1
00:00:03,759 --> 00:00:06,559
Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Thursday. It is time

2
00:00:06,599 --> 00:00:09,919
for total bases. Uh, no need to pick and choose

3
00:00:09,919 --> 00:00:12,919
the games today. We've already had one rained out, which

4
00:00:12,919 --> 00:00:15,560
means we're down to three, so a shorter slate, but

5
00:00:15,679 --> 00:00:18,359
that means you get you get three feature games today,

6
00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:22,719
So we're gonna go deep dive into all three because

7
00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,800
we don't usually have time to do this on you know,

8
00:00:25,839 --> 00:00:28,239
a different day. Let's go around the horn before we

9
00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:31,359
get into it. Welcome in, Brian Leonard. Brian, how's your

10
00:00:31,399 --> 00:00:35,240
week going so far? If any Just what do you

11
00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:38,240
have to say about baseball season to this point? We're

12
00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,119
a weekend, which means we've got six months to go.

13
00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:46,679
Speaker 2: It's uh, it's basically a small sample size. A lot

14
00:00:46,679 --> 00:00:50,280
of people are thinking the Angels are a contender and

15
00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:53,679
and Cleveland's played very well, and uh, you just gotta

16
00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:55,840
realize that this is just if this happened in the

17
00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:57,520
middle of the season. These things happened in the middle

18
00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:01,119
of season, nobody would overreact. But they are overreacting. And

19
00:01:01,159 --> 00:01:04,640
I will say Smith for the White Sox, we've been

20
00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,280
we've been a big fan of his coming into the season.

21
00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:12,519
He has not looked good so there's there's some things

22
00:01:12,519 --> 00:01:16,159
to take take about it the baseball season so far,

23
00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,439
but just keep in mind that it's it's early. Things

24
00:01:19,439 --> 00:01:23,200
are gonna happen. It happens all the time, and don't overreact.

25
00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:27,719
We've talked about Toronto Blue Jays starting pitching staff and

26
00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:32,159
I'm still very concerned about that. But overall, my biggest

27
00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:36,280
concern so far is the uh, why do we have

28
00:01:36,359 --> 00:01:39,400
vumpires behind the plate other than to call outs and

29
00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:40,959
at the plate?

30
00:01:41,359 --> 00:01:41,480
Speaker 1: Uh?

31
00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:45,959
Speaker 2: It's obvious that the computer system works better. And this

32
00:01:46,159 --> 00:01:49,280
challenge thing, I hope it's a one year thing because

33
00:01:49,319 --> 00:01:52,280
there's some of these plays. You continually watch a team

34
00:01:52,719 --> 00:01:54,840
in the first six innings of the game, a player

35
00:01:54,959 --> 00:01:57,400
ball that they call a strike and they're not allowed

36
00:01:57,439 --> 00:01:59,519
to challenge it because of the they only have two

37
00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,799
challenges left. Then just need to get rid of the

38
00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,200
on Potter Smith calling the balls and strikes, and you

39
00:02:05,239 --> 00:02:06,519
know that's a computer do it.

40
00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:10,840
Speaker 1: I know Tokyo Brandon's got some opinions on this, so

41
00:02:10,879 --> 00:02:14,000
I want to bring him in here, and we also so, Brian,

42
00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:18,960
can you try to refresh your video feed for someone's

43
00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,719
telling me that you are a black box, right now

44
00:02:21,879 --> 00:02:24,319
on the screen. So uh oh no, you're back. Okay,

45
00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:28,599
I think we're good. Uh tokyo, Brandon, you've been DM

46
00:02:28,719 --> 00:02:32,639
ing me about the abs since the beginning of the season.

47
00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:34,840
Now that we've got a couple of minutes as people

48
00:02:34,879 --> 00:02:38,199
file in, what are your thoughts on it?

49
00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:45,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, you've been ignoring my you've been ignoring my dms. Yeah.

50
00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,560
I love the challenge system. You know, Baseball does some

51
00:02:47,599 --> 00:02:50,639
stupid things sometimes, like the Ghost Runner and tying the

52
00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,520
All Star Game into home field in the World Series

53
00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:55,680
and stupid things like that, But this time they got

54
00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:59,800
it right. I love the challenge system. I wish I wish,

55
00:03:00,159 --> 00:03:01,800
like you said, just get rid of the umps and

56
00:03:01,879 --> 00:03:04,319
let's do it this way, because if it was like football,

57
00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:06,680
where you have to wait five minutes for the call

58
00:03:06,759 --> 00:03:08,960
to New York and all that, then I'd be against it.

59
00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,759
But man, these are split second decisions. They don't stall

60
00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:14,560
the game. I've heard the arguments, well, it's hurting the

61
00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:18,639
umpire's feelings. When did we ever care about umpire's feelings before,

62
00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:22,000
it's hurting the fabric of the game. Well, if the

63
00:03:22,039 --> 00:03:24,919
fabric of the game is inaccurate calls, then maybe your

64
00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,639
game needs to be changed. I love the challenge system.

65
00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:31,039
I love it. I think it's great, and I love

66
00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:33,759
the fact that Buckner got twenty of his calls over

67
00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,599
turned in one game. Just I mean, I love it

68
00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:41,439
so much. I think they should tie the ABS system

69
00:03:41,639 --> 00:03:45,319
to umpire rankings and fire the ones that get too

70
00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:49,120
many wrong frankly, and give them raise to the ones

71
00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:49,759
that get them right.

72
00:03:50,919 --> 00:03:53,759
Speaker 2: Teas they do this, it's not on every play. It

73
00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:57,240
since stantaneous. Why do they even need to challenge? Why

74
00:03:57,319 --> 00:03:59,560
don't you Why don't you? Why don't you umpire have

75
00:03:59,599 --> 00:04:01,879
a thing? Just a buzz and a dang? I mean,

76
00:04:01,919 --> 00:04:02,520
how hard is it?

77
00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:07,319
Speaker 3: And you don't need Another argument? I heard is they're

78
00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,560
sad that the managers don't fight with the umpires anymore.

79
00:04:10,599 --> 00:04:13,639
Who cares, Let's just play baseball, you know. So betting

80
00:04:13,719 --> 00:04:15,879
is baseball is about betting now and you got to

81
00:04:15,879 --> 00:04:16,439
be accurate.

82
00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:19,600
Speaker 4: Well that that's you know.

83
00:04:19,879 --> 00:04:22,639
Speaker 1: I see, this is like the reason I've been ignoring

84
00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,839
I haven't been ignoring it, but it's like it just

85
00:04:25,879 --> 00:04:29,000
doesn't help it. This doesn't help anyone cash tickets though.

86
00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:29,680
Speaker 4: That's the thing.

87
00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,120
Speaker 1: Like the way I look at it is this like

88
00:04:32,439 --> 00:04:34,959
we're here to talk betting. No one really cares about,

89
00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:37,160
like what my opinion is on the abs if you

90
00:04:37,199 --> 00:04:39,639
want to. I've said for three years because I bet

91
00:04:39,639 --> 00:04:42,399
Minor League Baseball that it's a fantastic addition in the game.

92
00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:44,680
I don't know if we need to go full KBO

93
00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,959
and just automate the umps yet, because I have issues

94
00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:53,199
with that as well. But again I'm I it's I

95
00:04:53,199 --> 00:04:55,920
don't think anyone's asking Adam trigger what is like, you

96
00:04:55,959 --> 00:04:57,759
know what his thoughts are on that. And I also

97
00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:00,240
don't know how that helps you. You win bets, and

98
00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:01,920
that's what we're here to do, is win bets. So

99
00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:04,600
we do have three games. We're gonna get to everything today.

100
00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:06,720
That's why I felt like that was a good spot

101
00:05:06,759 --> 00:05:11,040
for that. So let's get into it early, you know.

102
00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:14,399
So we have one early game too late. The middle

103
00:05:14,439 --> 00:05:19,360
game was squeezed out by weather today, and so let's

104
00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:23,759
start things off in Kansas City where I was two

105
00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,639
and one overall yesterday. I took a loss on this

106
00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:31,079
game with the Twins. It turned into a complete mess.

107
00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:35,199
There was fog, there was weather. We almost had a comeback.

108
00:05:35,199 --> 00:05:38,040
Brian Leonard, I'm you know, I'm sitting there thinking, hey,

109
00:05:38,079 --> 00:05:42,120
we got first and second, nobody out the one win

110
00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:44,639
for the Twins and what has been a very disappointing

111
00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,639
first five games for this team, at least for me,

112
00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:50,439
because I was quite high on them coming into the season,

113
00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:51,920
and that doesn't change to this point.

114
00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:53,000
Speaker 4: It's only five games.

