1 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. 2 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:08,439 If you are new, we do always start this show 3 00:00:08,439 --> 00:00:13,039 by being transparent, and yesterday ended up going two and 4 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:17,000 one again, so another profitable day. We can keep continue 5 00:00:17,039 --> 00:00:22,559 to stack those. It'll be great, most proud of which 6 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:25,440 was my biggest bet. Hornets plus four and a half 7 00:00:25,719 --> 00:00:29,000 didn't need any point against my Lakers. Be no good 8 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:30,679 to be back with you. How are you doing today? 9 00:00:30,679 --> 00:00:31,640 How's everything been going? 10 00:00:32,799 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 2: I have good ski three in one yesterday, two and 11 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:38,640 one in college one and oh in NBA Action they 12 00:00:38,719 --> 00:00:41,399 probably could have parlayed us because I had the Hornets 13 00:00:41,439 --> 00:00:43,560 team total over. It was the best bet we left 14 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:45,039 here for the show. It was my only play of 15 00:00:45,039 --> 00:00:45,359 the day. 16 00:00:45,359 --> 00:00:46,679 Speaker 3: But you're right. 17 00:00:46,719 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 2: I mean they were in one hundreds after three quarters 18 00:00:49,439 --> 00:00:54,719 in that game. Pretty easy for Charlotte. So now, as 19 00:00:54,799 --> 00:00:58,560 much as maybe people don't want to hear team totals 20 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:02,000 out of my mouth, total through and got us paid last. 21 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:04,439 Speaker 1: Night, that's all. It's about getting to that window, Robbie 22 00:01:04,439 --> 00:01:09,359 and all. So, uh, we don't have the most time today. 23 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:13,920 There's six NBA games, there's four NFL games this weekend, 24 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,400 so I figure we'll just we'll talk about the ones 25 00:01:17,439 --> 00:01:20,319 we want to talk about. New Orleans and Indiana is 26 00:01:20,359 --> 00:01:22,200 not one of those games for me, But if it's 27 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:24,799 one of those games for you, you know, I'll put 28 00:01:24,879 --> 00:01:26,760 up on the screen. Now. 29 00:01:26,879 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 2: The only thing I'll say is I agree with the 30 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:30,840 move on the total two thirty five up to two 31 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:34,079 forty and a half too forty one now to forty 32 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:35,480 one and a half according to the banner. 33 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 3: Yeah, I just think. 34 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:41,560 Speaker 2: That that move by the money is correct in that game. 35 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:44,680 Speaker 1: All right, I don't have an opinion there, but I 36 00:01:44,719 --> 00:01:47,280 do have an opinion in this next game Calves and Sixers, 37 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:49,760 and it did move from one and a half to 38 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:51,599 two and a half. I think it's moving in the 39 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:55,000 right direction. These teams did just play a couple of 40 00:01:55,079 --> 00:01:57,519 days ago. I was on the Cavs in that matchup. 41 00:01:57,959 --> 00:02:00,920 This time around, I will be on the Sixers. You 42 00:02:00,959 --> 00:02:05,200 have Marrow out, Garland out, Levingston, Strew's weighed all out, 43 00:02:05,439 --> 00:02:07,359 and it looks like most likely going to have a 44 00:02:07,359 --> 00:02:10,680 fully healthy Sixers team again. You know, last time we talked, 45 00:02:10,759 --> 00:02:12,680 I'm pretty sure I said that. You know, a big 46 00:02:12,719 --> 00:02:15,280 part of me liking the Cavs was they're finally healthy 47 00:02:15,479 --> 00:02:17,759 a lot of the times throughout the season you got 48 00:02:17,759 --> 00:02:20,319 guys missing out of the starting lineup, and they're back 49 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:25,199 to that once again. So sixers for me here. Any 50 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:26,800 thoughts from you on Calves and. 51 00:02:26,759 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 2: Sixers, Yeah, they get to retaliate a little bit, right. 52 00:02:31,159 --> 00:02:33,120 I think last time when you played Caves too, you 53 00:02:33,199 --> 00:02:37,120 had a number a technical trend where Cleveland off of 54 00:02:37,159 --> 00:02:39,400 a bad loss was a good play the next game, 55 00:02:39,439 --> 00:02:41,560 and certainly they were. That game was never closed to 56 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,560 the other. I think it works opposite here. I kind 57 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,919 of like the Philadelphia side minus two and a half 58 00:02:48,319 --> 00:02:51,080 agree with the line move. I probably total wise that 59 00:02:51,159 --> 00:02:54,639 probably leaned towards under. I think it probably stays beneath 60 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:59,879 two thirty three. But if given the choice, I think 61 00:03:00,159 --> 00:03:03,360 Sixers are probably the right side there. Trying to a 62 00:03:03,439 --> 00:03:05,439 little get back game for the Sixers here. 63 00:03:06,319 --> 00:03:09,479 Speaker 1: Yep, quick revenge for then Bulls and nets. I'm fine 64 00:03:09,479 --> 00:03:11,520 with passing on this unless you have anything. 65 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't like betting on the Bulls period. We 66 00:03:16,159 --> 00:03:19,240 saw the other night against a oh god, who did 67 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,000 they play in that one? Twenty six A tired team 68 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,240 and they still couldn't get beyond the four and a 69 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:24,759 half price. 70 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:26,879 Speaker 3: They were asked to lay so little. 71 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 2: Bit travel here and the Jazz okay six. You know, 72 00:03:30,879 --> 00:03:34,080 the defense is no good Brooklyn, for what it's worth, 73 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:36,919 at least their defense is half decent. So but you 74 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:39,159 see the line move here right, switch your favorites. Now 75 00:03:39,159 --> 00:03:42,439 you're asking Brooklyn to win a game by three. I 76 00:03:42,439 --> 00:03:45,960 don't want to do that either, so we'll take a pass. 77 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 1: All right, Next game up, we have Clippers and Raptors. 78 00:03:49,759 --> 00:03:51,680 No Kawhi, I did see that, So let me just 79 00:03:51,759 --> 00:03:58,080 actually just refresh, just to make sure everything here. Yeah, 80 00:03:58,199 --> 00:04:04,680 Kawhi is out, Zubak questionable, Collins questionable, Danovich out. I mean, look, 81 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:08,039 everybody's out, both teams here, Rovino, I mean, I probably 82 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:10,479 agree with the move for the total going down, but 83 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:13,319 other than that, not really interested in this game either. 