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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in.

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Speaker 2: It is Wednesday morning time for Total Basis, your Free

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Pick Botch the intro Your Your Free Pick MLB Free

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Pick Show on the wager Talk YouTube channel. Man, I

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cannot think this morning we're hitting that we're at the

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home stretch.

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Speaker 1: It's been a long first half, but it's been a

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good first half.

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Speaker 2: Of course, Sunday is the end of the I guess

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the unofficial.

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Speaker 1: End of the first half is.

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Speaker 2: Brian Leonard pointed out yesterday the halfway point was a

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while ago. But they have the All Star break about

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ninety games in I never quite understood that. I always

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thought it should be the first half break and then

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the second half. But there must be something about mid

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July and that All Star game that that that jives.

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I guess it's just been that way forever. And I know,

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I know you're like me, Brian. You don't like to

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change things that have been a certain way forever. It's

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why I have such a problem with some with the

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ghost Runner and some of these rules. But that's either

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here nor there. It's time to talk baseball. We got

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fifteen games today, day games. I love Wednesdays and Thursdays

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because we get some early games, some later games, and

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I'm going to start with, you know, with what I

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think is sort of the feature matchup again this week.

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Speaker 1: We talked about it first yesterday. That's Brewers Dodgers.

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Speaker 2: We have the return of Tyler Glass now today and

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he's up against the Brewers who are suddenly red hot.

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Speaker 1: So let's start there. Brewers Dodgers, how are you seeing

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this one?

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Speaker 3: You would mentioned the ghost Runner. The only problem I

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have with the ghost Runner is betting in totals. It's

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equal for both teams from the side standpoint, and I agree.

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I don't like games going in seventeen innings and blowing

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out your entire rotation or your bullpen. So yeah, it's yesterday.

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I had the Kansas City under and they tied it

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up at three to three, and I thought I was

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going to lose that game. There was a clear under

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all day long. That's my only concern about that. Yeah,

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I supposed to be back today four point five oh

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era five point four five, expected a little bit higher there,

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one point two eight whip. He's only pitched eighteen innings

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this year, so all of his numbers are a little

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bit a little haven't come into a full focus yet

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on the stackass page his extension is one hundred percentile

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and he's six foot eight. That tells you how he

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has success. He's very good in that regard. He's going

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up against, as you mentioned, was a Quintana, a veteran,

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been around a long time. This is his fourtheenth season.

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He's got a three point seventy three career ERA. That's

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pretty good. You know, he's always mentioned as an afterthought,

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and he was a free agent last year and nobody

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really wanted him. But he's been a pretty good pitcher.

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He's got three four point four to four ERA this

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year four point one to nine expected. His whip is

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high one point three nine. His career is one point

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two eight. That's what you get out of him. He

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is whif ray. He's only in the third percent seventh

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percentile strikeout rate in a fastball velocity six percentile. So

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the problem is he's not very good with his fastball.

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But the smart thing is he only throws at ten

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percent of the time, so he's one of those veterans

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that understands what he's doing. He's not the same guy

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he was years ago. In fact, fifteen point eight is

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the strikeout rate this year and that's the lowest it's

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been in the last decade. So he's he's a guy

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that I like to bet on because of that, and

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it comes into this game. He's a lefty going up

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against the Dodgers daughters in last night. We're about a

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one fifty five favorite total eight and a half. I

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mentioned yesterday about the wreckers for Milwaukee and the Dodgers.

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Milwaukee now has the biggest run differential in Major League Baseball,

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in front of the Detroit Tigers. So this is a

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good baseball team. They've got the confidence up. The Dodgers

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right now are struggling, and even though they do take

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games off, you would think when they're playing a team

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that they could possibly play in the playoffs, you would

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get their best effort. I don't want to lay one

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fifty five fifty here for the Dodgers based on what

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they're doing, and with Glass now coming back, who knows

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if he's going to be on a pitch count or not.

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And against lefties, Let's see what the Doctors have been

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in the last month or so. They're number seven, won

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thirteen since January first, so good, not great, slightly with

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Milwaukee as the dog here, but probably won't get involved.

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Speaker 4: There are a couple factors in this game that are

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a mystery to me. One of them is how is

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Tyler Glass now going to do? He's been out for

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extended period of time. If you cover the logos and

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you cover the team names here, the Dodgers are one

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of the worst teams in MLB in current form. Horrible bullpen,

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horrible batting. They haven't been playing her Nandez, who, in

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my opinion, is pretty much the heart and soul of

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their lineup. I know Otani gets all the accolades, and

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Freeman and Bets are really unbelievable baseball players, but to me,

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players like Hernandez and Smith are the reason this team

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is winning. In my opinion, they they're the kind of

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the hard and soul, and neither one of them have

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been playing so I think. To me, it seems like

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the Dodgers are kind of thrown in the towel in

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the last series. In this series, maybe they'll try to

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make up some games against the White Sox before the

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end of the before the All Star Game, but they're

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just not playing well at all. I don't like Jose Kintana. Actually,

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I have him ranked twenty one out of thirty on

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a curve of thirty pitchers including his including his expected numbers.

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But the Brewers' bullpen playing outstanding and their batters are

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hitting the ball quite well. So if I covered the

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and team names, I would think the Brewers could win this.

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But I have never been a fan of Quintana, and

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I don't know what to expect from glass Now, so

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I won't play it.

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Speaker 1: So Glass Now.

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Speaker 2: I watched his last two rehab starts at Oklahoma City.

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The last one, the most recent one, was considerably better

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than the first two, kind of you know, had him.

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So I watched him pitch against Sacramento. He was all

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over the place, really struggled with command.

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Speaker 1: It was.

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Speaker 2: It was not good, and that's not a team that

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hits particularly well. Last time out against Las Vegas, who

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has one of the best lineups in Triple A this

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year pretty much at any point in time and right

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now he was he was very solid. So he went

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four and a third, you know, still gave up, still

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still missed out over the plate quite a bit, didn't

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walk anyone. Eight strikeouts like it was. It was an

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encouraging sort of third outing. So for that reason, I'm

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less inclined to fade him here. And also the Brewers

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are coming in, like, it's not really the spot I

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want to now go against the Dodgers. I you know,

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I didn't benefit from this Dodger's little losing streak, so

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I don't want to like jump in right now and

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pick this spot to go against them. That being said,

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like if you've been betting the Brewers this whole time,

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I don't dislike a.

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Speaker 1: Brewers plus one and a half. I think that's that's reasonable.

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Speaker 2: Roque Energy says, you know, I've been looking at fade

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Quintana last Now's light years better.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's very true.

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Speaker 2: But I really think you have to just acknowledge the

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fact that glast now hasn't pitched since you know he's

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he's still working his way back. You're still probably looking

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five innings maybe from him. I would say, like, that's

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a real I think that's a reasonable sort of you know,

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he might give you five good innings.

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Speaker 1: I don't think he's going to go to particularly deep

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into the game.

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Speaker 2: And I do think like these next few days, you

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know that the Dodgers, like they theoretic, we could lose

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every game from now, do we all start breaking be fine.

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Speaker 1: Mentally, they're just not.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that I want to play the Dodgers

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right now where they're at mentally, because they really could

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just be in cruise control going into the break and

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then they you know, the break's gonna get a chance

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to regroup, come out, and they're gonna be fine. So

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for that reason, I can't play the Brewers, though my

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numbers do suggest some value on Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: Go ahead, Brian Leonard.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just from I know you've pointed this out in

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the past, when Corbin was with Washington, you'd have a

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similar picture going back to back, totally different pictures from Milwaukee. Uh,

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miss Rowski is the big, the big, fastball, big strike

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twelve strikeouts yesterday at six innings. Now we're going up

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against a more of a jump ball pitcher at this

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point of his career. But he is a veteran, so

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it's totally a different type of picture they saw yesterday.

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I think that's an advantage from Milwaukee.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's uh, let's keep it going. There are

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a whole bunch of games today. I'd love to get

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to as many as possible. Let's go to the Let's

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go to the chat Mark Kinson, our guy Markinson. He's

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talking about, well, I'll goanna pull Collins comming up because

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he is in ladder mode right now. He says red

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Sox minus one and a half, minus two and a

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half the team total, the mascot getting a hit. He's

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taking the Red Sox every which way. It has been

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a blood bath for the Colorado Rockies at Fenway Park,

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Bryan Leonard, it.

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Speaker 1: Probably continues today.

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Speaker 2: I see zero redeeming qualities for the Rockies, and the

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Red Sox need these wins right now they had. I mean,

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these are our golden opportunity wins for a team like

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the Red Sox to stack up as they try to

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insert themselves back into that American League East race and

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in the wild Card race.

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Speaker 1: So I can't really disagree with Colin here. What do

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you think?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? The only problem is the line lives very very

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high right now. Boston against the National League this year

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sixteen and ten, Colorado against the America League five and

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twenty one, very similar to what Colorado has been giving

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you all season long. SINSATLA going for Colorado. Not much

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more to say here. He's the worst pitcher in Major

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League Baseball is still getting innings. Eighty six innings this

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year so far for him six point five seven e

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RA six point six to zero expected ERA one point

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nine whip. He's in the first percentile. This is one guy.

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He's in the first percentile in pitching run value, basketball

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run value, auspreed run value, expected DRA, expected batting the average,

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and strikeout percentage. This guy. I'm an underdog player, and

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there's no way in hell I want to play anything

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with Censtela. The only problem you have with Giolito is

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is in consistency. But he's been very good as of

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late section essension eighty fifth percentile. He's six foot six

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that's major, but expected adding average only in the ninth percentile.

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Austrey run value in the twelfth, expected the RA seventeenth.

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So he does has the faults, but he's starting to

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put it all together coming back from injury. He's only

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a four pitch pitcher and he only throws his curve

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three percent of the time. I'm not a big lover

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of guys that throw the fastball a lot, and his

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four team has used forty nine percent of the time

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his fastball velocity. He's only in the thirty fifth percentile.

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So he's not a guy even though he throws the

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fastball a lot, he's not a guy that gets a

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lot of strackouts this year. Last year he had two

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hundred four or excuse me, twenty twenty three, two hundred

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four strikeouts in one hundred and eighty four innings. This

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year not quite as good, but lately a little bit better. Yes,

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she had boss to win, Yes, but we see this

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all the time. We saw it out Houston yesterday and

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I had Houston just did not play well in the

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first half of that game, and obviously one pitch and

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they that game and in extra heading. So it's tough

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to lay these three dollars payers because if you lose them,

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you've got a lot to catch up on. And so

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even though I preferred Boston side, I won't get involved here.

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Speaker 4: So, guys, I have two MLB plays out already. If

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you go down there, you can see mine, Adam and

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Bryan's pages at wager Talk. We'll all have something out

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for today, some good matchups, some things to like. I

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just surpassed plus one hundred units in twenty twenty five,

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So grab my plays down there. Hopefully I can keep

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it knocking on wood and keep that going. So regarding

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this game Gielido, I was really skeptical when he came

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back and started pitching. He had one game against the

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Angels where he got absolutely torched. I just thought he

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was shot, he was done, and his career was over.

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But how wrong was I? Since that game, he's started

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five games and he's only allowed three earned runs in

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all five of those games. Amazing stuff. So I have

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turned a leaf on g Aledo. He is back to

247
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bonafide stud ge Aledo, and I am ready to back

248
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him at this price. It's a little tough, however, I

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don't mind the minus one and a half here. I

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think Boston will curb stomp these guys. They've got the

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better bullpen. Boston's, well, their bullpen's not performing real well,

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but neither is Colorado's. At the moment, Geeledo is just

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an absolute stud. As Brian said, Senzetela, probably the worst

254
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regular starter in all of Major League Baseball versus a

255
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starter who's given up three earned runs in five starts,

256
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pretty amazing. Boston's bats are on fire. I have them

257
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ranked number one in MLB. No other way to go,

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but Boston find a way to bet them. There are

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ways to get around the steep price. For example, ge

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Aledo to record a win. I checked it before the show.

