Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do Podcast. I'm your host,
Corey Evans. Thank you for listening to this week's show.
Football is back. Week one is already in the rearview
meere we are a full team ahead for the regular season.
Hope you all had a successful Week one. If not,
I'm here to touch base on week one storylines. Ten
things are topics that I think are worth diving a
bit deeper into. There's always so much a discuss from
a full NFL slates that I can't talk about everything
as a one man show that only releases one free.
Speaker 2: Show and paid show each week.
Speaker 1: But I covered I think as most important, or at
least not as mainstream, so the information is not repetitive
for you, as my listeners.
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locked in a SAP. Let's kick things off with Isaiah
Likely looking at performing better than Mark Andrews. Likely went
nine for one hundred and eleven and one touchdown at
Kansas City for twelve point three yards per catch on
twelve targets. It was alpha volume and a stand up performance.
Both the nine catches and one hundred and eleven yards
receiving represent nw caleer high totals in a game for him,
and the longest catch.
Speaker 2: Of the contest for Likely went for forty nine yards.
Speaker 1: He previously had one other one hundred yard receiving efforts
on his well resume, so this was an outlier comparison
to the norm. That being said, Likely almost had an
even bigger game what could have been a game winning
touchdown call back because his toe being out of biolens,
we're talking to mere inches in the back of the
end zone, and that would have been a second score
of the contest, And quite honestly, I think that people
would have been overreacting even further had that second touchdown counted. Conversely,
Mark Andrews was surprisingly uninvolved two catches fourteen yards on
two targets, but a lot of the film and retroactive
data did show that the Chiefs had a plan in
place to bracket and remove Andrews from the game. Plan
likely could function regardless as a top three passing game
outlet for the Ravens here on out. The pecking order
is on clearbeat tweek, but Jay Flowers, Andrews and likely himself.
Another note is that Likely had a sixty six percent
snap share, Andrews seventy four percent of snap so Andrews
was in the field more just did not see the production.
I would say likely likely already rostered in pretty much
all Dynasty leagues, but in redraft. He now warnants our attention.
Tucker Craft started over Luke Musgrave at Philadelphia, even though
it was in Brazil, so not really a true home
game for the Eagles. That's even with Tucker Craft coming
into the contest with a questionable tag because of back issue.
He was two for thirty seven eighteen a half yards
per grab on three targets, a ninety six percent snap rate,
and then Luke musk Grave zero catches two targets on
twenty five percent of snap so clearly the Packers envision
or intend utilized Craft as the main every down tight end,
musk Grave playing second fiddle. Last year, Craft was a
third round pick, musk Grave second round pick Draft Capital
was close in alignment. Pure prospect wise, I preferred Musgrave,
but the injury history reared its head again in twenty
twenty three as a rookie. So at times durability is
what could limit players, and this seems like a combination
of lack of durability that must Grave carried over from
the college level and just pure ability that Green Bay
believes in, what Kraft brings it to the tables and all
around all purpose receiving and blocking tight end. Expectations for
all green Bay pass cattures nonetheless have to be tempered
because of Jordan Love's MCL's brain, which at the time
this recording sounds like it's sideline. Him estimated three weeks,
but the max could apparently be six weeks, so potentially
a mon of no Jordan Love does not bode well
for Tucker Craft or Luke Muskgrave. However, I thought it
was important to bring up that not only did Kraft
start over musk Grave, but there was a wide snap differential. Again,
Craft ninety six percent of snaps, Musgrave twenty five percent
of snaps. Not even a single catch for Luke Musgrave.
You'd have to think that Malik Willis, if he is
the short term answer, will often target underneath in short
routes to Craft, musk Grave or even Josh Jacobs. But
Jaden Reid, who had a phenomenal showing, Christian Watson relies
on the big plays Romeo Dobbs and Tavian Wicks. They
are all downgraded until love returns. DeVante Smith is the
Eagles primary slot receiver. It is this huge news. Seven
grabs eighty four yards for twelve yards per catch on
a targets for a screen bay in Brazil, he led
the Eagles in snaps among wide out seventy six and
even tied AJ Brown with thirty nine routes run. Perhaps
even more impressive, Devonte Smith played one hundred percent of
all snaps a J. Brown is at a ninety five
percent snap clip. Even so, the fact that Smith functioned
as Philadelphia slot received, I think is the main takeaway.
