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Speaker 1: Welcome to Wade You Talked Today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows where we talk the talk and walk

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the walk. Jam Pack show for you today. Yannie is

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gonna get it started with the Steam Report. Dave Mason

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from bet Online is gonna join us with the bookmakers perspective.

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Joman Arey's gonna break down the forty nine Ers in

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the rant, the injured riddle of forty nine ers versus

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the Rams. We're gonna talk Miami and Florida State. I'm

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gonna close things out with Thursday Night football props, and

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then Dan's gonna jump on. We got to talk about

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this game tonight. Do we play the Rams in Survivor?

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So we're gonna bring on Dan at the end, and

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then don't forget after this show. Immediately after the show,

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one o'clock Eastern time, The Blitz, Brian Power, Ralph, Hopefully

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Ross is feel better. They're gonna break down all of

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the college football and that show is live just like

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this one. You got any questions, put it in the chat.

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So let's get after it.

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Speaker 2: Guys.

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Speaker 1: We've got a big, big show. Hit the like button,

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please love to get to a hundred likes before the end.

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Of the show. Let's bring in Yanni Yannis dates. We

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got a game tonight with the line is absolutely ballooned

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up to nine. We got college football, we got UFC.

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Where do you want to start?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, let's start with the NFL ugly game. If you

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watch bet on it, I look like a jerk, like

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the idiot in the room, because the line kept climbing.

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Speaker 4: Here.

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Speaker 3: Here's what I thought at the bottom line, is this

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as a better that looks for value. Like I don't

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bet for action. I don't bet because I'm going to

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watch the game. I bet because I think I'm getting

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the best of it. Games like this are easy for

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me because it's either I like San Francisco or I pass.

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Because I didn't get down at the look ahead at

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minus three and a half, I didn't get down at

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the opener of minus four. I didn't get down at

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the first move at four and a half, I didn't

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get down at five and a half, didn't get down

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at six and a half, then't get down at seven.

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So I didn't lay seven at that point, I said,

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it's dog or pass situation. And usually what happens is

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that the betting market overreacts. Like the book makers adjust

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slightly and then the betting market overreacts to injuries. And

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I thought that's what we were looking at, and we

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touched on it yesterday, that what I'm looking at is

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either to look at the dog or if it gets

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to seven and a half eight and a half, it's

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a teaser ready on the favorite. And that's exactly what

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they did. They did the teaser protection. So if you know,

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if I ended up if taken the San Francisco plus seven,

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which I didn't, fortunately, I would have looked like the

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full today because I could have gotten nine. But where

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it sits, I think it's still the same exact situation,

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where it's either you like San Francisco getting nine points

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or you leave the game alone. You can't get to

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the window and bet the Rams because even if they

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win by twenty one, it's just not a good bet

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you're buying at the absolute top. I talk about it

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all the time, but I see betters continue to do this,

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so I'll continue to remind them that there's just not

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a winning formula. You can't continue to be last to

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the window and think you're going to beat the betting market,

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especially the endfl betting market, which we know the lines

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are so tight every point matters.

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Speaker 2: So for me, I lean.

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Speaker 3: Dog, I haven't betted the dog. I'm probably not going

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to get to the window with the dog. If I

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am able to find any of my credit shops that

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have eight and a half, I will tease down the

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rams to what's it called minus two and a half.

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I think that the teaser makes a ton of sense,

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especially with the total being steamed under, but I would

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be careful on the under because I'm seeing the public

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betting the under blindly as well. Think in San Francisco

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is not going to be able to score any points.

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The bottom line is, once the adjustment's made, the value's gone.

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Like at under forty seven it made sense. Maybe at

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under forty six it made sense, but now it's down

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to forty four, so all those injuries have already been

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factored into that betting line. Having that information becomes meaningless,

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and I would actually look if this continues to drop

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to possibly go over at that point, because again, even

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though you don't expect a ton of offense turnovers, special

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teams like, there's a lot of way to score points

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without needing a high profile offense, especially in the NFL,

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especially of total below fifty, So for me, I lean

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San Francisco and over. But unless I get any confirmation,

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especially on the total, because I don't see it on

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the side, I probably will sit this one out and

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move into the Sunday action because football's been good to us,

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and I'll stay selected.

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Speaker 1: It's a great game for props. I'll be going over

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some props later. Even yeah, it's it's a great game

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for props. There's a lot of good, good props out there.

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The books are struggling with what numbers to put on

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some of these players, so we got some good looks.

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I'll go over a few at the end. Let's move

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to Sunday. What are you seeing on some of these

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NFL games?

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Speaker 3: All right, A lot of that the look aheads got hit,

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but there hasn't been much followed through. Hasn't been much steam.

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And that tends to happen as the season progresses because

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the lines get tighter, meaning not that the margin of

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a is a lot greater, because it's always around that

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ten points that they're off from the point spread on average.

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But most of the moves are are based on injuries

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and public knocking lines out of whack, which doesn't happen

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until later in the week. But some of the moves

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that we have seen already start off with the Miami

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Dolphins not surprising. There's a little recency bias there. Everybody

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just saw them on Monday night. Look good, get the

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job done against the Jets, and again it's Carolina. No

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one's worried about slight road favorite with Miami. They're one sided.

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Denver Denver plus four and a half. Denver actually got

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steamed while before actually the game even kicked off the

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Monday night game for Denver, so they had already steamed

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Denver before their game with Cincinnati. They look ahead at

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plus four and a half. Hit the opener plus four.

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That's why we're looking at three and a half right now,

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with Philadelphia for seventy two, New Orleans at a pickum

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and minus one. Fading that the New York Giants and

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their new quarterback Detroit for seventy nine. Detroit, they laid

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the ten just like they did last week. They laid

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nine and a half last week. Detroit got the money.

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They came right back again. It looks public, but they're

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betting Detroit and they're betting the over as well. At

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forty nine. They looked. They took Tennessee all the way

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down to plus eight. They laid the key three with

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Seattle and finally New England and Buffalo under fifty. So

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we do have some action. It's still only Thursday, but

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definitely some action in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: I guess I don't understand why money would be coming

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in on Cleveland because they changed quarterbacks. Like, no, I

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don't like either team, but I'm just wondering. I'm just

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wondering who's betting enough to move the line on an

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overseas game with a quarterback chains and it just it

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just kind of makes a little bit of sense. And

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I listen, I'm the prop guy. I don't mess with spreads,

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but boy, ten seems doesn't seem like enough for Cincinnati.

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What's that Cincinnati team shown any fight, any competency. I

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don't know. I'll let the people smarter than me it

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spreads do that.

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Speaker 3: One out scorts seventy six to ten to thirteen in

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the last two weeks.

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Speaker 1: Bro, It's really bad. It's really I actually liked Browning

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last year. We cast some props on him to go

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over his passing total. Boy, as he regressed, he has

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just looked awful.

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Speaker 2: Now let's move to.

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Speaker 1: C Yeah, let's start to uh, let's look to college football,

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anything of note that we need to pay attention to,

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and then I want to get your thoughts on MLB.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll move it. I'm into Friday and quickly Saturday,

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because I do have two four percents up tonight. I

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had a strong lean on tonight's game on the side

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in the total. One of the groups I worked with

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came in on the side. Two of them came in

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on the total. So I released the package that's up

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at wager Talk for you guys. It's sign in total

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on the Sam Houston New Mexico State game. Looking at tomorrow,

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we did see some action come in on Colorado State

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at six and a half. But now I'm starting to

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see the six and a half pop up again because

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San Diego State is going to be a heavy public side.

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The recreational betters, they don't mind teasing college football, even

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though it's it's a negative BB situation.