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It was minus one ten record a win. I generally

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like to get plus one sixty or so to record

263
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a win, because you have to do three things to

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record a win. It's pretty tough to do. But I

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don't think it'll be tough today. Geelito will definitely, well,

266
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I'm not gonna say definitely. Gelito will most likely go

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five innings, Boston will most likely be winning after those

268
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five innings, and their bullpen most likely will protect the win.

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That would be the way I would go.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's a you know, going going back

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to Collins comment like that, that would be a way

272
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to sort of just try to ladder your way up

273
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and see if you can get odds with like a

274
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bigger blowout type win, because there's not there's just not

275
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a ton of value like playing a Red Sox win

276
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or even like Red Sox minus one and a half.

277
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I almost think like maybe maybe you ride some of

278
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these hotter Red Sox hitters and like hitter prop type scenarios.

279
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Romey Gonzales just raking right now, Roman Anthony's got a

280
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great streak going both I think matchup pretty well. Would

281
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send of Taylor, who theory like he he might throw

282
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VP today, He's actually like, I still think he.

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Speaker 1: Is the worst starter right now.

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Speaker 2: That is like a regular starter that's been up all

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year in Major League Baseball, and he's actually been semi

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respectable of late. But I don't I don't think he's

287
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gonna be semi respectable here. He's probably got to blow

288
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up coming in his future. And uh, Fenway Park is

289
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is like he's on that team because he deals with

290
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the altitude. Okay, right, So this is actually probably a

291
00:15:28,919 --> 00:15:31,919
much worse scenario for a guy like sens of Taila

292
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than pitching at home at Coursefield, a hitter friendly park

293
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with a a crowd that's gonna get on you, right, Like,

294
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have you ever been to a game at Fenway. They're

295
00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:43,399
they're gonna they're right on top of you. They're gonna

296
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get on you, whether you're whether you're Garrett Cole or

297
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Antonio sends to Taila. So I think this is a

298
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really tough spot for him. BBF Ford said it should.

299
00:15:51,639 --> 00:15:54,759
Uh you know the Rockies bullpen, Yeah, they've used the

300
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bullpen arms and that bullpen has not been as good

301
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as it was maybe a month or or maybe six

302
00:16:00,279 --> 00:16:03,840
weeks ago. Red Sox blowout here, find a way to

303
00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:05,600
play it. But but they're gonna win this game big,

304
00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:06,840
most likely, go ahead, Brian Letter.

305
00:16:09,519 --> 00:16:12,720
Speaker 3: If Colorado ever had Al Rader good enough to get

306
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into the All Star Game or the Home Reading Contest,

307
00:16:16,639 --> 00:16:18,200
you think it would be bad if he has sense

308
00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:19,399
of tellent to pitch to him.

309
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Speaker 2: I know, right, Yeah, it's that is that's a that's

310
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,200
a funny. It's a funny, uh thought. But yeah, I

311
00:16:27,279 --> 00:16:30,679
mean again, the guy, he's he's the one holdover from

312
00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:34,879
those like twenty eighteen playoff Rockies teams. He's he's the

313
00:16:35,039 --> 00:16:38,759
organization loves him. He's sort of given everything to that organization.

314
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,440
I think they're gonna let him eat up innings until

315
00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:43,840
he no longer wants to eat up innings. But he's

316
00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:46,799
been able to pitch at altitude. Today he's at Ben

317
00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:48,600
White Park. I think it's gonna be a different story.

318
00:16:48,639 --> 00:16:53,240
Let's move along, and Brad, yeah, that was a interesting

319
00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:55,360
he said. Brad says, hey, guys, I had everything come

320
00:16:55,399 --> 00:16:58,639
in except the cups. Let's turn it around. I gotta

321
00:16:58,679 --> 00:17:00,679
be honest, like it didn't make my client card. But

322
00:17:00,759 --> 00:17:03,080
we can talk about the game that did the Braves,

323
00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:06,079
which was probably my worst call of the season. We'll

324
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get to that later in the show. I was, I

325
00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:12,799
was quite surprised with the Cubs yesterday. They were totally flat.

326
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:16,640
They did nothing off Simeon Woods Richardson. The final score

327
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:18,400
is a little bit deceiving, like that was a two

328
00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:20,920
to nothing game in like the seventh. But man, you

329
00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:24,359
know that the Cubs I expect I've grown to expect

330
00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,440
better out of than Brian Leonard because I truly believe

331
00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:29,640
they're a contender for in the in the World Series

332
00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:33,920
picture this year. So today, you know, I get like

333
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:36,200
I don't. I don't think David fest is an easier

334
00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:38,720
option than Simon Woods Richardson. I think they're they're right

335
00:17:38,759 --> 00:17:41,000
about the same guys that you know, kind of trying

336
00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,279
to trying to compete for that fifth spot in the rotation.

337
00:17:44,319 --> 00:17:46,880
But I think I come back with the Cubs here

338
00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,400
another crack against the lesser pitcher. Cade Hort and David

339
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:52,519
Festa were back in Minnesota. How do you see this one?

340
00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:55,799
Speaker 3: I see this as my part of the parlay today

341
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:58,680
and I fermally agree that the Cubs should be a

342
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:03,279
good bounce back candidate today. Kate Horton against Festa Festa

343
00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:07,480
right now about a one ten favorite overall, nine and

344
00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:10,960
a half to the under on the total. Yeah, the

345
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,359
Cubs are just one of those teams that when you

346
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talk about the lineup one through nine, they're good hitting lineup.

347
00:18:17,039 --> 00:18:20,119
Kate Horton's been just as good as his promise. Comes

348
00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,359
in with a four point one five ERA, four point

349
00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:26,160
four eight expected, one point three to eight whip. Take

350
00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:28,599
a look at his game logs as of late. He's

351
00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,839
coming off of a shutout of the Guardians, but before

352
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:35,559
that he did get hit by Houston and didn't pitch

353
00:18:35,599 --> 00:18:37,960
well against Seattle. But this is a guy that I

354
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,480
like what he's doing. He's had He's had a few

355
00:18:40,519 --> 00:18:43,039
games where he has struggled. The Tigers had it pretty

356
00:18:43,079 --> 00:18:46,440
well too, gave up four runs to them. But this

357
00:18:46,519 --> 00:18:49,240
is this is a guy I'm looking to back. Not

358
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:53,200
a great strikeout guy, thirteenth percentile got just strike out

359
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:58,359
to walk ratio on the season is nine point eight,

360
00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:02,119
not very good. But I've watched him pitch and he's

361
00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:03,680
had a couple of bad breaks go against him. I

362
00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,960
think he's better than what he has shown. Fest is

363
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,119
the guy that the team wants to have in there,

364
00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:12,720
but he just doesn't eat up the innings. Comes in

365
00:19:12,759 --> 00:19:15,119
with a five point four to EIGHTYRA, four point sixty

366
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:18,640
six expected, one point three to six whip great extension

367
00:19:19,079 --> 00:19:22,319
ninety first percentile, and he's six foot six. But other

368
00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:24,640
than that, he has problems with the barrel rates seventeen

369
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:28,680
percentile expected, the RAS and the twentieth percentile. Best is

370
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:30,880
a guy that we really like coming into the season,

371
00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:34,000
and I'm just not buying into it. He just has

372
00:19:34,039 --> 00:19:37,240
struggled when he gets to the third time he sees

373
00:19:37,319 --> 00:19:39,799
these teams, these players in the league. I like the

374
00:19:39,799 --> 00:19:42,160
Cubs here. It was a real surprise to me that

375
00:19:42,599 --> 00:19:45,039
Minnesota hit as well as he did yesterday. I'm still

376
00:19:45,079 --> 00:19:48,680
not buying into Minnesota. I think the Cubs here. Basically

377
00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:52,079
plus one hundred is the way that I would play

378
00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:54,440
this game, and I would use this as my play

379
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:55,119
in the parlat.

380
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:02,400
Speaker 4: I wish Minnesota was playing this game on the road. Amazingly,

381
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:05,160
they have a losing record overall, but their home record

382
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,680
is twenty five and eighteen, so just imagine how horrible

383
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:11,759
they are on the road in this game. I have

384
00:20:11,880 --> 00:20:18,200
both starters fairly even right around the mediocre line, and

385
00:20:18,319 --> 00:20:22,519
I have both bullpens. I have Minnesota's bullpen slightly lower

386
00:20:22,519 --> 00:20:25,119
than the Cubs. The Cubs bullpen is not exactly one

387
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,880
that you can throw all your trust in, but that

388
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:30,519
lineup sure is. I was on the Cubs yesterday and

389
00:20:30,559 --> 00:20:34,039
I lost that game. I was on the Astros as well,

390
00:20:34,079 --> 00:20:36,839
and I lost that game. So just you know, things

391
00:20:36,839 --> 00:20:40,279
don't go as you think sometimes. But I can't see

392
00:20:40,279 --> 00:20:43,559
the Cubs losing this one. I'm not going to put

393
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,359
a lot on it. The one thing about Festa, though,

394
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,519
is he doesn't walk people very much. His walk to

395
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,880
strikeout ratio is really good, where Cad Horton's is not

396
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,680
so good. That's a little bit of a worry. But

397
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:57,400
I think the Cubs lineup, I mean, Saya Suzuki was

398
00:20:57,559 --> 00:21:01,319
awful yesterday. What was he doing? He was terrible. I

399
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:03,880
was just going on and on about how he got

400
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:05,920
snubbed in the All Star Game and how it was

401
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:08,200
a sham sham and all that, and then he goes

402
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,279
out there and strikes out three times in a row,

403
00:21:10,559 --> 00:21:12,640
one time with the bases loaded. I mean, what are

404
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,480
you doing. I don't think the Cubs are gonna play

405
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:17,680
like that two days in a row, So that would

406
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:19,319
be the way I would go, but I haven't played

407
00:21:19,319 --> 00:21:20,839
it yet.

408
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think they're gonna play like that two

409
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:24,079
days in a row either.

410
00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:26,799
Speaker 2: I do think it's it's worth pointing out something that

411
00:21:26,839 --> 00:21:30,400
we've talked about all week like this is it's those

412
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,079
last few days, you know, at the office before you

413
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:36,000
get to go on vacation. I know everyone in this

414
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:39,559
chat can relate to that in some manner, like when

415
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:42,799
you have a vacation planned, those last couple days of

416
00:21:42,839 --> 00:21:45,920
work not always your most productive, and it's like it's

417
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,279
human nature. You can't even take it out of a ballplayer.

418
00:21:48,319 --> 00:21:50,440
You would like to think that the Cubs just come

419
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:53,720
out and bounce back here and play better. BBF four

420
00:21:53,799 --> 00:21:56,359
in the chat says Cubs only scored one run total. Yeah,

421
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,839
that was surprising to me. I felt like their lineup

422
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,880
should have done damage against Woods Richardson and they didn't.

423
00:22:02,079 --> 00:22:04,440
I feel like they should do damage against David Festa.

424
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:06,920
You talked about FESTI he doesn't walk, guys, but what

425
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,160
he does is he'll put when he gets guys on base,

426
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:11,119
he throws it down the middle of the plate. He's

427
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,279
been doing it since he got called up last year.

