WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Bedtime Astronomy. Explore the wonders of the cosmos

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<v Speaker 1>with our soothing Bedtime Astronomie podcast. Each episode offers a

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<v Speaker 1>gentle journey through the stars, planets, and beyond, perfect for

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<v Speaker 1>unwinding after a long day. Let's travel through the mysteries

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<v Speaker 1>of the universe as you drift off into a peaceful

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<v Speaker 1>slumber under the night sky.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome back. We're about to jump into one of the biggest,

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<v Speaker 2>uh most frustrating puzzles in astronomy today.

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<v Speaker 3>It really is. It's a genuine mystery.

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<v Speaker 2>We found what over five thousand planets outside our solar

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<v Speaker 2>system something like that.

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<v Speaker 3>Thousands, yes, hot Jupiter's super earths, you name it. We're

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<v Speaker 3>a getting really good at finding planets.

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<v Speaker 2>Especially the big ones, the gas giants. And if you

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<v Speaker 2>look at our own solar system, Jupiter Saturn, they're just

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<v Speaker 2>swarming with moons.

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<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, They're like miniature solar systems in their own right.

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<v Speaker 2>So the big question, the one that vexes everyone, is

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<v Speaker 2>where are all the exo moons?

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly statistically they should be everywhere, billions of them. Yet

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<v Speaker 3>as of today, we have zero confirmed exomoons, not a

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<v Speaker 3>single one.

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<v Speaker 2>An absence of evidence, as they say, but that's not

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<v Speaker 2>evidence of absence. It just means we might be looking

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<v Speaker 2>for them in the wrong way.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's precisely what a new paper we've been digging

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<v Speaker 3>into suggests. It's by Thomas Winterholder and his.

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<v Speaker 2>Colleagues, right, it's on the ARCSIFF preprint server, so you

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<v Speaker 2>can go check it out.

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<v Speaker 3>And it lays out this really clear verdict. It basically says, look,

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<v Speaker 3>the moons are there. The problem isn't the universe. The

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<v Speaker 3>problem is us. Our technology is for this specific task crippled.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's our mission today. We're going to unpack why

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<v Speaker 2>our current methods are failing us, what some are calling

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<v Speaker 2>the transit.

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<v Speaker 3>Trap, and then we'll get into the exciting part, the

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<v Speaker 3>proposed solution.

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<v Speaker 2>A completely new technological path forward. The paper details how

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<v Speaker 2>we could build something capable of finding Earth sized moons

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<v Speaker 2>up to what was it, two hundred parsecs away?

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<v Speaker 3>Two hundred parsex that's about six hundred and fifty light years.

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<v Speaker 3>So we're not just talking about our immediate stellar neighborhood.

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<v Speaker 2>We're talking about a serious, wide scale survey of our

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<v Speaker 2>corner of the galaxy. So okay, let's start at the

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<v Speaker 2>beginning the transit trap. Why are our best planet hunting

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<v Speaker 2>tools failing so badly at finding moons?

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<v Speaker 3>It all comes down to the workhourse of exoplanet detection,

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<v Speaker 3>the transit method. It's given us thousands of planets, and.

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<v Speaker 2>It's I mean, it's an elegantly simple idea. Right, You

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<v Speaker 2>scare at a star.

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<v Speaker 3>You stare at a star and you wait for it

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<v Speaker 3>to blink exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>You watch for a tiny, tiny dip in its brightness,

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<v Speaker 2>and if that dip happens regularly, like clockwork.

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<v Speaker 3>Then you can be pretty sure something a planet is

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<v Speaker 3>passing in front of it. From our point of view,

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<v Speaker 3>it's blocking a little bit of the starlight.

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<v Speaker 2>It's been incredibly successful missions like Kepler Tess. They've used

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<v Speaker 2>this to build our entire catalog of worlds.

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<v Speaker 3>But when you try to apply that same logic to

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<v Speaker 3>finding a moon orbiting that planet, the whole thing just

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<v Speaker 3>falls apart.

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<v Speaker 2>Why. I mean, a moon would block life too, wouldn't it?

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<v Speaker 3>It would? But the problem is alignment. For a planet,

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<v Speaker 3>you need three things lined up, the star, the planet,

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<v Speaker 3>and us here on Earth.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, that's already a pretty rare alignment it is.

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<v Speaker 3>Now for a moon, you need four things to line up.

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<v Speaker 3>The star, the planet, the Moon, and us, and not

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<v Speaker 3>just lined up, but at the exact moment the Moon

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<v Speaker 3>is also transiting the star.

