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Speaker 1: We love.

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to Wager Talks. Last Call Kelly Stewart here

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on week thirteen of the College Trouble season.

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Speaker 3: Man, time flies when you are having a good time,

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and that's what we aim to do here on Last Call.

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We like to have a great time. We like to

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bring you guys last minute information not only from the

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sports books, from but behind some of those computer screens

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with VR and the wise guys. Of course, we're gonna

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talk all of your questions with Brian Leonard and then

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we're gonna hit some UFC with Kyle Anthony here Baton cleanup.

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So let's get right into it. No art this morning

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from the Westgate super Book. But he sent us his needs,

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his number one biggest overall need. I'm gonna get to

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you here in just a minute. But they need UCF.

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That sucks because Kelly likes Oklahoma State, Wyoming, Wisconsin and Syracuse.

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Here's some good news. Sharp side was Oklahoma State Yay?

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That is why they need UCF. Another sharp side, old

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demand James Madison and California public sides today. No surprise

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here USC the Square Dog at Oregon, Louisville and then

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Iowa over those Michigan State spartans that well, they elected

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not to come out at halftime last week, so I

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wouldn't be surprised to see that everybody wants to back

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Iowa again this week.

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Speaker 2: Okay, we're gonna get into the biggest need.

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Speaker 3: The number one biggest need at the Westgates super Book

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this weekend. Cincinnati over BYU catching two and a half

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last I saw, and that reminds me I should have

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my odds Logic screen open WT Buzz.

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Speaker 2: Backslash Kelly in Vegas.

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Speaker 3: That's right, you guys can Odds Logic backslash Kelly Vegasxcuse me, guys,

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I had need more coffee odds Logic dot Com backslash

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Kelly and Vegas to get a.

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Speaker 2: Free week of odds logic.

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Speaker 3: Let's bring in the man who's always got his odds

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logic screen open. That's right, Yati, the Greek. You guys

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see him every single week with me here on Bettant.

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You guys catch him on wager Talk today. He's now

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doing solo videos for us on the wader Talk YouTube channel,

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so all the things. He's also still got a full

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time position with the UFC. Maybe he'll share some of

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his UFC goodies as well. He gave us some f

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one this week on that on it, so we're gonna

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see how those ended up coming out. Lots of plus

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money over there, VR, let's get right into it. I

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went over some of those needs with Art. I've got

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the list up because I like to compare the two.

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What are you seeing here on this beautiful Saturday morning.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we agree with most of that. As far as

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the needs, you nailed it. Oklahoma State very sharp, Wisconsin

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very sharp. We covered them on bed on it. So obviously,

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when the wise guys come in one sided and there's

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not enough public money to offset that risk, the books

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are gonna need the other side. Again, not all that

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surprising they did come in. I confirmed as well on

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the James Madison side this morning. Cal was earlier in

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the week old dominion as well, and I can also

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confirm the USC Oregon situation. I got multiple groups that

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bet Oregon, and earlier it seemed like the public who's

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gonna be on Oregon as well, But that seems to

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have changed and I'm seeing a lot of USC money

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from the public. I actually like the Oregon side. I

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kind of wish I got down at like nine and

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a half or so, But.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I haven't. I haven't fired on that yet.

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Speaker 4: Here's what I can tell you as far as some

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of the sharper sides other than what we shared this

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week on bed on It, you guys can check that out.

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Here's a couple more signs for you told you about

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the Oregon, told you about Oklahoma State, told you about Wisconsin.

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Don't forget Nebraska. Nebraska at plus nine. They also took

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Temple Temple. It looks opposite because that that tulane line

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is moving up, but at ten is where they were

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taking Temple.

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Speaker 5: They also took U a B plus three touchdowns or better.

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Chalky daylaid was Miami.

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Speaker 4: They lay in Miami at seventeen. That's why you're looking

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at eighteen right now. Again where that time of the

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year where even the wise guys are willing to lay

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a little bit more than even their power ratings reflect.

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Because it's that time of the year where there's factors

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that we can't quantify, like what is senior Day worth,

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what is trying to make a bowl game worth? What

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is seeding in the playoffs worth? Those are difficult to quantify,

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But in spots like this where you know style points matter,

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they're willing to lay a little bit more. And you

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saw that with Miami cal We already talked about U

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Tall State to twenty one U Tall State plus the points.

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They also moneylined Utah State. I fired there as well.

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Another game that got away from US South Carolina at

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minus twenty two and a half twenty three. That's up

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to twenty four and then Pitt you touched on. They're

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picking off the threes with Pitt and then that BYU game.

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It's been all b YU money. But that's sitting in

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two and a half because the plus three got picked

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off there as well. So yeah, a lot of steme,

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not high profile like games like number two versus number three,

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but you're seeing a lot of movement already.

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Speaker 3: All Right, VR, let's talk about a couple of things

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that you got going on for this weekend. Tomorrow, I'm

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feeling for aerol Apstein. I will not be here in

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my studio. I'll be at my dad's house. So you

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guys are gonna have to bear with me with any

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technical issues. But VR is gonna join me John Murray

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of course, and I believe I gotta look at the schedule.

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I think Marco D'Angelo is coming on. Was will basically

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be the bet on It crew and Kelly and Murray.

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It's gonna be awesome. But you're gonna do the steam

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room for free for everybody. So normally it's just for

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your premium subscribers. Every once in a while we let

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in those wager Talk insiders.

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Speaker 2: But this is for everybody. Let everybody know what you're

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gonna get with.

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Speaker 4: That yep, that final hour leading into kickoff of NFL,

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We're gonna go over every at least early game and

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if we have time the later games as well, signed

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player props.

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Speaker 5: About fifteen minutes before.

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Speaker 4: The kickoff, will put together those plus EV tasers as

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well any live bets that come in, as well as

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college basketball, NBA, all the stuff that comes in while

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we're going live, and I'm there to answer all your questions,

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go over our risk management, and more importantly, for tomorrow,

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I'll be able to explain what that steam sheet is

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because that's really really helped me big time.

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Speaker 5: And it took a long time.

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Speaker 4: Me and Johnny were laughing, but we finally figured out

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how to get that volume.

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Speaker 5: To the people that handicap their own stuff and.

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Speaker 4: Want volume while also being to isolate those premium plays.

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That's why today you have my five percent package up.

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The only thing in there is four percent and that

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one to five percent, and also got college basketball no

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package because it's been nothing but three percent.

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Speaker 5: Those are for subscribers only.

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Speaker 4: UFC started, so that package is down, but the NFL

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is up for tomorrow. Handful of plays in there. And

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again don't forget, this is only the fifth five percent

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I fired all year, been sitting number one since about

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week one. But they just they you'll see when you

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when you buy the play. I put a little quote

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in there. I know the situation. They overreacted and that's

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exactly what warrants that five percent. So they forced me

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to bet a bigger bet than we've been firing throughout

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the year.

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Speaker 5: We'll see how that turns out.

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Speaker 3: Love it love a good overreaction, especially in the NFL. Tomorrow,

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ACES steam room is free for everyone in WT dot

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buzz Backslash SR one.

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Speaker 2: One two three.

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Speaker 3: That's November twenty third, wt Dot buzz Backslash SR eleven

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twenty three. We'll also see it on the wager Talk

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YouTube channels. You guys can just head over there. Make

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sure your subscribed, so you guys do not miss it.

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And b R, can you let me know what this

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steam sheet is right through Monday nights football.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, here's what I'm doing.

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Speaker 4: Every day, We're putting up given a premium play one

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of my premiums, and then on that play, I'm adding

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all the moves that come in throughout the day, stuff

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that I'm not betting on top of not releasing the subscribers.

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But it's for those handy guys that handicap their own

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stuff and those guys that won't volume. Like today in

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college football, there's probably fifteen twenty bets that we placed.

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Speaker 5: I can't send my.

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Speaker 4: Subscribers thirty forty plays, but I'm able to share that information.

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That's what was driving me the most crazy that I

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have so access to so much and I couldn't use it.