115
00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:57,120
Speaker 1: But the one win for them was they got lucas

116
00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:59,399
Er said get in the game yesterday and forced him

117
00:05:59,399 --> 00:06:01,199
to come and close. Had a game that was twelve

118
00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:03,639
to one at one point. He probably shouldn't have had

119
00:06:03,639 --> 00:06:06,680
to been in that game in a safe situation, but

120
00:06:06,759 --> 00:06:11,120
he was. Weather galore here in Kansas City today looks

121
00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:13,920
like we could have twenty five mile an hour wins.

122
00:06:13,959 --> 00:06:18,759
So Twins Royals good decent pitching matchup, but that weather

123
00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:21,639
might might change that a little bit. How are you

124
00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:22,480
seeing this one?

125
00:06:22,759 --> 00:06:26,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, when you take a look at the daily stadium report,

126
00:06:26,319 --> 00:06:30,040
we're looking at eight percent more runs in Coffee Stadium.

127
00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,639
The wind is blowing out, home runs are going to

128
00:06:32,639 --> 00:06:35,839
be a factor. They're expecting eighteen percent more home runs

129
00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:39,040
in this game than a normal game, which is which

130
00:06:39,079 --> 00:06:42,160
is basically about half a home run part four to one.

131
00:06:43,199 --> 00:06:48,000
So if you're looking to play individual players, look for

132
00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:50,639
that home run props in Kansas City. I think you're

133
00:06:50,639 --> 00:06:54,160
gonna get a little bit of value there. But yeah,

134
00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:58,879
I do an afternoon segment or I do another game

135
00:06:58,879 --> 00:07:01,360
that we break down, and broke down that game yesterday,

136
00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:05,560
and I had had Minnesota in that game. And if

137
00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:08,879
you take a look at Ryan's stats from from the

138
00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:12,600
base from the cards that pitcher list puts out, he

139
00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,000
pitched a lot better than his results were. But it

140
00:07:15,079 --> 00:07:17,439
was it was a strange game, and it was it

141
00:07:17,519 --> 00:07:20,560
was a crazy game, and we may see more of

142
00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:23,480
that again today in Kaufman Stadium. We do have on

143
00:07:23,519 --> 00:07:28,560
today's card, it's Bradley against Reagan's. Reagan's being the lefty

144
00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:33,279
Reagas is about one fifty five favorite right now, total

145
00:07:33,399 --> 00:07:37,920
nine and a half, slightly to the und. You rarely see,

146
00:07:38,639 --> 00:07:40,920
you know, Bradley didn't have a good season last year,

147
00:07:40,959 --> 00:07:43,560
but he'd made some changes in the offseason. I would

148
00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:46,120
expect a better year out of him. But you rarely

149
00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:48,800
see Cole Reagan's in a game in Kansas City with

150
00:07:48,879 --> 00:07:50,639
a total of nine and a half. So that tells

151
00:07:50,639 --> 00:07:54,000
you how the wind is going in this game. But

152
00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:57,720
we've got Tadz Bradley against Reagan's and if you take

153
00:07:57,759 --> 00:08:01,600
a look at what has happened and last year, obviously

154
00:08:01,759 --> 00:08:06,079
Tys Bradley did not have a good season, but he's

155
00:08:06,439 --> 00:08:08,160
I expect a much better out of him if he had.

156
00:08:08,199 --> 00:08:13,240
Take him Versus righties, he's got basically a thirteen strikeout

157
00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:15,800
match walk ratio last year, which was not good. And

158
00:08:15,879 --> 00:08:18,879
against lefties, he's got like an eleven point five. Now,

159
00:08:18,879 --> 00:08:21,120
that was last year, and we've already seen a lot

160
00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:23,839
of pitchers that made changes this year, and if things

161
00:08:23,839 --> 00:08:26,439
have worked out better, I expect a better effort out

162
00:08:26,439 --> 00:08:29,480
of him. Probably going to see five lefties and four

163
00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:33,919
rights in the matchup today. When you're looking at Cole

164
00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:37,759
Reagan's probably looking at six righties and three lefties last

165
00:08:37,799 --> 00:08:41,240
year against the right headed pitcher, I guess you cause me.

166
00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:44,799
Against right handed batters, Cole Reagan's got this a forty

167
00:08:44,879 --> 00:08:50,480
point five strikeout percentage in games he played basically faced

168
00:08:50,519 --> 00:08:53,519
righty's forty eight innings. So that's what one hundred and

169
00:08:53,519 --> 00:08:57,240
thirty thirty seven, one hundred and forty something batters forty

170
00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:01,120
point five strike out right, seven point five I walk right.

171
00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,720
That's unheard of. Now, I guess lefties it was a

172
00:09:04,759 --> 00:09:07,399
more realistic twenty eight point two and eleven point five,

173
00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:10,480
So he does walk a little bit more lefties, but

174
00:09:10,759 --> 00:09:13,080
and he is going to see only three lefties today.

175
00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,200
So I think Reagan's if he could battle the wind,

176
00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,399
he should be at a pretty good spot here. And

177
00:09:19,519 --> 00:09:24,519
the numbers, the number is okay. And as you mentioned,

178
00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:28,159
they had to use bullpen arms yesterday that they normally

179
00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:30,480
wouldn't have used. That is going to hurt them a

180
00:09:30,519 --> 00:09:33,399
little bit today, but still it should be a fun

181
00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:35,919
game to watch it. Like strange things that happen.

182
00:09:37,159 --> 00:09:37,399
Speaker 4: TB.

183
00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:39,200
Speaker 1: I want to get you in here because I found

184
00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:42,840
out that you were on The Twins through someone commenting

185
00:09:42,879 --> 00:09:45,279
and said, hey, I'm riding with you in Tokyo, Brandon

186
00:09:45,279 --> 00:09:47,759
on the Twins, And I said, well, in my head,

187
00:09:47,759 --> 00:09:49,759
I was like, well, great minds think alike. I'm glad

188
00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,120
TV is on the Twins. That makes me like them

189
00:09:52,159 --> 00:09:54,320
even more. I'm kind of chalking it up to the

190
00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:56,919
same thing Brian was. I mean, at one point the

191
00:09:56,960 --> 00:10:01,120
fog was so thick that like you couldn't I don't

192
00:10:01,159 --> 00:10:02,919
know what it was like in the ballpark, but on

193
00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:05,919
this on camera, like you couldn't even see the outfield wall.

194
00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:08,799
Speaker 4: It was just a really strange game.

195
00:10:08,879 --> 00:10:11,480
Speaker 1: And uh, you know, for me looking at the you know,

196
00:10:11,519 --> 00:10:15,080
those last three innings, the Twins finally bat's wake up.

197
00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:18,559
Speaker 4: They score eight runs. Can they carry that into into today?

198
00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:22,720
Speaker 3: So I went three and one yesterday. The Twins was

199
00:10:22,759 --> 00:10:25,799
not my loss. The Mets was my loss. The Twins

200
00:10:25,799 --> 00:10:27,519
I put out as a free play and also the

201
00:10:27,519 --> 00:10:30,639
parlay leg on the show yesterday. But I won with

202
00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:33,000
the Padres because I thought they would bounce back and

203
00:10:33,039 --> 00:10:36,720
they did, and I won with a couple of others.

204
00:10:36,759 --> 00:10:39,799
But anyway, enough patting myself on the back. I have

205
00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,600
a five percent play in this game, the Minnesota game

206
00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:47,320
and Minnesota Royals game. So I'm gonna break it down,

207
00:10:47,399 --> 00:10:50,440
but I'm gonna try not to give away my play

208
00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,759
on my Twitter. Tokyo one TV.

209
00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:56,639
Speaker 1: Do you want me to make your life easier so

210
00:10:56,759 --> 00:10:59,639
you don't have to like potentially divulge your play here.

