1
00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:02,759
Speaker 1: All right, welcome into the best Betting show ever.

2
00:00:02,799 --> 00:00:04,759
Speaker 2: As we inch a little bit closer to the big

3
00:00:04,799 --> 00:00:10,960
game on Sunday, Joan area alongside Art does Caesar Steve Merrill.

4
00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:13,359
Coming up a little bit later here in the show,

5
00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:16,359
we're going to run down the latest on the Super

6
00:00:16,399 --> 00:00:20,640
Bowl market as well as the prop betting market. Art's

7
00:00:20,679 --> 00:00:24,160
going to have a few more of those, shall we say,

8
00:00:24,559 --> 00:00:25,559
big bet.

9
00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:28,280
Speaker 1: Props coming in there for you, so get ready.

10
00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:31,039
Speaker 2: Well, also, let you know what's happening in the other markets,

11
00:00:31,079 --> 00:00:35,920
college basketball, NBA, NHL and a parlay of the day,

12
00:00:36,039 --> 00:00:38,920
some best bets and we'll do our rundowns for you

13
00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:43,320
and Art come before the storm, right. Olympics already under

14
00:00:43,359 --> 00:00:47,799
the way, I believe the USA women's hockey team getting

15
00:00:47,799 --> 00:00:50,799
ready to go as the men have one more night

16
00:00:50,799 --> 00:00:54,719
in the NHL, and then of course after that they'll

17
00:00:54,759 --> 00:00:59,039
be flying out to take on hopefully Canada at some

18
00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,719
point here. But it should be a lot of fun.

19
00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,599
But in the meantime, what is the latest going on

20
00:01:04,879 --> 00:01:06,879
at the Westgate here? What do we need to know

21
00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:09,319
about the Super Bowl market?

22
00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:12,599
Speaker 3: Five and forty five and a half, Joe, we have

23
00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:14,760
not budged off that it feels like we've been there

24
00:01:14,799 --> 00:01:20,120
for the last week. You know, we've probably started to

25
00:01:20,159 --> 00:01:22,920
see a little bit more New England money than we

26
00:01:23,079 --> 00:01:26,959
have over this you know, first week or so, we're

27
00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:29,599
still you know, five to one ticket count on Seattle.

28
00:01:29,719 --> 00:01:34,400
So we're still buried ticket wise on Seattle. You know,

29
00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:36,159
as we look at this game, you know, as I

30
00:01:36,239 --> 00:01:38,959
mentioned early, I think last week, we do really well

31
00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:41,719
in New England. In the future market do pretty well

32
00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:44,200
in Seattle. But New England is a really really good

33
00:01:44,799 --> 00:01:46,719
win for us. If they do win the Super Bowl,

34
00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:49,719
We're gonna need New England in the game. It feels like,

35
00:01:50,159 --> 00:01:53,599
unless something really dramatically changes here, because like I said,

36
00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:55,959
it feels like the sharps and the public are both

37
00:01:55,959 --> 00:01:58,760
lined up on Seattle. People are still not nibbling on

38
00:01:58,799 --> 00:02:01,920
our money line, the highest out there plus two dollars.

39
00:02:02,319 --> 00:02:05,280
So listen, a lot can change. You know, we could

40
00:02:05,319 --> 00:02:07,920
be sitting here Sunday morning and a lot changes. But

41
00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,039
as we're sitting here Thursday morning, not much has changed

42
00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:12,240
here in these last three or four.

43
00:02:12,199 --> 00:02:12,879
Speaker 1: Days, you know.

44
00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:15,800
Speaker 2: And I love when the leagues come out and the

45
00:02:15,879 --> 00:02:19,639
reports you know, by parliam and everyone else, like, oh

46
00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,560
we got a million dollar bet on Seattle. We got

47
00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,400
a million dollar bet on the Patriots, and yet I'm

48
00:02:25,439 --> 00:02:27,280
looking at the going, well.

49
00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,080
Speaker 1: That didn't move very much. Huh uh.

50
00:02:29,439 --> 00:02:32,840
Speaker 2: That's we got million dollar bets, six figure bets coming

51
00:02:32,879 --> 00:02:35,719
in left and right, art and nothing's moving.

52
00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,479
Speaker 1: I'm like, wait a minute, but what does that mean?

53
00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:39,000
What is that?

54
00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:42,360
Speaker 2: Well, it means art once again, and it's bears repeating

55
00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:45,759
just because you're coming up to the window with you know,

56
00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:50,000
six seven figure bets. Yeah, it doesn't mean you're gonna

57
00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:53,479
be influencing the market in any way, shape or form.

58
00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:55,520
Speaker 4: No, that's true.

59
00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:59,960
Speaker 3: I mean when it comes to the super Bowl, outside

60
00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:04,240
of maybe a couple of names who are going to

61
00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:07,360
make that bet, the super Bowl, a line's really not

62
00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:09,960
going to be influenced much, you know.

63
00:03:10,039 --> 00:03:12,360
Speaker 4: I mean it's not Week six, correct.

64
00:03:12,199 --> 00:03:14,000
Speaker 3: You know, It's not like when someone comes up and

65
00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:16,879
that's fifty k, you know, on a Week six game,

66
00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:19,439
then you really are like, okay, we got to put

67
00:03:19,479 --> 00:03:21,000
you know, the super Bowl.

68
00:03:21,039 --> 00:03:22,479
Speaker 4: It's hard to say, like we're.

69
00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:25,599
Speaker 3: Booking to this action because there's just so much action

70
00:03:25,759 --> 00:03:29,599
and the majority of its public. So it's just such

71
00:03:29,599 --> 00:03:33,680
a different game and such a different exercise to book

72
00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:35,719
a super Bowl compared to anything else.

73
00:03:35,879 --> 00:03:39,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, don't get caught up with the oh dude put

74
00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:43,159
a million dollars down, like yeah, okay, so what nobody

75
00:03:43,199 --> 00:03:48,439
cares here, But we do anticipate volume will begin to increase,

76
00:03:48,599 --> 00:03:52,520
probably later today into tomorrow ART, So we'll have a

77
00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,240
final look tomorrow see if there's anything coming in that's

78
00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:59,280
going to move the needle one way or the other side.

79
00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:01,520
You're still laying to a beating four and a half. Five.

80
00:04:01,639 --> 00:04:03,479
Speaker 1: It is what it is. Total.

81
00:04:03,599 --> 00:04:06,840
Speaker 2: We do still anticipate ART that we're gonna get maybe

82
00:04:06,879 --> 00:04:10,080
a little more over money is certainly over tickets, So

83
00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,639
one way or the other, we're likely not gonna land

84
00:04:13,719 --> 00:04:15,840
forty five. Would you bet on that?

85
00:04:17,639 --> 00:04:17,839
Speaker 4: Yeah?

86
00:04:17,879 --> 00:04:18,279
Speaker 1: I would.

87
00:04:18,439 --> 00:04:21,319
Speaker 3: And like I said, the our forty five was there

88
00:04:21,319 --> 00:04:23,360
for a little bit. Now we're forty five and a half,

89
00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:25,839
I really expect us to go up. I think we'll

90
00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,720
get you know, maybe we could get back to our

91
00:04:28,759 --> 00:04:30,439
opening number of forty six and a half, but I

92
00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,120
definitely think we're gonna see forty six at some point.

93
00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:35,120
Speaker 4: And you know, it's just one of those.

94
00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:38,199
Speaker 3: Things where you're gonna get so much public money on

95
00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:40,839
the over that you're not gonna be worried if a

96
00:04:40,879 --> 00:04:43,360
sharp guy comes and hit you on under forty six,

97
00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:46,240
because they're gonna be overwhelmed by the public money on

98
00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:48,680
the over. So it's gonna be fine to kind of

99
00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:49,399
book it that way.

100
00:04:49,759 --> 00:04:53,360
Speaker 2: Love it all right, So we've got side and total. Now,

101
00:04:53,399 --> 00:04:56,720
of course, time to talk about the big prop moves here.

102
00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:57,160
Speaker 1: Art.

103
00:04:57,199 --> 00:05:00,079
Speaker 2: You've been giving us a handful of each day that

104
00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:02,879
you're seeing rolling in. So what do you got for

105
00:05:02,959 --> 00:05:04,480
us today in the prop betting margin?

106
00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,439
Speaker 3: This is gonna be the Hunter Henry day. He is

107
00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,959
very popular with the Sharps. They took over thirty eight

108
00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:14,879
and a half yards. They took over sixteen and a

109
00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:19,600
half his longest reception. And then we have some matchup props, Joe,

110
00:05:19,639 --> 00:05:21,800
which are a lot of fun. So we have Henry

111
00:05:21,879 --> 00:05:24,920
versus Cooper Cup. They laid three and a half yards

112
00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,279
and five and a half yards. That's up all the

113
00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:29,439
way to nine and a half yards. That is a

114
00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:32,680
prop where you are laying nine and a half yards

115
00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:36,319
with Henry against Cup to have more yards and Cup

116
00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:40,120
they did the same thing with Hunter Henry versus Kenneth Walker.

