Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?
Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,
we do always start this show by being transparent. We
didn't do any shows on Yeah, we didn't do any
shows here over the weekend. But I mean I did
win five out of six. I did lose a couple
of the higher bets, so it's still profitable, but not
as much as I like. Still five out of six
is good. You know, been a little bit since we
last spoke. I hope everything's been good for you. How
you doing today?
Speaker 3: I'm doing good.
Speaker 2: Ski.
Speaker 3: Yesterday was better in the football Canadian Football League and
it was in the W. I had oh in two
day yesterday in the W. That was off of a
good Saturday, so kind of split the weekend out. Still
a good season since the first of June, up almost
fifteen units, so again going well. Just didn't go right yesterday.
I had the link send the Chicago Sky over the
one sixty total. Certainly had enough opportunities, just didn't score enough.
So we're back at it today. We'll see what we
can do here now.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was the one loss side out of the
three games I had over one fifty nine. That was
pretty annoying, but yeah, we got a couple more to
get after today. There's been some line moves, definitely in one,
but let's get Let's get to him first. Up, we'll
talk about Valkyrie's and Dream opened up minus six and
a half for Atlanta now seven and a half and
the total open one fifty seven, and it looks like
it's as high as one fifty eight and a half depending.
Speaker 1: Where you shot.
Speaker 2: As far as who's available where the Dream, Ryan is
listed as probable, and we know she's a big deal.
Carla is game time decision for Golden State and Maria.
Speaker 1: C is out.
Speaker 2: They have so many players coming in and going out
on that Valkyrie's team don't even feel like it matters
for them, like they just have everybody they have, you know, contributes,
the next person just steps up. But Ryan for the
Dream is a big deal. I think they've been pretty
good at home, especially whenever she's played, but Golden State
catching points. I hardly ever want to go against that.
It's very tough for me to go against that. So
I like the next game a little more. But at
the current price, I have to go against the market
move and lean Valkyrie's here.
Speaker 1: What do you think, Rob, you know.
Speaker 3: I agree with you. I think that in Fort Golden State,
the point that you made about players not mattering much,
I think that's true. They had so many go play
euro Basket, and they seem to play even better when
they had lost a few of their play They're good
enough to cut Julie vanlu right. So certainly the group
that they have works well together. Lose on the road
after playing really well at home, first game on the road,
go to Minnesota to get ten, lose by eleven. That's
not a great sign in that one. And now Atlanta
with Ryan Howard, they've been such an offensive machine, and
she's been in a lineup hard to guard. Golden States
so good defensively, I'm kind of with you. I don't
want to lay points against Golden State. My consideration was
thinking Atlanta could make it to eighty three in this game.
Their team total was eighty two and a half got
seventy nine against Seattle the other night without Brian Howard.
With her back in the lineup, it seems very feasible
that they could get to eighty three. But again, Golden State,
for a team that to start the season announced that
they were going to play extremely fast and shoot a
lot of threes. To shoot a lot of threes has remained,
but the playing extremely fast is not. Golden State's not
a fast tempo team, and Atlanta, you know, they could
be slowed down by certain opponents. So I'm a little
skeptical on both ends of this ski. I think the
best or the closest I came to playing it was
the Atlanta the team total when I saw Ryan Howard probable,
but haven't got there yet and don't know that I.
Speaker 4: Will muted man, he said, let me know.
Speaker 1: You know, I'm just sitting here talking.
Speaker 3: We had those couple of days where I couldn't hear
anything in my speakers, so I'm thinking, again, maybe it's me,
but it wasn't.
Speaker 1: What was I even say?
Speaker 2: Well, I said that a couple of things that the
dream have going for themselves. They are the more arrested team.
They haven't played since the third Valkyries did play on
the fifth. Both teams are off of losses, so bounce
back situation for both.
Speaker 1: But Dream Artemo arrested team and.
Speaker 2: At home for this one, and uh yeah, I like
the next game a little bit more, so I'll just
move it on over to that one Wings and Mercury,
and this one is the big move open minus eleven
for Phoenix. Now that's the minus six even five and
a half out there total open one seventy, and I
see it as low as one sixty four. As far
as injury report here, this is pretty important. Cleia Copper's
out o Hell remains out for the Wings. No Rique,
no Djna Carrington, no Maddie Secrets. So a lot of
I mean a lot of offense mentioned for both teams
in this game. I got in on this one early
and I'm actually gonna go and if it's still up,
I'm going to take it down. But I got in
early at won seventy for the under in this game,
and I just thought that, I mean, these teams did
just play Murphy, were double digit your favorite in that
game and.
