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Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks.

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If you are new, we do already start this show

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by being transparent. But I can't remember the last time

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we did a show rob you holiday season joined some

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time with the family. But I will say NFL has

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been disaster, definitely disaster. NBA got a little bit cold,

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I think since we haven't been doing this show. But

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the past two days Saturday and Sunday, I did win

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both my players in the NBA, So we'll see we

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can carry that into this week. Good to be back

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with you. If you know how you doing.

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Speaker 2: We're doing good, Ski, We're doing good. Yeah, it comes

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that you just so fast and furious. Now even today,

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just going across the board, there's you know, maybe eighty

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ninety college basketball games too, so there's a lot going on.

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And if was good to me yesterday another nice day

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that had one loss, which was the Tampa Bay Miami game. No, yeah,

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Tampa Bay Miami game. Over the total to which I

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now place Baker Mayfield on the hell no list. It'll

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be Carolina next Sunday or nothing for me because I'm

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sick of losing money on Tampa. But the rest of

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the card was good to me, so we had a

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profitable day. NBA actually is four and one last five plays,

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so we've been getting NBA right, which is nice, and

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look forward to maybe catching a couple more here tonight

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on this card.

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Speaker 1: There's definitely some games that I have bet some more

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I'm looking to, you know, open up my wallet and

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get involved in, and there's some that I absolutely don't

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even want to think about, So obviously we're gonna spend

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less time on those ones in this first game might

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be in that category. Rob you no bucks and Hornets

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bucks open two and a half looked like three or

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three and a half. There's no call Colk burner out,

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plumble out. Giannis is playing. I mean, it looks real

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easy to me to go and bet the bucks for Johannison,

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but I just I have very little interest in doing it.

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So this is one I'm very likely to just you know,

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push off to the side of you know, how do

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you feel about this one?

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Speaker 2: No, I gotta ask you, did I fall into the

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easy trap because I bet Milwaukee. Are you're probably yelling

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at me, No, don't look at but I did I

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bet Milwaukee. Giannis came back, they won a couple of games.

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The injuries that you listed was another part of the

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handicap here. I think Charlot's readjusting a little bit without

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Kinnipple in the lineup, who actually was a huge part

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as we've talked about most of the season for their offense.

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But I just feel like Milwaukee seems like a team

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that's got the right focus, that is becoming a little

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more cohesive with their leader back. The last two wins

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helped me get to this one. I didn't think the

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price was that bad. Now, granted I got the better

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price two and a half rather than three and a half,

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So you know, if some betters on this game are

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kind of shying away because of the movement upward, I

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still think there's probably a little room here. I just

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don't trust Charlotte defensively whatsoever. And I think Milwaukee's probably

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got to start stacking wins at some point. So I

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did play this one. Played the Bucks, not one of

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my strongest players of the day, but I'm there. Bucks

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minus two and a half, which is, like I say, now,

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it's up to three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Sons and Wizards not super interested in this game. The

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total did take a nose dive though from two forty

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all the way down at two thirty two and a half,

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and I'm looking Grayson Allen, Ryan Dunn, Jalen Green, Mark

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Williams all out for the Wizards, Kyshawn, George Kispert, Middleton

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Whitmore all out, a lot missing. I might just recommend Igadaro,

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maybe his rebounds or something with him, because he should

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get a lot more minutes with Mark Williams out. Other

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than that, not really interested in Sons at Wizards. Anything

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for you here, Raveno.

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Speaker 2: That was quite the fight, wasn't it. Alvarado against Mark Williams.

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That was crazy. I had interest in Phoenix before I

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went to the injury report, just based on scheduling Washington

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back to back wins, which never happens. Washington without rest,

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Phoenix rested. I thought I could play Phoenix, but the

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price looked a little high. Then when I went to

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the injury list, there's a lot missing from Phoenix as

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well as Washington, so I let it go. We don't

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have to talk too much about that one.

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Speaker 1: Magic and Raptors. I want nothing to do with the

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Raptors without RJ. Barry, and especially without RJ and Jaka Pertle.

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So that's the situation for them tonight. I believe they're

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also on or back to back, but there is travel

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involved for this magic squad. Magic without Mo Wagner and

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Franz Wagner, Suggs is doubtful here tonight. You know, I can't.

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I just can't bet the Rappers without those two guys

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have shown me how terrible they've been all season long.

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So lean magic. But yeah, the next next few games

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I like a lot more than these first few.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I like a little bit of Orlando here, simply

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because again of scheduling Toronto not only back to back,

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but it was overtime with Golden State yesterday, so take

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a little more out of the legs that don't include,

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as you mentioned, Barrett and Perdles. So I think Orlando's

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probably the right side here. Didn't think the price tag

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was too high. I could be talked into it by

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the time tip off comes, but I think if that's

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the case, I should probably play it now ski because

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I don't know that that number coming back toward Toronto

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anytime soon. Waiting on this one might cost me more.