117
00:05:40,639 --> 00:05:43,560
They laid eleven and a half they laid thirteen and

118
00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:46,120
a half. We're now nineteen and a half on that.

119
00:05:46,319 --> 00:05:49,759
So Hunter Henry very popular with the Sharps and he's

120
00:05:49,759 --> 00:05:52,319
been pretty popular actually with the public too. For any

121
00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:55,519
time touchdowns, to be the first touchdown scorer, to be

122
00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:58,800
the first Patriots touchdown scorer. And then I'm gonna give

123
00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:02,720
you another kicking prop, Myers, the Seattle kicker. To have

124
00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,800
a fifty plus yard field goal.

125
00:06:05,079 --> 00:06:05,439
Speaker 4: Wow.

126
00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:09,120
Speaker 3: They took him at plus two fifty. We're now under

127
00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:12,319
two dollars on that. Plus one ninety to have a

128
00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,639
fifty yard plus field goal made in the game.

129
00:06:16,199 --> 00:06:17,759
Speaker 1: Wow. All right, So there you go.

130
00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:20,480
Speaker 2: And we've always said it, Art, We've been talking about that,

131
00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,759
that they may be the special teams props. Certainly from

132
00:06:23,759 --> 00:06:28,079
a kicking perspective. We're going to be very interesting moving forward,

133
00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:32,560
just simply because something tells me both these coaches they

134
00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,519
won't be throwing caution into win. Take the damn points

135
00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:38,360
in the Super Bowl, all right, and don't be going

136
00:06:38,399 --> 00:06:40,519
for it on fourth and four all the time. So

137
00:06:41,519 --> 00:06:44,519
how about Art. We did get some questions in the

138
00:06:44,639 --> 00:06:47,600
chat room, what are you seeing as far as the

139
00:06:47,639 --> 00:06:48,879
two quarterbacks go?

140
00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:51,519
Speaker 1: Any any action on the passing.

141
00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,160
Speaker 2: Do guys believe we're gonna get, you know, a big

142
00:06:54,519 --> 00:06:56,920
passing number passing yards over?

143
00:06:57,120 --> 00:06:58,959
Speaker 1: Are we getting unders there?

144
00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,560
Speaker 2: What are we seeing any sort of action regarding the

145
00:07:02,639 --> 00:07:04,040
quarterbacks and throwing the ball?

146
00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:07,959
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, the quarterback stuff has been kind of quiet,

147
00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:11,040
to be honest with you, as far as the throwing.

148
00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:13,000
Speaker 4: You know, as I mentioned yesterday, I believe.

149
00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,519
Speaker 3: Or maybe even the day before, Drake May very popular

150
00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:18,480
and is over rushing yards rushing attempts. So May's been

151
00:07:18,519 --> 00:07:22,639
popular with his legs. Donald's been popular under with his legs.

152
00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,680
But yeah, you know, the passing stuff is gonna be.

153
00:07:25,639 --> 00:07:27,079
Speaker 4: Public stuff for the most part.

154
00:07:27,319 --> 00:07:30,639
Speaker 3: They're gonna bet both quarterbacks over, both quarterbacks to throw,

155
00:07:31,199 --> 00:07:33,920
you know, over their touchdowns, and then you're gonna get

156
00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,879
into the index props where you could pick the exact

157
00:07:36,879 --> 00:07:39,759
amount of yards where you're like, okay, here's the range

158
00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:43,399
three hundred or three twenty two eighty two, Like you

159
00:07:43,519 --> 00:07:45,519
kind of have like a twenty yard range in these

160
00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:48,240
index props that you can bet you get nice odds

161
00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:50,560
on that same thing with the touchdowns, like well, Donald

162
00:07:50,639 --> 00:07:52,319
throw exactly three touchdowns.

163
00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:53,720
Speaker 4: Things of that nature.

164
00:07:53,759 --> 00:07:57,079
Speaker 3: If anything, the sharps go into those index props and

165
00:07:57,079 --> 00:08:00,639
they'll bet like zero. They'll be like, Okay, Sam Darnold

166
00:08:00,759 --> 00:08:04,519
zero touchdowns or Drake may zero touchdowns because they're just

167
00:08:04,639 --> 00:08:07,319
looking for a price, which they know the public's not

168
00:08:07,319 --> 00:08:10,480
gonna bet zero. The public's not interested in betting the

169
00:08:10,519 --> 00:08:13,040
quarterbacks that throw zero because that's not the type of

170
00:08:13,079 --> 00:08:14,560
game the public wants to see.

171
00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:14,839
Speaker 4: Ever.

172
00:08:15,279 --> 00:08:17,920
Speaker 3: They always want to see high scoring, you know, all

173
00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:20,000
that type of stuff. So yeah, you know what, I'll

174
00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:22,800
dive into a little bit more and if there are

175
00:08:22,839 --> 00:08:26,319
some passing props that I can mention tomorrow, I'll try

176
00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:26,680
to do that.

177
00:08:27,079 --> 00:08:30,639
Speaker 2: I you know, you mentioned Hunter and Henry getting a

178
00:08:30,639 --> 00:08:34,240
little bit of love here. You know, I've heard two

179
00:08:34,279 --> 00:08:37,159
different schools of thought, and I'm wondering what you're seeing

180
00:08:37,279 --> 00:08:40,519
regarding Varner on the other side of a J. Bonner

181
00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:43,080
on the other side, because the tight ends, I mean,

182
00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:45,440
you're talking about Bobo and we almost fell off the

183
00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:46,639
chair laughing yesterday.

184
00:08:46,639 --> 00:08:48,279
Speaker 1: It's hysterical that that's coming in.

185
00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,120
Speaker 2: But what about it, I mean outside of you know

186
00:08:52,279 --> 00:08:56,200
JSN for Seattle or is Cooper Kupp is the tight

187
00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:57,759
end getting any love here?

188
00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,399
Speaker 1: Or is everyone just folk on.

189
00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:04,159
Speaker 2: JSN on the Seattle side because he's the guy. Certainly

190
00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,759
the public, I would imagine it's just going to continue

191
00:09:06,799 --> 00:09:09,200
to bet him like he's going to be you know,

192
00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:11,639
Jerry Rice in the MVP across the board.

193
00:09:12,759 --> 00:09:15,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you know who the public is really all over.

194
00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:16,919
Speaker 4: They're betting Cooper Cup like he's the rams.

195
00:09:17,919 --> 00:09:20,679
Speaker 3: You know, I want to say, and I'll give you

196
00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:24,039
the full numbers tomorrow. I think right now on our

197
00:09:24,159 --> 00:09:28,799
anytime touchdown score, just ticket count, Cup is like in

198
00:09:28,879 --> 00:09:32,360
the top two or three. Wow, And listen, he's not

199
00:09:32,399 --> 00:09:34,120
a crazy Yeah, he's not a crazy It's not like

200
00:09:34,159 --> 00:09:36,480
he's twenty to one, right, you know, it's not like

201
00:09:36,519 --> 00:09:40,600
he's a crazy number. But the name Cooper Cup outside

202
00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:45,440
of you know, JSN tob A anytime touchdown score or

203
00:09:45,799 --> 00:09:49,159
you know, I don't know, Stevenson's getting some love for

204
00:09:49,279 --> 00:09:52,559
the Patriots, Cup is right there with ticket count. He's

205
00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,639
been very popular with the public. Yeah, I mean Cooper Cup.

206
00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:57,039
And even if you see a little bit of people

207
00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:58,840
sprinkling on him to win the MVP.

208
00:09:59,519 --> 00:10:02,279
Speaker 1: Ah, I love that. I love that a lot.

209
00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:05,440
Speaker 2: Here are you are those starting does the public dive

210
00:10:05,519 --> 00:10:09,480
into MVP That MVP of the game is because it's

211
00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:11,799
almost always a quarterback. We know that, but are we

212
00:10:11,879 --> 00:10:15,559
seeing love outside the quarterback? Possibly in this game since

213
00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:16,879
it's such a low total too.

214
00:10:17,799 --> 00:10:20,480
Speaker 3: What really happens with the MVP is, of course you're

215
00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:23,200
gonna get your tickets on both quarterbacks, but you really

216
00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:25,519
start to see everyone.

217
00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:27,519
Speaker 4: Take shots with the long shots long shots, you.

218
00:10:27,440 --> 00:10:31,000
Speaker 3: Know, and it's all five, ten, fifteen to twenty dollars bets.

219
00:10:31,399 --> 00:10:32,639
Speaker 4: I mentioned this last week.

220
00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:36,519
Speaker 3: Every defensive guy becomes popular, yep, because.

221
00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:37,759
Speaker 4: They're all at long odds.

222
00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:39,799
Speaker 3: You know, there's a lot of guys at one hundred,

223
00:10:39,799 --> 00:10:41,120
two hundred and three hundred to one.

