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Speaker 1: Welcome to wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

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betting shows where he talked the talk and walk the walk.

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Speaker 2: It's Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: We got NBA, we got College Tube, we got super

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Bowl props. Dan, It's it's it's a great day because

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you and I are gonna be breaking down a same

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game parlay for the Super Bowl. Baby, let's go SGP Tuesday.

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What do we got on today's show?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm jacked up. Not only is it SGP Tuesday

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here on wager Talk Today. At wager talk dot com,

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we got five dollars Tuesday for you, a little super

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Bowl edition of that. You can get your handicappers best

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bet that they're liking today right now, five dollars their

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featured play over at wager talk dot com. We'll talk

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a little bit about that, but first I'll let you

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know what we have coming on. As Andy alluded to,

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We're gonna give you a four leg SGP in the

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Super Bowl that is guaranteed to hit any I'm just kidding.

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Knock on, what's there? Jesse and Ralph are coming on

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the show. Jesse's gonna kick us off. He's talking celt MAVs.

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Great match up here in the Association tonight, he's got

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a Super Bowl prop for you. And then of course

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we're finding out which team he is fading in the

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NBA as well. Ralph's gonna come on. He's got that

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Peacock doubleheader for you. That's right, Xavier taking on you,

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Kon and your Hoosiers, Andy taking on USC. We're also

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gonna talk a little bit about Super Bowl sixty props

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with Ralph. Maybe we can get a prime or get

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our heads right for the SGP that will drop at

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the end of the show here. But there's a great

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wager talk guy that you can get that's free. Ralph

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painstakingly goes through, you know, year over year props and

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gets you a nice thing that we were referencing yesterday

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when we were talking about our passing props here. So yeah,

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great show coming on, two great guests, and then of

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course Andy and I have wtf LFG some follower fades.

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Andy's gonna go all around the world, so free picks

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galore and the tools you need to cash on the

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Super Bowl. Andy, I'm pumped up, brother.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's get into wtf LFG. Olmark moves to eight

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to oh.

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Speaker 2: Well, not against against the Penguins amazing, the do.

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Speaker 3: Theory, didn't, didn't, didn't cash in sends money line that

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ended up becoming a sharp play and the uh you

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love to see it. That was a great cash by

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you yesterday. Well done, my good sir.

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Speaker 2: Well let's do let's do wtf LFG.

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Speaker 1: We actually got two of them because Dan's going to

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do a future which takes a couple of weeks.

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Speaker 2: And it's been made well.

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Speaker 1: Known if you give out a win to play, if

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it doesn't matter if it wins or lose, it needs

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to win in the manner of which.

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Speaker 2: The audience likes. Uh the audience here, So yeah, well.

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Speaker 3: They can, they can shred me. But when they cash

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at two eighty five plus two eighty five in a

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few weeks, they won't be too banged up because, uh,

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you know, we were joking before the show came on.

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Ralph was backstage and I was like, I think I'm

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gonna give a future for w TFLFG, and Ralph's like, well,

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that's a way to get people to watch through September

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to see if they end up cashing it or not. No,

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don't worry, folks, this is one that will be graded

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in a few weeks because this is for the ELL

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Championship Series. It's an indoor tournament that goes over two weekends. Andy.

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It used to be just one weekend and they stretched

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it out. The rosters were finally dropped this week. And

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I won't belabor the point because none of you know

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who these players are, but one of these strongest rosters

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that has the most familiarity with this with this format,

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a good goaltender, and a team that has the motivation

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that you want in a tournament that really doesn't mean

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anything other than some bragging rights and of course some

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additional paychecks for these PL players. I like the California

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Redwood x Andy at plus two eighty five to win

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the PLL Championship Series. Again, reason being I alluded to

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the fact that this roster is primed. It really makes

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sense for this format. They have a lot of good

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so defensively they should match up well. I would argue

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they have one of the best, if not the best

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goaltender for this formats. Game should be staying low for them.

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And really, what we're looking to do with this one, folks,

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is we're going to have this in our pocket and

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then we're going to see once the tournament. That's only

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four different teams, folks. So you got a one in

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four chance here. And you know I, once we see

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how these kind of work out, Andy, we'll be looking

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to see can we get an exact against a team

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that I think will make it to the championship to

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beat the California Redwoods, and then we'll set up for

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no profit. So plus two eighty five. The reason why

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I want to give it out as a WTF or LFG, Andy,

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is because that number won't be here in a few

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weeks when people start looking at this roster, it's going

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to be closer to two to one. So let's get

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that extra eighty five cents. That is the WTF or

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LFG that you have to figure out in two weeks.

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But Andy, you got one that they can cash tonight. Correct.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let's talk backup centers in the NBA. Nothing gets

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the right, Yeah, Baby, let's go. Jonas Valancunis over seven

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and a half points. Let me know if you like

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the over or the under. Jokic is back. Guess what,

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he's still gone over six games in a row. The

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last two games with jokicchen the lineup, he's gotten eleven

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shot attempts per game and when he comes in off

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the bench. I mean, this guy is one of the

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best bat cup centers in the league. This guy would

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be starting for half teams. He's he goes up against

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the backups of the other team, is going up against Detroit,

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very good team, very good defensively. But he went six

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for ten from the field for sixteen points last time

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they played. Jokic is still on a little bit of

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a minute's restriction and there's a back to back situation

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for Denver.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna be careful with Yoki.

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Speaker 1: Jokic may not even play tonight, so if he sits,

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you're getting a beautiful number.

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Speaker 2: So wtf LFG.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to LFG with on your's day because when

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it comes to lacrosse, I do not question the lacrosse

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god here. So yeah, Jotas Valanciunas seven and a half points,

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wtf LFG.

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Speaker 3: Oh and your tail in the future. I got a

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tail the daily play. You nailed it with the Sens yesterday.

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And one of the things that I think you and

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your team do very well is when you handicap the backup,

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or you handicap the guy who's further down the roster

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simply because you use the same tools that you're using

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for the primetime players for the name brand players, and

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you're looking at minutes restrictions matchups. So Andy, this is

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a no brainer for me for the WTF, let's go

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balance Unis time. I'm all in, baby.

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Speaker 2: Love big lumbering backup centers. God, you have to.

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Speaker 1: It gets me up in the morning. It's like a

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couple of coffee shot of espresso. Let's let's bring in Jesse.

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Speaker 2: Uh Esse, Jesse, what's up brother? How are you this morning?

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Speaker 3: Doing pretty good?

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Speaker 4: I'm looking forward to pissing off some more people.

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Speaker 2: Let's go. Let's go.

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Speaker 5: Uh.

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Speaker 1: We got your We're gonna do your Super well, we're

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gonna save your Super Bowl at take. We want to

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get to a little bit of NBA. You've got a

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couple of games here that we're gonna talk about. We

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want to talk about a team to fade, and we

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want to talk about one game to break down. So

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let's do the fade. Can we do the fade first?

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I always love when I was lov when you do

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the fame. What's a team that you're looking to fade

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moving forward here in the NBA?

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Speaker 4: Well, since the Wager Talk staff has so many people

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from the city of Detroit, and the office staff and

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the CEO. Let's fade Detroit, Andy. We got the Denver

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Nuggets at the Detroit Pistons this one. On the overnight line,

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I was licking my chops. Detroit was as high as

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minus six and a half and I thought, that line

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is way too big. It's come down. It's come down

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for a reason. I'm seeing fours across the board now,

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Detroit a four point favorite, total sitting at two twenty seven.

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Denver comes in with a record of thirty three and

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seventeen twenty nine and twenty nine against the spread, nineteen

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and seven on the road, so their road record looks

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very similar to the Pistons home record. Pistons have nineteen

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home wins. So what I'm really excited about for this

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game is the return of the Joker. Jokis came back

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his first game in over a month, thirty one points,

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twelve rebounds, five assists in just twenty five minutes. Guy

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hadn't played in a month and he knocks it out

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of the park like that. You know, a lot of

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people are in arms about the fact that Bill Belichick

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is in a first ballot Hall of Famer. Where is

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the outrage that the Joker hasn't won five straight MVPs.

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There is no question in my mind that he's the

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most dominant, the most valuable, the best player in the

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league and has been for five or six years now.

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Joel Embiid winning the MVP is a travesty SGA. He's

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mid compared to Joker. Anybody who's telling you that Joker

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isn't the best player in the league is either they

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don't know ball or they're being intellectually dishonest because of

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politics and financial incentives. But aside from that, the Pistons,

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they're in a bit of a look ahead spot. This

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is a non conference game. They got a pretty solid cushion,

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a five and a half game lead at the top

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of the East, and they got a back to back

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coming up on Thursday and Friday, with the second leg

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of the back to back against the Knicks, who are

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second in the East. I just don't think the level

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of urgency for the Pistons matches the level of urgency

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for the Nuggets, who are just half a game back

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in the Spurs from the Spurs in the Western Conference.

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For that second spot. And really they're a three game

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losing streak away from being in the NBA play in,

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So I think Denver needs this game more. Denver's won

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eight of the last ten meetings. The two losses both

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came by just two points. They're getting four points here.

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I think they're gonna win the game. Out right, we're

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fading the Detroit Pistons.

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Speaker 6: Andy On behalf of the Detroit office, and Johnny and

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Missy and M two and Chris and then everyone that's

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up there.

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Speaker 2: Well, we have to care to make this interesting. I mean,

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you can't go on and rip the Detroit Pistons here.

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So On, behalf of the Detroit staff. Let's do a

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three day pass. Let's uh, let's the numbers four, I believe.

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So you've got what do you got Denver?

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Speaker 5: Four?

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Speaker 3: Jesse? Is that that the number?

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Speaker 2: You like?

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Speaker 3: That's what I'm looking at.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, we'll take the Pistons at home minus four.

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It's getting warm here in Indianapolis's getting warm up in Detroit.

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The Pistons are heating up. So we'll go with the Pistons.

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And as always, Dan tell them how we can win

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a three day pass.