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Speaker 2: They'll still do it.

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Speaker 3: And they're gonna tease San Diego State down to pick them,

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that's for sure. So the books are trying to limit

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their risk and they're moving that six to six and

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a half. But when they do, it's kind of getting

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picked off, so it lets them know that there is

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gonna be some Colorado State sharp action out there at

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near a touchdown Saturday action three twenty old Doming and

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minus seventeen eighteen and eighteen and a half. Three sixteen

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Appalachian State from plus two and a half to minus one.

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So they took them as a dog and laid to

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pick them as well. Three twenty one Kentucky plus the

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twenty one, three twenty five Kansas minus four four and

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a half and five three fifty two Georgia State plus twenty.

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That's opposite public money. I keep seeing the opposite on

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recreational betters for whatever reason. Three sixty Nebraska minus eleven

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three ninety six A and M minus to thirteen and

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finally a total that we bet yesterday Unlvyoming under fifty

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one and a half. So not a lot of moves

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early in the week in college football. But today is Thursday,

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and that means the totals start coming in. I talked

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about it on Ben on It that if you start

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looking at the Odds logic screen today at about nine

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am our time, which is Now, over the next couple hours,

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even into the evening, you'll start seeing a lot of

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the totals move for whatever reason Thursdays when they fire

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on legit, legit college football totals. So pay attention to

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line moves on Thursdays.

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Speaker 1: All right, Justin says in the chat, Yeah, ten is

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a lot in the NFL. All right, justin moment of truth,

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you gotta put your hard earned money on Jake b

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that's the question. So let's move to MLB. We got

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three games today. I get I gotta tell you, Yanni, I'm.

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Speaker 2: So proud of God.

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Speaker 1: Go ahead, I I just I have to say, I'm

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so proud of Tokyo Brandon. He pegged this Reds team

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total over two and a half in both of the games.

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He was like, this Dodgers bullpen's complete trash. Take the

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team total on the Dodgers opponent, and they easily hit

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it both games. I'm so proud of him and I'm

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so jealous. I didn't come up with with that bet

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on my own, but uh, keep an eye on that

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moving forward. The team total over on the Dodgers opponent

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with that bullpen.

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Speaker 3: So all right, you'll probably get good value, especially against

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their ace, like they're one and two's.

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Speaker 1: That's that was his points, Like, yeah, you get an

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ace out there and then the bullpen comes in and

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gives up two runs.

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Speaker 3: So they're not let nobody, I'm playoffs. The're letting them

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go a little bit longer. You stall the Boston do that,

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but they're pulling these guys. You know, they're not letting

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them go eight innings or anything like that. We're in

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uncharted territory for the new wild card set up because

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the trend has been the team that wins game one

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wins the series. We don't go to a game three.

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In fact, sixteen or the last twenty I think that's

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how it ended. Like the team that won game one

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ended up winning game two. That was Now we have

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three game threes. Obviously, the home team has the advantage,

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even though you know home field advantages and is big

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in Major League Baseball, and when it comes to the playoffs,

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you definitely have to factor that in. It's definitely warranted.

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So I'm not surprised to see every home team open

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as the favorite. But again San Diego and the Cubs

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coming into that series, you had already seen love for

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San Diego, so I'm not surprised to see that line drop.

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So far, what we're seeing, I haven't seen sharp action

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get really get into the window and fire. Yet I'm

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not surprised because with the playoffs, it's been happening later,

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even like an hour ninety minutes before game time, a

240
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lot coming off of after the public unloads. Because again,

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during baseball, the recreational betters, even though you know sports

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betting's blown up, it's it's still sharps first the books

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and a lot of matchups in Major League Baseball. When

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the playoffs come, that's just not the case. And they

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will influence a lot of these lines. And that's why

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I pay attention to some of the later line moves.

247
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But the signs that are being bet the most right now, Cleveland.

248
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I'm seeing like seven eight out of every ten bets

249
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come in on Cleveland and.

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Speaker 2: The Yankees.

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Speaker 3: They're taking the Yankees tonight, also over Boston. Tough series,

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tough series. They like those favorites, and again not surprising,

253
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not surprising.

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Speaker 1: All right, Joanni, it's a game show. We just have

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made a bet live in the chat, all right, all right,

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Justin's putting his money where his mouth is, so am

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I if since he covers Justin gets a three day

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package on me, if Detroit covers Justin gets a three

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day package, that package will start next Friday. That way

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you get all UFC, NFL and everything. That's a deal justin.

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This is great, this is great. This is awesome. So

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let's see anything else of note, Janni, anything else do

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you want to talk about?

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Speaker 3: I got a five percent comment in the UFC. I

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was a oh yeah, ladays. I was there Tuesday, I

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was there Wednesday. How the fighters were there?

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Speaker 4: Man?

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Speaker 3: That's what's cool when they're there for the press conferences

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and you're in there walk because they're in the makeup

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room too, so you're talking and they all want to

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know the gambling guy's opinion, you know, like who do

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you like? And even on other sports, like they ask

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about football and stuff like that. So while they're doing that,

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I'm prying for information as well, because they just see

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things I don't you know what I mean, and just

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help certain fighters match up. And it's fine because a

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lot of times they don't want to say anything negative

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about another fighter, so they don't want to even give

279
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an opinion, but they share enough that you know what

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they're saying, you know, so, yeah, I got a little

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confirmation yesterday, and I really like a fight on this

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top top top UFC three twenty car and where I'm

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at right now, if you're in Vegas, that's where they're staying.

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They're at Trump it's the UFC. No. I ran into

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half the production crew when I went down.

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Speaker 1: All right, well let's hey, let's talk UFC. We got

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00:14:37,519 --> 00:14:41,480
a message that Dave Masons sick today, apparently got sick

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in his Cubic goal in Aruba. All right, so let's

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go over some UFC leans for this weekend, Adam. Yeah,

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00:14:48,879 --> 00:14:52,399
So UFC guys a lot of big favorites. Yanni, you

291
00:14:52,399 --> 00:14:53,639
were saying, this is like a lot of guys are

292
00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:55,759
minus two to fifty minus three hundred, and you're like, yeah,

293
00:14:55,759 --> 00:14:57,360
they should win, but boy, they're making you pay a

294
00:14:57,399 --> 00:15:00,480
pretty penny. What are some fights you got your eyes on.

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00:15:00,559 --> 00:15:01,919
I'll go through some of them as well. Pull.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's where I feel like the Boscheronts, the Chasn's

297
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like where I think, like Janna Santos, I think at

298
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plus one seventy she offers value. I don't think Chassan

299
00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:15,919
should be a two to one favorite. Over anybody really

300
00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:21,519
at women's bandam weight. But real quickly as talk main event,

301
00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:25,360
I think on Calive gets it done once again defending Champ.

302
00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:28,159
We know the trend with that rematch. We know the

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00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:31,840
trend with that, and Beheta hasn't gotten any younger since

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00:15:31,919 --> 00:15:35,039
last year. I think Unclive has the answer. I like

305
00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:38,279
the Uncle Live side in the Komine event. I'm for

306
00:15:38,399 --> 00:15:41,559
whatever reason, man, I just think san Hagen's live. I'm

307
00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:45,279
on an island by myself. I've been a rob backer

308
00:15:45,399 --> 00:15:48,440
for a long time. I just think at this point

309
00:15:48,639 --> 00:15:52,120
I'm looking for an opportunity to fade them. I'm probably

310
00:15:52,519 --> 00:15:55,360
uh pick the wrong spot at least what the line

311
00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,639
movement looks like. But I got to stick to my guns.

312
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I like the Sanagen side. Another one real quickly, Emmett

313
00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:04,039
and the Law. I'm seeing a lot of love for Emmett.

