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Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we always start the show by

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being transparent. Yesterday I did not well. I went two

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and four. Overall, my five dollars Tuesday play did not win.

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It was the under in the Raptors game. I did

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end up making a four percent on a college basketball

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play which was a winner. So overall, wasn't a good day.

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But yeah, I just got to get back on track.

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NBA and college basketball still has been going well overall.

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You know, you talked about some good stuff yesterday. How

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you doing here today? How was yesterday for you?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we're good Ski. It was a three and two

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day collegen pro NBA combined the NBA play. Only one

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was Oklahoma City team total over the one seventeen and

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a half. They got the one twenty four, so they

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did the right thing there. College was a two and

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two split, a little bit of a big loss there,

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but the NBA made up for it made us a winner.

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So happy to take that every day. We'll look forward

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to doing it again here with a little bit bigger

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card in the NBA than what we had yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Up, you're muted, y'all. Don't know that I love this

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card that much, but I'm gonna try to talk some

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stuff out. It can't go worse than yesterday's NBA, so

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let's go on rotation order. That means first stuff for

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today is Denver and Indiana Open. Seven and a half

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looks like eight or eight and a half depending where

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you shop. Total went up a little bit from two

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thirty five and a half to two thirty six and

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a half. And I do need to refresh the injury

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report because we know what ten thirty new stuff starts

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to come out for the Pacers. Same guys, same five guys.

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I'm sorry, same four guys out. Burphy's now questionable for

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the Nuggets. Yolkic is probable, Murray is questionable. No Bron

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Gordon or Strawther. I don't love this Pacers team at all,

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but I mean, I don't know. I'm just feeling like

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you're just starting to get too many people out. I

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know you used to have Jokic, but starting to just

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miss a lot for this Denver team that I don't

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think has the most depth and just a little bit

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too many points in my opinion for the state of

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the Nuggets right now. So I'll lean Pacers, but the total.

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You know, the Pacers defensive rating is top five last

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five games. But I can't help but think, you know,

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having the point guards healthier, they're just gonna want to

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run and get back to how they play basketball. So

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lean Pacers, lean over. How do you view this one?

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Speaker 2: You know, yeah, I could see that Denver has done

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nothing this season to make us want to play unders

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in their games, certainly defensively. It happened again the other night,

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right they gave up one thirty one to the Mavericks

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lose that game straight up one. I think if they

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weren't coming off a straight up loss, I would have

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looked their direction. But then the number is what it is.

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Up to eight and a half now seems a little

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bit high. So the only way to look for me

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would be toward the total and at that two thirty

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six mark. Like you say, Ski, Indiana, last five games,

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not a lot of offense, but a lot of defense.

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It seems to me when Denver's right, they score on

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everybody anyway, so that shouldn't matter where they're concerned. As

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long as Murray's in the game. We'll see if Jamal

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Murray plays. Obviously, can't make a move until we know

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that for sure. But I would agree with you that

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the way to get to Denver here, which is in

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the first this is travel from Denver to Indiana, would

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be to run on them with the backcourt that they

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have intact now. So the other night was disappointing. We'll

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get to the Cleveland side of that Indiana Cleveland game later.

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But I don't know, and I'll probably say this again

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when we talk about Cleveland. I don't know if we

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sell out of Indiana off of one result, because I

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think we were both high on Indiana plus points the

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other night, or if we come right back with them

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here plus points here. It does seem like a large

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number for a team. I'll use your phrase, when you

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can't get stops, how can we trust you in Denver

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just doesn't get stops right now, not enough to cover

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eight and a half on the road at least. Could

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be a look at Indiana, could be a look towards over,

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but I have not played either.

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Speaker 1: All right, We'll go to the next game. And went

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from five and a half Orlando up to eight, and

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total went from two thirty three and a half as

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high as two thirty six I believe out there injuries.

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We still know a Pallos out Castleton and Mo Wagner out.

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Same rio for the Spurs as of right now Wemby

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Castle McLoughlin. The Spurs are on the second of a

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back to back third and four nights, fourth and six.

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The Magic do have the rest advantage here. I've been

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playing good basketball. I mean, they're the third best offensive

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rated team last five games. They're gonna be the better

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defense in this game, better rebounding team even versus you know.

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I can't help but think it's just a magic spot.