84 00:04:13,719 --> 00:04:16,399 Last two games on the slate look better this one 85 00:04:16,399 --> 00:04:17,199 to me. What do you think? 86 00:04:18,079 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kawhi ruled out within the last hours, so I 87 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:22,120 think I saw it. 88 00:04:23,519 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 3: So for that, I don't want to make a hat. 89 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:27,959 Speaker 2: I don't want to bet against the Clippers because they've 90 00:04:27,959 --> 00:04:30,040 been so red hot, and I know a major portion 91 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:32,800 of that is Kawhi's played out of his mind. But 92 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:35,879 there's still probably good enough here with all the injuries 93 00:04:35,879 --> 00:04:38,720 on the Toronto side. We often talk about the lack 94 00:04:38,759 --> 00:04:42,560 of rim protection without Perle in there for Toronto, so 95 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:46,879 I couldn't argue off of under let's put it that way. 96 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:48,800 And I don't know that I want either team here 97 00:04:48,959 --> 00:04:51,519 just because I don't want to fade the Clippers with 98 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:53,199 the way they've covered numbers lately. 99 00:04:55,199 --> 00:04:56,959 Speaker 1: All Right, this next game I think is a lot 100 00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:59,879 more interesting than some of these, these last couple that 101 00:05:00,079 --> 00:05:04,279 we just mentioned. The Wolves and the Rockets. You do 102 00:05:04,319 --> 00:05:10,240 have Anthony Edwards out and actually and they just mark 103 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:12,920 Steven Adams. That's questionable. He was not on there earlier. 104 00:05:13,759 --> 00:05:16,240 This one open minus four still looks like four and 105 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,920 a half. Total came down from two twenty four as 106 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,519 low as two twenty one and a half. 107 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:24,399 Speaker 3: I like to. 108 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: I like to agree with the total come down. I 109 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:32,920 think that Rockets they'll be focused on playing a little 110 00:05:32,959 --> 00:05:35,720 bit more defensive game, at least that's what I heard 111 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:39,959 Katie talking about. And he kind of mentioned that they 112 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:44,079 need to slow down on offense. So combination of those things. 113 00:05:44,439 --> 00:05:47,519 Houston's defense been better than their offense lately. They're playing 114 00:05:47,519 --> 00:05:51,360 at a slow pace anyway, So lack of Anthony Edwards 115 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:54,360 scoring makes me think that the total moved in the 116 00:05:54,399 --> 00:05:58,759 right direction towards the under and as far as the side, 117 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:01,040 you know, it is a back to back for Houston 118 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:04,480 and Minnesota has had two days off. Robb you know 119 00:06:04,519 --> 00:06:07,480 that's a big edge, and Houston is still four and 120 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:10,720 a half favorites here. I don't know, you know how 121 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:13,120 I am, Robbie know. I feel like it's gonna be 122 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:16,839 a lot a lot of Minnesota supporters tonight, even without 123 00:06:16,879 --> 00:06:19,360 Anthony Edwards, because the past few games, I feel like 124 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:24,560 they've been playing okay when he didn't play. So I 125 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:27,319 like Houston. I think the numbers is telling me Houston, 126 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:29,199 and I like Under. What do you think. 127 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:34,079 Speaker 2: I won't talk you off Under, but these numbers got 128 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,240 me off of Houston this morning, and it has to 129 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:38,560 do with Anthony Edwards. So I'll just extend what you 130 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,120 were saying there. Team's four and three without him. But 131 00:06:41,199 --> 00:06:44,800 this is what got me. The offensive efficiency numbers. With 132 00:06:45,079 --> 00:06:50,560 Anthony Edwards, they score one point one eight six points 133 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:53,759 per possession one point one eight six, so basically a 134 00:06:53,759 --> 00:06:57,319 little under one point two. Without him, it's one point 135 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:01,319 one eight three it's like three thousands of a percentage 136 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:04,079 point less. So it's basically the same offense with or 137 00:07:04,079 --> 00:07:10,800 without him. And the immediate inclination from myself and plenty 138 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:14,240 of us who bet all the time is know Anthony Edwards, 139 00:07:14,319 --> 00:07:15,680 we think the scoring is gonna go down, but the 140 00:07:15,759 --> 00:07:18,639 numbers don't indicate that for this team. It could be 141 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,160 that they're just used to playing without him a little bit, 142 00:07:21,199 --> 00:07:22,759 and they've got a. 143 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:24,959 Speaker 3: Pretty deep team. Rudy Gobert Cup comes back. 144 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 2: I think Rudy Gobert was out the other night, so 145 00:07:27,199 --> 00:07:30,240 the rim protection comes back a little bit, so I 146 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:33,639 would be a little less hesitant to play Houston. That's 147 00:07:33,639 --> 00:07:36,439 not to say that I want Minnesota in this instance, 148 00:07:37,279 --> 00:07:41,839 but they don't really suffer through any major scoring differences 149 00:07:42,079 --> 00:07:46,519 at least per possession without Anthony Edwards as opposed to 150 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:49,600 when they have them. So I passed this game. Don't 151 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:52,600 know which way to go. Little money on the rockets, 152 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:54,519 little money on the under is what we're seeing from 153 00:07:54,519 --> 00:07:55,480 the market here today. 