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<v Speaker 2>So the Moon has to be in the right place

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<v Speaker 2>in its own little orbit around the planet at the

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<v Speaker 2>exact same time the planet is in the right place

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<v Speaker 2>in its giant orbit around the star precisely.

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<v Speaker 3>And the signal you get is incredibly complex. It might

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<v Speaker 3>be a tiny dip before or after the main planet's transit.

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<v Speaker 3>It might even just subtly change the shape of the

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<v Speaker 3>planet's dip.

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<v Speaker 2>And you're trying to pick that out from hundreds of

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<v Speaker 2>light years away.

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<v Speaker 3>You're trying to distinguish that from all the other noise

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<v Speaker 3>the star it sell flickers, you have instrument noise. It's

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<v Speaker 3>a statistical nightmare. The odds of that perfect celestial choreography

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<v Speaker 3>happening are just astronomically low.

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<v Speaker 2>But that's not even the real killer, is it. There's

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<v Speaker 2>a much deeper, more fundamental problem with using transits.

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<v Speaker 3>That's right, and this is the core of the issue.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a physics constraint. We need to talk about something

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<v Speaker 3>called the hill sphere.

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<v Speaker 2>The hillsphere. Okay, break that down for us.

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<v Speaker 3>The hill sphere is the best way to think of

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<v Speaker 3>it is as a planet's gravitational zone of influence. It's

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<v Speaker 3>a bubble of space around the planet where its own

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<v Speaker 3>gravity is the boss.

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<v Speaker 2>So inside that bubble, the planet's gravity is stronger than

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<v Speaker 2>the star's gravity.

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<v Speaker 3>Strong enough to hold on to something. Yes, if an

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<v Speaker 3>object like a moon is inside the hillsphere, the planet

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<v Speaker 3>can keep it in a stable long term orbit, and

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<v Speaker 3>if it's outside the stars gravity wins. It'll either rip

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<v Speaker 3>the moon away or destabilize its orbit until it's ejected

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<v Speaker 3>from the system. So the size of that hillsphere is

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<v Speaker 3>absolutely critical. It dictates how much room a planet has

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<v Speaker 3>to keep its moons.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so a bigger hillsphere means more stable moons, or

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<v Speaker 2>at least the potential for them exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>And here is the paradox. Transit method. The one we've

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<v Speaker 3>been using works best for planets that are very close

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<v Speaker 3>to their star.

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<v Speaker 2>Right because they orbit quickly, they transit all the time,

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<v Speaker 2>so we get lots of data points and can confirm

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<v Speaker 2>them easily the hot Jupiter's precisely.

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<v Speaker 3>But what happens when a planet is very close to

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<v Speaker 3>its star.

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<v Speaker 2>The star's gravity is much much stronger.

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<v Speaker 3>There, overwhelmingly strong, and that immense gravitational pull from the

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<v Speaker 3>star shrinks the planet's hillsphere down to almost nothing.

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<v Speaker 2>So let me get this straight. The planets that are

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<v Speaker 2>easiest for us to find with our best method are

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<v Speaker 2>in the.

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<v Speaker 3>Very region where it's gravitationally hardest for them to hold

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<v Speaker 3>onto moons in the first place.

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<v Speaker 2>We've been looking in the absolute worst place we have.

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<v Speaker 3>We've perfected a tool that is biased towards finding planets

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<v Speaker 3>and environments that are actively hostile to the very things

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<v Speaker 3>we're looking for. It's a fundamental mismatch.

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<v Speaker 2>It makes you wonder, was this a huge oversight? Why

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<v Speaker 2>do we spend decades on a method that was doomed

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<v Speaker 2>to fail for moon hunting.

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<v Speaker 3>It wasn't really an oversight so much as a necessary

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<v Speaker 3>first step. We had to prove exoplanets were common first.

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<v Speaker 3>The transit method was the fastest, cheapest way to do that.

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<v Speaker 3>It gave us the numbers, the low hanging fruit, but

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<v Speaker 3>that fruit.

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<v Speaker 2>Was growing in a very barren orchard.

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<v Speaker 3>So to speak, a barren orchard for moons. Yes, we

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<v Speaker 3>had to build the catalog of planets first. But now

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<v Speaker 3>that we know they're everywhere. We need a new tool.

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<v Speaker 3>We need to shift our focus to planets much much

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<v Speaker 3>farther away from their stars.

