Speaker 1: You.
Speaker 2: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.
It is Monday, coming off a big holiday weekend, plenty
of action to talk about. Baseball's rolling. We've got UFC
Football's creeping closer.
Speaker 3: And closer every day. Let's lock in.
Speaker 2: Let's start the week strong. Let's get to work. Johnny's
gonna join us, talk about the Steam Report. Crack Man's
gonna join us, give us an MLB prop.
Speaker 3: We got a lot of stuff to talk about with
crack Man.
Speaker 2: Actually, I want to ask him about these scandals with
Luis Ortiz and Malik Beasley. Also, he's gonna give us
his restaurant updates in Vegas after he took his buddy
to four elite restaurants, so I want to get his
thoughts on that. Jesse's gonna join us talk Phillies and Giants.
Also go over some college football teams he's got his
eye on, and Dan and I are breaking down the
Detroit Lions. Their season win total is ten and a half.
Do we like to over or do we like the under?
So let's get it started.
Speaker 3: You guys know what to do.
Speaker 2: Hit that like button, let's bring in Gianni Gioanni. Hope
you had a great weekend. Happy Monday.
Speaker 3: How are you?
Speaker 4: Thank you, brother, excellent weekend. Nice week nice Fourth of
July weekend. Got to enjoy the little bit played. Tourists
had some friends in town, so I was able to
get out there and played. The tourists were a little
slow as far as betting goes, not all that much
we got down on but we did fire our first
college football season win total. So if you bought the
NFL season win total package, you get the college football
for free. I just combined them because I'm not going
to have fifty season win totals.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 4: You guys know, I lowered volume in twenty twenty five.
So what I did is I combined that package together.
So if you had already gotten it, you should have
got your first college football season win total. So right
now we should have two NFL win totals one college
football season win total, including that one in there in
NFL as well, So expect more win totals over these
next three to four weeks as all of the attention
starts to go towards college football towards the NFL. But
with that said, today it's all about Major League Baseball.
There was a soccer bet I did release. It's a
team total in a Sweden matchup. I think that goes off.
It probably might have went off two minutes ago, so
I can't release that, but it was a team total
in soccer. I haven't released any Major League Baseball yet.
As you guys know, I kind of wait for those
Canadians to fire at about ten ten thirty Pacific time.
They usually get involved after a lot of the all
off screen outs open up and start to take more
moneys that are just the overnights. So that's what we're
looking at today. Like I said, three baseball bets we
only got down on so far. I'll give them to
you really quick. Nine oh five Arizona plus one fifteen
nine to sixteen, LA Angels plus one ten I think
that was, and one favorite Boston minus two hundreds. So
with Arizona and the Angels, it's sharp's on one side,
public on the other, but Boston it's the recreational betters
and the sharp betters on the same side. So not
all that much going on early on Monday morning. But
we will be approaching college and NFL and things will
start to pick up over the next couple of weeks.
But don't overlook the baseball and all the other little
small markets like you touched on with NMA this weekend
coming off.
Speaker 2: Yeah, any big money coming in on anything this morning?
As to note or are they are they? Are they
playing nice today?
Speaker 3: Are they playing nicey?
Speaker 4: So for I don't know whether it's you know, coming
out of that holiday weekend, everybody's still in that little
vacation note mode. Thank you, Cam, thank you brother. But
yet I haven't even seen like nothing, nothing crazy going on,
not not not even like other markets where usually you'll
get that one rogue soccer play up on. I just
don't see it. You just don't see it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's fine.
Speaker 2: Some days there's not a lot of steam going on,
so we move on.
Speaker 3: It's fine. How our time is valuable. We don't need
to waste it here.
Speaker 2: So hey, it's it's that special time of year, Johnny.
It's UFC starting to trim down the roster because Contender
Series is approaching.
Speaker 3: I was looking at the card. I mean, Lauren Murphy.
Speaker 2: Is fighting, Mitch Ramirez is fighting.
Speaker 3: You've got this junior.
Speaker 2: Tough two co Tokos fight Austin lanes on a big one.
I mean, this is and and this is confirmed with
the UFC fighter that we know once you get to
July and the second half of the year, UFC is
looking at what fighters to trim off the roster.
Speaker 3: Have you looked at UFC?
Speaker 2: Some laughable lines so far, but some pretty obvious favorites.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and this is that month you'll usually see firm
from Dani's social media stream him on a yacht in
the Mediterranean somewhere for two or three week enjoying the
calm before the storm, because, like you said, with the
Contender coming up, that's their baby as we come head
into football season. And it's great how they did it.