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I don't like the idea of laying as many points

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with them, but it's magic or passed maybe magic team

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total over They've been scoring like in the one twenties

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every game I think of except for one, Lady. Yeah,

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six of the last seven games I'm looking at here,

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So either magic or magic team total. How do you

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view this one? Vino?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I bet it, ski, I bet the magic here,

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and I bet it specifically on the spot. This schedule

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maker not kind to the Spurs. I mean they came

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off a four game road trip, played one home game,

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only to go right out the next night for another

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four game road trip. Maybe we look as this road

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trip progresses for San Antonio two, maybe a good shot

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to fade them because four on the road at home

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immediately back to the road against this team Orlando, which

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has been playing really good. A couple of advantages. You

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talked about the rebounding last five games. I know you're

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always high on last five games. Magic number four in

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the NBA and second chance points the Spurs without Webbin Yama,

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it's starting the show now. They're twenty ninth in a

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second chance points allowed and their thirtieth in mid range

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field goal percentage allowed. So close to the rim they're

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giving it up without Wemby protecting the rim. At this

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point in time, I think Orlando's got plenty of players

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even without ban Cao who can do that. Like you say,

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they're scoring like crazy. Desmond Bane seems to have found

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his comfort spot with this team contributing really well now

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and they're playing really good there. I think their tempo

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SKI was up to number six in the NBA over

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the course of the last five I know it's up

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to eight here, guys who got five and a half. Yeah,

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you got the better value, But it seems to me

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Orlando could win this one by ten or more. I'll

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add one more thing. The Spurs, although the minutes weren't

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necessarily huge last night, they were pressed by Memphis the

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entire game. And you get thirty one points and seven

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threes out of Harrison Barnes. That happens like once every

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full moon anymore. So I don't know that you're going

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to get that from him. They've got other guys that

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are capable. But I just see Orlando winning this game

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by a pretty big number tonight, just because of the situation.

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Speaker 1: I beat on that banner. But I'm in agreement here.

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I like, the magic have to be bet, even though

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related to the party or I'm late to the party,

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I still see a seven and a half out there.

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Magic and magic team told over. Maybe it's one that

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I split in half, but the magic have to be

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bet one way or another. I believe in this game.

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And the injuries, you know what the injuries, if anything,

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if the Spurs just I say, somebody, you would want

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to get ahead of this. So I think magic and

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this I want to ask you, I mean, just talking

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it out a little more. I feel like it can

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go either way. Yes, the Magic have been scoring or

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playing a tempo. But if this game does get out

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of hand, I mean you could fall short of that

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team total over for the Magic, you know, if they're

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already just smoking the Spurs. So your opinion, do you

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think this will be more of a Spurs team total

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under or a Magic team total overgame?

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Speaker 2: If you had to choose, let me just I'm pulling

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up the numbers now so I can give you a

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pretty these team total numbers one twenty two and one

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thirteen and a half. I'd you could get one fourteen

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and a half. I'd almost say Spurs team total under

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one fourteen and a half. Not that Orlando can't get

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to one twenty three because they've shown they can't. I

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just when it gets to that range, it's harder for me.

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So maybe Spurs team total under. I don't really have

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a good answer for you there, Ski, because I would

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almost like them both. But I think i'd like Spurs

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team total under a little bit better.

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Speaker 1: All right, next game, Blazers and Calves. Not a whole

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lot of movement on the side. But the total did

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go off from two thirty six. Actually it went up

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to two forty one, but it's come back down a

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little bit I'm seeing eight and a half actually right now.

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Injury report Alonzo probable, No, Jared Allen, Sam Merrill, Larry

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NaNs Junior or Max s Truth for the Blazer side,

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I mean a lot of big injury report here too.

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Denny Avia questionable, Clinging questionable, Murray questionable, No Scoop, Drew,

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Tybo Wesley or Williams. There's too much missing in this

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game for me, you know, I think this is one

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I just don't even want to bother with. Did you

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have any opinion on Blazers and Calves.

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Speaker 2: There's way too much missing for Portland. I mean, Denny

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Ada is and great for this team as far as

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scoring is concerned, and we already talked about Drew the

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other night. Without him, they were still able to have

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a big fourth quarter. But that stuff catches up to

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you too after after a little bit of time. The

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only thing I'll say here, Ski is I don't know

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what to remember. The other day we talked about Cleveland, Indiana.