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<v Speaker 2>And there's a really famous example that just drives this

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<v Speaker 2>point home right. The whole story with Kepler sixteen twenty.

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<v Speaker 3>Five b oh, Yes, the great exomoon candidate that wasn't.

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<v Speaker 3>For a moment we thought we had one.

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<v Speaker 2>The whole community was buzzing. The initial data from Kepler

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<v Speaker 2>showed this gas giant and there was this weird, extra

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<v Speaker 2>little dip in the light after the main.

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<v Speaker 3>Transit, and the main transit seemed to start a bit early,

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<v Speaker 3>which hinted that the planet was being tugged on by

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<v Speaker 3>something a wabble. The signs pointed to a big moon,

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<v Speaker 3>maybe the size of Neptune.

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<v Speaker 2>It felt like we were right on the edge of

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<v Speaker 2>a historic discovery.

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<v Speaker 3>We were, so they pointed the Hubble Space telescope at

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<v Speaker 3>it to get a better look to confirm it, and

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<v Speaker 3>the data was messy. It was ambiguous. Some analyses still

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<v Speaker 3>saw the moon's signal, others said it was gone. It

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<v Speaker 3>just sort of dissolved under closer scrutiny, So.

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<v Speaker 2>It's likely just instrument noise or some weird stellar activity

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<v Speaker 2>that mimicked the moon.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the consensus. Now, yes, yeah, the discovery was essentially debunked,

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<v Speaker 3>and the whole saga is the perfect illustration of the problem.

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<v Speaker 3>Even in a best case scenario, the transit signal is

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<v Speaker 3>so faint, so close to the noise that it's almost

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<v Speaker 3>impossible to be sure.

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<v Speaker 2>So if the transit method is a bust, we need

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<v Speaker 2>a whole new approach. And this is where the new

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<v Speaker 2>paper gets really interesting.

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<v Speaker 3>This is where we stop looking for a shadow and

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<v Speaker 3>we start looking for gravity itself.

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<v Speaker 2>The technique is called astrometry.

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<v Speaker 3>Astrometry it's one of the oldest branches of astronomy, but

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<v Speaker 3>we're now applying it with a level of precision that

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<v Speaker 3>is just mind boggling.

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<v Speaker 2>So astronometry is basically just measuring the precise position of

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<v Speaker 2>things in the sky and their movement.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, when we use it to find a planet, we're

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<v Speaker 3>not looking at the planet at all. We're looking at

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<v Speaker 3>its star, and we're watching the star wobble Exactly. A

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<v Speaker 3>planet's gravity pulls on its star just as the star

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<v Speaker 3>pulls on the planet. They both orbit a shared center

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<v Speaker 3>of mass, so the star isn't stationary. It makes these

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<v Speaker 3>tiny little circles in the sky. If we can measure

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<v Speaker 3>that wobble, we know a planet is there.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so that's for planets. How do we apply that

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<v Speaker 2>to moons?

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<v Speaker 3>We just shift our focus. Instead of watching the star wobble,

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<v Speaker 3>we watch the planet wobble.

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<v Speaker 2>Ah, because the moon is pulling on the planet.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, The planet and its moon are also orbiting their

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<v Speaker 3>own little center of mass, their Berry center. So as

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<v Speaker 3>the planet moves through its huge orbit around the star,

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<v Speaker 3>it's not tracing a smooth, clean arc.

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<v Speaker 2>It's doing a little quarkscrew pattern, tiny wobble on top

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<v Speaker 2>of its main orbit.

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<v Speaker 3>A tiny subtle dance. And if we can measure that dance,

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<v Speaker 3>we've found the moon that's leading it.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, this feels like a much better approach, and it

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<v Speaker 2>directly solves the Hillsphere problem, doesn't it.

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<v Speaker 3>It completely flips the scar. The beautiful thing about astrometry

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<v Speaker 3>is that it works best for planets that are far

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<v Speaker 3>away from their star. Why is that Well, a more

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<v Speaker 3>distant orbit is a longer orbit, which gives you more

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<v Speaker 3>time to measure the wabble and separate it from other signals.

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<v Speaker 3>But more importantly, planets far from their star are free

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<v Speaker 3>from the star's intense gravitational mettling, which means they have huge,

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<v Speaker 3>stable hill spheres. They have all the room in the

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<v Speaker 3>world to capture and hold on to large families of

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<v Speaker 3>moons for billions of years.

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<v Speaker 2>So astrometry naturally points us to the most promising systems.