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But now if you look at today's steamshet, there's like

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eight to ten college basketball games, fifteen college football games,

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three or four UFC bets.

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Speaker 5: Anything that comes across, whether it's.

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Speaker 4: Soccer, cricket, anything, second halves, they will be on that

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steam sheet. So yeah, I'm really excited about that, and

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we're perfecting it and that's gonna be gold for handicappers

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for sure.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely, I just put that into the chat wt dot

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buzz backslash VR. You guys can go get it on

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his homepage up on wager talk dot com. We've got

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a ton of questions populating, but I'm gonna let VR

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get out of here early. He's on wager Talk every

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single day. He's got lots of stuff to do up

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until kickoff. You guys can also still watch the college

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football edition to bet on it, as well as the NFL.

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Speaker 5: Right now, Oh, cal, I gotta answer the gentleman's question.

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Speaker 1: Please please please.

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Speaker 4: The man says, the Greek has one hundred percent of

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bank roll at risk today. Please explain how's this responsible

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money management? Thank you, sir for bringing that up. I've

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explained this a million times. You could go back to

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twenty seventeen. Every single video I get a chance, I

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explained this. I have never bet five percent of my

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bank roll on any play. I never urge anyone to

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bet five percent of their bank roll in a play

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because they're gonna go broke.

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Speaker 5: Doing that, you are over betting your edge.

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Speaker 4: We bet point two five percent of the rating one

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percent to five percent, that's a rating of strength. That's

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not a recommendation of bet size, because anyone that's urging

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you to bet four percent on five different plays or

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five percent on a play teaching you how to go broke,

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how to lose your money to the sports book, because

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there's nobody on the planet that has a five, six, seven,

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eight percent edge over the veig that should be betting

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that much. So we bet point twenty five. That means

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a five percent play like today's five percent. I'm betting

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one point twenty five percent of bankroll. So those four

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percent I have eight four percent plays. Those are point

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twenty five of four percent. That means that's each of

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those is one percent, So those eight plays are each

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one percent of bankroll. That's eight percent of my bank roll, sir,

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not thirty two percent of my bankroll. We we don't

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bet like that. We bet to profit, not for action,

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not the gamble. So risk management is the most important

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aspect when it comes to sports betting.

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Speaker 5: Master that part.

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Speaker 4: Bet small in relation to bet bankroll point two five

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of the rating and you'll do just fine.

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Speaker 5: Thanks, thanks for giving me that time.

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Speaker 2: Cal shout out Rob Brayley, Uh love me some Rob.

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He's the one asking the questions, and you.

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Speaker 5: Know, yeah, thank you, thank you for giving me that chance.

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Speaker 3: On these These are questions that subscribers want to know.

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These are questions that premium subscribers want to know as well.

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Are anything you want to add before we get on

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to Brian Leonard.

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Speaker 4: I saw someone ask for college basketball. These four to

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five plays just came in while we were doing this.

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I haven't looked through them to see if I'm going

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to use any for premiums, but at least this theme

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sheet will get them for sure. Six twenty six, Portland

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plus four and a half, six twenty three, bull State

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plus nine, six twenty eight, Weber Weaver minus two, six

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thirty four, Oregon State minus three and a half, and

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six thirty three.

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Speaker 5: I own a plus four and a half. You just

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got five.

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Speaker 4: Moves that came over right now from the college basketball Bot,

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So if you follow them, fade them.

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Speaker 5: The info is yours to.

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Speaker 2: Use awesome stuff, and that's what we do here.

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Speaker 3: We try to give you guys, last minute, up to

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date info.

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Speaker 2: And now Brian Leonard's gonna jump in here. Guys. You

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have seen him on total basis. You guys have seen.

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Speaker 3: Him on full court press, and now you guys gonna

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see him here on Wait or Wager Talks.

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Speaker 2: Last Call, Brian.

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Speaker 3: I know it's early out there on the West Coast,

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and I always appreciate you guys coming to hang out

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with us up until kickoff. We have a ton of

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questions we're gonna get to, so I'm just gonna let

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everybody kind of just fire at will give me thirty

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second answers on some of these and if you don't

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have an opinion, we can pass.

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Speaker 2: Guys.

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Speaker 3: If you have a question for Brian, please drop it

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in the chat. All boy, here we go.

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Speaker 2: They want to start with Kansas State. Brian.

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Speaker 3: Oh, okay, here's the reality, and I want to know

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your opinion because I'm gonna get called a Homer case.

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State plays up to their level of competition and then

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they beat the crap out a team's named KU because

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they know the precedents that's set. Utah has been steam

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rolling teams. Here's my caveat. It has been an awful

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season for the Kansastate football team by all intents and purposes.

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Losing in Ireland not great, But this line was plus

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one and a half before that game in Dublin seventeen.

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Speaker 2: I played okay, hand up.

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Speaker 3: I did not play k State plus seventeen with my

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hard earned money. But in the splash contest that I'm in,

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some of them you have to pick seven.

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Speaker 2: Some of them you have to pick ten.

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Speaker 3: And that's tough, especially when I like four or five games.

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So I did use Kansas State plus seventeen and a

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half in all the contests. That gives me enough to

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root for Brian. Am I an insufferable homer?

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Speaker 6: Well, first of all, it's going to be tough to

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give the energy following VR in you on that last segment,

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But I'll try to do my best here. If you

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could include the game numbers on all the a ton

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of games going, This is game one, one sixty three,

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one sixty four Kansas State at Utah. Perline out there

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is I'm seeing anywhere from seventeen to seventeen and a half.

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My number was eighteen point two on this game, and

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that does not mean I'm going to play Utah. Utah's

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offense has just been terrific aus of late. This is

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a team coming in the season A lot of people

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are really high on, you know, Kansas State has you

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have to admit they've regressed a little bit. They've had

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some injuries to worry about it. But if I'm correct,

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I believe the middle linebacker, probably the best tackler on

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Cantas State, isn't playing in this game. So my number

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says Utah. But there's no way I can lay that

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kind of number. If I'd have seen maybe a fourteen,

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I would be all over Utah by this current number.

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There's enough games on the board today where we don't

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have to fight for a half a point advantage. So

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lean Utah. But ione get involved.

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Speaker 3: All right, I think that is fair. We're gonna get

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through some more of these questions.

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Speaker 2: Let's go right here.

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Speaker 3: Let's stick with the big twelve because I think this

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one's interesting. So, Brian, you hopped on just a little

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bit after I sent the needs out from Art to

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Caesar at the Westgate super Book, and he said their

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number one need today was going to be Cincinnati.

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Speaker 6: Cincinnati. Let me see if I can find the game number.

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Speaker 2: Yep, Sorry, I really good about telling these guys. One

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of my favorite things on the Odds blog screen, especially

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right here on the Mac.

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Speaker 3: You can use a search button. You can find it

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by searching control app. So Cincinnati BYU is game number

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one thirty five, one thirty six before you is a oh,

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we're seeing some three start to pop up, at least

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they're at Pinnacle.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 6: I I'm looking at my number on my sheet and

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I'm showing BYU five. So I'm interested in BYU against Cincinnati.

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It's basically two and a half out there. Now you're

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laying juice. A couple of places have three minus one

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oh five or lesser number. So as our franch Steve

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Peze would say, two point seventy five on on BYU

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against Cincinnati. And now I've had a lot of success

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with both these teams this year, especially I like Cincinnati

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as an underdog, which is a situation that I're in today.

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But from a talent standpoint, BYU has played one bad

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game this season. They've been very good overall. My number

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says BYU. If I can lay that two and a

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half minus the one ten, which there are a few

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00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:07,159
of them out there, I'd be interested in that side.

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Two very good football teams, and it wouldn't surprise me

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if it goes either way. But I think BYUS got

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a little bit better talent, and it's a team that

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the fans. If you're looking at the fans protective BBI

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use fans travel as well. It's just about anyone out there.

