1
00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,480
Speaker 1: La, Welcome to Way Do You Talking today, the gold

2
00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:05,759
standard of sports Betty shows where we talked to talk

3
00:00:05,879 --> 00:00:10,519
and walk the Walk. Monday, New Week, New Opportunities. Of course,

4
00:00:10,599 --> 00:00:13,359
gonna start with Yanni and the Steam Report. Yanni and

5
00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:16,760
I both coming off a huge UFC card, so we'll

6
00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:18,920
talk about that. Crack Man, of course is gonna drop

7
00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:21,359
an NBA prop. We'll get some Monday night football thoughts

8
00:00:21,359 --> 00:00:24,000
in Steve Merrill. We put a lot on Steve Merrill's

9
00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,320
play today. This man is gonna break down Cowboys versus Raiders,

10
00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:30,359
Bucks versus Cavalier. And then we're going to college basketball

11
00:00:30,399 --> 00:00:32,520
to soth Oregon State and Oregon.

12
00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:34,159
Speaker 2: We got football, we got basketball.

13
00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:36,320
Speaker 1: We're gonna do some free plays. Let's kick off the

14
00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,439
week the right way. Thank you so much for joining us.

15
00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:39,799
Speaker 2: Hit the like button.

16
00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:46,719
Speaker 1: Let's bring in Yanni, Yanni, you and I President Vice president.

17
00:00:46,439 --> 00:00:47,960
Speaker 2: Of the Michael Morales Fan Club.

18
00:00:48,439 --> 00:00:52,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's something What is it about coming off of

19
00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:57,320
an awesome winning UFC Saturday, It just hits a little.

20
00:00:57,039 --> 00:00:59,479
Speaker 3: Different differently, Bro, You're still right here.

21
00:01:00,079 --> 00:01:00,600
Speaker 4: Good week.

22
00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:02,719
Speaker 3: Like I said, I tell you when I win, turn

23
00:01:02,799 --> 00:01:03,240
when I lose.

24
00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:05,079
Speaker 5: I lost in college football last week so I was

25
00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:07,840
excited about this week, and I ended up going fourteen

26
00:01:07,879 --> 00:01:10,719
and six, gave twenty bets with the weekday game. Saturday

27
00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:14,920
games went nice, profitable week, exactly what I expected. NFL

28
00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,359
same thing, went five and one on four percent plays,

29
00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:19,840
swept the Sunday night.

30
00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:20,560
Speaker 3: Side in total.

31
00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:23,439
Speaker 5: But I was more excited about what I did in MMA,

32
00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:27,000
like because that is what cost me this entire year.

33
00:01:27,439 --> 00:01:30,719
Speaker 3: I've had a losing MMA year and after.

34
00:01:30,719 --> 00:01:33,680
Speaker 5: Four or five straight winning years, like, it's cost me

35
00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,359
my profit almost for twenty twenty five. So I've been furious,

36
00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,280
like we were talking about before we went on air.

37
00:01:39,879 --> 00:01:43,359
But yeah, over the last couple events, got back to

38
00:01:43,439 --> 00:01:47,480
myself and feeling it and woke up this morning excited

39
00:01:48,239 --> 00:01:50,879
just because of that. You're absolutely right. Nothing bigger than

40
00:01:50,959 --> 00:01:52,120
crushing the MMA card.

41
00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,760
Speaker 2: It's it's MMA, and it's golf for me. My guys

42
00:01:55,959 --> 00:01:58,120
know me. If I have a winning golf week, it's

43
00:01:58,159 --> 00:01:58,719
a great week.

44
00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,519
Speaker 1: If I don't bad mood until we get to the

45
00:02:01,519 --> 00:02:05,640
next golf tournament. Yeap, All right, let's talk about Steamerport today.

46
00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:08,759
We've got NFL, we got some opening lines, I know,

47
00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:12,240
we got college basketball, we got NBA let's talk about

48
00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:13,479
this NFL game real quick.

49
00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:15,840
Speaker 2: Knock that out. Anything of note that we need to

50
00:02:15,879 --> 00:02:16,240
look at.

51
00:02:17,159 --> 00:02:23,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean listen, after yesterday's games, the Sunday night

52
00:02:23,159 --> 00:02:26,199
game was I thought it was gonna be so one sided.

53
00:02:26,319 --> 00:02:27,719
Speaker 3: It didn't end up being that way.

54
00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:29,919
Speaker 5: So I'm interested to see what kind of risk they

55
00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,560
have coming into this Monday night football game because we're

56
00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:33,639
not seeing line movement.

57
00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:35,360
Speaker 3: Here's what I meant, Dallas.

58
00:02:35,599 --> 00:02:37,479
Speaker 5: Look, I had opened it about minus three and a

59
00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:39,400
half with the over fifty and a half.

60
00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:41,599
Speaker 3: You could look on the board right now, there's still

61
00:02:41,599 --> 00:02:41,840
three and.

62
00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:43,639
Speaker 5: A half's out there, three and a half minus so

63
00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,319
five or three minus one fifteen the total fifty and

64
00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,719
a half or fifty, So not all that much movement.

65
00:02:51,479 --> 00:02:53,759
Speaker 3: Even though the book makers were.

66
00:02:53,599 --> 00:02:56,719
Speaker 5: Telling us at least, you know, leading into the weekend,

67
00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,800
that they thought they'd have a lot of exposure on

68
00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:03,120
the Dallas Cowboys, I just don't think that's the case

69
00:03:03,159 --> 00:03:03,560
so far.

70
00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:04,840
Speaker 3: And here's why.

71
00:03:05,479 --> 00:03:09,080
Speaker 5: Like Dallas, what's to be excited about Dallas? They have

72
00:03:09,159 --> 00:03:13,159
one win in their last four games. They're a team

73
00:03:13,199 --> 00:03:17,159
that's got what three wins in nine games this year?

74
00:03:17,479 --> 00:03:20,280
They're one in four on the road. They're playing on

75
00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:24,439
the road again tonight, the road favorites. So again, it's

76
00:03:24,479 --> 00:03:27,599
not a road team a favorite that you feel real

77
00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,439
confident about, even though on paper you think Dallas is

78
00:03:30,439 --> 00:03:33,919
the better team. It's not a matchup where you know,

79
00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:36,599
the one team so much more superior.

80
00:03:36,199 --> 00:03:36,759
Speaker 3: Than the other.

81
00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:39,840
Speaker 5: They have one more win, that's it. And I think

82
00:03:39,879 --> 00:03:42,719
that's where you're starting to see some of the even

83
00:03:42,759 --> 00:03:46,520
recreational betters today saying, wait, maybe there's some value in

84
00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:50,599
that live dog Vegas, because look over the last two games,

85
00:03:50,639 --> 00:03:52,960
sure they didn't win, but they didn't get blown out either.

86
00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:55,919
You know, they've lost their last two games by combined

87
00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:58,840
four points, or they could have very easily won either

88
00:03:58,879 --> 00:04:01,000
of those games. Other than the low out to Kansas

89
00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:05,039
City and Indianapolis, they've played tight, you know, over the

90
00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:08,280
last like two months. They're not getting blown out by margin.

91
00:04:08,759 --> 00:04:11,319
And I think you're starting to see some of that

92
00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:16,360
contrarian thinking, I'm going to fade the public and I'm

93
00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:19,000
going to be on the Raiders tonight, and I think

94
00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:20,600
the books are gonna end up with a lot more

95
00:04:20,639 --> 00:04:25,680
balance than they expected in this Monday night game. As

96
00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:29,160
far as the betting, syndicates. I haven't seen anything as

97
00:04:29,160 --> 00:04:31,839
far as this esteem. You know, like last night, we

98
00:04:31,879 --> 00:04:34,680
knew they were on Philadelphia, they were on the under

99
00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:38,399
and the public was opposite that, which helped give us

100
00:04:38,439 --> 00:04:40,519
even some more line value than we would have had.

101
00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:43,319
But so far today that's just not the case on

102
00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:46,319
Monday Night football. I haven't seen either in the accounts.

103
00:04:46,759 --> 00:04:49,920
But again it's still early. But with it sitting around

104
00:04:49,959 --> 00:04:51,839
that key number, you kind of think if they liked

105
00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:53,839
the Raiders, they probably would have snatched up the three

106
00:04:53,879 --> 00:04:56,680
and a half already. And if they liked the Cowboys,

107
00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:58,680
there's threes out there. They could lay the three if

108
00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:00,319
they wanted to. I could get you now, right now.

109
00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:02,879
I could get you Dallas minus three or Raiders plus

110
00:05:02,959 --> 00:05:04,759
three and a half. And I don't have anybody asking

111
00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:08,040
for either. I could get you over fifty or under

112
00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:12,279
fifty one even nobody's asking for either. So it'll be

113
00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:15,480
interesting to see if if that changes and if the

114
00:05:15,519 --> 00:05:19,720
public continues to play a little contrarian or is it

115
00:05:19,759 --> 00:05:23,439
going to just all be on the Dallas Cowboys, because again,

116
00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:27,160
the the not the sexiest favorite on the road.

117
00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,360
Speaker 2: Especially Yeah, this to me, this is one of those

118
00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:31,439
classic games. Listen.

119
00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:33,759
Speaker 1: I'm always gonna talk player props, but this is a

120
00:05:33,759 --> 00:05:36,519
player prop game. There's some really good player put there

121
00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:38,040
with a little bit more certainty.

122
00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,639
Speaker 2: So let's take a look at let's go to NBA.

123
00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:42,399
Speaker 1: You got anything in the NBA. I do see some

124
00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:44,000
pretty big line movements tonight.

125
00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:46,839
Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, And we have a couple couple of NBA

126
00:05:46,959 --> 00:05:48,720
games that got hit already.

127
00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:52,439
Speaker 3: Start off with five forty eight Detroit.

128
00:05:51,959 --> 00:05:55,680
Speaker 5: Pistons minus eight and a half and nine, then again

129
00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:58,360
they hit minus ten. You want to see that follow through.

130
00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:03,319
I saw the same thing with the Raptors game five

131
00:06:03,399 --> 00:06:07,319
to five four, and that's going opposite public for whatever reason.

132
00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:09,879
The tickets that I'm seeing so far, again it's early

133
00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:13,720
in the day, but seeing the public taking the Hornets

134
00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:18,360
public verse sharps on that one. And then finally five

135
00:06:18,519 --> 00:06:22,720
sixty the Denver Nuggets. This one's gotten away from us

136
00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:24,360
a little bit. I don't know if there's a player

137
00:06:24,399 --> 00:06:27,600
out because look ahead was like ten and a half.

138
00:06:27,639 --> 00:06:29,879
The Overnights got hitded eleven and a half, twelve and

139
00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,000
a half, then thirteen and a half again this morning,

140
00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:37,639
So check as far as injury or players sitting, those

141
00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,279
are some of the legit moves that I see some

142
00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:42,560
of the more one sided. Real quickly, I'm seeing the

143
00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:45,720
public heavy on the Miami Heat over the Knicks.

144
00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:48,639
Speaker 3: They're laying the seventeen.

145
00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:52,600
Speaker 5: With the Thunder, so like again, usually those games with

146
00:06:52,639 --> 00:06:54,720
that big of a spread don't get much volume, but

147
00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:57,439
that actually has the most tickets as of right now,

148
00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,959
there's more tickets on the Thunder than any other team

149
00:07:01,399 --> 00:07:04,120
with this book that I've access to. And then one

150
00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:06,959
game that's just over there's not a single under bet,

151
00:07:07,399 --> 00:07:11,560
and that is PACER's pistons, and that there, he's got

152
00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,519
nothing but over action there. So if you're seeing a

153
00:07:14,519 --> 00:07:17,680
slight move towards the over, it's probably public money related,

154
00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:20,199
not sharp money related, because I didn't see any over

155
00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:24,160
Pacers pistons in the accounts, and real quickly, that reminds

156
00:07:24,199 --> 00:07:26,199
me yesterday we were in the steam room and I

157
00:07:26,279 --> 00:07:30,040
told my subscribers what I'm seeing in this book. Okay,

158
00:07:30,079 --> 00:07:33,439
this kid, this guy has a solid book. Couple hundred players.

159
00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,879
They don't bet big like normal people. Thirty fifty hundred

160
00:07:36,879 --> 00:07:40,680
dollars probably average bets on the Minnesota versus Chicago Bears

161
00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:44,959
game yesterday, five minutes before kickoff, I told my subscribers

162
00:07:45,439 --> 00:07:47,480
if I was going to fade, if I'm a bet

163
00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:51,160
and just to fade the public, this is an automatic

164
00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,160
because here's what my guy has right now.

165
00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:56,439
Speaker 3: He had exactly six.

166
00:07:56,319 --> 00:08:02,560
Speaker 5: Thousand, four hundred and thirty dollars bet on Minnesota, and

167
00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:07,319
he had forty dollars, just one, forty dollars bet on Chicago.

168
00:08:07,959 --> 00:08:09,199
Speaker 3: So think about it.

169
00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:12,639
Speaker 5: For him took a mass over six grand worth of bets.

170
00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,199
That means everyone he had was betting thirty fifty hundred

171
00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:19,759
dollars on Minnesota and just one dude bet forty bucks

172
00:08:20,199 --> 00:08:24,839
on Chicago. And again I'm not saying fade the public,

173
00:08:24,959 --> 00:08:28,079
but there are some times you gotta pay attention to that.

174
00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:31,360
Speaker 3: And here's what stuck out. The line didn't move, Like

175
00:08:31,519 --> 00:08:33,679
why not go to three three and a half. If

176
00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:35,799
you're that had me on one side, why are you

177
00:08:35,879 --> 00:08:36,480
booking it?