314
00:16:04,039 --> 00:16:04,480
I get it.

315
00:16:04,519 --> 00:16:06,840
Speaker 2: He's got power, so he's always live.

316
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:09,879
Speaker 3: But he's now lost three of his last four fights,

317
00:16:09,879 --> 00:16:12,159
and they've been to the toughest guys. It was to Murphy,

318
00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:16,399
to Pouria Rodriguez. But those fights take a lot out

319
00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:18,440
of you. When you go five rounds with guys like that,

320
00:16:18,559 --> 00:16:20,840
and he's now forty years old. I think this is

321
00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:26,360
a nice showcase fight for Zillah. So again he's a

322
00:16:26,399 --> 00:16:27,200
minus four hundred.

323
00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:27,759
Speaker 2: He should win.

324
00:16:27,919 --> 00:16:30,360
Speaker 3: But I say that to caution betters because I see

325
00:16:30,399 --> 00:16:34,000
a lot of live dog talk about the Emmett sign,

326
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:37,080
pra Hashka, and Roundtree. I've always been wrong on Prahashka.

327
00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:40,440
I always says over valued, and he always proves me

328
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:44,440
wrong and slaps me in my face for doubting him.

329
00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,440
So for me, it's prosper past, probably for the rest

330
00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:52,720
of my life. And uh, Piper, I like Piper over ABIs. Again.

331
00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:57,360
I see the argument ABIs has got the wrestling and

332
00:16:57,399 --> 00:16:59,600
Piper hasn't really been tested there. But he's gonna be

333
00:16:59,639 --> 00:17:01,720
so hard to control even if FABS takes him down,

334
00:17:01,879 --> 00:17:04,640
and that powers to equalizer. We see ABIs get rocked again.

335
00:17:04,839 --> 00:17:06,400
So I'm sorry to go along, but I just went

336
00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:07,359
through the whole main card.

337
00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:10,519
Speaker 1: I think I want to touch on this. Josh Emmett's

338
00:17:10,519 --> 00:17:12,640
the law. I'm just waiting and waiting waiting. I'm gonna

339
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:14,880
takes the law by decision. Here's why I was going

340
00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:15,359
to ask you.

341
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:16,880
Speaker 3: I want to ask you a prophe because I want

342
00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:18,119
to bet the law I do.

343
00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:20,519
Speaker 1: It's a law by decision all day. It's law by

344
00:17:20,559 --> 00:17:24,400
decision all day, all day. Here's why I've I am

345
00:17:24,559 --> 00:17:28,720
constantly told that josh Emmett has this insane power. Okay,

346
00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:31,880
he has one knockout in his last seven fights, you

347
00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:34,680
give give me a break, and it was against a grappler.

348
00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:38,240
But it was so violent that he I mean, listen,

349
00:17:38,279 --> 00:17:41,799
he he he damaged Bryce Mitchell. Bryce Mitchell has has

350
00:17:41,839 --> 00:17:43,759
to have set after that. He's not been the same.

351
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:46,960
Uh But but one knockout in the last seven fights

352
00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:49,839
is not mean you're this insane knockout guy. He's slowed down,

353
00:17:50,079 --> 00:17:53,079
He's he's forty. My only caution is that you know

354
00:17:53,079 --> 00:17:57,200
who he's training with, TJ. Dillashaw. Oh yeah, all that

355
00:17:58,039 --> 00:18:00,559
the guy that's that's good for the old, for if

356
00:18:00,599 --> 00:18:04,359
any and Zallala is fast. I think he does exactly

357
00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:06,799
what he did to Cater last week, like stick and move,

358
00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:12,519
uses speed, get the wrestling's.

359
00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:12,920
Speaker 3: Minus one sixty and his highs two hundred.

360
00:18:13,079 --> 00:18:16,480
Speaker 1: So yeah, so I like that one. I like round Tree.

361
00:18:17,039 --> 00:18:18,680
I like round Tree as a dog. You and I

362
00:18:18,799 --> 00:18:21,960
go ahead to head. I'm I'm all aboard the morob Tree. Money.

363
00:18:22,079 --> 00:18:24,960
Speaker 3: I hope for Hushka get loses. To be honest with you,

364
00:18:25,039 --> 00:18:27,480
I want you to be right around. That line does

365
00:18:27,519 --> 00:18:30,559
look a little suspect to me. I thought because round

366
00:18:30,559 --> 00:18:32,759
Tree stock went down. His stock went up when he

367
00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:36,240
lost the behead on and then his his win, it

368
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:39,880
actually went down. So I agree with you there. And yeah, listen,

369
00:18:39,920 --> 00:18:45,200
man fading Morob, no one's gotten rich doing that. So true,

370
00:18:45,759 --> 00:18:47,519
it's not gonna be hard for you to argue the

371
00:18:47,519 --> 00:18:50,039
Morob's side. You know what I mean, I get truth.

372
00:18:51,519 --> 00:18:53,920
Speaker 1: Uh, you got a Chris Gudiera's fight. That means it's

373
00:18:53,960 --> 00:18:57,400
an over. I'm with you on Santos as a live dog.

374
00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:01,640
Patchy actually mixed. I would stay away from I see

375
00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:03,519
a lot of love for Patchie. This guy he's fighting

376
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:04,240
coming off.

377
00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:06,599
Speaker 3: You know what stucked out to me the most, what

378
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:11,119
real thin calves like from the cat the cat to

379
00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:13,440
the ankle, because he was just standing next to me

380
00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:16,799
waiting for like the valaid whatever, and like it looked

381
00:19:16,799 --> 00:19:19,640
he looked so thin there. I'm like I'd be topping

382
00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:21,240
those those cab cakes today.

383
00:19:22,519 --> 00:19:25,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, this guy's fighting is a wild card. Wick Laws.

384
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,279
This guy's wick Laws has fought the same guy five

385
00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:33,079
times in his career. It's just a really really strange one, right. Uh.

386
00:19:33,079 --> 00:19:35,960
He can do a little everything. Striking grappler. You have

387
00:19:36,039 --> 00:19:37,799
mister Paige van 'sant fighting.

388
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:41,079
Speaker 3: I saw I saw him in Page at the restaurant.

389
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:42,640
Speaker 1: Oh did you really okay?

390
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,000
Speaker 3: Pager here staying at Trump too nice?

391
00:19:46,079 --> 00:19:48,240
Speaker 1: And then uh, Brogan Walker is one of the worst

392
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,000
fighters I've ever seen in the UFC.

393
00:19:50,279 --> 00:19:53,680
Speaker 3: You can probably you're probably right, and rob By Decisions

394
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:54,400
probably the place.

395
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:59,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, uh, I would say Veronica Hardy fight over

396
00:20:00,079 --> 00:20:01,759
or two and a half rounds is minus four ten,

397
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,759
be careful with that. Broken Walkers so bad, she's so

398
00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:06,880
bad on the ground. And Veronica Hardy has got a

399
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:08,319
brilliant coach, Dan Hardy.

400
00:20:08,839 --> 00:20:12,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, and in that game.

401
00:20:12,759 --> 00:20:14,920
Speaker 1: He's gonna show her how to take Broken Walker down.

402
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:17,839
Don't be surprised if Hardy wins and blows everybody's parlays

403
00:20:17,839 --> 00:20:19,799
with that with the with the over.

404
00:20:19,599 --> 00:20:19,680
Speaker 4: So.

405
00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:23,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it's good stuff. It's you're gonna have to

406
00:20:23,759 --> 00:20:26,559
lay juice or get creative with with some of these

407
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:32,720
UFC fights. So uh uh uh do you do PFL Yeah, yes.

