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Speaker 1: All right, welcome to the Blitz and it is Rivalry weekend.

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We'll come to the final week of the regular season

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on this incredible journey. Thank you each every one of

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you've been tuning in regularly here live on the way

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to talk to YouTube channel of course on a day

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early because it's Thanksgiving, and joining me as per usual,

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Ralph Michaels and Ross Benjamin is back this week like.

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Speaker 2: A happy Thanksgiving. But let's get into the games. You're

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going to start with the game I have eight and Michigan, Ralph.

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I was on with Prez and.

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Speaker 1: Jo Ranieri earlier this week on their program The Best

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Betting Show Ever, and I was telling Joe that while look,

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Brian Day's job security is obviously fine, they're not going

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to string the man up on a poll if he

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loses this game. However, and I'm going to you first

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because I think you know this as well, being having

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ties to the state of Ohio. Ryan Day needs to

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win this football game on Saturday after four consecutive losses

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to Michigan. Now, when I say needs to win it again,

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will he keep his job if he loses?

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Speaker 3: Yes?

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Speaker 1: Is Ohio State and the still make college football playoff. Yes, However,

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I think he wants to win this game, and I

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think he wants to win it by margin. Your thoughts

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on what happens Saturday noon eastern in and are well, you.

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Speaker 4: Know, it's not a Pittsburgh situation when the coach says,

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I'd rather lose by fifty to Notre Dame and within

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those next two games. I'll tell you one thing last

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year losing the Michigan benefit at Ohio State, not playing

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in the National Championship and making the run.

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Speaker 5: So hey, the best thing may be not to win

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this game.

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Speaker 4: So I sort of disagree with you, but I understand

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the program of the game in Ohio State, Michigan and

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you know, and needing to not get swept as far

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as the recruiting go. But I want to mention this

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because you mentioned rival week.

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Speaker 5: Brian.

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Speaker 4: My power ratings say Ohio State by seventeen, but I

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will not be on Ohio State. Why are my power

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ratings so far off? Well, I don't adjust weekly for injuries.

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So you know, you have Carnel Tate and you know,

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and Jeremiah Smith both were not quite sure what's going

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to happen here, and they're an entirely different team if

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they play or not play.

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Speaker 5: I mean normally the quarterbacks.

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Speaker 4: The most important player on the Ohio State team, Jeremiah Smith,

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may be the most important player on this program. You

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see the way the offense is different when he's not there,

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when they don't have those two in and they get

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double team the number three. You know, Yes, they put

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up four hundred and forty yards against Rutgers in the

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win last week, but let's remember Rutgers was the worst

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defensive yards per play in the country, so to only

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get four thirty is not a positive.

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Speaker 5: It's actually a negative.

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Speaker 4: From Michigan, I would say this it is their most

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important game. If you polled the players and coaches on

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the side and said to Michigan, would you rather beat

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Ohio State and lose your bowl game by twenty or

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lose to Ohio State and win your bowl game by twenty,

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I'm sure they'd rather be Ohio State and lose their

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bowl game.

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Speaker 5: That's why the rivalryc is so different.

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Speaker 4: And to be honest with you, it's the only week

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in college football I really don't even use my power

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ratings because these rivalries are so intense and they're such

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an equalizer between the two teams. With that said, we've

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seen Michigan and their young quarterback mature throughout the season

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in Bryce Underwood. We've seen them with five straight wins.

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We've seen them outgain their last five opponents by one

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hundred and seventy yards per game. They're playing well down

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the stretch. The defense did allow three hundred and forty

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seven yards to Maryland, which is one of Maryland's best performances,

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but again, that was on the road after playing Northwestern

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in a brutal battle at Wrigley Field.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna go under here. You know. It's a situation

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where Jane said.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna go under first half, because if one of

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these teams get behind, you're gonna see Michigan start doing

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some double reverses and fake punts and things like that.

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Speaker 5: They're in a position where they could do that.

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Speaker 4: Ohio State doesn't care if they win this game by

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one or by ten, it'll be a feel good win.

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They'll advance, there'll be the number one seed in the playoffs.

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So big difference in motivation here. I'm gonna go first

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half under. Both teams run the ball established established to

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try to establish the line of scrimmage. Actually, the under

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may make my card for this week, the first half under.

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Speaker 1: Oh. Well, that's very interesting because if I saw this

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correctly earlier today on wager Talk today, Ross Benjamin broke

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down the total for this matchup, and I think there

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may be some agreement here. Ross. It's very interesting. Prior

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to last year, these teams had gone over nine straight

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times against one another, Ohio State Michigan. You think all

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the history of this rivalry, you think obviously kind of

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you know, a low score game of college football's changed.

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These teams have with it. Last year, Like I said, though,

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it was kind of a low total and it was

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that you know, conservative offensive approach Ohio State went with

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it had all those people calling for Day's head in

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the immediate aftermath of the loss. What do you think

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here in terms, because I know you have a take

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on the total, and why don't you share that again

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in case the people have head Yeah talk.

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Speaker 3: Today, I'll simplify it.

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Speaker 6: You know, you got the number one team in total

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defense and scoring defense in Ohio State two hundred and

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twelve yards a game and six point eight yards per

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contest allowed. And this is a team that's playing in

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a Power Conference against some pretty good competition. Boy boy,

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they've allowed sixteen points or fewer in all eleven games

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this season. Michigan's defense, on the other hand, not bad themselves.

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I mean, number thirty one in total defense nationally at

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two hundred and ninety eight point three yards per game.

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They only allow a little more than sixteen points per

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contests three and oh in Conference three and oh to

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the under in conference home games from Michigan, and three

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and oh to the under in Conference Awake four and oh.

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Speaker 3: To the under actually conference away games from Ohio State

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in both.

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Speaker 6: The three and oher under in conference home games for

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Michigan thirty four points per game and the four unders

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and conference away games for Ohio State thirty nine point

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five points per game. Sometimes we just need to keep

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it simple and not over complicate things, Brian, and we're

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all guilty of over complicating things sometimes. Hopefully I'm not

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doing that here. Ohio State and Michigan under the total

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of forty four.

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Speaker 1: All right, I like it. So we have a first

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half under a full game under and Ralph, I think

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you would like to follow up.

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Speaker 5: With something I did.

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Speaker 4: I gave this note to the gold seet so it's

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in their right up for this this week, and this

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shocked me. Since twenty nineteen, this is only the ninth

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time that two teams with nine wins have played each

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other in the final week of the regular season. That

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seems very short to me. In seven years, so that's

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only one a year. But I went back and checked

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all the data. By the way, they've gone over all

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nine by nine point two points per game. Now, a

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couple of those were the Ohio State Michigan game, so

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those are in that mix. But again, only nine times

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since twenty nineteen, if two teams played the final week

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of the regular season with nine straight wins, with nine wins,

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E sorry.

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Speaker 3: Let me correct, Ralph.

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Speaker 6: Let me correct Ralph if I may in Ralph. If

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Ohio State wins against Michigan, whether it be by one

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or ten the way you phrased it, and they get

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to the Big Ten title game, they're going to have

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to play Indiana. Borring an upset by Purdue over Indiana

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this week, which is highly unlikely. Indiana Winnsday game. They're

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not going to be the number one seed in the

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College football playoffs.

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Speaker 3: They would go to Indiana, wouldn't it.

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Speaker 5: Oh absolutely yeah, I no, no question.

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Speaker 4: I just meant they don't have to win this game

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by any margin, just have to win out. If they

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win by one point, in one point, they're gonna be

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the number one seed.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I think it's just a couple of things. I

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think Michigan, you know we I talk about here, I

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know a lot of us talk about about as his

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team as good as its record. Are they better than

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their record, worst their record? I think Michigan their record,

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they're one of the few teams I would say very

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accurate representation of what they are. All nine games they've

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been favored the Wolverines this season, they've won the two

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they've been a dog they've lost. I'm gonna say I

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think Ohio State wins this game. I think they win

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it by margin. Uh And pardon me, by the way,

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John here are sometimes I go into business for myself

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and work the chat. So, Adam, what has this common

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in terms of rivalries? He says, rivalries in general mean

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less now in the nil era, half the kids are

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either new or aren't sticking around that long anyways, means

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more to fans and boosters. I wouldn't disagree with that point.

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I would argue that it's always probably met more to

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the fans and boosters, and never is that more apparent

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than the next game in our rundown, guys. Let's go

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a little bit later on Saturday to the Iron Bowl

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Alabama and Auburn, a rivalry where one that once caused

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Amanda poison a tree that was unfortunate, but that's in

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the past. Now we're gonna talk about covering spreads, not

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trees here. Let me go to Rocks actually first on

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this one. Alabama obviously a favorite here. They'd taken a

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little bit of money. I thought the number opened a

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little short, to be honest with you myself. They've got

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a possible SEC Championship game in front of them. Auburn

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has just been one of those kind of years where

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nothing goes right.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 1: Alabama, I assume is gonna be pretty public side in this.

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What do you think?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I would think so because of everything, the importance

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of the game for them in terms of getting to

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the SEC title game, and then once you're in the

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SEC title game, you pretty much win or lose assure

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yourself of being in a college football playoffs.

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Speaker 3: Auburn, on the other hand, playing with a.

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Speaker 6: Lame Duck coaching staff after Hugh Freeze got fired, a

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lot of uncertainty in the program, a lot of instability

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in the program.

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Speaker 3: That's not the case at Alabama right now.

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Speaker 6: And look, it's a rivalry game, and I think the

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line is pretty accurate when you consider it a fact.

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This is an Auburn team that's gone one in six

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in our last seven games against FBS opponents, but all

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six and our losses have come back ten points or fewer. Alabama, though,

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I think is the better side here. I think they're

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better on both sides of the ball. And I know

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this rivalry carries a lot of weight. And by the way,

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Auburn on her home field this year zero and three

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straight up in ats against SEC opponents, I'm going to

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have a small lean toward Alabama. Sometimes the public is right, friend.

