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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,

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we always start the show by being transparent. Yesterday the

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best bet for the show one and other than that.

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Two losses in a push, so it wasn't.

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Speaker 1: A good day.

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Speaker 2: And man, everything that could go wrong for real, and

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that Dream game went wrong, you know. I mean, we

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won our team total over, but Canada gets rolled out

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last minute, Grinder gets ejected at Leasta Gray five thousand.

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Speaker 1: It's just like, damn, man, I gotta fight.

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Speaker 2: I'm fighting too hard to try to get this one,

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and at least I got the team total.

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Speaker 1: I'll say that. But not a good day yesterday for myself.

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Hopefully yesterday was better for you.

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Speaker 3: You know, yesterday was fantastic. It was five and zero.

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We had a couple of games where we played two

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different bets and the Dream Wings game was one of them.

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I was with you on the Dream team total, but

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I had the full game total in that game, so

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it worked out. We had Indiana Phoenix full game over

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that worked, Minnesota Link's first half team total over forty

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four and a half that worked, and I believe the

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fifth one trying to look here to see exactly what

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it was. It was, Oh the dream, Yeah, man, I

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was in that dream game three times last night, and

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they all worked out ski dream first half total over

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forty two and a half, dream full game total over

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eighty five, and in full game total over one sixty

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seven and a half. So the points came in all

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three of those games. I mean there was every form

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of over that you could bet last night probably got

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there for you because those were so high scoring games.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you like overs. You definitely made some money last night,

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that is for sure. We have one game, only one

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to talk about here today, so let's go ahead and

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knock it out. And that looks like Valkyries and Mysticks

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opened up.

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Speaker 1: This is not correct.

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Speaker 2: I mean maybe it opened up. I'm not sure where

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it's pulling this opening number from.

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Speaker 1: Oh you know what, my bad, that's my mistake.

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Speaker 2: It did open three and a half, and then it

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went down and then it came back up.

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Speaker 1: That's what happened.

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Speaker 2: So open three and a half went down as low

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as one. Now it's back up to four and a

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half or four depending where you shot total, And this

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is one two. The opener says one fifty three, but

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I'm pretty sure I saw a little bit higher than that,

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So right now we're sitting at one fifty five or

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one fifty four and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry.

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Speaker 2: As far as an injury report for Golden State, no

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more Billings. Marias c always out. Xandalasini is listed as

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questionable with the foot injury. For the Mystics, they'll be

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without e Lea Edwards once again. This is the front

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end of a back to back for the Valkyries. I

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forget who they play tomorrow, but they do play tomorrow

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and man Veno, it's Valkyrie's team. They've been on the

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road every single game since.

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Speaker 1: The All Star break.

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Speaker 2: On the flip side, Mystics have been at home every

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single game, I believe. Yeah, the Mystics have two days

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off after this, so you know, I do think it's

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a spot where they can empty the tank. Last time

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these teams played, it was earlier in the season, but

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Mystics did lose outright now, you know, maybe what I

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was at Lassini without Mobilions, without Kayla Thornton over there,

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Maybe Mystics get a little bit of revenge here.

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Speaker 1: Raveno, how are you looking at it?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? And it's important Ski because these two teams are

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battling for the last playoff spot and they're only separated

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by half a game. Wash it's thirteen thirteen, Golden State

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twelve and thirteen. They won't play again this year, and Washington,

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as you mentioned, lost the first time around, so if

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Golden State can get this, they would have the head

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to head tiebreaker, winning both times. For Washington, it's important

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that they even this up at one one and go

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to the further tiebreaker, but even more important is that

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it would give them a little more space between themselves

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and Golden State. They'd be up a game and a half,

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so everything to play for for both sides and Washington.

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As I was doing some research this morning, remember that

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they barely missed the playoffs last year, so they would

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love to get back in this year. But Golden State,

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first year team would love to get into. So I

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think there's big implications for this one. Don't like the

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injury situation for Golden State at all. I think some

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of that some of that return to Washington money after

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it had gone down originally. I think that's due to

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Mo Billings. She played the other night and that was

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ruled out again with the ankles. So we'll see how

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that works out. Xander Lassini hit the game winner the

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other night. She's important to this squad as well. We'll

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see if she can go. So those injury situations on

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Golden State aren't helpful. They did get the wind force

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the other night in Atlanta. I looked at the immediate

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go to with Golden State, which is first half, and

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we talked about first half on the road the other night.

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First half isn't a way dog the other night during

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the same situation as they were against Atlanta, and they

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won to increase themselves. I think the seven to two

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and two in that particular role. But Washington SKI, which

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was a lousy first half team to start the year.

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We talked about it a lot here on the show.

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Three eleven and two first half their first sixteen games.

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But since then they're eight and four first half and

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they've covered three straight here at home in the first half.

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So Washington's kind of turned a corner where you can't

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just fade them automatically first half here anymore. The two

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teams are so similar in what they like to do.

