WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.080 --> 00:00:04.919 Pretty much every time that I am encountered with a 2 00:00:04.960 --> 00:00:13.080 presidential Joint Session of Congress speech, I hate watching it. 3 00:00:15.199 --> 00:00:18.719 I really hate watching those speeches because you can read 4 00:00:18.800 --> 00:00:22.039 the whole speech probably in about fifteen minutes, but then 5 00:00:22.079 --> 00:00:26.800 it takes actually like two hours to get through the 6 00:00:26.879 --> 00:00:31.280 actual speech because there's so many applause breaks. So I'm 7 00:00:31.480 --> 00:00:35.840 engaging in that exercise in my analysis of President Trump's 8 00:00:35.880 --> 00:00:40.640 speech yesterday, and there's a couple of things about the 9 00:00:40.679 --> 00:00:43.320 speech that I sort of want to note. I wound up, 10 00:00:43.359 --> 00:00:49.119 I read through the whole thing, and first of all, 11 00:00:49.200 --> 00:00:52.119 the behavior of the Democrats is just not going to 12 00:00:52.200 --> 00:00:55.039 look It's not going to reflect well or age well 13 00:00:55.079 --> 00:01:00.719 for them because they hate Trump so much that they 14 00:01:00.759 --> 00:01:06.560 can't at least do the kind of like I understand, 15 00:01:06.640 --> 00:01:09.159 the two political parties don't like each other. I understand 16 00:01:09.400 --> 00:01:15.120 these kinds of speeches by presidents are you know, nationally 17 00:01:15.159 --> 00:01:23.120 televised campaign stump speeches, effectively their victory laps, and the 18 00:01:23.159 --> 00:01:27.159 one side is talking up quite a bit about the 19 00:01:27.200 --> 00:01:30.159 things it's doing or wanting to do, or criticizing the 20 00:01:30.239 --> 00:01:33.519 other side in ways that the other side doesn't agree with. 21 00:01:33.920 --> 00:01:37.560 But they also trot out things that are you know, 22 00:01:38.560 --> 00:01:42.319 good or try. They bring guests to these State of 23 00:01:42.319 --> 00:01:46.280 the Union type speeches that are sort of heartwarming stories, 24 00:01:46.319 --> 00:01:52.760 and you gotta find if you're the side in the minority, 25 00:01:53.120 --> 00:01:58.079 you're not ever gonna win one of these speeches where 26 00:01:58.120 --> 00:02:01.000 it's the president talking the president high up his side. 27 00:02:01.640 --> 00:02:04.400 If you're the side in the opposition, you're never gonna win. 28 00:02:05.680 --> 00:02:09.960 The key is just don't lose, don't look like an idiot. 29 00:02:10.759 --> 00:02:13.039 And the Democrats did several things that made them look 30 00:02:13.080 --> 00:02:16.159 like an idiot. So, first of all, Representative Al Green 31 00:02:16.719 --> 00:02:20.599 gets himself thrown out by standing up and yelling and 32 00:02:20.599 --> 00:02:24.759 interrupting the president's speech so much so that Mike Johnson 33 00:02:25.599 --> 00:02:33.680 basically directed security to escort him out. Then the Democrats 34 00:02:33.719 --> 00:02:39.639 are holding these little like Plackhart placard things that say 35 00:02:39.759 --> 00:02:43.759 not true on them, little signs that say, you know, 36 00:02:43.960 --> 00:02:48.639 Elon Musk steals blah blah blah, like this is a 37 00:02:48.719 --> 00:02:52.599 baseball game or like it's a or holding out these 38 00:02:52.599 --> 00:02:55.240 little signs like they're at a silent auction, they're at 39 00:02:55.240 --> 00:02:58.960 a live auction, or something like, well, what are we 40 00:02:59.039 --> 00:03:03.599 doing here? This is an address by an American president 41 00:03:03.639 --> 00:03:10.000 to a joint session of Congress. So I think the 42 00:03:10.039 --> 00:03:14.039 Democrats just came off again. There's no way for the 43 00:03:14.039 --> 00:03:20.840 Democrats to win a speech like this. You never win, 44 00:03:23.439 --> 00:03:27.479 but it's definitely possible for your conduct to make you lose. 45 00:03:27.639 --> 00:03:32.759 More like the one time Barack Obama gave a joint 46 00:03:32.840 --> 00:03:35.960 address to Congress and there was that one Republican member 47 00:03:36.000 --> 00:03:38.120 of the House who stood up and yelled, you lie 48 00:03:38.319 --> 00:03:40.639 at him, and he just sort of looked like an idiot, 49 00:03:40.919 --> 00:03:45.360 and it just made the Republicans look worse. I sort 50 00:03:45.360 --> 00:03:48.960 of think Democrats had that kind of a moment, if 51 00:03:49.000 --> 00:03:54.080 not a little worse. There was just nothing good that 52 00:03:54.199 --> 00:03:57.080 