211
00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:04,480
Speaker 3: No, I'll break it down, Okay, go ahead, if you

212
00:11:04,519 --> 00:11:07,840
go to my Twitter, I put up picture ops's against

213
00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:10,120
the batteries are facing today and I also put the

214
00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:13,360
outs projections for all the pictures today. It was very

215
00:11:13,399 --> 00:11:15,960
easy because there's only six of them. So take a

216
00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:17,960
look at my Twitter, you'll see all that for free

217
00:11:18,519 --> 00:11:28,320
and looking at you know, despite yesterday's balloon totals, neither

218
00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:31,000
one of these lineups. I don't think either one of

219
00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:37,519
these lineups are particularly scary. Bullpens are somewhat trashy for

220
00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:40,879
both teams, at least in current form right now, and

221
00:11:40,919 --> 00:11:44,200
I have Taj Bradley ranked a little bit higher than

222
00:11:44,279 --> 00:11:49,519
Reagan's in current form. Reagan's overall is probably the better

223
00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:55,039
picture overall talent wise. My numbers when I run them,

224
00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:57,039
this is not my five percent play, but this is

225
00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,879
another play that my numbers suggested to me was tadj

226
00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:04,159
Radley's strikeouts over four and a half. It's plus one

227
00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:07,480
eleven right now. I'm not gonna play it because I

228
00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:10,080
don't like it, but my numbers are screaming at me

229
00:12:10,159 --> 00:12:11,600
to take it. And when I when I did a

230
00:12:11,639 --> 00:12:14,720
little bit of a deep dive, I found out that

231
00:12:14,919 --> 00:12:18,159
in all of his starts against these Royals, he's averaging

232
00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:21,919
five and a half strikeouts per start. So Todge Bradley's

233
00:12:21,919 --> 00:12:25,240
strikeouts over might be good for plus money value wise.

234
00:12:25,799 --> 00:12:29,639
When when you have a value bet like this, it's

235
00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:32,679
not good to like go all in on it. These

236
00:12:32,799 --> 00:12:35,360
value bets for plus money are ones that you put,

237
00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:37,759
you know a little bit on and try try to

238
00:12:38,919 --> 00:12:40,879
build your bankroll a little bit. It's not something you

239
00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:44,080
go all in on. But my numbers love Todge Bradley

240
00:12:44,159 --> 00:12:48,440
strikeout total and I'll leave it at that for now.

241
00:12:50,159 --> 00:12:52,399
Take a look at the ops numbers. They're very interesting.

242
00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:58,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is was an easy pass for me. As

243
00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:00,759
soon as I saw the weather it was it was

244
00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:04,559
pretty much like you know, and I of course I

245
00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:06,879
even watching last night see it felt like the ball

246
00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,120
started to carry Later in that game, is the weather

247
00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,159
picked up at one point they were playing in a downpour,

248
00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,320
and uh, I mean Josh Josh Bell hit one that

249
00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:17,399
was it felt like a like kind of like a

250
00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:21,399
fly ball the left field that landed fifteen rows into

251
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:21,840
the seats.

252
00:13:21,919 --> 00:13:24,559
Speaker 4: So I mean, if it's anything like.

253
00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:27,240
Speaker 1: That, like that's the difficult part about this handicap is

254
00:13:27,399 --> 00:13:30,080
you almost have to just ask yourself, who's set up

255
00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:32,600
for more swing and miss here, you know, because the

256
00:13:32,639 --> 00:13:35,679
ball gets put in play and it's gonna fly out

257
00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:39,720
like that. That would be my concern with even trying to,

258
00:13:40,159 --> 00:13:43,919
you know, find a way into this game. I wanted

259
00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:46,159
so what I will say about the Twins in general,

260
00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:48,480
because on one of our first shows, I said I

261
00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:52,000
was high on this this team this year. I went back,

262
00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,440
looked at their roster, looked at the looked at the

263
00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:57,519
Triple A roster. I've been watching Saint Paul Saints games

264
00:13:57,679 --> 00:13:59,399
and I realized that a lot of the guys that

265
00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,960
I'm excited about in this organization are still at TRIPAA.

266
00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:07,039
So for me, the Twins are on the shelf. I'm

267
00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:10,039
done with the Twins. I know it's a five game sample,

268
00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:13,960
but listen, that's concerned. The five game sample is against

269
00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:17,639
the Orioles and the Royals, two teams that I.

270
00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:18,720
Speaker 4: Think are like middling.

271
00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:21,639
Speaker 1: You know, you're one and four against two teams that

272
00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:24,720
are middling at best in my opinion in the American League.

273
00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:25,720
Speaker 4: It's not like they drew.

274
00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:27,919
Speaker 1: Oh they had to go to the Bronx and play

275
00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:30,240
the Yankees the first three games of the year. Of

276
00:14:30,279 --> 00:14:34,480
the season, they haven't hit at all. You want, you know,

277
00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:37,080
people are asking for props. I'll say the one guy,

278
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:39,720
if he's in the lineup that I may, you know,

279
00:14:39,799 --> 00:14:42,080
be interested in targeting a prop that I thought like

280
00:14:42,519 --> 00:14:44,759
kind of hit the ball hard yesterday, but hasn't hit

281
00:14:44,799 --> 00:14:47,120
the ball at all. It was brooks League, he had

282
00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:49,759
a couple. I think he's batting sub two hundred right now.

283
00:14:50,039 --> 00:14:52,559
I have no idea where if he's even in, if

284
00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:54,919
he's even going to be in the lineup today, or

285
00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,519
where he will be in the lineup. But you know,

286
00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:01,519
bat at ninth yesterday one for four, but a couple

287
00:15:01,519 --> 00:15:04,039
of his outs are pretty loud, and he's a guy

288
00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:06,639
that has like kind of sneaky pot that could get

289
00:15:06,639 --> 00:15:07,120
into one.

290
00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:09,440
Speaker 4: So I'm just gonna throw that out there.

291
00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:12,200
Speaker 1: If brooks Lee's in the lineup, I take a flyer

292
00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:14,320
on him maybe to hit a home run today.

293
00:15:14,399 --> 00:15:16,679
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Brian, Yeah, I just wanted to point out

294
00:15:17,000 --> 00:15:19,240
because of the way the game went yesterday, Kennis City's

295
00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,960
bullpen threw one hundred and twenty three pitches. The bullpen

296
00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:24,840
one hundred and twenty three pitches for the team that

297
00:15:24,879 --> 00:15:29,279
won the game. Keep in mind they didn't play on Tuesday,

298
00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:31,840
so there's only a few of those guys that may

299
00:15:31,879 --> 00:15:34,240
not play in this game. But having that day off

300
00:15:34,279 --> 00:15:36,879
on Tuesday, this should reset pretty well. Even though they

301
00:15:36,919 --> 00:15:40,240
threw it, did throw all those those bullpen pitches.

302
00:15:41,559 --> 00:15:46,679
Speaker 3: One just I'm sorry to cut in, but speaking about hitters,

303
00:15:46,759 --> 00:15:49,559
I ran my numbers for what hitters could have a

304
00:15:49,559 --> 00:15:52,600
big day. I post that on Twitter sometimes to bid today.

305
00:15:52,639 --> 00:15:55,039
I'm not going to because the samples so small, but

306
00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:59,240
my numbers are saying James McCann and Willie Adams are

307
00:15:59,759 --> 00:16:03,519
are primed for betting props. If you feel like betting

308
00:16:03,519 --> 00:16:06,919
a hitter prop today, I would not bet well. Adamas

309
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:10,080
is actually pretty hot two days ago and yesterday he

310
00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:15,480
actually got over his hits runs RBIs props, So just

311
00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:17,759
some just a side note, we have time today.

312
00:16:17,919 --> 00:16:20,320
Speaker 2: The numbers I have show that Buxton hit a home

313
00:16:20,399 --> 00:16:23,559
run is an excellent I'm not a home run prop

314
00:16:23,639 --> 00:16:26,000
kind of guy, but Buxton hit a home run is

315
00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:27,559
pretty high.

316
00:16:28,279 --> 00:16:31,480
Speaker 1: Lucas Salvator in the chat, this is actually probably you know,

317
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:33,639
I think brooks Lee would be kind of a big

318
00:16:33,679 --> 00:16:35,919
time flyer because he'll probably be down, you know, near

319
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:36,840
the bottom of the order.

320
00:16:36,919 --> 00:16:38,519
Speaker 4: Who knows if he's even in the lineup.

321
00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:41,519
Speaker 1: Luke Keshl's the guy that, like I think is the

322
00:16:41,519 --> 00:16:44,039
best player on this Twins team in terms of like

323
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:48,480
obviously Buxton's the best player, but like from an upside standpoint,

324
00:16:48,519 --> 00:16:52,240
I think Keshall could be a star. He showed flashes

325
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:56,440
last year work he worked around three different injuries Tommy

326
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,559
John surgery twenty twenty four, twenty twenty five, he broke

327
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,200
his arm in the middle of the season, came back,

328
00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:05,319
he was still playing great. He had like a thumb

329
00:17:05,319 --> 00:17:08,279
surgery or something in the offseason, So I wonder if

330
00:17:08,319 --> 00:17:10,160
that's tied to a little bit of a slow start.

331
00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,920
But Lucas, I'm very much with you, like he's a

332
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:16,039
guy that I would think if you can buy low

333
00:17:16,079 --> 00:17:18,960
on him right now, I would. I think he would

334
00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:21,799
be a good prop guy in this game as well.

335
00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:25,599
All right, Tokyo, Brandon, back to you. Let's head out West.