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If anybody takes that into that into account. Keep in mind,

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is I cut the end of the A lot of

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these games we're going to talk about today. There's only

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two weeks left in the season. There's going to be

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a lot of factors in these kind of games that

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you don't see earlier in the year. And those are

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teams that may have quit on their season, teams that

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played much better earlier this season we probably want to

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fade coming to the end, Teams that need to win

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to go to bowl games. So a lot of different

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things we have to look at last couple.

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Speaker 2: Of weeks things.

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Speaker 3: There's a couple more games that are popping up, and

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I'll be sure to give you those rotation numbers when

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we answer the questions. I want to discuss that because

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from a handicapping perspective, I find it really interesting. So

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Maryland is not going to a bowl game today, but

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I like Maryland in the sense of a play against Michigan.

356
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Maryland's bringing back their head coach, and who doesn't love

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to play spoiler? So how do you decipher whether Maryland's

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quit on the season, whether they can still beat up

359
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on Big ten you know, big brother, if you will

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in a Michigan team.

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Speaker 2: When you're looking.

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Speaker 3: At these scheduling spots, again, case State needs another win

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today to become Bowl eligible, I'm not sure they're going

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to get.

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Speaker 2: A win, right.

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Speaker 3: I think I think they could cover the game, but

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actually asking them to win in Salt Lake City is

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very tough.

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Speaker 2: So I feel like using that is case State needs another.

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Speaker 3: Win, well, they're going to get it next week versus

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Colorado because Colorado has quit on the season, right, So

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kind of help us unravel these different situations, if you will.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, most of the time, I always say it comes

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down to it at the end of the season in

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college of basketball as well, and teams that need to

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win to make the tournament, teams that need to win

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to get to Bowl eligibility. If a team needs to

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win at this time of the season, they're not very good.

379
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And that's the problem with Maryland. But I agree I

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made this line lesser. The line is going up. It

381
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:14,559
open twelve now it's up to you can get fourteen months,

382
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one ten just about anywhere for Maryland, and that would

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be the only way I would look here. I actually

384
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faded Ohio State. I was going to use that as

385
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one of the games I would talk about, but the

386
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line's caught up to me. Rutgers has got a lot

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better number. Ohio State has got that big game with

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Michigan coming up. Then they're going to play in the

389
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probably play Indiana in the Big Ten Championship. So you

390
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got to look at what's going on in the future

391
00:18:38,279 --> 00:18:40,680
for these teams. They've got wide receivers at Ohio State

392
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that's been injured. Michigan is a team that are they

393
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really good enough to lay fourteen points to anybody on

394
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the road. I don't think they are with that game

395
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against Ohio State next week, that's the big game for them.

396
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So yeah, Maryland's a team that is surprised some of

397
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these In some of their games, They've played some pretty

398
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good teams tough. Maryland is one of the teams that

399
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:04,880
right now at fourteen, since that line has moved up,

400
00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:09,839
I'm interested in the Terrapins right now. And there's there's

401
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:12,599
not that big of a difference in talent wise between

402
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:15,319
Michigan and Maryland, and that's the thing for the Big Ten.

403
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:18,799
The Big Ten a's the SEC. All the teams recruit

404
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,480
very well. A lot of the players that don't get

405
00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:22,920
a chance to play. If you look at it like

406
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,880
the Georgia game today, Uh, you've got a lesser relying

407
00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,599
on Georgia. But Georgia's second and third string will get

408
00:19:28,599 --> 00:19:31,599
a chance to play today, and those players could be

409
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,240
starting for a lot of teams in college football. So

410
00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:38,000
you have to take that into a into account. But yeah,

411
00:19:38,039 --> 00:19:39,599
Maryland is one of the teams I'm looking for to

412
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add to my clients later on today.

413
00:19:41,559 --> 00:19:42,039
Speaker 2: You see that.

414
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Speaker 3: I just threw up that comment really quick because Georgia

415
00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:47,440
oh and fifteen against the spread as thirty eight point

416
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:51,960
faves seems like a public dog there on Charlotte. So

417
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:54,480
I guess my question is, Brian, do you really buy

418
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into much? Is the rotation number? Forty three and a

419
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,400
half they're at the Westgates, you book forty four at

420
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:06,359
Pinnacle and a couple other what I would call offshores,

421
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which we're probably not supposed to talk about here anymore on

422
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the Wager Talking YouTube channel, but I just did that.

423
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:14,640
Being said, thoughts on kind of these giant numbers, right,

424
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:17,640
we know the SEC tends to play these non conference

425
00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:18,920
games in November.

426
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Speaker 2: Does Georgia really care?

427
00:20:20,799 --> 00:20:22,759
Speaker 3: And oh, by the way, I just bet Georgia tend

428
00:20:22,799 --> 00:20:24,079
to want to win the national championship.

429
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Speaker 2: For anybody who cares, there you go.

430
00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 6: Well, the thing is, when you're looking at these games,

431
00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:31,000
you have to make your own power ratings. And the

432
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opener was forty five. We've taken money. We're down to

433
00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:36,079
forty three in some places on this game right now.

434
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Forty three a circle in Vegas. So that means they

435
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:40,960
don't think george is going to show up today. But

436
00:20:41,759 --> 00:20:43,279
if you take a look at your power range, I

437
00:20:43,319 --> 00:20:45,640
made this line Georgia fifty one and a half that

438
00:20:45,799 --> 00:20:48,119
forty five already took that into account.

439
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 1: Here.

440
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:52,400
Speaker 6: Charlotte's a bad football team. They don't have the physicality

441
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:55,920
that Georgia has. Georgia, could you just sit back, run

442
00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:59,519
the football all day long and put up fifty or

443
00:20:59,519 --> 00:21:03,359
cell points against Charlotte. It's so right now we're getting

444
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:05,400
at forty three. I like Georgia in this game. I

445
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:06,799
just think those guys that have been sitting in the

446
00:21:06,799 --> 00:21:10,279
bench all year long get that chance to play here. Obviously,

447
00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:13,559
huge coaching advantage for Georgia, and it's a home game.

448
00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,119
The fans don't want to go to the home game

449
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:19,680
and see them play Charlotte and not blow them out.

450
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,240
So this is one of those games where I'm going

451
00:21:22,279 --> 00:21:25,480
against the line movement in this one because Charlotte is

452
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:26,400
just so bad.

453
00:21:26,519 --> 00:21:30,839
Speaker 3: Right now, Brian, I have a question, and this is selfish, right,

454
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So I have had arguments with we'll call them coaches,

455
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staff members, athletic directors, people that I know in this industry,

456
00:21:39,319 --> 00:21:42,160
right Like I have a good friend whose brother is

457
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:45,440
a pretty prominent athletic director in the former conference called

458
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,839
the PAC twelve. So I'll leave that up to your imagination.

459
00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:52,599
And I remember going out and telling him your alumni,

460
00:21:52,799 --> 00:21:56,400
your donors, your big money guys, they all gamble.

461
00:21:56,599 --> 00:21:58,559
Speaker 2: They don't all gamble, but there's a lot of them

462
00:21:58,559 --> 00:21:59,039
that gamble.

463
00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:03,000
Speaker 3: This seems like that Georgia game where you better step

464
00:22:03,039 --> 00:22:05,720
on it because everybody in that stadium, the Gambles is

465
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going to lay it with Georgia because the expectation. It's

466
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:10,279
the same thing that I told a buddy of mine

467
00:22:10,279 --> 00:22:12,079
about K State versus KU. I said, the fact that

468
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:15,000
K Sate is an underdog here is laughable because the

469
00:22:15,079 --> 00:22:17,720
season has been so god awful that if they get

470
00:22:17,759 --> 00:22:18,640
a chance to run.

471
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Speaker 2: Up the score, they're going to do it.

472
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Speaker 3: I was a little disappointed they didn't punch that last touchdown,

473
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:23,960
and it doesn't matter.

474
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:27,279
Speaker 2: It wasn't for a cover anything else. But there's there's

475
00:22:27,319 --> 00:22:27,880
almost like.

476
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Speaker 3: Unwritten rules, if you will, with some of these donors

477
00:22:31,799 --> 00:22:33,920
and backers and things like that, and this feels like

478
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:34,759
that type of game.