224
00:10:41,519 --> 00:10:42,759
Speaker 4: I've mentioned before.

225
00:10:43,039 --> 00:10:45,399
Speaker 3: There's always a kicker that gets love, and this year

226
00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:48,519
will be the Seattle kicker. There's always a kicker that

227
00:10:48,519 --> 00:10:51,039
gets love in the MVP market. Obviously, a kicker has

228
00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,039
never won the MVP of the game. Obviously, defensive guys

229
00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:56,360
have won the thing that you don't see anymore because

230
00:10:56,399 --> 00:10:59,399
it hasn't happened since Terrell Davis. The running backs never

231
00:10:59,519 --> 00:11:02,919
win any yep, so they don't really get much love

232
00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:05,639
in the market. I mean, obviously, if Stevenson had like

233
00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:08,159
three touchdowns of the game, he would obviously have to

234
00:11:08,159 --> 00:11:09,240
be in the conversation here.

235
00:11:09,279 --> 00:11:10,320
Speaker 4: But that's the one thing.

236
00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:12,440
Speaker 3: You see the ticket count on the running backs to

237
00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:13,879
win the MVP very low.

238
00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:17,320
Speaker 2: Up there, you go, all right, worth taking a flyer here.

239
00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:21,799
Anything is possible, that is for sure, Art to Caesar

240
00:11:21,919 --> 00:11:24,559
here and Art. In addition, of course, in a big

241
00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:27,960
game on Sunday, the prop betting market, we still got

242
00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,279
college hoops, we still got NBA.

243
00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:32,399
Speaker 1: Will Jannis be traded? Will he not?

244
00:11:33,159 --> 00:11:35,440
Speaker 2: I bet you John Moran is going to be traded

245
00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:39,279
though before, maybe even before this show is over here.

246
00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:42,279
Speaker 1: Art, But how about the moves today?

247
00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,919
Speaker 2: You're getting a little less action because of all the

248
00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,720
uncertainty in the NBA, because yesterday was just over the top.

249
00:11:49,519 --> 00:11:52,120
You know, the market was moving left and right with

250
00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:55,320
the announcements going on. It's you know, usually I try

251
00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:59,759
to back off on days like this because the uncertainty

252
00:11:59,799 --> 00:12:00,639
is over the top.

253
00:12:00,799 --> 00:12:03,679
Speaker 4: Art, the uncertainty is over the top. But no, we

254
00:12:03,759 --> 00:12:04,840
have some NBA moves. You know.

255
00:12:04,879 --> 00:12:06,679
Speaker 3: We took some Mavericks money at plus seven and a

256
00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,399
half this morning they're playing the Spurs that's now six

257
00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:11,480
and a half. Took some money on the Hornets at

258
00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:13,320
plus three and a half for now two and a half.

259
00:12:13,639 --> 00:12:15,960
Took some good over money on the Hawks very high

260
00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:19,320
total two forty two. We're now two forty four and

261
00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:20,639
a half. So you've seen a two and a half

262
00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:23,519
point move there. When you go to the college basketball

263
00:12:23,919 --> 00:12:27,159
ton of action this morning, they took Idaho at plus four.

264
00:12:27,639 --> 00:12:30,480
They took cal riverside plus five and a half. They

265
00:12:30,480 --> 00:12:33,799
took Abilene Christian plus thirteen and a half. They laid

266
00:12:33,799 --> 00:12:36,679
three and a half with Marineck. They also took the

267
00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,519
over in the Memphis game over one fifty three, the

268
00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:42,440
under in the Denver game won sixty and a half,

269
00:12:42,639 --> 00:12:45,679
and the under in the Campbell game one forty three and.

270
00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:47,480
Speaker 1: A half, one forty three and a half.

271
00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:52,559
Speaker 2: There you go, all right, some college basketball, NBA, NHL action.

272
00:12:52,919 --> 00:12:55,720
All right, Art, You and I got destroyed in our

273
00:12:55,759 --> 00:12:56,720
partway of today.

274
00:12:57,200 --> 00:13:00,879
Speaker 1: Yesterday I knew I was. I was at the Panther game.

275
00:13:00,879 --> 00:13:04,080
Speaker 2: I should have just taken the Panthers last night to

276
00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:07,600
won a great one in a shootout, but they tonight

277
00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:11,519
you mentioned it. The Bruins were getting sharp love yesterday.

278
00:13:12,159 --> 00:13:14,840
Now they gotta hop on the road the Panthers and

279
00:13:14,879 --> 00:13:18,360
go up to Tampa, a pretty big game. It's always

280
00:13:18,399 --> 00:13:20,960
big between those two teams. You're getting any love one

281
00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:23,679
way or the other. Are we fading the Panthers again tonight?

282
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:25,200
Speaker 4: Yeah?

283
00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:27,960
Speaker 3: I mean Tampa will be very popular in the moneyline parlays.

284
00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:30,799
And you know, outside of when we get our sharp

285
00:13:30,919 --> 00:13:35,159
NHL action, most of our general public action in the

286
00:13:35,279 --> 00:13:38,519
NHL is parlays. There's a lot of parlays, a lot

287
00:13:38,519 --> 00:13:40,639
of people taking the two or three biggest favorites of

288
00:13:40,639 --> 00:13:43,039
the day parlaying them with maybe the two or three

289
00:13:43,120 --> 00:13:44,840
biggest favorites in the NBA.

290
00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:46,279
Speaker 4: So you get a lot of that.

291
00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,799
Speaker 3: You know what happens too if you know Tampa is

292
00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:51,720
that type of favorite, maybe there's a little bit of

293
00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:53,919
love of the three way. Yes, you know the sixty

294
00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:56,720
minute so you know, obviously you pay a cheaper price there,

295
00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:59,960
so maybe someone comes in and looks to take Tampa

296
00:14:00,159 --> 00:14:01,080
on that type of angle.

297
00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:03,639
Speaker 2: What you should be doing is looking for the biggest

298
00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:06,080
dogs of the night is what you should be doing,

299
00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:09,519
because inevitably you're gonna hit make some money on those.

300
00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:14,320
Speaker 1: All right, parley of the day here art, So kick

301
00:14:14,399 --> 00:14:15,519
us off? Here are you going?

302
00:14:15,639 --> 00:14:19,480
Speaker 2: NHL College hoops, NBA? What's your play for us here today?

303
00:14:20,279 --> 00:14:21,080
Speaker 4: I'm going NHL.

304
00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,519
Speaker 3: I'm gonna lay a minus one thirty five road favorite.

305
00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,840
Ottawa goes to Philly to end this little stretch for

306
00:14:26,919 --> 00:14:29,399
for the Olympics. Ottawa gets it done tonight.

307
00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:33,320
Speaker 2: Wo Ottawa getting it done here tonight. All right, I

308
00:14:33,399 --> 00:14:36,679
don't mind that one art actually at all.

309
00:14:37,519 --> 00:14:38,080
Speaker 1: It's funny.

310
00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:41,480
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the NBA here tonight. You mentioned

311
00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:45,360
the Hornets are getting some love, and they should be,

312
00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,720
although they just traded for some guys and all of

313
00:14:48,759 --> 00:14:50,399
a sudden, you know, you got a winning streak and

314
00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:53,000
now you got new faces in the locker room. That's

315
00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:57,120
interesting there. But I agree also with the market on

316
00:14:57,200 --> 00:15:00,000
the MAVs here because I do think the spar second

317
00:15:00,159 --> 00:15:03,320
of a back to back never easy playing old case,

318
00:15:03,519 --> 00:15:08,519
even though they've rested everybody. So I'm gonna follow suit.

319
00:15:08,559 --> 00:15:12,159
I'm gonna take the MAVs here tonight against the Spurs.

320
00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:16,200
I'll grab the points and Cooper Flagg is dropping thirty

321
00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:18,279
five forty points a game like he knows what he's

322
00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:22,720
doing here. Art should be very interesting moving forward. All right,

323
00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:26,600
we are a set here art ready to roll. Of course,

324
00:15:26,919 --> 00:15:29,480
we'll be back again tomorrow. You'll give us that final

325
00:15:29,879 --> 00:15:32,720
installment for the Super Bowl odds. We'll see if anything

326
00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:36,360
moves any of the big prop bet moves as well,

327
00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,759
So enjoy it. Art, always a pleasure, the calm before

328
00:15:39,799 --> 00:15:42,480
the storm. Get ready to pull that hair out, brother,

329
00:15:42,519 --> 00:15:44,759
because you know they're all showing up there over the

330
00:15:44,759 --> 00:15:45,840
next forty eight hours.

331
00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:49,519
Speaker 3: Yes, sir, listen, we'll have plenty to do tomorrow with

332
00:15:49,639 --> 00:15:52,159
the obviously the Super Bowl, a lot more props, and

333
00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:54,480
we are going to talk a little bit of MLB

334
00:15:54,639 --> 00:15:57,080
win totals. We have seen some moves off of our

335
00:15:57,120 --> 00:15:59,320
opening numbers, so we'll definitely do that tomorrow as well.

