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Speaker 1: What's going on?

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Speaker 2: Everybody.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the very festive edition of the Blitz. As

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we are talking the bulls this week, a lot of them.

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If you have questions, how about all these bowl games

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this week? When you've come to the right place, if

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you're watching us live, drop those comments down below. We'll

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get to them. We've got four of the bigger bowl

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games for this Saturday that we'll be opening up by

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breaking down best bets on their way as well. We'll

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try to cover as much of these games as we

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can here. To help me do so, of course, to

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the finest at wager talk dot Com, Steve Merrick and

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as always, Ross the Boss Benjamin Steve subbing in for

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Ralph Michaels this week. Glad to have you again, Steve,

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and guys, what do you say? We start with two

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teams that, needless to say, did not anticipate playing in

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the Pinstripe Bowl back in August. I think these teams

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had national title ass let alone college football asperations, national

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title aspirations, Penn State and Clemson. They are playing at

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Yankee Stadium twelve pm Eastern on Saturday, ABC. As you

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would expect after the disappointing regular seasons for these two teams,

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there are going to be plenty of opt outs and

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a general lack of motivation as well. Of course, you

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got the interim head coach for Penn State, Terry Smith.

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In addition to the players opting out for the Allons,

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most notable Witch is running back Nicholas Singleton. Smith indicated

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several starters may not play deep into this game. As

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for Clemson, seven of the top twelve defenders on defense

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five and the top twelve players on offense in terms

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of staff count will not play. Quarterback Kde Clubnicky Wilbow

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and Ross. That is I guess why Clemson is out

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to a three point favorite. Here, Kate Clubnick going to

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be on the field. What do you make of this

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game however?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's just a matter who's more motivated, right,

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because I think both schools will travel well to this

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game year. You know, you get an opportunity from Clemson

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and Penn State to make a trip to Yankee Stadium,

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iconic stadium in downtown Brooklyn, and I think that edge

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will be pretty even.

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Speaker 4: However, I think when you look at.

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Speaker 3: The players that have opted out, whether or be for

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the NFL Draft or the transfer portal. When you look

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at both the players on both sides, I think the

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productivity loss clearly lies with Penn State. They lost a

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lot of productivity to the players that have either opted

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out or a transfer port Also, you know, you can't

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make light of it at this time of year. The

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continuity and coaching staff, BABEO. Sweeney's still there, even though

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he came under a lot of heat this year. And

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I think Clemson will be the more motivated team. Yeah,

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Penn State finished strong, winning three in a row, but

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look who they beat. I mean Nebraska, who fell off

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a cliff at the end of the year, Michigan State,

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who's absolutely brutal, and Rutgers they only beat them forty

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to thirty six and gave up over five hundred yards.

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Speaker 4: And they had contest well.

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Speaker 3: Clemson finished four and oh straight up and three and

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one against the spread, so it's sort of Selvageter season

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considering they were three and five after eight games. I

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like Clemson the way they've finished the season against who

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they finished against a lot better than Penn State's three

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and zero, which is less impressive when when considering the

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level of competition. Small lean here, you know, again, very

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small lead Clemson minus three over Penn State.

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Speaker 1: Steve, I guess it's the new normal. Two teams that honestly,

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I probably would have preferred to fade. So it kind

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of sucks their match up against each other because due

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to the lack of motivation. So what do you think here?

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I mean, this is you know, this isn't gonna be

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the first time we talk about a potentially unmotivated Bowl team,

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but we do have two of them here in the

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Pinstripe Bowl, noon Eastern on Saturday. What are you thinking

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for this game?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, when you have two umtivated sides, let's just look

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at the total. By the way, the totals really move

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nothing forty eight and a half. It's still forty eight

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and a half in most spots. And forty seven and

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forty eight are both key numbers. Forty nine and fifty

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are what we call dead numbers. So at forty eight

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and a half all the way up to fifty and

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a half, fifty one is really the next key number.

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So we'll see if this settles a little bit. I

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do see a few forty eight out there, So if

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you're going to play the over, maybe wait a little

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bit and try to get a forty eight. But I

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think this could be a higher scoring game than expect.

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And the reason I say that is because when you

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have two teams with uncertainty, lack of motivation, opt outs

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and what stuff like we talk about in basketball, becomes

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a street ball game, right. And when it's like that

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in basketball, everyone's trying to pad their stats. It's a

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lot of offense no defense. I think we get the

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same thing in these bowl games in which teams don't

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really necessarily care. I think the defense, the intensity lacks

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on the defensive side, and we offer and get more

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points than you would expect. And you know, with the

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long layoff here in recent years we've seen that sometimes

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work good and bad. If teams can't run the ball,

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they struggle. But you look at these two attacks, especially

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Penn State when they lose their quarterback. You know, halfway

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through the season they have to run more. They're avage

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almost one hundred and eighty rushing yards five yards to

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carry this season and they're taking on a Climpson run

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d That's been good. But once again, if the intensity

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isn't there, if the focus isn't there on defense, these

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two teams have been good statistically defensively, I don't think

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it'll be as strong, and they both give up about

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twenty one points a game. Both offenses average twenty nine

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to thirty one on the season. This is a fairly

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low total in my opinion at forty eight and a half,

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especially if it drops down to forty eight or less

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for two teams that really, as we've stated, do not

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have much to play for.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, there you go, and guys. Something else to keep

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in mind here as I look at this outstanding panel

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we've got here on the Blitz is as these games

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get near, Steve Ross and I combined are going to

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sleep about six hours in the month of December because

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the three of us are going to basically we're not

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only were doing this show, but and we're giving out plays,

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but we're gonna be We're gonna be doing other standalone

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videos here on the way to talk to YouTube channel.

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Steve I believe is going for the gold medal by

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previewing every Bowl game. I mean, I don't know what

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bet you, Lusty, but thank you to Steve. I've got

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one going up on the go above Sports Bowl I

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know which will be coming up later this week, and

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I know Ross is in there. He's previewing games as well.

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I mentioned the comments if you're watching live, guys, all

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you in the chat. I'm gonna take this one right here.

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I see a lot of people are talking about the

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Toledo Louisville game, which starts here in just a little bit.

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Tucker Gleeson is out for Toledo. I assume that that

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was announced within the hour. I assume that's why we're

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seeing the line move towards Louisville. Toledo, by the way,

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their secondary is absolutely decimated. That that's the strength of

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the defense. And I think three of the starters aren't

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playing in the second. But Louisville's got some key opouts too.

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I see a lot of people saying, I don't know

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about laying this number with Louisville. I don't agree that

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they're missing a lot of key players on offense. Toledo

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also dealing with an interim coaching staff. And yes, thank

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you Joe Jay Boff in the house. Thank you for

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the jacket. I liked how it looked on my complexion

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when I did Wager Talk today, so I kept it

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for the show. All right, that is the early game

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for today. We talked about the pin strike bullpen Stateton

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Clemson Again. Guys, check back later in the week on

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the wage of Talk YouTube channel. A ton of free content,

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So why don't you see brand and subscribe?

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Speaker 3: Yes, Ross, Yes, I have a deep dive solo video

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on this game, that game that you just mentioned on

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wager Talk TV as we speak. So for those of

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you who want to detail the analysis and free picking

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that game, I have it for you.

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Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, Bron, I'll say real quick on that game

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on that line has gotten pricey. My projection, all things

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equal this year would have been Louisville like five. But

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as you said, Toledo's really beat up defensively, missing guys.

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But what jumped out to me, you know when I

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was doing a video on that as well, Ross, is

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the head to head between the two common opponents. Toledo

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gave up twelve points per game this season, but they

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gave up a lot more than that against Kentucky and

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Bowling Green lost both games outright, gave up like seventy

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some points combined, and Louisgo beat both of those teams,

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including forty one in their last game. You know, so

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you don't want to overreact to common opponents too much.

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But that thought that was pretty enlightening and tells you

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that Louisgo is a better team. The question is is

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there value now that has crossed over that key number

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of ten to eleven the floodgates have opened.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Additionally, Toledo's defensive coordinator, who's done such a terrific job

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since he's been there, he jumped ship to go to

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Syracuse well before Jason Kandall decided to move on, So

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you know, it's yeah, I don't think it's as heavy

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a number as people think with Louisville when you considered

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the level of competition is some of the things that

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Steve just brought up.

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Speaker 2: Brian, I gotta ask you real quick. You're a MAC guy, yes,

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leaving Toledo to go to Yukon. Correct. I thought that

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seemed a little strange when I first saw it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the MAC is Yeah, I mean the Mac. Look,

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it's it's it's probably it's on its way right now

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to being the weakest of the group of five conferences.

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So I don't know, maybe Candle just I actually just

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think Candle kind of needed a refresh, To be honest

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with you, I thought he'd taken the Toledo program as

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far as he could. I mean, the narrative was out

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there on Toledo with Candle. This is a team obviously,

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I have Toledo was the best team in.

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Speaker 2: The MAC this year.

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Speaker 1: To know, they didn't make the conference championship game, but

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they always drop a game or two. Is a double

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digit favorite, so we shall see, you know, to be

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honest with you, CON's a step up from Toledo. So

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there you have it, all right, Let's go to a

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next game, the next game on Saturday. Let's go back

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to our rundown here, guys, keep those questions coming in

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the chat. I know there's some games here. Those of

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you watching the show live, there are some games here

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on Tuesday. We are recording earlier this week so we

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can get as much cover as many of these games

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as possible. But three point thirty Eastern on ABC. Next

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in our rundown, guys, the Pop Tarts Bowl, Georgia Tech

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versus b YU. In addition to giving America what it

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really wants to see at being a Pop Tart mascot

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coming out of a fake toaster, this should be one

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of the better Bowl games in all serious diskuis I

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not a ton of opt outs. These are two teams

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I think want to that both want to be there.

