1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,040
Speaker 1: You are la. Welcome to the Blitz Free plays for

2
00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:08,919
Week five in college football, coming right up to absolutely

3
00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:12,119
massive games set to take place on Saturday, number six

4
00:00:12,199 --> 00:00:15,199
Oregon at number three Penn State and number seventeen Alabama

5
00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,879
at number five Georgia. We will of course be talking

6
00:00:17,879 --> 00:00:20,120
about both here today, and if you are watching us

7
00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,800
live here on the wage talk YouTube channel, start firing

8
00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:27,679
off those questions right now, because any other game you

9
00:00:27,719 --> 00:00:29,800
want us to talk about, we will be happy to do.

10
00:00:29,879 --> 00:00:32,799
So all you have to do is comment down below

11
00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:35,640
here to help me break down all these matchups. As always,

12
00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,520
Ralph Michaels and Ross Benjamin, two of the very best

13
00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:40,960
at wage talk dot Com. Ralph, I'm gonna go to

14
00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:43,759
you first here for number six Oregon at number three

15
00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:48,079
Penn State, Nitney Lyons head coach James Franklin. If we

16
00:00:48,119 --> 00:00:50,840
all know that he comes big game, James comes up

17
00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:55,200
small in these situations one and eighteen straight up against

18
00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:59,079
ap top five opponents. So my question to you, somewhat sarcastically,

19
00:00:59,359 --> 00:01:01,960
is how how happy is James Franklin, Ralph that Oregon's

20
00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:04,239
ranked number six in the country coming into this gameas yam.

21
00:01:04,799 --> 00:01:08,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, you know semantics you know to me, To me,

22
00:01:08,879 --> 00:01:11,480
Oregon is clearly a top five team, and that's what's

23
00:01:11,519 --> 00:01:13,959
important on the field here. You know, you look James

24
00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:16,480
Franklin as a favorite, he's a bully. He's sixty four

25
00:01:16,519 --> 00:01:18,920
percent in lifetime as a favorite of seven and a

26
00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:22,280
half or more. But when he's between the fours in

27
00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:25,040
a closely match game, he's only six and ten straight

28
00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,879
up and five and eleven against the spread. But I

29
00:01:27,879 --> 00:01:32,400
do want to mention this whole teams between the Nines,

30
00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,480
when both teams are ap top ten, This goes all

31
00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:39,599
the way back to twenty fifteen. Home teams are actually

32
00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:42,879
seventy one percent against the spread. So that is AP

33
00:01:43,079 --> 00:01:46,359
top ten teams lined between the Nines and a total

34
00:01:46,359 --> 00:01:50,400
over forty six. That is, you know, every team, every

35
00:01:50,439 --> 00:01:54,079
top ranked team moving on since that time. But I

36
00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,560
look at this and I say, you know, Dan Lanning's

37
00:01:57,640 --> 00:02:01,480
stats for Oregon have been done. To me, they are

38
00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:07,319
the number one best statistical profile team on offense. Their

39
00:02:07,359 --> 00:02:10,919
offense is averaging one hundred and ninety nine yards more

40
00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:13,479
versus their opponents than their opponents that have lowed to

41
00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:17,000
their other foes. Their defense is holding opponents to one

42
00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:21,000
hundred and fifty five yards less than they've averaged against

43
00:02:21,039 --> 00:02:24,919
other foes. Those are number eight and number ten in

44
00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,960
the country. Oh yeah, and then the rich get richer.

45
00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:31,919
They're getting back three players this week, which they haven't

46
00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:36,319
had the last few weeks, including running back Noah Whittington.

47
00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:38,879
Remember Whittington was the guy last year in the Big

48
00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:42,280
twelve Big Ten championship game that ran for eighty some

49
00:02:42,479 --> 00:02:45,639
yards on fourteen or fifteen carries. So he's a big

50
00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:49,159
get back for them. I'm not going to be on

51
00:02:49,199 --> 00:02:52,599
this game. I will be very excited to watch this game.

52
00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:55,319
I'm not really wild about the Oregon. Oregon did a

53
00:02:55,319 --> 00:02:58,719
big press release on their uniforms to match the white

54
00:02:58,759 --> 00:03:02,039
out of Penn State, but to me, it is just

55
00:03:02,159 --> 00:03:06,599
that until James Franklin proves to me he can coach

56
00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:08,840
a team that can win a big game, I cannot

57
00:03:08,879 --> 00:03:10,360
be on him. I like Oregon.

58
00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,919
Speaker 1: Okay, we had an interesting comment there, ross from Jacob

59
00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:18,840
Hefner in the chat Penn State wins by three hooks,

60
00:03:18,879 --> 00:03:21,960
the Penn State backers and Oregon money line public loses

61
00:03:22,039 --> 00:03:24,879
as well. I don't know that really threading the needle there.

62
00:03:25,039 --> 00:03:27,919
Jacob is just his thought, what do you think about

63
00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:29,960
this game? You know, so much focus is gonna be

64
00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,639
on Franklin, rightly so about his lousy record of these

65
00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,120
big games. But do we trust on Tay Moore, the

66
00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:38,840
Oregon quarterback going on the road, because he's yet to

67
00:03:38,919 --> 00:03:42,599
prove it, you know, an any of his previous stops.

68
00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:46,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, neither one of these teams has played anybody.

69
00:03:46,199 --> 00:03:49,080
I mean, I guess you could say, uh, you know,

70
00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:53,319
at least Oregon played a power for a conference team

71
00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:58,280
in who deep Oklahoma State. They played two actually Oklahoma

72
00:03:58,319 --> 00:04:02,080
State in Northwestern, but two bottom of a barrel Power

73
00:04:02,199 --> 00:04:02,919
four teams.

74
00:04:02,919 --> 00:04:06,319
Speaker 4: And you know, I like Penn State.

75
00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:11,120
Speaker 3: Here somewhere, I'm hearing whispered in my ear, Teddy Covers

76
00:04:11,199 --> 00:04:15,400
is telling me Ross don't take Penn State the big

77
00:04:15,439 --> 00:04:18,879
game against a ranked team, especially the top ten. And

78
00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:21,759
he's been right up until this point. But if we

79
00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:24,399
know about it, everybody else knows about it, right, And

80
00:04:24,439 --> 00:04:28,399
I see the money coming in on Oregon in this matchup.

81
00:04:28,519 --> 00:04:31,639
I like Penn State's quarterback a hell of a lot

82
00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:35,639
more than I like Dante more So, I don't think

83
00:04:35,639 --> 00:04:37,639
a lot of people are paying attention to that. And

84
00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,000
also this Penn State defense has been awfully good in

85
00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:44,199
their first three games, and Penn State, by the way,

86
00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:49,680
three and zero and a plus six turnover differentially, so

87
00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:53,120
both of these teams are eerily similar. I mean, you

88
00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,720
look at Oregon there plus four in the turnover department.

89
00:04:57,000 --> 00:05:00,120
They've also played outstanding defense in their first four. But

90
00:05:00,199 --> 00:05:04,319
the common theme is neither team has played anybody worth

91
00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:10,800
a who but Penn State at home. Everybody's gonna say,

92
00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:15,199
we'll be hearing this James Franklin thing Brian for the

93
00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:17,439
next couple of days, and I'm sure we'll hear it

94
00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:20,040
on Saturday morning with all the talking heads.

95
00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:23,560
Speaker 4: I'm going with Penn State. The hell would everybody Penn

96
00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:24,759
State minus three?

97
00:05:25,399 --> 00:05:29,560
Speaker 1: All right, little conflict here to start the program? Maybe

98
00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:31,680
I would have to break the tie. I guess here

99
00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:34,519
because we have one Oregon one. I don't think this

100
00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,920
game is gonna make my card in full canner. But

101
00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:40,600
I'll tell you this, guys, I'm kinda look, this is

102
00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:45,240
a It's interesting because we would before the season. It

103
00:05:45,399 --> 00:05:48,160
wasn't significantly different, but Penn State was favored by more.

104
00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,360
This is kind of a good number relative to the

105
00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:55,319
look Ahead and look Aler I agree. Ross alluded to

106
00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:57,399
it that I like Alor even though he has shown

107
00:05:57,439 --> 00:05:58,879
up very big and big games of the quarterback for

108
00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:00,920
Penn State. But I do like him more than Dante more.

109
00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:04,240
I would give a slight lean to Penn State here

110
00:06:04,319 --> 00:06:07,319
in the white out. Don't think it's gonna make my card? Yes,

111
00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:09,920
go ahead, Ross, That a boy, Brian, That's all I

112
00:06:09,959 --> 00:06:10,839
was saying.

113
00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:14,360
Speaker 3: Oh, when I say that with everybody else, I don't

114
00:06:14,399 --> 00:06:14,639
mean you.

115
00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:16,079
Speaker 4: Well, I love you.

116
00:06:16,079 --> 00:06:20,040
Speaker 2: You know, Vegas on our side. You know, last week

117
00:06:20,079 --> 00:06:23,399
we talked about LSU night games at Death Valley, I get.

118
00:06:23,519 --> 00:06:27,399
I give a six point home edge Penn State white outs. Again,

119
00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:29,519
I I give a five and a half point home

120
00:06:29,639 --> 00:06:31,519
edge to Penn State on white out. So for those

121
00:06:31,519 --> 00:06:35,279
Penn State fans, it truly is special when they have

122
00:06:35,319 --> 00:06:36,120
a whiteout game.

123
00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:40,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, we shall seek in Franklin finally win one of

124
00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:44,199
these games and get the proverbial monkey off his back.

125
00:06:44,319 --> 00:06:47,199
Adam one of our top commenters each and every week

126
00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:51,000
here on the program. Let's stick in the big ten here, Ross,

127
00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:55,279
what do you say Illinois against USC now? Last week

128
00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:58,160
on the show? Correct me if I'm wrong, sir, I

129
00:06:58,199 --> 00:07:00,639
may have misremembered here. You and I talked about when

130
00:07:00,639 --> 00:07:02,120
we were talking about the the three of us were

131
00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:05,439
talking about Illinois and Indiana, and I think the gen

132
00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,920
the consensus among the three of us is like, eh,

133
00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:10,680
not a great spot for Illinois, But this line is

134
00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:12,920
kind of getting a little heavy on Indiana. All the

135
00:07:12,959 --> 00:07:15,040
money was coming in in Indiana. Well, it turns out

136
00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:16,800
if that line would have been steamed up to minus

137
00:07:16,839 --> 00:07:19,040
fifty two, you still would have been okay with INDI

138
00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:22,439
head on Saturday, because boy did they beat the doors

139
00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:23,519
off Illinois.

140
00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:24,040
Speaker 3: Yeah.

141
00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:27,439
Speaker 1: Now, Illinois is a big home dog against USC. I

142
00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:29,839
can't play USC at this price. I thought for sure

143
00:07:29,879 --> 00:07:32,920
this would be a smash spot on USC. Not anymore,

144
00:07:32,959 --> 00:07:34,560
not a minus seven on the road. They don't win

145
00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:35,720
on the road often.

146
00:07:36,959 --> 00:07:43,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, if if you predicted that Indiana was gonna blow

147
00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:47,319
out Illinois by that margin, raise your hand and now

148
00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:50,480
put it down because you're a damn liar. And the

149
00:07:50,519 --> 00:07:53,480
bottom line is is that Look, I think this is

150
00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:58,480
a classic overreaction. This This Illinois program right now under

151
00:07:58,519 --> 00:08:02,600
Brett Bielima has been a pre program. I think that

152
00:08:02,879 --> 00:08:07,959
USC has feasted on some weaker competition. I think USC

153
00:08:08,199 --> 00:08:10,279
is very good, but not to the point where they're.

154
00:08:10,199 --> 00:08:11,879
Speaker 4: Laying this kind of number on the road.

155
00:08:11,959 --> 00:08:14,800
Speaker 3: I look for Illinois to have a big bounce back

156
00:08:14,839 --> 00:08:18,720
here at the very least, Brian, I see them keeping

157
00:08:18,759 --> 00:08:21,759
this very competitive and being a one score game. So

158
00:08:22,879 --> 00:08:25,120
I'm not going to have a pick on this game,

159
00:08:25,319 --> 00:08:28,240
but my lean would be on take the home underdog

160
00:08:28,319 --> 00:08:28,879
in this spot.

161
00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:33,000
Speaker 1: Ralph Michael certainly knows the trends better than anyone. Ralph,

162
00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,799
a trend that maybe you have available or something similar.

