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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Texas Tribune trip Cast for

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July eighth, twenty twenty five. I am Matthew Watkins, Editor

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in Chief of the Texas Tribune, joined as usual by

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Eleanor Klebanoff, Law and Justice reporter, Law and courtse reporter

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for the Texas Tribune. Hello, Eleanor, Hey mate. We are talking,

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you know, in the aftermath of a tough weekend for Texas,

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A tough holiday weekend, of course, everyone knows by now

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the flooding in the Hill Country, hitting Kerr County particularly hard.

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As we record this at eleven twenty on Tuesday morning,

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more than one hundred deaths have been confirmed by state

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and local officials, eighty seven of those in Kerr County,

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of course, getting a lot of the attention worthy twenty

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seven girls and counselors who disappeared from Camp Stick. I

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think those are presumed lost at this time, five councilors

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in one five campers and one councilor still unaccounted for.

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But we are now, you know, several days past the flooding.

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We are joined to talk about this with Matt Lanza,

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a Houston based meteorologist from Space City Weather and the Eyewall. Matt,

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thank you for joining us.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks for having me on tough, tough story. For sure.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely absolutely.

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Speaker 3: Eleanor, you.

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Speaker 1: Were in Kerrville on Sunday and Monday, tell us a

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little bit, just first and foremost about kind of what

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you saw, what the scene is like there right now.

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Speaker 4: I mean, it's hard to even like capture in words,

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the devastation there.

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Speaker 3: I've covered natural disasters.

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Speaker 4: This seems like sort of on a level even above that,

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particularly when you think about, like it was a flood,

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you know, I think I've covered floods. You're used to

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seeing people, you know, mucking out their houses and mud

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up to their shins and all that. This was, you know,

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looked more like a tornado. I mean, r V parks

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just ripped through, not just trailers smashed into each other,

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but the metal siding ripped off cars. You know. I

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saw it on a bridge, a dumpster that was basically,

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you know, one of those big metal dumpsters like folded

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in half from the water.

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Speaker 3: It's you know, and I keep saying this, but it's

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really true.

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Speaker 4: Like to hear talk to people who lost everything, lost

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their homes, their businesses, their everything, they own, their pets,

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and to hear them talk about like how incredibly lucky

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they feel to be alive after that is really jarring.

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It was different than you know, usually people are so

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more focused on, you know, the physical things that they lost,

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but with sort of these girls missing and the families

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missing and the people who you know are are dead

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sort of hanging over this, I think it's a really

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it's a really emotional place right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, and something being felt I think across the state.

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I mean, one of the things and maybe we'll talk

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about this a little bit more, is just that I

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keep thinking about, is how terrible the timing of this

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storm was. I mean, you really, you literally could not

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have picked a worse hour for this flood to happen,

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you know, of the whole year, right the night before

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fourth or really the morning of fourth of July weekend

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where there's people from all over the state coming in

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to celebrate the holiday. Of course, these summer camps, Camp

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Mystic and others as well, where generations of people have gone,

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you know, kids from you know, Austin, Houston, Dallas, San Antonio,

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everywhere in between. Really really tragic and terrible, and I

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you know, it feels like at least for me, someone

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who grew up here I knew, I'd you know, probably

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more than a dozen kids who you know, my cohort

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who went to Camp Mystic, people who have their kids there.

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Now it's like you can and it. It feels like

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a smaller state right now, and in the way that

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even I've never really experienced in a tragedy like this,

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where it just like everywhere you look you feel like

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you know or hear about someone you know who's been

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affected by this.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I think part I mean to talk about,

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like the July fourth of it all, Like part of

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what has stuck with me from you know, being out

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there and going to these press conferences out there and stuff,

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is that we actually don't even know how many people

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are missing because so many people were visiting the area

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for the fourth of July. They were camping, they were

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staying in RVs. I mean, horrifyingly, the county they've set

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up a tip lined if you're missing someone you know,

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they're dealing with prank calls or dealing with scam calls.

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They're dealing with people who you know, don't know if

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their loved one was there.

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Speaker 3: It's like it's.