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Speaker 1: They are they are as much as we sometimes tell

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you that they're not. Yes, even the public does get

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them right, Ralph, It's interesting Auburn Ross mentioned him losing

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close quite a bit this season. Well, home team in

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the in this rivalry is on an eleven one to

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one run against the number Bama. They failed to cover

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their last four visits to Jordan Hare As a matter

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of fact, the last three times these teams have played

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at Auburn, the games have been decided by eight total

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eight total of eight points. So there are some trends

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that kind of support the dog here. And you know

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Auburn's generally been losing close and they do need to win.

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They want to get I don't know how much the

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players care about becoming Bowl eligible and you know, playing

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in some random bowl, but that is on the table

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for Auburn. So what do you think here?

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Speaker 5: I'll tell you what you may say, The players don't care.

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Speaker 4: That is night and day for the coach is to

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have those practices, to get those fifteen extra practices to

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start working on those freshmen. So while the players may

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not be too excited to go to a mid major ball,

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the coaches in the program need to get to the ball.

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So what happens when the team is five and six

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and they have pressure to try to get that sixth

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win in the ball. Since twenty fourteen, they've covered thirty

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eight point five percent against the spread. So just because

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a knee if a team is a home dog and

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they need to win, that doesn't mean you're gonna need

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to win it means there's added pressure. So that's something

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that people sometimes put too much weight on. Of course,

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both teams have pressure here, and like we've seen with

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many rivalries, you know, if you finish sixth and six

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and beat Bamas, some people will call it a successful season,

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even though Auburn had other expectations. Remember, Auburn was just

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blasted with some bad plays early Oklahoma seven point loss

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at A and M six point loss, Georgia ten point

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loss where they only were out gained by nineteen yards,

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Missouri a six point ls, Kentucky a seven point loss,

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and Vanderbilt a seven point loss. A season for what

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could have been and should have been, you know, goes

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down the tube as far as Bama is concerned. You know,

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you're looking at an offense that has become more efficient.

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You're looking at ty Simpson with a twenty two to

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four ratio. But the rush attack is what scares me

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for Alabama. The last four weeks they've only rushed for

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three point three yards per carry. Now their defense is

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holding firm. The Auburn rush defense, there's nothing wrong with that.

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The only time they've given up over one hundred and

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seventy yards all season was at Texas A and M,

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but they only allowed four point four yards per carry.

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I think Auburn can hang around for the first half.

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I think they have enough motivation to come out. I

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think Alabama ran the ball again. It was Eastern Illinois

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last week, but even looking prior to that, you know

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they don't run the ball early, and the board talked

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about needing to establish the run early as he.

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Speaker 5: Goes into the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: With that said, slightest of lean with Auburn just because

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I think the motivation keeps them up. But my official

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best bet here will be first half Auburn plus the points.

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Speaker 1: All right, two first half plays in two games there

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from Ralph Ross.

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Speaker 6: Yes, yeah, I mean Ralph makes a good point on

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five and six teams needing to win and how important

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it is the coaching staffs to get those additional fifteen

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sixteen practices. In most cases, that's that's true. I think

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in this particular case it's a little importance when you

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stop and think about ninety five or more of this

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coaching staff isn't going to be there next year. A

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lot of these kids are going to transfer out from

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Auburn because it's going to be a new coaching staff.

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So ninety nine percent of the time, Ralph is right.

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But in this particular instance, the importance.

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Speaker 7: Of getting to a in getting fifteen additional practices by

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going to a mid major bowl game type of thing,

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if you will, is a little fact here.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, all right, that's two games in, guys,

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we have several more to go in our rundown. We're

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gonna be sticking to the SEC up next. Any game

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you guys want us to talk about, it's very simple.

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How you get us to do that. You just comment

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down below all of you who are watching this show live,

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00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:29,399
and we thank you again. While you're watching us, how

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00:15:29,399 --> 00:15:31,399
about smashing that like button. If you already haven't done so,

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subscribe with the wage Talk to YouTube channel. That is

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00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,840
the easiest way to ensure you don't miss any of

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00:15:36,879 --> 00:15:39,799
our outstanding at sports betting content we've got going all week.

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00:15:39,799 --> 00:15:41,879
I know that I've done about one hundred shows today already,

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so you can catch at these two of them if

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you've clicked subscribe. All right, let's talk Tennessee Vanderbilt, and

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I believe I have in my notes correctly there ross

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that this will be your portion of the best bet

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of the worst guys. Don't forget. At the end of

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00:16:02,039 --> 00:16:03,960
the show, Ralph Ross and I will be sharing a

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best bet. So I'm gonna go to Ralph here for

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00:16:08,639 --> 00:16:11,720
Vandy and Tennessee first, and Ross you can share save

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your opinion for the end of the program.

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Speaker 4: There are not many times we get to week twelve

316
00:16:17,639 --> 00:16:20,799
of a college football season and there's a stat that

317
00:16:20,879 --> 00:16:24,000
pops out to me that that actually shocks me. You know,

318
00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,759
I look at rankings every week when I go into this.

319
00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:31,399
How about if I told you in college football this year,

320
00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:35,200
the team that has the best, the most efficient offense

321
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:40,480
in the country, number one in yards per play is Vanderbilt.

322
00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:43,639
Now they don't show up in the offensive ranks because

323
00:16:43,639 --> 00:16:46,279
they play very slow. Their plays per game are about

324
00:16:46,279 --> 00:16:49,720
one hundred and ten. But Vanderbilt is the most efficient offense.

325
00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:53,000
They are number one in the country in yards per play.

326
00:16:53,799 --> 00:16:57,320
We know Tennessee wants to play fast. Tennessee on the

327
00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:01,559
season averaging seventy three plays per game. That is number

328
00:17:01,639 --> 00:17:05,680
eleven in the country. We look at the offenses year

329
00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:10,039
to date, number four and number nineteen. We look at

330
00:17:10,039 --> 00:17:14,200
the scoring offenses year to date, number four and number nine.

331
00:17:14,799 --> 00:17:18,599
We look at the defenses number fifty five and seventy five.

332
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:22,759
We look at the scoring defenses number forty two, number

333
00:17:22,799 --> 00:17:29,680
eighty four. Also, both teams are very good in explosive

334
00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:34,160
plays plays ten yards and longer number three and number eleven.

335
00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:37,359
But when we look at what these teams allow on

336
00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:40,519
explosive plays of ten yards or more, they're number ninety

337
00:17:40,559 --> 00:17:42,000
one and ninety eight.

338
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:42,799
Speaker 5: Folks.

339
00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:46,119
Speaker 4: They line up across the board. The offense is the defense,

340
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,960
the explosive plays, the exposive plays on defense. Yes, Vanderbilt

341
00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,680
is a slower pace, but if Tennessee's going to score,

342
00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:55,440
Vanderbilt will have to pick up the pace to score

343
00:17:55,599 --> 00:17:59,559
as well. Give me the over in this one. I'll

344
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,720
sort of repeat what Ross said. Sometimes the obvious is

345
00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,079
just that obvious, and don't talk yourself out of it.

346
00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:08,400
So Ross, sorry for stealing your line, but it certainly

347
00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:09,359
is appropriate here.

348
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:20,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, brilliant mind steak alike, Ralph.

349
00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:17,599
Speaker 5: Brian your muted buddy.

350
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,039
Speaker 1: That's always well to do, right. It helps when people

351
00:18:21,079 --> 00:18:24,359
can hear what you're saying. But you'll hear what Ross

352
00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:26,240
has to say about this game at the end of

353
00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:28,839
the show. Again, a best bet coming from each of

354
00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:33,839
us at the end of the program. Let's now look

355
00:18:34,039 --> 00:18:36,880
what makes this week so special. Obviously it's not just Saturday.

356
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We've got games on Friday. If you're catching us live

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00:18:39,920 --> 00:18:43,160
here always helps, you'll be getting these. So hopefully all

358
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:46,079
of you are catching this before somebody's Friday games kickoff.

359
00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:50,359
Next on the docket is Texas A and M and Texas.

360
00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,759
Texas A and M obviously has it all still in

361
00:18:53,799 --> 00:18:56,680
front of hi. An SEC championship on the table, an

362
00:18:56,720 --> 00:19:00,559
undefeated season, all first round by in the College at

363
00:19:00,559 --> 00:19:04,559
Football Playoff. They're a short favorite here against a Texas

364
00:19:04,599 --> 00:19:08,839
team that, well they don't really have anything left to ploy.

365
00:19:08,839 --> 00:19:10,359
They're not going to make the college football player. I

366
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:13,240
see it's smiling ross and because of that, I'm going

367
00:19:13,319 --> 00:19:16,240
to go to you. What do you think here? Texas

368
00:19:16,279 --> 00:19:18,039
A and Adams lived the charmed life this season. They're

369
00:19:18,079 --> 00:19:20,720
one of those teams Every year there's a couple of

370
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,160
teams that the ball just bounces their way, it seems

371
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:24,839
in every game. What do you think about this one?

372
00:19:25,599 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 6: Well, you know what, Brian, if it looks like a

373
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:31,319
fish and smells like a fish, you know what it

374
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:34,799
is fishy And that's just what this line is.

375
00:19:35,079 --> 00:19:37,759
Speaker 3: I mean, stop and think about this for a second, folks.

376
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:41,119
Speaker 6: You got an unbeaten number three team in a country

377
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:44,119
at eleven and zero in Texas A and M as

378
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,480
just a two and a half point favorite.

379
00:19:46,319 --> 00:19:48,000
Speaker 3: Even being on the road.

380
00:19:48,559 --> 00:19:51,279
Speaker 6: That still jumps out at me because they're facing a

381
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:54,319
Texas team with three losses and only a two and

382
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:57,720
a half point favorite. So what's eight and a half

383
00:19:57,799 --> 00:20:00,880
point favorite if they were at home against a three

384
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:04,079
loss team when you're unbeaten with so much at stake.

