Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent, and yesterday just absolutely pissed me off. Under
one seventy in my pocket closes one sixty three and
a half loser CLV trash can once again just you know,
getting the best of these numbers and not translating the
winning on totals, so you know you might be on
your own with these totals in the near future. I'm
tired of taking those those CLV losses. Hopefully, yes, well,
we both lost yesterday. I think somehow you had over,
I had under. We both lost, but hopefully you got
some other winners. How you doing today?
Speaker 2: All right? But yeah, yesterday, Yeah, my play was Dallas
team total over. And you always know that Sammy Wickham
can go off, but man, did she go off thirty
six points in that game yesterday. Filling in for Clay
Copper worked out really really good for Phoenix to over
seventy nine and a half. Did not work out good
for me. Dallas only got to seventy two. Should have
gone full game didn't. But on the subject of calthy losers,
I was just talking to you off air. I thought
I did a great job by getting the Mystics minus
four ahead of a curve. I looked like Shag Sutton
was gonna play. She does, and they went in the
game by two eighty one seventy nine Mystics finals. So
at the closing line value not exactly coming through here.
That game closed at seven. Washington and the Sky make
a terrific second half run and almost pull that game out.
Speaker 1: Yes, Sky. Angel Ree specifically been playing a lot better.
I love what I'm seeing from Angel Reaes right now.
And you know, I'm looking at some player props today.
I said, I'm not looking at totals. I should have
been betting these player props. It's been a lot of spots.
I just haven't been looking at them. NBA. I know
I do well in player props WNBA. I've had a
couple winners, but should have been on Angel Reese this morning.
I mean it's just automatic at this point. But let's
get to today. I do have a few fair props
for this game. Aces and Liberty. The opener was four
and a half. We now see five pretty much everywhere.
Total open one sixty five and a half, not much
movement who is available. Same two suspects for Aces on
the injury report for the Liberty. However, in addition to
John quote Jones, we have Izzy out in Natasha Cloud
game time. I believe it says she misshoot around this morning,
So another starter could be out the lineup for this
Liberty squad. This is the fourth straight road game for
the Aces. This is the third straight home game for
the Liberty. Aces coming off of winning Liberty off the
loss maybe a little bit of a bounce back spot
for New York here. You know, the ass they've been
able to play one good game in one terrible game.
They're coming off of one of the better games. Do
you think we regress back to the terrible Aces or
do you think they'll be competitive in this one?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean the two good games that they've played,
if we're talking about their defense over the course of
their last seven, have both been against Connecticut. To play
good defense against Connecticut, I say good for you when
you allow eighty one or more to the other five
teams you've played in the last seven. I just still
have no faith in the Aces defensively and the offense.
To tell you the truth, Ski, it's kind of scattered.
I don't know. I know that Melissa Smith got inserted
into the starting lineup last game. It made some improvement
for them, but again it was Connecticut, So who knows
the two and sixteen team that you can defend and
without Marina Maby probably their best perimeter player, I don't
know that it says that much. I think the Aces,
excuse me, that the Liberty, no matter who they put
on the floor tonight, they probably score. They come off
a very poor offensive showing. Breonna Stewart was terrible again
three of fifteen, three of sixteen whatever she was. Can't
make layups, can't make jumpers, can't make anything in that
game against Seattle on Sunday. So I think that they'll
be able to score. The question is will Las Vegas
score back, And again it's a little bit sporadic with
that offense. We've talked about them before. They'll play tempo
a little bit. You're gonna have to play tempo with
the Liberty because of the fastest team in the league.
There's still the highest scoring team in the league. Despite
not having John cul Jones for the last seven eight games,
they still average eighty six point seven per contest. It
did dip down to seventy the other day. I think
they'll bounce back here. But where the Aces are concerned,
they have to be more consistent. I would think scoring
the basketball for me to be on their side in
this game. As you mentioned, it's a little bit deep
into a road trip now for them, I don't know
that a massive amount of fatigue will set in, but
it has to be a consideration in this game where
it's probably going to be quick tempo. So for me,
I look at it a couple of ways. I think
that the Liberty likely get over their person of their
team total of eighty five and a half. The question,
as I said earlier, for me is can the Aces
go with them? Because I'll tell you the truth, if
you start looking at Liberty defensive statistics, they haven't been
that good either. And if the Aces shoot the ball
well and can score here, their libelistic right to them.
