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Speaker 1: Welcome in to the opening line report, Kelly Stewart Here.

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As you can tell, there's some palm trees behind me.

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I'm on vacation. We're going to pray for good Wi

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Fi and Teddy, you got hands prayers answered yesterday. What's

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a better way to start on a hot streak than

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to get the brooms out and have a nice sweep

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for NFL Sunday, So congratulations to you, Teddy. We're gonna

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also get into what it betters learned from yesterday. We're

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going to have a myriad of emergency betting alerts. It

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looks like just looking at the Odds logic screen headed

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into today, so we're gonna get right into it. Monday

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Night Football, You've got a client playoff as well as

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a free play video.

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Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, it's the same play you get it for free.

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You can come a client and get it for free.

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But it's posted right now on my pagewt dot Buzzbacks

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last TC. I am betting tonight's game. It's not just

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an opinion, So I'll check out the video that's right

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here on YouTube, or visit my homepage wt dot buzz

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Backslash TC to see who I like tonight, and I've

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advised my clients to bet for this year.

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Speaker 1: Okay, well, then I'm just gonna interject here and make

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it all about myself because I need to know what

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to do. I've got four legs closing with the Philadelphia

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Eagles from teasers from yesterday. You know, plus eight and

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a half, great number in theory. I sat back. I

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just did my job. But now some really cheap money

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lines for the packers coming up. I've seen minus as

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low as minus one fifteen here on the Odds logic screen.

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Should I go for the middle with the teaser? Because

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the public is so heavy on Philly, it's making me

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a little It's making me a little uneasy about thinking,

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oh yeah, no worries Philly can keep it within a

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touchdown or so.

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Speaker 2: So whenever we're talking about hedging, all right, there's one

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thing that is the first it's a really the first decision,

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that the first thought process that I have. Do I

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still like my original bet, If you still like your

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original bet, if you still think your original BET's a winner,

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then you don't need to do anything, certainly not pre flop,

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not before kickoff. After kickoff, you may decide hey's time

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to head men, I hedge, but as long as you

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still there's nothing worse than turning a winner into a

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push because you felt like hedging. So if you'll like

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your original bet, hold it now that you're in a

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position where you're paying What what's your return on this

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on this teaser? Kel?

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Speaker 1: Uh? So, I've got four legs pretty close to eight dimes,

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So I.

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Speaker 2: Bet in terms of are you getting back two to one?

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Are you getting six to one? I mean, what what's

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your what a No?

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Speaker 3: There two late teasers minus one ten.

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Speaker 2: So okay, it's.

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Speaker 3: Thousand on each one of them.

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Speaker 2: So it's not like a parlay scenario where you can

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hedge back a little bit to ensure that you lock

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in a profit or you know, lock in a not

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loss in a situation if you're hedging, your hedging away

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your profit. So that's a personal decision. It's based a

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lot on how much you have in your bankroll and

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how much bankroll management you need to worry about, and

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how much you like your original wager.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I like it a little bit less.

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Speaker 1: I opened up the picket out this morning and saw

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almost seventy five percent of the tickets and seventy five

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percent of the money line on the Eagles.

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Speaker 3: Again, though I feel like I have a good number.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I just want to get rid of some of

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my position at minus one fifteen there on the Packers,

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and hey, we may see pick a minus one one

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ten by kickoff. I also have a minus one on

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five accounts. So I'm going to sit back and kind

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of wait. No, not very happy looking at you. It's

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snowing here in New York, Kelly. Sorry, Jeff, but we're

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going to get in to what it Betters learned last week. Hey,

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morning game, Teddy looked great. I was happy with the results.

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Afternoon fave and over, fave and over. Talk to me

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about what we saw last week in NFL and how

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we're going to carry that over into this week.

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Speaker 2: Sure, I mean there was with the headlines from NFL Sunday,

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the biggest survivor pick again went down Carolina. The Bills

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were third as a survivor. So we're down to out

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of the seventeen thousand plus at Circle, we're down to

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exactly one thousand going into tonight. We talked about Colts Falcons.

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We did something right last week if you listened to us.

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We talked about an emergency betting Alert. If you like Indy,

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get them right now. At mine five and a half,

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it mattered that half point. At six you pushed. At

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six and a half you didn't. You took a loss.

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So I'm very pleased, and I expected to happen a

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couple I think it's happened once already this year. Where

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you know, if you turned two wins, sorry, two losses

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out of one hundred into pushes, two pushes out of

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one hundred in the wins, it makes an enormous difference

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to your bankroll. And that's what the bugs you bet

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merchant led at betting usher alm about. Maybe one time

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in twenty it's gonna matter, But that one time in

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twenty is gonna matter a lot when you add them

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up over the course of a season. So with Colts Falcons, look,

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if you lost betting in the Atlanta on the side,

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you need to work on your betting skills because everybody's

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supposed to either win or push whichever side they bet

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in that ballgame. Not a good result for the house.

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Another week at other insane come back, this time the

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Texans coming back from the dead against the Jags. We've

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had a fair few of those in reason week that

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was after Paris Bengals and after Broncos Giants the two

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previous weeks. We're getting one every single week. It feels

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a game that's just insane, a drunk game as we

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used to call them. And of course the interception returned

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for touchdown on the last play that really didn't affect

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side or total, but it might have affected teaser betters

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a little bit, you know, see that. Not to mention

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the cardiac kid Bears who came back from the dead.

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We saw weather Steam Chicago and the Giants that under

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was forty seven got beat down to forty four and

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a half landed forty four. The weather Steam won there.

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But the three afternoon games you talked about it favorite

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and over and all three favorite covered again last night

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with the Chargers. That leaves a fair bit of liability

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for the sportsbooks right now. When it comes to Monday

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Night football. I don't know if tonight's the night I'd

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want to be on a particularly public side for Monday Night.

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Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, Thursday Night Football, the Patriots get it

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done again. My best bet on bet on it was

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the Butts, and I knew it was dead in the water.

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Speaker 3: Come kick off.

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Speaker 1: Luckily I did have the Patriots and a bunch of teasers,

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so it wasn't near a painful But Drake may wow

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just while New York Jets, on the other hand, they

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get their second win of the season.

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Speaker 3: This is a lot of points in a divisional game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. That being said, there are things not to like

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about the Jets. So with all these every game every week,

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I'm gonna be a four sets of numbers. I give

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you what I call a look ahead line. These are

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the numbers from the Westgate super Book. I think I

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wrote them down last Wednesday. So Westgate numbers from the

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last week to tell us how much the lines have

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changed based on justice last week's result. I'll give you

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my powering number for the contest that does not involve situations.

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It's only team A, Team B home field. I'll give

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you the open numbers from last night, and then we'll

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talk about where the line has moved this morning. So

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Patriots open look headline ten and a half forty five

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and a half against the Jets. My powering number comes

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doing the eleven and a half. Last night, the markets

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were ten and a half, eleven, eleven and a half

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twelve all over the map total forty five. What we've

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seen this morning, the markets have con solidated at eleven

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and a half. We've seen under money, parently significant under

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money forty three and a half. Now the total for

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New England and New York. And I considered emergency betting

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alert this total down even more. I would not be

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shocked to see it go down forty three, forty two

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and a half, forty two. But really we already missed

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forty fives or forty four, so I'm not convinced it's

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going to go down that much more. And I mean, look,

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the Jets won a game yesterday where Justin Fields had

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forty two net passing yards. That's hard to do. You know,

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they had fourteen dropbacks from Justin Fields and those out

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of those fourteen dropbacks to pass, they had one play

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longer than four yards. Of course, that play was a

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path to free Solidood took it to the house. But

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when you read the quotes out of the Jets and

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again so they had a punt return touchdown, they had

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a kick return touchdown in the same ball game yesterday.

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And when you hear the quotes from Steve Wilkes talking

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about all the young guys. The Jets plan on playing

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you know, first year players, second year players. There's like

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nine of them that are all expected to get ample

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playing time, you know, Steve Wilks. But we can win

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with that. They had six sacs yesterday, So the Jets

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youth movement has paid dividends. Their offense still struggling. As

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for New England, I mean, the NFL is a playmakers league,

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all right, and yesterday what they do seventy two yard

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touchdown for Williams Henderson, fifty five yard touchdown, Henderson's sixty

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nine yard touchdown, Holland's fifty four yard completions, four huge plays.

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That was the difference in the ball game. And this

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is the Patriots team that's lacked those big play weapons

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in every recent season. That's not the case in twenty

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to twenty five. That's at least a part of the

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reason why when's people talk about their schedule, their schedule

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or schedule, well, you know, now they're beating Tampa Bay

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and Tampa, they eat Buffalo and Buffalo. It's a Patriots

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team who I bet under their season win total, and

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I'm gonna lose that bet on Thursday night. That'll be

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the first season win that Colts have already cashed. A

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one over Pat would be the second over to cash

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well before Thanks.

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Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna head back to Europe in the

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International Series Madrid this time Teddy the Washington Commanders take

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on the Miami Dolphins Washington. Yesterday, I was watching Last

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Call with Aeron Epstein and John Murray, and John Murray

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said Washington was going to be their biggest need. And

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here in Aruba, I found a nine and a half

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and I felt so sharp. Let me tell you I

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did my job. Yeah, well guess what the commander sure

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as hell did.