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Other than the three point shooting. Golden State wants to launch,

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Washington's more of it inside the arc team. I think

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Washington's got a couple advantages here that suggest they're the

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right side. I just don't know that I want to

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lay four and a half with them. Golden State can

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buckle down on defense. Washington comes off a game where

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they played Chicago. It's nice to score one hundred and three,

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but when you score them against Chicago, it's not the

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same defense as Golden State. I didn't play it. If

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I had to, I would either look under the one

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fifty seven and a half or you know, it's one

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fifty four and a half, excuse me, Or I would

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look towards the Washington side in some form. But like

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I said, I'm just so leary of their offense winning

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this one by margin five points. Kind of scary.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I can understand, I can understand. I just I

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think it's a really bad spot for Golden State. Maybe

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maybe Golden State teen total under. I mean they've struggled

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to score a little bit later. They discorsed seventy seven

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nine game sixty four before that.

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Speaker 1: I mean they've been they've been a little up and down.

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Speaker 2: It is a low total for the team total at

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seventy five or seventy five and a half. You know,

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I just think Washington they're playing a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Slower related to me.

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Speaker 2: Actually, just pull up the numbers so I could be

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specific Well, Valkyrie's playing at the slowest pace in the

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league last five games.

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Speaker 1: Mystics actually middle of the pack.

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Speaker 2: Both teams top five defensive rated teams in that same span,

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bottom five offensive rated teams. I mean, it does seem like,

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especially with the situation as far as, like, you know,

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battling for that playoff spot. Yeah, I could, I could

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see it being under I want to pull this up.

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Speaker 1: Just looking at it, see if we can get this

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up here.

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Speaker 2: Before I pull it up, Veno, when you think of

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the Mystics, do you think of them more as an

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offensive team or defensive team, or high scoring team, low

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scoring team, however you want to look at it.

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Speaker 3: Wow, I think of them. Here's how I think of them.

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I think of them as a bully type team. If

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they're playing a bad defense, they're going to score. If

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they're playing a good defense, they don't score. So I

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guess I'm saying they're the kind of middle of the road,

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and if I had to lean towards what they're anchored in,

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I feel like they're anchored a little more in defense

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than offense, but as we saw the other night, there's

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times where they are capable.

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Speaker 2: And I mean I would consider go to State one

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of those better defenses in the league.

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Speaker 1: Not an bottom feeder for sure. Here we go. I mean,

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this is just a team looking at the team this season.

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Speaker 2: The only game that and I can just say, you

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can see I'll put after the game number two because

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you know, just taking away, like the only game that

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went over in this situation was the second game of

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the season versus the son But mystics after they win,

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after they score more than eighty points, like we don't

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think of them as that big offensive team, a little

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bit of an offensive decline. I guess in that next

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game they're gonna win. They gotta win by playing defense

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six and one to the under six and zero. After

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that second game of the season, and none of these games,

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I mean trying to do some quick math here, none

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of them surpassing one fifty. I just thought that's pretty interesting.

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We're looking at it one fifty four and a half

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here today.

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Speaker 1: Any thoughts on this, you know.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it makes perfect sense. Like I say, if I

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were to lean a couple of ways I leaned was

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towards the under and maybe towards Washington, just just a

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little bit afraid of them scoring. But none of those

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examples that you pull up right there are well, I

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guess the closest one is within five points of tonight's totals.

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So with the playoff type atmosphere that I'm thinking it

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will be, it just seems to feel like more of

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an under. And I'll add one last thing here. Golden

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eight does love to shoot the threes, but man, we've

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seen them by nights where they just don't make anything,

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so they're very susceptible to unders. Golden State is good

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defense hit or miss three point shooting, especially if zandal

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Assini doesn't play. You're already without Kyler Thornton for the

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rest of the year, so I could understand under for sure.

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Speaker 1: In this case.

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Speaker 2: All right, that looks that looks pretty appealing right there.

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Mark says he wish he called under one fifty eight.

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And you know, I'm gonna do a little bit of

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venting here, all right, Okay, Vegas, it's like Vegas sucks now,

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bro Vegas sucks for betting.

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Speaker 1: Like they put the numbers out on the East.

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Speaker 2: We don't have DraftKings, we don't have FanDuel, we don't

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have these other books. Those numbers are getting put out

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way earlier than anything we get over here. And they

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might have had a one fifty eight. We never saw

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one fifty eight on the West coast. Oh, the first

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number I saw pop up was either one fifty four

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and a half or one fifty five.

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Speaker 1: And I just think that shit is so annoying Vegas.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Vegas doesn't want you to win, for one,

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but I just want to have an equal opportunity.

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Speaker 1: It's kind of what I'm trying to say. So I

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don't know.

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Speaker 2: Maybe I might have to move over there, to the

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East coast or to robb you know, or something.

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Speaker 3: It is true. The Draft Kings of the world, the

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fan duels of the world, they get them up really quick.

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Generally Draft Kings is the first number posted. Bed Online's

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pretty quick too. But you're right, Ski, with the limited

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resources that you have there, basically your pinned to the

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Las Vegas Casino sports books, it probably does rob you

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of early numbers in a lot of cases where you'd

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like to get in. Mark saying one fifty eight to

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open with, I think we all wish we could have

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it had jumped at I mean I had access to it,

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but I mean I should have jumped at that point

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in time. So yeah, these WNBA numbers, they fly right.