We all know that AJ Brown and about the Smith
are borderline superstars. AJ Brown specifically is Smith's been on
that teeter tober of wide receiver one two territory. But
keep in mind that slot receiver role and a Kellen
Moore offense is where Ceedee Lamb previously thrived when Moore
was with Dallas. So the fact that Ivoni Smith appears
at their one week to have that role on lock
is instrumental for a ceiling in twenty twenty four potentially
beyond Remandre Stevenson is a fixture in New England's offense.
Twenty five toes for a buck twenty on the ground,
one touchdown, four pointy yards per clip, three catches six yards.
It was all in three targets at Stannati seventy eight
percent of snaps is really pushing at eight percent threshold
That puts them in rare territory for today's level running
backs in terms of workload or overall distribution of touches
and on field personnel groupings. The longest carry the day
for Stevenson went for seventeen yards. Both Jacoby Brissett and
Antonio Gibson each tied with seven rushes behind Stevenson. This
is Remindre's when there's neutral or positive game script. If
New England trails, which should be.
Speaker 2: More often than not.
Speaker 1: The fact that they upset to Naty is very surprising.
Speaker 2: It led to a lot of Stevenson in terms of
game flow.
Speaker 1: Gibson, conversely, was on the field for twenty two percent
of snap so Remindre outweighed that significantly with a seventy
eight percent clip. Remindre even tied for the team leading
receptions of three with kJ Osbourne. That might not be
a sticky stat league over week, but whenever again there's
neutral or positive game script, it appears as if Stevenson
is in a driver's seat to become a fixture and
focal point of this revamped drought mail led New England
regime solid RB two with clearly the production to reach
RB one heights when given ample volume.
Speaker 2: Aaron Jones is not washed.
Speaker 1: Fourteen rushes ninety four yards one touchdown, six point seven
yards per carry. Two catches fifteen yards on two targets
at the New York Giants, good for a fifty five
percent snap share. Ty Chandler eight rushes seventeen yards for
an abysmal two point one yards per clip. It did
not look that bad actually watching the game. Three catches
twenty five yards showcase the versatility on three targets eight
thirty five percent snap rate, so pretty close it's an RBBC.
We all knew that Kevin O'Connell was up front and
honest for the entire offseason touting Jones, touty Chandler. Aaron's
longest run of the day was for nineteen yards. That
burst acceleration and pure speed was on display that we
all adored back during his time with the Packers for
so long, So sure it is in fact an RBBC. However,
Jones appears to have the edge over Chandler for volume
and even high leverage opportunities if he's gonna be the
one scoring touchdowns. Ty Chandler also in the mix for
kickoff return or put return reps based on his versatility,
which does give Jones a bit more stability week over
week if health cooperates, and that's the big if with
Aaron Jones. But those who dismissed him and entering his
age thirty campaign might have faded him a bit too
soon or did not buy the dip in value. I
personally don't have any shares of Aaron Jones. I have
a few of Chandler it's because the cost was so cheap.
But those who pivoted away from Jones because they thought
the Green Bay knew something that other teams perhaps didn't.
I think that's the mistake in theory or process. Aaron
Jones less volume could be better keep him fresh and
well suited for the entire twenty four more season as
a borderline RB two flex.
Speaker 2: They'll be better weeks, worst weeks then won't.
Speaker 1: Be solid week one, but right off the bat, a
fifty five percent snap rate, a trip to the end zone,
sixteen touches, over one hundred dof purpose yards. Sign me up.
That's so old production time for quick break can I'll
be back with five more storylines for week one of
this season. Before I get to that, don't forget about
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me and support me monetarily for creating additional content. Quick
break and we'll be right back. George Pickens is a
rising star.
Speaker 2: In the NFL.
Speaker 1: My belief in the talent and ability of Pickins is
well known free or paid content. I've talked about him
a lot over the years. Great start for him in
twenty twenty four six grabs eighty five yards fourteen point
two yards per catch on seven targets against Atlanta. The
one downside was sixty eight percent of snaps. So perhaps
Arthur Smith is working his magic negatively again now in
Pittsburgh in stead of Atlanta.
Speaker 2: Let's let the week play out.
Speaker 1: Though Georgia's long as catching for forty yards, no other
Pittsburgh pass catcher had more than four receptions twenty seven
yeards receiving or four targets.