408
00:20:32,839 --> 00:20:36,680
Speaker 3: On occasion, like when I have time, because I handicapped. Like,

409
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,799
if any of my originator, the two that I work

410
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,160
with have a play on it, I use it. I

411
00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,839
usually piggyback it because they're they're selective there and if

412
00:20:43,839 --> 00:20:46,400
they have something historically it's done well. But I like

413
00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:49,559
when I have time the handicap, the card. You know,

414
00:20:49,599 --> 00:20:52,119
it's just when it's so many with football and everything,

415
00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:54,359
sometimes I just don't saw a pass, so I don't,

416
00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:55,839
you know, force anything.

417
00:20:56,599 --> 00:20:59,559
Speaker 1: We will have PFL plays for clients that are going

418
00:20:59,599 --> 00:21:01,920
to be a part to the UFC package. The big

419
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,000
matchup is uh Usman Nrgaman met off against Paul Hughes.

420
00:21:05,039 --> 00:21:08,640
That line is ridiculous. Minus two eighty five is laughable.

421
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:12,119
Paul Hughes is a live dog. He almost almost beat

422
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:16,559
him last time. Uh Kyla Lochran is fighting, he's making

423
00:21:16,559 --> 00:21:19,319
his PFL debut. You got Sergio Pettis who's probably gonna

424
00:21:19,319 --> 00:21:22,759
get beat. We like Archie Colgan. And then you got

425
00:21:22,799 --> 00:21:26,079
a plus three twenty underdog that we like, Slim Traub

426
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:28,599
I think it's pronounced trab beezy uh is a really

427
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:32,680
good wrestler. Here's no world he should be PLUSFL, right, yeah,

428
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:36,240
this is PFL, so so uh yeah, right, Eric, we

429
00:21:36,279 --> 00:21:38,160
did MLB. We did plenty of MLB.

430
00:21:39,519 --> 00:21:43,279
Speaker 3: TESSI betts real quick. I wish you the best of luck,

431
00:21:43,319 --> 00:21:43,680
my brother.

432
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:44,160
Speaker 2: I wish you.

433
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:45,960
Speaker 3: I wish you luck. That's a good bet you have

434
00:21:46,079 --> 00:21:48,519
in your pocket. I got the Fills in my pocket.

435
00:21:48,519 --> 00:21:51,039
I'm just gonna keep it real with you. I bet

436
00:21:51,079 --> 00:21:54,319
the Phillies earlier in the season at ten to one.

437
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:56,720
I didn't give it the subscribers because I had already

438
00:21:56,759 --> 00:22:01,519
given them Seattle and another future. But now when the

439
00:22:01,559 --> 00:22:06,079
playoffs started, I did give them the Phillies at at

440
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,720
five to one. I have the Phills. I have a

441
00:22:08,759 --> 00:22:11,039
future on the Phills, and I have a future on Seattle.

442
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,799
Those are the team I'm pulling for in the playoffs,

443
00:22:13,839 --> 00:22:17,240
so I'm biased towards both because of those big tickets.

444
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,440
But I wish you lucked, Tessie. It'll be a tough,

445
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,039
tough series Dodgers and Phills. I'll tell you that.

446
00:22:24,759 --> 00:22:28,160
Speaker 1: Last before I let you go, Yanni anything in w

447
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:32,119
n B A. I was so bummed by the way,

448
00:22:32,319 --> 00:22:33,839
what a brutal is my.

449
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:35,920
Speaker 2: Five dollars Tuesday.

450
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 3: At minus eight.

451
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:43,079
Speaker 1: I was just getting ready to say brutal beat for fever,

452
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:47,440
but what a cat is by you? Holy cow?

453
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:48,920
Speaker 2: Yeah.

454
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 1: So we got Phoenix in Vegas minus three. I see

455
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:54,039
a little bit of money on Vegas. Uh Mark was

456
00:22:54,039 --> 00:22:55,039
actually gonna be at that game.

457
00:22:55,160 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 3: Totals climbing. But I like the under. I like it's

458
00:23:00,039 --> 00:23:01,799
if I have to bet this, I'm telling you, if

459
00:23:01,799 --> 00:23:04,480
I have to bet this, I would be on Phoenix

460
00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:08,799
and under. And this is I'm in Vegas. It's tough

461
00:23:08,839 --> 00:23:12,319
to win here. This line to me is just it

462
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,359
tells me. I like Phoenix, man, I like Phoenix.

463
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 1: All right, all right, let's do it. Deianni one more time.

464
00:23:19,039 --> 00:23:20,880
What do you have up for clentsight?

465
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:24,519
Speaker 3: I got a two pack to night Side and Total

466
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:28,319
in the college football primetime game number one in college football.

467
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:30,240
We won in week zero one, in Week one one,

468
00:23:30,319 --> 00:23:32,160
Week two one, and week three one and week four.

469
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:34,880
We're gonna wow win every single week. We turned the

470
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,759
profit for every single week, and the same thing. NFL

471
00:23:37,839 --> 00:23:40,640
regular season. Didn't do good in preseason, but number one

472
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,680
in regular season. I have an NFL package for Saturday Sunday.

473
00:23:43,839 --> 00:23:46,799
I got the college football for Saturday. No need to

474
00:23:46,839 --> 00:23:49,759
fire five percent because the four percents have been so strong.

475
00:23:50,039 --> 00:23:51,640
But I do have a five percent.

476
00:23:51,319 --> 00:23:52,160
Speaker 2: In the UFC.

477
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 3: That package will be up probably within the next sixty

478
00:23:55,039 --> 00:23:58,240
minutes and Baseball as well, as soon as I confirm.

479
00:23:58,319 --> 00:24:00,960
So this is a good time to jump on for

480
00:24:01,079 --> 00:24:04,759
a longer term package because we're just so much going

481
00:24:04,799 --> 00:24:08,279
on with betting all those markets and winning as well.

482
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:09,799
So I'll take it. I'll take it.

483
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,640
Speaker 1: Yanni the Greek, thank you so much for staying on

484
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:15,240
for extended period of time. Good luck on all your bets.

485
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:19,319
We'll see everyone. We'll see him tomorrow for Football Friday again. Guys.

486
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:23,000
Football Fridays have been an absolutely just a smash it

487
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,160
Like the numbers are through the roof. On Football Fridays,

488
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,599
Teddy Covers comes on and we do sell me. He

489
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:32,160
breaks down games. We've got Marco, We've got Yanni. It

490
00:24:32,279 --> 00:24:34,720
is a massive, massive show, so make sure you're here

491
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:40,960
on a Football Friday tomorrow. Ethan was asking about McLaren

492
00:24:41,039 --> 00:24:43,640
double podium. McClaren cannot get out of their own way.

493
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,559
I just I'm not gonna be betting on McLaren and yeah,

494
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,319
Shaneian Ginsberg at the Roval in Charlotte. The only problem

495
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,559
is it's the playoffs. He's out of it. So he

496
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:53,599
might pull out of the way and just let the

497
00:24:53,839 --> 00:24:56,519
guys in the playoffs fight for it. So can't say

498
00:24:56,519 --> 00:24:58,839
I'm that excited to bet on Van Ginsberg. That being said,

499
00:24:58,839 --> 00:25:02,000
he's probably gonna win by five seconds. So we do

500
00:25:02,079 --> 00:25:05,599
have a UFC five percent best bet that is up.

501
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:09,079
We're hitting sixty percent of our five percent plays this year.

502
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:11,599
Good number. I'd like that to be about sixty five

503
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:13,119
percent by the end of the year, so we got

504
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:15,839
a few months to increase that number. But I absolutely

505
00:25:15,839 --> 00:25:18,480
love a few plays on this UFC card, So we

506
00:25:18,519 --> 00:25:21,279
got a five percent play. You can use the promo code.