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Speaker 3: All right, let me break this down for you. After

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the show ends. Comment below with Jesse. If you think

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the the other side is the way to go with

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this one. If you think Detroit get in the four

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points here, comment below. Andy, you have to include your

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wager Talk user name. And if you do that, folks,

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if your side covers the four points, you are entered

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it to an a free three day flex pass. It's

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that simple, that simple, Andy. But after the show goes

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lock and yes, I broke it down there. Nice for you,

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RJA slowly slowly after the show ends. Comment below.

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Speaker 1: RJ says it's crazy how wader Talk went from parlaser

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for lou to an SGP. On nearly every show, wager

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Talk was not parlayser for losers.

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Speaker 3: Lawrence, Yeah, Kelly, Kelly parlay for losers and and uh

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Lawrence Presman. That was like his like his big thing.

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He was like, unless you're doing a three leg and

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you get in the true odds, don't do the parleys.

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Speaker 4: Don't do Yeah, we should scrap the rest of the

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show and just let Dan do pres impressions.

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Speaker 5: As well.

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Speaker 3: Somehow well like here hiss like, oh somebody's talking about me.

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And then and then he'll somehow show up on this show.

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So let's not let's not summon that demon, Jesse's so

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let's let's let's see the course forward.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's move to an individual game breakdown here, Jesse.

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Let's do the Celtics and the Mavericks. Celtics, to me,

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probably the biggest surprise of the season. They're playing absolutely incredible.

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They're taking on the Mavericks. Uh, they're pretty big underdogs here,

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Mavericks plus six and a half over under two twenty

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three and a half. You've been lights out telling us

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about unders and how you've noticed there are a lot

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of teams going under the total and we just keep

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seeing it night in and night out, And you're one

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hundred percent correct. These totals were in the two thirties

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a month, two months ago. Now now you come on

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in there in their two twenties. Interesting if you're going

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with a side, if you're going with a total in this.

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Speaker 4: One, yeah, well this game isn't going to be quite

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as much fun, Andy, because I don't think I'm going

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to piss anybody off with this one. But I've certainly

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noticed that the Celtics are one of those teams that

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have been going under the number, But I'm questioning the

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spot for them here. Boston thirty one and eighteen, twenty seven,

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twenty one and one against the spread, fifteen and nine

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on the road, tied with the Knicks for first in

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the Atlantic, coming off back to back home wins over

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Milwaukee and Sacramento, and both of those games went under

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the number. They've gone under the number in eight of

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their last ten overall. The issue though, is this is

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the first leg of a back to back for the

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Celtics and they got Houston coming up to moreight. Boston

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seven to and one against the spread in their last ten,

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They've gone under in seven of their last ten versus

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the Mavericks, sorry, seven to two to one against the

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spread in their last ten versus Dallas and under and

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seven of those ten games Dallas. You know, obviously not

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a playoff team, not a ton to play for, but

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they are fourteen and fourteen at home, so if they

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could win tonight's game, they'd have a winning home record.

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They've lost four games in a row, but three of

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those games decided by six points or less. I got

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my eyes on Cooper Flag. He's got eighty three points

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in his last two games, and if you look at

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his last four games. He's averaging twenty three field goal

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attempts per game in his last four and I'm sure

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Andy would agree with me that looking at a guy's

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field goal attempts can be just as a point important

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or more than the points he's been scoring. His number

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for today's game twenty and a half points. I do

285
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like Cooper Flag to go over that number based on

286
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the fact that he's just getting a ton of looks.

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I do think it's a questionable spot for Boston playing

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the first leg of a back to back, And yeah,

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I would lean taking the points with the Mavericks if

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I was taking the side, but the play is going

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to be on Cooper Flag over twenty and a half points.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd have to agree with that. PG. Washington's out.

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Speaker 1: They're just so thin across the board the Dallas Mavericks,

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and yeah, you look at these attempts and they're through

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the roof.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Dallas did pretty good with that pick. Jesse.

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Speaker 1: I think they might have a winner there in Cooper Flag.

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So we're going to break down a Super Bowl prop. Telerom,

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what you have up? It's five dollars Tuesday over at

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wager talk.

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Speaker 4: I do have a college basketball total in the Mountain

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West for five dollars Tuesday, and I've got five super

303
00:14:56,480 --> 00:15:00,480
Bowl plays in a package for just twenty nine bucks.

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Get all five of them, get them today, get them

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before the lines move.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's do it. Talk about the super Bowl.

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Give me a prop. But I know the Patriots fans,

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I'm not going to be happy with you.

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Speaker 4: Well, Andy, I'm going to talk about who's going to

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win the super Bowl, and I'm going to talk directly

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to Patriots fans. I want to tell all of you

312
00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:26,240
out there, if you're a Patriots fan, Mike Vrabel and

313
00:15:26,399 --> 00:15:29,200
Drake May will win the Super Bowl. I just don't

314
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think it's going to be this year. I don't think

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00:15:31,879 --> 00:15:35,039
these two teams are close. I think you look at

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the strength of schedule, and I know it's a talking

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point that Patriots fans don't want to hear about or

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don't agree with, but it's undeniable. The Patriots played the

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softest schedule in the league this year. And when you

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look at their path to the super Bowl, it's not

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just who they played, it's who they played in the

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situation they played them in. The players that were missing,

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and the circumstances of how they won those games. Yes,

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they played the Houston Texans and the Houston Texans top

325
00:16:03,039 --> 00:16:06,480
wide receiver was out, but it's the turnovers, the four.

326
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Speaker 5: Picks by C. J.

327
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Speaker 4: Stroud. Yes, they played the La Chargers and the La

328
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Chargers offensive line was completely decimated, and their starting running

329
00:16:16,039 --> 00:16:18,759
back was announced not to be playing right before the

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game started, and they had a backup running back for

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that game, and Justin Herbert didn't play particularly well either,

332
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and then they sneak past the Denver Broncos in a snowstorm. Again,

333
00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:34,559
people will mention the backup quarterback for Denver. How about

334
00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:36,720
the fact that they didn't have a legit running back

335
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in that game either.

336
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Speaker 3: JK.

337
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Speaker 4: Dobbins was injured.

338
00:16:39,519 --> 00:16:39,679
Speaker 5: R J.

339
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Speaker 4: Harvey simply isn't very productive as a running back. And

340
00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:47,559
Jalil McLaughlin he's not related to Sarah. People aren't probably

341
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very familiar with Jalil McLaughlin. Anyways, the path here has

342
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been dubious at best for the Patriots. I don't think

343
00:16:55,679 --> 00:16:58,519
they're ready for a Seattle team. The line sitting at

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00:16:58,519 --> 00:17:01,080
four and a half now, I'm not playing the side.

345
00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:02,960
If you buy my package you're not going to get

346
00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,039
a play on the side. I didn't play a side

347
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last year. It's something I offered. There's a lot of

348
00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:10,240
bets available for the Super Bowl, and often the best

349
00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:12,359
value is to stay away from the side and focus

350
00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:15,640
on other angles. And so that brings me to a

351
00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:19,480
prop bet after I've crapped all over the Patriots, and

352
00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:22,960
I do think Seattle is the play here. But how

353
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do we take advantage of that in the prop market?

354
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:28,279
I'm going to look at the MVP. Traditionally, MVP award

355
00:17:28,599 --> 00:17:31,480
goes to the quarterback of the winning team. We've seen

356
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that in five of the last six Super Bowls. In fact,

357
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we haven't seen a running back win MVP since nineteen

358
00:17:38,279 --> 00:17:41,319
ninety seven. I believe Ralph said that was but man,

359
00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:43,839
that was a great Super Bowl with Trell Davis and

360
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the Denver Broncos. I remember making five hundred bucks on

361
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that back in the days of black and white televisions,

362
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when five hundred bucks was a lot of money. Anyways,

363
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,680
I like Kenneth Walker here. I like the fact that

364
00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:59,839
Sam Darnold, if there's a path for the Patriots, it's

365
00:18:00,079 --> 00:18:03,400
Sam Donald making mistakes. If they don't have to have

366
00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:05,720
Sam Donald go out there and be a hero, and

367
00:18:05,759 --> 00:18:09,640
they can lean on Kenneth Walker. I certainly believe he

368
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:11,440
can get it done. If you look at his numbers

369
00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:13,839
in the playoffs so far, he ran for one hundred

370
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:17,160
and sixteen yards and added twenty nine receiving yards three

371
00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:21,160
touchdowns against the forty nine Ers. Those are MVP type numbers.

372
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,920
Sixty two rushing yards and forty nine receiving yards and

373
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a touchdown last week against the Rams, but that was

374
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a close game. I think in order for Walker to

375
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,799
get the carries, get the touches in this game, it

376
00:18:34,839 --> 00:18:37,559
has to be a blowout for Seattle. But I think

377
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,720
there's a solid chance of that happening. The price on

378
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Walker is plus six point fifty to win the MVP.

379
00:18:44,759 --> 00:18:46,279
I think it's worth a sprinkle.

380
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,759
Speaker 1: If that ticket does not cash, that ticket will indeed

381
00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:53,640
end up in the arm of an angel.

382
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Speaker 3: There's a well done. Well done, Andy, very well done.

383
00:18:58,599 --> 00:19:01,519
Speaker 1: If you know, you know for the bets, stay for

384
00:19:01,599 --> 00:19:05,680
the Sarah McLoughlin jokes, Jesse, Jesse.

385
00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:11,160
Speaker 3: He is building a mystery, after all, This is very true.

386
00:19:11,599 --> 00:19:14,920
Speaker 2: Not expect the Sarah mcgloughlin. This is why you're the best.

387
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:15,799
Speaker 3: It was tasteful.

388
00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:18,079
Speaker 2: It's really really really well done.

389
00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:21,319
Speaker 1: So all right, So Jesse is supporting the Denver Nuggets night,

390
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:25,319
myself and the Detroit team is supporting the Detroit Pistons,

391
00:19:25,319 --> 00:19:29,279
and Jesse has his college basketball five dollars best bet

392
00:19:29,279 --> 00:19:31,759
that is up, Jesse. Best of luck to you rooting

393
00:19:31,839 --> 00:19:34,440
on Kenneth Walker and half of us are rooting on

394
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:34,880
the Nuggets.