154 00:07:56,519 --> 00:08:01,959 Speaker 1: So I pulled up I pulled up a the games 155 00:08:01,959 --> 00:08:05,160 without Anthony Edwards for the timber Wolves this season. I 156 00:08:05,160 --> 00:08:08,399 have them as five and three straight up and ATS 157 00:08:08,439 --> 00:08:11,319 five and three to the over. The last game they 158 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:14,399 played was the most recent one versus the Bucks, and 159 00:08:14,439 --> 00:08:16,600 they were able to put up one thirty nine. That's 160 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:19,360 versus Bucks defense. That's not so great. Probably know, when 161 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:24,079 I'm looking at this list here, I'm going to read 162 00:08:24,079 --> 00:08:26,959 the list to you and in order of the last 163 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:30,879 games that they played, so Bucks and then it's been 164 00:08:30,959 --> 00:08:39,039 like a month. Grizzlies, Kings, Warriors, Nets, Hornets, I mean 165 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:40,759 before I get to the last two. 166 00:08:42,279 --> 00:08:47,559 Speaker 3: Yeah, I used the A word right there. Ski, those 167 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,559 defenses are every bit of that. I get where you're 168 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:51,200 going with it. 169 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:53,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, So I can understand why the numbers say that 170 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,320 they can still score on these teams because they're facing 171 00:08:56,360 --> 00:09:01,360 garbage Rockets. Now, well, the two teams before that, we're 172 00:09:01,399 --> 00:09:05,080 earlier in the season. Granted they were back in October, 173 00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:07,120 but they faced the Lakers and the Nuggets and they 174 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:12,679 lost both of those games. So, you know, I think 175 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:16,240 that the Rocket is going to be focused after getting 176 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:19,600 embarrassed last night, and they didn't have to travel. They've 177 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:21,360 been bad on them back to back, but they didn't 178 00:09:21,399 --> 00:09:23,399 have to travel. I really want to get there with 179 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:26,679 Houston probably, you know, at the very least Houston if 180 00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:27,320 not the total. 181 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:32,559 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's why it's great to dissect these numbers, Ski, 182 00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:35,240 because we all know that the numbers can lie. It's 183 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:37,080 why you got to dig a little bit deeper. And 184 00:09:37,799 --> 00:09:42,320 certainly those defenses that they played, maybe they've rest Anthony 185 00:09:42,519 --> 00:09:44,960 Edwards in those situations where they know they can score 186 00:09:45,039 --> 00:09:47,440 without them. This isn't one of those. I mean, the 187 00:09:47,519 --> 00:09:52,039 Rockets are really good defensive teams, so you know they'll 188 00:09:52,039 --> 00:09:54,519 have their hands full here tonight. I'm gonna lay off 189 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:56,879 after hearing that I won't play. I wasn't gonna play 190 00:09:56,879 --> 00:09:58,559 to begin with, but I certainly won't play now. 191 00:10:00,039 --> 00:10:02,799 Speaker 1: At your Sox Nation, it says, best show on Wader Talk. 192 00:10:02,919 --> 00:10:06,879 Appreciate you dropping dimes like the Rockets first half. I 193 00:10:06,879 --> 00:10:10,399 think that could also be a look too. How about this, Rob, 194 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:12,159 you know we'll pull this up just because we'd like 195 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:18,080 to have fun on this show, he says. Fox Nation says, Robert, 196 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,399 can you please tell Adam Trigg to stop talking so 197 00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:27,360 much and let you talk a little more? Thanks Trick. 198 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:32,279 I know both Rob and Trig talk more than me, 199 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:35,399 so they both will be more long wouinded than me. 200 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:37,000 So that's why it's common. It's funny to me. 201 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 3: You you allowed me to talk. 202 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 2: You know what I mean, and so does Trig, and 203 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:46,440 so does Trig for that matter. And I will say 204 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:49,559 that I work with both of you guys for a long, 205 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:51,519 long time, and each twenty you knows your subject matter 206 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:53,240 inside and out. So that's why I come on here, 207 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:56,240 because I respect the work ethic, and it's why I 208 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:58,559 go on with him because as far as college basketball 209 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:02,399 is concerned, he may talk a lot, but he's making 210 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:06,360 some points that you know, need to be heard at times. 211 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:09,960 So we'll we'll, we'll continue to work with Trigg. 212 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 3: I like you. 213 00:11:11,519 --> 00:11:13,919 Speaker 1: I like Trigg dead. You can't talk that much. If 214 00:11:13,919 --> 00:11:16,279 you don't know what you're talking about. You don't have 215 00:11:16,279 --> 00:11:18,120 any knowledge of the sort you can't talk about. 216 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:20,440 Speaker 3: You know what's funny Ski is he'll admit it to you. 217 00:11:20,639 --> 00:11:21,159 He'll tell you. 218 00:11:21,279 --> 00:11:25,799 Speaker 2: I know, people are tired of listening to me. He said, 219 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:29,120 that's why his analysis has written. Analysis is so long, 220 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,759 because people can read and not have to listen to him. 221 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:33,879 Speaker 3: That's what he says. 222 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:37,679 Speaker 1: That's an interesting take right there, and Saxon Nation follows 223 00:11:37,679 --> 00:11:39,679 it up with rob total. 224 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 2: I know, I'm sorry guys, that happens to be where 225 00:11:43,039 --> 00:11:45,159 we're making money this year, so we'll keep doing it. 226 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 1: We gotta stick with what's making money, all right. Last 227 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:52,960 one in the NBA, Wizards and Kings opened up five 228 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:55,039 and a half, seven and a half. Now, rob you know, 229 00:11:57,240 --> 00:12:00,519 I'm sorry, excuse me, total open tooth al and it 230 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:03,919 looks like two thirty four to thirty four and a half. 231 00:12:03,919 --> 00:12:08,840 That's what we'll call it for the Wizards. Blal Chris 232 00:12:08,879 --> 00:12:15,000 Middleton obviously, you know, Trey Young still, Boukshovich out for 233 00:12:15,159 --> 00:12:17,600 the Kings. Looks like the bonus should be back tonight, 234 00:12:18,519 --> 00:12:24,200 Keat and Murray still out, Stevens out. I'm gonna be 235 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,240 honest for Robbie. Know you know I've already I already 236 00:12:27,279 --> 00:12:31,120 said like this Wizards team is not trying to win games. 