was gonna come out of it for them by behaving 53 00:03:57.120 --> 00:04:02.280 the way they did, and for them too sort of. 54 00:04:03.240 --> 00:04:06.039 You know, they had a lot of the female members 55 00:04:06.080 --> 00:04:11.199 of Congress had their pink coordinated outfits, which it's unclear 56 00:04:11.280 --> 00:04:15.439 what it was even standing for other than abortion, I guess, 57 00:04:15.719 --> 00:04:21.680 a topic that Trump didn't mention the entire night. They 58 00:04:21.839 --> 00:04:27.160 just sort of looked bizarre and dumb, and just their 59 00:04:27.360 --> 00:04:34.519 unwillingness to applaud stuff, even like you know, bipartisan warm 60 00:04:34.560 --> 00:04:39.759 fuzzy things. You know, the kid who was made an 61 00:04:39.800 --> 00:04:43.439 honorary Secret Service member, blah blah blah. You know, their 62 00:04:43.480 --> 00:04:49.199 their unwillingness to applaud even for just good things is 63 00:04:50.240 --> 00:04:55.160 you know, it doesn't look good. And it brings me 64 00:04:55.279 --> 00:05:00.399 to kinda the almost the impossible position, that almost the 65 00:05:00.439 --> 00:05:07.680 impossible problem that Democrats face. Democrats, to keep themselves being 66 00:05:07.720 --> 00:05:10.879 able to sleep at night, have to tell themselves that 67 00:05:11.000 --> 00:05:14.000 the problem is their messaging. It's not the message, it's 68 00:05:14.040 --> 00:05:18.959 the medium, not the message. That you know, if we 69 00:05:19.120 --> 00:05:24.839 just get another leader like Barack Obama or someone like that, 70 00:05:25.680 --> 00:05:29.519 then we can still win, we can still rise to 71 00:05:29.560 --> 00:05:35.319 prominence in American politics. It's not what we believe, it's 72 00:05:35.399 --> 00:05:39.439 how we transmit it that we just you know, Joe 73 00:05:39.480 --> 00:05:43.639 Biden was only so effective a messenger of our position. 74 00:05:43.800 --> 00:05:47.480 Kamala Harris was not an effective messenger of our politics. 75 00:05:49.399 --> 00:05:52.240 Our politics are still popular, our politics are still good, 76 00:05:52.720 --> 00:06:00.399 and all we need is just to find the right messenger. Now, 77 00:06:02.120 --> 00:06:09.160 I will let me admit a couple of things. I 78 00:06:09.199 --> 00:06:14.959 think both parties have issues that they do very well 79 00:06:15.000 --> 00:06:22.360 in and issues that they do poorly in. Problem is 80 00:06:22.439 --> 00:06:27.240 that Democrats are holding on to a lot of positions 81 00:06:28.160 --> 00:06:34.279 where they are unwilling to change and are doing really poorly, 82 00:06:34.360 --> 00:06:42.160 and Trump is able to position himself with basically like 83 00:06:44.160 --> 00:06:51.000 seventy thirty favorable positions. Okay, as an example, let me 84 00:06:51.120 --> 00:06:56.160 just affirm for you guys this reality. Donald Trump is 85 00:06:56.199 --> 00:06:59.800 going to keep talking about transgender issues till Kingdom come. 86 00:07:00.279 --> 00:07:02.519 He's going to keep talking about how he's keeping men 87 00:07:02.560 --> 00:07:07.920 out of women's sports till Kingdom come, and the Democrats 88 00:07:07.959 --> 00:07:12.120 are stuck. Democrats have proclaimed that the transgender cause is 89 00:07:12.199 --> 00:07:15.639 like the human rights cause of our day. They're acting 90 00:07:15.759 --> 00:07:19.319 like it's Martin Luther King Junior's you know, this is 91 00:07:19.360 --> 00:07:23.160 the successor to Martin Luther King Junior's cause, is the 92 00:07:23.240 --> 00:07:28.399 cause for transgenderism. Democrats really said stuff like that, believe 93 00:07:28.480 --> 00:07:32.600 stuff like that. So now they're stuck with that position. 94 00:07:33.120 --> 00:07:35.079 And all of a sudden, we've all come to this 95 00:07:35.279 --> 00:07:40.800 realization in America that, hey, the pro trans argument and 96 00:07:40.879 --> 00:07:46.160 all that it entails, biological men in women's prisons, biological 97 00:07:46.160 --> 00:07:55.000 men playing women's sports, has you know, thirty percent favorability. 98 00:07:56.360 --> 00:08:02.199 So Trump is positioning himself in a position where he 99 00:08:02.279 --> 00:08:07.439 has seventy percent favorability. Likewise, on the border, all right, 100 00:08:09.120 --> 00:08:11.560 a lot of what Trump was saying about the border 101 00:08:12.959 --> 00:08:16.120 is undeniable. A lot of the stuff Trump Trump talked 102 00:08:16.160 --> 00:08:20.560 about in his speech was undeniable. One that like twenty 103 00:08:20.600 --> 00:08:23.279 one million people came into the country under Joe Biden. 