They chose Tuesday, so it doesn't interfere really with any
of the football perfectly timed as well. Hopefully they do
add ten more Contender series shows to that, like Dana
was mentioned, and that would be amazing. I havn't gotten
my call yet, so I'm not even sure if I'm
going to be a part of this season. Like I say,
these jobs are never guaranteed. Anytime I get my call
or email that says to show up to tape, it's
always like I'm grateful you know what I mean, Those
kind of jobs just are never guaranteed, but I do
have my fingers crossed hopefully they reach out in the
next few weeks and part of that crew. But again,
I don't take anything personal. You never know who's calling
the shots and what direction products wants to take a show,
So you know, with that kind of stuff, like I said,
it's always I'm always grateful when I'm a part of it,
but I never take it personally if I'm not, And
I'm just looking forward to betting it because you know,
aftery're having worked on the show for as many years
as I have, you get to see behind the scenes
of the Contender series and you pick up a lot,
you do, You really do pick up a lot. And
I love the show just because, like you know, those
guys are fighting for their lives, bro, They're fighting for
their yeah, chance to be in the UFC. Like that's
what I loved about fighting. Not to go off on
a tangent, but it's different than any other sport. You
never have to quantify or even attempt to quantify because
it's impossible to do. But you don't even have to
attempt to quantify motivation. The guy cross from me is
trying to rip your head off. You're motivating like you
may you may you may think it's an easier fight,
like you're human, and it may be a step down
for you. So maybe you're not going one hundred and
twenty percent the entire training camp, or maybe you're cheaping
live bit on your diet, or maybe you're not sleeping
as well as you would have had it been a
tougher opponent. But you're never ever going in unmotivated. Like
now in baseball tonight, I don't know if the Dodgers
are motivated. They played eighty five games or whatever, eighty
games already, they're playing every single day like you can't
guarantee that they're going to show up the night and
all the all players focus is on winning. But when
it comes to mma, bro, the guy across from who's
trying to kill you, Like they're not trying to beat you,
they're trying to physically hurt you. And when that's the case,
it's a completely Like mma is not a sport. That's
what I try to separate, Like there's a difference between
play you play football, you play baseball, you play basketball,
you don't play mixed martial arts. Like that's a fight
that's completely different world. And that's why I love betting it,
like because at least that's one of those things you
never ever ever have to quantify. These guys are motivated
not to get their head ripped off.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so if you guys haven't watched series, uh it is.
It's it's unlike anything else in sports, Like you'll like
you have fighters show up and it's like this guy
works at the railroad company during the day and now
he's like trying to fight.
Speaker 3: To get into UFC.
Speaker 2: Yep, they they had a they did a camera in
the in the living room of one of the families
giant and they had a coffee table made out of
pizza boxes. Like you've ever seen any of these stories
that are like it.
Speaker 4: And last year, last year, the one girl they had
that send her money. Yes, like they had gotten the
U they got they had enough money to get from
Brazil to the United States, but that was it, Like
they didn't have enough. They couldn't uber from the airport
at a hotel, they couldn't get the like nothing else.
Like the UFC had to step in and send them
pash at them some money. So they could survive while
they're here. And that girl went out there and got
a knockout in like thirty seconds. It was a beautiful story.
And she was like the biggest dog. You remember, I
don't know if you remember that will be that one.
Speaker 2: Oh I remember because I had bet against her.
Speaker 1: She was baby.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and she went out there and got the finish
in like ten seconds. It was amazing. Her story was
so amazing, and that's what you get on that show,
like true stories. That girl her life is going to
change forever because of that day. It's amazing.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 2: They also had this is also the show, Johnny where
they had a seventeen year old fighter who need a
written permission slip forms parents to fight.
Speaker 3: It was rabul rosis. If you remember that one. Yeah,
the show is unhinged.
Speaker 1: It is.
Speaker 2: It is just completely unhinged. So we'll start talking more
about about a contender series.
Speaker 3: Jiotny follows it very closely. I do too.
Speaker 2: We do breakdown videos and uh, yeah, we'll be betting
on It's a great it's a great way to bet.
Speaker 3: Like you do.
Speaker 2: You do deep dives on some of these fighters. It's
really really good. So all right, Johnny, what do you
have up for clients this week.
Speaker 4: All right, as subscribers had been receiving. We're betting some
of that NBA Summer League. Those those bets again, we
do very well with them. I haven't even seen results,
but I would venture guests we're up money betting Summer
League so far. I know yesterday we had we double
bet the Lakers. We took the Lakers plus the points
through the Lakers on the money line. They get some
good information on these that. The problem is there're time sensitive.
So you got you got minutes to fire. I get
it pretty earlier because I could get good money down
considering it Sunny League Summer League. Excuse me, so you do,
you will be able to get down, but you can't
take too long, like when you get the play, unless
you disagree with it, I'll log in and fire, because
you see, these lines just move too quickly, like today
Philadelphia got steamed, but that was at minus two and
a half and three. You're looking at four and a
half and five's right now. So with Summer League, that's
that's the problem. I'm not able to put up a package,
but I do send them out to subscribers and I
will release them for free as well on my page
at wager Talks. I make sure you check that out otherwise.
There will be the Major League Baseball package up today
and working on the UFC card for Saturday as soon
as I get confirmation that'll be up as well.