237 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,080 So I feel like, you know, we've seen the Kings 238 00:12:34,799 --> 00:12:37,039 take a couple of steps in the right direction. It's 239 00:12:37,039 --> 00:12:39,440 really just to me, the points spread is irrelevant. It 240 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:41,720 just do you think the Wizards are gonna win? Already 241 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,039 gonna lose, because when they lose, they get blown off 242 00:12:44,039 --> 00:12:48,080 the earth. And I don't think they're trying to win games, 243 00:12:48,159 --> 00:12:51,679 So that would make me towards the Kings minus seven 244 00:12:51,799 --> 00:12:53,559 side Robb, you know, how do you view this one? 245 00:12:55,039 --> 00:12:56,879 Speaker 3: I like points in this game. 246 00:12:56,919 --> 00:12:58,879 Speaker 2: It just comes down to whether or not here we 247 00:12:58,919 --> 00:13:00,480 go again, right, whether or not A want to play 248 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:02,480 the Kings team total over one twenty one, or whether 249 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:06,559 or not I want to include Washington in that equation 250 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,000 and just bet the full game over like it seems 251 00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:12,159 like the market believes is gonna happen here. We've had 252 00:13:12,159 --> 00:13:15,240 a four or five point increase. King's offense has boosted 253 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:18,799 last few games. One eleven against Houston, that one eleven 254 00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:23,159 against Houston. If you replace that with Washington's defense, that 255 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,879 one eleven probably becomes one twenty five. 256 00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:27,639 Speaker 3: Lakers. 257 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:29,679 Speaker 2: They got one twenty four nixt the other night they 258 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:31,120 got one twelve and one twelve. 259 00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:31,799 Speaker 3: One on one win. 260 00:13:32,159 --> 00:13:34,279 Speaker 2: All three of those wins, by the way, are by 261 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:35,399 way more than the. 262 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 3: Number they're asked to late tonight. 263 00:13:36,799 --> 00:13:40,399 Speaker 2: Seven points, win by thirteen, win by twelve, win by eleven. 264 00:13:40,639 --> 00:13:43,519 So Kings are showing you they can create separation right now. 265 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:46,519 They're showing you that they can score points. I think 266 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:49,799 for me it would probably be their team total above 267 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:54,039 the one twenty one, and I won't disagree with what 268 00:13:54,159 --> 00:13:56,519 was just dropped there in the comments section in the 269 00:13:56,559 --> 00:13:58,799 chat room. But I do think that the Kings are 270 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:01,440 you know, it's the best bat played all season long, 271 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:05,159 and I'm gonna probably ride with over one twenty one 272 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:05,679 in that game. 273 00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 1: All right, good stuff, Rovino. I'll wrap up the NBA. 274 00:14:11,039 --> 00:14:13,679 I'll just toss up this banner. We'll talk and you know, 275 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:15,960 maybe go through a little bit of NFL. I'm sure 276 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:18,919 you've looked at NFL a lot more than I have 277 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,720 so far. But we do have four games. I do 278 00:14:23,799 --> 00:14:28,399 have opinions, so as long as we have a little 279 00:14:28,399 --> 00:14:30,120 bit of time, figure we could talk about a little 280 00:14:30,159 --> 00:14:34,639 bit of it. Buffalo and Denver opened up as a 281 00:14:34,639 --> 00:14:38,000 pick them looks like one or one and a half 282 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:42,200 point favorites for the Broncos total open forty seven came 283 00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:46,799 down to forty six. This is uh, this is your 284 00:14:46,799 --> 00:14:51,279 team here, Ravino. So I mean, it's no more picking 285 00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:53,679 on the weak teams and betting the team total overs. 286 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:58,720 So I'm gonna actually I'll just say like this, I 287 00:14:58,799 --> 00:15:02,559 trust Josh Allen one thousand more than I dress bow Nicks. 288 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:04,600 But it doesn't mean that the Bills are better than 289 00:15:04,639 --> 00:15:11,159 the Broncos. As a team I have trouble. I really 290 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:14,200 want to bet Josh Allen. Maybe the thing to do 291 00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:16,039 is to tease it with another player that you like. 292 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:22,000 But I'm curious. Denver playoff game had a week off, 293 00:15:22,279 --> 00:15:23,440 how you view your team. 294 00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 2: Kind of feel like it's the same game that we 295 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:30,679 had last week when Buffalo went to Jacksonville A. Denver's 296 00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:34,000 defense in Jacksonville's defense is so much alike really good 297 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:38,399 pass rushes. There's areas where you can pick them apart. Right, 298 00:15:38,559 --> 00:15:41,080 And I just go back about five weeks ago to 299 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,360 a Monday night game when this sort of erosion of 300 00:15:43,399 --> 00:15:46,840 Denver's defense started. But it was Marcus Mariota and the 301 00:15:47,039 --> 00:15:50,360 commanders who figured out the way you stop this pass 302 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:52,320 rush is you just go to short passing game. 303 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:53,279 Speaker 3: Boom boom boom. 304 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 2: The pass rush can't get home. Patrick's ertan can't be 305 00:15:56,399 --> 00:15:58,840 as effective, et cetera, et cetera. That game went overtime 306 00:15:58,879 --> 00:16:02,559 SKI twenty seven. That night Washington game, all they could handle. 307 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:06,240 Josh Allen is way more than capable of doing the 308 00:16:06,279 --> 00:16:08,799 same exact thing with his core of receivers. I know 309 00:16:09,679 --> 00:16:13,360 they lost another receiver last week, right, but Curtis Samuel 310 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:16,200 comes back, so they gain a starting wide receiver. Again, 311 00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:18,960 he's got plenty to work with, including his tight ends. 312 00:16:19,759 --> 00:16:23,360 Where Josh Allen's concerned, it's pretty easy for me. I 313 00:16:23,399 --> 00:16:27,679 really don't care who your defense is. If the conditions 314 00:16:27,679 --> 00:16:29,639 are good, he's going to score his share of points. 