163
00:08:35,919 --> 00:08:38,639
USC I believe, going back to eat where they joined

164
00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:41,799
the Big Ten is oero for their last six against

165
00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:45,559
the spread when favored by more than five against the

166
00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:46,799
conference opponent.

167
00:08:46,639 --> 00:08:47,360
Speaker 5: On the road.

168
00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:52,200
Speaker 1: This is also a noon Eastern time kickoff. With this

169
00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:55,559
conference expansion, we've seen that, right these West Coast teams

170
00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:58,039
do better in the late night kickoffs, and then the

171
00:08:58,039 --> 00:08:59,919
East Coast teams do better in the early kickoffs. What

172
00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:04,279
do you think here, Ralph, USC? Obviously there's not much

173
00:09:04,399 --> 00:09:07,759
value on the Trojans after what happened to Illinois last week.

174
00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:12,159
Speaker 2: Well, you look at last year. USC went to Michigan

175
00:09:12,279 --> 00:09:15,279
lost twenty seven to twenty four. They went to Minnesota

176
00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:18,240
lost twenty four to seventeen, and then they played other

177
00:09:18,279 --> 00:09:23,039
two road games at Washington and UCLA. I did read

178
00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:26,879
in the newsletter, Brian, I don't have this stat but

179
00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:31,919
it had USC as one in thirteen ats in the

180
00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:36,519
Eastern and Central time zones. You emphasized with the new start.

181
00:09:37,039 --> 00:09:39,080
That is an issue for me. If this were a

182
00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:42,600
night game, I'd have no problems playing USC anywhere, but

183
00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:45,879
having a nine am clock for these kind of USC kids,

184
00:09:45,919 --> 00:09:49,279
that USC is still a Prima Donna school, you still

185
00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:51,399
have stars, and that was always the problem. They didn't

186
00:09:51,399 --> 00:09:54,080
have enough discipline. This is the kind of situation that

187
00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,480
would scare me under the older jeans. We'll see how

188
00:09:57,919 --> 00:10:01,360
Lincoln Riley does handle it. But I cannot get to

189
00:10:01,399 --> 00:10:05,440
the Illinois side. Illinois, we think they're a defensive team

190
00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:08,200
that wants to run the ball, but they allowed four

191
00:10:08,279 --> 00:10:12,480
hundred and thirty eight yards Woo Duke. They allowed five

192
00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:18,279
hundred and seventy nine yards last week to Indiana. When

193
00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:21,399
you allow one thousand yards to two teams like that,

194
00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:24,200
and now you have one of the top five offenses

195
00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:29,159
in the country traveling to visit you, I don't think

196
00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:32,840
Illinois can keep up with USC scoring. So now can

197
00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:37,080
USC stop Illinois. Well, remember last week they were on

198
00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:39,360
the road only one hundred and sixty one yards, the

199
00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:42,679
week before only three hundred and fifty eight yards. So

200
00:10:42,759 --> 00:10:45,320
I am not excited at all about that. I do

201
00:10:45,480 --> 00:10:49,120
lean with USC team total, but the early start time

202
00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:52,600
does have me not leaning with USC for the game.

203
00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:54,320
I'm not going to get to the window with the

204
00:10:54,399 --> 00:10:56,519
USC team total because again, if they get off to

205
00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:59,159
a slow start, it's something I will look to low.

206
00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:02,840
I bet it does come out ready to play for

207
00:11:02,879 --> 00:11:06,279
a noon kickoff, goes down the field, gets some momentum

208
00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:08,960
and is playing well early on their first drive, I'll

209
00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:10,519
look to live bet that team total.

210
00:11:11,000 --> 00:11:13,080
Speaker 1: I like that look a lot Ralph live betting the

211
00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:15,519
team total. This is a USC offense, guys. Granted, of

212
00:11:15,519 --> 00:11:17,240
course this time of year, you always have to consider

213
00:11:17,279 --> 00:11:19,720
the level of competition they face. USC is number one

214
00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:22,440
in yards per play on offense, averaging nine point three,

215
00:11:22,879 --> 00:11:25,440
So that's a hefty number against an Illinois defense that

216
00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:30,200
obviously was shredded by Indianna last week. We've got some

217
00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:33,399
questions rolling in. Keep them coming, guys in the chat. Again,

218
00:11:33,759 --> 00:11:35,559
doesn't have to be just the big games. Any game

219
00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:37,320
you want to know about. If you just want us

220
00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:41,279
to hopefully agree with you on your bet, send those

221
00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:44,600
questions our way, and we got one all. My boy

222
00:11:44,759 --> 00:11:48,320
Jay Buff is in the house here. He really likes

223
00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:53,440
South Alabama and app State. Any opinions on either game.

224
00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:57,080
I like app State against Boise State, I'll tell you

225
00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:58,639
that much. Ralphi, You're raising the pen.

226
00:12:00,159 --> 00:12:01,200
Speaker 2: My best bet today.

227
00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:02,559
Speaker 1: Okay, there you go.

228
00:12:02,759 --> 00:12:03,120
Speaker 4: That's right.

229
00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:04,320
Speaker 2: Best bets coming up.

230
00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:06,639
Speaker 1: At the end of the show, we were a half

231
00:12:06,799 --> 00:12:09,519
point away from a three and oh sweep and I

232
00:12:09,639 --> 00:12:10,480
was the guilty party.

233
00:12:10,519 --> 00:12:12,960
Speaker 2: I'll be talking about that later on Ross.

234
00:12:12,960 --> 00:12:15,200
Speaker 1: I know you know what, though, Ross got a little lucky,

235
00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:17,360
so I guess we can't up with that Oklahoma safety

236
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:18,279
on his so.

237
00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:22,440
Speaker 3: I had it all the way Brian Kelly's ass.

238
00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:23,360
Speaker 2: That's all that matters.

239
00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:29,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love Kelly, man, it's she's just been on

240
00:12:29,159 --> 00:12:30,960
the other side of some of the stuff that I've

241
00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:32,200
liked in recent weeks.

242
00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:35,000
Speaker 4: But doesn't she doesn't know what she's doing, that's.

243
00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:38,120
Speaker 1: Right, absolutely does What do you think Ross? Any thoughts

244
00:12:38,159 --> 00:12:39,960
on those two games? As we go to the group

245
00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:40,519
of five.

246
00:12:41,399 --> 00:12:46,600
Speaker 3: Grass Grown then Candy capped these two games. Honestly, nothing

247
00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:51,480
like they were in years past Boise. You know, I

248
00:12:51,759 --> 00:12:54,919
guess they were ranked early on because of their reputation,

249
00:12:55,600 --> 00:13:00,200
but that quickly got dissipated after their performance again in

250
00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:01,559
South Florida and the openers.

251
00:13:01,639 --> 00:13:04,360
Speaker 4: So in the South Ala the Sun Belt to.

252
00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:09,559
Speaker 3: Me, I just I find that for me historically, and

253
00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:12,320
I don't know be interested to hear you and Ralph's

254
00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:16,000
thoughts here. Brian, you get a conference once in a

255
00:13:16,039 --> 00:13:20,279
while you just are not on top of it. Just

256
00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:23,360
seems that you just can't press the right buttons and

257
00:13:23,399 --> 00:13:27,840
the Sun Belts that for me, so I usually stay

258
00:13:27,879 --> 00:13:29,320
away from Sun Belt games.

259
00:13:30,519 --> 00:13:31,240
Speaker 2: Well, I'll tell you what.

260
00:13:31,279 --> 00:13:33,799
Speaker 1: I've had some success in the old Fun Belt before

261
00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:37,240
ross myself. Of course South Alabama for those who don't know. Again,

262
00:13:37,759 --> 00:13:39,320
Ralph pardon me, is gonna have his free play that

263
00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:42,080
game is they visit North Texas, a North Texas team

264
00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:44,639
that I think it might be a decent bet to

265
00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:48,480
make get that G five spot in the College Football Playoff.

266
00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:49,519
We'll see what Ralph has to say.

267
00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:51,559
Speaker 4: A lot of what Brian, I take that back.

268
00:13:51,639 --> 00:13:56,279
Speaker 3: During Conference USA, So yeah, between Conference USA and South

269
00:13:56,639 --> 00:13:59,360
the Sun Belt, it's difficult for me. So I don't

270
00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:01,279
want people chime in and correct me.

271
00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:04,559
Speaker 1: And then with the G five. With the G five,

272
00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:06,360
we talked about the G five Boise State. As you

273
00:14:06,399 --> 00:14:10,240
alluded to Ross, Boise was initially the favorite to get.

274
00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:10,919
Speaker 2: That G five spot.

275
00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:13,000
Speaker 1: Obviously they have a tough game against South Florida. But

276
00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:16,679
JE have to answer your question. I like appstot.

277
00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:18,360
Speaker 2: I would take the points of app State against Boise

278
00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:19,279
in that one.

279
00:14:19,559 --> 00:14:24,840
Speaker 1: All right, questions continue to roll in. Star Child is

280
00:14:24,879 --> 00:14:28,399
in here waiting to hear someone talk about Ohio State

281
00:14:28,519 --> 00:14:31,799
and Washington because I might be on Washington in the

282
00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:34,399
over He says, I have seen a lot of love

283
00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:37,399
ross for Washington in the market early in the week.

284
00:14:39,399 --> 00:14:41,279
I think the line might be getting a little short, though.

285
00:14:42,639 --> 00:14:43,399
Speaker 4: I don't think so.

286
00:14:44,639 --> 00:14:46,840
Speaker 3: It would be short, certainly if the game was being

287
00:14:46,879 --> 00:14:49,200
played in Columbus, but it's not, and I think that

288
00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:49,840
takes on.

289
00:14:49,919 --> 00:14:50,799
Speaker 4: A whole new meaning.

290
00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:55,759
Speaker 3: I don't think Ohio State is again. This is what

291
00:14:56,039 --> 00:14:58,840
for me to bash a team that's been so dominant

292
00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:02,600
and put together a great effort in the opener against Texas, who,

293
00:15:02,639 --> 00:15:05,559
by the way, I think has been overvalued from the start.

294
00:15:06,039 --> 00:15:09,000
I think this is a good spot for Washington. I

295
00:15:09,039 --> 00:15:11,840
don't know they pull the outright upset, but I certainly

296
00:15:11,919 --> 00:15:13,919
think this could be a one score game and one

297
00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:16,360
that goes right down to the wire. And I would

298
00:15:16,399 --> 00:15:19,120
not be shocked here if we saw an outright upset.

299
00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,639
So my early lean here would.

300
00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:23,440
Speaker 4: Be on the Washington Huskies at home.

301
00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:26,639
Speaker 3: I remember this line opened at I believe it opened

302
00:15:26,639 --> 00:15:28,559
at nine and a half, and it's down to eight

303
00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:32,600
right now, Brian, And you're looking at that sharp money

304
00:15:32,679 --> 00:15:35,639
because people aren't lining up to better against Ohio State

305
00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:37,480
general public anyway.

306
00:15:37,639 --> 00:15:41,120
Speaker 4: So I like Washington here with the points at home.

307
00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:45,039
Speaker 1: Okay, that's what Starchild wanted to hear. Rossly you made

308
00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:48,840
him happy at least, Ralph. I think I read earlier

309
00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,159
in the week that this was just the second time

310
00:15:52,039 --> 00:15:55,080
in the last twenty years. First is twenty twelve that

311
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:58,639
a top ranked team in the country was favored by

312
00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:03,559
less than ten against an unranked opponent. What do you say,

313
00:16:03,559 --> 00:16:06,039
you know Ohio State quite well. Are the buck guys

314
00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:08,440
being disrespected with this line or is there something up

315
00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,480
Julian's saying this is a tough start going across country Washington.

316
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,360
We talked about USC struggles on the road. Well, what Conversely,

317
00:16:15,399 --> 00:16:17,919
a lot of these past the old Act twelve teams

318
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,879
have been quite good when welcoming in the Eastern and

319
00:16:20,919 --> 00:16:23,080
Central time Zone teams at home.