Speaker 1: So do some.
Speaker 4: Damage this week, New week and summers here. The holiday
is over, so now we just coast as we approach
football season.
Speaker 2: Love it, Thanks, Giohnny, have a great Monday. We're gonna
bring on crack Man here, guys.
Speaker 3: Hit the like button.
Speaker 2: Justin says the show blows today, so he's going to
clean out his garage.
Speaker 3: Don't forget to hit the like button.
Speaker 2: All your way out, and don't forget to have it
on while you're cleaning out your garage. So don't forget
to like and subscribe.
Speaker 3: Yes, there's just.
Speaker 2: Not a lot going on today, guys, but we're gonna
bring in Crackman because we do have a lot going on.
Because Crackman is gonna tell us about his restaurant journey
last week. Bill, how are you hope you had a
great weekend. I want to get your thoughts on the
Luis Ortiz Malik Beasley situation. I want to go over
to MLB prop most important, I want to go over
the restaurants, because I mean, like, let's be honest, that's
what everyone is here for.
Speaker 3: Sou which what do you want to go over first?
Speaker 2: MLB prop betting scandals?
Speaker 3: Are your favorite restaurants?
Speaker 6: Well, I mean the most important is the favorite restaurants.
So I'm actually being funny, but no, you know, living
in Las Vegas pretty fortunate to be honest with you,
because we have some of the best restaurants in the
world here. Unlike you know, when I first came here
thirty some years ago, it was just the no frugal.
Speaker 1: Type of thing.
Speaker 6: But I missed those things too. I missed, you know,
the dollar ninety nine breakfast is when I first came here.
It makes much different Now. We still have a couple
of casinos in.
Speaker 1: Town that have those specials stations casinos.
Speaker 6: Even though I'm not allowed to bet there, I still
I talk good and bad about everywhere. You know, I'm
not out the bat there because using my brain they
throw people out that wind. But I like their restaurants.
I like their coffee shops. They have a five ninety
nine special they have I think they have a four
to ninety nine special two right now. So ninety nine
is a great cheeseburger with fries and just really good quality. Also,
the South Point also has their midnight specials midnight to six,
same things taking eggs like seven Bucks, and that coffee
shop over there is fantastic Coronado Cafe.
Speaker 1: But last night I went out with the boys. I
don't know if you know that.
Speaker 6: So Pres is in town looking to be the next
main event champion, of course, coming off his senior final table,
you know, I mean mid almost two hundred thousand, like
he needs it. I mean, but anyway, money goes to money.
I just thought I'm a big ball breaker. I was
trying to tell them guys at dinner last night. So
last night I went to dinner with Prez Marco and
some of the some of the other guys Teddy and
and John Orlando, and we had a great time.
Speaker 1: There was actually five of us or six it us
at dinner last night, so there.
Speaker 6: Was a great time and you know, just just talking
about talking shop, talking different things. And we went to
Marco's restaurant that he wanted to go to, China Publama
Pleblano over at Cosmo, which was very very good. Yeah,
thanks Travis. Jerry's Nugget. You know it's funny, I actually
talk about the value meals in town. Jerry's Nuggets very valuable,
great coffee shop. It has a lot of value, I
should say. And they still have a nice, big prime
rib there and they pride themselves even though it's in
a a little sketchy area of town. But I go
there all the time to give the guy ten dollars
for my car right at Vallet, and it's just one
of the greatest coffee shops and they pride themselves. Like
I said on the food, I've been back in the
kitchen with the owner and for years. I've been, you know,
going there for thirty years. Also, so there is some
values in town. But I still go to the old
old fashioned Italian American Club on Tahara. What a great value.
And not only great value. I'm not really only looking
for great value here. I have to have quality of food.
Italian American Club. Anyone can go there now too. It's
not like the private club like it was years ago.
Just need a reservation. That place is fantastic. But then
I'll go to the trip. I went to Joe's last week.
Speaker 1: Joe's perform shops is I'm a creature. I have it.
Speaker 6: I love Joe's, Joe Stone Crab, there's one of Miami
one in Chicago and Joe's. You're gonna get the classiest
meal in town. I think still you go in, it's
the dark colors of Sinatra music on Mayord d you
tipical a little bit of money.
Speaker 1: To get in, and I think it's the greatest.
Speaker 6: I still think it's I actually think it's the greatest
steak in town. How can that be twenty years? How
can you still be the greatest steak in town? It
really is the greatest steak I think in town. They
have a little side seasoning that comes with the steaks
that they make right in the house. It's fantastic. But
I like for my restaurants too. But just that they
hit you over the head here. The price is a
really out of control in Vegas for a lot of things.
That gouging might be stopping a little bit here because
they are gouging a lot of people when they come
to town for a lot.
Speaker 1: Of different things. Two slices and a soda. You can
go to three different food courts.
