1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:05,639 Speaker 1: What NFL Presidential address. Welcome everybody, It's Week twelve. I'm 2 00:00:05,719 --> 00:00:09,800 Lawrence Presman. We're going through every single game on the board. 3 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:11,800 We're gonna figure out how to bet them. We're gonna 4 00:00:11,839 --> 00:00:16,280 start with Buffalo in Houston. The line is Buffalo minus 5 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,199 five and a half. The total in this game is 6 00:00:18,719 --> 00:00:21,199 forty four. And I'm gonna tell you right off the bat, 7 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:24,600 I like Buffalo and I like the over. Now, I 8 00:00:24,719 --> 00:00:29,760 understand that taking overs in Houston games feels wrong, but 9 00:00:29,879 --> 00:00:34,119 this Buffalo defense is really struggling, especially stopping the run. 10 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:37,520 Houston is going to get their points in Buffalo's offense 11 00:00:37,719 --> 00:00:40,759 is in saying this team can put up forty four 12 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:44,280 themselves on any given day. They've already done that a 13 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:46,840 few times this year. Plus you all saw what happened 14 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:51,119 last week when Buffalo played Tampa Bay. As far as 15 00:00:51,119 --> 00:00:54,240 the minus five and a half goes, I understand that 16 00:00:54,759 --> 00:00:58,640 this is a fairly big number for a road team, 17 00:00:58,759 --> 00:01:01,520 but this Buffalo team is in a situation where they 18 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:03,840 got to win out otherwise they're going to lose the 19 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,959 division to New England. They need hopefield advantage against potentially 20 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:12,879 Baltimore or Kansas City. They need to win games, and 21 00:01:13,359 --> 00:01:17,120 this team, when they win games, wins by margin. If 22 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,280 you go back and you look at the games they win, 23 00:01:19,359 --> 00:01:23,359 they win games by twenty points, seventeen points, ten points, 24 00:01:23,599 --> 00:01:27,560 they win games forty to three. Houston's not a scary 25 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:29,519 team for me, and I think we're gonna see Buffalo 26 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:32,400 go in there and get to twenty eight thirty points. 27 00:01:32,439 --> 00:01:35,959 So if you take Buffalo and the over worst case scenario, 28 00:01:36,079 --> 00:01:38,879 you go one and one, But I really think you 29 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:41,959 have a good shot at two and oh take Buffalo 30 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:44,319 minus five and a half take over the total of 31 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:47,319 forty four. Now, before we get into the Sunday card, 32 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,319 I want to tell you guys, we've been doing the 33 00:01:51,359 --> 00:01:54,879 show for about twenty years. I'm so appreciate, appreciative of 34 00:01:54,959 --> 00:01:58,120 you guys logging in. They've got a huge loyal following. 35 00:01:58,159 --> 00:02:01,280 You watch the show regularly. If you don't mind, please 36 00:02:01,319 --> 00:02:04,599 take a second and hit that like button. Please subscribe 37 00:02:04,599 --> 00:02:07,799 to our channel if you haven't, and also make sure 38 00:02:07,879 --> 00:02:11,080 to comment. I have a big, big NFL card up 39 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:14,639 for Sunday. I have a couple of ATS bets, and 40 00:02:14,719 --> 00:02:18,879 my NFL ats bets are the strongest bets. I have 41 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:22,960 over four and a half ears of NFL regular season 42 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:27,759 ats bets. I'm over sixty four percent, but that's nothing. 43 00:02:28,159 --> 00:02:32,599 I am literally eight and three. That's seventy three percent 44 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:37,080 this season. That's eight and three this season in NFL 45 00:02:37,159 --> 00:02:41,400 ats bets, and I have two of them this Sunday, 46 00:02:41,479 --> 00:02:46,719 So please head over and take advantage of that. Okay, 47 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:51,919 Pittsburgh going in to Chicago. Chicago minus two and a half. Now, 48 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,319 a lot of money coming in on Pittsburgh today. We're 49 00:02:55,319 --> 00:02:59,360 taking the show. On Tuesday, it was minus three for Chicago. 