385
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:07,000
With a win, they get to the SEC Title game.

386
00:20:07,039 --> 00:20:09,519
With a winning the SEC Title game, they end up

387
00:20:09,519 --> 00:20:12,279
with a first round by in the playoffs, a lot

388
00:20:12,279 --> 00:20:16,440
to play for for Texas A and M in Texas, Yeah,

389
00:20:16,559 --> 00:20:19,960
I mean, I got I think they have a glimmering hope,

390
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,559
a very very small hope of getting to the college

391
00:20:23,599 --> 00:20:27,400
football playoffs, but highly unlikely. Most likely they're gonna be

392
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:30,279
playing in a high profile bowl game.

393
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,319
Speaker 3: That's not the college football playoffs.

394
00:20:33,319 --> 00:20:37,000
Speaker 6: And I don't know this, You know what in sports betting,

395
00:20:37,079 --> 00:20:40,839
Ralph more times than that, if it looks too good

396
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,519
to be true, it is. And this might be a

397
00:20:43,559 --> 00:20:47,400
textbook example of such. So I'm gonna stay away from

398
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:51,480
this game just because it doesn't not make sense.

399
00:20:51,599 --> 00:20:59,440
Speaker 1: Brian, all right, Ralph, your thoughts Texas Texas and M I'll.

400
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 4: Be on this game, and I just think the line

401
00:21:02,279 --> 00:21:05,359
is low because of this. The Texas Longhorns get so

402
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,599
much freaking love arch Man and gets so much freaking love.

403
00:21:08,599 --> 00:21:10,279
I was on the show last week and someone says, well,

404
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:13,200
arch maning is finally turning it around and he's leading

405
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:15,480
this team. Well, let me tell you what turning around

406
00:21:15,559 --> 00:21:19,000
looks like. They got to Kentucky, they get out gained by.

407
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:20,480
Speaker 5: Two hundred and sixteen yards.

408
00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 4: They got to Mississippi State, a team that has five wins,

409
00:21:23,759 --> 00:21:25,640
They got out gained by seventeen yards.

410
00:21:26,039 --> 00:21:28,640
Speaker 5: They host Vanderbilt, they have a five yard edge.

411
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:30,799
Speaker 4: They go to Georgia, they get out gained by eighty

412
00:21:30,839 --> 00:21:33,759
three yards, and they got out gained by twenty two

413
00:21:33,839 --> 00:21:35,880
yards last week at home against Arkansas.

414
00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:37,359
Speaker 5: They've been out gained four of.

415
00:21:37,319 --> 00:21:39,960
Speaker 4: Their last five games, and the only yard that they

416
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:43,359
had an edge was they were down against Vanderbilt game.

417
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,799
Speaker 5: So to me, I am not buying.

418
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:47,960
Speaker 4: I am drinking the kool aid on Texas A and

419
00:21:48,079 --> 00:21:51,319
M them going to Notre Dame and winning impressed me

420
00:21:51,839 --> 00:21:55,279
them being undefeated to press me and impressed me and Brian.

421
00:21:55,319 --> 00:21:57,759
Will you said, A and M has been the very

422
00:21:57,799 --> 00:22:02,319
fortunate team, has been one of the most fortunate teams

423
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:05,680
the entire country. They're plus ten turnovers on the season.

424
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:08,400
Teams at plus ten turnovers usually only have one or

425
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:12,480
two losses. A and M on the season minus five turnovers,

426
00:22:12,599 --> 00:22:15,319
So the luck factor doesn't work for me. Here A

427
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,200
and M has had to play harder and has played harder.

428
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:21,440
Let me just give you a couple stats for these

429
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:25,799
are in SEC games Texas A and M number eight

430
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:29,160
plus one hundred and forty four yards per game, Texas

431
00:22:29,279 --> 00:22:32,319
ninety five getting out gained by fifty eight yards per

432
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:36,160
game and SEC action and yards per play Texas A

433
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:40,160
and M number twelve, Texas number sixty two. I think

434
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:43,440
this is just an overreaction to Texas and arch Manning.

435
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,839
Marcel Reed gets it done. A and M goes into

436
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:50,599
the SEC Championship undefeated and locks up a playoff.

437
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 3: Berth.

438
00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 1: All right, there you have it. I saw in the

439
00:22:55,039 --> 00:22:57,400
chats someone mentioned that, you know, A and M certainly

440
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:00,119
is going to probably come out a little sharper than

441
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:01,960
they did in that game. Against South Carolina. That goes

442
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:03,680
without saying. I think that was a flat spot for

443
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:05,880
the Aggies. One thing though, we need to point out

444
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:09,400
with this A and M team. You know, you look

445
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:12,720
at their schedule and who they've faced so far in

446
00:23:12,759 --> 00:23:16,920
the SEC, they're SEC opponents. Guys have a combined eleven

447
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:20,519
and forty straight up record in conference play. That's they

448
00:23:20,559 --> 00:23:23,880
got kind of I think the fortunate SEC. Look, there's

449
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:25,759
still such thing as an easy schedule in the SEC,

450
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,119
but relative to some of the other teams, I think

451
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,079
A and M scheduled easy. And I'm gonna say this,

452
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,400
I don't think this is the week you play against

453
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:34,160
an M. I think it's next week in the SEC

454
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:35,559
championship game you play against Texas.

455
00:23:35,599 --> 00:23:35,920
Speaker 3: A and M.

456
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,519
Speaker 1: I do not think they will win that game, no

457
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:39,960
matter the opponents.

458
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 4: Brian, you know, I'm gonna just bring this up because

459
00:23:42,519 --> 00:23:44,119
we're on the final week of the regular season. For

460
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:49,039
those people that do futures next year, raiding the crossover

461
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:52,000
games are the most important thing when you're betting season

462
00:23:52,039 --> 00:23:55,079
win totals. Because A and M avoided Georgia, they avoided

463
00:23:55,079 --> 00:23:59,039
Alabama and sometimes sneak up, but crossovers are vital to

464
00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:02,759
know your cross over games. And now you know they're changing.

465
00:24:02,839 --> 00:24:05,480
Remember when when Ross and I were young, you played

466
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,240
the same six people and maybe two games change. Right now,

467
00:24:08,319 --> 00:24:10,519
when you have twenty eight teams in your conference, there

468
00:24:10,559 --> 00:24:12,240
may not be any crossover games and may be a

469
00:24:12,279 --> 00:24:15,279
new conference every year. But again, when we were division wise,

470
00:24:15,519 --> 00:24:17,359
that was my number one go to looking at that

471
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,680
when I did my when I did my team totals or.

472
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:21,680
Speaker 5: My season win totals.

473
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, and if you guys follow me on either Twitter

474
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,440
or Instagram, I sent out a video about a week

475
00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:29,880
or so ago highlighting I had a and m over

476
00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:33,000
eight and a half wins before the season. I thought

477
00:24:33,039 --> 00:24:35,200
this was gonna be a good team. John Hoaglin, by

478
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,519
the way, was producing us today. Thank you John for

479
00:24:37,519 --> 00:24:39,519
stepping it for in a very nice video for me

480
00:24:39,599 --> 00:24:42,960
with the kuching sound. I appreciated that as we That

481
00:24:43,039 --> 00:24:45,079
was one of the several win totals we cashed on

482
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,920
our pre season edition of the Power Fives. By the way,

483
00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:49,799
they were plus one fifty to get over eight and

484
00:24:49,799 --> 00:24:51,519
a half. Textall say that I thought that was a

485
00:24:51,559 --> 00:24:54,599
good bet, and yeah, in retrospect, it was a good bet.

486
00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:57,920
One more game on our rundown to get to then

487
00:24:57,960 --> 00:24:59,680
we're gonna talk about what we've got going on this

488
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,200
week again at wager talk dot com, and then we're

489
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,559
going to get to the chat before we get to

490
00:25:04,559 --> 00:25:08,559
the best bets. And the last game on our rundown

491
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,680
is also a Friday game, and well we know what

492
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:14,480
they're going to be talking about on the broadcast during

493
00:25:14,599 --> 00:25:19,400
Ole miss Mississippi State. Obviously you can't handicap this game

494
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:23,640
without mentioning ross the unknown status of Lane Kiffin's future

495
00:25:24,039 --> 00:25:30,119
in Oxford, And does that matter to you? Talk about it?

496
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:32,240
You know, I mean, it's got to be a distraction

497
00:25:32,319 --> 00:25:35,599
for them. This is a team that if they win,

498
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,039
they're going to the college football Playoff, but they don't

499
00:25:38,079 --> 00:25:39,880
know if their coach is going to be there. I mean,

500
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:43,799
so what a welcome to twenty twenty five in college football.

501
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:48,559
Speaker 6: What an oddity. And you know, it's got to affective players.

502
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:52,279
I think it would affect them a lot more if

503
00:25:52,319 --> 00:25:55,799
this team was just seven and threes or eight and three,

504
00:25:55,799 --> 00:25:59,039
I should say, going into their final game and they

505
00:25:59,039 --> 00:26:01,640
were just going to go to a ball game. But

506
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:05,839
with so much at stake, I think the players themselves

507
00:26:06,039 --> 00:26:09,000
are gonna play for himselves, so I don't think it'll

508
00:26:09,039 --> 00:26:13,519
be quite as impactful as it normally would.

509
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,200
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm not a Lane Kiffin guy, Brian. You

510
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:17,720
know what he.

511
00:26:18,599 --> 00:26:22,160
Speaker 8: Keeps getting all these big contracts, right, He's never won

512
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,440
a national title, and now here he is in a

513
00:26:25,519 --> 00:26:29,000
position to win a national title for the first time, and.

514
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:33,319
Speaker 3: He's jumping ship before the playoffs start. This guy's an idiot.