336
00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:04,120
Speaker 2: All always a pleasure art this Caesar again. We'll see

337
00:16:04,159 --> 00:16:08,639
him tomorrow with the final look into what's happening at

338
00:16:08,679 --> 00:16:13,039
the book for the big Game on Sunday. More props,

339
00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:17,840
of course, and all the latest information you need to know.

340
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,720
Make sure you hit that like button, hit that subscribe

341
00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:23,480
button if you haven't done so already. And of course

342
00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:26,879
knowledge is power, which is what it is all about.

343
00:16:26,919 --> 00:16:30,279
And speaking of knowledge, let's bring in our good friend

344
00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:31,720
mister double R one.

345
00:16:31,759 --> 00:16:33,879
Speaker 1: L Steve Merrill in the house.

346
00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,240
Speaker 2: Ready to go, All right, Steve, we got one more

347
00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:40,039
leg of a parlay of the day. We need to

348
00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:43,039
get from you. You were money on yours yesterday. Aren't

349
00:16:43,039 --> 00:16:46,559
and I sucked. But he's got an NHL game, I

350
00:16:46,639 --> 00:16:47,840
got an NBA game.

351
00:16:47,919 --> 00:16:49,679
Speaker 1: What are you going to make a third leg with

352
00:16:49,799 --> 00:16:50,639
for us here today?

353
00:16:51,759 --> 00:16:53,919
Speaker 5: Well, we'll go with the college basketball game to mix

354
00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:55,519
it up a little bit show and I'm gonna look

355
00:16:55,559 --> 00:16:57,720
at my neck of the woods. The CAA, the Colonial,

356
00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:01,399
not the Colonial, the Coastal Athletic Siation still the CIA,

357
00:17:01,519 --> 00:17:04,359
though as all their games not on Thursdays, they often do.

358
00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:06,880
And I think the best team of the conference might

359
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:09,200
be Hostro. They were the highest rated team coming into

360
00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:12,119
conference play and they just haven't performed as well as expected.

361
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:15,039
In fact, they had a five game losing streak that

362
00:17:15,079 --> 00:17:17,559
they finally snapped with a sixteen point road win on

363
00:17:17,599 --> 00:17:19,839
Saturday at Momoth. I think that might be the by

364
00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:24,160
sign with Hofstra terrible Northeastern defensive squad. Tonight, I looked

365
00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:26,319
for Hostra with a double digit win, lay the nine

366
00:17:26,319 --> 00:17:28,799
and a half with Hofstra at that's at seven Eastern.

367
00:17:28,599 --> 00:17:29,799
Speaker 1: Woo, get it done.

368
00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,839
Speaker 2: The pride getting it going here tonight. So there you

369
00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:36,400
got it, guys. A little parlay of the day, we'll

370
00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:39,960
drop in some of our favorite best bets of the day.

371
00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:43,519
We'll run down the NBA and college basketball for you

372
00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:47,440
on this Thursday, but Merril, a couple of days away

373
00:17:47,559 --> 00:17:52,920
from the big game, of course, Locked loaded over at

374
00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,720
wager talk dot com. What do you got going on

375
00:17:55,839 --> 00:18:00,119
for everyone here tonight? In fact, as in honor of

376
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,039
the press, it's always time for a little business.

377
00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:06,359
Speaker 5: Here, time for some business business in the front. It

378
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,279
can only imagine what the party in the back looks

379
00:18:08,319 --> 00:18:11,079
like in that photo. Beware, beware what you asked for?

380
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,160
He said he's going to bring out other costumes when

381
00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:15,119
he returns from his ski trip. That looks like a

382
00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:19,039
ski bib a ste when it's like fifty or sixty degrees.

383
00:18:19,079 --> 00:18:21,039
So hopefully he's got some nice cold weather because it's

384
00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:23,200
better for skiing, but more importantly, it's better for the

385
00:18:23,200 --> 00:18:25,759
other skiers not to have to see that outfit. We

386
00:18:25,799 --> 00:18:28,400
do have a strong best bet tonight in the NBA,

387
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,799
also a strong college hoops play, and my Super Bowl

388
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:32,720
sixty best bet is locked and load. It's been up

389
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:35,000
there now for a week and there's still excellent line

390
00:18:35,079 --> 00:18:37,720
value in my top play for Super Bowl sixties don't

391
00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:41,119
sleep on that college basketball, Pro basketball, and the NFL

392
00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:44,119
three plays tonight. Now you can buy him a la carte,

393
00:18:44,559 --> 00:18:46,079
or of course you can get the super Bowl to

394
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:49,279
super Bowl special and get tonight free, and get Friday

395
00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:51,240
free and Saturday free, because when you buy the super

396
00:18:51,279 --> 00:18:52,839
Bowl to Super Bowl you get the rest of this

397
00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:55,279
week in advance for free. That works out to about

398
00:18:55,279 --> 00:18:58,680
a dollar a play for every football, basketball and baseball

399
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:01,119
best bet for the next year plus. And oh, by

400
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:02,839
the way, Joe, we won again last night in the

401
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,799
NBA over a sixty two percent run the past couple months,

402
00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,559
number one all the time in the NBA, justus smoking them.

403
00:19:08,559 --> 00:19:10,440
I think it's now forty and twenty four run the

404
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:13,440
last couple months in the Association. Oh by the way, Joe,

405
00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,039
bonus free play, which I'm not giving out here on

406
00:19:16,079 --> 00:19:19,240
the show, a bonus free college basketball play for tonight

407
00:19:19,279 --> 00:19:21,359
on Thursday on my page, So that reason alone to

408
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,240
go there. Get the daily free play, check out the

409
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,480
best bets and the special offers. Is also a by

410
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:28,759
ten days for the price of seven. If you want

411
00:19:28,759 --> 00:19:31,720
something a little bit smaller, Steve Merrillwager Talk dot com

412
00:19:31,839 --> 00:19:34,440
WT dot slash sm.

413
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,759
Speaker 2: Is the way to do it, Steve, All right, lockloaded guys,

414
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:42,480
four percent NBA, four percent college basketball, and our five

415
00:19:42,519 --> 00:19:47,720
percent super Bowl max bet is available up at wager

416
00:19:47,799 --> 00:19:51,519
talk dot com. Included a whole bunch of prop bets

417
00:19:51,559 --> 00:19:54,759
that I like that you can go grab in that

418
00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:58,240
play as well. But like Steve said, take advantage of

419
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,720
you know, the ten days for I mean the deals

420
00:20:01,759 --> 00:20:03,759
they got going on at wage and Talk right now,

421
00:20:03,799 --> 00:20:06,119
even super Bowl to super Bowl for ninety nine bucks

422
00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,440
a month. It's all about a long term investment, guys.

423
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,519
That's what it's always about here if you want to

424
00:20:13,559 --> 00:20:17,480
go ahead and profit on a consistent basis. So we've

425
00:20:17,519 --> 00:20:20,680
got plays locked and loaded ready to go there tonight, Marill,

426
00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:22,799
why don't we start with a couple of best bets

427
00:20:22,839 --> 00:20:27,680
we like to night? And something tells me you might

428
00:20:27,839 --> 00:20:31,400
head back to your alma monta Cia. There, Am I correct?

429
00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:34,440
Speaker 1: Here? Where are you going for a best bet here today?

430
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:35,920
Speaker 6: Yeah?

431
00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:37,720
Speaker 5: We're gonna stick in my neck of the woods with

432
00:20:37,799 --> 00:20:40,400
more CAAA action here. And this is another situation in

433
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,519
which I think we get the better team, but unlike

434
00:20:42,559 --> 00:20:44,240
the Hawks are playing, which I think we're getting a

435
00:20:44,319 --> 00:20:46,359
team that's maybe gonna break out, got to win by

436
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:49,519
double digits. I'm gonna look at a better team focused

437
00:20:49,519 --> 00:20:52,599
spot in a basic straight up win situation, and that's

438
00:20:52,599 --> 00:20:56,720
what the Phoenix of Elon Elon University minus the one

439
00:20:56,799 --> 00:20:59,559
one and a half see a little bit of a

440
00:20:59,599 --> 00:20:59,960
two out.

441
00:21:00,079 --> 00:21:01,440
Speaker 6: There's some other ones one and a half.

442
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:03,119
Speaker 5: So we'll say Elon minus one and a half is

443
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:06,359
the consensus number at Hampton seven o'clock Eastern. This really

444
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,519
is in my neck of the woods, closest game for

445
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:12,240
me tonight, and Hampton is mediocre at best. They're able

446
00:21:12,279 --> 00:21:14,920
to hold their own occasionally in CAA action. But Elon's

447
00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:18,039
the superior team here and this should be a focused spot.