178
00:08:36,799 --> 00:08:36,960
Speaker 4: Why?

179
00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:40,080
Speaker 5: Why are you okay with the risk. So something like

180
00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:43,080
that you gotta pay attention to when when you see

181
00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,799
all on one side like this with pacers pistons, it

182
00:08:47,799 --> 00:08:50,360
gets too early, that could change between now and later.

183
00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:53,039
But yeah, it's just funny when you because I know

184
00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:53,960
everybody likes like.

185
00:08:53,919 --> 00:08:55,639
Speaker 3: What do the books need? What do the books need?

186
00:08:55,879 --> 00:08:57,840
Speaker 5: Usually you don't need anything but people to bet you're

187
00:08:57,840 --> 00:09:01,159
getting eleven to ten. But sometimes you do see some

188
00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:03,320
needs and it's it's funny when it works out that way.

189
00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:09,559
Speaker 1: Putting that much money on JJ McCarthy is it's a choice. Yeah,

190
00:09:10,399 --> 00:09:17,080
good one, I'm gonna do it. Actually, a breakdown of

191
00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,120
that Denver and Chicago game. What happened was Chicago played

192
00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:22,399
last night and it went to double overtime, so their

193
00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,080
starters played a bazillion minutes. They had three starters that

194
00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:28,279
played forty plus, including their center, and now he gets

195
00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:31,480
to try and go up against Nicola jokicch after playing

196
00:09:31,879 --> 00:09:34,879
all forty one minutes. So that's that's where this massive

197
00:09:34,919 --> 00:09:38,320
line movie. It probably happened after that double overtime last

198
00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:40,879
and they're on the road, like both games are on

199
00:09:40,919 --> 00:09:44,200
the road, so it's just a brutal, brutal spot. As

200
00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:47,000
far as the Thunder and the Pelicans, Zion has been

201
00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:51,120
upgraded from out to questionable. And I know this is

202
00:09:51,159 --> 00:09:53,879
going to sound crazy. I think they might be worse

203
00:09:53,919 --> 00:09:56,519
off with him playing tonight, coming back.

204
00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:59,240
Speaker 2: From a string he's got. He's not healthy.

205
00:09:59,639 --> 00:10:02,720
Speaker 1: Jordan Pool is sitting out, and now you're gonna bring

206
00:10:02,799 --> 00:10:04,799
them back against the best team in the NBA.

207
00:10:05,399 --> 00:10:09,519
Speaker 2: This this spell's disaster. Imagine. That's kind of what's what

208
00:10:09,679 --> 00:10:12,159
some of the people are looking at.

209
00:10:12,159 --> 00:10:14,200
Speaker 3: So we'll see Mark the answer Mark's question.

210
00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:16,799
Speaker 5: We start firing early in the week, brother, like we

211
00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:18,759
may fire tonight tomorrow at the latest.

212
00:10:18,799 --> 00:10:21,159
Speaker 3: I start firing. NFL and college football.

213
00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:24,240
Speaker 5: You try to get out ahead of these lines, line movements,

214
00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:28,120
you know, especially in college sports where you get a

215
00:10:28,159 --> 00:10:32,159
lot more significant movements. NFL not as critical except for totals,

216
00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:33,799
but college football.

217
00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:34,759
Speaker 3: You can't wait till Saturday.

218
00:10:34,759 --> 00:10:37,399
Speaker 5: If you're putting all your bets on Saturday, it's gonna

219
00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:39,200
be tough to find a lot of good, good bets

220
00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:39,600
to place.

221
00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:44,559
Speaker 2: Let's see, are there any opening lines.

222
00:10:44,279 --> 00:10:47,759
Speaker 1: That you got that you're yeah, yeah, A couple of NFL.

223
00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:51,879
Speaker 5: Yeah, a couple of NFL that got hit immediately, New

224
00:10:51,919 --> 00:10:54,159
England Patriots. And I'm not sure if it's a bet

225
00:10:54,279 --> 00:10:56,879
on New England or a fade of Cincinnati. It's probably

226
00:10:56,919 --> 00:11:00,519
a little bit of both. The wheels are coming off

227
00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:02,759
on Cincinnati. I mean, the look ahead was four and

228
00:11:02,799 --> 00:11:06,159
a half. They bumped it up the five during yesterday's

229
00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:08,720
games that got hit. The five and a half, they

230
00:11:08,759 --> 00:11:10,600
brought it out six and a half got hit and

231
00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:13,639
now seven. That's why you're looking at sevens across the

232
00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:18,320
board like they're blasting that Jacksonville. Jacksonville which also looked good.

233
00:11:18,519 --> 00:11:21,879
We were on Jville yesterday. Even bet gave a four

234
00:11:21,919 --> 00:11:24,799
percent on Jacksonville and instead of upgrading them to a

235
00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:27,080
five percent, I just threw out a one percent added

236
00:11:27,159 --> 00:11:29,279
on the money line and they came through for us.

237
00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:31,519
Speaker 3: They got hit again. It's not up to that key

238
00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:32,200
number of three.

239
00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:34,399
Speaker 5: But the look ahead was one and you're now looking

240
00:11:34,399 --> 00:11:37,320
at two and a half juice, which means three is coming.

241
00:11:37,639 --> 00:11:41,840
And this one Indianapolis and Kansas City. What a big,

242
00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:46,120
big game in Kansas City. Four and a half was

243
00:11:46,159 --> 00:11:50,000
the look ahead. Okay, they brought out minus four not

244
00:11:50,159 --> 00:11:52,519
high enough, three and a half not I mean too

245
00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:56,480
high down to three. So a lot of love early

246
00:11:56,559 --> 00:12:00,519
from the sharps on the Indianapolis Colts over Kansas City

247
00:12:01,519 --> 00:12:05,320
and then that Philadelphia, and it'll be interesting based on

248
00:12:05,360 --> 00:12:08,879
what Dallas does. But here's what's wild Philadelphia. The look

249
00:12:08,879 --> 00:12:12,159
ahead was minus six. Philly gets it done. Beats who

250
00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:15,919
I had is the best power rated team. Detroit does

251
00:12:15,919 --> 00:12:19,799
it on primetime television, and the lookout was five and a.

252
00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:21,720
Speaker 3: Half and we're now looking at four and a half.

253
00:12:21,759 --> 00:12:22,960
That almost never happens.

254
00:12:23,159 --> 00:12:25,320
Speaker 5: Now, I got to look into the injury report and

255
00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:28,840
see did fourteen you know starters get destroyed yesterday or

256
00:12:29,039 --> 00:12:31,879
or you know, just some players, key players get hurt

257
00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:35,440
or something. I'm not sure, but that just is a rarity.

258
00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:38,080
That's why I'm glad you said let's talk NFL real quickly.

259
00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:40,639
Some of these look aheads that got hit because you

260
00:12:40,679 --> 00:12:44,200
would usually see the opposite happen, like what happens today.

261
00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:46,759
If Dallas looks like if Dallas loses to the Raiders,

262
00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:48,720
that line's got to move back up right.

263
00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,720
Speaker 3: Philly beats Detroit, Dallas loses the Raiders.

264
00:12:51,960 --> 00:12:54,039
Speaker 5: But then if Dallas goes out there and looks great,

265
00:12:54,639 --> 00:12:56,279
this line makes sense. So I don't know, is this

266
00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:59,879
anticipation of Dallas going out there and looking great to night,

267
00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:03,559
because you almost never see that. Philly got the job done,

268
00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:07,159
they covered, they beat Detroit on TV and they're discounted

269
00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:07,720
this morning.

270
00:13:07,799 --> 00:13:09,639
Speaker 3: Yeah, that that sticks out a lot.

271
00:13:10,919 --> 00:13:12,840
Speaker 2: Anything in hockey tonight. No, we've got a good slate

272
00:13:12,879 --> 00:13:13,320
of hockey.

273
00:13:13,519 --> 00:13:15,879
Speaker 1: I've been not really paying attention to any money lines,

274
00:13:15,919 --> 00:13:16,960
just focusing.

275
00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:17,240
Speaker 3: On I know, I know.

276
00:13:17,360 --> 00:13:19,720
Speaker 5: Let me tell you where I see action real quickly.

277
00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:22,799
I haven't seen any we haven't bet anything in the accounts.

278
00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:24,759
But here's what sticks out a lot.

279
00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:26,279
Speaker 3: Where was that?

280
00:13:27,159 --> 00:13:29,120
Speaker 5: Obviously they're gonna bet that fit. Oh the dog, the

281
00:13:29,159 --> 00:13:33,000
one dog, La, La, La La. They're betting La, and

282
00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:35,200
this in hockey has done really well. When I see

283
00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:40,279
the recreational accounts on the dog, it never turns not never,

284
00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:43,759
it doesn't turn out well very much in hockey. When

285
00:13:43,759 --> 00:13:47,240
they're loving these dogs, and that one really sticks out.

286
00:13:47,279 --> 00:13:50,720
They are liking La a lot. And then they're liking

287
00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:54,559
Anaheim also, and the Utah line's moving up, so you're

288
00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:57,360
seeing one of those reverse line movement situations.

289
00:13:57,720 --> 00:14:00,679
Speaker 3: I got to look into that tour. So La and

290
00:14:00,799 --> 00:14:04,159
Anaheim the two heaviest bet and both of those look

291
00:14:04,279 --> 00:14:06,559
like dogs. Like I said, long term, that has not

292
00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,279
been a recipe for success in NHL.

293
00:14:10,159 --> 00:14:12,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, Anaheim has been the darling of the start to

294
00:14:12,759 --> 00:14:17,080
the NHL season, just completely outperforming. I'm not surprised public

295
00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:19,840
has tried to jump on on Anaheim and catch a

296
00:14:19,919 --> 00:14:21,000
falling knife knife.

297
00:14:21,159 --> 00:14:23,639
Speaker 2: So do you have anything in college basketball?

298
00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:25,600
Speaker 5: Before we let you go, I'll give you a couple

299
00:14:25,639 --> 00:14:26,799
of college basketball moves.

300
00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:27,879
Speaker 3: I just bet this morning.

301
00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:31,399
Speaker 5: College of Charleston eight oh four minus six and six

302
00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,639
and a half eight eleven, Tulsa from plus thirteen down

303
00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:36,320
the plus eleven.

304
00:14:37,559 --> 00:14:40,120
Speaker 3: Eight sixty two or eighty two, the NC.

305
00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:42,000
Speaker 5: State minus ten and a half and eleven, so that

306
00:14:42,159 --> 00:14:44,120
NC State minus ten and a half eleven, and then

307
00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:47,200
finally eight twenty two you see Santa Barbara minus two

308
00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,080
and two and a half. So that's College of Charleston, Tulsa,

309
00:14:50,519 --> 00:14:54,320
NC State, and Santa Barbara. All legit moves already hit.

310
00:14:55,799 --> 00:14:57,639
Speaker 2: All right, it's great Monday. What do you have up

311
00:14:57,679 --> 00:14:58,200
for every days?

312
00:14:58,399 --> 00:14:58,960
Speaker 4: Yes it is.

313
00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:02,200
Speaker 3: Uh package is going up in the next thirty minutes.

314
00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,639
Speaker 5: Confirmed it right before I got on I think now

315
00:15:05,759 --> 00:15:08,960
fourteen and four on Sunday night, Monday night football games

316
00:15:09,039 --> 00:15:10,639
dating back a couple months.

317
00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:12,279
Speaker 3: I like this game.

318
00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,159
Speaker 5: Got the confirmation that play will be up in thirty minutes.

319
00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:18,120
Then we'll prepare for this week's college football and NFL.

320
00:15:18,799 --> 00:15:22,320
But also you'll have college basketball tonight NBA. If I'm

321
00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,559
able to confirm with college basketball for sure, and yeah,

322
00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,720
big week ahead, man, great, great way to end the

323
00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,240
month and end the year with all the Bowl games

324
00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:34,200
coming up, just a good time to get involved.

325
00:15:34,279 --> 00:15:35,639
Speaker 3: So best of luck to everyone.

326
00:15:36,759 --> 00:15:38,519
Speaker 2: All Right, Yanni and the Greek, thank you so much

327
00:15:38,559 --> 00:15:43,120
for joining us. Let's get the week started off right. Yeah,

328
00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:43,799
we just missed it.

329
00:15:43,919 --> 00:15:46,799
Speaker 1: So what Yannie was saying is we don't have anything confirmed.

330
00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:50,480
So when he doesn't get confirmation, it's not going to

331
00:15:50,519 --> 00:15:53,559
be an official bet from the syndicates that he works on.

332
00:15:53,679 --> 00:15:58,399
And it's particularly dangerous to look at money and bets

333
00:15:58,559 --> 00:16:01,960
and actually on the totals because you have no idea

334
00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:04,919
if somebody's manipulating the line or what you see that

335
00:16:04,919 --> 00:16:07,440
happening in MMA all the time. You see a line

336
00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,000
move and you say, oh man, everyone must like this guy,

337
00:16:10,039 --> 00:16:11,639
and then all of a sudden it's flying the other

338
00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:14,399
way on the day of So just be careful about

339
00:16:14,399 --> 00:16:16,559
looking at a percentage of money and bets on the over.

340
00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:20,519
Speaker 2: In certain games. So let's do it all around the world.

341
00:16:20,679 --> 00:16:21,879
Let's do some free plays.