515
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:34,440
I'm sorry.

516
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 6: I'm not a proponent of Lane Kiffin anyway.

517
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:41,799
Speaker 3: Look, here's the thing.

518
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,079
Speaker 6: Oh Miss three and oh to the over in conference

519
00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:48,279
away games this year, sixty three point seven points per

520
00:26:48,319 --> 00:26:52,240
game Mississippi State three and zero in conference home games,

521
00:26:52,319 --> 00:26:56,200
seventy three point three points per game Mississippi State four

522
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:58,759
and oh to the over in their last four overall

523
00:26:59,079 --> 00:27:02,200
all four games, sixty two points or more being scored.

524
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,759
Their defense in the last four just terrific. Meaning Mississippi

525
00:27:05,799 --> 00:27:09,960
State forty two point five points per contest, four hundred

526
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,160
and sixty six yards per contest or offense over the

527
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:16,319
last five hasn't been bad twenty nine points per game,

528
00:27:16,519 --> 00:27:19,160
three hundred and ninety three yards per contest, all against

529
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:23,720
SEC competition. But this defense too, I mean not only

530
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,400
the numbers. I just gave it rough. They lowed three

531
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,480
hundred yards or more rushing in their last two games.

532
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:34,440
On the other hand, Oh Miss an offensive juggernaut, we

533
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:38,640
know that, and against a vulnerable defense such as Mississippi State,

534
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:40,240
I think they'll.

535
00:27:40,039 --> 00:27:41,400
Speaker 3: Be able to move the ball well.

536
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:44,279
Speaker 6: But I still think Mississippi State will move the ball

537
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,079
on Ole Miss as well, because you look at ole

538
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:52,480
Miss defense during SEC play allowing twenty six points and

539
00:27:52,519 --> 00:27:56,599
three hundred and sixty seven yards per game. Not exactly dominant.

540
00:27:57,119 --> 00:28:00,119
So I'm gonna have a small lean here on o Miss.

541
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:04,039
In Mississippi State to go over to total of sixty two.

542
00:28:04,519 --> 00:28:08,200
Speaker 1: Well that would be an interesting result there lost Why

543
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:13,839
Ralph the last eight egg Bowls is the name of

544
00:28:13,839 --> 00:28:18,759
this rhyme under the total, But I think Ross made

545
00:28:18,799 --> 00:28:23,559
a pretty compelling argument. Why this game? On Friday?

546
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:24,200
Speaker 3: Trent?

547
00:28:24,279 --> 00:28:24,799
Speaker 2: What do you think that?

548
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:29,279
Speaker 4: I got a question for you guys growing up, when

549
00:28:29,319 --> 00:28:32,519
I say what is the traditional Thanksgiving Day game? Do

550
00:28:32,599 --> 00:28:34,359
you think the Egg Bowl? Or do you think Texas,

551
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,160
Texas A and M How the hell did we got

552
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:36,920
Memphis and Navy?

553
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:38,799
Speaker 3: This year? Yeah?

554
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:40,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know that was That was my first though

555
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:43,200
I mean it was so I was. I'm old enough

556
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:45,319
to remember when it was Texas Texas m but yeah,

557
00:28:45,359 --> 00:28:47,759
it was always This game was always on Thanksgiving until

558
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:51,640
what last two years? I mean yeah, I mean it

559
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:52,880
wasn't that long ago. Was still played.

560
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 6: At least one of those teams has a chance to

561
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,160
get to the college football playoffs.

562
00:28:57,240 --> 00:28:59,680
Speaker 3: It's a long shot, but Navy still alive.

563
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,279
Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, you know, they have to beat Tulane.

564
00:29:04,279 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 4: I think Tulane's in the driver's seat there, but that's

565
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:08,519
that's a subject for another talk.

566
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 5: Uh, you know, I'm gonna I'm gonna agree with Ross here.

567
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:16,960
Speaker 4: You look at Mississippi and the other defense. Their offense

568
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,880
is averaging four hundred and ninety four yards per game,

569
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,759
and they're averaging four point fifty in the SEC. That's

570
00:29:23,759 --> 00:29:27,880
pretty impressive with twenty five first downs per game. You

571
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:30,119
look at the Mississippi State defense, you want to talk

572
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:32,799
about a train wreck. Ross mentioned the last two games

573
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:36,000
allowing over three hundred yards and by the way, six

574
00:29:36,039 --> 00:29:39,519
point nine yards per carrie versus Georgia eight point four

575
00:29:39,599 --> 00:29:41,920
carries versus Missouri.

576
00:29:42,559 --> 00:29:45,440
Speaker 5: Now we know Old miss loves to run the ball.

577
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 4: They are up tempo, but it's by running the ball

578
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:51,799
first that really can wear down a defensive line. They

579
00:29:51,839 --> 00:29:54,960
ran the ball forty eight times to Florida past thirty five.

580
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:57,799
They ran forty five times against South Carolina for five

581
00:29:57,839 --> 00:30:01,279
point seven Mississippi State. It's that run game going and

582
00:30:01,359 --> 00:30:03,480
they're not They're not gonna be able to stop them.

583
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:07,240
The defense though, again they've got some decent numbers late,

584
00:30:07,279 --> 00:30:09,240
but that was the competition. You look at their last

585
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,799
four weeks, you have to throw that out because they

586
00:30:11,839 --> 00:30:14,200
played South Carolina when they were struggling, and they played

587
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,759
Citadel and then Florida, so their defense hasn't Their defense

588
00:30:17,839 --> 00:30:20,119
is basically rested. They've had two straight bye weeks with

589
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,920
Citadel and Florida. I am gonna go a little more

590
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:26,160
specific though with the with the old Miss defense, the

591
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,000
way it's playing, with the Mississippi pace and run game

592
00:30:29,039 --> 00:30:31,960
against this D line, I'm gonna go Old Miss team

593
00:30:32,079 --> 00:30:36,200
total over not really no real opinion on the game here.

594
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:38,640
You know, Mississippi State another one of these, and I

595
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:40,759
agree with Ross. When you have these in state rivalries,

596
00:30:40,799 --> 00:30:44,480
these five and six records aren't as important. But remember

597
00:30:44,519 --> 00:30:46,400
I bring up these trends so you can use them

598
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:48,039
in all the games, not just.

599
00:30:48,039 --> 00:30:51,240
Speaker 5: The specific game. We're talking about team total Old.

600
00:30:51,039 --> 00:30:53,960
Speaker 1: Miss over for me, all right, couple looks the over.

601
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:55,880
I'm gonna tell you guys this, if you forced me

602
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:57,200
to make a play in this game, I'm taking the

603
00:30:57,240 --> 00:30:59,440
points with Mississippi State. I think Ole Miss is coming

604
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:03,720
into stract here. And strange things happened this last weekend

605
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:07,240
of the college football regular season. And if you don't

606
00:31:07,279 --> 00:31:10,359
want strange things to happen to you, you should go

607
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:13,880
to wager talk dot com, where all three of us

608
00:31:14,799 --> 00:31:17,480
will be very very busy with a lot of plays

609
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:21,319
this weekend. You can rest assured. Obviously, we've got a

610
00:31:21,319 --> 00:31:24,319
great Thanksgiving Days Thanksgiving week special, I should say, if

611
00:31:24,319 --> 00:31:26,519
we want to throw that up on the screen right now,

612
00:31:26,599 --> 00:31:30,599
John seven days for sixty seven dollars. Guys. This is

613
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:33,799
among the very best specials we offer the entire year.

614
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:38,480
And this will get you covered all sports, all plays

615
00:31:38,519 --> 00:31:41,799
seven days from the handicapper of your choice, across every sport.

616
00:31:41,839 --> 00:31:43,359
And you can get it from for all three of us,

617
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:46,640
Ralph Ross and I. You can also stack it as

618
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:50,839
well and get multiple weeks from your favorite handicapper. I

619
00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:54,440
know I already have a bet out in the NFL

620
00:31:54,759 --> 00:31:58,079
for Thanksgiving. So that's and trust me, there's a lot

621
00:31:58,079 --> 00:32:02,400
of college football coming for both Friday and Saturday as well,

622
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:06,720
So that is me WT dot Buzz slash BP. You

623
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:10,000
can get that again. All start tomorrow with a big

624
00:32:10,039 --> 00:32:13,440
total in the NFL. Ross, Why don't you tell the

625
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,000
people what you've got going on in your neck of

626
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:19,160
the woods there for this very very busy weekend of sports.

627
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 3: Better my neck of the woods. It's offully cold, Brian, thank.

628
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:23,559
Speaker 1: You for same here.

629
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:27,359
Speaker 3: I appreciate your concern anyway. Well, yeah, you're in Ohio.

630
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:29,839
What am I thinking? Anyway? Yeah?

631
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:34,039
Speaker 6: I got all three games in the NFL on Thanksgiving Day.

632
00:32:34,079 --> 00:32:39,559
I got three winners, two sides, one total and NFL

633
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:44,440
coming off of four and one week so Weekend Warriors

634
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:48,200
special folks. It continues to roll over the last two

635
00:32:48,279 --> 00:32:53,160
weekends eleven three and one with my Weekend Warrior package.

636
00:32:53,599 --> 00:32:57,880
I've only had two losing weekends since the second week

637
00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:02,640
of September. My college football continues to roll as I'm

638
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:06,559
hitting sixty four percent of my plays this year thirty

639
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:10,119
four and nineteen to be exact, over fifty three units

640
00:33:10,119 --> 00:33:13,640
and net profit and number two in units earned this

641
00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:17,920
year number one, last year, number two in twenty twenty three,

642
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:21,119
and over the last three college football seasons that combined

643
00:33:21,559 --> 00:33:24,119
number one in units earned with over one hundred and

644
00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:27,440
thirty three units in net profit and college football, and

645
00:33:27,599 --> 00:33:33,119
my NFL and college football combined since the end of

646
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:37,720
last December, somewhere in the neighborhood, I wish I had

647
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:38,759
the numbers in front of me.

