Speaker 1: Let's make some money. Everybody. We got the rams. They're
playing the forty nine ers. Three baseball games, a college
football game, so much to talk about. You're watching the
best betting show ever. I'm Lawrence Pressman, Joe and Arian
Art to Caesar with us, guys. We almost won our parlay,
but we kind of won our parlay of the day yesterday.
Art pushed that reverted the three into it two. But
we're still cash. Well done, everybody, Well.
Speaker 2: Done, well, Joe, hold on, hold on, it wasn't already
the padre.
Speaker 1: It was bloody well, Joe, goddamn. How about one hundred
and four and a half mile an hour pitch there? Boys? Yeah,
and look do you see the batter's face?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Crazy, And it's amazing because it demonstrates how impressive these
athletes are. Joe, you played baseball at a high level.
I don't think Art and I would have noticed the
difference between a ninety nine mile an hour fastball and
one hundred and four point five mile an hour fastball.
I think both Art and I would have done that.
Speaker 2: So one and four mile an hour fastball, it's the
it's the eighty two mile an hour off speed pitch.
That he throws next that will absolutely screw you into
the ground.
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, seven batters, seven strikeouts, unbelievable. Okay, let's get
into some actionable information right off the bat art. Let's
save the forty nine ers and rams to the next segment.
Let's jump into the Raiders and Colts and the Titans
and Cardinals. You've got some information on those games for
us and anything else that we need to know about
for Sunday's NFL Guard.
Speaker 4: Absolutely, we've seen Vegas money sharps took seven. We're six
and a half on the Colts. We've seen under money
as well. We've gone from forty nine to forty eight
on the game. So the Holts will be popular, I
believe with the public, especially now that it's under the touchdown,
and they'll be popular in the money lines all those parlays.
But it is multiple sharps who have taken Vegas at seven.
The Titan cardinal game is interesting because you fall in
that seven seven and a half range where I'm sure
there will be plenty of cardinal you know, moneyline parlays
and teasers will need the Titans in the game. Total
of forty two really nothing to kind of note as
far as the total goes in.
Speaker 1: The game art.
Speaker 2: We got some very interesting college football games coming up
this weekend. We got one tonight too as well. Kind
of off the beaten path here with Sam Houston State
versus New Mexico State.
Speaker 3: But what are you seeing here?
Speaker 4: Yeah, So we opened Sam Houston one and a half.
We got up to as high as two and a half,
and when we were at two and a half, we
saw some money line love for New Mexico at plus
one point fifteen. We're now back to the original number
at one and a half. Total of fifty three and
a half. Really nothing to speak of there because of
the money we saw in New Mexico on the money line.
We will need Sam Houston the game. But it's a
small decision, nothing enormous.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we got Miami and Florida State, Colorado and
TCU give us some information on that those two.
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Miami game. Interesting sharps took the under were
as high as fifty five on the game. We're now
fifty three. They also took Florida State at five. When
we hit the five, they gobbled it up real quick.
We're now Miami four. We need Miami in the game.
That could easily change though, because I think we'll see
a lot more of the action as far as that
game goes on. It's Saturday, and the Colorado tc TCU
game is very interesting. Colorado goes to TCU. That was
a game of the year for US where we had
TCU as a nine and a half point favorite over
the summer. That got to US high is fifteen and
then we went to fourteen and a half. Did not
take any bets at fifteen, but sharps to Colorado at
fourteen and a half. We're now under the two touchdowns
TCU thirteen and a half at home. That Colorado money
once again was sharp money.
Speaker 3: Art.
Speaker 1: Let's talk baseball. Joe's going to take apart all three
games in the MLB rundown a little later on three
elimination games really quick? Do you find you're getting more
bets on the elimination games vers say yesterday's game out
of curiosity? And secondly, have you seen anything we need
to know about betting wise?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean definitely when you have three elimination games,
which I believe is the second time in the history
of baseball they've had this many elimination games in one day.
The first game we've seen Cleveland money that was basically
a pick. Overnight, we've seen Cleveland raise two up to
a dollar twenty there. We actually need the Tigers for
the series. Padres Cubs has been really good and for
two Way Action basically had a pick them. Cubs are
a slight favorite, really nothing as far as the series
goes for us. And then Yankee Bunny, you know that
hit up over a dollar sixty this morning for us.
