Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start the show
by being transparent, and we do not do shows on
the weekend. But the weekend was a disaster for me.
I lost all four games that I bet, But the
week overall was good ten and seven week That gets
you paid, and you know, we'll try to have another
good week here to start this one being no good
to be back with you. How was your weekend? How
you doing?
Speaker 2: Weekend was about fifty to fifty overall? Ski kid, get
over this fifty to fifty hump. Yesterday in the NBA
one and one started out really good with the Indiana
Milwaukee full game total over. Of course, that's two teams
I've mentioned here quite a bit where I'm just happy
to bet over with both of those teams that worked
out that they were playing each other. And then I
had the Portland team total over. It's Philadelphia and you
know Portland just it was a bad offensive game, very
bad offensive game. So the split was there. It was
a split in college basketball yesterday. It was a split
in college basketball or NBA Saturday. So again it's like
we're just sitting here at five hundred for the last
I don't know, it's been a run now for maybe
about the last four or five days, just fifty to fifty.
So look to get over that this week.
Speaker 1: Well, let's see if we can start the week off
right here. On Monday, we will go to the top
of the cart, that is the Warriors and the Wizards. Open.
Warriors minus six and a half, seven and a half total,
I mean now it's like seven and a half now
total Open two twenty nine up besides two thirty two
and a half injuries. Draymond Green is probable. LJ. Cryer
and Posts both questionable. Steph and Seth Curry are out out.
Horford and Movie also out for Washington, Saw D lo Keyante,
George A. D and Black all out. Second of a
back to back for the Warriors here, third and four
nights for the Wizards, first game home from a road trip,
and I believe they play again tomorrow too. This is
a Warriors team, who I mean, when is the last
time they won? I'm looking here. Did they even win
in March? Yeah, they won in March. They won one
game in March. So far, It's hard to put my
money on them to win by margin. I understand how
bout the Wizards have been, but just tough. Maybe their
favorites for a reason. Here, Robie, you know what do.
Speaker 2: You think, Well, they're gonna you know, they get three
guys back that didn't play yesterday. Right, We're gonna see
poor Zingis, We're gonna see Draymond, and we're gonna see Milton.
So that's that's probably why the total kicked up. I
would think Ski that the Golden State three additions, and
in a second of a back to back, they should
have some fresher legs off of the loss yesterday. It's
not like Golden State necessarily needs wins, but they can
play their way into a home game in the play
in situation. I'm sure they'd rather be on their home
floor rather than visiting every time they play a play
in games. So I would think there's a little bit
of motivation there, and with the guys coming back with
fresher legs off a day of rest, maybe there's an
advantage to that. IM not sure that I want to
lay seven and a half with them, because I'm in
agreement with you, they're not even winning games. How do
we want to lay eight Washington for what it's worth listen.
They're amongst a bundle of teams that are really just
trying to get more opportunities at the number one pick
than other teams. But they do show some heart at times.
I know there's a couple of times here within the
last ten days where they've been monster dogs and come close.
So I think they'll probably try and play a little
bit too if they have to lose at the end,
they will very tough game to figure ski. I could
see it, I could see it going over. But again,
they're trying to integrate Trey Young into the offense too,
so that we don't know how that's gonna go. I
don't know. It's just it's one of those that I
didn't play. I'm trying to talk, you know, into something.
But the back to back travel isn't even that big
of a deal. It's New York to Washington short ride.
I don't know. I just don't have a good feel
either way on this one.
Speaker 1: Well, Casey has an opinion. She says Warriors worse with
Draymond osmakers are drunk. Interesting. She's a Warriors man, so
take that for what it's worth. Trey just could slice
the Warriors up that is absolutely true. Yeah, I mean
I would look at Trey's assist again too. If they're
still putting in a five and a half, I bet
that over only way. It's probably the only way I
bet this game right now? All right, Magic and Hawks.
This one opened up minus two, now three and a
half total open two thirty one and a half looks
like two thirty two. Or Atlanta you have kminga out
or Orlando Howard. It's questionable, Black, Isaac Franz Wagner all out.