648
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 3: Let me see if I could check it real quick.

649
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:45,799
If bear with me, guys, anyway, it's pretty damn good.

650
00:33:46,359 --> 00:33:50,839
Speaker 6: It's like sixty four percent NFL college football since the

651
00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:53,799
end of the sixty two percent, I take that back

652
00:33:53,839 --> 00:33:57,000
since the end of December, so take advantage of that

653
00:33:57,039 --> 00:34:00,000
Weekend Warrior Special. NBA off to a sixteen to nine

654
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:03,839
starts sixty four percent UH to the season and then

655
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:06,400
going back to last year thirty and fourteen. So a

656
00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:12,320
lot of great stuff. But Weekend Warriors Special forty nine dollars.

657
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:16,039
And that includes our five percent best bets in six

658
00:34:16,079 --> 00:34:19,880
and oh with my college football NFL five percent best

659
00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:21,719
bets the last three weeks.

660
00:34:22,159 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 1: All right, Ralph, sure you have a lot to talk

661
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:28,440
about as well. Floor is yours.

662
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,400
Speaker 5: I've got to help Ross out he's getting a little old.

663
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 4: Okay, So Ross the Boss Benjamin his last nineteen football

664
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:42,880
games thirteen four and two seventy seven percent and dating

665
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:47,559
back since last September eleventh, fifty seven and thirty four

666
00:34:48,079 --> 00:34:51,800
sixty two point six percent. So Ross, don't keat yourself

667
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:54,960
out of an extra percent, appreciate it three percent.

668
00:34:56,960 --> 00:34:57,400
Speaker 5: All good.

669
00:34:57,480 --> 00:34:59,679
Speaker 4: Like I said, it is a pleasure to have worked

670
00:34:59,679 --> 00:35:01,840
with you this year. It is so nice to learn

671
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:03,880
from you each week. It's been great for me on

672
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:06,480
the show. And thanks everyone for joining us this year.

673
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,639
On this final week of the regular season, we'll still

674
00:35:08,639 --> 00:35:10,679
be around for the balls and championships, so we're not

675
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:14,880
saying goodbye. But I did drop a five percent last week.

676
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:18,199
I had a birthday special. And I will say this,

677
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:21,039
I remember listening to Ross a few weeks ago, and

678
00:35:21,119 --> 00:35:23,000
we all have these where we have a bad week

679
00:35:23,039 --> 00:35:25,440
and you lose, and when you have a good handicap

680
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:27,519
or off a losing week, that really is at the

681
00:35:27,599 --> 00:35:30,000
time to jump on them. It's like the old Patriots

682
00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:32,360
when Belichick and Brady were off a loss, they were

683
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:34,760
money the next week. All three of us put the

684
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:37,400
dedication in and work harder. So again, I did drop

685
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:40,280
a college football five percent. I will have one this Saturday.

686
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,480
College football five percent, thirteen and three eighty one percent

687
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:47,360
football five percent some number one at wage you talk

688
00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:50,800
football five percents to last year going twenty three and

689
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:55,920
seven seventy seven percent College football and NFL combined best

690
00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:59,360
bets those are four percent and five percent now forty

691
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:03,760
three and nine sixty nine percent, and by nflt's our

692
00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:08,159
best bets twenty one to five eighty one percent. So

693
00:36:08,199 --> 00:36:10,920
the Weekend Warrior will be around for forty nine dollars,

694
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:15,079
but guys, do not buy it for eighteen dollars more.

695
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:19,760
You're getting all seven days of NBA NHL in college basketball,

696
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:22,599
plus the rest of the week for football. There's only

697
00:36:22,679 --> 00:36:25,400
one thing to buy. It's our biggest special. Every year

698
00:36:25,679 --> 00:36:28,760
we sell more packages than any other special we ever run.

699
00:36:29,119 --> 00:36:32,679
Sixty seven bucks. Take any of us, take all three

700
00:36:32,679 --> 00:36:34,719
of us, and no matter what, have a safe and

701
00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:36,280
happy Thanksgiving.

702
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 1: Week app solutely all right. That is promotion time. We've

703
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,719
gotten through our rundown. Our best bets are coming up.

704
00:36:45,039 --> 00:36:47,159
But of course first we are getting to your guys

705
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:51,239
questions in the chat Goose. A lot of o's in

706
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:55,159
Goose gets Goose seven. He has some pre Saturday plays

707
00:36:55,199 --> 00:36:58,280
he's shared with us. We've already talked about the Mississippissippi

708
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,000
State game. We've alady talked about Texas A and M Texas.

709
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:02,679
But a couple of the ones there, I've seen some

710
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:07,800
support for the Dog. Thursday Night, Navy and Memphis are

711
00:37:08,159 --> 00:37:11,480
the thanks Give the lone Thanksgiving college football matchup. I'll

712
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,079
say this, Navy was very kind to me against South

713
00:37:14,119 --> 00:37:17,239
Florida their last time out, plus ten and a half.

714
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:19,079
I got a great number. Didn't matter what number I

715
00:37:19,079 --> 00:37:22,079
got because they won that game out right. That was

716
00:37:22,119 --> 00:37:26,159
a good one there. I don't like to lay points

717
00:37:26,159 --> 00:37:28,440
against service academies, but I think but Memphis is a

718
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:31,239
tough out. But all those teams in the American generally speaking,

719
00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:33,440
are so much better at home than on the road.

720
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:35,320
That was a big reason why I played Navy. They

721
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,960
were a home dog against South Florida. I think Memphis

722
00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:39,280
is going to find a way to win that game

723
00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:42,320
in the Liberty Bowl. Georgia Tech, I see you've got

724
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:45,159
in there, Goose. I don't know how they get off

725
00:37:45,199 --> 00:37:48,320
the mat after having their season wrecked last week. I mean,

726
00:37:48,559 --> 00:37:50,280
now they're on the outside looking in when it comes

727
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,159
to the a SEC Championship game, let alone the college

728
00:37:52,159 --> 00:37:54,159
football Playoff. This was a team that was not as

729
00:37:54,199 --> 00:37:58,880
good as its record. And you know, Jake Kirby has

730
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,079
got Georgia peak and at the right time. You know,

731
00:38:01,159 --> 00:38:03,719
all of a sudden, those slow starts we saw from

732
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:07,199
the Bulldogs Ross kind of a thing of the past

733
00:38:07,360 --> 00:38:09,920
now because they have come out barking the last couple

734
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:13,199
of weeks Georgia has. I don't know, I don't really

735
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:15,360
want to step in front of Georgia. I know that

736
00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:18,119
it's a rivalry and it was very it was obviously

737
00:38:18,119 --> 00:38:20,119
it went to a million overtimes last year. But I

738
00:38:20,199 --> 00:38:21,599
don't know if I want to take it with Georgia

739
00:38:21,639 --> 00:38:22,599
Tech against Georgia.

740
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 3: Yeah.

741
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,119
Speaker 6: I mean, when you ask you about Georgia Tech and

742
00:38:25,159 --> 00:38:27,840
Pitt last week, I said, you know, I don't I

743
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,119
don't like to give out games when I have a bias.

744
00:38:30,159 --> 00:38:33,280
I had a bias because they had Georgia Tech plus

745
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:37,039
seven hundred to win the ACC before the season started.

746
00:38:37,639 --> 00:38:41,239
And but you know now, but I also said that

747
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:44,920
if I was to look at this game clearly with

748
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,079
an unbiased mind, that I thought Pitt was to play,

749
00:38:48,119 --> 00:38:52,280
and obviously they were. I don't know, you know now

750
00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:56,039
as in an overcompensation now because they lost last week

751
00:38:56,079 --> 00:38:58,599
and they're out of it. It's a rivalry game. But

752
00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:01,719
you're right, Georgia's seems to be peaking at the right time.

753
00:39:02,159 --> 00:39:06,760
In Georgia Tech really never peaked in my opinion. You know,

754
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,920
they have a great record, but the bottom line is

755
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:14,920
is that, like Brian said, it's probably an overrated team

756
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:18,880
just based on the close results they had against seemingly

757
00:39:19,079 --> 00:39:22,159
inferior opposition and lucky to win a couple of games.

758
00:39:23,079 --> 00:39:23,800
Speaker 5: You know what, Brian.

759
00:39:24,679 --> 00:39:28,079
Speaker 4: You know, watching the Ohio State game last week, it

760
00:39:28,159 --> 00:39:30,559
was very refreshing for Ryan Day to say, listen, I

761
00:39:30,559 --> 00:39:32,480
don't give a shit of the score early. I'm gonna

762
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:35,440
play slow. I don't care to score points. My defense

763
00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:37,800
is only playing fifty two games per game. That's the

764
00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:41,400
lowest in college football. Kurbis Start has the exact same attitude.

765
00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:44,199
His defense is that he runs slow plays. He wants

766
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:47,000
to keep his defense fresh. And we're seeing these elite

767
00:39:47,039 --> 00:39:50,320
college football coaches treat the beginning of the season now

768
00:39:50,639 --> 00:39:53,920
like an NFL team does. Worrying about Casey doesn't worry

769
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:55,880
about what happens in week twe two and three. They

770
00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:58,119
want to get Mahomes ready for the playoffs, although it's

771
00:39:58,159 --> 00:40:00,039
going to hurt him this year a little bit. But

772
00:40:00,079 --> 00:40:02,719
you know, the same thing aside, we are seeing a

773
00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:06,639
maturation of college football leade head coaches treating their teams

774
00:40:06,679 --> 00:40:10,000
like NFL teams, not worrying about a nuiversey season loss

775
00:40:10,079 --> 00:40:13,119
because it doesn't affect them one iota. But with that said,

776
00:40:13,679 --> 00:40:17,039
this Georgia defense allowing five hundred yards to NC State

777
00:40:17,079 --> 00:40:21,039
in five hundred yards to Boston College against a Georgia

778
00:40:21,079 --> 00:40:23,880
team that runs the ball well, passes the ball well,

779
00:40:24,199 --> 00:40:27,440
doesn't give up sacks, has you know, doesn't get a

780
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:29,880
lot of sacks, but they do have enough to shut

781
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,119
this team down. They're only allowing three point zero yards

782
00:40:32,119 --> 00:40:37,199
per carry on offense. So the quarterback Haines King is great.

