WEBVTT 1 00:00:23.519 --> 00:00:27.760 And Hi, how are you welcome to the Big Podcast. 2 00:00:27.760 --> 00:00:32.479 Today's Thursday. Today's the ninth day of October, year of 3 00:00:32.479 --> 00:00:35.960 Our Lord, twenty twenty five. My name is Tom Sullivan. 4 00:00:36.079 --> 00:00:41.799 So man alive. We've got ourselves a peace agreement, not 5 00:00:41.880 --> 00:00:47.920 a cease fire, a peace agreement between Hamas and Israel, 6 00:00:48.679 --> 00:00:51.439 and there's a lot to talk about there. We've got 7 00:00:51.439 --> 00:00:57.600 some governor's races that we are getting close to election day. 8 00:00:57.640 --> 00:01:01.600 We're less than about three weeks away. The fire that 9 00:01:01.640 --> 00:01:04.120 the guy that they caught the arsonist in Los Angeles. 10 00:01:04.239 --> 00:01:07.400 Told you about that yesterday, but today there are some 11 00:01:07.519 --> 00:01:10.359 fire victims I want to share with you that are 12 00:01:10.400 --> 00:01:12.439 looking at it and going I'm glad they got the guy. 13 00:01:12.519 --> 00:01:17.319 But the city of la is still failing, the people 14 00:01:17.359 --> 00:01:20.400 that had their homes burned down, and we've got the 15 00:01:20.400 --> 00:01:23.560 government shut down. We're in day I don't know what, 16 00:01:23.799 --> 00:01:28.200 it doesn't matter. They're still stuck. They're no, they're not. 17 00:01:28.920 --> 00:01:32.359 There's no solution there of any kind. So let's start 18 00:01:32.400 --> 00:01:37.840 with the peace agreement because there is a timeline to this, 19 00:01:38.359 --> 00:01:40.200 and I do want to go through that with you, 20 00:01:40.920 --> 00:01:48.640 but it is today is the phase one deal. The 21 00:01:48.719 --> 00:01:54.319 Israeli Parliament, they met and agreed for the deal, and 22 00:01:54.319 --> 00:01:58.920 then the President hild a cabinet meeting and everybody, everybody's 23 00:01:59.000 --> 00:02:01.920 on on the page of saying let's go ahead with 24 00:02:01.959 --> 00:02:07.599 this deal. So they had a cease fire agreement that 25 00:02:07.760 --> 00:02:10.520 had to be signed. This is the ceasefirepart had to 26 00:02:10.520 --> 00:02:15.199 be signed at noon today in Israel, and it was 27 00:02:15.319 --> 00:02:19.280 expected to take effect immediately, but not exactly. There were 28 00:02:19.319 --> 00:02:24.199 still some explosions early this morning, and they must within 29 00:02:24.319 --> 00:02:29.840 twenty four hours. IDF Israeli Defense Forces must withdraw to 30 00:02:30.360 --> 00:02:32.639 a yellow line that has been drawn on a map 31 00:02:32.800 --> 00:02:35.759 that President Trump came up with and said, all right, 32 00:02:35.800 --> 00:02:40.560 that'll still give the Israeli Defense Forces control over fifty 33 00:02:40.719 --> 00:02:46.199 three percent of Gaza, and everybody's agreed to that. The 34 00:02:46.360 --> 00:02:51.400 withdrawal by the IDF must be done by tomorrow, and 35 00:02:51.439 --> 00:02:57.199 then the hostages are set to be released between Saturday 36 00:02:57.280 --> 00:03:00.560 and Monday, and it's looking I don't know if it's 37 00:03:00.599 --> 00:03:04.719 going to bed. I've heard Saturday, I've heard Sunday, but 38 00:03:04.800 --> 00:03:08.759 now it seems like Monday is the big day to 39 00:03:08.879 --> 00:03:16.960 have the hostages released. So Nick Robertson is in the 40 00:03:17.000 --> 00:03:20.120 Middle East and has been for quite some time kind 41 00:03:20.120 --> 00:03:23.400 of lays out the timeline of how all of this 42 00:03:23.719 --> 00:03:27.599 ceasefire and peace agreement is going to be implemented. 43 00:03:27.840 --> 00:03:30.479 Then the twenty four hour clock starts ticking. I think 44 00:03:30.520 --> 00:03:34.479 that's the correct interpretation there. IDF troops pulled back to 45 00:03:34.560 --> 00:03:38.840 that line. It's a line that President Trump recommended, suggested 46 00:03:38.919 --> 00:03:42.280 it was agreed that gives Israel effects in control of 47 00:03:42.360 --> 00:03:44.960 fifty three percent of the cars a strip. I think 48 00:03:44.960 --> 00:03:48.039 that's the going figure at the moment. And then when 49 00:03:48.080 --> 00:03:50.800 they when that twenty four hour period has expired, and 50 00:03:50.840 --> 00:03:52.960 the idea is