320
00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:29,039
Speaker 2: Well, it's simple for me. I like the Ohio State

321
00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:32,759
side because of the defense. But there's no way I'm

322
00:16:32,759 --> 00:16:36,519
gonna take a freshman quarterback playing in this type of

323
00:16:36,639 --> 00:16:39,960
venue for his first road game of the season, with

324
00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:42,879
a crazed crowd. It's gonna be loud there. It's going

325
00:16:42,919 --> 00:16:46,960
to be exciting. You know, with Saylan on the road,

326
00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:49,279
you know they're gonna hand the ball off. I mean

327
00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:51,600
they had Donaldson, then they had Peoples, and we've seen

328
00:16:51,679 --> 00:16:54,000
Bo Jackson really come up the last few weeks and

329
00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:57,039
he keeps popping up that depth chart. And yes, you

330
00:16:57,120 --> 00:16:59,639
have the wide receivers in Smith and Tate. I think

331
00:16:59,679 --> 00:17:03,080
Smith and Tate are going to be complete decoys. Early

332
00:17:03,759 --> 00:17:06,680
stretch the field, run the ball, run the ball that

333
00:17:06,799 --> 00:17:10,240
Julian's saying, get comfortable in the middle, short passes, first

334
00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,880
half under For me, you're getting twenty four. That's a

335
00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:16,240
very fair number for me. Yes, Desween Williams has been

336
00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:20,480
dynamic seven hundred and sixty yards, seventy three percent completions,

337
00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:23,519
the team is averaging almost six yards per carry rushing.

338
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:28,720
But again, let's talk Colorado State, UC Davis and Washington State.

339
00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:32,279
At least the young quarterback for Ohio State got to

340
00:17:32,319 --> 00:17:35,559
face the Texas defense, so that prepares him much better

341
00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:38,400
for this than it does for Desmond Williams facing the

342
00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:40,599
Ohio State defense. First half under for me.

343
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:42,680
Speaker 1: First half under, there we go.

344
00:17:42,759 --> 00:17:43,240
Speaker 5: I like roll.

345
00:17:43,319 --> 00:17:45,039
Speaker 1: That's second time in a row here. You've got a

346
00:17:45,079 --> 00:17:47,519
little exotic here with that lean to the USC team

347
00:17:47,559 --> 00:17:49,200
total and then a first half under.

348
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:50,559
Speaker 2: So I like that. Guys.

349
00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:54,519
Speaker 1: Let Washington a trendy underdog that's got some sharp money

350
00:17:54,559 --> 00:17:56,400
early in the week. Let's stick with that theme here

351
00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:59,359
because there's another game, a noon eastern kickoff that a

352
00:17:59,519 --> 00:18:02,559
lot of our commenters want us to know about that

353
00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:07,920
is Notrdre Dame and Arkansas. Boy, does this Notre Dame

354
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:12,079
defense stick? And there's gonna be a lot of points

355
00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:12,759
on the board.

356
00:18:13,039 --> 00:18:13,319
Speaker 4: I think.

357
00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:16,440
Speaker 1: I mean, the total is what as of now, it

358
00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:20,440
is up to sixty four and a half. Arkansas can

359
00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:24,079
score ross. I see you making faces? Is there? I

360
00:18:24,119 --> 00:18:26,440
assume there's something you would like to enlighten us on.

361
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:29,079
As the fighting Irish travel to Fayetteville.

362
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:32,440
Speaker 3: Well, I'm glad you asked, Brian, and your assumption is correct.

363
00:18:34,079 --> 00:18:36,519
I think this is a great spot for Arkansas. I mean,

364
00:18:36,519 --> 00:18:41,119
they're coming off two heartbreaking losses. Notre Dame was supposed

365
00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:44,960
to be very experienced and very good defensively, and they've

366
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,759
been anything. But they got torched by Texas A and

367
00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:54,079
m And again this is their first true road game

368
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:57,000
in a seat. Yes, first true road game in the season,

369
00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:02,519
I believe, right, So Arkansas. Oh, they played at Miami,

370
00:19:02,559 --> 00:19:04,240
that's right, and he took him down to the wire,

371
00:19:04,519 --> 00:19:08,200
my pahone. Anyway, Having said all that, I just think

372
00:19:08,279 --> 00:19:12,240
Arkansas had Look, they got caught looking ahead last week.

373
00:19:13,279 --> 00:19:16,680
Memphis was a dangerous team. They had just come off

374
00:19:16,759 --> 00:19:21,039
a heartbreaking loss against Ole Miss. Then they go to

375
00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:24,079
a group of five conference team in Memphis and they

376
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:29,319
know that next they got Notre Dame coming to Arkansas. Okay,

377
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,519
in the game they've had circled before the season started.

378
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:36,920
So and I just think Arkansas is the player. I

379
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:43,480
think they're gonna do enough offensively to put Notre Dame

380
00:19:43,519 --> 00:19:47,720
behind eight. Paull you know, CJ. Carr, Ralph, I'm just

381
00:19:47,839 --> 00:19:48,839
not sold on him.

382
00:19:49,559 --> 00:19:51,200
Speaker 4: I think Notre Dame made a big.

383
00:19:51,039 --> 00:19:55,200
Speaker 3: Mistake when they let Steve Angeli transfer to Syracuse because

384
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:58,240
he wasn't going to get the job. And I think

385
00:19:58,279 --> 00:20:00,559
that if you get Notre Dame behind the eight ball

386
00:20:00,559 --> 00:20:03,039
where there are in obvious past situations and have to

387
00:20:03,039 --> 00:20:05,359
play from behind, and I think that will be the

388
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:06,559
case in this game.

389
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:07,559
Speaker 4: At some point.

390
00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:11,680
Speaker 3: They they're not as good in that situation as when

391
00:20:11,759 --> 00:20:14,319
they can control the clock, run the ball, and control

392
00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,759
the tempo of the game. Arkansas, to me, is to

393
00:20:17,799 --> 00:20:20,599
play here. They opened at what six and are down

394
00:20:20,599 --> 00:20:23,599
to four and a half? Give me the razorbacks at home?

395
00:20:24,519 --> 00:20:28,319
Speaker 1: Whoa big suy. I agree with you there, Ross on

396
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:30,680
the Hogs. What do you say, Ralph? Make it three

397
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,319
for three? Sean, who asked the initial question, says it

398
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:34,680
seems too easy to.

399
00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:38,240
Speaker 2: Take Notre Dame at minus four and a half. Well,

400
00:20:38,279 --> 00:20:40,279
it's not that easy if you two both like the

401
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:44,680
Arkansas side. Yeah, you know, let's remember this two things

402
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:49,160
on both sides. Arkansas fumbled going in for the winning

403
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:52,160
score against the Old Myths fumbled going in for the

404
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:55,000
winning score for Memphis. They would be four and oh

405
00:20:55,039 --> 00:20:56,880
and this line would be closer to pick you know

406
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,839
what I mean, it's really it's really that close. And

407
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,759
look at Notre Dame again. The first game against Miami,

408
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:05,599
they go down to the wire, then they lose by

409
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:08,799
one point to Texas AM. Both teams could be undefeated,

410
00:21:09,039 --> 00:21:12,400
but what scares the bejeebis out of me is they

411
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:14,720
allowed Texas A and M to throw for three hundred

412
00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,960
and sixty yards. They allowed Perdue to throw for three

413
00:21:18,079 --> 00:21:21,839
hundred and three yards. And remember at halftime last week

414
00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:26,039
against Perdue, Notre Dame was trailing on the yard age

415
00:21:26,039 --> 00:21:28,920
two eighty six to two thirty one. We had that

416
00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,759
long weather delay and all of a sudden, Purdue just

417
00:21:31,799 --> 00:21:35,119
went flat and Notre Dame did continue to run the ball.

418
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,079
A lot easier to run the ball after weather break

419
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:40,160
than it is to throw the ball, and we saw

420
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:42,319
the difference there as Notre Name ended up with forty

421
00:21:42,319 --> 00:21:44,839
three carries for two hundred and fifty four yards. The

422
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,880
problem is this, you know, Tyler Green is not that

423
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:52,079
throwing quarterback. Yes, his numbers are fined sixty four percent

424
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,480
of the twelve to four ratio, but again a lot

425
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:57,000
of those were pat statters against Alabama A and M

426
00:21:57,039 --> 00:22:00,400
in Arkansas State. I look at this and I say

427
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:07,640
I don't trust Arkansas at home, I don't trust Notre

428
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:11,200
Dame on the road. And if I have to give

429
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:14,279
an opinion, I'm gonna lean over in this game. One

430
00:22:14,279 --> 00:22:16,799
of my weakest opinions because I've gone back and forth,

431
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,160
but those are my thoughts on the game without a

432
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:22,079
strong opinion on either side or total.

433
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 1: I got a strong comment there in the chef that

434
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,599
somebody really likes think this one could hit the eighties

435
00:22:29,799 --> 00:22:32,160
and I could cur again a high total, very similar

436
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,240
to last week in Arkansas and Memphis. That was a

437
00:22:34,279 --> 00:22:36,720
game again where the home dog was getting a lot

438
00:22:36,759 --> 00:22:41,160
of interest in a game with the high total as well.

439
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,839
Keep those questions coming, guys. We will be getting to

440
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:49,599
lsu Ole Miss, one of several interesting games in the

441
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:52,480
SEC this week, but not the headliner. We'll be talking

442
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,799
about that just a little bit. But let's take a

443
00:22:54,799 --> 00:22:57,319
brief moment here to talk about what we've got going

444
00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:01,240
on this weekend here at wager talk dot com. Obviously

445
00:23:01,319 --> 00:23:04,200
all three of us. It will be a busy weekend,

446
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:07,000
a lot going on, not just college football, but the NFL,

447
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,319
Major League. The final weekend on the regular season of

448
00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:12,759
Major League baseball as well. Ross, why don't you talk

449
00:23:12,799 --> 00:23:16,880
about what you've got cooking over at your page? Of course, guys,

450
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:20,319
that weekend Warrior Pass available in this week you can

451
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:21,119
get any of our.

452
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 3: That's an absolute steal for all three of us. But

453
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:27,799
I can only speak for myself when it comes to records.

454
00:23:28,599 --> 00:23:32,079
Coming off a four and oh sweep two weeks ago,

455
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,799
in a three and one last week, so seven and

456
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:38,599
one in college football the last two weeks thirteen and

457
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:41,440
six to start the year up over twenty six units.

458
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:45,160
That's nothing new with me, is I've been number one

459
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:48,880
at wager talk dot com when it comes to units

460
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:53,079
earned since it started the twenty twenty three college football season,

461
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:56,759
number one last year in both win percentage in units earned.

462
00:23:56,799 --> 00:23:58,920
Speaker 4: Okay, not in aire my corehead.

463
00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:03,319
Speaker 3: I have a Friday night play up right now in

464
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:07,039
the Virginia and Florida State game. I also have a

465
00:24:07,079 --> 00:24:10,319
three pack up on Saturday right now in college football.

466
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:15,000
I'll have two more plays at least posted in college football,

467
00:24:15,039 --> 00:24:18,160
including a five percent best bet. And I'm four and

468
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:21,480
oh with my college football best bets to start the year.

469
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:26,039
Last week we had Miami Florida as they covered easily

470
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:27,119
against Florida.

471
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:29,599
Speaker 5: Little bit Harry for a little bit in the third quarter,

472
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,759
but they pulled away late to get us another win

473
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:37,079
with our five percent best bets and forty nine dollars Folks,

474
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:40,680
my five percent best bets the first four weeks and

475
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,880
this week will be a thirty five dollars value.

476
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,440
Speaker 3: So if you think about it, you're going to get

477
00:24:46,559 --> 00:24:50,799
everything that I put out on Saturday, Sunday and Monday

478
00:24:50,839 --> 00:24:53,440
in college football in the NFL. Don't forget two games

479
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:57,599
on Monday. And folks, those of you who participated and

480
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:01,319
took advantage of this offer with me the last two weeks,

481
00:25:01,599 --> 00:25:04,319
you're a combined fifteen and five in the NFL and

482
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:09,119
college football, So forty nine dollars, Ralph, even you could

483
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:09,680
afford that.

484
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:14,799
Speaker 2: Come on now, Ralph, please clap back at this man.

485
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:16,519
Speaker 1: Tell why don't you tell? I was gonna say what

486
00:25:16,519 --> 00:25:18,640
I had going, but the man calls you out. So

487
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,079
I'm gonna give you the floor here, Ralph, talk about.