395
00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:36,759
Speaker 2: Half of us are rooting on the Pistons to night.

396
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:41,519
Good luck to you, brother, Thanks for having me, guys appreciated.

397
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:42,960
Speaker 3: Jesse, And yes, of course, after the video goes live,

398
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:45,400
Andy comment below with who he's going to cover that

399
00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:47,920
Pistons game with your age talk user name. That's your

400
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:51,000
chance to win a free three day flex path That easy.

401
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:54,759
Speaker 1: Yep question Andy, Any cricket place coming soon? Yes, The

402
00:19:54,799 --> 00:20:01,559
T twenty World Cup starts this weekend. The first few games,

403
00:20:01,839 --> 00:20:04,720
let's just say they're a little juicy. Dan India is

404
00:20:04,759 --> 00:20:09,519
minus ten thousand over US, West Indies is minus eleven

405
00:20:09,599 --> 00:20:13,039
hundred and Pakistan is minus two thousand. We will not

406
00:20:13,079 --> 00:20:16,279
be getting involved, but if you have a lot of money,

407
00:20:16,319 --> 00:20:19,160
you should put it on India to beat the US

408
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:22,960
in cricket. So once the lines get a little better

409
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:26,160
in the World Cup, the T twenty World Cup, we

410
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,519
will have plays with that Six Nations tournament. Rugby starts

411
00:20:29,559 --> 00:20:31,359
this week, so we will have plays in that. So

412
00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:35,720
we got a lot of good stuff coming up. We

413
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:39,440
mentioned the pope theory about the Super Bowl the last

414
00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:39,960
three times.

415
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,640
Speaker 3: Oh yesh, yeah, new Pope. The Seattle Seahawks make the

416
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,799
super Bowl when the new Pope is elected?

417
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:48,680
Speaker 1: Yes, okay, did you know there's a Groundhog Day?

418
00:20:48,759 --> 00:20:49,680
Speaker 2: Punks of twenty Phil?

419
00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:52,079
Speaker 3: No, but you know I'm all in on this. What

420
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,759
do we got because Groundhog he saw a shadow yesterday

421
00:20:54,759 --> 00:20:57,119
and he was well documented. We got six more weeks

422
00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:59,359
of winter, So how as better as can we cash

423
00:20:59,359 --> 00:20:59,839
in on this?

424
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:03,039
Speaker 1: In two thousand and two, two thousand and four, two

425
00:21:03,079 --> 00:21:07,640
thousand and five, twenty fifteen, In twenty seventeen, Punks Tony

426
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:12,440
Phil has seen his shadow on Groundhog's Day every year

427
00:21:12,599 --> 00:21:15,920
Patriots have won the Super Bowl, and he saw his shadow.

428
00:21:16,599 --> 00:21:18,880
Speaker 3: I don't want to hear that. That's not I don't

429
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:21,119
need to hear that, Andy. I mean, I have a

430
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,279
lot tied up here. Ye See, Leno already knew Leo

431
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,680
already knew this is this is one that I don't

432
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,240
like to hear. Andy. I like when these meaningless trends

433
00:21:30,319 --> 00:21:34,160
back my side eye. I don't like hearing that the

434
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:37,640
Patriots are winning because punks a Tony Phil saw a shadow.

435
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:39,799
It's not great, Andy, Before we talked about what you

436
00:21:39,839 --> 00:21:42,960
have coming here for five dollars Tuesday. You do a

437
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,960
lot of team totals across all sports. You know, it's

438
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,000
a fun thing, not only fun, but a smart thing

439
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,799
when you're able to isolate one side of the handicap.

440
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:55,079
Great question here by Shane or I guess statement by

441
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:59,319
Shane here he's looking at this Patriots team total over now,

442
00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:01,519
we've heard a couple of people talk about this game.

443
00:22:01,759 --> 00:22:04,000
A lot of folks think the defenses will be the

444
00:22:04,039 --> 00:22:06,839
star in this game, which would make a twenty seven

445
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:11,200
to twenty three final seem a bit lofty. But any

446
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:14,400
thoughts on team total either way in this game? Is

447
00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:16,319
it something that you're thinking you might attack as you

448
00:22:16,319 --> 00:22:18,039
add on into the Super Bowl here? Is it anything

449
00:22:18,079 --> 00:22:20,680
that could be in our SGP or are you just

450
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:22,519
crossing those off the list this year?

451
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,519
Speaker 1: I have no strong opinion on this one. I do

452
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:30,440
believe in the defenses we've seen Seattle give up some points,

453
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:35,519
but mostly to the Rams, and there's potentially an injury

454
00:22:35,559 --> 00:22:37,200
with Drake. May I think it might be a little

455
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:40,279
bit overblown. I just don't think they have the weapons

456
00:22:40,279 --> 00:22:43,599
at wide receiver to kind of blow open this offense.

457
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,599
It's going to be a lot of grinded out type

458
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:50,960
of series, and if I have to play anything, it's

459
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:51,359
a lean.

460
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,000
Speaker 2: But Shane, I will be rooting.

461
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:57,559
Speaker 1: For you, just like spirit I I just don't have

462
00:22:57,599 --> 00:22:59,759
a strong opinion. So the answer is no, I don't

463
00:22:59,759 --> 00:23:01,799
have a strong opinion, but I will be rooting for you, Shane.

464
00:23:01,839 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 2: How's that?

465
00:23:02,839 --> 00:23:05,480
Speaker 3: Yeah? And I'm with you. It's just it's really tough

466
00:23:05,519 --> 00:23:08,680
for me. I kind of crossed the total off off

467
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:10,480
for me. I said, you know, I don't really love

468
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,319
the side. I don't really love the total. We are

469
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,400
not sure you know exactly how this game is going

470
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,759
to go. Will these quarterbacks return to a different formal

471
00:23:18,839 --> 00:23:20,960
Drake maybe back to that MVP form when he was

472
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:24,359
playing against bad defenses, or has this rays of competition

473
00:23:24,519 --> 00:23:28,119
really made the second year quarterback struggle. All of those

474
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,599
factors are just too much for me to talk totals

475
00:23:30,599 --> 00:23:31,640
in this game personally.

476
00:23:32,759 --> 00:23:35,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I agree with you.

477
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 1: Can we just collectively agree that Groundhog Day is truly

478
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:39,759
the strangest thing.

479
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:43,319
Speaker 2: It's so dumb as a society.

480
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 3: Do we bring rat out of the ground, Andy, and

481
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:49,079
we're like, it's a bunch of drunk people in punk Satani,

482
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,559
which there's there's nothing to do in punk Satani other

483
00:23:51,599 --> 00:23:53,599
than one day a year you go out there at

484
00:23:53,799 --> 00:23:57,839
what is it called, like Gobbler's Knob or something like that, which, again,

485
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,079
what are we doing Gobbler's Knob? Uh, you know, adjacent

486
00:24:01,079 --> 00:24:05,880
to Inner Intercourse, Pennsylvania Blue Ball not far either, but

487
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,720
these Pennsylvania town names. You don't know what you're doing

488
00:24:08,759 --> 00:24:11,240
with a Mandy. But I'm with you. When I when

489
00:24:11,279 --> 00:24:13,680
I was doing local radio, we used to take a

490
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,440
bus trip and we would we would bust people out

491
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:20,960
there to go to Gobbler's Knob. It absolutely snogged up. Yeah,

492
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,440
and the bus was full every year, Andy, and they

493
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:26,640
would stand out there like two in the morning. You

494
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,079
gotta go to get your spot. But I'm with you, man,

495
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,799
But let's be real. Is punk Satani any worse of

496
00:24:32,839 --> 00:24:35,559
a weather prognosticator than the people who are actually paid

497
00:24:35,759 --> 00:24:38,000
to uh to tell us what the weather.

498
00:24:37,839 --> 00:24:42,119
Speaker 2: Is a man stands there in a suit and hold.

499
00:24:42,039 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 3: Up with the top hand with the top holds up

500
00:24:46,319 --> 00:24:51,680
a groundhog. Leave the roundog like in in in lion

501
00:24:51,759 --> 00:24:54,920
King just just brings him for all of the all

502
00:24:55,039 --> 00:24:57,839
the gobblers knobbers to see.

503
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:01,119
Speaker 1: Yes, why couldn't it be like a a sweet dog?

504
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:02,359
Speaker 2: I couldn't it be?

505
00:25:02,559 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 3: Now, Winnie the mini the rat? No stick the rat

506
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,039
in the ground stick that? Oh wow, we have we

507
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:14,400
have a fraud alert. Phil is a fraud. Mike's sick

508
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:16,400
of that guy. He's tired of Wait a.

509
00:25:16,319 --> 00:25:20,559
Speaker 1: Minute, that's a rabbit in a costume. It's a rabbit

510
00:25:20,599 --> 00:25:21,240
in a fat sick?

511
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:23,799
Speaker 2: What is going on? Oh?

512
00:25:23,839 --> 00:25:26,680
Speaker 1: Man punks a tony Phil? So all right, it's five

513
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:29,240
dollars Tuesday, Dan uh. We decided to go to the

514
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:33,559
UFC best bet that is up. So I've been on

515
00:25:33,599 --> 00:25:35,400
a little bit of a cold streak with NBA, so

516
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:36,400
I did not want to put up.

517
00:25:36,319 --> 00:25:38,119
Speaker 2: An NBA play.

518
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 1: We have a pending tennis play, so I really didn't

519
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,680
have any tennis pieces and we're coming off one UFC

520
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:44,440
play on Saturday.

521
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:45,640
Speaker 2: That was the only play we had at one.

522
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,559
Speaker 1: It was a four percenter and there's basically a couple

523
00:25:48,599 --> 00:25:50,640
of spots I like on the UFC card, and we

524
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:53,079
had to fire a four percent UFC best bet, so

525
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:56,440
I can't believe it's only five dollars, but you can

526
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:57,480
get it WT dot.

