Speaker 1: Allah.
Speaker 2: Welcome to Way Do You Talk Today, the gold standard
of sports betting shows where we talk to talk and
walk the walk. It's Football Friday, loaded slate, a lot
of bowl games, a lot of NFL. We are going
to talk incentive props in the NFL and has always
I'm joined by Dan, Dan, give us the rundown. Who
we got? And by the way, who who who?
Speaker 1: Who's yours?
Speaker 3: Jersey? Yeah?
Speaker 2: Man?
Speaker 4: What a what a dominant when they're you're you're used
to seeing that Alabama doing that two teams. The fact
that the biggest beatdown that Alabama has had in in
competitive play here comes at the hands of Indiana. Andy,
Oh my, I can't believe you're going Lakers colors today.
I just would have ran it back with you. I
wouldn't have taken that Indiana hoodie off for a goddamn week.
Congratulations to uh anyone who bet that. If you were
watching the show yesterday, Yanni said seven and a half
Are you kidding me? I got a guy who I
respect whose numbers say this should be eleven and a
half point favorites. That wouldn't have even been enough. So
pays to watch here, folks. Any of you who who's
yours fans out there dropping the chat because arguably the
best win, biggest win in Indiana football history, right, I
mean well, like every.
Speaker 2: Every win now is going to be the biggest win
in our school's history. Like we don't have good good
every time we win, it's kind of the biggest win.
And yeah, and every go ahead. I was just saying,
I was talking about you friends, and it was like
Indiana is doing the Alabama what Alabama used to do
to everyone everyone.
Speaker 4: Yeah, that was that was they were certainly prepared and
they they kicked off the old Uh. Yeah, if you
get extra rest, you're screwed.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 4: You know, the team's coming off of a bye, were
not doing great in the college football playoffs and h
Netty said, hold my pack of cigarettes. Here we go, gentlemen.
Uh yeah, hell of a win there, Andy. And uh
and also, as you said, biggest win in Indiana's history
is every week now. Uh. One of the bigger wins
for the bank roll Lane Kiffens every time Ole Miss wins.
Speaker 1: I don't know if you.
Speaker 4: Saw that story that LSU is currently on the hook
that every time Ole Miss is winning, h Lane Kiffen's
getting a little bit more extra cash. I don't understand
how that man always steps in shit and comes out
smelling like roses.
Speaker 2: But PNT. It isn't it frustrating that, like we work
so hard for everything and then some people it's just
like just everything turns up roses.
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, yeah, it is pretty wild. But today we
got a jam packed show. Of course, it is football Friday.
Yanni's gonna be joining us in just a second, so
Rob you're gonna have some question answered regarding line move
this Texas state line move. Yanni's gonna give you the
Steam report coming up. And then we got Teddy covers.
You know, we're doing sell me and not many great
games to pick from, so saddle in Marco will probably
call me a sick freak because these guys are gonna
sell me on an NFL side and sell you and
potentially win you a three three day flex pass coming
up on the show. Also got a break down from
Teddy coming in the NFL. We're gonna talk a little
wake forest in Mississippi State. The Mayo Bowl, one of
the greatest bowls in history, where we get to eat
some mayo, and then Marco is gonna shut things down
for US Holiday Bowl. That's Arizona taken on SMU. He's
got to play in the Seahawks and forty nine Ers.
He'll talk sauce in the week. All on the way,
Andy and I are given five NFL picks here, and
of course we're doing all around the world. I'm back
with another WTFLFG NFL Player Prop edition, and Andy and
I will also go over NFL player prop incentives. Players
who have to reach a certain amount of catches or
yards to get and unlocked parts of their contract that
will get them a little bit of extra catch. Which
ones are doable, which ones don't matter, which ones might
not even see the field. We're gonna break down all
those player prop incentives for you right here on the show. So, Andy,
that's a load of football Friday, buddy, we got to
get right into it.
Speaker 2: Let's do it. Let's bring on Yannie. Let's talk. Rob
is asking did the IU Indianapolis underhit? I think it
hit by twenty points, Yanny.
Speaker 5: It was like yeah, yeah, yeah, wait got there, it
got there. It was the only only premium play I
released a four percent I told you twenty twenty six
is going to be very, very, very very different so
far kicked off the right way, State selective nice four
and own college football one and own college basketball and
just roll into the second Baby, a lot of good
games today, We got multiple boards to work with.
Speaker 2: Well, let's talk about the bowl games today. What are
we seeing? We got games pretty much all day.
Speaker 5: Yeah, well, Rice Texas State's obvious. If you're betting for profit,
then there's only one side to take, and it's Rice,
or leave it alone. If you don't like Rice, then
just pass because it's too late to take Texas State
even if they go out there and win by forty points. Again,
I sound like a broken record, but I'll keep repeating
the process because you could have just got minus fourteen
and a half fifteen on New Year's Eve. Why would
you wait till today the late minus nineteen twenty where
they got to win now by three touchdowns instead of
two touchdowns. So it's a terrible bet regardless of the situation.
And and again, when you get to the bowl games
and you start hearing the narrative, these players aren't playing,
this coach is gone. The market's going to overreact, and
that's what you're looking at now. And yes, wise guys
are on Texas State. But they're on Texas State at
a much different number than what the public's betting them.
At the guys that I work with, they laid eleven
and a half and then thirteen and a half. In fact,
I didn't even get down because it moved so quickly
I couldn't even release it to subscribers. But right now
I'm actually looking at the right side because I thought
they were a little bit undervalued coming into this game.
Remember they had gotten blown out by like forty eight
forty nine points in their final game. Where on the
flip side, Texas State's coming in having won three straight,
covered two of three, and we know there's a lot
of recency bias attached to the market when the Bowl
games roll around. So I think you're paying for that
with Texas State. I don't think it's warranted, to be
honest with you, if this got the twenty or twenty
one by ten am, I'm taking the twenty one with
I don't think it's going to get there, so I'm
probably gonna just sit that one out. Navy Cincinnati another
situation where players are out oh real quickly. Texas State,
I had that power rated. I had Texas State minus
eleven before any of the players out on If these
two teams were solid on a regular Saturday afternoon on
a neutral field, Texas State would be about a ten
ten and a half point favorite. Now Navy Cincinnati, here's
the situation where the narrative is nobody's playing for Cincinnati
and it's Navy's game to lose. Because Cincinnati power rated wise,
should be about a touchdown favorite, You're now looking at
Navy as the touchdown favors. That's a two touchdown swing
based on all the losses for Cincinnati quarterback defensive players.
Me and Andy were talking about that before going on air.
It's stuck on seven. Surprise, it's not up to seven
and a half. It did get to seven and a
half in some spots. Obviously that got picked off maybe
from those that got in early on the Navy side,
but that's why they're sitting at seven juice. Also, the
total opened out fifty three and a half has gone
up to about fifty five to fifty six. Public and
the sharps are both on the over, so books are
going to need the under there. I'm expecting a higher
scoring game. Wake Forest, Mississippi State pretty close Power rated wise,
I had Mississippi State about a three to three and
a half point favorite in this game, difference of squants,
Wake Forest better defense, Missippi State better offense, and the
much tougher strength of schedule. But this line stayed about
the same open three. Now they're just adding juice to
the Mississippi State side, but good two way action from
the recreational better so I don't think that line's going
to move. And then SMU Arizona we have a flip
of the favorite. Arizona is the ranked team, SMUs the
unranked team, but power wise SMUs above Arizona. In fact,
I have Arizona as the thirty second best team in
college football and I have SMU as the twenty second
best team in college football. So I was not surprised
to see that line flip. And I actually send out
SMU to my subscribers at plus two and a half.
They're now minus one and a half, so we did
their job. Is SMU gonna go out there and do theirs?
We'll find out that Over is also getting a lot
of money already from the recreational betters, no sharp money yet.
