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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we do always start the show

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by being transparent, and we do not do shows on

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the weekend. But the weekend was a disaster for me.

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I lost all four games that I bet, But the

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week overall was good ten and seven week That gets

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you paid, and you know, we'll try to have another

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good week here to start this one being no good

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to be back with you. How was your weekend? How

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you doing?

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Speaker 2: Weekend was about fifty to fifty overall? Ski kid, get

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over this fifty to fifty hump. Yesterday in the NBA

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one and one started out really good with the Indiana

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Milwaukee full game total over. Of course, that's two teams

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I've mentioned here quite a bit where I'm just happy

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to bet over with both of those teams that worked

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out that they were playing each other. And then I

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had the Portland team total over. It's Philadelphia and you

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know Portland just it was a bad offensive game, very

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bad offensive game. So the split was there. It was

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a split in college basketball yesterday. It was a split

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in college basketball or NBA Saturday. So again it's like

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we're just sitting here at five hundred for the last

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I don't know, it's been a run now for maybe

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about the last four or five days, just fifty to fifty.

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So look to get over that this week.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's see if we can start the week off

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right here. On Monday, we will go to the top

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of the cart, that is the Warriors and the Wizards. Open.

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Warriors minus six and a half, seven and a half total,

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I mean now it's like seven and a half now

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total Open two twenty nine up besides two thirty two

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and a half injuries. Draymond Green is probable. LJ. Cryer

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and Posts both questionable. Steph and Seth Curry are out out.

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Horford and Movie also out for Washington, Saw D lo Keyante,

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George A. D and Black all out. Second of a

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back to back for the Warriors here, third and four

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nights for the Wizards, first game home from a road trip,

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and I believe they play again tomorrow too. This is

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a Warriors team, who I mean, when is the last

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time they won? I'm looking here. Did they even win

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in March? Yeah, they won in March. They won one

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game in March. So far, It's hard to put my

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money on them to win by margin. I understand how

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bout the Wizards have been, but just tough. Maybe their

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favorites for a reason. Here, Robie, you know what do.

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Speaker 2: You think, Well, they're gonna you know, they get three

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guys back that didn't play yesterday. Right, We're gonna see

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poor Zingis, We're gonna see Draymond, and we're gonna see Milton.

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So that's that's probably why the total kicked up. I

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would think Ski that the Golden State three additions, and

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in a second of a back to back, they should

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have some fresher legs off of the loss yesterday. It's

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not like Golden State necessarily needs wins, but they can

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play their way into a home game in the play

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in situation. I'm sure they'd rather be on their home

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floor rather than visiting every time they play a play

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in games. So I would think there's a little bit

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of motivation there, and with the guys coming back with

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fresher legs off a day of rest, maybe there's an

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advantage to that. IM not sure that I want to

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lay seven and a half with them, because I'm in

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agreement with you, they're not even winning games. How do

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we want to lay eight Washington for what it's worth listen.

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They're amongst a bundle of teams that are really just

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trying to get more opportunities at the number one pick

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than other teams. But they do show some heart at times.

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I know there's a couple of times here within the

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last ten days where they've been monster dogs and come close.

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So I think they'll probably try and play a little

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bit too if they have to lose at the end,

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they will very tough game to figure ski. I could

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see it, I could see it going over. But again,

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they're trying to integrate Trey Young into the offense too,

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so that we don't know how that's gonna go. I

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don't know. It's just it's one of those that I

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didn't play. I'm trying to talk, you know, into something.

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But the back to back travel isn't even that big

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of a deal. It's New York to Washington short ride.

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I don't know. I just don't have a good feel

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either way on this one.

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Speaker 1: Well, Casey has an opinion. She says Warriors worse with

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Draymond osmakers are drunk. Interesting. She's a Warriors man, so

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take that for what it's worth. Trey just could slice

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the Warriors up that is absolutely true. Yeah, I mean

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I would look at Trey's assist again too. If they're

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still putting in a five and a half, I bet

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that over only way. It's probably the only way I

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bet this game right now? All right, Magic and Hawks.

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This one opened up minus two, now three and a

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half total open two thirty one and a half looks

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like two thirty two. Or Atlanta you have kminga out

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or Orlando Howard. It's questionable, Black, Isaac Franz Wagner all out.

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Sorry for this one. I feel like the Hawks have

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been at home for a while. Let's see here, let

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me just pull it up. Yeah, the Hawks have been

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at home one two, three, four five. This is a

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fifth straight home game the Magic. Meanwhile, playing their fourth

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game in sixth nights. They do play tomorrow first the Thunder,

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so first of back to back here, I'd probably only

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look towards the Hawks, like, Hawks have been playing good basketball,

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just going to verify yet it. I mean, they've won

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what six, seven, eight, nine, they went nine in a row.