I believe we were at a dollar sixty four. We've
now come back. There's been a little bit of buy
on the Red Sox, but when they come up at
the Yankees, they'll lay the run in a half at
the Yankees. That's what they'll do. We need the Yankees
in the series. There was love for the Red Sox
before the series started. And just to note the Dodger
Philly series. We opened last night Dodgers minus one twenty.
We're already up to Dodgers minus one twenty five. I've
seen as high as minus one thirty even minus one
thirty five out there on the Dodgers. That's gonna be
an incredible series.
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, no, it's it should be a lot of
fun to watch out as all on balls. You gotta
love some urgency there art when it comes to Major
League Baseball, there is some urgent care needed apparently with
the forty nine ers for this Thursday night game as well.
Art Like good are they even? Are they holding tryouts?
Speaker 3: Like?
Speaker 2: Who is playing for the forty nine ers here tonight?
Why do you see it?
Speaker 4: I'll tell you what. We're up to nine on the
game total is obviously completely plummeted. We're now forty four
in the total. It's funny, boys, I'm looking at the
props this morning of some of these players like Jake
Tongs and no, I mean there are people I've never
and listen, I'm as big of a football fan as
you can find. I never heard of these players. Now,
I mean that it just doesn't bode well for the Niners.
I think because of all the injury concerns and now
with this inflated line, I don't think we're gonna see
a lot of action on this game today. Like we've
already taken the bets we've taken. But you know, in
a normal situation, if Purdy's not her and the Niners
are a little bit less banged up, this is a
wonderful NFC West showdown, both three and one, a big
early season game in the division. But I think with
all this inflated stuff and all the injuries, I think
people are really going to stay away and they might
just focus on the baseball tonight.
Speaker 1: Well, let's turn our attention to this game in its
entirety and get some bets going for everybody. And I'm
going to tell you guys, right off the bat, I
can't get to the window on the Rams. It makes
sense we've missed the best line. But intuitive betting is
not something that works in the long run. From my perspective,
I would say, and Art, let's talk about this conceptually.
I think counterintuitive betting is the way to go. I
think when everybody is jumping on in a line is
moving from three to four, to five, all the way
up to nine, that suggests to me that san Fran
might be the play. I can't get to the window
on san Fran, but if a gun was held to
my head, I would take the points. I have two
bets for you guys. The first is under twenty one
and a half in the first half. That's three touchdown.
I don't see it. And the second one is san
Fran under sixteen and a half team total. So that's
how I'm going to attack this game. Art you go,
you go first.
Speaker 4: I'm with you present. I think we've just gotten to
a wild number.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 4: I understand all the injuries, but you know Mac Jones
has played this year. It's not like he has not.
Nine just seems like a lot. I do think though,
people might for in game opportunities tonight on this game.
I think people might feel out the first couple of drives.
Maybe san Fran goes down and gets the ball and
gets a field wal or gets a touchdown. I think
that's maybe going to be more where people look. I'm
with you President there. To me, this is a complete
stay away of a game. I think if you made
me make a pick, I would take the nine, but
I wouldn't feel great about it.
Speaker 2: Joe and Aery, Yeah, I would concentrate maybe in the
UH in the prop market here too, just simply because
number one. I didn't think this was going to be
a very high scoring game to begin with, and I
did take the under earlier in the week and forty
seven forty seven and a half. I would still play
it down to forty five, forty five and a half.
But I think they're gonna see a lot of running,
especially for the Rams on a short week. I think
Kyron Williams is a guy you got to target here
for the Rams. I think his prop total I think
for rushing yards is probably around seventy. It opened up
at sixty seven.
Speaker 3: And a half.
Speaker 2: I think this guy is he's going to be primed
to have a big game here. I don't think that
they're going to be putting Stafford in Harm's way no
matter what. So I think it's more ball control, get
the win, get the hell out of Dodge. If I'm
the Rams, I would expect a lot more running than
anything else here.