488
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:23,720
Speaker 2: I VEGMO my cross so you can help me with that, okay,

489
00:25:23,759 --> 00:25:26,720
and you can, like you can share some of that

490
00:25:26,759 --> 00:25:30,240
with me. So brother, when you know, when you're as

491
00:25:30,319 --> 00:25:32,799
rich as you are, Ross and no one else. Can

492
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:36,200
you can afford anything? You? Yeah, yeah, I wish, I

493
00:25:37,599 --> 00:25:41,519
wish I was riches today. This weekend, it is a

494
00:25:41,559 --> 00:25:45,240
Saturday play eight and one on college football five percent

495
00:25:45,319 --> 00:25:48,440
plays number two in college football since the start of

496
00:25:48,519 --> 00:25:52,640
last year, behind the Boss, number two NFL and college

497
00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:56,119
football combined since the start of twenty twenty four. And

498
00:25:56,200 --> 00:26:00,599
again I will say this, it's actually a better value

499
00:26:00,759 --> 00:26:03,720
if you want my plays, to buy the three day

500
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:07,720
All Access because I have two Friday night college football plays.

501
00:26:07,799 --> 00:26:10,000
There's only four games, but I have two of them.

502
00:26:10,079 --> 00:26:12,079
So if you are going to get mine, maybe think

503
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,599
about the three day All Access, which gives you have Friday,

504
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,599
Saturday and Sunday, and that way you're getting both my

505
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:21,279
college football plays for Friday, including a four percent best bet.

506
00:26:21,519 --> 00:26:25,559
But either way, Weekend Warrior three Day All Access number

507
00:26:25,559 --> 00:26:29,279
two college Football first five percent college Football side eight

508
00:26:29,279 --> 00:26:31,559
to one run college Football top plays.

509
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,599
Speaker 1: All right, these guys are locked and loaded, and so

510
00:26:35,039 --> 00:26:37,839
am I. It was a disappointing last weekend.

511
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:41,519
Speaker 2: We never run from that four and four overall.

512
00:26:41,079 --> 00:26:44,319
Speaker 1: We finished last weekend. I'm gonna say it should have

513
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,839
been six and two. Guys, if you caught last week's show,

514
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:50,519
you know, I gave out Miami of Ohio for free

515
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:53,440
here on the program. That looked really good for fifty

516
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,200
nine minutes and then they blew it at the end.

517
00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:58,599
And sadly, that was not my worst loss the weekend

518
00:26:58,799 --> 00:27:01,000
because yes, Dan, alexand Or I was on the LA

519
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:04,400
Rams on Sunday, So that was the Miami Ohio and

520
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,039
the LA Rams was the difference between four and four

521
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:10,960
versus six and two. Nevertheless, you go back to November

522
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:14,119
of twenty twenty three, I am number three in college

523
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:17,160
football during that time, up fifty to two point six

524
00:27:17,599 --> 00:27:20,720
units over all, so we've got the long track record

525
00:27:20,799 --> 00:27:25,039
of success. We will be bouncing back here this weekend

526
00:27:25,079 --> 00:27:29,119
in both college and the NFL with a strong weekend.

527
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:32,440
So WT dot Buzz SLASHVP, make sure you're there. And yes,

528
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,920
that weekend Warrior Pass is something I would highly recommend.

529
00:27:36,039 --> 00:27:39,319
You both have brought up Friday games, which is interesting.

530
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,720
We're gonna go back here, Adam Adam who I just

531
00:27:42,799 --> 00:27:46,279
saw chined in with a question on Arizona versus Iowa State.

532
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:48,759
That will be my best bet on the show. And

533
00:27:48,839 --> 00:27:51,359
if you've been watching this program for a couple of weeks,

534
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,799
you probably know where I'm going at that, but you'll

535
00:27:53,839 --> 00:27:55,119
have to stay to the end of the show for that.

536
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:58,240
But he asked about a Friday night game, because yes,

537
00:27:58,279 --> 00:28:02,920
there's a three game Friday slate here. As I scroll

538
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:07,000
through the comments, Houston MIGHTUS thirteen and a half sounds

539
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:10,960
seems like a bunch, But I couldn't ever take Oregon State,

540
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:14,279
is what he had to say. Yeah, it's not looking

541
00:28:14,319 --> 00:28:16,720
good in Corvallis. I'll say this, Houston is a team

542
00:28:16,799 --> 00:28:18,480
I bet over six and a half wins at the

543
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,599
start of the year. I feel pretty good about that

544
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,319
bet right now. Ross, I thought it was going to

545
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,680
take a good start, But I don't know. Do you

546
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:27,799
have any comments on this game? It does seem like

547
00:28:27,799 --> 00:28:29,039
a lot of points to lay on the road.

548
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:32,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's there's better value on the board, you know.

549
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,480
Just because again, folks, I've told my clients this for

550
00:28:35,599 --> 00:28:39,480
years and I'll say it again. Just because there's three

551
00:28:39,519 --> 00:28:42,079
games on the board on Friday doesn't mean you have

552
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,119
to bet all three. Really doesn't mean you have to

553
00:28:44,119 --> 00:28:47,079
bet even one, even though I do have a play

554
00:28:47,119 --> 00:28:50,119
on Friday. The same thing goes for Monday night football,

555
00:28:50,319 --> 00:28:53,400
same thing for Thursday night football. You just don't have

556
00:28:53,519 --> 00:28:55,960
to make a play just because it's a limited card.

557
00:28:56,319 --> 00:28:59,960
In any event, Houston better on paper, Brian, I agree,

558
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:02,480
I like your over six and a half bet. They

559
00:29:02,519 --> 00:29:06,279
look to be much improved from season ago. And Oregon

560
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,079
State they're one of those teams are in limbo.

561
00:29:09,279 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 4: You know what conference? Ardy? And why do they have

562
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:15,839
to look forward to the PAC twelve? Yes?

563
00:29:16,039 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 3: But how good is the PAC twelve when you look

564
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:22,720
at the teams are adding? So again, better value on

565
00:29:22,799 --> 00:29:23,400
the board for me.

566
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:26,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, it just humiliated in the Civil War as well.

567
00:29:26,359 --> 00:29:29,000
So I mean, I mean what you're right? What does

568
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:30,839
this team to look for? It looks like a coaching

569
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:32,599
change might need to be made in their future as

570
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:35,480
well with the Beavers. All right, let's go back to

571
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,319
our rundown guys. Some of the big games that we've

572
00:29:38,359 --> 00:29:42,799
got on the docket. Lsu Ole Miss. This is a game, Ralph,

573
00:29:42,839 --> 00:29:46,400
that has been a rivalry that has been dominated by

574
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,880
the home team. I believe seven straight covers by the

575
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:52,480
home team if I remember that correctly. The Old Lane

576
00:29:52,519 --> 00:29:57,200
Train a short home favorite here. We laughed last week

577
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,519
about how the computers they seem to really love this

578
00:29:59,559 --> 00:30:03,359
Old Miss team. I'll be honest, I kind of like

579
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:07,559
all this here too. Lshues wins have not aged that

580
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:11,440
well have they. This is a team that they beat Clemson.

581
00:30:11,519 --> 00:30:13,880
Everyone said what a win that was. Well have you

582
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:17,240
seen Clemson recently? Then they beat Florida. Well they beat

583
00:30:17,279 --> 00:30:20,440
Florida because DJ Lagway kept who's the Florida quarterback obviously

584
00:30:20,599 --> 00:30:24,359
kept throwing the ball to them five interceptions. Florida could

585
00:30:24,359 --> 00:30:27,200
have won that game. And we see how Florida looks now.

586
00:30:27,319 --> 00:30:29,519
So what do you think here, Ralph? It's a tricky

587
00:30:29,559 --> 00:30:31,240
handicap a game that a lot of people want to

588
00:30:31,279 --> 00:30:34,759
know about. Lsu Ole miss home team has had the

589
00:30:34,759 --> 00:30:38,599
engineers past. What about Saturday in Oxford?

590
00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:43,319
Speaker 2: Well, for us old school guys, we know the old

591
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:47,119
adage you don't lose your starting job to an injury.

592
00:30:47,359 --> 00:30:49,559
Well we'll see that may not be true for all this.

593
00:30:50,039 --> 00:30:52,119
You know, we saw the quarterback had heard after a

594
00:30:52,119 --> 00:30:55,440
couple of games, and boy, you know, have they steffed up?

595
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:58,200
So between cannibalists and Simmons, I'm not sure who's going

596
00:30:58,279 --> 00:31:00,200
to get to start. I think they stayed with the

597
00:31:00,279 --> 00:31:03,119
hot hand. You know, may not be politically correct, but

598
00:31:03,119 --> 00:31:05,240
it doesn't matter if you're a head coach. He's getting

599
00:31:05,279 --> 00:31:07,880
paid millions of dollars to make that decision, so he'll

600
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:10,480
make the decision that is best for this team. But

601
00:31:10,799 --> 00:31:13,599
I agree with you. I think old Missus offense has

602
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:20,400
looked better than LSU's has. You look at LSU against Florida. Now, again,

603
00:31:20,839 --> 00:31:23,960
this is a misleading stat because three hundred and sixteen

604
00:31:24,079 --> 00:31:28,839
yards means that you just didn't get many opportunities to

605
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,279
make long drives because Lagway kept giving you the ball

606
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,519
in short fields. But they still only put up twenty points.

607
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:36,920
I bet I didn't look in the database. I bet

608
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:41,160
if you had five interceptions, I bet you find very

609
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,680
few teams that only score twenty points with getting five interceptions.

610
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:45,960
I'm going to guess most of them are in the

611
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:48,960
thirties or forties. So to me, that's a negative performance.

612
00:31:49,319 --> 00:31:52,200
You look against Clemson three hundred and fifty four yards,

613
00:31:52,279 --> 00:31:54,759
yes it was on the road, that's a negative performance.

614
00:31:55,079 --> 00:31:57,359
You host Louise the end of TEP three hundred and

615
00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:00,559
sixty five yards three point eight yards per carry, that's

616
00:32:00,599 --> 00:32:04,359
a negative performance. The only negative I see on Mississippi

617
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:06,960
was the five hundred and twenty six yards they gave

618
00:32:07,039 --> 00:32:09,640
up to Arkansas, and that was with two hundred and

619
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,400
twenty yards rushing in three hundred and five through the pass.

620
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:14,839
So that was just a game that was ugly. But

621
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:18,720
they're home for a third straight game, LSU traveling for

622
00:32:18,759 --> 00:32:21,519
the first time since the Clumson game. I'm with you, Brian,

623
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:24,839
I lean old miss and you think Roth can give

624
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:26,839
us a sweet Well.

625
00:32:26,599 --> 00:32:29,079
Speaker 1: We shall see. By the way, Ross, I don't know

626
00:32:29,119 --> 00:32:31,720
if this is gonna factor you're into your handicap. Probably not,

627
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,599
but I don't know. If you saw early Lane Kiffin's

628
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:36,319
daughter is dating to.

629
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 2: That, Yeah, yeah, yeah, I.

630
00:32:40,799 --> 00:32:42,839
Speaker 1: Feel about that. If I was the old Layne train,

631
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,279
can the Lane train make his daughter feel bad?

632
00:32:45,559 --> 00:32:48,839
Speaker 3: Yeah? I could use a couple adages when it comes

633
00:32:48,839 --> 00:32:51,839
to that, but we probably kicked off the air and

634
00:32:51,839 --> 00:32:54,079
I wouldn't be allowed to do any more show, So I'm.

635
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:55,279
Speaker 4: Gonna leave it alone.

636
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:55,759
Speaker 2: Oh.

637
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:59,519
Speaker 3: I hope you can appreciate that, Brian, But in any event,

638
00:32:59,599 --> 00:33:03,039
I think, Look, I'm gonna have to disagree with you guys.

639
00:33:03,279 --> 00:33:08,319
Number one, here's the real reason.

640
00:33:08,039 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 4: Why I'm going to disagree with you.

641
00:33:09,839 --> 00:33:13,839
Speaker 3: Because I picked LSU before the season started at plus

642
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:18,720
fourteen hundred to win the National Championship. I also picked

643
00:33:18,799 --> 00:33:21,599
them at plus seven hundred to win the SEC. Now,

644
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:25,079
Rolph makes some good points. You do too, Brian, But

645
00:33:25,119 --> 00:33:28,319
the bottom line is if ole Miss is going to

646
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:30,640
be able to win this game, they're gonna have to

647
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:34,480
do it in a one dimensional phase because you can't

648
00:33:34,519 --> 00:33:37,680
run the ball against this LSU defense. They've allowed eight

649
00:33:37,799 --> 00:33:41,319
nine yards or less in all four games, less than

650
00:33:41,319 --> 00:33:45,000
three yards per carry, and I know the competition.