104 00:08:23.639 --> 00:08:31.879 That's true, and it's not good. Two that the number 105 00:08:31.920 --> 00:08:37.679 of attempted illegal border crossings has decreased to essentially nothing 106 00:08:38.159 --> 00:08:44.360 within a month, month and a half, a month and 107 00:08:44.360 --> 00:08:48.240 a half after taking office, attempts at illegal border crossings 108 00:08:48.240 --> 00:08:52.120 have reduced themselves to nothing because the word got out 109 00:08:52.360 --> 00:08:55.200 that Trump was in charge and that he wasn't taking 110 00:08:55.720 --> 00:09:00.720 he was not messing around and attempted more illegal border 111 00:09:00.720 --> 00:09:09.039 crossings have basically reduced down to a trickle. It's that 112 00:09:09.039 --> 00:09:14.039 that outcome of being tough on illegal immigration in order 113 00:09:14.080 --> 00:09:17.639 to cut off the flow. That's like a sixty six 114 00:09:17.840 --> 00:09:21.799 thirty three position. Okay, that's like a sixty six percent 115 00:09:21.840 --> 00:09:27.919 favorability position. A lot of what Trump was saying about, 116 00:09:28.279 --> 00:09:34.559 you know, Trump talking really tough about and bringing to 117 00:09:34.840 --> 00:09:38.200 the State of the Union, address the families of people 118 00:09:38.200 --> 00:09:40.759 who were victimized by people who shouldn't have been in 119 00:09:40.799 --> 00:09:42.799 the country in the first place, and were only in 120 00:09:42.879 --> 00:09:47.000 the country because of lax immigration policy. Lake and Riley's 121 00:09:47.000 --> 00:09:56.120 family et cetera. Democrats look terrible in comparison to it. 122 00:09:56.639 --> 00:10:00.159 They can't express of you on immigration like what Trump 123 00:10:00.159 --> 00:10:06.639 has expressed because of their ideological commitments. So that's another 124 00:10:07.480 --> 00:10:14.240 massive advantage Trump has with regards to this other disputed issue. 125 00:10:15.200 --> 00:10:19.360 So Trump has like a couple of these issues, you know, 126 00:10:20.840 --> 00:10:25.000 tax cuts. Trump wants to make his tax cuts permanent. 127 00:10:26.000 --> 00:10:28.639 They were his tax cuts, his tax cuts that he 128 00:10:28.799 --> 00:10:32.840 passed in his first administration. Democrats have to decide are 129 00:10:32.840 --> 00:10:36.360 we going to begrudgingly make those tax cuts permanent or 130 00:10:36.720 --> 00:10:42.360 do we vote against it and look like idiots? You know? Again, 131 00:10:42.679 --> 00:10:49.559 another like sixty six to thirty three Trump advantage position. Meanwhile, 132 00:10:51.519 --> 00:10:56.320 there's a lot of stuff Trump believes that I think 133 00:10:56.639 --> 00:11:03.919 don't necessarily have massive popular sort that aren't maybe majority 134 00:11:03.919 --> 00:11:06.919 popular positions. I don't know that any of Trump's views 135 00:11:06.960 --> 00:11:11.799 on tariffs necessarily have a majority support. I don't know 136 00:11:11.960 --> 00:11:15.600 that necessarily everything with how Trump has handled the Ukraine 137 00:11:15.679 --> 00:11:21.840 situation has necessarily majority support. But he doesn't have like 138 00:11:22.360 --> 00:11:27.440 that much opposition. I'd say the numbers are maybe like 139 00:11:28.559 --> 00:11:33.639 people aren't loving the tariff thing. Maybe it's like fifty 140 00:11:33.720 --> 00:11:40.240 five to forty five. I think maybe people aren't crazy 141 00:11:40.279 --> 00:11:44.360 about every decision he's made with regards to Ukraine so far. 142 00:11:44.879 --> 00:11:48.879 Although it seems like the blow up from last Friday, 143 00:11:49.360 --> 00:11:51.919 the meeting with Zelensky, that that maybe that's not the 144 00:11:52.080 --> 00:11:54.519 end of the story, and you know that this is 145 00:11:54.559 --> 00:11:57.519 a thing about foreign policy. I mean, maybe I do 146 00:11:57.559 --> 00:11:59.759 another segment about this later on in the show. I 147 00:11:59.799 --> 00:12:06.360 think people get so worked up about the making of 148 00:12:06.440 --> 00:12:09.720 the pizza of foreign policy and don't focus enough on 149 00:12:09.919 --> 00:12:15.000 what is the actual end pizza that comes out. Okay, yeah, 150 00:12:15.039 --> 00:12:17.480 you may not like how I'm kneeding the dough right now, 151 00:12:17.759 --> 00:12:21.399 but the end result pizza is delicious, Like foreign policy 152 00:12:21.440 --> 00:12:25.440 has to be judged based on the end result pizza. Okay. 153 00:12:25.799 --> 00:12:29.200 Trump and Zelensky got into a shouting match, all right. 