Sorry for this one. I feel like the Hawks have
been at home for a while. Let's see here, let
me just pull it up. Yeah, the Hawks have been
at home one two, three, four five. This is a
fifth straight home game the Magic. Meanwhile, playing their fourth
game in sixth nights. They do play tomorrow first the Thunder,
so first of back to back here, I'd probably only
look towards the Hawks, like, Hawks have been playing good basketball,
just going to verify yet it. I mean, they've won
what six, seven, eight, nine, they went nine in a row.
A lot of these games have been at home, and
they will start a road trip after I think so
after this game tonight, So I will bet on them
you know, to finish strong at home of what if
they've been playing and it's total I don't have a
strong opinion on you know, do you.
Speaker 2: Can we go through who the hawks nine wins are
against Brooklyn, Washington, Washington, Portland, all right, Milwaukee Sixers, Dallas, Brooklyn, Milwaukee.
Speaker 1: It's very fair, it's.
Speaker 2: Hand picked, right. I mean give them credit because against
that bat Ski they are eight and one against the spread,
so it's not like they're beating them by two three points.
They're covering. But they've been bad and the Magic they
look like I said this the other day, they look
like they're starting to come around a little bit here.
It's almost as if this division title or staying ahead
of Miami in the standings and put Atlanta in that
group as well, because I think these three teams are
separated only by two games in the standings, and Orlando
looks like they really want to be into the play
in or actually me the playoff without having to be
in the play in any one loss. You know, a
one game swing here with these two becomes a two
game swing and hurts Orlando a little bit. So I
think they'll play hard as well. Baine and Ben Caaro
have been playing great together leading this team. For what
it's worth, they are one, two, three, four five six
seven straight wins, and they are four and one, five
and two against the spread in those seven competition a
little bit better. Last one was at Miami. This is
kind of a divisional two game road trip. When Miami seventeen,
now try to win at Atlanta, good game. I think
you could see points for sure in this one Atlanta, though,
I believe ski I'll have you. You may already have this,
but I believe Atlanta was like the number one defensive
rated team over the last five games. But again, how
much of that is a product of the garbage they've
been playing and how much is a real turn in
the corner as far as defense goes. I don't know
how to judge that.
Speaker 1: They're number three last five games. The Magic are also
number two, both top ten offensive rated teams in the
same span. You know what you know? I hear the
argument for the competition, and this is obviously an important
game for both of these teams. When you look at
the standings, why do we not look at the total
going under? Why is this one? Why do people like
this one going up? I mean the Hawks eighteenth and
Pace their last five games. Magic have been playing more
of tempo though, but both teams playing solid defense lately.
Why do we not look towards under here? Can you
talk me off?
Speaker 2: First off, you're talking to me, so it's gonna be
hard for me. You didn't like over so much. No,
you're you're right, and I'm kidding there of course, Yeah
that I don't know. They just played Miami. What that
game against Miami? But Miami does play with pace. The
importance of the game would lead us to believe that
we should see better or at least more defensive intensity.
I'd agree with that. They're asking for what here? One
seventeen eighteen one fifteen Hawks. If we judge by the
side and total twenty that, when I say it out loud, Ski,
that does sound a little bit high. One eighteen one
fift teen Hawks. I mean I could see one fifteen
one twelve in a divisional matchup where teams are trying to,
you know, find their place in the standing. So maybe
if there's just no wiggle room for me, I can't
look at it either way. Probably no, uh, really cutting
dry opportunity where total is concerned, not even with team total.
If I if I knew again, I think you could
make a case for Atlanta other than the competition. But
I think the case to be made, as I said
earlier about the competition is that they're destroying it right
now and they're not winning close games. Atlanta is playing
really really well good teams or bad teams here laying three,
I don't know. That's probably as close as I could get.
Maybe the Hawks, that's about as close as I could
get with this game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Tommy saying, look at the pace and manage been
playing over the last games. Hawks right Bourthda in pace,
magic second pace over the last three games. Both teams
are willing to run. Might be one. I mean, that's
why I haven't rested a window with it. But kind
of makes sense a little bit. Blazers and Nets. Blazer's
on a back to back as a ten point favorite
shows you the state of the Nets right now. Old
it was going up, though two twenty I'm seeing its
highest too. Twenty two. Robert Williams is questionable, Crashy doubtful,
Sharp is out for Brooklyn Clown He's out, Man is out,
Porters out. The only way I can look at this
game is good, old faithful rob you know you know
who that is hurt.