315 00:16:29,639 --> 00:16:31,559 And by his share, I mean he's getting to twenty 316 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,600 four or better, or say twenty three or better, no 317 00:16:34,679 --> 00:16:39,600 matter what. And would that be in the case Denver 318 00:16:39,679 --> 00:16:42,440 against the Buffalo defense, which hasn't been good all season long, 319 00:16:42,519 --> 00:16:44,919 probably can get to twenty four as well. To me, 320 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:47,679 this total, since it came down, is worth playing up 321 00:16:47,759 --> 00:16:50,039 and over. There's plenty of forty five and a half's 322 00:16:50,039 --> 00:16:54,159 out there to see a twenty four to twenty three game, 323 00:16:54,240 --> 00:16:56,320 to see a twenty seven to twenty game, et cetera, 324 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,600 et cetera. I don't think is out of the realm 325 00:16:58,639 --> 00:17:02,000 of possibility. Good weather Denver forty one degrees or whatever 326 00:17:02,039 --> 00:17:05,720 for this time of year is like summertime. So just 327 00:17:05,839 --> 00:17:08,759 you know, real quick summary here. I think Buffalo Denver 328 00:17:08,839 --> 00:17:12,960 gets over the numbers simply because in my mind Josh 329 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,359 Allen makes it being over. Last week the total was 330 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,559 fifty one and a half. In the Jacksonville game that 331 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:20,759 was a little higher than what we're dealing with here, 332 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:24,240 and they got to fifty one. Pretty sure this one 333 00:17:24,279 --> 00:17:25,160 gets to forty seven. 334 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, if I had to pick, it'ld be over definitely. 335 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:35,920 So we're in agreement on that. I guess we can 336 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,640 go and look at the next game. Yeah, this one 337 00:17:39,839 --> 00:17:46,759 Seattle and Sam fran Darnold is injured now, oblique injury. Like, 338 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:48,960 when did this happen? Robno? 339 00:17:49,839 --> 00:17:52,599 Speaker 2: All right, So I'll give you the background story involving 340 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,480 me on this. I'm on yesterday. I told you I 341 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:58,160 was gonna go do an NFL show with Ian Cameron. 342 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:02,839 We're doing this show. I go through my whole breakdown 343 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:05,839 of Seattle, San Francisco and how I like Seattle minus seven, 344 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:08,559 and we move on to the next game, and across 345 00:18:08,599 --> 00:18:13,400 my computer screen comes Sam Darnold downgraded the questionable oblique injured. 346 00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:15,839 I'm like, wait a minute, I gotta take everything back now, 347 00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:20,799 but it had to be reported because he is questionable 348 00:18:20,839 --> 00:18:24,799 on the injury report. Basically, he took the podium twenty 349 00:18:24,839 --> 00:18:26,799 minutes later and said it's no big deal. I rolled 350 00:18:26,799 --> 00:18:30,359 out of bed, I felt a twinge. I didn't practice 351 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:33,240 hard because it's precautionary. But there's zero percent chance I 352 00:18:33,279 --> 00:18:37,039 don't play in this game. And the line from there, 353 00:18:37,599 --> 00:18:40,680 the line has never moved, the total has never moved, 354 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,240 so it kind of tells you that he's okay to play. 355 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,440 But it did scare me how farst I was like, 356 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:47,839 I gotta go back now and ask the place to 357 00:18:47,839 --> 00:18:51,960 give me my money back so I can rebt. And 358 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:54,680 that ain't happening. I like Seattle Ski. They just played 359 00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:56,480 a couple of weeks ago for the number one seed. 360 00:18:56,519 --> 00:18:58,039 I think it was the last week of the season. 361 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:02,400 Seattle dom and aided statistically. The final score was thirteen 362 00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:06,039 to three in San Francisco. And what they did that 363 00:19:06,079 --> 00:19:08,640 Philly couldn't do is they just set their sights on 364 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,440 twenty three and said, Christian McCaffrey, you know we're gonna 365 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:14,160 be everywhere you are, and Brock Purdy's gonna have to 366 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,519 find another way. Couldn't find another way. That night they 367 00:19:16,559 --> 00:19:18,920 scored three points on that defense. I don't know that 368 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,720 they gained one hundred and seventy total yards on their 369 00:19:21,759 --> 00:19:23,480 home field, and here they're asked to do it without 370 00:19:23,519 --> 00:19:27,400 George Kittle because he got hurt last week and left 371 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:30,960 the game. For Seattle, they get their starting left tackle, 372 00:19:31,039 --> 00:19:34,519 Charles Cross back, which is huge. He's their best offensive lineman. 373 00:19:35,519 --> 00:19:39,559 I just think, you know, Philadelphia bottomed out at the 374 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:41,920 end of the year and kind of let San Francisco 375 00:19:42,039 --> 00:19:44,720 hang around in that game until they lost. San Francisco 376 00:19:44,799 --> 00:19:48,240 winds up winning the Sam Donald we know, and the 377 00:19:48,279 --> 00:19:51,480 Sam Donald that people criticizes the guy who's under constant 378 00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:55,200 pressure and just makes idiotic mistakes when he's pressured. But 379 00:19:55,319 --> 00:19:59,240 in that game last week against Jalen Hurts, San Francisco 380 00:19:59,319 --> 00:20:03,279 had one sad in one hurry and if you can't 381 00:20:03,319 --> 00:20:05,759 pressure that. In fact, I think I think it was 382 00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:09,400 Brady who was doing the commentary in that game, and 383 00:20:09,519 --> 00:20:13,559 Brady kept reiterating, why is Jalen Hurts so skittish in 384 00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:16,759 the pocket? They're not even applying any pressure, but Hurts 385 00:20:16,839 --> 00:20:18,880 just looked like he always had to move around and 386 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:21,440 throwing the ball away well, and receivers dropped the ball 387 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,880 on him too. I don't think any of that happens here. 388 00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:26,599 I think Seattle's the better team, certainly the better defense. 389 00:20:27,079 --> 00:20:29,960 San Francisco has the injury list that's like a laundry list, 390 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:32,400 so I think Seattle wins by They won by ten 391 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:34,960 thirteen three a few weeks ago. 392 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,720 Speaker 3: That works for me again, if that's what happens this time. 393 00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:44,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, if I think, I do think Seattle is a 394 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:48,440 better team, I really do. I don't know. I just 395 00:20:52,039 --> 00:20:53,359 remind me who's the coach for Seattle. 