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Speaker 4: Hard to imagine for that area, like a busier weekend

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and a sort of more you know, a more difficult

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weekend to try to like get an accounting of who

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was there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I think, you know, we will continue to learn

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more about that, you know, in the days and weeks

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to come, for sure. Matt, I want to ask you,

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let's start just by talking about the storm, Like, what

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explain to us just the weather phenomenon that happened here? Yeah?

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What like yeah, really, like, how how did this happen?

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Just from a meteor meteorological perspective.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it is a tough one to talk about. You know,

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it's interesting having gone through Harvey, even in Houston, and

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then seeing this, this is just a whole other level

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and it's it makes the scientific aspect of it just

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it's hard to dissociate, right, So, but we have to

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kind of talk about these things to understand why these

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things happen. So, you know, Central Texas is not immune

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to flooding. I mean, it's one of the most probe

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places in America. There's a long, long history and oftentimes

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what ends up happening is you get some sort of

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remnant of some tropical system that ends up wandering its

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way into Texas. And that's what happened in this particular

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case with the remnants of tropical storm Berry. I mean,

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Barry was a tropical storm for literally twelve hours. That is,

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it made landfall in Mexico the weekend before the fourth

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of July and just kind of took its time. He

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entered up through Mexico and ended up in Texas, you know,

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rate on Wednesday and into Thursday, and you had basically

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first you know, that tropical remnant ends up being sort

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of the focal point for allowing showers and thunderstorms to develop.

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You've got all this moisture coming in off the Gulf,

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so the atmosphere is completely saturated. You've got the terrain

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that contributes to all this. This is why flash flood

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Alley is called what it is because the Balcone's escarpment,

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it basically forces the air up. Right. You need to

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get to get thunderstorms, you need rising air. And what

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you're doing is is winds come out of the South.

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They're being forced up the terrain in hill country. And

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what it does is that adds a little bit more

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energy to the whole thing. And then on top of that,

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we had a couple of disturbances. We had I think

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what we call a mesoscale convectivete vorticy that was involved

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in all this as well, and those act to kind

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of further enhance the rainfall. And it was just kind

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of like a horribly perfect combination of meteorological elements to

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allow for heavy rainfall, and not over a tremendously wide area,

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but very localized. Right, That's what ends up happening in

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these situations. It's not it's not like a harvey where

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so many places get you know, inundated. This is more

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of a localized type phenomena where you know, you get

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these smaller pockets of really high rainfall amounts interspersed with

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something more manageable, like a one to four inch type rainfall,

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and those are just notoriously very difficult to forecast.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, that was gonna be my next question,

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and we can get into the question of the National

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Weather Service here in a little bit before we talk

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about that. I just I wonder if you could help

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me understand whether this came as a surprise, right, Like

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I feel like just from my own experience, we knew

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it was probably going to rain on fourth of July.

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But at least I maybe I just wasn't paying enough attention,

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was not expecting this right even in Austin, you know,

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one hundred miles away or whatever. It rained basically constantly.

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Did we see this level of precipitation, this type of

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storm coming ahead of time?

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Speaker 2: So the answer is yes and no. We did know

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that it was going to rain over that time period.

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You know, if you go back and look at the

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forecast discussions and you look at the modeling in the

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days kind of leading up to the fourth of July,

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there was definitely a signal that there were going to

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be showers and thunderstorms. You know, initially it didn't look

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necessarily like anything abnormal, you know, what we typically would

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expect in Texas in summertime. As we got into Wednesday

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and Thursday and we got into what we call these

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higher resolution models. So you've got these global models that

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you always hear about, the American model, europe model, things

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like that. Those help us to kind of plan ahead

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of time. But then when you get kind of into

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the nitty gritty of a weather event, you start to

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transition to these higher resolution what we call convection allowing models.