507
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,240
You guys are gonna love this promo code. It's a

508
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:27,599
theme of the week. Bang ten b a G ten

509
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:30,680
get you ten dollars off this five percent UFC best

510
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,559
bet included we're gonna put in PFL bet of the

511
00:25:33,599 --> 00:25:36,079
week as well as any other plays that we have

512
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,559
in UFC. So use a promo code. Bang ten. It's

513
00:25:39,559 --> 00:25:42,839
time to bang with Andy Lang, as the saying goes,

514
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:46,240
So take advantage of that. Loving this five percent best bet.

515
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:49,079
I have already played this across multiple books with my

516
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,720
own money, and I think you guys should too, all right,

517
00:25:52,759 --> 00:25:58,240
Dan let's do all around the world. Chris Big Dog

518
00:25:58,319 --> 00:26:05,400
Allen Dan asked me to do do Big Dog in

519
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,759
the House asks me to do some props for tonight's game.

520
00:26:09,039 --> 00:26:11,920
I mentioned de Yanni. I think this is a fantastic

521
00:26:12,799 --> 00:26:16,240
a prop betting card. We're gonna get some disagreement. I

522
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,440
already see you SF Niner in the chat. You disagree

523
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,400
with the second one. Kyle us Check over nine and

524
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,279
a half receiving yards. This line is incredibly too low

525
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:26,880
yet Jennings that's out, Pierce All is out, and all

526
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:30,000
these injuries means guys like DeMarcus Robinson is gonna have

527
00:26:30,039 --> 00:26:32,599
to catch passes. Christ McCaffrey's gonna have to catch passes,

528
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:35,440
and Kyle Huscheck is gonna have to catch passes. Last week,

529
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,440
with all these injuries, this man had three catches for

530
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:40,920
thirty two yards. He can catch, He's got good hands,

531
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,200
they trust him, they will run multiple plays for him.

532
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:44,920
So I love this nine and a half yards he does.

533
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,039
He can get this with one catch. And just also

534
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:49,880
let you know how much I like this. I think

535
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,400
the books are a little confused on it because they

536
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:54,240
have his receptions at one and a half. If he

537
00:26:54,279 --> 00:26:56,000
goes over one and a half. He's going to get

538
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,119
over nine and a half receiving. So I like Matthew

539
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:02,240
Safford to throw at an interception. I know I saw in

540
00:27:02,279 --> 00:27:04,960
the chat there was some people saying we'd like him

541
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:09,240
to throw an interception. I like him not to throw

542
00:27:09,279 --> 00:27:12,279
an interception. The forty nine Ers don't have an interception

543
00:27:12,759 --> 00:27:14,799
this year, and he didn't throw an interception in either

544
00:27:14,839 --> 00:27:17,960
game against San Francisco last year. If the Rams get up,

545
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:19,440
he's not gonna throw a whole lot. It could be

546
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:23,039
a nice Blake korm and Kyraen Williams game. So I'm

547
00:27:23,079 --> 00:27:26,519
looking at Stafford to not throw an interception, and let's

548
00:27:26,519 --> 00:27:30,880
do a same game parlay. This one pays about plus

549
00:27:31,039 --> 00:27:35,759
four to eighty. Blake Koram's usage was very interesting last week,

550
00:27:35,799 --> 00:27:37,720
so I'm gonna take him to get twenty five plus

551
00:27:37,799 --> 00:27:40,079
rushing yards. The forty nine Ers gave up four point

552
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:43,599
seven yards per carry last week, and Korum got nine carries.

553
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:47,119
Kyen Williams got thirteen. Short week. I think this is

554
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,039
when they mix in multiple running backs because you don't

555
00:27:50,039 --> 00:27:52,559
want your running backs to be playing on Sunday and

556
00:27:52,559 --> 00:27:55,039
then Thursday with full workload. So I expect both guys

557
00:27:55,079 --> 00:27:57,160
to get plenty of carries. I think this number is

558
00:27:57,319 --> 00:27:59,960
really really good value. So I'll take korm to get

559
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:03,640
twenty five plus rushing yards. I'll take Stafford to throw

560
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:05,799
two plus touchdown passes. He's been throwing the ball in

561
00:28:05,839 --> 00:28:08,720
the ends on a lot seven in his last three games.

562
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:10,519
I think the Rams are able to move the ball.

563
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:14,160
And then we'll take DeMarcus Robinson forty plus receiving yards. Again,

564
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,759
no Pierce All, no Jennings, So there's gonna be guys

565
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:20,279
that come out of nowhere to get catches. DeMarcus Robinson,

566
00:28:20,319 --> 00:28:23,519
he's a sneaky ad in your fantasy leagues. So that's

567
00:28:23,559 --> 00:28:26,759
your same game. Parlay Blake Corn twenty five plus rushing,

568
00:28:27,079 --> 00:28:31,400
Stafford to throw two touchdown passes in DeMarcus Robinson forty

569
00:28:31,599 --> 00:28:38,240
plus receiving yards. All right, Dan, let's talk a little survivor.

570
00:28:38,359 --> 00:28:40,759
Normally we save the survivor talk for tomorrow, but we

571
00:28:40,799 --> 00:28:42,799
got an interesting game tonight.

572
00:28:42,839 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 2: Have a devision. We have a decision.

573
00:28:46,079 --> 00:28:54,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, So it's forty nine ers, riddled with injuries. It's

574
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:56,519
a lot going on, and so you were saying, do

575
00:28:56,640 --> 00:29:00,319
we take the Rams tonight? Make the case for taking

576
00:29:00,319 --> 00:29:00,960
the rams.

577
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, one thing real quick, Andy, when you were talking

578
00:29:04,279 --> 00:29:07,559
props there too, my ears kind of perked up because

579
00:29:08,119 --> 00:29:10,480
the thing is with this forty nine ers team, like

580
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,240
someone is going to catch the ball. They're not just

581
00:29:13,319 --> 00:29:15,319
gonna hand it off. They're gonna hand off to Christian

582
00:29:15,319 --> 00:29:18,279
macaffrey probably twenty times. But they're also going to have

583
00:29:18,319 --> 00:29:20,759
to put the ball in the air. So one thing

584
00:29:20,799 --> 00:29:23,880
that I think I'm toying with, I gotta shop around

585
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:25,640
on the number and see if I find something I

586
00:29:25,759 --> 00:29:29,160
like a little bit more. But Jake Tanjas the backup

587
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:31,920
tight end here for the San Francisco forty nine ers.

588
00:29:32,119 --> 00:29:34,839
He's filled in nicely in George Kittlestead. It's something that

589
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:38,839
Kyle Shanahan frequently uses in his offense. Now, they're kind

590
00:29:38,839 --> 00:29:41,319
of pricing you out because they got his receptions on

591
00:29:41,759 --> 00:29:44,359
DK sitting at two and a half, but minus won

592
00:29:44,519 --> 00:29:47,279
sixty two to the over. That's a fine parlay piece,

593
00:29:47,319 --> 00:29:49,359
But we're not laying minus one sixty two on a

594
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:53,119
bet the receiving yards. Again, I'd like to shop around

595
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,359
because they're hanging it at twenty nine and a half.

596
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:58,759
I lean that, but he's only averaging just over thirty

597
00:29:58,799 --> 00:30:01,440
one yards per game, and that's when they also had

598
00:30:01,519 --> 00:30:02,559
other receivers.

599
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 2: So I think anywhere in that.