pulled back to that point, then the 51 00:03:53.000 --> 00:03:56.039 seventy two hour clock begins, and it's within that seventy 52 00:03:56.080 --> 00:03:59.039 two hour clock that the hostages will be released. As 53 00:03:59.039 --> 00:04:01.439 a couple of other things so that we can expect 54 00:04:01.439 --> 00:04:05.159 to happen later today, as well as signing ceremony, and 55 00:04:05.800 --> 00:04:09.280 which appears to be what Hamas is saying is required 56 00:04:09.319 --> 00:04:12.159 for them to move forward and release the hostages, that 57 00:04:12.240 --> 00:04:16.079 there is a formal recognition that this is more than 58 00:04:16.160 --> 00:04:18.720 just a ceasefire, that this is an end to the war. 59 00:04:19.120 --> 00:04:22.240 That's what Hamas is talking about at the moment as well. 60 00:04:22.519 --> 00:04:27.240 So these sequence of events are in play and beginning 61 00:04:27.279 --> 00:04:31.800 right now with a pre meeting in Israel Prime Minister 62 00:04:31.920 --> 00:04:34.920 Netno with some of his security officials ahead of that 63 00:04:35.040 --> 00:04:38.600 main cabinet. That's Judah first security meeting due to begin 64 00:04:39.040 --> 00:04:43.000 right now. So everything is rolling out, no hitches, but 65 00:04:43.079 --> 00:04:44.639 a lot of unanswered questions. 66 00:04:44.879 --> 00:04:47.800 There are a lot of unanswered questions, but one of 67 00:04:47.879 --> 00:04:50.839 the like I said, the deal has been announced and 68 00:04:51.000 --> 00:04:54.560 the various government agencies have all blussed this thing. The 69 00:04:54.600 --> 00:04:58.600 President said he's planning to travel to Egypt for an 70 00:04:58.600 --> 00:05:02.680 official signing of the cease fire deal. This he said 71 00:05:02.759 --> 00:05:06.199 during the cabinet meeting earlier today at the White House. 72 00:05:06.920 --> 00:05:09.639 And then the hostages, according to White House, are expected 73 00:05:09.680 --> 00:05:14.600 to be released now. They're saying on Monday. Mike Pompeo 74 00:05:15.160 --> 00:05:17.600 was involved in this when he was Secretary of State. 75 00:05:18.079 --> 00:05:20.439 We should start with the pure joy on the faces 76 00:05:20.480 --> 00:05:22.079 of those families that are going to get their loved 77 00:05:22.120 --> 00:05:25.920 ones home. It's truly quite remarkable. I think it's important 78 00:05:25.920 --> 00:05:28.839 to note too, none of this happens without American leadership. 79 00:05:29.120 --> 00:05:31.759 President Trump has done a remarkable job of bringing a 80 00:05:31.879 --> 00:05:34.439 huge coalition of parties together to put pressure on these 81 00:05:34.519 --> 00:05:37.879 terrorists who killed hundreds of israelis now just two years 82 00:05:37.879 --> 00:05:40.920 in a day ago, so full credit for that and 83 00:05:41.279 --> 00:05:44.439 prayerful that this will unfold the way everybody is hoping 84 00:05:44.480 --> 00:05:48.160 and anticipating. But to your point, it's the phase one 85 00:05:48.240 --> 00:05:51.560 that implies that there's a phase two. There's much more 86 00:05:51.639 --> 00:05:54.959 to bring broad piece to the Middle East. There's risk 87 00:05:55.040 --> 00:05:57.279 that this could there's something could happen in the next 88 00:05:57.279 --> 00:06:00.519 seventy two hours. But it looks like both both sides 89 00:06:00.560 --> 00:06:02.920 are committed to this. But we've all covered this, We've 90 00:06:03.000 --> 00:06:05.560 I've been part of this. We've seen that things can intervene. 91 00:06:05.639 --> 00:06:08.439 I'm sure in Tehran they're plotting, they're planning, to think 92 00:06:08.439 --> 00:06:12.040 about how they might upset this transaction. Lots of things 93 00:06:12.079 --> 00:06:16.839 that could interfere. But it's also very clear that the Cutteries, 94 00:06:16.879 --> 00:06:20.160 the Turks, the Egyptians, mister Wickcoff, mister Cushner, all of 95 00:06:20.160 --> 00:06:22.800 them have come together deliver what looks like a fantastic 96 00:06:22.839 --> 00:06:26.079 outcome for Israel and for the families of these hostages. 97 00:06:26.439 --> 00:06:29.480 Of course, Mike Bompeo will give credit to President Trump, 98 00:06:29.800 --> 00:06:34.680 but he's not the only one. Even the Democrats, even 99 00:06:35.000 --> 00:06:42.079 the left side media are grudgingly saying this is because 100 00:06:42.120 --> 00:06:45.120 of Donald Trump actually giving him credit. 