If they get on the Over as well, books are
gonna have a ton of risk because again that's the
late game, and based on the earlier results, risk will
start the pile up, and I think it'll be more
on the total than the side because we're seeing good
two way action on Arizona and SMU. So that's the
college football breakdown for today.
Speaker 2: Are we seeing anything interesting in the NFL with any
of the lines move? I mean, you know me, I
do prop. They don't even have a lot of props
out for Sunday. They're they're just saying, we're not really
sure what's going to happen in some of these games
with who's sitting, who's playing, So like I've got I've
got props out for Saturday, but nothing for Sunday. Anything
the markets are telling us with any of these lines.
Speaker 5: Yeah, and limits are really low. Again. This is why
you got to be careful with NFL Final week, And
this is why even when we did bet on it,
I said, no, we got to have a condensed show
because you may have a best bet today, but come someday,
based on a result early in the day, that opinion
may change later because the line's going to change significantly
based on early results. So you have to be very cautious,
and that's what I'm seeing so far in the market,
better sharper betters taking advantage of that narrative. This team
has nothing to play for. This team has stuff to
play for. But here's what you got to pay attention to,
because I've seen it over and over and over again
every single year. In the final year of the season,
they start betting team A early in the week, and
then game day they bet team B. So they have
a nice three four to six point middle in a
lot of these signs, in a lot of these totals,
so they're not even legit positions. They're strictly getting out
ahead of information, and then as the narrative forms, the
line moves so significantly they have a nice middle opening up.
So be very cautious, have conviction if you're going to
fire the final week of the season, and more importantly,
don't forget the must win situations. The footmakers are well
aware that teams earn must win situations, and more times
than not, they're adding premiums to those signs when a
team has to win and you're seeing it. You're seeing
it this entire week, and a lot of big favorites
and the reason their big favorites, Andy, is because historically
teams quit when you have nothing to play for in
the second half. That's why these lines continue to climb
on Denver, on Jacksonville, New England got hit again today
from minus ten money eleven minus eleven and a half.
So those big double digit favorites, they're going to continue
to get money. I don't think you're going to see
much take back the other way. So again, if you
like some of those chalky favorites, you don't want to
wait till Sunday. That number is only going to move
in one direction.
Speaker 2: I mean, it's I would think it'd be hard to
justify these Yeah, big underdogs like that. That's it's really
really hard to take, like the Raiders.
Speaker 5: Even though power rated wise, you may say, dude, that
should be only nine and a half, not thirteen and
a half. But you can't quantify motivation. If they find
themselves down, you know, fourteen points in the third quarter,
do they really care about coming back to win a
meaningless game. It's like the preseason all over again.
Speaker 4: Well, yeah, Annie, I'm wondering too, you know, And this
is a great reason definitely tune in as we got
last call coming up this weekend, because these lines probably
will be quite different Sunday morning than they are now.
So is this a case if unless you had something
that you did have a strong conviction, you thought, hey,
it's going to be moving. Is this a situation where
you don't have bets in already you should probably be
waiting until Sunday morning to bet.
Speaker 5: If you haven't got out ahead, wait, wait and let
the betters knock some of these lines out of what
because that's exactly what they're going to do. Bro, they
haven't even bet this NFL. They had college football playoffs yesterday,
BOWLD games, today, they have the NFL tomorrow, those two
primetime games and a bunch of college basketball, so they
haven't really even spoken yet. Once they start betting these
must win teams, once they start betting these big favorites
against those you know, bottom teams, those lines are going
to move a lot more. You're absolutely right. So if
you haven't gotten down on Monday or Tuesday of this week,
wait till Sunday. But just be selective Sunday because the
lines are going to move a lot. But again, just
be selective. That's the key, because we're a week away
from every game mattering with the playoffs and the.
Speaker 4: Public money on Sunday morning is going to be crazy
because people are gonna wake up log on why wipe
the sleep out of their eyes, and they're gonna be like,
oh my god, Green Bays getting eight and a half
against Minnesota. They're not going to be thinking about the
fact that, you know, Jordan Love isn't playing, this guy
isn't playing so yet this Sunday is is going to
be one of the most must watch you know, Steam
Report obviously that you can get if you're an all
access client from Yanni, but the free show right before
at eleven am Eastern time here, we're going to be
having our last call show. So what it's a must
watch here for this Sunday is what it sounds like
to me.
Speaker 5: Yeah, and Craig ass, should I wait on the Jets.
That's a perfect example. I bet the Jets. I bet
the Jets at plus seven and a half because I
saw that they were looking for Jets and I was like,
this is going to go through that key number, and
that's exactly what it did. It went to six and
a half and I was happy we did our job.
I wake up this morning, and I'm looking at eight.
Speaker 4: Yeah that Josh Allen's probably not going to play, and
now it's a it's gonna be mitched true basic And
that was the thought, you know, that was the balby
how it was going to go. Yeah, yeah, And that's.
Speaker 5: That's a targetive of trying to beat the market to
the information that it will come back the other way
sometimes and you'll take one.
Speaker 4: And Teddy who we have coming up? He warned people
the opening line report on Monday mornings. He said, this
is a freaking minefield you guys are about to be
navigating in week eighteen. So you know, all these shows,
guys more reasons that ever. Hit that like button, if
you're liking what we're doing, hit that subscribe button. You'll
never miss any of them when they go live. Andy,
I think probably. I know it's football Friday, but you know,
people want to know what's going on in the hardwood, right, So, Yata,
you got anything college basketball? I know it's a little
bit early, but we do have some afternoon games NBA,
even on the ice, NHL. What else are you seeing
for the folks?
Speaker 5: Perfect question, brother, because I narrowed down five sharp NBA
five sharp college basketball for you and a couple NHL,
and I'm gonna throw a tennis that I sent out
to subscribers about an hour ago, and it's on stanislav
while rink up WAWR I NKA. We took plus two
hundred plus one ninety good down to about plus one seventy.
If you don't like the money line, then we also
bet at plus two and a half on the run
line pointline. Call it what you will at even money,
so plus two and a half. But I sent it
out to subscribers. On the money line, we're running hot
at plus one ninety five. Now, NBA for you five
point thirty two, Washington plus one and a half. I'm
reading off the line that they were good too all
the way to so Cleveland good to minus one third
to minus thirteen five point forty one, Charlotte good to
plus six and a half five forty four, Phoenix minus
eleven and a half and five forty seven, Memphis plus
the five. College basketball five thirty nine, Fairfield minus six
eight fifty one, Keennessol plus eight and a half eight
fifty eight a Middle Tennessee State minus six eight seventy two,
Iowa State minus seventeen, and then the extra board New
Haven plus the one and a half, NHL Saint Louis
plus one and plus one thirty five and over five
and a half, and then Anaheim plus one fifteen. So
you got NHL College Basketball, NBA, College Football, NFL. You're
ready to go for the next couple of days. You
just make some money.
Speaker 2: Love it. That's the goal, that's the point of the show. Janni,
thank you so much. What do you have up for
everyone at wag your Talk?
Speaker 5: I got a three pack for college football coming off
a nice four and oh that's already up and invaluable.
I have Saturday NFL with a four percent maybe upgraded
to a five percent Sunday NFL package already up with
two premium plays, and of course the long term Dice
team up with me for the year, and twenty twenty
six has started out well. We're gonna stay selective steam
rooms on Sunday for subscribers only. That final hour we
will go over the twenty twenty six game plan along
with risk management and all that good stuff. Best of
luck to you all, take your time. We got a
long year ahead till December thirty first rolls around and
we see if we're profitable. So take your time, risk,
manage correctly, and watch Way to Talk today. You'll be
just fine.
Speaker 2: John Greek, thank you so much. Thank you luck enjoy
the weekend. A lot of action here, Dan, Uh yeah,
what did your take on the Bulls yesterday?
Speaker 4: I mean the college football action I thought was largely underwhelming.
I mean I'm not a Hoosiers fan, you know what
I mean, So I was rooting for you. But that
Ole Miss in Georgia game, that that was a classic,
you know, back and forth, Lowky, I like, I'm not
really I don't have.