So side is difficult for me. But total full game
total has been bumped up to one sixty seven now
in a couple of places from one sixty five and
a half, I can understand it. I think I'd choose
to single out the Liberty and play them just because
I believe in their offense a little bit more as
being more consistent than the Aces is.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would lean towards liberty, but I would need
to touch a cloud in for sure for my money?
Do want to put this up there? I was looking
up some stuff kind of a little bit of what
I mentioned, So let me just throw this up there.
See what you guys think that should work there? So
this isn't undertrain actually, and we've just talked about that
COLV line is going up and maybe we want to
feed it to go the other way. It says road
Dogs playing their fourth straight road game, and this trended
since twenty fifteen. They are off of a win and
their opponent is off of a loss as a favorite
says that both teams or it says that they're lower
scoring games tend and two to the under. Yeah, I
mean take it for what it's worth. I'm not looking
at a total of to day after the past couple
of totals have gone. But I'm just sharing it information
so we know many thoughts on this query.
Speaker 2: Here, the question would be skied the road team in
their fourth street road game. Are they the team that
underachieves offensively? I can't quite read all the scores from here.
But if the if the team in their fourth Street
road game is the reason why the games are going under,
I could understand that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, ten I mean ten of the twelve team totals
have stayed under. So yes, I would say so.
Speaker 2: Could mean to lean towards the liberty then as the
home team facing the somewhat unrested or at least the
team that's been on the tough travel schedule.
Speaker 1: All right, A couple other ways, I'm looking out mess
this up here. What did I do there? We go
a couple of different ways. I'm looking at this game. First,
I think I have to look at I have to
look at Asia Wilson under her rebound prop plus one
ten before I started the show not long ago did
move to minus one ten for the under but one.
She's hit this one of her last six games. And
I think outside of that, I mean they added Melissa Smith, right,
She's over there getting a lot of rebounds, taking up
all the boards. Still have kids Stokes going there and
rebound and it looks like Asia is just more focused
on scoring for whatever reason, She's not out there getting
those rebounds. I think she's had three three like, not
even close to double digits, So under nine and a
half made sense to me in this game for Asia
Wilson's rebounds, maybe I pitched two more to you. You know,
you tell me which one you like the most. Jackie Young,
I like her over her four and a half assists
another one that was plus money plus one fifteen. And
if Natasha Cloud is out, I mean, Jackie should, I mean,
have nobody really to gard her. She should be able
to get wherever she wants on the floor, and then
you know, when she sees additional help, she's to be
able to kick out and get some more of those assists.
But just looking at her assist numbers lately or on
the season, she averaged three point eight lately, I mean
she's had five plus and seven of the last nine games.
They're heavily reliant on her playmaking skills, and I think
we'll see that again here today. She could score too
if you have points plus assists. I don't have it
available to me, but especially if Natasha Cloud is out,
but four and a half and plus money when she's
been hitting it seven out of nine games, I thought
that is a decent look. And last, but not least,
Brianna Stewart over seven and a half rebounds. I mean,
no John Quote Jones. She's hit four of the six
games as far as this number, and it just I
feel like it's a lot of responsible boards for her.
About JJ in the last couple of times she's played,
I think she had what eight, then she had fourteen
rebounds versus a sis. I think it's very doable for
her to get eight plus in this game. So you
know three pros there, Asia Wilson under rebounds, Jackie Young
over assists, and Stewie over her rebound prop anyone that
you like more than others, or anyone you could try
and talk me off.
Speaker 2: Well, I'll start with the one that I noticed. It's
funny that you mentioned at SKI and that's the Asia
Wilson under rebounds prop twenty nine points in the game
where Becky went crazy about the opposing team shooting layups.
Asia Wilson at twenty nine and only three boards in
that game, and it was a fairly fast paced game
and she could only get three rebounds. Then came back
with three rebounds against Connecticut, which started a rookie front
line basically, I mean Olivia Nelson, Adota played center, but
the two rookies, Rivers and maraw where the frontline Tina
Charles was somewhat hurt, only played twenty three minutes, came
off the bench. So I noticed that, and I think
you said it best. It looks to me like she's
focusing more on scoring the basketball right now than grabbing boards.