527
00:25:57,319 --> 00:25:58,319
Speaker 2: Buzz slash a l.

528
00:25:58,759 --> 00:26:01,599
Speaker 1: It's it's a letdown of a card from coming off

529
00:26:01,599 --> 00:26:04,319
of UFC three twenty four and three twenty five, and

530
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:06,400
sometimes these are the best ones you get, some of

531
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,400
these one sided matchups. So I think we've isolated some

532
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,240
good spots. I'm excited about this card, So one play

533
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,920
five bucks. It's a four percent UFC best bet, and uh.

534
00:26:16,079 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 2: That's available now up until midnight.

535
00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:24,920
Speaker 1: Let's bring in uh oh Steve Uhre super. I came

536
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:26,160
to the Great five somebody, do you know when you

537
00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:27,920
will release your other props?

538
00:26:28,039 --> 00:26:30,920
Speaker 2: Yes? So I will be.

539
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:34,079
Speaker 1: Released and probably Wednesday. Moving forward, I like to wait

540
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:36,240
until the lines get a little bit more settled. I

541
00:26:36,279 --> 00:26:39,240
don't see if I put out lines last week, they've

542
00:26:39,279 --> 00:26:43,000
all been obliterated and they've all been changing. So I

543
00:26:43,599 --> 00:26:46,000
don't like putting things in packs out up there for

544
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:47,680
a week when the lines are going to be completely

545
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:48,680
different from when you get it.

546
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,559
Speaker 2: So we'll have probably three to five more plays.

547
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,200
Speaker 1: But as far as what you're betting with your real

548
00:26:54,279 --> 00:26:57,599
earned money, it's that five percent one. So yes, expect

549
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,319
up until the super Bowl to get some of these lines.

550
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:04,720
All right, let's bring it, Ralph.

551
00:27:04,839 --> 00:27:05,440
Speaker 3: The penny.

552
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:10,119
Speaker 5: The pen is here, so you know when I'm listening

553
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:11,880
to you and Jessee and oh my god, I don't

554
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,240
even know how to start between Sarah McLoughlin and hey,

555
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,799
you know what, someone accomplished a hell of a lot

556
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:21,160
on Groundhog's Day. I was sitting here yesterday. I took

557
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,640
a gummy and I was sipping Crown Apple and I

558
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:26,839
freaking watched the last hour of Groundhog Day with Bill Murray.

559
00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:29,680
Speaker 2: Oh great movie, great movie.

560
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:33,279
Speaker 3: And Robert, this is no way to talk about our

561
00:27:33,319 --> 00:27:35,640
friend Ralph. This is no way to talk about our

562
00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:39,119
friend Ralph breaking up a poor hibernating animal. This is ridiculous, Robert,

563
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,960
come on, show some respect for the pen.

564
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,480
Speaker 5: I want to I do want to quantify, though, Andy.

565
00:27:45,519 --> 00:27:48,079
I went to the database, and I know Jesse has

566
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:51,640
brought up the unders, and I know my son lost

567
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,599
his seventeen game winning streak and almost every play he

568
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,640
had wasn't under. So let me quantify it for you viewers.

569
00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:01,799
In October in the NBA, the over unders were forty

570
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:05,119
seven and thirty three, fifty nine percent to the over.

571
00:28:06,279 --> 00:28:06,759
Speaker 2: Wow.

572
00:28:06,839 --> 00:28:11,119
Speaker 5: January ninety three and one forty That is thirty nine

573
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:15,079
point nine percent to the under. So nineteen more percent

574
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:19,119
plays have gone under in January than they did in November.

575
00:28:19,319 --> 00:28:21,559
That's a massive change from one month to the other.

576
00:28:22,519 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 2: Wow, that's a that's amazing.

577
00:28:26,039 --> 00:28:26,200
Speaker 3: Man.

578
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 2: I don't and and I watch NBA every night. I

579
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:32,799
can't wrap my I don't know if it's the officiating.

580
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:36,759
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's load management of players are injured.

581
00:28:36,799 --> 00:28:38,960
I don't have a rhyme or a reason for it.

582
00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:42,480
But the numbers speak for themselves. We're talking unders there

583
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,839
in the in the NBA. So interesting nursing line there, Ralph,

584
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:54,200
you've got Peacock doubleheader here in UH in UH college basketball.

585
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:58,680
Here's yeah Xavier Yukon Indiana versus USC My Hoosiers. But

586
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:03,079
we're gonna start with Yukon Monster favorites here minus seventeen

587
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:07,119
and a half over under one forty seven and a half.

588
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:10,119
Speaker 2: Wow. All right, what do you make of this game?

589
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:10,920
We lay in the wood?

590
00:29:11,839 --> 00:29:14,519
Speaker 5: Well, first, let's talk do they deserve to be that

591
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:18,200
size of the favorite. Absolutely. They're twenty one and one.

592
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:23,440
They've played the nineteenth toughest schedule. They're eleven to zero

593
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:26,559
in the Big East, and their only loss was back

594
00:29:26,599 --> 00:29:30,920
on November nineteenth to Arizona, who some considered the best

595
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:35,920
team in college basketball. You look at Xavier. Xavier now

596
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,480
twelve and ten on the year, they've only played the

597
00:29:38,559 --> 00:29:42,759
number fifty schedule in the Big East. They're only four

598
00:29:42,799 --> 00:29:47,799
and seven. The first meeting back on New Year's Eve,

599
00:29:48,839 --> 00:29:52,480
Yukon was laying eleven and a half at Xavier, and

600
00:29:52,519 --> 00:29:56,400
they easily won that game ninety to sixty seven. So

601
00:29:56,519 --> 00:29:59,880
we look at the first matchup, the better team dominated.

602
00:30:00,359 --> 00:30:03,400
We add in six point home edge, three that you're

603
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:06,160
taking away from Xavier, three that you're adding to Yukon,

604
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:10,000
and the line is exactly seventeen and a half, exactly

605
00:30:10,039 --> 00:30:12,480
where it should be. So now let's see if there's

606
00:30:12,559 --> 00:30:15,240
value playing the favored or not. Let me say this,

607
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,880
Yukon can easily win the national championship. Again. You want

608
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:25,640
to discuss a team, This team has no superstars. Everybody

609
00:30:25,799 --> 00:30:28,759
is balanced. Listen to these guys that have started the

610
00:30:28,839 --> 00:30:32,720
last two years solo ball fifty six starts, Alex Carabin

611
00:30:32,839 --> 00:30:37,559
fifty five starts. You have Brandon Miller, a true frost

612
00:30:37,799 --> 00:30:41,720
he started twelve games, Silas Demriy thirty three starts at

613
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:45,119
Georgia last year all twenty two starts here, and then

614
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:47,960
Jalen Stewart with twenty four starts. The last two years,

615
00:30:48,319 --> 00:30:52,640
the team has five players. All five starters are averaging

616
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:56,799
between ten point six and fourteen point six points per game,

617
00:30:57,119 --> 00:31:01,039
So you have all five starters within a four point range.

618
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,680
That means you never are counting on one person in

619
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:09,440
one game. With that said, as the season progresses, they

620
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:12,519
don't need to win big, they just want to continue

621
00:31:12,519 --> 00:31:16,359
to win. Yukon is only seven and fifteen against the

622
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:20,480
spread this season, and after they cashed their first three

623
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,559
Big East games this year, they are only one in

624
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,759
seven against the spread. The only game they covered was

625
00:31:26,799 --> 00:31:29,319
their last game when they were laying six and a

626
00:31:29,359 --> 00:31:33,759
half points to Crayton on the road. We look at

627
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:38,000
Connecticut schedule. As I said, last Saturday, they had a

628
00:31:38,079 --> 00:31:40,559
huge game against Creighton. Creighton was number three I think

629
00:31:40,559 --> 00:31:42,519
in the Big East. They went to Creighton and win

630
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:47,160
on deck. They have a trip to Saint John's. Saint

631
00:31:47,279 --> 00:31:50,440
John's is nine and one in the Big Ten and

632
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:55,880
only one game behind them. I look at Xavier and

633
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:59,759
I say, I'm okay backing Xavier as a dog this year.

634
00:32:00,119 --> 00:32:03,400
They're nine and four against the spread. They like pushing

635
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:05,880
the tempo, so they get some back door covers. And

636
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:08,279
by the way, they're eleven and two over under as

637
00:32:08,319 --> 00:32:11,440
a spread. They're six and five in the Big East,

638
00:32:11,559 --> 00:32:14,440
eight and two over under against the spread. But again,

639
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:19,200
the the schedule stands out to me. Connecticut knows they

640
00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:22,119
blow this team thout. They're off a road game against

641
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,880
the top tier team. They have a road game on deck,

642
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:27,960
And I went to the database. Guys, if you are

643
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,880
a home favorite of fourteen or more and you're a

644
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:36,359
top ten team and on deck you have a ranked

645
00:32:36,359 --> 00:32:40,039
opponent that you're playing on the road, those teams, guys,

646
00:32:40,039 --> 00:32:44,480
since twenty twelve have only gone They've gone fifty four

647
00:32:44,519 --> 00:32:47,640
and one straight up, but they've gone twenty and thirty

648
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:51,119
five only thirty six point four percent against the spread.

649
00:32:52,039 --> 00:32:56,160
The line is correct, the situation is correct, but the

650
00:32:56,200 --> 00:33:01,240
scheduling situation favors the Musketeers. I will back Xavier in this.

651
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:05,400
Speaker 1: Role all right, getting all of those seventeen and a

652
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:09,599
half points. Tonight, Ralph, we're going to talk Indiana and

653
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:14,559
USC my Hoosiers, trying to prove they're.

654
00:33:14,359 --> 00:33:16,440
Speaker 2: Still a basketball school. Nobody's buying it.

655
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 1: A couple of big wins for Indiana here, beat Purdue,

656
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:21,559
beat Ucla.

657
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:23,400
Speaker 2: They're still out on the West Coast.

658
00:33:23,759 --> 00:33:26,079
Speaker 1: They're ever so slight favorite, pretty close to a picking

659
00:33:26,319 --> 00:33:28,240
minus one and a half year with an over under

660
00:33:28,559 --> 00:33:29,920
one fifty two and a half.