342
00:16:23,559 --> 00:16:26,240
Speaker 1: Let's get us started here with the game tonight. Pretty

343
00:16:26,279 --> 00:16:28,200
good prop here CD lamb over twenty six and a

344
00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,679
half on his longest catch. He's gone over in every

345
00:16:30,799 --> 00:16:33,679
game except the Chicago game where he got hurt, and

346
00:16:33,759 --> 00:16:36,039
the Raiders have given up at least one pass per

347
00:16:36,200 --> 00:16:38,720
play over this total in every game.

348
00:16:39,159 --> 00:16:40,039
Speaker 2: Except the Titans.

349
00:16:40,879 --> 00:16:42,519
Speaker 1: I feel like the Titans are one of those teams

350
00:16:42,519 --> 00:16:45,240
where that's just gonna apply every single like every week,

351
00:16:45,279 --> 00:16:47,600
it's gonna be like, oh, this team to accept the Titans,

352
00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,320
We'll go to the NBA Sarah Merrill over ten and

353
00:16:51,399 --> 00:16:53,720
a half points. I'm not really sure about this ten

354
00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:55,600
and a half number. They've been putting him out at

355
00:16:55,639 --> 00:16:57,600
eleven and a half, and we get a lower line here.

356
00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:02,159
Garland is out and Sam Merril's gone over in six

357
00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:04,240
out of eight games with Garland out of the lineup.

358
00:17:04,599 --> 00:17:06,680
Speaker 2: He has played Milwaukee earlier this year with.

359
00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:09,519
Speaker 1: A similar lineup, he had seventeen and Milwaukee gives up

360
00:17:09,559 --> 00:17:12,160
twenty six point four points to shooting guards. And then

361
00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:14,000
we'll go to the seventy six ers and the Clippers.

362
00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,920
Andre Drummond over eleven and a half points. Last four

363
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:23,039
games without Embiid in the lineup, he's averaging over thirteen points. Clippers,

364
00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:27,160
they allowed twenty five point nine points to centers. It

365
00:17:27,279 --> 00:17:31,759
is absolutely insane. How bad Zubach has been on defense.

366
00:17:31,839 --> 00:17:34,519
What Jokics did to him the other night was was

367
00:17:34,599 --> 00:17:37,640
not fair. So those are your free plays here. I

368
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:40,960
would also like to sit here and say that me

369
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,920
not making all of us enough money off of the

370
00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:48,680
Michael Wilson receiving prop and Dakas to win by finish

371
00:17:49,039 --> 00:17:53,200
is actually I should actually be arrested. Me not making

372
00:17:53,279 --> 00:17:55,240
everyone enough money is actually worthy to be put on

373
00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:57,880
trial in front of a jury of my peers because

374
00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:02,119
those were so automatic and such easy cashes, and I

375
00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:04,160
did not do my job, and I am kicking myself.

376
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:05,759
You know, you're never gonna be mad at yourself for

377
00:18:05,799 --> 00:18:09,119
a win, but when you don't win enough just irks

378
00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:12,680
irks you. Let's bring in Bill see if he has

379
00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:13,559
that same feeling.

380
00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:14,640
Speaker 2: Bill.

381
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:18,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, but you're just one of those plays where you're like,

382
00:18:18,319 --> 00:18:20,240
I didn't make enough on that play.

383
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:22,440
Speaker 2: I was talking about Michael Wilson over.

384
00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:24,640
Speaker 1: I sat here and I was like forty six and

385
00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,319
a half yards over on Michael Wilson. This line is

386
00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:29,079
completely wrong. I think you had like one hundred and

387
00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,839
fifty plus. So I'm sitting here with the winning ticket,

388
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:33,359
and yet I'm yet I'm upset.

389
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:34,000
Speaker 2: Ever happened to you?

390
00:18:36,079 --> 00:18:38,880
Speaker 6: Yeah, sure of course you could be a Monday Morning

391
00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:40,640
quarterback and a lot of things and saying should have

392
00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:42,920
bet more, or should have bet this, should have bet that.

393
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:46,039
Speaker 4: But I kind of don't really feel that way because

394
00:18:46,599 --> 00:18:47,640
I bet a lot.

395
00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:48,039
Speaker 2: I try.

396
00:18:48,079 --> 00:18:50,319
Speaker 6: I try to bet max bets here in Vegas on props.

397
00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:54,000
It's pretty tough though, because you only have certain places.

398
00:18:54,079 --> 00:18:56,880
I'm not in jurisdictions where you have the Draft Kings,

399
00:18:56,960 --> 00:19:01,400
Fandel the maybe the other sports books of the world

400
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,440
that people have, very lucky to have those, but a

401
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,880
lot of props we have bet MGM here.

402
00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:10,880
Speaker 4: Seizers. I'm not allowed to play. I got thrown out

403
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:14,039
for winning, but it doesn't matter. They can't keep me

404
00:19:14,079 --> 00:19:14,440
out of there.

405
00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:16,319
Speaker 6: To be honest with you, it's so stupid for people

406
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:19,599
out and I easily can get back in through someone else.

407
00:19:19,839 --> 00:19:22,240
But anyway, so, yeah, we know how the options that

408
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:25,640
most of the country has as far as props, so

409
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:26,720
Westgate Circa.

410
00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:29,880
Speaker 4: You know, they take a dime each. You're very good

411
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,319
to me, but so.

412
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:33,200
Speaker 6: I'm usually getting down the most I can get when

413
00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:35,960
it comes to props. I'm betting max max amount of

414
00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:37,960
money so I don't have that problem. I said I

415
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,680
should have bet more. I only say I wish I

416
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:41,319
could bet more.

417
00:19:41,759 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 4: So yeah, but no.

418
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,640
Speaker 6: Props are a big part of my fourth This is

419
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:52,519
what I do again, another winning week wager talk my

420
00:19:52,839 --> 00:19:54,359
assistant here. I knew we won, I just didn't know

421
00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:57,000
what He's just sent me over plus thirteen point four

422
00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:01,160
units for the week. You know, there's some of these, uh,

423
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:03,640
some of these guys out there on social media that

424
00:20:03,759 --> 00:20:05,160
want to rip.

425
00:20:05,039 --> 00:20:07,279
Speaker 4: Everybody and then and and they don't even know how to.

426
00:20:07,839 --> 00:20:10,039
Speaker 6: They don't even realize that we're betting, you know, three

427
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:13,240
or four times more on something a prop than a

428
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,759
side and they just want to say, oh, they put

429
00:20:15,759 --> 00:20:17,319
everything together and go after you.

430
00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:19,279
Speaker 4: Of course they're under anonymity.

431
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:21,160
Speaker 6: They never want to come and talk to me in person,

432
00:20:21,319 --> 00:20:23,720
or talk to anybody in person, because that's their job.

433
00:20:23,839 --> 00:20:25,480
Their job is to be under around in them because

434
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,119
they wish they were winning betters themselves.

435
00:20:27,319 --> 00:20:30,079
Speaker 4: They're unhappy with their lives. There's so many misplaced rage.

436
00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:32,240
It happens. I get it, I get it.

437
00:20:32,559 --> 00:20:36,759
Speaker 6: People are upset. Holiday time coming. People, uh get to

438
00:20:36,839 --> 00:20:40,079
get down and depressed and upset and and and decide

439
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:42,759
to go to Twitter and andwhere else to you know,

440
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,160
take it out on people. But it happens though too.

441
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:47,119
I'm not a holiday I'll be honest with you. Since

442
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,440
my mother died, my parents, it's just not the same.

443
00:20:50,519 --> 00:20:53,440
We never knew that it was the glue that held

444
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:57,160
everyone together. We thought things were going to last forever, Andy,

445
00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,039
We thought things were going to be the same forever.

446
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:01,880
Speaker 4: We never knew that things were going to change. That's

447
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:03,480
the way it was gonna be the day, end of

448
00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:05,640
the time. But things change, and I do.

449
00:21:06,039 --> 00:21:10,759
Speaker 6: I do feel for people also, but not not for

450
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:12,880
the people that I want to post on their animity,

451
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:14,680
but I feel for people in general.

452
00:21:15,079 --> 00:21:17,079
Speaker 4: Holiday time it's not not the best time for a

453
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:17,519
lot of people.

454
00:21:17,559 --> 00:21:20,880
Speaker 6: We bring so much stress on ourselves too, you know,

455
00:21:21,039 --> 00:21:24,440
preparing things, getting things ready and being that that that

456
00:21:24,599 --> 00:21:26,119
glue that holds the family together.

457
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:27,640
Speaker 4: I realize how much stress. You know.

458
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,440
Speaker 6: My od an old fashioned Italian mom, she you know,

459
00:21:31,079 --> 00:21:34,079
had to make sure everything was absolutely perfect, and she

460
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:36,599
terrorized my father, terrorized everybody.

461
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 4: And I say terrorized, that's not the right word. She

462
00:21:40,079 --> 00:21:41,400
just wanted to make sure things were right.

463
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 6: So anyway, holiday time coming up, I stay in town

464
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:49,960
here in Vegas, I am stepping out for a charity

465
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:51,039
event for a couple of days.

466
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:54,559
Speaker 4: But as far as that goes, I really don't.

467
00:21:54,599 --> 00:21:56,400
Speaker 6: I used to travel all the time when Jersey was

468
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:58,599
taking my bets, when I was able to go into

469
00:21:58,599 --> 00:22:01,960
Atlantic City, and I had so many different places along

470
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,839
that boardwalk in Atlantic City to bed on. Right at

471
00:22:04,839 --> 00:22:07,200
the beginning when when Pastor was repealed, for those first

472
00:22:07,279 --> 00:22:09,519
two three years, that was great. I went there for

473
00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,480
three months out of the year. I haven't been back

474
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,680
in a year. That's unbelievable. I went for three runs

475
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,039
even four months out of the years. But my summer's

476
00:22:18,039 --> 00:22:22,559
in Jersey. Different timing now different, we're in different times

477
00:22:22,599 --> 00:22:27,359
we're in. I was just interviewed by Chicago newspaper. Uh.

478
00:22:27,519 --> 00:22:30,880
He asked me about the reversal, the reversal paps, So

479
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,640
what did I feel. He was shocked at my answers

480
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:37,680
that I probably wish it wasn't done. I was gonna

481
00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:39,799
be so happy and we were gonna make some and

482
00:22:39,839 --> 00:22:40,720
I did make a lot of money.

483
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:41,160
Speaker 4: In the beginning.

484
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 6: Bonuses were ridiculous, sign up bonuses, lots of opportunities when

485
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,359
the sports books actually took winners and used the information.

486
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:52,759
But now you know, everyone throws you out. All those

487
00:22:52,839 --> 00:22:56,839
new sports books kind of limit you or I throw

488
00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:01,640
you out. So it's upsetting to someone like myself because

489
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,480
I thought it was gonna be great, But now thinking

490
00:23:04,519 --> 00:23:07,440
about it, I have that responsible gambling aspect to me,

491
00:23:08,039 --> 00:23:10,720
And let me tell you, it's hurting a lot of people.

492
00:23:10,759 --> 00:23:13,519
There's a lot of closet gambling going on, especially in

493
00:23:13,599 --> 00:23:16,279
the seven states that allow online casino games.

494
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:18,599
Speaker 4: People are playing blackjack.

495
00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:21,920
Speaker 6: And slot machines, and you know, the kids go to

496
00:23:22,039 --> 00:23:25,920
bed and the husband's firing on basketball or football in

497
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:26,440
the other room.

498
00:23:26,799 --> 00:23:28,799
Speaker 4: What's the wife's doing. She's going to the bedroom under

499
00:23:28,839 --> 00:23:30,079
the covers playing slots.

500
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:34,359
Speaker 6: There's a lot of closet really oh yeah, oh yeah,

501
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:39,559
oh yeah, yeah No. It really bothers me that this

502
00:23:39,759 --> 00:23:42,759
is going on and not being dealt with, not being

503
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:45,519
talked about with a lot of places, because listen, I

504
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,400
know the human I know the human makeup to what

505
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:49,160
we're made up of.

506
00:23:49,519 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 4: I know what happened.

507
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 6: So when you throw that little gambling in this mix,

508
00:23:53,759 --> 00:23:55,839
imagine growing up where I did, New York, New Jersey,

509
00:23:55,920 --> 00:24:01,400
we had so many vices, drinking drugs, women lottery casinos.

510
00:24:02,079 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, now you want Now you want to give them

511
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:08,519
online blackjack. Now you want to give them online slot machines.

512
00:24:08,759 --> 00:24:09,440
Let me just tell you.

513
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 6: The interview I gave out, I'm gonna retweet it. I

514
00:24:14,079 --> 00:24:16,720
was very very blunt and very very frank about things.

515
00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,720
You know, it hurt us here in Nevada. That's right,

516
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,319
it hurt us here in Nevada being an advantaged sports better.

517
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,000
These new companies come into the country and the lines

518
00:24:26,039 --> 00:24:29,480
being so much wider, and you know, the money lines.

519
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:31,799
So now the typical money line I'm used to is

520
00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:34,720
minus one forty come back a dollar twenty here in Vegas,

521
00:24:35,319 --> 00:24:38,480
and these new companies were minus a dollar forty come

522
00:24:38,559 --> 00:24:43,799
back even It's crazy. Why because all these new areas,

523
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:47,400
of these new jurisdictions, the new genre, the kids that

524
00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:49,440
are are eighteen, nineteen, twenty twenty one.

525
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:51,680
Speaker 4: Oh I can do this. I watch ESPN. They're just

526
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,519
used to. Oh that's the way it is, Okay. I

527
00:24:54,599 --> 00:24:56,119
didn't know any better. They never been to Vegas.