Speaker 1: A horse in the.
Speaker 4: Race for any of them. I just want who's ever
cashing bets for me to continue cashing bets. But there
is a part of me that's somewhat rooting for Ole Miss.
As you could tell in the open. I don't have
much love for Lane Kiffin. So if they could kind
of you know, stick it to and at least make
it to the championship, that would be uh, that would
be a little uh, you know how you do it, Lane,
As I guess who I would be somewhat.
Speaker 2: I finally had an Ohio State fan. One of my
friends called me last night I've had won, so we
have proof of life. We have proof of life at least, yes,
it was crawled out from under the rock lead. He
was in, mean, at admit it. Your team's just really
really good. I was like, that's very big of you,
very big of you. So yes, but only one make
no stakes.
Speaker 4: Also, how about how about the Big Ten. I mean,
obviously Oregon wasn't an original Big tenor, but this is
a conference that is certainly on the rise. And you're
also seeing with this playoffs specifically, how nil money has
just leveled the playing deal. I mean, you now have
football factory academies as long as you have the bankroll
for it, you know, yeah, or the commitment to it.
Like like in the case of Signetty. This is just
good coaching, solid recruiting. It's not like they have insane
blue chip players. That's just a football team that's really
in sync right now.
Speaker 2: Yeah, they said that coaching Staft's been together eight years.
They just boom boom boom. Different move there.
Speaker 1: Yeah.
Speaker 2: So all right, guys, big big day, big big weekend.
I told you yesterday. Don't get anything for me today.
Use the promo code at now to five. It gets
you twenty five percent off today we already have We
already have three NBA props up based on some lineups
and some injuries. I'm gonna ask Teddy about about some
NBA situation. We already have three of those up. And
the big thing, we have a five percent best bet
that goes off on Saturday in the NFL. So twenty
five percent off told, you get a three day pass
for me. So go to wt dot buzz Slash al
get a three day pass. You'll get NHL props, you
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anything that we have over the weekend. Darts we have
darts today, so I'm pretty excited about that. We're getting
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and an even bigger weekend in NFL. Two five percent
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Speaker 4: Ill get three percent. Let's make it three in a row.
Speaker 2: Here we go, Let's do it, and then the four in
a row and then five. Yeah, let's go opposite a
full tilt. So yeah, that's over. W T dot buzz
slash a l. Let's have a big weekend, all right,
Let's bring in the great Teddy Covers. Uh oh yeah, Teddy,
uh breaking news you might be playing center for the
Denver Nuggets at this At this point, every year an
NBA team seems to get bit by the injury bug?
Is is this Denver's year that they're they're in trouble?
Speaker 6: Oh what Denver did when Joker set and Bronze set
and Gordon said and Strauther set a one straight up
in Toronto and the quotes from Adam and coach Aitaman
after the game where we're going off to win games
with this roster will be fine. So certainly we talk
about Denver's window as a potential champion. Obviously they need
a healthy Joker and they need a healthy roster. But
Denver's a competitive team. They're competitive right now even without
those guys in the lineup.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's gonna be interesting to see how they how
they do moving forward. I'm gonna talk about them in
all around the world. So let's let's get going with
some games here. Let's start with the Mayo Bowl. Is
this the bow where they dumped the mayonnaise on the Unfortunately? Yes,
after you thought the pop tart bull is gimmicky, this
one really really takes the cake. So we got wake Forest,
we got Mississippi State. Teddy, what are we doing in
the vaunted Mayo Bowl?
Speaker 6: Yeah, this is a client play for me and you'll
get it here for free. Thank you for watching Way
You Talk To TV. Thanks for watching Way to Show
Up today, and Happy New Year. It's been a great
bull seaton so far, entering Friday, eight and two eighty
percent run in twenty twenty five with the Bulls. So
let's talk about the bulldogs the demon Deacons. Right now,
looking at my Odds Logic Live odd screen pretty much
painted three Mississippi State there is. There are a couple
of three and a halfs out there, so it's not
painted three, but it's mostly threes. There are some three
and a halfs total, sitting fifty three as the prevailing number,
and again Missippi State's a five and seventeen. The only
reason they got to a bowl game was because other
schools with better academic progress rates said we don't want
to go, and yet they're favored over the eight and
four team with a betting bandwagon.
Speaker 1: Wake was a money maker for their backers. Certainly.
Speaker 6: They close out the season seven to two ats their
last nine ballgames. So it's one of those instances that
the point spread's kind of telling you something.
Speaker 1: You know, the five and.
Speaker 6: Seventeen being favorite of the team with the betting bandwagon
and Wake, they struggled to stop good offenses away from home.
You know, they give a forty nine to Duke, they
give a forty two to Florida State a pair of
double visions losses This and Wake.
Speaker 1: Of the two teams, Wake has more opt out issues
most assured. You know, they're all a SEC.
Speaker 6: Running back at Demon Clayburn has declared for the NFL Drafter.
Top wide receiver Chris Barnes, who was also the kick returner,
is entering the transfer portal. Michael Mays another receiver transferring.
They've lost five starters since the end of the regular
seasoned only two Missisi State and the starters they lost
our impact players. And I watched Wake pull off a
couple of upsets this year. I watched them b SMU
as five point home dogs. I watched them beat Virginia
at six and a half point dogs. Neither opponent played
well in those games. Let's put it mildly. I'd put
it mildly. The demon Deacons offense as usual was limited
in those contests. And there's not a team that I
really trust to hang points against. The Mississippi team that
has superior talent pre athleticism, had plenty of motivation. First
Bowl game for Jeff Levy's Bulldogs, you know, thrilled in.
They didn't go bowling last year or the year before,
you know, And of course they weren't expected to get
a bid this year. They got one late because of
the academic progress rate. The other teams are declaiming the invite.
They got a Frost TV Kamario Taylor and this guy's
a dual threat Dynamo. We're three hundred and fifty eight
yards of offense in the season finale against ole Miss,
who look pretty good here in the playoffs. And of course,
when you talk about the record, what happened. Ole Miss
lost to Ars, the Missippi State lost to ole Miss, Missouri, Georgia, Tennessee, Texas,
Texas A, and M. Every one of those teams is
powerated higher than any opponent on wait for our schedule
for the entire season. SEC Team's shock for a good
Reason Missippi State or pass for this better?
Speaker 1: And yes, that is a client play for me on
Friday Night.
Speaker 2: Nice giving up client plays. Teddy's gonna break down Chargers
Broncos and then we're gonna do sell Me. We've got
a great theme for sell me this week. I love
your suggestion this week, Teddy. This should be a lot
of fun here. But this Chargers Broncos game, there's a lot,
I mean, there's a lot hinging on this as far
as playoff seating. But looks like the Chargers are not
going to be playing anybody. So is this game gonna
be close? Are the Chargers gonna have a fighting chance?
Speaker 1: Or is this just.
Speaker 2: Broncos in an old fashioned butt weapon.
Speaker 6: So I'm gonna chalk talk about the Chargers and Broncos,
but I'm gonna start by telling a Billy Walter story.
And this is a true Billy Walter story was told
to me and I was not there personally, but it
was told to me by a good friend who is
a boy scout. When it comes to tell the truth,
I believe the story one hundred percent, and there.
Speaker 1: Aren't many guys in the world.
Speaker 6: There are probably aren't ten guys in the world who
can tell you a true Billy Walter story. That's why
you watch Wayer Talk today. That's why you watch Wayger
Talk to me. That's why you subscribe the way You're
Talking YouTube channel for sties like this. All right, so
it's a Week seventeen game. This is twenty thirteen. I
went back and looked at up. I was trying to
remember what year it was. It was twenty thirteen, and
of course Week seventeen back then is a modern day
Week eighteen. It was a sixteen game schedule. In those days,
the Chiefs were playing the Chargers. Philip Rivers at quarterback
for San Diego at the time, lots of Philip Rivers
talk of late let's bring him up here, and case
was a classic nothing to play for and resting starters.