448
00:21:18,079 --> 00:21:19,759
As they're coming off a bad loss at home against

449
00:21:19,759 --> 00:21:23,480
Stony Brook on Saturday. Keep in mind though they had

450
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:26,559
beaten Willm and Mary a couple nights earlier, big upset

451
00:21:26,559 --> 00:21:28,480
home dog win against the Tribe, a game which they

452
00:21:28,519 --> 00:21:30,759
trailed the majority of the game came from behind to win.

453
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:32,680
I think they just came in a little bit flat

454
00:21:32,759 --> 00:21:35,160
last Saturday against Stony Brook. I look for them to

455
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:38,079
get back on track now well rested, short road trip

456
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,759
over the state border up to Virginia to play Hampton,

457
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:43,359
and there's also a matchup edge I like in this game,

458
00:21:43,839 --> 00:21:47,359
which I'll talk about here with Elon. Elon's weakness is

459
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,680
they give up a lot of three pointers. First of all,

460
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:51,880
they're three point they give up almost as much as

461
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,119
any team in the country. About half the opponent's shots

462
00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:56,039
come from three point range, and they don't defend it

463
00:21:56,079 --> 00:21:58,480
well either. But Hampton is one of the worst three

464
00:21:58,519 --> 00:22:00,920
point shooting teams in the country. It's not an understatement.

465
00:22:00,960 --> 00:22:03,720
There are three hundred and sixty five teams in Division

466
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,599
one basketball and Hampton is shooting twenty eight percent from

467
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:09,720
three point range. That ranks three hundred and fifty sixth

468
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:12,359
out of three sixty five. So they are as bad

469
00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:14,480
shooting the ball as anybody in the country. So I

470
00:22:14,519 --> 00:22:17,759
don't think they can take advantage of Elon's weakness. Elon

471
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:20,440
the much better offensive team here, and I always like

472
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:22,960
good offenses on the road because they can score. And

473
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:24,759
I think Elon will be able to score at will

474
00:22:24,799 --> 00:22:26,759
in this game from bus two and three point range

475
00:22:26,759 --> 00:22:28,920
and they'll be focused tonight. Hey, straight up win situation,

476
00:22:29,039 --> 00:22:31,559
good matchup with the better team. I like Elon minus

477
00:22:31,559 --> 00:22:33,160
one and a half at seven Eastern.

478
00:22:33,039 --> 00:22:37,880
Speaker 2: Woo elon getting it done here tonight. Love that, of course,

479
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,519
i'd want to say, as William and Mary Tribe are

480
00:22:40,559 --> 00:22:45,599
also in tonight here bots. I am also going to

481
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:51,039
go Steve, I think in the college basketball direction, and

482
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,880
I am going to take a look at how about

483
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:58,400
Northern Arizona right now getting seven and a half. It's

484
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:01,680
a battle for the bottom of the Big Sky Conference.

485
00:23:01,759 --> 00:23:03,519
Huh watch a lot of Big Sky do you know

486
00:23:03,599 --> 00:23:08,240
you don't Northern Arizona taking on Idaho State. Northern Arizona

487
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:11,279
sitting at eight and fifteen and oh yeah, by the way,

488
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:15,480
oh and nine in road games, however, they have been

489
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:19,640
an ATM machine. They have covered eleven games here in

490
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:22,680
Idaho State, by the way, is not killing people. Ten

491
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,279
and thirteen on a season. They are six and three

492
00:23:25,319 --> 00:23:28,720
at home, but they've lost their last five games, and

493
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:29,920
the last four of them, by.

494
00:23:29,799 --> 00:23:32,880
Speaker 1: The way, coming on the road here, hintint.

495
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,920
Speaker 2: These two teams already played last month in Flagstaff, with

496
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:40,920
Idaho State barely winning eighty one to seventy nine. Bus

497
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,319
didn't cover the four and a half spread, So I'm

498
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:48,000
not quite sure exactly where we're getting this number from.

499
00:23:48,039 --> 00:23:51,640
But shooting is not a problem for Northern Arizona. They

500
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,960
had forty seven percent from the field. They're almost close

501
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:57,400
to thirty eight percent from three point range.

502
00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:00,799
Speaker 1: Now, I'll take the points Arizona.

503
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,759
Speaker 2: They may not win, but they are likely going to

504
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:08,799
keep this a very close game against Idaho State here tonight, Merril, huh, well,

505
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:10,519
big sky action, what do you think?

506
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:11,640
Speaker 6: Yeah?

507
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:13,599
Speaker 5: I like where you're going there, And it's funny. I

508
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:15,079
look at these two teams. They are two of the

509
00:24:15,079 --> 00:24:18,640
worst defensive teams in the country in the three hundreds

510
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:21,839
in efficiency, and both offenses are actually like middle of

511
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,400
the packs. And like you said, they're not terrible offenses.

512
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,960
Yet the totals held steady around one two and a half.

513
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,000
You're thinking, oh, maybe an over. But then you look

514
00:24:30,039 --> 00:24:32,720
at the tempo ratio of these two teams, Joe, they're

515
00:24:32,759 --> 00:24:34,960
both in the three thirties. They're two of the slowest

516
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,920
half court teams in the country, so they both like

517
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,839
to play this slow style. They both have terrible defenses,

518
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:42,920
so makes sense why that total hasn't moved by to night.

519
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:44,960
So I think you're probably better off, as you said,

520
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,519
looking at the side. One thing I will point out,

521
00:24:47,599 --> 00:24:49,440
Idaho State gets a lot of their points from the

522
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,720
free throw line and Northern Arizona. The one thing they

523
00:24:52,759 --> 00:24:55,720
do well is not putting their opponent on the charity stripe, right,

524
00:24:55,799 --> 00:24:57,359
So that does bode well for you as the big

525
00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:57,880
dogs night.

526
00:24:57,920 --> 00:24:59,279
Speaker 6: Also, yeah, I'll.

527
00:24:59,039 --> 00:25:00,400
Speaker 1: Take the points all day.

528
00:25:00,559 --> 00:25:04,599
Speaker 2: They guys, got a couple of best bets here for today.

529
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,640
Don't forget to hit that like button, end to subscribe

530
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,319
button for you, Meryl. Before we dive into the NBA

531
00:25:11,559 --> 00:25:14,440
college basketball rundowns, we'll cover a couple of games here

532
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:19,440
on the board the Super Bowl. Talk to Art earlier,

533
00:25:19,559 --> 00:25:21,359
they are still holding strong.

534
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 1: Four and a half and five.

535
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:26,599
Speaker 2: We are still He's up to forty five and a

536
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,640
half now for the total, still a lot of forty fives.

537
00:25:30,039 --> 00:25:33,039
It appears not only Art, but a lot of the

538
00:25:33,079 --> 00:25:37,279
guys in the risk rooms they feel over money is

539
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:40,440
still coming in here, but over the next twenty four

540
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:43,440
to forty eight hours. I guess the big question is

541
00:25:44,079 --> 00:25:46,559
are we really getting over four and a half for five?

542
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,240
I mean, is it likely to go closer to New England,

543
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:52,079
closer to Seattle or are we looking at four and

544
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,359
a half or five one way or the other at this.

545
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:58,599
Speaker 5: Point, Well, bet three six five, at least according to

546
00:25:58,599 --> 00:26:00,240
the Odds Logic screen, is dealing a five five and

547
00:26:00,279 --> 00:26:02,440
a half. Well, they're a little bit of a public book,

548
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:04,440
you know, so that's not a surprise, and they also

549
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,240
have been known to limit winners from what I've heard.

550
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:08,240
I don't want to disparage them here, but that's what

551
00:26:08,279 --> 00:26:11,160
I've been told, so you know, that tells me once

552
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:13,279
again that Seattle is the public side, because the best

553
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,920
number I can find out here on the odds Logic screen.

554
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:17,640
By the way, I anybody like to try odds Logic

555
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:19,359
for free for seven days is a free link on

556
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:21,920
my page at wager talk dot com, and they do

557
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:23,440
have the props and everything, So it might be a

558
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,000
good weekend to try that free seven day trial because

559
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:27,200
you can look at all these numbers that Joe and

560
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:29,519
I are looking at. But I do see a five

561
00:26:29,559 --> 00:26:31,039
and a half at bet three sixty five, which is

562
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,599
kind of the outlier of the Westgate. You know, Arts

563
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:35,279
mentioned that they're getting a lot of Seattle money. They

564
00:26:35,279 --> 00:26:37,880
are standing at five, but a lot of books around

565
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:40,200
the world, including FanDuel and DraftKings, are four and a half,

566
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,799
but they're juiced minus one twelve minus one fifteen. So

567
00:26:43,799 --> 00:26:45,640
if you like Seattle, the four and a half looks

568
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,319
like the way to go. And it's really actually hard

569
00:26:47,319 --> 00:26:48,960
to find a four and a half flat anymore. There's

570
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,079
a lot of fives out there. Four and a half

571
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,000
juice if you like the Patriots. Probably not in a

572
00:26:54,039 --> 00:26:56,559
hurry right now, maybe grab that five and a half.