528
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,759
Speaker 6: They didn't never knew about gambling, the odds, the real odds.

529
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:00,839
I can go off on TANGI until you see people.

530
00:25:01,039 --> 00:25:06,079
Speaker 1: Sorry, it's no it's fine, let's uh, it's a story

531
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,480
for another day. I've I've heard ads. I'm not even

532
00:25:08,519 --> 00:25:10,680
gonna mention the casino, and I'm just like, how is

533
00:25:10,759 --> 00:25:14,160
this legal? It's got like celebrities endorsing it, and celebrities

534
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:17,720
are the investors that I actually can't really believe. I

535
00:25:17,799 --> 00:25:21,200
can't believe that that's allowed. But whatever, let's talk NBA.

536
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:24,359
Let's let's let's talk and give me a profit tonight.

537
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:26,680
We got a lot of good games to choose from,

538
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:27,440
a kind of props.

539
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,559
Speaker 6: Look said something that didn't finish it though? How it

540
00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:33,400
hurt us in Vegas here? Well, the sportsbooks here in

541
00:25:33,519 --> 00:25:36,359
town said, well, hey, those companies are charging a dollar

542
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,039
thirty five dollars fifty for teachers.

543
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:39,079
Speaker 4: Let's let us do that.

544
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 6: We used to have dollar twenty dollars teasers here and

545
00:25:42,839 --> 00:25:44,599
now the money lines are even wider.

546
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:48,480
Speaker 4: I don't have one ten cent baseball shop. Why Why?

547
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:52,799
Speaker 6: Because of the new companies that are in the other jurisdictions,

548
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:54,240
they're getting away with it.

549
00:25:54,319 --> 00:25:56,839
Speaker 4: They're making a ton of money. Vegas has decided, oh,

550
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,119
let's do the same thing. Give them no choice.

551
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,279
Speaker 6: They gotta lay at dollar thirty and come back a

552
00:26:01,319 --> 00:26:03,599
dollar thirty and a dollar ten.

553
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:04,759
Speaker 4: That's just the way it is.

554
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,279
Speaker 6: Well, there is a there is a way. Don't even

555
00:26:07,319 --> 00:26:09,400
do it anymore, don't even bed it. I mean, find

556
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:13,599
find a local guy, all right now, NBA prop. I

557
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,759
have an NBA prop tonight, Andre Drummond. Let me make

558
00:26:16,759 --> 00:26:20,079
sure I hate think about a bad line, thank god. Okay,

559
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:21,079
under twelve and a half good?

560
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:21,519
Speaker 4: All right?

561
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:24,599
Speaker 6: Under under twelve and a half rebounds minus a dollar

562
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,359
fifteen minus the dollars twenty is fine. I have two

563
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,799
different lines in front of me. So he's been averaging

564
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,079
ten and a half points without him b but tonight

565
00:26:34,519 --> 00:26:37,440
he's in a tough matchup with the Clippers here second

566
00:26:37,559 --> 00:26:42,640
lowest pace in the league. The backup center of Barlow

567
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:45,319
is back to the six Ers tonight. Drumming has a

568
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:50,079
chance to get in some foul trouble here Clippers. He's

569
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,000
up against Zoo back tonight. So I think there, you know,

570
00:26:53,079 --> 00:26:55,880
hopefully it gets some Like I said, you can get

571
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:56,799
in some foul trouble.

572
00:26:57,680 --> 00:26:59,359
Speaker 4: It draws a lot of fouls in the paint.

573
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:03,880
Speaker 6: Under twelve and a half minus twenty and minus fifteen,

574
00:27:04,039 --> 00:27:06,480
two different sites I'm looking at. So there's a prop

575
00:27:06,559 --> 00:27:11,480
for tonight. Having good weeks here Waiger talk like I said,

576
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,319
if people know how to grade it properly, and if

577
00:27:14,319 --> 00:27:16,480
you're betting more on the props like you're supposed to,

578
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:18,880
and betting more on certain things like you're supposed to.

579
00:27:19,319 --> 00:27:22,359
Plus thirteen point four units last thirteen point four units

580
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:27,720
last week and again props overall thirteen and ten. College

581
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:31,480
football is really good last week seven and one, but

582
00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:35,680
overall in general. Yeah, that's why you have to be

583
00:27:36,319 --> 00:27:38,559
an android and everything. You have to play everything. You

584
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:40,640
have to have outs, which I'm sure you do. If

585
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:43,839
you have DraftKings, Vandel, Caesars, Bet MGM.

586
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:44,559
Speaker 4: I can go on and on.

587
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:48,559
Speaker 6: They have player props on positions, and we give out

588
00:27:48,559 --> 00:27:51,440
obtainable lines. I can pad my record and have a

589
00:27:51,519 --> 00:27:54,119
much better record if I give out a line like

590
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:56,839
some people do they send out I see these text

591
00:27:56,880 --> 00:28:01,079
measures they send out. Drummond under twelve and a half

592
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,480
at hard rock. But if you don't have hard rock,

593
00:28:04,519 --> 00:28:07,000
how can you grade on hard rock? You have to

594
00:28:07,079 --> 00:28:08,319
grade in an abtainable line.

595
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,400
Speaker 4: I don't do that. I'm giving you enoughtainable line the

596
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:10,880
way it works.

597
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 1: Any thoughts on Monday Night football. I love props in

598
00:28:16,039 --> 00:28:18,039
this game tonight. I think this is a This is

599
00:28:18,079 --> 00:28:20,480
the exact opposite of last night. Last night was under

600
00:28:20,519 --> 00:28:22,480
his glore. I think tonight could be over his glore.

601
00:28:23,599 --> 00:28:27,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I don't have anything yet, but I'm sure

602
00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:27,720
I will.

603
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 3: I'll have a prop up.

604
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:31,480
Speaker 6: And it's just you know, it's Monday night football. It's

605
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,759
a very efficient line. It's been up there all week

606
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:35,839
unless you're living in Vegas.

607
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,759
Speaker 4: Let make me blunts. Unless you're living in Vegas.

608
00:28:38,599 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 6: Or jurisdiction, and it has If you find your weak

609
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:45,480
sports books, I say week, you're slower moving sports books.

610
00:28:45,599 --> 00:28:46,279
Speaker 4: Like last night.

611
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:50,119
Speaker 6: The win here in town was begging you to take

612
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,000
the Eagles. They had someone come in from the casino,

613
00:28:53,519 --> 00:28:55,119
come in and bet a lot of money on Detroit.

614
00:28:55,279 --> 00:28:57,680
Therefore they have to have I mean it was a scalp.

615
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,319
It was an absolute scalp. They had mine two and

616
00:29:00,359 --> 00:29:02,480
a half even you could have took plus two and

617
00:29:02,519 --> 00:29:03,880
a half plus five.

618
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,039
Speaker 4: It was a scout. The money line was minus one thirty.

619
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,279
Speaker 6: There was not even one money line anywhere minus you

620
00:29:10,319 --> 00:29:11,640
can minus one forty.

621
00:29:12,559 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 4: It was minus one thirty then minus one thirty.

622
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 6: Five, begging for So that's good if you come to town,

623
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:19,319
you want to make sure you check the lines out

624
00:29:19,359 --> 00:29:23,039
of the wind stations and the coast properties.

625
00:29:23,039 --> 00:29:25,079
Speaker 4: You want to make well. I want to throw the

626
00:29:25,079 --> 00:29:25,519
coasts in there.

627
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 6: They have the fan duel line, which is I think

628
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,359
fandels are pretty they have sharping up since they came

629
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:32,519
to the country here, So you want to make sure

630
00:29:32,559 --> 00:29:36,519
you have those two places. Though, it's very important to

631
00:29:36,599 --> 00:29:39,079
have the local pasina. I think, like I said, stations

632
00:29:39,119 --> 00:29:43,119
and when pretty slow moving and sometimes dependent on the

633
00:29:43,559 --> 00:29:45,160
what action they get based.

634
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:49,200
Speaker 4: On the casinos there. So that's about it and look

635
00:29:49,319 --> 00:29:51,079
forward to seeing you guys next week.

636
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 6: Have a good week here with what we have up

637
00:29:53,079 --> 00:29:55,960
over on wager talk, like I always say, guys should

638
00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:58,359
lock me up. Lock me up throughout the super Bowl.

639
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:00,720
Lock me up for a three month. You got all

640
00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:04,039
the props you get all the week. The college basketball

641
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:08,640
now starting a roll, and props on NBA. You know,

642
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:10,440
of course, you can go on a thirty nine dollars

643
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:13,759
program or something where you know, any one day anyone

644
00:30:13,799 --> 00:30:16,599
could do anything. So I would say minimum a week,

645
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:19,079
see how it goes, see how I do like I

646
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:20,960
just said, plus thirteen point four. If you would have

647
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:22,680
listened to me last week when I said it plus

648
00:30:22,759 --> 00:30:26,400
thirteen point four units just based on the bank roll.

649
00:30:26,599 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 4: That's important too.

650
00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:29,759
Speaker 6: You can't go off half cocked and put something on

651
00:30:29,839 --> 00:30:31,640
a Sunday in that game or a Monday in that

652
00:30:31,759 --> 00:30:33,920
game and go crazy just because you lost. Now, you

653
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:36,039
wouldn't have lost, followed me for the week, but maybe

654
00:30:36,039 --> 00:30:36,559
you lose.

655
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:37,799
Speaker 4: On your own stuff. I never forget.

656
00:30:38,119 --> 00:30:42,440
Speaker 6: I went thirty six and eight one month in college basketball,

657
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,200
and I lost three clients. I told my assistant, I

658
00:30:45,279 --> 00:30:47,880
want all three of their emails. I asked all three

659
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:50,440
what happened? How can you quit now? Now that I

660
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:51,799
usually I never do that.

661
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:53,720
Speaker 4: It's just one of the other reasons. Sure enough.

662
00:30:53,759 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 6: The reasons are they put everything in parlays, total sucker bets.

663
00:30:57,559 --> 00:30:59,640
They so they don't realize how much what they're doing

664
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,759
by betting parlays. Their wife told them to stop gambling

665
00:31:02,759 --> 00:31:04,960
because they're gambling on other stuff. The guy was very honest.

666
00:31:05,119 --> 00:31:07,000
He's going to the racetrack every night. I mean, these

667
00:31:07,039 --> 00:31:09,559
guys all the excuses of other one guys that I

668
00:31:09,559 --> 00:31:12,160
didn't even know you won. What he said, Yeah, I

669
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:14,000
just I fire on a lot of different things. I

670
00:31:14,039 --> 00:31:16,759
thought maybe you won. But if you can't realize that,

671
00:31:16,799 --> 00:31:19,759
if you can't win, when I'm going thirty six and eight,

672
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:21,920
get out, brother, do something else.

673
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:24,240
Speaker 4: Go roller skating, go fishing, do something.

674
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:28,839
Speaker 2: I've had that happen before.

675
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 3: It's like four and one.

676
00:31:30,799 --> 00:31:32,720
Speaker 2: How'd you lose while I parlayed all of them together?

677
00:31:32,839 --> 00:31:35,079
Speaker 4: You're like, oh, no, farways, you can't win.

678
00:31:35,119 --> 00:31:38,759
Speaker 6: Bet Parley sports books have sixty to seventy percent of

679
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:41,319
their profit they report on parlays.

680
00:31:41,319 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 4: I know they look fun.

681
00:31:42,559 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 6: All the people on TikTok and Twitter and Instagram would

682
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:47,920
have broad on each shoulder and a nice fancy car

683
00:31:48,119 --> 00:31:50,519
and the money, the bricks, the money because they hit

684
00:31:50,559 --> 00:31:52,839
their ten dollars parlay to win sixty thousand.

685
00:31:53,359 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 4: Trust me, trust me, you're not hitting that. Forget about it.

686
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,880
You trace hup right up, pipe dream. All right, that's it.

687
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 2: I'm done, crack man. Everyone always bringing the heat. Thank you, Bill.

688
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,640
Can't wait to talk to you again next Monday. Good luck.

689
00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:06,559
Speaker 7: All right.

690
00:32:06,599 --> 00:32:09,519
Speaker 1: We have a couple of NFL bets up for Monday night.

691
00:32:09,559 --> 00:32:12,119
These are props and we've got two of them. Just

692
00:32:12,279 --> 00:32:14,400
was going to fire on one, then I kept staring

693
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:14,720
at the other.

694
00:32:14,759 --> 00:32:16,000
Speaker 2: One said no, no, no, this is worthy.

695
00:32:16,079 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 1: So we got two best bets that are up seventeen

696
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:22,079
and ten on primetime games this year, so primetime games.

697
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:23,359
Speaker 2: Continue to hit at a good rate.

698
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 1: We've also got NBA and NHL props setter up. I

699
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:27,680
believe there's three of them that are up. Probably going

700
00:32:27,759 --> 00:32:29,599
to be a fourth one coming up this afternoon once

701
00:32:29,599 --> 00:32:32,160
I get some injury report again.

702
00:32:32,319 --> 00:32:32,839
Speaker 2: Seven days.

703
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 1: That special went over, so well, we're gonna run it

704
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:38,000
for another couple of weeks. It's seven days of NBA

705
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:42,400
and NHL props again. One night I could win and

706
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:43,720
I could lose. Give me seven days.

707
00:32:43,759 --> 00:32:45,519
Speaker 2: You see how we You see how we handle the

708
00:32:45,559 --> 00:32:47,279
props markets. You see all right up.

709
00:32:47,319 --> 00:32:49,279
Speaker 1: You see that we tend to kind of gravitate towards

710
00:32:49,319 --> 00:32:51,000
the same guys for stretches of time.

