Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody?
Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you are new,
we always start the show by being transparent. Yesterday the
best bet for the show one and other than that.
Two losses in a push, so it wasn't.
Speaker 1: A good day.
Speaker 2: And man, everything that could go wrong for real, and
that Dream game went wrong, you know. I mean, we
won our team total over, but Canada gets rolled out
last minute, Grinder gets ejected at Leasta Gray five thousand.
Speaker 1: It's just like, damn, man, I gotta fight.
Speaker 2: I'm fighting too hard to try to get this one,
and at least I got the team total.
Speaker 1: I'll say that. But not a good day yesterday for myself.
Hopefully yesterday was better for you.
Speaker 3: You know, yesterday was fantastic. It was five and zero.
We had a couple of games where we played two
different bets and the Dream Wings game was one of them.
I was with you on the Dream team total, but
I had the full game total in that game, so
it worked out. We had Indiana Phoenix full game over
that worked, Minnesota Link's first half team total over forty
four and a half that worked, and I believe the
fifth one trying to look here to see exactly what
it was. It was, Oh the dream, Yeah, man, I
was in that dream game three times last night, and
they all worked out ski dream first half total over
forty two and a half, dream full game total over
eighty five, and in full game total over one sixty
seven and a half. So the points came in all
three of those games. I mean there was every form
of over that you could bet last night probably got
there for you because those were so high scoring games.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you like overs. You definitely made some money last night,
that is for sure. We have one game, only one
to talk about here today, so let's go ahead and
knock it out. And that looks like Valkyries and Mysticks
opened up.
Speaker 1: This is not correct.
Speaker 2: I mean maybe it opened up. I'm not sure where
it's pulling this opening number from.
Speaker 1: Oh you know what, my bad, that's my mistake.
Speaker 2: It did open three and a half, and then it
went down and then it came back up.
Speaker 1: That's what happened.
Speaker 2: So open three and a half went down as low
as one. Now it's back up to four and a
half or four depending where you shot total, And this
is one two. The opener says one fifty three, but
I'm pretty sure I saw a little bit higher than that,
So right now we're sitting at one fifty five or
one fifty four and a half.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry.
Speaker 2: As far as an injury report for Golden State, no
more Billings. Marias c always out. Xandalasini is listed as
questionable with the foot injury. For the Mystics, they'll be
without e Lea Edwards once again. This is the front
end of a back to back for the Valkyries. I
forget who they play tomorrow, but they do play tomorrow
and man Veno, it's Valkyrie's team. They've been on the
road every single game since.
Speaker 1: The All Star break.
Speaker 2: On the flip side, Mystics have been at home every
single game, I believe. Yeah, the Mystics have two days
off after this, so you know, I do think it's
a spot where they can empty the tank. Last time
these teams played, it was earlier in the season, but
Mystics did lose outright now, you know, maybe what I
was at Lassini without Mobilions, without Kayla Thornton over there,
Maybe Mystics get a little bit of revenge here.
Speaker 1: Raveno, how are you looking at it?
Speaker 3: Yeah? And it's important Ski because these two teams are
battling for the last playoff spot and they're only separated
by half a game. Wash it's thirteen thirteen, Golden State
twelve and thirteen. They won't play again this year, and Washington,
as you mentioned, lost the first time around, so if
Golden State can get this, they would have the head
to head tiebreaker, winning both times. For Washington, it's important
that they even this up at one one and go
to the further tiebreaker, but even more important is that
it would give them a little more space between themselves
and Golden State. They'd be up a game and a half,
so everything to play for for both sides and Washington.
As I was doing some research this morning, remember that
they barely missed the playoffs last year, so they would
love to get back in this year. But Golden State,
first year team would love to get into. So I
think there's big implications for this one. Don't like the
injury situation for Golden State at all. I think some
of that some of that return to Washington money after
it had gone down originally. I think that's due to
Mo Billings. She played the other night and that was
ruled out again with the ankles. So we'll see how
that works out. Xander Lassini hit the game winner the
other night. She's important to this squad as well. We'll
see if she can go. So those injury situations on
Golden State aren't helpful. They did get the wind force
the other night in Atlanta. I looked at the immediate
go to with Golden State, which is first half, and
we talked about first half on the road the other night.
First half isn't a way dog the other night during
the same situation as they were against Atlanta, and they
won to increase themselves. I think the seven to two
and two in that particular role. But Washington SKI, which
was a lousy first half team to start the year.
We talked about it a lot here on the show.
Three eleven and two first half their first sixteen games.
But since then they're eight and four first half and
they've covered three straight here at home in the first half.
So Washington's kind of turned a corner where you can't
just fade them automatically first half here anymore. The two
teams are so similar in what they like to do.