Speaker 2: Clicking.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I didn't even think I'm capping as we go
honestly today because I wasn't feeling well earlier. But that's
my first thought. I don't expect Robert Williams to play.
I mean, I'll double check it. Do you know I
don't think he played, yes, I mean I do think
he played yesterday.
Speaker 2: She did twenty minutes, yep.
Speaker 1: So I don't expect him to play today and he's
not out there cleaning does rack up those stats. So
I'm looking at him here today, clinging. Let's just do
a little I should pull up the chart here, you know,
love the charts twenty seven and a half. So they
have raised it a little bit, but he has I mean,
he has cleared this number and it says a favorable matchup.
I think this is I mean, they're starting to raise it.
But he can absolutely hit this last ten games, hitting
nine out of ten averaging thirty four point six points
and rebounds. Yeah, I put that on my list there.
Cleaning pr probably will get there with that. See if
I could find a twenty six and a half, but
twenty seven and a half, I still would take what
do you think you know?
Speaker 2: You know? To your point. In the Philly game yesterday,
he got the twenty six with Robert Williams on the
floor for twenty minutes. So Clingon had eleven and fifteen
twenty six without Williams on the floor tonight, you'd have
to believe that that can go up by two. Get
the twenty eight same. I mean, obviously Philly as zero.
Other than Bona at the rim, all their bigs are down,
and the same with the Nets today, so you get
basically the same matchup, except you might get I think
Donovan Klingon I'm looking right here twenty seven forty yesterday.
As far as minutes are concerned, you get that same
amount or a couple extra here without Williams. He should
be able to get over. I tell you, and I've
said it before, I don't play props, but the three
times I've gotten involved since January one have all been
done and Klingon and they've all won. So you're not
gonna talk to me. In fact, I might get on
that in this game. I would love to come back, Honestly,
I would love to come back. Can play the Blazers
team total over again tonight it's one sixteen and a
half or you got I think there's a one fifteen
and a half out there. But the nets are so slow.
They've still given up points though I don't know. Last
couple on the road they didn't. Nets pace just kind
of throws me off of it. But I could see
the nets. I'm looking here right now, one two, three
and one four five and two five and three six
and three six and five their last eleven giving up
one seventeen plus, So that's not a great advantage. I
don't know. Portland disappointed me last than I thought. You know,
Denny would have a better game than he did.
Speaker 1: He didn't.
Speaker 2: We'll see ski Clinging makes more sense at this point
in time.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking though it's uh, maybe I'm late. I'm
late to the party today with clinging. Yeah, because twenty
seven and a half is minus one fifty five at
a couple of shots I looked at so little bit
too much for me. I would consider the thirty plus,
but I just don't know. Uh, I don't know. I
have to deal with that later. But I'm not betting
one fifty five minus one fifty five. I'm just not
doing it, all right, that's clinging. Is clearly the bet
just late here today, all right, next game we have
Sons and Celtics opened up minus ten and a half
for Boston down to nine or eight and a half.
Total came down as well, from two nineteen as low
as two fourteen or the Sons Dylan Brooks and Mark
Williams remain out for the Celtics. No Lusevich, everybody else
looks like they're good to go there. I'm unsure why this.
I mean, it must be some kind of situation though,
because I feel like, oh no, I don't think the
line should be coming down. I think that Boston is
very capable of blowing the Suns out. Sons first of
a back to back, They've been playing a lot of
road games, I mean one, two, three or Yeah, they're
in the middle of a looks like six maybe seven
game road trip. This is game number four here, but
they did have two days off before this game, so
that is something I would expect points in this game.