154 00:12:29.399 --> 00:12:31.200 Is that going to change the ultimate outcome of things 155 00:12:31.240 --> 00:12:36.440 with Ukraine? Maybe not. Apparently, Zelenski writes this letter where 156 00:12:36.480 --> 00:12:38.879 he says, we are very grateful and we're willing to 157 00:12:38.919 --> 00:12:45.879 sign this deal. You know, Trump was reporting about this 158 00:12:45.960 --> 00:12:50.480 letter that Zelenski sent, so I don't know, it seems 159 00:12:50.519 --> 00:12:55.279 like but again, if Trump isn't in a very popular 160 00:12:55.320 --> 00:12:58.360 position with regards to Ukraine, and I don't even know 161 00:12:58.480 --> 00:13:01.159 that he is very unpopular with regards how he's dealing 162 00:13:01.200 --> 00:13:03.879 with your crane. His unpopularity is maybe at the level 163 00:13:03.919 --> 00:13:07.639 of like fifty to forty five. I think every Republican 164 00:13:07.720 --> 00:13:13.200 practically other than a few like Beltway mindset folks who 165 00:13:13.200 --> 00:13:18.440 are like diehard Ukraine supporters, is okay, and let saying, 166 00:13:18.679 --> 00:13:21.000 let's give Trump some grace here and see how he 167 00:13:21.080 --> 00:13:25.080 makes what he can do here. His all of Trump's 168 00:13:25.159 --> 00:13:30.960 negatives are like fifty to forty five negatives and most 169 00:13:31.039 --> 00:13:37.679 of Trump's many of Trump's positives are seventy to thirty positives. 170 00:13:38.840 --> 00:13:45.759 He knows it. That's why his like overall approval ratings 171 00:13:45.840 --> 00:13:49.120 right now are better than they ever were at any 172 00:13:49.200 --> 00:13:52.480 point in the first administration. He's at like a forty 173 00:13:52.480 --> 00:13:56.399 eight percent approval rating with only forty three percent negative. 174 00:13:56.600 --> 00:13:59.919 He's above water on approval rating, which he basically wan 175 00:14:00.159 --> 00:14:10.720 wasn't for his entire first administration. You know, even with tariffs. Okay, 176 00:14:11.399 --> 00:14:14.240 Trump spent a lot of time in this speech actually 177 00:14:14.279 --> 00:14:17.360 talking about tariffs, which you realize is like, Okay, this 178 00:14:17.440 --> 00:14:21.120 is the stuff that actually really animates him and revs 179 00:14:21.120 --> 00:14:26.080 his engine. And I think, you know, as someone who's 180 00:14:26.120 --> 00:14:31.519 not you know, just because you have a microphone in 181 00:14:31.559 --> 00:14:33.440 your face doesn't mean that you know everything about everything. 182 00:14:34.279 --> 00:14:36.559 And in fact, I will readily admit I don't know 183 00:14:36.600 --> 00:14:39.799 everything about everything, and economics is one of my areas 184 00:14:39.799 --> 00:14:45.840 where I often lack expertise. And the interplay of tariffs 185 00:14:46.080 --> 00:14:50.360 and how that all works. I'm gonna confess I'm not 186 00:14:50.440 --> 00:14:58.000 like some grand economics expert. But I think Trump's one 187 00:14:58.039 --> 00:15:00.879 of the things Trump's sort of asserting, it's a little 188 00:15:00.879 --> 00:15:05.200 hard to dispute it too much, is because I'm going 189 00:15:05.240 --> 00:15:11.360 to put tariffs on imports from foreign countries. It's going 190 00:15:11.399 --> 00:15:16.720 to incentivize American businesses to set up shop in America, 191 00:15:17.120 --> 00:15:22.399 and that is a long term good thing. I mean, 192 00:15:23.200 --> 00:15:26.279 I don't think it's a coincidence that Apple announced this 193 00:15:26.440 --> 00:15:33.960 huge five hundred billion dollar American worker investment shortly after 194 00:15:34.000 --> 00:15:37.159 Trump takes office, Shortly after Trump's do you know all 195 00:15:37.200 --> 00:15:40.960 these tariffs with China. I mean, that's the kind of 196 00:15:41.000 --> 00:15:44.480 thing that's going to spur more investment into into America. 