428
00:22:13,319 --> 00:22:17,000
It's my it's my one. It's his one. Fatal flaw

429
00:22:17,319 --> 00:22:19,960
at the big league level is the second he gets

430
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,640
into a little trouble. Instead of nibbling a little bit

431
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,960
and trying to hit a corner, nick a corner, getting out,

432
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:29,359
make a competitive pitch, he throws the ball down the

433
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:31,920
middle and praise that it gets hit at one. I mean,

434
00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:33,519
I'm not saying that that's what he's doing, but that's

435
00:22:33,559 --> 00:22:37,079
what he does, right. Like he he he moves the

436
00:22:37,079 --> 00:22:41,640
ball off the corners, it catches plate, and suddenly it's

437
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:43,880
a two to three run inning. We talked about Festa

438
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,160
last week. That's exactly what happened. I think he was

439
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,720
up against the Marlins first inning, some traffic on the

440
00:22:49,759 --> 00:22:53,440
bases and he grooves one to I think Sanchez or

441
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:55,799
Stours took him deep. All of a sudden, it was

442
00:22:55,799 --> 00:22:58,200
a three to nothing game. Now he settled in that

443
00:22:58,279 --> 00:23:01,079
game and he can't. And that's that's the frustrating part

444
00:23:01,079 --> 00:23:03,240
with him, is he can be if he's on and

445
00:23:03,759 --> 00:23:05,319
he's got it working. He doesn't have a ton of

446
00:23:05,319 --> 00:23:07,519
traffic on the basis he will go four or five

447
00:23:07,559 --> 00:23:10,759
innings and be respectable. But the Cubs are a tough

448
00:23:10,799 --> 00:23:12,519
team to do that too. Because this goes back to

449
00:23:12,559 --> 00:23:14,640
what I've talked about all year. I think the Cubs

450
00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:17,640
have tremendous at bats one through nine. I think yesterday

451
00:23:17,759 --> 00:23:21,400
was a just a day where they lacked focus. Remember

452
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,880
they want they won eleven and nothing on Saturday or

453
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,640
on Sunday, then a day off on Monday. You have

454
00:23:26,759 --> 00:23:30,480
to just think that yesterday just not focused in that game.

455
00:23:31,039 --> 00:23:32,720
I think the Cubs are going to be focused here.

456
00:23:32,759 --> 00:23:34,720
So I'm with you, guys. I like the Cubs to

457
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,680
bounce back. Brian, Brian Lennon, did you say that you're

458
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:38,519
Parlay Lake? Did I hear that correctly?

459
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:41,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's my Parlay leg Get plus one hundred and

460
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,640
good points about Festa. You see this a lot where

461
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,519
guys come up from the miners. They had a lot

462
00:23:47,519 --> 00:23:51,039
of success in the minors by just having really good stuff,

463
00:23:51,599 --> 00:23:54,359
and then they get into the majors and they think

464
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,200
they can compete the same way. But these guys are

465
00:23:57,319 --> 00:24:01,039
in the majors for a reason. Great is leg At.

466
00:24:01,039 --> 00:24:03,000
We're j eight point four percent. That's his career at

467
00:24:03,039 --> 00:24:07,559
walk great. So he uh yeah, he's He's a guy

468
00:24:07,559 --> 00:24:10,319
that we like, we like, always liked. But I just

469
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:12,480
don't think the situation sets up well for them. And

470
00:24:12,559 --> 00:24:15,720
you know it's the Cubs are the better team. You know,

471
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:17,559
you're getting a better team off the loss. You talked

472
00:24:17,559 --> 00:24:19,599
about him winning eleven or nothing. Just think about it.

473
00:24:20,559 --> 00:24:23,160
If you win eleven or nothing, then you have the

474
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,720
next day off, everybody's talking about how good you are.

475
00:24:25,839 --> 00:24:28,039
You know, hey, we're we're cooking right now.

476
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:29,079
Speaker 1: Who is the.

477
00:24:29,039 --> 00:24:31,920
Speaker 3: Team that prepared more for yesterday's game? It was the

478
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,799
Twins at that point. The Twins are sitting there, you know,

479
00:24:35,279 --> 00:24:37,559
we're falling out of this division. We've got to turn

480
00:24:37,599 --> 00:24:40,839
it around. They came out with the injury energy Yesterdary.

481
00:24:40,839 --> 00:24:43,200
I think the Cubs bring it today.

482
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:45,519
Speaker 2: And I wonder how much like you know, early infests

483
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:48,519
his career. I know you're not a huge rockerball Delli

484
00:24:48,559 --> 00:24:51,279
guy at this point, and I might I kind of.

485
00:24:51,279 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 1: Been questioning it what I think of him as a

486
00:24:53,039 --> 00:24:53,759
manager as well.

487
00:24:53,799 --> 00:24:55,640
Speaker 2: At least, you know, the last couple of years, I

488
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,119
felt like the Twins that had really good teams, great

489
00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:00,480
opportunities to compete, and he squander them a little bit

490
00:25:00,839 --> 00:25:03,960
early in his career, he yanked him early a couple

491
00:25:04,079 --> 00:25:06,640
times when he did nibble and put guys on, and

492
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:10,160
I just wonder like if he messed with Festa's mentality

493
00:25:10,279 --> 00:25:13,200
enough where now when he gets guys on, he feels like, oh,

494
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:15,519
if I walk this next guy, I'm coming out of

495
00:25:15,519 --> 00:25:15,880
the game.

496
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:17,720
Speaker 1: So I better try to make a pitch here.

497
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:19,680
Speaker 2: But every time he tries to make that pitch, it's

498
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:22,640
it's middle, middle, and it's and it's smoked.

499
00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:23,319
Speaker 1: For a double or a home run.

500
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 2: So it's just something I've noticed sort of watching him

501
00:25:26,039 --> 00:25:29,680
a lot, like through the miners and now never did

502
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:31,400
that in the miners because I don't think he ever

503
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,480
feared getting You know, if a guy, they're not taking

504
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,799
you out of the game in minor league baseball unless

505
00:25:36,799 --> 00:25:37,680
you hit a pitch count.

506
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:38,759
Speaker 1: They don't care.

507
00:25:38,839 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 2: I mean, you could be giving up six to seven

508
00:25:41,039 --> 00:25:43,000
runs if you haven't hit that pitch count yet, you're

509
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,960
probably not coming out. That's that's more developmental. At the

510
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,400
big weegue level, it's about winning games. I think bald

511
00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:50,880
Delly maybe messed with his confidence a little bit and

512
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,680
now he's gonna have to work on that, but tough

513
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:55,720
to work on that against the Cubs. I agree with you, Brian,

514
00:25:55,839 --> 00:25:58,839
that might be something I play today. All Right, Sorry

515
00:25:58,839 --> 00:26:00,519
for being long winded there. I thought it was an

516
00:26:00,519 --> 00:26:04,880
interesting conversation, and you know, I think that's the reason

517
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:06,680
that that people watch this show. So we're going a

518
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,480
little deeper talking about fest and mids. It missing over

519
00:26:09,519 --> 00:26:11,640
the middle and it starts, but we're gonna move on

520
00:26:12,319 --> 00:26:16,200
to your Guardians, Brian Leonard. Can they do it? Victoria

521
00:26:16,279 --> 00:26:19,759
wants to know. Can they sweep the Houston Astros. I

522
00:26:19,799 --> 00:26:21,920
talked about this yesterday for a minute. I said, hey,

523
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:23,880
ten game losing streak, they get the win in the

524
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:26,279
fashion they did, maybe it gets them going a little bit.

525
00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:31,319
Certainly looks like it has. Do you like the Guardians

526
00:26:31,319 --> 00:26:32,640
to get it done today?

527
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 3: Kid Sigoni going for Cleveland and Lefty Walter going for Houston.

528
00:26:42,039 --> 00:26:44,279
This I believe this is a third time in four

529
00:26:44,319 --> 00:26:48,599
games the the Guardians are face to Lefty. That's probably

530
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,920
positive for them. Walter is about a one forty three

531
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:57,319
favorite total eighths to the under minus one twenty. Chraconi

532
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:01,359
is a guy that a lot of people and Cleveland

533
00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:03,480
thought that could do something with him coming into this

534
00:27:03,559 --> 00:27:06,680
season three point five six ERA five point two to

535
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:10,440
one expected one point three to one whip. He's not

536
00:27:10,559 --> 00:27:13,240
pitched as good as his numbers say based on his

537
00:27:13,319 --> 00:27:15,799
expected DRA And if you take a look at the

538
00:27:15,799 --> 00:27:20,400
sec cast page first percentile and average Aaxson velocity first percentile,

539
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:23,720
and chase rate first percentile and hard hit rate second

540
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:27,319
percent island barrel percentage. Yeah, he can get hit hard,

541
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:30,559
and he's getting going up against this Houston team who's

542
00:27:31,039 --> 00:27:34,720
got very good hitters on the team, regardless of who

543
00:27:34,759 --> 00:27:37,440
they have that's injured. I will say, even though I

544
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:41,319
had Houston yesterday, that bottom of the Houston lineup now

545
00:27:41,519 --> 00:27:45,240
with the former shortstop short I believe it is his

546
00:27:45,319 --> 00:27:48,440
name for Detroit, he just doesn't get it done there.

547
00:27:48,559 --> 00:27:51,160
They really need Penia to come back right now. He

548
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:54,039
says he's not hurt as much as what they say.

549
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:57,200
Who knows, but Pina. You know, obviously he's having a

550
00:27:57,319 --> 00:28:00,319
terrific season. They need him back in the lineup. Walker

551
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:03,920
four point one five ERA three point one nine expected

552
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:07,960
very good one point one to three whip. His basketball

553
00:28:08,039 --> 00:28:11,359
velocites only in the fourteenth percentile and his shrekout rate

554
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:16,400
is twenty two point eight. That's that's going to come back.

555
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,759
One of those is telling you something while the other

556
00:28:18,799 --> 00:28:21,119
one's telling you just the opposite. I think it's going

557
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:23,880
to come back. Who got a walter and every time

558
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:27,960
he comes up to pitch. He's one of the guys

559
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,720
that the Tokyo Brianon loves. He's only had a one

560
00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:34,400
point four percent walk rate on the season and thirty

561
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:37,559
four point two innings thirty three strikeouts, so he's got

562
00:28:37,559 --> 00:28:39,680
a right now. He's got a twenty one point four

563
00:28:39,799 --> 00:28:43,920
strikeout much walk ratio that is elite. I don't think

564
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:46,640
it's going to continue, but I've talked about this when

565
00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,680
you've got lefties that people don't know very well. And

566
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:51,960
he hadn't pitched since twenty twenty three. He only had

567
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,519
twenty three innings in there, all out of the bullpen.

568
00:28:55,319 --> 00:28:58,240
He's a guy I'm looking to back. Average x Velostiti

569
00:28:58,319 --> 00:29:02,079
ninety fifth percentile walk right, one hundredth obviously ninety fourth

570
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:05,160
chase er eight. I like him a lot better than

571
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:09,519
the Cleveland pitcher here, and I was a little bit

572
00:29:09,599 --> 00:29:12,480
surprised by the line being as low as it was

573
00:29:12,559 --> 00:29:15,480
after I would spend the last couple of days. I

574
00:29:15,519 --> 00:29:19,960
will say that the closer for Houston give up that

575
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:23,119
Grand Slam, best closure in baseball, in my opinion, he

576
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:24,759
will be out tonight. He's not going to be able

577
00:29:24,799 --> 00:29:27,119
to pitch back to back. Cleveland want to take you

578
00:29:27,119 --> 00:29:30,000
when you take a look at the Cleveland bullpen a

579
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:34,359
little bit different. We've got Manuel class A pitched three

580
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,400
straight games. He's not going to be in the game tonight.