101 00:06:45.680 --> 00:06:48.199 We've heard it again and again from a number of 102 00:06:48.240 --> 00:06:51.920 people today, really giving credit to President Trump forgetting this 103 00:06:52.000 --> 00:06:53.240 deal over the finish line. 104 00:06:53.279 --> 00:06:55.480 This is an enormous moment for the world, but also 105 00:06:55.600 --> 00:06:58.319 for this administration, a big win for the president. 106 00:06:58.839 --> 00:07:03.240 Think that this was not doable when President Biden was 107 00:07:03.639 --> 00:07:04.199 in office. 108 00:07:04.279 --> 00:07:11.279 The biggest problem that the President Biden had is there 109 00:07:11.519 --> 00:07:15.360 was no pressure from Qatar, from Turkey, from Egypt. 110 00:07:15.439 --> 00:07:18.040 By saying that, it's sort of an acknowledgement Trump has changed, 111 00:07:18.040 --> 00:07:18.639 not dynamic. 112 00:07:19.439 --> 00:07:23.240 So yeah, they're they're giving him credit, like I said, begrudgingly, 113 00:07:24.199 --> 00:07:26.920 and there wasn't any pressure by Turkey and Qatar and 114 00:07:26.959 --> 00:07:30.920 not well, why didn President Biden get them to support this? 115 00:07:31.759 --> 00:07:35.279 Joe Biden, I've said it a thousand times, and it 116 00:07:35.319 --> 00:07:39.240 goes to the still the war that's going in Ukraine 117 00:07:39.279 --> 00:07:42.399 and Russia, and Joe Biden never did anything but sit 118 00:07:42.800 --> 00:07:46.120 back and send hundreds of hundreds and hundreds of millions 119 00:07:46.160 --> 00:07:50.519 of dollars for equipment that was old equipment or would 120 00:07:50.560 --> 00:07:53.480 not be the equipment that the Ukrainians were asking for. 121 00:07:53.720 --> 00:07:57.439 He did nothing. And as much as Donald Trump can 122 00:07:57.519 --> 00:08:01.120 drive you crazy, he drives me crazy, but he does. 123 00:08:02.519 --> 00:08:05.879 That bull in a China closet personality that he has 124 00:08:07.759 --> 00:08:11.920 is what led to this success. Now you will also 125 00:08:12.000 --> 00:08:16.879 hear these people are all saying they're holding their breath, 126 00:08:17.360 --> 00:08:21.120 worried that something might fall apart between now and Monday. 127 00:08:21.240 --> 00:08:24.759 Back to Mike Pumpale, these moments don't just happen. President 128 00:08:24.759 --> 00:08:27.920 Trump credited luck. There's always a little bit of luck 129 00:08:27.920 --> 00:08:31.000 and the good Lord. But this was hard work over years, 130 00:08:31.040 --> 00:08:34.159 and President Trump's personal efforts to bring all of these 131 00:08:34.159 --> 00:08:37.399 parties together, and then of course enormous pressure put on 132 00:08:37.480 --> 00:08:40.759 Hamas has Bela the Iranian regime by the Israelis in June, 133 00:08:41.159 --> 00:08:43.519 and then the President's bold decision to take the strike 134 00:08:44.320 --> 00:08:47.600 and go after the nuclear facilities and Iran. Each of 135 00:08:47.600 --> 00:08:49.559 those things built to a place where you could bring 136 00:08:49.600 --> 00:08:52.480 that coalition together. The question of why President Biden couldn't 137 00:08:52.519 --> 00:08:55.600 pull this off is really quite straightforward. He didn't have 138 00:08:55.679 --> 00:08:58.840 the capacity to understand the dynamic in the Middle East. 139 00:08:59.080 --> 00:09:01.639 He didn't have the willing to put his own administration 140 00:09:02.200 --> 00:09:04.679 in the effort to deliver that coalition. 141 00:09:04.799 --> 00:09:05.759 He wasn't prepared to. 142 00:09:05.720 --> 00:09:08.039 Do the hard work to allow the Israelis to go 143 00:09:08.360 --> 00:09:11.799 pound Hamas for weeks and weeks and weeks to deliver 144 00:09:11.840 --> 00:09:14.720 what is this ultimate outcome where this is a capitulation 145 00:09:14.840 --> 00:09:18.960 by Hamas. I hope they're serious about disarming. That remains 146 00:09:19.000 --> 00:09:21.000 to be seen their resistance. If you don't resist in 147 00:09:21.080 --> 00:09:24.799 your resistance, you go away. So lot to still unpack 148 00:09:24.879 --> 00:09:27.240 to see what this transaction ends up looking like in 149 