573
00:26:56,559 --> 00:26:58,359
But five is kind of a dead number, right So

574
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,359
do you possibly see a six with us outlier book,

575
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,119
you know, on Sunday? I guess it's possible. So I

576
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,279
think you played Seattle sooner than later. You played New

577
00:27:06,279 --> 00:27:09,799
England later, And same thing with the over under. We're

578
00:27:09,799 --> 00:27:12,480
seeing a few forty fives out there. The circa in Vegas,

579
00:27:12,519 --> 00:27:15,200
a fairly sharp book, does have a forty five. Everybody

580
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:17,960
else pretty much has forty five and a halves. Hard

581
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:19,559
for me to imagine the public won't come in a

582
00:27:19,599 --> 00:27:21,839
little bit on the over although, Joe, these are two

583
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,079
of the top defensive teams in the NFL, so I

584
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:27,559
don't know how that plays in the equation. Obviously, everybody

585
00:27:27,599 --> 00:27:29,799
realizes that New England Denver game was kind of a junk,

586
00:27:29,839 --> 00:27:32,119
low scoring game because you had a backup quarterback, you

587
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:35,720
had snow. The Seattle ram game was fairly open with

588
00:27:35,759 --> 00:27:38,759
the scoring. I would expect that total to rise back up.

589
00:27:38,839 --> 00:27:40,839
I think forty five will be the lowest total we

590
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:41,960
see any point this week.

591
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you. I think that's it. It

592
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:49,079
ain't gonna go any lower than that in this one here,

593
00:27:49,759 --> 00:27:52,440
all right, guys, we got much more to get to here.

594
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:55,279
We're going to start, of course with the n B

595
00:27:55,759 --> 00:27:59,799
A Meryl and the NBA. Of course we are coming

596
00:27:59,839 --> 00:28:02,759
up on at three o'clock Eastern time deadline.

597
00:28:02,799 --> 00:28:04,279
Speaker 1: Where well, if.

598
00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,640
Speaker 2: You're still on the team at three on one Eastern,

599
00:28:06,799 --> 00:28:08,359
while you're gonna be on the team, and it looks

600
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:12,920
like you're honest, will remain a Milwaukee Buck here, Meryll,

601
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:15,799
not not moving. I don't think he actually sees the

602
00:28:15,839 --> 00:28:18,720
court again this season. I think they'll just shut him

603
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:23,640
down with the calf injury moving forward. But John Moran

604
00:28:23,839 --> 00:28:25,920
still looks to be on a team here, Meryl, And

605
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,400
I'm shocked at Memphis hasn't been able to get rid

606
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,359
of them, because they have been shopping him for a while,

607
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:34,480
but they've lowered the asking price. Do you think he

608
00:28:34,599 --> 00:28:38,039
remains in Memphis here after they've gotten rid of everyone else.

609
00:28:39,799 --> 00:28:42,359
Speaker 5: Why don't they package James Harden and John Moran. You

610
00:28:42,359 --> 00:28:44,240
can have the worst two some trade in the history

611
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,640
of the NBA. I just don't get it. One thing

612
00:28:46,799 --> 00:28:48,799
things jump out to me. Know, as handicappers, we look

613
00:28:48,799 --> 00:28:50,400
at things differently, Joan, When you and I used to

614
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:52,440
do the NBA Show all the time a few years ago,

615
00:28:52,839 --> 00:28:54,759
you know, Moran was hurt for half that season with

616
00:28:54,759 --> 00:28:56,960
the Grizzlies, and the Grizzlies had a better record. They

617
00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:59,039
were over seventy percent that year with him out of

618
00:28:59,039 --> 00:29:02,640
the lineup on like thirty some games, right, So that's

619
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,400
a red flag for me. And you know, it's the

620
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,400
same thing like in college football. I remember, you know,

621
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:09,960
like RG three wins the Heisman at Baylor, he goes

622
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:11,599
to the NFL. He has a great rookie season, but

623
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,279
then the new quarterback at Baylor breaks all the records

624
00:29:14,359 --> 00:29:16,160
or comes close or whatever. That makes you think it's

625
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,279
the system, right and not the player. And I've always

626
00:29:19,279 --> 00:29:21,480
said Harden is vastly overrated for the same reason. We

627
00:29:21,559 --> 00:29:24,519
joked about that yesterday, Like go have them Cleveland, you're

628
00:29:24,559 --> 00:29:26,799
a contender team. I know they have to shake things up.

629
00:29:26,799 --> 00:29:30,119
The Caves have underperformed this year, But Harden's not the answer.

630
00:29:30,319 --> 00:29:32,720
The guy's all offense, no defense, and now he's aging,

631
00:29:33,079 --> 00:29:36,119
his defense isn't getting better. And in playoff playoff time, Hey,

632
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,400
the Oklahoma City's under the best team in the NBA

633
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:40,519
defensively the last couple of years. We saw how dominant

634
00:29:40,559 --> 00:29:43,359
they were last year. So I think Moran falls into

635
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:45,920
that same category. A great, flashy offensive guy, not a

636
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,559
good defensive guy. And there wasn't a lot of drop

637
00:29:48,599 --> 00:29:50,920
off when he's been out over the years, So not

638
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:53,240
a surprise to me that they're having a difficult time

639
00:29:53,279 --> 00:29:55,279
moving them. And I think there's also a little bit

640
00:29:55,319 --> 00:29:58,480
of a concern with the mindset there as well. It

641
00:29:58,519 --> 00:30:00,279
feels like he's wanted to be out of Memph for

642
00:30:00,319 --> 00:30:02,319
several years, and I think that concerns what every team

643
00:30:02,359 --> 00:30:03,839
picks him up, is he gonna want to be away

644
00:30:03,839 --> 00:30:06,079
from your team, just like Harden kind of seems to

645
00:30:06,119 --> 00:30:07,759
want to be away from his team every other year.

646
00:30:08,079 --> 00:30:10,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, he is not a locker room guy. I mean,

647
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:14,759
it doesn't shock me at all that why would you

648
00:30:15,119 --> 00:30:16,799
try to bring him in at this point in the

649
00:30:16,839 --> 00:30:21,200
season if you're a contender. Good luck with that here.

650
00:30:21,279 --> 00:30:24,279
But we do have some games that have seen quite

651
00:30:24,279 --> 00:30:27,079
a bit of movement. We're also seeing a whole lot

652
00:30:27,079 --> 00:30:31,119
of games here merrill with a huge, huge spread. So

653
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:34,359
let's go ahead and started off with that game up

654
00:30:34,359 --> 00:30:38,000
at the top of the board with Brooklyn at Orlando. Listen,

655
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:40,359
Orlando at this point can't hit water if they fell

656
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:41,079
out of a boat.

657
00:30:41,119 --> 00:30:43,519
Speaker 1: They are a hot mess, to say the least.

658
00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:48,240
Speaker 2: But they are taking on a Nets team that specializes

659
00:30:48,279 --> 00:30:51,200
in getting blown out here most of the week. It

660
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:53,079
opened up at eleven and a half. It's down to

661
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:55,200
nine and a half to total is creeping up a

662
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:58,720
little bit. Two fifteen's available. I can't think of a

663
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:03,799
worse team than the Magic to hope to cover by

664
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:07,960
margin here, not with my money. And the Pistons red

665
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:12,000
hot here, but they're laying two touchdowns against whatever the

666
00:31:12,079 --> 00:31:15,200
Wizards are doing. I have no idea. All they're doing

667
00:31:15,279 --> 00:31:19,880
is collecting a bunch of aging, overpriced veterans who can't

668
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:21,000
play it because they're hurt.

669
00:31:21,079 --> 00:31:22,079
Speaker 1: Good luck with that.

670
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:26,359
Speaker 2: But Detroit opened up as a seventeen point favorite, down

671
00:31:26,359 --> 00:31:28,880
to fourteen and a half. You got the bulls who

672
00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:32,079
made some trades there. Looking at the Raptors. Raptors, second

673
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,799
night of a back to back, tough loss for them

674
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:38,559
last night. They are laying eight and a half here tonight,

675
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:40,839
but no way, I'm sweating out an under in that game,

676
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,559
one way or the other. Jazz and the Hawks, Merril,

677
00:31:43,599 --> 00:31:46,960
we got the Hawks getting nothing but money here today.