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It's gonna be a high profile game. People were into

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the Pop Dart Bowl last year again that people love

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seeing a pop Dart maskot come out of a toaster.

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My big take on this, I think there's gonna be

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point plenty of points in this game. I think the

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defenses are gonna have trouble slow and the respective offenses down.

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Big picture something that I just want to make that

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I think that I just want to throw out there.

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Georgia Tech oc Buster Faulkner. He's left for Florida. Big

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picture for this program, that is a significant loss for

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this Georgia Tech. They are going to miss Buster Faulkner

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in the years to come. But as for the Pop

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Tarts Bowl, Ross, what is your take on this one?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I just think BYU is the more physical team

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in this matchup. I mean, you know, that's hard to

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say when you have a head coach at Georgia.

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Speaker 4: Tech like Brent Key, former offensive lineman.

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Speaker 3: But if you look at their whole body of work

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this year and especially down the final stretch of a season,

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look Byus eleven and two. You know, there are only

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two losses game against Texas Tech, row against everybody else,

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and in those two losses against Texas Tech, they were

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a minus seven turnover margin. In the rest of their

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games they were plus thirteen. So Georgia Tech. You know,

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I was really high on them before the season started.

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As a matter of fact, in my preseason preview I

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did with Teddy, I picked them to win the ACC

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and it was looking pretty good at one point, guys,

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you know, they were eight to zero and then they

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felt the wheels fell off.

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Speaker 4: They lost three in their last four. Their defense wasn't

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very good.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the only win in that four game sequence

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to end the year was against Boston College thirty six

249
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thirty four, and they allowed over five hundred yards of

250
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offense to a two to ten Boston College team. So

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I'm not crazy about the way Texas Tech finished. I

252
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think BYU is firing away the better team in this matchup,

253
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and with all things being equal, because both, like you said, Brian,

254
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both seem like they're virtually intact in terms of the

255
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transfer portal in OPTOS, there's doesn't seem to be any

256
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So I'm.

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Speaker 4: Going to take BYU here, I like BYU rut a

258
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four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's a vote for Brigham Young Steve. Would you

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concur with that? Georgia Tech's defense was something that was

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is generally not very good. I don't know how they

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turned in that performance they did against Georgia in the

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regular season finale. That was one of the big head

264
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scratchers for me down the stretch at least. What is

265
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your take here on the pop Tarts ball?

266
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Speaker 2: Yeah, Brian, you mentioned the over Ross Minson BYU. I

267
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would concur with both of you, the great state senators

268
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from Ohio and New York in this one. And I

269
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will say it's a little bit of a hedge. By

270
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the way, if you play BYU and the over, I

271
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think it worse. And I mean there's no guarantees it worse.

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You probably go one and one, maybe two and oh.

273
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And the reason I say that is because we talked

274
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about not a lot of opt outs for either team.

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But I think the one uncertainty in this Bowl game

276
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is Georgia Tech's offensive staff. As you said, they lost

277
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the oc Chris Winky, I believe might be calling the

278
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plays Florida State quarterback Georgia Tech does run the ball well,

279
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powerful rush attack, which when you have a long layoff

280
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like this, I think it's nice to see teams be

281
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able to run because the precision passing, as I said earlier,

282
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sometimes affected. But BYU has the much better run defense.

283
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They still run for almost five yards to carry. And

284
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the reason I say it's a little bit of a

285
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hedge with BYU and the OVER. I do like the

286
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OVER in this game, but if we don't get there,

287
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if it's a low scoring game, then you really got

288
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to like BYU. They have a substantial defensive edge in

289
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this game. These are both two top thirty offenses in

290
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my ratings, but I've got BYU substantially better defensively, and

291
00:13:37,399 --> 00:13:39,639
you can the stats bear that out as well. Georgia

292
00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:41,759
Tech gave up on a six yards per play this year.

293
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BYU on the season barely gave up five yards per play.

294
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So BYU and the OVER and I think it worse.

295
00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:48,879
You probably split in go one and one maybe a

296
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two to zer, which would be nice on Saturday pop

297
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Tarts ball. By the way, Brian, you know, we talked

298
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last week about Missouri State and Delaware getting the exemptions

299
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to get in, and my first thought was I wonder

300
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which one got in because Notre Dame opted out. Turns

301
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out neither one of them. It's Georgia Tech got into

302
00:14:05,279 --> 00:14:08,000
the pop Tarts Bowl. That's right, because Notre Dame opted

303
00:14:08,039 --> 00:14:11,240
out well, although they would have been bowling anyway, I guess,

304
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and Kansas State and Iowa State not going to the

305
00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:17,039
bulls is actually why Missouri State and Delaware got in,

306
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and I guess Notre Dame probably opened the spot for

307
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one of them. But yeah, Georgia Tech would not have

308
00:14:20,919 --> 00:14:22,200
been in this bowl very well. Could have been a

309
00:14:22,559 --> 00:14:25,039
I guess Notre Dame BYU matchup, which would have been

310
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very incisive coming out of the toaster.

311
00:14:28,399 --> 00:14:30,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, and correct me if those teams just signed an

312
00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:33,919
agreement to play, I believe if did I see that correctly?

313
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Notre Dame in USC no longer playing. We see some

314
00:14:37,159 --> 00:14:40,879
comments in the chat coming in BYU and Armed Forces.

315
00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:43,559
That was in response to no one takes balls as

316
00:14:43,559 --> 00:14:45,360
serious as BYU does. You guys hit on that a

317
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little bit. Ago Ross and his breakdown as far as

318
00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:53,159
the Armed Forces angle goes, and the Military Academy's treating bowls. Seriously,

319
00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:55,240
stay tuned, guys. I know I'm gonna have a best

320
00:14:55,279 --> 00:14:59,320
bet on the Yukon Army matchup later in the show.

321
00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:03,480
I I think you probably know where going there. But

322
00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:07,360
before we get to that, let's talk more power for

323
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schools in bowl games on Saturday, Virginia and Missouri in

324
00:15:13,519 --> 00:15:16,759
the Gator Bowl. The Gator Bowl seems to have fallen

325
00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:18,679
down the pecking order. Guys, correct me if I'm wrong.

326
00:15:18,759 --> 00:15:20,440
This needs to be like a New Year's Date bowl game,

327
00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:24,480
and now it's being played on the Saturday after Christmas.

328
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Virginia has taken money here against Missouri. It's based on

329
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the news Missouri quarterback bo bo Perbula is not playing

330
00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:33,919
back up Matt Zalars, who did start three games during

331
00:15:33,919 --> 00:15:36,759
the season, will be getting the starting nod instead. You

332
00:15:36,799 --> 00:15:38,960
look at the wedge talk on screen. Guys, Virginia's down

333
00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:42,159
to plus four after opening plus seven. Part of me

334
00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:44,080
thoughts and see if I'll go to you first, being

335
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the senator from Virginia. But my concern originally was taking

336
00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:51,159
the points with Virginia. They're kind of in a letdown,

337
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so like they were that close to the college football playoff,

338
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they were one win away. They lose in heartbreaking fashion.

339
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The Conference championship to Duke. But as I did, a

340
00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:05,000
more of a deep dive into Virginia in bowls. This

341
00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:07,840
is a program that has just one bowl win in

342
00:16:07,879 --> 00:16:11,440
the last fifteen years, so they might be pretty You know,

343
00:16:11,519 --> 00:16:13,679
Missouri's been in some big bowl games the last couple

344
00:16:13,679 --> 00:16:16,159
of years. I remember they beat Ohio State in a

345
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bowl game. I was on misary actually a run up

346
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with a terrible closing line value in that game, but

347
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it didn't matter. Nevertheless, Virginia they more motivated side here, Steve,

348
00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:28,320
you think I.

349
00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:30,679
Speaker 2: Don't know, I haven't dug into it too deep. I will.

350
00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:33,080
I'm gonna be doing a video for every Saturday game

351
00:16:33,519 --> 00:16:35,440
in a couple of days, and I'll kind of try

352
00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:37,840
to get it feel locally here if they want to

353
00:16:37,879 --> 00:16:40,080
be there or not. My gut instinct those what you

354
00:16:40,159 --> 00:16:42,320
said initially, Brian is that this is a pretty big blow.

355
00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:46,120
This is a team that was favored against Duke down

356
00:16:46,159 --> 00:16:47,679
in Charlotte a few weeks ago, and all they had

357
00:16:47,679 --> 00:16:48,960
to do was be the Duke team who they had

358
00:16:49,039 --> 00:16:51,600
routed a few weeks earlier on the road, and they're

359
00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:54,759
in the playoffs. So I can't imagine this isn't a

360
00:16:54,759 --> 00:16:56,960
little bit of a letdown spot just on pay per form.

361
00:16:57,639 --> 00:16:59,639
Whether they rally or not, we'll see. And it is

362
00:16:59,679 --> 00:17:02,159
a because defensively they are pretty good this year. As

363
00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:03,559
I said earlier at the beginning of the show, when

364
00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:06,440
teams aren't focused, I fear that that shows on the

365
00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,119
defensive side of the ball. We have seen some sharp money.

366
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:10,319
I don't know if it's sharp. It's a little bit

367
00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,799
of everything. On the under. You mentioned the quarterback out

368
00:17:12,839 --> 00:17:15,200
for Missouri. That's obviously a big reason why this line's

369
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:17,359
gone from seven down to four. And while the total

370
00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:19,480
has dropped from fifty and a half down to forty five,

371
00:17:20,279 --> 00:17:22,319
not a lot of value left now at forty five,

372
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:25,319
but the under does make sense. I rate both defenses

373
00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:27,720
as the stronger units on the field, and the other

374
00:17:27,759 --> 00:17:29,559
thing I'll point out is that Missouri does run the

375
00:17:29,599 --> 00:17:32,200
ball well. They had over two hundred rushing yards and

376
00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,000
three of their final four games, Oklahoma's the only team

377
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:37,599
they couldn't run against. Oklahom had the second best yards

378
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:39,640
per rush defense in the country this year, so if

379
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:42,079
you take that game out, they ran for over eight

380
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,880
hundred yards in their other three games against decent opponents.