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Mitchell and Garland don't even talk to the press. The

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guys that do talk to the press tell you there's

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a little bit of turmoil going on here as far

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as early starts are concern, and then they came out

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sixty six to fifty four first half against Indiana, came

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out pretty fast out of the shoot. I don't know

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if that's something that I'm supposed to be proactive with

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and start getting on Cleveland. Maybe the message has been

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received or if that was just a one off. Makes

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it a little bit difficult for me, But I feel

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like in some way, shape or form, I should be

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playing Cleveland points in this game. First half number, just

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for those watching here, team total real quick is C

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sixty five and a half. That's a large number out

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of I probably won't get involved, but the Cleveland situation

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intrigues me a little bit whether or not we can

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get in early before the odds maker. I don't know

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the odds maker even has to catch up because these

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numbers are big already. But Cleveland played really well the

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other night.

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Speaker 1: Well, I'll ask you this this. Do you think you

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say the message has been received? I could maybe I

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could probably agree with that. The Calves are only sitting

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at thirteen and nine right now. You know, they definitely

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could use some wins. And if the focus is you know,

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starting the game faster or better. I mean, if there's

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no Denny, there's no Drew, I mean, no clinging. Possibly

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maybe why not just take the Calves first quarter and

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not even think about this full game point spread. That's

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kind of my thought process there.

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Speaker 2: That's that's a good look for Caves first now three

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and a half. In fact is as you write it down,

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I'll write it down too, because I didn't consider it.

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But they are. They were open two and a half,

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bet up to three and a half. And yeah, you

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get their starting lineup against they banged up Portland starting lineup,

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that could be a really good, good spot minus three

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and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. The problem is usually teams overlook the opposing team,

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but you know when the starters get rolled out. But

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I just don't think Cleveland is in a spot to

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do that with how they've been playing lately. You agree,

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I do.

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Speaker 2: I do, absolutely like. And you know what, It's funny

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because the other day Ski I said to you in

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the NBA standings don't matter until after the All Star break.

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But maybe at this point, when you're the Calves and

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you have the expectations that they have, thirteen and nine

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means let's start getting some wins here.

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Speaker 1: All right. We're in an agreement on that. Definitely looking

239
00:12:50,919 --> 00:12:53,639
at the Calves early. Just want to check one more

240
00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:58,120
thing here, Okay, we can keep going Caves first quarter

241
00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:02,440
minus three and a half. Definitely appealing their Clippers and Hawks.

242
00:13:03,919 --> 00:13:06,679
I mean it's a one way street from me. I

243
00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:08,960
don't want the Clippers. I'm gonna tell you that right now.

244
00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:11,720
They're gonna have to show me something to make me

245
00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:14,320
want to bet them. So just based off that this

246
00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:17,120
Hawks are nothing. How do you feel about it?

247
00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:20,799
Speaker 2: If you know, I was surprised more money didn't come

248
00:13:20,799 --> 00:13:23,360
in on the Hawks ski so I played at three

249
00:13:23,399 --> 00:13:27,399
and a half. I mean, Chris Paul gets released because

250
00:13:27,399 --> 00:13:31,120
he's too critical of his teammates. It's like he's trying

251
00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:33,440
to hold people accountable, and nobody wants to be held

252
00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:36,639
accountable on the five and sixteen team. I don't know

253
00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:40,919
what we can add to them as far as a

254
00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:44,240
descriptive other than walkers with tennis balls. Now we could

255
00:13:44,279 --> 00:13:46,879
just I don't know what we add to it, but

256
00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:51,039
they don't want to listen to any criticism from within.

257
00:13:51,159 --> 00:13:55,240
I know Chris Paul can be rough, but still they're

258
00:13:55,279 --> 00:13:57,879
not supposed to be five and sixteen, and nobody wants

259
00:13:57,919 --> 00:14:00,600
to listen. So for me it was Atlanta. I I

260
00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:03,639
thought for sure that the market would push this game up,

261
00:14:05,039 --> 00:14:08,480
maybe by two points, but they haven't, so I stepped in.

262
00:14:08,519 --> 00:14:10,639
I'm on Atlanta minus three and a half. I don't

263
00:14:10,639 --> 00:14:12,919
want any part of that LA situation right now.