336
00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:28,119
We have two games that, in my opinion, are a

337
00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:30,680
little bit more interesting. I think there's more likely that

338
00:17:30,799 --> 00:17:33,680
I find a bet in one of these two. I

339
00:17:33,799 --> 00:17:35,799
was going to go in order, but now I'm gonna

340
00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:38,799
City by the Bay. I wonder who he wants to

341
00:17:38,839 --> 00:17:41,359
talk about here. City by the Day is a stay

342
00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:43,400
away from run line in home run bets. After we

343
00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:45,160
just gave out a whole bunch of home run bets.

344
00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:46,920
But you know what, when there's a thirty mile an

345
00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:48,880
hour wind blowing out. I think you can mess with

346
00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:51,200
home run bets just a little bit. He says he

347
00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:55,000
likes Mets over three and a half on the team total.

348
00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:58,640
Sounds like City by the Bay is fading his team

349
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:01,680
out in the Bay tonight with that team total. So

350
00:18:01,839 --> 00:18:05,000
Tokyo Brandon to you, Mets Giants, how are you seeing

351
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:05,440
this one?

352
00:18:07,039 --> 00:18:10,319
Speaker 3: So taking a quick look at the pictures. Robbie Ray

353
00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:15,160
David Peterson two teams that are in a bit of

354
00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:17,359
a quagmire here as far as hitting is concerned. I

355
00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:20,279
put out a free play video on WAJER talk to

356
00:18:20,319 --> 00:18:22,920
YouTube channel today. They probably have not uploaded it yet,

357
00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:27,599
so here's your sneak preview. But I would go under

358
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:30,559
in this one for sure, especially in the first five innings,

359
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,559
because both pitchers have pretty good history against the batters

360
00:18:34,559 --> 00:18:37,880
they're facing. Robbery Ray has a point fifty three ops

361
00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:41,400
in eighty two at bats against the batters he's facing today.

362
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,599
Peterson is a six eighty four, so good sample size

363
00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:49,240
that I can trust. And neither one of these teams

364
00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:52,240
are hitting anything. I think San Francisco got their first

365
00:18:52,319 --> 00:18:54,480
run in the third game of the season or something,

366
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,319
and now the Mets. The Mets have a lot more

367
00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:01,680
talent than the Giants, but they're not. I mean, Bischet's

368
00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:06,519
getting booed and they need to turn things around pretty quick,

369
00:19:06,559 --> 00:19:08,440
and I don't think today's the day they do it.

370
00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:10,799
So I saw four and a half on the first

371
00:19:10,839 --> 00:19:14,200
five under. I don't think these two teams can generate

372
00:19:14,319 --> 00:19:17,079
one run per inning at the beginning of this game,

373
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:20,599
especially with the pitcher's historical numbers against the other team.

374
00:19:20,759 --> 00:19:25,160
I put this out on my free play video.

375
00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:29,279
Speaker 1: We'll get Brian and here, I would have a hard

376
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,519
you know, City by the day says Mets team total

377
00:19:32,599 --> 00:19:34,720
over three and a half. I think if I was

378
00:19:34,759 --> 00:19:36,279
going to play an over, that's the only way I

379
00:19:36,279 --> 00:19:39,160
could look because the Giants not only have they not

380
00:19:39,319 --> 00:19:41,920
hit this lineup, I said, I think on the very

381
00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,359
first day show we did when they were up against

382
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,759
Max Freed does not line up well against left handed pitching.

383
00:19:47,799 --> 00:19:50,039
They didn't last year and I don't think they're going

384
00:19:50,039 --> 00:19:52,839
to again this year. So up against the lefty here,

385
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:56,920
I think it would have to be Mets correlated stuff.

386
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:58,279
Speaker 4: The only way I could look at this one. How

387
00:19:58,279 --> 00:19:58,880
are you seeing it?

388
00:19:59,319 --> 00:20:02,559
Speaker 2: Yeah? You mentioned and both left he's going in this game.

389
00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:07,720
And Peter Peterson is a guy who when he's good,

390
00:20:07,759 --> 00:20:10,319
he's excellent, and when he's bad, he gets hit pretty

391
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:14,640
heavily for the hitting. Keep in mind this is only

392
00:20:14,759 --> 00:20:16,960
five games sample size, but the Mets right now, I

393
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:21,640
believe our second worst in baseball on hitting with players

394
00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:26,599
in scoring position, and you get certain teams that get

395
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,599
on a hot streak, it's there's no I'm not a

396
00:20:29,599 --> 00:20:32,799
big believer in clutch or any of that stuff. So

397
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:35,359
it's just a small sample size. The Mets will be

398
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:40,799
able to hit decently averagely when nobody's on base, but

399
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,240
they can't hit with the runners of the scoring position. Eventually,

400
00:20:43,279 --> 00:20:47,079
that's going to even out a little bit. So yeah,

401
00:20:47,079 --> 00:20:49,480
I wouldn't have any problem playing playing them over. And

402
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,160
as a matter of fact, Robbie Ray had a big

403
00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:56,759
comeback season last year. I've been looking to fade him

404
00:20:56,759 --> 00:20:59,000
a little bit. And when I took a look at

405
00:20:59,039 --> 00:21:02,200
the two teams, even though the Mets haven't got off

406
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:05,319
to a good start, they're the better team here. The

407
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:07,400
Jihants are expected to be on what third place in

408
00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:10,640
that division away behind the Dodgers. I think the Mets

409
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,160
are the team I'm not a big Phillies fan this year,

410
00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,640
so I think the Mets win that division. And so

411
00:21:16,759 --> 00:21:20,359
to catch the Mets in a basic situation where I

412
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,400
only lay on what twenty or something, that would be

413
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:24,240
the side I would look forward in this game.

414
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,400
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, without a doubt. For me, it's Mets are passed.

415
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:32,519
Speaker 1: And kind of trying to talk myself into a Mets

416
00:21:32,599 --> 00:21:34,759
that odds.

417
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,759
Speaker 4: Were sort of on where I made it.

418
00:21:36,799 --> 00:21:40,039
Speaker 1: Minus went fifteen, minus won twenty range, but you know,

419
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:44,119
on a day where you have three games, you kind

420
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,119
of have to get creative sometimes. I don't think the

421
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:48,240
books are just going to hand you a ton of

422
00:21:48,319 --> 00:21:51,359
like side or even total value a lot of times

423
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,480
on a short slate like this. So I think the

424
00:21:53,519 --> 00:21:56,799
price is in line with what it should be, but

425
00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,599
there is, you know, for me, and again trying not

426
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,160
to over to small samples. Six games into the season,

427
00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,960
I do have some concerns with the Giants, and that's

428
00:22:08,039 --> 00:22:10,799
even after they went and took two of three in

429
00:22:10,839 --> 00:22:13,599
San Diego. I don't think the Padres are are a

430
00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:16,680
great baseball team this year. So when I look at

431
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,519
that series and say, okay, the Giants did take two

432
00:22:19,519 --> 00:22:23,039
of three, I still can't shake.

433
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:25,440
Speaker 4: The Yankee series.

434
00:22:25,599 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 1: The you know kind of how the manager looked a

435
00:22:28,279 --> 00:22:31,079
little bit lost in almost like he's in over his

436
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:33,240
head a little bit. And then you start to go

437
00:22:33,319 --> 00:22:35,279
back to last season. You see how this team has

438
00:22:35,279 --> 00:22:38,720
struggled against left handed pitching. If you remember back to

439
00:22:38,799 --> 00:22:41,160
last year, the Giants were like dead and buried. They

440
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,960
go on this sort of crazy run. I think, like

441
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,240
you know, into August where it was almost just like

442
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:50,359
it was almost just like they were feeding off of

443
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,519
like some new energy. I think they brought Drew Gilbert

444
00:22:53,519 --> 00:22:57,160
in and like he had the dugout all jazzed up.

445
00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:00,000
But then when push came to shove, they started losing

446
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,000
games and they kind of regress to what they might

447
00:23:03,079 --> 00:23:05,000
end up being this year. Again, Brian, you were kind

448
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:08,079
of nodding, right. There is that kind of how you're

449
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:10,160
seeing the Giants right now too.

450
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's more of a situation for myself that I

451
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:18,279
think the Mets are are the better team. I have

452
00:23:18,319 --> 00:23:20,799
a chart that I look at. It talks about lucky wins.