651
00:33:44,759 --> 00:33:45,640
Speaker 4: Leaves a lot well.

652
00:33:45,799 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 3: Clemson in Florida, Okay, they haven't lived up the snuff,

653
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:53,680
but I'm sure you guys would agree. They're not terrible teams,

654
00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:58,920
you know, and ole Miss. Look, they beat two Lane

655
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,119
last week and impress style. I actually sat on the

656
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,559
show last week. I thought that was a good spot

657
00:34:04,559 --> 00:34:08,280
for TWU Lane, but boy, they proved me wrong. They

658
00:34:08,519 --> 00:34:11,719
barely get by Arkansas forty one thirty five at home,

659
00:34:12,039 --> 00:34:14,159
a game they could have lost, they think, Ralph, you

660
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:17,559
mentioned it, Arkansas fumbled the ball going in uh for

661
00:34:17,639 --> 00:34:21,239
the go ahead score. And then they win at Kentucky

662
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:22,360
thirty to twenty three.

663
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:23,079
Speaker 4: I'm not you know.

664
00:34:23,119 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 3: I'm going to talk about Kentucky later, but I don't

665
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:26,800
think they're a very good team.

666
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,280
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna go with LSU here.

667
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:34,079
Speaker 3: I I'm sorry, guys, one of us has to be right.

668
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,079
Speaker 1: Well, hey, you know often we always they always joke

669
00:34:37,159 --> 00:34:39,719
on whether it's this show, any show when everyone's in agreement.

670
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:43,159
Well that's when sometimes it might you know, some people say, oh,

671
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:46,199
this is a situation where everyone should be agreed. Ralph,

672
00:34:46,199 --> 00:34:49,199
you brought up a great point though about you know,

673
00:34:49,199 --> 00:34:51,880
the LSU Florida game, LSU getting those five interceptions and

674
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:53,920
only scoring twenty points. Remember one of those was a

675
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:56,719
pick six too, so that he speaks even more poorly

676
00:34:57,079 --> 00:34:59,639
about their offense. Let's see if the Lane Train can

677
00:34:59,679 --> 00:35:02,400
win a bit one. Uh, guys, I know everybody wants

678
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,519
to know about Alabama and Georgia. I promise we're gonna

679
00:35:04,519 --> 00:35:06,480
get to that game closer to the end of the show.

680
00:35:06,599 --> 00:35:08,360
But we have some questions coming back in a game

681
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:12,719
we talked about at the outset was Penn State and Oregon,

682
00:35:13,039 --> 00:35:15,480
and what do I good buddies, Joey Cheese has jumped

683
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:17,519
in the chat, and I always love how Cheese gets

684
00:35:17,519 --> 00:35:18,199
aggressive here.

685
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,280
Speaker 2: He wants to go alt lining on Penn State.

686
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 1: He loves the Nitney Lions in this spot minus thirteen

687
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:26,599
and a half plus two eighty even hitting us with

688
00:35:26,639 --> 00:35:28,360
the eyeball emoji.

689
00:35:28,519 --> 00:35:28,840
Speaker 4: There.

690
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,599
Speaker 1: You guys can go back to the start the show

691
00:35:31,639 --> 00:35:33,239
to see our breakdown here. I don't know if you

692
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:35,599
guys want to add that. I mean, we talked about

693
00:35:35,679 --> 00:35:38,119
the Penn State ross you you said you and I

694
00:35:38,199 --> 00:35:39,800
were kind of the two that like Penn State here,

695
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,519
what do you think about alt lining here? Can big games?

696
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:45,320
Speaker 2: Can small game James be that good?

697
00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:46,079
Speaker 1: Or is that Yeah?

698
00:35:46,199 --> 00:35:48,119
Speaker 4: Yeah, I had to him.

699
00:35:48,119 --> 00:35:51,559
Speaker 3: He must have got it already the viewer, so that's

700
00:35:51,559 --> 00:35:55,079
why he loves Penn State so much. But in any event, yeah,

701
00:35:55,239 --> 00:35:56,960
I mean, I have nothing more to add than I

702
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,119
think the home field advantage is going to come into

703
00:35:59,159 --> 00:36:01,960
play here. And Ralph brings up a good point about

704
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:05,800
the whiteouts, and everybody in the country who's a better

705
00:36:06,519 --> 00:36:09,239
who knows anything about college football knows the lack of

706
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:13,280
success that James Franklin has had against top five, top

707
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:16,960
ten teams. So you're not enlightened us with those points.

708
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:20,400
I think that he puts that behind him in this

709
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:24,679
game and his team comes up big in a revenge spot. Besides,

710
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:32,760
so ralf to you buddy.

711
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:31,000
Speaker 4: On the line.

712
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 2: You know, just if you like something on the ALLT line,

713
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:38,280
that's fine, but make sure you're gonna win if they

714
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:41,039
win and cover, make sure you're still winning money. I

715
00:36:41,079 --> 00:36:43,079
have no problems with you splitting that are taking a

716
00:36:43,119 --> 00:36:45,280
portion of the ALLT line. But if you really like

717
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:48,159
Penn State that much, don't give away a winner to

718
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:49,920
try to get cute for a huge winner.

719
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:51,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's called greed.

720
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:56,719
Speaker 1: Absolutely. All right, guys, let's keep the questions coming in

721
00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:59,039
the chat again. Georgia Alabama still come. We will be

722
00:36:59,079 --> 00:37:01,280
definitely getting that. But there's other games you want to

723
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:05,119
know on Sean here had threw a couple at us

724
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:09,719
go to the Big Twelve here? Sincey Kansas or Kelly

725
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:16,360
Stewart's k State against uc F Ross, I believe you

726
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:18,400
had a cop I'll tell it. I think the Big

727
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:22,559
twelve is interesting. I have Texas tech head and shoulders

728
00:37:22,599 --> 00:37:23,920
above the rest of this league right now. I don't

729
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:25,639
know if you guys want to comment on that, but

730
00:37:25,679 --> 00:37:27,880
after the big win they had in Salt Lake City,

731
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:31,159
they look like the team to beat in this conference. Ralph,

732
00:37:31,159 --> 00:37:34,360
either of those games or Ross, I'll throw you first. Actually, Ross,

733
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,559
either of those games peak your interest.

734
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:40,519
Speaker 4: Okay, repeat the games again. I'm sorry, Brian.

735
00:37:40,559 --> 00:37:42,519
Speaker 1: Sincy, Kansas or k State.

736
00:37:42,599 --> 00:37:45,559
Speaker 3: You see, Yeah, I would have loved Kansas in this

737
00:37:45,679 --> 00:37:49,000
spot when I saw the opener and then I think

738
00:37:49,039 --> 00:37:51,639
I'm missing something because it went from six to four

739
00:37:51,639 --> 00:37:54,920
and a half. And when that happens, I do further

740
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:58,320
evaluation and then I say, you know, I'm just gonna

741
00:37:58,360 --> 00:37:59,000
leave it alone.

742
00:37:59,079 --> 00:38:04,119
Speaker 4: And that's the case there and the other game involving

743
00:38:04,199 --> 00:38:06,880
I'm sorry, Rolf or Brian once again.

744
00:38:07,039 --> 00:38:08,199
Speaker 1: Kansas State UCF.

745
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:09,719
Speaker 4: Yeah.

746
00:38:10,519 --> 00:38:14,800
Speaker 3: I talked about this on wager Talk today yesterday that

747
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,559
I thought this was a fishy line. I mean, it

748
00:38:17,679 --> 00:38:21,079
opened that six with Kansas State being a favor. You

749
00:38:21,119 --> 00:38:23,239
got a one in three team against a four and

750
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:26,960
oz team, and a one in three team, who, by

751
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:30,639
the way, is zero and three against FBS opponents, is

752
00:38:30,639 --> 00:38:34,719
the favorite by a touchdown. And then Kelly brought up

753
00:38:35,119 --> 00:38:40,760
a good point that you know, unfortunately UCF lost one

754
00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:45,320
of their assistant coaches earlier this week in tragic fashion.

755
00:38:45,519 --> 00:38:51,079
So it's emotional thing going on there with UCF. But

756
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:53,960
if that didn't occur, I would really like Kansas State

757
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:56,239
in a spot because if you guys know anything, about

758
00:38:56,280 --> 00:38:58,519
me when it looks too good to be true, which

759
00:38:58,639 --> 00:39:02,400
UCF getting the points does as an undefeated team against

760
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:05,760
a team that's zero and three against FBS competition. Not

761
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:09,119
only that, the one win Kansas State was against North

762
00:39:09,199 --> 00:39:11,360
Dakota and they needed a last.

763
00:39:11,079 --> 00:39:12,280
Speaker 4: Minute touchdown to get.

764
00:39:12,199 --> 00:39:16,599
Speaker 3: A ton So this is a game that originally I

765
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,599
like Kansas State, but I stayed away because.

766
00:39:19,559 --> 00:39:22,639
Speaker 4: Kelly talked me into it. Honestly, she made a great point.

767
00:39:23,119 --> 00:39:26,119
Speaker 3: And you can never discount emotion when it comes to

768
00:39:26,119 --> 00:39:27,559
handicap in college football.

769
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:30,480
Speaker 1: No, that's why we have these conversations. We hope there's

770
00:39:30,519 --> 00:39:32,199
a lightening for you guys as they are for us,

771
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:34,719
the handicappers. Ralph an he takes on these two Big

772
00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:38,440
twelve matchups here, is there anything that you wanted to

773
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:39,199
talk about there?

774
00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:42,280
Speaker 2: My power ratings have the game of pick between Kansas

775
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:44,760
State and u CF. So there's only one way I

776
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:46,920
could go. I'm not getting to the window, and you

777
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:52,840
know ross it really depends on the coaching staff and

778
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:55,679
the upper leadership of the players to know if that

779
00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:58,280
emotion is going to hurt them or help them, they

780
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:00,639
may come out and motivate this game. Yeah, the thing

781
00:40:00,639 --> 00:40:03,000
for the coach, so you know, you just really don't

782
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:04,440
know that to you see them on the field. So

783
00:40:04,679 --> 00:40:07,119
there are times that they can be desponded, or there

784
00:40:07,119 --> 00:40:09,960
are times where they can rally around that and turn

785
00:40:10,039 --> 00:40:12,639
it into a vibe and say, hey, we're an underdog

786
00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:15,639
and we're undefeated. This is embarrassing, so who knows what's

787
00:40:15,639 --> 00:40:18,360
going to happen. I am not getting the window with it.

788
00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:21,599
But again, with a six point difference in my power ratings,

789
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:23,920
that's the second or third biggest I have this week.

790
00:40:24,039 --> 00:40:26,360
And sometimes you have injuries and like if a quarterback

791
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:28,800
gets injured in one game, I don't change my power

792
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:31,159
ratings for that one game because it's going to revert

793
00:40:31,199 --> 00:40:33,639
back the next game. But there's no major injuries for

794
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:36,400
UCF or Case State that has affected any of the

795
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:40,280
key players. So it's getting to the point now where

796
00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:43,280
we're four games into the season or three games into

797
00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:46,159
the season, that I start putting much more faith in

798
00:40:46,199 --> 00:40:48,840
my power ratings, where those first two weeks with the

799
00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:52,360
transfer portals, I just write down the numbers and don't

800
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:54,880
even pay attention to them. Now they start becoming part

801
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:59,519
of my handicapping repertoire. All right, We've got a question

802
00:40:59,559 --> 00:41:01,440
from jab I need an under on my card? What

803
00:41:01,599 --> 00:41:02,800
game are you attending me?

804
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:05,960
Speaker 1: I will not be at any deity a Live Jay

805
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,440
buff this weekend if you want it under though, I

806
00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:11,880
think an under that I would look at sticking in

807
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:14,079
the Big twelve as Utah and West Virginia. Obviously, with

808
00:41:14,159 --> 00:41:17,679
the concern at quarterback for Guita, I think that could

809
00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:20,199
be an undergame. But the market has hit that quite

810
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:22,239
a bit as well. All right, one more game and

811
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:24,960
then we're going to finish out with the more sec talk.

812
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:29,199
Du talk about it. Injury. You mentioned Steve Angelly earlier,

813
00:41:30,079 --> 00:41:32,280
Ross injured Syracuse.

814
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, that hurts with no pun intended.

815
00:41:36,199 --> 00:41:40,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, this is a hard game to handicap obviously

816
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:42,119
with that injury, Duke Syracuse.