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A lot of these games have been at home, and

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they will start a road trip after I think so

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after this game tonight, So I will bet on them

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you know, to finish strong at home of what if

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they've been playing and it's total I don't have a

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strong opinion on you know, do you.

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Speaker 2: Can we go through who the hawks nine wins are

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against Brooklyn, Washington, Washington, Portland, all right, Milwaukee Sixers, Dallas, Brooklyn, Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: It's very fair, it's.

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Speaker 2: Hand picked, right. I mean give them credit because against

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that bat Ski they are eight and one against the spread,

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so it's not like they're beating them by two three points.

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They're covering. But they've been bad and the Magic they

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look like I said this the other day, they look

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like they're starting to come around a little bit here.

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It's almost as if this division title or staying ahead

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of Miami in the standings and put Atlanta in that

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group as well, because I think these three teams are

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separated only by two games in the standings, and Orlando

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looks like they really want to be into the play

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in or actually me the playoff without having to be

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in the play in any one loss. You know, a

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one game swing here with these two becomes a two

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game swing and hurts Orlando a little bit. So I

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think they'll play hard as well. Baine and Ben Caaro

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have been playing great together leading this team. For what

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it's worth, they are one, two, three, four five six

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seven straight wins, and they are four and one, five

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and two against the spread in those seven competition a

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little bit better. Last one was at Miami. This is

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kind of a divisional two game road trip. When Miami seventeen,

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now try to win at Atlanta, good game. I think

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you could see points for sure in this one Atlanta, though,

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I believe ski I'll have you. You may already have this,

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but I believe Atlanta was like the number one defensive

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rated team over the last five games. But again, how

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much of that is a product of the garbage they've

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been playing and how much is a real turn in

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the corner as far as defense goes. I don't know

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how to judge that.

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Speaker 1: They're number three last five games. The Magic are also

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number two, both top ten offensive rated teams in the

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same span. You know what you know? I hear the

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argument for the competition, and this is obviously an important

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game for both of these teams. When you look at

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the standings, why do we not look at the total

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going under? Why is this one? Why do people like

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this one going up? I mean the Hawks eighteenth and

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Pace their last five games. Magic have been playing more

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of tempo though, but both teams playing solid defense lately.

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Why do we not look towards under here? Can you

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talk me off?

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Speaker 2: First off, you're talking to me, so it's gonna be

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hard for me. You didn't like over so much. No,

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you're you're right, and I'm kidding there of course, Yeah

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that I don't know. They just played Miami. What that

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game against Miami? But Miami does play with pace. The

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importance of the game would lead us to believe that

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we should see better or at least more defensive intensity.

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I'd agree with that. They're asking for what here? One

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seventeen eighteen one fifteen Hawks. If we judge by the

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side and total twenty that, when I say it out loud, Ski,

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that does sound a little bit high. One eighteen one

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fift teen Hawks. I mean I could see one fifteen

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one twelve in a divisional matchup where teams are trying to,

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you know, find their place in the standing. So maybe

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if there's just no wiggle room for me, I can't

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look at it either way. Probably no, uh, really cutting

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dry opportunity where total is concerned, not even with team total.

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If I if I knew again, I think you could

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make a case for Atlanta other than the competition. But

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I think the case to be made, as I said

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earlier about the competition is that they're destroying it right

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now and they're not winning close games. Atlanta is playing

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really really well good teams or bad teams here laying three,

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I don't know. That's probably as close as I could get.

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Maybe the Hawks, that's about as close as I could

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get with this game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Tommy saying, look at the pace and manage been

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playing over the last games. Hawks right Bourthda in pace,

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magic second pace over the last three games. Both teams

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are willing to run. Might be one. I mean, that's

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why I haven't rested a window with it. But kind

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of makes sense a little bit. Blazers and Nets. Blazer's

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on a back to back as a ten point favorite

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shows you the state of the Nets right now. Old

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it was going up, though two twenty I'm seeing its

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highest too. Twenty two. Robert Williams is questionable, Crashy doubtful,

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Sharp is out for Brooklyn Clown He's out, Man is out,

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Porters out. The only way I can look at this

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game is good, old faithful rob you know you know

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who that is hurt.

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Speaker 2: Clicking.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I didn't even think I'm capping as we go

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honestly today because I wasn't feeling well earlier. But that's

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my first thought. I don't expect Robert Williams to play.