00:09:27.279 --> 00:09:29.639 the weeks and months ahead. But you don't get to 150 00:09:29.679 --> 00:09:31.159 where we are today. You don't get to be on 151 00:09:31.240 --> 00:09:34.120 the precipice of having all of these hostages returned home. 152 00:09:34.440 --> 00:09:36.159 With all of the work that happened in the first 153 00:09:36.200 --> 00:09:39.799 administration to deliver the United Arab Emirates and other nations 154 00:09:39.840 --> 00:09:43.000 into the Abraham Accords, and then what happened this past 155 00:09:43.039 --> 00:09:45.960 summer to demonstrate to the world that President Trump was 156 00:09:46.039 --> 00:09:48.519 serious about bringing peace to the Middle East. That leads 157 00:09:48.559 --> 00:09:49.679 to this joyous moment. 158 00:09:49.799 --> 00:09:53.240 Yes, this is no surprise. John Futterman, the Senator Democrat 159 00:09:53.320 --> 00:09:57.639 senator from Pennsylvania, he's been driving the Democrats crazy because 160 00:09:57.679 --> 00:10:02.559 he doesn't always march lockstep with their leadership. And this 161 00:10:02.639 --> 00:10:05.879 is another example where he's been a big supporter of 162 00:10:05.960 --> 00:10:09.519 Israel through all of this. And this is his reaction 163 00:10:09.639 --> 00:10:10.440 to hearing the news. 164 00:10:10.720 --> 00:10:14.399 Well, I know I've taken a lot of criticism because 165 00:10:14.440 --> 00:10:18.159 I've been very committed to Israel from the door this. 166 00:10:18.360 --> 00:10:22.039 I don't really understand that. I think our party should 167 00:10:22.039 --> 00:10:25.759 have been firmly behind Israel through this, but I'm going 168 00:10:25.840 --> 00:10:30.399 to follow Israel through it. And President Trump has a 169 00:10:30.519 --> 00:10:34.159 very strong commitment to Israel, and that's why I celebrate 170 00:10:34.240 --> 00:10:37.679 and support most of the things that I've done, including 171 00:10:37.840 --> 00:10:40.360 the Iranian nuclear sites. I believe I might have been 172 00:10:40.399 --> 00:10:43.799 the only Democrat that supported them through it. So now 173 00:10:43.919 --> 00:10:47.399 today I think it's entirely appropriate to celebrate this. I 174 00:10:47.440 --> 00:10:50.840 thank God, this terrible work is going to end and 175 00:10:50.960 --> 00:10:54.320 these poor souls kept underground for over two years can 176 00:10:54.360 --> 00:10:57.600 come back home. So I think I don't understand why 177 00:10:57.799 --> 00:11:01.360 anyone's reaction would be other than that at I know, 178 00:11:01.399 --> 00:11:04.519 I mean, I think it's incredibly a comprehensive kind of 179 00:11:04.519 --> 00:11:07.840 a plan. And you also see now you have Hamas 180 00:11:07.879 --> 00:11:11.360 fully saying they're committed to this, and of course Israel 181 00:11:11.480 --> 00:11:12.080 is now too. 182 00:11:12.320 --> 00:11:12.480 Well. 183 00:11:12.480 --> 00:11:15.840 What's also very important too, all of the Arab nations around, 184 00:11:16.039 --> 00:11:19.440 whether it's Egypt and Turkey and Qatar as well. I've 185 00:11:19.559 --> 00:11:22.200 really pushed Hamas, saying this is going to be the 186 00:11:22.240 --> 00:11:24.919 best deal you're ever going to get, and this awful 187 00:11:24.960 --> 00:11:28.919 war needs to end. So I'm actually optimistic that this 188 00:11:29.120 --> 00:11:32.960 we have a chance for enduring peace. Another part of 189 00:11:33.000 --> 00:11:36.679 it is what Israel has accomplished through this entire war. 190 00:11:37.320 --> 00:11:42.120 They have destroyed Hamas, they have destroyed Hesbu Lah, and 191 00:11:42.240 --> 00:11:46.240 also they stopped Iran for acquiring a nuclear weapon, and 192 00:11:46.240 --> 00:11:50.240 I fully supported that. Now Syria now is free. Now 193 00:11:50.279 --> 00:11:53.080 I think what's accomplished here, So that's why we could 194 00:11:53.120 --> 00:11:55.159 have true peace in the region. Now. 195 00:11:55.720 --> 00:11:57.720 There's another question that comes out of all of this, 196 00:11:57.919 --> 00:12:01.120 and that is the question about the Nobel Peace Prize. 197 00:12:01.639 --> 00:12:07.360 It just so happens the Nobel Committee has been dishing 198 00:12:07.399 --> 00:12:12.679 out their annual awards all this week and Friday tomorrow 199 00:12:13.480 --> 00:12:16.639 they are scheduled to award the Nobel Peace Prize. And 200 00:12:16.679 --> 00:12:21.240 so the question is will Donald Trump be the recipient. 