453
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,039
You see this a lot when you, like, if you're

454
00:23:23,079 --> 00:23:26,680
doing college basketball. There's a lot of places out there

455
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,519
that have that kind of thing. You had mentioned yesterday

456
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:35,079
the Colorado Rockies, and congratulations on that. The three teams

457
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:38,039
that are the unluckiest in Major League Baseball right now

458
00:23:38,039 --> 00:23:41,200
are the Mets, the Rockies, and the Angels. I can

459
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:43,039
agree with the Mets and the Rockies. I still think

460
00:23:43,039 --> 00:23:45,920
the Angels. I'm not a big Angels fan. But the

461
00:23:46,039 --> 00:23:48,960
three luckiest teams have been Houston, a team that I

462
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:54,279
continue to fight and not win, Toronto and Saint Louis

463
00:23:54,319 --> 00:23:56,759
a team that I like coming into the season. So

464
00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:59,920
with the Mets in the situation right now where they

465
00:24:00,079 --> 00:24:02,599
been very unlucky, and if you talk about as I

466
00:24:02,599 --> 00:24:04,920
said earlier about hitting the runner of the scoring position,

467
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,720
I think this is just a bargain price. And for

468
00:24:07,799 --> 00:24:10,000
the Giants, I don't know if he's in over his head,

469
00:24:10,079 --> 00:24:13,079
I'd like the bold move. But bringing somebody in who's

470
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,839
not a retreat as a manager. The worst thing I

471
00:24:16,039 --> 00:24:19,640
see is these managers that are just not very good,

472
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,440
and they continue to get hired and hired again because

473
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:25,440
there's nobody else out there. Give them the college coaches

474
00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,920
a chance, give the assistant coaches a chance, let them

475
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:30,880
see what you can do. I'd like that move from

476
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:32,839
the Giants We'll see how this team goes. I'm not

477
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:36,759
a huge Giants fan this year, but yeah, I think

478
00:24:36,799 --> 00:24:37,680
the Mets of the right.

479
00:24:37,519 --> 00:24:38,319
Speaker 3: Side of this game.

480
00:24:39,759 --> 00:24:40,880
Speaker 4: Gee hurt, he says.

481
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 1: I don't think the Mets off the travel day on

482
00:24:43,039 --> 00:24:45,680
the West Coast in this matchup or minus went twenty. Listen,

483
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:49,279
I make it minus one sixteen. They're minus went twenty

484
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,480
right now, he says, looks like more of a coin flip.

485
00:24:52,559 --> 00:24:54,519
I don't know where I had the Mets power rated.

486
00:24:54,559 --> 00:24:55,519
Speaker 4: That's not a coin flip.

487
00:24:56,319 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 1: It's I have the Mets sort of like categorically better

488
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:02,519
than the Giants, so I agree with the market. I

489
00:25:02,519 --> 00:25:04,079
don't know if there's enough of an edge for me

490
00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:07,559
to play. Tokyo Brandon. I want to go to you because, uh,

491
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:11,000
you know, we kind of got the The d Backs

492
00:25:11,079 --> 00:25:12,720
kind of shoved it in our face. The last couple

493
00:25:12,759 --> 00:25:15,880
of days. We talked about their bullpen not being very good.

494
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,319
What did they do? They went in and won three

495
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,880
close games where they needed the bullpen to shut down

496
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,920
each game. Yesterday they win a game one nothing, so

497
00:25:24,839 --> 00:25:29,759
braves braves from the town tonight and Arizona suddenly hot.

498
00:25:30,039 --> 00:25:33,920
Big sweep of the Tigers are you changing your opinion

499
00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:35,480
at all the Diamondbacks, And how do you want to

500
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:36,000
play this one?

501
00:25:36,039 --> 00:25:36,319
Speaker 4: Braves.

502
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:40,839
Speaker 3: Dbacks suddenly hot, that's that's being generous.

503
00:25:41,839 --> 00:25:44,839
Speaker 4: Tigers, that's suddenly hot. You sweep the Tigers. That's just

504
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:46,599
a good result right there.

505
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 3: True. Yeah, the Diamondbacks do have power in their lineup.

506
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,359
They have they have nice looking, nice looking on offense.

507
00:25:56,400 --> 00:26:00,279
They're really fun to watch, but uh, in the sixth,

508
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:02,400
eighth and ninth inning, they are not fun to watch.

509
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:05,000
They're like watching the Bad News Bears. They don't even

510
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,559
have a left handed guy in their bullpen. Teams are

511
00:26:07,599 --> 00:26:09,960
going to take advantage of that and just score the

512
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,319
crap out of this team. And today they play a

513
00:26:13,319 --> 00:26:18,680
team that I have the bullpen rank number four, Ronaldo Lopez,

514
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:21,759
Ryan Nelson. These are two pictures that probably no one

515
00:26:21,839 --> 00:26:26,119
feels really confident backing either one. They do have decent

516
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,839
numbers against the batters they're facing in their history, but

517
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:32,240
again I mentioned yesterday, the caveat to that is it

518
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:35,319
could have been ten years ago, so we can't really

519
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:38,400
say how they did in the last five years or

520
00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:40,920
something like that. Well, I do, I do actually do

521
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:42,880
that when I run my numbers but that's more of

522
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:48,559
a deep dive. So I mean, I trust Lopez a

523
00:26:48,559 --> 00:26:51,119
little bit more, and I definitely trust Atlanta's bullpen a

524
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,519
little bit more. But you know, I mean, I think

525
00:26:54,559 --> 00:26:57,160
Atlanta's got a good lineup too when they're playing well.

526
00:26:57,319 --> 00:26:59,599
The problem with Atlanta is they're just too hot in

527
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:05,359
colds some times. They have actually more star power than

528
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:09,039
the Diamondbacks do. The Diamondbacks have more of a every

529
00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:11,640
day they're gonna score five runs kind of offense, where

530
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:15,079
Atlanta they could, they could score ten, they could score one.

531
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,160
You know, they're really hot and cold like a microwave.

532
00:27:17,319 --> 00:27:20,440
So I don't know. I put a free play out

533
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:24,599
at Atlanta because I think given the matchup, I think

534
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:28,160
minus one twelve is a very fair price for a

535
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:33,880
possible playoff team opposed to a last place team. So well,

536
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:36,119
I mean, the Rockies are there, so they might not

537
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:39,000
be last place, but they'll be near the Rockies in

538
00:27:39,039 --> 00:27:42,359
my opinion, towards the end of the year. So I

539
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,000
think minus twelve is a good price for the Atlanta Braves.

540
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,839
I wouldn't go crazy on it, but a small percent.

541
00:27:48,839 --> 00:27:53,960
Speaker 1: Ryan my biggest numerical edge today, which is not very

542
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:56,759
big it's not you know, it's not big relative to

543
00:27:56,799 --> 00:27:59,079
what the biggest would be on a day where there

544
00:27:59,119 --> 00:27:59,920
was fifteen games.

545
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:01,519
Speaker 4: Is the Braves showey?

546
00:28:01,599 --> 00:28:05,279
Speaker 1: I show some value like Tokyo Brandon at minus one twelve.

547
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,720
I do show a little value to the Braves on

548
00:28:07,759 --> 00:28:10,559
the road here. But I've got my concerns, so I'm

549
00:28:10,599 --> 00:28:13,519
curious to see how you look at this one, Braves Diamondbacks,

550
00:28:13,559 --> 00:28:16,960
and if you can get to the window with either side.

551
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:21,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't want the Braves here. Ronaldo Lopez got

552
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:24,480
her early last season, didn't really pitch much, so he's

553
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:28,359
been gone for a long time, and in the preseason

554
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:33,440
he was having velocity problems. I wasn't even sure he

555
00:28:33,559 --> 00:28:35,960
was going to make the starting rotation, but because of

556
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:39,160
Atlanta's had so many injuries very similar to the Blue Jays,

557
00:28:39,559 --> 00:28:42,359
so many injuries to the starters that they got to

558
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,480
throw him out there. I don't think he goes along

559
00:28:45,519 --> 00:28:48,079
in this game. I like Ray Nelson. I like the

560
00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,839
changes he made last year, and I think he's the

561
00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:54,440
better pitcher out of the two, especially with Lopez coming

562
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,319
back from injury, and he hasn't proven that he's back yet.

563
00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,400
And this was a guy who was for the most

564
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:03,440
part an afterthought even before he got injured, so his

565
00:29:03,559 --> 00:29:05,519
better days have been behind him. I don't want any

566
00:29:05,559 --> 00:29:07,960
part of him on the mound here against an Arizona

567
00:29:08,039 --> 00:29:12,200
team that is. Say what you want about Arizona's pitching staff,

568
00:29:12,759 --> 00:29:16,400
but they've got a good hitting ball club. They've probably

569
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:18,079
got too many good hitters that can't get him into

570
00:29:18,119 --> 00:29:21,599
the lineup, especially these outfielders. So if I'm playing, I'm

571
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:23,440
playing the home team in this one. Although, to be

572
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:25,400
honest with you, with three games on today's card, who

573
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,640
knows if I'm even going to have a play But

574
00:29:28,039 --> 00:29:29,920
just something a little bit different than what you guys

575
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:34,039
have been talking about with Atlanta and I personally, I

576
00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:37,519
until the Nina gets some of the starting pitchers back,

577
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:41,440
I don't consider them to be a playoff team. They've

578
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,799
got some great hitters on this team, some really good players,

579
00:29:44,279 --> 00:29:46,240
but that's a tough division.