Speaker 2: Sure Justin Fields was the starter.
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson could be when his calf injury is fine
and rested. Regardless, the takeaway from these dealers attack is
that their trade attempt for Brandon Ayute failed. George Pickens
is the inherent wide receiver one, and he still has
untapped potential compared to what he's shown over his short
stint of NFL seasons since he had cleared out of Georgia.
Speaker 2: I am a huge Pickins fan.
Speaker 1: This could finally be the season where the targets, the
overall volume and incorporation on offense align with the skill
set and all his natural ball skills, body placement and
after catch ability. In summary, a very safe wide receiver three.
But if he's your wide receiver two, I wouldn't be
all concerned because there's a lot of baked in profit throwout.
Atlanta's entire offensive showing versus Pittsburgh, Kirk Cousins was outright
terrible sixteen to twenty six for a buffet five as
a passer, one touchdown, two interceptions, only six yards pass attempt.
Raby McLeod was the leader among all pass catchers. That's
hard to believe. Four grabs fifty two yards thirteen yards
per catch on seven targets for fifty four percent of snaps.
Kyle Pitts three for twenty six in a touchdown eight
point seven yards per ketch on three targets, a healthy
ninety six percent of snaps.
Speaker 2: Drake London was more, which is appointing.
Speaker 1: Two catches fifteen yards seven and a half yards per grab,
only three targets. But don't panic one hundred percent of snaps.
If you're not panicking about Amanas Saint Brown or Marvin
ers A junior, then trust me, do not full blown
freak out about Drake London, who has been a notoriously
slow starter. We used to blame it on the combination.
Doesn't Ritter or Taylor Henekey, Arthur Smith. There's no one
to really blame now. But truly, it can't get much
better than this, especially when you have a caliber player
of London on the field and a Zach Robinson led
offense who is a good football mine offensively. London one
hundred percent of snaps. I'm telling you this is the
ultimate by low window. Then there was Darnell Mooney won
catch fifteen yards on three targets ninety five percent of snaps.
Speaker 2: He still has some nice sleeper appeal.
Speaker 1: D Jon Robinson quite honestly was the only lone bright
spot eighteen for sixty eight in the ground, three point
eight guards per clip, and then five grabs for three
yards on five targets. It does appear as though Zach
Robinson doc needs time to implement his offense, So again,
don't panic attempt to buy low week one. Even the
first quarter of the season, it takes time for new
schemes or offensive playble installments to really be ironed out,
especially when you have Kirk Cousins his age coming up
of torn achilles being eats back into the mix. He
himself was probably nervous or hesitant. Watching the game alone
against Pittsburgh would show you as such. All of Kirk's
dropbacks he looked rushed and indecisive, a bit timid, So
give it some time. All of them are by low candidates,
and Raymond McLeod could have some Fox appeal if that's
Kirk's quick outlets if there's not enough time in the
pocket collapse scene. But the main point to emphasize here
is that this Atlanta showing week one does not forecast
uncessarily show a trend of what's to come.
Speaker 2: Jacksonville could be headed for a true RBBC.
Speaker 1: At first glimpse against Miami Trafs dten Junior was twelve
for forty four and one as a rusher of three
point seven yards per carry and then two grabs fifteen
yards with three targets, a good, not great seventy percent
snapshair compared to his career norms. On a positive note,
Tank Bigsby finally showed up as advertised out of Auburn.
Speaker 2: The ten was clear as day. It was a matter
of actually executing.
Speaker 1: Performing twelve rushes seventy three yards or six point one
yards per clip and a thirty two percent snaps here.
So that's why I'm pumping the brakes a bit on
this being a full blown RBBC. The volume was actually
neck and neck. Twelve rushes, twelve rushes, two catches for ETN,
nothing for Bigsby. But seventy percent of snaps compared to
thirty percent of snaps does show that ETN is still
the alpha or the main component of Jacksone's Russian attach.
Speaker 2: That's a one game sample size.
Speaker 1: This is a situation to monitor extremely closely to determine
if it's a usage trend or outlier, aka, will Bigsby
go back to a few touches next week or is
ETN legitimately seeding work two tank from here on out,
especially as consider ETN having that costly fumble with the
goal line. They would have been a second touchdown of
the game. Rather unfortunate, but fumbles happen at oppositions. What
I will say is that ETA continues to lose or
give up volume two Bigsby over the next few weeks,
then ETN might be more of an RB two than
a true RB one because a volume king like ETN
first three years out of school from Clemson, despite the
rookie season that was basically red shirts, It's all been
volume based and volume driven. If biggs Be eats into that,
suddenly it caps a ceiling, even if it stabilizes the floor.