711
00:32:51,319 --> 00:32:52,519
Speaker 2: Hope to catch those streaks.

712
00:32:52,599 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 1: Get a four and one, five and two type of

713
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,079
streak going. So seven days, it's only sixty nine dollars

714
00:32:57,079 --> 00:32:59,599
if you just want something for tonight, Monday Night best

715
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:03,000
bets are up, and yeah, we're up fifty units in November.

716
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:07,680
Crush in November, loving it. Let's talk about NFL Week eleven.

717
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:12,240
Let's do some questions that we may have coming out

718
00:33:12,359 --> 00:33:15,000
of Week eleven. Are the Chiefs gonna make the playoffs?

719
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,160
Do you see their percentage to make the playoffs if

720
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:19,640
they if they lost that game?

721
00:33:19,839 --> 00:33:22,799
Speaker 2: Yikes? And now they get the Colts rot Row raggy.

722
00:33:23,519 --> 00:33:24,200
That's not good.

723
00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:25,039
Speaker 5: Uh?

724
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:27,119
Speaker 2: Where the Vikings gonna lose?

725
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 6: Lose?

726
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 1: Situation with Donald and McCarthy, like, did it turn out?

727
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:32,319
It was just like, you know what, we can keep

728
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,799
Donald who will just blow it in the biggest game,

729
00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:37,920
and then we have JJ McCarthy who's looks really awful.

730
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:40,799
I'm gonna talk about the Chargers here in a second

731
00:33:40,799 --> 00:33:43,440
with day Dan. Is Joe Alt really that much of

732
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:44,359
a difference.

733
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:45,039
Speaker 2: Maker this team?

734
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 1: This team went from possibly winning the division to cannot

735
00:33:49,039 --> 00:33:52,480
get out of their own way with one offensive lineman?

736
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:56,319
Speaker 2: Is he really that good? The Chargers are inept on

737
00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,960
offense without him? It's it's it's really bizarre.

738
00:34:00,319 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 1: And then let me know in the chat here I'll

739
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:04,960
ask you to it as well, Dan, what seven win

740
00:34:05,079 --> 00:34:07,039
team do you least believe in?

741
00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:08,880
Speaker 2: These are the teams with seven wins?

742
00:34:08,920 --> 00:34:12,400
Speaker 1: You got the Bills, the Chargers, the Bears, the Seahawks,

743
00:34:12,559 --> 00:34:14,639
and the forty nine ers to me, it's a really

744
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,920
obvious one. I'll be interested to see what you guys

745
00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,320
think of in the chat. What seven win team do

746
00:34:20,360 --> 00:34:23,920
you believe in the least? All right, So those are

747
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,039
Week eleven questions. Let's go to some quick Where did

748
00:34:27,079 --> 00:34:30,800
the books win? Where did the public win? Really wasn't

749
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:32,519
a whole lot of consensus out there.

750
00:34:32,559 --> 00:34:33,400
Speaker 2: Where do the books win?

751
00:34:33,519 --> 00:34:37,159
Speaker 1: The Ravens didn't quite get there, the Green Bay and

752
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,320
the Giants game under not get there?

753
00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 2: And where the public won?

754
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:44,559
Speaker 1: They went heavy heavy on that under in the Miami

755
00:34:44,679 --> 00:34:47,400
Washington that was no sweat and the forty nine ers

756
00:34:47,599 --> 00:34:50,239
minus the points. So but again, not a whole lot

757
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,840
of big time consensus plays this week. And then we

758
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:57,440
go to the prop markets and fantasy football winners and losers.

759
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:02,880
Rock Purty gotta say Brock Purty looked really good. George

760
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,159
Kittle along with that, Jacoby Brissett and Michael Wilson and

761
00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:11,039
Trey McBride putting up video game esque numbers there. Josh

762
00:35:11,119 --> 00:35:14,000
Allen of course with a massive six touchdown game. Sean

763
00:35:14,119 --> 00:35:17,079
Tucker for the Bucks had a huge game, Bryce Young

764
00:35:17,119 --> 00:35:17,920
and Ted McMillan.

765
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:20,320
Speaker 2: That's their best game of the year as.

766
00:35:20,199 --> 00:35:23,360
Speaker 1: Far as stats go, and Travis Kelcey continues to get

767
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:26,599
it done in Jean Robinson may be getting a lot

768
00:35:27,159 --> 00:35:29,599
of work in the next coming weeks. Michael Pennix looks

769
00:35:29,599 --> 00:35:31,519
like he may be done for the year. Drake London

770
00:35:31,599 --> 00:35:33,320
is out for at least a week. We go to

771
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:37,719
the Losers. Lamar Jackson, is this guy healthy? What's going on?

772
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,960
His numbers are just not there? Sam Donald with foreigner

773
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:44,960
receptions that was terrible. Justin Herbert and the Chargers were terrible.

774
00:35:45,119 --> 00:35:47,239
Jamar Chase, Boy, did he screw it all up for

775
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:49,800
anybody that believed in him yesterday? I continue to say,

776
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:51,840
Justin Jefferson, his stats are not going to look good.

777
00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:55,199
With McCarthy as a quarterback, Woody Marx had a great matchup.

778
00:35:55,519 --> 00:35:56,159
Speaker 2: He kind of.

779
00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 1: He wasn't awful, but he wasn't that good. And then

780
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:03,119
the Falcons passing game is now completely blown to smitherings

781
00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:06,239
h Drake London, who's injured, Kirk Cousin is gonna have

782
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:09,199
to step in and beat quarterback and Dan can I

783
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:16,840
say outdoors Jared Goff? Outdoors, Jared Goff looked truly awful. Dan,

784
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:18,519
would you like to come in and brag about the

785
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:20,760
Chargers h Jags.

786
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:22,159
Speaker 8: That was outdoor.

787
00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:25,599
Speaker 9: Well, when when you see Jared Goff trotting out of

788
00:36:25,639 --> 00:36:28,920
the tunnel and he's wearing sleeves and double gloves, it

789
00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:33,360
doesn't exactly inspire confidence of his his abilities in the outdoor.

790
00:36:33,679 --> 00:36:36,360
Speaker 8: But it's so bad. The Eagles certainly didn't make it

791
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,639
easy for him, man, I mean, there wasn't a clean

792
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:43,679
pocket on what you know, four or five plays last night.

793
00:36:44,519 --> 00:36:47,840
Defense was just flying around. So it's easy to say, yeah,

794
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:48,920
it was just golf in the weather.

795
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:53,760
Speaker 9: It's it's it's more, I think holistic to look at

796
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:56,880
what Vic Pangeo's defense has done to all of these teams.

797
00:36:57,440 --> 00:36:59,760
Speaker 8: You know, it's it's it's happened week after week after

798
00:37:00,599 --> 00:37:02,280
and whether it's weather, whether.

799
00:37:02,159 --> 00:37:05,360
Speaker 9: It's not, the one constant is Vic Fangio and that defense,

800
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:07,159
since adding Jalen Phillips, has.

801
00:37:07,679 --> 00:37:10,880
Speaker 8: Finally cracked that pass rush that they were lacking for

802
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:12,039
the last defense.

803
00:37:12,079 --> 00:37:15,119
Speaker 9: And thank god they have a good defense, Andy, because

804
00:37:15,159 --> 00:37:19,039
the offense is equally as as ugly as the defense

805
00:37:19,159 --> 00:37:19,760
is beautiful.

806
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:24,039
Speaker 1: Sure, the tangoing cashes, the Philadelphia tango and cashes again,

807
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:26,199
it was horrible to watch and I had to watch

808
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:28,599
every second of it. I was just blown away by it.

809
00:37:28,639 --> 00:37:32,079
But you're right, man, your defense, the eye test, that's.

810
00:37:32,199 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 2: I don't I don't think.

811
00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:35,480
Speaker 8: I mean, I don't think it's horrible to watch.

812
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:39,559
Speaker 9: I think there's just as much fun when you're watching

813
00:37:39,639 --> 00:37:41,199
a good, dominant defense.

814
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 8: And as an Eagles fan, this reminds.

815
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 9: But here's the thing is prop betting, overs and fantasy

816
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:51,800
football has warped everyone's mind that no one likes defensive

817
00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:55,000
football games anymore if there's not high scoring. Everybody Monday

818
00:37:55,119 --> 00:37:57,880
Morning Quarterbacks says this game was just awful to watch,

819
00:37:58,119 --> 00:37:59,559
and I completely disagree.

820
00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:02,400
Speaker 8: I think there is there's value in good defense.

821
00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:04,880
Speaker 4: So watching the.

822
00:38:05,199 --> 00:38:09,599
Speaker 1: Difference last night between the two units was Jared Goff

823
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:12,760
was throwing incomplete passes to wide receivers who were covered.

824
00:38:13,119 --> 00:38:16,800
Jalen Hurts was throwing incomplete passes do wide receivers who

825
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:19,599
had a step or two on passes that should have

826
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:20,440
been in complete.

827
00:38:20,559 --> 00:38:21,599
Speaker 2: There were a lot of drops.

828
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:25,719
Speaker 9: Typically with forty mile per hour wind gusts, you're gonna

829
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:29,519
see some fluctuation on passes. Uh, you know, so that's

830
00:38:29,639 --> 00:38:32,960
that's gonna happen. Well, you know what thing win matters

831
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:34,199
when you're throwing deep balls.

832
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:37,880
Speaker 1: That stop throwing the deep ball if you don't like

833
00:38:38,039 --> 00:38:40,639
fluctuations and the deep ball.

834
00:38:41,559 --> 00:38:42,239
Speaker 4: It's very fair.

835
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:45,239
Speaker 9: I mean, it would also help if DeVante Smith didn't

836
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:48,480
have an uncharacteristically bad game. Bunch of drops out of him,

837
00:38:48,599 --> 00:38:51,400
Dallas Goddard, a bunch of drops out of him. Uh,

838
00:38:51,559 --> 00:38:55,000
Lane Johnson goes down. So the offensive line wasn't quite there.

839
00:38:55,079 --> 00:38:58,599
But yes, it's let's focus on the bad passes from

840
00:38:58,679 --> 00:39:00,719
Jalen Hurts and not the one where he avoids the

841
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:02,639
sack and the end zone, rolls out to his right,

842
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:05,119
floats it over a defender into a perfect window and

843
00:39:05,199 --> 00:39:07,280
jo Han dots and when there's a safety over the top.

844
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,519
Speaker 2: But great, it was a great play.

845
00:39:10,679 --> 00:39:10,840
Speaker 9: It was.

846
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:11,760
Speaker 2: It was a great play.

847
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:15,360
Speaker 1: So Dan and I are gonna go over tomorrow. Are

848
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:22,079
before season predictions for season win totals. We we we

849
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:25,280
we had to do every single team, so we made.

850
00:39:25,079 --> 00:39:27,280
Speaker 2: It very clear. Heyes, a lot of these are not bets.

851
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,440
Some of them are hilarious. Some of them are just

852
00:39:30,559 --> 00:39:31,239
laugh out loud.

853
00:39:31,320 --> 00:39:33,000
Speaker 1: So Dan, I would have get, don't tell me what

854
00:39:33,119 --> 00:39:36,400
it is, save it your biggest takeaway from our season

855
00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:39,280
wins Tomorrow I'll give you my biggest takeaway, and we'll

856
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:40,880
see if we look like that on the same thing.

857
00:39:41,039 --> 00:39:43,559
Because there are just some there are some hilarious ones

858
00:39:43,599 --> 00:39:45,199
where you look like a complete ass.

859
00:39:45,760 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 2: You're like hopp.

860
00:39:49,039 --> 00:39:51,199
Speaker 8: Thirty two teams season win totals.

861
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:53,079
Speaker 9: If you go thirty two and oh you should have

862
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:56,719
entered that contest at the at the West Gate where

863
00:39:56,719 --> 00:39:58,119
you pick every one of them.

864
00:39:58,159 --> 00:39:59,599
Speaker 8: You're not gonna get every one of them right.

865
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,519
Speaker 9: And answer your question, Andy, I think this was a

866
00:40:01,639 --> 00:40:04,159
terrific question, and we want to get Steve Merrill's thoughts

867
00:40:04,199 --> 00:40:07,440
on this one. He's coming up next, the last seven

868
00:40:07,519 --> 00:40:10,960
win team that you know, I have the least belief in.

869
00:40:12,679 --> 00:40:14,920
I get it, the Bears are winning, you know what

870
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,639
I mean. But at the end of the day, that

871
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:19,800
win yesterday had a lot more to do with how

872
00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:23,039
bad JJ McCarthy was than how well prepared the Bears were.

873
00:40:23,119 --> 00:40:26,119
If that was even a somewhat competent quarterback under center,

874
00:40:26,679 --> 00:40:29,639
that actually probably not only does it not end up

875
00:40:29,639 --> 00:40:32,440
as a Bears win, you're seeing that as a potential

876
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:35,960
double digit loss. If you watched that game and the Seahawks,

877
00:40:36,119 --> 00:40:38,239
like I know, that's gonna be the big one because

878
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:40,320
of how awful Donald looked, But we already knew that

879
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:43,079
Donald at some point was going to turn back into

880
00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,719
a pumpkin. So I think their defense is still strong

881
00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:50,159
enough and they have enough playmakers around that offense that

882
00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:52,320
I don't think the bottom is quite falling out on

883
00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:55,800
the Seahawks just because we got a vintage Sam Darnold game.