479
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 6: Yeah, it definitely does. And as I'm looking at the scores,

480
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:39,839
I've seen a couple of forty twos and a half.

481
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,559
So if you are interested in Georgia, just wait, wait

482
00:22:42,559 --> 00:22:44,960
for it to get down to forty two and then

483
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,319
you know that's five touchdowns extra points right there. So yeah,

484
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,839
we're in no hurry to play the Georgia. I agree.

485
00:22:51,599 --> 00:22:55,039
If you're looking at the donors and you know, say

486
00:22:55,039 --> 00:22:57,480
what you want about the old Penn State coach. He

487
00:22:57,559 --> 00:22:59,440
knew what the line was and he would punch it

488
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,240
in and that's how he got to be popular. That's

489
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,880
why he was loved there. My wife's a huge Ohio

490
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:09,160
State fan. We watch every Ohio State game. We always

491
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,759
know what Ohio State's trying to do in the game,

492
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:15,440
and they always seem to find that ability to punch

493
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:17,559
it in now today maybe a little bit different with

494
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,720
Michigan coming up next week, but that's the you know,

495
00:23:20,799 --> 00:23:22,759
when I moved to town, Kenny White was the first

496
00:23:22,799 --> 00:23:25,000
guy I talked to that was on the other side

497
00:23:25,039 --> 00:23:27,279
of the other side of the counter. He made his

498
00:23:27,319 --> 00:23:30,039
own line service, and the first thing he told me says,

499
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:33,519
don't bet against top ten teams in a game that

500
00:23:33,519 --> 00:23:35,720
they're focused on, because they're going to find a way

501
00:23:35,799 --> 00:23:38,240
to cover that number. Now, the thing is today, how

502
00:23:38,319 --> 00:23:40,960
focused is Ohio State going to be in that game?

503
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:43,440
That is the concern. But you're right, I agree with

504
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:44,200
you firmly on that.

505
00:23:44,799 --> 00:23:47,319
Speaker 3: Okay, let's get to a couple more of these questions here.

506
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:49,200
I'm gonna go with this one because it's on the

507
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:53,920
same subject, speaking of quit. Has Florida quit on their season?

508
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:58,000
Lean Tennessee today? That is rotation number one thirty seven eight, Brian,

509
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:02,400
We have a three now here at the Westgate super Book.

510
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,720
Lots of other three and a half's there on the

511
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:07,400
board minus one twenty, minus one fifteen. Kind of depends

512
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:10,880
where you've got your odds logic screen set. I don't

513
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:13,079
know if Florida's quit on the season I was really

514
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:16,640
high on Florida going into this year, Brian, and basically

515
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,519
after that LSU game in five turnovers by DJ Lagway,

516
00:24:19,559 --> 00:24:21,839
I said, Okay, I am not cashing this over seven

517
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:23,880
and a half wins and I am done betting on

518
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,680
this team as an underdog. And then just even last

519
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:28,720
week they went in to Ole, miss and still put

520
00:24:28,799 --> 00:24:29,599
up a dog fight.

521
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,599
Speaker 6: You were talking about teams that have had bad seasons,

522
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,960
and that shows me a lot from Florida. Because Florida

523
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:38,319
has had a couple of games where you look like

524
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,759
this team is dead, they've come out and played better

525
00:24:41,839 --> 00:24:44,200
since then. I only did this line three, so it's

526
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:47,039
not enough for me to make a play. But Tennessee

527
00:24:47,599 --> 00:24:50,079
is a team that beats up on the weeklings. They're

528
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,160
very much like Oregon. They were able to beat up

529
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,400
on the weaklings and now they're going into a real

530
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,440
tough place here to be able to win on the

531
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:59,160
road at Florida. It's it's been you have to from

532
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,440
a Tennessee's ye what, it's been a little bit disappointing.

533
00:25:01,519 --> 00:25:03,640
At one point they were talking about them being in

534
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:07,200
the you know, in the chance to go to the

535
00:25:07,279 --> 00:25:09,279
you know, to the big, big four at the end.

536
00:25:09,759 --> 00:25:12,039
But it's kind of in a disappointing season for both

537
00:25:12,039 --> 00:25:14,480
of them. But Florida's had two bad seasons in a row,

538
00:25:14,759 --> 00:25:16,599
and I think the game means more to Florida. If

539
00:25:16,599 --> 00:25:19,079
I had to play it, I played Florida here. But

540
00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:21,519
a lot of these teams have tendencies, and we all

541
00:25:21,519 --> 00:25:24,559
know Tennessee has the ability to throw the ball deep

542
00:25:24,759 --> 00:25:26,640
and that's how they that's how they covered these games

543
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,319
where Florida's got the athletes that they could stop some

544
00:25:29,319 --> 00:25:32,039
of those explosive players. I kind of like Florida in

545
00:25:32,079 --> 00:25:34,319
this game, but my lines show me the line is

546
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:35,200
pretty much correct.

547
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:36,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I could see the same thing.

548
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:39,400
Speaker 3: I think Florida still has a dog left in the

549
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:41,119
fight and who doesn't want to beat up on the balls,

550
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,319
which I love taking Florida as an underdog at home

551
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:46,880
versus Tennessee in years past. What's the difference today? I

552
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:48,839
did play them in a lot of my Splash contests.

553
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:50,319
Little shameless plug, really.

554
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,519
Speaker 2: Quick, guys, we still have a.

555
00:25:52,079 --> 00:25:56,079
Speaker 3: Almost three thousand dollars overlay. They're at Splash Sports. Headed

556
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,480
into thirty four minutes before kickoff. I'm gonna drop that

557
00:25:59,559 --> 00:26:02,480
link into the chat if you guys are college football

558
00:26:02,519 --> 00:26:06,000
one week contest, two hundred and fifty dollars up for

559
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:10,000
grabs on a twenty five dollars entry. Let's take some

560
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,880
more of these questions here, Brian, this one Penn State

561
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:16,640
laying the number versus Nebraska. Let me get this odds

562
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,880
logic screen open. Here's kind of the thing. I liked

563
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:22,960
Nebraska early in the week. Rotation number one, forty nine,

564
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:27,119
one fifty when they were catching nine, nine and a

565
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:30,039
half right open ten now all the way down to

566
00:26:30,079 --> 00:26:34,119
seven and a half circa minus seven minus one fifteen there, Brian.

567
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:37,680
Speaker 2: Marco gave out Penn State.

568
00:26:37,559 --> 00:26:40,279
Speaker 3: Hand up on bet on it. I have been head

569
00:26:40,279 --> 00:26:42,799
to head with Marco five or six times. The one

570
00:26:42,839 --> 00:26:45,640
game that I have won, I had Northwestern plus seven

571
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,519
and a half. They covered by the hook. Other than that,

572
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,680
Marco has kicked my ass up and down the football

573
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:54,440
field every time we've been opposite. Congratulations, and he's had

574
00:26:54,559 --> 00:26:57,279
a hell of a football season. So I said, Okay, fine,

575
00:26:57,319 --> 00:26:58,400
Marco likes Penn State.

576
00:26:58,480 --> 00:26:59,839
Speaker 2: I'm off Nebra.

577
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:02,799
Speaker 3: Then the money comes in on Nebraska, and I'm thinking,

578
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:06,400
damn it, I might have liked the Cournoskers.

579
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 2: Talk to me about Penn State Nebraska today.

580
00:27:09,559 --> 00:27:13,680
Speaker 6: Yeah, Marco is a big contrarian. If everybody's on one side,

581
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:15,079
he wants to be on the other. So I can

582
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:19,799
understand that Penn State has played solid football all season long.

