Speaker 1: What's up everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent, and yesterday did end up being profitable. You know,
I made I made three baseball plays so far. Yesterday
I maybe did a little bit too much. I split
one in one on the diamond WNBA. I went three
and two. J. C. Sheldon over winning and a half
three point makes plus one sixty eight was a winner.
Erica Wheeler over winning and a half three point makes
minus one twenty five was a winner. A Leah Boston
over fourteen and a half points minus one fifteen was
a loser.
Speaker 2: She sucked.
Speaker 1: Had the mercury, which was the best bet for this
show plus seven. They went out right and the most
annoying man the over in the Sky game Sky and
Wings needed three.
Speaker 2: Points in three minutes.
Speaker 1: They didn't score any for the rest of the game.
Speaker 2: That was just man.
Speaker 1: That sent me straight to the bar. Honestly, it was
unbelievable how we lost that game. The overall profitable day,
and let's see if we could do it again here today.
Nate go up in the chat ready to make this money.
Let's see if we can get to it if we
can find some spots on this sleg today and I
have played something that I'll share with you guys. Also
before I forget, well, actually maybe I'll less some more
people rolling here before I say that, so stick around.
May be able to get some free stuff a little
bit later on. All right, let's get to it. No
Rob today, He'll be back with us tomorrow. First game
up is Links at Sparks. I have the opener at
minus seven, but I'm pretty sure it's a different number.
It is seven right now, though even seven and a
half is popping up. Total open one sixty three and
a half and it looks like one sixty four. As
far as who is available for the Links, they did
play yesterday, so you know, beware you could see people
pop up on the injury report, but as of right now,
just grif, same person that's been out for the Sparks.
No cameraon Brink, but everybody else is available. Like I mentioned,
this is a back to back for the Links that
Sparks come in as the more arrested, well rested team
with four days off and a little bit of a
revenge situation for them. They got blown out one oh
one to seventy eight on June fourteenth, when these teams
last met.
Speaker 2: Will they be able to get revenge?
Speaker 1: Though? That's the question, and I'm not willing to bet
on that.
Speaker 2: As a matter of fact, I'm thinking the other side
one thing, and we can.
Speaker 1: Go back and check it if you really want to.
But Shlle Reeve is an amazing coach. Amazing She's been
in the league for what over fifteen years?
Speaker 2: Right, So.
Speaker 1: One thing I know about her is, especially after loss,
she has her team ready to come play.
Speaker 2: The next game.
Speaker 1: And you know what I mean, Let's let's do a
little bit here. Maybe let me just read, actually, let
me pull this one up this on the screen so
we can actually look at it.
Speaker 2: So boom, all right.
Speaker 1: Sure some people might be visual like me, and they
might just think I'm just talking out my ass, right,
but I followed WNBA, I know without even looking this
up with what is it's going to be profitable. But
she's an amazing coach. When her team loses, she hasn't
ready to play the next day. So we'll just look
like I said, the entire database. She's been the coach
of the links, So we don't have to go to
a specific date. Let's look at the Links off of
a loss. How have they done? Sixty three point three winners,
fifty eight percent against the spread. I mean that's pretty substantial.
If you bet on them since the beginning of database,
with just twenty eleven off of a loss, you're getting
fifty eight percent just doing that. Yeah, I think that
that is an angle that I would like to look at.
They also just shot really bad in that last game.
So let's look at a couple more things, right, let's
talk this out. They are the unrested team, so let's
look at rest equals zero and maybe road favorite. Unrested
road favorites start there. We'll talk this one out a
little bit. Since we don't have Ravino, we can take
a little bit more time. Unrested real favorites does go
towards the over I can absolutely understand, and the understanding
that in the Sparks game, they don't play a whole
lot of defense. They like to play up tempo. The
Links though they can win the game either way. They
can do it with defense. They can score. They are, however,
coming off of a really poor shooting night. I think
they shot twenty six percent from three, so I would
expect them to shoot better here tonight, I can understand it.
Foodwards and over.
Speaker 2: Let's see.
Speaker 1: Let's type that in right, they shot bad from the field,
three point percentage less than thirty.
Speaker 2: Let's go there, so great, not as great as I
as I caught here?
Speaker 1: Oh my bad, I put three point percentage should be
previous three point percentage last game. Here we go, so
we see them shoot a little bit better. You see
eight and four to the over here also ninety three
saying the back the links here even unrested.
