Speaker 1: What NFL Presidential address. Welcome everybody, It's Week twelve. I'm
Lawrence Presman. We're going through every single game on the board.
We're gonna figure out how to bet them. We're gonna
start with Buffalo in Houston. The line is Buffalo minus
five and a half. The total in this game is
forty four. And I'm gonna tell you right off the bat,
I like Buffalo and I like the over. Now, I
understand that taking overs in Houston games feels wrong, but
this Buffalo defense is really struggling, especially stopping the run.
Houston is going to get their points in Buffalo's offense
is in saying this team can put up forty four
themselves on any given day. They've already done that a
few times this year. Plus you all saw what happened
last week when Buffalo played Tampa Bay. As far as
the minus five and a half goes, I understand that
this is a fairly big number for a road team,
but this Buffalo team is in a situation where they
got to win out otherwise they're going to lose the
division to New England. They need hopefield advantage against potentially
Baltimore or Kansas City. They need to win games, and
this team, when they win games, wins by margin. If
you go back and you look at the games they win,
they win games by twenty points, seventeen points, ten points,
they win games forty to three. Houston's not a scary
team for me, and I think we're gonna see Buffalo
go in there and get to twenty eight thirty points.
So if you take Buffalo and the over worst case scenario,
you go one and one, But I really think you
have a good shot at two and oh take Buffalo
minus five and a half take over the total of
forty four. Now, before we get into the Sunday card,
I want to tell you guys, we've been doing the
show for about twenty years. I'm so appreciate, appreciative of
you guys logging in. They've got a huge loyal following.
You watch the show regularly. If you don't mind, please
take a second and hit that like button. Please subscribe
to our channel if you haven't, and also make sure
to comment. I have a big, big NFL card up
for Sunday. I have a couple of ATS bets, and
my NFL ats bets are the strongest bets. I have
over four and a half ears of NFL regular season
ats bets. I'm over sixty four percent, but that's nothing.
I am literally eight and three. That's seventy three percent
this season. That's eight and three this season in NFL
ats bets, and I have two of them this Sunday,
So please head over and take advantage of that. Okay,
Pittsburgh going in to Chicago. Chicago minus two and a half. Now,
a lot of money coming in on Pittsburgh today. We're
taking the show. On Tuesday, it was minus three for Chicago.
Total in this game is forty five, and I'm gonna
stay away from the total and look at taking the Bears. Now,
I look at this Pittsburgh team and I think this
is a fade team moving ord. I do not believe
in their defense and their offense has been out of
sink all year. Now. I get that Mason Rudolph came
in and look good towards the back end of the
game against Cincinnati, but firstly, he was playing Cincinnati. Secondly,
they did not game plan for Mason Rudolf, and thirdly,
we have seen Mason Rudolph before. He is not a
starting quarterback in this league for a reason. And this
Chicago defense should be able to eat him up. Plus,
Chicago is winning game after game after game, and I
understand that most of those games are insane comebacks or
total fluke or lucky bounces. It doesn't matter. Nobody cares.
They make the playoffs based on their record, not based
on whether they were lucky or unlucky, or made a
comeback or gave a game away. The Bears are getting
it done, and they're getting it done every single week.
Take Chicago minus two and a half and if it
drops to two, take them on the money line. Please,
New York Jets playing Baltimore Baltimore minus thirteen and a
half totally here. Forty four to forty four and a half.
Looks like Tyron Taylor will play Justin Field's experiment is over.
No one saw that coming, especially the people in Chicago.
I like the over in this game at forty four,
and I like Baltimore. Yeah, the favorite end the over.
I think Baltimore is going to put up forty points
in this game a loan, and that means all we
need from the New York Jets is five points. Now.
I don't think they're gonna get a safety, but I
got a feeling two field goals, maybe a touchdown is coming.
And as far as the minus thirteen and a half,
something is wrong in Baltimore. I understand that really struggling
offensive lead in any type of rhythm. What that said,
The New York Jets call this the Cowbell angle. If
ever you have a fever, if ever you're struggling on offense,
what do you need a more cowbell? That's the New
York Jets. Baltimore wins this game somewhere around forty to ten,
forty to thirteen. Take the minus thirteen and a half
and take over the total of forty four points, and
it's exactly the same handicap In Detroit, guys, they're playing
the New York Giants their minus ten and a half.
But what I want to say about Detroit is when
you get Detroit off of a loss, oh that's betting time, baby.
This Detroit team goes into Green Bay, starts the season, loses.
Next week, they put up fifty plus points on Chicago
and win by thirty. Then they lose another game. The
week after. They put up a ton cover ten and
a half. Then they lose to Kansas City. The next week,
they score forty four. They hold Washington twenty two. They
cover ten and a half easily, and that's on the road. Now,
they're coming off of a horrible loss and six oh
and five in fourth downs. I think it all spins around.
I think Detroit goes four and five in fourth downs.
I think Detroit blows this New York Giants team out.
I think they win this game by more than seventeen points.
Take the Detroit Alliance minus ten and a half. New
England Cincinnati. This one's a tough one, guys, because I
don't really want to take the road New England team
at minus nine. I consider this a really bad spot
for New England based on their schedule. What that said
Cincinnati has done. This team is over finished, Fernido. Their
defense is not in. Their defense might be the worst
defense I think we've ever seen in the and their
offense is mediocre. Now they're nothing special. I can't get
to the window on this game, guys. I gave you
a little bit of thoughts, but I'm passing Seattle minus
thirteen and a half playing in Tennessee. I'll make this
real quick. The right play is Seattle. They're a road
warrior team. They're coming off of a loss, and they're
playing a horrible Tennessee team that's really struggling to score.
