty two Orioles plus one o
six are better.
Speaker 5: Over nine minus one ten in Seattle game. Then, speaking
of the Seattle game, we got two way there.
Speaker 8: Mariners plus one thirty five are better and Angels must
one forty or better.
Speaker 5: What else going on? WNBA always takes.
Speaker 8: Some sharp action store minus eight and a half a aces.
Speaker 5: Minus one and a half.
Speaker 8: So yeah, I mean we're still football starts next week,
I guess, so it'd be a lot more fun talking
about that sharp action coming in.
Speaker 1: Yeah, anything, jump up the page for you. In UFC,
I'm getting ready to break down Whittaker and Deritter. I
see Whittaker has been taking money the last couple of days.
Have you seen the same?
Speaker 5: Yeah, I had two about two to one money.
Speaker 8: Yeah, we actually have some sharp action there minus one
forty five. I kind of like the other side. I mean,
I take a shot at the other side. It's currently
plus one forty. Republic's also on Whitaker as well. I said,
like I said, two to one dollars amount on Whitaker.
Yeah on minus three thirty five with sharp Mitchell minus
one thirty.
Speaker 5: Uh, that's about it.
Speaker 8: I mean, you know what, once limits get raised, that's
when those big, big sharp butts come in. So, uh,
great card, though, I can't wait Saturday afternoon all something
to do.
Speaker 2: I love nude. I love when they started.
Speaker 5: Nuone on great and my liver loved it. My liver
loves it because that's usually my that's usually.
Speaker 8: My drinking night during non football season. Football season, that didn't,
you know, pick it up a notch. But during non
football season, my my Okay, UFC Saturday night, I'm going out,
gonna drink some beers and uh, you know it's it's
the liver appreciates the daytime UFC cards.
Speaker 1: Does your drinking night correlate with when you when bet
online wins or loses?
Speaker 9: No, I mean not not at all. I mean, what
the hell can you do? You know, it's as long
as you think long term, you know, it's a uh,
I don't know, there's no correlation. You know, I really
don't see the numbers and sit back. I sit back
and watch it as a fan, you know.
Speaker 5: Whatever.
Speaker 8: When you're involved in this side of the counter. It's
just it's you know, you up down, up down, up down.
You lose some and you know if you lose, plus
if you lose, that means more people are betting the
next night.
Speaker 5: You know what I mean. It's just the edge of
the blows of all the moving parts.
Speaker 8: It's just too hard to you know, maybe a game
like the super Bowl to get lose there, I mean
the NFL, you lose the week. I mean, that's just again,
I'm working on the marketing side of things, so there's
all sorts of different metrics we're looking at, and a
big one is act And if you're beating the hell
out of the players, well those active numbers go down.
People take a week off, two weeks off in the
month off, or maybe they're done for the season.
Speaker 5: So you know, the best thing that if we're getting
beat well, the actors.
Speaker 8: Are going to be up on the site and you know,
my bosses just think I'm doing something special that you know,
and it's like, no, we just we just lost.
Speaker 5: You know, sometimes overthink sometimes duit's overthinking a little bit
too much upstairs.
Speaker 2: That's really really interesting. I never thought about it that
I love these insights here.
Speaker 1: We had a couple of questions on Cleveland in the
early game blocked that why isn't Cleveland getting respect? What
do y'all know that we don't? Is it a trap?
And then the strategist wanted to know about Cleveland. Yeah,
several questions in this Cleveland Indians game. You got any
insights on that?
Speaker 5: For?
Speaker 8: Yeah? I mean we did take what did it open at?
What are we at right now? We're at minus one fifteen?
I mean we need the other side. It took a
bunch of show just two way What is that two
way sharp action? And now there's no sharp action on
that game. I mean we're getting two way action. We
definitely need the orioles on that one took sharp Actually, yeah,
that's right. Like I said earlier, plus one and six
are better as sharp. So what I I personally, I
don't know why, but that's definitely the sharp side and
the public is on Cleveland.
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, all right? What's your favorite bet usc
this weekend?
Speaker 6: Uh?
Speaker 8: I'm I'm fading Whittaker. Actually, like I said, Sharps are
on Whittaker minus one forty five or better. But uh,
I'm taking the ridder Man. I think you know Whittaker
is coming off that brutal crushings sure.
Speaker 5: As the coms out, but uh, get a little older.
Speaker 8: I think, I'm sure he's beating bought, but who's who
of the USC over the years.
Speaker 5: But you know, get a little older.
Speaker 8: Three and three in his last six the riders three
on one and you know he beat the hell out
of a nickel last time through that type train off
the track, and he's really good. So I'm going plus
one forty and again. I know the sharps are on
the side, other side, but I'm fading the sharps on
this one.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 1: Dave Mason, tell her on to where we can find
you and tell heveryone about bet online.
Speaker 5: At Dave Mason doll on Twitter.
Speaker 8: Coming over to bed online dot ag, like I sink,
we all know football almost here. We have some awesome
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Speaker 5: That's early, very special.