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I mean, I'll double check it. Do you know I

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don't think he played, yes, I mean I do think

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he played yesterday.

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Speaker 2: She did twenty minutes, yep.

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Speaker 1: So I don't expect him to play today and he's

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not out there cleaning does rack up those stats. So

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I'm looking at him here today, clinging. Let's just do

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a little I should pull up the chart here, you know,

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love the charts twenty seven and a half. So they

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have raised it a little bit, but he has I mean,

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he has cleared this number and it says a favorable matchup.

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I think this is I mean, they're starting to raise it.

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But he can absolutely hit this last ten games, hitting

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nine out of ten averaging thirty four point six points

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and rebounds. Yeah, I put that on my list there.

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Cleaning pr probably will get there with that. See if

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I could find a twenty six and a half, but

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twenty seven and a half, I still would take what

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do you think you know?

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Speaker 2: You know? To your point. In the Philly game yesterday,

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he got the twenty six with Robert Williams on the

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floor for twenty minutes. So Clingon had eleven and fifteen

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twenty six without Williams on the floor tonight, you'd have

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to believe that that can go up by two. Get

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the twenty eight same. I mean, obviously Philly as zero.

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Other than Bona at the rim, all their bigs are down,

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and the same with the Nets today, so you get

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basically the same matchup, except you might get I think

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Donovan Klingon I'm looking right here twenty seven forty yesterday.

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As far as minutes are concerned, you get that same

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amount or a couple extra here without Williams. He should

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be able to get over. I tell you, and I've

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said it before, I don't play props, but the three

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times I've gotten involved since January one have all been

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done and Klingon and they've all won. So you're not

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gonna talk to me. In fact, I might get on

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that in this game. I would love to come back, Honestly,

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I would love to come back. Can play the Blazers

238
00:14:01,159 --> 00:14:04,320
team total over again tonight it's one sixteen and a

239
00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:07,200
half or you got I think there's a one fifteen

240
00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:11,080
and a half out there. But the nets are so slow.

241
00:14:11,639 --> 00:14:15,200
They've still given up points though I don't know. Last

242
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:19,200
couple on the road they didn't. Nets pace just kind

243
00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:21,840
of throws me off of it. But I could see

244
00:14:21,879 --> 00:14:24,320
the nets. I'm looking here right now, one two, three

245
00:14:24,399 --> 00:14:27,320
and one four five and two five and three six

246
00:14:27,399 --> 00:14:32,440
and three six and five their last eleven giving up

247
00:14:32,799 --> 00:14:39,039
one seventeen plus, So that's not a great advantage. I

248
00:14:39,039 --> 00:14:41,360
don't know. Portland disappointed me last than I thought. You know,

249
00:14:41,519 --> 00:14:43,200
Denny would have a better game than he did.

250
00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:43,679
Speaker 1: He didn't.

251
00:14:44,399 --> 00:14:46,679
Speaker 2: We'll see ski Clinging makes more sense at this point

252
00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:47,159
in time.

253
00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:50,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking though it's uh, maybe I'm late. I'm

254
00:14:50,799 --> 00:14:55,720
late to the party today with clinging. Yeah, because twenty

255
00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:57,720
seven and a half is minus one fifty five at

256
00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,440
a couple of shots I looked at so little bit

257
00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:06,480
too much for me. I would consider the thirty plus,

258
00:15:06,519 --> 00:15:12,960
but I just don't know. Uh, I don't know. I

259
00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:15,600
have to deal with that later. But I'm not betting

260
00:15:15,919 --> 00:15:19,440
one fifty five minus one fifty five. I'm just not

261
00:15:19,559 --> 00:15:24,039
doing it, all right, that's clinging. Is clearly the bet

262
00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,360
just late here today, all right, next game we have

263
00:15:27,919 --> 00:15:32,159
Sons and Celtics opened up minus ten and a half

264
00:15:32,159 --> 00:15:34,279
for Boston down to nine or eight and a half.

265
00:15:34,559 --> 00:15:36,799
Total came down as well, from two nineteen as low

266
00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:42,000
as two fourteen or the Sons Dylan Brooks and Mark

267
00:15:42,039 --> 00:15:46,440
Williams remain out for the Celtics. No Lusevich, everybody else

268
00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:50,399
looks like they're good to go there. I'm unsure why this.