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So I may get to this at minus one and

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a half with the Orlando side.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I can understand that. Shout out to Mark and

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the chat. Appreciate you tapping in. We'll go over to

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a game I did get there with and this is

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Nuggets and Heat opened up two and a half. Not

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a whole lot of movement there total, I mean, not

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a whole lot of movement, but two forty five pretty

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high total there. Injury report, Bam is probable, Hero and

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Rosier are both out for the Nuggets. Baits is out,

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bron Gordon, cam Johnson all out. You know, for me,

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this is a Nuggets team that it just feels like

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they're starting to miss too much here Ravino. I mean,

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they're a great team, but missing what is that three

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starters now they've lost two of their last three games. Meanwhile,

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Heat are healthy. I mean, they played a big chunk

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of the season without Tyler Hero. It doesn't really move

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me too much when I see him out of the

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lineup anymore. Right now, the Heat the better defensive team.

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He'd have been a better rebounding team lately, he'd are

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at home. It just seems like this should be a

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Heat w So I took the Heat side. I did

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grab the plus two and a half. What do you

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think about Nuggets and heat?

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Speaker 2: You know, yeah, Actually on the Nuggets side, these Brawn

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and Gordon injuries or Brown and Gordon injuries have been

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in play for quite a while now. And we remember

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back to when Jamal Murray about a week and a

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half ago told this sty just play fast. I mean,

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for Denver, it's a one way ticket. Nowadays, Ski, I

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really don't even look at the game itself. I just

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look toward the total right now, seven and one to

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the over with their team total. We talked about that

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a lot before we took the holidays off, about how

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if you find them in one twenty one, one twenty

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two range, it's automatic. Even if they climb even higher

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to the mid one twenties, it's still a pretty good play.

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Their totals are six and two, if you want to

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go back further, eleven and three over the course of

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the last fifteen As far as full game totals are concerned,

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it it just screams points when the Nuggets play, and

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with Miami, it just adds to what I think about

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offense happening here. Again. It's one that I know you

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call your short list. It's something that I wrote down

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this morning and didn't pull the trigger on yet. But

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I don't know if you can make until you make

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these Nuggets games, you know, two fifty plus. I don't

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know that even this number is high enough two forty four.

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Haven't played it yet. The only way I could play

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this game is some form of total, whether it be

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either one of these team totals because Denver's defense hasn't

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been there this year, or the full game total. As

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I mentioned, I haven't played yet, but I wouldn't argue

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anybody off of playing over in any form of that game.

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Speaker 1: I can understand that I'm gonna keep going down the

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list to Warriors and Nets, and man, this one opened

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seven for the Warriors, came down going back up. I

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see some six and a halfs out there actually right now.

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As far as the total, it opened two twenty five

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and a half, and I guess it came down and

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went back up again for this one too, because right

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back at two twenty five and a half, I'm just

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double checking glancing here to make sure I didn't make

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a mistake. But yeah, that's what I'm seeing so far.

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So I guess that's what you get when you know

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Steph Curry's list is questionable and then it is removed

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from the injury report and upgraded to available to play.

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You know, I'm gonna ask you because I did not

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watch the Warriors game yesterday. I know they played, but

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Steph got hurt or something I heard. I saw some

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kind of notification where Steph got hurt. It looks like

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everybody was assuming he wasn't gonna play, Like, did you

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see what happened there? What kind of injury it was?

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Speaker 2: Well, I saw that he was out of the game

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when I turned back because I was bumping around between

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football and basketball. But I agree totally because when I

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looked at these games last night, it seemed like the

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move against Golden State happened proactively without any real knowledge

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of your confirmation of yes or no. And now that

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he's off, we see, like you say, the total backup,

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so couldn't have been that serious. Ski, I didn't see

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the exact injury at the time. I would say in

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this case, Steph has been playing pretty well as of late,

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as has the team. For the most part. It's almost

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like Steve Kerr. We talked about him and his you know,

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rotations and his coaching, et cetera, et cetera. But it

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seems like he's rounded the tree up here. I would

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think that in this case if step is involved and

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we see a wow, I'm just looking now, it's even

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climbed higher. This team total for Golden State was one

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eleven and a half. It's now one fifteen and a half.

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One fifteen and a half. I don't know that that

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scares me. That would be the only way I look.

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You could perhaps look at it Brooklyn team total under

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if you think it's going to be lower scoring. Haven't

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played the game, but I think I could be talked

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to the Golden State team total over tonight. They've been

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playing pretty well on the offensive side. Now that being said,

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you can't trust what Steve Kerr is going to do

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with these rotations in the second of back to backs.

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It's been a thing for a long time now, so

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again you got to have that little warning sign up

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when you go about that game. It does look like

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they're trying a little more now though to me and

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in fact Jimmy Butler, as I scanned the injury list,

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now now that's probable as well, so could be an

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instance for Golden State's gonna come to play.