817
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:48,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, Ricky Collins, highly touted former LSU recruit, went to LSU,

818
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:52,559
played very limited. There wasn't crazy about when he came

819
00:41:52,559 --> 00:41:55,159
in the game last week, sort of killed all the

820
00:41:55,199 --> 00:41:58,719
offensive momentum Syracuse had established and they win at Clemson.

821
00:42:00,079 --> 00:42:03,400
You know, the coaching staffs high on him. The offensive

822
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:07,079
quarter quarterbacks coach who coached in the NFL says he's

823
00:42:07,079 --> 00:42:09,480
got as good as arms a lot of guys in

824
00:42:09,519 --> 00:42:13,280
the NFL right now. So again, we know live arms

825
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:16,400
are you know, that's talent, But how they perform on

826
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,880
the field with the live arm is another story. It's

827
00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:21,159
a game I'm going to steer away from. I think

828
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:23,719
Duke is better than what they've shown so far in

829
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:28,000
terms of record wise, and Syracuse can move the ball.

830
00:42:28,639 --> 00:42:32,039
I would love Syracuse in this spot. They would probably

831
00:42:32,039 --> 00:42:35,400
be somewhere around a one to two point favorite. With

832
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:40,039
Angelly at home, I think again, correct me if I'm wrong, Ralph,

833
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:42,800
But without Angelly, I'm going to stay away from the game.

834
00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:46,519
And I don't trust Duke laying points on the road

835
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,320
against a team that's riding a little bit of momentum

836
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:50,880
right now, having won three in a row.

837
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:54,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, and remember, guys, Duke was on my card last year.

838
00:42:54,119 --> 00:42:55,639
That was a winner, but they were out gained by

839
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:58,800
NC State. They were down in a whole early. Ralph

840
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:01,880
Kelly has shim in with her talk about Kansas State

841
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:05,159
says they're not tough enough to win and cover spoken

842
00:43:05,320 --> 00:43:07,360
like a fan of a team that has been downgraded

843
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:09,840
in more than just about any team of the country.

844
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:10,039
Speaker 4: Here.

845
00:43:10,079 --> 00:43:11,880
Speaker 1: But Ralph, you want to talk to Syracuse.

846
00:43:12,559 --> 00:43:15,199
Speaker 2: You look at dude plus four turnovers again last week.

847
00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:17,400
Anytime you have that, you know you're gonna get out

848
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:19,800
gained and you're gonna win the game. You know, it

849
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:24,280
seems it seems like a stupid play to bet the under.

850
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:28,280
But again, you have a new quarterback who, by the way,

851
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,039
was six of thirteen for forty six percent last week

852
00:43:31,039 --> 00:43:33,320
when he came in. Ross said he really struggled a

853
00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:38,039
four point nine YPA. But you know, Duke's defense allowed

854
00:43:38,079 --> 00:43:40,639
four twenty six to Tulane and five thirty five to

855
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:43,679
NC State. But I wouldn't want to go over with

856
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:47,320
you know, with Menza being on the road and with

857
00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:50,079
Collins making his first start. So if I had to

858
00:43:50,079 --> 00:43:52,440
give an opinion, I'm gonna flip it out again. The

859
00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:55,519
first half under. For me, I think Syracuse really tries

860
00:43:55,559 --> 00:43:58,360
to establish the run early. They ran the ball thirty

861
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:01,519
eight times against Clemson for one hundred and fifty five yards,

862
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:05,239
and against Connecticut, you know that was the game they trailed,

863
00:44:05,599 --> 00:44:08,519
so they only ran fifty twenty nine times and ran

864
00:44:08,599 --> 00:44:11,440
fifty three. But if you look at their first half numbers,

865
00:44:11,519 --> 00:44:14,280
they've gotten behind and they've had the throw to play

866
00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:17,519
ketchup early in the game. First quarter, first halves they

867
00:44:17,519 --> 00:44:20,320
do try to establish the runs. So either first quarter

868
00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:22,039
or first half under would be my lean.

869
00:44:22,639 --> 00:44:26,320
Speaker 1: Okanks another good lean there, I like it. Indiana, Iowa,

870
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:29,000
we have a question. This is just like USC Illinois

871
00:44:29,079 --> 00:44:31,960
right where I mean India. You know the values on

872
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:36,280
the home dog. You would think here Indiana absolutely tattoos Illinois.

873
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:39,039
Now they're laying a big number. You know, Kirk Ferny's

874
00:44:39,079 --> 00:44:41,679
tough to beat at home. It's always ugly with Iowa.

875
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:45,599
Kelly has responded with Iowa exclamation point. I think it

876
00:44:45,639 --> 00:44:49,360
would be home dog or pass for me in that one.

877
00:44:50,119 --> 00:44:52,199
If either of you guys have anything to share about

878
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:55,880
that game, real quick, either of you an Iowa hosting

879
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:58,119
Indiana otherwise moved to the SEC.

880
00:44:58,599 --> 00:45:01,159
Speaker 2: With Iowa last Friday night. They were a four star

881
00:45:01,199 --> 00:45:05,719
release and everyone was bashing Kronkowski. You know what I

882
00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:07,719
mean those first two games he had. But you know,

883
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:09,800
in my ride up last week, I said, this guy

884
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,000
started fifty five games in South Dakota State. He did

885
00:45:12,039 --> 00:45:15,159
his experienced quarterback, he just got off the horrible start. Well,

886
00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:17,599
they still only had three hundred and forty six yards,

887
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:20,800
but they did control the ball better and drive the

888
00:45:20,840 --> 00:45:23,400
ball better with twenty two first downs. I'm with you,

889
00:45:23,519 --> 00:45:28,960
Brian to me, coming off that that franchise type win

890
00:45:29,119 --> 00:45:32,840
on national TV at home score winning sixty three to ten,

891
00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:35,840
and now going on the road for your first road game,

892
00:45:36,639 --> 00:45:38,760
let's all wave to the kids in the hospital because

893
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:42,559
I will be celebrating there.

894
00:45:42,559 --> 00:45:46,079
Speaker 1: We go, Uh, Ralph or Ross? Pardon me?

895
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:46,519
Speaker 4: Ross?

896
00:45:46,599 --> 00:45:47,920
Speaker 1: Yes, sure, when I came.

897
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:50,199
Speaker 3: From Yeah, I agree with I agree with Ralph. I

898
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:52,440
just think it's going to be an overreaction from the

899
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:57,679
general public this week after what Indiana did uh against Illinois.

900
00:45:57,719 --> 00:45:59,960
I else say, it's similar to what we discussed would

901
00:46:00,039 --> 00:46:04,199
Illinois in USC Like you said, Brian and I you know,

902
00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:07,320
I just think that Iowa is a much better offensive

903
00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:10,800
team that they've been in years past. I mean before

904
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:13,559
we were used to fourteen to ten, thirteen to ten.

905
00:46:13,639 --> 00:46:16,400
I mean, they beat Rutgers last week thirty eight, twenty

906
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:19,440
eight on the road, and they put up some decent

907
00:46:19,519 --> 00:46:23,920
offensive numbers with all things considered with their offensive struggles

908
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:27,079
in past years. So I think this is a good play.

909
00:46:27,159 --> 00:46:29,519
I think the home underdog here is the value in

910
00:46:29,559 --> 00:46:30,400
this spot.

911
00:46:31,199 --> 00:46:35,679
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go to the SEC. Not Alabama Georgia just yet. Guys,

912
00:46:35,679 --> 00:46:39,039
We're gonna do Texas anam Auburn normally Auburn. This is

913
00:46:39,079 --> 00:46:41,679
a team that's competed. They were unlucky not to cover

914
00:46:41,960 --> 00:46:44,880
last week against A and M. It's a penalties go

915
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:47,599
against them, obviously, the last safety cost them. But AY

916
00:46:47,599 --> 00:46:50,360
and M's off a buy. I believe in this A

917
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:54,679
and M team, Ralph, So I'm actually tap dancing away

918
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:57,800
from the underdog in this one, Auburn. As they go

919
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:02,320
down to College Station. Before the season, people caught the

920
00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:04,719
preseason version of the Power Five. I said A and

921
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:07,679
M over eight and a half wins plus one point fifty.

922
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:10,320
It's another win total. I'm feeling pretty good about right now,

923
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:11,519
especially after that went over to order.

924
00:47:12,679 --> 00:47:16,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I do a Friday morning show down

925
00:47:16,039 --> 00:47:21,280
in Alabama, and up until last week, I have picked

926
00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:27,199
Auburn wrong seven straight weeks. Now, I did pick Oklahoma

927
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:29,599
last week, but that I really deserve to win that

928
00:47:29,639 --> 00:47:31,559
game to snap that streak. It's could have been eight

929
00:47:31,639 --> 00:47:34,760
straight Auburn games that I've had. Ross mentioned it about

930
00:47:34,760 --> 00:47:37,519
teams that I just don't read. Right, Auburn is it

931
00:47:37,599 --> 00:47:39,440
for me? I'm going to pass. And I'm not even

932
00:47:39,519 --> 00:47:42,639
kidding I right now am just not even looking at

933
00:47:42,679 --> 00:47:45,960
Auburn games. And the host to my radio show laugh

934
00:47:46,039 --> 00:47:48,440
at me every Friday morning when I give up my

935
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:50,800
Auburn picked. They're on their phones. They can't wait to

936
00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:52,719
bet enough. As soon as I say one team, they

937
00:47:52,760 --> 00:47:53,840
bet the other side.

938
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:56,760
Speaker 1: What do you well, all right, he didn't give you

939
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:58,400
anything to go against there, Ross, What do you think

940
00:47:58,440 --> 00:47:59,239
an M and Auburn?

941
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:01,280
Speaker 4: That's a great story or elf? Anyway?

942
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:06,559
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just look, here's a perfect example of you

943
00:48:06,639 --> 00:48:10,360
people who cry and cry fixes when you lose a

944
00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:14,639
game like last week and the manner in which Auburn lost.

945
00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:18,480
Now I'm not lost, but not covered. It's a six

946
00:48:18,639 --> 00:48:22,239
it's a six point game or five point game with

947
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:24,360
less than a minute ago, and you give up a

948
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,159
safety and you win the game by half a point.

949
00:48:27,440 --> 00:48:29,760
Speaker 4: Remember the ones you win like that, folks?

950
00:48:30,119 --> 00:48:32,800
Speaker 3: Yes, because they tell people all the time, they always

951
00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:35,719
cry me Ross, I'm always on the wrong side of

952
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:39,519
these fluke finishes or the fixes that goes on.

953
00:48:39,559 --> 00:48:42,480
Speaker 4: There's no fixes, folks. It's the bottom line is this.

954
00:48:43,880 --> 00:48:45,880
You forget the ones you win like that.

955
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:50,519
Speaker 3: I don't and I'm not gonna apologize for winning a

956
00:48:50,559 --> 00:48:52,000
game like that, Brian, because you.

957
00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:55,000
Speaker 4: Know we lose games like that along the way as well.

958
00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:58,719
Speaker 3: I'm a firm believer those games all even out over

959
00:48:58,760 --> 00:49:02,239
the long haul. You know you'll get most people say, no,

960
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:05,480
that's not correct, Ross. Trust me, you just don't remember

961
00:49:05,480 --> 00:49:08,679
the ones you win like that. Uh So, And with

962
00:49:08,719 --> 00:49:11,880
all that being said, I'm going to pass on this game.

963
00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 2: Okay, let's get to Alabama and Georgia.

964
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:17,079
Speaker 1: And by the way, the only thing I'll say about that,

965
00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:19,719
Ross is if you block a field goal at the

966
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:25,639
end of the game, guys don't return. Right there, we go,

967
00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:29,199
all right, Kelly Vegas with some nice comments there, Yes

968
00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:31,960
about the Iowa tradition waving to the kids at the hospital.

969
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:35,119
We are now before guys, our best bets on the

970
00:49:35,119 --> 00:49:37,239
show are free plays are coming up. But we have

971
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:40,239
to break down a big one before that. And it

972
00:49:40,320 --> 00:49:44,519
is number seventeen Alabama against number five Georgia Kirby Smart

973
00:49:44,559 --> 00:49:49,320
and Georgia longest home win streak in the country and

974
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:53,519
they are only laying three bucks. They are against the

975
00:49:53,599 --> 00:49:57,320
team Ralph that they have not had success about it.