50 00:02:59,719 --> 00:03:01,919 Total in this game is forty five, and I'm gonna 51 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:05,319 stay away from the total and look at taking the Bears. Now, 52 00:03:05,319 --> 00:03:07,039 I look at this Pittsburgh team and I think this 53 00:03:07,199 --> 00:03:10,400 is a fade team moving ord. I do not believe 54 00:03:10,439 --> 00:03:13,159 in their defense and their offense has been out of 55 00:03:13,280 --> 00:03:16,360 sink all year. Now. I get that Mason Rudolph came 56 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:18,479 in and look good towards the back end of the 57 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:23,319 game against Cincinnati, but firstly, he was playing Cincinnati. Secondly, 58 00:03:23,759 --> 00:03:27,000 they did not game plan for Mason Rudolf, and thirdly, 59 00:03:27,479 --> 00:03:31,520 we have seen Mason Rudolph before. He is not a 60 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:35,080 starting quarterback in this league for a reason. And this 61 00:03:35,199 --> 00:03:38,439 Chicago defense should be able to eat him up. Plus, 62 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:41,919 Chicago is winning game after game after game, and I 63 00:03:42,039 --> 00:03:48,080 understand that most of those games are insane comebacks or 64 00:03:48,199 --> 00:03:54,439 total fluke or lucky bounces. It doesn't matter. Nobody cares. 65 00:03:55,319 --> 00:03:58,719 They make the playoffs based on their record, not based 66 00:03:58,719 --> 00:04:01,719 on whether they were lucky or unlucky, or made a 67 00:04:01,759 --> 00:04:05,439 comeback or gave a game away. The Bears are getting 68 00:04:05,439 --> 00:04:08,520 it done, and they're getting it done every single week. 69 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:12,360 Take Chicago minus two and a half and if it 70 00:04:12,479 --> 00:04:15,919 drops to two, take them on the money line. Please, 71 00:04:16,319 --> 00:04:19,160 New York Jets playing Baltimore Baltimore minus thirteen and a 72 00:04:19,199 --> 00:04:21,920 half totally here. Forty four to forty four and a half. 73 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:26,600 Looks like Tyron Taylor will play Justin Field's experiment is over. 74 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:29,800 No one saw that coming, especially the people in Chicago. 75 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,680 I like the over in this game at forty four, 76 00:04:32,759 --> 00:04:36,879 and I like Baltimore. Yeah, the favorite end the over. 77 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:40,000 I think Baltimore is going to put up forty points 78 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:43,279 in this game a loan, and that means all we 79 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:47,399 need from the New York Jets is five points. Now. 80 00:04:47,399 --> 00:04:49,560 I don't think they're gonna get a safety, but I 81 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:53,720 got a feeling two field goals, maybe a touchdown is coming. 82 00:04:54,079 --> 00:04:56,240 And as far as the minus thirteen and a half, 83 00:04:56,720 --> 00:05:00,879 something is wrong in Baltimore. I understand that really struggling 84 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:04,360 offensive lead in any type of rhythm. What that said, 85 00:05:04,879 --> 00:05:09,600 The New York Jets call this the Cowbell angle. If 86 00:05:09,639 --> 00:05:12,839 ever you have a fever, if ever you're struggling on offense, 87 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:17,000 what do you need a more cowbell? That's the New 88 00:05:17,079 --> 00:05:21,800 York Jets. Baltimore wins this game somewhere around forty to ten, 89 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:25,399 forty to thirteen. Take the minus thirteen and a half 90 00:05:25,439 --> 00:05:27,959 and take over the total of forty four points, and 91 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:32,519 it's exactly the same handicap In Detroit, guys, they're playing 92 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:34,639 the New York Giants their minus ten and a half. 93 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:37,759 But what I want to say about Detroit is when 94 00:05:37,879 --> 00:05:45,720 you get Detroit off of a loss, oh that's betting time, baby. 95 00:05:46,519 --> 00:05:50,600 This Detroit team goes into Green Bay, starts the season, loses. 