269
00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:52,960
I mean, it must be some kind of situation though,

270
00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:57,240
because I feel like, oh no, I don't think the

271
00:15:57,279 --> 00:15:59,960
line should be coming down. I think that Boston is

272
00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:03,519
very capable of blowing the Suns out. Sons first of

273
00:16:03,559 --> 00:16:06,600
a back to back, They've been playing a lot of

274
00:16:06,639 --> 00:16:11,120
road games, I mean one, two, three or Yeah, they're

275
00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:14,919
in the middle of a looks like six maybe seven

276
00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:18,759
game road trip. This is game number four here, but

277
00:16:18,799 --> 00:16:21,480
they did have two days off before this game, so

278
00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:26,320
that is something I would expect points in this game.

279
00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:28,480
I look at Phoenix side, you do have a lack

280
00:16:28,519 --> 00:16:32,240
of re im protection and I definitely trust the Celtics

281
00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:36,360
to score. So maybe Boston team total over Celtics over

282
00:16:36,399 --> 00:16:38,679
in the game. Those are my thoughts here. You know,

283
00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:39,879
what do you what do you think?

284
00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:43,559
Speaker 2: Yeah? And the Phoenix team total, Ski, if you look

285
00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:45,639
at it, is one oh two and a half because

286
00:16:45,639 --> 00:16:49,279
this total has gotten smashed downward full game and the

287
00:16:49,399 --> 00:16:52,559
Sons are five and oh over their team total in

288
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,759
the last five games. I know I've been out a

289
00:16:54,799 --> 00:16:57,960
couple of them team totals where they got me home

290
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,639
and won against Milwaukee, won against Indiana, but they came

291
00:17:01,679 --> 00:17:04,279
back and scored one to fifteen against Toronto. Like you say,

292
00:17:04,319 --> 00:17:06,799
it's been an extended road trip. Fourth road game in

293
00:17:06,839 --> 00:17:12,039
a row here, fourth road game in seven days. But

294
00:17:12,279 --> 00:17:15,160
the last time they didn't score one hundred and two

295
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:20,400
was actually at home against Boston back on February twenty fourth,

296
00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:23,400
So you've been one two, three, four, five, six, seven

297
00:17:23,519 --> 00:17:29,119
eight straight games since then. Boston in that game, however, Phoenix,

298
00:17:29,759 --> 00:17:31,640
in all likelihood, I don't have the box in front

299
00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:33,359
of me, but I don't believe Booker played in that

300
00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:35,720
game and Brooks was out, so they were That was

301
00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:38,200
that stretch where they couldn't score right even the coach

302
00:17:38,279 --> 00:17:40,720
was saying, we can't score right now. Just don't have

303
00:17:40,799 --> 00:17:44,160
the bube but since Booker's come back in one oh

304
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,839
two and a half for Phoenix, if you like points,

305
00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:51,200
even if in a losing effort, you would have to

306
00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:55,160
think that Phoenix remembers that game and could with rest,

307
00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,519
could get to one oh three. This total has absolutely

308
00:17:58,559 --> 00:18:04,559
been crushed for no personnel reason whatsoever, because you read

309
00:18:04,599 --> 00:18:07,720
off the injury list. So I don't know, I could,

310
00:18:07,839 --> 00:18:09,839
I could maybe look that way. I would think Phoenix

311
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:12,200
remembers only getting to eighty one. I think you remember

312
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:17,440
being shorthanded, probably testing themselves against this Boston team. I

313
00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,599
don't know. One o three Is it that difficult in

314
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:20,079
this game?

315
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:28,240
Speaker 1: No, don't think so. Celtics have been playing good defense

316
00:18:28,279 --> 00:18:30,720
though when I do, I say that like they've held

317
00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:34,519
where there's tw one hundred thunder or one oh four.

318
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:37,720
They did give up one to twenty five to the Spurs,

319
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:43,119
Calves ninety eight, MAVs one hundred. I don't know they

320
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,160
they're they're capable of holding teams down.

321
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,599
Speaker 2: Defensively, so and they play slow.

322
00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:52,920
Speaker 1: So maybe it's just Celtics here, but I'll keep it

323
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:58,400
going for the show. MAVs and Pelicans opened eight and

324
00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,599
a half. Still see eight and a half or nines

325
00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,519
total though, up from two thirty two. That's how it's

326
00:19:04,599 --> 00:19:08,559
two forty and a half. That's a huge move. Dejontay

327
00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:14,119
Murray's questionable. McGowan's is out for New Orleans, Clay Gafford

328
00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:19,799
both doubtful. Martin is questionable for this MAVs team. Oh,

329
00:19:20,279 --> 00:19:21,519
I mean, it's not gonna be a whole lot of

330
00:19:21,559 --> 00:19:25,880
improtection for the MAVs. Not a whole lot of improtection either.