600
00:30:04,039 --> 00:30:07,039
Speaker 4: Like twenty six to twenty eight range good bet for

601
00:30:07,119 --> 00:30:09,200
Jake toanjis you're eyeing a couple of different guys on

602
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,519
the other side, I think, you know, if the Rams

603
00:30:11,519 --> 00:30:13,720
do get up their nine point favorites, they'll have to

604
00:30:13,759 --> 00:30:16,839
pass the ball. Jake Tons is going to be definitely

605
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:20,000
involved in that. So four we talk survivor A little

606
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:21,799
prop there for you, Andy, I know, I knew I could.

607
00:30:22,079 --> 00:30:24,319
I could tickle your lancy there with a little with

608
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:27,559
a little backup tight end talk, baby, don't don't.

609
00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:29,559
Speaker 1: Don't you threaten me with a good time taking it

610
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,640
over on a backup tight end on Thursday Night football.

611
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:33,920
These are the ones.

612
00:30:34,799 --> 00:30:37,240
Speaker 4: Because he scored a touchdowns. The secrets kind of out,

613
00:30:37,319 --> 00:30:38,519
you know what I mean. But I think if you

614
00:30:38,559 --> 00:30:41,480
shop around on maybe like a Caesars or something like that,

615
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:45,119
you should find some better prices them with DraftKings kind

616
00:30:45,119 --> 00:30:47,400
of hanging currently, these.

617
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 1: Are the props that hit. These are the ones that

618
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:52,599
the books can't get the numbers right on, Like they're

619
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:56,559
gonna be big numbers on Justin Jefferson and Bjon Robinson,

620
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,839
but yeah, Tom Tom, just some of these other guys.

621
00:31:00,519 --> 00:31:02,599
Speaker 4: There's one time fast I listened to they call him

622
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:05,759
Ton just mcbasketball, and I don't know why.

623
00:31:05,519 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 2: It cracks me up every time.

624
00:31:07,359 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 4: So Ton just mcbasketball over is Andy uh Any thoughts

625
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,039
DeVante Adams anytime touchdown?

626
00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,440
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I'm pulling up his game log right now.

627
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,519
He has a touchdown catch in each of his first

628
00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:25,319
three games. And what's interesting is Puka's only got one. Yeah,

629
00:31:25,319 --> 00:31:28,160
Puka's only got one touchdown pass. So it's like Pooka

630
00:31:28,279 --> 00:31:30,359
moves the chains and then did they get in and

631
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:35,160
throw it? So I can't argue with it. My My

632
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:40,079
biggest problem I have with these touchdown props is the

633
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,119
numbers are are laughable, Like like trying to pick a

634
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:46,799
touchdown prop at one oh five is ridiculous, Like they

635
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,759
had they had the defensive propt like plus four fifty,

636
00:31:50,319 --> 00:31:52,400
but like in one of these things, like do you

637
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,839
how hard it is a preticted defensive touchdown, You're only

638
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,599
gonna give me plus four fifty on it. So there's

639
00:31:57,640 --> 00:31:59,640
a few touchdown props that I like. But the thing

640
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:01,519
with touch props is you have to play him every

641
00:32:01,519 --> 00:32:04,079
week like what we do with Jalen Hurts. You have

642
00:32:04,119 --> 00:32:05,640
to just you play him every week and you hope

643
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,640
that you're twelve and five at the end of the

644
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:10,160
year eleven and six. So if you're gonna play Devonte

645
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,839
Adams this week, you just play him every single week

646
00:32:13,279 --> 00:32:16,640
on the streaks and hope to be up at the How.

647
00:32:16,519 --> 00:32:21,119
Speaker 4: About the prop that keeps on giving Andy that's disgusting

648
00:32:21,279 --> 00:32:24,680
to sweat the entire game on Will Matt Stafford moved

649
00:32:24,799 --> 00:32:28,319
forward at all? Matt Stafford every week? Well, I think

650
00:32:28,319 --> 00:32:32,359
he's gone like negative three negative four Neil downs. I

651
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:36,200
think he's gone over a half yard once this year.

652
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,680
Speaker 2: So if you want to sweat.

653
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 4: Out a little minus one thirty seven on Matt Stafford

654
00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:46,599
to go under a yard, you know that's that's another

655
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:48,839
gross prop there for you that that could that.

656
00:32:48,799 --> 00:32:49,559
Speaker 2: Could be a full unch.

657
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 4: We could just make a disgusting same game parlay with

658
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:54,079
with plays.

659
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:56,279
Speaker 2: Like that, like Matt Stafford under.

660
00:32:56,400 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 4: Rush yards you know what I mean, Adams not score

661
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:05,119
a touchdown, to not score a touchdown gross.

662
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 1: I'll give you a plus one forty prop. Let's just

663
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:13,960
sit out there and nobody's paying attention to. Uh, you know,

664
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:18,599
Justin Fields doesn't throw a lot of touchdown passes, but

665
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,920
I get plus one forty for him to throw over

666
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:25,640
one and a half touchdown passes against the Cowboys. Have

667
00:33:25,759 --> 00:33:27,079
you have you seen that defense?

668
00:33:27,119 --> 00:33:29,720
Speaker 4: Everybody throws it, Andy, you could throw a touchdown against

669
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:30,400
the Cowboys.

670
00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:33,599
Speaker 1: I'm just saying, Jordan loved to throw over one and

671
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:35,400
a half was a client play last week, and that

672
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:38,960
could not have been easier. So I'm just taking quarterbacks

673
00:33:39,079 --> 00:33:44,440
against the Cowboys. Any quarterbacks look ahead, any quarterback against

674
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:47,000
that Cowboys defense. It just has to be they can't

675
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:49,759
get pressure on the quarterback and they can't guard anybody

676
00:33:49,799 --> 00:33:53,400
in the secondary. Like it's just a recipe for overs

677
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:54,000
on that one.

678
00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:56,759
Speaker 2: So all right, Andy, So what I like to look

679
00:33:56,799 --> 00:33:57,319
ahead there?

680
00:33:57,599 --> 00:33:59,799
Speaker 4: Last thing I'll say props and then we'll talk is

681
00:33:59,839 --> 00:34:02,400
this potential survivor play. I saw some people in the

682
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:05,240
chat saying they already switched from Colts to the Rams.

683
00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:07,920
I'll throw a little ice water on that. But I

684
00:34:08,079 --> 00:34:10,840
mentioned Jake Tanjis, how about a plus four to twenty

685
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:14,840
five anytime touchdown score, little sprinkles, little half unit play.

686
00:34:15,039 --> 00:34:17,360
Jake tonjis if I like him to be involved. I

687
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,119
like him to be involved towards the goal line. It

688
00:34:19,159 --> 00:34:21,840
can't all be Christian McCaffrey plus four twenty five.

689
00:34:22,159 --> 00:34:22,679
Speaker 2: Lock it in.

690
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:27,400
Speaker 4: I'm betting it myself. Jake Tanjis Tanjas mcbasketball to score.

691
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:28,920
Speaker 2: We got to figure out.

692
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 1: Where the mcbasketball's come from.

693
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:31,400
Speaker 2: I have no clue.

694
00:34:31,519 --> 00:34:33,360
Speaker 4: I have no clue where it came from, but it

695
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:36,320
gets me every time. All right, Andy, So as far

696
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:38,119
as this game is concerned, the whole reason that I'm

697
00:34:38,119 --> 00:34:39,559
on here number one because all.

698
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:40,760
Speaker 2: Of our guests bailed on us.

699
00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:43,719
Speaker 4: But number two because before the show I logged in

700
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:46,480
and I go, Andy, do we just go rams for

701
00:34:46,639 --> 00:34:50,199
Survivor tonight? Because I'll tell you what, Man, we talked

702
00:34:50,199 --> 00:34:53,199
about how like week three could potentially be a wonky week.