396 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:57,680 Speaker 2: Rov you know, Mike McDonald. He was the Ravens defensive 397 00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,400 coordinator before he took this job. 398 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I trust san France coach more than I 399 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:07,599 trust him, And so I'm thinking, you know, seven points 400 00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:11,920 coaches I trust a little bit more out I don't know. 401 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:15,480 And this, of course he's gonna say he's he's still 402 00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:17,880 gonna play, but he's just gonna affect him any kind 403 00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:22,519 of way. Sam Darnold, I don't know, Ravino. I'm kind 404 00:21:22,519 --> 00:21:24,680 of I'm trying to find reasons to back san Fran 405 00:21:24,759 --> 00:21:28,319 That's how I feel. But yeah, I haven't gotten to 406 00:21:28,319 --> 00:21:29,000 the window yet. 407 00:21:29,759 --> 00:21:30,519 Speaker 3: I'm glad A. J. 408 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 2: Brown is in catching passes for Seattle. 409 00:21:36,079 --> 00:21:43,079 Speaker 1: Yeah that would be a plus. Let me see. Guy 410 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:45,799 says I'm unprepared every day. First of all, this is 411 00:21:45,799 --> 00:21:49,079 a basketball show, and I don't Football is on the 412 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:52,599 back burner for me, doesn't even know Seattle's coach. Yeah, football, 413 00:21:52,799 --> 00:21:55,720 If I forget somebody's name, you know, I'm capping a 414 00:21:55,759 --> 00:21:58,440 million sports every day, and another guy is getting on me. 415 00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,880 Say I ruined this night with Alexander walk here last night, 416 00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,640 guess what I went to And one yesterday I had 417 00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,319 the Golden Knights first period over for reasons I'm not 418 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,599 gonna explain, because it's not a hockey show. And I 419 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,440 had the Hornets plus four and a half, which I 420 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,480 also gave out on this show. So I have a 421 00:22:15,519 --> 00:22:17,440 lot of stuff that I give out and a lot 422 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,279 of stuff that I'm absolutely prepared for if I forget something, Hey, 423 00:22:21,319 --> 00:22:23,759 it happens. You see steven A. It happens to him. 424 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,519 He's on TV every single day. Happens to people every 425 00:22:26,599 --> 00:22:28,400 single day. 426 00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:28,799 Speaker 3: All right. 427 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:32,720 Speaker 1: You know, next game Houston and New England opens up 428 00:22:32,759 --> 00:22:34,880 minus two and a half and it looks like minus 429 00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:38,519 three total open forty one still looks like forty one 430 00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:43,759 or forty eight and a half. And I think that 431 00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:49,319 Houston's defense is better than the Chargers defense. I think 432 00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:53,720 that Chargers defense did a really good job on New England. 433 00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,400 It was really just like one a cup one if 434 00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,119 not a couple of big plays that they made. They 435 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:00,519 did their best to keep them in the game. It 436 00:23:00,599 --> 00:23:03,440 was just the offense was so pathetic. They couldn't help 437 00:23:03,519 --> 00:23:07,799 him out. For Houston, c J Stroud has you know, 438 00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:11,039 he looked terrible. Honestly, he looked really, really bad. But 439 00:23:11,079 --> 00:23:13,720 he's still capable of making some big plays. And I 440 00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:15,799 don't think New England's defense is as good as they 441 00:23:15,839 --> 00:23:22,440 look versus to Chargers. So I want to I want 442 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:24,079 to try to get there with Houston, is what I'm 443 00:23:24,079 --> 00:23:28,640 saying here. Rob, you know the better defense, and I 444 00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:32,200 just I'm feeling sure about what I've seen from New England. 445 00:23:32,599 --> 00:23:35,039 I think that they ran into a Chargers team that 446 00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:38,119 was just pathetic. How do you view this game Houston 447 00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:38,720 and New England? 448 00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree one hundred percent with everything you said there, 449 00:23:42,759 --> 00:23:45,319 and I'll add to it. You know the one reason 450 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:50,119 why I can't play it as strong as I want to. 451 00:23:50,319 --> 00:23:53,720 And take this from a guy who a month ago 452 00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:56,240 bet the Seahawks to win the NFC at plus four 453 00:23:56,319 --> 00:23:58,640 fifty and the Texans to win the AFC at plus 454 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:00,880 seven fifty, simply because I thought they were the two 455 00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:06,599 best defenses. Your point about the Chargers defense well taken. 456 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,279 It was probably the number one angle in my handicap here. 457 00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,799 They got after Drake May in that game. They got 458 00:24:12,799 --> 00:24:15,559 after him pretty good, and that New England offensive line, 459 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:19,839 which is supposed to be really good, got kind of 460 00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:21,599 torn up by the Charge. And if you're gonna get 461 00:24:21,599 --> 00:24:25,039 beat pass rush wise by the Chargers, then you're gonna 462 00:24:25,039 --> 00:24:28,039 get beat badly by Houston. We saw what they did 463 00:24:28,039 --> 00:24:30,640 to Aaron Rodgers and the Dealers the other night, and 464 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,200 you could say, you know, Drake May's younger Rodgers can't 465 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,720 get out of his own way at Pittsburgh doesn't have 466 00:24:35,759 --> 00:24:38,079 the receivers. I don't know that New England's got any 467 00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:42,079 of that either. They're here because they beat now two 468 00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:45,920 teams with winning records this year. Drake May's never been 469 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:46,599 in this spot. 470 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:49,079 Speaker 3: CJ. Stroud at least has been in this spot. 471 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,559 Speaker 2: And I'll say this, he can't play any worse than 472 00:24:51,599 --> 00:24:53,400 he played the other day and they won thirty to six. 473 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,400 So the problem I have ski really quick here is 474 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:02,279 that Nico Collins probably won't play, yeah, and that hurts. 