Speaker 1: They lost out right.
Speaker 2: So I think when you get when you have a
Porschewing like that, and especially coming back at home, like yeah,
you have to buckle down on defense. Coach mentioned defense,
Kalia mentioned defense. I know she's not playing, but it
still should be the team focus. And now you're missing
Kalia's offense, You're missing Satu's offense. It's a lot of
points the Wings, but like they've been playing a little
bit better defense lately last five games and have them
ranked fifth.
Speaker 1: And also, I.
Speaker 2: Mean Rique Carrington secrets you're missing some offense there too,
So I think this is a lower scoring game. One
sixty four is kind of you know where I would
draw the line at.
Speaker 1: Really, So what do you think about this one?
Speaker 3: You know, yeah, I got a lot of thoughts on
this one. Skiing First off, I'll say that what's missing
for Dallas offensively hasn't made a bit of difference in all, honest,
the DJE Carrington hasn't made a bit of difference as
Aiah James has taken over. She led NC State the
last couple year. The final four run that NC State
made was she was a leading scorer on that team.
She's faster, fun, she's just a more efficient offensive player.
And now she's only played you know, the sample size
as small, and a lot of it was at home.
So we're going to see how this team responds. You know,
they started four rookies in that game ninety eight eighty
seven that it's got to one hundred against Phoenix with
Soboli and with Copper and Sobli and Copper scored fifty
three points combined in that game. Dallas is a great
offensive rebounding team, number one in the league offensive rebound percentage.
And now without Satu, that just to me. Defensively and
the interior, it's a huge hole rebounding, it's a huge hole.
I don't know when I look at what Phoenix is
going to put on the floor to and it looks
like more three point shooters than anything else. It doesn't
look like a good defensive team. No matter what Nate
Tibbitt says about we need to come out more fired up.
We need to play better defensively. That's all well and
good if you have the pieces. Dallas right now, March
is four bigs out there. It's crazy. With Yuru. They
made that trade for Lee, Yurrou, Guys, Los Olders, Back,
Heinz Allen and McCowan. You got three six y four
or better in that little four player rotation up front.
Dallas may crush this team on the boards again. They
did last game. They may do it again. Phoenix is
a pace team, right they're number two in the league
in pace. I don't know that they're going to change
that for this game. And I saw an interview with
the coach of Dallas who said, having JJ Quinnerley at point,
they just want to establish tempo, immediate tempo. And even
she said in that last game they scored thirty two
in the first she said, we went quick as we
could and established tempo. They were making shots. We'll see
if they can make some tonight. If I'm Phoenix, I've
got a host three point shooter. Simmy Wickham was lousy
in that game. I think one of seven from three.
Expect her to bounce back. Loxo was bad in that game.
She good shooter, a cool maccanie's like for forty six percent,
so they got shooters. Dallas doesn't defend the three. It'd
be my option to try and shoot some threes. If
Dallas went a little bit of zone last game. Phoenix
has seen that zone now maybe they can attack it
a little bit better. To me a couple of things here.
I don't think Dallas is going to be held under
seventy nine and a half points in this game. I
just think the interior advantages that they have in this
one are too good. And if I believe that Phoenix
could win the game, I would play full game over,
but I'm not so sure Phoenix can win and cover.
I should have said he and covered this game, because
if Dallas gets to eighty, Phoenix needs to get to well.
I guess eighty five would be a total win. I'm
not sure if Phoenix can get the eighty five unless
they shoot it really, really well tonight. So for me,
it came down the Dallas plus six or Dallas team
total over eighty or over seventy nine and a half.
And at this point in time, I just don't trust
Dallas's defense enough to think that Phoenix can't bounce back
at home offensively even without Copper and saw to Son,
even if they lose tonight's ski. I think they're getting
to eighty. So that's the way I'm gonna lean here.
Dallas team total over seventy nine and a half.
Speaker 2: Well, we disagree on a couple of things, Dallas. I mean,
the last five games, Dallas are the number five defensive
Rader team. They're number one as far as defending above
the break three in that span, the defense has picked
it up for these Wings. And you know I'm quick
to shit on the Wings defense.