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They can forecast thunderstorms, and so as we went into

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Wednesday night and Thursday, those models actually started to escalate

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the rainfall totals a little more. So you started to

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see maybe instead of you know, two to four inches

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or a little bit more, maybe you saw five or

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six inches in a morning run, and then by afternoon

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that was up to like six or ten inches, and

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then by evening that had escalated to like ten to

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fifteen inches. And it wasn't over a wide area again,

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it was just kind of an isolated spot. So the

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answer to the question is we didn't have a ton

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of lead time, but you had to be paying attention

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on Thursday to understand what was going on. And that's

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what we saw kind of the National Weather Service catching

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up with were these models. They started to expand flood watches,

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they started to escalate messaging, and we saw more and

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more of that throughout the day on Thursday and especially

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into the evening. You know, the challenge is with a

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system like this is that you have, like when it

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comes like a Harvey, you've got a very defined system, right,

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You've got you know, there's a remnant rate there. It's

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so well defined, it's going to dump rain over a

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large area. In these situations, you have a signal that says,

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everybody's gonna get rain. It's going to be heavy. We

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get heavy rain all the time in Texas, right, so

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you don't necessarily think much of it. But then as

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we got into Wednesday and Thursday and some of these

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higher resolution models started to up the ante a little bit,

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it started to be like, Okay, well, there's going to

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be heavy rain, but there might be some pockets that

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see some really heavy rain that you know, cause problems.

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But the problem is we're not The science is not

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there yet to tell you exactly where and exactly how

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much it's going to fall. And we got a long

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way to go before we get there as a field

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of science. And that's really where the challenge is is

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messaging that to people to say, like, over a you know,

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two hundred square mile area, there could be a pocket

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that sees ten to fifteen inches of rainfall. Is that

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a helpful forecast? I don't know, but at least we

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should hopefully get people paying attention.

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Speaker 4: I was just guys, like, how much of this is

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dependent on other factors, like the fact that we've been

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in a drought for so long. I mean, are there

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things going even going into this summer. Let's say you

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could have said, like if we did get a lot

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of rain, it's going to be really bad.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. The phrase that we say is droughts and in floods, right,

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and you know, there's been such a long term drought

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across Central Texas and West Texas, you know, and for

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parts of West tests It. You know, it kind of continues.

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It's it's never a given though, right, you know, we've

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been in drought for so long to continue going into

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the summer and into the fall and into next year

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for all we know, you know. So there's really not

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a whole lot that you can say, but I will

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say that I'm sure that the drier ground, you know,

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probably acted to speed up the runoff a little bit

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and and kind of force more of that water into

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the into the river with a little bit more speed,

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and that probably contributed to why it rose so quickly.

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Speaker 1: Just to add on to what Eleanor was asking, is

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how extraordinary of a weather event was this? I mean,

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we we all know, we've all heard about how this

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region is very prone to flooding. Is this a circumstance

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where something you know, once in a hundred or you know,

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whatever years happened, or is this a fairly you know,

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I mean, I know it's an extraordinary flood, but how

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extraordinary was it?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? In the grand scheme of things, it fits. It

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fits the climate, right, you know, you expect to see

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this sort of flood on these rivers, you know, every

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so often. You know, we talk about the return periods.

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It could be you know, one hundred years, five hundred years,

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one thousand years, whatever that is, you know, and that

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all that's doing is saying that in any given year,

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this is a percent chance that you have of seeing

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a flood of one hundred year flood of be you

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have a one percent chance in any given year of

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seeing that. So that doesn't mean that you're only going

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to get one every one hundred years. You could get

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five in a row. Right, It's just it becomes kind

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of the law of averages at that point. But I

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mean that, you know, I've read a book called Flash

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Floods in Texas and it basically summarizes a lot of

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the historical floods that have occurred across the state, but

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in particular in hill country in central Texas. So there's

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there's a long, long history of it there. I think

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what probably makes this well, what makes this a little

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unique obviously as the human toll, right, I mean, there's

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just no kind of getting around that that that this

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was just an extraordinary event from that magnitude. You don't

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expect this to be happening in twenty twenty five. You know,

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we've got a lot of good forecasting at this point.

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Nothing really you know, a lot of things don't surprise

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us like they used to one hundred hundred and fifty

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years ago. But you know, obviously we still do have

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issues with forecasting. So you know, the human toll about

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was was certainly a you know, a unique factor of

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all this, but you know, it fits the bill. But

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it was also worse than what I think is tipic.

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This is definitely a you know, at top tier flood

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historically for Texas, just in and of itself, if you

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even take the human toll out of it. You know,

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we set some flooding records on parts of the rivers there.