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<v Speaker 2>It's bias towards the gravitationally friendly neighborhoods exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>It resolves the paradox that crippled the transit method. It

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<v Speaker 3>lets us finally look in the right place.

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<v Speaker 2>Which brings up the obvious question, if the strometry is

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<v Speaker 2>so much better, why haven't we been doing this all along?

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<v Speaker 3>Ah, because of what the paper calls the technological deficit.

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<v Speaker 3>The principle is sound, but the reality of the measurement

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<v Speaker 3>is the problem.

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<v Speaker 2>The wobble is just too small to see with what

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<v Speaker 2>we have now.

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<v Speaker 3>Almost infinitesimally small. When you're looking at a planet hundreds

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<v Speaker 3>of light years away, the precision required is just staggering.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's talk scale. What can our best telescopes do right now?

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<v Speaker 3>Our current champion is the very large telescope in our barometer,

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<v Speaker 3>the VLTI down in Chile. It's an incredible machine and

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<v Speaker 3>that's not.

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<v Speaker 2>One telescope, right, It combines the light from multiple one correct.

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<v Speaker 3>It links its four main telescopes together to act as

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<v Speaker 3>one giant virtual telescope, and with that it can resolve

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<v Speaker 3>an angular wobble of about fifty micro arc seconds fifty ens.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, you have to put that number in perspective for us.

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<v Speaker 2>What is a micro arc second?

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, So imagine a single degree in the sky. Divide

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<v Speaker 3>that by three thy six hundred. That's an arcsecond already tiny.

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<v Speaker 3>Now divide that arc second by another million, that's a

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<v Speaker 3>micro arcsecond one ears.

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<v Speaker 2>So fifty micro arc seconds is already measuring a movement

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<v Speaker 2>that is just an absurdly small fraction of a degree.

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<v Speaker 3>It is. The common analogy is that it's like being

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<v Speaker 3>able to spot a single human hair from two miles away.

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<v Speaker 3>That's what fifty a's resolution gets you. It's a breath

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<v Speaker 3>taking achievement of engineering.

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<v Speaker 2>But it's not good enough.

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<v Speaker 3>It's not even close. The wobble induced by an Earth

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<v Speaker 3>sized moon orbiting a gas giant two hundred parsecs away

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<v Speaker 3>is far, far smaller than that fifty a's limit.

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<v Speaker 2>And the VLTI gets that resolution by having its telescopes

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<v Speaker 2>spread out over a distance a baseline of about two

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<v Speaker 2>hundred meters.

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<v Speaker 3>Right about the length of two football fields. But to

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<v Speaker 3>find these moons we need to bridge a monumental gap.

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<v Speaker 3>We're not talking about a small improvement.

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<v Speaker 2>We're talking about a leap, and the paper by winter

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<v Speaker 2>Holder is very specific about how big that leap needs

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<v Speaker 2>to be.

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<v Speaker 3>It is. It calculates that to find what they call

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<v Speaker 3>a reasonable number of Earth sized exomoons out to that

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<v Speaker 3>two hundred parsec distance, you need a resolution of around

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<v Speaker 3>one micro arc second one as.

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<v Speaker 2>So from fifty down to one, that's a fiftyfold increase

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<v Speaker 2>in precision.

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<v Speaker 3>A fiftyfold jump. That's not an incremental upgrade. That requires

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<v Speaker 3>a fundamental rethinking of how we build an observatory.

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<v Speaker 2>Soans is seeing a hair from two miles away. What's

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<v Speaker 2>the analogy for one curation?

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<v Speaker 3>The one I've heard is it's the equivalent of measuring

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<v Speaker 3>the width of a small coin, say a nickel. If

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<v Speaker 3>that coin we're sitting on the surface of the Moon.

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<v Speaker 2>You're trying to measure the width of a nickel on

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<v Speaker 2>the Moon from Earth.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the angular scale we're aiming for. It's measuring a

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<v Speaker 3>tiny movement of an object that is itself more than

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<v Speaker 3>a million times farther away than the moon. This is

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<v Speaker 3>an immense challenge.

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<v Speaker 2>Jo, How do you do it? How do you get

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<v Speaker 2>a fifty fold increase in resolution?

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<v Speaker 3>You have to go back to the basic physics of interferometry.

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<v Speaker 3>There's a simple equation. Your resolution is equal to the

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<v Speaker 3>wavelength of the light you're observing, divided by your baseline.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so resolution equals wavelength over baseline.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, we can't really change the wavelength. That's just the

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<v Speaker 3>starlight we're looking at. So if you want to increase

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<v Speaker 3>your resolution by a.