381
00:17:45,519 --> 00:17:48,640
Texas a and m Mississippi State Arkansas, So it'll be

382
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,200
a test for the Virginia rundee that's been fantastic this

383
00:17:51,319 --> 00:17:55,359
season and overall this year. Virginia giving up just I

384
00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:57,400
think about, what is it about three point four yards

385
00:17:57,440 --> 00:17:59,559
per carry? Missouri's allowing just three point two. So I

386
00:17:59,559 --> 00:18:01,960
don't really see either team dominating the line of scrimmage

387
00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:04,200
in this game running the ball, and neither team throws

388
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:07,039
the ball well, Missouri's starting quarterbacks out, they still were

389
00:18:07,039 --> 00:18:10,079
a below average passing team this year, and so was Uva.

390
00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:13,000
So two teams that were below average passing, two good

391
00:18:13,079 --> 00:18:16,200
pass defenses, two good run defenses. I can understand why

392
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:18,319
this total has dropped to forty five. My concern would

393
00:18:18,319 --> 00:18:20,799
be if Virginia doesn't come focused. If you think they might,

394
00:18:20,839 --> 00:18:22,200
then that probably helps the under.

395
00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:23,960
Speaker 1: All right, there we go.

396
00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:25,240
Speaker 2: Ross.

397
00:18:26,039 --> 00:18:28,720
Speaker 1: We had a question in the chat. Do you expect

398
00:18:28,799 --> 00:18:32,400
the line to swing back? This is from AWB four

399
00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:35,480
and if so, is this a good time to snag

400
00:18:35,759 --> 00:18:39,400
Missouri if we like them? That is what he asked.

401
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:43,000
Speaker 3: I think the line move is basically because of the

402
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:46,200
players that opted out of this game. I mean, Steve

403
00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:50,759
mentioned the starting quarterback opted out two receivers and the

404
00:18:50,839 --> 00:18:54,319
starting tight end is not going to play either. I mean,

405
00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:58,319
you're taking away eighty eight receptions in over nine hundred

406
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,519
yards in offense right there, on top of missing your

407
00:19:01,559 --> 00:19:04,960
starting quarterback. So I think that line move is more

408
00:19:05,079 --> 00:19:09,480
predicated on that than it is on money that moved

409
00:19:09,519 --> 00:19:13,240
the line. So I don't if it does go up

410
00:19:14,599 --> 00:19:18,400
and it swings back toward the opening numbers, I don't

411
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,039
think we're going to see a drastic change. So I

412
00:19:21,079 --> 00:19:26,559
hopefully that answers that question the best I can. Anyway,

413
00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:30,119
you know, I would say brilliant minds think alike when

414
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:31,680
it comes to the under but I don't want to

415
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:32,400
insult Steve.

416
00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:36,079
Speaker 4: So I do think this is going to be a

417
00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:37,160
lower scoring game.

418
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 3: I do think this is in terms of Power Conference

419
00:19:41,079 --> 00:19:44,440
teams facing each other might be one of the more

420
00:19:44,559 --> 00:19:49,240
boring games, boring matchups in the Bowl season. And you

421
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:52,200
look at both defenses, like Steve said, I mean Virginia

422
00:19:52,279 --> 00:19:56,519
averaging allowing less than nineteen points per game, Missouri less

423
00:19:56,640 --> 00:20:00,400
than nineteen points per game or a little over nineteen

424
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,640
points per game. Missouri has allowed twenty points for fewer

425
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,160
in eight of twelve games this year. A lot of

426
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:11,119
those were against SEC competition, so they're definitely a stout defense.

427
00:20:11,799 --> 00:20:16,400
And Virginia, to me, they lacked the explosiveness on offense,

428
00:20:16,559 --> 00:20:20,279
especially against some defense to caliber Missouri, so.

429
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:22,440
Speaker 4: I like this game to go under. I agree with

430
00:20:22,559 --> 00:20:25,240
Steve wholeheartedly on his opinion.

431
00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:30,440
Speaker 1: All Right, that's two votes for a little scoring Gator Bowl,

432
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,480
right there, guys. I see we've got some questions coming

433
00:20:33,519 --> 00:20:36,680
in for one of tonight's games. I'll touch on that

434
00:20:36,799 --> 00:20:38,599
and just a little bit. No, Jay Buffy did not

435
00:20:38,759 --> 00:20:43,720
miss any Hawaii bull discussion either, so we'll maybe touch

436
00:20:43,759 --> 00:20:45,160
on that either. We have one more game in our

437
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:46,960
rundown and we're going to also all three of us

438
00:20:47,039 --> 00:20:48,799
tell you what we've got going on this week at

439
00:20:48,839 --> 00:20:52,480
Wagertalk dot com. Obviously one of the busiest weeks of

440
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:56,680
the year and a very challenging week to handicap guys,

441
00:20:56,759 --> 00:20:58,880
not just with these Bulls, but I was doing my

442
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:03,240
NFL initial work yesterday. It feels like half the league

443
00:21:03,279 --> 00:21:05,279
is down to its backup quarterback there. I just basically

444
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:07,839
ripped up my power ratings that I usually lean heavily

445
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:10,240
on this week for pro and college football. I don't

446
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,799
think they matter quite frankly, but that's a different story

447
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:18,880
for a different day. Ross, your favorite LSU. We know

448
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,480
who their next head coaches. I know you've been watching

449
00:21:21,519 --> 00:21:24,000
this program the last couple of weeks. Ross has made

450
00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:28,480
his opinions clear on Lane Giffen and how he feels. Maybe, uh,

451
00:21:29,839 --> 00:21:32,559
there's a chance to impress the old Lane train here. Ross,

452
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:34,880
although looking like a lot of opt outs on the

453
00:21:35,039 --> 00:21:38,480
LSU side, take on Houston in the Texas Bowl nine

454
00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:41,079
to fifteen Eastern on ESPN. I think all the opt

455
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:45,039
outs are why the Tigers opened as the underdogs here.

456
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, And having said that, you know you're looking at

457
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:53,920
an LSU team that defensively is deep and played very

458
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:57,240
well this year. It's their offense was their enigma this year.

459
00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:59,480
I mean you're looking at they played under the total

460
00:21:59,519 --> 00:22:03,240
in their LAB four. They played under the total in

461
00:22:04,079 --> 00:22:07,880
nine of twelve games this year. So that speaks volumes

462
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:11,640
to me. In Houston, you know, they look good at

463
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:14,400
times this year, but one thing they're not bad defensively.

464
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:19,519
You look at their defensive numbers, especially down to stretch,

465
00:22:19,599 --> 00:22:21,880
they were pretty good to one exception being the game

466
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:25,759
against West Virginia. I just think this one we played

467
00:22:25,839 --> 00:22:28,680
close to the best, and I think we're going to

468
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:31,599
see a lower scoring affair in the total in this game.

469
00:22:31,759 --> 00:22:35,440
Certainly indicates that, you know, and you're looking at the

470
00:22:35,519 --> 00:22:37,640
total opened at forty three and a half down to

471
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:39,440
forty one and a half. Some of that might be

472
00:22:40,319 --> 00:22:43,440
for the reasons you said, Brian, in terms of opt

473
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:48,000
outs in transfer portals, but I think that this game

474
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,079
you're looking at like a seventeen to ten type of game,

475
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:54,319
seventeen thirteen somewhere in that area. So I'm going to

476
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:57,559
have a small lean toward the under here. I just

477
00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:02,319
don't like this won't be on my card only because

478
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:05,400
forty one and a half, you know, is a relatively

479
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:10,440
low number in terms of college football totals, and with

480
00:23:10,599 --> 00:23:13,680
both of these defenses and their ability to turn the

481
00:23:13,799 --> 00:23:16,680
other people over, and then you're looking at the fac Houston.

482
00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,880
I mean, they turned the ball over themselves ten times

483
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:24,200
in the last four games, and they created eight turnovers

484
00:23:24,279 --> 00:23:27,160
during that time, So you know, too many short.

485
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 4: Fields to worry about. But put the proverbial gun to

486
00:23:31,079 --> 00:23:34,279
my head, like Steve likes to do, all you're wrong

487
00:23:34,759 --> 00:23:37,359
and I'm gonna go under the toll.

488
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,279
Speaker 1: Merrill be a violent man, I will say no nus

489
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:44,559
Meyer for LSU, and you know other that you bring

490
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:47,440
up a great point, and I'll take over to Steve. Yes,

491
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,519
other than an inexplicable first half against West Virginia, And

492
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,039
if memory serves me correct, I'm doing this off the

493
00:23:55,079 --> 00:23:57,759
top of my head. I think that was turnover field.

494
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:02,480
Houston's defense was outstanding this year, So Steve, it seems

495
00:24:02,559 --> 00:24:06,480
like the consent and certainly these early Bowl matchups backing

496
00:24:06,599 --> 00:24:09,839
up these sort of opinions we're given here on the

497
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:14,359
under I mean, the offensive execution, particularly with these interim

498
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:18,559
stabs and whatnot, has not been crisp in a lot

499
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:20,279
of these Bowl games. So do you think this is

500
00:24:20,279 --> 00:24:22,640
another low scoring one as well between LSU and Houston.