580
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:51,119
Speaker 1: I feel like you can't completely throw out twenty twenty

581
00:29:51,119 --> 00:29:54,200
four though. I mean, the guy had a sub to

582
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:57,240
eer in one hundred and thirty five innings with one

583
00:29:57,319 --> 00:29:59,799
hundred and forty eight strikeouts Like that is that is

584
00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:02,599
like not a smile as an insanely good season.

585
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,119
Speaker 4: Now, last year he comes out gets hurt.

586
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,279
Speaker 1: I was concerned with the v LO as well in

587
00:30:07,319 --> 00:30:09,799
the spring, but then in the first, his first start

588
00:30:09,799 --> 00:30:12,920
of the regular season, he comes out, he's throwing ninety seven.

589
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:15,960
I think he gives up one hit over six innings

590
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:19,880
against the Royals, which again is it's one start. I'm

591
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,519
not a huge I'm not huge on the Royals this

592
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:27,400
year either. He's certainly up against a tougher lineup tonight

593
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,519
in a ballpark that's going to be a far more

594
00:30:30,759 --> 00:30:34,359
hitter friendly scenario than what that opening game was against

595
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:34,839
the Royals.

596
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 4: I'm with you, Brian. I love Ryan Nelson. I can't.

597
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:39,000
That's the other thing.

598
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:41,839
Speaker 1: Even where I'm at with the d Backs and even

599
00:30:41,839 --> 00:30:44,559
with showing the little value against the Braves, I'm very

600
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:48,599
high on Nelson. You know, his first start, that stat

601
00:30:48,599 --> 00:30:50,599
line's maybe a little bit unfair. I thought he was

602
00:30:50,599 --> 00:30:52,599
a little unlucky, and I didn't think he pitched his

603
00:30:52,759 --> 00:30:54,799
you know, you look at quickly take a look at

604
00:30:54,839 --> 00:30:58,400
his ra seven point seven to one, right, Like, I

605
00:30:58,440 --> 00:30:59,000
didn't think he.

606
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:03,519
Speaker 4: Threw it that badly against the Dodgers. So yeah, I

607
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:04,079
don't know.

608
00:31:04,599 --> 00:31:07,400
Speaker 1: I don't think I'm confident enough here to really play

609
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:11,599
either side. I'll bring TV back in here to close

610
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:13,680
it down. Any Can you find a prop in this

611
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:14,359
one for us?

612
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 3: Hmm, not really. I mean i'll just rattle off my out.

613
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,519
Since there's only six pictures here, I'm projecting Ryan Nelson

614
00:31:25,519 --> 00:31:28,119
to only go fourteen outs, but I don't know how

615
00:31:28,119 --> 00:31:35,680
accurate that'll be. I got Lopez going sixteen. I'm against

616
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:37,920
you guys on the Nelson thing. I'm not a fan

617
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,920
of his, but you know, we all have our reasons,

618
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:44,880
we all have our different approaches. I would stay away

619
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:47,480
from a prop though, I'm not sure if I trust

620
00:31:47,559 --> 00:31:53,880
my projection there. Ryan Nelson fourteen outs, but Atlanta's lineup,

621
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:59,000
they're not the Dodgers. But I mean there's little rest

622
00:31:59,079 --> 00:32:02,440
when you're facing those nine, so he could get knocked

623
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:04,039
out early as possible.

624
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 2: All right, Bright, Yeah, I don't do my own productions

625
00:32:10,119 --> 00:32:13,039
like TV does, but I do have other places where

626
00:32:13,039 --> 00:32:15,880
I buy their projections, and they've got a fifty percent

627
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:19,519
chance that Nelson gets a quality start, and that's the

628
00:32:19,599 --> 00:32:22,880
highest on the card today. Lopez is actually twenty four percent,

629
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:25,519
along with Bradley twenty four and Peters in twenty eight,

630
00:32:25,599 --> 00:32:31,240
so they have him going five point eight innings, so

631
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:33,599
he's he's going to be in the game a little

632
00:32:33,599 --> 00:32:37,640
bit longer according to these projections, and I consider him

633
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,200
the better pitcher. So we'll see. We'll see how this

634
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:45,319
one works out. I mentioned Buxton earlier. You're able to

635
00:32:45,319 --> 00:32:51,440
get him at plus three eighty five to to hit

636
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:53,319
a home run. I think that's a pretty good bargain.

637
00:32:54,359 --> 00:32:57,599
So we'll have see Vinnie Pascatino also three point nine

638
00:32:57,720 --> 00:32:59,920
or three ninety come back on that, so that one

639
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,119
that wouldn't be bad either. So we'll see how this goes.

640
00:33:03,759 --> 00:33:06,240
But if you're looking at the home run reports overall,

641
00:33:06,319 --> 00:33:09,319
like I said, a cansasity eighteen percent, San Francisco is

642
00:33:09,359 --> 00:33:12,119
strange because the wind always seems to be blown out

643
00:33:12,119 --> 00:33:15,960
in San Francisco, but it it kind of circles, and

644
00:33:16,039 --> 00:33:19,039
so they're projecting nineteen percent less even though the wind

645
00:33:19,079 --> 00:33:21,160
is blowing out in San Francisco. You always have to

646
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:23,319
take that with a grain of salt because of the

647
00:33:23,359 --> 00:33:25,480
way the wind blows in San Francisco.

648
00:33:27,799 --> 00:33:30,039
Speaker 1: I'll throw one out there, so you know with the

649
00:33:30,079 --> 00:33:33,480
props if you're if you're willing to take a guy.

650
00:33:33,559 --> 00:33:35,160
If you're willing to take a chance on a guy

651
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:39,759
hitting eighth or ninth, typically the the you're gonna get

652
00:33:39,759 --> 00:33:42,240
a better number on those guys because the book the

653
00:33:42,279 --> 00:33:44,039
books are up pricing all of that in. If the

654
00:33:44,079 --> 00:33:46,440
guy's you know, hitting eighth or ninethies typically down at

655
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:49,680
the bottom of the order, the his prop is gonna be,

656
00:33:50,119 --> 00:33:52,119
like they know all this right, They're gonna juice up

657
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:54,079
the guy. It's gonna they're gonna juice up the guys

658
00:33:54,119 --> 00:33:57,119
that might get the extra at that. And so I

659
00:33:57,119 --> 00:34:00,720
talked about brooks Lee with the Twins, Jordan Lawler's quietly

660
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,559
got a couple of hits in a row. I feel

661
00:34:03,599 --> 00:34:05,680
like we've been waiting five years for him to like

662
00:34:05,759 --> 00:34:09,519
realize this potential. And that's the guy. If he's in

663
00:34:09,519 --> 00:34:14,400
the lineup today and Lopez comes out suddenly throwing ninety

664
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:18,039
four again instead of hitting ninety seven, if that happens,

665
00:34:18,079 --> 00:34:19,840
I'll tell you what, if you can I don't know

666
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,119
how much you trust the v Lo on the screen.

667
00:34:22,639 --> 00:34:26,679
If Lopez is Velo's like ninety four as opposed to

668
00:34:26,679 --> 00:34:28,440
like hitting ninety seven like he did when he was

669
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:31,840
all jacked up on opening Day, I'd live bet the

670
00:34:32,079 --> 00:34:34,639
probably start live betting against the Braves if that was

671
00:34:34,679 --> 00:34:37,000
the case, because that was like the big concern. And

672
00:34:37,039 --> 00:34:39,119
then I read that mechanic. You know, he had a

673
00:34:39,159 --> 00:34:41,599
mechanical issue in the spring too that he was trying

674
00:34:41,639 --> 00:34:45,360
to work around. That's, uh, that's like concern to get

675
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:48,400
blown up right there. So that was my big concern.

676
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:50,760
Is he comes out suddenly he's not hitting ninety seven

677
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:53,440
on the gun and then the d Backs you know,

678
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:56,639
hit him with like a six run inning, So that

679
00:34:56,639 --> 00:35:01,760
that's something to look for, I think. And again, you know,

680
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:05,039
usually we're you know, when we don't have huge opinions

681
00:35:05,079 --> 00:35:07,000
on a normal slate, we're just you know, kind of

682
00:35:07,039 --> 00:35:08,039
moving game to game.