Speaker 6: On the strip, two sites, two slices, a pizza and
one soda twenty six to thirty dollars. That's I grew
up on a Jersey shore boardwalk down. Slice is still
there my cousin's place of less than four bucks three fifty. Yeah,
they're great though, so it's yeah, it's kind of out
of control.
Speaker 2: Let's let's let's give the people an MLB prop and
then we want to get your thoughts on the Louis
ortiz A Malika, what MLB prop do you have for today?
Speaker 1: A couple of things I want to talk about as
far as that goes.
Speaker 6: Chris Sanchez on the Phillies, let's go on his hits
allowed under five and a half minus a dollar twenty
He's gone under this number. Twelve of seventeen starts faces
a Giants lineup that just has been terrible versus lefties.
San fran Is only get two thirteen versus south balls
this season alone. That's that's like literally at the worst
in Major League Baseball. Nineteen of the twenty three left
he started as the Giants have faced this year have
gotten under six hits. Sanchez should have an easier time
here with this lineup under five and a half hits
allowed for Sanchez.
Speaker 1: I like to see what the current line is because
nine minus a dollar thirty minus dollar twenty.
Speaker 6: So okay, So there there's a prop for you guys
for baseball today.
Speaker 2: All Right, Louis Ortiz, Malik Beasley, listen, if you're being
investigated by the fans about tampering with bets, I think
they got you. And then some of the clips start
coming out about Louis Ortiz throwing one, you know, ten
feet bouncing it before the play when there was a
bunch of bets on the first pitch to be a ball,
Malik Beasley, and it comes out how much financial trouble
he's in. Uh, just I don't really have a direction
to go. What are your thoughts on this?
Speaker 6: I mean, how much financial trouble can easily be in
four years sixty million dollars? It doesn't make any sense
to me with these guys NBA players, man, man, they
have a lot of them that really have these entourages
and go broke fast. That's really a shame. But I
don't know him. I'm more questionable about your tease.
Speaker 1: One boy. I'll tell you.
Speaker 6: I seen his salary was like, I don't know, seven
hundred and fifty thousand, maybe a little bit more, put
under a million dollars, And.
Speaker 1: Like, I know what I get down on props.
Speaker 6: Props is my bread and butter in the NFL and NBA,
I have unbelievable connections, and I can only get down
a couple of dimes on props. So I just find
it so hard to believe on a ball and strike,
which I can't even find too many markets that had that.
Speaker 1: So what's the most money you can get down?
Speaker 6: And how many people are in that betting group that
have to also get their beak wet and get some
money down that I have to share the money by
the time the money gets back to a pitcher or
someone that's actually doing it.
Speaker 1: What do you getting a thousand bucks?
Speaker 6: I mean, how.
Speaker 1: How dumb can this kid be?
Speaker 6: No, seriously, I mean, if that's what happened, I'm not
this is all that hasn't been proven yet, But how
dump can this kid be that he's throwing the ball?
You know you have to go sixty feet He's throwing
a ball forty seven feet open and pitch.
Speaker 1: I mean, what an idiot? What an idiot? If that's
the case, I mean, I can't believe people are a stupid.
Speaker 2: So this is the other thing crack is if you're
going to try and fix a bet, you can't be
the only one betting on it.
Speaker 3: Of course there's red flag. It's like, that's weird.
Speaker 2: We've got one hundred thousand dollars and will the first
pitch be a ball? We don't have any other bets going,
But like, like, what's going.
Speaker 1: Through their minds?
Speaker 3: Why did they think they were gonna get away from it?
It's unbelievable.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know what happens too.
Speaker 6: You're dealing with an organization, even the sharpest organizations, you're
always gonna find a rat involved. So there's always somebody
that's only getting three hundred dollars down in the side
to rat him out at the end. Anyway, you're always
gonna get yourself in trouble. So hopefully other people will
learn from this if this is proven.
Speaker 1: I don't want to put, you know, someone guilty before
they're proven guilty.
Speaker 5: So but yeah, this is all allegedly pretty stupid, pretty stupid.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna read this to you.
Speaker 2: Here's here's Beasley's debt six hundred and fifty thousand to
sports Management for failure to repay a loan twenty six,
eight hundred and twenty seven to Cairo Cuts, a celebrity barbershop.
You have twenty six thousand dollars to a celebrity barbershop,
twenty one thousand, five hundred to a historic apartment building,
and thirty four thousand to a dentist in Minnesota.
Speaker 1: I mean, how's he getting in debt like that?
Speaker 6: Thirty four thousand with a barber shop twenty six Come on,
I don't get it. Like the old barbershops where I
grew up, they took action, So maybe something to do
with that.
Speaker 1: I don't know. But before I got off.