197 00:15:45.240 --> 00:15:50.200 Now there's some stuff. I mean, Trump is sort of 198 00:15:50.559 --> 00:15:53.279 like warning people that there might be an adjustment period 199 00:15:53.320 --> 00:15:57.240 with some of this. He clearly this is the one 200 00:15:57.320 --> 00:15:59.799 thing that could be a fatal flaw for Trump is 201 00:16:00.080 --> 00:16:04.519 if food prices don't go down, is if basically if 202 00:16:04.639 --> 00:16:09.480 costs don't stabilize or go down, that could be a 203 00:16:09.480 --> 00:16:14.440 real achilles heel for Trump, and that could grow over time. 204 00:16:14.559 --> 00:16:16.120 I mean, he's only been in office like a month 205 00:16:16.159 --> 00:16:18.759 and a half. Democrats are already starting to yell about it. 206 00:16:18.799 --> 00:16:21.399 Anything he does that's not going to result in food 207 00:16:21.440 --> 00:16:26.480 prices going down, Democrats yell about now. Trump talked specifically 208 00:16:26.559 --> 00:16:29.120 about even like the price of eggs in America, which 209 00:16:29.159 --> 00:16:32.039 are ludicrous, and anyone who's buying eggs for a large family, 210 00:16:32.080 --> 00:16:38.960 as our family is, knows about this problem. Costs of goods, 211 00:16:39.039 --> 00:16:44.080 costs of living, costs of groceries, costs of food especially 212 00:16:44.679 --> 00:16:49.320 could be Trump's achilles heel as we come up to 213 00:16:49.480 --> 00:16:57.440 the twenty twenty six midterms. But if food costs stabilize, 214 00:16:58.159 --> 00:17:02.679 if inflation sort of levels out, maybe if something can 215 00:17:02.720 --> 00:17:05.279 happen to get you know, stuff like eggs, you know, 216 00:17:05.319 --> 00:17:07.519 get the supply chain more stabilized. A lot of the 217 00:17:07.559 --> 00:17:10.240 reason why eggs are so expensive right now is because 218 00:17:10.839 --> 00:17:14.880 the USDA ordered one hundred like something like tens hundreds 219 00:17:14.920 --> 00:17:17.440 of millions of poultry to be killed because of disease 220 00:17:17.960 --> 00:17:21.799 or suspected disease or something. So wave too few chickens, 221 00:17:22.000 --> 00:17:26.119 not enough eggs to meet demand, prices go up. Maybe 222 00:17:26.119 --> 00:17:33.599 if that situation stabilizes, Republicans are going to have a 223 00:17:33.680 --> 00:17:38.000 lot of things to point to come twenty twenty six 224 00:17:38.359 --> 00:17:43.599 that are again seventy thirty type issues for them, like 225 00:17:43.640 --> 00:17:47.279 seventy percent favorability issues for them. And I don't know 226 00:17:47.319 --> 00:17:50.400 where Democrats are going to go. And that's the problem 227 00:17:50.640 --> 00:17:55.079 for Democrats. It's not just you know, the problem for 228 00:17:55.160 --> 00:17:58.920 Democrats is it's not just the messenger, it's the message 229 00:17:59.440 --> 00:18:01.680 in no small a part. When we return, I'm going 230 00:18:01.720 --> 00:18:03.400 to talk about all the women who wore pink and 231 00:18:03.480 --> 00:18:06.839 what exactly were they there representing? Next on the John 232 00:18:06.880 --> 00:18:11.720 Gewardy Show, there was a group of Democrat women who 233 00:18:12.279 --> 00:18:15.119 showed up for the joint addressed to Congress last night, 234 00:18:15.240 --> 00:18:22.279 all dressed in pink outfits, pink blazers, pink sweaters over 235 00:18:22.319 --> 00:18:28.599 their you know, blouses, et cetera. What were they there 236 00:18:28.799 --> 00:18:36.079 standing for? Were they what? And this is a big 237 00:18:36.119 --> 00:18:41.839 problem Democrats are facing Trump because he's leveraging this seventy 238 00:18:41.880 --> 00:18:49.640 to thirty position about transgenderism and the bad impact of 239 00:18:49.839 --> 00:19:02.599 transgenderism specifically on women's sports and women's privacy. Trump is 240 00:19:02.680 --> 00:19:06.640 sort of almost retaking this. I don't know if he's 241 00:19:06.680 --> 00:19:12.960 totally there yet, And certainly this isn't necessarily being reflected 242 00:19:13.039 --> 00:19:16.079 in the vote. I mean, if only women voted, Kamala 243 00:19:16.079 --> 00:19:18.799 Harris would have won in the landslide. If only men voted, 244 00:19:18.920 --> 00:19:24.680 you know, Trump would have won the landslide. But he's 245 00:19:24.720 --> 00:19:28.240 got another issue where it forces you to actually ask 246 00:19:28.319 --> 00:19:34.119 the question, You're all these Democrat women, Democrat legislators wearing pink. 247 00:19:35.559 --> 00:19:40.240 How are they standing up for women here? What issues 248 00:19:40.279 --> 00:19:44.400 do Democrats actually stand up for women? Because they don't 249 00:19:44.440 --> 00:19:50.839 care about women's sports. Clearly, they don't care about protecting 250 00:19:50.920 --> 00:19:54.680 women's shelters from having biological men be housed in them. 251 00:19:56.160 --> 00:20:01.920 They don't care about women's prisons. You know, I talked 252 00:20:01.920 --> 00:20:03.759 with Sally Marino on the show a couple of weeks 253 00:20:03.759 --> 00:20:07.759 ago about this horrific case they were dealing with at 254 00:20:07.759 --> 00:20:12.799 the California Correctional Facility, the women's correctional facility in Chowchilla, 255 00:20:14.839 --> 00:20:21.960 where a obvious biological man who didn't change his name 256 00:20:22.559 --> 00:20:30.319 has facial hair claim to be transgender, goes to the 257 00:20:30.359 --> 00:20:36.359 women's prison and proceeds to rape some women there with 258 00:20:36.599 --> 00:20:40.079 nothing but a mere verbal claim that he is transgender. 