264
00:14:14,279 --> 00:14:16,000
Speaker 1: All right, we're in agreement on that. I don't think

265
00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:18,519
we have to talk too much more. I think we

266
00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:22,159
can move over to Hornets and Nicks. And we did

267
00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:26,399
see some movement here. This one went from oh no, no, no,

268
00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:28,240
I'm sorry. I went from nine and a half. It's

269
00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:29,679
still at nine and a half. I feel like I

270
00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:35,399
saw it higher. Maybe it came back down. Total did

271
00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:37,200
come down from two thirty seven as low as two

272
00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:41,120
thirty five and a half for New York og out

273
00:14:41,279 --> 00:14:45,919
Mitch Robinson out sham it out for the Hornets. LaMelo

274
00:14:46,039 --> 00:14:50,279
is probable there will be no content Green ray Man,

275
00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:54,080
Brandon Miller or Grant Williams. Second of it back to

276
00:14:54,159 --> 00:14:56,240
back for these Knicks, starting four to fourth and six.

277
00:14:56,799 --> 00:14:58,759
It is the fourth and sixth for the Hornets, but

278
00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,879
they have rest advantage looking for a little bit of

279
00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:07,720
double digit in season revenge as well the Knicks. I

280
00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:10,360
feel like I have been a really strong home team.

281
00:15:10,759 --> 00:15:14,519
I feel like the Knicks have also maybe beating up on

282
00:15:14,559 --> 00:15:18,919
the bad teams. I have the double check, but that's

283
00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:22,720
just my thought about the Knicks. So I mean they

284
00:15:22,759 --> 00:15:24,600
are at home. I don't like the situation on the

285
00:15:24,639 --> 00:15:28,720
back to back. It's hard for me to trust them here.

286
00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,120
I guess just because of that. If I was stressing

287
00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:33,639
one person in his game, you know it's my guy, Con,

288
00:15:34,559 --> 00:15:37,320
I'll probably be betting his points or something like that.

289
00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:40,320
How do you feel about Hornets and Knicks. I don't

290
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:41,919
think I can lay with the Knicks.

291
00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:44,879
Speaker 2: I like a little bit of a bounce back here

292
00:15:44,879 --> 00:15:48,639
out of the Charlotte offense. Ski you're catching the Knicks

293
00:15:48,639 --> 00:15:51,279
on back to back. They played hard minutes last night

294
00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:55,600
against Boston. Mckel bridges kept trying to rally them. The

295
00:15:55,679 --> 00:15:59,360
end of that game was tight. Everybody goes at least

296
00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:01,840
thirty three and a half minutes in the starting lineup,

297
00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:03,679
and now you come back and play a fast paced

298
00:16:03,679 --> 00:16:07,000
team in Charlotte, and Charlotte didn't play well offensively against

299
00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:11,240
Brooklyn the other night, so there's no real travel. He's

300
00:16:11,279 --> 00:16:13,679
sitting in Brooklyn for a day and rest get to

301
00:16:13,879 --> 00:16:17,039
MSG play this game, knowing that the Knicks might be

302
00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:20,200
a little bit tired. To Charlotte team total was one

303
00:16:20,279 --> 00:16:23,480
thirteen and a half. I could honestly see Charlotte getting

304
00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,639
to one fourteen in this game tonight with even if

305
00:16:26,679 --> 00:16:29,200
they have a you know, I tried to weigh in

306
00:16:29,279 --> 00:16:31,720
a lot of different ways. Maybe they have a really

307
00:16:31,799 --> 00:16:34,519
big first half, and if so, it should be enough

308
00:16:34,559 --> 00:16:36,799
to get them to one fourteen. Maybe they're good all

309
00:16:36,799 --> 00:16:39,240
the way through, Maybe they start off slow and get

310
00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:41,360
a big second half. But one thirteen and a half

311
00:16:41,399 --> 00:16:44,440
to me, seems like a real betable number here. Off

312
00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:46,679
of the offensive performance they had the other night against

313
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:49,720
Brooklyn only one O three and bad shooting the other night.

314
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:54,120
I don't see that happening here for the Hornets.