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on over to bed online dot AG. Never too early
to start talking football.
Speaker 2: Yeah, how much is the survivor because Dan and I
are going to do this with.
Speaker 5: The main survivors a million.
Speaker 8: Wow, Yeah, the big survivors a million, So I mean that, Oh,
the end trees, it's thirty bucks for you first, you
can enter numerous times, so so.
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's apportable for everybody.
Speaker 8: If you have, you know, deeper pockets, you can enter
numerous times. If you know, if you're you're on a budget,
just you can know for enter one, two, three times.
Speaker 5: Whatever.
Speaker 8: But uh yeah, you get thirty dollars gets you in
the door.
Speaker 5: So without a doubt, that's why we try to keep it.
Speaker 8: We've tried so many price points over the years, but
that's what we kind of see what works best that
we do.
Speaker 5: More people play. You know, I get every.
Speaker 8: Year to five hundred dollars entry and I was like, well, then,
you know there's so many people that play.
Speaker 5: That's that's just that's way beyond their budget. Even one
hundred dollars entry for a contest of the guy.
Speaker 8: So we want as many people as possible playing and
if you got deep pockets well and numerous times.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I wouldn't pay that much for one, but I'm
definitely entering numerous times for the thirty dollars one exactly.
Speaker 2: Yeah, right right, my wheelhouse, right, my wheelhouse.
Speaker 1: So all right, Dave Mason, everyone go check them out
at bet online dot ag one of the best sports books.
Speaker 2: I use it every single week.
Speaker 1: Let's do a breakdown on the main event at UFC
Abu Dhabi. We're talking Robert Whittaker and Rainier de Ritter here.
Interesting match up here because it really is kind of
a striker versus a wrestler grappler. Here, I'll break down Whittaker.
You know his most recent wins. He knocked out Ali
Scaroff with a vicious, vicious few punches, but Alice Garoff
was taking that fight on really short notice. Before that,
he beat Paul Acosta and in a decision, he beat
Marvin Vattori, I beat Kelvin Gastl and he beat Jared Kannonier.
Those guys are all strikers. You look at what happens
when he goes up against a wrestler and grappler. It
just doesn't go that well. For him, I mean Cosmo,
it comes out. Chamaiev is a completely different beast. Tomaiah
took him down and his basically ripped his face off,
like literally, Whittaker lost teeth.
Speaker 2: Duplus see he can do more of that. Uh, But
is Deritter on the same Is he on the same wavelength?
I don't think so. Not with Tamaiah, not with duple see,
not even close.
Speaker 1: He comes in and gets Gerald meershard and looks horrific
in the first round, and then he gets an arm
triangle late, but he was losing that one. Kevin Holland.
Kevin Holland mailed it in in that fight. And then yeah,
Bo Nichol has decided he's not a wrestler anymore. He
wants to like he wants to strike, Derittter just pushes
him up against the fence, works his body, and eventually
need of the body gets him out of there.
Speaker 2: So I think, if you're.
Speaker 1: Gonna play this fight, I think you play Whittaker by
knockout or Deritter by sub I will tell you my
favorite play in this one is actually a total. It's
the under. It's the under two and a half and
it's like minus one oh five at most places. So
I think Whittaker if he gets a striking going de
Ritter is done and Whittaker is shown he can knock
him out with his power like he showed against Alice Carraff.
The Ritter can absolutely submit. Guys, we've seen that before.
And Whitaker's weakness on the ground and to Ritter's slow
on the feet, I think the under two and a
half is way to go. Even though this is a
five round fight, I don't think it makes it uh
into the into the championship rounds. If I have to
pick a side, I think the values in the dog.
Believe it or not, I think it's the rider because
you have two such differing styles that one guy's style
is going.
Speaker 2: To overpower the other.
Speaker 1: And so I will take a little bit of sprinkle
on Deritter. But if you're gonna play to Ritter, play
him by finish or playing by some mission.
Speaker 2: So that's gonna be the official pick.
Speaker 1: Is gonna be the under two and a half with
a little sprinkle on Deritter.
Speaker 2: All right, that is going to do.
Speaker 1: It for us here on wager Talk today. Thank you
so much for joining us. Don't forget to hit that
like button comment give us your best, give us your
best whole code.
Speaker 2: Get memory down in the comment section below.
Speaker 1: I'm trying to think my I got, I got a few,
I got a few great whole Koga moments. To me,
it's always gonna be the slam of Andre the Giant
at WrestleMania.
Speaker 2: I'm always gonna remember that one.
Speaker 1: So tomorrow we're gonna have a very special photo involving
Hulk Hogan.
Speaker 2: We'll get that ready, but for now, hit.
Speaker 1: The like button and leave a comment, and thank you
so much for joining us.
Speaker 2: And don't forget to.
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thanks very much, good luck on your plays. We're gonna
get it on ready for the weekend tomorrow.
Speaker 2: Take care