259 00:20:40.359 --> 00:20:43.440 California is housing a monster like that in the women's 260 00:20:43.440 --> 00:20:47.599 prison in Chowchilla. It's like the most clear cut, obvious 261 00:20:47.640 --> 00:20:52.200 instance of this guy's not actually transgender. This guy just 262 00:20:52.279 --> 00:20:59.079 wants to rape women. He's not confused about his sexuality. 263 00:20:59.359 --> 00:21:04.640 He just wants to rape people. He's lying about. But 264 00:21:05.240 --> 00:21:09.119 our insane transgender policies that we have in California under 265 00:21:09.119 --> 00:21:12.000 California state law allow for a monster like that to 266 00:21:12.000 --> 00:21:18.119 be housed in a women's prison. They don't care about 267 00:21:18.160 --> 00:21:21.680 women's prisons. They don't care about women's locker rooms, they 268 00:21:21.680 --> 00:21:28.240 don't care about women's bathrooms, they don't care about Title nine. 269 00:21:28.519 --> 00:21:31.559 On the extreme fringe of the left, they've got this 270 00:21:31.759 --> 00:21:37.400 insane I mean, you saw it at the Oscars, this 271 00:21:37.599 --> 00:21:41.319 insane thing where the woman who one best female actor 272 00:21:41.359 --> 00:21:43.880 goes up and is talking about the dignity of sex work. 273 00:21:44.160 --> 00:21:49.400 A sex work in scare quotes a quote profession where 274 00:21:49.720 --> 00:21:51.960 most of the people who participate in it are being 275 00:21:52.039 --> 00:21:57.880 raped in some form or another, or are many of 276 00:21:57.880 --> 00:22:00.799 whom are being trafficked or raped or or or whatever. 277 00:22:03.640 --> 00:22:05.640 You know, this is the insane liberal thing where you 278 00:22:05.680 --> 00:22:08.720 focus on like the thirty percent, you know, the five 279 00:22:08.759 --> 00:22:14.079 percent of people who are you know, oh, I'm happy, willing, voluntary, 280 00:22:14.359 --> 00:22:17.799 not drug addicted, the sex worker, as opposed to the 281 00:22:17.920 --> 00:22:20.400 ninety five percent of quote sex workers who are being 282 00:22:20.480 --> 00:22:24.119 trafficked or raped or what have you. Democrats don't care 283 00:22:24.160 --> 00:22:26.960 about women in any of those contexts where they're vulnerable. 284 00:22:27.440 --> 00:22:31.200 The only thing actually that these pink dressed women who 285 00:22:31.240 --> 00:22:35.160 are at Trump's address last night, the only thing they like, 286 00:22:35.400 --> 00:22:41.960 actually care about is abortion. That's it. That's the only 287 00:22:42.039 --> 00:22:48.160 real like, that's the only thing where democrats. You know, 288 00:22:48.240 --> 00:22:50.519 I talked about how Trump has all of these issues 289 00:22:50.559 --> 00:22:55.519 where he's got like seventy to thirty favorability. This is 290 00:22:55.559 --> 00:22:58.799 the one Abortion is like the one issue where Democrats 291 00:22:58.839 --> 00:23:02.720 have like sixty six the thirty three favorability something like that. 292 00:23:03.119 --> 00:23:05.799 But even when you drill into the policy specifics of abortion, 293 00:23:05.880 --> 00:23:08.160 I don't even know that it's that strong. That's all 294 00:23:08.200 --> 00:23:10.759 they're they are representing. And it makes you really ask, well, 295 00:23:10.839 --> 00:23:14.039 who really cares about women? Is it Democrats? Because they 296 00:23:14.079 --> 00:23:18.119 support abortion or is it Trump because he actually thinks 297 00:23:18.119 --> 00:23:20.599 that women's sports should be protected from men, that women's 298 00:23:20.599 --> 00:23:23.000 prisons should be protected from men, that women's shelters should 299 00:23:23.000 --> 00:23:27.720 be protected from men. That Title nine, I mean, who's 300 00:23:27.839 --> 00:23:31.440 standing up for Title nine? More Trump or these liberal 301 00:23:32.079 --> 00:23:37.400 female members of Congress. When we return, Gavin Newsom is 302 00:23:37.680 --> 00:23:40.920 desperately trying to make the