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Speaker 2: And the markets are crashing on Washington right now. Make

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no mistake about it. You know it's very clear. Look

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headline here Washington minus one and a half in Madrid

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total forty six. My powering number came pick them. Markets

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opened last night Miami two and forty seven and a half.

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So no, that's a three and a half point move,

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not injury related, just this is what Washington did this week.

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This is what Miami did this week. Boom, three and

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a half point move that is really significant, and the

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twos are mostly gone. I'm seeing two and a halfs

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out there for my Miami forty seven and a half.

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The current total hasn't really moved a whole lot. Marcus

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mariotat nine point seven yards per pass attempt, but you

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can't win games with a backup quarterback when you're allowing

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two twenty six on the ground. Remember this defense, they

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put a ton of resource to the defense in the offseason,

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you know, big free agent dollars. It is the oldest

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team in the league. In the last four weeks, commanders

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thirty first in the NFL and yards allowed thirty first

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in the NFL and points allowed to give up eight

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point eight yards per play. When Jared Goff and the

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starters were on the field in that ballgame and we

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saw you know, Darren Payne I get ejected. There's frustration

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for Washington right now, and certainly when you think about

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a team that was expected to compete. You know, last

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year they made the NFC Champions Game. They're expected to

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compete for big things this year. Now they're three and seven,

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playing with the backup quarterback going to Madrid for a week.

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The markets are saying that warrants a three and a

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half point move over what we thought this team was

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going to be, especially with Miami showing up yesterday. You know,

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they're two and one straight up the last three games.

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They haven't quit on their coach. You know, they haven't

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quit on their season. Mike McDaniel. I think it's pretty

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obvious from the play they didn't believe their season was over.

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That's difficult to do and everyone's talking about you and

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everyone's talking about this season being over. That being said,

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they lost seven in a row to Buffalo. Felt like

239
00:11:14,159 --> 00:11:18,879
yesterday's game was circled for Miami. You know the quote,

240
00:11:19,039 --> 00:11:20,879
every time you win in the NFL, that's special. But

241
00:11:20,919 --> 00:11:22,600
given the times we played Buffalo in the past and

242
00:11:22,639 --> 00:11:24,480
have gotten close and have gotten blown out, I think

243
00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:27,240
this one definitely makes it that much more special that

244
00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:29,960
it was against Buffalo. They've had our number four years.

245
00:11:29,960 --> 00:11:32,799
That's a two quote, which tells me that was the

246
00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:36,000
game they were looking for, which means laying a price

247
00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:40,039
in Madrid with a team like Miami coming off a win.

248
00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:42,000
I don't know if I'm gonna get there.

249
00:11:42,519 --> 00:11:44,679
Speaker 3: I'll leave it at that, all right, Teddy.

250
00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,320
Speaker 1: I was just looking on x to see if Jackson

251
00:11:47,399 --> 00:11:49,320
Dart was going to be available for this one. The

252
00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:53,360
Packers played tonight. Now they're a sizeable road favorite at

253
00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,480
the New York Giants, who had hey multiple opportunities to

254
00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:59,120
beat the Bears yesterday. Russell Wilson, though I knew it

255
00:11:59,159 --> 00:12:01,080
was over when I saw number three in the game.

256
00:12:02,159 --> 00:12:04,000
Speaker 2: So did you find anything on dark because I didn't

257
00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:07,039
see anything. It's still early for what we're gonna know

258
00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:11,000
about Jackson Dart. Obviously, Jackson Dart status will affect the

259
00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:13,320
point spread, but maybe not as much as you think

260
00:12:13,639 --> 00:12:16,519
the dif between Dart and Russell Wilson a point. Maybe

261
00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:19,240
you know I interned to the markets, maybe a little

262
00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:20,720
bit more, but I wouldn't. I would expect I don't

263
00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,559
see a significant drop off in the petty markets. Then,

264
00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:24,919
of course it's going to depend on what green Bay

265
00:12:24,919 --> 00:12:28,320
looks like tonight. Look headline here packers minus seven total

266
00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:30,519
of forty six my powering numbers seven and a half

267
00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,039
for green Bay. Last night at the open there were

268
00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:34,720
seven and a halfs eight and eight and a half

269
00:12:34,759 --> 00:12:38,120
total forty four and a half and total still sitting

270
00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:40,240
at forty four and a half right now. The markets

271
00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:42,440
still have mostly it's mostly eight and a halfs out

272
00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:45,120
there for green Bay. And make this, let me make

273
00:12:45,159 --> 00:12:48,600
it really clear. The Packers are going to be on

274
00:12:48,639 --> 00:12:51,759
the road off a Monday night football game against Philly.

275
00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:55,279
It's a near guaranteed flat spot if they win. The

276
00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:58,240
Packers that minus six are higher. This year. They lost

277
00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:00,960
straight up to Carolina, they lost straight to Cleveland. They

278
00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,279
failed to cover against Arizona, they failed to cover against Cincinnati,

279
00:13:03,279 --> 00:13:05,200
they failed to cover against Dallas. That's zero to five

280
00:13:05,279 --> 00:13:08,720
ats in this point spread range. They have consistently played

281
00:13:08,759 --> 00:13:11,559
down to the level of competition. So Green Bay is

282
00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:13,120
not likely to be on my short list. Win or

283
00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:16,399
lose tonight. Obviously, Jackson Dart hurt and they had a

284
00:13:16,399 --> 00:13:19,279
seventeen to ten lead when Russell Wilson came in the ballgame.

285
00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:21,440
Russell Wilson got him down to the one yard line

286
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:23,600
and then couldn't put it in. You know, Brian, the

287
00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:25,759
ball We have confidence in Russ, but you never want

288
00:13:25,759 --> 00:13:27,519
to see any of your guys going down. And of

289
00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:29,919
course the Giants still can't stop the run. One hundred

290
00:13:29,919 --> 00:13:31,399
and seventy one yards in the ground six point one

291
00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:33,720
yards per carry. Now they're a two and eight team.

292
00:13:33,759 --> 00:13:36,039
They've lost four in a row, and let's not forget

293
00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:42,000
they've led by double Digits against Dallas, New Orleans, Denver, Chicago,

294
00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:44,759
and they lost all four of those games, you know,

295
00:13:45,279 --> 00:13:47,279
yesterday and they were up by ten minutes with less

296
00:13:47,279 --> 00:13:49,320
than five minutes to play and found a way to

297
00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:51,440
lose it to you know, give him a touchdown, go

298
00:13:51,519 --> 00:13:53,799
three and out, shank a punt and then allow another

299
00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:58,559
game when he touchdown. Certainly the Giants right now, and

300
00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:00,399
again we'll see what happens with Dart this week. But

301
00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:05,159
the Giants are a team who is playing competitively but

302
00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:06,440
still finding ways to lose.

303
00:14:07,399 --> 00:14:11,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is frustrating to have teams like that, especially

304
00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:14,399
from a point spreads perspective. Their Teddy next one up

305
00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:18,360
is going to be the Bucks headed to Buffalo.

306
00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,559
Speaker 3: Both teams just absolutely got worked yesterday.

307
00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:24,159
Speaker 1: Like I said, I knew four kickoff Bucks was going

308
00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:25,519
to be a bad bet, and I was going to

309
00:14:25,559 --> 00:14:27,600
get off of it in some former fashion or another.

310
00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:30,440
But the Bills was really just the shocker, not only

311
00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:33,519
from a survivor standpoint, but just flat out I kept thinking,

312
00:14:33,519 --> 00:14:37,360
all right, here come the Bills. One touchdown and the

313
00:14:37,399 --> 00:14:39,360
rest of the fourth quarter, I was sitting around all

314
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:44,200
these Bills fans here and rub A going yeah, what

315
00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:48,279
was that John they were in awe.

316
00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,320
Speaker 2: It was the true no show for Buffalo. I'll talk

317
00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:54,279
about in just a second. Look headline here, Bill's minus

318
00:14:54,279 --> 00:14:56,840
six total fifty and a half. My powering number, Bills

319
00:14:56,879 --> 00:14:59,679
minus four and a half. The markets open five and

320
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:04,840
a half fifty and a half last night, and yeah,

321
00:15:04,879 --> 00:15:07,000
we got to do it right now. Our first emergency

322
00:15:07,039 --> 00:15:12,519
betting alert of the show. I'm there, find a fifty

323
00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:15,039
right now. I'm seeing forty nine and a half's out there.

324
00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:18,639
I'm seeing forty nine starting to pop. It looks to

325
00:15:18,679 --> 00:15:21,320
me like this total is gonna get beat down. And

326
00:15:21,399 --> 00:15:24,080
I'm not surprised what you consider a Tampa playing in

327
00:15:24,159 --> 00:15:26,799
Buffalo in November when you think about what the Bills

328
00:15:26,799 --> 00:15:28,559
defense did and when they allow one hundred ninety seven

329
00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,480
yards to six point two yards per carry yesterday. Again,

330
00:15:31,519 --> 00:15:35,320
if you like this total under, you can get fifty

331
00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:38,000
right now. I'm not convinced that's going to be there

332
00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:40,919
an hour, two hours, two days from now. So unders

333
00:15:40,919 --> 00:15:44,879
are emerging. Ben alert for Buffalo and Tampa. Baker Mayfield

334
00:15:44,919 --> 00:15:47,840
after the loss yesterday. Quote offensively, I'm hoping our guys

335
00:15:47,879 --> 00:15:50,039
do get pissed off about this. This in the end

336
00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:51,759
of our season. I know that we're still a very

337
00:15:51,759 --> 00:15:53,840
important games ahead of us, but games like this, when

338
00:15:53,879 --> 00:15:57,000
you don't win them, it should sting, It should really hurt.