Other than the three point shooting. Golden State wants to launch,
Washington's more of it inside the arc team. I think
Washington's got a couple advantages here that suggest they're the
right side. I just don't know that I want to
lay four and a half with them. Golden State can
buckle down on defense. Washington comes off a game where
they played Chicago. It's nice to score one hundred and three,
but when you score them against Chicago, it's not the
same defense as Golden State. I didn't play it. If
I had to, I would either look under the one
fifty seven and a half or you know, it's one
fifty four and a half, excuse me, Or I would
look towards the Washington side in some form. But like
I said, I'm just so leary of their offense winning
this one by margin five points. Kind of scary.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can understand, I can understand. I just I
think it's a really bad spot for Golden State. Maybe
maybe Golden State teen total under. I mean they've struggled
to score a little bit later. They discorsed seventy seven
nine game sixty four before that.
Speaker 1: I mean they've been they've been a little up and down.
Speaker 2: It is a low total for the team total at
seventy five or seventy five and a half. You know,
I just think Washington they're playing a little bit.
Speaker 1: Slower related to me.
Speaker 2: Actually, just pull up the numbers so I could be
specific Well, Valkyrie's playing at the slowest pace in the
league last five games.
Speaker 1: Mystics actually middle of the pack.
Speaker 2: Both teams top five defensive rated teams in that same span,
bottom five offensive rated teams. I mean, it does seem like,
especially with the situation as far as, like, you know,
battling for that playoff spot. Yeah, I could, I could
see it being under I want to pull this up.
Speaker 1: Just looking at it, see if we can get this
up here.
Speaker 2: Before I pull it up, Veno, when you think of
the Mystics, do you think of them more as an
offensive team or defensive team, or high scoring team, low
scoring team, however you want to look at it.
Speaker 3: Wow, I think of them. Here's how I think of them.
I think of them as a bully type team. If
they're playing a bad defense, they're going to score. If
they're playing a good defense, they don't score. So I
guess I'm saying they're the kind of middle of the road,
and if I had to lean towards what they're anchored in,
I feel like they're anchored a little more in defense
than offense, but as we saw the other night, there's
times where they are capable.
Speaker 2: And I mean I would consider go to State one
of those better defenses in the league.
Speaker 1: Not an bottom feeder for sure. Here we go. I mean,
this is just a team looking at the team this season.
Speaker 2: The only game that and I can just say, you
can see I'll put after the game number two because
you know, just taking away, like the only game that
went over in this situation was the second game of
the season versus the son But mystics after they win,
after they score more than eighty points, like we don't
think of them as that big offensive team, a little
bit of an offensive decline. I guess in that next
game they're gonna win. They gotta win by playing defense
six and one to the under six and zero. After
that second game of the season, and none of these games,
I mean trying to do some quick math here, none
of them surpassing one fifty. I just thought that's pretty interesting.
We're looking at it one fifty four and a half
here today.
Speaker 1: Any thoughts on this, you know.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it makes perfect sense. Like I say, if I
were to lean a couple of ways I leaned was
towards the under and maybe towards Washington, just just a
little bit afraid of them scoring. But none of those
examples that you pull up right there are well, I
guess the closest one is within five points of tonight's totals.
So with the playoff type atmosphere that I'm thinking it
will be, it just seems to feel like more of
an under. And I'll add one last thing here. Golden
eight does love to shoot the threes, but man, we've
seen them by nights where they just don't make anything,
so they're very susceptible to unders. Golden State is good
defense hit or miss three point shooting, especially if zandal
Assini doesn't play. You're already without Kyler Thornton for the
rest of the year, so I could understand under for sure.
Speaker 1: In this case.
Speaker 2: All right, that looks that looks pretty appealing right there.
Mark says he wish he called under one fifty eight.
And you know, I'm gonna do a little bit of
venting here, all right, Okay, Vegas, it's like Vegas sucks now,
bro Vegas sucks for betting.
Speaker 1: Like they put the numbers out on the East.
Speaker 2: We don't have DraftKings, we don't have FanDuel, we don't
have these other books. Those numbers are getting put out
way earlier than anything we get over here. And they
might have had a one fifty eight. We never saw
one fifty eight on the West coast. Oh, the first
number I saw pop up was either one fifty four
and a half or one fifty five.
Speaker 1: And I just think that shit is so annoying Vegas.
Speaker 2: I mean, Vegas doesn't want you to win, for one,
but I just want to have an equal opportunity.
Speaker 1: It's kind of what I'm trying to say. So I
don't know.
Speaker 2: Maybe I might have to move over there, to the
East coast or to robb you know, or something.
Speaker 3: It is true. The Draft Kings of the world, the
fan duels of the world, they get them up really quick.
Generally Draft Kings is the first number posted. Bed Online's
pretty quick too. But you're right, Ski, with the limited
resources that you have there, basically your pinned to the
Las Vegas Casino sports books, it probably does rob you
of early numbers in a lot of cases where you'd
like to get in. Mark saying one fifty eight to
open with, I think we all wish we could have
it had jumped at I mean I had access to it,
but I mean I should have jumped at that point
in time. So yeah, these WNBA numbers, they fly right.