96 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:54,800 Next week, they put up fifty plus points on Chicago 97 00:05:54,879 --> 00:05:57,839 and win by thirty. Then they lose another game. The 98 00:05:57,879 --> 00:06:00,920 week after. They put up a ton cover ten and 99 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:04,199 a half. Then they lose to Kansas City. The next week, 100 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:08,600 they score forty four. They hold Washington twenty two. They 101 00:06:08,639 --> 00:06:12,560 cover ten and a half easily, and that's on the road. Now, 102 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:16,240 they're coming off of a horrible loss and six oh 103 00:06:16,319 --> 00:06:21,639 and five in fourth downs. I think it all spins around. 104 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:25,720 I think Detroit goes four and five in fourth downs. 105 00:06:25,959 --> 00:06:30,000 I think Detroit blows this New York Giants team out. 106 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:34,480 I think they win this game by more than seventeen points. 107 00:06:34,959 --> 00:06:37,639 Take the Detroit Alliance minus ten and a half. New 108 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:41,160 England Cincinnati. This one's a tough one, guys, because I 109 00:06:41,199 --> 00:06:43,319 don't really want to take the road New England team 110 00:06:43,319 --> 00:06:46,839 at minus nine. I consider this a really bad spot 111 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,920 for New England based on their schedule. What that said 112 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:54,720 Cincinnati has done. This team is over finished, Fernido. Their 113 00:06:54,759 --> 00:06:58,160 defense is not in. Their defense might be the worst 114 00:06:58,160 --> 00:07:01,839 defense I think we've ever seen in the and their 115 00:07:01,879 --> 00:07:06,439 offense is mediocre. Now they're nothing special. I can't get 116 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:08,439 to the window on this game, guys. I gave you 117 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:11,800 a little bit of thoughts, but I'm passing Seattle minus 118 00:07:11,839 --> 00:07:15,120 thirteen and a half playing in Tennessee. I'll make this 119 00:07:15,199 --> 00:07:18,360 real quick. The right play is Seattle. They're a road 120 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:21,759 warrior team. They're coming off of a loss, and they're 121 00:07:21,759 --> 00:07:24,959 playing a horrible Tennessee team that's really struggling to score. 122 00:07:25,439 --> 00:07:30,040 This Seattle defense is spectacular. I think they hold Tennessee 123 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:34,720 to under ten points. I'm just worried about the thirteen 124 00:07:34,759 --> 00:07:39,279 and a half. My lead is on Seattle. I probably 125 00:07:39,439 --> 00:07:43,680 prefer betting Tennessee Titans team total under, but I really 126 00:07:43,759 --> 00:07:46,560 don't have a ton for you in this game. Before 127 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:50,720 we continue with the Minnesota Green Bay game, I gotta reiterate, guys, 128 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,879 you gotta play my NFL bets this coming Sunday. I 129 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:58,079 went four and two last week. I've had seven winning 130 00:07:58,079 --> 00:08:01,279 weeks out of eleven so far, but this Sunday is 131 00:08:01,319 --> 00:08:03,560 going to be a juicy card. I have at least 132 00:08:03,600 --> 00:08:07,360 two ATS bets up for the Sunday. I'm eight and 133 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,759 three on the ure in my ATS bets, so please 134 00:08:10,839 --> 00:08:13,519 make sure to grab that. Let's get into the Minnesota 135 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:16,439 Green Bay game, and I like Minnesota. I'll make it 136 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,839 real easy plus six and a half dog. It makes 137 00:08:19,879 --> 00:08:22,240 total sense to me. Look, I was on Minnesota against 138 00:08:22,319 --> 00:08:25,800 Chicago last week and JJ McCartney really did not look 139 00:08:25,839 --> 00:08:29,000 good for the first three quarters. He threw two interceptions, 140 00:08:29,199 --> 00:08:33,600 but More importantly, he was overthrowing and underthrowing his receivers. 141 00:08:33,919 --> 00:08:36,879 With that said, we've seen him play much better. And 142 00:08:36,919 --> 00:08:41,000 although I don't think JJ is ready yet for a 143 00:08:41,159 --> 00:08:44,919 playoff run, I think the Minnesota Vikings, I think we're 144 00:08:44,919 --> 00:08:48,000 getting them at a low spot in their market. I 145 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:51,360 think that ultimately they could have and should have beaten Chicago, 146 00:08:51,919 --> 00:08:55,279 which would have made this line more around plus four. 147 00:08:55,919 --> 00:08:59,759 As a green Bay something is wrong in Green Bay. 148 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:02,919 Something is wrong on both sides of the ball. For 149 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,399 some reason, Parsons is not getting to the quarterback. They 150 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,720 really are struggling offensively to find any type of rhythm. 