783
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:40,599
He did he opened a lot of He opened a

784
00:40:40,639 --> 00:40:42,480
lot of people's eyes early in the season.

785
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:44,519
Speaker 5: But this team is ready and prep for him. I

786
00:40:44,519 --> 00:40:45,239
do like Georgia.

787
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:49,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, you made a very good point there at the start, Ralph,

788
00:40:49,119 --> 00:40:50,840
I thought, I think it's gonna you're gonna hear a

789
00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:52,960
lot about it. Let's say it's Ohio State Indiana next

790
00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:54,679
week at the Big Ten Championship game, which is what

791
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:57,719
most people presume it will be. You know, Indiana is

792
00:40:57,760 --> 00:40:59,400
kind of the new kid on the block in terms

793
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:01,280
of being a NASH power, so it made sense for

794
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:04,559
them to want to run up the score, you know,

795
00:41:05,119 --> 00:41:08,239
kind of announce their presence, whereas Ohio State. You're talking

796
00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:11,840
about a team won the national championship last year. And

797
00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:17,079
Ryan Day, I completely concur he understands. Now, college football,

798
00:41:17,119 --> 00:41:20,599
it's not it's it's not just twelve games in a bowl. Okay,

799
00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:24,719
You're going to be playing fourteen fifteen, sixteen games in

800
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:27,119
putting a conference championship, and you want to stay healthy.

801
00:41:27,559 --> 00:41:30,480
He knew his schedule, and yeah, Ohio State, Ryan Day,

802
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:33,400
I think did an extraordinary job keeping this team fresh

803
00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:35,800
for the stretch run. And I don't blame Signetty for

804
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,480
what he did in Bloomington either. All right, But by

805
00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:39,039
the way.

806
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 4: Brian, if my power ratings have Ohio State six and

807
00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:45,280
a half against Indiana in a neutral so we'll see

808
00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:47,920
how close that is if they both win, I'm a little.

809
00:41:47,639 --> 00:41:49,679
Speaker 1: Lower, but I don't. I don't, But at the same time,

810
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,199
I I that that years feels right like I kind

811
00:41:52,199 --> 00:41:53,480
of was looking at my powerings. I'm like, God, I

812
00:41:53,519 --> 00:41:56,800
wouldn't play Indiana at that number. But again, iow State

813
00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:59,079
guys has not won a Big Ten championships since twenty twenty.

814
00:41:59,119 --> 00:42:00,559
I think they might be hung for that, even though

815
00:42:00,559 --> 00:42:03,159
everyone's gonna tell you they don't care for.

816
00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:06,639
Speaker 6: If I could just one quick thought on the Navy Memphis.

817
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:10,719
Navy has played Memphis awful tough over the years, even

818
00:42:11,199 --> 00:42:14,199
in a lot of times without as good a team

819
00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:17,239
as they have this year, I think we'll see a

820
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:20,760
lot of points scored in this game. Memphis doesn't stop anybody.

821
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:23,920
They score a lot and maybe sort of of the

822
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:27,960
same ilk I mean and Ralph, you know, Navy throws

823
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:29,880
the ball a lot more than they used to in

824
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:32,840
years past, and they're a very diverse offense.

825
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:34,199
Speaker 3: So we may see a lot of points.

826
00:42:34,199 --> 00:42:35,719
Speaker 6: And I think this game is gonna be a lot

827
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:40,320
closer than a lot of people anticipate because a lot

828
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:43,840
of people thinking Memphis is the better team. They may be,

829
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:47,920
but every team that plays Navy is more talented in

830
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:51,559
the American except for maybe Army. Okay, if you stop

831
00:42:51,599 --> 00:42:54,480
and think about it, So Charlotte Charlene.

832
00:42:54,559 --> 00:42:59,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're struggling. They're struggling under Tim Alvin, former Ohio

833
00:42:59,199 --> 00:42:59,840
you head coach.

834
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:01,679
Speaker 5: It's just it's amazing.

835
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,800
Speaker 6: These these service academies are always at the bottom of

836
00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:09,480
the recruiting rankings in terms of classifying how good their

837
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:11,519
incoming freshman classes.

838
00:43:11,599 --> 00:43:14,280
Speaker 3: Yet they know when it comes Army and Navy.

839
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:17,280
Speaker 6: Anyway, in the last couple of years, they've contended for

840
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:18,280
a conference title.

841
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:20,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you talk about points. I was just

842
00:43:20,679 --> 00:43:23,360
gonna throw this real quick, Ralph. I mentioned I was

843
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:26,159
on Navy when they upset South Florida, and you know,

844
00:43:26,199 --> 00:43:27,960
I felt pretty good having ten and a half in

845
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:31,000
my back pocket. That's that I believe. I'll go back

846
00:43:31,000 --> 00:43:34,280
and check. I think the last seven drives of that game,

847
00:43:34,639 --> 00:43:37,159
whichween all ended in touch like they were just trading.

848
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:39,880
So I was up three, U I was up ten,

849
00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:41,800
up three, So I felt good with the cover the

850
00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:46,119
whole way. But still, I mean, it was just touchdown, touchdown, touchdowns.

851
00:43:46,079 --> 00:43:49,000
Speaker 6: All but one, I think all but one South Florida

852
00:43:49,079 --> 00:43:51,480
drive and a second half resulted in a score.

853
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:53,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, I go back to that.

854
00:43:53,679 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 4: I go back to the us F Memphis game. Oh

855
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,320
my god, if there were three seconds on the clock.

856
00:43:58,360 --> 00:43:59,840
That was too much time to leave us f on

857
00:43:59,920 --> 00:44:02,280
the o'clock to drive down. It was crazy how fast

858
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:05,079
those teams went down that the latter part of the

859
00:44:05,119 --> 00:44:07,400
third quarter, in the fourth quarter, I've never seen a

860
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:09,360
game like that in the second half.

861
00:44:10,519 --> 00:44:12,320
Speaker 1: Adam, as you could see on the screen, wants to

862
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:15,280
know about my alma mon Ohio University. They're in Buffalo

863
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:18,719
this week. We know after last night, one team that

864
00:44:18,760 --> 00:44:22,880
will be playing for the MAC Championship, Western Michigan, Ohio,

865
00:44:23,199 --> 00:44:25,719
is not a win in there. In situation, there's a

866
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:28,599
tiebreaker that will be involved, possibly with rival Miami of

867
00:44:28,599 --> 00:44:31,559
Ohio and then the winner of Toledo Central Michigan. I

868
00:44:31,599 --> 00:44:33,199
think the Bobcats are gonna get squeezed out of the

869
00:44:33,199 --> 00:44:35,840
MAC Championship game. But I think they rolled this Buffalo team.

870
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:37,920
I wrote about it a couple of weeks ago when

871
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,679
I played Central Michigan Buffalo. I thought this Buffalo team

872
00:44:40,679 --> 00:44:44,039
was extremely fraudulent. This is a team that struggled to

873
00:44:44,079 --> 00:44:47,599
beat UMass. Anyone who has wanted to put themselves through

874
00:44:47,639 --> 00:44:50,440
the misery of watching a UMass game this year knows

875
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:52,440
that that may be the worst team that we have

876
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:54,800
seen in recent UMass would be at least a seven

877
00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:57,559
point dog to last year's Ken State team, who I

878
00:44:57,559 --> 00:44:59,920
thought was the worst team I'd seen at the FBS

879
00:45:00,079 --> 00:45:02,960
level of recent memory. So they struggled to beat Kent

880
00:45:03,159 --> 00:45:06,599
State Buffalo. I mean so, I think ou as long

881
00:45:06,639 --> 00:45:08,440
as they don't get caught playing with their food, they

882
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:10,639
can go in and they can at least handle their business.

883
00:45:10,679 --> 00:45:13,360
Whether hoping we can get back to the MAC championship game,

884
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:15,519
but I don't know. I think the timer.

885
00:45:17,119 --> 00:45:19,679
Speaker 6: Forecast is looking like a lot of snow in Buffalo

886
00:45:20,159 --> 00:45:21,800
on Thursday Priday, So.

887
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:24,719
Speaker 1: Parker Navarro can take care of it. Parker Navarro can

888
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:25,280
take care of it.

889
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:29,239
Speaker 4: I think, well, again, snow doesn't affect You got to

890
00:45:29,320 --> 00:45:31,079
check the wins. If the wins are over ten miles

891
00:45:31,119 --> 00:45:33,480
an hour, make sure you're adjusting if you have the

892
00:45:33,519 --> 00:45:36,039
past team you know in that game.

893
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,440
Speaker 1: All right, we've talked. I see some people asking them.

894
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:41,760
Ohio State Michigan guys, if you want to if you

895
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:43,119
missed the start of the show, you can catch us

896
00:45:43,119 --> 00:45:45,880
on the replay. Obviously, that was the game we let

897
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:48,800
off with Ohio State Michigan. Ralph will be taking us

898
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:50,440
back to the Big Ten. I know in his best

899
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:53,119
bet segment a game sort of at the opposite pecking

900
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:55,880
order of the opposite of the pecking order in the

901
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,320
Big Ten. But remember, guys, they cash no matter where

902
00:45:58,320 --> 00:46:03,079
they are in the packing orders. So let's you know what,

903
00:46:03,079 --> 00:46:04,920
what do you say, Let's get to our best bets here.