661
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:31,319
Speaker 2: How do you break this one down?

662
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 5: Well, let's look at the body of work. USC sixteen

663
00:33:35,519 --> 00:33:39,440
and six against the number thirty five schedule Indiana fifteen

664
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:43,279
and seven. But Indiana's played the fourteenth toughest schedule guys,

665
00:33:43,279 --> 00:33:48,119
so they have done well relative to their schedule. In

666
00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:52,160
Big Ten play, the offenses and defenses are basically close.

667
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:55,640
So it's a very close situation. I will say this.

668
00:33:56,119 --> 00:33:59,200
Eric Musselman pointed out that USC is six and one

669
00:33:59,599 --> 00:34:02,599
in game decided by one possession. That's the best in

670
00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:05,599
the country. So they've learned to win some close games.

671
00:34:05,799 --> 00:34:07,839
The only game they lost was when we went to

672
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:11,400
Iowa a couple games ago, and they only fell short

673
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:16,599
by a single point. I look at Indiana. They are

674
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:19,519
a three point shooting team. As you know, Andy, they

675
00:34:19,519 --> 00:34:22,960
are number eight in the country. Fifty two percent of

676
00:34:23,079 --> 00:34:26,400
all their shots are from three points. That's crazy number,

677
00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:29,440
and they're very good at it. They're number eighty five

678
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:32,320
in the country. They've played better of late. They're actually

679
00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:35,760
number three in three point shooting in the Big Ten.

680
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:41,360
Now the Trojans are number fourteen and three pointd and

681
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:45,079
only number five in the Big Ten. So that has

682
00:34:45,119 --> 00:34:49,000
me saying, you know, excuse me. Trojans are number one

683
00:34:49,159 --> 00:34:51,800
forty two fifty eight and three point offense. They are

684
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:57,320
number fourteen in three point defense. USC fast paced team

685
00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:03,360
number sixty seven, Indiana low paced team, number two eight. Now,

686
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:09,159
Indiana is off a double overtime game. And if you're

687
00:35:09,559 --> 00:35:12,719
playing a conference game on the road, off a double

688
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:17,519
overtime game and the line is under eight, so you

689
00:35:17,599 --> 00:35:21,239
are a small favorite or a dog, what do you

690
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:25,320
expect to happen? You expect to upper team like USC,

691
00:35:25,639 --> 00:35:28,199
to try to press the tempo, to keep a team

692
00:35:28,199 --> 00:35:30,960
that scored ninety eight points and play two overtimes two

693
00:35:31,079 --> 00:35:35,320
days ago. And that has been the case teams in

694
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:39,159
college basketball that are a conference road team with a

695
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:41,800
line under eight, so that means a favorite or a

696
00:35:41,800 --> 00:35:44,519
dog up to eight with two days of rest or less,

697
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:50,280
forty overs and fifteen unders, that is seventy three percent

698
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:54,320
to the over. Also, surprisingly, the teams like Indiana off

699
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:57,440
a double overtime game are actually thirty four and twenty

700
00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:00,360
two sixty one percent against the spread. I've thought that

701
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,760
would have been a fad situation that data tells us

702
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:07,760
it's not. Now. USC is a team I have circled.

703
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:12,760
They were injury riddled for six weeks. They have most

704
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:16,039
of those players back, and they have eleven players that

705
00:36:16,159 --> 00:36:20,119
made starts this season. Only three of those players have

706
00:36:20,199 --> 00:36:23,440
started more than eighteen games. But if you haven't watched

707
00:36:23,519 --> 00:36:27,920
USC play, you need to tune in and make sure

708
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:32,880
you keep your eye on Elijah Renez. Yes, it's Gilbert's son.

709
00:36:33,119 --> 00:36:36,119
He was in that car accident last year. He just

710
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:39,000
came back a few weeks ago. He started the last

711
00:36:39,039 --> 00:36:42,000
four games, and he will take their offense to the

712
00:36:42,039 --> 00:36:44,840
next level. So he is a player worth watching this

713
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:48,280
game tonight and look how good he is. But my

714
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:51,000
breakdown is going to come this guys. I like looking

715
00:36:51,159 --> 00:36:56,599
at what teams did against elite defensive and offenses and

716
00:36:56,679 --> 00:37:00,639
what they did against the other foes so is only

717
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:05,480
one in six Against top fifty offenses, they're fourteen and

718
00:37:05,599 --> 00:37:09,800
one offense is rated fifty or higher. Well, USC is

719
00:37:10,079 --> 00:37:13,320
seventy two. That puts Indiana in the fourteen to one range.

720
00:37:14,079 --> 00:37:18,840
Indiana versus top forty offenses only one in six, but

721
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:23,039
they are fourteen and one against offenses that rank forty

722
00:37:23,119 --> 00:37:28,320
or higher. USC number forty five. That puts them in

723
00:37:28,360 --> 00:37:32,440
a fourteen to one category. Now, USC against top sixty

724
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:36,480
five offenses only one in six. They're fourteen to zero

725
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:40,639
against poor offenses rated sixty five or higher. Not only

726
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:44,880
is Indiana number twenty nine, it is the fourth best

727
00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:50,400
offense they faced. And against top fifty d's USC is

728
00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:54,119
four and five, but fourteen and one against those fifty

729
00:37:54,159 --> 00:37:58,920
four higher. Indiana is right at that line. So the

730
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:02,239
total makes sense to me on the over. The Indiana

731
00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:05,400
makes sense on me, But I'm gonna give you a

732
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:13,360
best bet with one stipulation. Indiana is without Tayton Connterway,

733
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:16,519
their point guard. They need him tonight for the over

734
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:20,000
or to cover. He missed the UCLA game. That's why

735
00:38:20,039 --> 00:38:23,639
they struggled in the double overtime he's a game time decision.

736
00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:26,159
If he plays tonight, if he is warming up and

737
00:38:26,199 --> 00:38:28,760
they have him in the lineup, I will back at

738
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,920
Indiana and overplay without him in the lineup. I'm just

739
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,320
gonna give you an opinion on Indiana and we'll see

740
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:34,840
what happens.

741
00:38:36,639 --> 00:38:38,320
Speaker 1: All right, So we got away a little bit on

742
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:42,639
the injury report here. Hell of a breakdown, Ralph it.

743
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:45,559
Speaker 5: You know, it's a fun game. I've been on USC

744
00:38:45,639 --> 00:38:47,760
watching them for a while, and like I said, they're

745
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:50,920
a team you know right now, their numbers are mediocre.

746
00:38:51,519 --> 00:38:53,960
If they gel properly, they're a team that can come

747
00:38:54,039 --> 00:38:55,599
in in surprise and win the Big Ten as a

748
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:57,840
you know, seven, eight or nine seed. You know the

749
00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:01,800
way injuries during the sea like this, especially in conference play,

750
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,480
you get injured early and you're playing nobody's you don't

751
00:39:04,519 --> 00:39:08,480
get that same cohesiveness you have injured players missing conference

752
00:39:08,519 --> 00:39:11,400
games and road games. It gets those young kids so

753
00:39:11,559 --> 00:39:14,159
much more prepared for the pressure that is the Big

754
00:39:14,199 --> 00:39:15,199
Ten conference tourney.

755
00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:19,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree completely. We see this all the time.

756
00:39:19,679 --> 00:39:22,840
Speaker 1: So there's there's like two conferences every year that some

757
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:25,400
team comes out of nowhere and wins as.

758
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:27,000
Speaker 2: A ten to one, seven to one, eighth to one

759
00:39:27,440 --> 00:39:28,159
underdog shows.

760
00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:30,199
Speaker 5: And you got to remember this though, Andy, we've seen

761
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,440
such a change. You look at some of these teams

762
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:35,679
that play that second weekend. If you play the first weekend,

763
00:39:35,679 --> 00:39:38,440
you have no issues. These Big ten teams don't want

764
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:40,840
to have to win five straight games and then prep

765
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,320
for a game that next Thursday. There are times when

766
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:46,719
the team like Connecticut or Arizona, they don't give a

767
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:48,719
shit that they lose in the second round of the

768
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:51,880
Big That's not their goal is to win the Big

769
00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:54,559
twelve tournament. Their goal is to win the national championship.

770
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,480
So a few days extra of rest. Coaches don't come

771
00:39:57,519 --> 00:39:59,519
out and say it, but if you read between the lines,

772
00:39:59,679 --> 00:40:00,960
that have happens more than you think.

773
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:04,320
Speaker 2: Great stuff, Ralph, what do you have it for? Everybody?

774
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:08,519
Speaker 5: On five dollars Tuesdays, College Football sides on a nineteen

775
00:40:08,559 --> 00:40:12,480
and five run seventy nine percent, number one in college

776
00:40:12,519 --> 00:40:16,079
football the last thirty days. Check it out again five

777
00:40:16,159 --> 00:40:19,639
dollars at wager talk me and every other capper and

778
00:40:19,639 --> 00:40:22,599
Andy and Dan thank you for mentioning the guide yesterday.

779
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:26,199
I want to throw out a few quick prop results.

780
00:40:26,599 --> 00:40:30,320
Now the guide is nine pages long. It breaks down

781
00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:32,480
the Super Bowl history, like did you know in the

782
00:40:32,519 --> 00:40:36,679
Super Bowl dogs have covered five straight and dogs have

783
00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:40,440
won the last five outright. And if you're betting New England,

784
00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:44,679
remember this. The last eleven times the underdog has covered

785
00:40:44,679 --> 00:40:47,880
the Super Bowl, they have won the game outright. So

786
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:51,480
I'll steal VRS line. If you're thinking about playing New England,

787
00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,199
there's absolutely no reason to not sprinkle some on the

788
00:40:54,199 --> 00:40:59,800
money line. A couple more, I'll mention fifteen straight winners

789
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:04,199
on the team to score last wins the game that

790
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:08,880
lost yesterday, that lost last year. But remember dan Philly

791
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:10,960
was up what twenty nothing or twenty seven to nothing

792
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:13,360
and a half time it was just garbage time the

793
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:15,599
whole second half. So that was the first time in

794
00:41:15,679 --> 00:41:18,559
sixteen years that the team to score last won the game.