581
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,920
Hunter Gaddis pitched three straight games. He's not going to

582
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,440
be in the games tonight. In fact, these guys, you

583
00:29:43,519 --> 00:29:46,119
guys that don't usually pitch more than twice. Even from

584
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:48,960
the Indians brock As they talk about Sorry Guardians broadcast,

585
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,839
they talked about that yesterday Gaddis didn't have it and

586
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,759
they said that he's never pitched a third game in

587
00:29:53,759 --> 00:29:56,240
a row. Class A, luckily you only had to throw

588
00:29:56,319 --> 00:30:00,720
fifteen pitches. But Smith has been injured and he did

589
00:30:00,759 --> 00:30:03,920
not look good yesterday once again. So if Cleveland bullpen

590
00:30:04,119 --> 00:30:05,759
is going to be using a lot of guys are

591
00:30:05,839 --> 00:30:09,079
usually pitching the fifth and sixth innings, or Houston's got

592
00:30:09,079 --> 00:30:12,000
their seventh and eighth inning guys available, I prefer the

593
00:30:12,039 --> 00:30:15,720
Houston side here. Won't get involved with it. From adding perspective,

594
00:30:15,759 --> 00:30:18,319
they beat me bat so bad yesterday, I don't want

595
00:30:18,319 --> 00:30:20,240
to get back on them. But it seems to be

596
00:30:20,279 --> 00:30:23,000
a smart play here. If you're taking Houston with this

597
00:30:23,119 --> 00:30:24,359
price range.

598
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:27,200
Speaker 4: This is going to be my leg of the parlay.

599
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,799
I'm going to take the Astros on the money line here.

600
00:30:30,119 --> 00:30:33,240
I can't see them getting swept by this Guardians team.

601
00:30:33,519 --> 00:30:37,920
The Guardians' bats were struggling, but I didn't think meeting

602
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,240
Houston would wake their bats up. But it seems to

603
00:30:41,279 --> 00:30:43,720
have woken their bats up a bit. I didn't think

604
00:30:43,759 --> 00:30:46,279
they were capable of putting eight runs on the board,

605
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:52,079
but they certainly are now. However, like Brian said, Walter

606
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:56,079
his balls to his bases on balls to strikeout ratio.

607
00:30:56,119 --> 00:31:00,440
It's amazing. I have him ranked higher than Chacone. I've

608
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,079
never liked Chacony, even when he was with the Diamondbacks.

609
00:31:03,119 --> 00:31:08,359
Just inconsistent. You know, he can go five innings shut out,

610
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:10,160
and then the next game he'll come back and give

611
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:13,640
up six runs. It just don't He's a wild card.

612
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,480
He's a joker in the deck. You know, you don't

613
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:19,640
know what to get from him. However, I think Walter

614
00:31:19,759 --> 00:31:24,359
is more consistent. The Houston bullpen is much better than

615
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:27,359
the Guardians bullpen at the moment Brian mentioned they won't

616
00:31:27,359 --> 00:31:29,920
be able to use their closer. It's probably good that

617
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:33,000
they can't use their closer the way he's pitching. So

618
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:38,000
the lineup for Houston also much better than Cleveland's. I

619
00:31:38,119 --> 00:31:40,759
don't see how they can get swept here, but you know,

620
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,319
this is gambling and this is baseball. Any team can

621
00:31:43,359 --> 00:31:47,519
win on any day. However, I think Cleveland's already won

622
00:31:47,559 --> 00:31:49,480
the series. They might be taking their foot off the

623
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:52,279
gas a little here, and they don't have their good

624
00:31:52,359 --> 00:31:55,119
arms to leverage. I like the Astros in this one.

625
00:31:56,759 --> 00:31:59,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't really disagree with the Astros. I mean

626
00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:00,599
I do think.

627
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:03,319
Speaker 2: I do think it's crazy the amount of love this

628
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:05,880
after team is getting. Thomas bow In the chat says

629
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:09,119
yesterday or eighty five percent on the Astros the day before,

630
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:12,720
like very very like publicly backed team.

631
00:32:13,079 --> 00:32:14,519
Speaker 1: But which is which makes sense.

632
00:32:14,559 --> 00:32:18,599
Speaker 2: It also tells me that the average person betting baseball

633
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,079
is is way too tuned in to like what the

634
00:32:21,119 --> 00:32:24,160
record of the team is, because, as Brian said, this

635
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:27,039
is I rate out lineups for Triple A.

636
00:32:27,319 --> 00:32:29,799
Speaker 1: Okay, I rate individual players lineups.

637
00:32:29,799 --> 00:32:32,279
Speaker 2: A lot of my Triple A betting is is based

638
00:32:32,279 --> 00:32:35,440
on who's in the lineup, what the bullpen used toes,

639
00:32:35,519 --> 00:32:37,440
which is not that different than MLB. But I do

640
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:40,279
think the lineup matters far more at the Triple A level.

641
00:32:41,279 --> 00:32:45,000
Humble dubon short Trammel is a bad lineup for sugar Land.

642
00:32:45,559 --> 00:32:47,599
That's a bad lineup at sugar Land. I had sugar

643
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:52,440
Lands lineup rated low this year. Corona like this is

644
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:54,440
not that that wasn't a good lineup at Triple A.

645
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,920
So so why would that be a team that you

646
00:32:57,960 --> 00:32:59,640
want to rush through the window and put your money

647
00:32:59,799 --> 00:33:02,119
on at the big league level? That is crazy to

648
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:05,200
me now with this game, just particularly this game. The

649
00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:07,680
reason I don't disagree with you with the Astros is

650
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:09,880
going back to the point you guys both made about

651
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:14,759
the Guardian's bullpen some usage. I'm really not high on Secconi,

652
00:33:15,039 --> 00:33:17,279
so you know, I think the Astros have an edge

653
00:33:17,319 --> 00:33:19,839
with Walter on the mound. So all of those things

654
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:21,599
kind of put me on the Astros here. But this

655
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:23,640
is not a team that I really want to be

656
00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,680
backing long term. However, for today, I am kind of

657
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:29,000
with you. I think they could avoid the sweep. I

658
00:33:29,039 --> 00:33:32,079
certainly wouldn't play against the Astros here, but I am

659
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,400
just not confident in them long term.

660
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:37,480
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, Yeah, you talked about the Houston. The

661
00:33:37,519 --> 00:33:39,880
bottom of the Houston lineup, the bottom of the Cleveland lineups,

662
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:45,799
just as bad Garrochio batting ninth, Big Christmas Noel batting eighth,

663
00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:49,599
bow Naylor seventh and half time, they're putting hedges in there,

664
00:33:49,640 --> 00:33:52,119
which is the worst hitting catcher in the history of baseball,

665
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:54,799
I think. But he's a great defensive player and he's

666
00:33:54,839 --> 00:33:59,400
loved in the clubhouse on how Martinez batting six. Martinez

667
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:05,279
hit that Grand Slam yesterday, but he really hasn't done much.

668
00:34:05,319 --> 00:34:07,480
And I do want to point out, and I don't

669
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:13,519
get this website enough enough accolades Fangrafts does a great

670
00:34:13,639 --> 00:34:17,679
job with their roster resource. I've been following Martinez and

671
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:21,880
his roster resource for a long time, and they actually

672
00:34:22,079 --> 00:34:25,960
rank the last seven days and overall for power ratings

673
00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:30,360
for all the hitters and also the pitchers, and as

674
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:35,000
as Brandon pointed out, the Cleveland bullpen over the last

675
00:34:35,039 --> 00:34:38,559
fourteen days, none of their key guys are in the

676
00:34:38,559 --> 00:34:41,679
top one hundred Class A one oh four, Goaddus two

677
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:45,800
forty six, Kate Smith three or two seventy eight, and

678
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:49,400
Tim Herron two twenty two. So they even though they've

679
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:52,480
pitched lately, Aaron hasn't, but the other guys have, they

680
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,159
have not performed well at all. So if you don't

681
00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:59,199
have Tokyo Brandon's numbers, you can get a pretty good

682
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:03,599
approximation by just going to uh fangraphs and things like

683
00:35:03,639 --> 00:35:06,400
sixty dollars a year. Well worth the money and I

684
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,239
get a lot of my information from there. But they

685
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:11,280
do a fantastic job and it tells you who's hot

686
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:14,880
and who's not basically and something if you're playing you know,

687
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,039
the DFS and things like that, that's something that you

688
00:35:17,079 --> 00:35:20,599
would definitely want to want to have at your disposal.

689
00:35:21,599 --> 00:35:24,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, Fangraphs is is an elite website.

690
00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:27,079
Speaker 2: That's that's a must have if you're That's one where

691
00:35:27,079 --> 00:35:29,000
if you're betting Major League Baseball on a daily basis,

692
00:35:29,039 --> 00:35:32,920
I truly don't understand how you're doing it without without

693
00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:33,559
that website.

694
00:35:33,559 --> 00:35:33,880
Speaker 1: It is.

695
00:35:35,519 --> 00:35:39,679
Speaker 2: It gets as good as it gets. Scar Brother, that's

696
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:42,400
an understatement Braves. I tweeted this out like in the

697
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:44,639
third inning, I said the Braves was my worst call

698
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:47,079
of the year, Like I really truly believe that was

699
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:51,079
that was my worst bet of the year, worst call

700
00:35:51,199 --> 00:35:54,320
the year. And listen, like listen, sometimes good call, good

701
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:58,119
good handicaps lose, bad handicaps win. I think it's important

702
00:35:58,119 --> 00:36:01,920
to acknowledge, like like, do some you know, after you

703
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:05,280
make a bet, the bet finishes. Is it a game

704
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:07,960
where you know, like, for example, I'll give a quick example,

705
00:36:08,039 --> 00:36:11,000
like I lost one of my minor league baseball plays

706
00:36:11,079 --> 00:36:13,079
last night. I've been very hot minor league baseball lost

707
00:36:13,079 --> 00:36:15,920
with the Iowa Cubs. What one of the people that

708
00:36:16,119 --> 00:36:17,960
is betting them, one of my clients sort of texted

709
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:20,800
me and was like, you know, kind of like, you know,

710
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:22,840
joking that I was. I think I had won nine

711
00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:24,480
in a row before that, And I was like, you

712
00:36:24,519 --> 00:36:26,920
know what Iowa Cubs is a bet I would make again,

713
00:36:27,039 --> 00:36:29,239
say they had six un earned runs, They used the

714
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:31,679
pictures I expected them to use, they had a loaded lineup,

715
00:36:31,679 --> 00:36:34,639
it just didn't work out. The Braves, on the other hand,

716
00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:37,360
I'm kicking myself for because I came on the show,

717
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,239
and I was like, why is this kid in the

718
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:40,079
big leagues right?

719
00:36:40,159 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 1: Like Diddy or Flentes. I couldn't understand it.