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<v Speaker 2>Factor of fifty, you have to increase your baseline by

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<v Speaker 2>a factor of fifty.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly, if the vlti is two hundred meters baseline gets

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<v Speaker 3>you fifty coins, then to get to one oins, you

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<v Speaker 3>need a baseline that's fifty times longer.

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<v Speaker 2>Two hundred meters times fifty is ten thousand meters, ten kilometers.

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<v Speaker 3>Several kilometers. Yes, this is the heart of the proposal.

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<v Speaker 3>We have to stop thinking in terms of hundreds of

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<v Speaker 3>meters and start thinking in terms of kilometers. This is

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<v Speaker 3>why they call it a kilometric baseline interferometer.

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<v Speaker 2>So you're not building one giant telescope, you're building an

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<v Speaker 2>array of smaller telescopes spread out over an entire valley.

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<v Speaker 3>Maybe that's the concept. A whole network of light collecting

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<v Speaker 3>stations spread out over kilometers, all linked together optically with

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<v Speaker 3>a precision that is almost hard to comprehend. They have

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<v Speaker 3>to act as a single coherent instrument.

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<v Speaker 2>How is that even possible? Keeping the light from mirrors

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<v Speaker 2>kilometers apart perfectly in sync.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the insane engineering challenge. It involves a thing called

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<v Speaker 3>optical delay lines, basically long vacuum tunnels with mirrors that

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<v Speaker 3>can move to precisely adjust the path length of the

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<v Speaker 3>light from each station.

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<v Speaker 2>So the light from a faraway mirror has to travel further,

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<v Speaker 2>and these tunnels come for that. So all the light

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<v Speaker 2>waves arrive at the central hub at the exact same

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<v Speaker 2>instant to be combined to.

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<v Speaker 3>Within a fraction of a wavelength of light. Yes, you

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<v Speaker 3>have to compensate for everything, thermal expansion, seismic vibrations, atmospheric turbulence.

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<v Speaker 3>It pushes engineering to its absolute limit.

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<v Speaker 2>You mentioned LGO before the gravitational wave detector that's also

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<v Speaker 2>on a kilometer scale. How is this different.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a great comparison for the scale, but the function

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<v Speaker 3>is totally different. LAGO isn't a telescope. It uses lasers

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<v Speaker 3>inside its tunnels to measure the stretching of space time itself.

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<v Speaker 2>It's detecting ripples in the fabric of the universe.

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<v Speaker 3>Right this proposed interferometer would be a true telescope. It

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<v Speaker 3>would be collecting faint starlight from distant objects using these

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<v Speaker 3>separated mirrors. Its goal is to measure the position and

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<v Speaker 3>movement of a physical object, not a distortion in space time.

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<v Speaker 2>In an instrument this precise can't just scan the sky randomly.

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<v Speaker 2>It would be incredibly inefficient. It needs a target.

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<v Speaker 3>List, yes, and this is where the synergy with other

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<v Speaker 3>p become so important. This interferometer isn't a discovery tool,

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<v Speaker 3>it's a measurement tool. It needs a partner, and.

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<v Speaker 2>That partner is the extremely large telescope, the ELT.

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<v Speaker 3>The ELT it's under construction right now in Chile, set

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<v Speaker 3>for completion around twenty twenty eight. It's going to have

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<v Speaker 3>a thirty nine meters primary mirror, the biggest eye on

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<v Speaker 3>the sky we've ever built, and.

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<v Speaker 2>Its job is different. Its job is just to collect

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<v Speaker 2>as much light as possible.

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<v Speaker 3>Its job is to take the first direct pictures of

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<v Speaker 3>these very faint, very distant gas giants, the ones orbiting

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<v Speaker 3>far from their stars, the ones with the big hill

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<v Speaker 3>spheres that we think are the best candidates for hosting moons.

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<v Speaker 2>So the ELT finds the planets. It does the heavy

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<v Speaker 2>lifting of identifying the targets. It says, okay, look over there,

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<v Speaker 2>there's a promising gas giant.

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<v Speaker 3>Precisely, and once the ELT gives us a target, this

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<v Speaker 3>kilomer scale interferometer can then stare at that one planet.

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<v Speaker 3>It doesn't waste time searching. It just locks on and

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<v Speaker 3>monitors its position over months and.

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<v Speaker 2>Years, watching for that tiny one micro arc second wobble.