331
00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,799
Maybe for the Pelicans. I mean, I can understand why

332
00:19:28,839 --> 00:19:31,680
this total was gone up. I think I would trust

333
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:37,359
the Pelicans at home. Maybe it's a Pelicans team total.

334
00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:40,839
I don't know here, you know, something like that is

335
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:42,359
how I'm thinking. What about you?

336
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:47,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, Dallas went small yesterday right. PJ played the middle.

337
00:19:47,599 --> 00:19:51,519
PJ Washington had twenty points and eleven boards, and Dallas

338
00:19:51,559 --> 00:19:55,440
scored one hundred and thirty points against Cleveland. Dallas has

339
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:57,440
been a fast paced team this year, but they were

340
00:19:57,559 --> 00:20:01,160
ultra pasted yesterday against a team that was willing to

341
00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:06,039
go in Cleveland. And actually Cleveland with James Harden is

342
00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,119
slower than what they had been in the past. So

343
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:12,200
Dallas just forcing pace right now with a small ball lineup.

344
00:20:12,799 --> 00:20:16,319
Flag had a nice game, ten assists, twenty seven points,

345
00:20:16,319 --> 00:20:19,240
Nogie Mars Marshall had a nice game. It is a

346
00:20:19,279 --> 00:20:20,880
back to back, second of back to back, so I

347
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:24,599
would look to New Orleans way and if I'm thinking points,

348
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:26,920
because Dallas is going to play fast and they have

349
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:30,559
no interior, then I'm with you. You'd have to play

350
00:20:30,559 --> 00:20:33,480
the New Orleans side over here. And now when I

351
00:20:33,519 --> 00:20:37,480
looked earlier today, I saw one twenty four, which is

352
00:20:37,599 --> 00:20:39,920
kind of a line in the sand for me because

353
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:42,599
when you have to get to the higher one twenties,

354
00:20:43,599 --> 00:20:46,079
always stop and pause for a minute, and you know,

355
00:20:47,039 --> 00:20:50,759
can they do it? But Dallas is so capable of

356
00:20:50,799 --> 00:20:54,039
giving up this type of numbers ski and especially if

357
00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:59,960
Zion has his way inside. I don't know, it was,

358
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:03,160
it's my initial inclination to play the New Orleans side

359
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,359
over their team total. The one twenty four scared me

360
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:10,880
a little bit. Maybe it shouldn't, but Dallas is gonna

361
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:12,839
play fast and Dallas is gonna play small, so I

362
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:16,039
know I'm gonna get plenty of opportunity here. Maybe I

363
00:21:16,079 --> 00:21:19,519
don't exclude Dallas and play the full game, but they

364
00:21:19,599 --> 00:21:22,240
shot it so well yesterday. I just wonder if they

365
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,480
could maybe they don't have to repeat it. Maybe it

366
00:21:25,519 --> 00:21:27,519
could be, you know, a little bit less. But they

367
00:21:27,519 --> 00:21:30,359
were fifty three percent from the field, fifty percent from

368
00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:33,359
three to fifteen to thirty. I don't know that the

369
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:37,160
MAVs can do that again, even against New Orleans defense.

370
00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,880
So I think I would probably just isolate New Orleans

371
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:40,480
team total.

372
00:21:42,759 --> 00:21:46,880
Speaker 1: All right, next game we have Grizzlies and Bulls. This

373
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:50,839
one opened up Bulls minus five, up as high as

374
00:21:50,839 --> 00:21:54,480
seven and a half out there, total up from two

375
00:21:54,559 --> 00:21:57,119
thirty nine as high as two forty three and a

376
00:21:57,160 --> 00:22:03,480
half for the Bulls. Overridge, Richards both probable, Sexton is questionable,

377
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:07,720
Ivy Acorro and Simons are out for Memphis. Walcher Clayton

378
00:22:07,759 --> 00:22:13,759
Junior is questionable, Gg Jackson, Ty Jerome both doubtful. Clark

379
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:18,200
and Murant are both out. This is first game back

380
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:22,160
home after a one two, three, four five game road

381
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,279
trip for the Bulls, and the Bulls have been stinking

382
00:22:25,319 --> 00:22:29,960
it up definitely all of March. I know they beat

383
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:33,920
the Warriors in that one game, but actually maybe they

384
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:36,240
won more than one game. But they still haven't been

385
00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:42,000
playing good basketball in my opinion, and particularly the defense.

386
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,559
So I just I can't trust the Bulls laying this number.