976
00:49:57,480 --> 00:50:01,679
Alabama has I believe won nine of them last ten meetings,

977
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:06,840
a majority of them coming as underdogs. So you know,

978
00:50:07,199 --> 00:50:10,880
this is a very similar handicap to me as Oregon

979
00:50:10,920 --> 00:50:13,719
and Penn State. I know Alabama has the loss to

980
00:50:13,800 --> 00:50:16,679
Florida State, but that's a loss that may age well

981
00:50:16,960 --> 00:50:22,039
moving forward. Georgia meanwhile, kind of like Penn State, they've

982
00:50:22,039 --> 00:50:24,960
been playing with their food. They haven't covered have they

983
00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:28,400
just been holding everything back. This is a tough handicap

984
00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:33,079
because they don't lose between the hedges. Georgia, but Alabama

985
00:50:33,159 --> 00:50:34,920
to me might be the better team.

986
00:50:36,960 --> 00:50:39,480
Speaker 2: Brian, Alabama is the better team. I haven't power rated

987
00:50:39,519 --> 00:50:42,599
even I'll take Tyger Simpson over Gunner Stockton. I'll take

988
00:50:42,639 --> 00:50:46,119
the Bama defense over the Georgia defense. They're rush attacks

989
00:50:46,599 --> 00:50:50,719
pretty even. But let's remember that Bama gets back Cam

990
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:55,079
Miller and gets back Keenan on the defensive line. He's

991
00:50:55,119 --> 00:50:58,239
probably their best defensive player. So they're getting two stars

992
00:50:58,280 --> 00:50:59,239
back in this week.

993
00:50:59,719 --> 00:51:04,280
Speaker 1: It's for me, all right, Ross, what about you Alabama

994
00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:06,519
and Georgia. Obviously everyone in the chat wanted to know

995
00:51:06,639 --> 00:51:10,280
our opinions on this one. Yep, Ralph says, Bama, what

996
00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:11,119
do you say?

997
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:15,159
Speaker 3: Georgia is a sucker pick oh. In my opinion, you

998
00:51:15,199 --> 00:51:17,320
know what, do they win forty eight in a row

999
00:51:17,360 --> 00:51:20,360
at home? Brian, You're only a three point favorite. I

1000
00:51:20,519 --> 00:51:24,280
listened to the odds maker folks. They know a hell

1001
00:51:24,320 --> 00:51:27,760
of a lot more than the polls do. Georgia also

1002
00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:30,400
very lucky to come away with a win against Tennessee.

1003
00:51:30,519 --> 00:51:33,119
Tennessee missed a chip shot field goal at the end

1004
00:51:33,119 --> 00:51:35,920
of regulation time, they win the game by three in overtime.

1005
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:39,280
I think I agree with Ralph. This kid Simpson seems

1006
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:42,960
like he's getting better every week. And also, I mean,

1007
00:51:43,079 --> 00:51:45,360
you look at the game against Florida State, he really

1008
00:51:45,400 --> 00:51:48,880
didn't perform that badly, and the last two games he's

1009
00:51:49,000 --> 00:51:53,199
really come on. And I'm not crazy about gunderstock Thon either.

1010
00:51:53,480 --> 00:51:57,719
So I think Georgia is an overrated team at this

1011
00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:01,400
point and it's I think they're gonna be exposed within

1012
00:52:01,719 --> 00:52:04,679
the SEC this year. So that's my opinion.

1013
00:52:05,360 --> 00:52:05,519
Speaker 4: Guy.

1014
00:52:05,639 --> 00:52:09,760
Speaker 1: Those are two strong takes for my colleagues, Ralph and Ross.

1015
00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:13,039
There on the Alabama side, just to be exact, to

1016
00:52:13,119 --> 00:52:16,000
get the numbers right, it is thirty three good secutive

1017
00:52:16,039 --> 00:52:19,639
home wins for Georgia, but Alabama has beaten Georgia nine

1018
00:52:19,679 --> 00:52:24,400
of the last ten, the last three as an underdog.

1019
00:52:24,639 --> 00:52:26,239
Speaker 2: Look out, guys, I'm gonna make it three for three.

1020
00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:28,519
Speaker 1: I like the Crimson Tide to give me the points

1021
00:52:28,559 --> 00:52:32,159
in this one. So there's your complete run on all

1022
00:52:32,159 --> 00:52:35,000
the big games we have covered. If there is some

1023
00:52:35,079 --> 00:52:37,719
game that has somehow slipped through the cracks in your opinion,

1024
00:52:38,039 --> 00:52:41,199
I guess what. You have a couple minutes left to answer,

1025
00:52:41,320 --> 00:52:44,639
But we are now going to get into our free

1026
00:52:44,679 --> 00:52:46,360
plays for the show. We're each gonna give you one

1027
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:50,280
best bet here on the program. Last week, as I

1028
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:52,199
said at the outset, we went two and one doing

1029
00:52:52,199 --> 00:52:54,079
this for the first time, and we were very close

1030
00:52:54,119 --> 00:52:56,159
to three and zero. Ralph, I'm gonna let you go

1031
00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:59,519
first because yours was the best of the lot. You

1032
00:52:59,599 --> 00:53:04,800
had Troy against Buffalo. It doesn't look good early, but

1033
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:06,960
then they storm back and win the game outright with

1034
00:53:07,039 --> 00:53:11,320
a backup quarterback. So a great call there by you.

1035
00:53:11,559 --> 00:53:13,519
What do you have this week?

1036
00:53:15,119 --> 00:53:17,400
Speaker 2: Well, I love the sun Belt even more now that

1037
00:53:17,519 --> 00:53:20,079
Ross hates it. So hey, let's come back. Let's go

1038
00:53:20,199 --> 00:53:22,920
back to the Sun Belt and Ross, let me ask you,

1039
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:24,440
does this line make sense to you?

1040
00:53:25,079 --> 00:53:26,599
Speaker 4: No, it doesn't. Norton doesn't.

1041
00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:30,360
Speaker 3: I mean, especially your win last week. They overcame a

1042
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:32,400
seventeen point fourth quarter deficit.

1043
00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:33,480
Speaker 4: If I'm not mistaken.

1044
00:53:34,199 --> 00:53:37,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, well North Texas is four. No, South Alabama is

1045
00:53:37,159 --> 00:53:39,320
one and three. So the line being twelve or twelve

1046
00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:40,719
and a half. Does that make sense to you?

1047
00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:44,840
Speaker 3: Are we talking North Texas or are we talking South Alabama?

1048
00:53:45,639 --> 00:53:48,280
Speaker 2: North Texas versus South Alabama this week?

1049
00:53:48,679 --> 00:53:52,519
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, so yeah, no, it doesn't make sense

1050
00:53:52,559 --> 00:53:54,760
to me. And when that happens again, I go with

1051
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:56,719
the adage rolph that if it looks too good to

1052
00:53:56,760 --> 00:53:58,719
be true, more times than not it is.

1053
00:53:59,360 --> 00:54:02,719
Speaker 2: Well, this is my biggest power rating difference. I have

1054
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:07,079
this power rated. I think North Texas should only be

1055
00:54:07,119 --> 00:54:10,719
a three point favorite. Yes they beat Lamar fifty one nothing.

1056
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:13,199
Yes they beat Western Michigan, but they only won by

1057
00:54:13,239 --> 00:54:16,320
three on the road against a pitiful Western Michigan team.

1058
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:19,760
They beat Washington State by fifty nine. Why they were

1059
00:54:19,800 --> 00:54:22,880
plus five turnovers and then they beat Army. They got

1060
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:25,239
out gained and it went to overtime. They haven't had

1061
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:28,079
a good win yet. You look at South Alabama. They

1062
00:54:28,079 --> 00:54:31,440
beat Morgan State, no big deal, lose the two lane

1063
00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:34,000
by three, not a bad loss. They were minus one

1064
00:54:34,039 --> 00:54:37,760
turnover lose to Auburn by sixteen, only out gained by

1065
00:54:37,760 --> 00:54:41,079
twenty seven yards, and they were minus two turnovers. And

1066
00:54:41,239 --> 00:54:43,360
last week it was pitiful. They were one hundred and

1067
00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:45,920
twenty six yards to the positive, but they were minus

1068
00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:49,199
three turnovers. North Texas. The only reason they are four

1069
00:54:49,199 --> 00:54:53,360
to OZHO is their plus eight turnovers. South Alabama. The

1070
00:54:53,360 --> 00:54:56,840
only reason they're one in three is that they're minus

1071
00:54:58,039 --> 00:55:01,079
six turnovers the last three games. Now you could say, well,

1072
00:55:01,119 --> 00:55:04,320
that's because Davenport throws a lot of picks and Messa

1073
00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:07,239
maker has a ten ratio. But I think now that

1074
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:09,239
they're going back on the road, they're getting things a

1075
00:55:09,280 --> 00:55:12,760
little bit settled. South Alabama covers this game. South Alabama.

1076
00:55:12,800 --> 00:55:16,119
Mike Pool the outright upset. So I am gonna they

1077
00:55:16,119 --> 00:55:18,920
are likely gonna make my card. I will bet South

1078
00:55:18,960 --> 00:55:22,119
Alabama plus the points, and to steal a little line

1079
00:55:22,159 --> 00:55:25,199
from VR, I will be sprinkling something on the money

1080
00:55:25,239 --> 00:55:27,079
line with the Jaguires this week.

1081
00:55:27,639 --> 00:55:30,159
Speaker 1: All right, there he goes show. Best bet from Ralph

1082
00:55:30,199 --> 00:55:36,239
Michaels is South Alabama plus the points against North Texas. Ross.

1083
00:55:36,280 --> 00:55:39,559
You were also correct with your show best bet last week,

1084
00:55:39,599 --> 00:55:41,679
as you joked at the outset of the program, you

1085
00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:44,800
had it the whole way with Oklahoma against Olivard getting

1086
00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:48,599
the late safety to cash the winning ticket. What game

1087
00:55:48,679 --> 00:55:49,719
you're looking at today, though.

1088
00:55:50,119 --> 00:55:53,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm looking at the South Carolina Kentucky game game

1089
00:55:53,639 --> 00:55:56,719
that will be played in Columbia, South Carolina right now,

1090
00:55:57,159 --> 00:56:01,440
South Carolina, I believe it's a six point favorite, correct, Brian.

1091
00:56:02,320 --> 00:56:03,920
Speaker 4: I don't look at the update, But in.

1092
00:56:03,880 --> 00:56:08,519
Speaker 3: Any event, South Carolina, you're looking at a team that

1093
00:56:08,760 --> 00:56:12,280
has really vastly underachieved this year. You're looking at a

1094
00:56:12,320 --> 00:56:15,400
team that has really struggled offensively this year. They haven't

1095
00:56:15,719 --> 00:56:20,039
yet to reach the three hundred totally yard barrier on

1096
00:56:20,159 --> 00:56:24,559
offense this season. Boy, oh boy, if they don't wake

1097
00:56:24,639 --> 00:56:27,920
up in this spot, South Carolina fans, they're never gonna

1098
00:56:27,960 --> 00:56:32,000
wake up because Kentucky could be had defensively, usually a

1099
00:56:32,119 --> 00:56:35,400
very good defensive team Kentucky and lacks a lot of offense.

1100
00:56:36,199 --> 00:56:38,360
But this year, I mean, you look at Kentucky their

1101
00:56:38,440 --> 00:56:41,239
last two games, about four hundred and fifty five yards

1102
00:56:41,239 --> 00:56:43,960
Oh Miss. Not a big deal there, because Oh Miss

1103
00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:46,880
is going to move the ball on anybody. However, four

1104
00:56:46,960 --> 00:56:52,119
hundred and sixty one yards last week Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan.

1105
00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:58,039
So South Carolina two and two, coming up back to

1106
00:56:58,119 --> 00:57:02,400
back losses against Vandy Missouri. They killed themselves with turnovers

1107
00:57:02,599 --> 00:57:05,039
against Vandy, even though I said on the show that

1108
00:57:05,079 --> 00:57:07,880
I thought Vandy was a much better team. But Missouri

1109
00:57:08,000 --> 00:57:12,079
also undefeated. So you lose a two undefeated teams, two

1110
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:16,960
ranked teams. And I just think that I like what

1111
00:57:17,000 --> 00:57:18,960
I saw from last week. They fought hard in the

1112
00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:21,320
twenty nine to twenty loss at Missouri. They were right

1113
00:57:21,360 --> 00:57:24,639
there until the end. They covered as a ton point dog.