Speaker 6: Talk about this big, beautiful bill and the effects on
sports betters too. I want people to know out there
that this isn't going to affect Joe public for the
most part, unless you're betting. You know, sucker parlays and
and you get lucky and hit a big one or
something like that. But you know, I said this on
multiple networks throughout the week. You know people are gonna
interpret this wrong anyway because they don't want big Brother
over their shoulder looking at them, So they don't want
someone looking at their bets. And it's going to send
some people back off shore to their local guy. It's
gonna send people some back to a post uff shop,
and that that wasn't the purpose of it. But when
these things are slipped in on you know, port acts
or big beautiful bills the last second, without any thought
going into it something times, it really makes you shake
your head.
Speaker 1: We hope, uh, there's a there's a political person here
in town.
Speaker 6: We hope that she's gonna be uh, you know, talking
some people into the sense and maybe redoing a part
or amending it. And you have Derek Stevens also pushing
for that, and some powerful people in the sports betting industry.
Because in the end, the sportsbooks don't even want this.
They don't want even though it's gonna limit their play
and exposure from sharp people. The sports books don't want
this because just like I said, that was Joe public people,
they're getting squeezed more and more by Uncle Sam and
and and eyeballs on them in their accounts. They don't
want They don't want people being scared off and and uh,
you know, going to far off places of the play.
They want to keep the money in the United States
and tax properly.
Speaker 1: But this is just no good. How can I get?
How can I get?
Speaker 6: How can I win one hundred thousand dollars and show
one hundred thousand and win and right off that with
one hundred thousand and loss, And then you say you
can't write that off. You can only write ninety thousand
and pay tax on ten thousand. You didn't even win.
This is just makes no sense to anyone that I
have talked to. But then again, I've talked to people.
Speaker 1: With a pulse. So it is what it is.
Speaker 2: What do you have up for clients that wage you're talking?
Speaker 1: Yeah, we have some stuff coming as we know.
Speaker 6: Here, we're a month out of preseason football, actually three
weeks away if you count the Hall of Fame game.
Speaker 1: I'd recommend, even if.
Speaker 6: It's not, baseball is flowing down here all Star Break,
after All Star Break, guys, you should get in on
this package for a month preseason football. Just see what
happens the first week. You'll appreciate the line moves and
the value and basically the wins. You know, we've had
some unbelievable seasons as I started bet in preseason football
and of course regular season coming up. NFL packages prop
bets really really great stuff. I know where I make
the money, and baseball have been holding my own too.
Speaker 1: It's a grind, absolutely is a grind. But I'm looking.
Speaker 6: Forward to this, to this football season again. I'm going
to do NFL side for the first year ever. Been
following one of my guys that came aboard three years
ago and I bet his again. The first year, I
just sat there and I watched him win. And then
last year I actually did bet the games where we
grind it out at like sixteen units after juice and
two years ago also when they having a nice one
more than that actually, So this year we're actually gonna
have those releases. But again they're gonna be like Monday morning,
Tuesday morning when the lines are still forming and taking shape.
So looking forward to that less than a month away
from preseason football. Appreciate all you guys listening to me,
hearing me out and not.
Speaker 2: Joining awesome Bill crack Man, appreciate you joining us. Let's
have a big week. Can't wait to talk to you
again next week. Bill, have a great one.
Speaker 3: So all right, let's go.
Speaker 2: Let's go all around the world here, give out some
free plays. Not a huge card, but we do have
a couple of them that we are looking at. So
we're gonna go to We're gonna go to the Major
League Baseball. We're gonna take a look at the Guardians
and the Astros, and we're gonna go with Ralph Michaels
Nurfe no run first inning, Guardians five and run five
and one no run first inning, five straight Nerfee's on
the road seven to zero. Nerfee against lefties in Houston
has not scored a first inning run in ten out
of their last twelve games, So we're looking at no
runs in the first inning. Then we'll go to the
Wings and the Mercury Wings team total over seventy nine
and a half. Wings over this total in four straight
road games, last four games. Wings fourth in offensive efficiency
in the last four games.
Speaker 3: The Mercury are fourth worst in defensive efficiency.
Speaker 2: So let's take a look at those and again, guys,
it's not a huge slate. Sometimes if we don't have
a lot of action, there's just not gonna be a
lot of free plays because we do not want to
put you in a bad position. We don't want to
give you up plays that we don't really believe in.
So we want to give a shout out to Ross
Benjamin eleven and oh on his free plays that are
posted on the wager Talk Free Picks page fifty one
and ten. An absolutely insane run from Ross Benjamin. So
pretty incredible run, So hopefully Ross can Let's make it twelve.
Speaker 3: Let's make it twelve in a.
Speaker 2: Row for Washington or for Ross Benjamin. I don't know
what his free play is enough to look so all right,
let's bring in Jesse. Jesse, we're gonna talk a little
bit about the Phillies and the Giants, and don't want
to get your thoughts on some college football plays. So
we got Sanchez going for Philly.
Speaker 3: We're up for the Giants. How do you break down
this game?
Speaker 7: Seems pretty straightforward to me? And the Philly has been
playing good ball all season long, very consistent.
Speaker 8: The Giants have struggled a bit lately.