583
00:27:19,839 --> 00:27:21,599
You take a look at the games that they've lost,

584
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,000
they've all been tight games, but they were right in

585
00:27:24,039 --> 00:27:27,640
every game. I thought there was plenty of value on

586
00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:30,119
Penn State when they played Indiana, and I thought there's

587
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:32,640
plenty of value on them since then, and I've won

588
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:36,200
every week on them. Now. The problem is my numbers

589
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,079
only eight point three, so from the original ten. Obviously

590
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,319
Nebraska was the right side. That's basically where the line

591
00:27:42,319 --> 00:27:44,400
is right now. It's seven and a half everywhere. But

592
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:48,279
I don't think Penn State is that much better than

593
00:27:48,319 --> 00:27:51,039
this Nebraska team. Nebraska's hadding up and down season, all

594
00:27:51,079 --> 00:27:54,319
along the quarterback and all with the injuries there. But

595
00:27:54,839 --> 00:27:57,400
I kind of think if you can get more than

596
00:27:57,480 --> 00:27:59,880
seven here and just about everywhere out there has it.

597
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:03,319
Circus got seven minus one fifteen right now, But if

598
00:28:03,319 --> 00:28:06,359
you can catch more than seven, it might be worth

599
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:09,000
a play on Nebraska here. Even though my number is

600
00:28:09,039 --> 00:28:12,039
about eight point three, that's not enough to get me involved,

601
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,319
but over seven in this game, and it doesn't. It's

602
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:17,359
a seven pm Eastern Star, so we still got plenty

603
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,000
of time to see more line movement. You could probably

604
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,720
grab Penn State right now, or excuse me, Nebraska right

605
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,319
now at plus seven and a half, wait till later.

606
00:28:25,799 --> 00:28:29,319
Lay in Nebraska it maybe six and a half seven,

607
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:31,839
and probably look for a middle. But I don't think

608
00:28:31,839 --> 00:28:34,119
this line's going back up again. I think it continues

609
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,720
to go down and it probably closes at seven, so

610
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:40,759
it's seven. Yeah, Nebraska is probably a pass for me,

611
00:28:40,799 --> 00:28:43,359
but at seven and a half, that's the only way

612
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:44,200
I could look at this one.

613
00:28:44,359 --> 00:28:46,279
Speaker 3: All right, we're gonna take a few more questions from

614
00:28:46,319 --> 00:28:48,680
Brian Leonard, then we're gonna get to Kyle Anthony for UFC.

615
00:28:48,759 --> 00:28:50,839
So if you have a UFC question, drop it in

616
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,920
the chat Brian. Before we answer a couple more of these,

617
00:28:54,319 --> 00:28:55,599
talk to me about what you got going over at

618
00:28:55,599 --> 00:28:56,759
wager talk dot com.

619
00:28:56,799 --> 00:28:58,440
Speaker 2: So baseball season's over.

620
00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:01,400
Speaker 3: You guys crushed it, Adam trigger Tokyo brand and crush

621
00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:02,279
it with total basis.

622
00:29:02,279 --> 00:29:03,880
Speaker 2: Shout out to that show.

623
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 3: I know it had a big loyal following, and now

624
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,559
you guys are trying to replicate it with full court press.

625
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:12,759
Seeing you over there as well, so talking out, finalizing

626
00:29:12,799 --> 00:29:14,920
through let's just call it super Bowl and getting into

627
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:17,359
that college basketball season. I know you do NHL as well.

628
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:21,039
Speaker 6: Yeah, NHL. I'm on the NHL Show at least two

629
00:29:21,039 --> 00:29:23,000
times a week. They do a terrific job over there,

630
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:24,799
And you mentioned the baseball It was just one of

631
00:29:24,799 --> 00:29:27,440
those seasons. I learned so much from the other two

632
00:29:27,519 --> 00:29:30,079
guys and the College Basketball show. The guys over there,

633
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,680
Rob and Brian and in Trig do a terrific job.

634
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,359
I watched that every day. A lot of great shows

635
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:42,079
out here on daily shows for Wager Talk, I've had

636
00:29:42,599 --> 00:29:45,119
just a tremendous two month around here. In all sports,

637
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:47,039
I've been winning. You take a look at my web

638
00:29:47,519 --> 00:29:52,599
or my site at wt dot dot Buzz slash bl

639
00:29:53,039 --> 00:29:55,200
you can see I'm on a winning streak in every sport,

640
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,759
college football the last seven weeks, number one in most

641
00:29:57,799 --> 00:30:00,799
profit in college football. Over at wager We've got six

642
00:30:00,839 --> 00:30:03,799
plays up today and we do have this weekend package,

643
00:30:03,839 --> 00:30:07,480
the Weekend Warrior Package. And I'm not considered I don't

644
00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:10,319
consider myself to be an NFL expert, but I'm not

645
00:30:10,359 --> 00:30:12,400
a nice eight and two run in the NFL, and

646
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:14,279
I really like the Monday Night football game. So you

647
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:16,960
pick us up, get all six of our plays today,

648
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,559
and I may end up adding that Maryland game, by

649
00:30:19,599 --> 00:30:22,000
the way, So we're getting at least six plays on

650
00:30:22,039 --> 00:30:25,880
today's card, and you can get the NFL for tomorrow

651
00:30:26,119 --> 00:30:29,799
possibly Monday Night football. And if you're looking for all

652
00:30:29,799 --> 00:30:31,759
of our plays in all sports, they've got that great deal.

653
00:30:31,839 --> 00:30:34,240
While I believe it's seven days or less than ten

654
00:30:34,319 --> 00:30:37,440
dollars a day, and we've been killing it in college basketball,

655
00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:39,799
everything's been going great. I really I'm not a guy

656
00:30:39,839 --> 00:30:41,880
who brags a lot about what I do. I've tried

657
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:43,640
to keep at Eve mckeel. He've been doing this for

658
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:45,880
forty five years. You don't get up two up and

659
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:49,359
two updown or two down. But we've really been on

660
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:50,519
a really nice run lately.

661
00:30:50,839 --> 00:30:53,319
Speaker 3: And that's what it's about, catching these guys while they're

662
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:55,839
red hot. Brian Leonard is on last call because he's

663
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:56,839
been red.

664
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:57,359
Speaker 2: Hot all right.

665
00:30:57,440 --> 00:30:59,119
Speaker 3: Charlotte down a forty two and a half on pinnable

666
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:01,759
now being hit as we speak. So, like Brian said,

667
00:31:01,799 --> 00:31:05,200
forty two key number in college football. If it's forty two,

668
00:31:05,279 --> 00:31:07,559
maybe I just might be on the dogs. All right,

669
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:12,400
let's answer Steve's question here. This is more handicap related

670
00:31:12,559 --> 00:31:14,240
and the reason why I like to ask Brian these

671
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:15,799
types of questions because, like you said, he's been doing

672
00:31:15,799 --> 00:31:18,599
this longer than I've been alive. So I always respect

673
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:20,720
these guys because there is a lot to learn.

674
00:31:21,119 --> 00:31:21,759
Speaker 2: Not only do you.

675
00:31:21,759 --> 00:31:23,279
Speaker 3: Guys want plays, but we want to make you guys

676
00:31:23,279 --> 00:31:26,599
better cappers here at Wager Talk, especially here on this

677
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,720
YouTube channel. Give us that thumbs up, well heart, if

678
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,559
you're on X or Instagram, we always appreciate it.

679
00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 2: And of course all of these comments.

680
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:37,960
Speaker 3: Steeve wants to know, do you recommend teasers on college games?

681
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:42,680
Brian talk about why teasing college football is not plus ev.

682
00:31:44,319 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 6: The difference in the NFL, your APPIONSHI differential is ten points,

683
00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:52,279
so teasers make a little more sense in the NFL

684
00:31:52,359 --> 00:31:56,119
if you're covering team numbers. Well, we've all seen kickers

685
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:59,799
in college football. In the NFL, they rarely miss extra points.

686
00:32:00,039 --> 00:32:01,920
They have moved aback a few years ago, so it

687
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:05,200
does happen a little bit more. But normally in the NFL,

688
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:07,759
if the teams score six points, they get the extra point.