Speaker 2: I mean a lot of these interests.
Speaker 1: The opponent doesn't have four days rest, but uh, I
mean still it says that the road favorite is favorite
for a reason.
Speaker 2: There.
Speaker 1: Just look at one more thing here, just for me.
Let's look at if they're all a loss in their
opponent is off of a win.
Speaker 2: I just want to check a couple of things.
Speaker 1: Here, three and one HS four and to the over.
It makes sense to me in this specific instance. So
let's get back here to this screen. Let's see what
you guys are thinking a little bit here in the chat,
he likes the first half of Minnesota. Mark got a
really good number of five and a half. Jimmy likes
first quarter. So everybody liking the Links a little bit.
Here b Daddy likes to under they have been playing
a lot of games. Vegas Hype Life says Link on
a back to back, on two back to backs in
the last five days, they have been playing a lot
of games. Before the previous game, he had two days off,
but they have been playing a lot of games. I
want to say, it's like seven eleven days or eight
and eleven or eight and twelve. They have been playing
a lot. But one thing, or you know what, let
me go back there, let's pull that back up.
Speaker 2: How do the Links do?
Speaker 1: And again, it's not probably going to be the same team,
or it won't be the same team, but I want
to see how Cheryl Reeve coached teams do.
Speaker 2: So let's we have.
Speaker 1: Rest equals zero and off of the loss and team
equals Links four and one to the four and one
ats and straight up winning a bout eleven point six
points per game four and one to the under. Though
it's a little bit of a difference. The other queries
were all over queries, but it just says even with
minimum rests, Cheryl Reeve has her team ready to go,
and this is top team.
Speaker 2: In the WNBA.
Speaker 1: Still I do understand though situationally they have been playing
a lot of games. Definitely understand that, but some reasons
to think it might not matter here. I like this
bet Links first or no, this is not what I
thought it was. But he liked the Links first half.
Over eighty three and a half, I was thinking about
maybe a Lynx team. Total Sparks defense has been terrible.
They gave up eighty seven to the Fever. They gave
up eighty nine. I think to the Valkyries. That's actually,
let's actually go look at it so we can be sure.
So Links and Sparks, Sparks eighty seven to the Fever,
eighty nine to the Liberty, not the Valkyries. Ninety two
to Chicago. They did hold Indiana down a little bit here,
but ninety seven again to Chicago.
Speaker 2: They're giving it up to everybody.
Speaker 1: Minnesota had a I mean, this is what I'm saying.
They could win it either way with defense or with
the offense. But ninety eight to Seattle, one on one
to Sparks, so it's a double revenge. Spot got blown
out both times. I think they can get blown out again. Honestly,
let's keep going a little bit here. Mark says some
teams should own a team links own the sparks. Sometimes
it is that way. Chase likes hand beyond the rebounds.
Say she's been good versus Collier over the last two years.
That's seven and a half number. Jimmy thinks we play
early before the legs get tired. I can't talk you
off for playing early. I like the Links though, you know,
I just took them for the full game. I did
get six and a half. Like I said, I think
they can win this game either way, so I stayed
away from the total.
Speaker 2: I just expect them to win by margin here.
Speaker 1: I'll trust shell Reeve coach team off the lost the
best team so far in the WNBA, to respond, and
they have a really really soft defense to do so against.
So Links will be my look in this game. Let's
go to the next aces and mystics. A lot of
line moving. This one opened up minus one for Vegas.
Flip a favorites. They're now a three and a half
point underdog. Total open one fiifty seven and a half,
and I think that's where yeah still sitting at one
fifty seven and a half right now. Asia Wilson was
that shoot around but she has since got ruled out
of this game. Megan Gustason is game time decision. There
will be no Cheyenne Parker ties for the Aces. For
the Mystics, I don't see anybody on the injury report
for I mean both For the Aces, this is what
their fifth straight road game. Yeah, fifth straight road game
for them. They've been on the road since the twenty
ninth of June. It's now the tenth of July, so
maybe not the best situation for them. On the flip side,
this is also a flat spot for Washington returning home
or I'm sorry, not a flash spot for Washington. It's
a second game after returning home from a long road trip.
Speaker 2: I'll tell you how I feel about this.