501
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:25,279
Speaker 2: Yeah. Once again, I go back to motivation. I mean,

502
00:24:25,319 --> 00:24:27,000
the thing that concerns you here with this low of

503
00:24:27,039 --> 00:24:28,920
a total is if the LSU is all over the

504
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:30,599
place like they might be, does that show on the

505
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,279
defensive side. But I think you're right, you need defense

506
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,920
is more about motivation. It's just athleticism, strength, you know, desire,

507
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:39,720
get out there, hit somebody. You need more precision on

508
00:24:39,799 --> 00:24:41,599
the offensive side. And now that we'll get into these

509
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:45,359
late December games. This Saturday, December twenty seventh, you do

510
00:24:45,799 --> 00:24:47,480
start talking about teams being off for more than a

511
00:24:47,559 --> 00:24:50,319
month on this in some cases. In fact, Houston and

512
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:52,960
LSU both played on November twenty ninth. That's a full

513
00:24:53,079 --> 00:24:56,519
four weeks off for these squads. And let's not forget

514
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,720
LSU was not a good offensive team this year, really

515
00:24:59,759 --> 00:25:02,119
bad rushing attack, one of the worst in the SEC

516
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,319
for sure, and they barely average one hundred rushing yards

517
00:25:05,319 --> 00:25:07,400
a game. And I bring that up because when you're

518
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:09,039
off for a month, I think it's easier to get

519
00:25:09,079 --> 00:25:11,119
back in there play smash mouth football. You're going to

520
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,480
talk about how service academies do during the bulls and

521
00:25:14,599 --> 00:25:17,119
you know, hey, how do they play right smash mouth football?

522
00:25:17,519 --> 00:25:19,079
And if you look at the two teams here, Houston

523
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:21,200
runs from US one hundred and seventy five yards a game.

524
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,359
Huge rushing edge here for the Cougars, And you've got

525
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,720
to always respect Cougar's after a long layoff, they come

526
00:25:26,759 --> 00:25:30,039
out and fight. You know that Brian Power and both

527
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:33,680
defenses are solid LSU. Both of these teams good defenses,

528
00:25:33,759 --> 00:25:37,079
questionable offenses. There's a reason why it's the lowest total

529
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:40,920
at forty one, but don't underestimate cougars when they've been cornered.

530
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:44,599
Speaker 1: Well, on that note, perhaps we should talk about the

531
00:25:44,799 --> 00:25:48,279
Frisco gowl tonight, because I think there are some questions

532
00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:52,400
rolling in about all my alma mater head coach Brian Smith.

533
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:55,279
If you kept if you caught the end of last

534
00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:58,000
week's program here on the blitz, I said, as a

535
00:25:58,039 --> 00:26:02,359
Producia University graduate, was zero chance that man was fired

536
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:04,960
for alcohol related reasons. If they got rid of everyone

537
00:26:05,039 --> 00:26:07,039
and out in Athens for alcohol related.

538
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:09,559
Speaker 2: There was an alcohol involved probably by the way, there was.

539
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,200
I got to do a disclaimer here, the Steve Merrill correction.

540
00:26:12,279 --> 00:26:14,319
This doesn't happen often, but I did the video yesterday

541
00:26:14,319 --> 00:26:15,960
and I think I had a slip of the tongue.

542
00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:19,400
Said underage affair, I meant undergraduate.

543
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:19,880
Speaker 4: Yeah.

544
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:22,039
Speaker 2: And as I said in the comments today, because I

545
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:23,960
reply to the comments, I read them all that she

546
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,400
was probably a little underage for him still as she

547
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:30,279
was down of cougar, Steve, and you don't know that either,

548
00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:30,680
damn it.

549
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: And that's where we're going here. Yes, so if you

550
00:26:34,759 --> 00:26:37,079
watch some I said, there was no way somebody would

551
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:40,119
lose their job in Athens, Ohio. Of all places, if

552
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:42,720
they got rid of people for alcohol in Athens, there

553
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:45,599
would be no student body. There'd be no teachers, There'd

554
00:26:45,599 --> 00:26:48,440
be no there would be no one. Okay, a bottle,

555
00:26:49,039 --> 00:26:51,119
there would be no Brian Barr. There's there's a bottle

556
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,440
of booze in every drawer in that town. Steve so

557
00:26:53,599 --> 00:26:57,119
I was not surprised to learn there was smoke or

558
00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,720
a fire behind that smoke, so to speak. So yeah,

559
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,519
for those of you who are asking, Ohio has he

560
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:07,079
was on administrative leave early. UNLV took money for this game.

561
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,039
This is Tuesday night UNLV in Ohio and the Frisco Ball.

562
00:27:10,079 --> 00:27:11,799
I'll just touch on this. I actually did a complete

563
00:27:11,839 --> 00:27:15,920
breakdown of this game on wager Talk today this morning.

564
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:18,559
I'm sure they'll make that a standalone video as well.

565
00:27:18,839 --> 00:27:21,079
I get look, everyone's gonna say I'm being a homer.

566
00:27:21,319 --> 00:27:23,079
I want to punch back at the market a little bit.

567
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:26,119
I don't like to see Ross can tell you I've

568
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:30,720
been pooh pooing this UNLV team all season on this show.

569
00:27:30,759 --> 00:27:32,880
I think they're one of the luckiest teams in the country.

570
00:27:33,559 --> 00:27:36,359
Tip of the cap to Dan Mullen. He outperformed my expectations,

571
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,240
but they were five and one in one score games.

572
00:27:38,799 --> 00:27:41,759
Despite the coaching situation, no one's opting out for Ohio.

573
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,880
And did you know, Steve Merrill, the Ohio University Bobcats

574
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:49,559
have the nation's second longest bull win streak at six straight.

575
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:52,480
I think they may be motivated to continue that. I

576
00:27:52,519 --> 00:27:55,640
would take the points with the all ma mater.

577
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:59,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, go ahead, Series.

578
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 3: You're looking at a coach, correct me if I'm wrong.

579
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:08,759
In Ohio, he's the first year head coach, right, and yeah,

580
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,000
so's There's not like there's been a ton of allegiance

581
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,640
toward him. You know, I'm sure to freshman classy recruited

582
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:20,559
as Frantz upon what happened. But other than that, and

583
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:23,680
you this naviral kid at quarterback, I think he could

584
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:25,519
be a difference maker in this game. And I think

585
00:28:25,599 --> 00:28:30,759
too much is being made of Ohio losing their head

586
00:28:30,799 --> 00:28:33,880
coach in the publicity in which that received.

587
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 4: And you make some good points along those lines, Brian,

588
00:28:37,559 --> 00:28:39,440
But go ahead, Steve. I'm sorry to interrupt you.

589
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:41,319
Speaker 2: No, no, I was going to chime in on the

590
00:28:41,319 --> 00:28:43,519
total in this It's good. I was saying about using

591
00:28:43,519 --> 00:28:45,039
this as the free flavor the show, guys, but I

592
00:28:45,079 --> 00:28:46,799
know people will be watching it later into the week,

593
00:28:46,839 --> 00:28:48,400
so I'm going to use a Saturday game here at

594
00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:50,079
the end instead. But I do like the over in

595
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,799
this game tonight. It's one of the biggest of not

596
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:55,680
the biggest bull total this season, and as you guys know,

597
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:57,960
the highest totals go over more times than not. It

598
00:28:58,079 --> 00:29:00,480
opens sixty two and a half, it's up to sixty

599
00:29:00,559 --> 00:29:03,039
five and a half. And the thing for me is

600
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:05,880
un LV is a great offense, terrible defense, right, So

601
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,440
I think even if Ohio is a little shorthand they're distracted,

602
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:10,160
they're going to still score in this game, and UNLB

603
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:12,559
will get theirs as well. I believe they averaged like

604
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:15,440
thirty five points a game this season, and I like

605
00:29:15,519 --> 00:29:17,359
the up and over sixty five sixty five and a

606
00:29:17,359 --> 00:29:19,160
half ton I should be a shootout at Non Eastern.

607
00:29:19,759 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, highest total of the bowlseason as of right now, Steve.

608
00:29:23,279 --> 00:29:25,480
As a matter of fact, I watched the UNLV game

609
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:27,640
against Air Force a couple of it was on one

610
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,039
of my TVs that Saturday afternoon. I don't think there

611
00:29:30,119 --> 00:29:31,680
was a single defensive stop in that game.

612
00:29:32,079 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 3: It was.

613
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:35,680
Speaker 1: It was absolutely absurd. So yeah, I would co sign

614
00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:38,799
that that number is high for a reason. Don't think

615
00:29:38,799 --> 00:29:40,920
there will be a lot of mets. We've talked about

616
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:42,759
some unders so far in this show, but that game,

617
00:29:42,759 --> 00:29:45,359
I don't think. I think defense is optional in the FRISCO.

618
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:46,480
Thank you.

619
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, and not to beat a dead horse. But again

620
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,759
we've talked about this, Brian. Alls you need to do

621
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:55,559
is go back and look at UNLV's opener. They allowed

622
00:29:56,160 --> 00:30:00,599
over five hundred yards to Idaho State, who plays anti clap.

623
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:03,799
But I don't even think Idaho State made the FCS playoffs.

624
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:04,599
Speaker 4: I might be wrong.

625
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,599
Speaker 2: There were not a powerhouse FCS team, so yeah, I

626
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:09,400
don't even know if they made the playoffs either. Yeah.

627
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:12,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, So let's all right, let's take a

628
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,480
brief pause here. We still have our best bets coming.

629
00:30:15,519 --> 00:30:20,279
I think we're gonna between the rundown and our best bets,

630
00:30:20,279 --> 00:30:22,279
I think we're basically got you covered on everything for

631
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:26,519
Saturday here, So congrats for tuning in here to the Blitz.