387
00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,759
I just can't. I would love the Grizzlies. If Ti

388
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:51,599
Jerome was in, I'd probably already be at the window

389
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:55,680
with the Grizzlies plus. But that's the only way I'm

390
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:57,920
looking right here in this game. You know anything for

391
00:22:58,000 --> 00:22:58,480
you from you?

392
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:02,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, Memphis is zero and seven straight up in their

393
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:05,480
last seven games, but they are four and three against

394
00:23:05,519 --> 00:23:08,759
the spread, so that's what we care about against the spread,

395
00:23:09,759 --> 00:23:13,319
five and two games going over the total. Again, this

396
00:23:13,519 --> 00:23:17,160
just looks like an easy look. Just bet it over.

397
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:20,920
But the oddsmakers aren't dumb, and the early money wasn't dumb.

398
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,680
They pushed it up to a spot where now you

399
00:23:23,799 --> 00:23:27,680
have to at least reconsider for Memphis their last five

400
00:23:27,799 --> 00:23:31,319
games seven games, two thirty six full game total. This

401
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:34,279
is where the game landed two thirty six, two thirty two,

402
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:39,359
two sixty eight, two forty one, two forty three, two

403
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:43,680
thirty six and two twenty seven. So if five of those,

404
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,759
and if I go back two more, seven of those

405
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,279
don't even get to this number. But the Bulls have

406
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:55,720
been equally poor defensively, Like you mentioned, first game back

407
00:23:55,759 --> 00:23:58,400
home off an extended road trip added. I would love

408
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:00,599
to just play over no matter who's on the floor,

409
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,720
because it seems like Memphis. Memphis is so used to

410
00:24:03,759 --> 00:24:09,160
playing shorthanded that that doesn't bother me as much. But

411
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,480
point whell, taking Ti Jerome does make them better offensively.

412
00:24:13,519 --> 00:24:15,839
I don't know. This game's probably just a good one

413
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:17,759
to take the red mark or to and cross it off.

414
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:23,079
Speaker 1: That's what I'm gonna do. No Tie Jerome, no Ski.

415
00:24:26,839 --> 00:24:31,599
Lakers and Rockets open up. Minus two for the Rockets.

416
00:24:31,599 --> 00:24:34,559
Looks like two or two and a half. Total went

417
00:24:34,599 --> 00:24:36,480
up a little bit from two twenty three and a half.

418
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,000
We'll call it two twenty five and a half right now.

419
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:46,319
Maxi Cleba is out for LA where Houston Shangoon is questionable.

420
00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:52,079
Tata's out. Benfleet is out for the Lakers. They are

421
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:57,079
coming off of that overtime win versus the Nuggets. The

422
00:24:57,240 --> 00:25:00,400
Rockets do have the rest advantage here. I've had a

423
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,839
couple of days off and they didn't have to travel.

424
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:08,960
They beat the Pelicans one O seven, one five. I

425
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:11,440
would think that, you know, these teams do play each

426
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:16,000
other next like you know, no venue changed to play

427
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:20,200
each other on Wednesday. I think that the spot for

428
00:25:20,319 --> 00:25:25,359
tonight favors the Rockets with the rest of advantage not

429
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,559
having to travel with the Lakers coming off an overtime game,

430
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,119
I think tonight favors the Rockets, and I probably just

431
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,559
would wait and see, and you know, if the Rockets

432
00:25:34,559 --> 00:25:37,240
are to win this game, i'd bet LA next game.

433
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:40,759
And again, I have Rockets win to the wonder that

434
00:25:40,799 --> 00:25:42,480
I'm still sweating out, so I don't really need to

435
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,599
bet this game at all. If you know anything from

436
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:46,240
you here.

437
00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd be firmly in the Rockets corner if I

438
00:25:50,039 --> 00:25:53,960
knew Shan Gun was playing, but I don't like them

439
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:58,200
as much without him. It's a different offensive team situationally.

440
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:01,920
You laid out a good case for the Lakers situation wise. Fundamentally,

441
00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:06,519
if they don't have to defend shng Goon in the middle,

442
00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:09,359
I think that makes it a little easier on the

443
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,880
Laker defense. Obviously, there's a disparity between these two defenses.

444
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,319
One's really good, ones not really good. But the Lakers

445
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,559
have been playing pretty good ball right now, I have

446
00:26:18,599 --> 00:26:22,480
to say, so it's hard to go against them. I

447
00:26:22,519 --> 00:26:25,279
think your last point was probably the way I would look.