475 00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:06,039 The concussion hurts, and it's why I can't get there 476 00:25:06,039 --> 00:25:09,720 as strong. But it's also why you know we do 477 00:25:09,839 --> 00:25:14,200 this as betters first and as advisory service people's second, 478 00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:17,359 but as a better first. I noticed this morning that 479 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,279 a couple of three and a half's came up. I 480 00:25:19,279 --> 00:25:21,640 don't think Houston's getting beaten by more than a field goal. 481 00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:24,160 I don't want to take three, but I certainly do 482 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:26,400 want to take three and a half with that defense 483 00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,839 with CJ. Stroud against the New England defense, which, like 484 00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:31,119 you say, we've talked about. 485 00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:31,440 Speaker 3: It all year long. 486 00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:33,319 Speaker 2: At one point in the year they were terrible against 487 00:25:33,319 --> 00:25:36,200 the pass, and then down the stretch they were terrible 488 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,960 against the run. The Chargers just for whatever reason couldn't 489 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,279 run it last week. But guess what, Houston ran it 490 00:25:43,319 --> 00:25:45,720 as good as they ran it all season long last 491 00:25:45,759 --> 00:25:49,319 week against Pittsburgh. So for me, it's gonna be Houston 492 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,920 in this game, and I'm gonna take one of these 493 00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:54,200 two or three three and a half's that I see 494 00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:57,319 out there. They keep popping up more and more three 495 00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,720 and a half. I disagree with this thing moving off 496 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,400 of three, So give me the give me the Texans 497 00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:03,200 plus three and a half. 498 00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 1: I like it. I like it, I like it. I 499 00:26:07,279 --> 00:26:10,160 like it. Something I did here mentioned shout out to 500 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:16,240 my guy Razor Houston. For whatever reason, they've been pretty 501 00:26:16,279 --> 00:26:18,440 good in the first and second quarter, in the third 502 00:26:18,559 --> 00:26:25,000 quarter not so much. So I thought about first half, 503 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:27,240 but as I just looked up the first half ATS 504 00:26:27,319 --> 00:26:29,240 numbers and straight up numbers in New England seems to 505 00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,400 be just as strong early. So this is a game 506 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:34,039 I think I have to, you know, think about a 507 00:26:34,079 --> 00:26:37,559 little bit longer, and I am leaning with you towards 508 00:26:37,599 --> 00:26:40,519 the Houston side. Though, last but not least, Rams and 509 00:26:40,559 --> 00:26:44,599 Bears opened up three and a half seas between three 510 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:46,440 and a half and four. I actually see a four 511 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:48,160 and a half out there too, so make sure you 512 00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:50,720 line shop depending what you like. Total came down from 513 00:26:50,759 --> 00:26:53,559 fifty one as low as forty seven and a half 514 00:26:53,599 --> 00:26:59,759 I see out there. This is one. This is one 515 00:26:59,759 --> 00:27:03,920 where who do I think is the better? Who I 516 00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,759 think is better? I think the Rams are better. But 517 00:27:07,559 --> 00:27:11,039 things I worry about here are Stafford playing if the 518 00:27:11,079 --> 00:27:14,839 weather is you know, not good in Chicago. I really 519 00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:19,799 really worry about that. For Stafford and the Rams defense, 520 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,920 I feel like they haven't looked as great lately, and 521 00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:27,119 the Bears run game is just so so good. I 522 00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:29,160 think that they'll be able to run, run the ball, 523 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,000 and I'll trust Ben Johnson to be able to, you know, 524 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,359 have some stuff ready. Caleb doesn't have to really do 525 00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:36,599 too much. And I you know, as much as I 526 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:40,720 don't like mister fingernail polish, he's been making some solid plays. 527 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:44,960 So I have a hard time laying against you know 528 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:50,119 what I just said for the Chicago Bears, thinking I 529 00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:51,559 can get a four to four and a half at 530 00:27:51,559 --> 00:27:54,519 home here, rabbino, will Stafford be able to beat him 531 00:27:54,519 --> 00:27:56,119 by that much on the road. 532 00:27:57,799 --> 00:28:00,920 Speaker 3: I have no answer for that, and I won't play 533 00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:02,480 side here. If this. 534 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:08,400 Speaker 2: Temperature was even ten or twelve degrees warmer, I would 535 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:13,319 have already unloaded the apps, the accounts on the game 536 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:15,480 going over forty eight points for some of the reasons 537 00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:18,839 you mentioned, it's gonna be cold right yesterday the report 538 00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:23,960 was at game time twelve degrees feels like minus five 539 00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,880 I think it was today It's eighteen degrees. 540 00:28:28,279 --> 00:28:29,799 Speaker 3: One degree is what it feels like. 541 00:28:29,839 --> 00:28:32,519 Speaker 2: So it went up six degrees and we'll see what 542 00:28:32,559 --> 00:28:34,720 it is at game time. I'll say two things. 543 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:36,640 Speaker 3: Here in the cold weather. 544 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:41,200 Speaker 2: You know, Caleb Williams, I don't trust him ever, I 545 00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,680 mean I trust him to do two or three stupid things. 546 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,200 He'll do two or three great things, but I do 547 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:50,079 think the stupid stuff could add up, so I don't 548 00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,799 like him there. But I'll say this in cold weather, 549 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:56,599 Let's get to that point real quick. Devonte Adams, receiver 550 00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,680 for the Rams, played a lot of years in Green Bay, 551 00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:01,319 freezing cold catching Aaron Rodgers passes, so I don't worry 552 00:29:01,359 --> 00:29:03,880 about him. Puka Naku is going to catch it. I 553 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,160 don't care where he's playing. He's going to catch the football. 