1114
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:28,559
I just think we're finally gonna see South Carolina get

1115
00:57:28,599 --> 00:57:31,639
over the three hundred yard barrier. And I think Kentucky

1116
00:57:31,679 --> 00:57:34,320
has a hard time moving the ball here on the road.

1117
00:57:34,480 --> 00:57:36,800
Speaker 4: I think Kentucky is not a good team.

1118
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:39,800
Speaker 3: I know that they played oh Miss tough at home,

1119
00:57:40,679 --> 00:57:44,400
but again, South Carroy oh Miss, you're gonna be as

1120
00:57:44,480 --> 00:57:47,079
much as oh Miss can move the ball on anybody, Brian.

1121
00:57:47,719 --> 00:57:49,920
They also you can move the ball on oh Miss

1122
00:57:49,960 --> 00:57:52,679
if you're even a decent offense. So I am going

1123
00:57:52,760 --> 00:57:55,480
to go with South Carolina here, much to Kelly chagrin,

1124
00:57:55,800 --> 00:58:00,000
actually minus five and a half over over Kentucky.

1125
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:02,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was gonna say, we're starting to see some

1126
00:58:02,079 --> 00:58:04,719
five and a half's pop shop around. As always, guys,

1127
00:58:04,760 --> 00:58:09,159
get that best available line again. We were very close

1128
00:58:09,199 --> 00:58:10,559
to going three and all with the best bets on

1129
00:58:10,559 --> 00:58:13,199
the show last week. I blew it because well I

1130
00:58:13,199 --> 00:58:15,760
didn't blow it because I wasn't playing for Miami Ohio.

1131
00:58:16,000 --> 00:58:19,679
But despite losing their starting quarterback, their starting center, their

1132
00:58:19,719 --> 00:58:22,440
top cornerback, they were still winning my two touchdowns in

1133
00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:24,840
the fourth quarter. And guess what they didn't cover because

1134
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:27,400
they fumbled the ball in the red zone when they

1135
00:58:27,440 --> 00:58:29,719
could have just simply kicked the game winning field goal.

1136
00:58:30,000 --> 00:58:35,440
Of course, UNLV, very fortunate UNLV team recovers that fumble,

1137
00:58:35,519 --> 00:58:38,559
drives down and they kicked the game winning field goal,

1138
00:58:38,760 --> 00:58:41,119
win by three, and my plus two and a half

1139
00:58:41,199 --> 00:58:44,760
ticket on Miami went up in flames. But we're gonna

1140
00:58:44,760 --> 00:58:47,199
do better this week, guys. And for my free play,

1141
00:58:47,480 --> 00:58:51,159
I'm taking a look at Arizona at Iowa State. Two

1142
00:58:51,199 --> 00:58:53,679
weeks ago on this very program, I gave you three

1143
00:58:53,760 --> 00:58:56,800
teams that I said were overrated and would not finish

1144
00:58:56,800 --> 00:58:58,800
the season ranked in the top twenty five. One of

1145
00:58:58,800 --> 00:59:00,519
those teams was the a F four Meat mentioned South

1146
00:59:00,559 --> 00:59:03,119
Carolina game. Cocks have lost back to back games and

1147
00:59:03,119 --> 00:59:05,719
tumbled out of the rankings like Ralph's. Like Ross said,

1148
00:59:05,960 --> 00:59:08,639
doesn't mean that South Carolina can't bounce back this week.

1149
00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:10,599
It just means that South Carolina wasn't as good as

1150
00:59:10,599 --> 00:59:12,760
they're rating two weeks ago. I think the last two

1151
00:59:12,760 --> 00:59:15,280
results have bear that out. The second overrated team I

1152
00:59:15,320 --> 00:59:18,000
gave you was Illinois. We talked about what happened to

1153
00:59:18,039 --> 00:59:21,519
them last week, lost sixty three ten to Indiana a line.

1154
00:59:21,559 --> 00:59:23,239
I dropped to number twenty three and or six and

1155
00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:26,000
a half point home dogs this week to usc That

1156
00:59:26,079 --> 00:59:29,119
brings me to the third team I mentioned two weeks

1157
00:59:29,119 --> 00:59:32,920
ago that was overrated, number fourteen Iowa State. Now, I

1158
00:59:33,039 --> 00:59:35,719
understand the Cyclones are four and oh guys, but let's

1159
00:59:35,719 --> 00:59:38,119
look at those four wins, now, shall we? Kansas State,

1160
00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,000
they've turned out to be a dumpster fire. Iowa State

1161
00:59:41,039 --> 00:59:43,639
only won by three over in Ireland and was actually

1162
00:59:43,639 --> 00:59:47,000
outgained in that game. South Dakota was Iowa State second win.

1163
00:59:47,039 --> 00:59:48,920
That's an FCS team that's lucky out to be one

1164
00:59:48,960 --> 00:59:52,119
and three Iowa. That was another coin flip game for

1165
00:59:52,199 --> 00:59:54,360
Iowa State they went on a last second field goal,

1166
00:59:54,760 --> 00:59:57,440
and then Arkansas State two weeks ago. Cyclones could have

1167
00:59:57,480 --> 01:00:02,199
lost that game outright as three touchdown favorites if not

1168
01:00:02,280 --> 01:00:05,760
for some favorable officiating. And remember, Arkansas State just got

1169
01:00:05,800 --> 01:00:09,079
beat by Kennisas State last week. So sorry, Matt Campbell,

1170
01:00:09,320 --> 01:00:12,119
I think your team is a fraud. I'm gonna take Arizona,

1171
01:00:12,239 --> 01:00:14,599
who's a perfect three to zero against the spread, plus

1172
01:00:14,639 --> 01:00:17,800
the six and a half. Here notes Arizona also faced

1173
01:00:17,840 --> 01:00:20,880
Kansas State this year, just like Iowa State did. Unlike

1174
01:00:20,920 --> 01:00:23,679
Iowa State, Arizona was not lucky to win that game.

1175
01:00:23,719 --> 01:00:25,920
As a matter of fact, they outgained Kansas State for

1176
01:00:26,119 --> 01:00:28,760
twelve to one to ninety three, a lot more lopsided

1177
01:00:28,800 --> 01:00:30,800
than the final score of twenty three to seventeen. They'll

1178
01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:34,559
tell you Arizona's defense, guys, much improved, number four in

1179
01:00:34,599 --> 01:00:36,800
the nation and yards per play allowed. This is a

1180
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:39,639
program four to zero against the number off of by

1181
01:00:39,719 --> 01:00:42,719
the last three seasons. Yes, Iowa State's off of bye

1182
01:00:43,039 --> 01:00:45,599
end at home not enough to win by margin. Here,

1183
01:00:45,880 --> 01:00:50,039
give me Arizona plus the points, and yes, sprinkle a

1184
01:00:50,079 --> 01:00:53,280
little bit on the money line. There you have it.

1185
01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:57,599
The blitz squad ride on your screen. Ross Benjamin going

1186
01:00:57,639 --> 01:01:01,159
South Carolina minus five and a half versus Kentucky. Ralph

1187
01:01:01,199 --> 01:01:04,760
Michaels will be taking the thirteen with South Alabama against

1188
01:01:04,760 --> 01:01:08,360
North Texas and i Brian power Am taking the six

1189
01:01:08,440 --> 01:01:11,360
and a half with Arizona against Iowa State. You want

1190
01:01:11,360 --> 01:01:13,639
to roll them all together, get a final price of

1191
01:01:13,800 --> 01:01:18,559
plus five ninety. So there you have it, show best

1192
01:01:18,559 --> 01:01:22,360
bets in the books. Guys, I hope you've enjoyed the program.

1193
01:01:22,480 --> 01:01:25,440
Remember this is very important here, very important. If you

1194
01:01:25,599 --> 01:01:28,280
like this content, please smash that like button. We appreciate that,

1195
01:01:28,320 --> 01:01:32,599
and do not forget to click subscribe down below. That

1196
01:01:32,679 --> 01:01:36,320
always is very important as well. One more time, guys,

1197
01:01:36,519 --> 01:01:39,760
Weekend Warrior Pass available for all three of us at

1198
01:01:39,800 --> 01:01:43,039
wager talk dot com for just forty nine dollars. You

1199
01:01:43,039 --> 01:01:45,800
can get any of our any of the three of us,

1200
01:01:45,880 --> 01:01:48,320
You get all of our plays for forty nine dollars,

1201
01:01:48,320 --> 01:01:50,599
and as an added bonus, we do include any Monday

1202
01:01:50,679 --> 01:01:52,880
night football plays as well, So that's Saturday, Sunday and

1203
01:01:52,960 --> 01:01:55,360
Monday from your favorite wage Talk candycap for just forty

1204
01:01:55,440 --> 01:01:59,000
nine dollars and Ross you mentioned it, You've got the

1205
01:01:59,000 --> 01:02:01,320
five percent play go on this weekend, So that makes

1206
01:02:01,360 --> 01:02:04,199
us an even sweeter value because the five percent played

1207
01:02:04,199 --> 01:02:08,039
by its lonesome isy is thirty five dollars and you

1208
01:02:08,039 --> 01:02:09,519
can get the rest of the place for his fourteen

1209
01:02:09,559 --> 01:02:09,960
dollars more.

1210
01:02:11,239 --> 01:02:14,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I will have a five percent best bet

1211
01:02:14,639 --> 01:02:17,679
on Saturday as well. Like Brian alluded to, it's not

1212
01:02:17,840 --> 01:02:21,760
up yet, but it will be shortly. And three games

1213
01:02:21,840 --> 01:02:26,519
already up for Saturday in college football, one for Friday

1214
01:02:26,519 --> 01:02:29,039
in college football. Obviously that's not part of the Weekend

1215
01:02:29,079 --> 01:02:32,719
Warrior package, but folks, look, Brian already did the math

1216
01:02:32,800 --> 01:02:35,800
for you, and what a steal. This is last week

1217
01:02:36,320 --> 01:02:38,559
four and oh in the NFL, three and one in

1218
01:02:38,599 --> 01:02:41,079
college football. So if you took advantage of the package,

1219
01:02:41,119 --> 01:02:43,840
you went seven and one over the last two weeks.

1220
01:02:43,880 --> 01:02:47,960
With the Weekend Warrior package fifteen and five forty nine bucks,

1221
01:02:48,360 --> 01:02:49,679
you're betting on college.

1222
01:02:49,400 --> 01:02:52,760
Speaker 4: Football in the NFL forty nine dollars. Folks, I went

1223
01:02:52,800 --> 01:02:56,239
fifteen and five. My college football record speaks for itself.

1224
01:02:56,280 --> 01:02:58,199
Speaker 3: And coming off with four and oh sweep in the

1225
01:02:58,320 --> 01:03:02,480
NFL last week, why not buy?

1226
01:03:03,199 --> 01:03:04,400
Speaker 1: Ralph? I'll give you the final word.

1227
01:03:06,559 --> 01:03:08,800
Speaker 2: Well, Ross, can I borrow some money so I can

1228
01:03:08,800 --> 01:03:11,039
buy my package to give me some extra money. Oh,

1229
01:03:14,719 --> 01:03:18,679
I trailed Roth all last year in college football, I'm

1230
01:03:18,760 --> 01:03:21,519
trailing them now since the start of twenty twenty three,

1231
01:03:22,000 --> 01:03:24,880
I'm trailing them on the promos. So all I do

1232
01:03:25,119 --> 01:03:28,719
is lift up Roth's cape and carry it behind him

1233
01:03:28,760 --> 01:03:31,480
as he continues to be the Boss Leader Number two

1234
01:03:31,519 --> 01:03:34,199
College Football, number two College Football, and NFL. Since it

1235
01:03:34,280 --> 01:03:37,840
s OTA twenty twenty three College Football five percent, eight

1236
01:03:37,920 --> 01:03:41,800
and one eighty nine percent Weekend Warrior forty four bucks

1237
01:03:41,960 --> 01:03:42,639
can't go wrong.

1238
01:03:44,239 --> 01:03:47,840
Speaker 1: That will do it For another edition of the Blitz,

1239
01:03:47,920 --> 01:03:51,039
Join us again next Thursday Live I have one pm

1240
01:03:51,079 --> 01:03:53,920
Eastern as we'll be breaking down all of the Week

1241
01:03:54,000 --> 01:03:57,559
six college football matchups. But until then, thank you for

1242
01:03:57,599 --> 01:04:00,760
tuning in and let's cash sub tickets