683
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,320
Speaker 4: But we got improvised a little bit. There's only three games. Actually.

684
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:15,280
Speaker 1: I had this grand handicap for Blue Jay's White Sox

685
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:18,000
and it got canceled last night. So I was all

686
00:35:18,039 --> 00:35:21,320
set to, you know, come with that game and it

687
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:25,000
got canceled last night. So we are still going to

688
00:35:25,039 --> 00:35:27,719
figure out three plays for the parlay. It's gonna be

689
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:30,079
a little bit more difficult than normal, but I'm gonna

690
00:35:30,079 --> 00:35:32,880
go to Tokyo Brandon, give him the floor. He's already

691
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,320
told you he's got a five percent play at wager

692
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:39,000
talk today, So TV find a show play for me

693
00:35:39,079 --> 00:35:40,800
here and talk talk to us about what else you

694
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:41,880
got going on at wager talk.

695
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:46,159
Speaker 3: Sure I do have a five percent play up. There's

696
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:48,679
a couple of really good deals wager talk has going

697
00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:51,199
on right now. First of all, out of US three,

698
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:53,119
you can pick two of us and make it a

699
00:35:53,159 --> 00:35:57,880
double play three day all access to two of us.

700
00:35:58,599 --> 00:36:01,960
That's one deal. But wager Talk's also doing a six

701
00:36:02,079 --> 00:36:05,840
for three deal. For the price of three days access,

702
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:08,440
you can get three days for free, So six days

703
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:12,480
for the price of three for any capper, even outside

704
00:36:12,519 --> 00:36:15,679
of US three. So really good deals going on at

705
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:18,719
wager talk. So go to wager talk dot com and

706
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:20,960
check that out. And check our pages out because if

707
00:36:20,960 --> 00:36:24,079
you go to experts, Brian, Adam and I all have

708
00:36:24,159 --> 00:36:27,039
a page there that shows a bunch of stuff, our

709
00:36:27,079 --> 00:36:31,239
free plays, our latest videos and things like that. So

710
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,280
check all of that out. I'm glad you're giving me

711
00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:38,920
the first choice because there's such slim pickings today. I'll

712
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,519
take Atlanta on the money line. Then if I get

713
00:36:41,519 --> 00:36:44,880
the first choice, and is that what either one of

714
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:45,840
you would have taken.

715
00:36:46,639 --> 00:36:49,079
Speaker 4: Nope, you can have that's that's fine.

716
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 3: Cool. Oh yeah, you guys like Nelson, Okay, that's right.

717
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:58,239
I don't And as soon as I say that, Brian's laughing.

718
00:36:58,519 --> 00:37:00,480
As soon as I say that, he's to go out

719
00:37:00,519 --> 00:37:03,840
and pitch seven scoreless innings, right because every time I

720
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:08,480
fade someone, that's what happens. Yeah, well here's trash talk someone.

721
00:37:08,639 --> 00:37:10,840
That's exactly what happens. So we'll see.

722
00:37:11,559 --> 00:37:14,159
Speaker 4: I just don't like how much unknown there is.

723
00:37:14,159 --> 00:37:16,719
Speaker 1: Like, listen, if you get into a close game here

724
00:37:17,119 --> 00:37:19,480
in the later innings, you have to like the Braves

725
00:37:19,519 --> 00:37:23,559
because the Diamondbacks bullpen, you know, I still think is

726
00:37:23,599 --> 00:37:26,760
pretty poor, and they've just used like every leverage reliever

727
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,159
they have over the last three days to close out

728
00:37:29,199 --> 00:37:32,639
three one run wins. So, Brian Leonard, you always talk about,

729
00:37:32,679 --> 00:37:34,880
you know, some games being a better live betting game.

730
00:37:35,159 --> 00:37:37,599
Speaker 4: Would Diamondbacks Braves qualify as that?

731
00:37:38,039 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would think. So there's got to be a

732
00:37:40,519 --> 00:37:43,280
better live betting game than the pregame as these three.

733
00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:46,119
Because I'm having a hard time coming up with even

734
00:37:46,159 --> 00:37:49,440
a part of a parlor here. I'm going to take

735
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:53,199
a look at the match you're laying let's just say

736
00:37:53,199 --> 00:37:54,800
one twenty. You can get better than that out there,

737
00:37:54,840 --> 00:37:57,679
but even worse in some places. But I prefer the

738
00:37:57,679 --> 00:38:00,920
match in this game. I just think eventually the hitters

739
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:04,280
are gonna come around and we're gonna get some better

740
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:06,519
luck out of the Mets. I've talked about it being

741
00:38:06,519 --> 00:38:10,840
an unlucky team, so I consider the Mets division winner.

742
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:13,800
I consider San Francisco a third place team, and with

743
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:17,239
a near near pickup situation, I'll take you the mass.

744
00:38:19,519 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's probably my strongest lean on the

745
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:25,679
slate today is the Mets. And that's so I agree

746
00:38:25,719 --> 00:38:27,719
with you there, Brian. What what are you seeing? What

747
00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:29,559
minus one twenty I'm.

748
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:34,079
Speaker 2: Seeing minus won eighteen to minus one twenty five. The

749
00:38:34,119 --> 00:38:38,239
Sharper books are in the in the lower range, So yeah,

750
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:40,639
you can go one twenty two. Let's just say just

751
00:38:40,639 --> 00:38:41,840
just to cover most of it.

752
00:38:44,039 --> 00:38:46,119
Speaker 4: All right, you guys left me with the game that

753
00:38:46,199 --> 00:38:47,159
I want no part of.

754
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:50,519
Speaker 1: But that's okay because I'm gonna find I think I've

755
00:38:50,559 --> 00:38:53,119
gotten a play in that game, as we talked about it,

756
00:38:53,159 --> 00:38:55,039
that I will make my play first.

757
00:38:55,559 --> 00:38:56,360
Speaker 4: Aby covers.

758
00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:59,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, we are doing full court press today, So Robbie

759
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:00,639
and know, and I will be on at the top

760
00:39:00,679 --> 00:39:03,760
of the hour to break down the n T semi finals,

761
00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:07,480
which I will be at tonight in Hinklefield House in Indianapolis, Indiana.

762
00:39:07,559 --> 00:39:10,840
Looking forward to that, and we'll also talk, you know,

763
00:39:11,079 --> 00:39:12,400
we may get to some final four.

764
00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:13,639
Speaker 4: Our final four show.

765
00:39:13,519 --> 00:39:16,119
Speaker 1: Is tomorrow, so yeah, we will have a full court

766
00:39:16,159 --> 00:39:19,400
press today tomorrow, and then our final show will be

767
00:39:19,519 --> 00:39:22,599
Championship Monday, so you know, if you're interested in that,

768
00:39:22,599 --> 00:39:25,119
that'll be ten am Eastern right here on the wager

769
00:39:25,159 --> 00:39:28,440
Talk YouTube channel. We also have a great double play package,

770
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,880
so even though there's not a ton of MLB today,

771
00:39:31,519 --> 00:39:34,360
I'll probably have something in triple A. I hit the

772
00:39:34,639 --> 00:39:39,960
Charlotte Knights last night. We've got KBO often running. TV

773
00:39:40,199 --> 00:39:43,559
is involved in the Asian leagues as well, and you

774
00:39:43,599 --> 00:39:45,840
could pick two of your handicappers. So great day to

775
00:39:46,559 --> 00:39:49,440
you know, try the double play. TV's got the five percenter,

776
00:39:50,119 --> 00:39:52,360
so you'll get the five percent. I mean, it almost

777
00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:54,760
just doesn't make sense to if you're just if you're

778
00:39:54,760 --> 00:39:57,039
gonna buy the five percenter, why not you know, get

779
00:39:57,079 --> 00:39:58,960
the the two for one.

780
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:03,079
Speaker 3: Three days really days, two of us write almost the

781
00:40:03,119 --> 00:40:03,639
same price.

782
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:07,159
Speaker 1: It's the more cost effective option. So that is the

783
00:40:07,159 --> 00:40:12,519
double play. Any two handicappers up on all of our pages.

784
00:40:12,559 --> 00:40:15,079
But yeah, I guess I strongly encourage one of those

785
00:40:15,159 --> 00:40:17,239
cappers to be TV today because he's got a five

786
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:17,840
percent play.

787
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:20,840
Speaker 4: Hopefully I'm not going to again.

788
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:25,199
Speaker 3: In Arizona, Arizona, am beardown Arizona. We're gonna win the

789
00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:28,360
national championship, first time since what ninety three, I.