689
00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:12,680
In college they don't. The kickers for field goal kicking

690
00:32:12,839 --> 00:32:15,799
are not very good, and you could see games the

691
00:32:15,799 --> 00:32:20,279
linesmakers do a terrific job of trying to get these games,

692
00:32:20,319 --> 00:32:24,039
the lines on these games where they want. After every

693
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:26,920
sports book manager I've talked to out here in Las Vegas,

694
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,119
if I ask if something about college teasers, first thing

695
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:34,359
they say, don't play college teasers. Just in the NFL.

696
00:32:34,559 --> 00:32:36,880
Like I said, ten points is the differential overall if

697
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:39,039
you take it all in college is a lot higher

698
00:32:39,039 --> 00:32:42,440
than that. And you have seen many times in a

699
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,240
college football game where the line is right there and

700
00:32:45,279 --> 00:32:47,799
you watch, how do they make these great lines? Everybody

701
00:32:47,839 --> 00:32:49,640
ignores the games where it was a pick them in

702
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,079
the final score is fifty five to ten. It's just

703
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:54,599
in college football. If the lines maker's telling me not

704
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:56,400
to play it, and that's how they make their money,

705
00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:59,440
that's enough to keep me away from playing college teaters.

706
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,359
I luckily, I've never played one in my life. Sometimes

707
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:04,480
when you see, like back in the days when the

708
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,720
when the military schools would not pass the football, and

709
00:33:07,839 --> 00:33:10,599
you get that thirty two or whatever on a total, Oh,

710
00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:13,079
this team, I can get him over a touchdown. That's

711
00:33:13,119 --> 00:33:15,920
the only time I've ever considered it. So yeah, don't

712
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,319
don't play total don't play teasers in college football.

713
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:20,279
Speaker 2: Don't play teasers in college football.

714
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,640
Speaker 3: Kyle Anthony just sat down. So we're gonna get to

715
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,920
him here in about two minutes. We're gonna take one

716
00:33:26,039 --> 00:33:28,960
or two more questions. All right, fine, I'm gonna go here.

717
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:34,799
We're gonna go this one. Syracuse upset Notre Dame. Brian

718
00:33:35,079 --> 00:33:37,319
I got into John Murray this week on the show.

719
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,839
I wasn't trying to argue with him rotation number two

720
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:42,279
seventeen two eighteen.

721
00:33:43,039 --> 00:33:45,519
Speaker 2: Notre Dame is a thirty seven point favorite, and he.

722
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 3: Basically argued with me that Notre Dame deserves to get

723
00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:50,720
in and he doesn't understand why everybody's up in arms.

724
00:33:50,759 --> 00:33:53,160
And I said, because Miami beat them to start the season.

725
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:56,599
That's the only reason why. I think, though, that Notre

726
00:33:56,759 --> 00:33:59,319
Dame has beenefitted for me an easy schedule. I think

727
00:33:59,319 --> 00:34:02,720
that Notre d has had a few scares, but yes,

728
00:34:02,839 --> 00:34:07,680
losing to Miami and A and M two pretty solid

729
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,599
programs right A and M undefeated and is going to

730
00:34:10,639 --> 00:34:13,159
make the College Football Playoff by all intents and purposes

731
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:17,159
thoughts on this Notre Dame team. I mean, no, Syracuse

732
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:20,559
is not going upset Notre Dame, but if they did,

733
00:34:20,599 --> 00:34:24,320
it would be historic. Is Syracuse plus all these points?

734
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,679
I like fran Brown, I bet against him as a favorite.

735
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:29,280
I like him as an underdog. But since they lost

736
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,320
that Notre Dame transfer quarterback what was that three or

737
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,519
four weeks ago? And I've already dumped his name out

738
00:34:34,519 --> 00:34:37,239
of my memory bank because it's completely useless information at

739
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:39,480
this point in time, I've just said, you know what,

740
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:44,280
this is just a hurt Syracuse team. I'm not going

741
00:34:44,519 --> 00:34:47,960
to invest my time trying to handicap them any further.

742
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:50,280
I know that sounds a little lazy, but for me,

743
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:52,760
I try to focus on what I'm good at, and

744
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:55,800
laying thirty seven points is not what I'm good at.

745
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,599
But also taking thirty seven points isn't really up my

746
00:34:58,639 --> 00:34:59,239
alley either.

747
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:02,920
Speaker 6: This is actually one of the games that I'm interested

748
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:06,480
in because you talked about Nter Dame and when they

749
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,599
fell behind, you know, coming out of the gate, and

750
00:35:08,639 --> 00:35:12,800
they lost to Texas A and m and in Miami

751
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,599
people say, oh, maybe they're not as good. Well that's

752
00:35:15,639 --> 00:35:19,039
because in the history. Everybody thinks Notre Dame is not

753
00:35:19,119 --> 00:35:21,960
as good because they're a team that everybody focuses on.

754
00:35:22,039 --> 00:35:25,400
Look when they got what it was, the ABC, the

755
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:28,119
ABC contract years ago, why did they get them when

756
00:35:28,159 --> 00:35:30,920
nobody else does Listen? Notre Dame is a popular team,

757
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:33,119
and people are going to bet on the Irish. But

758
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:37,880
those were at the time, we thought those were a

759
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,840
little rough losses. Now we look at those two teams.

760
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:44,559
Miami today is laying a big number and they probably

761
00:35:44,599 --> 00:35:47,079
deserve it. Miami is a really good football team and

762
00:35:47,119 --> 00:35:49,079
they're able to do it with a questionable head coach.

763
00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:52,119
Texas A and m is a really good football team.

764
00:35:52,199 --> 00:35:54,480
You talked about it were they ranked number three in

765
00:35:54,519 --> 00:35:58,599
many places. So Notre Dame is set. Notre Dame does

766
00:35:58,679 --> 00:36:01,960
not need to run up the score here. Granted, Syracuse,

767
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:03,960
as you mentioned, they're a team that's been banged up,

768
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:07,000
but I think Syracuse is shown enough this year that

769
00:36:07,039 --> 00:36:09,639
they could stick into this game. And right now you're

770
00:36:09,679 --> 00:36:11,920
looking at teams that are just trying to stay healthy

771
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:15,559
in order to make it to the tournament. I think

772
00:36:15,559 --> 00:36:17,719
the Irish are just trying to stay healthy here. They

773
00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:20,480
can run the football, not worry about blowing a mile.

774
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:22,519
They could beat it by thirty points and it's a

775
00:36:22,599 --> 00:36:25,519
nice cover for Syracuse. Line open thirty five. Now we're

776
00:36:25,519 --> 00:36:29,400
seeing thirty seven, thirty seven. There's no doubt that Syracuse,

777
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:31,639
in my mind, is the right side in this game.

778
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:34,599
It's to hold your nose. It's one of those type

779
00:36:34,599 --> 00:36:39,360
of games. But the Irish just they've got guys that

780
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:41,960
are sitting the bench they've been wanting to play. I

781
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:44,679
think they clear these guys out after the first half

782
00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:47,079
and the second half of the game. That's a big

783
00:36:47,159 --> 00:36:49,639
chance for Syracuse to stay under this number.

784
00:36:50,159 --> 00:36:53,639
Speaker 3: All right, Brian Leonard, you guys can see him over

785
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:56,440
on the Wager Talking YouTube channel does tons of different

786
00:36:56,480 --> 00:36:59,320
shows for us at Bletard Sports over there.

787
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:01,519
Speaker 2: On All right, Brian.

788
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:03,079
Speaker 3: We're gonna get you out of here. Thank you for

789
00:37:03,119 --> 00:37:05,519
all of your college football and knowledge on this beautiful

790
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:10,079
frat Friday Saturday morning. My days are off, shocker, I'm

791
00:37:10,079 --> 00:37:12,000
still on a beach in Aruba. Thank you to Brian

792
00:37:12,199 --> 00:37:15,840
WT dot buzz Backslash bl All right, guys, for the

793
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:19,360
next tennish minutes, we're gonna talk to Kyle Anthony. He's

794
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,039
gonna make me pronounce a bunch of names that I'm

795
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:23,679
not gonna be able to. Basically, I'm just gonna mute

796
00:37:23,679 --> 00:37:26,800
myself and let him talk about today's UFC card.