JK Dobbins is back. Ten rushes, one hundred and thirty
five yards and one touchdown, thirteen and a half yards
per rush, three catches, four yards, three targets, first to
last AGAs Raiders, fifty eight percent snap rate. I'm a
huge Dobbins fan, almost to a fault. It's just great
to see him the player back in healthy. Jk's longest
run checked in at sixty one yards, where he eventually
did run out of steamer gas and what could have
been a second trip to the end zone, but he
tucked the ball and protected it and knew that tackler
was going to catch up to him. Gus Edwards, on
the other hand, eleven for twenty six he was running
into his own offensive lineman, into break walls. Two point
four yards per clip, one catch, two yards on a target,
four two percent snap rate. We knew that the combination
of Jim Harball and Greg Roman meant ground a pound
run the football Herbert threw more than expected. What's worth
eve bringing more to the forefront is that no other
charges running back even recorded a snap, meaning the coaches
to have trust two running backs right now. JK Dobbins
and Gus Edwards both are viable Foxes. I think JK
Dobbins could push for RB two status. It was one game,
only thirteen total touches, but one hundred and thirty five
in the ground with that touchdown. Having three catches is promising.
It's encouraging for his rest of season outlook and week
one out of the gate fifty eight percent of snaps
almost at sixty percent threshold means that Dobbins could be
a sixty forty, if not seventy thirty split in his favor.
Gus Edwards is probably the favorite for most goal line
work space in a familiarity with Greg Roman system.
Speaker 2: But get to be thrilled with the early results if
you're JK.
Speaker 1: Dobbins investor post acl Tayar with all the Liguaman damage
and even the Achilles, what a great story for Dobbs himself.
And last, but not least, Jamison Williams has arrived five
catches a buck twenty one one touchdown average twenty four
point two yards per catch with a team leading nine
targets was the La Rams on eighty five percent of snaps.
He chipped in one rush for thirteen yards as well.
The longest catch went for fift two yards and a
trip to the end zone. Clearly functioned as a Lions
why not two behind Amarade Saint Brown. It was actually
more productive than Amana, who had an uncharacteristic dud showing
of three catches thirteen yards on six targets. Compliment though
snaps was ninety eight percent in his favor. Jamison is
not an every down player. But if your remains healthy,
his speed is game changing. It's week winning in fantasy.
And he's a bigger version in the sense of Deshaun
Jackson with a sprinkle of Devonte Smith meets Jalen Waddle. Jamison,
the talent of Alabama was coveted. His slow start over
the years be credited to the ACL to that recovery,
the suspension from gambling, Jamison's talent was never in question.
Now know that all of Dan Campbell, the head coach,
allions his rhetoric about Jamison emerging this offseason was no joke.
Jamison functions a key cog of the Lions passing attack,
and it bodes extremely well for his rest of season.
Of value, I'd say wide receiver three, with wide receiver two,
heck even wide receiver one spike weeks. If he's going
to be given nine targets a week, which the games
script Detroit's off and in tends to be neutral positive
might not happen all the time. Yet a game like
the Rams, where it's a back and forth affair or
negative gamescript that really does force the Lion's hand to
use the verticality or field stretching ability. Even the Arthur
catch instincts with the speed of James Williams.
Speaker 2: Hope you all enjoyed this week's episode.
Speaker 1: My week one storylines a quick recap of those Isaiah
likely looked and performed better than Mark Andrews. Tucker Craft
started over Luke Musgrave. Davonte Smith is the Eagles primary
slot wideout. Ormandre Stevenson is a fixture in New England's offense.
Aaron Jones is not washed. George Pickens is a rising
star in the NFL throwout Atlanta's entire offensive showing versus Pittsburgh.
Jacksonville could be headed for an RBBC at least at
first glimpse against Miami. JK. Dobbins is back and James
Williams he has arrived.
Speaker 2: Until next time.
Speaker 1: This is the din as you shocking out cold luck
everybody in week two.
Speaker 2: I'll talk to you soon, see you, Lage Fish Potbo