This Seattle defense is spectacular. I think they hold Tennessee
to under ten points. I'm just worried about the thirteen
and a half. My lead is on Seattle. I probably
prefer betting Tennessee Titans team total under, but I really
don't have a ton for you in this game. Before
we continue with the Minnesota Green Bay game, I gotta reiterate, guys,
you gotta play my NFL bets this coming Sunday. I
went four and two last week. I've had seven winning
weeks out of eleven so far, but this Sunday is
going to be a juicy card. I have at least
two ATS bets up for the Sunday. I'm eight and
three on the ure in my ATS bets, so please
make sure to grab that. Let's get into the Minnesota
Green Bay game, and I like Minnesota. I'll make it
real easy plus six and a half dog. It makes
total sense to me. Look, I was on Minnesota against
Chicago last week and JJ McCartney really did not look
good for the first three quarters. He threw two interceptions,
but More importantly, he was overthrowing and underthrowing his receivers.
With that said, we've seen him play much better. And
although I don't think JJ is ready yet for a
playoff run, I think the Minnesota Vikings, I think we're
getting them at a low spot in their market. I
think that ultimately they could have and should have beaten Chicago,
which would have made this line more around plus four.
As a green Bay something is wrong in Green Bay.
Something is wrong on both sides of the ball. For
some reason, Parsons is not getting to the quarterback. They
really are struggling offensively to find any type of rhythm.
Their wide receiver corps is a mess. Since they lost Kraft,
this team has been completely out of sinc There is
simply no way I could take the Green Bay Packers
minus six and a half right now against say Carolina
at home. Would you take Green Bay minus six and
a half against Saint Carolina at home? Would you take
green Bay minus six and a half at say Cleveland,
Well they lost both of those games outright. This Green
Bay team smoke and mirrors. I think Minnesota can win
this game. Take the Vikings plus six and a half.
Is it time to fade Kansas City. I told you
it was time to fade Kansas City last week. I
told you it was time to fade Kansas City the
week before. It's not time to fay Kansas City this week.
Now they got an Indianapolis Colts team. And let's bottom line,
this Kansas City is in most win mode period. If
they have a shot at the playoffs, they have to
win out. I think they get it done against this
Indianapolis Colts team. Now, I understand this Indianapolis Colts team
is an up and comer and they have looked exceptional
in the so far, especially on offense. I think they're
in over their heads this week. I think they got
a veteran Kansas City team in an absolute must win situation,
and I think they're going to get exposed. And I
actually think we're going to see their offense regress a little.
Take Kansas City minus the three. Oh and my image changed.
Now we got Jacksonville and Arizona. Jacksonville minus two and
a half, the totals forty seven. Guys, I got nothing
for you on this game, and I'm sorry. I would
look to bet the over here maybe, but there's just
better opportunities on board. Jacksonville is a team that every
time you think they're amazing, like when they beat Kansas City,
the next game, they're horrible. I just don't trust Jacksonville,
and I certainly don't trust Arizona. This game is a
pass and speaking of pass, there's no need to even
put the Cleveland Las Vegas get it off the screen.
Get it off the screen. We're not even discussing that game.
And Atlanta, New Orleans get it off the screen too,
don't even put it there. Yeah, okay, let's talk Philadelphia
and Dallas. I like the Cowboys. Here, here's my worry.
Every time I like the Cowboys, every time, I think
it's time they stink. But I like them this week.
And I'm the guy that has been betting Philadelphia all year.
I'm the guy that's super high on this Philadelphia Eagles team.
I just don't like the spot for them. I honestly,
I look at Philadelphia and I think they circle that
game against Detroit. I don't think they look at Dallas
as some huge competition. I think they look at Detroit
as huge competition. But their offense is a mess. And
I understand that they're winning games, but they're gonna have
to score to keep up with Dallas. I don't care
how good Philadelphia's defense is, and they are good. This
Dallas team, especially at home, is going to get twenty
plus points no matter what I think. Dallas puts twenty
seven or more up on Philly, so Philly has to
keep pay somehow. I like the over in this game indoors.
This game might be that game where we idly see
Philadelphia put some points on the board. With that said,
a division team plus three and a half at home,
still with playoff aspirations coming off of an outstanding game
against the Well, will a Vegas team give me the
points here, baby, I'll think Dallas. I'll also take the over.
Sunday Night, Tampa Bay and the Rams don't overthink this
play guys. Just keep taking Tampa Bay games over no
matter what the damn number is. It really makes no difference.
And the Rams can score with anybody. This Rams team
might be the best team in football right now. And
offensively they're getting it done. Stafford is playing great. They
got weapons everywhere, and we saw how bad Tampa Bay's
defense is against Buffalo. Tampa Bay can score. Tampa Bay
can't play defense. Forty nine and a half. Take the over,
Carolina Sanran. Just take the over. Anytimeran plays, take the over.
This is a situation where their defense is so bad
that they can't even tackle their opponents. They are not
in the right place spot. It's like a practice squad
coming together. There's no chemistry on that sant Fran defense.
There's no leadership on that sant Fran defense. Now, obviously
I don't want to be taking over forty eight forty
nine with a Carolina Panthers team involved, But man sant
Ran has already come out and said they ought to
put up thirty points a game if they're gonna winn.
Can I expect Carolina to get us to twenty against
sant Fran defense. Why yes, I can take the over
in that game that my rinds the NFL Presidential as
for a week twelve. I told you it would be
fifteen minutes. I did it in fifteen minutes. I hope
you guys liked this video. Please hit the thumbs up button,
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show ever guys, Lots of Love. I'm the pres and
we'll see you next week.