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<v Speaker 3>That's the tag team. The ELT is the spotter, the

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<v Speaker 3>interferometer is the sniper. It's an incredibly efficient way to

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<v Speaker 3>tackle the problem.

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<v Speaker 2>So what does this all mean. We're talking about a

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<v Speaker 2>multi billion dollar project, a decade of engineering to build

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<v Speaker 2>this planetary wobble detector. Why yeah, White chase moons so

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<v Speaker 2>hard when we have thousands of.

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<v Speaker 3>Planets because exomoons might fundamentally change our search for life

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<v Speaker 3>in the universe.

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<v Speaker 2>It's about habitability, It's.

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<v Speaker 3>About redefining what habitable even means it gives us a

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<v Speaker 3>pathway to life that has almost nothing to do with

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<v Speaker 3>the traditional Goldilocks zone.

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00:16:36.440 --> 00:16:39.360
<v Speaker 2>Okay, the Goldilock zone being that narrow band around a

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<v Speaker 2>star where it's not too hot not too cold for

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<v Speaker 2>liquid water to exist on a planet's surface.

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<v Speaker 3>Right, it's all based on energy from the star. But

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<v Speaker 3>for moons orbiting a gas giant, the star is almost irrelevant.

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<v Speaker 3>They can be far outside the Goldilocks zone, in the

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<v Speaker 3>frozen depths of their Solar system and still be habitable.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is because of tidal heating.

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<v Speaker 3>Tidle heating. It's the real game changer, and we see

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<v Speaker 3>it right here in our own backyard.

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<v Speaker 2>Europa and Enceladus our.

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<v Speaker 3>Two most promising candidates for life beyond Earth. Europa at

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<v Speaker 3>Jupiter and Seladus at Saturn. They are both ice worlds,

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<v Speaker 3>far from the Sun's warmth. They should be frozen solid.

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<v Speaker 2>But they're not. We're pretty sure they both have huge

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<v Speaker 2>liquid water oceans beneath their ice shells.

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<v Speaker 3>And that liquid water is kept warm not by the

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<v Speaker 3>Sun but by the immense gravity of the planets they orbit.

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<v Speaker 2>It's just gravity doing the heating.

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<v Speaker 3>Think about the sheer mass of Jupiter as Europa orbits it,

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<v Speaker 3>Jupiter's gravity is constantly pulling and stretching the little Moon.

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<v Speaker 3>The side of Europa closest to Jupiter is pulled much harder.

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<v Speaker 2>Than the far side, so the Moon is being flexed

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<v Speaker 2>like squeezing a stress ball, over and over exactly.

385
00:17:42.839 --> 00:17:46.200
<v Speaker 3>And that constant flexing and friction in its rocky core

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<v Speaker 3>generates a tremendous amount of heat. It's like a planetary

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<v Speaker 3>scale engine churning away in the Moon's interior, and that.

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<v Speaker 2>Heat is what keeps those subsurface oceans liquid.

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<v Speaker 3>For billions of years. It's a much more stable and

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00:17:59.440 --> 00:18:02.680
<v Speaker 3>long last energy source than the light from a distant star.

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<v Speaker 3>It creates this tiny local habitable zone right around the

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<v Speaker 3>gas giant itself.

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<v Speaker 2>So if we find a big moon around a big

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<v Speaker 2>exit planet, it could have liquid water, even if the

395
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<v Speaker 2>whole system is in a deep freeze.

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<v Speaker 3>It dramatically expands the amount of real estate in the

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<v Speaker 3>galaxy where life could get a foothold. It tells us

398
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<v Speaker 3>we should maybe stop looking for warm stars and start

399
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<v Speaker 3>looking for massive, gravitationally active planets.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, the paper is careful to include a reality check here.

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00:18:30.000 --> 00:18:33.160
<v Speaker 2>We all dream of finding another Europa. But that's not

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00:18:33.200 --> 00:18:35.119
<v Speaker 2>what this new telescope would be looking for, is it.

403
00:18:35.319 --> 00:18:38.200
<v Speaker 3>That's a very important caveat. Yes, finding a true analog

404
00:18:38.279 --> 00:18:41.480
<v Speaker 3>to Europa or Enceladus is still far beyond our reach.

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00:18:41.519 --> 00:18:42.640
<v Speaker 3>They're just too small.

406
00:18:43.000 --> 00:18:45.160
<v Speaker 2>Europa is only about a quarter the size of Earth.