884
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:57,800
But that's probably gonna be a popular pick. So for me,

885
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:00,239
sorry to my friend John Hoagland and the and the

886
00:41:00,320 --> 00:41:03,280
Eagles Bears alliance that has been fun on Twitter U

887
00:41:03,599 --> 00:41:06,599
three and oh for the Bears against the the NFC

888
00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:10,599
East and three and oh against the NFC North for

889
00:41:10,639 --> 00:41:11,639
the Philadelphia Eagles.

890
00:41:11,679 --> 00:41:15,000
Speaker 8: So the Bears an Eagles alliance. I'm not so sure

891
00:41:15,039 --> 00:41:16,599
how much I believe in the Bears.

892
00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:19,840
Speaker 1: And I'm i I actually land on the same team

893
00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:22,159
it was between the Chargers and the Bears. And then

894
00:41:22,199 --> 00:41:23,760
you just look at the wins from the Bears and

895
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:26,199
you're just going, come on, this is this has got

896
00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:30,599
getting creamed in the first round of the playoffs like this,

897
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:33,719
this this has yeah, this is them getting.

898
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:37,360
Speaker 9: And the first honorable mention for me because they're not

899
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:39,880
a seven win team, They're even better than that New

900
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:42,320
England Patriots are losing the first round of the playoffs.

901
00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:44,360
That will be one of my more sizeable bets is

902
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:46,440
that the New England Patriots will be losing the first

903
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:47,280
round of the playoffs.

904
00:41:48,559 --> 00:41:51,559
Speaker 1: I love it, Paz says, I'm becoming a believer in

905
00:41:51,599 --> 00:41:57,159
the Bears. Don't do it, Bears come back.

906
00:41:57,440 --> 00:42:01,320
Speaker 2: No, don't go to the dark side. All right, let's

907
00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:01,639
bring it.

908
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:06,800
Speaker 1: Steve Merrill, Steve Merrill, never on the dark side, Steve,

909
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:09,679
how are you today doing well?

910
00:42:10,039 --> 00:42:12,119
Speaker 7: Yeah? We've seen the NFL well three and oh last

911
00:42:12,159 --> 00:42:14,079
Sunday two and on yesterday and then a four to

912
00:42:14,159 --> 00:42:17,559
one on Saturday at college football. So been picking our

913
00:42:17,599 --> 00:42:20,239
spots and I hope you guys did not have the

914
00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:24,679
overseason wins for not my Washington commanders. Who did you

915
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:26,679
guys have in that? Did you have under I? I

916
00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:28,039
don't recall that episode.

917
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:30,760
Speaker 2: I'll look I'll look it up and see it.

918
00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:31,840
Speaker 7: Wasn't a strong opinion.

919
00:42:32,119 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 9: So as I was under both under on both under anders,

920
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:39,400
there's this reasoning for me, Steve, was I thought they

921
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:41,440
I didn't think they would be this bad. And sure

922
00:42:41,519 --> 00:42:43,679
there's like injuries that are part of it, but because

923
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:47,519
of how much they exceeded expectations last year, there was

924
00:42:47,679 --> 00:42:51,440
no possible way that they could not under exceed expectations

925
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:51,760
this year.

926
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:53,880
Speaker 7: Well, yeah, I mean that, as you guys know, that

927
00:42:54,039 --> 00:42:56,800
was my one season wins total I've released in like

928
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,639
the last five years to clients and officially has cashed

929
00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:03,400
all ready under nine and a half. There might have

930
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:05,119
been some nines out there, which means they have to

931
00:43:05,159 --> 00:43:07,039
run the table if you got plus money, which is

932
00:43:07,039 --> 00:43:08,760
actually an even better bet. I wish i'd had that,

933
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:11,280
but yeah, under nine and a half was the play,

934
00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:14,880
and they lost in overtime, so it has now officially cashed,

935
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:17,400
even though they win every game remaining. So and it's funny.

936
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:18,880
You know, Dan mentioned, you know, the jury part, but

937
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:20,880
as you know, Andy, that was part of the handicaps.

938
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:22,800
I thought Jayden Daniels was a high risk to be

939
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:25,320
injured this year, and that was even more upside to

940
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:27,880
the downside, if you will, with the commanders. And by

941
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,519
the way, that was the Dolphins were very public yesterday

942
00:43:30,519 --> 00:43:33,199
at minus two and a half and they covered in overtime,

943
00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:36,920
winning by three. Last week, the culture a very public

944
00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:39,920
play at six mostly six and a halves over in

945
00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:43,639
Germany and they went by six and overtime, So it's

946
00:43:43,679 --> 00:43:45,280
good to see that the fix is in even over

947
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:49,119
in Europe. There we go, oh, don't go there.

948
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:51,840
Speaker 1: That's the worst part about the betting scandal, not that

949
00:43:52,039 --> 00:43:53,880
people lost money and every but not any time many

950
00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:57,199
one that is international fixed, it's fixed.

951
00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:59,880
Speaker 2: So did that fight look fixed? That game looked fax?

952
00:44:00,199 --> 00:44:02,159
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about a game that's not fixed.

953
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:05,639
Let's talk Cowboys and Raiders. I think this game is

954
00:44:05,679 --> 00:44:08,760
going to be weirdly exciting, like in just what are

955
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:11,559
those kind of car crashes? You can't take your eyes

956
00:44:11,599 --> 00:44:14,119
off of it? How do you break down this Cowboys

957
00:44:14,199 --> 00:44:16,880
and Raiders seam? There's a lot of variables in this game.

958
00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:19,159
Speaker 7: Yeah, I think it'll be exciting, actually because I think

959
00:44:19,159 --> 00:44:21,480
there'll be some points. First of all, the Cowboys. There

960
00:44:21,519 --> 00:44:24,400
were five very public plays this week, and I just

961
00:44:24,519 --> 00:44:26,719
mentioned the public win two and two on Sunday would

962
00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:28,639
have been one in three had the Dolphins not covered

963
00:44:28,679 --> 00:44:31,199
in overtime. But by the way the other public plays.

964
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:32,679
The most public play of the week was the forty

965
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:34,880
nine Ers easy win. Last week it was the Lions

966
00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:37,880
easy win. So just blindly fad the most public play

967
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:39,719
is not a great strategy, and I rarely do because

968
00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:42,199
you're usually on a really ugly team like the Commanders

969
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:44,199
last week. So I just don't like Cardinals this week.

970
00:44:44,679 --> 00:44:46,519
The other public plays, though, by the way, the Jag

971
00:44:46,760 --> 00:44:49,079
the Chargers were very public. I had a free play

972
00:44:49,159 --> 00:44:51,199
for everybody on my side at wager talk dot com

973
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:55,199
on the Jags easy winner there. Also, I'm checking my

974
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:59,119
list here the Chargers Detroit. We faded Detroit Sunday night.

975
00:44:59,199 --> 00:45:00,800
How could I forget that that was the public dog

976
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:02,199
of the week. We had the Eagles last night as

977
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:04,800
a client best bet as well. The fifth public play

978
00:45:04,880 --> 00:45:07,400
this week though, is the Cowboys tonight. But as I

979
00:45:07,519 --> 00:45:09,760
said in my Fade the Public video, we don't just

980
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:11,599
blindly fade the public. And I'm not in a hurry

981
00:45:11,639 --> 00:45:13,320
to fade Dallas in this spot because I think it's

982
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:16,280
actually a pretty good situation for the Cowboys off back

983
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:20,039
to back losses and a bye week. So this is

984
00:45:20,079 --> 00:45:21,960
a spot where I usually look to play the better team,

985
00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:23,719
and the Cowboys are probably the better team. But I

986
00:45:23,760 --> 00:45:26,000
will say, if you're going to play Dallas, you gotta

987
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:28,159
get minus three and lay the extra juice minus one

988
00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:31,000
twenty minus one twenty five. If you like the Raiders,

989
00:45:31,039 --> 00:45:33,000
there's a lot of three and a half flats available.

990
00:45:33,519 --> 00:45:36,199
There's about an eight to nine percent chance Dallas wins

991
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:39,840
by exactly three points tonight. Cowboys minus three or Raiders

992
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:41,679
plus three a half is how you played. I prefer

993
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:44,079
to have Dallas minus three, but I think the better

994
00:45:44,119 --> 00:45:45,760
play in this game is actually the total, and I

995
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:48,480
like the over fifty. Now, when I did my standalone

996
00:45:48,559 --> 00:45:50,119
video a few days ago for this game here on

997
00:45:50,159 --> 00:45:52,280
wager Talk TV, it was around forty nine and a half.

998
00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:54,719
Fifty is what we call a dead number, so there's

999
00:45:54,719 --> 00:45:57,519
still value. Fifty one is the key number. About three

1000
00:45:57,519 --> 00:45:59,320
percent of games are going to land exactly on fifty

1001
00:45:59,360 --> 00:46:01,079
one points. In one percent of the time is they're

1002
00:46:01,079 --> 00:46:03,440
going to hit fifty or fifty two for that matter.

1003
00:46:04,119 --> 00:46:06,440
Get briefly opened at fifty one came down a bit.

1004
00:46:06,519 --> 00:46:08,719
I don't agree with that move. I mentioned how Dallas

1005
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:10,519
is coming off back to back losses and they had

1006
00:46:10,599 --> 00:46:12,599
the bye week. I think that's good for the offense

1007
00:46:12,599 --> 00:46:14,320
because they had one of their worst offensive games of

1008
00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:17,000
the season and that Monday night loss against the Cardinals

1009
00:46:17,039 --> 00:46:19,119
two weeks ago, and if you recall Dallas was actually

1010
00:46:19,119 --> 00:46:20,760
a very public play in that I came here on

1011
00:46:20,800 --> 00:46:23,000
the show and I gave you Arizona as a live

1012
00:46:23,039 --> 00:46:25,360
dog for the free play here two mondays ago. But

1013
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:27,760
it was a little misleading because Dallas had three turnovers

1014
00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:30,440
to none. The Denver loss, they had two turnovers to one.

1015
00:46:30,519 --> 00:46:32,760
So those past two losses they've had five turnovers and

1016
00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:35,519
only forced one. I look for a cleaner offensive game

1017
00:46:35,559 --> 00:46:37,079
here off the bye and I think the Raiders will

1018
00:46:37,079 --> 00:46:39,039
have a good offensive game off the bye week as well,

1019
00:46:39,599 --> 00:46:42,119
coming off a bad offensive game against Denver, who's turned

1020
00:46:42,119 --> 00:46:43,960
out to be a pretty good team this year, and

1021
00:46:44,039 --> 00:46:45,920
they also got shut out against Kansas City a few

1022
00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:48,440
weeks before that. But when they faced bad defensive teams

1023
00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:50,599
this year, and by the way, Cowboys are a really

1024
00:46:50,639 --> 00:46:53,840
bad defensive team. They scored twenty nine against Jacksonville. In

1025
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,599
between those two games, they put up twenty four and

1026
00:46:56,599 --> 00:46:59,119
the Commanders, who are another bad defensive team twenty four,

1027
00:46:59,159 --> 00:47:02,159
and the Bears on Tennessee. And I mentioned how Dallas

1028
00:47:02,280 --> 00:47:04,199
is not a good defensive team really any metric you

1029
00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:06,119
look at. They've been bad defensive this year. They' giving

1030
00:47:06,199 --> 00:47:09,320
up almost thirty one points a game, almost six and

1031
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:11,199
a half yards of play, over seven and a half

1032
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:14,199
yards of pass, almost five yards per carry, so the

1033
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:17,239
Raiders will move the ball here. I like the situational

1034
00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:19,719
set up here for both offenses coming in with some rest.

1035
00:47:20,079 --> 00:47:21,559
And by the way, the Raiders are coming off of

1036
00:47:21,639 --> 00:47:23,639
many by They played the Thursday before, so they've had

1037
00:47:23,679 --> 00:47:26,559
ten days off. Cowboys have at thirteen off. I like

1038
00:47:26,679 --> 00:47:28,880
over fifty in this one between the Cowboys and Raiders,

1039
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:32,079
Monday Night Football, eight fifteen Eastern on ABC and ESPN,

1040
00:47:32,119 --> 00:47:32,840
because it's so good.

1041
00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:38,400
Speaker 1: I love it over damn sitting here. Oh no, I

1042
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:42,559
love these thirteen to six games. No, no, no, give

1043
00:47:42,599 --> 00:47:43,880
me thirty eight thirty one.

1044
00:47:44,079 --> 00:47:46,519
Speaker 7: I will be shocked if the Cowboys hold anybody to

1045
00:47:46,599 --> 00:47:48,400
thirteen or six points this season.

1046
00:47:49,079 --> 00:47:50,199
Speaker 2: It's true, it's true.

1047
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 7: To help the Cowboys is a lightning delay, and we're

1048
00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:55,960
not going to have that tonight in Vegas in the Dome.

1049
00:47:57,239 --> 00:47:58,559
Speaker 2: Let's move to the NBA.

1050
00:47:59,079 --> 00:48:02,079
Speaker 1: Pretty good game tonight, Bucks Cavaliers Garland appears to be

1051
00:48:02,159 --> 00:48:05,440
the only one that's gonna be out, but two really

1052
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:07,360
good teams that are probably gonna be competing for the

1053
00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:09,320
Eastern Conference title.

1054
00:48:09,599 --> 00:48:10,480
Speaker 2: What do you see in this game.