315
00:16:54,279 --> 00:16:58,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, you like them to score and uh man, I'm

316
00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:00,080
writing them down here on my Charlotte to cover it

317
00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:02,799
is we have here best known rust He is nine

318
00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:07,319
and a half. Just I can't see the Knicks playing

319
00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:11,680
that well and his back to back I mean, I

320
00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:13,519
don't know this. This is more of a gut feeling

321
00:17:13,599 --> 00:17:15,400
kind of game because when I look at numbers, Hornets

322
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,200
haven't been playing you know that great lately, haven't been

323
00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:22,599
playing well at all. Well, yeah, I don't look more

324
00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:24,200
into it, but I'm gonna try to find reasons to

325
00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:26,519
back the hornet Sprobs thinks to hornets can score points.

326
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:32,319
I'm in agreement with that. Here's what I was saying earlier.

327
00:17:32,559 --> 00:17:35,000
D Hugh Gaming says, next, smoke everyone at the crib.

328
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:37,000
Besides that magic game, they are ten to one ats.

329
00:17:37,559 --> 00:17:40,640
It's gonna built to ask. I mean, I don't think

330
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:42,759
they played too many home games on the back to back,

331
00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:48,319
but we shall see. We shall see. Nets and Bulls

332
00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:51,599
went from minus eleven for the Bulls down at eight

333
00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,920
and not a big movement, but two thirty two up

334
00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,839
to two thirty three and a half on that total

335
00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:01,680
High smith Man and Cam Thomas out for the Bulls.

336
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,160
I mean, this is a this the whole team on

337
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:09,640
the injury report. Kobe White out, heard her out, Noah out,

338
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:16,400
Coral doubtful, Terry Smith, Frey Jones, Zach Collins all questionable,

339
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:24,599
Patrick Williams, Julian Phillips, and Oldbridge questionable. I mean, there's

340
00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,799
too many question marks. One thing I'll say is I

341
00:18:27,839 --> 00:18:31,319
do think Boots can have a good game. Every center

342
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:34,079
pretty much has a good game. Versus Nets. I think

343
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:37,759
that Josh Giddy might be playable without Kobe White out there.

344
00:18:38,039 --> 00:18:43,640
Whether there's pr or just rebounds and assists, those will

345
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:47,279
be you know, if I'm betting anything for Chicago, those

346
00:18:47,319 --> 00:18:49,799
will be my go tos. Other than that, not a

347
00:18:49,799 --> 00:18:51,599
whole lot I want to do here. You know, what,

348
00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:52,160
do you think?

349
00:18:54,079 --> 00:18:56,640
Speaker 2: I was surprised Chicago played so well the other night

350
00:18:57,119 --> 00:19:01,240
against Orlando one. I just don't like him in a

351
00:19:01,279 --> 00:19:05,920
favorites roll Ski laying a MPJ came back the other

352
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,160
night scored thirty five. I think he had a pretty

353
00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:12,000
solid night. Brooklyn's not you know, you have to hold

354
00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:13,240
your nose when you bet Brooklyn.

355
00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:13,839
Speaker 1: I get it.

356
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,160
Speaker 2: But the way to look at them for a long

357
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:21,559
time this season has been toward the under. And maybe

358
00:19:21,599 --> 00:19:24,119
this total is a little bit too high. Again, I'm

359
00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:28,880
reaching for reaching for straws here because I didn't play

360
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,720
and I don't have a really good feel. But maybe

361
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,359
the total is a little bit too high considering it's Brooklyn,

362
00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:37,279
And again I just don't trust Chicago as a favorite here.

363
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,640
It's come straight down, obviously from eleven to eight seven

364
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:42,759
and a half because of the injury report that you

365
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:48,079
read if Chicago's treating this as a let's rest everybody game,

366
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,200
I don't know. We've been around this NBA too long though,

367
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,799
because we've seen this one before. When you rest everybody

368
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:55,880
and then you go out and whack somebody by twenty

369
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:59,960
with your reserves, difficult to call a lot of back.

370
00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:01,720
I can fourth in my head on that game, So

371
00:20:01,759 --> 00:20:02,839
I'll leave it alone.