151 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:14,240 Their wide receiver corps is a mess. Since they lost Kraft, 152 00:09:14,279 --> 00:09:18,759 this team has been completely out of sinc There is 153 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:21,480 simply no way I could take the Green Bay Packers 154 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,639 minus six and a half right now against say Carolina 155 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:28,720 at home. Would you take Green Bay minus six and 156 00:09:28,759 --> 00:09:32,399 a half against Saint Carolina at home? Would you take 157 00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:36,399 green Bay minus six and a half at say Cleveland, 158 00:09:36,919 --> 00:09:40,240 Well they lost both of those games outright. This Green 159 00:09:40,279 --> 00:09:43,840 Bay team smoke and mirrors. I think Minnesota can win 160 00:09:43,919 --> 00:09:46,720 this game. Take the Vikings plus six and a half. 161 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:51,039 Is it time to fade Kansas City. I told you 162 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:53,879 it was time to fade Kansas City last week. I 163 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:55,759 told you it was time to fade Kansas City the 164 00:09:55,759 --> 00:10:00,399 week before. It's not time to fay Kansas City this week. 165 00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:03,799 Now they got an Indianapolis Colts team. And let's bottom line, 166 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:08,440 this Kansas City is in most win mode period. If 167 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:12,759 they have a shot at the playoffs, they have to 168 00:10:12,919 --> 00:10:16,639 win out. I think they get it done against this 169 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:20,039 Indianapolis Colts team. Now, I understand this Indianapolis Colts team 170 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,679 is an up and comer and they have looked exceptional 171 00:10:23,799 --> 00:10:29,279 in the so far, especially on offense. I think they're 172 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:31,759 in over their heads this week. I think they got 173 00:10:31,799 --> 00:10:36,480 a veteran Kansas City team in an absolute must win situation, 174 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:39,799 and I think they're going to get exposed. And I 175 00:10:39,919 --> 00:10:43,480 actually think we're going to see their offense regress a little. 176 00:10:43,759 --> 00:10:48,480 Take Kansas City minus the three. Oh and my image changed. 177 00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:52,879 Now we got Jacksonville and Arizona. Jacksonville minus two and 178 00:10:52,919 --> 00:10:56,519 a half, the totals forty seven. Guys, I got nothing 179 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:58,559 for you on this game, and I'm sorry. I would 180 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:01,919 look to bet the over here maybe, but there's just 181 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:07,039 better opportunities on board. Jacksonville is a team that every 182 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:10,039 time you think they're amazing, like when they beat Kansas City, 183 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:14,120 the next game, they're horrible. I just don't trust Jacksonville, 184 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:17,519 and I certainly don't trust Arizona. This game is a 185 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:20,919 pass and speaking of pass, there's no need to even 186 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,720 put the Cleveland Las Vegas get it off the screen. 187 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:27,759 Get it off the screen. We're not even discussing that game. 188 00:11:27,799 --> 00:11:30,799 And Atlanta, New Orleans get it off the screen too, 189 00:11:30,879 --> 00:11:36,080 don't even put it there. Yeah, okay, let's talk Philadelphia 190 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:40,919 and Dallas. I like the Cowboys. Here, here's my worry. 