720
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 2: Four starts or five starts at double A, one at

721
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:46,760
Triple A, they had him in the big leads. I

722
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:51,599
sort of talked myself into the thought process that Okay,

723
00:36:51,599 --> 00:36:54,719
he's still here after four starts. Maybe they've seen something

724
00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,360
in him. Maybe he's going to turn the corner. Brian Leonard,

725
00:36:57,400 --> 00:36:59,880
I'm now just of the in the of the mindset

726
00:36:59,880 --> 00:37:03,199
that the Braves are such a mess. I think guys

727
00:37:03,199 --> 00:37:05,960
in that this is what's incredible is five years ago

728
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:08,519
this team was getting all the praise in the world

729
00:37:08,559 --> 00:37:11,960
for how the organization was run, the coaching from top

730
00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:14,480
to bottom, the front office moves. They won a World

731
00:37:14,519 --> 00:37:17,719
Series back in twenty twenty one. Some of the things

732
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:21,079
that they've done since are puzzling. We have a lot

733
00:37:21,119 --> 00:37:22,880
of people that want to talk A's Braves, and we're

734
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:24,800
going to do that right now. My opinion on the

735
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:28,119
Braves keep guys that keep the players, keep Austin Riley,

736
00:37:28,159 --> 00:37:29,880
keep Matt Olson, keep Akuda, get.

737
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:32,840
Speaker 1: Rid of anyone that has anything to do with management.

738
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 2: Bringing a new coach, new new management and let him

739
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,480
win with those players. As far as winning with those

740
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:42,960
players today, Brian, I truly am am at a loss.

741
00:37:43,159 --> 00:37:45,239
I can't bet Bryce Elder, but I don't want to

742
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:46,119
bet the A's either.

743
00:37:46,519 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 1: So what do we do here, Braves?

744
00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 3: As if I was with Atlanta, I would look to

745
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:54,400
fire the pitching coach. I would look to fire the

746
00:37:56,639 --> 00:37:58,920
anybody that has something to do with pitching, because that's

747
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:01,440
been their problem this year. All their starters got hurt.

748
00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:05,159
And I came out and I was very emphatic about this.

749
00:38:05,199 --> 00:38:07,400
The other day. I said, we've got a veteran team.

750
00:38:07,519 --> 00:38:11,360
They just lost Schwellenbach for the season. They've already lost

751
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:15,320
say oh, they've already lost two guys before the season started.

752
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:19,559
It's just a semblance, a small semblance of what they

753
00:38:19,599 --> 00:38:21,840
expected to have. And then they go out and lose

754
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:23,599
five straight games. And I don't think I went against

755
00:38:23,639 --> 00:38:27,920
them in every single game. So it's my own fault.

756
00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:31,079
It's it's something that I was very emphatic about, and

757
00:38:31,119 --> 00:38:34,639
I haven't taken advantage of it. My own stupid fault.

758
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:39,719
But I don't want Elder here. Elder is terrible. You

759
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:41,679
take a look at what he's done so far. He

760
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:43,559
comes in with a five point nine to two expected

761
00:38:43,639 --> 00:38:47,199
DRA six point zero five point nine two actually RA

762
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:51,320
six point zero expected. His whip or his whip is

763
00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:53,480
one point five to two. Last year it was one

764
00:38:53,519 --> 00:38:56,400
point six y three. He's in the first percentale of

765
00:38:56,400 --> 00:39:00,360
pitching run value first percent of fastball run value speed

766
00:39:00,480 --> 00:39:05,400
run value second percentile, expected batting average third expected ERA.

767
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:11,599
He is the younger brother of Sensatela for Colorado, There's

768
00:39:11,639 --> 00:39:14,920
no way I want to back him. His opponent on

769
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,880
the mound today, obviously, is Mitch Spence, one of those

770
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:19,840
guys that are trying to stretch out become a starter.

771
00:39:21,039 --> 00:39:24,000
Will be his seventh start of the season. Last year

772
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:28,239
he was decent in that regard, considering how bad Oakland

773
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:31,880
was or other the A's. He comes in with the

774
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:35,039
four point zero six ERA five point zero one expected

775
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,079
one point three one whip. He struck out to walk

776
00:39:38,159 --> 00:39:42,000
Raytio thirteen point two. Not great, but still better than

777
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:46,760
his opponent. Barrel rate six percentiles concerning average as velocity

778
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:51,800
fourteen percentile expected to get twelve percent out. Still better

779
00:39:52,079 --> 00:39:55,000
than what Atlanta has done here. And you're getting a

780
00:39:55,039 --> 00:39:59,719
team in the athletics for a younger team that our

781
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:03,239
play better and if you remember, they were been terrible

782
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:06,559
at home earlier in the season, starting to figure this

783
00:40:06,599 --> 00:40:09,320
place out a little bit, it would not surprise me

784
00:40:09,599 --> 00:40:12,039
if the Braves go on and lose every game going

785
00:40:12,079 --> 00:40:14,159
into the All Star Break, donate part of them here.

786
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:16,639
If I'm playing this, I'm playing the home dog.

787
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:23,079
Speaker 4: Regarding this matchup, I think Spence started the season pretty well.

788
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:25,639
As a matter of fact, in my rankings, I have

789
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:28,559
him ranked slightly above average. But if you look at

790
00:40:28,599 --> 00:40:31,599
his last few starts, he's been awful. I don't know

791
00:40:31,639 --> 00:40:35,599
if awful. Maybe the awful is too harsh, but he's

792
00:40:35,639 --> 00:40:38,480
given up what ten runs in his last three starts.

793
00:40:38,519 --> 00:40:41,639
He's kind of fallen off a little bit. Maybe he's

794
00:40:41,679 --> 00:40:45,119
not used to going this deep into the season. I

795
00:40:45,159 --> 00:40:47,639
don't know what it is. But compared to Bryce Elder,

796
00:40:48,199 --> 00:40:51,079
Elder's given up twenty one runs in his last four stars.

797
00:40:51,079 --> 00:40:56,400
That's so horrific. That is horrific. He's been so bad.

798
00:40:56,960 --> 00:41:01,639
And the problem is, I mean, given the fact that

799
00:41:01,679 --> 00:41:04,559
this ballpark is really tiny, I think taking an over

800
00:41:04,639 --> 00:41:08,719
would be the way to go here. But Atlanta's bats

801
00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:11,199
are not producing right now. They have so much talent

802
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:14,039
on that lineup, but they're just not producing. You would

803
00:41:14,039 --> 00:41:18,000
think Olsen guys like that would be smashing it even

804
00:41:18,039 --> 00:41:20,679
if the Braves are not playing well, but they're not.

805
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:24,800
So I mean, my first, my first inkling is to

806
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:29,480
take an over in this one. But Atlanta's bullpen's performing

807
00:41:29,599 --> 00:41:32,400
quite well right now, so that would make me say

808
00:41:32,519 --> 00:41:35,320
maybe not. And also Atlanta can't hit right now, so

809
00:41:36,079 --> 00:41:38,360
maybe not. So I'll think about an over, but I'm

810
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:39,800
not sure quite yet.

811
00:41:41,039 --> 00:41:43,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, so the tough part about over which I and

812
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:45,280
I don't at the big league level. I try not

813
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:48,199
to put too much stock into individual players, but I

814
00:41:48,199 --> 00:41:50,679
think it's worth noting that Jacob Wilson got drilled in

815
00:41:50,679 --> 00:41:53,039
the hand, left the game last night. Kind of be

816
00:41:53,079 --> 00:41:56,800
surprised if he's out there that looked it looked painful,

817
00:41:56,840 --> 00:42:00,679
like it looked like the type of reaction where you're

818
00:42:00,679 --> 00:42:02,000
not going to see the guy next to you, just

819
00:42:02,039 --> 00:42:03,760
pray that something's not broken. I don't know if he's

820
00:42:03,760 --> 00:42:05,440
at X rays yet or not, but that would be

821
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:08,119
a substantial loss for the A's.

822
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:10,519
Speaker 1: I mean, he's the best contact hitter on that team.

823
00:42:10,559 --> 00:42:13,280
Speaker 2: And then of course the late scratch, early last like

824
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:16,000
like probably an hour before the game, Ronald Lacuna out

825
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,760
of the lineup for the Braves. Again, at the big

826
00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:20,480
league level, it's not as big of a deal, but

827
00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:23,119
do you want to take an over with the most

828
00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:25,599
arguably the two most productive hitters in the game not

829
00:42:25,679 --> 00:42:27,760
in the lineup? That being said, do you want to

830
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,760
bet an under with Bryce Elder and Mitch Spence like

831
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,360
Spence will get some swing and miss. The one thing

832
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,239
I do think you make a good point TV. The

833
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:40,239
Braves bullpen collectively has been very good. It's just they

834
00:42:41,079 --> 00:42:44,039
lack the leverage guys in like the ninth inning. That's

835
00:42:44,079 --> 00:42:46,599
where they've struggled this year. Is is the final three

836
00:42:46,639 --> 00:42:49,559
outs of the game. Overall, the bullpen numbers are pretty

837
00:42:49,559 --> 00:42:52,079
good for the Braves, So like there is you know,

838
00:42:52,119 --> 00:42:54,199
but I just I don't know what they're doing right now.

839
00:42:54,199 --> 00:42:56,039
I don't know why Didney or Flentis was out the

840
00:42:56,039 --> 00:42:59,000
second inning last night, like after it was I mean, listen,

841
00:42:59,159 --> 00:42:59,880
that was a five.

842
00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:01,159
Speaker 1: Nothing game after the first inning.

843
00:43:01,519 --> 00:43:05,719
Speaker 2: Five runs in that ballpark is not insurmountable by any means,

844
00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:07,960
and they brought him back out for the second inning.

845
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,039
It was like I just saw a lot of waving

846
00:43:10,079 --> 00:43:12,960
the white flag from the Braves like and then all

847
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:14,960
of a sudden it's it's nine to ten nothing. Well,

848
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:17,400
then the game's obviously over at that point. So I

849
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:19,679
could sit here and say, well, you know, Elder doesn't

850
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,159
have to go particularly deep because they have the bullpen

851
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:24,679
arms and they could they could, you know, sort of

852
00:43:24,679 --> 00:43:27,320
piece it together like that. But I just I don't

853
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:29,920
know what's going on. I have no faith in the

854
00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:33,679
Braves sort of managing this game a certain way. Are

855
00:43:33,679 --> 00:43:35,559
they just gonna leave Elder out there to get bond

856
00:43:35,599 --> 00:43:38,400
They like him to get five six innings. So for

857
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:41,239
that reason, it's probably as a's or passed for me

858
00:43:41,280 --> 00:43:43,320
as well, because I know, even if Jacob Wilson isn't

859
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:45,880
in there, Brian Leonard, that the A's when they come

860
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:48,320
off of a win and they've got that energy, they're

861
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:51,000
gonna give an effort. Their young kids, they they they're

862
00:43:51,039 --> 00:43:53,199
they're happy to be there even in their situation.

863
00:43:53,639 --> 00:43:55,320
Speaker 1: I think it's a's or pass go ahead, Brian.

864
00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:58,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, you mentioned acronia at the last minute, being a

865
00:43:58,800 --> 00:44:01,239
being a scratch that had to have some kind of

866
00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:04,159
effect on the Braves. They waited for them all stays

867
00:44:04,159 --> 00:44:05,840
a long to get back. He's been great. He made

868
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:08,840
the All Star team. Believe is he in the home

869
00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:10,000
run derby? I'm not sure if he.

870
00:44:10,119 --> 00:44:12,599
Speaker 1: Was supposed to be supposed to be Probably isn't now,

871
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:13,719
but yeah.

872
00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:15,760
Speaker 3: And then him to become up laying right before the game,

873
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,920
that's got to be a gut rencher also for them.

874
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:21,320
So there was plenty of reasons for them not to

875
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:26,119
in retrospect obviously to not have a good game yesterday,

876
00:44:26,119 --> 00:44:27,079
We'll see what happens to me.