339
00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:00,399
He said they were lacking in killer instinct yesterday. I

340
00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:03,039
talked a minute ago about the Patriots explosive plays for

341
00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:05,679
them of fifty yards plus. Yesterday, well they all came

342
00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:09,639
up against Tampa's defense. So you know, worth noting the

343
00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,720
Bucks in twenty twenty four, they had a four game

344
00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,039
mid season losing streak. In twenty twenty three, they had

345
00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,360
a four game mid season losing streak. It was a

346
00:16:18,399 --> 00:16:21,440
straight up. Now what happened in the end. They won

347
00:16:21,759 --> 00:16:24,240
the division in both of those years, one and a

348
00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:26,840
half game lead over Carolina. Right now after yesterday's loss,

349
00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:30,039
worth only, they played the Panthers Week sixteen and week eighteen.

350
00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:33,279
So for all the urgency for the Bucks, I don't

351
00:16:33,279 --> 00:16:35,320
know there is that much urgency for the Bucks necessarily.

352
00:16:35,679 --> 00:16:37,600
That's for Buffalo we talked about. That was a true

353
00:16:37,679 --> 00:16:39,240
no show game. You know, they didn't score a point

354
00:16:39,279 --> 00:16:42,519
till the fourth quarter. Huge letdown off that Kansas City

355
00:16:42,559 --> 00:16:44,039
win against the team that they've owned. They won the

356
00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:46,679
previous seven meetings against Miami. They just beat their our

357
00:16:46,799 --> 00:16:50,320
tribal or their playoff rival in Kansas City, and they

358
00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:52,279
came out and played. They laid an eight. You know,

359
00:16:52,759 --> 00:16:56,720
Josh Allen after the game quote, they wanted it obviously

360
00:16:56,799 --> 00:16:59,000
a little bit more than us. I've got to be better.

361
00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:00,480
We got to be better than actually game in the

362
00:17:00,519 --> 00:17:02,440
past game blah blah blah. Anytime it turned it all

363
00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:04,519
over three times. It's the recipe for disasters. But to

364
00:17:04,599 --> 00:17:06,880
hear the the starting quarterback say yeah, they wanted it

365
00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:09,440
more than us, you don't hear that quote every week.

366
00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,440
The last time the Bill's lost, they lost the Pats

367
00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:14,920
at home on Monday Sunday Night football. They lost again

368
00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:16,680
the next week at Atlanta. We'll see if they can

369
00:17:17,599 --> 00:17:20,039
prevent one loss returney into two. Here. Tampa is going

370
00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:23,519
to be every bit as hungry as they are. Yeah.

371
00:17:23,559 --> 00:17:26,440
Speaker 1: I already have the Bucks written down as my spot

372
00:17:26,599 --> 00:17:28,640
to look forward it back. That's usually how it works

373
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:30,400
for me, Teddy. I bet on a team they lay

374
00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,640
an egg, and then I should run back the next week.

375
00:17:32,839 --> 00:17:35,839
Speaking of laying an egg, the Pittsburgh Steelers. Our producer

376
00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,240
Dan told me he fell asleep during the game last night.

377
00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:41,240
They take on their divisional rival and the Cincinnati Bengals

378
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:43,720
this week. Break down this one for me because I

379
00:17:43,799 --> 00:17:45,720
don't know what to make of the Steelers here.

380
00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:47,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wasn't fall asleep.

381
00:17:47,759 --> 00:17:47,920
Speaker 3: I was.

382
00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:49,559
Speaker 2: I was convinced that the Chargers were going to find

383
00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:52,039
a way to blow it. And then Dicker missed that

384
00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:53,640
field goal and I'm like, oh boy, here we go.

385
00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:57,279
We're gonna sweat. But the Pittsburgh ended up or the

386
00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:00,400
Chargers ended up closing out my sweep yester, which was

387
00:18:00,519 --> 00:18:04,119
very nice for the clients and I. And by the way, guys,

388
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,359
if you like this type of content, please give us

389
00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:08,480
a like. That's really all we ask for a comment below.

390
00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:10,319
Both Kelly and I get in the comments throughout the

391
00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:12,480
course of the week, will answer as many as we can.

392
00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,000
And of course, if you haven't done so already, subscribe

393
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394
00:18:17,839 --> 00:18:20,079
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00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,680
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396
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,960
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398
00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:36,359
Cincinnati and Pittsburgh look headline Steelers minus six total of

399
00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:40,039
fifty my powering numbers Steelers minus five markets last night

400
00:18:40,079 --> 00:18:41,359
and there was a mix of five and five and

401
00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:44,240
a half's at fifty, although it's not a true proper

402
00:18:44,319 --> 00:18:46,359
market because Pittchwrick was playing at the time. And that's

403
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:48,079
basically what we're seeing right now. Five and a half

404
00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:52,200
fifty slash fifty and a half for Pittsburgh and Cincy.

405
00:18:54,039 --> 00:18:58,799
And certainly, I mean it's a Bengals team that truly

406
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,680
found a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of

407
00:19:02,799 --> 00:19:05,279
victory before their bye week. If you remember, they got

408
00:19:05,319 --> 00:19:07,680
to recover the on site kick rally back from two

409
00:19:07,759 --> 00:19:10,920
touchdowns down to beat Chicago, except for that, they left

410
00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,319
Chicago with like thirty seconds and that was enough against

411
00:19:13,319 --> 00:19:16,720
Cincinnati's defense forty seven to forty two. They lost that

412
00:19:16,799 --> 00:19:19,799
game and went on by Zach Taylor afterwards. It's sick.

413
00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,319
It's sick to lose like that. It's what happens. So

414
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,279
we got to own it. And again they became the

415
00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:27,559
first team in fifty nine years, in fifty nine years

416
00:19:27,559 --> 00:19:29,240
to score thirty eight points or more in back to

417
00:19:29,319 --> 00:19:32,960
back games and lose them both. And boy, it felt

418
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:37,519
like there was some pretty the locker room was. Here's

419
00:19:37,559 --> 00:19:39,480
a quote for Chase Brown. We put the ball on

420
00:19:39,519 --> 00:19:40,920
the end zone and go up in the lead to

421
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:42,920
give the game, finish the f and game. Just end

422
00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:44,640
it like that's it. That's what we need to do.

423
00:19:44,839 --> 00:19:46,440
Just end the f and game. Make them give us

424
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:48,759
the ball back. Let's go to twenty two victories. Let's

425
00:19:48,839 --> 00:19:51,200
end the game. That's how I feel. That's on your

426
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:53,920
defense under the bus, my friends. Now, best performance of

427
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,920
Flacco was eighteen year NFL career. Maybe he's rested now,

428
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,359
has a chance to learn the offense a little bit

429
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,319
better rushing. It's in that ball game. By the way,

430
00:20:01,839 --> 00:20:06,920
Chicago two eighty three, Sincy forty six. As for Pittsburgh,

431
00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:10,359
Aaron Rodgers turns forty two next month. He sure looked

432
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,240
at last night. I'll leave it at that.

433
00:20:14,839 --> 00:20:17,759
Speaker 3: Shots fired, Teddy cover, shots fired.

434
00:20:18,279 --> 00:20:22,400
Speaker 2: So every quarterbacks old. Eventually, Warren Moon got old, Eventually

435
00:20:22,519 --> 00:20:25,559
Tom Brady got old. Eventually, you know, Peyton Manning got

436
00:20:25,599 --> 00:20:27,319
all that last year where Manning was you know, he

437
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:32,559
was a corpse. Yeah, I thought the team around him

438
00:20:32,559 --> 00:20:34,440
was unbelievable. The defense around was unbelievable.

439
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:37,319
Speaker 3: That is exactly what that was all right. Let's keep

440
00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:41,039
on moving this one along. Houston taking on at Tennessee.

441
00:20:41,319 --> 00:20:43,240
Speaker 1: Teddy, what do you look for when teams won in

442
00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,839
such an insane fashion like the Houston Texasan's Like you said,

443
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:51,440
they were dead on arrival and were able to somehow

444
00:20:51,559 --> 00:20:52,440
win that football game.

445
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 2: So Denver rally from thirty three down against the Giants

446
00:20:56,799 --> 00:20:58,839
or thirty two down against the Giant and managed to

447
00:20:59,319 --> 00:21:02,160
win again. The next week we saw Chicago and that

448
00:21:02,279 --> 00:21:04,559
crazy win against Cincinnati that I just talked about, rally

449
00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:08,599
to win again the next week. I wouldn't put you know, momentum.

450
00:21:09,319 --> 00:21:11,279
Momentum is a fickle mistress. I'll leave it at that.

451
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,960
You know sometimes, oh, yes they got momentum. Yes, well,

452
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:17,799
we'll see how much momentum Miami and Miami has when

453
00:21:17,839 --> 00:21:19,839
they traveled to Madrid this week. You know, to me,

454
00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,440
that's the ultimate. One team has momentum, one team doesn't.

455
00:21:23,799 --> 00:21:26,680
I tend to think that momentum is overrated in the

456
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:30,079
betting markets. Momentum last as long as your team plays well.