790
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:34,159
Speaker 1: Think ninety seven, Miles Simon, Mike Bibbie. They beat the

791
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:39,559
Kentucky Wildcats in overtime Prime nineteen ninety seven.

792
00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:45,079
Speaker 3: It was the Sean Elliott when I was there, so Steve,

793
00:40:46,039 --> 00:40:46,400
when I.

794
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:48,559
Speaker 4: Went there, that was believe.

795
00:40:48,639 --> 00:40:52,880
Speaker 1: That was the famous call where he Simon says championship

796
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:56,159
And I think it is the last time, if you

797
00:40:56,199 --> 00:40:58,000
were to split the country down the middle, I think

798
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:02,079
it's the last time someone like west of like the

799
00:41:02,119 --> 00:41:05,360
middle of the US has won the national Championship, which

800
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:07,440
is a little unfair because like two thirds of the

801
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:09,800
schools are on the other side of the way.

802
00:41:10,039 --> 00:41:15,960
Speaker 3: I didn't know that Gonzaga Arizona. There's pretty good teams

803
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:16,360
on the wint.

804
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, they had it won though the last team to

805
00:41:18,559 --> 00:41:22,599
actually win was the ninety seven Arizona Wildcats, So I

806
00:41:22,599 --> 00:41:26,400
think the West. I think the furthest West to win,

807
00:41:26,599 --> 00:41:29,400
since then would either would either be Baylor or Kansas.

808
00:41:29,599 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 4: So right in the middle of the country.

809
00:41:31,199 --> 00:41:32,480
Speaker 3: Interesting, not even dur.

810
00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:36,639
Speaker 2: Even though baseball's on, I got three games today, I'm

811
00:41:36,679 --> 00:41:40,280
on the Hockey Show. It in an hour fifteen minutes

812
00:41:40,599 --> 00:41:43,400
and there's a full slate of hockey bats out there.

813
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:47,880
So yeah, even if the baseball card is short, there's

814
00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:49,599
plenty of ways to make money out there.

815
00:41:50,199 --> 00:41:53,599
Speaker 1: Absolutely shout out, shout out puck time, the O G Show.

816
00:41:54,079 --> 00:41:56,599
That's yeah, you're into hockey. That's where you should, uh

817
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,599
should be and uh it'll be even I mean the

818
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:03,199
plofs right around the corner, I think getting close.

819
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:05,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, about eight games left. Preached in.

820
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,559
Speaker 1: As a fair weather like hockey guy that doesn't really

821
00:42:09,559 --> 00:42:12,440
know much about hockey, like, I'll sit there and just

822
00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:15,559
watch a hockey playoffs in my like, that's something I

823
00:42:15,599 --> 00:42:16,760
want to do with my free time.

824
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:18,159
Speaker 4: It's just electric.

825
00:42:18,559 --> 00:42:22,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, to go to an actual game and watch sports.

826
00:42:22,079 --> 00:42:26,840
I would prefer hockey over anything. I agree, continuous excitement,

827
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:31,239
and I'm a lot and I love baseball. I love baseball,

828
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:33,440
but hockey is the most exciting.

829
00:42:34,079 --> 00:42:37,119
Speaker 3: The last hockey game I went to. Uh you were there, Brian,

830
00:42:39,119 --> 00:42:42,519
I don't remember, but we weally with you and Marco

831
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:43,719
and Marco's wife.

832
00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:46,719
Speaker 4: A lot of fun, all right.

833
00:42:46,800 --> 00:42:50,119
Speaker 1: So what I'm gonna do for the parlay, I'm going

834
00:42:50,199 --> 00:42:52,280
to go with the over in this Royals Twins game.

835
00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:54,519
We we sat there and gave out home run prop

836
00:42:54,559 --> 00:42:57,000
after home run prop, and I'm hoping they all hit that.

837
00:42:57,079 --> 00:42:59,000
That's what That's what I'm doing. I'm hoping they all hit.

838
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:02,599
With that being said, I think there's so two things. One,

839
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:07,320
I think that enough contact is made where we see

840
00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:11,159
a little bit of offense. Two, I'm not thrilled with

841
00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:14,960
either bullpen set up today. So even if Taj Bradley,

842
00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:18,800
Taj Bradley's notorious for leaving one up every once in

843
00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:20,880
a while, that's like if he misses, he does miss

844
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,320
up and he will let you elevate the ball.

845
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:23,519
Speaker 4: Like.

846
00:43:24,039 --> 00:43:26,800
Speaker 1: So, you know, we talked about some Twins props. The

847
00:43:27,159 --> 00:43:29,000
Royals hitting the ball out a couple of times is

848
00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:33,039
not crazy either, especially if Bradley gets caught, you know,

849
00:43:33,079 --> 00:43:35,000
with one of those heaters that like kind of stays

850
00:43:35,039 --> 00:43:37,519
up in the zone. I'm gonna take it down to

851
00:43:37,599 --> 00:43:42,440
over nine, so it's gonna be the juiced version over nine.

852
00:43:42,679 --> 00:43:44,559
I think, TV do you can you tell me what

853
00:43:44,599 --> 00:43:46,599
an over nine is? Is it like minus one twenty

854
00:43:46,639 --> 00:43:50,280
five something like that, because I think the over nine

855
00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:52,480
and a half is even money. But for the parlay's sake,

856
00:43:52,519 --> 00:43:53,440
I want over nine.

857
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:58,440
Speaker 3: I'm not the guy to ask, but I'll have just

858
00:43:58,679 --> 00:43:59,320
one moment.

859
00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:05,960
Speaker 1: I I'm pretty sure the alt total on that is

860
00:44:06,039 --> 00:44:08,360
gonna be like minus one twenty five.

861
00:44:08,599 --> 00:44:10,039
Speaker 4: So here's what we'll do.

862
00:44:11,639 --> 00:44:15,559
Speaker 2: I see twenty two twenty at draft games right now, beautiful.

863
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:16,559
Speaker 4: I'll call it.

864
00:44:16,679 --> 00:44:18,519
Speaker 1: I'll call it minus one twenty five just because I

865
00:44:18,559 --> 00:44:23,800
think that's like that'll cover everyone. I just think with

866
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:26,679
a thirty mile an hour wind blowing out the fact

867
00:44:26,679 --> 00:44:30,119
that you've got, you know, the Twins' bullpen is very

868
00:44:30,199 --> 00:44:33,280
questionable even at full strength, and then the Royals use

869
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:36,039
some arms. I think if you could get a crooked

870
00:44:36,119 --> 00:44:38,639
number early there, you know, you get to four to four,

871
00:44:39,559 --> 00:44:42,360
you're pushing. That's as good as it's gonna get for

872
00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:44,840
me today, I think, so we'll go over nine, which

873
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:48,679
makes the parlay today Tokyo Brandon's going braves it's minus

874
00:44:48,679 --> 00:44:52,119
one twelve. Brian's gonna go Mets minus one twenty, and

875
00:44:52,199 --> 00:44:56,519
I'm gonna go Royals Twins over nine. That is your

876
00:44:56,559 --> 00:45:01,000
three teamer, that's your show. We will be someone's saying,

877
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:04,159
I look like luka doncik. I mean, I don't know

878
00:45:04,199 --> 00:45:07,320
about that. I wish I had his game. I'll tell

879
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:09,480
you that much. I suppish it could ball.

880
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:12,519
Speaker 3: Like that money Adam Adam. Before we cut off, we

881
00:45:12,519 --> 00:45:14,880
should tell everyone that we're doing a Saturday show this week.

882
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:18,639
Speaker 1: Yes, great call, Tokyo, Brandon. We are bringing total Bases

883
00:45:18,639 --> 00:45:23,079
to Saturday. We will fill the last call time slot,

884
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:26,280
so the show, this same show will be on at

885
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:29,360
eleven am Eastern on Saturday, so we're going to six

886
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:32,000
days a week. Tomorrow will be back in our normal

887
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:34,840
weekday time slot at nine am with a lot more

888
00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:37,679
games to talk about. So you got the sort of

889
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,960
the unabridged version here right, the extended cut of the

890
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:41,559
three games.

891
00:45:41,599 --> 00:45:42,000
Speaker 4: Today.

892
00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:45,599
Speaker 1: Tomorrow it's back to rapping fire, getting through the games

893
00:45:45,599 --> 00:45:48,239
and hopefully some better stuff to beat. But you know what, guys,

894
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:49,920
this is how it works. We're gonna hit this parlate

895
00:45:49,960 --> 00:45:52,360
today because it's three games. We didn't really care about.

896
00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:55,800
It's going to be the one that wins. So good

897
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,519
luck today and we'll see you guys in the morning.

898
00:45:58,559 --> 00:45:59,639
For more total bases,