372
00:20:04,039 --> 00:20:07,279
Speaker 1: All right. Let's keep going down the list. Kings and

373
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,240
Rockets big point spread here, it went from thirteen and

374
00:20:10,279 --> 00:20:12,640
a half to fifteen and a half, came down from

375
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:15,440
two thirty six lot it was two twenty nine and

376
00:20:15,519 --> 00:20:20,960
a half for Houston. Steven Adams questionable, Tarry Easton during,

377
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:26,079
Phinney Smith out, Malik munk Is probable, Stroder questionable, SA

378
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:30,400
Bonus out. Honestly, this is this is when I think

379
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:32,880
I skipped over today. I just saw that humunk is

380
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:36,319
point spread. Didn't really want to lay it. Third game,

381
00:20:36,559 --> 00:20:39,160
four nights for the Rockets. King's coming off of a

382
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:42,880
couple of days rest, you know, two days rest. I'm

383
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:45,200
not really looking at lay fifteen and a half first

384
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:49,119
a team like that in association. So just just off

385
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,240
of that, I guess it makes me lean towards Kings,

386
00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:53,960
but I don't really like a lot from what I've

387
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:57,240
seen from them, so it's probably a past for me. Ravino,

388
00:20:57,279 --> 00:20:59,799
do you have anything on Kings and Rockets?

389
00:21:00,759 --> 00:21:04,319
Speaker 2: I agree, I agree because I don't lay these types

390
00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:07,720
of points hardly. Ever, so it's hard for me to

391
00:21:07,759 --> 00:21:10,680
get to Houston, even though I know they're the way

392
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,599
better team playing and simple, they're the way better team.

393
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:19,960
Their front line is better. Steven Adams like a something.

394
00:21:20,039 --> 00:21:23,079
Create was nine of ten from the free throw line

395
00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:26,319
the other night, and like, wow, Steven Adams. They're just

396
00:21:26,319 --> 00:21:29,759
playing really well right now. Ski, that's a together group.

397
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,240
Sacramento's kind of a scattered group. It's hard to trust them,

398
00:21:33,279 --> 00:21:36,480
but point spreads, the great equalizer. Fifteen and a half

399
00:21:36,559 --> 00:21:39,000
could get the job done here. Their team total is

400
00:21:39,039 --> 00:21:42,359
one oh seven and a half, very very low by

401
00:21:42,519 --> 00:21:45,079
NBA standards. In fact, you can find one o six

402
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:48,680
and a half. I've been trapped with Sacramento before where

403
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:52,599
they didn't get to that number. But tonight, considering the

404
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:56,359
travel and whatnot, or the schedule for Houston, maybe they

405
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,720
get there. Not a game I'm really interested in.

406
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 1: Right this next game Pistons and Bucks. We did see

407
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:06,200
some movement. It went from minus three to four and

408
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:09,000
a half. Total came down from two thirty three to

409
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,839
two thirty. Looking at the injury report for this game

410
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:19,160
for Milwaukee, Jannis is probable, Gary Harris, KPJ, and Bobby

411
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:23,039
Porters are all questionable. Tyren Prince looks like he's out.

412
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:28,359
For the Pistons, Robinson is questionable. Clintman and Sasser are

413
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:32,039
both out. This is the fourth game and sixth nights

414
00:22:32,079 --> 00:22:35,559
for the Pistons. They do have some rest before this game, though,

415
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:38,960
and it is also fourth game and six for the Bucks.

416
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:41,519
They're looking for a little bit of double digit nd

417
00:22:41,559 --> 00:22:45,160
season revenge. But I don't know how much I like

418
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,599
what I mean KPJ back on the injury report again,

419
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:54,119
Jannis doesn't want to be there letting the Wizards come

420
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,799
back and win. I mean, I don't think I can

421
00:22:56,839 --> 00:22:59,920
support anything for the Bucks right now. I think it's

422
00:23:00,079 --> 00:23:03,759
Pistons are nothing in this game. Any thoughts from you here,

423
00:23:03,880 --> 00:23:04,160
you know.

424
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,400
Speaker 2: To lose that game in the final two and a

425
00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:11,400
half minutes the other night to Washington is just it's

426
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:14,240
unacceptable if you're in Milwaukee, Doc Rivers, I just was

427
00:23:14,279 --> 00:23:16,400
reaching for it. I saw this quote this morning, want

428
00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:19,400
to read it again, Doc Rivers, he's just full of quotes.