632
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:29,039
We're trying to cover as many of these games as

633
00:30:29,119 --> 00:30:31,359
we can. Again, the three of us combined, we'll have

634
00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:33,599
a ton of standalone content too. So anything that you

635
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:35,759
may not have heard on this show may have slipped

636
00:30:35,759 --> 00:30:38,079
through the cracks. If you will, I'm sure at least

637
00:30:38,119 --> 00:30:42,000
one of us will be getting to those games here. Guys,

638
00:30:42,119 --> 00:30:45,000
just remember to like and subscribe here on the wager

639
00:30:45,079 --> 00:30:46,920
Talking YouTube channel. And if you didn't, and if you're

640
00:30:47,039 --> 00:30:49,799
catching the show not live, you can still comment down

641
00:30:49,839 --> 00:30:52,680
below and ask us questions. We'll be checking as the

642
00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:58,440
week progresses. All right, I know Wednesdays before Saturday, jay Buff,

643
00:30:58,519 --> 00:31:01,519
we'll get to the Hawaii Ball. Jaye. Buff's a good

644
00:31:01,559 --> 00:31:04,400
friend of mine, but very demanding in the comments section,

645
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:07,440
What do we say here that we talk about what

646
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,279
we've going on this week? Wednesday is before Saturday, and

647
00:31:10,319 --> 00:31:12,200
I'm sure we've got a lot going on all of

648
00:31:12,319 --> 00:31:17,319
us in between here, Steve, I'll throw it to you first, though.

649
00:31:17,319 --> 00:31:19,119
Why don't you talk about what's going on in your

650
00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:19,960
neck of the woods at wag.

651
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,480
Speaker 2: Talk dot com. Yeah, so right now, let's sell about

652
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,039
those videos once again. I've got all three games for Tuesday.

653
00:31:25,039 --> 00:31:27,240
I've got the Hawaii Bowl that we're talking about. That

654
00:31:27,319 --> 00:31:29,319
Wednesday game is up here right now, and also three

655
00:31:29,519 --> 00:31:32,319
NFL games Thursday. All three underdogs might have third string

656
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:36,200
quarterbacks on Thursday. What could go wrong? Enjoy your lump

657
00:31:36,279 --> 00:31:39,759
of call, Roger Goodell, you deserve it. Also, all three

658
00:31:39,839 --> 00:31:41,640
Friday Bowl games I'll have up later this week, and

659
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,640
there are eight Bowl games Saturday. I think maybe we

660
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,039
missed a couple, Brian, don't worry. I'm gonna break them

661
00:31:46,039 --> 00:31:49,240
all down, and an eight for one special. We'll see

662
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:50,839
if I have a voice left for fade the public

663
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,319
this Sunday. But yeah, it's all three. Here a way

664
00:31:53,359 --> 00:31:56,440
to talk TV, click subscribe, click that bell, And tonight

665
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:58,839
on Tuesday, I do have three best bets my first

666
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:02,319
boll total best bet tonight and also two NBA best bets.

667
00:32:02,319 --> 00:32:04,319
And if you're joining us on Tuesday, it is five

668
00:32:04,519 --> 00:32:08,240
dollars Tuesday, don't miss out instant eighty percent discount. And

669
00:32:08,279 --> 00:32:10,799
then also some Christmas specials going up tomorrow and Wednesday,

670
00:32:10,839 --> 00:32:14,400
starting at midnight on Wednesday mornings, so check that out.

671
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:17,079
Wagertalk dot com, Steve Maryland. Don't forget about the bonus

672
00:32:17,119 --> 00:32:20,079
free play. My last cut, just a Bit Outside, goes

673
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:21,759
up as a free play every day on my page

674
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,480
for free. Steve Merril, wager Talk dot com and get

675
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:30,440
there quicker wt Dot Buzz Slash sm All right, Steve,

676
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:33,880
like eight game, well in one video you're covering. So

677
00:32:34,119 --> 00:32:36,240
I checked with the production team. I was like, do

678
00:32:36,279 --> 00:32:38,240
you want me to split this into like, you know, daytime,

679
00:32:38,359 --> 00:32:41,599
night time, four, and four because eight seemed insane, And

680
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:43,119
then they reminded me that I did it for the

681
00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:46,599
nc DOUBA tournament first round. I did when we have sixteen,

682
00:32:46,599 --> 00:32:48,240
I might have done all sixteen in the video and

683
00:32:48,279 --> 00:32:50,039
those are all about twenty minute videos. So it just

684
00:32:50,039 --> 00:32:51,480
shows Brian, you know, when you have one game, I

685
00:32:51,559 --> 00:32:53,920
go like ten minutes to eight games. It's still like

686
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:55,559
gain you know that too. Ross. It's like, well you

687
00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:57,680
make it efficient. And I will say thank you for

688
00:32:57,720 --> 00:32:59,960
having me on because I got a lot of the advance.

689
00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:01,640
It's work done already because we've done like half the

690
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,400
games today, So I would think about spitting it out

691
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:06,240
right now, but like you said, there's so many opt

692
00:33:06,279 --> 00:33:07,960
outs and whatnot. I think I'm going to record it

693
00:33:08,319 --> 00:33:10,079
here in a couple of days, maybe up on Friday

694
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:11,000
or you know, Friday night.

695
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:13,799
Speaker 1: Make sure you guys stay tuned for that Ross, and

696
00:33:13,839 --> 00:33:15,359
make sure you guys want to stay tuned for everything

697
00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:17,920
Ross is doing here. On the wayge Hockey Thuugh channel,

698
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,359
and also what he's got going on at wager talk

699
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,440
dot com as well. Ross tells about.

700
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm off to a great start with my college

701
00:33:26,359 --> 00:33:30,000
football postseason picks three and zero this past weekend, with

702
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:33,279
my college football playoff picks two and one to start

703
00:33:33,359 --> 00:33:36,720
the bowl season, five and one overall this year with

704
00:33:36,839 --> 00:33:40,480
my college football postseason picks folks, going back to the

705
00:33:40,559 --> 00:33:45,440
start of the twenty twenty two college football postseason forty

706
00:33:45,519 --> 00:33:50,200
five and twenty two sixty seven percent up over seventy

707
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:54,319
four units in that profit my college football overall one

708
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:57,079
sixty seven and one o nine with my last two

709
00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:01,440
hundred and seventy six college football premi picks up one

710
00:34:01,519 --> 00:34:04,440
hundred and thirty eight units in net profit sixty one

711
00:34:04,559 --> 00:34:08,960
percent winners. NFL coming off a nice winter last night

712
00:34:09,079 --> 00:34:12,679
with the Indian San Francisco game easily going over to

713
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:16,360
total terrible Sunday in the NFL winter on Thursday in

714
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,280
the NFL, but or Saturday night, I should say, but

715
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:21,800
twenty one and eight with my last twenty nine in

716
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,960
the NFL. Going good there in all sports, although I'm

717
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:28,079
having a terrible December, guys, I'm still up one hundred

718
00:34:28,079 --> 00:34:31,079
and fifty one units in net profit since made the

719
00:34:31,159 --> 00:34:34,320
thirteenth in all sports so an MBA by the way,

720
00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:37,519
forty one and twenty eight last sixty nine, So.

721
00:34:37,599 --> 00:34:39,800
Speaker 4: A lot of good stuff going on. Don't forget folks.

722
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:45,119
Speaker 3: Today two specials end for us for four day special

723
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:48,960
for sixty nine dollars. I should say all access normally

724
00:34:49,039 --> 00:34:51,760
sixty nine dollars, but for three days, but we're giving

725
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:55,239
you an additional day for free, so you're getting four

726
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:59,000
days for sixty nine dollars. Also seven day all access

727
00:34:59,119 --> 00:35:02,079
passed normally ninety nine dollars, you're going to get an

728
00:35:02,159 --> 00:35:06,719
additional three days absolutely free, ten days ninety nine dollars,

729
00:35:07,599 --> 00:35:10,360
less than ten dollars a day. Both of those specials

730
00:35:10,519 --> 00:35:12,960
and tonight at midnight, so you need to act quickly.

731
00:35:13,599 --> 00:35:17,159
And then a big week coming up. And also weekend

732
00:35:17,199 --> 00:35:21,000
Warrior special forty nine dollars, guys, been a very popular

733
00:35:21,559 --> 00:35:24,199
thing for our customers, clients and viewers.

734
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:26,519
Speaker 4: And not only will you get.

735
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 3: College football in the NFL this weekend, you also get

736
00:35:29,119 --> 00:35:31,519
every other sport that we put out on the premium

737
00:35:31,639 --> 00:35:34,679
side for just forty nine dollars. On Saturday, and Sunday,

738
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,239
including all five percent best bets.

739
00:35:38,679 --> 00:35:41,760
Speaker 1: All right, those were pressures on me right now to speak.

740
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,320
I heard you say twenty one and eight Ross, Well,

741
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,239
just so happened. I'm twenty one and eight my last

742
00:35:47,519 --> 00:35:52,320
twenty nine college football select including a perfect six and

743
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:55,000
h start to the Bulls and college football play if

744
00:35:55,119 --> 00:35:57,599
we have turned it on at the most opportune time

745
00:35:57,719 --> 00:36:00,320
in the season, guys, over the weekend we have both

746
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:02,880
Miami and Florida. That was an outright winner and Miami

747
00:36:03,159 --> 00:36:06,920
of Florida against Texas A and m first half under sure,

748
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:08,440
if you guys watched that game, it did not get

749
00:36:08,519 --> 00:36:10,360
much e does not get much easier a bet does

750
00:36:10,639 --> 00:36:13,119
than that one. It was zero zero going into the break.

751
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:15,719
So that was a great play. Six and OHO starts

752
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:16,719
with the Bulls continues.

753
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:18,880
Speaker 2: Go over my page. Wtup.