457
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:34,359
That being said, Houston look headline minus seven and a half.

458
00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:36,160
Total it was thirty seven and a half and thirty

459
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:37,920
eight and a halfs out there for the total for

460
00:21:38,079 --> 00:21:40,839
the Texans and the Titans. My paradery number came eight.

461
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,599
The markets opened seven seven and a half thirty eight

462
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:45,720
last night. He was right between the thirty seven and

463
00:21:45,759 --> 00:21:47,279
a half and thirty eight and a half. We are

464
00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,920
seeing over money coming in on this one. Fairly significant

465
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:55,079
over money. Enough over money right now to say, damn,

466
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:57,960
let's light up another burgon of non emergency betting alert

467
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:05,000
over right now. Okay, Houston, Tennessee, you can still find

468
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,119
thirty eight and a half out there. There are thirty

469
00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,680
nine's out there. Looks like it's going to forty plus.

470
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,599
So Texans flew over the total yesterday. The Titans have

471
00:22:13,759 --> 00:22:15,799
cost you know, four straight losses since their only win

472
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,319
of the season in that miracle game against Arizona and

473
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:20,880
coming off of bye you know again, they were twenty

474
00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:22,759
seven to twenty they lost to the Charges. For the bye,

475
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:24,559
they had ten first downs two and six yar at

476
00:22:24,559 --> 00:22:26,400
the total offense, they had a pick six and a

477
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,480
punt return touchdown and still lost by a TD. But

478
00:22:29,599 --> 00:22:34,759
the markets expect Tennessee rookie QB extra tiny repair. They

479
00:22:34,839 --> 00:22:37,240
expect this offense to be a little bit better with

480
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,839
extra you know, with that extra week off, you tend

481
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:43,680
to see that learning curve for the rookie QBS in general,

482
00:22:43,759 --> 00:22:46,039
you like them off. A bye for the Texans, I mean,

483
00:22:46,079 --> 00:22:47,960
you know, they trailed twenty nine to ten in the

484
00:22:48,039 --> 00:22:52,160
fourth quarter. But Nico Collins, he made Davis Mills look

485
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:55,079
real good. Yesterday Houston has finished four or five in

486
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:58,599
the red zone, ten to fifteen on third downs, yards

487
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,079
per play edge six point zero to three point nine,

488
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,480
game by more than two yards per play. You know,

489
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:09,400
Will Anderson keep showing up, keep fighting, never quit. Daniell Hunter,

490
00:23:09,599 --> 00:23:11,640
who had a monster game, we just locked in. I

491
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:12,839
felt we had the feeling of the whole game. We

492
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:16,079
were gonna come out on top. Tamiko Ryans, I look

493
00:23:16,079 --> 00:23:19,000
at the game as I look at life. Bad things

494
00:23:19,039 --> 00:23:20,720
are gonna happen. Do you hang your head and go

495
00:23:20,839 --> 00:23:23,319
run and hide? Do you quit? Do you give up? No?

496
00:23:23,559 --> 00:23:26,839
You gotta keep punching in life and football, you gotta

497
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:31,279
keep punching. And that's what this game showed today. Key

498
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,119
to the entire game was no one blinked. So that

499
00:23:34,279 --> 00:23:36,079
makes Houston a team I were interested in these pick

500
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:38,279
um type games. I don't know if that makes Houston

501
00:23:38,319 --> 00:23:40,880
a good favorite in the minus seven s last minus

502
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:43,079
seven and a half range worth noting. I mean the

503
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,680
seven and a half look like this is split line

504
00:23:45,759 --> 00:23:48,920
right now. I think that the books that cater to

505
00:23:49,039 --> 00:23:51,039
recreational betters may have seven and a halfs all week.

506
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:52,599
The sharp books don't anymore.

507
00:23:52,799 --> 00:23:56,480
Speaker 1: For what that's worth, all right, that is definitely worth something,

508
00:23:56,680 --> 00:24:00,160
because I was already considering teasing the Texans shocker. I

509
00:24:00,279 --> 00:24:05,359
know everybody is surprised. Bear's Vikings, Teddy, the Vikings were

510
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,799
a stinker of a pick by me yesterday.

511
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 3: I just was not impressed with them, especially at home.

512
00:24:12,799 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 1: Was that more of an indication that it was the

513
00:24:15,279 --> 00:24:18,000
Vikings or maybe we'll talk about the Ravens here in

514
00:24:18,079 --> 00:24:18,720
just a few minutes.

515
00:24:19,319 --> 00:24:21,920
Speaker 2: So it's funny because I do powerings for every team

516
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:24,359
every week, and I adjust my numbers and I think

517
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,160
about them, you know, I do. There's no fall, no

518
00:24:27,279 --> 00:24:29,519
formula for me. Something that I think about and I

519
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,400
look at some stats, I look at some track record

520
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,599
and you know, gang logs and all that kind of stuff,

521
00:24:35,279 --> 00:24:39,559
and I spend time. And the Minnesota Vikings powering number

522
00:24:39,599 --> 00:24:43,400
in particular was the one and every week there's one

523
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:44,960
or two that I'm like, I really think about for

524
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,960
a little while in Minnesota, Minnesota, where I'm not a

525
00:24:48,039 --> 00:24:50,160
hardtent commont. My number of Minnesota's right that you know.

526
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,079
I ended up splitting the difference between the Vikings. I'm

527
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,559
not sure how good the Vikings are. I don't know

528
00:24:56,559 --> 00:24:59,079
if they're sure how good they are right now. The

529
00:24:59,319 --> 00:25:01,240
team I had a different most difficulty with in creating

530
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:04,680
a pr number. Look headline Vikings minus three forty six

531
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:06,599
and a half my powering number. Again, I split the

532
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:07,880
difference and put it in the middle of where I

533
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,880
was thinking. Ended up with Minnesota minus two. The markets

534
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,039
opened three with some two and a half last night

535
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:16,079
total of forty six, and look what we're seeing today,

536
00:25:16,759 --> 00:25:19,400
threes two and a half. The markets hadn't decided which

537
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:21,920
is better for this one. Total has been bet up

538
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,119
like crazy, forty eight forty eight and a half. I

539
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:25,680
had a Mercy Benning lard, but I think it's gone

540
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:27,440
already once here on the wrong side of forty eight.

541
00:25:27,839 --> 00:25:30,519
That's one that if you didn't get it early, you

542
00:25:30,559 --> 00:25:33,240
didn't get it because Chicago is that dead nuts over team.

543
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,799
The markets realized that even though yesterday's game finished with

544
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,720
forty four points. In the conditions, you have one hundred

545
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:40,440
and seventy one rushing yards at six point one yards

546
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:42,160
per carry and allowed, or they gained one hundred and

547
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:43,920
seventy one hours yards, they allowed one hundred and sixty

548
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:45,880
nine rushing yards at five point six yards per carry.

549
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:47,960
And when you can't stop the run, they're gonna bet

550
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:51,319
the over. That being said, for the last six games,

551
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:53,680
Caleb Williams has led them to come from behind, wins

552
00:25:53,799 --> 00:25:55,960
late in the fourth quarters, to beat Vegas, to beat Washington,

553
00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,599
They beat Sincy last week, they beat the Jet Giants

554
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,240
this week. You know, quote it does build confidence. You know,

555
00:26:02,759 --> 00:26:05,200
doesn't matter where a deficit we're at, It doesn't matter

556
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:07,480
how much we're up, doesn't matter what happened throughout the game.

557
00:26:07,519 --> 00:26:09,599
We came through as a team. That's what we did today.

558
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:11,920
Ben Johnson quote, they have his belief that we're gonna

559
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,240
find a way in the fourth quarter, invided at somewhat close,

560
00:26:14,279 --> 00:26:15,640
we're gonna find a way to come on top of

561
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,920
this thing. It's weekend and week out that they're proving that. CJ.

562
00:26:19,079 --> 00:26:21,519
Gardner Johnson quote, we got some ballers. We're ready to

563
00:26:21,559 --> 00:26:25,480
make a push. Certainly a confident team right now. And

564
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:27,799
for Minnesota, you know, bizarre game plan in a sense

565
00:26:27,839 --> 00:26:31,079
that they're not going to win. With JJ McCarthy dropping

566
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,960
back forty three times and being the team's leading rusher

567
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:36,359
and the running back combining for just thirteen carries. That's

568
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:39,480
not the recipe for success. You know, eight fall start

569
00:26:39,559 --> 00:26:43,319
penalties at home. That's on the quarterback. That's on the

570
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:47,559
offense not being in sync with one another. They outgained

571
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:50,160
Baltimore by a yard one point one yards would play,

572
00:26:50,759 --> 00:26:52,759
but you made it three turnovers if defense didn't force

573
00:26:52,799 --> 00:26:55,359
any They got stopped three times on fourth down. And

574
00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:58,799
JJ McCarthy's not very good right now. I don't know

575
00:26:58,839 --> 00:27:01,640
what to do with Minnesota. Probably pass them and pass

576
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:03,240
on Vikings game until I have a better read on

577
00:27:03,319 --> 00:27:03,680
this team.

578
00:27:05,079 --> 00:27:07,799
Speaker 1: Very fair point. A couple of teams that I also

579
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:09,119
don't know what to do with. Here, you've got the

580
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:14,319
Carolina Panthers taken on the Atlanta Falcons. I was heavy

581
00:27:14,559 --> 00:27:16,680
on the Carolina Panthers coming into the season. I thought

582
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:18,000
this was a year they could take a step forward.