795
00:41:19,039 --> 00:41:21,800
I do like that to revert back. Will there be

796
00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:24,239
a score the first six minutes of the game, no

797
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:27,000
has won back to back and then No is eight

798
00:41:27,039 --> 00:41:30,360
and one the last nine years. Will there be a

799
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:33,239
score the last two minutes of the first half? Three

800
00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:36,480
straight yeses, and the yeses are eleven and five the

801
00:41:36,559 --> 00:41:40,320
last sixteen years. And I'm gonna give you a free

802
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:43,679
prop that I have loaded for a client release right now.

803
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:48,039
The shortest TD will be under one and a half yards.

804
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:51,199
That has won four of five and has won eight

805
00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:55,679
of ten. Joe Public thinks, wow, I either can say

806
00:41:55,719 --> 00:41:59,280
we're gonna have a one yard touchdown or anything longer. Well,

807
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:03,000
both passing appearances in the end zones, with missed extra points,

808
00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:06,639
with the defensive pressure on goal line stands, those tush pushes,

809
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:10,199
all of that does lead to much more pressure and

810
00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:13,400
the Super Bowl, unlike the regular season, you have many

811
00:42:13,599 --> 00:42:17,159
more touchdowns of only one yard. So that is an

812
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:21,719
actual client two percent play, the shortest TD under one

813
00:42:21,800 --> 00:42:24,800
and a half yards.

814
00:42:25,159 --> 00:42:26,559
Speaker 2: Love it, Love that play.

815
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:31,280
Speaker 1: I would also throw in AJ Barner anytime touchdown you

816
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:33,840
think AJ Barner, why is it only plus two forty?

817
00:42:34,159 --> 00:42:38,320
Speaker 2: He's their toush push guy. Oh and you.

818
00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:39,920
Speaker 5: Know, you know what, let me tell you this Andy

819
00:42:40,679 --> 00:42:45,280
one value that people don't look at. As we keep

820
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:47,480
getting more and more props, I think the Westgate was

821
00:42:47,519 --> 00:42:51,280
what eighty six pages. What happens is they try to

822
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:54,800
appease Joe Public to get more bets. So when they

823
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,880
put out player props will score a touchdown. It used

824
00:42:57,920 --> 00:42:59,840
to be they used to have three or four for each.

825
00:43:00,559 --> 00:43:03,280
Now you're seeing six, seven and eight where you can

826
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:07,039
find value on nose. My biggest super beIN whatever was

827
00:43:07,199 --> 00:43:09,760
I bet every no for New England and the Rams

828
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:14,320
and that one touchdown wowl. But so don't automatically think

829
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:16,840
you want to bet yes because the public likes yes's

830
00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:20,400
and the overs. In Super Bowl props, you often find

831
00:43:20,400 --> 00:43:23,599
more value on the unders and the nose. So take

832
00:43:23,639 --> 00:43:24,960
a look at those situations.

833
00:43:26,039 --> 00:43:29,440
Speaker 1: Ralph Michaels so much information. Thank you so much. Ron

834
00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:30,719
Pan sick.

835
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, say hi to the pen and the Crown Apple brother.

836
00:43:33,679 --> 00:43:34,679
Speaker 3: Yes. Yes.

837
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:36,960
Speaker 5: And just so you guys know, I'm here in South

838
00:43:37,000 --> 00:43:40,480
Florida and it was ninety ten days ago on Sunday.

839
00:43:41,079 --> 00:43:45,360
I woke up today and it was thirty four degrees.

840
00:43:45,559 --> 00:43:48,519
I will say, if you saw Florida and it goes

841
00:43:48,519 --> 00:43:51,679
from ninety to forty, that is much worse than anything

842
00:43:51,719 --> 00:43:54,079
you guys could talk about in Indi or Philly. A

843
00:43:54,119 --> 00:43:57,400
fifty degree drop. I'm looking around at these people won't

844
00:43:57,400 --> 00:43:59,519
even leave their houses and they have their park is

845
00:43:59,559 --> 00:44:00,960
covering their doors and stuff.

846
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,639
Speaker 3: It's that's crazy.

847
00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:05,880
Speaker 5: So we're all feeling the effects even down here.

848
00:44:06,079 --> 00:44:11,199
Speaker 3: Yes, Florida. All right, Ralph, stay warmed, buddy, always shut

849
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:14,920
out having me on. Thank you to Ralph Michael's w

850
00:44:15,039 --> 00:44:19,880
t US backslash r M and that college basketball that

851
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:21,800
Ralph was talking about. You can grab over at his

852
00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:23,199
page college basketball.

853
00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:25,719
Speaker 1: After all, you have an over problem in the Serpbowl

854
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:31,440
that isn't anti New England. Remondre over eleven and a

855
00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:34,079
half on his longest rush. He's gone over in seven

856
00:44:34,119 --> 00:44:36,960
straight games, so he's gonna get a lot of work.

857
00:44:37,039 --> 00:44:39,599
Speaker 2: And he's he's explosive, he's there.

858
00:44:39,719 --> 00:44:41,960
Speaker 1: He's their belcal At this point, Travon Henderson is non

859
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,760
existent against Denver, so uh yeah, he just needs to

860
00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:45,519
break one long one.

861
00:44:45,599 --> 00:44:47,480
Speaker 2: So there's one for you. Do you have one day?

862
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:50,519
Speaker 3: So so I'll give it out in our s g P.

863
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:54,199
It's a it's a pro New England bet. But I

864
00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:56,920
wanted to bring this up because Rex still basking in

865
00:44:56,960 --> 00:45:00,920
the Globe the Cooper Degene anytime touchdown. One of the

866
00:45:00,960 --> 00:45:03,440
things that I just thought was wild about how that

867
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:07,360
score happened, you know, for the tinfoil hat people out there.

868
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:09,719
We were doing wager talk last call, like we'll do

869
00:45:10,559 --> 00:45:13,320
this Sunday as well. Eleven am Ace is going to

870
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:14,840
be on it, and think Marco is going to be

871
00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:17,760
on it. So we'll have your wager talk last call

872
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:20,840
last year, I was the one producing it and VR

873
00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:23,599
came on and while he was on his like phone

874
00:45:23,639 --> 00:45:25,559
started blowing up and he was like, what is this

875
00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:28,599
And he said, I'm getting all kinds of messages bet

876
00:45:28,639 --> 00:45:32,800
Cooper Degene touchdown, bet defensive score for the Eagles. And

877
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,199
this was at eleven am the morning of the Super

878
00:45:35,199 --> 00:45:37,679
Bowl when we were doing the show live. So for

879
00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:40,000
the tinfoil hat people out there, that's one that always

880
00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:42,119
stands out to me that it's like, how was he

881
00:45:42,159 --> 00:45:46,679
getting a text about Coop to spread touchdown at eleven

882
00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:49,079
am the morning of the Super Bowl? And then boom

883
00:45:49,079 --> 00:45:51,159
lo and behold, Like while it was happening, the second

884
00:45:51,199 --> 00:45:53,000
he intercepting that ball, I was like, holy shit, he's

885
00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:55,760
going to score. And Yanni called it from the text

886
00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:58,159
that he was getting the morning of the Super Bowl.

887
00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:02,440
So it just blows my mind. Dandy blows somebody knew something.

888
00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:07,920
Speaker 1: For the most random comment in the life chat, how

889
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:10,239
accurate were you all with bets on Bears game?

890
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:12,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I he's throwing shade at the at the bet

891
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:15,320
on at crew and at me who faded the Bears

892
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:16,159
a couple of times.

893
00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:18,199
Speaker 2: That's where this is from.

894
00:46:18,400 --> 00:46:21,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's I think it's circling back being like, oh,

895
00:46:21,079 --> 00:46:23,079
you guys don't know ship because the Bears were the

896
00:46:23,079 --> 00:46:25,280
surprise team of the year who still ended up losing

897
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:25,960
in a home game.

898
00:46:26,119 --> 00:46:29,000
Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna say, Caleb Williams to throw two

899
00:46:29,039 --> 00:46:31,719
touchdowns and Kyle Mnung guy over receiving.

900
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:32,960
Speaker 3: Oh, you were cashing like crazy.

901
00:46:33,119 --> 00:46:34,679
Speaker 2: Those are great ones.

902
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:36,960
Speaker 3: So I ended up as a one seed in the

903
00:46:37,599 --> 00:46:40,039
in my fantasy playoffs thanks to Kyle Manung Guy. So

904
00:46:40,079 --> 00:46:42,599
while I was fading them, I was still still betting

905
00:46:42,599 --> 00:46:44,760
on them. But yes, they they did end up losing

906
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:48,039
a home game to get ejected from the super Bowl

907
00:46:48,199 --> 00:46:50,320
or you know, in playoff contention, they did end up

908
00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:53,719
losing at home. With all of the ab bloviating that

909
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:56,239
the fans did there, yes they got they got kicked out.

910
00:46:56,599 --> 00:46:59,400
Speaker 1: Well, I I didn't know. I didn't know the context

911
00:46:59,519 --> 00:47:00,199
of the Bear.

912
00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:04,920
Speaker 3: Was very specific. It was oddly specific, you know, And

913
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:07,519
I just know from from monitoring the bet on it

914
00:47:07,679 --> 00:47:14,000
comments who Marco got annihilated, VR got annihilated? In the

915
00:47:14,039 --> 00:47:16,760
comments for the Bears, hate that they that they were

916
00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:18,199
that they were dropping on there.

917
00:47:19,599 --> 00:47:22,760
Speaker 1: Uh, let's do the same game parlay here. Here's how

918
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:27,280
the same game parlay is gonna work. I get two legs,

919
00:47:27,599 --> 00:47:30,760
Dan gets two legs. We're building this off of DraftKings.

920
00:47:31,159 --> 00:47:32,480
I don't know what Dan's.