754
00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:21,039
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a lot of big plays this weekend

755
00:36:21,079 --> 00:36:22,480
as well. We've also been seeing it well in the

756
00:36:22,599 --> 00:36:26,239
NFL sixty seven percent in November thirteenth, including the big

757
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:29,360
five percent winner on Saturday with the Commander's Eagles over

758
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:32,119
That was, to be quite blunt with you, that was

759
00:36:32,159 --> 00:36:34,000
a fortunate game that we got over. We got a

760
00:36:34,079 --> 00:36:37,000
nice pass INTERFERI it's nice. You guys can attest to that.

761
00:36:37,079 --> 00:36:39,119
A lot of those times it goes against you to

762
00:36:39,199 --> 00:36:41,480
get a pass interference call like that late in the

763
00:36:41,519 --> 00:36:43,760
game to set us up for the garbage time touchdown.

764
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:48,360
Was I'm not complaining quite frankly about that. I don't

765
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,239
think anyone would complain about a trip to Hawaii on

766
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,480
Christmas Eve. Now it's not a trip for Hawaii, because

767
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:58,320
of course, sir, it's just a home game, the Hawaii

768
00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,920
Bowl on Christmas Eve. But the Warriors will be playing cal.

769
00:37:03,119 --> 00:37:05,000
This was the Hawaii Well. I don't know if you

770
00:37:05,039 --> 00:37:09,000
guys remember this last year that went into three four

771
00:37:09,079 --> 00:37:11,440
fat went into a lot of overtimes. I remember I

772
00:37:11,559 --> 00:37:13,360
was trying very hard not to wake my wife and

773
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:17,119
daughter while I was sweating that game. But that is

774
00:37:17,159 --> 00:37:19,880
the life we have all chosen here in this industry.

775
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:22,239
As we are convulsing in bed watching the Hawaii Ball

776
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:24,559
on Christmas Eve. But did you guys have any takes

777
00:37:24,599 --> 00:37:26,239
on that? Because I know Jay buff did ask and

778
00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:27,039
let's just get to that.

779
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:30,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, if I can just small take, Okay,

780
00:37:31,079 --> 00:37:32,360
you're you're looking at Hawaii.

781
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:33,320
Speaker 4: Hawaii will be.

782
00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:37,119
Speaker 3: The more motivated team in this matchup. In my estimation,

783
00:37:38,039 --> 00:37:41,079
California playing with a lame duck coaching staff right now,

784
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:47,119
several apt outs in transfer portal victims there and Hawaii

785
00:37:48,039 --> 00:37:52,000
really enjoying a tremendous season this year. And uh, I

786
00:37:52,119 --> 00:37:54,480
think there'll be the more motivated team. Is this a

787
00:37:54,559 --> 00:37:57,719
game I'm going to use on my card? No, because

788
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:00,840
on paper, California should be the super superior team. But

789
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:04,400
it's not always about who's a better team, Steve, you know,

790
00:38:04,639 --> 00:38:07,719
in these ball games, it's sometimes it's a matter of

791
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:11,079
just motivation, especially in what's seemed to be a pretty

792
00:38:11,119 --> 00:38:11,840
even matchup.

793
00:38:13,599 --> 00:38:15,519
Speaker 2: I agree, Ross, I mean, I think motivation is the

794
00:38:15,599 --> 00:38:18,440
number one thing when you're handicapping the NFL preseason and

795
00:38:18,519 --> 00:38:21,639
the college postseason. Right it's come opposite ends of the

796
00:38:21,679 --> 00:38:24,960
spectrum here have come full circle and they have been

797
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:26,920
a good home team as well. And look, if there's

798
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:28,400
ever a time you're going to take a vacation at

799
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:31,800
a bowl game, you're going to Hawaii, that's definitely distracting.

800
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:33,800
Maybe Las Vegas and Hawaii would be the two bowl

801
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:36,840
games you'd worry about teams being focused on as visitors.

802
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,599
I'll look at the total in this one. And I

803
00:38:39,679 --> 00:38:41,840
gave out a free play video yesterday on this and

804
00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:44,280
it was fifty two and opened fifty five, down to

805
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:46,840
fifty two, and now it's like fifty to fifty and

806
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:48,639
a half. So we have lost that key number of

807
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:51,280
fifty one. Might want to hold off at this point

808
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:53,119
and see if you get it back tomorrow night, if

809
00:38:53,119 --> 00:38:54,880
the public maybe pushes it a little higher, if we

810
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,559
get some buyback, probably about a three to four percent

811
00:38:57,679 --> 00:39:01,199
chance a game can land on fifty one, you know,

812
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:04,480
forty one to ten. Lots of margins, twenty seven to

813
00:39:04,519 --> 00:39:06,320
twenty four, a lot of key margins get you there

814
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:09,480
to fifty one. And both teams cannot run the ball.

815
00:39:09,559 --> 00:39:12,719
Two terrible rushing attacks, and you'd say, hey, normally both

816
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:14,519
teams throwing the ball that you think there's gonna be

817
00:39:14,559 --> 00:39:17,679
a lot of points. But both teams pass defenses are decent.

818
00:39:18,119 --> 00:39:19,679
They both have been off for a month, so there

819
00:39:19,679 --> 00:39:22,559
again you worry about the consistency. And you also could

820
00:39:22,599 --> 00:39:24,119
get a little bit of win in Hawaii. We'll see

821
00:39:24,119 --> 00:39:25,320
and they think the weather will be nice, but we

822
00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:27,880
could get some breezes. So I think the undermakes sense.

823
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:29,840
We've definitely seen the sharp money coming on the under.

824
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:33,320
Some guys out for cal as well, but at fifty

825
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:35,079
one or more there's some value. Now at fifty to

826
00:39:35,119 --> 00:39:36,960
fifty and a half, it's started to get a little pricey.

827
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:41,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, the biggest, the most key opt out of that

828
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:44,960
game is Hawaii's leading receiver. If you have yet to

829
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:47,800
dig in almost one thousand yards twelve touchdowns, I believe.

830
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:49,320
Speaker 2: So, you know, we'll see if they can just dial

831
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:51,639
in place, you know, and time may if he can

832
00:39:51,679 --> 00:39:53,079
plug somebody else back in there.

833
00:39:53,159 --> 00:39:56,920
Speaker 1: But yeah, that's a big loss absolutely. So all right, Uh,

834
00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:59,000
we've covered a lot of games. We've still got more

835
00:39:59,039 --> 00:40:01,519
to go. What do you say we go through our

836
00:40:01,559 --> 00:40:04,079
best bets here, guys, We've got more games to even cover.

837
00:40:04,159 --> 00:40:07,760
I'm going to get us started in the Fenway Bowl

838
00:40:08,159 --> 00:40:13,440
two fifteen Eastern on Saturday, ESPN, of course from Boston, Massachusetts.

839
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:18,519
Where else with the Fenway Bowl b Yukon versus Army guys.

840
00:40:18,559 --> 00:40:20,440
I am not a military man. I have many friends

841
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:23,039
who are. But unless they've changed the rules on us,

842
00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:26,639
you can't opt out of bowls if you're in the Army.

843
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,639
That's the one edge they've got these service academies. You

844
00:40:29,679 --> 00:40:32,679
can't opt out, so it should be the normal Army

845
00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,079
squad on the field Saturdays. They look to bounce back

846
00:40:35,079 --> 00:40:37,559
from that heartbreaking Losston Navy at the end of the

847
00:40:37,599 --> 00:40:40,280
regular season. Ralph Michael's a few weeks ago on the program,

848
00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:43,639
let us know about this service academies in bowl games

849
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:47,159
have been printing money an insane run. I believe eighteen

850
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:51,719
and two against the number the last twenty appearances between Army,

851
00:40:52,199 --> 00:40:57,960
Navy and Air Force. As for Yukon, well, oh boy,

852
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:01,920
three starting offensive linemen the portal yikes. They could be

853
00:41:01,960 --> 00:41:05,719
down to a four string quarterback. Double yikes. Their defense

854
00:41:06,639 --> 00:41:10,840
horrible against the run, triple yikes facing the triple option.

855
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:14,320
If you guys saw this defense against Rice, who runs

856
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:16,800
the triple option, and against air Force, they were not

857
00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:19,480
gonna They were very lucky. Against air Force, they could

858
00:41:19,519 --> 00:41:21,920
not stop that. They had no early down success rate

859
00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:25,079
in that game. The Yukon, and also we've harped on

860
00:41:25,159 --> 00:41:28,039
this in other games. You're dealing with an interim coaching

861
00:41:28,119 --> 00:41:32,280
staff with Yukon. Jim Mora junior leads for Colorado State.

862
00:41:32,679 --> 00:41:35,559
Jason Kandell, as we've already mentioned, he's coming in from Toledo,

863
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:38,800
so it's an interim staff here, guys. At some point,

864
00:41:39,519 --> 00:41:41,760
maybe we do get to a number where I wouldn't

865
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,920
feel comfortable laying it with Army. But we're not there yet.

866
00:41:45,159 --> 00:41:48,760
Chances are this game gets very ugly in a hurry.

867
00:41:49,639 --> 00:41:53,280
Army minus nine and a half in the Fenway Bowl

868
00:41:54,079 --> 00:42:01,440
is my show? Best bet Ross, you want to go next?

869
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 4: I'm sorry, I want to go next to Ross with

870
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:05,480
yours are? Yeah.

871
00:42:06,039 --> 00:42:08,280
Speaker 1: I realized I punctuated that with such a b was

872
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:09,559
just like, okay, and now what do we do?

873
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:12,599
Speaker 4: So I was for one of us.

874
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:16,119
Speaker 2: The beauty of the analysis had me frozen.

875
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:19,679
Speaker 4: Yes, I mean I will play on your game. Army.