583
00:27:18,039 --> 00:27:20,920
I thought they had a shot to win their division.

584
00:27:21,559 --> 00:27:24,920
Then they go into Lamba kind of shock. Everybody has

585
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,359
a double digit favorite and then lay an egg at

586
00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:28,799
home to the New Orleans Saints.

587
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:33,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, so look aat line here, Atlanta three and a

588
00:27:33,319 --> 00:27:36,640
half total forty four and a half. My powering number,

589
00:27:36,799 --> 00:27:39,160
which does not factor into the situation. This is a

590
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:42,119
very negative situation for Atlanta. My powering number has the

591
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:46,359
Falcons five in this ball game. The markets opened three

592
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:49,000
and a half slash four last night. Total forty two

593
00:27:49,039 --> 00:27:51,200
and a half slash forty three. I'm looking at my

594
00:27:51,319 --> 00:27:55,079
odds logic live on screen right now. Markets is mostly

595
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:56,839
three and a half. There's still a couple of fours,

596
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:59,839
but it's mostly three and a half total forty two

597
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:02,200
and a half for this ball game. So we've seen

598
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,319
under money and we've seen the market settle with Atlanta

599
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:07,319
three and a half. And given the situation, I mean,

600
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:09,839
I get it. You know, they're on a four game

601
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:10,519
losing streak.

602
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:11,559
Speaker 3: No buy.

603
00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 2: After a tip to Germany and an overtime loss, they're

604
00:28:14,519 --> 00:28:17,039
three and six. The last two games they've lost on

605
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:20,440
a missed extra point and then overtime. They've gone three

606
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:22,680
of twenty nine on third down conversions over the last

607
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,519
three games. You know, they forced two turnovers against the India,

608
00:28:25,519 --> 00:28:27,839
they got two fourth down stops, the Colts missed their

609
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:31,200
two point conversion try the Falcons made there. They had

610
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,200
the Colts third and twenty one on the final driver

611
00:28:33,279 --> 00:28:37,440
regulation and they still found a way to lose the game.

612
00:28:37,599 --> 00:28:39,960
Even with all of that. You know, in overtime you've

613
00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:41,559
got a Colts penalty to get them started, but that

614
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,359
was it. Penis couldn't move them, and you're not gonna

615
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:46,519
give win many NFL games allowing three hundred and twenty

616
00:28:46,519 --> 00:28:48,839
three rushing yards or given up forty minutes of possession.

617
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:51,680
Raheem Marris, we had plenty of opportunities to win it.

618
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:53,200
We just got to find a way to get better.

619
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,160
Whether it's stopping the run, whether it's covering kicks better,

620
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,559
returning to the ball better, converting on third down, all

621
00:28:57,599 --> 00:28:59,559
the things that kind of hurt us today. That in

622
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,000
my mind not an inspiring quote. I'm not Raheem Morris

623
00:29:03,079 --> 00:29:05,960
fan when it comes to NFL head coaches. That being said,

624
00:29:06,319 --> 00:29:09,359
I know what Carolina is. Caroline is a garbage team,

625
00:29:09,559 --> 00:29:11,279
all right. We talked about him on bet on It

626
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:13,200
last week. As a team we wanted to sell in

627
00:29:13,279 --> 00:29:17,640
the stock watch section. And Bryce Young is playing like

628
00:29:17,839 --> 00:29:20,039
justin fields. Let's call it how it is, right. He

629
00:29:20,119 --> 00:29:22,720
has one game all year with two hundred plus passing yards.

630
00:29:23,319 --> 00:29:26,160
Last three games for Bryce Young all in the five

631
00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:29,880
yards per pass, the range that's below backups. He's had

632
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:32,240
at least one reception four times the last five games.

633
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:34,359
Bryce Young mobile dual threat QB.

634
00:29:34,519 --> 00:29:34,599
Speaker 3: Right.

635
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:37,079
Speaker 2: He had forty rushing yards week one. Since Week one

636
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:40,720
is a total of thirty eight rushing yards. Bryce Young's

637
00:29:40,799 --> 00:29:44,880
longest pass of the year forty yards, all right, and

638
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,279
he was lucky yesterday he had a roughing the passer

639
00:29:47,319 --> 00:29:50,079
penalty wiped out an interception. There were two early tip

640
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:52,960
passes that could have been picked as well. You know

641
00:29:53,119 --> 00:29:55,240
Rico Daudl two point yards and two point nine yards

642
00:29:55,279 --> 00:29:57,359
per carrier. They can't run, they can't win. For the

643
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:01,720
last four weeks thirteen points nine point, sixteen points, seven points.

644
00:30:02,119 --> 00:30:05,480
This offense isn't working. Ted McMillan, the rookie is the

645
00:30:05,559 --> 00:30:08,440
only receiver with two hundred yards through ten games. That

646
00:30:08,519 --> 00:30:10,240
means no one else in the team is everything twenty

647
00:30:10,319 --> 00:30:14,559
receiving yards per game. Brice Young after the contest quote,

648
00:30:14,559 --> 00:30:15,960
we know we're better than that. As a team, I

649
00:30:16,079 --> 00:30:17,720
want to get so many opportunities in this league and

650
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:19,680
in life. I want to get so many opportunities. Dave

651
00:30:19,759 --> 00:30:22,839
Canalis quote, we didn't play our best version. We didn't

652
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,400
play our vision of football. That's not us. We can't

653
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:27,720
have that camping up big plays and turn the ball over.

654
00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:30,839
Office has to be more opportunistic. Blah blah, blah blah blah.

655
00:30:31,319 --> 00:30:33,480
Carolina not a team I'm excited about. Not a team

656
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:37,960
I'm excited about in this one. But spot wise, I

657
00:30:38,039 --> 00:30:42,160
do worry about Atlanta bouncing back. A pretty rough, pretty

658
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:42,720
rough couple of.

659
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:47,240
Speaker 1: Weeks, all right, A couple of interesting weeks, to say

660
00:30:47,279 --> 00:30:50,039
the least for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Right, got lucky to

661
00:30:50,079 --> 00:30:52,480
get out of Las Vegas alive, showing got out of

662
00:30:52,519 --> 00:30:56,759
Houston alive but didn't. And we mentioned the Steelers Chargers

663
00:30:56,799 --> 00:31:00,200
game last night, Saddy. It was a news fat and

664
00:31:00,279 --> 00:31:03,200
Steelers didn't play well, but there was nothing really impressive

665
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:05,319
outside of a couple of long passes and a couple

666
00:31:05,319 --> 00:31:08,559
of rushes from Justin Herbert that said that, I think

667
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:10,960
the Chargers should be warranted as road favorites.

668
00:31:10,559 --> 00:31:14,599
Speaker 2: Here look aheadline anywhere were one and a half, there

669
00:31:14,599 --> 00:31:16,039
were two. There were two and a halfs for the Chargers.

670
00:31:16,079 --> 00:31:18,599
Total forty four and a half my powering number. And

671
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:20,640
I thought there was lots to like about the Chargers

672
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:24,359
last night as La minus three. That's my powery number.

673
00:31:24,359 --> 00:31:26,000
The market's open one and a half and forty four

674
00:31:26,519 --> 00:31:29,079
last night. And what are we seeing right now? We're

675
00:31:29,119 --> 00:31:31,440
seeing two and a half with juice and threes out there.

676
00:31:31,519 --> 00:31:33,880
That tells us one thing and one thing only. Damn

677
00:31:34,599 --> 00:31:40,200
light it up? Do you want to frick? Now? This

678
00:31:40,319 --> 00:31:42,839
line's going to three. It's thirty there at the many books,

679
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:46,759
and if you haven't, if you don't get it again,

680
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:48,799
it's not like I know it's going to hold there,

681
00:31:48,839 --> 00:31:52,599
but it's sure going there. The Chargers from a defensive

682
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:56,119
standpoint were brilliant in yesterday's bag. And that's the strength

683
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,079
of this Chargers team is on the defense side of

684
00:31:58,079 --> 00:32:00,359
the football. The other thing we like about the Chargers

685
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:04,319
is justin Herbert, who is a leader and a gutty player,

686
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:05,880
and every quote out of the locker room as we

687
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:07,960
believe in this guy, and this guy's leading us to victory.

688
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:10,240
The opposite of the quotes that we're seeing from Aaron

689
00:32:10,359 --> 00:32:13,640
Rodgers at this stage of his career. So and that's

690
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:15,559
why that's the only reason I had the Chargers last time.

691
00:32:15,559 --> 00:32:17,000
I'm like, I believe in this defense, I believe in

692
00:32:17,039 --> 00:32:20,519
this quarterback. And that's two things to like about LA.

693
00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:23,119
That being said, west Coast team traveling east for an

694
00:32:23,119 --> 00:32:26,240
early start game, there's always concerns about that. And the Jags,

695
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:27,680
I mean, they're like twenty nine to ten going to

696
00:32:27,759 --> 00:32:30,279
the fourth. They missed the two point conversion that ended

697
00:32:30,359 --> 00:32:33,759
up loving very large. Trevor Lawrence twenty eight dropbacks, one

698
00:32:33,839 --> 00:32:36,160
hundred and nineteen total yards. He was sacked five times.