They already clinched their playoff spot and the Chargers needed
a win to get into the playoffs. Line opened something
like San Diego minus four, it closed something like San
Diego minus seventeen. Billy's crew bet it, then they betted again.
Then the followers started betting, Billy took more. And part
of the reason why Billy Walters, the famed gambler, was
betting so much on this game for the full season,
he was down in the NFL.
Speaker 1: He was trying to get back to even and this
was the game he chose to go all in on.
Speaker 6: So even a professional better, the best better in the world,
sometimes said, all right, I'm gonna bet more than I
should on a game again minus four to minus seventeen.
How the game play out, the Chargers won by a
field goal in overtime, and that's only because Casey missed
the game. When he feel about the innerregulation books kept
all the money. The lesson beware Week eighteen must wins
the other lesson. Yes, teams will sit some starters, but
it's a fifty three man roster. There are forty six
players active on game day. You can't really sit that
many guys. You can't sit.
Speaker 1: Everybody, and nobody does.
Speaker 6: Last year, the Broncos won thirty eight to nothing in Week.
Speaker 1: Eighteen versus Kansas City. All right, so there's certainly a
groundswell of support for Denver. Just did this last year?
Speaker 6: I get it, And again, looking at the OS logic,
live onscreen right now, Denver minus twelve and a half.
There are thirteens out there, thirteens at the sharpest books,
thirty seven and a half to total. So certainly better
to remember that thirty eight to nothing from last year's
Broncos team. That being said, and of course, when the
Chargers don't show up, they don't show up.
Speaker 1: The Jags game, I remember that game. That was ugly
as it gets.
Speaker 6: Three of their five loss have come by two touchdowns
or more. And of course, nasty Denver weever, the nasty
Denver weather. Right, No, we've got highs in the sixties.
Supposed to be a gorgeous day in Denver tomorrow. Trey
Lance has won games in the NFL at least two
and three straight up, three and two against the spread
as an NFL starter. All right, Yes, the Chargers will
be sitting a good handful of guys.
Speaker 1: All right, you know, uh who do I got?
Speaker 6: I got Keenan Allen out in, Derwin James and a
couple of linebackers. Khalil Mack's not gonna play, Justin Herbert
obviously not gonna play. Omarion Hampton is not likely to play.
Everyone else gonna play most likely. You know, Denver they need,
they need must win for Denver, they need the first
round by seating is never a motivator. Have the Broncos
been the type of team this year you're like, oh yeah,
let's lay two touchdowns with Denver. They're beating everybody by margin. No,
they played up or down to the level of competition
all year long, full strength. My powering number for this
game is Denver mineus two. You make case for Denver
minus two and a half. All right, Chearge, just sit
in a bunch of guy, I get it. Maybe you
make it Denver nine and a half or ten. That's
not thirteen too much, and there's no urgency to bet
the Chargers money's gonna keep going. We're not gonna see
a whole bunch of la money, not unless something bizarre
happened between now and kickoff.
Speaker 1: No sprice here.
Speaker 6: We get the fourteen by Sunday, and at fourteen Chargers
are pass for this better.
Speaker 2: Also, just just remind people Train Lance was like a
covering machine in preseason. He was He was like a
fantastic bed on because nobody was open. He'd just run,
run the ball and move the ball, move the chains.
He was a cash cow of betting on in preseason.
I like where you're going with that one, Teddy, very
very very slick breakdown. And I think the biggest point
is just wait, you know where, you know where the
number is gonna keep moving and you can be patient
with this one.
Speaker 6: And so this is one week. If you guys don't
watch end Zone live every Sunday, you should be. It's
a whole lot of fun, all right, because we're sitting
there for the whole all early games, all right, for
three and a half hours. We're sitting there, the whole
group of us. It's not me, it's not prayers. It's
a there's always like four or five six people in
the in the chet, and we talk about football, we
talk about the games, you make live bets.
Speaker 1: It's it's it really is fun.
Speaker 6: This Sunday is a week to watch because the live
betting opportunities this week are real. If you're watching the games. Remember,
the algorithms are gonna spit out points, spreads. If you're
watching the games. Oh wow, he's about to say, you know,
the starters here are gonna sit, The starters there are
gonna play. There's interest here. Those are the type of
things you can make money in games. So be sure
if you haven't subscribed to wager you Talk TV, subscribe
and this is one Sunday, come hang out with us.
Speaker 1: It'll be fun for end Zone life.
Speaker 4: Yeah, a O five Noodles loves it live betting gold.
He says he's been he's been tuning in these these
last few weeks. So we love that. And this will
likely be the final edition of end Zone lines so
apropos that we got Teddy holding things down for him.
You know, maybe we'll do a playoff edition. We'll gauge
interest though, but yeah, end Zone lide this Sunday starting
around twelve forty five and getting you ready to it.
That's my game, so it should be.
Speaker 1: A good one.
Speaker 4: Anybody you think should we do a little sell me.
I mean this is every week. Even when I'm trying
to pick, you know, good matchups, Marco who's coming on next,
finds a way to call me a six son of
a gun. This week's tough because the one quantifier that
we put on it, we said double digit favorites, and
typically in the NFL you have one double digit favorite
on the board, maybe two four different games with double
digit spreads this week, guys, and I want to talk
a divisional matchup because I'm actually intrigued with how this
season has ended for Tennessee. Tennessee early on in the
season has just been auto fade material, And really Jacksonville
has kind of exceeded their market expectation for sure with
how well they have played down the stretch here. But
Tennessee's been covering numbers with regularity. I know, you know
the Saints get up on him last week. We're looking
at a thirteen we'll call it, because that's basically what
we're seeing out here, thirteen and a half. And Teddy,
you were the one who said you wanted to do
double digit spreads here, So you're telling me why a
team in Jacksonville is going to be covering thirteen and
a half points at home against the divisional opponent Andy.
You have the dog. But Teddy, make the case for
me first here Jacksonville big chalk? Why is that the
correct side?
Speaker 6: So there's certainly no shortage of motivators for the Jacksonville
Jaguars or a chance to finish the season with the
best record that they've I think they've ever had.
Speaker 1: It might have been one.
Speaker 6: Mark Brunel year, Tony BUSSELLI year back in like, but
I think this would be the if.
Speaker 1: They win the thirteen.
Speaker 6: They're thirteen ten, there's the best season that they ever had,
So that's a motivator.
Speaker 1: But the bigger issue here is the Titans. All Right.
Speaker 6: The Titans fought hard. They beat Kansas City two weeks ago.
They fought hard last week and what happened in the end,
you know, they found a way to blow it against
Him Orleans. We look at what this team has done,
so you have a team that kind of a bottom
tier team that phrases politely. They've shot their load each
of the last two weeks. I don't know if they
have a third load down. And when we look at Tennessee,
you know, kind of like Lang after a session. When
we look at what they've done against divisional opponents this year,
the teams that know them and hate them. They lost
by twenty one to Indy, by twenty six to Houston.
They lost by twenty four to Indy in the rematch.
They lost by twenty two to jackson to Jacksonville in
the first meeting. They're not hanging tough with the division opponents.
They're hanging tough against the teams that aren't paying attention.
Jacksonville's paying attention.
Speaker 4: Lay it, lay it and some load handicapping there, one
load short, two loads, maybe three loads away?
Speaker 1: Handy, what do.
Speaker 4: You think barking dog here? Maybe outright with I mean
thirteen and a half, that'd be a nice little money line.
Cash sell me on that thirteen and a half point underdog, Handy.
Speaker 2: Well, Jacksonville just needs to win. That's it. We saw
last week clunky, but they get the job done against
the Colts. But you know, twenty three seventeen, Lords made
his typical bonehead turnovers inside the five yard line, even
though it was a great play by the defender. But
they do dumb They do dumb things at times, like
running a hook and ladder. I have no idea where
that play came from. But this is a Tennessee Titans
team that I think they're hitting their stride. They won
two out of their last four, and they honestly could
have been maybe should have beat New Orleans. They let
Chris Alave get loose too many times in that game.