797
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:28,719
Speaker 2: Hooocomer and Kyle, how you doing?

798
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:32,159
Speaker 7: I listen, But there's fights on right now. Fights have started.

799
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:36,079
It's ten o'clock at start time, but my plays don't

800
00:37:36,119 --> 00:37:38,280
start till about one. So if you're trying to jump

801
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:41,440
on that, check it out. Wager Talk dot Com, WT

802
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:46,199
dot Buzz, slash bacsass Ka, check it out. I've got

803
00:37:46,199 --> 00:37:48,480
plays up now, and again we've got even the Hero

804
00:37:48,559 --> 00:37:50,480
parlay that's gonna be going off soon, so check that

805
00:37:50,519 --> 00:37:51,519
out also on my Twitter.

806
00:37:52,039 --> 00:37:54,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Hero parlay hit what a couple of weeks ago,

807
00:37:54,639 --> 00:37:57,280
which was really fun and it's kind of like my

808
00:37:57,360 --> 00:37:59,960
three team Underdog parlay, except there's a little bit more

809
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,719
chop but a little bit more fight. So it's been

810
00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:05,719
really fun to watch Kyle succeed in doing though. So

811
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:09,079
head over to WT dot Buzz, backslash Ka you can

812
00:38:09,119 --> 00:38:09,960
see his Hero parlay.

813
00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 2: Is it also up on your Twitter page?

814
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:12,639
Speaker 5: Yep?

815
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:14,199
Speaker 1: Yep, So I have that up right now.

816
00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:17,159
Speaker 7: Check it out, and again, one of them is probably

817
00:38:17,199 --> 00:38:18,760
going off with the next like five minutes for the

818
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:21,519
first leg, so, uh, check out that on the hero.

819
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:23,880
But the client plays all of those they're gonna be

820
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:24,679
a little bit later on.

821
00:38:25,079 --> 00:38:28,239
Speaker 3: All right, this is the first fight Vulcan own Zamir

822
00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:30,280
versus Alonzo Minifield.

823
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:34,880
Speaker 1: That was crisp. That was crisp right there.

824
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:35,320
Speaker 5: Good time.

825
00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:38,079
Speaker 7: So we got Vulcan O's Demir here he is minus

826
00:38:38,079 --> 00:38:39,679
two twenty five. And the comeback here we've got a

827
00:38:39,679 --> 00:38:42,320
Loneso Menifield, he's plus one ninety. Now you look at

828
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:45,079
Vulcan here, he's a kickboxer. He wants to come forward.

829
00:38:45,119 --> 00:38:47,599
He's a pressure striker. He wants to fight in the pocket,

830
00:38:47,679 --> 00:38:49,639
and he believes in his power. And that's really where

831
00:38:49,679 --> 00:38:51,800
this fight is gonna be one or loss for either

832
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:53,800
one of these guys, where they're gonna be looking to

833
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:56,360
really go in there in the pocket and exchange. He's

834
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:59,199
gonna be the more technically better striker between these two.

835
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:01,800
Now you got Menife, who is really more you know,

836
00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:03,480
can mix it up. He can look to get in

837
00:39:03,519 --> 00:39:05,639
the boxing, he can look to get into the into

838
00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:08,079
the wrestling, but really he believes in his power and

839
00:39:08,119 --> 00:39:10,159
that's where he's going to find success whether he wins

840
00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:12,440
or loses. Now, he was knocked out back to back times.

841
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:14,400
He came back. It looked like his career is kind

842
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:16,519
of ending. He came back and he ended up beating

843
00:39:16,519 --> 00:39:21,239
two very green, very raw fighters in Umar, said Julius Walker.

844
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:23,199
But when you go back watch those fights and it

845
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,800
was pretty sloppy overall, I mean just horrible, you know,

846
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:30,480
optically for both these guys. They were tired early. Alonso

847
00:39:30,599 --> 00:39:33,039
was tired early. That's a big issue here is durability,

848
00:39:33,079 --> 00:39:36,360
and he's his gas tank very very minimal. And this

849
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:38,639
is a spot here where I just don't really think

850
00:39:38,639 --> 00:39:41,480
he's going to find much success because he is so reckless.

851
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:43,519
And that's the one thing with Vulcanos Demir is that

852
00:39:43,559 --> 00:39:46,199
he is so much more polished. He is the better striker.

853
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:48,920
You know, you got Alonzo who's gonna be having these

854
00:39:48,960 --> 00:39:51,480
big looping hooks. Sure he's got the power, but I

855
00:39:51,519 --> 00:39:53,920
believe he throws a lot of those shots really out

856
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:56,599
of position, and it's going to allow the more cleaner

857
00:39:56,639 --> 00:39:59,760
technical striker in Vulcan to land those big shots. Plus

858
00:39:59,800 --> 00:40:02,840
your gonna see consistently through this fight, Alonzo throwns.

859
00:40:02,559 --> 00:40:03,360
Speaker 1: The same combinations.

860
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:04,840
Speaker 7: I mean it's you know, if you take a look

861
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,840
at just these two big hooks and he's hoping something lands,

862
00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:10,039
and at this point in his career, he seems unmotivated

863
00:40:10,079 --> 00:40:11,119
at this particular point.

864
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:12,440
Speaker 1: I do also think.

865
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:14,440
Speaker 7: That Vulcan at this spot he's gonna chop.

866
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:15,079
Speaker 1: Away at those legs.

867
00:40:15,079 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 7: We saw him find a lot of success against Carlos

868
00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:20,480
Uberg recently, where Ubert gonna be fighting for a title soon.

869
00:40:20,519 --> 00:40:22,920
So I think this is the spot here where Vulcan

870
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:25,760
has the durability, He's got the better striking, he's got

871
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:27,800
the power, and I am just not a believer at

872
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:30,760
this point here in Alonzo Menifield having this resurgence over

873
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:33,440
these two, you know, newcomers in the division here, So

874
00:40:33,639 --> 00:40:35,360
you gotta go with me your minus two twenty five.

875
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:37,719
Speaker 1: I like the knockout here at plus one forty.

876
00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:39,800
Speaker 7: I think there's a really good shot at that early

877
00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:41,440
in that first round, I think it's gonna be a

878
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:42,119
little dicey.

879
00:40:42,159 --> 00:40:43,119
Speaker 1: Both are gonna be swinging.

880
00:40:43,119 --> 00:40:45,800
Speaker 7: But as this fight goes on, I think that knockout materializes.

881
00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:48,159
So give me Bulcan knows Mere by knockout a plus

882
00:40:48,159 --> 00:40:48,679
one forty.

883
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:51,360
Speaker 3: All right, guys, if you have a question for Kyle,

884
00:40:51,519 --> 00:40:52,559
drop it in the chat.

885
00:40:52,599 --> 00:40:54,360
Speaker 2: We got about five more minutes.

886
00:40:54,639 --> 00:40:57,159
Speaker 3: All right, Matt Hudson, big Miami fans, so he doesn't

887
00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:59,280
like me very often, but I'm gonna answer his question anyway.

888
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:02,840
Speaker 1: Do you like or or Bank or a Bie? Well,

889
00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:04,480
I can I can dive into that one.

890
00:41:04,519 --> 00:41:08,000
Speaker 7: I guess right here. So we got we got mechtic

891
00:41:08,159 --> 00:41:11,239
or By. He is minus two hundred on the comeback.

892
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:15,519
We've got Jack Jack elementally that one last weekend, Jack Hermanson.

893
00:41:15,559 --> 00:41:17,679
I think I need more coffee too, Jack Armanson plus

894
00:41:17,679 --> 00:41:20,159
one sixty five. Now you got her Manson, who is

895
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:23,320
really a grappler. You know, he's very good, high level

896
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:25,960
despite gets to the ground. He's got elite level jiu jitsu,

897
00:41:26,239 --> 00:41:28,960
you know, very smooth submission game, got you know, very

898
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:30,960
good volume on the feet. But when you're looking at

899
00:41:31,000 --> 00:41:32,920
some of the red flags here in this fight, and

900
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:36,000
there are multiple on the Hermanson side, first being the

901
00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:38,599
fact that this guy was brutally knocked out in June.