429
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,319
This guy, he's not full of wins, but he's full

430
00:23:21,319 --> 00:23:24,359
of quotes. I didn't think we played right. They had

431
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:30,119
eighteen more shots than us. We played so well. We

432
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,720
played so well the other night, and a said went

433
00:23:32,759 --> 00:23:37,000
over Brooklyn, I felt frustrated the entire night. We played

434
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:38,880
like we thought we were gonna win the game. You're

435
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:40,960
supposed to win the game. You're like a double digit

436
00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:43,599
favorite against the Wizards. How do you let it get away?

437
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,599
I could see where Giannis would want the heck out

438
00:23:46,599 --> 00:23:48,559
of that place, you know. And I'm somebody holding a

439
00:23:48,599 --> 00:23:52,359
Milwaukee ticket. I think over forty two and a half

440
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:54,640
regular season wins and they're off to a nine and

441
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:58,359
thirteen start, So I mean, the quicker they unload Doc

442
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:01,759
Rivers and his quotes happier, I would be with that bet.

443
00:24:01,759 --> 00:24:05,359
But you can't trust them, man. Detroit had lost to

444
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,640
this team ski thirteen times in a row, and then

445
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:10,279
they broke that streak earlier this year, so I don't

446
00:24:10,319 --> 00:24:12,759
think they're satisfied with just beating them once. They've been

447
00:24:12,759 --> 00:24:15,559
beaten by Milwaukee for a long time. They probably want

448
00:24:15,559 --> 00:24:18,960
to whack them around again. So I didn't bet it,

449
00:24:19,039 --> 00:24:22,119
but there's no way I'd be on Milwaukee right now.

450
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:27,880
Speaker 1: We're an agreement on that. We'll move over to the

451
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,960
last game on the slate. That's Heat and mass went

452
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,920
from two and a half to five for Miami, tot

453
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:35,720
them moved a little bit towards the over sitting at

454
00:24:35,759 --> 00:24:38,480
two forty one and a half. Go over to the

455
00:24:38,519 --> 00:24:44,039
injury report. Larson Powell both questionable, good Old Terry Rozier

456
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:48,960
will not see the court. Dallas Mavericks. Gafford and PJ

457
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:56,599
are questionable. Kyrie and Lively are out for this Mavericks team.

458
00:24:56,680 --> 00:25:00,240
Fourth and six for them. Looking for some revenge here

459
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,319
coming off of a coming off of a win though as

460
00:25:03,319 --> 00:25:09,720
an underdog this Heat here, here's my thought here, the

461
00:25:09,839 --> 00:25:12,440
Heat just plays. I mean really, I was looking at

462
00:25:12,599 --> 00:25:14,680
a prop in this game. I was thinking about Cooper

463
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:22,279
Flag his rebounds, just because there's so many possessions in

464
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:25,160
this Heat game. There's gotta be a lot more rebounds,

465
00:25:25,279 --> 00:25:28,359
you know, they allow I think the second most rebound

466
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:30,920
something like that, just because of how many possessions are

467
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:34,440
in their games. And Cooper Flag, I feel like he's

468
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,799
been playing a lot of minutes. He's gonna have the opportunities.

469
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,359
Cooper flag six and a half rebounds seems very appealing.

470
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:44,039
Outside of that, I don't think I want to get

471
00:25:44,079 --> 00:25:47,640
too involved here, you know, anything for you on MAVs

472
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:50,920
and Heat.

473
00:25:49,599 --> 00:25:52,160
Speaker 2: I wanted to play Miami's team total over it's got

474
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,799
It's almost like an automatic trigger for me. Every morning

475
00:25:54,839 --> 00:25:56,440
I wake up and see them on the card, I

476
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:59,799
want to look up their team total. But Norman poulse

477
00:25:59,839 --> 00:26:04,480
to situation stops me a little bit here. Ski. I

478
00:26:04,519 --> 00:26:07,519
know they've got other scores, and Dallas plays at pace two,

479
00:26:07,599 --> 00:26:10,559
so the game is gonna be back and forth. I

480
00:26:10,559 --> 00:26:13,359
think Dallas went to two point fifty two the other

481
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,839
night with Denver one one, and Dallas is getting a

482
00:26:16,839 --> 00:26:19,079
couple of the bigs back. PJ. Washington, I think is

483
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:24,839
gonna play at shoot around today. Also Daniel Gafford gonna play.

484
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,559
But in a Miami game, I don't treat that as

485
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:32,160
rim protection coming back because the game is played with

486
00:26:32,279 --> 00:26:34,759
such a spread floor all the time, up and down.