But this is a Jacksonville team that the passing game
I don't think is going to scare them too much.
In Jacksonville. This is just cruise. Get your win, get
the get the division title. But the points spread is
the ultimate, the ultimate gift here at this double digit
because this just screams backdoor. I'm gonna talk about loads.
Look about Look look at the load coming in the
back door, Teddy, the fourth quarter, easy easy cover here.
Cam Ward's playing for things. The Titans coaching staff is
playing for things. Jacksonville's just playing for a little win.
Give me the Titans, Marco for once.
Speaker 4: I'm not the sick man. I'm not the one bringing
up loads in the handicaps. So comment below. Guys, this
is your chance to win a three three day flex
pass if you agree with the cybergrading it at thirteen
and a half. So just comment below, Teddy and your
wager talk username. If you believe the Jags are going
to cover this big number. If you think the Titans
are alive to cover this thirteen and a half, and
the load will be coming in the back door, comment below,
Andy with your wager talk user name. The classiest edition
of sell Me ever, gentlemen, and Teddy, why you were talking?
I went to look back last time that the Jags
had a record like this. They were fourteen and two
in nineteen ninety nine when they were still playing in
the Central Division. Yeah, so this hose they were still
in the former Century Division turning into the Central Division
when they had a season like this. So interesting note
there for you folks. The last time they were this
good they were playing in the Central Daddy.
Speaker 1: They made the AFC Championship. Give me that year.
Speaker 6: That was a year that where the Panthers and the
Jaguars both made the champ That was Kerry Collins for
Carolina and Brunel for Jacksonville. Dude, I remember I did
say Brunelle years I remember stuff from thirty years ago
better than I remember what I did yesterday.
Speaker 4: Well, well, I know you at least remember that. The
promo code New twenty five ends tonight, Teddy. They can
get twenty five percent off anything over at your page
w t up, bugs, w t up, buzz, backslash TC.
What are they gonna find over there, brother.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's been a good run.
Speaker 6: You know, the last three weeks have been pretty good
for the clients and I uh, well over sixty percent.
Across sports, the NBA has been solid. The Bowls have
been really good. The NFL has been great. We have
a five percent big ticket going on Saturday in the NFL,
A rare five tipic ticket. Won my five percent pig
ticket last week. Expect to do it again this week.
I did not expect to have a five pig ticket
in week eighteen. And yet when the research says you're
gonna bet this, you're gonna bet this large, that's what
I do. So use that promo code new? Is it
new twenty five or new twenty six?
Speaker 4: New twenty five?
Speaker 1: Why we have a new twenty five?
Speaker 3: Wait?
Speaker 4: Look, because it's it's twenty five percent off, So I
think that's how they got you.
Speaker 6: Promo code new any W two to five will get
you twenty five percent off my five percent pick ticket
play It'll get you twenty five percent off my three pack. Yeah,
cross Sport three pack on Friday for college hoops, NBA
and Bowl Action.
Speaker 1: It will get you twenty five percent off anything and
everything on my page w W that buzz backslash tc
at checkout new twenty five best of Look, Thanks for watching.
Speaker 4: Cheers, Thanks Teddy, We'll see on Sunday. Brother at work
man and uh yes I know Marco will be like,
what the hell, what are you guys doing? Loads gets Yeah.
Speaker 2: On a on a on a good note, Dan, this
is why you should be a all access subscriber. We
just cashed a cricket play. Let's go, let's go. We
got another one, and I mean early morning cricket plays
are just the best. They're just the best. Get your
morning started off right, So appreciate that one. We got
another cricket play that's going. But let's bring in Marco.
We got to talk some college. We're gonna talk pro.
Speaker 4: Marc Kelly and b Are said said way worse on
bet on it.
Speaker 3: Well, guys, late breaking news, there's a late injury report.
I am sitting this show now for load management.
Speaker 4: Now, well done, well done, Mike, drop by Marco right
out the game.
Speaker 2: All right, Marco, you're not you're not getting You're not
getting off that easy. And there's we don't do load
management around here.
Speaker 3: So if you're not getting.
Speaker 4: Yeah, if you do.
Speaker 2: New Year's Day, we gave we gave you, We gave
you a couple of games to break down. But the
obvious question is, how are you feeling with your Steelers
coming into this weekend?
Speaker 3: Scared? Shipless?
Speaker 2: I really.
Speaker 3: I sent a text to uh, my buddies today and
my nephews, and I said, really, to make that game
on Sunday night more put more spice to them, because
you know, the NFL pushed it to the they flexed
it to the last game because it's the one game
where somebody's moving on and somebody's going home. You know,
there's no other factors involved. You win, you go home.
So let's make it even more interesting. I think obviously
the winner goes to the playoffs, but I think immediately
following the conclusion of the game, whoever loses that game,
the coach should be fired right there on the spot
on national TV. I think that would make it right. Yeah,
I think both fan bases, I think would be happy.
And let's just go ahead and do it. You know,
put some extra you know, juice in the game.
Speaker 2: You know what.
Speaker 3: I think that would raise, you know, the eyebrows watching
that game.
Speaker 4: Loser immediately has to move and become the head coach
of the New York Giants. That's that's that's really the
punishment that nobody wants. And I think Marco might be
onto something.
Speaker 2: Let's go, let's do a bowl game real quick, the
Holiday Bowl Arizona SMU, let's start. Let's start with the
Holiday Bowl and then you get to break down the
Big Times Seahawks forty nine ers. All right, what are
we doing with this Holiday Bowl Arizona and SMU.
Speaker 3: Well, you look at this game and both teams are
coming in hot. Arizona's won five in a row. SMU
finished the season when six of their last eight games.
But if we look at Arizona's five game winning streak, guys,
they were the benefactors of, you know, the turnover. They
were on the plus side of a fourteen to four
turnover edge during that five game stretch. Also, they played,
you know, a softer schedule in my opinion. We also
see that their final game of the season was a
very satisfying win for Arizona. Why well, they always have
the season ending rivalry game with Arizona State. The year before,
Arizona State went to Arizona and beat the snot out
of them. Well, they returned the favor beating Arizona State
at Arizona State in the season finale. So they're ride
and high, they're satisfied. I just don't see them as
good as this SMU team. And if I look at
the SMU team and I look at that six two record,
something stuck out to me. They finished the season winning
three in a row, then they lost a game, then
they won three in a row again and lost the
season finale. But if you look at both of the
losses that they had, and you know, I do the
Deli stuff and everything, go back and look at them
when they lost the first time after the three game
winning streak. They lost at wake Forest by one point
thirteen to twelve. But look at what the situation was.
They were coming off beating Clemson the week before, and
if you remember Clemson beat them in the ACC Championship
game the year prior, and they had Miami on deck.
That was a Marco Deli special spot for them to
fall on their face. They did, they only lost by one.
Then look at their season ending loss. What when did
deck come after? Well, they blew out Louisville thirty eight
to six, and then the reward was they had to
travel cross country to play at Cal for the season finale.
Just two bad spots for them. But if you look
at this SMU offense last three games of the season,
they put up five hundred and seventy four yards four
hundred and eighty five yards in four to seventy seven.
I think they're the side here. I'm gonna go ahead
take SMU plus the small number there. SMU gets it
done in the Holiday Bowl. And if you're looking for
a defensive game, this is not gonna be it. This
one should be a shootout.
Speaker 4: Shootout, and we're teching towards SMU, says Marco DiAngelo. Marco,
before we get into this Seahawks and forty nine Ers
game that I'm super intrigued with. This is one that
I've been flirting with for my pick five, So I'm
looking forward to seeing what you're thinking. Well, we've been
promoing this new twenty five I mean a hell of
a deal. It's expiring tonight, so at midnight is your
last chance to take twenty five percent off anything. And Marco,
you've been seeing it. Well, man, what are folks gonna
find over at your page? And this is a no
brainer deal that again is ending in just a few hours.