699
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,759
Jakobe Meyer, they got him on Tuesday from the Raiders.

700
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,240
He ended up there being their leading receiver. You know,

701
00:32:42,559 --> 00:32:45,240
Liam Cohen looked pretty frustrated after the game. His quotes

702
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,319
were really frustrated. You got a nineteen point lead. Candelt too,

703
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,599
that's disappointing. That's really disappointing. Aainst the divisional opponent on

704
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:53,400
the road, where he controlling the game for the majority

705
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,559
of it, with all three phases having an impact. It's

706
00:32:55,599 --> 00:32:59,400
worth noting since they beat Kansas City thanks to the

707
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,799
nine nine yard pick six and Week five they have

708
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:06,759
one win that came in overtime against the Raiders when

709
00:33:06,799 --> 00:33:09,680
the Raiders went for two. Markets are saying the Jags

710
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:11,279
aren't a good team, and I don't disagree with that.

711
00:33:11,799 --> 00:33:13,640
You know, I think there's a class difference between these

712
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,839
two squads. And again, if you like La bet him

713
00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:18,839
now at minus two and a half. Don't wait till

714
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:20,039
it's minus three later in the week.

715
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:21,599
Speaker 3: All right, let's stay in LA.

716
00:33:21,759 --> 00:33:25,519
Speaker 1: We're gonna go the Seattle Seahawks taking on their divisional

717
00:33:25,599 --> 00:33:27,319
rival to La Rams Teddy.

718
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 3: You know, we keep hearing about Drake may we keep

719
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:31,880
hearing about Baker Mayfield.

720
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:34,799
Speaker 1: I think Samdernoald is getting a little bit of rumblings,

721
00:33:34,799 --> 00:33:36,920
but he's so flying under the radar. I think he

722
00:33:37,079 --> 00:33:40,079
is playing out of his mind there in Seattle, and

723
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:44,920
this Seahawks team, they're just I'm speechless.

724
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:47,319
Speaker 3: Every time I bet against him, I'm going, why the

725
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:47,839
hell did.

726
00:33:47,759 --> 00:33:50,519
Speaker 2: I do that? Yep? I have a you know, I

727
00:33:50,599 --> 00:33:52,519
have a bet against the Seahawks and my season wins.

728
00:33:53,039 --> 00:33:55,359
And on paper, this team was gonna get thrashed this

729
00:33:55,480 --> 00:33:59,559
year and that has not been the case. Nothing more

730
00:33:59,599 --> 00:34:01,960
in press then what their offsive line is done. They've

731
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:03,920
won four times this year by two touchdowns or more.

732
00:34:04,319 --> 00:34:06,359
They have one hundred plus one hundred and three point

733
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:09,960
differential that's the second best in the NFL. Yesterday they

734
00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:12,679
won twenty two points despite three turnovers, two of which

735
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,400
set up Arizona touchdowns. And again, games like yesterday's where

736
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:18,320
there's two early defensive scores, they are up thirty five

737
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:21,000
nothing by midway through the second. The box score doesn't

738
00:34:21,079 --> 00:34:23,760
tell you much. Most of the game was garbage time. Still,

739
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:25,800
you got one hundred ninety eight yards on the ground

740
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,639
in that contest. Look head line here, Rams minus two

741
00:34:28,639 --> 00:34:31,239
and a half forty eight my powering number RAMS minus two.

742
00:34:31,679 --> 00:34:33,320
Markets open two and a half forty eight and a

743
00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:36,679
half last night, and I'm seeing two and a half

744
00:34:37,599 --> 00:34:39,719
two and a halfs for this one. Now. I'm not

745
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:43,960
seeing many threes. I'm not convinced it's gonna get to three.

746
00:34:44,039 --> 00:34:45,599
If it does get to three, I think we'll see

747
00:34:45,599 --> 00:34:48,159
Seattle money at three. This is one of those two

748
00:34:48,199 --> 00:34:50,559
point seventy five you know where you're either gonna see

749
00:34:50,559 --> 00:34:52,920
three with Jews or you know, three even money or

750
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,079
two and a half with juice all week, but I

751
00:34:55,119 --> 00:34:57,840
would not I was debating it's the emergency betting alert.

752
00:34:57,920 --> 00:34:59,199
You want the Rams get them in at two and

753
00:34:59,199 --> 00:35:00,920
a half. I don't think it's going to hold the

754
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:02,960
three if it gets there. That being said, there's a

755
00:35:03,039 --> 00:35:05,320
lot to like about the Rams too. You know, they

756
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:07,360
score touchdowns six of their first eight drives of the game.

757
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:11,079
Against San Francisco yesterday, Matthew Stafford said an NFL record

758
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:13,760
third straight game with at least four touchdown passes and

759
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:18,159
no picks. Quote. I was having a good time. I

760
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:21,079
lose my mind when we score touchdowns. You know, he

761
00:35:21,199 --> 00:35:23,880
leads the league with twenty five touchdown passes. He's thrown

762
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:28,079
twenty touchdowns with no interceptions over the last six games.

763
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:32,480
Sean McVay, Stafford has just been total command. It's a

764
00:35:32,519 --> 00:35:34,239
continuation of a guy who really works his tail off

765
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:36,480
throughout the course of the week. You know, it looks

766
00:35:36,519 --> 00:35:39,039
like the game is really in slow motion to him

767
00:35:39,639 --> 00:35:42,320
right now. Those are bet on quote. Although DeVante Adams

768
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:44,800
did leave the gayesterday the game with an injury check

769
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:46,840
his status, he was hoping it wasn't going to force

770
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:47,880
him to miss any time.

771
00:35:49,199 --> 00:35:52,599
Speaker 3: Teddy last Sunday, I was touting the Cardinals and I

772
00:35:52,679 --> 00:35:54,760
said no, Kyler Murray, no problem.

773
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,840
Speaker 1: That was until this week where Jacoby Brissett got two

774
00:35:58,079 --> 00:36:01,159
sack fumbles for a touchdown against him, and I thought,

775
00:36:01,519 --> 00:36:04,880
oh boy, they miss Kyler. Now San Francisco didn't look

776
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:06,679
much better against the Rams.

777
00:36:07,079 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 3: Now they play each other.

778
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:11,960
Speaker 2: Look headline, san Fran minus won forty seven and a half.

779
00:36:12,079 --> 00:36:14,320
My powering number san fran minus one and a half.

780
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:17,320
The markets opened last night san fran minus two and

781
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:21,280
a half slash minus three. And we're pretty much seeing

782
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:23,280
mostly two and a halfs out I'm sorry, mostly threes

783
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:24,519
out there. There are still a couple of two and

784
00:36:24,559 --> 00:36:29,760
a halfs available. But the forty nine, I mean, for

785
00:36:29,880 --> 00:36:32,880
as bad as Arizona is, the four nine injury report

786
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:37,079
is disgusting. On the defense side of the football, all right, again,

787
00:36:37,119 --> 00:36:38,960
they give a touchdown six of the Rams first eight

788
00:36:39,039 --> 00:36:41,960
drives yesterday. George Kittle said last week, he said the

789
00:36:42,079 --> 00:36:44,320
Niners offense gonna quote need to score a lot of

790
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:46,920
points for the team remaining posting contention because of all

791
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:50,599
the defensive injuries. Kyle Shanahan quote, I'm never gonna put

792
00:36:50,639 --> 00:36:53,679
it on one side of the ball, but obviously we

793
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:56,679
are wounded at defense. Got more guys down over there.

794
00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:58,800
That does give the other side a bit more of

795
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,440
an advantage. You know, obviously Nick Bosa is out, Fred

796
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,880
warners out. They just lost their first round rookie Michael

797
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,320
Williams to a season ending injury. They didn't make any

798
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:10,519
additions at the trading deadline, you know, Shanahan quote, we

799
00:37:10,559 --> 00:37:12,360
knew it was gonna be a big challenge going into LA.

800
00:37:12,519 --> 00:37:13,960
We knew how good they are. We thought we could

801
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:16,679
slow them down. We obviously didn't do that very well.

802
00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:20,039
So you know, there's a decent chance you could see

803
00:37:20,039 --> 00:37:22,280
brock perty back this week. He's been active for six

804
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:25,039
straight games. Mac Jones was fine yesterday. I don't blame

805
00:37:25,079 --> 00:37:27,159
the loss on mac Jones. It's a forty nine ers

806
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:31,599
defense that's a problem right now. And the markets are

807
00:37:31,599 --> 00:37:34,280
saying Arizona's offense is even worse. You know, talk about

808
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:36,840
pat potlit momentum, how about positive mentum? Arizona just beat

809
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:41,400
Monday night football win in Dallas. Oh no momentum there,

810
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:44,239
thirty five nothing again midway through the second quarter. Three

811
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,760
touchdowns on defense, two touchdowns they give up on offense.

812
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:50,840
Back to Kyler Murray stick with Brissette. It really does

813
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:53,239
not feel like it's gonna end well in Arizona. Right now,

814
00:37:54,559 --> 00:37:56,719
nothing feels right for the Cardinals, and I would not

815
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,039
be surprised. Again. I'm not going to talk anyone out

816
00:37:59,039 --> 00:38:01,280
of the laying two and a half with the forty

817
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:03,840
nine ers right now. A couple of books still have

818
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:05,519
that number available.