budget situation in California look 303 00:23:40.960 --> 00:23:43.359 better than it is. Next on the John Geardi Show. 304 00:23:45.400 --> 00:23:48.279 Most of you listening or many of you listening, run 305 00:23:48.400 --> 00:23:55.440 businesses or maybe work within businesses managing budgets. I manage 306 00:23:55.440 --> 00:23:58.759 some budgets in my time. It's a tricky business. It's 307 00:23:58.799 --> 00:24:00.440 a difficult business. And one of the things you have 308 00:24:00.519 --> 00:24:03.599 to do when you are budgeting is you got to 309 00:24:03.640 --> 00:24:06.000 be realistic. And I've been sort of on both sides 310 00:24:06.000 --> 00:24:09.480 of that where I've had some budgets, whether it's that 311 00:24:09.599 --> 00:24:15.240 Right to Life or with my Obria clinic, where I 312 00:24:15.359 --> 00:24:20.559 was being too cautious and to such an extent, like 313 00:24:20.599 --> 00:24:24.400 you know, underestimating revenues and overestimating expenses to such an 314 00:24:24.440 --> 00:24:26.880 extent that the budget sort of fails to be useful. 315 00:24:28.519 --> 00:24:33.519 But the much more dangerous flaw, I'd say is to 316 00:24:33.559 --> 00:24:37.359 be too optimistic overestimate the kinds of revenues you're going 317 00:24:37.440 --> 00:24:41.920 to get and underestimate the expenses you're going to have. 318 00:24:42.359 --> 00:24:44.920 And if you're going to be realistic about doing any 319 00:24:45.000 --> 00:24:48.960 kind of budgeting within a business, you have, you know, honesty, 320 00:24:50.000 --> 00:24:54.880 honesty with yourself, honesty with your board, honesty with your boss. 321 00:24:55.359 --> 00:24:59.440 Honesty has to be the order of the day. Like 322 00:24:59.720 --> 00:25:02.960 there has to be a kind of realism involved. I've 323 00:25:02.960 --> 00:25:05.720 had budgets in different years where I was like, this 324 00:25:05.799 --> 00:25:10.119 is not good. Okay, we're operating at a loss. We 325 00:25:10.200 --> 00:25:13.720 need to find ways to We got to find things 326 00:25:13.759 --> 00:25:17.440 to cut. We've got to find things to you know, 327 00:25:17.559 --> 00:25:21.119 ways that we can increase revenue. And you often you 328 00:25:21.200 --> 00:25:24.160 have to be honest with yourself about well, is this 329 00:25:24.400 --> 00:25:27.119 genuinely a thing we're gonna cut when the rubber meets 330 00:25:27.119 --> 00:25:30.319 the road. Is this genuinely a thing we can realistically cut? 331 00:25:30.720 --> 00:25:33.599 Is this a thing? Conversely on the other side, is 332 00:25:33.640 --> 00:25:36.839 this a thing over here that we can actually bank 333 00:25:36.920 --> 00:25:42.680 on this much revenue coming in? And so honesty with 334 00:25:42.720 --> 00:25:49.240 yourself has to be the order of the day. That's 335 00:25:49.240 --> 00:25:50.920 what you have to do when you're setting a budget 336 00:25:50.960 --> 00:25:56.839 for a year, Well not when you're Gavin Newsom. So 337 00:25:57.559 --> 00:26:02.160 Gavin Newsom is doing a whole bunch of shenanigans to 338 00:26:02.200 --> 00:26:05.839 try to make California's budgetary situation seem not as bad 339 00:26:05.880 --> 00:26:09.799 as it is. Dan Walters from Calmatters dot org has, 340 00:26:10.319 --> 00:26:13.880 as usual. Dan Walters has been doing political commentary in 341 00:26:13.920 --> 00:26:16.440 California for fifty years and is still, I think one 342 00:26:16.480 --> 00:26:20.480 of the best in the business. Has a great piece 343 00:26:20.640 --> 00:26:23.160 talking about some of the little budgetary tricks that Gavin 344 00:26:23.200 --> 00:26:27.680 Newsom is doing to make his proposed state budget for 345 00:26:27.759 --> 00:26:32.720 twenty five twenty six look better than it is. Here's 346 00:26:32.720 --> 00:26:35.440 what he has to say. One of the many gimmicks 347 00:26:35.440 --> 00:26:39.119 that California's governors and legislators employed to paper over budget 348 00:26:39.119 --> 00:26:44.960 deficits and thus to avoid actual spending cuts, real spending 349 00:26:45.000 --> 00:26:49.200 cuts or increasing taxes is to assume some level of 350 00:26:49.319 --> 00:26:57.039 savings from making state agencies and programs more efficient. They 351 00:26:57.039 --> 00:27:04.160 will plug arbitrary numbers into the budget from such supposed efficiencies, then, 352 00:27:04.720 --> 00:27:07.160 along with other gimmicks, declare that the budget gap has 353 00:27:07.240 --> 00:27:10.079 been closed and pat themselves on the back for