Speaker 3: Yeah, guys, And you can use it on anything. It
could be on a daily package, a weekly package, monthly package,
or grab a calendar year of your favorite cap or
save twenty five percent me personally, we've got a five
percent going this weekend. I haven't had a five percent
in the last two weeks. We're selective with them. Got
one this week that I love a lot. And guys,
when I release these five percent plays, the record going
back to February, not of twenty twenty five, but of
twenty twenty four, coming up almost two years here, worth
forty and eighteen on these plays, twenty three months of
plays forty and eighteen. When I find a special five
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So you can pick that up thirty five bucks by itself,
or grab weekend Warrior, grab a seven day package, however
you want to do it. Don't miss out on that
big play this weekend, and of course save yourself twenty
five percent you buy a package before midnight tonight, twenty
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Speaker 4: Absolute no brainer there, all right, Marco, I want to
get your thoughts here. Seattle and San Francisco. We talked
to you know obviously about these big line moves and
big swings that made double digit favorites and everything. This is,
you know, just as arguably a bigger line move when
you're talking about San Francisco, who opened at pickum you know,
one point favorite, and now they're the dog at home
against Seattle, two of the premier teams in the NFC.
This has some major, uh, you know, potential playoff implications
as far as concerns that these two teams are two
top teams here in the NFC. We're now seeing in
Seattle they're up to two and a half point favorites
at some spot. Thoughts on the line move and thoughts
on the game, Marco.
Speaker 3: Well, the line tells you, for me, tells you everything
you need to know about this game, because the flavor
of the month in the public's eye San Francisco. Okay,
they both teams have won six in a row. But
you don't see people talking about Seattle the way they're
talking about the forty nine ers, because why, well, the
forty nine ers are flashy, they score a ton of points,
and everybody loves offense. The problem here is the reason
that they score so many points is the defense that
has just been wrecked with injuries this year, gives up
almost as many points. That was an epic Sunday night
football game. Last week between the Bears and the forty
nine Ers, both teams going up and down the field.
They kept answering scores. You know, that was tied at
every juncture until the final two scores of the game,
the final two possessions, you had seven to seven, fourteen
to fourteen, all the way up through thirty five, thirty five,
they kept tying the score, and then Chicago had to
settle for a field goal on their last scoring opportunity,
and then of course the forty nine Ers got the touchdown.
Bear still had one more shot late in the game,
but couldn't convert. I like Seattle in this game, and
the reason I think they're the more complete team. And
by complete, I say they have the defense. They're a
top five defense in the NFL, and they can run
the football. What are the two things you want when
you're facing a team that can score at will, like
the forty nine ers, You want to slow that offense
down and you want to keep them off the field. Well,
if you got a stellar defense, that's gonna slow them down.
If you got an offense that can run the football,
that's gonna keep them off the field. Now, anytime you
look at Seattle, question is gonna pop up, all right
and everybody and I get it, because he's still had
a couple of those type of games. We go back
to the final two games of last season, the season
finale when he was at Minnesota against the Lions and
in the playoff game against the Rams. Do we get
Sam Darnald that we've seen for virtually ninety percent of
the last two years, or do we see the Sam
Donald that we saw in a grand total of three
or four games over the last two years. Everybody wants
to say, oh, we don't want to see New York
Jet Sam Donald. We don't want to see Sam Donald
seeing ghost. I get that, but man, you look at
the body of work for the last two years. He
has done way more good than he's done bad, and
he's got a running game that helps him. I like them.
I think Seattle is a team that is built to
make a deep run in the playoffs if they stay
out of one of those games where you have four turnovers,
and I don't see them having those type of turnovers
against this San Francisco defense. I'm gonna go ahead. I'm
gonna take Seattle in this game. And as they said
at the beginning when this line right away was one
and a half Seattle. Early in the week, we saw
that initial shift that told me everything I need to
know about this game, because the public's gonna want San
Francisco and how many people When you first saw that number,
the first thing that went to your mind. With as
many points as they score, they're getting one and a half.
That's an automatic. I know, Kelly's got a whole pocket
full of teasers with the forty nine ers, Okay, and
that's what everybody is going to do with that game,
because that's what the numbers say you're supposed to do.
But that tells me a lot in a game this big,
playing at home on the stage, and the fact that
this is a Saturday game, don't you know. I know,
they're at home two weeks in a row, but that
extra day that Seattle, you know, you know has well.
They both played on Sunday, don't get me wrong, but
the situation that they played that late Sunday night game
and the type of game that it was, I just
don't see them coming back in this one. I give
the advantage to Seattle, and after going up and down,
feel both offensively and defensively San Francisco last week. They're
gonna get frustrated seeing some of those longer Seattle drives.
When Seattle has the ball, give me Seattle.
Speaker 4: Seattle is the thought there for Marco. Don't fear the
line move and no, we're not begging for like see
Mike even letting you know, hit that like button. We've
given out so many free picks along the way, and
big shout out those who have been joining us all
show long here as wager Talk insiders. Kimmy joining us,
we got Joseph joining us, all of these new members. Guys,
you join up with this wager Talk Insider program super
low price, and it gets you early access to all
of our videos, Mike Marco's Deli, which has been absolutely
smoking it this year. He gives you some sandwich spots,
some trap spots, and that goes up early access for you.
All you got to do is become a wager Talk insider.
And it's a big way to say thanks for the
work we do. But if you do, I want to
join up like button and subscribe, that's all we're asking for.
I know we're gonna get some likes coming in right now.
This is one of my favorite parts of the week
when we let Marco off the chain and we get
to talk the wing sauce of the week, Marco, the
floor is yours.
Speaker 3: Stay here, Dan, because I'm gonna I'm gonna be asking
both of you guys a question. Last week I pivoted
in New Year's I'm gonna do one more pivot and
I want to ask you and I want to ask
the viewers jump into the chat box because I moved
to You know, I love food, Okay, obviously that's why
we have Marco's Deli. And by the way, the deli
will be out this morning. We did do a special
edition of the deli. We got it in last week
three and oh with the deli, so we got three
more for you guys this week. But we want to
go food fee and I want to ask you guys
because since I moved to Vegas, I thought this was,
you know, a tradition everywhere, but I found out that
it wasn't. That it wasn't and people look at me
like I'm crazy. Do we either, You guys have a
food tradition for New Year's that you do every year.
I'm gonna go to you first, Dan, because there's more
of a chance of you hitting this one than Andy.
Speaker 4: Well, you know the old staple. You can't have luck
in the new year if you don't start off with
pork and shire crowd. That's what we do in Pennsylvania.
Pork and cire crowd, Baby, that's what you gotta do.
No luck in the new year if you don't have
pork and sar crowd. People look at me when I
talk about that out here. What are you talking about?
I never heard of it.
Speaker 2: Dan, No. So my family is all German. My family
is all German.
Speaker 3: We know how to and that's what brought it to Pennsylvania.
It was the German and nationality brought it Pennsylvania Dutch
and it's a big thing all across Pennsylvania. And when
I come out here, people look at me like I
have three when I say I'm making pork and sauerkraut,
well because.
Speaker 4: Because it's not like the normal I mean, let's be real,
it's a very pungent post post. But it is a
great hangover cure, I will say. Surprisingly, you would think,
oh no, I can't. I can't possibly good punch there.
But yeah, people don't get it out here. You say
pork and sourkrawd. They really do look at you like
you're crazy, But that was the thing, Marko, pork.
Speaker 2: And sauer kraut.
Speaker 4: You head on over to Grandma's place, head on over
to Grandpa's place, and you always have pork and sower craut.
And for those who don't cook at home, diners will
randomly do pork and sauer kraut that day. Restaurants will
have it on the menu. It's a whole thing. You
cannot escape the smell of sour kraut in Pennsylvania the
day after New Year's That's that's for sure.