877
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:30,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, And that was one of those where a couple

878
00:44:30,039 --> 00:44:32,239
of people messaged me and they're like, oh, Coon is out,

879
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:35,840
and I'll again admit it was a terrible call.

880
00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:37,760
Speaker 1: I messaged right back.

881
00:44:37,800 --> 00:44:40,400
Speaker 2: I said, doesn't matter one player in a game like that,

882
00:44:40,559 --> 00:44:41,400
not a huge deal.

883
00:44:41,559 --> 00:44:42,760
Speaker 1: I truly don't think it mattered.

884
00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:45,519
Speaker 2: I think if Akuona played, they're still losing by ten

885
00:44:45,639 --> 00:44:48,000
with the wave went his pitch, But yeah, it certainly

886
00:44:48,039 --> 00:44:51,119
didn't help. And if that Braves lineup comes out later

887
00:44:51,159 --> 00:44:54,079
and he's not in it again, I would say, Colin,

888
00:44:54,199 --> 00:44:56,960
I think that's the only reason that I could kind

889
00:44:56,960 --> 00:45:01,119
of would would hesitate on the overt of Akuna and Wilson.

890
00:45:01,119 --> 00:45:03,360
I just don't know if I can bet a full

891
00:45:03,400 --> 00:45:07,920
game over taking two like plus eight hundred ops guys

892
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:10,159
out of you know, because you need you know, you're

893
00:45:10,159 --> 00:45:13,639
gonna need runs from both teams most likely. That would

894
00:45:13,639 --> 00:45:15,840
make it tough to bet and over It's it's a

895
00:45:15,880 --> 00:45:19,000
tough there's a tough game. But I thought I really

896
00:45:19,039 --> 00:45:20,599
just wanted to bring that one up so I could

897
00:45:20,599 --> 00:45:22,880
own up to the horrible call, and the Braves didn't

898
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:26,119
want to gloss over that that was awful, Okay, Steve Duke,

899
00:45:26,639 --> 00:45:30,079
Speaking of Washington, what is up with Mackenzie Gore?

900
00:45:30,559 --> 00:45:31,199
Speaker 1: Brian Leonard?

901
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:34,400
Speaker 2: Is this another case of just guys been asked to

902
00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:36,920
go out every fifth day, eat up innings, be the

903
00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:39,039
ace of the staff. It's now getting to the mid

904
00:45:39,119 --> 00:45:41,159
July and he maybe just needs a little bit of

905
00:45:41,159 --> 00:45:45,159
a break. It's a long season because Gore really has

906
00:45:45,199 --> 00:45:48,400
been their best pitcher. Not being said, I don't hate

907
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:50,519
the matchup here for the Nats to maybe score some runs.

908
00:45:50,559 --> 00:45:52,199
Speaker 1: They've been good against right handed pitchings. So how are

909
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:54,280
you seeing this one? This is McKenzie Gore. I think

910
00:45:54,280 --> 00:45:56,440
it's Andre Pilonte Nats Cardinals.

911
00:45:56,840 --> 00:46:01,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, McKenzie Gore three point one one, one point two

912
00:46:01,280 --> 00:46:03,920
to one, whip three point five too expected the IRA.

913
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:07,199
He's got a three and eight record. They have not

914
00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:10,840
hit for him, this Washington team. We do like their bats,

915
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:14,199
their young bats on this team, but he hasn't had

916
00:46:14,239 --> 00:46:17,280
a lot of backing behind him. His barrel rays, his

917
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:19,400
hard hit rate, and his ground ball rate are all

918
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:22,119
less than fifty percent. That's always a concern. Average ex

919
00:46:22,199 --> 00:46:26,639
velocity thirty fourth percentile. So when he's getting hit, he's

920
00:46:26,639 --> 00:46:29,840
getting hit pretty well. But his chase rate is excellent,

921
00:46:29,880 --> 00:46:34,760
whiff rate, strikeout rate, extension all excellent. He's a very

922
00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:37,719
good pitcher, and he would be more well known if

923
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:40,760
they were to trade him to another team, even though

924
00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:43,880
he's probably their best player, their best starter now on

925
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:47,760
the team and in the dear future. This is not

926
00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:53,960
a team right now that is really serious contenders. If

927
00:46:54,559 --> 00:46:56,800
if he got to be traded, if he was traded

928
00:46:56,800 --> 00:46:59,519
at the trade deadline, it would not surprise me they

929
00:46:59,559 --> 00:47:03,079
could bring in another hall of younger players for team

930
00:47:03,199 --> 00:47:06,559
like the Yankees. The Yankees are a team that definitely

931
00:47:06,639 --> 00:47:10,960
needs starters. But he's going today. The line on the

932
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:16,960
game right now is Polante for Saint Louis about a

933
00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:20,280
one to fifteen favorite seven and a half. Kind of

934
00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:24,039
a low total here for Saint Louis mid middling ballpark

935
00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:28,400
with the offenses release two teams. Plantes actually pitched pretty

936
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:31,440
well as of late. His numbers have been pretty good.

937
00:47:32,079 --> 00:47:33,920
He's been a little bit up and down on the season.

938
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:37,440
They're nothing great. Four point one zero ERA, four point

939
00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:42,039
one six, expected one point to a whip. He's a

940
00:47:42,079 --> 00:47:44,679
great ground ball pitcher ninety nine percentiles or doesn't give

941
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:46,440
up the home runs. That's a big thing with him.

942
00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:50,280
Shrek at montchewalk ratio only eight point zero, not the greatest,

943
00:47:50,679 --> 00:47:53,280
so he's not going to strike anybody out, and expected

944
00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:55,599
batting average in the nineteenth percentile. But other than that,

945
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:59,239
he's he's a league average pitcher here. So you know,

946
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:04,519
the pitching edge goes to Washington here, but Saint Louis

947
00:48:04,639 --> 00:48:06,559
is the better ball club. I'm going to have to

948
00:48:06,559 --> 00:48:10,159
pass on this one. I really have nothing, nothing worthy

949
00:48:10,199 --> 00:48:12,039
of a wager on this one.

950
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:16,639
Speaker 4: Again, guys, we would really appreciate if you go to

951
00:48:16,679 --> 00:48:19,000
the replay of this and leave us a comment and

952
00:48:19,119 --> 00:48:21,000
leave us alike. It helps us a lot and it

953
00:48:21,039 --> 00:48:24,280
shows wager talk that you're interested and engaged in our show,

954
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:27,599
and we definitely appreciate that, and also go down to

955
00:48:27,639 --> 00:48:30,400
our pages in the scroll to see what we're offering today.

956
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:35,320
I have two MLB plays out already. Regarding this matchup.

957
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:38,480
I don't know why you say what's up with Gore

958
00:48:38,559 --> 00:48:41,559
because I think he's performing quite well. Actually, if you

959
00:48:41,599 --> 00:48:44,239
look at his last few starts, he had one clunker

960
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,880
against the Dodgers, which is forgivable given their lineup. He's

961
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:51,719
given up two or less earned runs in his other

962
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:55,760
five starts. Other than that, they're all quality starts. He's

963
00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:59,880
pitching like a stud. You're right, his win lost record

964
00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:02,880
is not there. But as Brian and I have said many, many,

965
00:49:02,920 --> 00:49:06,159
many many times, the win loss record doesn't mean anything

966
00:49:06,320 --> 00:49:09,519
as far as a reflection of how good the pitcher is.

967
00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:12,679
A win loss record just means that your lineup is good,

968
00:49:13,320 --> 00:49:15,440
or your lineup is bad, or your bullpen's good or

969
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:18,559
your bullpen's bad. The win, really, the pitcher has very

970
00:49:18,639 --> 00:49:22,960
little to do with getting a win. Besides going five

971
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:25,639
innings and Gores going five innings as well, he's going

972
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:29,519
five six, five, six, six, seven. I mean, he's a stud.

973
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:32,599
I don't know why you say what's up with him? However,

974
00:49:32,679 --> 00:49:35,679
Polante is also really in good form now. He's gone

975
00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:40,159
seven five six four six four. Yeah, the fours not

976
00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:43,480
real great, but you can forgive that in his last

977
00:49:43,599 --> 00:49:47,320
four starts he's given up only five earned runs. Polonte

978
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,960
is pitching really well right now. Lineup wise, the Cardinals

979
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:55,920
have been dead. Their bullpen is average in current form.

980
00:49:56,079 --> 00:50:00,480
That doesn't mean I'm not evaluating them on the whole season.

981
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:05,679
Washington's bullpen about average there as well. But Washington is

982
00:50:05,719 --> 00:50:07,719
really crushing the ball right now. And they're a team

983
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:10,000
that I've been saying, show after show after show. They

984
00:50:10,039 --> 00:50:12,760
got a lot of good young guys. They got base stealers.

985
00:50:13,599 --> 00:50:16,559
These guys can put runs up. I would take maybe

986
00:50:16,599 --> 00:50:20,599
a Washington team total here. Washington team totals, I don't

987
00:50:20,599 --> 00:50:22,639
know the numbers, but they've got to be cashing at

988
00:50:22,639 --> 00:50:26,079
a huge clip right now because the book really slights

989
00:50:26,119 --> 00:50:28,960
this team gives them three and a half quite often.

990
00:50:29,679 --> 00:50:31,239
I don't know if it's three and a half today.

991
00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:34,639
I don't know Polante's pitching well too, so that's kind

992
00:50:34,639 --> 00:50:36,440
of making me lay off of it. But if I

993
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:39,920
went anyway in this, it would be either Washington or

994
00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:41,239
the Washington team total.

995
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:46,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Nats here. You know, you make

996
00:50:46,119 --> 00:50:49,440
a good point, like Gore has been fine. You know,

997
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:52,440
he had one bad start, He's pitched well. Brian brought

998
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:54,920
it up. They just they just haven't hit for him.

999
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:57,800
We've seen this over the over the course of time

1000
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:01,360
with aces, especially what like aces on teams that aren't

1001
00:51:01,400 --> 00:51:06,000
like top teams. We've seen, you know, we've seen like

1002
00:51:06,519 --> 00:51:08,719
Jacob de Gram of those Mets teams that weren't great

1003
00:51:08,760 --> 00:51:11,119
always comes to mind where it was like the dude

1004
00:51:11,199 --> 00:51:14,679
was putting up cy young numbers and just never got

1005
00:51:14,679 --> 00:51:16,960
any run support. I don't know if it's a mentality

1006
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:20,800
thing where where maybe you're like, he's got us right,

1007
00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:22,920
like we don't need to do as much. But it's

1008
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:25,920
hard to explain. It's hard to explain what it does happen.

1009
00:51:26,119 --> 00:51:28,880
That being said, the Nationals have hit right handed pitching

1010
00:51:29,039 --> 00:51:32,960
this year. They've been great against right handed pitching. So

1011
00:51:33,199 --> 00:51:35,639
when I look at a Nats game, going back to

1012
00:51:35,679 --> 00:51:38,199
what you said, Tokyo Brando, yeah, Brandon, Yeah, they get

1013
00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:41,079
slighted by the books and then there's another layer to

1014
00:51:41,119 --> 00:51:43,679
that because they they're line up the way it's constructed

1015
00:51:43,760 --> 00:51:47,920
now with wood and like it's very left heavy. So

1016
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:50,159
not only do they get slighted by the books, but

1017
00:51:50,199 --> 00:51:54,280
then you've got these splits where they're numbers like the

1018
00:51:54,400 --> 00:51:57,079
number for this game. Then being on an underdog is

1019
00:51:57,159 --> 00:52:00,800
contingent on what they're doing in all games. Their numbers

1020
00:52:00,840 --> 00:52:04,280
offensively are much better against right handed pitching. So this

1021
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:07,599
almost feels like the sort of home run spot to

1022
00:52:07,679 --> 00:52:10,440
back the Nationals because you have your best pitcher on

1023
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:13,599
the mound, you're getting a plus money, it's a good price,

1024
00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:16,280
and you're getting to face a right handed pitcher that's

1025
00:52:16,320 --> 00:52:18,360
not a super dominant right handed pitcher.