Speaker 7: I guess they did get some wins against Oakland, but
I guess everybody's beaten Oakland this year. But you know,
Philly comes in as a road favorite. They did play yesterday,
but they played the early game. San Francisco played a
late game. You look at the starting pitcher for San
Francisco landon rope six and five with a three point
four eight R and that looks good. Those are the
kind of numbers for a guy that you want to
bet on guys with numbers like that. But you look
at his whip one point four eight. You look at
you dig into it.
Speaker 8: Why is that whip so high?
Speaker 7: And he's walking a lot of batters in his last
four starts alone, fourteen walks in seventeen innings against a
Philly lineup.
Speaker 8: That is a recipe for disaster.
Speaker 7: And Christopher Sanchez has been nothing but consistent. Seven and
two two point six eight ERA one point one three whip,
He's allowed one run in four straight starts, and in
his last eight starts, he hasn't allowed more than two
runs in any of those last eight starts. I'm gonna
take the bullpens out of it. San Francisco's got a
great bullpen. Philly does not. I like playing first half
baseball bets because I'm just not as good at handicapping bullpens.
I mean, nobody knows who's gonna come out of the pen.
For an absolute certainty, we know who's gonna start. We
can bet listed pictures, so listed pitchers. Philadelphia first five
innings minus one forty is my free pick for this game.
Speaker 2: Andy, they should make like final four inning bets. We're
gonna have to try handicap the bullpen. It's like, who's
gonna win the sixth, seventh, eighth, and ninth inning. That
would be uh, that'd be damn near impossible.
Speaker 8: Some guys probably think that's more fun.
Speaker 3: If it's a lot more volatile. I'll give you that.
Speaker 2: I don't have to watch the first five innings. I'll
just watch the last four and watch the bullpens come
out and get shelled.
Speaker 3: So, yeah, so you were you messaged to me earlier.
Speaker 2: Hey, we could talk about anything college football. I said, yeah,
just give me a couple of teams that you you're
looking at on buying and selling. So you sent me
Boise State Baman, Nebraska as Bys, and FSU Stanford in
Colorado as cells. Let's go with Nebraska. What do you
like about Nebraska?
Speaker 7: So I was really big on Nebraska heading into last year.
Their win total was seven and a half. I wasn't alone.
There was a lot of guys, a lot of experts,
a lot of pros, a lot of the main the
talking heads on the TV shows like Nebraska. Everybody was
high on Dylan Ryola. He didn't really live up to
the hype. I think, you know, he didn't have the experience.
It's no surprise when a guy steps right in and
doesn't thrive right away. But I think a lot of
that was the offensive coordinator as well. With Dana Holgerson
stepping in as the offensive coordinator, I think that's going
to change things. I remember Holgerson with Houston. I remember
watching them play against Cincinnati at the end of the year.
Remember Cincinnati was a playoff team that year and Houston
was very close to upsetting Cincinnati and being that playoff team.
Houston had a great year that year, and I just
remember seeing the players on the sidelines. I think it
was Clayton Tune was the quarterback. I think Tank Dell
was on that team. And the players just loved Olgerson,
and I think he's a guy that inspires guys. I
think Ryola is gonna have a big year. You look
at Nebraska's schedule and they should cruise to eight to
ten wins this year.
Speaker 2: Oh wow, eight to ten wins, all right, I like it.
All right, let's pick a cell team.
Speaker 3: Let's go Colorado. A bitterested that.
Speaker 2: I think, I know why, But why do you not
like Colorado?
Speaker 7: It's just because the fan base is so delusional, Andy.
I mean, I don't think Colorado is going to be bad,
I really don't. I think they're going to be competitive,
but how low is the bar? I mean, you just
lost the Heisman Trophy winner and a guy that was
close to being a Heisman candidate, probably the best quarterback
in college football or one of the best quarterbacks in
college football last year.
Speaker 8: I think Shadarus Anders is great.
Speaker 7: I hope he starts for Cleveland, but you lose those guys,
and not only that, you look at some of the
success Colorado had on offense. Their offensive line was getting dominated,
and Shoulder was running for his life and making plays
that should have been busted plays and counting on somebody
else to step in and do that. Caden Salter, the
guy from Liberty, I think he's got potential to be
competitive against you know, mid tier, lower tier Big twelve teams,
But I don't think Caden Salter is going to be
Shuaar Sanders. Nobody's going to replace Travis Hunter and Dion
Sick too. I mean, you know, I don't want to
make light of that. I hope he's okay. I hope
he gets better, but they're not releasing the information about
what what's actually bothering him or how serious it actually is.
Is he even going to be able to make it
through the season. I mean, that's that's another question mark.
And as much as I don't like hearing that, it
can't be a positive for the Colorado program. I think
they're going to have their ups and downs this year,
but I certainly don't like them in Week one against
a Georgia Tech team bringing everybody back, just a different
caliber of team in my opinion.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you got some free plays up on the free
plays page already for some college football plays, right.