Speaker 3: My wife hates when I do that because she's the
Las Vegas native and she looks at me and I
speak the entire house up. You know. She calls it
sour crap, a porkin soaur crap because smells the entire house.
But let me know in the comments. I want to
see you, guys, how many people do have that, because
it is in the tradition with it is as you said,
it's good luck, it's prosperity into the new year and everything.
And I've done it every year, guys. I will not
miss that because I am superstitious as well, yeah, I
do like pork and Sarakraft. I do like it.
Speaker 4: So Arco's clients they don't mind. They say, Marco, you
better eat that damn pork and sauragravit the winner this week.
Speaker 2: That's amazing, amazing.
Speaker 3: Sorry for me yearing off track there, but hey, if
you guys can be talking about loads, I can talk
about Sorry, that's.
Speaker 4: Fair, that's fair. I mean you are the owner, Marco,
you could talk about whatever the hell you want on here.
So pork and Staracraft mild to go to what we have,
but I love it. Man, one more time, let folks
know what you have up a great segment as always.
Speaker 3: Man, all right, guys, hit the Marcos Deli. You know guys,
and I really do want to thank all you guy
and wish you a happy New Year. You guys have
really helped that show grow over the last two years.
We didn't know how it was gonna work out, and
we have fun with eating the sandwiches and everything. And yes,
the Delhi probably has pork and sauerkraut sandwiches today, So
head on over there now. I got a lot of
but we got three plays for you, and then be
sure to check out that five percent play this weekend
and you know now you know college football, you know,
we only got a couple of games left, you know,
And now I am into the time of the basketball
season that I love. I love college basketball conference play.
That's where my bread and butter is. We're there now.
We'll have basketball everyday, college and NBA, and the hockey
is still running well. So grab a package. The bigger
the package you grabbed with that twenty five percent off,
the bigger the savings for you guys. And thanks for
everything and everything you guys have done for the entire channel.
We appreciate you guys watching all of twenty twenty five
and looking forward to an even bigger twenty twenty six
with all the shows here on wager Talk TV.
Speaker 4: Love it, Appreciate you Marco. And yes, the deli is
opening up.
Speaker 2: At three pm Eastern.
Speaker 4: Times today, but those of you who are wager Talk insiders,
you have access to it right now, so before those
lines moved, you know, low price for you can get
in on Marco's deli right now. The deli is open.
And you know it's open any because you can smell
that sour krout in the air.
Speaker 2: If yeah, if you've never cooked sauer kraut. Your your
house smells for punch dates for years. Yeah, that's that's
why it's good luck. The luck lingers on until the
smell is.
Speaker 4: The luck, and those smellings all year long. All right,
I believe that's a Cranberry song. I believe sokut linger.
Speaker 2: All right, let's do some free plays, get people, get
people started on their weekend early. So again, guys, Promo
code New twenty five works for everything. I told you, guys.
Don't buy anything for me yesterday, by it today. We've
already kept cricket play. We got another one that is
pending right now. Three NBA best bets are already up
five percent. NFL bet is up, so anything that we
have over the next three days you get twenty five
percent off. It's going to be a huge weekend. These
are plays that we've already bet and locked in, So
partner up with us. This is going to be a huge,
huge weekend. Love Week eighteen. So oh you want to
do WTFLFG.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, we'll throw that in there because it'll actually
tie into when we're when we're breaking down and giving
our thoughts here for some of these player prop incentives,
So WT effort l FG, I give a play, Andy says,
if he's following or fading, we didn't have a play yesterday,
so we're still sitting at ten and four, so let's
make it eleven and four. I'm actually looking towards a
player prop this weekend, and Andy, these books know the
player prop incentives because the one that I'm actually betting
is one where the number is higher than what he
actually has to attain. It is the running back for
the Tennessee Titans, one of the few that are actually
out right now. He needs sixty six yards to be
cashing about a quarter of a million dollar bonus that
will be heading Tony Pollard's way. The one. The reason
why I went with this one, Andy, even though the
market number is sitting around and we'll grade it at
sixty seven and a half, which is a yard higher
than what he actually needs. The Titans aren't in a
position where once he gets it, they're going to pull.
Speaker 1: Him out right.
Speaker 4: And this is something that he's been hitting with regularity.
Tony Pollard in the last four games has actually been
averaging just over eighty five yards per game. The usage
is there, you know where they're playing off against the
jag Sure it's a thirteen and a half point favorite.
To your wonder, and how much is he going to
be rushing? Tennessee doesn't have any designs. We need this
game to be into the playoffs. The game plan will
be what it is, and that's let cam Ward shine
in movement moments, also backed up with running volume. So
I think the volume is going to be there for Pollard.
I think Jacksonville, I'm sure you know they have his
Teddy said some motivation, but not enough to be shutting
down a guy completely. You could see maybe some laxa
daysical tackling. So Tony Pollard over sixty seven and a
half yards, that's the play for me.
Speaker 2: Yeah, this has been a client play the last couple
of weeks for us, So it's it's clearly gonna be
in LFG twenty Pollard over his rushing. I would actually
add to that, he also has an incentive for two touchdowns.
You can get him eleven to one. Oh wow, touchdowns. Yeah,
he's plus one sixty on DraftKings anytime, eleven to one
for two, so that you could.
Speaker 4: I mean eleven to one. You have to do it,
you know, what I mean, and at least at plus
one sixty you know, maybe you all line his rushing
total and then you add it in with just one touchdown,
you're gonna be getting plus what two five on that probably,
So I like that, Andy, good good luck.
Speaker 2: Let's do the rest of this incentives here real quick.
Sam Darnold needs three passing touchdowns and one hundred and
fifty passing yards three touchdown passes plus two sixty seven.
But they're playing for bigger things. They're not gonna screw
around grade. I mean, it would have to be just
like a blowout for Seattle.
Speaker 4: I bet he has more incentives regarding playoff win than
he does having just getting his three touchdowns in the
regular season.
Speaker 2: Keenan Allen needs six receptions and two touchdowns. I don't
know how much he's gonna play in this one. Aaron
Rodgers needs to win. He's but I mean, there's not
much you can do.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's barready built in. You know, Aaron
Rodgers is on the sideline being like, guys, we got
to get this win. So I hit my incentive. You've
missed a lot, mister Rogers. I think you have a
little bit more.
Speaker 2: Something to play for your guy. Saque needs eighty seven
scrimmage yards for a contract, Dawson Knox needs seven yards
and one touchdown, and Khalil Shakir needs one touchdown. That's
interesting that though those two are interesting because that game,
it just probably doesn't mean a whole lot.
Speaker 4: Well both in both the games don't really mean a
lot in the In the case of Saquon, I don't
even think he's gonna see a snap, so.
Speaker 2: I wouldn't think so.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't think. I mean, they're resting Jalen Hurts,
They're resting a bunch of different starters. I would be
very surprised if Saquon, who has quite the lucrative contract,
is saying, let me go in against the team in
Washington who he pissed off two weeks ago, who would
probably be looking to put some thumps on some players. Yeah,
I don't expect to see Saquon the other one. Do
you trust Mitchell Trubisky to get his I mean the
Knox one's interesting because what do we think backup quarterback
goes to the tight end. How much does Knox play though,
that's another question.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Hunter Henry needs five receptions. I can see that
one that's pretty obtainable, and of course the big one,
Miles Garrett needs a sack for the record, he's going
up against the Bengals, I believe.
Speaker 1: So I like.
Speaker 4: The Hunter Henry one as well because I think New England,
while they're playing off again, it's Miami here, they are
going to be playing their starters. They technically still are
fighting for that, you know, that top seed potential, and
I think because of the bad game that Matt Stafford
just has, I think organizationally they see we could get
Drake May being an MVP. This is the type of
organization that cares about those kind of things. So taking
over player props in New England in a week that
I'm more looking towards unders or really picking specific spots
or incentives, that's one that makes sense. Henry is a
feature in this offense and May likely will be playing
the whole game and looking to pad stats against a
Miami defense who's just been so streaky.