1026
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:20,599
Speaker 1: Also come off of a loss.

1027
00:52:21,519 --> 00:52:23,519
Speaker 2: You know, Cardinals had to use a couple leverage arms

1028
00:52:23,599 --> 00:52:26,000
last night, so it does feel like a good spot

1029
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:27,239
to go Nationals.

1030
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:28,360
Speaker 1: We're up. You know what.

1031
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:30,800
Speaker 2: That's we've got seven minutes of the show left. Let's

1032
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:33,400
close out the parlay. I'm gonna go Nationals money line

1033
00:52:33,400 --> 00:52:36,320
here for my parlay leg What do we have Brian

1034
00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:39,639
Leonard for a price on Astro's money line and Nats

1035
00:52:39,639 --> 00:52:42,400
money line, and we'll get one more game in before

1036
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:44,519
we're out of here. But this is gonna be my

1037
00:52:44,559 --> 00:52:46,719
parlay Leake here. I like the Nats in this spot.

1038
00:52:47,239 --> 00:52:54,199
Speaker 3: Houston's about a one forty two favorite and Washington is

1039
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:57,400
about plus one oh four.

1040
00:52:57,559 --> 00:53:01,280
Speaker 1: I would say, yeah, I like how that sets up.

1041
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:02,920
Speaker 2: Like I said, you've got the Nats with their best

1042
00:53:02,920 --> 00:53:06,119
pitcher on the mound, they hit right handed pitching. Well,

1043
00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:08,800
they're coming off of a close loss, which means Cardinals,

1044
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:11,400
so to use a couple of leverage arms. And I

1045
00:53:11,440 --> 00:53:15,599
do think some of that is anecdotal. It's luck based,

1046
00:53:15,679 --> 00:53:19,239
Like I know, we can call up to the groam

1047
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:22,840
thing and like there's been times in history where teams

1048
00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:25,239
have not hit for aces. I think it gets a

1049
00:53:25,280 --> 00:53:27,880
little bit overblown. I think there's some randomness to that.

1050
00:53:28,480 --> 00:53:32,079
For me, it's Nats against right handed pitching, they typically hit.

1051
00:53:32,719 --> 00:53:34,880
I'll trust that they do enough today. I do like

1052
00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:37,239
the Nationals, and that closes out our parlay, so I

1053
00:53:37,280 --> 00:53:38,960
want to go to one more game. First of all,

1054
00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:45,079
Jesse Schule, thank you for tuning in. And Jesse makes

1055
00:53:45,079 --> 00:53:47,559
a great point. Now I don't know if I'm gonna

1056
00:53:47,559 --> 00:53:49,920
bet this, but he makes a good point. He says, man,

1057
00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:53,199
this must be the mother of all letdown spots for

1058
00:53:53,239 --> 00:53:56,800
the Jas today. Jesse, I thought the last two days

1059
00:53:56,880 --> 00:53:59,119
might be the mother of all leftown spots for the Jays,

1060
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:03,000
and they just keep pounding. So we kind of talked

1061
00:54:03,000 --> 00:54:05,440
about it yesterday. I did bring up on yesterday's show.

1062
00:54:05,480 --> 00:54:10,239
I had no interest in backing Aaron Sabale and I'm

1063
00:54:10,239 --> 00:54:14,000
glad that I didn't. However, Brian Leonard, the White Sox

1064
00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:16,239
does look a little bit more appealing to me today.

1065
00:54:16,840 --> 00:54:18,199
That being said, I don't know if I'm going to

1066
00:54:18,239 --> 00:54:19,880
get to the window with this one, but I don't

1067
00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:21,079
disagree with our friend Jesse.

1068
00:54:21,159 --> 00:54:22,400
Speaker 1: I think he's got onto something.

1069
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:25,559
Speaker 2: If there was a letdown spot for the Jas, it

1070
00:54:25,599 --> 00:54:26,559
feels like it's right here.

1071
00:54:26,599 --> 00:54:29,079
Speaker 3: What do you think if it a letdown spot for

1072
00:54:29,079 --> 00:54:30,639
the Jay's, it would have been after they swept the

1073
00:54:30,679 --> 00:54:32,599
Yankees and that didn't happen. So I'm not going to

1074
00:54:32,679 --> 00:54:37,039
stand in the way of that. Eric Lawer going two

1075
00:54:37,159 --> 00:54:40,000
really surprising pitchers to me, at least based on what

1076
00:54:40,039 --> 00:54:43,000
they've done in their history. Eric Lawer a lefty going

1077
00:54:43,039 --> 00:54:46,480
for Toronto, Adrian Hawser going for the White Sox. They've

1078
00:54:46,480 --> 00:54:49,119
both been very good. I don't know what they've done.

1079
00:54:49,159 --> 00:54:51,239
I have to look into it a little bit more

1080
00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:54,239
of what they've done from the pitch selection. But Lawer

1081
00:54:54,320 --> 00:54:57,000
comes in basically about a one fifty favorite eight and

1082
00:54:57,039 --> 00:54:59,199
a half on this. I wouldn't have a fault a

1083
00:54:59,199 --> 00:55:02,280
buck going either way here or taken the under based

1084
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:05,039
on the way these pitchers have gone. Eric Lawer the

1085
00:55:05,079 --> 00:55:08,239
record four and one, two point sixty five ERA, three

1086
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:11,840
point two to one expected one point oh two whip.

1087
00:55:13,519 --> 00:55:16,119
It didn't pitch last year in the majors. The year before,

1088
00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:20,280
he's expected ERA was seven point five four in a

1089
00:55:20,360 --> 00:55:23,599
similar amount of innings forty six point two compared to

1090
00:55:23,639 --> 00:55:26,159
fifty one here. So this is what you would call

1091
00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:28,119
a surprise. But if you take a look at his

1092
00:55:28,199 --> 00:55:31,679
deckcast page, it makes a lot more sense. The ground

1093
00:55:31,719 --> 00:55:35,920
ball rate ten percentile sension twenty third, average ex velocity tenth,

1094
00:55:36,440 --> 00:55:40,880
basketball velocity fourteenth. I just think he's been very fortunate

1095
00:55:40,960 --> 00:55:45,800
so far on the season. Arian Hauser, very similar to that.

1096
00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:48,480
That comes in one point six to oh ERA after

1097
00:55:48,559 --> 00:55:51,639
fifteen and two thirds innings three point five well expected.

1098
00:55:51,679 --> 00:55:54,039
That tells you right there he's been lucky. One point

1099
00:55:54,079 --> 00:55:56,480
one to one whip. He's been great in the barrel

1100
00:55:56,519 --> 00:55:59,960
percentage eighty eighth percentile extension eighty seventh, the ground ball

1101
00:56:00,119 --> 00:56:04,360
r seventy four but with rate nineteen percentile strike out

1102
00:56:04,440 --> 00:56:09,039
rate twenty third, hard hit twenty second. Both of these

1103
00:56:09,079 --> 00:56:12,239
guys are living on borrow time a little bit for me.

1104
00:56:13,559 --> 00:56:16,000
And you're looking at a total of eight and a

1105
00:56:16,039 --> 00:56:20,559
half here, and this is a pretty good hitters ballpark

1106
00:56:20,599 --> 00:56:22,639
in this one with Toronto's how does their bats on

1107
00:56:23,559 --> 00:56:26,079
Despite how these guys are pitched so far, It's going

1108
00:56:26,119 --> 00:56:29,400
to turn around for them a little bit eventually. And

1109
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:32,480
I think I'm not buying into it. I would play

1110
00:56:32,519 --> 00:56:33,880
the over eight and a half here a if I

1111
00:56:33,920 --> 00:56:35,920
had to be involved in this one.

1112
00:56:37,519 --> 00:56:40,400
Speaker 4: I said at the beginning of the show that I

1113
00:56:40,639 --> 00:56:43,840
have two plays out in MLB today. I'm going to

1114
00:56:43,920 --> 00:56:46,880
give you one of them right now. This is a

1115
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:50,239
play that I actually have up for sale. So buy

1116
00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:55,760
my other play. But this play is labeled as this

1117
00:56:55,800 --> 00:56:58,880
play is labeled as Toronto versus the White Sox, so

1118
00:56:58,920 --> 00:57:04,400
you'll know which is which. So Houser Howser Hauser, very

1119
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:09,280
interesting guy. He if you look at his last few starts, man,

1120
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:11,960
he's a warrior. He's an iron man as far as

1121
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:15,119
I'm concerned. Look how many innings He's pitched eight innings

1122
00:57:15,199 --> 00:57:19,280
seven innings, six point one five six, six point one

1123
00:57:19,599 --> 00:57:23,920
six six. Do you see a pattern here? He goes

1124
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,480
quite deep into the games. And his outs prop today

1125
00:57:26,519 --> 00:57:28,679
is seventeen and a half. If you don't know what

1126
00:57:28,719 --> 00:57:31,440
that means, basically you take the outs and divide it

1127
00:57:31,480 --> 00:57:34,960
by three, So eighteen outs is six innings. So the

1128
00:57:34,960 --> 00:57:37,360
book is asking you, will he or will he not

1129
00:57:37,559 --> 00:57:41,280
finish six innings? I definitely think he will. Definitely. I

1130
00:57:41,320 --> 00:57:43,280
don't like to say because this is sports betting and

1131
00:57:44,320 --> 00:57:48,679
anything can happen. Nothing is a lock. But his over

1132
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:52,599
seventeen and a half outs recorded is only minus one twenty.

1133
00:57:52,719 --> 00:57:55,480
I think it's really good value considering the numbers I

1134
00:57:55,599 --> 00:57:58,800
just rattled off to you, Looking at how he goes

1135
00:57:58,840 --> 00:58:02,079
against Toronto and his history, I would like his ops

1136
00:58:02,079 --> 00:58:04,199
to be a little lower. It is under seven point

1137
00:58:04,159 --> 00:58:06,880
fifty though, so to me, that's a green light to

1138
00:58:07,000 --> 00:58:09,960
take him today. I know the Toronto Bats can be

1139
00:58:10,079 --> 00:58:12,639
kind of scary, but as some people have been saying

1140
00:58:12,639 --> 00:58:15,400
in the chat, this could be a lotdown spot for them.

1141
00:58:15,719 --> 00:58:18,000
I think, Houser, if you like the White Sox, I

1142
00:58:18,000 --> 00:58:20,440
would definitely not bet him to win the game, and

1143
00:58:20,480 --> 00:58:22,880
I definitely would not take him plus one one and

1144
00:58:22,880 --> 00:58:26,239
a half runs. But I certainly would like Adrian Hauser

1145
00:58:26,599 --> 00:58:29,800
to go over seventeen and a half outs, which equals

1146
00:58:29,920 --> 00:58:33,440
six innings. I think he'll complete them.

1147
00:58:34,000 --> 00:58:36,800
Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that one bit. I think.

1148
00:58:36,840 --> 00:58:39,280
Speaker 2: So here's what I've noticed about White Sox and the

1149
00:58:39,280 --> 00:58:42,239
way we'll Venable is managing. He's managing the White Sox

1150
00:58:42,320 --> 00:58:46,079
right now very similar to the way teams manage at TRIPAA.