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You know, it was also a multi day flood, you know,

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obviously getting less attention with some of the other flooding,

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some of the other flooding that occurred elsewhere in Central Texas,

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so you know, the subsequent day and things like that.

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So overall, this was a pretty high end rainfall event,

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one that we really haven't seen in a while in

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this part of this part of the state.

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Speaker 1: So let's let's go into the National Weather Service question.

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Of course, you mentioned the forecast sort of evolved over time.

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It was a hard thing to predict. There were a

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lot of questions immediately after this happened about whether the

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budget cuts that the National Weather Service face had an

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impact on this. We got some data on the on

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the Saturday after the flooding, basically saying that in San

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Angelo there were four vacant in that office out of

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twenty three positions. San Antonio had six vacancies out of

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twenty six. But the people in and who used to

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work at the National Weather Service seemed to suggest that

294
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that was enough to do what they needed to do.

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That day, you wrote on the eyewall, we have seen

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absolutely nothing to suggest current staffing or budget issues within

297
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NAA and the NWS played any role at all in

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this event. Tell us a little bit about what led

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you to that conclusion.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there were a couple of things. Number One, I

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think if you look back at the timeliness of the

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warnings that were issued by the forecast Office, particularly in

303
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San Antonio, it was within what I would have expected

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to see for a flooding about of this magnitude they

305
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were issued. He had discussions that were issued throughout the

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evening from the Weather Prediction Center in Washington, d C.

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That had talked about escalating rainfall risk and the potential

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for very high in totals. You know, basically the playbook

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played out what we've seen historically from from National Weather

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Service offices and these sorts of events, you know, and

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then looking at the staffing levels, you know, as you noted,

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it's not that abnormal. You know, certainly there's there's a

313
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few vacant positions, but there's always been a few vacant positions.

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If you come down the road to a place like Houston,

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that certainly made the news lately, you know that office

316
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has a number of additional vacancies relative to the San

317
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Antonio and San Angelo offices, so compared to some of

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the other local offices across the agency, they were actually

319
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pretty well off all things considered in terms of staffing,

320
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and they did bring in extra staffing as they would

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for for a higher end weather event ahead of time.

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So to me, it sounds everything sounds as if they

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were equipped with adequate numbers of people, The warnings were timely,

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whether they were received or not as a whole their discussion,

325
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but when they produced them, from the meteorological side of

326
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things and from the procedural side of things, based on

327
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what I know from the National Weather Service and knowing

328
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a lot of people that work at these various different offices,

329
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from there, it seemed totally normal, which is I think

330
00:17:16,079 --> 00:17:18,440
a frustrating answer for a lot of people, but I

331
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think it's the reality of it all, and I think

332
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we just have to kind of be honest about that

333
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in this situation.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, our story on Saturday had the timeline of the alerts,

335
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and I'm just going to run through it really quickly

336
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because I think it is fairly instructive for a few

337
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different reasons. So, there was a floodwatch issued on Wednesday

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at one eighteen pm. At one fourteen am Thursday, so

339
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about twelve hours later, that was upgraded to a warning.

340
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There was a flash flooding emergency issue, which I understand

341
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is sort of like the highest level of emergency warning

342
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at four h three am on Thursday morning, the river,

343
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according to the gauges, really started to rise at around

344
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five am. At five am it was one point eight

345
00:18:04,279 --> 00:18:08,000
feet deep. By six am it was twenty feet. By

346
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six forty five it was up to thirty four point

347
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twenty nine feet. So you're talking about just a massive

348
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rise in a very short period of time. Twenty feet

349
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by the way, I believe it's like sort of the

350
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flood stage major flood. So yeah, major flood stage, and

351
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so a very fast increase. But you know from the

352
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emergency warning to that major flood stage you're talking about

353
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like you know, over an hour, maybe even in the

354
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two hour range, right.

355
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Speaker 4: I mean I think also, and I've seen a lot

356
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of discussion about this, and I think it's like.

357
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Speaker 3: It's it's not partisan, it's not political.

358
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Speaker 4: It's a piece of this that's like these warnings are

359
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:47,440
often very hard to They're not written in plain language,

360
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they're hard to understand, They're hard to know, like what's

361
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the one we are supposed to activate on even here

362
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in Austin, like on Saturday, so after like we're hearing

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this horror, you know, like the horrible flooding that.