Speaker 8: Yeah.
Speaker 7: I've covered every game in Week zero so far, and
we're on to Week one. We've got a few Week
one games up, and I'll have every game for Week
zero in Week one as long as it as long
as there's a line for it, I'm doing a video
on it. Even if it's ut Martin and UTSA or
teams like that, I don't care.
Speaker 8: I'm covering every game for Week one.
Speaker 3: Love it, love it.
Speaker 2: That's why you're one of the best. What do you
have up for clients at wager Talk.
Speaker 7: I have one MLB play only you know I might
like that free play more than I like my guaranteed play.
They put me down on the schedule to cover that game.
I liked it so much, but I give it out
for free to you guys. And I've really killed it
with baseball this year. Fifty three and thirty sixty four
percent overall, well, number one in units, number one in
win percentage, number one in ROI. And they got a
special on the deal's page right now, three ninety nine
for the rest of the year and playoffs. It's the
first special you'll see on the deals page. So you
guys want to go check that out. Maybe play the
Phillies first five tonight, take your winnings by that three
ninety nine package from me.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 3: And you know, some people have said, oh, you guys
have wager Talk.
Speaker 2: Oh, everyone's number one in something, And we said, Nope,
when we come on the show, we need to we
need to be number one in something big.
Speaker 7: Like well, there's a lot of different number one, a
lot of different categories.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're number one in MLB profit though, but that
is that is something to brag about.
Speaker 3: So congratulations do you, Jesse.
Speaker 2: That is a hell of a season that you've got
going forward, So kudos to.
Speaker 3: You, brother. I really really appreciate it, and really really
nice job.
Speaker 2: I mean I'm looking at these numbers and I mean
the win the win percentage is great. It's not super
high volume, so you're not asking clients to put a
huge chunk of their bankroll on the ROI is really
really good and number one in MLB profit. You can
get the rest of it all the way through the
World Series in playoffs for only three ninety nine, so
really really great special for Jesse up there, Jesse, thank
you so much for coming on. Can't wait to talk
a little bit more college football with you. Someone in
the chat asked about some player props. I can give
you a sum again, these didn't make the card Sean Burke.
You could look at his strikeouts. Three and a half
is what I'm seeing it listed. He's gone over in
eight of eight straight games. That's minus one thirty Listen
play play Angel rees over rebounds when Cardos's Until Cardosa
comes back, the books keep putting a thirteen and a half,
fourteen and a half. She's getting sixteen minimum on all
these She's their only big body for the Chicago Skuy.
So take Angel Rees over her, points, over her rebounds,
over points and her rebounds or points, rebounds and assist.
Speaker 4: She is.
Speaker 3: The big thing in there when.
Speaker 2: Cardos is out, so the books have it totally adjusted
to that. So as long as card Dos is out,
your dead at Angel Reese over her.
Speaker 3: Over her staff. So all right, let's bring in Dan.
We're gonna talk to Detroit Lions here. I got a
big win.
Speaker 2: Total here, so we're gonna talk to Detroit Lions. Ten
and a half ten and a.
Speaker 3: Half, Dan, this is a monster.
Speaker 2: PFF had them ranked second in offense last year, fifth
in defense, obviously one of the best teams. I guess
we got to start with the coordinators because to me,
that's the story of the Detroit Lions. They lose Ben Jonson,
Aaron Glenn, but also don't forget five assistant.
Speaker 3: Coaches left as well.
Speaker 2: Like I think this is kind of the like thing
that a lot of people don't really pay attention to,
but this seems a little bit more public. They you know,
they got dj Reed, Derek Barnes, that they re signed
a lot of players I really like Tim Patrick, the
wide receiver that they signed.
Speaker 3: I think he's a great third option for that team.
Speaker 2: So we'll go over the schedule and here in a bit,
But uh, what was your first initial thoughts.
Speaker 3: When you saw this ten and a half win for Detroit.
Speaker 5: I mean, just absolutely zero continuity coming in from a
coaching perspective of for the Detroit Lions. And I think
you know that can't be kind of overlooked here Andy,
and I'm wearing the Detroit Tigers hat that we got
when we were visiting Detroit.
Speaker 9: Amazing city. We loved it in Detroit.
Speaker 5: So I'm wearing the hat to maybe stave off the
haters because I'm all in on the under for the
Detroit Lions this year. At eleven and a half, it
would be a huge play for me. At ten and
a half, I would still bet it, but it would
be more like, you know, a one percent two percent
kind of play for me. For me, Andy, is the
schedule is going to be tough for them this year.
As a matter of fact, they have the third hardest
schedule in preseason as you know, strength of schedule that
we're seeing. And for me, you know, losing those coordinators
is huge, but I think you touched upon it. Losing
the entire staffs behind them might even be just just bigger,
because part of what Detroit was able to do last
season was they were just this offensive juggernaut which allowed
the defense to maybe get away with some things, but
when the offense was down a little bit, the defense
would raise their play. I don't know if you're gonna
be able to see that consistency without Ben Johnson come
in with the game plan every week, because let's be real,
whether you're a Detroit fan or not, do you really
believe that Dan Campbell is the mastermind behind that offense?