I look at Phoenix side, you do have a lack
of re im protection and I definitely trust the Celtics
to score. So maybe Boston team total over Celtics over
in the game. Those are my thoughts here. You know,
what do you what do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah? And the Phoenix team total, Ski, if you look
at it, is one oh two and a half because
this total has gotten smashed downward full game and the
Sons are five and oh over their team total in
the last five games. I know I've been out a
couple of them team totals where they got me home
and won against Milwaukee, won against Indiana, but they came
back and scored one to fifteen against Toronto. Like you say,
it's been an extended road trip. Fourth road game in
a row here, fourth road game in seven days. But
the last time they didn't score one hundred and two
was actually at home against Boston back on February twenty fourth,
So you've been one two, three, four, five, six, seven
eight straight games since then. Boston in that game, however, Phoenix,
in all likelihood, I don't have the box in front
of me, but I don't believe Booker played in that
game and Brooks was out, so they were That was
that stretch where they couldn't score right even the coach
was saying, we can't score right now. Just don't have
the bube but since Booker's come back in one oh
two and a half for Phoenix, if you like points,
even if in a losing effort, you would have to
think that Phoenix remembers that game and could with rest,
could get to one oh three. This total has absolutely
been crushed for no personnel reason whatsoever, because you read
off the injury list. So I don't know, I could,
I could maybe look that way. I would think Phoenix
remembers only getting to eighty one. I think you remember
being shorthanded, probably testing themselves against this Boston team. I
don't know. One o three Is it that difficult in
this game?
Speaker 1: No, don't think so. Celtics have been playing good defense
though when I do, I say that like they've held
where there's tw one hundred thunder or one oh four.
They did give up one to twenty five to the Spurs,
Calves ninety eight, MAVs one hundred. I don't know they
they're they're capable of holding teams down.
Speaker 2: Defensively, so and they play slow.
Speaker 1: So maybe it's just Celtics here, but I'll keep it
going for the show. MAVs and Pelicans opened eight and
a half. Still see eight and a half or nines
total though, up from two thirty two. That's how it's
two forty and a half. That's a huge move. Dejontay
Murray's questionable. McGowan's is out for New Orleans, Clay Gafford
both doubtful. Martin is questionable for this MAVs team. Oh,
I mean, it's not gonna be a whole lot of
improtection for the MAVs. Not a whole lot of improtection either.
Maybe for the Pelicans. I mean, I can understand why
this total was gone up. I think I would trust
the Pelicans at home. Maybe it's a Pelicans team total.
I don't know here, you know, something like that is
how I'm thinking. What about you?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Dallas went small yesterday right. PJ played the middle.
PJ Washington had twenty points and eleven boards, and Dallas
scored one hundred and thirty points against Cleveland. Dallas has
been a fast paced team this year, but they were
ultra pasted yesterday against a team that was willing to
go in Cleveland. And actually Cleveland with James Harden is
slower than what they had been in the past. So
Dallas just forcing pace right now with a small ball lineup.
Flag had a nice game, ten assists, twenty seven points,
Nogie Mars Marshall had a nice game. It is a
back to back, second of back to back, so I
would look to New Orleans way and if I'm thinking points,
because Dallas is going to play fast and they have
no interior, then I'm with you. You'd have to play
the New Orleans side over here. And now when I
looked earlier today, I saw one twenty four, which is
kind of a line in the sand for me because
when you have to get to the higher one twenties,
always stop and pause for a minute, and you know,
can they do it? But Dallas is so capable of
giving up this type of numbers ski and especially if
Zion has his way inside. I don't know, it was,
it's my initial inclination to play the New Orleans side
over their team total. The one twenty four scared me
a little bit. Maybe it shouldn't, but Dallas is gonna
play fast and Dallas is gonna play small, so I
know I'm gonna get plenty of opportunity here. Maybe I
don't exclude Dallas and play the full game, but they
shot it so well yesterday. I just wonder if they
could maybe they don't have to repeat it. Maybe it
could be, you know, a little bit less. But they
were fifty three percent from the field, fifty percent from
three to fifteen to thirty. I don't know that the
MAVs can do that again, even against New Orleans defense.
So I think I would probably just isolate New Orleans
team total.