201 00:12:21.519 --> 00:12:25.320 He's been pressing forward. He even set it out loud 202 00:12:25.840 --> 00:12:28.600 when he was at the UN a couple of weeks ago. 203 00:12:29.159 --> 00:12:32.320 So we'll see what happens tomorrow. John Fetterman was asked 204 00:12:32.360 --> 00:12:36.120 about should he get the Nobel Peace Prize. 205 00:12:36.360 --> 00:12:39.799 Well, I mean if this sticks, I think the whole 206 00:12:39.840 --> 00:12:44.320 point of having a Nobel Piece prize is for ending 207 00:12:44.360 --> 00:12:46.679 wars and per rning peace. And now I'm going to 208 00:12:46.759 --> 00:12:49.639 make a direct appeal to the President. I hope he 209 00:12:49.679 --> 00:12:53.600 chooses to provide the Tomahawks to the Ukrainians too, and 210 00:12:53.679 --> 00:12:55.919 give them the tools that they need to push back 211 00:12:55.960 --> 00:12:59.960 against the Russia. And if he brings the Ukrainian war 212 00:13:00.200 --> 00:13:04.320 to its end, I'll be the Democrat leading the committee 213 00:13:04.600 --> 00:13:08.200 for his a Nobel Price piece for ending both these 214 00:13:08.279 --> 00:13:09.039 terrible wards. 215 00:13:09.279 --> 00:13:14.240 But did Israel pay a major price in their efforts 216 00:13:14.360 --> 00:13:18.840 to try to keep these enemies from attacking them? Harry 217 00:13:18.960 --> 00:13:25.200 Enton checked on the American attitude toward Israel and the 218 00:13:25.240 --> 00:13:26.240 Palestinian people. 219 00:13:26.279 --> 00:13:29.759 Here's Harry, this war caused a historic shift in public 220 00:13:29.799 --> 00:13:32.519 opinion on how Americans view the Middle East conflict. What 221 00:13:32.559 --> 00:13:35.000 are we talking about here? Who voter sympathized more with 222 00:13:35.039 --> 00:13:37.639 the Israelis or the Palestinians. Back in October of twenty 223 00:13:37.679 --> 00:13:40.320 twenty three, it was the Israelis by forty eight points. 224 00:13:40.440 --> 00:13:41.399 Look at this shift. 225 00:13:41.639 --> 00:13:44.759 Now we're talking about the Palestinians by a point. I 226 00:13:44.799 --> 00:13:47.480 looked back at every single poll that I could possibly 227 00:13:47.519 --> 00:13:50.080 find since this question was first asked in the nineteen 228 00:13:50.200 --> 00:13:52.600 hundred and eighties, this is the first time ever in 229 00:13:52.639 --> 00:13:55.960 which the Palestinians had any sort of lead on this 230 00:13:56.000 --> 00:13:59.679 particular question. It is very clear that this war caused 231 00:13:59.840 --> 00:14:02.759 a historic shift away from the Israeli position in the 232 00:14:02.759 --> 00:14:05.679 Middle East conflict and towards the Palestinians. When it comes 233 00:14:05.720 --> 00:14:09.200 to who Americans and voters sympathized with, this of course 234 00:14:09.279 --> 00:14:11.840 was led by Democrats, because what are we talking about. 235 00:14:11.960 --> 00:14:15.080 We went from Democrats favoring the Israelis by twenty six 236 00:14:15.080 --> 00:14:18.600 points to the Palestinians by forty six points. That is 237 00:14:18.639 --> 00:14:23.039 a shift quickmathem I had of over seventy percentage points. 238 00:14:23.080 --> 00:14:25.240 But overall, the first time ever in which more American 239 00:14:25.279 --> 00:14:29.039 sympathized with the Palestinians over the Israelis. Truly historic shifts. Yeah, 240 00:14:29.080 --> 00:14:31.600 it's not just Democrats though, in which we have seen 241 00:14:31.720 --> 00:14:35.519 a real shift of opinion. Even within the Republican ranks. 242 00:14:35.799 --> 00:14:39.279 This war has caused real division. What are we talking about? Well, 243 00:14:39.320 --> 00:14:42.159 we often talk about by age within the Democratic Party, 244 00:14:42.279 --> 00:14:44.799 but what about by age within the Republican ranks? Who 245 00:14:44.840 --> 00:14:49.279 Republicans sympathize with? You see a massive, huge age divide 246 00:14:49.360 --> 00:14:52.200 those fifteen over. What we see amongst Republicans is they 247 00:14:52.200 --> 00:14:54.759 sympathize more with the Israelis by sixty six points. But 248 00:14:54.799 --> 00:14:57.200 look at the voters under the age of fifty. They 249 00:14:57.200 --> 00:15:00.279 do sympathize with the Israelis, but just by twenty five points. 