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Speaker 1: Well. I guess which one do you trust more? I

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mean Warriors one nineteen plus and seven of their last

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eight games. Nets. I'm not mistaken. Yeah, Nets last five games,

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the number one defensive rated team Rabino. They've held five

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straight opponents under one oh eight. So which one are

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you gonna trust more? Here? Team's been scoring, pretty good,

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team that's been playing really really good defense. One thing

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I don't like here for the NETS side, as far

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as the defense, Cam Thomas, that's gonna make the defense look,

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you know, a little bit worse. He's gonna give you

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some baskets, but he's gonna make the defense look a

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little bit worse. So that's what helped me off of

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I was thinking Golden State team total under, honestly, and

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I was thinking Steph was not gonna play. So now, Stephan,

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I can't bet the team total under, but I can

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potentially still get there with a NETS team playing really

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good defense at home and you know, having a couple

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bucket getters in the lineup to keep it within reach,

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you know, Mpja and camp Thomas. I think the Nets

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at six and a half might be a little bit

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too any points still, any last thoughts before you move on?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and again in that corner. Ski in the Brooklyn

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corner is always as I mentioned, Steve Kerr on back

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to backs with his coaching techniques or just you don't

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know what you're going to get from him. You may

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get Steph, but you may get twenty two minutes of steph.

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00:13:33,919 --> 00:13:35,440
You know what I mean? You don't know what you're

238
00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:39,639
getting from that side. And real quick, just to harp

239
00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:43,440
a little bit on your yeah, you mentioning the Brooklyn

240
00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,639
team defense. Remember the quotes that we had last week

241
00:13:45,639 --> 00:13:48,919
from Nick Claxton who said that was an angle they

242
00:13:48,919 --> 00:13:53,399
were taking. I mean that seems to be there. I'll

243
00:13:53,399 --> 00:13:56,080
call it identity or the identity that they want to

244
00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:59,080
present in games. And that was a defensive minded team.

245
00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:02,600
So again, yeah, two sides of the fence, lots of

246
00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:04,879
offense or lots of defense. What do you want?

247
00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,240
Speaker 1: I'll just leave the total alone. I'll rock with the

248
00:14:08,279 --> 00:14:11,679
home team playing some defense, getting a few too many

249
00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:15,919
points I think here for me, so I had it

250
00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:17,919
on my short list, I'll put a check mark next

251
00:14:17,919 --> 00:14:22,759
to that. I want t Wolves and Bulls open four

252
00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:24,919
up to six total open two thirty eight and a

253
00:14:24,919 --> 00:14:27,759
half up besides two forty three and a half. I

254
00:14:27,919 --> 00:14:33,879
mentioned the injuries Shannon Terrence, Shannon juniors out, Zach Collins out.

255
00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:37,639
I mean, this is absolutely I cannot bet this game. Ralph.

256
00:14:37,679 --> 00:14:41,399
You know, these are two teams I want to fay

257
00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:45,200
both of them. Timberwolves don't deserve to lay really verse anybody,

258
00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:49,039
and the Bulls they just they stink. They're gonna have

259
00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:51,240
to show me some kind of consistency before I even

260
00:14:51,679 --> 00:14:55,320
consider backing them again. So this is an easy pass

261
00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:56,960
for me, or you know, anything for you here.

262
00:14:58,759 --> 00:15:01,799
Speaker 2: It's funny they had that ive and oh ats run

263
00:15:01,879 --> 00:15:05,000
going until they lost to Milwaukee. That five and oh

264
00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:09,519
consisted of back to backs over Cleveland, back to backs

265
00:15:09,559 --> 00:15:15,559
over Atlanta, and then won against Philadelphia. So they definitely

266
00:15:15,559 --> 00:15:19,559
capitalized on two teams in Cleveland Atlanta, none of which

267
00:15:19,559 --> 00:15:22,679
played defense. But I'm with you where Minnesota is concerned.

268
00:15:22,679 --> 00:15:26,080
You know, the night that they played Denver Christmas Night,

269
00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:28,919
right Christmas Night, because Jokich had like fifty six an

270
00:15:28,879 --> 00:15:31,279
Aunt was going crazy in that game as well, and

271
00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,440
it looked like for the first time they were actually

272
00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,879
their demeanor looked like they wanted to win a game.

273
00:15:38,919 --> 00:15:41,039
But for the most part this year, Minnesota has been

274
00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:44,039
lack of days ago in my opinion, especially on the

275
00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:46,639
defensive ends, so it's very difficult. I don't know what

276
00:15:46,679 --> 00:15:48,960
their road favorite record is, Ski, I don't have it

277
00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,159
exactly in front of me, but I don't think it's

278
00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:54,000
real good. I think you're burning money betting the Timberwolves

279
00:15:54,039 --> 00:15:57,080
as a road favorite this year. So if I were

280
00:15:57,080 --> 00:15:59,519
going to play, i'd play bulls and bulls only. That

281
00:15:59,559 --> 00:16:01,679
would be my I suggested they were five and zero

282
00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:05,120
against the spread before their most recent loss to Milwaukee,

283
00:16:05,399 --> 00:16:07,799
but I couldn't. I couldn't lay points with Minnesota here.