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00:18:45.319 --> 00:18:48.519
<v Speaker 3>Right, the gravitational wabble they would induce on Jupiter or

408
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<v Speaker 3>Saturn is far far smaller than the one is we're

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<v Speaker 3>aiming for. We wouldn't be able to see them.

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00:18:53.400 --> 00:18:56.160
<v Speaker 2>So what is the realistic goal? What are we actually

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<v Speaker 2>hoping to find?

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00:18:57.079 --> 00:18:59.920
<v Speaker 3>We're hoping to find the giant versions of these worlds.

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00:19:00.279 --> 00:19:03.720
<v Speaker 3>The paper's target is Earth sized moons or even larger

414
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<v Speaker 3>orbiting gas.

415
00:19:04.680 --> 00:19:06.359
<v Speaker 2>Giants, a super Europa.

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00:19:06.400 --> 00:19:09.599
<v Speaker 3>A super Europa, a world with the mass of Earth

417
00:19:09.720 --> 00:19:12.759
<v Speaker 3>or Mars, would be heavy enough to produce that detectable

418
00:19:13.200 --> 00:19:16.519
<v Speaker 3>one micro arc second signal in its parent planet, and.

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<v Speaker 2>An Earth sized moon would have some major advantages for habitability.

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00:19:20.359 --> 00:19:23.279
<v Speaker 3>Right, huge advantages. It would have enough gravity to hold

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00:19:23.279 --> 00:19:25.799
<v Speaker 3>onto a thick atmosphere if it's in the right place

422
00:19:25.839 --> 00:19:29.720
<v Speaker 3>to experience strong tidal heating. It could have vast liquid oceans,

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00:19:29.759 --> 00:19:31.000
<v Speaker 3>maybe even on its surface.

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<v Speaker 2>A world like that it would immediately become the number

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<v Speaker 2>one candidate for the first confirmed habitable exo world.

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<v Speaker 3>It would be the Holy Grail, the ultimate Prize. It's

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00:19:41.319 --> 00:19:45.599
<v Speaker 3>a huge technical leap, but the potential reward completely changes

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00:19:45.599 --> 00:19:46.680
<v Speaker 3>our place in the universe.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's just wrap up the grand plan here. We

430
00:19:48.880 --> 00:19:52.160
<v Speaker 2>have a cosmic mystery, no confirmed moons.

431
00:19:52.440 --> 00:19:55.599
<v Speaker 3>We have a flawed method transit that looks in the

432
00:19:55.599 --> 00:19:58.759
<v Speaker 3>wrong place, and gravitationally hostile environments.

433
00:19:58.759 --> 00:20:02.440
<v Speaker 2>The proposed solution is a pivot to astrometry. But to

434
00:20:02.480 --> 00:20:05.119
<v Speaker 2>make it work, we need a fiftyfold jump in precision

435
00:20:05.559 --> 00:20:07.640
<v Speaker 2>down to one microar second.

436
00:20:07.480 --> 00:20:10.440
<v Speaker 3>Which is physically impossible without a fiftyfold increase in our

437
00:20:10.440 --> 00:20:11.559
<v Speaker 3>telescope's baseline.

438
00:20:11.599 --> 00:20:15.039
<v Speaker 2>So we have to build a kilometric baseline interferometer spread

439
00:20:15.079 --> 00:20:18.559
<v Speaker 2>telescopes out over several kilometers to create a single hyper

440
00:20:18.599 --> 00:20:19.519
<v Speaker 2>precise instrument.

441
00:20:19.720 --> 00:20:21.680
<v Speaker 3>And of course, a project of that scale comes with

442
00:20:21.720 --> 00:20:22.960
<v Speaker 3>a price tag to match.

443
00:20:22.759 --> 00:20:25.319
<v Speaker 2>A few billion dollars. Yeah, in the same ballpark as

444
00:20:25.319 --> 00:20:26.319
<v Speaker 2>the ELT itself.

445
00:20:26.599 --> 00:20:27.200
<v Speaker 1>At least.

446
00:20:27.359 --> 00:20:32.039
<v Speaker 3>This is big science. It requires international cooperation, decades of.

447
00:20:32.000 --> 00:20:34.880
<v Speaker 2>Planning, and a huge battle for funding. What are the

448
00:20:34.920 --> 00:20:37.400
<v Speaker 2>real world chances of something like this getting built?