448
00:26:25,319 --> 00:26:28,680
I would try and just counter punch this game. See

449
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:32,039
what happens full game result here, Maybe come back the

450
00:26:32,079 --> 00:26:35,880
other way next game, thinking that these two could split,

451
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,759
or if it's an insane under maybe come back with

452
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:43,079
over next game, vice versa. But shng goon bothers me

453
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:44,640
a little bit and probably keeps me off.

454
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely with one hand. Man, if I'm looking at

455
00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:52,559
the Rockets at all, all right, last game on the slate,

456
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:58,039
Spurs and Clippers, and this is my first time even

457
00:26:58,079 --> 00:26:59,519
seeing this game. I don't know why I didn't look

458
00:26:59,559 --> 00:27:01,519
at this game earlier, but it looks like I'm too late.

459
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:04,880
Twenty five and a half was opening as I was.

460
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:10,240
Two thirty three and a half minus seven was opening

461
00:27:10,279 --> 00:27:13,400
for San Antonio up to eight and a half. Let's

462
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:17,559
look at the injury report, so it looks like Kawhi

463
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:23,119
is doubtful. Everybody else is good to go for the Spurs.

464
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:27,720
Dylan Harper's out, Cornetta is out. It's interesting to see

465
00:27:27,759 --> 00:27:29,640
Kawhi wrote out and this total is still going up

466
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:33,119
like that. What do you what did you get in

467
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:33,680
on this movie?

468
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:37,400
Speaker 2: No? I didn't get in soon enough, but they've caught

469
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:40,720
on to us by now with these whole game totals over.

470
00:27:40,759 --> 00:27:42,200
I tell you what, I had it the other night

471
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,519
when Kawhi heard his ankle and went out of the game.

472
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:48,680
I don't think he played. I think it was mid

473
00:27:48,759 --> 00:27:51,559
third quarter if I'm remembering right, Ski, when he went

474
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:55,000
out and never came back. In that one Garland tried

475
00:27:55,039 --> 00:27:58,359
to push. You know they were coming from behind, right,

476
00:27:58,599 --> 00:28:01,359
that was a Sacramento game. I think I'm referring to Sacramento.

477
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:03,799
The Clippers were coming from behind the whole way they

478
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:08,519
got closed. Sacramento extended and wins that game, and it

479
00:28:08,799 --> 00:28:10,680
didn't get to where we needed it to get to.

480
00:28:10,759 --> 00:28:15,279
I had over in that contest. San Antonio. Boy, they

481
00:28:15,319 --> 00:28:19,359
score on anybody right now, it just doesn't matter. They

482
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:23,839
put up points. I'm trying to look at their team

483
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:27,799
total while I talk here, Ski. Game is up to

484
00:28:27,839 --> 00:28:31,000
eight and a half. Team total here looks like one

485
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:36,119
twenty one for the Spurs. Sounds like a lot. But

486
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,960
if Clippers are gonna play with pace, maybe it's not

487
00:28:39,039 --> 00:28:43,000
a lot. I don't know. Without Kawai. Kawai have been

488
00:28:43,039 --> 00:28:45,799
playing so good offensively that it scares me to keep

489
00:28:45,839 --> 00:28:48,559
playing these full game totals over without him in there.

490
00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:52,920
When I watched them the other night. It doesn't seem

491
00:28:53,079 --> 00:28:56,599
like and of course he's about impossible to replace. But

492
00:28:56,759 --> 00:29:00,160
I don't know how they're gonna fill that gap with points,

493
00:29:00,759 --> 00:29:03,799
especially against the Spurs. And you know, Wemby's in there,

494
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,160
like you said the other day, and you know what,

495
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:09,880
that's funny. I remember that afterward Wemby got ruled out

496
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:12,119
and that game went over because I remember you say,

497
00:29:12,119 --> 00:29:15,119
in no way, I'm out under it. Yeah, he didn't

498
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:18,480
play and that game went flying over. So if he's

499
00:29:18,519 --> 00:29:21,720
in there, the Clippers might be limited in what they

500
00:29:21,759 --> 00:29:24,640
can score. I'm not gonna limit the Spurs. Obviously they

501
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,640
score in anybody. But I don't know one twelve and

502
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,519
a half for the Clippers. Maybe I'd have to look

503
00:29:30,559 --> 00:29:32,960
at them staying under tonight, even as fast as they

504
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:33,359
want to go.

505
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:39,519
Speaker 1: Yeah that uh no, Kauai, I can't be going with

506
00:29:39,559 --> 00:29:43,839
the over in that game. All right. That's the that's

507
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:48,200
the NBA car for today. And man, I didn't get

508
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,359
the other graphic. I guess I'll have it up for tomorrow.