284
00:16:08,559 --> 00:16:11,120
Speaker 1: Three and seven is the record for the rules as

285
00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:15,960
a real favorite, burning money. Absolutely, Hawks and Thunder you're

286
00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:18,000
missing a little bit too. I keep this one simple.

287
00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:22,080
You know, Trey you unquestionable, Jaylen Johnson out, porzingis out.

288
00:16:22,639 --> 00:16:25,000
I mean it is some question marks on the OKC side,

289
00:16:25,039 --> 00:16:28,200
but they were just missing too much already for Atlanta

290
00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:31,679
for me to even consider. So it's Thunder and nothink.

291
00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:34,159
I think I'll just stay out the way here. Anything

292
00:16:34,159 --> 00:16:35,279
for you. You know, Hawks and.

293
00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:39,320
Speaker 2: Thunder, Yeah, I think I capitalized on OKC yesterday. They

294
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,720
were off the back to back losses and they lost

295
00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,679
again to San Antonio inside those two and I played

296
00:16:45,679 --> 00:16:48,080
their team total over one twenty and a half yesterday

297
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,399
and they came out with a vengeance, got the one

298
00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:52,519
twenty nine cash the ticket, so I'm happy with that.

299
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,159
I'm gonna pass this one.

300
00:16:55,480 --> 00:17:02,240
Speaker 1: All right. We agree on that Calves and Spurs interesting.

301
00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:04,200
I'll say that it did open four and a half

302
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:07,720
for the Spurs down to three and a half. Total

303
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:09,319
went up from two forty one and a half to

304
00:17:09,319 --> 00:17:12,559
two forty three and a half. Darren Fox is questionable,

305
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:14,960
Max Drews and Larning that is junior out for the

306
00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:20,079
calv side. Here here's where I'm at. Probably you know

307
00:17:22,319 --> 00:17:26,519
the Cavaliers, I keep I've been saying they stink, they suck.

308
00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:30,480
They've been terrible, and they have been They've been extremely

309
00:17:30,599 --> 00:17:37,759
underachieving this season. Now they're getting a little healthier and

310
00:17:37,799 --> 00:17:39,519
it's getting to the point where we're starting to see

311
00:17:39,559 --> 00:17:44,920
them as dogs, you know, in these games. Maybe they're

312
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:50,599
gonna become or maybe they are undervalue now for the Spurs,

313
00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:55,079
I think Darren Fox is a big deal the you know,

314
00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:57,759
obviously they're winning to start the year without him, but

315
00:17:57,880 --> 00:17:59,559
he's been a big part of what they've been doing.

316
00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,680
Wemby's been hurt. I know Wemby's back in the starting

317
00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:06,880
lineup now, but you want Daron Fox out there if

318
00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:10,880
you're a spursbacker. I want to think that Cleveland can

319
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,920
keep it close. That defense has just been so horrendous

320
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,000
that I haven't been able to push the button if

321
00:18:16,079 --> 00:18:18,039
d Aaron Fox is out. You know, obviously you're gonna

322
00:18:18,039 --> 00:18:19,759
love having the Cavs plus three and a half in

323
00:18:19,799 --> 00:18:23,200
your pocket. Still doesn't mean it's gonna win. That's the

324
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,279
direction I lay though. How do you see if you know?

325
00:18:26,799 --> 00:18:30,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna say kind of the same thing. Because

326
00:18:30,799 --> 00:18:36,720
the Christmas Day game, Cleveland took money. The money came

327
00:18:36,799 --> 00:18:39,759
towards the Cavaliers side, and I didn't understand why anybody

328
00:18:39,799 --> 00:18:42,119
would want the Cavaliers at that point. They had just

329
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,000
beaten New Orleans by twenty three the game before. But

330
00:18:45,039 --> 00:18:46,599
Cleveland played a heck of a game. I mean, the

331
00:18:46,640 --> 00:18:49,519
Knicks fourth quarter rally was crazy and that one. So

332
00:18:49,599 --> 00:18:52,039
when that happened in Cleveland covered, I'm like, well, that's

333
00:18:52,079 --> 00:18:56,200
two in a row, and maybe the money knew something

334
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:58,720
because Cleveland looked motivated and then it went and get

335
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:02,039
whacked by Houston by seven with some rest, and I'm like,

336
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:06,119
it's the same old Cleveland. They stink, And now we're

337
00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:09,359
in a situation where they're taking a little bit of

338
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,720
money and they're taking it obviously because the de Aaron