250 00:15:00.279 --> 00:15:03.840 We're talking about a forty point difference, with the youngest 251 00:15:03.879 --> 00:15:07.759 Republicans being far more sympathetic to the Palestinian position than 252 00:15:07.840 --> 00:15:11.039 older Republicans are. I think Americans are really going to 253 00:15:11.200 --> 00:15:12.919 like it. And why do I say that, Because just 254 00:15:12.960 --> 00:15:15.919 look at the polling of permanent Israeli Jimas ceasefire, that is, 255 00:15:16.000 --> 00:15:18.960 negotiating one highly important, that is extremely a very important 256 00:15:19.039 --> 00:15:21.440 fifty one percent of Americans. And then you see somewhat 257 00:15:21.440 --> 00:15:24.960 important thirty one percent. Over eighty percent of Americans said 258 00:15:24.960 --> 00:15:27.960 the idea of negotiating a ceasefire permanent one was at 259 00:15:28.039 --> 00:15:30.279 least somewhat important. So the bottom line is, I think 260 00:15:30.279 --> 00:15:31.879 a lot of Americans are really going to like this. 261 00:15:31.960 --> 00:15:32.320 See. 262 00:15:32.519 --> 00:15:36.200 So finally, let's check in with General Jack Keene from 263 00:15:36.240 --> 00:15:40.279 the military view of a ceasefire and a piece agreement. 264 00:15:40.480 --> 00:15:42.279 Well, we're in a better place than we've ever been 265 00:15:42.320 --> 00:15:44.559 here we're talking about finally the end of the war 266 00:15:44.600 --> 00:15:47.879 in Gaza. And listen, there's a lot of credit to 267 00:15:47.919 --> 00:15:50.919 be given here in all the countries involved in participating 268 00:15:50.960 --> 00:15:53.080 in this and the feeling that we had to get 269 00:15:53.120 --> 00:15:55.720 it done this time or this war was not going 270 00:15:55.759 --> 00:15:56.120 to end. 271 00:15:56.120 --> 00:15:57.320 But when it really. 272 00:15:57.039 --> 00:16:01.200 Comes down to it, Hamas had the change its mind 273 00:16:01.799 --> 00:16:03.960 and who got them to change his mind? And as 274 00:16:04.000 --> 00:16:07.399 one person that did that, and that's President Trump. And 275 00:16:07.440 --> 00:16:10.559 it's the strength of his leadership and the fact that 276 00:16:10.600 --> 00:16:14.639 he has huge credibility in terms of when he says something, 277 00:16:14.720 --> 00:16:17.720 he means it. What gave him that credibility. The attack 278 00:16:17.759 --> 00:16:22.120 on the huthis the attack on Iran, which was decisive. 279 00:16:22.679 --> 00:16:25.039 The fact that he's full out support for Israel but 280 00:16:25.080 --> 00:16:27.879 at the same time is wanting to criticize Israel when 281 00:16:27.919 --> 00:16:31.000 he thinks they're when he thinks they're wrong. And the 282 00:16:31.080 --> 00:16:34.759 fact that his words were loud and clear, end this war, 283 00:16:35.080 --> 00:16:38.960 released the hostages, or there will be hell to pay, 284 00:16:39.000 --> 00:16:40.039 and we will finish you. 285 00:16:40.960 --> 00:16:41.879 They looked at that. 286 00:16:42.120 --> 00:16:46.039 They knew he meant what he is saying, and that 287 00:16:46.200 --> 00:16:48.919 is why we're in this phase one hostage release with 288 00:16:49.039 --> 00:16:52.159 the potential end of the war more to do here, 289 00:16:52.200 --> 00:16:55.240 as you just pointed out very accurately in this outline, 290 00:16:55.679 --> 00:16:58.159 and there are things there that could go wrong, but 291 00:16:58.200 --> 00:17:01.159 in the back of the Hamas mind, they know what 292 00:17:01.200 --> 00:17:04.720 they're dealing with here, and President Trump means what he says, 293 00:17:05.279 --> 00:17:09.279 and hopefully these steps go through as predicted here and 294 00:17:09.319 --> 00:17:11.079 we truly get an end to the war. And if 295 00:17:11.119 --> 00:17:15.640 that happens, then the huge possibility of stability and peace 296 00:17:15.680 --> 00:17:18.880 in the region are very very real and something we 297 00:17:18.960 --> 00:17:22.880 haven't seen in forty plus years. With the Iranians influence 298 00:17:22.920 --> 00:17:25.920 in the region that is going to take a backseat 299 00:17:26.240 --> 00:17:29.279 as a result