678
00:31:47,079 --> 00:31:50,319
They're also laying close to double digits. They opened up

679
00:31:50,319 --> 00:31:53,119
as a ten point favorite, but it looks like it's

680
00:31:53,119 --> 00:31:55,960
creeped down a little bit. I'm seeing nines against that

681
00:31:56,039 --> 00:32:00,799
new look Jazz team. Charlotte at Houston, it's kind of

682
00:32:00,799 --> 00:32:03,359
gone back and forth. You're getting Charlotte money, you got

683
00:32:03,440 --> 00:32:06,440
Houston money. Opened up in Houston at five. Now we're

684
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:10,839
seeing fours here. Charlotte red hot, Houston, second of a

685
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:13,960
back to back, third game in four nights. Not a

686
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:17,480
great spot for Houston. San Antonio and Dallas. We're starting

687
00:32:17,519 --> 00:32:20,039
to see nothing but San Antonio money. Up to seven,

688
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:24,440
seven and a half. Why San Antonio just played OKC

689
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,559
last night. I like the way Cooper Flag is going

690
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,799
Golden State and Phoenix five and a half. Who's playing

691
00:32:30,839 --> 00:32:33,599
for Golden State? To have no idea would be Phoenix

692
00:32:33,599 --> 00:32:36,920
sur passed and the Lakers can't beat teams over five

693
00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:39,880
hundred Merril, so I have absolutely no intention of betting

694
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:45,039
them tonight against the over five hundred Philadelphia seventy sixers.

695
00:32:45,079 --> 00:32:47,640
So which one of these games surprised you the most?

696
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,480
Some of these numbers Merril seventeen points for Detroit opened

697
00:32:51,559 --> 00:32:52,799
up overnight is absurd.

698
00:32:54,279 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 5: Yeah, So I'm gonna do a double video here later

699
00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:59,079
this afternoon, get as close to the trade deadline as

700
00:32:59,079 --> 00:33:01,039
Possible'll probably put it a little bit before to make

701
00:33:01,039 --> 00:33:02,839
sure nothing happens. But I will have two of those

702
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:04,720
national TV ands with the later games. I'll have a

703
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:08,000
Spurs Mavericks preview and also a Warrior Sun's preview on Prime.

704
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:10,279
People want me to do the Prime Games Joe on

705
00:33:10,319 --> 00:33:12,319
Thursday because we went sixteen and three in the NFL,

706
00:33:12,359 --> 00:33:13,920
so they're going to I'll do a video for that

707
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:17,279
Warriors Suns game. But, like you said, difficult to handicap

708
00:33:17,279 --> 00:33:18,880
a lot of these games tonight, so I'll have some

709
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,079
info on that. Some of the other games you mentioned,

710
00:33:21,079 --> 00:33:22,920
we'll look at those Wizards plus the fourteen and a

711
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,240
half fifteen. You know, they were so bad out of

712
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:26,839
the gate and they went on that run. They've still

713
00:33:26,839 --> 00:33:29,519
covered for their last six and the Pistons are coming

714
00:33:29,599 --> 00:33:31,640
off a win, so you know, it's not exactly a

715
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,400
huge focused spot for him. So not surprised to see

716
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,480
that line drop from the opener of seventeen. You mentioned

717
00:33:37,599 --> 00:33:39,960
Orlando Brooklyn. That's such a low total. It's the lowest

718
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,039
total on the board, along with the Golden State Phoenix

719
00:33:42,079 --> 00:33:44,519
game to fourteen and a half two to fifteen. But

720
00:33:44,559 --> 00:33:47,119
what jumps out to me about that game Both Brooklyn

721
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,240
and Orlando they're playing terrible defense. Both have given up

722
00:33:50,279 --> 00:33:52,240
over fifty percent in almost every one of their games

723
00:33:52,279 --> 00:33:55,440
over the last couple of weeks, and yet the Magic

724
00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:58,240
are on like a four to one underrun. Just wondering

725
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,599
if maybe we're getting some reverse ve value now with

726
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:03,079
the over in that game. So I'd actually take a

727
00:34:03,119 --> 00:34:06,519
look at over two fifteen between Brooklyn and Orlando, two

728
00:34:06,519 --> 00:34:09,119
bad defenses and live very low barrier to get up

729
00:34:09,119 --> 00:34:11,480
and over And kind of talked about this yesterday. You know,

730
00:34:11,559 --> 00:34:13,880
this time of the week, with the trade deadline approach

731
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,480
in the NBA All Star Game around the corner, got

732
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:17,880
to be careful for some of these games. When teams

733
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:20,599
aren't focused, I think that leads to less defense. More

734
00:34:20,639 --> 00:34:24,480
offense and a playground mentality, so always looking for reasons

735
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:26,239
of playovers in some of these games. I think that

736
00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:29,039
Brooklyn Orlando one might be a game that gets a

737
00:34:29,039 --> 00:34:30,559
little higher score than people expect.

738
00:34:30,679 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, even for Orlando, who who been a

739
00:34:34,559 --> 00:34:39,880
rough go for them for sure. Meryl College basketball interesting

740
00:34:40,559 --> 00:34:45,000
hard here tonight and it starts. I guess the biggest

741
00:34:45,079 --> 00:34:48,760
name teams are going to be Penn State and Michigan, right,

742
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:51,559
but I mean twenty five and a half points and

743
00:34:51,679 --> 00:34:55,280
hasn't really done much against Penn State tonight won sixty

744
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:58,480
one and a half, won sixty two. I know it's

745
00:34:58,519 --> 00:35:01,880
a lot of points. I not exactly great and big

746
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:05,280
ten play, but my goodness, I mean Michigan just coming

747
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,440
off of at Michigan State win they beat Nebraska last week.

748
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:11,400
Are we running to the wind out of late twenty

749
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:13,360
five and a half even against Penn State?

750
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:17,119
Speaker 5: Steve, Yeah, Penn State's a really bad team this year

751
00:35:17,119 --> 00:35:18,639
and they've obviously struggled to compete.

752
00:35:18,679 --> 00:35:20,280
Speaker 6: But it does look like a big number.

753
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:22,679
Speaker 5: And here again, does Michigan care about winning by twenty

754
00:35:22,679 --> 00:35:23,719
three or twenty seven?

755
00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:23,920
Speaker 6: Right?

756
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:26,920
Speaker 5: It makes no difference to them, and they are coming

757
00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:29,559
off the huge win against Michigan State last Friday night

758
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:33,039
National TV Top ten Battle on the Road and oh,

759
00:35:33,079 --> 00:35:35,199
don't look now, but they've got Ohio State on the

760
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:38,199
road this Sunday. So this is a huge sandwich spot.

761
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,119
I'm not in a hurry to play bad teams, Joe,

762
00:35:41,599 --> 00:35:43,519
and I think you know, they could easily win this

763
00:35:43,559 --> 00:35:46,039
game by over thirty, and that's what kept me off

764
00:35:46,079 --> 00:35:47,800
the game tonight. I'm not going to back Penn State.

765
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,199
They're a terrible team, but situationally, this does not look

766
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,000
like a great spot for Michigan. The concern though with

767
00:35:53,119 --> 00:35:54,920
Michigan is they might not be able to help a

768
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:57,679
win by thirty because they had the number one two

769
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:00,719
point shooting offense and the number two two point defense

770
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,400
and Penn State has the tenth worst two point defense

771
00:36:04,599 --> 00:36:07,480
in the country. Yep, So I mean Michigan State's gonna

772
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,960
be able to score it will down low here.

773
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:10,239
Speaker 1: Again.

774
00:36:10,440 --> 00:36:12,840
Speaker 5: I know people don't always have access to team totals,

775
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:14,599
but I think there's such a great way to play

776
00:36:14,599 --> 00:36:16,519
college hoops, and there's a reason half the books don't

777
00:36:16,559 --> 00:36:19,400
offer them because they're soft. Yep, I mean Michigan's team

778
00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:21,679
totals around ninety three and a half in this game,

779
00:36:23,119 --> 00:36:25,079
you know they probably cover if they get over ninety

780
00:36:25,079 --> 00:36:26,960
three and a half. I guess Penn State's at like

781
00:36:27,039 --> 00:36:30,159
sixty eight. But yeah, it's a terrible scheduling spot. But

782
00:36:30,199 --> 00:36:31,880
I still want nothing to do with Penn State based

783
00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:32,599
on this matchup.

784
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:35,679
Speaker 2: No, no, you can't. It's very hard to even consider

785
00:36:36,159 --> 00:36:40,320
Penn State here. Say listen, Ohio State taking on Maryland.

786
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:44,800
Same situation, Meryl. I've seen nothing but tickets on Ohio State.

787
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:48,360
But yet it's not moved a whole lot here right,

788
00:36:48,519 --> 00:36:51,880
still seeing seven seven and a half, So little reverse

789
00:36:52,039 --> 00:36:55,039
line freeze here is what we've got. I mean, somebody's

790
00:36:55,039 --> 00:36:58,000
got to be backing Maryland. Otherwise this line I thought

791
00:36:58,000 --> 00:36:59,920
would have been the eight and a half by now.

792
00:37:01,559 --> 00:37:03,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, I felt seven is kind of like the fair

793
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:05,480
number in this game. As I mentioned, Ohio State's got

794
00:37:05,480 --> 00:37:08,119
that big look ahead to Michigan on Sunday, so we'll

795
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:10,679
see how they do in this one with that game.