339
00:19:12,799 --> 00:19:17,160
Fox injury or potential injury is being played as a

340
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:21,160
fate of San Antonio. Here, boy, I'm not sure. I mean,

341
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,559
I would love to have Dearon Fox in there as well,

342
00:19:23,799 --> 00:19:26,480
but I think this game can reach the total. I mean,

343
00:19:26,519 --> 00:19:32,160
San Antonio for all of their good play as of late,

344
00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:35,799
I don't know that anybody stops Cleveland from scoring when

345
00:19:35,799 --> 00:19:38,000
they're right. Houston did the other night, so I shouldn't

346
00:19:38,039 --> 00:19:40,559
say that because Cleveland only got to one hundred against Houston.

347
00:19:40,799 --> 00:19:43,920
But I find Houston to be a far better rebounding

348
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:47,440
defensive team than the Spurs. The Spurs play with a

349
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:51,720
little more pace than Houston. I could look over here,

350
00:19:51,759 --> 00:19:53,680
Ski two forty three and a half I think is

351
00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:56,440
doable by these two teams. If I just think back

352
00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:59,519
to that Christmas Day game between the Knicks and Cleveland.

353
00:19:59,559 --> 00:20:02,240
That one was like two point fifty when it landed,

354
00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:05,119
and the Knicks play ultra slow, but Cleveland gives up

355
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:08,519
Buckets like crazy. So I don't know. I think I

356
00:20:08,519 --> 00:20:10,279
could look it over. I can't play the game. I

357
00:20:10,319 --> 00:20:12,119
think it's priced in a spot where I don't want

358
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:13,960
to trust Cleveland only take in three.

359
00:20:13,759 --> 00:20:19,119
Speaker 1: Points Pacers and Rockets. This is going to be a

360
00:20:19,279 --> 00:20:22,440
pass for me. I like the last two games on

361
00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,319
the NBA slate, this one, I do not anything for

362
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:25,599
you here.

363
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:28,880
Speaker 2: You know, I think Houston team total is live here

364
00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:32,400
one eighteen and a half. Indiana has just abandoned defense

365
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:38,000
the last week, so to me, Houston can name their

366
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,680
number in this one. I don't. I just want to

367
00:20:41,759 --> 00:20:43,680
check and see if Houston's got if this is the

368
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:45,960
front end of back to backs for them, and it's not.

369
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:53,160
They won't play again until Oh no, they am I

370
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,440
reading the schedule wrong. Do they have back to backs tomorrow?

371
00:20:56,680 --> 00:21:03,200
Speaker 1: First? Let I'll tell you right now, the Rockets get

372
00:21:03,279 --> 00:21:04,480
their rockets.

373
00:21:05,519 --> 00:21:09,680
Speaker 2: I'm seeing two different things. No, yeah, they have a

374
00:21:09,759 --> 00:21:11,960
day off in between. So for me, like I said,

375
00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:14,359
I think Houston team total is really live here is

376
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:18,079
simply based on the fact that Indiana's defense is I

377
00:21:18,079 --> 00:21:20,839
don't even know what we're how about wretched. It's been

378
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:24,839
that bad. Red just miserable. It's a bad defense right now.

379
00:21:26,319 --> 00:21:28,519
Speaker 1: All right, we'll move it on over to Nick's at

380
00:21:28,559 --> 00:21:32,119
Pelicans opened up minus six, looks like eight or eight

381
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:36,960
and a half total open two forty and a half

382
00:21:37,079 --> 00:21:40,519
up to two forty six and a half. Don't see

383
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:46,519
too many injuries here? Well, actually Alvarado out, Irv Jones

384
00:21:46,519 --> 00:21:49,480
out my bat on that, and I do see injuries.

385
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:55,640
Josh Hart, Mitchell, Robinson, Shammitt all out, Tyler Kullak is questionable.

386
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:59,240
McBride probable, that's at you know, I could get him

387
00:21:59,279 --> 00:22:03,160
back out there. But this just you know, you know,

388
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,839
the Pelicans failed to cover two games after covering you know,

389
00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:12,920
every game for a while. But they've been playing solid basketball.

390
00:22:13,799 --> 00:22:17,119
And this next team Jacquelyn Hight on the road, on

391
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,640
the road, they don't even have a winning record now,

392
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:23,640
all these injuries, and you expect them to win by margin. First,

393
00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:26,119
the Pelicans team I think is playing competitive at the moment.

394
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:29,279
I can only look towards the Pelicans. Plus, how do

395
00:22:29,319 --> 00:22:29,640
you see it?

396
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:32,119
Speaker 2: You know, I feel like we agree on that ski.

397
00:22:32,799 --> 00:22:37,200
The Knicks home road dichotomy is significant, no doubt about it.