1151
00:58:46,800 --> 00:58:50,480
It's really he's turned the White Sox into a developmental team. Essentially,

1152
00:58:50,639 --> 00:58:53,679
they're thirty and sixty two. He's a first year manager.

1153
00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:57,639
The everything they're doing right now is for next year. Okay,

1154
00:58:57,719 --> 00:59:00,760
so he is. He is playing everyone. If you've watched

1155
00:59:00,760 --> 00:59:04,199
the White Sox lineups the last week or two, it's

1156
00:59:04,280 --> 00:59:07,239
it's very rotated. The guys on the bench are not

1157
00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:08,960
sitting on the bench for more than a day. He's

1158
00:59:08,960 --> 00:59:13,320
getting everyone at bats and like very much like Triple A.

1159
00:59:13,920 --> 00:59:18,039
He he's gonna let Houser pitch unless he's just in

1160
00:59:18,239 --> 00:59:20,920
such a bad spot that he he doesn't want to.

1161
00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:23,960
You know that it would be a confidence thing like

1162
00:59:24,000 --> 00:59:25,880
where it like like he he doesn't want to you know,

1163
00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:27,920
if he's in and he just doesn't have it, he's

1164
00:59:27,960 --> 00:59:28,880
gonna go take him out.

1165
00:59:29,039 --> 00:59:31,760
Speaker 1: But like, very similar to Sean Burke the other night.

1166
00:59:32,519 --> 00:59:34,920
Speaker 2: You know he he let Burke go into the sixth inning,

1167
00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:37,719
get into trouble. Yeah, then he gave up the big hit.

1168
00:59:37,800 --> 00:59:39,280
Then he went and got him, but he still went

1169
00:59:39,320 --> 00:59:42,360
eighty five pitches. That will be the same for Houser, Like,

1170
00:59:42,440 --> 00:59:45,760
there's no there's no like, hey, like, let's go get

1171
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:48,119
him in the third inning or the fourth inning because

1172
00:59:48,159 --> 00:59:50,079
we got to get out of a big spot and

1173
00:59:50,119 --> 00:59:51,960
then we're we're gonna have to worry about the next

1174
00:59:51,960 --> 00:59:54,239
six innings. It's no like we want to see what

1175
00:59:54,280 --> 00:59:56,280
you've got, see if you can work out of it.

1176
00:59:56,320 --> 00:59:58,840
If you don't, we're thirty and sixty two, it's not

1177
00:59:58,920 --> 01:00:01,199
a big deal, right, Like, So that's very much how

1178
01:00:01,239 --> 01:00:04,360
he's managing. And so I think that lends itself to

1179
01:00:04,599 --> 01:00:08,480
like your outs prop over TV, Like he's gonna go

1180
01:00:08,639 --> 01:00:12,360
his full allotment of pitches unless he's getting absolutely pummeled,

1181
01:00:12,599 --> 01:00:15,960
which he's He's shown no evidence that he'll get absolutely

1182
01:00:16,000 --> 01:00:18,920
pummeled here. Every start has been pretty good. I talked

1183
01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:21,639
about him when he was on Round Rock and the

1184
01:00:21,760 --> 01:00:24,320
Rangers were upset that he didn't clear waivers because they

1185
01:00:24,320 --> 01:00:27,400
wanted to sign him back. He threw an eight inning

1186
01:00:27,519 --> 01:00:30,679
shutout in that final start at Triple A for Round Rock,

1187
01:00:30,719 --> 01:00:33,840
and since he's gotten to to Chicago, every start has

1188
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:36,199
been six innings. Last time out, eight innings against the

1189
01:00:36,280 --> 01:00:39,840
Rockets and corus Field, two hits, four runs, right like

1190
01:00:40,199 --> 01:00:42,679
that start before, seven innings against the Giants, six and

1191
01:00:42,679 --> 01:00:45,119
a third against this Blue Jays team. That's the one

1192
01:00:45,239 --> 01:00:47,239
concern for me is the fact that the Jays maybe

1193
01:00:47,360 --> 01:00:50,920
just saw him and they could maybe you know, they're

1194
01:00:50,960 --> 01:00:54,039
gonna have more information going into this start against him

1195
01:00:54,039 --> 01:00:55,239
than they did the last one.

1196
01:00:55,599 --> 01:00:57,360
Speaker 1: But he's thrown the ball extremely well.

1197
01:00:57,440 --> 01:01:00,840
Speaker 2: If you're just straight up talking about a last in

1198
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:03,800
this game, I could absolutely see him going six innings,

1199
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:06,159
giving them a reasonable start and giving the White Sox

1200
01:01:06,159 --> 01:01:08,840
a chance to win the game. I have to go

1201
01:01:08,960 --> 01:01:11,440
back to a couple of the chat comments, though I'm

1202
01:01:11,480 --> 01:01:13,280
kind of in no rush to fade the Blue Jays

1203
01:01:13,360 --> 01:01:13,639
right now.

1204
01:01:13,679 --> 01:01:14,800
Speaker 1: I agree with Brian Leonard.

1205
01:01:14,800 --> 01:01:17,559
Speaker 2: I do think the letdown spot, or the one that

1206
01:01:17,639 --> 01:01:20,159
made the most sense, was Monday, after the sweep of

1207
01:01:20,199 --> 01:01:22,760
the Yankees, and I very much like Eric Loward, but

1208
01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:25,519
I'll ride with you TV. I think you're onto something

1209
01:01:25,559 --> 01:01:28,599
with Howser staying in the game. He's been so consistent

1210
01:01:28,639 --> 01:01:30,199
and Venable's not going to take him out if he's

1211
01:01:30,199 --> 01:01:30,719
throwing the ball.

1212
01:01:30,760 --> 01:01:31,760
Speaker 1: Good go ahead, Brian.

1213
01:01:31,800 --> 01:01:34,920
Speaker 4: And it's not exactly fading the Blue Jays either.

1214
01:01:35,920 --> 01:01:39,000
Speaker 3: So I want to talk about some people have mentioned

1215
01:01:39,079 --> 01:01:42,239
Ross Benjamin in the chat. He's been on hell of

1216
01:01:42,280 --> 01:01:45,559
around with his free players. The reason why we don't

1217
01:01:45,599 --> 01:01:49,280
mention him is he doesn't come in and join the comments.

1218
01:01:49,679 --> 01:01:53,119
We bring out Jesse Shol will bring up other guys

1219
01:01:53,119 --> 01:01:56,519
from the site to come in and join the discord here.

1220
01:01:57,199 --> 01:02:01,119
That's helping us. Ross congratulations, he's having a great run.

1221
01:02:01,519 --> 01:02:04,679
But unless he's in there every day talking and giving information,

1222
01:02:05,239 --> 01:02:07,760
it's a one way street. So tell if you're a

1223
01:02:08,079 --> 01:02:10,199
client has tell him to jump in. We'd love to

1224
01:02:10,199 --> 01:02:13,400
hear from him. I know he's hot, as Helle, and

1225
01:02:13,719 --> 01:02:15,440
have him join the talk.

1226
01:02:15,519 --> 01:02:19,079
Speaker 2: Maybe we can let and for sure, like next time

1227
01:02:19,119 --> 01:02:21,239
one of us is is out. I love the three

1228
01:02:21,280 --> 01:02:23,679
person panel. I'm gonna be a little bit more proactive

1229
01:02:23,719 --> 01:02:26,920
about like trying to trying to book a third guest,

1230
01:02:27,440 --> 01:02:29,679
so we still have the three person back and forth.

1231
01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:32,920
So I'll definitely be be reaching out to Ross to

1232
01:02:32,960 --> 01:02:37,280
see if he get actually fill in for me. Probably

1233
01:02:37,280 --> 01:02:39,360
two weeks from now, I am going to a day

1234
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:42,760
game in Erie, Pennsylvania. I'm gonna go try to see

1235
01:02:42,800 --> 01:02:46,920
Max Clark play some baseball while he's in Eerie. So

1236
01:02:46,920 --> 01:02:48,480
so I'll need to fill it. So maybe we get

1237
01:02:48,559 --> 01:02:51,280
Ross to do that Wednesday. It would be fun to

1238
01:02:51,360 --> 01:02:54,159
chat with him. And yeah, like same thing though, I

1239
01:02:54,159 --> 01:02:57,159
mean I talked to Brian Power every day. He wins

1240
01:02:57,199 --> 01:02:59,519
and I'm not. I'm not gonna shout him out on

1241
01:02:59,519 --> 01:03:01,719
here and let's se in the chat. He knows that

1242
01:03:01,800 --> 01:03:04,599
though anyway. But we appreciate all of you guys in

1243
01:03:04,679 --> 01:03:08,159
the chat. We appreciate the comments on the show, all

1244
01:03:08,199 --> 01:03:11,440
the likes, the subscribes. We need to hit one of

1245
01:03:11,480 --> 01:03:14,000
these parlays. I keep saying that we're due. We are

1246
01:03:14,039 --> 01:03:18,920
are slowly like infringing on our low water mark of

1247
01:03:18,960 --> 01:03:21,039
the year. Actually no, that's not true. Our low water

1248
01:03:21,239 --> 01:03:23,599
We hit the very first parlay. It was like six

1249
01:03:23,679 --> 01:03:27,159
to one, so we're still not down that much or

1250
01:03:27,159 --> 01:03:30,519
we're still above that so but we are trending in

1251
01:03:30,559 --> 01:03:32,400
that direction. We would like to get this get one

1252
01:03:32,440 --> 01:03:35,400
this week. This one's plus five ninety five. This would

1253
01:03:35,440 --> 01:03:37,639
be a nice one, nice little three teamer to sort

1254
01:03:37,639 --> 01:03:39,840
of get us back in the mix here. And so

1255
01:03:40,199 --> 01:03:42,440
one more time, that's gonna be Astro's money line for

1256
01:03:42,519 --> 01:03:47,320
Tokyo Brandon Cubs money line for Brian Leonard, Nationals.

1257
01:03:46,760 --> 01:03:47,480
Speaker 1: Money line for me.

1258
01:03:47,599 --> 01:03:52,920
Speaker 2: Three sides, three full game sides, Nat Cubs Astros.

1259
01:03:53,559 --> 01:03:56,039
Speaker 1: That's a three teamer today plus five ninety five.

1260
01:03:56,960 --> 01:04:00,360
Speaker 2: And like as every day, we appreciate everyone too, in

1261
01:04:01,039 --> 01:04:04,079
appreciate all the like subscribes. I wish we could do

1262
01:04:04,119 --> 01:04:06,760
this show for two hours or three hours to get

1263
01:04:06,800 --> 01:04:07,599
to every comment.

1264
01:04:07,880 --> 01:04:09,840
Speaker 1: We can't. I try to grab as many as we can.

1265
01:04:09,920 --> 01:04:12,239
Speaker 2: We try to hit as many games as we can

1266
01:04:12,360 --> 01:04:14,840
while we're still going sort of deep into games, because

1267
01:04:14,840 --> 01:04:17,480
we know that's why you guys show up. So there's

1268
01:04:17,480 --> 01:04:19,960
a three teamer. Hope we gave you some information that

1269
01:04:20,000 --> 01:04:22,360
you can make some good bets with today and we'll

1270
01:04:22,360 --> 01:04:25,559
be back tomorrow nine am to do it again. Appreciate

1271
01:04:25,599 --> 01:04:27,519
you guys, have a great day, and we'll see you

1272
01:04:27,599 --> 01:04:30,480
tomorrow nine am Eastern