Speaker 1: All right, next game we have Grizzlies and Bulls. This
one opened up Bulls minus five, up as high as
seven and a half out there, total up from two
thirty nine as high as two forty three and a
half for the Bulls. Overridge, Richards both probable, Sexton is questionable,
Ivy Acorro and Simons are out for Memphis. Walcher Clayton
Junior is questionable, Gg Jackson, Ty Jerome both doubtful. Clark
and Murant are both out. This is first game back
home after a one two, three, four five game road
trip for the Bulls, and the Bulls have been stinking
it up definitely all of March. I know they beat
the Warriors in that one game, but actually maybe they
won more than one game. But they still haven't been
playing good basketball in my opinion, and particularly the defense.
So I just I can't trust the Bulls laying this number.
I just can't. I would love the Grizzlies. If Ti
Jerome was in, I'd probably already be at the window
with the Grizzlies plus. But that's the only way I'm
looking right here in this game. You know anything for
you from you?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Memphis is zero and seven straight up in their
last seven games, but they are four and three against
the spread, so that's what we care about against the spread,
five and two games going over the total. Again, this
just looks like an easy look. Just bet it over.
But the oddsmakers aren't dumb, and the early money wasn't dumb.
They pushed it up to a spot where now you
have to at least reconsider for Memphis their last five
games seven games, two thirty six full game total. This
is where the game landed two thirty six, two thirty two,
two sixty eight, two forty one, two forty three, two
thirty six and two twenty seven. So if five of those,
and if I go back two more, seven of those
don't even get to this number. But the Bulls have
been equally poor defensively, Like you mentioned, first game back
home off an extended road trip added. I would love
to just play over no matter who's on the floor,
because it seems like Memphis. Memphis is so used to
playing shorthanded that that doesn't bother me as much. But
point whell, taking Ti Jerome does make them better offensively.
I don't know. This game's probably just a good one
to take the red mark or to and cross it off.
Speaker 1: That's what I'm gonna do. No Tie Jerome, no Ski.
Lakers and Rockets open up. Minus two for the Rockets.
Looks like two or two and a half. Total went
up a little bit from two twenty three and a half.
We'll call it two twenty five and a half right now.
Maxi Cleba is out for LA where Houston Shangoon is questionable.
Tata's out. Benfleet is out for the Lakers. They are
coming off of that overtime win versus the Nuggets. The
Rockets do have the rest advantage here. I've had a
couple of days off and they didn't have to travel.
They beat the Pelicans one O seven, one five. I
would think that, you know, these teams do play each
other next like you know, no venue changed to play
each other on Wednesday. I think that the spot for
tonight favors the Rockets with the rest of advantage not
having to travel with the Lakers coming off an overtime game,
I think tonight favors the Rockets, and I probably just
would wait and see, and you know, if the Rockets
are to win this game, i'd bet LA next game.
And again, I have Rockets win to the wonder that
I'm still sweating out, so I don't really need to
bet this game at all. If you know anything from
you here.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd be firmly in the Rockets corner if I
knew Shan Gun was playing, but I don't like them
as much without him. It's a different offensive team situationally.
You laid out a good case for the Lakers situation wise. Fundamentally,
if they don't have to defend shng Goon in the middle,
I think that makes it a little easier on the
Laker defense. Obviously, there's a disparity between these two defenses.
One's really good, ones not really good. But the Lakers
have been playing pretty good ball right now, I have
to say, so it's hard to go against them. I
think your last point was probably the way I would look.
I would try and just counter punch this game. See
what happens full game result here, Maybe come back the
other way next game, thinking that these two could split,
or if it's an insane under maybe come back with
over next game, vice versa. But shng goon bothers me
a little bit and probably keeps me off.
Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely with one hand. Man, if I'm looking at
the Rockets at all, all right, last game on the slate,
Spurs and Clippers, and this is my first time even
seeing this game. I don't know why I didn't look
at this game earlier, but it looks like I'm too late.
Twenty five and a half was opening as I was.
Two thirty three and a half minus seven was opening
for San Antonio up to eight and a half. Let's
look at the injury report, so it looks like Kawhi
is doubtful. Everybody else is good to go for the Spurs.
Dylan Harper's out, Cornetta is out. It's interesting to see
Kawhi wrote out and this total is still going up
like that. What do you what did you get in
on this movie?