554 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:10,680 Doesn't really matter with him. The Bears receivers DJ Moore, 555 00:29:10,839 --> 00:29:13,640 Luther Burden, all these other guys, I don't I trust 556 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:14,559 them to drop. 557 00:29:14,319 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 3: It in key spots more than catch it. 558 00:29:17,839 --> 00:29:20,880 Speaker 2: All that being said, Ski, your point, the other way 559 00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:24,480 around is when it's ice cold like that, nobody wants 560 00:29:24,559 --> 00:29:28,160 to tackle anybody who wants to tackle DeAndre Swift, who 561 00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:30,880 wants to tackle Kyle Mnung guy Ben Johnson's gonna run 562 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,559 it right down and the Rams are soft. The defense 563 00:29:33,599 --> 00:29:36,759 has been terrible. Carolina approved it again last week they 564 00:29:36,759 --> 00:29:39,920 scored thirty one on him. I think the Rams passing game, 565 00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,079 even if it's cold, can work because I trust those 566 00:29:42,079 --> 00:29:45,039 guys catching the ball. I trust Stafford to do the 567 00:29:45,119 --> 00:29:49,000 right thing with the football. He's got that finger injury too, 568 00:29:49,039 --> 00:29:50,759 a little bit because he hit a helmet last week 569 00:29:50,799 --> 00:29:53,079 when he threw the football. But I think they can 570 00:29:53,119 --> 00:29:55,839 score their points. It's kind of like Josh Allen and Buffalo. 571 00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:58,279 I really think the Rams offense are the best in football. 572 00:29:58,319 --> 00:30:03,160 They'll score bear running games should score. If it was 573 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,839 even twenty five degrees outside in this game, I probably 574 00:30:05,839 --> 00:30:08,000 would have been all over forty I'm still gonna bet 575 00:30:08,039 --> 00:30:10,400 it over forty eight, but I would have bet it 576 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,279 a lot harder if the temperature was just a little 577 00:30:13,319 --> 00:30:17,000 bit higher. When it gets that cold, I don't care 578 00:30:17,039 --> 00:30:19,920 what anybody says, man, that's cool. Want I want skiing 579 00:30:20,119 --> 00:30:24,640 pads When it's twelve degrees outside, Junior gonna be cuddled 580 00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:29,920 up to that heater. It's tough, but I do like over. 581 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,079 I think over forty eight's a winner. I just can't 582 00:30:32,079 --> 00:30:34,279 play it as large as I would like to. 583 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:37,240 Speaker 1: All Right, that'll wrap it up. We're gonna move it 584 00:30:37,279 --> 00:30:39,680 over the best best. But before we do, we'll toss 585 00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:42,640 this up on the screen like we usually do. You 586 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,839 can get seven days for the price of three, which 587 00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:50,440 is sixty nine dollars, all access passed. That's every sport, 588 00:30:50,519 --> 00:30:54,680 so you'll get football, NBA, college basketball, whatever it is 589 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,319 you're looking for. It's a good time to get involved there. 590 00:30:58,039 --> 00:30:58,240 Speaker 3: You know. 591 00:30:58,599 --> 00:31:00,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna pass it back to you and I'll ask 592 00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:02,680 you if there's anything else you would like to promote, 593 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:04,400 and if you have a best bet for the show, 594 00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:06,279 we'd love to hear it. If you don't, it's all good. 595 00:31:08,119 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, real quick. I think that that seven day pass again. 596 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:12,680 I said it yesterday. It's the best way to go. 597 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:14,400 We're gonna have a lot of action over the course 598 00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:19,200 of the next seven days, including the NCAA National Championship 599 00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:22,200 on Monday nights. So it's been running real well for me. 600 00:31:22,279 --> 00:31:24,960 I've been telling you guys when I come on each day. 601 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:27,759 College basketball has been great, NFL has been a great 602 00:31:27,799 --> 00:31:32,480 season overall. NBA actually two to oh this week has 603 00:31:32,519 --> 00:31:34,640 been a little bit better, So that package I would 604 00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:40,480 recommend best bet. I think I'll step out of the 605 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:44,480 NBA for NOWSKI only because I didn't make a bet there, 606 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,119 and I'll go ahead and leave one of the NFL 607 00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:48,200 games that we just talked about that I did play. 608 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:51,480 That's Buffalo Denver over. I got forty five and a half. 609 00:31:51,519 --> 00:31:54,160 It's more than widely available at this point in time. 610 00:31:54,599 --> 00:31:56,440 I gave the reasons why I think it'll get to 611 00:31:56,480 --> 00:32:00,720 forty seven, but it's mostly mainly because I trust in 612 00:32:00,799 --> 00:32:03,359 Josh Allen no matter what the circumstances, to get the 613 00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:06,680 twenty four points, twenty three or twenty four is one 614 00:32:06,759 --> 00:32:10,119 hundred percent. So for me, give me best bet Buffalo 615 00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,119 Denver up and over forty five and a half. 616 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:15,960 Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Robno. For myself, you know, 617 00:32:16,839 --> 00:32:21,680 I've only made one bet today and I just I'm 618 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:23,559 not going to give it out if you listen to 619 00:32:23,599 --> 00:32:25,319 the show. I already gave it to you when I 620 00:32:25,319 --> 00:32:27,160 broke the game down, I told you what I took. 621 00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:30,480 So we'll test those listening skills we talked about the 622 00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:33,839 other day, Robno. We'll see if people can you know, 623 00:32:34,319 --> 00:32:38,480 interpret and here when we make these pics during the show. So, Vino, 624 00:32:38,599 --> 00:32:40,559 I appreciate you taking time to break these games down 625 00:32:40,599 --> 00:32:44,400 with me. Definitely helps my process. I'm sure helps everybody 626 00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:46,720 who's not. You know, complaining about team totals in the 627 00:32:46,799 --> 00:32:50,480 chat helps their process as well too. Chat. You know, 628 00:32:50,559 --> 00:32:52,680 I'm just I joke around a lot, but we love 629 00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:54,839 you guys. You guys help make the show what it is. 630 00:32:55,359 --> 00:32:58,079 Always gonna let you know you're much appreciated. Make sure 631 00:32:58,079 --> 00:33:00,079 you like the show. If you enjoyed it, best a 632 00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,119 look on your action today and we will catch you 633 00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:03,680 guys again next week