449
00:20:37.880 --> 00:20:41.039
<v Speaker 3>The biggest hurdle is convincing the world's funding agencies that

450
00:20:41.079 --> 00:20:43.960
<v Speaker 3>this is the most important next step. But its greatest

451
00:20:43.960 --> 00:20:48.319
<v Speaker 3>advantage is its timing. The ELT comes online around twenty

452
00:20:48.440 --> 00:20:49.400
<v Speaker 3>twenty eight, and.

453
00:20:49.359 --> 00:20:52.839
<v Speaker 2>It's going to start fighting these perfect target planets exactly.

454
00:20:53.240 --> 00:20:55.799
<v Speaker 3>The ELT is going to deliver a catalog of distant

455
00:20:55.799 --> 00:20:58.880
<v Speaker 3>gas giants, and the scientific community is going to be

456
00:20:58.920 --> 00:21:01.359
<v Speaker 3>clamoring for a way to study them in more detail.

457
00:21:02.319 --> 00:21:06.599
<v Speaker 3>The need for this precision follow up tool will become undeniable, So.

458
00:21:06.599 --> 00:21:08.759
<v Speaker 2>The argument will be that the ELT is only half

459
00:21:08.799 --> 00:21:12.480
<v Speaker 2>the solution. You need the innerferometer to unlock its full potential.

460
00:21:12.640 --> 00:21:14.559
<v Speaker 3>That's the case you'll have to make. It's the logical

461
00:21:14.640 --> 00:21:16.920
<v Speaker 3>next step. First you build the world's biggest camera to

462
00:21:16.920 --> 00:21:19.440
<v Speaker 3>find the objects. Then you build the world's biggest ruler

463
00:21:19.559 --> 00:21:20.319
<v Speaker 3>to measure them.

464
00:21:20.640 --> 00:21:22.680
<v Speaker 2>A ruler designed to look in the one place we've

465
00:21:22.720 --> 00:21:25.720
<v Speaker 2>never been able to look before. Yeah, the stable tightly

466
00:21:25.720 --> 00:21:27.920
<v Speaker 2>heated zones far from any star.

467
00:21:28.359 --> 00:21:30.960
<v Speaker 3>It will finally pull the search for eximoons out of

468
00:21:31.000 --> 00:21:33.799
<v Speaker 3>the realm of speculation and put it firmly into the

469
00:21:33.839 --> 00:21:36.319
<v Speaker 3>realm of observational confirmed science.

470
00:21:36.599 --> 00:21:38.640
<v Speaker 2>Okay, we have covered a lot of ground here, from

471
00:21:38.680 --> 00:21:42.960
<v Speaker 2>gravitational bubbles to kilometer long telescopes. But we want to

472
00:21:43.000 --> 00:21:46.279
<v Speaker 2>leave you with one final thought, something to really chew on.

473
00:21:46.880 --> 00:21:49.759
<v Speaker 3>We're talking about building technology on the scale of a

474
00:21:49.759 --> 00:21:53.400
<v Speaker 3>small city to measure a gravitational nudge from an object

475
00:21:53.519 --> 00:21:56.880
<v Speaker 3>hundreds of light years away. It's an incredible endeavor.

476
00:21:57.000 --> 00:21:59.799
<v Speaker 2>But think about the implication if it turns out that

477
00:21:59.799 --> 00:22:03.400
<v Speaker 2>the most commonplace for life in the galaxy isn't on

478
00:22:03.440 --> 00:22:06.920
<v Speaker 2>a pleasant earth like planet soaking up gentle sunlight.

479
00:22:07.039 --> 00:22:09.799
<v Speaker 3>What if it's on a moon being constantly crushed and

480
00:22:09.880 --> 00:22:13.440
<v Speaker 3>stretched and heated from within by the raw mechanical power

481
00:22:13.480 --> 00:22:15.079
<v Speaker 3>of its parent planet's gravity.

482
00:22:15.160 --> 00:22:16.920
<v Speaker 2>What does that do to our whole concept of a

483
00:22:17.039 --> 00:22:17.880
<v Speaker 2>habitable zone.

484
00:22:18.119 --> 00:22:20.680
<v Speaker 3>Does the real search for life in the universe begin

485
00:22:20.880 --> 00:22:23.359
<v Speaker 3>only when we stop looking for the gentle energy of

486
00:22:23.440 --> 00:22:26.240
<v Speaker 3>light and start looking for the violent, yet life sustaining

487
00:22:26.319 --> 00:22:27.680
<v Speaker 3>power of gravity.

488
00:22:27.279 --> 00:23:11.799
<v Speaker 4>Itself, said

489
00:23:34.759 --> 00:23:42.759
<v Speaker 2>Da