Speaker 2: No? I didn't get in soon enough, but they've caught
on to us by now with these whole game totals over.
I tell you what, I had it the other night
when Kawhi heard his ankle and went out of the game.
I don't think he played. I think it was mid
third quarter if I'm remembering right, Ski, when he went
out and never came back. In that one Garland tried
to push. You know they were coming from behind, right,
that was a Sacramento game. I think I'm referring to Sacramento.
The Clippers were coming from behind the whole way they
got closed. Sacramento extended and wins that game, and it
didn't get to where we needed it to get to.
I had over in that contest. San Antonio. Boy, they
score on anybody right now, it just doesn't matter. They
put up points. I'm trying to look at their team
total while I talk here, Ski. Game is up to
eight and a half. Team total here looks like one
twenty one for the Spurs. Sounds like a lot. But
if Clippers are gonna play with pace, maybe it's not
a lot. I don't know. Without Kawai. Kawai have been
playing so good offensively that it scares me to keep
playing these full game totals over without him in there.
When I watched them the other night. It doesn't seem
like and of course he's about impossible to replace. But
I don't know how they're gonna fill that gap with points,
especially against the Spurs. And you know, Wemby's in there,
like you said the other day, and you know what,
that's funny. I remember that afterward Wemby got ruled out
and that game went over because I remember you say,
in no way, I'm out under it. Yeah, he didn't
play and that game went flying over. So if he's
in there, the Clippers might be limited in what they
can score. I'm not gonna limit the Spurs. Obviously they
score in anybody. But I don't know one twelve and
a half for the Clippers. Maybe I'd have to look
at them staying under tonight, even as fast as they
want to go.
Speaker 1: Yeah that uh no, Kauai, I can't be going with
the over in that game. All right. That's the that's
the NBA car for today. And man, I didn't get
the other graphic. I guess I'll have it up for tomorrow.
I said I wasn't feeling good today, so my bad
on that. But we do have a thing where you
can you can get both Rob Vino and myself basketball
for three days, right, and I believe it's let me
just double check here, get Robo myself here we go here, Yeah,
double the NBA court vision three days for fifty nine.
So if you want to rock with both of us
all of our NBA plays, that is the way to
do it. If you just say, hey, maybe I don't
like ski, I just like Rob Vino. You want to
go buy three days and get three days free. Six
days comes out to just sixty nine dollars. If you
like to be involved longer than that, you can do
the all year all access pass comes out to under
four dollars a day, and you'll get every play you
know that we're making here. So on that Noveno I
will pass to you. If there's anything else you would
like to promote, feel free and if you have a
best bet for the show, we love to hear it.
If you don't all good.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean maybe they say that Veno guy doesn't
make any sense, just give me skied, but hopefully they
like us both. Wager Talk did put that promo together
for us for purposes of the show. Here your show
that I'm on each and every day, So hopefully they
like the info that were given enough to purchase the
package that are reduced. Right, Ski, I didn't bend anything today,
And again I always say this, and I know you
do too. We hate to recommend, at least on this show.
We hate to recommend anything that we haven't either recommended
to clients or a bet out of our own pocket.
And I don't have that yet. You could tell by
what we said. Here's I'll do what you do and
I'll just say where I'm leaning. The list includes New
Orleans team total over one twenty four. That's like at
the top of my list. Second on the list after
we talked it out, was down event Clinging, But then
we'd have to find a better price than minus one
fifty five attached to his total, and then potential for
a third play here would be Phoenix team total over
one oh two and a half. That when I have
down lower here. So for me, like I say, top
of the list right now is the New Orleans team
total Dallas coming off back to backs and playing extremely
fast with a small ball team.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's one of those days here where
I'm a little slow to the window as well, and
I don't like giving you guys something that I haven't played,
I just I just don't believe in it, so I
can't give you guys the best bet today. I'm pretty
sure I'll get to the window with something as the
day goes on, but not comfortable enough to do it
just yet. Hopefully us breaking the games down helped you
out with your handicap, that would be the show for today.
So you know, I appreciate you taking the time to
capt the games with me. Always much appreciated. Chat We
appreciate you as well, and has the luck everybody on
all your action. We will catch you all again tomorrow