Speaker 1: Prez, Yeah, Joe, what about Pooka underty seven and a
half yards receiving? That's just too high a number. I
understand this man is killing it, leading the league by
one hundred yards already, and that's just too it's just
too high. I agree with you. I think we're going
to to see the Rams lean on the run, and
I think we're gonna see san Fan Traik take this
game down to a kroll. I like the under in
that bet, and he thoughts there.
Speaker 4: Are well, yeah, I mean if you think it's gonna
be and listen, president almost I know they don't equate
because you know, the highest totally bet. But like when
you see a prop number that high, you almost blindly
have to bet it under. I mean to basically say,
a guy's gonna have one hundred receiving yards, and I
get it, he might be the best receiver in all
of football, but that is just an insane number. You
would not feel good if you have that over and
he's got like ten yards in the first quarter. It's
just not a bet you want to, you know, decide
you want to be on in that kind of you
know bet. It's just not great.
Speaker 2: The guy that at forty nine ers is Devonte Adams.
This guy has absolutely dominated them seven.
Speaker 1: And a half.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and anytime touchdown as well.
Speaker 2: I mean five games, one hundred and twenty six yards
per game, seven touchdowns.
Speaker 1: I love the touchdown thought there. But I'm looking at
the under at fifty seven and a half as well. Guys,
I look at that number and I think that's just
really high. Fifty seven and a half yards. I mean,
sant Frank gets the ball, marches down the field on
a slow methodical seven minute drive, kicks a field goal,
LA gets the ball, marches down the field on a
six minute drive, gets a touchdown. It's ten to nothing.
There's two minutes left in the game, and no wide
receivers scot a ball. So anyway, too big, too big.
It's a time for our college football Parlay of the
Day again, everybody. We kind of cashed out parlay of
the Day yesterday. We cashed it as a two teamer
and not a three teamer. But we're going to cash
this one. And guys, I'm going to North Carolina plus
the fourteen against Clemson. I'll tell you a little bit
about it later, but I do want to say one
quick thing irrelevant to parlays Bill Belichick. For most of
my life, I didn't get it. Now I do.
Speaker 4: Congratulations Art, Okay, that's a great I don't know hi
segue out of that. But I'm gonna take the under
in the UMass game forty seven and a half. I
think it's gonna be an ugly game. Talk about a
game that's gonna be to a crawl. Give me under
forty seven and a half in the UMASK game.
Speaker 2: I am gonna go Cincinnati on the money line to
hold serve at home against Iowa State.
Speaker 3: Here. I love this kid, Soresbee. I think he's on fire.
Speaker 2: I think they'll have more than enough offense, not enough defense,
and I think it gets done for Cincinnati to get
it done here.
Speaker 3: Pres I have them on the money line.
Speaker 1: There we go, and speaking of done, Art to Caesar,
thank you, my brother. I will see you tomorrow live
on this show. Although we're only live for the three
of us. Anything else. Aren't any quick messages about the
Westgate anything going on?
Speaker 4: No, listen, We'll have obviously a good football Friday show tomorrow.
We'll kind of wrap up all the things we've talked
about earlier in the week. We'll have some more games
to give you information on it. And we got a
million college football games tomorrow for some reason on a Friday,
so we'll try to hit on as many of those
as we can.
Speaker 1: There we go, Art this, thanks for doing this, Joe.
Before we go on to the clock, we're going two
college football best bets each your MLB rundown in the
mailbag section. I just want to say to everybody hit
that like button. Guys, please subscribe to our channel and
make sure to comment the comments are absolutely crucial. The
word of the day is hip, and you know why
because Joe and I off air we're talking about the
Tragically Hip. That's a band that Canadians hole deer and
Americans have likely not heard of. There's a documentary called
No Dress rehearsal on Amazon, on Prime and Apple TV.
I cannot recommend it enough. It is the single best
music documentary of all time. Speaking of entertainment, Joe, I
watched F one last night, that movie with Brad Pitt.
Did you get a chance to see it?
Speaker 3: I have not. How was it though?
Speaker 1: It was amazing? It was absolutely fricking incredible. It was
I mean, look, it's a blockbuster movie, right, It's big.
It's like that Jerry Bruckenheimer kind of a concept Ridley Scott, whatever.
Speaker 3: Is it?
Speaker 1: You know, the greatest movie of all time? No, but
from blockbuster perspectives, it was better than anything Marvel's ever done.