Speaker 1: No, Asia Wilson. It makes it extremely tough to back
and to trust the ass. But still I just, I mean,
we've seen them as favorites this year. I personally just
don't think Washington should be favored too many times in general,
So I just don't think they're that good. We've seen teams, really,
how do I say, We've seen teams really fluster them
by playing zone because they don't have the best shooting
bigs and Aces could very well go to that. We've
seen Becky try some zone when they have trouble getting
stops that could really fluster Washington and allow the Agis
to get out in transition where they really thrive. So
combination of all those things I can't, I can't. I
can only look towards the aces plus the points, only
look towards them from a side perspective. Was as ugly
missing Asia, but only way for me to look in
this game. And as far as the total, I don't
feel very strong about it, So I don't want to
just tell you guys anything. Something that was interesting to
me last game, Jackie Young's assist prop was four and
a half. The over was plus one point fifteen. Today
there's no Asia Wilson and it's four and a half
minus one thirty. He would think, what Asia Wilson, She
should get more assists, right, And in the last game
she when Asia Wilson went out, she really was focused
on scoring.
Speaker 2: So it's tough. I think it can maybe go.
Speaker 1: I mean, we can see Jackie be aggressive trying to
score the ball again. But in that previous game there
was nobody really for the liberty as far as guard wise,
who could guard or stop her or you know, give
her any hesitation. Psychs would probably be all over her
in this game. They might even double her to get
the all out of her hands. I think that's why
we see the assist too, So if I was playing
prop in this one, it'll be on Jackie Young, and
I think the assists makes sense at four and a half.
If I'm the Mystics, I'm getting the ball out of
her hand and she's gonna have to do a lot
of playmaking there as far as as as well as scoring.
So maybe if you have points plus assists available, that
could be a look. But I would be betting on
Jackie Young if I'm picking a prop in this game.
Speaker 2: Mark did bet the Mystics. He got them pretty much
just to pick him.
Speaker 1: Though it's different than laying points, so a nice job
getting the best of the number be Daddy likes to
over in this one, dropping dimes mistics. Didn't play yesterday,
but he thinks the aces went out right. What up, Chris,
He says, we align like when the barber getting your
corners right. Ski hearing corners made me think of the wire.
But I'll get you on with you Chris to my boy,
Chris too. Make sure y'll check him out. He does
some great work and I like that way aligne. That
makes me have even more confidence. So pretty quick show
here today or you know, a normal show. I guess
fourteen minutes no Vino. About that time to get out
of here. So one thing before I forget wager talk
doing a little bit of something here. If you comment,
reply in the comments so I believe this is after
the show, right, not during the show. Make sure you guys,
you know, understand that. So when this show ends, if
you reply in the comments with your wager talk, use
your name and your best.
Speaker 2: Bet for the day.
Speaker 1: They'll pick three people, and it's across a few shows,
but they'll pick three people, three random people to get
a free three day Flex pass so you can use
it on whoever you like. And on that note, let's
put this back up. I'm pretty sure this is still
good three day flex pass. Let's get this off. Yeah,
so three day flex pass for just forty nine. You'll
save twenty dollars on this, and you use it on anybody,
whether you want to give myself a shot, you want
to check Ravino out? You see you cap An there,
I got Teddy covers and some of other good guys
as well, whoever you would like to choose. You know
you can bounce around day by day with the flex pick,
So make sure to comment after the show with your wager.
Speaker 2: Talk us your name and best bet. You could get
one for free.
Speaker 1: But also if you would like to be involved, you
can get a discount with this special right here. Now
we'll get back here and it's put that best bet
banner up for the best bet for the show. I
didn't put up a package or anything, but I did
make a play and I shared it with you guys.
Speaker 2: I like the Links.
Speaker 1: I trust Cheryl Reeve in the bounced back spot. I
think they're the best team. They actually play defense, regardless
what the offense looks like, they're going to play defense.
The Sparks can't stop a those bleed.
Speaker 2: So I think six and a half seven points.
Speaker 1: It's not too much to ask, even on the road,
even on the back to back, we've seen the numbers. Yeah,
I like the Links minus the points here as my
best bet for the show. Appreciate you guys for rocking
with me in the chat. A lot of great people here.
Chris reminding everybody to hit the like button definitely helps
up the show. Make sure you guys subscribe so you
know when we're live over here. And not only just
the YouTube comments, I mean people watching on twitch, kick
app or listening on Apple or Spotify. We appreciate you
all as well. So yeah, best of luck everybody on
all your action.
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure.
Speaker 1: Yes, we have two more games tomorrow. Rovina will be
back to talk them out with me and we will
see you guys then