703
00:34:53,559 --> 00:34:55,599
You know Week two is usually overreaction week where it

704
00:34:55,599 --> 00:34:59,239
gets wonky. This board is a landmine of games, you

705
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:02,320
know what I mean. Like, it's really great betting ats board,

706
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:04,519
but as far as calling your shot, picking your winner,

707
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:08,079
it's a tough week to do so. And you know,

708
00:35:08,119 --> 00:35:10,480
I'm looking at some of the bigger favorites. So what

709
00:35:10,519 --> 00:35:14,320
we got the Indianapolis Colts against the Las Vegas Raiders.

710
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:17,760
That one could be worth a look. Arizona against Tennessee.

711
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:21,519
Speaker 1: I that's your number one on bet online right now.

712
00:35:21,599 --> 00:35:24,960
It's it's thirty of submissions are on the Cardinals.

713
00:35:25,039 --> 00:35:27,960
Speaker 4: I think Arizona probably wins that game by a field goal.

714
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:29,719
I don't think they cover. So when I don't think

715
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:32,000
a team covers a big spread, it makes me a

716
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:35,440
little bit worried to be laying them. You know, in Survivor,

717
00:35:36,199 --> 00:35:39,039
you got Detroit their road favorites. That's the other one

718
00:35:39,039 --> 00:35:42,880
that I'm toying, like, there's there is there is infinite

719
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:45,400
amount of universes Andy, and I don't know if there's

720
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:50,159
one of those universes where Detroit loses to Cincinnati.

721
00:35:49,599 --> 00:35:51,199
Speaker 2: Like like you know, you know what I mean.

722
00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:56,559
Speaker 4: I know, like Cincinnati bad, But not only are they bad, Andy,

723
00:35:56,639 --> 00:35:59,480
the effort is not there. And Jake Browning I kind

724
00:35:59,519 --> 00:36:02,480
of feel for because the offensive line is what's absolutely

725
00:36:02,639 --> 00:36:04,880
killing him. Like he was capable of the year he

726
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,639
came in because the offensive line was holding him down.

727
00:36:07,679 --> 00:36:10,079
This year he's just running for his life. And then

728
00:36:10,119 --> 00:36:12,840
you got Buffalo against New England. That's an eight and

729
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:17,280
a half point favorite. So I toyed Andy with just saying,

730
00:36:17,559 --> 00:36:18,920
you know, we did it the other week when I

731
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:21,400
was like, I'm just doing Buffalo. Let me lock it in,

732
00:36:21,679 --> 00:36:24,400
let me just move on with my life on a

733
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:29,360
Thursday night football. For this one, though, here's something that

734
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,639
gives me a little bit of pause, is yes, the

735
00:36:31,679 --> 00:36:33,000
line has completely moved.

736
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:34,639
Speaker 2: What was it was like four? Then it was up

737
00:36:34,639 --> 00:36:35,800
to five and a half, six and a half.

738
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:41,400
Speaker 4: Yeah're looking at the Rams minus nine. Shanahan has absolutely

739
00:36:41,559 --> 00:36:45,840
dominated McVay, and this feels like one of those spots

740
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:51,159
where if Shanahan really is just better than McVay, that's

741
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:53,880
not a fluke. This is one of those spots where

742
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,920
it's rallied the troops in some way, somehow they pull something.

743
00:36:56,679 --> 00:36:57,400
Speaker 2: Out of their ass.

744
00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:00,960
Speaker 4: So here, how about the fact that Mike Shanahan, or

745
00:37:01,039 --> 00:37:03,719
excuse me, Kyle Shanahan. It would be incredible if Mike

746
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:09,239
Shanahan there but Shanahan ten and five straight up, nine

747
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:14,599
and six against the number when they's looking to have revenge.

748
00:37:14,679 --> 00:37:17,960
They lost both games last year, really rough year for them,

749
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,800
nine and one straight up eight and two, when his

750
00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:23,920
Niners currently have a winning record, like this is a

751
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:27,400
really good Shanahan spot. And that's not just ats numbers.

752
00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:29,719
We're talking about nine and one straight up trends and

753
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:32,599
ten and five straight up trends. So I toyed with

754
00:37:32,639 --> 00:37:36,280
it with you, Andy, to start the show. I wouldn't

755
00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:38,159
be shocked that this is one of those weird Thursday

756
00:37:38,199 --> 00:37:40,480
night football games. I'm not betting San Francisco on the

757
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:43,480
money line, but I think I would be kicking myself

758
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:46,480
if I used a Thursday night football game, a division

759
00:37:46,559 --> 00:37:48,719
game that the line got out of hand, and I

760
00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:51,800
lose on a game that I know Shanahan has a

761
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:53,119
leg up on McVeagh.

762
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:56,239
Speaker 2: Good luck to those who are switching picks to the rams.

763
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:57,360
Speaker 1: You're not doing on.

764
00:37:57,159 --> 00:38:00,119
Speaker 4: Friday, we decide what we're picking. I can't do it, Andy,

765
00:38:00,639 --> 00:38:04,840
Oh wow, all right, Teas. I know. It was just

766
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:07,039
it was it was as as the show was going

767
00:38:07,039 --> 00:38:08,800
on and you and Johnny were kicking stuff around. I

768
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:10,519
was like, let me look up, because I was like,

769
00:38:10,599 --> 00:38:13,280
I think I remember like Shanahan kind of beats up

770
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,760
McVay a little bit. And then I started pulling the numbers.

771
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:17,920
Those those two trends that I got was from our

772
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:22,760
friend Mark Lawrence. You know that that does give me pause,

773
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:24,920
Like that's a big enough sample sized Andy that where

774
00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:27,920
there's fire, there's smoking. Yeah, there's no there's no troops there,

775
00:38:28,119 --> 00:38:30,039
But there was also no troops the other week where

776
00:38:30,079 --> 00:38:32,760
I loved San Francisco with Mac Jones as the quarterback.

777
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:35,000
When the line moved against them, they win that game

778
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:39,880
out right, So you know, good luck to those who

779
00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:40,440
are doing it.

780
00:38:40,599 --> 00:38:43,199
Speaker 2: I can't on Thursday night football. I'm just going matan

781
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:44,679
just mcbasketball touchdown.

782
00:38:46,639 --> 00:38:51,159
Speaker 1: Lord King Guru says, Dan, you're overthinking it. Just trendso

783
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:53,480
matter when says hey man.

784
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:54,760
Speaker 2: I agree, I agree.

785
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 4: But in the chat for for the most for the

786
00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:01,679
most part, I have one thousand percent three with Lord

787
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:03,800
King Guru. And with a name like that, how could

788
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,079
you not agree with the He's not only kings, not

789
00:39:06,119 --> 00:39:08,880
only a king, he is also a guru. So I

790
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:12,320
do agree with you, and I'm not I'm not a oh.

791
00:39:12,519 --> 00:39:14,880
I put all my eggs in the trends basket. I

792
00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:17,679
think people fall into that way too much. But when

793
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:19,480
I look at some of these trends, I'm not looking

794
00:39:19,519 --> 00:39:22,800
at who's good on grass on Wednesday nights when it's raining.

795
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:23,119
Speaker 2: You know what?

796
00:39:23,159 --> 00:39:25,159
Speaker 4: I mean, like, I'm looking at things like this where

797
00:39:25,159 --> 00:39:28,800
it's clear domination from one coach over another, and you

798
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:32,159
can say, oh, they're decimated. There's still NFL players that

799
00:39:32,199 --> 00:39:34,719
are on this roster, Like, I think that's one thing

800
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,599
where maybe we, uh we turn a blind eye and

801
00:39:37,639 --> 00:39:41,079
put too much stock into injuries. These injuries are spread

802
00:39:41,119 --> 00:39:43,880
out all over. There's maybe a cluster injury here and there.