876
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:22,840
Speaker 3: Also, you know, you look at that Army team. They

877
00:42:23,079 --> 00:42:26,119
started to hear slow, but you know, uh, that's a

878
00:42:26,159 --> 00:42:28,519
team that lost by seven to two, Lane by seven

879
00:42:28,559 --> 00:42:32,800
in North Texas, and uh a one point loss against Navy.

880
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:35,679
Those were all three very good teams and two of

881
00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:39,480
them played for, uh the title in the American Athletic Conference.

882
00:42:39,559 --> 00:42:42,880
So uh, that's that's a better than advertised Army team.

883
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:45,480
Speaker 1: And it is with Sabby Fenway Ball that is a

884
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:48,920
that is some sort of technology thing. It's not for sushi.

885
00:42:49,199 --> 00:42:51,639
So just a case of for we needed to. These

886
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:53,800
bull sponsors have gotten real dire, guys.

887
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:54,119
Speaker 2: I don't know.

888
00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:57,199
Speaker 1: People talk about motivation of the balls. These bull sponsors

889
00:42:57,239 --> 00:42:58,719
aren't what they used to be. Man, I don't know

890
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:00,480
where they pulled some of these cups, but he's from

891
00:43:00,559 --> 00:43:04,280
but Ross, what are you pulling for your best bets?

892
00:43:04,679 --> 00:43:07,920
Speaker 3: Well, I'm looking at the Miami of Ohio and Fresno

893
00:43:08,079 --> 00:43:10,760
State game. I don't know what its name, what bullet is,

894
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,519
but I'm looking at the matchup. Maybe you could help

895
00:43:13,559 --> 00:43:15,960
me out, Brian in terms of the name of the

896
00:43:16,039 --> 00:43:16,559
bowl game.

897
00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:20,440
Speaker 1: But in any dog bowl, yeah, a super dog ball.

898
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:22,199
Speaker 4: Yeah snoop DOGG. There you go.

899
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:27,199
Speaker 3: So in any event, yeah, Look again, it's a matter

900
00:43:27,239 --> 00:43:31,480
of motivation for me. I'm not crazy about Miami Ohio. Look,

901
00:43:31,559 --> 00:43:34,840
and in their non conference portion of the schedule, they

902
00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:38,840
went on three. They did face two Big Ten teams,

903
00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:41,480
but look at the Big Ten teams. They faced Wisconsin

904
00:43:41,559 --> 00:43:45,360
and Rutgers, bottom of the barrel Big Ten teams this year.

905
00:43:45,400 --> 00:43:47,880
They were outscored you know, those two games, sixty two

906
00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:51,639
to seventeen. They also lost to unov in a non

907
00:43:51,719 --> 00:43:53,960
conference game forty one thirty eight, giving.

908
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:56,039
Speaker 4: Up over five hundred yards of total offense.

909
00:43:57,039 --> 00:44:00,760
Speaker 3: They lost three of their last five against the including

910
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:04,079
the MAC Championship game against Western Michigan where they are

911
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:07,800
only able to muster up two hundred and seventy two

912
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:09,039
yards of total offense.

913
00:44:09,119 --> 00:44:10,880
Speaker 4: We talk about their.

914
00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:15,079
Speaker 3: Starting quarterback to Kwan Finn, who left several weeks back.

915
00:44:15,199 --> 00:44:17,880
Quit the team because he wanted to get ready for

916
00:44:18,039 --> 00:44:21,039
the NFL Draft. I think maybe he should have opted

917
00:44:21,159 --> 00:44:24,239
for the transfer portal first guys, because he would have

918
00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:27,719
got a strong dose of reality. Not a lot of

919
00:44:28,559 --> 00:44:33,800
Power Conference teams or mid conference teams would be opting

920
00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:38,360
for services anyway. Having said all that, Fresno State new

921
00:44:38,440 --> 00:44:40,880
coaching staff this year. They opened with a thirty one

922
00:44:41,039 --> 00:44:45,360
seven loss at Kansas game. You were pretty competitive until

923
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:49,400
the second half, and they end up going eight and

924
00:44:49,519 --> 00:44:53,159
four this year and including a win at Boise State

925
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:57,639
thirty to seven. So Boise State the Mountain West Conference champion,

926
00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:01,079
and I just think that this team, with a new

927
00:45:01,159 --> 00:45:05,639
coaching staff and the success they had, they're going to

928
00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:08,480
ride that momentum against a team that struggled down to

929
00:45:08,519 --> 00:45:12,880
stretch in Miami, Ohio didn't farewell and they're non conference

930
00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:16,199
portion of the schedule. I'm going to have uh a

931
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:19,840
lean air toward Fresnel State is my uh pick? Here

932
00:45:20,559 --> 00:45:22,480
weigh in the points five and a half. I believe

933
00:45:22,519 --> 00:45:23,960
it is over Miami, Ohio.

934
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:29,360
Speaker 1: Yes, and that is the Arizona Bowl presented by Snoop DOGG.

935
00:45:29,519 --> 00:45:31,840
That smoke at halftime will not be from the fireworks,

936
00:45:31,880 --> 00:45:34,000
needless to say, fun times there.

937
00:45:34,599 --> 00:45:37,440
Speaker 4: We'll come to when you name a bull after Snoop dog.

938
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,840
Speaker 1: They needed Hey you could buy I guess he just

939
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:42,360
gave it. You know, he's all over the place.

940
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 2: He's on the man.

941
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,719
Speaker 4: Next is going to be the M and M Bull.

942
00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:50,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, hey they got one in Detroit, so there

943
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:50,760
he could.

944
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:51,440
Speaker 2: Who knows that?

945
00:45:51,519 --> 00:45:54,039
Speaker 4: What the money? The money that Steve makes it Wade

946
00:45:54,079 --> 00:45:54,519
you talking?

947
00:45:54,719 --> 00:45:59,119
Speaker 2: He was, by the way, that wasn't me this month.

948
00:45:59,199 --> 00:45:59,920
I don't know who it was.

949
00:46:00,119 --> 00:46:04,719
Speaker 1: It was not met here a little bit.

950
00:46:05,559 --> 00:46:07,039
Speaker 2: It was not me. I wish it had been.

951
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:11,039
Speaker 4: Months, man, it really is.

952
00:46:13,079 --> 00:46:16,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, speaking of us sponsors, Brian, every time

953
00:46:16,679 --> 00:46:18,320
we've talked about this day, I get hungry. So we're

954
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:20,159
going to talk about again the Pop Tarts Bowl. That's

955
00:46:20,199 --> 00:46:21,840
got to be the best one. And like you said,

956
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:25,519
you could take A. I love mascots. In fact, back

957
00:46:25,559 --> 00:46:27,360
when I played high school football, I always want to

958
00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:29,280
be Robbie ram Our mascot was the ram My. Dad

959
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:31,320
always found that comical that I wanted to be the Ram.

960
00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:32,920
I thought it halftime. I could run out there and

961
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:35,639
do it. But I've always had a respect for mascots.

962
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:37,840
I think they're cool, and the pop tart would be

963
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,559
like as cool as it gets. It's Camping World Stadium,

964
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:43,719
Georgia Tech b YU Camping World Bowl. I think they

965
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:45,079
had that at one time. I don't know why it's

966
00:46:45,119 --> 00:46:47,159
not the Camping World Bowl once again. By the way,

967
00:46:47,199 --> 00:46:49,119
Snoop Dog probably doing the Olympic coverage here in a

968
00:46:49,159 --> 00:46:50,719
couple of months like he did a couple of years ago,

969
00:46:50,800 --> 00:46:53,199
So maybe they're gonna promo that. My guess is maybe

970
00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:55,880
that's connected to NBC or the Olympics somehow, but we

971
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:58,599
shall find out. We talked about this game earlier. I

972
00:46:58,679 --> 00:47:01,559
mentioned that b YU and the Young I like BYU

973
00:47:01,639 --> 00:47:03,519
minus the four and a half though, as the side

974
00:47:03,559 --> 00:47:05,239
in this game and open two and a half three,

975
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:07,480
it's up to four and a half five. I agree

976
00:47:07,519 --> 00:47:11,519
with that move. Georgia Tech's offensive staff not many opt

977
00:47:11,559 --> 00:47:13,880
outs from the players, but the offensive staff, the coaching

978
00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:17,079
staff for Georgia Tech is a concern. Chris Winky likely

979
00:47:17,159 --> 00:47:20,519
calling the plays as the assistant offensive coordinator this season.

980
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:22,599
So I think BYU has a little bit of an

981
00:47:22,639 --> 00:47:25,000
edge there. And we talk about the military academies traveling well.

982
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:27,280
Do the Mormon schools travel well? I don't know. I

983
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:29,519
mean BYU always seems to show up for Bowl games.

984
00:47:30,039 --> 00:47:32,320
Both teams run the ball well, but BYU throws a

985
00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:34,199
little bit better. And the huge edge in this game,

986
00:47:34,199 --> 00:47:38,159
as I said earlier, is a substantially better defense for BYU,

987
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:40,519
and they're taking on an offensive coaching staff that might

988
00:47:40,559 --> 00:47:43,559
be a little shaken up. I like BYU minus the

989
00:47:43,599 --> 00:47:45,639
four and a half, and we'll see if it continues

990
00:47:45,679 --> 00:47:47,280
to climb. It's hitting five in a lot of spots.

991
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:51,679
That's a three point thirty eastern Saturday afternoon in sunny Orlando, Florida.

992
00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:55,000
Speaker 1: All right, that is three best best for Let's get

993
00:47:55,039 --> 00:47:58,360
that fancy graphic on the screen. Dan Alexander if you

994
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:02,679
could the blitz squad right. Ross likes Fresno State minus

995
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:05,360
five and a half. Steve like b YU minus four

996
00:48:05,360 --> 00:48:08,880
and a half, and I like Army three favorites here.

997
00:48:09,000 --> 00:48:12,000
We don't see that all that often.