of all of this. The strategic opportunities 300 00:17:29.319 --> 00:17:30.359 here are huge. 301 00:17:31.680 --> 00:17:35.039 So there's no question that this is a huge story 302 00:17:35.599 --> 00:17:38.720 and we may actually be on the cusp of peace 303 00:17:38.759 --> 00:17:42.160 in the Middle East, but with the history of that 304 00:17:42.319 --> 00:17:45.599 part of the world and the fact that they continue 305 00:17:45.640 --> 00:17:48.799 to keep coming to agreements and then somebody breaks them 306 00:17:48.839 --> 00:17:52.319 and they're back to fighting each other again. So General Keane, 307 00:17:53.480 --> 00:17:57.640 do you think that this is going to last? 308 00:17:58.000 --> 00:18:00.319 No, I'm not convinced it's over, but the thank you 309 00:18:00.400 --> 00:18:02.680 for it is clearly there, and we're in a place 310 00:18:02.720 --> 00:18:06.839 we haven't been before. So yes, we're on a very 311 00:18:06.960 --> 00:18:10.759 very good path, and it really comes down to where 312 00:18:10.839 --> 00:18:14.119 is the mass's mindset on this. Do they truly want 313 00:18:14.160 --> 00:18:19.400 to survive or and voluntarily surrender in a sense is 314 00:18:19.440 --> 00:18:22.160 what's happening here? Or are they just going to fight 315 00:18:22.240 --> 00:18:25.000 it out to the end. It appears that they do 316 00:18:25.160 --> 00:18:28.400 want to survive and move to a different place than 317 00:18:28.400 --> 00:18:31.160 where they've been. If that's the case, then we're going 318 00:18:31.200 --> 00:18:34.960 to get a final deal. They have opportunities to change 319 00:18:35.000 --> 00:18:36.839 their mind and some of this could be a game 320 00:18:36.880 --> 00:18:39.279 that they're playing, and we've seen that in the past, 321 00:18:39.559 --> 00:18:42.279 but they know full well what has been said. If 322 00:18:42.319 --> 00:18:45.279 you were a nag on the deal and you're not 323 00:18:45.400 --> 00:18:47.960 going to disarm and you're not going to give up control, 324 00:18:48.119 --> 00:18:51.880 President Trump has told Prime Minister Yao, you have my 325 00:18:52.039 --> 00:18:55.599 full support to finish them once and for all. And 326 00:18:55.640 --> 00:18:59.000 I believe Hamas knows that is a fact, and that's 327 00:18:59.039 --> 00:18:59.839 a true statement. 328 00:19:00.240 --> 00:19:02.759 So we hope and pray that that peace does last. 329 00:19:02.960 --> 00:19:06.680 But yeah, it's got to keep one eye on that 330 00:19:06.759 --> 00:19:10.559 part of the world. So how about some US politics. 331 00:19:10.599 --> 00:19:14.440 We've got a governor's race going in New Jersey and 332 00:19:14.519 --> 00:19:17.599 another one in Virginia, and there's been a lot of 333 00:19:17.640 --> 00:19:20.680 controversy in New Jersey. They had a big debate last 334 00:19:20.759 --> 00:19:25.720 night on local television, and at this point the Democrat 335 00:19:26.680 --> 00:19:30.359 is slightly ahead of the Republican, but it's New Jersey 336 00:19:30.960 --> 00:19:35.720 and New Jersey has primarily been a blue state. Here's 337 00:19:35.759 --> 00:19:40.000 Carl Rove on his observations about the race in Jersey. 338 00:19:40.039 --> 00:19:42.200 Well, I think it's likely to be closer. It was 339 00:19:42.400 --> 00:19:45.000 very close, as you recall four years ago, and New 340 00:19:45.079 --> 00:19:48.559 Jersey between twenty twenty and twenty twenty four was the 341 00:19:48.720 --> 00:19:52.720 second biggest shift to the Republicans of any state in 342 00:19:52.759 --> 00:19:55.240 the Union. Only New York had a bigger shift. And 343 00:19:55.279 --> 00:19:57.400 I think that's still going to be resident there because 344 00:19:57.400 --> 00:20:00.720 she's ahead, but it's going to be tighter than the 345 00:20:01.720 --> 00:20:04.759 head to head polemation may suggest because of the enthusiasm 346 00:20:04.799 --> 00:20:05.200 get game. 347 00:20:05.319 --> 00:20:07.680 Another big race is the one in Virginia, and that's 348 00:20:07.680 --> 00:20:10.839 where you've got the governor's race, and the Democrat is 349 00:20:10.960 --> 00:20:15.039 leading there as well. However, the big focus has been 350 00:20:15.079 --> 00:20:17.839 on the guy running for He's a Democrat running for 351 00:20:18.079 --> 00:20:21.799 