487
00:26:35,079 --> 00:26:37,720
It's not really half court sets where rim protection is

488
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:41,119
more helpful. So I want to get to the over somehow.

489
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,440
Someway if I knew Norman Powell was playing, I would

490
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:48,119
have already bet maybe even full game total, because Miami

491
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,279
doesn't care if they give up buckets. They just want

492
00:26:50,319 --> 00:26:52,440
to get more than you do at this point in time.

493
00:26:52,519 --> 00:26:55,160
So we'll see. I'll look at the injury report as

494
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:58,839
the day goes on. If I get a you know,

495
00:26:59,079 --> 00:27:02,119
inkling that Norman Pal's gonna play, I'll probably land on

496
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,359
the totally the Miami team total or full game.

497
00:27:06,799 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, you mentioned in PJ is a good point because

498
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,279
he was slotted in at that power forward right and uh,

499
00:27:14,039 --> 00:27:16,240
probably be a reason Cooper Plagg I mean the past

500
00:27:16,279 --> 00:27:18,640
two games there was no PJ and he had eight rebounds.

501
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:22,559
Eight rebounds, so that is something to look at. I mean,

502
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:24,759
did you get that seven? He did get that seven,

503
00:27:25,039 --> 00:27:27,880
just like Mike mentioned before that the past four games,

504
00:27:28,319 --> 00:27:32,119
but I don't know. I still think he can get it.

505
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:33,960
We'll see. I'm gonna think about that one a little

506
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:38,960
bit more. That is the NBA car for today, so

507
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,440
you know, I'm just gonna move it over the best

508
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:43,920
bets today. I'll ask you if there's anything you'd like

509
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,440
to promote, and uh, if you have a best bet

510
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:47,720
for the show, we love to hear it. If you

511
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:48,839
don't saw good.

512
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:58,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's see. I'm trying to think promotion wise, I

513
00:27:58,160 --> 00:28:00,880
would just say, guys, if you're gonna be interested in

514
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,880
college football bowl games, there is bowl packages up and available.

515
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:09,839
Wager Talk has reduced the price on those. I think

516
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:13,000
the regular stuff is still intact. Weekend Warrior, et cetera,

517
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,599
et cetera. I'm going to get straight to best bets

518
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,920
here with the Atlanta Hawks minus three and a half,

519
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,839
I just I really am surprised that the market didn't

520
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:27,279
get here more aggressive towards the Atlanta Hawks side. The

521
00:28:27,319 --> 00:28:30,640
Clippers are a disaster, not only on the court. Atlanta

522
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,319
can push pace with them. We saw it the other night.

523
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:35,400
Miami just came out and ran them off the floor

524
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:39,119
in one quarter. Case closed, You're done. And if the

525
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:43,599
Clippers are not united here, which it doesn't seem like

526
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,720
they are. And again I forget the record, Ski, but

527
00:28:46,799 --> 00:28:51,200
it's something like three and eleven against the spread since

528
00:28:51,279 --> 00:28:55,480
Tyler's face was seen at a poker game. So they're

529
00:28:55,519 --> 00:28:58,359
just not playing well enough for me to want them,

530
00:28:58,359 --> 00:29:00,799
and I really do want to fade them here. So

531
00:29:00,839 --> 00:29:03,319
at Lanta minus three and a half, best bet tonight.

532
00:29:04,799 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 1: Good stuff for myself. I haven't placed the bet yet,

533
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:09,720
and I don't like to give you guys best that

534
00:29:09,799 --> 00:29:11,839
I don't have in my pocket. I feel like I

535
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,839
need a little bit more time to shore some things up,

536
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,880
so a lot of ways I was looking. I am

537
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,920
sure I have a few best today, but just not

538
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:23,079
ready to pull the trigger yet. So don't tell you

539
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:25,839
guys something just to tell you so I will pass

540
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:30,279
for best best today, Bino. I always appreciate you taking

541
00:29:30,279 --> 00:29:32,680
the time to break the games down with me. Everybody

542
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:36,839
out there, we appreciate you as well. And tomorrow we'll

543
00:29:36,839 --> 00:29:40,079
have a little bit of football, talk about some basketball

544
00:29:40,119 --> 00:29:42,319
as well. So best of luck on all your action

545
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:44,559
tonight and we will catch you guys tomorrow