398
00:22:37,599 --> 00:22:39,359
And I just don't know that with all the injuries,

399
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:42,279
that they'll bring the effort that the Pelicans, you know,

400
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,640
for what it's worth, have brought effort almost every night

401
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:49,359
for the last three weeks up until this recent three

402
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:53,240
game ATS losing streak. It was six in a row.

403
00:22:53,319 --> 00:22:55,359
Like you say, it was nine out of ten. They

404
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:58,920
were due probably to go south for a couple of games.

405
00:22:59,079 --> 00:23:00,880
But I don't know that this is the game here

406
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:06,920
to play against them. The Knicks, again, they're not that

407
00:23:07,039 --> 00:23:09,200
good of a defensive team either. I mean, they played

408
00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:13,039
one quarter in that Cleveland game, one quarter, fourth quarter,

409
00:23:13,079 --> 00:23:14,680
and they won, and that was on their home floor.

410
00:23:15,039 --> 00:23:16,960
I would think points are probably worth taken here.

411
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:21,319
Speaker 1: With New Orleans, all right, we're in agreement on that.

412
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,200
We'll go to the last game on the NBA slate

413
00:23:23,279 --> 00:23:25,960
that's the MAVs and the Blazers. Opened up with the

414
00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:28,880
MAVs as a small favorite, but we now see the

415
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,640
Blazers minus two and a half or three, depending where

416
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:33,880
he shop. Total came down a little bit from two

417
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,960
thirty four as low as two thirty one and a half.

418
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:42,039
Let's take a look at some of those injuries for Dallas.

419
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:48,720
Anthony Davis is questionable, Brandon Williams questionable for the Blazers.

420
00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:52,720
Time Lord is probable, Jeremy Grant is questionable. There will

421
00:23:52,759 --> 00:24:00,279
be no Scoot, Drew Holliday, Mati's Tible or Wesley. Three

422
00:24:00,319 --> 00:24:02,720
of the last four were doubtful. But I'm assuming. I

423
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:04,319
mean they haven't been playing. They're not going to play.

424
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:08,079
It is a back to back for the Blazers. The

425
00:24:08,079 --> 00:24:11,000
Blazers have been good on back to backs. I want

426
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,160
to say they're four on one ats now. Granted they're

427
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:17,559
not always laying points here Rovino, so that's that's a

428
00:24:17,559 --> 00:24:21,160
whole nother different story. I chose to go with Dallas

429
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:25,319
team total under one sixteen and a half here, And

430
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:27,039
if I'm liking new Portland side at all, it's not

431
00:24:27,039 --> 00:24:28,880
because they're putting the ball in the basket. I mean,

432
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:30,920
I just start there. It's the worst offensive rated team

433
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:34,400
in the last five games, top ten defensive rated team,

434
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:38,839
though in that same span in the Mavericks, their offense

435
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:42,319
has been not great. If I get specific numbers, I

436
00:24:42,319 --> 00:24:45,480
think they're twenty seventh offensive rated team last five games.

437
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:49,119
They failed to clipse one sixteen and a half. It's

438
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:51,000
either and I'll tell you right now, it's either. Six

439
00:24:51,039 --> 00:24:53,400
of their last seven or seven of their last eight games,

440
00:24:53,960 --> 00:25:01,119
and the Blazers looking at their last's there are four

441
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,599
of their last five they've held opponents under that. So

442
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,119
Dallas team total under was what I got there with

443
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,319
here at one sixteen and a half. Rob, You know,

444
00:25:11,279 --> 00:25:14,640
I think if the Blazers gonna win more defensive, slower

445
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,880
pace game, how do you see it?

446
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:21,119
Speaker 2: It's interesting with the MAVs team total is twelve and

447
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:25,200
two to the over their last fourteen. But I've always

448
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,000
said ski is saying games go over is nice. You

449
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:30,480
have to put it into context of what the number is.

450
00:25:30,519 --> 00:25:33,599
So let's just use tonight's number one sixteen and a half.

451
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,240
They've only in that twelve and two run, they've only

452
00:25:37,279 --> 00:25:40,680
gotten over one sixteen and a half four times, so

453
00:25:40,839 --> 00:25:42,960
eight times they didn't. Even though it's a twelve and

454
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:46,839
two over record, it's not against this number. And like

455
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:49,200
we always say, we're betting numbers here, so that number

456
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:53,160
probably seems a little bit too high. And in fact,

457
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,039
one of the games where they got over it was

458
00:25:55,079 --> 00:25:58,799
an overtime game. Overtime eighted to get to one thirty three.

459
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:03,599
So certainly, guys that are in the chat and we

460
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,880
have an extremely knowledgeable chat room on your show. Here, Ski,

461
00:26:07,279 --> 00:26:10,039
you got to put these things into context, so I'm

462
00:26:10,039 --> 00:26:12,640
not going to argue anybody off of that. I would

463
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:17,640
say this, the Portland home numbers, you can't really dispute them.