902
00:41:38,639 --> 00:41:39,960
Speaker 1: That's like five months ago.

903
00:41:40,039 --> 00:41:42,239
Speaker 7: And for me, if I'm gonna be wagering on a

904
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:44,880
fighter and they're brutally knocked out that badly I need

905
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:48,920
like eight to ten months time off for healing process.

906
00:41:49,119 --> 00:41:50,880
They just become a little bit more chinny if they

907
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:53,119
come back that quickly. So that's one red flag. The

908
00:41:53,119 --> 00:41:55,639
other red flag is a fact he's thirty seven years old,

909
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:58,760
wrong side of thirty five. That's another red flag coming

910
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:01,119
back that quickly. But the third red flag is the

911
00:42:01,159 --> 00:42:02,719
fact that this is the first time in his career

912
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:05,000
he's dropping from one hundred and eighty five pounds through

913
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,039
one hundred and seventy pounds. Those are a lot of

914
00:42:07,079 --> 00:42:09,519
moving parts here, and you know, he did make the weight,

915
00:42:09,559 --> 00:42:11,880
and that's why this line did come in is because

916
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:13,599
he made the weight. Now that kind of you know,

917
00:42:13,679 --> 00:42:15,239
some people would he was sure he was gonna make

918
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:15,480
the weight.

919
00:42:15,559 --> 00:42:17,960
Speaker 1: He did make the weight. But to me, you you know,

920
00:42:18,119 --> 00:42:19,400
many times we're gonna see this.

921
00:42:19,559 --> 00:42:22,559
Speaker 7: You drain, you know, your body, your gas tank, your

922
00:42:22,599 --> 00:42:24,960
durability when you're squeezing down. And now you got a

923
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:27,679
guy who's coming back quickly at thirty seven years old.

924
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:29,480
I just don't like this set up here. He is

925
00:42:29,519 --> 00:42:32,079
a great grappler, but the thing about it is really

926
00:42:32,159 --> 00:42:33,880
is that he is a big one eighty five and

927
00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:36,000
to cut that much weight I think is gonna really

928
00:42:36,079 --> 00:42:38,360
do you know, bad things for him when you're talking

929
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:40,880
about just you know, you know, is he gonna be

930
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:43,000
in peak physical condition that type of thing. But I

931
00:42:43,039 --> 00:42:45,599
think this is a spot here where Orbi is going

932
00:42:45,639 --> 00:42:47,840
to come forward. You've got Jack who has not been

933
00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:51,320
taken down since one time, since twenty nineteen, So this.

934
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:52,719
Speaker 1: Fight will play out on the feet.

935
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:54,519
Speaker 7: I think it's gonna be you know, pitter patter shots

936
00:42:54,519 --> 00:42:56,960
from both of them, but Orby has power. I think

937
00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,239
he's gonna test that chin here. So I believe this

938
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:01,320
is a spot here where the knockout does happen.

939
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 1: The fight plays down on the feet.

940
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:05,440
Speaker 7: A lot less grappling here, so the knockouts sitting around

941
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:07,400
plus three forty. I think that's a great spot, A

942
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,519
little sprinkle spot there that's very much has some value here.

943
00:43:10,519 --> 00:43:12,239
Speaker 1: So I think he gets a knockout here in this fight.

944
00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:15,199
Speaker 3: All right, Kyle, I got a couple more questions from

945
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:17,000
the chat before we get out of here, But first,

946
00:43:17,079 --> 00:43:19,079
let everybody know what you've got going on over at

947
00:43:19,119 --> 00:43:20,320
wager talk dot com.

948
00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:23,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I've got four plays up right now.

949
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:25,079
Speaker 7: One of them is a four percent play, and I

950
00:43:25,159 --> 00:43:28,800
do have you know some spots here where I really

951
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:30,800
think are some grace. But I did have another four

952
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:34,000
percent Shamil Ghaziev. The fight got canceled, so it's kind

953
00:43:34,039 --> 00:43:36,519
of pissed off about that, but it is what it is.

954
00:43:36,559 --> 00:43:38,400
That's kind of how this game works out here. But

955
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:41,360
check it out wager talk dot com. Four plays. We're

956
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:42,519
gonna make some money this morning.

957
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:45,760
Speaker 2: All right, who's your favorite dog today, Cutter?

958
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:48,480
Speaker 3: This is like my type of question. I like those

959
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:52,159
plus money underdogs. He likes Gazie.

960
00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:54,840
Speaker 1: The one that I like here.

961
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 7: Now, people are not gonna like this at all because

962
00:43:57,039 --> 00:44:00,400
people hate Ian Gary, people hate Bleel Mohammed. I think

963
00:44:00,400 --> 00:44:03,480
ballal at like plus two point thirty is a great

964
00:44:03,599 --> 00:44:06,400
value here. He's the former champion, he's got the wrestling.

965
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:09,199
He fought it a terrible, terrible game plan. Last time

966
00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,000
he fought Jack Delamttalanta, he wanted a box. Here he's

967
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:14,440
talking about wrestling. I think he's got the physicality. I

968
00:44:14,440 --> 00:44:16,480
think he's got the strength advantage. I think he's got

969
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:18,559
the path to victory there as well. And if you

970
00:44:18,599 --> 00:44:20,360
want to just kind of get off that a little bit,

971
00:44:20,559 --> 00:44:22,480
you can get ballall plus three and a half.

972
00:44:22,559 --> 00:44:23,480
Speaker 1: If you don't know what that is.

973
00:44:23,519 --> 00:44:26,119
Speaker 7: That's basically your buying points on the judge of scorecard.

974
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:28,400
So if one judge gives him the round and he

975
00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:31,280
does not get finished and it's twenty nine to twenty eight, you.

976
00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 1: Win by half a point.

977
00:44:32,599 --> 00:44:34,280
Speaker 7: And I like that spot here because I think he's

978
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:36,440
gonna at least get a takedown, at least control one

979
00:44:36,519 --> 00:44:39,000
round and then maybe losing the judge of scorecards. So

980
00:44:39,119 --> 00:44:41,159
I like blal here. I think there's value in this

981
00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:42,400
spot here in the comin event.

982
00:44:43,079 --> 00:44:44,760
Speaker 2: All right, we're gonna get out of here.

983
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:48,000
Speaker 3: We got fifteen minutes until kickoff. Slash sports dot Com

984
00:44:48,039 --> 00:44:49,760
Backslash Calling Vegas. If you guys want to get in

985
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:54,400
on that overlay, twenty five dollars entry and fifty dollars guaranteed.

986
00:44:54,599 --> 00:44:56,480
Kyle Anthony make sure you guys are following him on

987
00:44:56,639 --> 00:44:58,480
X You guys can check out his Hero Parlay over

988
00:44:58,519 --> 00:45:04,000
there at Kyle Anthony ufc WT dot Buzz Backslash kat Ka.

989
00:45:04,199 --> 00:45:06,559
Excuse me to get on board with Kyle today.

990
00:45:07,039 --> 00:45:09,960
Speaker 1: Kyle A first leg of the Hero Parlay just hit,

991
00:45:10,119 --> 00:45:10,960
So we're okay.

992
00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:14,119
Speaker 2: I love that. All right, guys, there's still how many

993
00:45:14,199 --> 00:45:14,960
legs left.

994
00:45:15,199 --> 00:45:17,360
Speaker 1: Two more legs left, so check it out on my Twitter.

995
00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:19,159
Got a posted there, Hell yeah yeah.

996
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,599
Speaker 3: The comment section just said first leg of the parlay

997
00:45:21,599 --> 00:45:27,599
won by submission. Congratulations their great cap by you have.

998
00:45:27,599 --> 00:45:28,800
Speaker 2: A wonderful Saturday, everybody.

999
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:31,599
Speaker 3: I'll be back tomorrow for last call filling and for

1000
00:45:31,679 --> 00:45:33,239
aero Epsteine talking NFL