Do we really believe that? I mean, Dan Campbell's a
spark plug. Dan Campbell will get the guys to fight
for you in the fox hole. But x'es and o's
sometimes are gonna beat what you can do with the
johnny's and Joe's, and I just don't know how much
they have in the x's and o's department without Ben Johnson,
who I think is going to lead a pretty heavy
turnaround with the Chicago Bears that you'll see when we
talk about them. The other thing for me is if
the goal is to win the super Bowl, and you
don't have to go twelve thirteen wins to win the
Super Bowl, because where did it get you last year?
Detroit beating up on everyone in the regular season. It
got you gassed out at the end that a couple
plays didn't go your way, a rookie to beat you
in your house, to not be able to even go
to the championship game. So I wasn't high on Detroit
last year. I thought the other shoe was gonna drop
for him. I was vindicated in that. I think the
shoe drops in the regular season. Tough schedule. Andy, Sure
they have some rest advantage, but I'm going under ten
and a.
Speaker 9: Half wins for the Detroit Lions.
Speaker 2: All right, let's take a look at the schedule here.
It's just the hits just keep coming week after a week.
So they go at Packers, Home, Bears at Ravens, Brown's Bengals, Chiefs,
Bucks By, Vikings at Commanders at Eagles, Giants, then Packers again,
Cowboys at Rams, Steelers, Vikings, Bears. Oh that is a
I mean, brutal, brutal schedule. I'm with you on the
under on this one. I think their team is good.
Dan Campbell is he's the tone setter, you know, like
you know he's he's the one that gets the guys
really pumped up. But you're right, they don't have to revamp.
They don't have to revamp what they do, but they
have to revamp the entire staff of what they do.
And I just am with you one hundred percent getting
to eleven wins with a completely new staff.
Speaker 3: Especially with that. Yeah, and it starts tough.
Speaker 2: You don't have like at Packers, Bears, at Ravens, Bengals.
Speaker 3: Chiefs, Bucks all before your bye week. Have no, that
was the.
Speaker 5: Thing that was the thing for me, is like that
absolutes because if you lose early with where this team's
expectations have been these last few years, this thing could
snowball on you real quick, Andy, So you we we
could be proved wrong right out of the gate, right,
they could start five and oh that wouldn't shock me.
But if you start losing some games, you you that
are winnable games that can snowball for you real quickly,
where you're having players only meetings heading into the buy
and when that happens, you know you're you're you're almost
already put in the car behind the horse or in
front of the horse.
Speaker 3: You know, and we know Dan Campbell.
Speaker 2: He loves going for and fourth down in his own
territory and if things aren't going well, he's gonna roll.
Speaker 3: The dice and he's gonna take some chances.
Speaker 2: And I'm in agreement with Dan that the under on
this Detroit Lions. I just don't think you can overcome
losing your coordinators and five assistant coaches.
Speaker 3: That's just a lot to overcome.
Speaker 9: So and also the division got a lot better too.
Speaker 5: I will say that, and we'll talk about that in
some of these other team previews. But this is what
we've done so far. Andy, if people are wondering what
we what we've done.
Speaker 2: Thus far, Yeah, everyone take take a long time to
look at this graphic. I decided to put together this
graphic and I thought it would take me like ten minutes,
and about an hour into it, I realized that there's
the reason why I don't do graphics for a living.
Speaker 8: Yeah.
Speaker 5: Yeah, oops, A lot harder than it looks, right. Sometimes
be the I'll like mess up like one of the
lines on a graphic, or I'll mess up one of
the teams or a color and the chattel just destroy.
Speaker 9: Me being like, oh Dan was drinking last night, Danny.
Speaker 5: It's not as easy as it looks Andy, So I'm
glad that you had to suffer through making graphic, albeit
a beautiful one.
Speaker 3: It is great. It turned out really, really good. It's
easy to upshare.
Speaker 2: But mother of the Mother of God, was that that
took too long? So all right, we're locked in on
the Detroit Lions under ten and a half ten and
a half, So all right, guys, that's gonna do it.
Speaker 1: We do not.
Speaker 2: We're not playing the uh pick the correct score game.
We'll get back after it tomorrow. I think we're gonna
move to WNBA. Think we're gonna make you guys pick
some WNBA scores.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, yeah, you will do that. So all right,
that's gonna do it for us. Hit the like button.
Speaker 2: Don't forget to subscribe to the wager Talk YouTube channel
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Speaker 1: Help.
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Speaker 3: So let's get off. Let's get the week off to
a great start.
Speaker 2: Guys, good luck on your BET's gonna be five dollars
Tuesday tomorrow, so looking forward to that. Good Luck on
your place, and take care