796
00:37:10,679 --> 00:37:13,480
They are coming off of loss to Wisconsin last Saturday, though,

797
00:37:13,519 --> 00:37:16,440
so I think on the road once again AF a loss,

798
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:18,280
that should be a pretty focused spot. I don't think

799
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:21,400
they overlook this Maryland squad. Maryland's got one of the

800
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:24,119
worst three point defenses in the country. Ohio sted as

801
00:37:24,159 --> 00:37:26,880
one of the best, but be careful with that. It's

802
00:37:26,920 --> 00:37:29,199
kind of like turnover margins, you know, turnovers to side

803
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:33,000
football games. Three point shooting decides basketball games, and I

804
00:37:33,039 --> 00:37:34,840
always feel like there's a little bit of random variance

805
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,960
with turnovers. Obviously, fumbles are very random interceptions. You know

806
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:40,719
some teams better than others. But I still think three

807
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:42,679
point shooting is a little bit of a random variable.

808
00:37:42,679 --> 00:37:45,280
And you got the road team with the better three

809
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:48,480
point d only thirty percent of the year. They're probably

810
00:37:48,519 --> 00:37:51,039
due to regress at some point, whereas Maryland has been

811
00:37:51,119 --> 00:37:53,719
terrible all year, but they're at home. So here Again,

812
00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:55,639
a little bit of a contrarian call maybe on Maryland,

813
00:37:55,679 --> 00:37:57,519
but it's hard to make a case for them on paper.

814
00:37:57,679 --> 00:37:59,719
They're definitely the weaker team at both ends of the court.

815
00:38:00,039 --> 00:38:02,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, they are not good and one of the one

816
00:38:02,679 --> 00:38:06,280
of Steve's all time favorites is listened. Low totals are

817
00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:10,719
low for a reason. High totals are high for a reason,

818
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,239
and the highest total lot of board tonight Meryll out

819
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:18,760
West with Northridge against cal Poly SLEW one seventy six

820
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:22,000
and a half won seventy seven. And it's high for

821
00:38:22,039 --> 00:38:24,760
a reason because these two teams have never met a game.

822
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:26,400
They don't love to run up and down the court

823
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:29,639
and chuck it up there. But it's interesting because it's

824
00:38:29,679 --> 00:38:33,280
almost a pick and price. Northridge is a slight road

825
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:35,800
favorite here against cal Poly.

826
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:38,039
Speaker 1: But the one thing we know, Merrill.

827
00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:41,119
Speaker 2: There are going to be possessions in this game, a

828
00:38:41,159 --> 00:38:43,679
lot of them. There's gonna be a ton of shots

829
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,400
being chucked up. Yeah, at the high.

830
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:48,599
Speaker 1: Don't be afraid of the high totals, right, They're high

831
00:38:48,599 --> 00:38:49,159
for a reason.

832
00:38:50,679 --> 00:38:52,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that's why they go by cal Poly,

833
00:38:52,559 --> 00:38:55,719
not cal Poly slow or because they play so fast.

834
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:58,239
You can't call them that. As I said earlier, three

835
00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:01,519
hundred and sixty five teams in Division one men's basketball

836
00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:05,920
crazy cal Poly second, cal State Northwidge third. These are

837
00:39:06,039 --> 00:39:09,079
two of the three fastest up tempo teams in the country.

838
00:39:10,199 --> 00:39:12,840
This total should be higher. This's a perfect example of that, Joe,

839
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:14,400
where I think that you know, the highest totals are

840
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:17,760
not high enough. There is zero chance this is not

841
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:19,880
a track meet. These are two of the top three

842
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:21,840
taste teams in the country, So it's not like one

843
00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:23,400
of them is going to slow down the other one.

844
00:39:23,639 --> 00:39:23,880
Speaker 1: Yep.

845
00:39:24,039 --> 00:39:26,039
Speaker 5: And then you look at the matchup. Home teams normally

846
00:39:26,039 --> 00:39:26,960
shoot the three better.

847
00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:27,599
Speaker 1: YEP.

848
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 5: I don't necessarily like cal Poly in this game, but

849
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,000
they do have the fifth best three point They take

850
00:39:32,039 --> 00:39:34,760
the fifth most three pointers in the country. Over half

851
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:37,639
their shots are from three point range, and cal State

852
00:39:37,679 --> 00:39:39,519
Northridge gives up a ton of threes. They give up

853
00:39:39,519 --> 00:39:43,880
almost half their shots from three, whereas cal State scores

854
00:39:43,920 --> 00:39:45,840
more from two point range. So I think both teams

855
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:48,679
are getting their preferred offensive matchup as well. Yeah, I

856
00:39:48,679 --> 00:39:50,039
definitely like the over in this one.

857
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:50,440
Speaker 1: Yeah.

858
00:39:50,599 --> 00:39:52,920
Speaker 2: If it ain't broke, don't fix it, are guys, it's

859
00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:54,760
high for a raison. These two teams are going to

860
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,599
be flying up and down the court here tonight. So

861
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:01,639
they got a a couple of college hoops games for

862
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:04,400
you to keep an eye on, not the biggest names

863
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,960
on the card, but another big weekend just ahead in

864
00:40:08,039 --> 00:40:12,199
college basketball, and of course Sunday as well. There Merrill,

865
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:15,119
you're gonna have a couple of NBA videos folks can

866
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:19,639
seek out here and check out on the on Wager

867
00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:23,039
Talk of course, on our YouTube page, guys, make sure,

868
00:40:23,679 --> 00:40:26,320
which is why it would do you very well to

869
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:28,559
go ahead and hit the subscribe at the like button

870
00:40:29,119 --> 00:40:32,719
and you'll always get notified when we get videos like

871
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:35,960
this up and ready to go. In the meantime, merrill

872
00:40:36,039 --> 00:40:39,280
once again at your page at wager talk dot com,

873
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:41,360
lockedanloaded with what here tonight.

874
00:40:42,679 --> 00:40:44,679
Speaker 5: Yeah, we got that advanced super Bowl best better then

875
00:40:44,679 --> 00:40:47,199
also one college one pro basketball. We cashed again in

876
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:49,840
the NBA last night on over a sixty two percent run,

877
00:40:50,039 --> 00:40:52,199
number one all time in the NBA. So one college,

878
00:40:52,199 --> 00:40:54,400
one pro and the Super Bowl play can get them

879
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:58,119
all individually tonight. But the best deal seven days, ten

880
00:40:58,199 --> 00:41:00,360
days for the price of seven. It's like seven, but

881
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:03,480
you get ten ninety nine dollars. Or how about getting

882
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:05,440
a full month for ninety nine every month for just

883
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:07,400
ninety nine with the super Bowl to Super Bowl special

884
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:10,159
plus the rest of this week for free. Doesn't matter

885
00:41:10,159 --> 00:41:12,480
which package you choose. One day, one week, one year.

886
00:41:12,519 --> 00:41:15,320
Everybody gets my personal best bets each day. Then that

887
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:17,719
way Joe for almost thirty years. This August will be

888
00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:21,000
my thirtieth anniversary. This is a full time professional capper

889
00:41:21,039 --> 00:41:24,000
and handicapper and sports better August of nineteen ninety six.

890
00:41:24,639 --> 00:41:29,079
Speaker 6: Joe Rniary is just finishing elementary school again thirty years ago,

891
00:41:29,199 --> 00:41:29,840
and I looked it up.

892
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,800
Speaker 5: Joe, how appropriate The traditional thirtieth anniversary gift.

893
00:41:32,599 --> 00:41:34,119
Speaker 4: Is pearls, Merle the pearl.

894
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:37,599
Speaker 5: The modern there's a modern gift is diamond I mean,

895
00:41:37,599 --> 00:41:38,960
how appropriate is that?

896
00:41:39,079 --> 00:41:40,920
Speaker 6: Right? That's what we're talking about.

897
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:44,599
Speaker 5: It's taking money to buy some pearls and diamonds. Best

898
00:41:44,639 --> 00:41:46,199
bets at wager talk dot com.

899
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:50,480
Speaker 2: Get your pearls and you get your diamonds going here, guys, outstanding,

900
00:41:50,519 --> 00:41:54,800
Happy anniversary, Meryl. I think I was just graduating in

901
00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:59,119
the second grade, So that's impressive stuff there. Well done, guys,

902
00:41:59,159 --> 00:42:01,639
don't forget. We'll be back again tomorrow a very special

903
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:05,960
Friday edition. Merril will be back. Art will be back

904
00:42:06,039 --> 00:42:08,480
as well. We'll give you all the latest information you

905
00:42:08,559 --> 00:42:10,960
need to know on all the sharp line moves, updates

906
00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:13,840
across the board, on what's happening with the Super Bowl

907
00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:17,119
odds and prop bets. In the meantime, guys, have a

908
00:42:17,119 --> 00:42:19,679
hell of a night, enjoy it, Go get those best

909
00:42:19,679 --> 00:42:22,360
bets up over at wager talk dot com, and we'll

910
00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:24,920
see you again tomorrow on the Best betting show ever