Second one would be the Breonna Stewart is interesting because
when Leoni Phoebush came back, they moved Stewart from power
forward to center. She's played the last two games as
the starting center, and that could signal it didn't last game,
but that could signal more rebounds for her. I just
looked it up while you were talking. Sabrina yon Esco
on Sunday had nine rebounds from the guard position, So
it looks kind of like a team rebounding type deal
for the Liberty, but certainly with Stewart at center, you
could see her pulling down her share boards. I think
out the three you mentioned, though, like I said, the
one that caught my eye into one I would like
the best would be the Asia Wilson under just seems
like her focus is on scoring right now.
Speaker 1: All right. I like them. I like them all but
the market I think likes that one more as far
as it moved from plus money to minus. So, oh,
don't don't get me started. Not now, it might blow up.
Brab know that's the way WNBA has been going lately.
Bitzi does like that Sabrina over four and a half rebounds.
Thinks that she'll continue to rebound in that guard spot. Mark.
Ask me what I think about pr I think you're
paying a little bit of a premium for ages points.
She is focusing on scoring, but her points are twenty
three and a half. I mean she's landed on twenty
two a few times. I think she averaged twenty one
one point nine. I just feel like, because she's been
scoring so much lately, I don't want to include the points.
That's just how I feel. So that's why I chose
to rebounds, all right, one game. That's it, quick and easy.
So before we move it to best bets, let's throw
this up here. It is the last day I believe
for rob plus ski for the rest of the WNBA season.
Pretty much, it's like an extra forty nine bucks on
top of like, if you buy one, it's two fifty
forty nine dollars more you get both of us, and
we have WNBA all the way till October. So yeah,
if you like to be involved, you can see the
link to both of our pages on the bottom of
the screen there and again it is the last day,
now you know. We'll move it on over the best
bets and I'll ask you if there's anything else you
would like to promote. It is also a five dollar Tuesday,
so you have anything up for that? And do you
have a best bet for the.
Speaker 2: Show five dollars Tuesday? Actually, ski is up and available
right now over at We just talked dot com and
I generally don't do this, but I have to take
a pass on the best bets for today. We have
one game. We just talked them both out. I think
we like some things, but to recommend them as best bets,
I think would be a little bit difficult. So I'm
just gonna leave it empty for today and wait till
tomorrow we get a couple of games, perhaps we'll bring
something back to my even looked at Summer League to
maybe include as the best bet NBA Summer League tonight.
But these two games today Miami Golden State Lakers, sing
Antonio not much of a field for either of those,
so we'll take a pass today.
Speaker 1: All good and five dollars Tuesday. I have not put
anything up yet. There's only one WNBA game for today.
They haven't released all the lines for tomorrow yet, but
my five dollars Tuesday play will be on Wednesday's game.
So once I gets the lines, i'll finish up my
capping and i'll put it out for you guys, and
you know, i'll tweet it out, so if you're interested,
you'll know, and it's available. Best bets I'll just give.
I mean, I talked about three props. I'll give them
all three as best bet. Since Rob doesn't have one today.
Maybe I'll go in order of what I like the most.
How about that. I'll go with Asian Wilson under the rebounds.
Then I'll go with Young over her four and a
half assists, and then last but not least, Breonna Stewart
over seven and a half rebounds. I like them all, honestly,
but that's the order if I have to pick as far,
and I played them all evenly just so you guys know.
But that's the order of confidence for those three props,
and that is the show. This comment appreciates you reminding
everybody to hit the like button. Yeah, definitely helps out
the show. Make sure you guys subscribe also so you
know whenever we are live here and yeah, just a
shout out to for one. I appreciate you Vio always
taking the time to come break down the car with
me and everybody in the chat. Just good people, great cappers,
people who are not even in the chat, people watching
on Spotify, Twitter, Apple. We appreciate you all, and we'll
be back again tomorrow with a little bit more games
to handicap. So best of luck on your action tonight
and we'll catch you all then.