921
00:47:32,159 --> 00:47:32,800
Speaker 2: Two legs are.

922
00:47:33,159 --> 00:47:36,239
Speaker 1: I will guarantee I have a leg that Dan has

923
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,559
never even looked at. But I'm excited I did have

924
00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:43,679
I did have something funny I wish that they had.

925
00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:45,360
Speaker 2: They don't have it on DraftKings. Who will the m

926
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:47,280
v P think first?

927
00:47:47,599 --> 00:47:49,760
Speaker 1: And I was, I was, I was thinking myself, you know,

928
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:51,159
God is like the big favorite.

929
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:53,800
Speaker 2: What better way to what better way.

930
00:47:53,679 --> 00:47:57,119
Speaker 1: To like bless your same game parlay than to have

931
00:47:57,280 --> 00:47:59,280
God as a gues in it?

932
00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:00,679
Speaker 2: Like, how does that lose?

933
00:48:01,559 --> 00:48:03,199
Speaker 3: It doesn't. It doesn't hurt the chances.

934
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:05,280
Speaker 2: At least it doesn't hurt the chances.

935
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:10,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, so all right, all right, let's do same game part.

936
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:12,079
You want to go first with your first leg?

937
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:15,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, so first leg, here we go. I got something

938
00:48:15,159 --> 00:48:18,039
for you here, Lino, and I'm looking at Travon Henderson.

939
00:48:18,079 --> 00:48:22,280
We talked a lot about Ramandre Stevenson you know again,

940
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:23,960
I think this is going to be a game where

941
00:48:24,039 --> 00:48:26,719
running backs are featured early and they're featured often. I'm

942
00:48:26,719 --> 00:48:30,880
gonna take Traveon Henderson five or more rush attempts in

943
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,199
this game, I think. I think people are going to

944
00:48:33,280 --> 00:48:35,559
really get caught up in the fact that he had

945
00:48:35,599 --> 00:48:39,360
three attempts in the AFC Championship game Andy with the

946
00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:42,559
snow that was in that second half, a young running back,

947
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:46,079
Vrabel has shown if there are elements, I don't want

948
00:48:46,119 --> 00:48:48,280
someone with a question mark that could be dropping it

949
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:51,039
on the turf. I want Rimandre Stevenson, who once he

950
00:48:51,119 --> 00:48:54,920
had fumbling issues, he shored them up this season before

951
00:48:55,039 --> 00:48:57,960
that game where he had three attempts two weeks ago

952
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:02,599
Andy five or more attempts in twelve straight games for

953
00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:05,320
Traveon Henderson. I and Pats are gonna be using the

954
00:49:05,320 --> 00:49:07,480
full depth of all the weapons. Henderson is one of

955
00:49:07,519 --> 00:49:10,320
those weapons I talked earlier when we talked about rushing props.

956
00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:12,920
How I like his longest rushover. I also like him

957
00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:14,760
to see five or more carries in this game. So

958
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:18,079
let our first leg in the SGP Traveon Henderson five

959
00:49:18,119 --> 00:49:19,159
plus rush attempts.

960
00:49:20,960 --> 00:49:24,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to the sack props, and I want

961
00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:29,039
to fade this Patriots offensive line who's struggled mightily. And

962
00:49:29,119 --> 00:49:32,679
I'm gonna throw DeMarcus Lawrence at plus one fourteen to

963
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:36,599
have one sack. He's had exactly one in both of

964
00:49:36,639 --> 00:49:39,239
the playoff games. And I think they move him around

965
00:49:39,280 --> 00:49:42,280
a little bit and Drake May as mobile as he is,

966
00:49:42,559 --> 00:49:44,960
that actually works into the sacks a little bit because

967
00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,679
he doesn't throw the ball out, ball away yep, a lot,

968
00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:52,159
so pocket collapses, you get some weak protection. I can

969
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:54,199
see some sacks going see out the way. So I'm

970
00:49:54,199 --> 00:49:57,920
gonna throw DeMarcus Lawrence to have one sack.

971
00:49:58,159 --> 00:49:58,920
Speaker 2: So we got.

972
00:49:58,960 --> 00:50:01,840
Speaker 1: Travion five plus rush attempt to Marcus Lawrence to have

973
00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:02,440
one sack.

974
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:03,920
Speaker 2: What's your next one?

975
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:06,559
Speaker 3: Yeah? I was also I was looking at that Milton

976
00:50:06,559 --> 00:50:09,000
Williams prop to have a sack as well, but with

977
00:50:09,119 --> 00:50:11,960
the whole half sack thing that gets thrown in there,

978
00:50:12,159 --> 00:50:14,239
I wanted to cross that off because the Patriots are

979
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:16,239
kind of more of a swarming defense than one guy

980
00:50:16,320 --> 00:50:18,079
breaking through. So if you were able to find a

981
00:50:18,159 --> 00:50:20,360
half sack on any of these guys, maybe that's a

982
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:22,760
way that I would attack it from the Patriots perspective.

983
00:50:22,960 --> 00:50:25,320
But with you, DeMarcus Lawrence, I love it. Here's one

984
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:27,280
that I know that you weren't eyeing. Andy. You had

985
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:29,000
one that I'm not eyeing in this and I'll have

986
00:50:29,039 --> 00:50:32,000
one that you aren't. We're doing it. We're taking Jake

987
00:50:32,079 --> 00:50:37,679
Bobo to have a receiving yard, Andy, a single receiving

988
00:50:37,800 --> 00:50:41,440
yard for Jake Bobo. It's plus one twenty five. Here's

989
00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,239
the reason is Bobo he's the talk of the town.

990
00:50:44,280 --> 00:50:45,719
A lot of people are betting him to have a

991
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:48,800
touchdown because he had one in the most previous game. Here, Yes,

992
00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:53,199
Jake Bobo a lot of twelve personnel that you will

993
00:50:53,199 --> 00:50:55,400
be seeing in this game for the Seattle Seahawks. That

994
00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:58,679
means Bobo will be on the field in both playoff games. Andy.

995
00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:01,079
When they have been trying to do things a little

996
00:51:01,079 --> 00:51:04,199
bit different than just throwing the ball up to JSN

997
00:51:04,239 --> 00:51:06,519
every single play, he's gotten a target in each of them.

998
00:51:06,559 --> 00:51:07,760
He's gotten to catch in each of them. As a

999
00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:10,280
matter of fact, he had two targets last game. So yes,

1000
00:51:10,679 --> 00:51:13,039
season long, Jake Bobo hasn't been a guy who's been

1001
00:51:13,079 --> 00:51:15,519
on the field, but come playoff time, when they've changed

1002
00:51:15,559 --> 00:51:18,559
up their personnel a little bit. He has been featured here.

1003
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:20,719
All you have to do is catch one ball, Andy,

1004
00:51:21,039 --> 00:51:23,239
one ball for Jake Bobo. This is the kind of

1005
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:25,280
props that we like where it's just a guy who

1006
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:28,039
will be on the field to see a little bit

1007
00:51:28,079 --> 00:51:31,079
of action, full depth of options. Just like I said

1008
00:51:31,119 --> 00:51:33,480
with the Patriots, Jake Bobo to get a receiving yard.

1009
00:51:33,599 --> 00:51:34,920
Throw it in there, Andy.

1010
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,559
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, we got our Jake Bobo's.

1011
00:51:38,599 --> 00:51:40,360
Speaker 3: When he throws the ball, it will be the most

1012
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:43,239
electric play of the game. And he just mark that down.

1013
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:48,280
Speaker 1: I don't know about most electric play, but it will

1014
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:49,159
be exciting, all right.

1015
00:51:49,239 --> 00:51:51,639
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with I'm gonna go with Mac.

1016
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:55,400
Speaker 1: Collins to have twenty five plus receiving yards in this one.

1017
00:51:55,599 --> 00:51:59,280
Fifty one against Denver, sixty nine against Baltimore, forty three

1018
00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:01,599
against the Giant. The guy's been going over. I know

1019
00:52:01,639 --> 00:52:05,079
he's got an abdomen issue. If this man can walk

1020
00:52:05,159 --> 00:52:10,840
barefoot in zero degree temperature, a little abdomen auchi isn't

1021
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:14,039
going to keep this man from playing in producing.

1022
00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:16,199
Speaker 2: The wide receivers.

1023
00:52:16,199 --> 00:52:18,320
Speaker 1: A little limited stuff on Diggs is up and down.

1024
00:52:18,360 --> 00:52:20,599
But Mac Collins, he can jump up and go get

1025
00:52:20,599 --> 00:52:22,920
the ball. He's made some big catches. They trust him.

1026
00:52:23,119 --> 00:52:24,840
So I got mac collins twenty five plus.

1027
00:52:24,880 --> 00:52:26,760
Speaker 2: Don't be surprises. He can get this in one catch,

1028
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:29,360
just one catch on a long ball.

1029
00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:32,000
Speaker 3: You're not wrong. And that's kind of the way that

1030
00:52:32,039 --> 00:52:35,039
he goes is also across the middle kind of guy. Yeah,

1031
00:52:35,079 --> 00:52:36,480
and he makes a lot of sense to me, and

1032
00:52:36,519 --> 00:52:39,760
I love it. We're perfectly perfectly aligned as we have

1033
00:52:39,880 --> 00:52:42,760
two Seattle props and two New England props. And Andy

1034
00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:44,639
and I didn't run our props by each other because

1035
00:52:44,679 --> 00:52:46,840
if I did, Andy probably would have said, maybe picked

1036
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,840
something other than Jake Bobo. But Jake Bobo's in there, baby.

1037
00:52:50,039 --> 00:52:51,559
What's the payout that we're looking at?

1038
00:52:51,559 --> 00:52:54,320
Speaker 2: Andy? This is a perfect fifteen to one.

1039
00:52:54,679 --> 00:52:58,599
Speaker 1: So the recap is trivion five rush attempts to Marcus

1040
00:52:58,679 --> 00:53:02,360
Lawrence one sack, bow one or more receiving yards and

1041
00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:06,199
mccollins twenty five plus receiving yards. There is your fifteen

1042
00:53:06,440 --> 00:53:09,199
to one same game parlay for Super Bowl.