1055
00:48:11,760 --> 00:48:13,360
Speaker 7: Yeah, I was gonna say the same thing. It looks

1056
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:15,480
like a clean game. As far as the injury situation,

1057
00:48:15,599 --> 00:48:17,719
Garland's gone guy. As of twelve thirty Eastern. I'm seeing

1058
00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:20,039
kind of pop on the report. And we look at

1059
00:48:20,039 --> 00:48:22,199
these two teams right now, two contenders. But the Bucks

1060
00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:24,320
are just eight and six straight up, seven and seven

1061
00:48:24,360 --> 00:48:26,880
against the number. Cleveland nine and five a little bit

1062
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:29,039
of a blow average star for them, some overtime losses,

1063
00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:31,960
but just four and ten against the number. Cleveland's been

1064
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:34,599
a real money burner this year. Is they definitely have underperformed,

1065
00:48:34,639 --> 00:48:37,159
considering they were probably like the conference favorite coming in here.

1066
00:48:38,079 --> 00:48:39,880
As far as the points spread, very little movement from

1067
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:41,840
the opening number this morning, that's sitting at seven and

1068
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:44,599
a half across the board. I will say there are

1069
00:48:44,679 --> 00:48:46,639
some books that have gone to seven. So if you

1070
00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:48,599
like Milwaukee, maybe you grab this seven and a half

1071
00:48:48,679 --> 00:48:51,199
earlier than later. If you like Cleveland, wait, there are

1072
00:48:51,280 --> 00:48:53,519
some Stevens seven starting to show. I'm gonna look at

1073
00:48:53,519 --> 00:48:55,519
the total though instead for this game. And you mentioned

1074
00:48:55,559 --> 00:48:57,519
these are two of the best teams, perhaps two of

1075
00:48:57,559 --> 00:48:59,800
the best teams in the Eastern Conference. And the fact

1076
00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:01,400
that they both have been a little bit subpar to

1077
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:03,599
start off. I think this will have a playoff atmosphere

1078
00:49:03,599 --> 00:49:06,639
tonight at seven Eastern on Monday, and whenever I get that,

1079
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:08,960
I start leaning towards the under, and the early sharp

1080
00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:11,440
money likes the under in this game as well. Opened

1081
00:49:11,599 --> 00:49:13,440
two thirty eight and a half, it's already down to

1082
00:49:13,519 --> 00:49:15,639
two thirty five and a half, even seeing two thirty

1083
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,760
five out there now and the sharpest book in the world,

1084
00:49:18,800 --> 00:49:21,440
perhaps Pinnacle two thirty four and a half. That's what

1085
00:49:21,519 --> 00:49:25,199
we call a sharp book leading indicator. And I do

1086
00:49:25,320 --> 00:49:27,119
agree with the under in this one for a few reasons.

1087
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:29,960
First of all, I mentioned that playoff atmosphere here. I

1088
00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:32,360
think we'll see some defensive intensity and both teams coming

1089
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:36,119
in here rested as well. They each played on Saturday. Milwaukee,

1090
00:49:36,199 --> 00:49:37,840
by the way, has lost two of their last three,

1091
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:40,559
and they had a bad defensive showing against the Lakers

1092
00:49:40,639 --> 00:49:43,000
on Saturday. We had a team total play with the

1093
00:49:43,079 --> 00:49:45,039
Lakers over one eighteen and a half. They scored one

1094
00:49:45,079 --> 00:49:47,599
eighteen and then they scored one nineteen right after that.

1095
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:50,039
It's like they're just sticking it to me. Two days

1096
00:49:50,079 --> 00:49:51,480
in a row. They're just to point out that they

1097
00:49:51,480 --> 00:49:53,559
could have gotten there and decided not to in the

1098
00:49:53,559 --> 00:49:55,480
previous night. And we've been over seventy percent in all

1099
00:49:55,519 --> 00:49:59,000
sports still over the past week. But the Bucks forty

1100
00:49:59,039 --> 00:50:02,039
percent offensively shooting, haven't really shot the ball well in

1101
00:50:02,119 --> 00:50:04,119
recent weeks. They had that breakout game against a bad

1102
00:50:04,199 --> 00:50:08,119
Hornets team, but when they faced better competition, Uh, the

1103
00:50:08,199 --> 00:50:10,119
games have been fairly low scoring here. And if you

1104
00:50:10,159 --> 00:50:12,559
look at some of the games they've played recently, the

1105
00:50:12,639 --> 00:50:15,280
Indiana game only landed on two thirty two, the Dallas

1106
00:50:15,400 --> 00:50:18,000
game two thirty, the Houston game got right up to

1107
00:50:18,039 --> 00:50:20,719
two thirty seven. That Laker game, even with a bad

1108
00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:23,519
offensive shown and bad defense, it still was just two

1109
00:50:23,639 --> 00:50:26,440
fourteen the other night. And then the Cleveland Cavaliers, with

1110
00:50:26,519 --> 00:50:28,599
their size down low, can be a really good defensive

1111
00:50:28,599 --> 00:50:30,400
team when they want to be. We started to see

1112
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:32,519
some of that against Memphis. They held the Grizzly Saturday

1113
00:50:32,559 --> 00:50:35,400
to just thirty six percent shooting and only one hundred points,

1114
00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:38,840
probably their best defensive effort in several weeks. I like

1115
00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:40,960
under two thirty five, under two thirty five and a half.

1116
00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:42,639
I think we get plenty of wiggle room tonight. And

1117
00:50:42,679 --> 00:50:44,760
what could have a playoff atmosphere Monday night at seven

1118
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:46,280
Eastern between the Bucks and Cavaliers.

1119
00:50:48,639 --> 00:50:51,840
Speaker 1: Hardest working man on wager Talk today, you get three

1120
00:50:52,000 --> 00:50:53,199
games to breakdown.

1121
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,719
Speaker 7: Oh yeah, yeah, three sports.

1122
00:50:57,519 --> 00:50:59,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, and this is this was where I almost tripped

1123
00:50:59,920 --> 00:51:02,840
myself up. Was like Oregon State versus Oregon It's like.

1124
00:51:02,880 --> 00:51:06,280
Speaker 2: Did they play each other? Like, oh, basketball? Yeah, keep

1125
00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:09,079
forgetting We have to remember basketball is here.

1126
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:12,119
Speaker 1: So I don't know anything about these teams, Oregon State

1127
00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:13,760
and Oregon enlighten us.

1128
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:15,360
Speaker 2: What do you know about these teams? And what can

1129
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:15,880
we expect?

1130
00:51:16,519 --> 00:51:18,159
Speaker 7: What's funny you said it's kind of like the football

1131
00:51:18,159 --> 00:51:19,840
matchup because the first thing I think of a civil war,

1132
00:51:19,880 --> 00:51:21,800
and then I remind myself, I can't say that anymore.

1133
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:23,760
It's been canceled. I think I don't even know what.

1134
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:25,400
It's called another border war, but it's not the border

1135
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:26,800
work because they're in the same state. I don't know

1136
00:51:26,880 --> 00:51:28,559
it used to be the Civil Yeah, it used to

1137
00:51:28,599 --> 00:51:31,760
be the Civil War because they were rivals. But that's football.

1138
00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:33,559
I don't think the basketball was ever referred to that.

1139
00:51:33,599 --> 00:51:36,039
What this used to be called is a Pac twelve matchup.

1140
00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:39,280
Can't say that no more either, but they do still

1141
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:41,000
play each other, obviously a little bit earlier in the

1142
00:51:41,079 --> 00:51:44,119
season than before. Here on November seventeenth, and as I'm

1143
00:51:44,199 --> 00:51:46,880
doing this breakdown, about twelve to fifty Eastern time, the

1144
00:51:47,320 --> 00:51:50,199
Odds Logic screen is lighting up. We're seeing some money

1145
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:52,559
coming on Oregon the favorite. They opened as low as

1146
00:51:52,639 --> 00:51:55,519
minus twelve. It was thirteen, thirteen and a half a

1147
00:51:55,559 --> 00:51:58,320
few minutes ago, and now we're seeing mostly fourteen's out there.

1148
00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:00,440
So I would call that a sharp move, you know,

1149
00:52:00,559 --> 00:52:03,199
middle of the day on a Monday during the football season,

1150
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:06,159
with Monday Night football NBA, when a college basketball game

1151
00:52:06,199 --> 00:52:08,920
is lighting up, it's probably sharp money. We'll check the

1152
00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:11,239
injury board. I did not see too much. One guy

1153
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:16,079
was listed for Oregon as questionable this morning was Devin Pryor.

1154
00:52:16,199 --> 00:52:18,400
I believe, who's probably like the fifth or sixth guy

1155
00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:20,800
in my power rankings on the team as far as importance,

1156
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,599
But he does play about thirty seven percent of their minutes.

1157
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:26,760
Not a really good shooter, all offensive guy, a little

1158
00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:28,760
bit more important on the defensive side of the court.

1159
00:52:29,039 --> 00:52:31,559
So my guess is maybe Devin Pryor has been upgraded

1160
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:33,519
hard for me to believe he's worth the pointers on

1161
00:52:33,559 --> 00:52:36,000
the line. But I'll point that out as this game

1162
00:52:36,039 --> 00:52:38,039
has gone from twelve to thirteen and now it's moving

1163
00:52:38,119 --> 00:52:40,360
up to fourteen and the other thing that's interesting about

1164
00:52:40,400 --> 00:52:42,079
that as well as the total is dropping, and once

1165
00:52:42,119 --> 00:52:43,880
again that would tell me that maybe this is based

1166
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:47,079
on prior The over under opened as high as one

1167
00:52:47,199 --> 00:52:50,079
forty three. It was one forty, one forty and a

1168
00:52:50,119 --> 00:52:52,000
half a few minutes ago. Now it's one forty. So

1169
00:52:52,039 --> 00:52:54,000
we're seeing some money coming on an organ in the under.

1170
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:56,880
I think maybe that's player related. One thing I do

1171
00:52:57,039 --> 00:52:58,920
like about the under in this game is the pace

1172
00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:02,000
of play. Here about tempo and college basketball. Now I'll

1173
00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:04,599
move over to Oregon State, the underdog, the Beavers, they

1174
00:53:04,760 --> 00:53:07,280
like to play slow. Out of a three hundred and

1175
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:10,199
sixty some teams, they're one of the twenty slowest teams

1176
00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:12,639
once again this year. Oregon's kind of middle of the

1177
00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:15,639
pack as far as tempo. I think it's usually easier

1178
00:53:15,679 --> 00:53:17,719
for the home team to dictate pace, but it's also

1179
00:53:17,800 --> 00:53:20,239
easier for a slow down team to dictate pace, and

1180
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:22,000
I think that's one of the reasons. Also we're seeing

1181
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:24,159
some money coming on the under in this one, so

1182
00:53:25,119 --> 00:53:27,800
Oregon in the under moves don't really correlate because I

1183
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:30,440
think a lower scoring game in Oregon State makes more sense.

1184
00:53:31,199 --> 00:53:33,159
One thing about these teams also, they live and die

1185
00:53:33,199 --> 00:53:35,480
by the three. Oregon State takes a huge percentage of

1186
00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:37,159
their shots from three point range. They're currently on the

1187
00:53:37,199 --> 00:53:40,199
season taking fifty two percent of their shots from three

1188
00:53:40,239 --> 00:53:42,800
point range. And Oregon has one of the best three

1189
00:53:42,880 --> 00:53:46,840
point defenses in the country, and so does Oregon State.

1190
00:53:47,119 --> 00:53:49,400
And Oregon also has a very good interior defense. I

1191
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:50,920
really think the Beavers are gonna have a tough time

1192
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:53,480
scoring in this game. You could look Oregon State team

1193
00:53:53,559 --> 00:53:56,360
total under or just the full game itself under the

1194
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:59,280
one forty might be a lower scoring game than expected.

1195
00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:03,039
Tonight at ten Eastern in Eugene, Oregon, between the Ducks

1196
00:54:03,079 --> 00:54:04,199
and the Beavers.

1197
00:54:06,800 --> 00:54:08,800
Speaker 1: Just so weird to like, like, whenever you hear Oregon

1198
00:54:08,880 --> 00:54:11,320
in pace, my mind just goes back to those really

1199
00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:14,559
fast correct you know, And so then you're just like, oh,

1200
00:54:14,639 --> 00:54:18,639
the basketball team must play like that. No, completely different coaches,

1201
00:54:18,719 --> 00:54:20,000
completely different sports.

1202
00:54:20,440 --> 00:54:22,039
Speaker 7: So I got to get that out of my head

1203
00:54:22,159 --> 00:54:24,800
from betting this so well, I keep in mind, and

1204
00:54:24,920 --> 00:54:27,320
you know, they have played fast at times. Danae. Altman's

1205
00:54:27,360 --> 00:54:30,079
the current coach there. You know Creighton, I can bleed

1206
00:54:30,119 --> 00:54:31,519
back in the day. You know some really good mid

1207
00:54:31,639 --> 00:54:35,599
major programs, and I do think when they get the opportunity,

1208
00:54:35,639 --> 00:54:37,559
they're what I call a neutral team real quick. Like

1209
00:54:37,599 --> 00:54:39,000
their pace is around like one to eighty in the

1210
00:54:39,079 --> 00:54:41,760
country out of like three sixty. So a team like that,

1211
00:54:41,840 --> 00:54:43,519
I always feel like it's going to be dictated one

1212
00:54:43,559 --> 00:54:45,119
way or the other based on the opponent. And Oregon

1213
00:54:45,159 --> 00:54:46,920
State's a real slow down team. But if you see

1214
00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:49,480
Oregon against a fast team this year, you probably will

1215
00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:51,079
be right. You will see that pace once again.

1216
00:54:52,719 --> 00:54:53,119
Speaker 2: It's great.