509
00:29:51,559 --> 00:29:54,960
I said I wasn't feeling good today, so my bad

510
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:59,839
on that. But we do have a thing where you

511
00:29:59,839 --> 00:30:03,839
can you can get both Rob Vino and myself basketball

512
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:06,640
for three days, right, and I believe it's let me

513
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:16,640
just double check here, get Robo myself here we go here, Yeah,

514
00:30:16,799 --> 00:30:19,920
double the NBA court vision three days for fifty nine.

515
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:21,960
So if you want to rock with both of us

516
00:30:22,079 --> 00:30:23,960
all of our NBA plays, that is the way to

517
00:30:24,039 --> 00:30:27,240
do it. If you just say, hey, maybe I don't

518
00:30:27,279 --> 00:30:30,559
like ski, I just like Rob Vino. You want to

519
00:30:30,599 --> 00:30:33,480
go buy three days and get three days free. Six

520
00:30:33,559 --> 00:30:37,240
days comes out to just sixty nine dollars. If you

521
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,519
like to be involved longer than that, you can do

522
00:30:40,759 --> 00:30:45,039
the all year all access pass comes out to under

523
00:30:45,039 --> 00:30:47,799
four dollars a day, and you'll get every play you

524
00:30:47,839 --> 00:30:50,960
know that we're making here. So on that Noveno I

525
00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:53,720
will pass to you. If there's anything else you would

526
00:30:54,039 --> 00:30:56,039
like to promote, feel free and if you have a

527
00:30:56,079 --> 00:30:57,519
best bet for the show, we love to hear it.

528
00:30:57,559 --> 00:30:58,880
If you don't all good.

529
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean maybe they say that Veno guy doesn't

530
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:07,279
make any sense, just give me skied, but hopefully they

531
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,160
like us both. Wager Talk did put that promo together

532
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:14,920
for us for purposes of the show. Here your show

533
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,839
that I'm on each and every day, So hopefully they

534
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,440
like the info that were given enough to purchase the

535
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:24,000
package that are reduced. Right, Ski, I didn't bend anything today,

536
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,440
And again I always say this, and I know you

537
00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:29,039
do too. We hate to recommend, at least on this show.

538
00:31:29,079 --> 00:31:32,839
We hate to recommend anything that we haven't either recommended

539
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:34,720
to clients or a bet out of our own pocket.

540
00:31:34,799 --> 00:31:38,759
And I don't have that yet. You could tell by

541
00:31:38,799 --> 00:31:40,759
what we said. Here's I'll do what you do and

542
00:31:40,799 --> 00:31:44,279
I'll just say where I'm leaning. The list includes New

543
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:47,599
Orleans team total over one twenty four. That's like at

544
00:31:47,640 --> 00:31:51,079
the top of my list. Second on the list after

545
00:31:51,119 --> 00:31:54,000
we talked it out, was down event Clinging, But then

546
00:31:54,119 --> 00:31:56,039
we'd have to find a better price than minus one

547
00:31:56,119 --> 00:32:00,880
fifty five attached to his total, and then potential for

548
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:03,880
a third play here would be Phoenix team total over

549
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:05,400
one oh two and a half. That when I have

550
00:32:05,599 --> 00:32:09,640
down lower here. So for me, like I say, top

551
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:11,720
of the list right now is the New Orleans team

552
00:32:11,759 --> 00:32:15,240
total Dallas coming off back to backs and playing extremely

553
00:32:15,319 --> 00:32:18,599
fast with a small ball team.

554
00:32:18,759 --> 00:32:20,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's one of those days here where

555
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:22,799
I'm a little slow to the window as well, and

556
00:32:22,839 --> 00:32:25,039
I don't like giving you guys something that I haven't played,

557
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:29,680
I just I just don't believe in it, so I

558
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,000
can't give you guys the best bet today. I'm pretty

559
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:33,720
sure I'll get to the window with something as the

560
00:32:33,759 --> 00:32:37,319
day goes on, but not comfortable enough to do it

561
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,559
just yet. Hopefully us breaking the games down helped you

562
00:32:40,599 --> 00:32:43,519
out with your handicap, that would be the show for today.

563
00:32:43,599 --> 00:32:45,839
So you know, I appreciate you taking the time to

564
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:48,960
capt the games with me. Always much appreciated. Chat We

565
00:32:49,039 --> 00:32:53,119
appreciate you as well, and has the luck everybody on

566
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:55,519
all your action. We will catch you all again tomorrow