Speaker 1: They've picked it up lately.
Speaker 2: The Mercurys defense has been the one who's fallen off.
Speaker 1: But like I said, after.
Speaker 2: They came into that game not really knowing what to
expect with who Dallas was throwing out there on the court,
three rookies just went crazy. Like you kind of mentioned
about his own, they've seen those three rookies. They'll game
plan better for them. Even though you know, defense is
a team thing too, So I think in this specific game,
Phoenix defense steps it up. And I like the way
the Wings defense has been playing lately, So maybe we'll
get eighty seventy five or something like that.
Speaker 1: They'll get you a win, right.
Speaker 3: Well, a real quick skime. When we did this game
last week, I sort of started to say that maybe
Dallas would be a little better, and then I retracted
real quick because you don't want to say that without
a Rique. But all the quotes you see from Dallas
after winning that game was how they how they shared
the ball, how they are together, And you start to think,
and Dallas should be looking at trading a Rique and
getting back a huge haul to help this street out
in the future. You know you pre I.
Speaker 2: Mean, I've been saying I've been an avid Rique hater
for the past I don't know how many years she's
ran off Mavery ran off side to I mean, don't
let her run off page It's time to let a
Rique go man.
Speaker 1: Let her let her go to Connecticut.
Speaker 2: She can shoot all the shots she wants over there.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't want to make it either. But my
point is, I'm not a big fan of Rique. It
is what it is.
Speaker 2: I'm a huge fan of Page Backer, so huge fan,
so different opinions. I guess on this game, but we
both can win. And shout out to my guy mout
he was thinking the way you're thinking when we were
talking about the game yesterday. So let's move it on
over or before we get the best bets. I gotta think, Yeah,
it's still good. It's still good, and hopefully things look
different here.
Speaker 1: You know. Wow, I think it's this one. There we go.
Speaker 2: And ski you can get both of our seasons in
the WNBA.
Speaker 1: It's one season.
Speaker 2: I believe it is like two fifties, So it's like
another fifty bucks or forty nine bucks on top of it,
and you can roll both of us under three dollars
a day. I did win five out of six over
the weekend. Vino has been killing this since since the
kind of their turn June. So uh yeah, that's the
chance to get involved with both of our plays the rest.
Speaker 1: Of the season. And on that note, moving on over the.
Speaker 2: Best bets, I'll ask you, you know, if there's anything
you would like to promote, right.
Speaker 3: Oh no, I hope that's not me.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know chat Oh man, do you hear me?
Speaker 3: I can.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm pretty annoyed.
Speaker 2: Cocks at my house all morning and they still haven't
fixed whatever is going on, So pretty annoying with that.
Speaker 1: Did you give the best bet already? You know I didn't.
Speaker 3: It cut out right before I was gonna start talking,
so I didn't say anything. I thought maybe it was
on my end. I tried to sign back in, so
I'll go quick in case you know, technical difficulties service
here again, I'm gonna go ahead. I did play it,
so I will leave it here as the best bet.
Dallas team total over seventy nine and a half. I
just think whichever way this game falls, Dallas will find
their way to eighty based on the rebounding advantage. Based
on I think there's gonna be enough pace to get
enough opportunity here. These teams shot sixty two free throws
combined in that other game. These teams fole a lot,
so give me over seventy nine and a half way Dallas.
I think it's a team that's a little bit confident
now and playing the best ball of the season.
Speaker 1: And I am gonna roll with.
Speaker 4: Under.
Speaker 1: I mean I have under one seventy.
Speaker 2: You guys know that's what my thing would be greater
as so I think it's kind of at at the
point where you don't really want to go too too
much further. You can get one sixty four and a half.
I think the Wings defense steps up. I think Phoenix
defense is going to step up after getting embarrassed in
that last game too, So hopefully we can get an
eighty seventy five. And Vino and myself we're both happy.
Appreciate you guys rocking with us again. You know, it's
always good to talk these games out with you. I
appreciate you taking the time to do it.
Speaker 1: Chat.
Speaker 2: We appreciate you whether it's on YouTube, Twitter, Spotify, Apple,
we appreciate all of you guys. We'll be back again tomorrow.
We have two more games to talk about and we'll
get you guys in h m hm