464
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,519
They're a really good home dog. They're not a good

465
00:26:20,519 --> 00:26:22,720
home favorite. And now that the line is switched, I

466
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,799
don't think I would want Portland in the favorites role.

467
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:30,480
Obviously there's defensive pieces missing for Dallas. It's from protection

468
00:26:30,759 --> 00:26:33,319
for you know, Portland. It's at the head of the

469
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:37,480
circle with holidays. So I don't know. I didn't play

470
00:26:37,519 --> 00:26:41,920
the game, but I think it's important to let everybody

471
00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:44,119
know that. You know, just because Dallas is twelve and

472
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,720
two team total over last fourteen doesn't mean they're over

473
00:26:46,759 --> 00:26:49,519
one sixteen and a half at all.

474
00:26:49,599 --> 00:26:56,160
Speaker 1: Yes, indeed, the number is the equalizer. Absolutely, it's important.

475
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,440
All right, let's talk tiny bit. I don't even think

476
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:03,240
I made a bad Yeah I did, Rams and Falcons.

477
00:27:04,799 --> 00:27:07,400
Your football players have been much better than mine, Letley

478
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:15,240
Rabo or really all season, so uh, I don't really

479
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:20,200
feel strong about this game at all. I'll say, I'll

480
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:25,559
ask you, are the Falcons eliminated from the playoffs? Shit, Yes,

481
00:27:27,319 --> 00:27:29,599
so they don't really have much to play for. I

482
00:27:29,599 --> 00:27:33,039
don't really like backing teams like that. I did that,

483
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,200
It's just just doesn't turn out well for me too often.

484
00:27:38,279 --> 00:27:41,759
So Allen Rams, curious what you like here, Rams and Falcons.

485
00:27:43,799 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, with the Rams, ski I think that

486
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:53,279
they become a very predictable team. They're gonna score on anybody,

487
00:27:53,559 --> 00:27:58,519
just doesn't matter. Their offense is that good, and even

488
00:27:58,559 --> 00:28:01,039
with the without DeVante Adam in the last game, it

489
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:07,079
was that good. They lit up Seattle offensively. But their

490
00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:10,480
defense is just no good right now. And in fact,

491
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,359
a lot of the quotes that I read coming out

492
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:16,720
of Rams camp is there are concerns about this defense

493
00:28:16,759 --> 00:28:19,960
heading into the playoffs, so they got to outscore people.

494
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:22,960
I think it probably brings you to two choices here.

495
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,119
Either you play the Rams team total over twenty eight

496
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,519
and a half, or you include the Falcons and think

497
00:28:29,559 --> 00:28:33,359
that they're good enough to score on this mediocre let's

498
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:36,519
call them Rams defense, and you bet the full game under.

499
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:40,119
I think the Falcons at home, I think this is

500
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:44,119
their final home game if I'm not mistaken, But I

501
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,480
think it in is. Whether it is or not, doesn't

502
00:28:47,519 --> 00:28:50,440
factor in as much as this being an isolated Monday

503
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:54,559
night game at home, They're gonna play Bejeon Robinson's gonna

504
00:28:54,599 --> 00:28:57,160
play hard the whole offense and is gonna play hard.

505
00:28:57,279 --> 00:28:59,960
So I think I'd rather include him and bet over

506
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,960
forty eight and a half. But I could easily make

507
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:06,119
two bets on this game and play Rams team total

508
00:29:06,119 --> 00:29:08,000
over twenty and a half because they're headed for thirty.

509
00:29:08,039 --> 00:29:11,039
They still though, score thirty on anybody, and in these conditions.

510
00:29:11,039 --> 00:29:13,160
Over the weekend we saw a lot of bad weather conditions.

511
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,079
Obviously in Atlanta, you don't have that situation, just a

512
00:29:16,119 --> 00:29:19,559
fast track for the Rams to score on. So for me,

513
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,079
it would be either of those. I kind of like

514
00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:24,640
the full game over a little bit better, but the

515
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:26,240
team total as well.

516
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 1: That good stuff. You know. We'll wrap it up on

517
00:29:30,079 --> 00:29:34,759
that note, move it on over to best bets if

518
00:29:34,799 --> 00:29:37,599
I can find well, yeah, move it over the best

519
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:42,480
bets because I did not prepare any graphics. You know,

520
00:29:42,519 --> 00:29:44,160
I'm just trying to make it home. I'm gonna finish

521
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:47,119
this show, drive to one more destination, do the next show,

522
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:51,000
then drive home, and be making plays all in between.

523
00:29:51,119 --> 00:29:55,200
So yeah, you know, I'm gonna pass it to you.

524
00:29:55,319 --> 00:29:57,519
I'll ask you if there's anything you would like to promote,

525
00:29:57,680 --> 00:29:59,039
and if you have a best bet for the show,

526
00:29:59,039 --> 00:30:00,960
we'd love to hear it. If you I don't saw good.