1043
00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:11,880
Speaker 3: I'm betting it. I'm betting at Andy. I'm betting it

1044
00:53:11,880 --> 00:53:14,000
with my own money. You're betting it with your own money.

1045
00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:16,119
We ride with you comment below and let us know

1046
00:53:16,159 --> 00:53:19,280
if this is a WTF for LFG. Who is tailing?

1047
00:53:19,559 --> 00:53:21,880
And also comment below and let us know what your

1048
00:53:22,039 --> 00:53:24,239
SGP is. We all know we're gonna be betting them

1049
00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,119
come Super Bowl Sunday. What legs are you throwing in there?

1050
00:53:27,199 --> 00:53:29,440
Let us know in the comments below. Let's build at

1051
00:53:29,559 --> 00:53:32,840
SGP and as Steve says, let's learn and earn and

1052
00:53:32,920 --> 00:53:36,119
win together. Love that line by our man, Steve Mayor.

1053
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:37,440
Speaker 2: It's pretty good.

1054
00:53:37,639 --> 00:53:40,159
Speaker 1: There is one prop that I think it's a novelty prop.

1055
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:44,639
It is on DraftKings, its next gen stats.

1056
00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:46,440
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to do a breakdown video on this.

1057
00:53:46,480 --> 00:53:47,440
It's minus one eighty.

1058
00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:50,920
Speaker 1: I don't care mccollins under nineteen and a half miles

1059
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:53,960
per hour. The fastest he's been clocked is eighteen and

1060
00:53:53,960 --> 00:53:58,239
a half. He's not a speedster. He jumps up, makes

1061
00:53:58,320 --> 00:54:01,280
tough catches and his feet are little calloust. All that

1062
00:54:01,360 --> 00:54:03,199
walking around in the freezing weather. I don't think he

1063
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:05,440
gets to nineteen and a half. This was minus one

1064
00:54:05,559 --> 00:54:08,119
sixty now it's minus win eighty. Sharp money is on

1065
00:54:08,199 --> 00:54:10,840
mac hollins under nineteen and a half miles per hour.

1066
00:54:11,119 --> 00:54:15,039
That's on DraftKings, go to novelty props and next gen stats.

1067
00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:16,320
Speaker 2: I'm gonna do it.

1068
00:54:16,360 --> 00:54:18,039
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna do a solo video and send that

1069
00:54:18,039 --> 00:54:19,960
to Chris and he's gonna be like, what the hell, man.

1070
00:54:20,679 --> 00:54:22,960
Speaker 3: It's happening. It's happening whether you like it or not.

1071
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:26,960
And on the YouTube channel is think about all of

1072
00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:28,800
these plays that we have given out on this show

1073
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:30,719
thus far, the two great guests that we had on

1074
00:54:30,760 --> 00:54:32,880
this show thus far, and we still haven't even gone

1075
00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:35,159
all around the world. It's time to go all around

1076
00:54:35,199 --> 00:54:35,480
the world.

1077
00:54:35,559 --> 00:54:38,880
Speaker 1: Baby, hold on, she heat over thirty miles an hour,

1078
00:54:39,039 --> 00:54:43,000
thirty miles an hour, twenty You can't run thirty.

1079
00:54:42,760 --> 00:54:43,400
Speaker 3: Miles an hour.

1080
00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:48,639
Speaker 2: Rashiek Press he's fast, He's not that fast. Twenty miles

1081
00:54:48,639 --> 00:54:49,239
an hour, all right.

1082
00:54:49,400 --> 00:54:52,079
Speaker 3: If he was an animal, he could probably get it done.

1083
00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:54,320
If he was an animal, he could probably get that.

1084
00:54:54,920 --> 00:54:56,960
Speaker 1: All right, Let's do all around the world and then

1085
00:54:56,960 --> 00:55:00,239
we'll get out of here for today. Pacers jazz I

1086
00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:04,480
just love these backup centers. Dany Kyle Flapowski over eight

1087
00:55:04,519 --> 00:55:07,760
and a half rebounds. I believe Nurkic is out, so

1088
00:55:07,800 --> 00:55:10,239
he's going to get plenty of opportunities. He's had twelve,

1089
00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:12,960
ten and twelve the last three games with nurkiicch outed lineup.

1090
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:16,239
Speaker 2: Pacers played last night, Dan they got out rebounded.

1091
00:55:16,599 --> 00:55:18,679
Speaker 1: I had to double check in triple check to see

1092
00:55:18,679 --> 00:55:21,280
if this is right. They got out rebounded by twenty three,

1093
00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:26,079
twenty three rebounds. They they got out rebounded by three

1094
00:55:26,159 --> 00:55:29,360
different guys had double digit rebounds against the Pacers last night.

1095
00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:31,760
So Flapowski looks like he's going to get the start.

1096
00:55:31,800 --> 00:55:36,360
Take his rebounds over Kraken and the Ducks. Tuban over

1097
00:55:36,440 --> 00:55:39,400
one and a half shots on goal. He's got a

1098
00:55:39,480 --> 00:55:43,159
really really good track record against Anaheim. Anaheim gives up

1099
00:55:43,199 --> 00:55:46,719
twenty second most shots on goal over twenty shots to

1100
00:55:46,760 --> 00:55:50,280
forwards and centers. Three straight games he's gone over against Anaheim,

1101
00:55:50,320 --> 00:55:53,679
and he's gone over this in the five straight and

1102
00:55:54,320 --> 00:55:56,760
this play started off twelve and twenty one to start

1103
00:55:56,800 --> 00:55:59,519
the season since then fifteen and five, so he's on

1104
00:55:59,559 --> 00:56:02,280
the trend up on this one and the Phoenix Open,

1105
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:05,599
I still call it the waste management. This is outside

1106
00:56:05,599 --> 00:56:08,000
of the majors, the single best golf tournament of the year.

1107
00:56:08,039 --> 00:56:10,960
If you haven't watched it, it's anarchy on the sixteenth hole,

1108
00:56:11,000 --> 00:56:14,800
Part three, massive party. They do this every super Bowl weekend.

1109
00:56:14,880 --> 00:56:17,800
It's an awesome tournament. And I'm gonna take Nick Taylor

1110
00:56:18,079 --> 00:56:20,800
to finish in the top forty. This line should be

1111
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:23,760
minus one eighty, minus one ninety. This guy's finished first

1112
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:26,360
and second in two of the last three years, and

1113
00:56:26,440 --> 00:56:29,400
he's finished top forty easily in both of his tournaments

1114
00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:31,679
this year. He loves this place. He's playing really good

1115
00:56:31,719 --> 00:56:33,599
right now. So Nick Taylor is going to finish in

1116
00:56:33,639 --> 00:56:36,159
the top forty at the Phoenix Open. And right after

1117
00:56:36,199 --> 00:56:39,119
this Dan and myself and Jan will be recording the

1118
00:56:39,199 --> 00:56:41,559
golf preview video gets you all the best bets for

1119
00:56:41,599 --> 00:56:43,519
the Phoenix Open. In my mind, this is when the

1120
00:56:43,519 --> 00:56:46,400
golf season starts with. This tournament's one of my favorites

1121
00:56:46,440 --> 00:56:50,559
to watch every single year. All right, thank you very much, guys,

1122
00:56:51,360 --> 00:56:53,119
good luck on all your bets. We're gonna do the

1123
00:56:53,119 --> 00:56:56,559
same thing tomorrow. I think Drew Martin is on and

1124
00:56:56,559 --> 00:56:58,679
someone asked if we Drew to try and make a

1125
00:56:58,679 --> 00:57:01,840
Peacock sound owner of the Peacock Doubleheaders.

1126
00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:04,840
Speaker 3: Let's see what we can do. I don't know if

1127
00:57:04,840 --> 00:57:07,119
that Drew's come out of his shell a little bit,

1128
00:57:07,119 --> 00:57:09,239
but I don't know if it's gone full peacock sound

1129
00:57:09,599 --> 00:57:11,239
almost see. Maybe you never know.

1130
00:57:11,800 --> 00:57:13,360
Speaker 1: Maybe we can just get him to shake his tail

1131
00:57:13,400 --> 00:57:15,960
feather that would be That would be close enough. So well,

1132
00:57:16,800 --> 00:57:19,559
Cracks play yesterday was gold awesome, Glady cash for that

1133
00:57:19,599 --> 00:57:23,000
one five dollars Tuesday guys, get as many five dollars

1134
00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:25,320
plays as you want from your best handicap or your

1135
00:57:25,320 --> 00:57:27,800
favorite handicap or somebody new. Get to read all the

1136
00:57:27,800 --> 00:57:30,440
write ups and get as many as on it made

1137
00:57:30,480 --> 00:57:31,119
you feel comfortable.

1138
00:57:31,159 --> 00:57:33,239
Speaker 2: Make sure you bet responsibly. We don't want too much of.

1139
00:57:33,239 --> 00:57:36,599
Speaker 1: Your bank roll on on a bunch of Tuesday plays.

1140
00:57:36,639 --> 00:57:39,000
Mine is a four percent best bet in UFC that

1141
00:57:39,119 --> 00:57:40,079
goes off the Saturday.

1142
00:57:40,199 --> 00:57:42,199
Speaker 2: Super excited for it. Thanks for watching, guys.

1143
00:57:42,199 --> 00:57:43,599
Speaker 1: Please hit the like button on the way out and

1144
00:57:43,599 --> 00:57:45,599
make sure you comment below whether you agree with Andy

1145
00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:48,719
or Jesse, and make sure you put your wager talk

1146
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:51,679
user name in there to be eligible to win a

1147
00:57:51,719 --> 00:57:52,639
free three day pass.

1148
00:57:52,679 --> 00:57:54,199
Speaker 2: Thanks very much, guys. Good look on your bets. We'll

1149
00:57:54,239 --> 00:57:54,760
serve it tomorrow.

1150
00:57:54,840 --> 00:57:56,480
Speaker 3: Take care, God speed,