904
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:07,039
We can. If there's any more questions that trickle in,

905
00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:09,760
we can get to those after this, but let's give

906
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:14,280
ourselves some time to talk about our top plays. Ross,

907
00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:16,679
would you like to go first, sir here? I know

908
00:46:16,719 --> 00:46:18,679
that you missed last week, so we mist and so

909
00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:21,480
we missed you. How about you give us your contribution

910
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:24,000
here to the best bet segment of the show.

911
00:46:24,079 --> 00:46:26,239
Speaker 3: I missed you guys as well, and thank you. Brian.

912
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:29,159
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm going to look at the total in this game,

913
00:46:29,199 --> 00:46:31,559
which is sixty five and a half. Look, both of

914
00:46:31,599 --> 00:46:36,599
these offenses are dynamic, and both defenses leave a lot

915
00:46:36,639 --> 00:46:40,159
to be desired when considering they're the number twelve and

916
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:43,360
eighteen team in the country, Vanderbilt three and zero to

917
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:46,360
the over in their last three seventy points per game

918
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,480
scored in those last three games, and their offense over

919
00:46:49,519 --> 00:46:52,880
the last three forty point three points per game, five

920
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:56,280
hundred and twenty three point seven yards per contest. They've

921
00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:59,719
scored thirty one points in nine of their eleven games

922
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:02,679
this year. Year, Tennessee has done the exact same thing,

923
00:47:03,079 --> 00:47:05,679
thirty one points or more in nine of eleven games

924
00:47:05,679 --> 00:47:09,719
this year. Bandy has also allowed thirty plus points in

925
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:13,639
four of their last six Diego Paba. This kid is

926
00:47:13,679 --> 00:47:17,239
a good story and he's exciting to watch. He may

927
00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:19,880
not make it to the NFL on the NFL level,

928
00:47:20,079 --> 00:47:22,679
but boy, he is one hell of a college quarterback

929
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:26,960
this year, seventy two percent completion rate, over twenty nine

930
00:47:27,079 --> 00:47:30,440
hundred yards passing six hundred and sixty one yards rushing,

931
00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:32,800
and accounting for thirty four.

932
00:47:32,599 --> 00:47:35,239
Speaker 3: Touchdowns this year. In their first three games.

933
00:47:35,159 --> 00:47:39,440
Speaker 6: Tennessee's offense and SEC play thirty five points, seven points

934
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:43,039
per game and four hundred and sixty eight yards per contest.

935
00:47:43,159 --> 00:47:47,519
That's pretty damn good when you're facing SEC competition. However,

936
00:47:47,599 --> 00:47:52,119
their defense against SEC opponents this year allowing thirty two

937
00:47:52,159 --> 00:47:56,719
points per game and over four hundred yards per contest. Again,

938
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:59,960
both of these teams are explosive offensively. Both have great

939
00:48:00,239 --> 00:48:03,400
passing games, Bandy averaging over two hundred and eighty three

940
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:07,239
yards of game passing Tennessee, just shy of three hundred

941
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:10,280
and eight. This game, to me has all the makings

942
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:14,719
of a forty one thirty eight, forty five thirty eight

943
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:15,440
type of game.

944
00:48:15,519 --> 00:48:15,840
Speaker 3: Brian.

945
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:18,679
Speaker 6: So I'm gonna go over to total. I'm not gonna

946
00:48:18,679 --> 00:48:20,880
get scared of the high number. It's that high for

947
00:48:20,920 --> 00:48:25,400
a reason. Anything sixty six or lower go over to total.

948
00:48:25,519 --> 00:48:26,519
Vandy in Tennessee.

949
00:48:27,239 --> 00:48:30,800
Speaker 1: All right, that is over in Tennessee Vandy. Vandy got

950
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:32,760
off to a great start in that game last year

951
00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:34,519
and then fell apart. I remember that because I was

952
00:48:34,559 --> 00:48:37,920
on Vandy. Unfortunate that was that was really irritated about that.

953
00:48:38,079 --> 00:48:41,960
We'll see Commodore way back. But Ross likes points no

954
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:45,360
matter who wins. I am now going to talk about

955
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:49,559
I'll give my best bet here it is in Conference USA.

956
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:55,679
Oh is this a doozy niss eight? Liberty had a

957
00:48:55,719 --> 00:48:57,760
really nice free play for you on last week's show.

958
00:48:57,920 --> 00:49:00,400
If you recall, gave out utsa plus two and a

959
00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:04,119
half versus East Carolina. Yeah, it was ECU that had

960
00:49:04,119 --> 00:49:06,360
everything to play for, but it was the road Runners

961
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:09,480
that rolled to a fifty eight to twenty four victory

962
00:49:09,559 --> 00:49:11,199
jumped out to a thirty one nothing lead in the

963
00:49:11,199 --> 00:49:14,079
first half, never in doubt. There was probably the best

964
00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:17,360
play I've given out in this segment all year. I

965
00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:20,119
can't promise y'all it'll be that easy this again this week.

966
00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:22,480
But a bit of a similar setup as I'm taking

967
00:49:22,519 --> 00:49:26,320
Liberty plus two and a half at home against Kennessaw State.

968
00:49:26,639 --> 00:49:28,800
How this play is similar to last week? It's twofold

969
00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:30,559
once again. I'm going to two and a half point

970
00:49:30,559 --> 00:49:34,119
on dog. Also, you've got a road favorite coming in

971
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:37,679
controlling its destiny to get to the conference title game,

972
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:41,320
Knnessaw State. It's a major break when Jacksonville State lost

973
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:44,920
last week Kenneth For those who don't know, Kennessa State,

974
00:49:45,079 --> 00:49:48,239
Jacksonville State, Western Kentucky now all coming to the final

975
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:51,239
weekend of the regular season with identical six and one

976
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:55,599
records in Conference USA. Jacksonville State's playing Western Kentucky on Saturday,

977
00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:58,920
So if Kennesaw State wins here, they're going to face

978
00:49:58,960 --> 00:50:01,599
the winner of that game in the Conference USA championship

979
00:50:01,599 --> 00:50:04,280
next week. So you have to be thinking to yourself, BP,

980
00:50:04,559 --> 00:50:08,400
why aren't we back in Kennisaw as a short favorite here? Well,

981
00:50:08,840 --> 00:50:11,199
Owls were really lucky to get by Missouri State last week.

982
00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:14,159
Really lucky only a twenty percent post game win expectancy

983
00:50:14,159 --> 00:50:17,119
per Bill Conley. They went on a last second touchdown. Now,

984
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:19,320
let's talk about the Liberty side. If I were to

985
00:50:19,360 --> 00:50:20,960
ask you guys to give me a list of the

986
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:23,559
most disappointing teams in the country in all of college

987
00:50:23,599 --> 00:50:26,400
football this season, I think most would have Clemson or

988
00:50:26,440 --> 00:50:29,119
Penn State at the top. But I say no team

989
00:50:29,159 --> 00:50:32,000
has fallen shorter of the mark than Liberty. If you

990
00:50:32,039 --> 00:50:34,039
go back to the preseason, this is a Liberty team

991
00:50:34,039 --> 00:50:36,559
that expected to compete for a group of five spot,

992
00:50:36,639 --> 00:50:39,800
the group of five spot in the College Football playoff. Instead,

993
00:50:40,079 --> 00:50:42,840
here we are final week in the regular season. Flames

994
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:46,000
can't even get ball eligible. Last week another brutal loss

995
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:48,440
for Liberty at Louisiana Tech. They lead twenty eight to

996
00:50:48,480 --> 00:50:51,480
seven in the second half on the road, seventy five

997
00:50:51,519 --> 00:50:54,400
percent post game win expectancy, and they lose in overtime.

998
00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:58,639
Third straight loss by one possession. Nevertheless, my numbers say

999
00:50:58,679 --> 00:51:01,280
Liberty should be a slow favorite here. I'm going to

1000
00:51:01,360 --> 00:51:04,239
trust those numbers in what I feel is an ultimate

1001
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:07,039
by low spot Ross every week on wager Talk Today.

1002
00:51:07,079 --> 00:51:08,599
I know you share a game where you think the

1003
00:51:08,639 --> 00:51:10,880
line makes no sense. Well, here we have a team

1004
00:51:10,880 --> 00:51:13,039
that simply needs to win to get into the conference

1005
00:51:13,079 --> 00:51:15,079
title game, facing an opponent that really has nothing to

1006
00:51:15,079 --> 00:51:19,880
play for, and the line is short. This line sticks.

1007
00:51:20,280 --> 00:51:23,480
Let's hold our nose for a classic BP special liberty

1008
00:51:24,159 --> 00:51:26,360
plus two and a half. If you would have said

1009
00:51:26,360 --> 00:51:28,159
at the start of the season, or even a few

1010
00:51:28,199 --> 00:51:31,039
weeks ago, that Kennesaw State would be favored in this game,

1011
00:51:31,199 --> 00:51:33,320
you would have been committed to a metal institution. I'm

1012
00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:36,599
telling you, give me liberty or give me death. Ever,

1013
00:51:36,719 --> 00:51:39,519
should check out that American Revolution documentary AMPBS. I thought

1014
00:51:39,519 --> 00:51:41,320
it was quite good. There's a random TV wreck on

1015
00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:44,400
the show as well. So liberty is what I'm giving

1016
00:51:44,440 --> 00:51:48,760
you here. Ralph closes out, well, I.

1017
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:51,360
Speaker 5: Am the marquee game. Now.

1018
00:51:51,519 --> 00:51:55,079
Speaker 4: These teams started the season a combined seven to zero.

1019
00:51:55,559 --> 00:51:58,760
They finished the season a combined zero to fifteen. But

1020
00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:02,360
doesn't mean there's not value. Of course, I'm talking about

1021
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:05,960
Michigan State and Maryland. This game is in Ford Field

1022
00:52:06,039 --> 00:52:10,559
in Detroit, and you know this is one where even

1023
00:52:10,599 --> 00:52:14,079
though Michigan State again has lost after three wins. They've

1024
00:52:14,119 --> 00:52:15,800
lost every game since. They're winless in.