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, so those are your incentives. Let's do
all around the world and then we'll do our pick
five and we'll get out of here. We're gonna go
to NFL props and then we'll do an NBA I
mentioned one of them is involve the Nuggets. Look at
this Panthers Buccaneers game. Bryce Young over seventeen and a
half rushing. This guy has really started to rush pretty
well and effectively as the season has gotten better. He's
gone over in four straight game and out of his
five longest runs the season, four were in his last
four games. He had twenty a few games ago against Tampa.
So Bryce Young over seventeen and a half rushing. Bruce,
I saw you in the chat. You brought up Kendrick Bourne.
This number is really confusing to me. This is like,
this is like one of the books know that I
don't Kendrick Bourne. They put his receiving number seven and
a half. He's had seventeen plus and three straight Kittles questionable,
Pearsall's questionable, Christian McCaffrey's clearly banged up.
Speaker 4: Born.
Speaker 2: I mean, those guys are gonna play and a must win.
The Seattle defense is putting all their focus on those
other guys. Kendrick Bord just needs one catch and he
shook it over here. Nuggets and Calves. I'm looking at
this Nuggets team under their team total, Dan Nuggets. Yeah,
they won their last game, but they only scored one
hundred and six points in that game. So they have
no Yokich, they have no Valentiunis, they have no Christian Brown,
they have no Aaron go. I mean those four right there,
and add another player Dan, that's a forty two win team. Yeah,
they're literally missing a starting NBA team. So Cleveland third
best defensive rating the last five games. I think the
Nuggets struggled to score tonight. They're starting a guy at
center that barely plays, so this is a tough spot
for him. So it was your free plays. Let's do
the pick five.
Speaker 4: Indeed, let us Andy, what what do you got this
week for the pick five? Because I thought it was
really tough to find five NFL sides in a week
like this.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's tough. I'm gonna go the Panthers at the Bucks.
This Bucks team is creator, Baker Mayfield is clearly not healthy.
Panthers are juckling hide. You never know what you're gonna get,
But you can take the points, or if you're gonna
bet on the Panthers might take the money line. But
this is a fate of the Bucks, who have just
absolutely fallen apart at the worst part of the year.
I am going to buy into the forty nine ers
against the Seahawks. This is just this has got Sam
Darnold falls apart written all over it. And who's playing
better at quarterback than Brock Purdy right now? Guy looks
absolutely fantastic. So I have talked all week about I
have this Saint season win total that I was terrified about.
They're sitting in a lave. They're sitting vele the Falcons.
Is a coaching staff for the Falcons that's coaching for
their jobs. Kirk Cousins is playing well, and this is
the Saints team that looks like they're gonna really struggle
to move the ball. So not only am I not
going to hedge out of that Saint season win, I'm
gonna take the Falcons minus three. I think they lay
the smack down. I'm gonna I'm gonna take the Cardinals.
Here the Rams. There's a lot of weird stuff going
on with this Rams team. McVay said he wasn't happy
about how his team played, and no, no, no, we're gonna
play in the last week. I'm not buying it, Dan,
I'm not I'm not buying that that you're gonna push
Matt Stafford out there. So uh, this has got like
Cardinals cover in the fourth quarter against the third stringers
for the Rams, and then uh, the Raiders are just
openly they want to lose, like like they're just like,
we've thrown in the towel. So I mean they've thrown
in the towel. Gino's throwing to the wrong team. Their
backup is in the coaching staff is So the Chiefs
minus five. They're gonna have some players that they want
to get a look at for next year. So I'll
take the Chiefs minus five. What do you got?
Speaker 4: I like it, Andy, A lot of agreement, with some
slight disagreements here. I like that San Francisco pick for
the same reasons that you mentioned there. I get it
it's a public play, but I'm with you. I like
San Francisco. What they have been able to do with
no horses this entire season has likely made Shanahanna a
major Coach of the Year candidate. And now they got
their guys back. Their offense looks like their hummed. I
know that that's that's you know, the public whatever. I know,
Seattle's good. On the road one and a half and
taking them up in a teaser is a no brainer.
I'm on the other side of this Las Vegas game
simply because organizationally they are tanking. They forced players out,
They said Max Crosby, you're not allowed to play. The
frustration in that locker room. This is a team that
is going to want to say fu to Mark Davis
and this ownership group because they haven't put anything behind them.
They make the Raiders a joke because people are still
going to go to the game because it's in Vegas,
Pete Carroll, Master Motivator Casey. They've never been limping into
an end of the year quite like this. I think
it could be a three point game there, So give
me Las Vegas one thing. I will say, Andy, you
were pointing out that Carolina game. I know exactly how
this is going to go. It's not one of my picks,
but I wanted to mention it. Tampa Bay is going
to win that game by a last second field goal
to win by one. Carolina is still going to cover.
Tampa Bay is then going to be like, all right,
we're scoreboard watching now. The Falcons are going to absolutely
smoke the Saints and the Panthers will be in the
playoffs because of it. Book that that's the NFC finish
of the year. If you want to somehow find a
way to parlay that all together, that's that's how I.
Speaker 2: Think it's going to go to Greenland.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Marco's afraid of his Pittsburgh team. I'm not, you know,
bring Lamar Jackson back. Don't bring Lamar Jackson back. It's
been all kinds of distractions for this team. Pittsburgh, I
would argue, has the better defense at this point in
the year. Getting three and a half at home against Baltimore,
I think they win that game outright, Cleveland, I just
want to fade this Cleveland team. Sure get your sack record.
Cincinnati's playing for nothing, but they're playing for fun. Does
Joe Burrow want to come back or not? This could
be Joe Burrow's last game if he pulls a Andrew Luck,
So in his last game, he's going to be going
out there and flying. And I say last game, tongue
in cheek. Of course, seven and a half, we're not
afraid of it. That line's telling a story. And then
I'm even finally in the hook with New Orleans. I
think this Atlanta team, Dude, I don't have the numbers
in front of me, but do you understand that Atlanta
once they're eliminated, is like sixty five percent or something
like that. Straight up, Like, once they get eliminated, they
become the greatest team to ever play football.
Speaker 2: The best team football.
Speaker 4: It's insane. So I think the fact that there is
a hook out there is telling us with how many people,
how New Orleans on the back end of this year
has become a public play. The fact that a book
like Circus Sports is more than half he lay in
a hook That sounds like a margin win for me
for the Atlanta Falcons against the New Orleans Saints. So
that's my pick five. The great week of shows, brother,
it was.
Speaker 2: It was great. The power rankings in the NFL. It's
like Bills, Patriots, Rams, Falcons when they're eliminated. Those are
your top four.
Speaker 4: Powers, the four horsemen of the what the hell Apocalypse?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 2: Absolutely absolutely so. All right, guys, we're running late, but
thank you so much for joining us again. Please hit
the like button really helps the algorithm and again the
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Take twenty five percent off. We got our NBA props loaded.
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Two straight five percent winners in the NFL. Looking forward
to a big, big weekend. We've already cashed earlier today
in cricket. That's what you get. You get every single
play that we're playing, and all of our long term
all access clients are getting so Dan, thank you so much.
Let's have a big, big weekend Monday. We're gonna be
back through it all over again. Dan, make sure you
watch Stranger Things.
Speaker 4: Over the weekend, watching the finale Tonight, Andy watching the finale.
Speaker 2: Let's go it's yeah, it's two hour, two hour, ten
minutes locking in.
Speaker 4: I'm locking in, ordering pizza for pizza Friday, watching the
Stranger Things finale. That's the move.
Speaker 2: Love it, love it. Thanks so much, guys, good luck
on your bets. Let's have a big weekend and we'll
see everyone, same time, same place, Monday. Good luck and
take care