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It doesn't take that much to move them. Some people

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are quicker to the injury stuff. Yesterday you brought up

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a great example, and I'm just I don't want to

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ramble on here because we only had one game. But

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real quick, the Jordan Canada situation, nobody had a clue

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about bro nobody, But yet the Atlanta the number kept

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going down, down, down all the way to two and

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a half from five and a half. I wonder why

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does it keep going down? Somebody knew something somewhere, but

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the rest of us we had no clue. She wasn't

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going to play. Popow did a good job in her place.

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So hey, WNB is not the easiest. Let's put it

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that way.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna do a little tiny bit more expanding on

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his venting.

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Speaker 1: How about that, let's do it.

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Speaker 3: I'm here for you. I'm here for you.

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Speaker 1: Go ahead in the chat. I feel like WNBA has

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turned into the NBA.

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Speaker 2: Were like, I mean, we have the injury report stuff obviously, right,

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but like, for example this, I mean, we all know,

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when the whole world is on one bed in the NBA,

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we see some some some stuff like this at the

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end or I don't know however you may call it.

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Speaker 1: But Mark says, how about.

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Speaker 2: The n scus of the world's corn meaningless two points

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to screw the Lynks cover. I mean it felt like

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the whole end of that game they were trying to

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get a liberty cover. Is what I felt like there.

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I don't know, I just don't like it. I don't

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like it. W NBA didn't always feel this way, but

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it is what it is. That's where we're at right now.

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Speaker 3: On a one game Thursday, we can have open venting,

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good job Mark getting yours in as well, while Sky

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was venting. Yeah it is. It's I don't know, I

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don't know. Maybe the popularity has forced a little bit of.

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Speaker 1: You know, all right, last I promise, last, last, last one.

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Speaker 3: Let's go the player.

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Speaker 2: It's the same thing, but the player props like whatever

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player prop is the most popular. It's like the players

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don't even try. That night, uh Rakia the other night,

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she was just like sitting in the corner when everybody

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bet her Sparks score one hundred points. She scores four.

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Kelsey Mitchell starts the game off. Everybody bet her. She

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just standing off to the side, not really even looking

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at her trying to score. I don't know, man, we

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got We're gonna start checking these WNBA players accounts, like

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we checked the men's. Might have some Johntay porters over

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there in the WNBA that way.

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Speaker 3: See, now you're sparking things in my mind. Ari McDonald

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and her four and a half assists number, uh huh.

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They scored one hundred and seven points last night, and

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she gets four assists, just misses by half assist. They

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scored one hundred and seven. I know she had twenty

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seven herself, but they scored one hundred and seven and

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the point guard can't get five assists. It's crazy.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm a that's enough venting for today. We'll show.

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Speaker 1: We'll shut that down. We'll move over the best bets.

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I don't have any.

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Speaker 2: Graphics as far as promos are concerned, so I'll just

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ask you, Robio, if there's anything you would like to promote,

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and if you have a best bet for the show.

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Speaker 1: We would love to hear.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll just say real quick again like I did

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yesterday skime. For those that do bet preseason football wager talk,

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I think it's expiring soon, maybe today, maybe tomorrow. But

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they do have a special preseason the four Weeks three

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Weeks of Action, which begins tonight with the Hall of

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Fame games. For interested in preseason football, go over to

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wagertalk dot com and pick that up. Yeah, best betski.

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I'm not gonna leave one. I will say this. I'll

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leave you with something. I do think the way we

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talked out that under it seems to be a pretty

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solid play. I'm thinking in my head here, I was

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doing the math while you were putting up the graphic,

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and if the winning team gets to seventy seven in

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this case, the game stays under. And I don't know

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that the winning team is going to find their way

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to eighty, So it puts you in a pretty good

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position mathematics. They just stay under this total of one

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fifty four and a half. Be sure to shop it, guys.

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You know, all the time we're just sitting there venting

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about a half a point in and a system total.

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But the halves mean the world sometimes, so I would

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say lean that way. But it's not the best bet.

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The Golden State Washington under and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll rock with Robno on that.

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Speaker 2: I think, you know with the how do I say

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the jockey for playoff position, just how these two teams

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play in general, like they're more defensive, identity teams and mistakes.

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Coming off of that one hundred and something point game,

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I think they come back down to earth. I think

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they got to win this game with defense. So under

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one fifty four and a half I think is a

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solid bet for the night. I'll use it as the

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best bet for the show as well. All Right, good stuff,

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you know, I always enjoy breaking down the games with you.

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We do a little bit of venting a little bit

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of whatever we like to do over here. It's always

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always good time, win the chat, enjoy you, Appreciate you

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as well. You guys bring good how do I say?

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You guys bring good energy, good insight, all of those

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good things. So always gonna let you know you're appreciated.

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Twitch x, YouTube, Shorts, Kick, Spotify, Apple, you guys know

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we love you over there too.

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Speaker 1: We'll be back tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: Within the full slate looks like five games we have

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to talk about and we'll be here ten thirty am

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Pacific Standard time, so good luck on all your action

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tonight and we will catch you all then