819
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:09,400
Speaker 1: All right, back to being sizable front runners to win

820
00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:12,079
the AFC North. The Baltimore Ravens are going to take off,

821
00:38:12,519 --> 00:38:17,119
take on, excuse me, a divisional opponent in the Cleveland Browns. Teddy,

822
00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:19,960
talk to me about this Ravens team because Ariel Epstein's

823
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:21,719
sitting right next to me, and she needs to know

824
00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:23,559
if she should get her hopes up or not.

825
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 2: Look at Lyne Baltimore minus seven and a half forty

826
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:30,119
one and a half, my powering number, Baltimore minus nine.

827
00:38:30,199 --> 00:38:32,039
The market's open eight and a half forty one and

828
00:38:32,079 --> 00:38:34,880
a half last night, and that's basically what we're seeing today.

829
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:37,119
There are some forty one's out there, but mostly eight

830
00:38:37,119 --> 00:38:38,519
and a half forty one and a half. So the

831
00:38:38,599 --> 00:38:41,199
markets haven't done a whole lot with this game just yet.

832
00:38:41,639 --> 00:38:43,639
We got a fire. It's an even the cornior's fault, right,

833
00:38:43,639 --> 00:38:47,320
We've got a fire Zach orr Well. After allowing more

834
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,119
than thirty five points a game over the first fire,

835
00:38:49,119 --> 00:38:51,760
the Ravens have now given up fifteen points or less

836
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:54,519
fifteen points per game in their last four. They just

837
00:38:54,559 --> 00:38:57,400
help Justin Jefferson to four receptions for thirty seven yards

838
00:38:57,440 --> 00:39:00,480
on twelve targets. They forced six turnovers over the last

839
00:39:00,519 --> 00:39:02,840
two games. You know, remember they have four takeaways in

840
00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,320
the first seven games. It looks like Zach orrz doing

841
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:09,159
something right. Linebacker Kyle van Noyt quote, we still have

842
00:39:09,159 --> 00:39:10,519
a lot of work to do, a lot of games left.

843
00:39:10,679 --> 00:39:13,239
We're enjoying the process of getting better, and I don't

844
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:16,239
think we're taking what we're doing lightly. Kyle Hamilton, the

845
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:18,760
Pro Bowl safety quote, we're starting to hit our stride.

846
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:20,920
It's not a surprise to us. We're playing to our

847
00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:24,760
potential now and that's got to be sustained. And of course,

848
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:29,079
three game winning streak for Baltimore. Lamar Jackson one hundred

849
00:39:29,199 --> 00:39:32,519
career starts. Number of quarterbacks that have more wins than

850
00:39:32,599 --> 00:39:36,639
Lamar Jackson through one hundred career starts Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady,

851
00:39:37,159 --> 00:39:40,320
Roger Staubach. Those are not guys that are bad to

852
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:43,960
be in the same breath with and maybe the best

853
00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:46,039
quote of the weekend. I love the quote from quarterback

854
00:39:46,159 --> 00:39:51,280
Marlon Humphrey quote talking about the Ravens defense yesterday. Quote,

855
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:54,519
that's been a big key the mind shifts, the mindset

856
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,880
shift of even though we have Lamar Jackson, let's give

857
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:00,039
him a smoke break, let's give him an off he

858
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:03,599
bailed it out so many times. How about we do it.

859
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,800
Defense obviously made big plays yesterday. The offense got out

860
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:09,800
game by more than a full yard per play. As

861
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:11,599
for Cleveland, they were able to find a way to

862
00:40:11,639 --> 00:40:13,280
lose a game that Justin Fields had forty two net

863
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:17,239
passing yards on fourteen dropbacks. You know, Judy Fannin Judkins,

864
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:20,320
I don't have weapons. They got above seventeen. Again, they

865
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:22,400
had a twenty three to twelve first down edge, but

866
00:40:22,519 --> 00:40:25,199
they allowed a kick return touchdown and a putt return touchdown.

867
00:40:25,679 --> 00:40:27,840
You know after the game, Kevin Stefanski, is he gonna

868
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:29,599
go to Shdor Sanders, No, he's not.

869
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:30,119
Speaker 3: Quote.

870
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:32,480
Speaker 2: This is a young player and we're always going to

871
00:40:32,519 --> 00:40:34,360
try to get one game better. In these type of things,

872
00:40:34,599 --> 00:40:37,400
we have to play better as an offense. Miles Garrett

873
00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:41,880
quote frustration is frustration another locker room where there's offensive

874
00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:45,519
defensive not on the same page. Quote frustrations, frustration. You

875
00:40:45,639 --> 00:40:48,360
try your best not to point fingers. You just got

876
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:50,079
to go out and clean up what you can. We've

877
00:40:50,119 --> 00:40:54,960
just got to be better. That's his way of throwing case.

878
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:57,519
He's flowing as the offense under the bus. The defense

879
00:40:57,840 --> 00:41:00,559
has played much better than the offense. All see some law.

880
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:03,719
Speaker 1: All right, we got almost three thousand of you guys

881
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:06,119
watching us live here on the wager Talk YouTube channel

882
00:41:06,159 --> 00:41:07,960
as well as social media, so shout out to you,

883
00:41:08,079 --> 00:41:11,960
and special shout out to our insiders wt dot Buzz,

884
00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:15,280
Backslash insiders. To join just two dollars and ninety nine

885
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:17,800
cents a month gets you lots of early access to

886
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:20,199
things like bat on It the steam room. We've got

887
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:23,599
some more special things for those insiders in store as well. Teddy,

888
00:41:24,039 --> 00:41:26,400
really quickly before we hit these last few games. You

889
00:41:26,519 --> 00:41:30,119
are fresh off a Sunday sweep. I am very jealous.

890
00:41:30,519 --> 00:41:32,840
Let's hear what you got going on for this week

891
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:33,559
in the NFL.

892
00:41:34,039 --> 00:41:35,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think since week four, since I had a

893
00:41:35,639 --> 00:41:38,159
Sunday sweep, so I was I was ready for it.

894
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,880
I was due and we got the fourth quarters worked

895
00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:44,159
out very nicely, and yesterday's contest. I'm in play for

896
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,360
Monday Night Football tonight. Don't buy it, you can get

897
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:48,239
it for free. Just look at the video on my

898
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:51,039
homepage WT dot Buzz, backslash TC. I do have a

899
00:41:51,159 --> 00:41:54,440
single NBA Best bet available for tonight, number one at

900
00:41:54,519 --> 00:41:57,320
wager Talk and NBA profits since twenty twenty two, out

901
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,559
more than two hundred and twenty units during that span.

902
00:42:00,039 --> 00:42:02,480
I may add an additional NBA play after the show

903
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:04,239
is over, but I wanted to lock in for the

904
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:06,840
one in early start actors, So again, check out the

905
00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:10,000
homepage WT dot buzz, backslash TC and thank you so

906
00:42:10,159 --> 00:42:11,639
much for taking time out of your day to hang

907
00:42:11,679 --> 00:42:14,000
out with Kelly and I right here on Monday morning.

908
00:42:14,119 --> 00:42:14,800
We appreciate it.

909
00:42:15,639 --> 00:42:18,519
Speaker 1: I know I'm running along, but it's my host chair,

910
00:42:18,559 --> 00:42:20,320
so I'm going to ask the questions I want to ask,

911
00:42:20,679 --> 00:42:22,840
and I want to know why the Denver Broncos are

912
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:25,000
three and a half point underdogs here at home, Daddy.

913
00:42:25,079 --> 00:42:27,159
This is one of the best teams we've seen out

914
00:42:27,199 --> 00:42:30,119
of Denver in a very long time, but Kansas City

915
00:42:30,199 --> 00:42:33,559
continues to be power rated at such a high level.

916
00:42:34,039 --> 00:42:37,440
Speaker 2: Well, let's talk about it. Look aheadline chiefs minus three

917
00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:41,920
forty five and a half. My powering numbers chiefs minus

918
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:44,960
two and a half. So my powering number agrees with

919
00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:48,000
your assessment. Markets open Casey minus four three and a

920
00:42:48,039 --> 00:42:50,719
half last night as well, total forty four and a half,

921
00:42:51,119 --> 00:42:53,440
and the three and a half have mostly been bought up.

922
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:57,800
Now it's Casey minus four, So it's certainly worth noting

923
00:42:58,559 --> 00:43:01,320
Andy Reid off all lost to the Bills and a

924
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:05,559
bye week. If the season ended today, Kansas City loses

925
00:43:05,599 --> 00:43:08,480
the tiebreaker to Jacksonville, the number seven seed, and they

926
00:43:08,519 --> 00:43:12,599
don't make the playoffs. So this urgency for Kansas City

927
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:16,840
right now. And Andy Reid twenty two and four off

928
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:19,480
a bye week, thirteen and one at Philadelphia nine to

929
00:43:19,559 --> 00:43:22,440
three in Kansas City. But I believe he's the most

930
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:26,719
successful coach in NFL history off of bye so that's

931
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:30,199
certainly factored into this number. And the markets are not

932
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:34,480
respecting Denver all right. They've won five times this season

933
00:43:34,519 --> 00:43:37,039
when they've lost a turner of battle. They're eight and

934
00:43:37,159 --> 00:43:39,239
two this year, but they've trailed in all but one games,

935
00:43:40,079 --> 00:43:41,840
all right, they were able to win the game last

936
00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:44,880
week they had more penalties eleven than first downs. They

937
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:47,719
had seven to three and outs in thirteen possessions. But

938
00:43:49,000 --> 00:43:51,119
people are forgetting the Denver defense man. That defense didn't

939
00:43:51,119 --> 00:43:53,679
allow a first down for seven straight Raiders possessions. Keep

940
00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:55,880
up with a turner, round downs and interception, a block punt,

941
00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,519
you know, bo Nicks, we gotta do better at some

942
00:43:59,639 --> 00:44:02,119
points ain't gonna be enough. We got to score more.