It was better than Top Gun, both of them. I
thought it was incredible. I give that movie a nine
out of ten. I loved it. I can't recommend it enough.
As for bets, tonight, Joe is in action in the NFL.
I am in action in the NFL and both of
us have a baseball bets set over to wage you
talk take advantage that. Let's turn our attention to some
college football. I got two bets for you, one ATS,
one total. Let's start with our ATS bet. We're looking
straight at North Carolina plus the fourteen points. Let me
bottom line this. Everybody still thinks this Clemson team has
a good offense. Why how I understand they're Clemson, and
I understand perception is reality, But honestly, reality is reality.
And this team is averaging less than twenty points a game.
You heard me right, less than twenty points per game.
And now they're playing against a North Carolina defense that
is legitimately good. They are statistically better than any defense
Clemson is faced all year. They're going to make life
miserable for this Clemson team. Bottom line, I got a
good defensive team in North Carolina. I got a Clemson
team that's struggling to score. Fourteen points are available to us.
If Clemson gets their average of twenty or nineteen and
a half, we only need one touchdown to cover. We're
taking North Carolina plus us the fourteen. Now we look
at the over in the Cincinnati, Ohio State game and
Ohio State over. You say, well, yes, I do. I
get it. Just like Clemson public reception. This is a
team that plays stout defense. This is a team that
has struggled to score. But like the last twenty decades,
doesn't matter not this week. Playing the under would be
a massive mistake. Let's look at the facts. Iowa State's
defensive stats are completely inflated. They've had a cupcake schedule.
And here's the kicker. They're going into this game with
both they're all star quarterback cornerbacks. They're all star cornerbacks out.
The secondary is a mass unit. They're going to be
exposed on and on and on a Cincinnati offense that
is legit. The Bearcats are averaging seven yards of play
against some good defenses. Is that they are explosive. Iowa
State's gonna have no choice but to keep up take over.
The total of fifty five. What do you got for us?
Speaker 2: Is pretty impressive stuff there. I am going to go
with a couple of games. I'll give you one that's
probably going to be a popular pick here, and that's
going to be Maryland here, Prez, because I'm still trying
to figure out whether or not this four and oh
record of theirs is legit, and I'm tending to have
my doubts right now with them. Now they got Washington
coming in. I mean not that beating Florida, Atlantic and
Wisconsin isn't impressive, but my goodness.
Speaker 3: Here, I am not buying it.
Speaker 2: I think this Washington team, who I thought actually defensively
did a pretty damn good job there against that Ohio
State team at home. Now they're going to travel to Maryland,
and I have seen this year after year with Maryland.
They figure out ways to shoot themselves in the foot.
My numbers have this game with Washington way more than
a touchdown favorite here, So the fact that we can
get them for less than that, I think is a
pretty decent look here. Love the defense, love the offense.
I think it's a bad match up here for Maryland.
So I am absolutely looking that way. And then I'm
gonna go keep an eyron a weather. By the way,
with Texas and Florida, the weather could be windy this
weekend there in Gainesville, which means maybe I thought the
under was a better look in this game anyway, given
the two defenses that are gonna be going up there. Yes,
Lagways had problems, and yes, arch Mannings had problems, but
we're gonna be getting sustained double digit wins all weekend
in Gainesville. I'm not quite sure where the points are
coming from. Both defenses are elite, both offensive offenses have
had question marks. Call me crazy, Prez. I think this
is gonna be a bit of a rock fight with
Texas and Florida. I know it's a low number, but
to me, it's gonna keep going lowie, especially if the
wind is an issue this weekend. I'll take the under
in that one.
Speaker 1: There we go, Joe, Joe. We got three baseball games
going today, Cleveland, Detroit, Chicago, San Diego, New York, Boston.
These are elimination games, a lot of drama in front
of us. Break this board down.
Speaker 3: Woo, there we go MLB Rundown.
Speaker 2: We'll start with the Guardians and the Tigers here game three.
My goodness, turns out Tarik Schoolble can't pitch all three
games for the Tigers, which means they've got to rely
now on somebody called Jack Flaherty, who, by the way,
has got plenty of postseason experience. He was, in fact
with the Dodgers in that world series team a year ago.