998
00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:14,800
Speaker 2: Wow, there we go money line parlay.

999
00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:18,599
Speaker 1: Yes, you could do that, and these lines could go

1000
00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:21,760
and hey and all we're recording this Tuesday again, guys,

1001
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,960
these lines obviously could go up between now and Saturday.

1002
00:48:25,039 --> 00:48:26,639
Speaker 2: I will say this real quick, that Broight, I probably

1003
00:48:26,639 --> 00:48:29,679
wouldn't recommend. I mean, I very well ever recommend money parlay.

1004
00:48:29,679 --> 00:48:31,159
It's you're not changing the math that you I've had

1005
00:48:31,159 --> 00:48:33,800
that whole discussion. But we talk about the preseason and

1006
00:48:33,840 --> 00:48:36,000
how we've come full circle. These lines are soft, and

1007
00:48:36,079 --> 00:48:37,440
once again, a two and a half to four and

1008
00:48:37,440 --> 00:48:39,840
a half five point move in that BYU game is

1009
00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:42,239
not like a regular season game. It's information based, just

1010
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:43,840
like in the preseason where we see a lot You

1011
00:48:43,920 --> 00:48:46,440
talk about the Army game is a perfect example. You know,

1012
00:48:47,079 --> 00:48:49,320
we see Lions move because one team is motivated and

1013
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:52,639
players are sitting, and so don't think like you've lost value.

1014
00:48:52,639 --> 00:48:54,800
That other line was never correct based on the new

1015
00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:58,519
known information. With that said, though, these lines aren't nearly

1016
00:48:58,559 --> 00:49:01,719
as sharp as we fifteen or sixteen NFL lines have

1017
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:04,480
been the last couple of weeks. And you know, if

1018
00:49:04,519 --> 00:49:07,320
you like an underdog, especially in a bowl game, you

1019
00:49:07,360 --> 00:49:09,119
probably should be putting some of it on the money line.

1020
00:49:09,119 --> 00:49:11,519
I say that in all sports every week, but especially

1021
00:49:11,599 --> 00:49:13,440
the ball season, right because a lot of these dogs

1022
00:49:13,519 --> 00:49:15,239
can win outright, and you don't always need the point.

1023
00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:17,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, not only the motivation, Steve, but you know when

1024
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:20,639
you factor in, like you said, the transfer portal and

1025
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:23,880
players opting out. I've always been a proponent when people say,

1026
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:25,400
do you know so and so's out?

1027
00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:29,840
Speaker 4: You're not making a new discovery.

1028
00:49:29,920 --> 00:49:32,559
Speaker 3: Okay, if we know it, the odds makers know it,

1029
00:49:32,599 --> 00:49:35,119
and I always say, that's all factored into the line.

1030
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:37,719
Speaker 4: So some of that is factored into the line right

1031
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:40,440
from where it was in the opener, and then finding

1032
00:49:40,519 --> 00:49:43,880
out players available for each team, so you have to

1033
00:49:44,519 --> 00:49:47,039
dive into it a little deeper at this. It's not

1034
00:49:47,159 --> 00:49:50,119
like it used to be, Steve, you know, Brian. It's

1035
00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:53,039
we used to be able to put out college football

1036
00:49:53,119 --> 00:49:57,079
bull picks early and get them up in volume. But

1037
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:00,559
you're pretty foolish if you do that these days. In

1038
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:02,480
my estimation anyway.

1039
00:50:02,559 --> 00:50:04,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I will say the one thing that hasn't changed,

1040
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:07,559
just like the preseason in the NFL, it's all about motivation. Still,

1041
00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:09,559
but you'd used to not get the opt outs, you'd

1042
00:50:09,559 --> 00:50:11,280
had to dig a little bit deeper, like which team's

1043
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:12,920
going to show up? Everybody was still playing, but the

1044
00:50:12,960 --> 00:50:15,239
guys were just going through the motions on the defensive line,

1045
00:50:15,360 --> 00:50:18,880
not tackling, not hitting. So it's it's different, but it's

1046
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:20,639
the same in that regard. It still comes down to

1047
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:23,280
motivation and a lot of times too, I'll point this

1048
00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:24,800
out real quick. You know, we talked about these minor

1049
00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:27,920
bowl teams like the Max and stuff, the SEC, the

1050
00:50:28,079 --> 00:50:30,880
you know, the Big Ten, these conferences, the backups a

1051
00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:33,519
lot of times are just as good as a guy's

1052
00:50:33,559 --> 00:50:36,440
opted out. Even the quarterbacks are just as good. Remember Moss,

1053
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:38,360
who's gonna play in his bowl game now with another school.

1054
00:50:38,360 --> 00:50:39,880
Remember when he stood in for USC a couple of

1055
00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:42,639
years ago. I had them that was Caleb Williams, probably right,

1056
00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:45,719
Caleb Williams was sitting out, and you know he was

1057
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:48,840
still a monster. So keeping I always feel like the

1058
00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:51,559
smaller conference teams get hurt more by any opt outs.

1059
00:50:51,639 --> 00:50:53,320
You know, when a starter is out that's played seven

1060
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:56,400
hundred snaps or whatnot than one of these power you know,

1061
00:50:56,519 --> 00:50:58,519
Power five. I don't know what the terminology is the

1062
00:50:58,639 --> 00:51:02,320
SEC the Big ten, you know what I'm talking about. Yes, absolutely,

1063
00:51:02,440 --> 00:51:05,119
they reload instead of having to rebuild. That's the yeah.

1064
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:08,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I talked about one of those games. Well,

1065
00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:09,559
if it's a game that does have a lot of

1066
00:51:09,599 --> 00:51:10,760
opt out, you guys can check this out. I think

1067
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:13,320
it's gonna available tomorrow or maybe tonight if you're if

1068
00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:15,159
you're an insider here on the Waychchuck channel, you can

1069
00:51:15,199 --> 00:51:15,400
get it.

1070
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:16,079
Speaker 2: I believe right now.

1071
00:51:16,199 --> 00:51:19,440
Speaker 1: Actually I previewed the go above sports ball between Northwestern

1072
00:51:19,519 --> 00:51:22,880
and Central Michigan. That's a game you guys can check out.

1073
00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:26,440
I I lean towards the That's another game where I've

1074
00:51:26,480 --> 00:51:28,119
got to lean it towards the under. It seems like

1075
00:51:28,199 --> 00:51:30,400
we've been saying that we're under quite a bit here

1076
00:51:30,679 --> 00:51:33,920
on the show. A damaham Lincoln, Did I get that

1077
00:51:34,079 --> 00:51:36,880
name right? Don't be so hard on yourself. I saw

1078
00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:39,079
you just He's being quite a hard on himself for

1079
00:51:39,119 --> 00:51:43,960
missing much of the show. He noted. He he he

1080
00:51:44,039 --> 00:51:46,239
wanted to know about the Louisville game. Guys, let's just

1081
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:48,440
hit this real quick because it starts, it kicks off

1082
00:51:48,519 --> 00:51:50,880
actually just the matter of minutes Louisville just keeps taking money.

1083
00:51:50,920 --> 00:51:52,280
That's up to twelve and a half. I don't know

1084
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:53,119
if anywhere so.

1085
00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:56,719
Speaker 4: Too, you know, at cornerback.

1086
00:51:56,920 --> 00:52:00,559
Speaker 2: So yeah, we talked about the situation. Now, guys, we're

1087
00:52:00,599 --> 00:52:02,519
maybe trying to get an in game line below ten.

1088
00:52:02,719 --> 00:52:05,039
I mean ten and eleven are semi key numbers. Yes,

1089
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:07,559
And I just said, how the line don't let the

1090
00:52:07,599 --> 00:52:10,719
line move scare you. Well, this one's pretty substantial, and

1091
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:12,119
once again, you do want to have a starting point

1092
00:52:12,159 --> 00:52:13,599
on what the line should be. All things zeke one.

1093
00:52:13,599 --> 00:52:15,440
As I said, my ten thousand game simulation would have

1094
00:52:15,480 --> 00:52:18,159
had Louvio by five in the regular season. So you

1095
00:52:18,280 --> 00:52:20,559
got to decide now or all these opt outs and whatnot.

1096
00:52:20,639 --> 00:52:24,880
These changes Toledo guys missing worth seven points probably where

1097
00:52:24,880 --> 00:52:26,079
it should be now at this point.

1098
00:52:27,559 --> 00:52:31,559
Speaker 1: All right, guess what that doesn't I thought this was

1099
00:52:31,559 --> 00:52:33,639
a fantastic program. I'm gonna hit the like button to

1100
00:52:33,679 --> 00:52:36,920
be honest with you, when we're done. Next week we

1101
00:52:37,039 --> 00:52:40,639
will have the college football playoff preview. We will be

1102
00:52:40,719 --> 00:52:44,239
talking about before quarter final matchups, probably mixed in some

1103
00:52:44,320 --> 00:52:46,440
of the other New Year's we'll call them New Year's

1104
00:52:46,519 --> 00:52:50,719
Day ish bowl games as well as information continues to

1105
00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:55,360
trickle in. Big thanks to Steve, Big Things to Ross

1106
00:52:55,920 --> 00:52:58,239
for helping me out here on the Blitz. We will

1107
00:52:58,280 --> 00:53:02,480
be live on Tuesday again next week. They're not gonna

1108
00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:03,880
make us work New Years Day or New Year's Eve.

1109
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:05,800
Sorry about that, and I know Dan doesn't want to either,

1110
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:08,679
so we're all happy. We'll get you that information out

1111
00:53:08,920 --> 00:53:11,199
a little bit easier. Check these guys out, what's going

1112
00:53:11,199 --> 00:53:13,559
on a wager talk dot com check me out as well.

1113
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:17,000
Until next time, let's cash some tickets