191 00:11:41,399 --> 00:11:45,080 Every time I like the Cowboys, every time, I think 192 00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:49,799 it's time they stink. But I like them this week. 193 00:11:49,919 --> 00:11:54,000 And I'm the guy that has been betting Philadelphia all year. 194 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:58,840 I'm the guy that's super high on this Philadelphia Eagles team. 195 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:02,279 I just don't like the spot for them. I honestly, 196 00:12:02,399 --> 00:12:05,840 I look at Philadelphia and I think they circle that 197 00:12:05,919 --> 00:12:08,840 game against Detroit. I don't think they look at Dallas 198 00:12:08,919 --> 00:12:12,759 as some huge competition. I think they look at Detroit 199 00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:17,919 as huge competition. But their offense is a mess. And 200 00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:22,240 I understand that they're winning games, but they're gonna have 201 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:25,039 to score to keep up with Dallas. I don't care 202 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:28,679 how good Philadelphia's defense is, and they are good. This 203 00:12:28,799 --> 00:12:31,919 Dallas team, especially at home, is going to get twenty 204 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:35,879 plus points no matter what I think. Dallas puts twenty 205 00:12:35,919 --> 00:12:39,120 seven or more up on Philly, so Philly has to 206 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:42,799 keep pay somehow. I like the over in this game indoors. 207 00:12:43,759 --> 00:12:46,360 This game might be that game where we idly see 208 00:12:46,399 --> 00:12:49,799 Philadelphia put some points on the board. With that said, 209 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:53,879 a division team plus three and a half at home, 210 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:57,960 still with playoff aspirations coming off of an outstanding game 211 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:02,279 against the Well, will a Vegas team give me the 212 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:06,519 points here, baby, I'll think Dallas. I'll also take the over. 213 00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:11,200 Sunday Night, Tampa Bay and the Rams don't overthink this 214 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:16,240 play guys. Just keep taking Tampa Bay games over no 215 00:13:16,279 --> 00:13:20,320 matter what the damn number is. It really makes no difference. 216 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:23,480 And the Rams can score with anybody. This Rams team 217 00:13:23,799 --> 00:13:27,039 might be the best team in football right now. And 218 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:31,279 offensively they're getting it done. Stafford is playing great. They 219 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:35,080 got weapons everywhere, and we saw how bad Tampa Bay's 220 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:38,879 defense is against Buffalo. Tampa Bay can score. Tampa Bay 221 00:13:38,919 --> 00:13:43,399 can't play defense. Forty nine and a half. Take the over, 222 00:13:43,919 --> 00:13:50,879 Carolina Sanran. Just take the over. Anytimeran plays, take the over. 223 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:54,919 This is a situation where their defense is so bad 224 00:13:55,519 --> 00:13:59,360 that they can't even tackle their opponents. They are not 225 00:13:59,519 --> 00:14:03,279 in the right place spot. It's like a practice squad 226 00:14:03,399 --> 00:14:07,320 coming together. There's no chemistry on that sant Fran defense. 227 00:14:07,799 --> 00:14:11,720 There's no leadership on that sant Fran defense. Now, obviously 228 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:14,240 I don't want to be taking over forty eight forty 229 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:19,600 nine with a Carolina Panthers team involved, But man sant 230 00:14:19,639 --> 00:14:21,679 Ran has already come out and said they ought to 231 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:24,679 put up thirty points a game if they're gonna winn. 232 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:28,720 Can I expect Carolina to get us to twenty against 233 00:14:28,759 --> 00:14:32,480 sant Fran defense. Why yes, I can take the over 234 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:37,080 in that game that my rinds the NFL Presidential as 235 00:14:37,279 --> 00:14:39,480 for a week twelve. I told you it would be 236 00:14:39,519 --> 00:14:42,519 fifteen minutes. I did it in fifteen minutes. I hope 237 00:14:42,559 --> 00:14:45,519 you guys liked this video. Please hit the thumbs up button, 238 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:48,559 subscribe to our channel, and make sure to watch me 239 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:52,559 every single day Monday to Friday on the best betting 240 00:14:52,639 --> 00:14:56,399 show ever guys, Lots of Love. I'm the pres and 241 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:57,519 we'll see you next week.