943
00:44:02,119 --> 00:44:05,119
We got to find some juice somewhere. And that concern

944
00:44:05,639 --> 00:44:10,519
about Denver statistical profile is absolutely the reason and the

945
00:44:10,599 --> 00:44:12,840
situation here for Kansas City is why we're seeing FoST

946
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:14,360
for this game, not three, it's not two and a half,

947
00:44:14,599 --> 00:44:17,000
and why my powering number feels short. But there are

948
00:44:17,039 --> 00:44:20,400
two schools of thought, you know. The other school of

949
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:22,440
thought here also is Denver. You know, what are they

950
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:24,119
won eight straight in a row or no, they won

951
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:26,320
They're eight and two, the only team sit at eight

952
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:29,000
and two going to the game, the longest winning streak

953
00:44:29,039 --> 00:44:31,320
in a decade. They've won ten in a row at home.

954
00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:34,159
And then certainly a school of thought out there that, yeah,

955
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:36,119
you know, this team's not gonna win every game forever.

956
00:44:37,039 --> 00:44:39,760
Casey certainly a step up in class. Casey, hungry and

957
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:42,360
focused Broncos are not in my short list this week.

958
00:44:43,159 --> 00:44:45,800
Speaker 3: Alright, a game that I'm very excited for next Sunday.

959
00:44:46,159 --> 00:44:48,800
Speaker 1: We've got the Lions taken on the Philadelphia Eagles, but

960
00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:51,320
they got to get past the Packers tonight.

961
00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:53,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, the Eagles wi play the Lions, whether they

962
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:56,480
get past the Packers or not, I'm pretty sure I hope.

963
00:44:56,519 --> 00:44:59,320
So minus one and a half forty eight and a

964
00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:01,760
half was look my powering number, minus one and a half.

965
00:45:02,079 --> 00:45:03,960
The markets open one and a half and forty nine

966
00:45:04,079 --> 00:45:05,840
last night and we're seeing one and a half and

967
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:07,639
forty nine this morning. This line's not gonna move at

968
00:45:07,639 --> 00:45:10,840
all until we see what happens on Monday Night football.

969
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,000
A Philly will be six and three off a loss,

970
00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:15,320
seven to two off a win. That's for the Lions.

971
00:45:15,880 --> 00:45:21,199
You know, we saw Jared Goff three and twenty passing yard,

972
00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:23,800
three touchdowns, no picks. They toured in twenty six rushing

973
00:45:23,840 --> 00:45:25,920
yards to six point eight yards per carry. They didn't

974
00:45:25,920 --> 00:45:27,760
forget the playoff loss. They were didn't play for revenge

975
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:30,239
to Washington. They bit some knee caps again, eight point

976
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:31,800
eight yards per play when the offense was on the

977
00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:35,280
phone that started on the field forty four points. Dan

978
00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:38,679
Campbell relieved offensive play calling duties from the offing corneer

979
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:41,559
John Morton, and Campbell called the great game yesterday. But

980
00:45:42,079 --> 00:45:44,239
this line is only gonna move based on what we

981
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:47,880
see tonight. When how Philadelphia looks, they look good, we'll

982
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:50,920
see Eagles money. They look bad, We'll see Lions money.

983
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:54,119
Speaker 3: Yeah. I may be putting the Lions in a few teasers.

984
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:55,559
Totals a little high for me though.

985
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,400
Speaker 1: Monday Night football, Teddy, and we're gonna take us home

986
00:45:58,519 --> 00:46:03,559
into Wader Talk today with Andy Lang up next the Raiders,

987
00:46:03,639 --> 00:46:06,079
just that team I can continue not to want to

988
00:46:06,159 --> 00:46:08,440
back here your thoughts on Monday night football.

989
00:46:08,800 --> 00:46:10,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, just real quick, I want to thank all you

990
00:46:10,599 --> 00:46:12,599
guys for watching. If you like this type of analysis,

991
00:46:12,920 --> 00:46:15,679
just hit thatight button. We really appreciate it. Follow us.

992
00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:18,719
You know, if you haven't subscribed, subscribe right now. Wait

993
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:20,719
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994
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:23,320
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995
00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:25,639
videos go live. We're putting out a shit ton of

996
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:28,800
free content, of good free content, every single day, So

997
00:46:29,079 --> 00:46:31,239
like comment, subscribe, We appreciate it. Check out my homepage

998
00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:36,639
w dot buzz backslash tc look headline for Dallas and

999
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:39,800
the Las Vegas rate the Cowboys three and a half

1000
00:46:39,840 --> 00:46:42,079
point favorites total of fifty and a half. My powery

1001
00:46:42,159 --> 00:46:45,880
number came Dallas minus four for this ball game. Markets

1002
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,639
opened three and a half three slash three and a

1003
00:46:48,639 --> 00:46:51,280
half last night and we don't have not see any

1004
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:53,320
threes out there now. I'm not seeing many threes out

1005
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:56,039
there right now, mostly three and a half's this morning,

1006
00:46:56,400 --> 00:47:00,440
total sitting at fifty slash fifty and a half. I

1007
00:47:00,440 --> 00:47:02,559
would not be surprised to see some under money come in,

1008
00:47:02,639 --> 00:47:04,400
but I haven't seen any signs of it yet, so

1009
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:07,199
I'm not gonna emergency betting alert this. But I mean

1010
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:09,679
the Cowboys. You know, when you pick up Quinn Williams,

1011
00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:12,840
that makes a difference on your defense. It should. They

1012
00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:15,039
rank thirty first in the NFL and yards end points

1013
00:47:15,079 --> 00:47:17,400
per game in theory off of buy that defense should

1014
00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:19,760
be a little bit better after what happened against Arizona

1015
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:22,880
and the previous game they got lit up as well.

1016
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:25,360
They'll have as many fans at Allegian as the Raiders will,

1017
00:47:25,440 --> 00:47:28,880
maybe more. You know, three to five and one team

1018
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:32,000
was a buyer at the trade deadline, which you know

1019
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,199
tells us they're not throwing the towel in on their season.

1020
00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:36,639
As for the Raiders, I mean, everything's gone wrong for

1021
00:47:36,679 --> 00:47:38,519
the Raiders this year. You know, found another way to

1022
00:47:38,559 --> 00:47:40,880
lose a game that they could have won Gino Smith

1023
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:42,800
because he used to be pretty often. They've been held

1024
00:47:42,960 --> 00:47:45,599
under ten points four times this season. They've been held

1025
00:47:45,639 --> 00:47:47,679
a fewer than thirty points and twenty nine sigular games.

1026
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:50,880
Let's call it how it is. Chip Kelly's offense has

1027
00:47:50,960 --> 00:47:53,760
been an absolute disaster at all. They've just filed a

1028
00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:57,800
special team coordinator after Carson missed a field goal that

1029
00:47:57,920 --> 00:47:59,440
they you know, that would have tied the game and

1030
00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:01,800
they never got the ball back after that. And Carlson

1031
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:03,559
had a field goal attempt blocked that would have won

1032
00:48:03,599 --> 00:48:05,559
a game against the Bears, and he had an extra

1033
00:48:05,679 --> 00:48:09,480
point that got missed in the one point loss against Jacksonville.

1034
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:13,639
You know, so it's a Raiders team. It's hard to

1035
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:16,599
like anything that's that's going on with the Raiders right now.

1036
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:19,800
I'm surprised a little bit the Marcus haven't crashed on

1037
00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:21,679
them more. But it's not like the marks are excited

1038
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:24,719
about the three five and one Cowboys right here coming

1039
00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:29,519
off their own national TV debacle. That being said, Raiders

1040
00:48:29,559 --> 00:48:31,519
ain't taking money. Cowboys the only team has a chance

1041
00:48:31,519 --> 00:48:33,760
state money. If you like Dallas again, you can find

1042
00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:36,119
a minus three right now. I'm not convinced that'll be

1043
00:48:36,159 --> 00:48:38,320
available for much longer. There's not enough of them out

1044
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:40,519
there for me to say run and hurry because there's

1045
00:48:40,599 --> 00:48:41,920
you know, there's one or two books that have the

1046
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:44,800
minus threes. Everyone else already at minus three and a half.

1047
00:48:45,519 --> 00:48:47,559
Speaker 1: All right, Thank you to Teddy Covers for all of

1048
00:48:47,639 --> 00:48:51,079
his insight in to NFL Week eleven.

1049
00:48:51,199 --> 00:48:51,599
Speaker 3: We made it.

1050
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:54,440
Speaker 1: See you guys again here next week opening line report.

1051
00:48:54,599 --> 00:48:57,880
No palm tree behind me then, apologies again. Shout out

1052
00:48:57,880 --> 00:49:00,519
to all of you guys, including our wager Talk insiders.

1053
00:49:01,039 --> 00:49:03,679
Speaker 3: We got wager Talk today with Andy Lange up next