527
00:30:02,759 --> 00:30:06,319
Speaker 2: Basically, the one thing I'll promote is wager Talk currently

528
00:30:06,599 --> 00:30:11,359
still has a Christmas special going on. It's basically twenty

529
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:16,279
five percent off anything you want to purchase daily, weekly, monthly,

530
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:19,359
a three day package, whatever, you're gonna get twenty five

531
00:30:19,359 --> 00:30:23,119
percent off with a coupon code, which is what I

532
00:30:23,119 --> 00:30:24,960
want to get correct here. That's why I'm looking it

533
00:30:25,039 --> 00:30:26,359
up ski. I want to make sure I get the

534
00:30:26,359 --> 00:30:33,599
code right. I thought it was Exmus twenty five. Now

535
00:30:33,599 --> 00:30:37,680
I can't even find the thing. But regardless, you can

536
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:40,000
go to wager talk dot com and certainly find it.

537
00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:44,240
It is a Christmas special active now any sport, any

538
00:30:44,359 --> 00:30:48,880
play it is there you go. So it's coupon code

539
00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:51,480
Exmus twenty five to get twenty five percent off of anything.

540
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:54,880
I think that's the best route to go for the

541
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,240
viewers here. Now best bets, I'll just go back to

542
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:00,400
the top of the board. I think Milwaukee's a winner tonight.

543
00:31:02,079 --> 00:31:05,400
I just is Charlotte a lot of offense out Kniple

544
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:08,440
had become such an integral part of that offense. And

545
00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:10,759
I think Milwaukee. I could be wrong. I've been burnt

546
00:31:10,799 --> 00:31:13,480
by Doc Rivers before, and if so, I'm gonna come

547
00:31:13,519 --> 00:31:15,640
on the show tomorrow and you're gonna hear about it

548
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:20,039
from me how Glenn did me wrong again. But I

549
00:31:20,079 --> 00:31:22,559
think they're in a good spot right now, Milwaukee, as

550
00:31:22,599 --> 00:31:25,279
far as play is concerned and as far as value

551
00:31:25,759 --> 00:31:30,880
is concerned, because certainly they're two buckets better than Charlotte

552
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:33,680
when they're playing healthy and at their best. So give

553
00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:36,000
me the Bucks best bet minus three and a half.

554
00:31:37,559 --> 00:31:40,599
Speaker 1: Good stuff being out for myself, I'll just promote that

555
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:43,240
I do have a best bet in college basketball. I

556
00:31:43,279 --> 00:31:45,640
am twenty one and ten in college basketball so far

557
00:31:45,759 --> 00:31:50,279
this season, and my top four percent or higher basketball

558
00:31:50,319 --> 00:31:53,720
players in general, I've hit twelve of the last fifteen.

559
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,279
So see if we can get that one there tonight

560
00:31:56,319 --> 00:31:59,440
in college basketball for the best bet for this show.

561
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,759
Just try to give a number that is still out there,

562
00:32:02,759 --> 00:32:07,640
a number everybody can currently get, And I am gonna

563
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:17,599
go with. I'm gonna go with We'll do it as

564
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:21,319
a team that's been good to us. I think I

565
00:32:21,319 --> 00:32:25,519
mean it's still one two or here's what we do.

566
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,559
Can't get that. Everybody can't get that number. So we'll

567
00:32:28,599 --> 00:32:33,599
go with, as my guy J Money will say, the Heatles,

568
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:36,240
We'll go with the Heatles. It's a little chili. Like

569
00:32:36,279 --> 00:32:38,000
you said, we'll turn the heat on today. We'll go

570
00:32:38,039 --> 00:32:41,200
with Miami plus two and a half. A little bit

571
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:44,880
too much missing for the Nuggets, missing three starters. They've

572
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:47,519
lost with twur the last three games. Miami is the

573
00:32:47,519 --> 00:32:50,640
better defensive team, they've been, the better rebounding team. They're

574
00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,480
at home, they can get the W tonight, So Miami

575
00:32:53,519 --> 00:32:57,000
will be my best bet for the show. You know,

576
00:32:57,319 --> 00:32:59,359
I always appreciate you taking the time to break these

577
00:32:59,359 --> 00:33:02,200
games down with me. Definitely helps my process and I'm

578
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:05,200
sure helps everybody else. To the people in the chat,

579
00:33:05,519 --> 00:33:08,480
we appreciate you a lot of great capits and just

580
00:33:08,519 --> 00:33:10,359
great people and we're all just trying to help each

581
00:33:10,359 --> 00:33:12,799
other win. So I always want to let you know

582
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:16,039
you're appreciated. Best of luck, everybody on all your action.

583
00:33:16,519 --> 00:33:19,599
We'll be back again tomorrow and we'll catch you guys.

584
00:33:19,599 --> 00:33:19,680
The