1217
00:54:53,159 --> 00:54:56,320
Speaker 1: Monday Tomorrow, of course, is five dollars Tuesday, so everybody

1218
00:54:56,400 --> 00:54:58,159
buckle up for that. What do you have up for

1219
00:54:58,239 --> 00:54:59,079
clients on this Monday?

1220
00:54:59,119 --> 00:54:59,239
Speaker 4: Though?

1221
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:02,400
Speaker 7: Steve not five dollars Monday, but tomorrow will be five

1222
00:55:02,440 --> 00:55:05,000
dollars Tuesday. Able wake up from his nap on Monday

1223
00:55:05,119 --> 00:55:07,199
and he'll be here on Tuesday. So yeah, Tuesday, five

1224
00:55:07,239 --> 00:55:09,119
dollars Tuesday is great, But you can also make it

1225
00:55:09,639 --> 00:55:12,039
five dollars every day, And actually tonight on Monday is

1226
00:55:12,079 --> 00:55:14,320
the last chance to do it, because I believe the

1227
00:55:14,440 --> 00:55:16,440
ten days for ninety nine is still up there and

1228
00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:19,480
it expires tonight at midnight, So that's ten days all

1229
00:55:19,519 --> 00:55:21,719
sports for the price of seven. Also, I've got the

1230
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:23,920
one year all access available right now with the Instant

1231
00:55:23,960 --> 00:55:26,760
five hundred dollars discount, and that gets it down about

1232
00:55:26,760 --> 00:55:28,679
a dollar a play, about three dollars a day. So

1233
00:55:28,719 --> 00:55:31,079
if you like five dollars Tuesday for a single play,

1234
00:55:31,840 --> 00:55:33,440
how about getting every best bet I released for the

1235
00:55:33,480 --> 00:55:35,199
next three hundred and sixty five days and nights for

1236
00:55:35,239 --> 00:55:37,199
about a dollar a play with the Instant five hundred

1237
00:55:37,199 --> 00:55:39,320
dollars discount. And now's a great time to get on board.

1238
00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:41,440
You're gonna get the complete college and pro basketball seasons,

1239
00:55:41,440 --> 00:55:44,000
which will just begun the rest of college and pro football.

1240
00:55:44,039 --> 00:55:46,239
We went six and two this weekend in college and

1241
00:55:46,239 --> 00:55:48,280
pro football. It's a fantastic time to get on board.

1242
00:55:48,320 --> 00:55:50,920
The holidays around the corner. All next year is basically

1243
00:55:50,960 --> 00:55:52,679
for the first three months and then all next year's

1244
00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:55,239
baseball season. I went eleven and two in the baseball

1245
00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:57,840
playoffs that just ended. Three hundred and sixty five day

1246
00:55:57,880 --> 00:55:59,679
all access for about a dollar play with the instant

1247
00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:03,199
five dollar discount. Yes, we have single day, weekly and monthlies,

1248
00:56:03,639 --> 00:56:05,360
but the one year all access is how you get

1249
00:56:05,400 --> 00:56:06,840
the price down to about a dollar play and you

1250
00:56:06,880 --> 00:56:09,840
start taking a serious, consistent investment approach every day. But

1251
00:56:09,960 --> 00:56:12,320
once again, it doesn't matter which package you get. Every

1252
00:56:12,360 --> 00:56:14,360
client gets the same best bets I release each and

1253
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:16,880
every day, the same games I'm personally using, and it's

1254
00:56:16,880 --> 00:56:18,920
always been that way since I started back in August

1255
00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:22,039
of nineteen ninety six, over twenty nine years ago. Check

1256
00:56:22,079 --> 00:56:24,079
it out, and oh, don't forget about the bonus free play.

1257
00:56:24,519 --> 00:56:27,199
We had the Jags yesterday on Sunday. I was mad

1258
00:56:27,320 --> 00:56:28,760
because we would have been three in one had I

1259
00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:30,559
not cut it for my best back card, But everybody

1260
00:56:30,639 --> 00:56:32,840
got it for free. That's always nice. Hitting over seventy

1261
00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:35,679
percent on those free plays over the past month. Check

1262
00:56:35,719 --> 00:56:38,119
it out Steve Merrill wager talk dot com, and of

1263
00:56:38,159 --> 00:56:43,000
course get there quicker with Shortcut WT dot Buzz slash SM.

1264
00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:45,079
If you're liking the free play videos, I do them

1265
00:56:45,119 --> 00:56:47,280
every day here in the channel, Subscribe, click the bill

1266
00:56:47,719 --> 00:56:49,480
and make sure you comment below because I read the

1267
00:56:49,519 --> 00:56:51,800
comments or reply back. But if you're in a real hurry,

1268
00:56:51,960 --> 00:56:53,880
just click that like button. That's the most important thing.

1269
00:56:54,000 --> 00:56:56,400
Thumbs up like, and I'll keep these free videos coming

1270
00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:58,599
each and every day right here on wager Talk TV.

1271
00:57:00,280 --> 00:57:02,639
Speaker 1: Steve Merrill, great job, Thank you so much for breaking

1272
00:57:02,679 --> 00:57:05,280
down these games. Always drop a knowledge. Make sure you

1273
00:57:05,320 --> 00:57:08,480
go check out his plays over at wager Talk. Can't

1274
00:57:08,519 --> 00:57:10,280
wait to talk to you again next week, Steve. Let's

1275
00:57:10,280 --> 00:57:13,679
get the week started off right with some winners. All right,

1276
00:57:14,000 --> 00:57:17,719
let's move to breaking down an NBA game here. I

1277
00:57:17,840 --> 00:57:20,400
have been tasked with breaking down Nuggets and the Bulls,

1278
00:57:20,480 --> 00:57:24,760
so let's talk about the Nuggets and the Bulls. The

1279
00:57:25,239 --> 00:57:29,599
Chicago Bulls opened up as ten and a half point favorites,

1280
00:57:29,840 --> 00:57:34,119
and immediately before this show started recording, they moved to

1281
00:57:34,159 --> 00:57:37,159
fourteen and a half. So we recognize that that graphic

1282
00:57:37,280 --> 00:57:39,199
is not accurate when you're watching this probably, but the

1283
00:57:39,239 --> 00:57:41,000
overenders about two forty four.

1284
00:57:41,079 --> 00:57:43,000
Speaker 2: They are on the road against the Denver Nuggets.

1285
00:57:43,039 --> 00:57:45,679
Speaker 1: The reason for this aggressive line move is a double

1286
00:57:45,760 --> 00:57:48,760
overtime game Chicago had last night against Utah. You've had

1287
00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:54,639
three players play forty plus minutes last night, Giddyakoro, and Vucevich,

1288
00:57:54,760 --> 00:57:58,000
and they get to go on the road again to

1289
00:57:58,119 --> 00:58:00,920
the buzzsaw that is the Denver Nugget. I mean, Denver

1290
00:58:01,079 --> 00:58:05,480
is number one in offense and number three in defense efficiency. Meanwhile,

1291
00:58:05,599 --> 00:58:09,280
Chicago started off the year insanely good, won their first five,

1292
00:58:09,360 --> 00:58:12,119
but now they have regressed back. Chicago's now fourteenth in

1293
00:58:12,199 --> 00:58:15,760
offensive efficiency. Defense is slipping. They're down to twentieth in

1294
00:58:15,880 --> 00:58:19,639
defense efficiency. Like he said, Bulls won five in a

1295
00:58:19,719 --> 00:58:21,639
rower to start the season, but they've lost five in

1296
00:58:21,679 --> 00:58:23,480
a row. And they've lost five in a row on

1297
00:58:23,639 --> 00:58:26,719
the road. Here the Knicks or the Knicks, the Nuggets.

1298
00:58:26,960 --> 00:58:30,360
Six home games, five wins by ten plus points. Here,

1299
00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:33,480
Kobe White is out tonight, and you've get it. You

1300
00:58:33,599 --> 00:58:36,039
got a Chicago team that I listen to know the

1301
00:58:36,159 --> 00:58:38,280
professional athletes, they have to be tired. That was an

1302
00:58:38,360 --> 00:58:41,480
insane marathon game last night. So what do we do

1303
00:58:41,559 --> 00:58:43,760
is I'm gonna take the first half on the Denver Nuggets.

1304
00:58:43,800 --> 00:58:46,320
Speaker 2: I don't want anything to do with this massive spread

1305
00:58:46,360 --> 00:58:48,960
in the fourth quarter. I do think Denver gets out.

1306
00:58:49,320 --> 00:58:52,000
Speaker 1: I love what the Nuggets did in the offseason when

1307
00:58:52,039 --> 00:58:53,280
they signed Valanciunas.

1308
00:58:53,880 --> 00:58:55,679
Speaker 2: That has opened up everything for Jokic.

1309
00:58:55,800 --> 00:58:58,599
Speaker 1: He's playing least minutes, he's fresh the time that he's

1310
00:58:58,639 --> 00:59:01,119
on the court, He's got way more energy last year

1311
00:59:01,159 --> 00:59:04,000
they were having to play him way too much and

1312
00:59:04,239 --> 00:59:07,280
he's getting a lot of rest. So you're getting an

1313
00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:12,400
aggressive Jokich tonight against Vusovich that played over forty minutes

1314
00:59:12,519 --> 00:59:15,119
last night. I just don't think this goes well for Chicago,

1315
00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:17,960
and I would take the first half on the total.

1316
00:59:18,079 --> 00:59:20,239
It's my I'm sorry. On the spread, let's do minus

1317
00:59:20,280 --> 00:59:22,599
eight and a half on the Denver Nuggets. This is

1318
00:59:22,639 --> 00:59:24,800
the Denver Nuggets team that's five and one covering the

1319
00:59:24,840 --> 00:59:26,800
spread and home games this season. I think they get

1320
00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:29,400
off to a good start, and guys like Jamal Moory

1321
00:59:29,559 --> 00:59:31,400
and Aaron Gordon when they're fresh and they're going up

1322
00:59:31,400 --> 00:59:33,840
against some tired legs, they just have all the advantages

1323
00:59:33,920 --> 00:59:35,760
in the world. We can take a look at some

1324
00:59:35,920 --> 00:59:38,920
props here. Jalen Smith over eight and a half points.

1325
00:59:39,360 --> 00:59:41,800
If Vucevich is tired and gets some rest or gets

1326
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:44,239
in any foul trouble, Jalen Smith is gonna come in

1327
00:59:44,320 --> 00:59:46,039
and he's gonna get minutes, especially if this is a

1328
00:59:46,079 --> 00:59:48,280
blowout late. So I like Jalen Smith over eight and

1329
00:59:48,320 --> 00:59:50,480
a half points and Aaron Gordon over five and a

1330
00:59:50,519 --> 00:59:53,320
half rebounds. I could see a lot of mishots coming

1331
00:59:53,400 --> 00:59:56,320
from the Chicago Bulls team. Jokic is dealing with a

1332
00:59:56,360 --> 00:59:59,199
little bit of an injury, and if you look, Aaron

1333
00:59:59,199 --> 01:00:03,360
Gordon has had only three rebound chances the last two games.

1334
01:00:03,599 --> 01:00:06,760
He gets anywhere near this eleven or twelve rebound chances.

1335
01:00:06,800 --> 01:00:09,000
I love him to get over five and a half rebounds.

1336
01:00:09,000 --> 01:00:11,440
So we're gonna take the Nuggets to cover the spread

1337
01:00:11,480 --> 01:00:13,199
at eight and a half in the first half. We'll

1338
01:00:13,199 --> 01:00:15,320
take a look at Jalen Smith over his points and

1339
01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:20,880
Aaron Gordon over his rebounds. NBA at NHL best Bets

1340
01:00:20,920 --> 01:00:23,760
are up props continued to hit or up over eleven

1341
01:00:23,880 --> 01:00:26,079
units just in the month of November. On these we

1342
01:00:26,239 --> 01:00:28,320
like to combine the NHL and NBA props kind of

1343
01:00:28,320 --> 01:00:30,360
into one pack, so you get to see how we

1344
01:00:30,480 --> 01:00:32,000
play them off of each other. You get to see

1345
01:00:32,000 --> 01:00:33,639
how we follow a lot of the same guys. We

1346
01:00:33,679 --> 01:00:35,599
also have a Monday Night football pack that is up

1347
01:00:35,679 --> 01:00:39,719
two plays. We're seventeen and ten in primetime games in

1348
01:00:39,800 --> 01:00:42,480
the NFL. Those are over at wager talk dot com.

1349
01:00:42,559 --> 01:00:44,639
If you could please hit the like button leave a

1350
01:00:44,719 --> 01:00:47,280
comment below, really helps the algorithm. Mountain appreciate you guys

1351
01:00:47,320 --> 01:00:50,480
watching all right ed is going to do it for

1352
01:00:50,639 --> 01:00:53,440
us for Mondays. Wager Talk today went just a little long,

1353
01:00:53,480 --> 01:00:54,960
but a lot of good information, a lot of good

1354
01:00:55,000 --> 01:00:57,519
bets on the board. It's five dollars Tuesday tomorrow. We're

1355
01:00:57,519 --> 01:00:59,880
gonna gear up for that. Don't forget to like button.

1356
01:01:00,119 --> 01:01:02,239
Leave us a comment and thank you so much. Chat

1357
01:01:02,320 --> 01:01:04,079
you crushed it today. Let's have a big Monday to

1358
01:01:04,079 --> 01:01:05,960
get this week started off right. Good look in your

1359
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:06,960
best night. We'll see you tomorrow.

1360
01:01:07,039 --> 01:01:07,400
Speaker 2: Take care,