It doesn't take that much to move them. Some people
are quicker to the injury stuff. Yesterday you brought up
a great example, and I'm just I don't want to
ramble on here because we only had one game. But
real quick, the Jordan Canada situation, nobody had a clue
about bro nobody, But yet the Atlanta the number kept
going down, down, down all the way to two and
a half from five and a half. I wonder why
does it keep going down? Somebody knew something somewhere, but
the rest of us we had no clue. She wasn't
going to play. Popow did a good job in her place.
So hey, WNB is not the easiest. Let's put it
that way.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna do a little tiny bit more expanding on
his venting.
Speaker 1: How about that, let's do it.
Speaker 3: I'm here for you. I'm here for you.
Speaker 1: Go ahead in the chat. I feel like WNBA has
turned into the NBA.
Speaker 2: Were like, I mean, we have the injury report stuff obviously, right,
but like, for example this, I mean, we all know,
when the whole world is on one bed in the NBA,
we see some some some stuff like this at the
end or I don't know however you may call it.
Speaker 1: But Mark says, how about.
Speaker 2: The n scus of the world's corn meaningless two points
to screw the Lynks cover. I mean it felt like
the whole end of that game they were trying to
get a liberty cover. Is what I felt like there.
I don't know, I just don't like it. I don't
like it. W NBA didn't always feel this way, but
it is what it is. That's where we're at right now.
Speaker 3: On a one game Thursday, we can have open venting,
good job Mark getting yours in as well, while Sky
was venting. Yeah it is. It's I don't know, I
don't know. Maybe the popularity has forced a little bit of.
Speaker 1: You know, all right, last I promise, last, last, last one.
Speaker 3: Let's go the player.
Speaker 2: It's the same thing, but the player props like whatever
player prop is the most popular. It's like the players
don't even try. That night, uh Rakia the other night,
she was just like sitting in the corner when everybody
bet her Sparks score one hundred points. She scores four.
Kelsey Mitchell starts the game off. Everybody bet her. She
just standing off to the side, not really even looking
at her trying to score. I don't know, man, we
got We're gonna start checking these WNBA players accounts, like
we checked the men's. Might have some Johntay porters over
there in the WNBA that way.
Speaker 3: See, now you're sparking things in my mind. Ari McDonald
and her four and a half assists number, uh huh.
They scored one hundred and seven points last night, and
she gets four assists, just misses by half assist. They
scored one hundred and seven. I know she had twenty
seven herself, but they scored one hundred and seven and
the point guard can't get five assists. It's crazy.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm a that's enough venting for today. We'll show.
Speaker 1: We'll shut that down. We'll move over the best bets.
I don't have any.
Speaker 2: Graphics as far as promos are concerned, so I'll just
ask you, Robio, if there's anything you would like to promote,
and if you have a best bet for the show.
Speaker 1: We would love to hear.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll just say real quick again like I did
yesterday skime. For those that do bet preseason football wager talk,
I think it's expiring soon, maybe today, maybe tomorrow. But
they do have a special preseason the four Weeks three
Weeks of Action, which begins tonight with the Hall of
Fame games. For interested in preseason football, go over to
wagertalk dot com and pick that up. Yeah, best betski.
I'm not gonna leave one. I will say this. I'll
leave you with something. I do think the way we
talked out that under it seems to be a pretty
solid play. I'm thinking in my head here, I was
doing the math while you were putting up the graphic,
and if the winning team gets to seventy seven in
this case, the game stays under. And I don't know
that the winning team is going to find their way
to eighty, So it puts you in a pretty good
position mathematics. They just stay under this total of one
fifty four and a half. Be sure to shop it, guys.
You know, all the time we're just sitting there venting
about a half a point in and a system total.
But the halves mean the world sometimes, so I would
say lean that way. But it's not the best bet.
The Golden State Washington under and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll rock with Robno on that.
Speaker 2: I think, you know with the how do I say
the jockey for playoff position, just how these two teams
play in general, like they're more defensive, identity teams and mistakes.
Coming off of that one hundred and something point game,
I think they come back down to earth. I think
they got to win this game with defense. So under
one fifty four and a half I think is a
solid bet for the night. I'll use it as the
best bet for the show as well. All Right, good stuff,
you know, I always enjoy breaking down the games with you.
We do a little bit of venting a little bit
of whatever we like to do over here. It's always
always good time, win the chat, enjoy you, Appreciate you
as well. You guys bring good how do I say?
You guys bring good energy, good insight, all of those
good things. So always gonna let you know you're appreciated.
Twitch x, YouTube, Shorts, Kick, Spotify, Apple, you guys know
we love you over there too.
Speaker 1: We'll be back tomorrow.
Speaker 2: Within the full slate looks like five games we have
to talk about and we'll be here ten thirty am
Pacific Standard time, so good luck on all your action
tonight and we will catch you all then