attorney general. This is the guy who sent text messages 352 00:20:21.880 --> 00:20:24.839 and phone calls for quite some time. He has a 353 00:20:24.920 --> 00:20:29.079 history of threats and talking about how he would want 354 00:20:29.119 --> 00:20:33.519 to put he would want to shoot his opponent who 355 00:20:33.559 --> 00:20:35.960 was a Republican at the time, and when he was 356 00:20:35.960 --> 00:20:39.519 a delegate to the state Legislature, he wanted to shoot 357 00:20:39.559 --> 00:20:42.720 him in the head. And he also wanted to kill 358 00:20:43.279 --> 00:20:46.960 Republicans' children. I mean, this is pretty outrageous stuff. And 359 00:20:46.960 --> 00:20:49.480 it wasn't just some one off. He's done this apparently 360 00:20:49.480 --> 00:20:52.880 for some time. This guy has got a dark, dark mind. 361 00:20:53.519 --> 00:20:56.400 So will this have an impact on the race for 362 00:20:56.519 --> 00:20:59.119 the Attorney General in the state of Virginia. 363 00:21:00.039 --> 00:21:01.880 Honest and think about it. This is a member of 364 00:21:01.920 --> 00:21:05.160 the House of Delegates who told a Republican colleague that 365 00:21:05.279 --> 00:21:08.000 he put two bullets in the speaker the head, the 366 00:21:09.039 --> 00:21:12.279 speaker's head, and even if he was with you know, 367 00:21:12.640 --> 00:21:15.640 Adolf Hitler, and then when she gave him a chance 368 00:21:15.680 --> 00:21:19.119 to back down, he doubled down. No this look, I've 369 00:21:19.160 --> 00:21:22.759 started my politics in Virginia. There is something about the 370 00:21:22.759 --> 00:21:26.599 Commonwealth that this offends the decency and the standards that 371 00:21:26.640 --> 00:21:30.039 the Virginians expected their public officials. This may be the 372 00:21:30.160 --> 00:21:32.640 end of mister Jones' career. I would not be surprised 373 00:21:32.640 --> 00:21:34.880 to see him lose. And he's not pulling out, which 374 00:21:34.920 --> 00:21:38.279 is a mistake for the Democrats. The next couple of 375 00:21:38.279 --> 00:21:40.799 weeks are going to be about their inability to get 376 00:21:40.799 --> 00:21:43.079 this guy off of the tear. So let's go out 377 00:21:43.119 --> 00:21:47.960 to California where Katie Porter, who ran for US former 378 00:21:47.960 --> 00:21:52.400 congresswoman from Orange County, California. She wanted to run for 379 00:21:52.480 --> 00:21:55.440 the Senate and she lost big times. She didn't even 380 00:21:55.480 --> 00:21:58.640 come close. Now she's running to be the governor of 381 00:21:58.680 --> 00:22:01.519 the state of California. Yesterday I told you about the 382 00:22:01.599 --> 00:22:06.920 fact that she got into a tiff with a reporter 383 00:22:06.960 --> 00:22:11.039 who was interviewing her at the CBS station in Sacramento, 384 00:22:11.720 --> 00:22:16.880 and she basically, well, she was clearly indignant and arrogant 385 00:22:17.119 --> 00:22:20.079 about the fact that the reporter was asking follow up 386 00:22:20.160 --> 00:22:21.480 questions to her answers. 387 00:22:22.200 --> 00:22:26.160 That's what reporters do. But this woman, Katie Porter, has 388 00:22:26.200 --> 00:22:31.160 been so coddled by friendly media and this is CBS. 389 00:22:31.920 --> 00:22:35.119 So this made national news last night. Here's the CBS 390 00:22:35.279 --> 00:22:37.799 Evening News reporting about Katie Porter. 391 00:22:44.799 --> 00:22:48.480 Voters in California, the nation's most populous state, we'll elect 392 00:22:48.519 --> 00:22:51.599 a new governor next year after Governor Gavin Newsom's second 393 00:22:51.680 --> 00:22:52.599 term runs out. 394 00:22:52.799 --> 00:22:54.400 The Ray say is getting a lot of attention this 395 00:22:54.440 --> 00:22:56.839 week after a CBS News interview with the early front 396 00:22:56.880 --> 00:22:58.400 runner was posted online. 397 00:22:58.480 --> 00:23:02.799 Form a Democratic Congresswoman, Lady Porter nearly walked out when corresponded. 398 00:23:02.880 --> 00:23:06.599 Julie Watts asked about redistricting and what Porter would say 399 00:23:06.599 --> 00:23:10.039 to the forty percent of Californians who voted for President Trump. 400 00:23:11.079 --> 00:23:13.079 We've also asked the other candidates, do you think you 401 00:23:13.119 --> 00:23:16.200