the feet. 354 00:27:10.880 --> 00:27:12.960 The twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five budget is 355 00:27:13.000 --> 00:27:16.559 a prime example of such political expedients. So that's last 356 00:27:16.640 --> 00:27:20.160 year's I guess the budget year. I guess we're still 357 00:27:20.160 --> 00:27:24.359 in right now. I think, presumably through June. As enacted 358 00:27:24.480 --> 00:27:28.799 last June. Last year's budget total two hundred ninety seven 359 00:27:28.839 --> 00:27:32.400 point nine billion dollars, of which two hundred eleven point 360 00:27:32.440 --> 00:27:36.640 five billion was general fund spending. But the budget assumed 361 00:27:36.640 --> 00:27:38.640 that the state would receive two hundred and seven point 362 00:27:38.680 --> 00:27:42.160 two billion dollars in general fund revenues, so it had 363 00:27:42.160 --> 00:27:48.160 a gap to bridge. Okay, so two hundred ninety seven billion, 364 00:27:49.319 --> 00:27:52.720 two hundred ninety seven billion dollar budget, two hundred and 365 00:27:52.720 --> 00:28:02.079 seven billion dollar revenues, we have a gap. Gavin Newsom 366 00:28:02.079 --> 00:28:06.119 and legislators turned to a series of gimmicks and indirect 367 00:28:06.160 --> 00:28:09.200 loans to close the gap, including two point nine billion 368 00:28:09.240 --> 00:28:13.839 dollars from assumed efficiency savings in state agencies and state universities. 369 00:28:15.960 --> 00:28:18.319 I'm sure there are some people here listening who maybe 370 00:28:18.359 --> 00:28:22.519 work for a state agency or a state university, and 371 00:28:22.559 --> 00:28:25.119 the idea that there is efficiency in staffing at any 372 00:28:25.119 --> 00:28:30.319 of them probably is making you laugh. However, when Newsom 373 00:28:30.400 --> 00:28:32.480 unveiled a twenty twenty five to twenty twenty six budget, 374 00:28:32.480 --> 00:28:36.880 proposal in January. The plan acknowledged that while the universities 375 00:28:37.000 --> 00:28:40.839 met their relatively tiny savings goal of two hundred million, 376 00:28:41.000 --> 00:28:44.400 other agencies would reduce spending by just eight hundred million, 377 00:28:44.480 --> 00:28:47.359 or less than a third of their two point seven 378 00:28:47.519 --> 00:28:51.440 billion dollar goal, so the actually the universities were the 379 00:28:51.480 --> 00:28:55.000 only ones who met their sort of savings goal that 380 00:28:55.039 --> 00:28:58.160 Knewsom had spent for them. The new budget also revealed 381 00:28:58.160 --> 00:29:00.400 that twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five general fund 382 00:29:00.400 --> 00:29:04.720 spending had ballooned to an estimated two hundred and thirty 383 00:29:04.759 --> 00:29:10.720 two billion, So general fund spending actually went up twenty 384 00:29:10.960 --> 00:29:17.559 billion dollars more than they estimated, twenty one billion dollars 385 00:29:17.559 --> 00:29:21.039 more than the final version they had assumed, and while 386 00:29:21.079 --> 00:29:25.160 projected revenues had also increased to two hundred and seventeen billion, 387 00:29:25.200 --> 00:29:27.200 the twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five deficit would 388 00:29:27.240 --> 00:29:35.160 widen to fifteen billion dollars. Last month, the legislator's budget analyst, 389 00:29:35.279 --> 00:29:39.160 Gabe Petek p TECH reported that his staff was having 390 00:29:39.200 --> 00:29:42.920 difficulty getting accurate information from the administration about the underachieving 391 00:29:42.960 --> 00:29:45.759 efficiency Decree. We have tried to get information from some 392 00:29:45.759 --> 00:29:48.160 of the larger departments to better understand what types of 393 00:29:48.200 --> 00:29:52.279 operational changes are being implemented to achieve the identified savings. 394 00:29:52.480 --> 00:29:55.279 P Tech wrote, as we discussed in greater detail later, 395 00:29:55.359 --> 00:29:59.960 we have received limited information thus far. This venture into 396 00:30:00.079 --> 00:30:03.319 the weeds of state budgeting generates to observations. One that 397 00:30:03.480 --> 00:30:07.480 gimmickry is an integral part of the current process, and 398 00:30:07.559 --> 00:30:11.200 second that the state faces chronic gaps between income and outgo, 399 00:30:11.799 --> 00:30:17.319 a condition dubbed a structural deficit. And I've been talking 400 00:30:17.319 --> 00:30:20.720 about this on the show for a while and I've 401 00:30:20.759 --> 00:30:25.920