803
00:39:44,039 --> 00:39:47,239
Cluster injury would be in the in the wide receiver

804
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:50,719
corps for this San Francisco forty nine ers team, but

805
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:53,719
they're not a let's air it out in pass first

806
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,960
offense anyways. And they do have a capable back who

807
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,400
can who can get things, you know, in the flat

808
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:02,519
and move it down. So Lord King Guru, I typically

809
00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:05,440
would agree with you in that sense. Maybe I am

810
00:40:05,519 --> 00:40:08,920
overthinking at a week five of survivor I'm still alive.

811
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:11,519
This is when you do maybe do a little over

812
00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:14,360
analysis because there's other games on the board that I

813
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,920
still like, why force myself into it? If this is

814
00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:20,159
week sixteen and I only have rams, Oh my god,

815
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:22,960
we did amazing, right, But I got the Coltons, I

816
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:27,239
got the Lions, I got you know, it's the Buffalo Bills.

817
00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:29,199
I mean, I use them, but there's some some other

818
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:31,679
spots that you can pick. So that's the thought for me.

819
00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:33,599
And I don't know, let's circle.

820
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:35,719
Speaker 2: Back, Dandy. Maybe there is an outright winner for the

821
00:40:35,760 --> 00:40:36,559
forty nine ers.

822
00:40:36,679 --> 00:40:38,559
Speaker 4: And then and then I will bow to the Lord

823
00:40:38,639 --> 00:40:40,800
King Guru and say told you so.

824
00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:44,800
Speaker 1: My good sir, I got a sneaky, disgusting one. And

825
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:50,920
that's the Houston Texans. I was thinking at Baltimore, that's

826
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:54,280
gonna be no defense. This is a bit. This is

827
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:57,760
a brutal, brutal week that Texans defense is good and

828
00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:00,719
their offense is good enough to score on that decimated

829
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:04,760
defense of Baltimore. I see zero injuries in the bed

830
00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:07,280
online contest for Houston. That's that's stunny.

831
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, because it's the road.

832
00:41:09,559 --> 00:41:12,480
Speaker 4: You had a team who has now flipped complete favorites.

833
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:14,199
Speaker 2: It's a giant line move there.

834
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:17,199
Speaker 4: But but that's something A contest pick for me is

835
00:41:17,199 --> 00:41:19,280
going to be Houston, you know, even if I have

836
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:22,000
to lay the two simply because I think there's there's

837
00:41:22,039 --> 00:41:24,519
more going on than just the injuries for Baltimore. I

838
00:41:24,559 --> 00:41:26,920
think a lot of people aren't discussing that whole blow

839
00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:30,039
up that happened on the sidelines between Lamar, between Harbaugh

840
00:41:30,079 --> 00:41:32,679
and and you know, Lamar ends up sitting out. Clearly

841
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:35,360
the injury was, you know, a little smoke where there's

842
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:36,039
fire there.

843
00:41:36,079 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 2: But uh, yeah, I'm with you.

844
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:39,079
Speaker 4: I don't know if I could do it in Survivor

845
00:41:39,159 --> 00:41:41,119
because I already got yelled at by Kelly. I was like,

846
00:41:41,159 --> 00:41:43,039
I kind of want to take New Orleans and Survivor.

847
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:45,400
I love New Orleans. This week to beat the giants.

848
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:47,320
I think they get their first win. New Orleans isn't

849
00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:50,239
gonna go winless, folks, They're just not They're not going

850
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:53,039
on in seventeen. We're going to win one game. I

851
00:41:53,079 --> 00:41:57,199
think the one game is. People are really overrating how

852
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:00,599
good Jackson Dart looked because it was us the new

853
00:42:00,679 --> 00:42:03,519
shiny toy. The passing yards weren't that great, you know,

854
00:42:03,599 --> 00:42:06,320
the Reids weren't that great. He made really good decisions

855
00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:08,519
running when he had to, But you were doing that

856
00:42:08,559 --> 00:42:08,920
at home.

857
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 2: Now you're going on the road to a very hostile place. Yet.

858
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:14,519
Speaker 4: Do I love Spencer Ratler No, I think he's disgusting.

859
00:42:14,599 --> 00:42:16,719
But I think we're getting a little bit ahead of ourselves.

860
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,960
And you have the kind of internal thing where you

861
00:42:20,039 --> 00:42:23,079
lose your best player in elite neighbors too. Oh we

862
00:42:23,119 --> 00:42:25,079
have other guys who can step up. We have Camp Scattabo.

863
00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:27,360
There's still all rookies that are going to one of

864
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:30,079
the hardest places in the NFL to play. I don't

865
00:42:30,119 --> 00:42:33,000
care who's on the other side. It's a screamer New

866
00:42:33,079 --> 00:42:35,599
Orleans spot. So uh so we'll decide what.

867
00:42:38,159 --> 00:42:41,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're just just would like to point out to

868
00:42:41,599 --> 00:42:43,400
the where to the part of the NFL season where

869
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:45,639
people are spending a lot of their fab free agency

870
00:42:45,679 --> 00:42:53,239
budget on Darius Slayton, then DeMarcus Washington or DeMarcus Robins.

871
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:56,599
So that's where we are right now in the NFL.

872
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,599
So all right, guys, Dan, thank you so much. You

873
00:43:00,079 --> 00:43:01,679
you threw it for Loop. I thought you were coming

874
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:03,000
on and taking the rams, but.

875
00:43:03,119 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 2: I thought so too.

876
00:43:04,119 --> 00:43:06,360
Speaker 4: I thought so too, and then I saw those numbers

877
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:08,440
and then I was like, wait, it's Thursday night football,

878
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:10,760
and weird shit happens in Thursday night football.

879
00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 1: So that was stuff, all right? All right? Special thanks

880
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:18,559
to the guest on Today show.

881
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:26,719
Speaker 4: Bave Mai Joe's m i A. So you're stuck with

882
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:30,559
Andy and so you can Thanks Agle.

883
00:43:31,880 --> 00:43:35,039
Speaker 1: Today was banging with lang in here. So yeah, So

884
00:43:35,159 --> 00:43:38,079
shout out to all of our guests today, h shout

885
00:43:38,079 --> 00:43:40,320
out to Chat. You guys were the real MVP today.

886
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:42,679
You guys crushed it. Thank you so much. And again,

887
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:46,239
Football Friday is tomorrow the most important episode of the

888
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:47,920
show that we do every single week. We're gonna get

889
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:50,880
you ready for Saturday and Sunday again. Don't forget to

890
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:54,960
use the promo code bang ten. That's bang ten gets

891
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892
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893
00:44:00,039 --> 00:44:02,880
best bets and any PFL bets that we have. There's

894
00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:05,679
gonna be multiple multiple bets. And our week week five

895
00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:09,400
NFL Props pack just went up that includes every single

896
00:44:09,599 --> 00:44:13,199
NFL prop that we have for Sunday and Monday, coming

897
00:44:13,199 --> 00:44:15,840
off of a three and oh stretch in the primetime games.

898
00:44:16,119 --> 00:44:18,440
Let's get this, let's get the street going good. All right,

899
00:44:18,440 --> 00:44:20,360
Thanks everyone for joining us. Good luck on all your

900
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:23,320
bets tonight. Good luck if you're in play on the

901
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:26,400
rams in Survivor, We're gonna do it again tomorrow. Good luck.

902
00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:26,840
Take care,