But it hasn't been great for him down this stretch here.
He's been a little bit unfortunate. But he's also already
faced this Guardian team a couple of times in the
last month, and shocker, he hasn't been able to beat
them either. So when you go one for fifteen yesterday
runners on basis with an opportunity to blow a game
open and you don't, you got to question everything. And
that's exactly what they've been doing, even against Chaconi. It's
not gonna matters, not gonna get a ton of runs.
I still think the under seven is the way to
go in that one there. And then the Cubs and
the Padres, I mean the Padres have had more opportunities
to get some runs in this series than the Cubs have.
But again, three nothing yesterday, three to one in Game one,
where are the runs coming? This game is at five o'clock,
the win will be blowing out at Wrigley. But both
of these bullpens are elite. Again, I don't see a
ton of runs coming in this one. I'm looking at
the under there. And then, of course you know what
it's all about, Boston versus the Yankees Game three, winner
take all, a battle of rookie pitchers, Cam Schlittlers. Schlittler
will be on the mount for the Yankees early going
for the Red Sox. A lot of people think of
the over might be a look see here.
Speaker 3: I don't.
Speaker 2: I think this is going to be another one of
these unders. But again, I do like the Yankees early
in this one, maybe even a first five opportunity to
jump in on that, and then of course they will
be moving on to divisional championships after this present.
Speaker 3: It's a good time of year for the MLB.
Speaker 1: Yeah, dude, that's for sure. And we got to the
Jays starting on Saturday. I know I keep talking about it,
but man, I'm excited the city. The city is electric.
Speaker 3: You want the makes, you want the Yankees.
Speaker 1: Joe, lots of drama in baseball. I'm excited, Go Jays.
Let's get into our mailbag section of the show. Coach
Rich writes, Joe, you gave out Duke over Syracuse one
by thirty. You then said under forty three in Northern Illinois.
Final score was six to three. He's mad at you
because you didn't tell him to bet a million dollars
on each play, Joe.
Speaker 2: Anything to say, yeah, and on my bad, I should
have led with that pres that I kind of killed
the lead.
Speaker 3: I did. I really did, Sorry about that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, Matthew writes, When I was watching PTI for
a second, you stole their platform. What's a PTI, Joe,
I've never heard of this PTO.
Speaker 2: That's a part of the interruption. But how did we
did we steal ESPN their platform? Like, I don't understand.
I'm confused, I don't know.
Speaker 1: I don't know, Joe, And obviously I know who PTI
is in. Yeah, baby, so us Joseph Boyle Joe, he writes,
present when you say you could profit by blindly betting
the highest totals over in the lowest totals under, is
that the opening or the closing line, et cetera, Joseph,
It makes no difference. And this plan works in every
single sport. You can do this blindly in baseball. You
can do this blindly in basketball and football and hockey.
The bottom line is that there is a perceived floor
and see to totals. For instance, Northern Illinois we spoke
about at the top of the mailbag, that line was
forty three. The total that ended up nine. Have you
ever seen a ten on the board in a college
football total? The answer is no. This perceived floor in
ceiling gives us a huge opportunity. We don't see sixties
in the NFL, but we see them in college football.
Why is that perceived floors? Perceived ceilings, Joe, This is
an effective betting strategy.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, well college football is a lot different because
the variance is so much more in college football than
you'll see in other places. You know, you, you know,
the ability to be able to watch one team put
up forty to fifty sixty points, you know, on lesser
teams is very real. You'd never see that in the
NFL and college football turnoff.
Speaker 1: You still don't coach, You still don't see nineties, you
still don't see eighties. Correct perceived ceiling and the perceived
floor is still there. A great question, Joseph. Guys make
sure to comment please. These comments are so crucial to
us moving up the platform the YouTube platforms, and we're
getting a lot of comments. We had about eighty yesterday,
let's do it again today. So yeah, thanks for that, Joe,
what a show man we got Thursday Night Football Tonight,
You and I will be back tomorrow. There are three
college football games on Friday Night at full slate Saturday,
and a full slate of NFL on Sunday. Tomorrow. Show
will be great. Thank you guys for watching the best
betting show ever. We'll see you tomorrow and let's all
win together.