1025
00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:16,239
Speaker 5: The Big Ten.

1026
00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:19,199
Speaker 4: Playing where the Detroit Lions play because a lot of

1027
00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:21,960
these kids grew up in that Detroit area still is

1028
00:52:22,039 --> 00:52:24,400
something special for them. I think that gives them a

1029
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:26,679
little bit of an edge. But really it's what have

1030
00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:29,079
you done for me lately in this game? And for

1031
00:52:29,159 --> 00:52:33,719
me it's easy. You look at the last four weeks now,

1032
00:52:33,760 --> 00:52:39,559
who's played the tougher schedule Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State, Iowa

1033
00:52:39,639 --> 00:52:44,400
when Penn State was playing well, or UCLA, Indiana, Rutgers

1034
00:52:44,400 --> 00:52:45,000
in Illinois.

1035
00:52:45,360 --> 00:52:48,679
Speaker 5: Clearly the first one, which is Michigan State.

1036
00:52:49,039 --> 00:52:53,199
Speaker 4: Well in the last four games against Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State,

1037
00:52:53,239 --> 00:52:56,039
and Iowa, Michigan has is plus.

1038
00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:56,840
Speaker 5: One yard per game.

1039
00:52:57,840 --> 00:53:01,239
Speaker 4: You look at the other side, Maryland minus one hundred

1040
00:53:01,239 --> 00:53:05,519
and forty four yards per game their last four massive difference.

1041
00:53:05,559 --> 00:53:08,559
The way they're finishing. I like Michigan State here to

1042
00:53:08,559 --> 00:53:11,400
finish it off with a win in the season finale.

1043
00:53:12,559 --> 00:53:16,280
Speaker 1: All right, there you have it. Three best bets from Ross,

1044
00:53:16,440 --> 00:53:22,559
Ralph and myself. Ross likes over in Vanderbilt, Tennessee. I

1045
00:53:22,679 --> 00:53:25,280
like Liberty getting two and a half, and Ralph is

1046
00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:30,679
laying it with Sparty against Maryland. We too have a

1047
00:53:30,679 --> 00:53:33,239
few minutes left, just a couple more questions here, and

1048
00:53:33,400 --> 00:53:37,079
we can close it Upit versus Miami obvious. Look everyone,

1049
00:53:37,079 --> 00:53:40,599
they're going to manufacture this controversy between Miami and Notre

1050
00:53:40,679 --> 00:53:44,079
Dame for the college football playoffs. I know Miami beating

1051
00:53:44,079 --> 00:53:46,320
Notre Dame. Notre Dame would be a huge favorite if

1052
00:53:46,320 --> 00:53:47,719
those teams play. They were a favorite the first time,

1053
00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:49,440
they'd be a huge favorite if they played again. I

1054
00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:51,639
do agree that, you know, results of these games should

1055
00:53:51,639 --> 00:53:55,159
mean something. It's unfortunate for Miami that they're probably gonna

1056
00:53:55,159 --> 00:53:58,000
get squeezed out of the playoff, but they probably shouldn't

1057
00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:01,480
have lost as a double digit favorite to SMU and Louisville.

1058
00:54:02,159 --> 00:54:03,760
I wouldn't want to lay it with Crystal Ball in

1059
00:54:03,760 --> 00:54:04,159
this spot.

1060
00:54:04,159 --> 00:54:07,719
Speaker 6: Time Miami was a dog, or actually Notre Dame was

1061
00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:09,639
a dog against two and a.

1062
00:54:09,639 --> 00:54:12,239
Speaker 5: Half point dog, I think, right, yeah, oh that's right,

1063
00:54:12,360 --> 00:54:12,639
we were.

1064
00:54:12,679 --> 00:54:15,000
Speaker 1: I apologize. That's right, that's right, Yes, that's right.

1065
00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:16,000
Speaker 5: You know what, Brian.

1066
00:54:16,079 --> 00:54:19,079
Speaker 4: One important thing you said, though, is I think the

1067
00:54:19,119 --> 00:54:22,400
committee would put a huge amount of stock in head

1068
00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:25,039
to head matchups if it were in the last few weeks,

1069
00:54:25,199 --> 00:54:27,760
but they have said they're looking at progressions of teams,

1070
00:54:27,920 --> 00:54:30,440
So a week one loss doesn't hurt you as much

1071
00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:32,599
as a head to head loss two weeks ago, which

1072
00:54:32,599 --> 00:54:35,320
the committee would clearly look at with more emphasis.

1073
00:54:36,199 --> 00:54:39,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just I don't know if anyone I agree. Yeah,

1074
00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:42,920
that's right that Miami was the favorite the first time around.

1075
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:47,440
So all right, let's one more question, Texas Tech. Are

1076
00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:52,199
they giving h too many points there? David wants to

1077
00:54:52,199 --> 00:54:54,960
know USC. Of course, playing UCLA to want to game

1078
00:54:55,079 --> 00:54:56,880
doesn't mean what it used to be anymore.

1079
00:54:56,960 --> 00:54:57,199
Speaker 3: Wow.

1080
00:54:57,280 --> 00:54:59,159
Speaker 1: I mean two teams the opposite end of the spot.

1081
00:54:59,199 --> 00:55:02,159
All they have in common they're both in La. Texas

1082
00:55:02,199 --> 00:55:05,079
Tech obviously has been a juggernaut. I wouldn't want to

1083
00:55:05,119 --> 00:55:06,440
get in front of them. I tried a couple of

1084
00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:09,440
weeks ago. I gave out a free play and that

1085
00:55:09,519 --> 00:55:12,280
was that didn't go swimmingly. Needless to say, the Texas

1086
00:55:12,360 --> 00:55:15,360
Tech team is among the country's elite. I'm really excited

1087
00:55:15,719 --> 00:55:17,880
ross to see them get mixed up with a big

1088
00:55:17,920 --> 00:55:20,920
ten or SEC team in the College Football playoff. Down

1089
00:55:21,000 --> 00:55:22,480
the line, assuming they get there.

1090
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:26,199
Speaker 6: They one of the best defenses in the country. For

1091
00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:30,760
a team not name Ohio State, and they could score too.

1092
00:55:31,039 --> 00:55:33,440
And the difference is in this game is going to

1093
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:36,760
be the two defenses. I think Texas Tech is on

1094
00:55:36,840 --> 00:55:41,119
par with USC offensively, but defensively there's no comparison.

1095
00:55:41,199 --> 00:55:43,719
Speaker 5: Roal, I think, Yeah, isn't it weird?

1096
00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:46,079
Speaker 4: Isn't it weird to hear there's a Big twelve team

1097
00:55:46,079 --> 00:55:48,320
that has a physical defense that is elite.

1098
00:55:48,679 --> 00:55:50,800
Speaker 5: When's the last time? When's the last time we said that?

1099
00:55:51,079 --> 00:55:51,159
Speaker 1: So?

1100
00:55:51,719 --> 00:55:53,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, Texas Tech could be an SEC or a Big

1101
00:55:53,719 --> 00:55:56,559
ten team this year. There's no question they fit in there.

1102
00:55:56,679 --> 00:55:58,719
There's you know, I think I only have them. I

1103
00:55:58,719 --> 00:56:01,480
think I have them four points behind Ohio Stage. Who's

1104
00:56:01,480 --> 00:56:03,000
my top came into my power ratings.

1105
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:05,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I would be less inclined to lay it

1106
00:56:05,639 --> 00:56:08,280
with USC guys. Obviously, this is a team. They had

1107
00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:10,599
their chance last week to kind of force there, to

1108
00:56:10,639 --> 00:56:13,239
try to slide their way into college football playoff. They

1109
00:56:13,239 --> 00:56:15,159
come up short against the Oregon Now laying more than

1110
00:56:15,199 --> 00:56:18,320
three touchdowns. I know UCLA's been terrible in recent weeks,

1111
00:56:18,360 --> 00:56:20,119
but I don't know that's a lot of points.

1112
00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:22,920
Speaker 4: But at least they love to wear their colored uniforms

1113
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:25,679
against each other. It's still the best line up in sports.

1114
00:56:25,679 --> 00:56:27,840
When they walk out just to watch the red end

1115
00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:30,360
the blue. It's it's still a neat it's still Then

1116
00:56:30,400 --> 00:56:31,920
you turn the game off right after you see the

1117
00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:33,199
jerseys once and you're good to go.

1118
00:56:33,719 --> 00:56:35,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, it does. It's a lot better than when Alabama

1119
00:56:35,599 --> 00:56:37,320
plays Arkansas or something like that and you're like, who

1120
00:56:37,360 --> 00:56:41,119
the hell's all right? I think that is going to

1121
00:56:41,159 --> 00:56:43,840
do it. For this edition of the Blitz, we thank

1122
00:56:43,880 --> 00:56:47,800
you all for joining us again. Before you leave, why

1123
00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:50,760
not smash that like button. Don't forget to click subscribe

1124
00:56:50,800 --> 00:56:54,239
as well. Any any if you're catching us on the replay,

1125
00:56:54,960 --> 00:56:57,480
you can still comment down below. Ross Ralph or I

1126
00:56:57,559 --> 00:56:59,960
see your question in time, will be more than happy

1127
00:57:00,360 --> 00:57:02,320
to answer it. We hope you all have a happy

1128
00:57:02,400 --> 00:57:06,719
and say Thanksgiving. Yes, we will be back next week

1129
00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:10,559
for conference Championship weekend, obviously a much smaller slate so

1130
00:57:10,559 --> 00:57:13,119
we can dive maybe a little bit deeper into those games.

1131
00:57:13,719 --> 00:57:16,320
Until then, let's cash the tickets.