364
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Speaker 3: Has had happened.

365
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Speaker 4: We were getting these alerts, and it was like, how

366
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seriously do we have to take that?

367
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Speaker 1: Right?

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Speaker 3: Is this really like get off the road.

369
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Speaker 4: But then when I was in Kerrville, they started sitting

370
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out there was a point on Sunday evening where the

371
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water the rains, the rain came back and they were

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preparing for the water to rise again, and they sent

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like a very very plain language alert that was like

374
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flooding expected, get to high ground now. And I was

375
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so I'm curious to see going forward from this, like

376
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is are we going to see more plain language arguably

377
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,799
more useful push alerts?

378
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Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean, and then the other obvious thing about here,

379
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you know you talk about that, and I think it's

380
00:19:36,079 --> 00:19:38,000
a really good point, right the I think there might

381
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be a little bit of a like alert fatigueta two.

382
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Speaker 3: Since alerts, we've all.

383
00:19:42,799 --> 00:19:45,160
Speaker 1: Been in that situation where at like three am in

384
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the morning, our phone goes off and we like look

385
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and it's like an amber alert and Amarillo like eight

386
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hundred miles away or whatever, and it's like I can't

387
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:53,319
believe you, like go.

388
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Speaker 4: To my window and look for a white Chevy or whatever,

389
00:19:55,799 --> 00:19:56,559
like that's not right.

390
00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:57,519
Speaker 3: It's new sense.

391
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Speaker 1: Alerts and and in a dai that I think there

392
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:03,240
are a lot of people, again, like we said, who

393
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were not from that area and might not be as

394
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,519
familiar of like what flooding means in that area and

395
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what to do when the time comes. And also it

396
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,000
was the middle of the night and people might have

397
00:20:14,039 --> 00:20:16,519
been asleep, and I think all those things sort of

398
00:20:16,559 --> 00:20:20,599
come together to create a problem. I think the question

399
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,920
is particularly around the summer camps or some of these

400
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:27,440
areas where you know, you know, the thing that kind

401
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:31,759
of sticks with me, that has I kind of keep

402
00:20:31,799 --> 00:20:35,599
going back to is the county Judge Paul Kerr saying

403
00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:39,200
on Saturday morning, this is the most dangerous river valley

404
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:42,200
in the United States. We get these floods all the time, right.

405
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:44,799
I think the question that a lot of people are

406
00:20:44,799 --> 00:20:48,079
asking is like, if we get these floods all the time,

407
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:51,440
if we know that this danger is there, it's not

408
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:55,200
the National Weather Services job to evacuate people, right, It's

409
00:20:55,319 --> 00:20:58,559
the National Weather Services job to give people the information

410
00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:03,640
they need. Why weren't the systems in place to keep

411
00:21:03,759 --> 00:21:10,400
people safe from this, you know, somewhat inevitable type of emergency?

412
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Speaker 3: Right?

413
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Speaker 4: And we talk a lot about and correctly, there's a

414
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lot of talk right now about sirens and warning systems

415
00:21:15,559 --> 00:21:17,119
and all that, but it's also not the National Weather

416
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,559
Service job to say, like don't build so close to

417
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the river.

418
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Speaker 3: Don't you know? Like where should where? Should you have

419
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:22,720
these limits?

420
00:21:22,759 --> 00:21:25,200
Speaker 4: Like I'm not a scientist, I don't know, but it

421
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:26,599
does raise all these questions.

422
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:27,160
Speaker 3: Matt.

423
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Speaker 4: I'm curious from your perspective, where you see the let's

424
00:21:31,759 --> 00:21:35,799
say room, where you see the room for change from

425
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:37,759
all of this, what do you think the pivot point

426
00:21:37,759 --> 00:21:38,200
should be.

427
00:21:39,039 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is an opportunity to talk about a lot

428
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:42,599
of different things. So, first of all, from the National

429
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,119
Weather Service side of things, I think that the warnings

430
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,160
do need to be improved in terms of the language

431
00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:50,359
that is used. Right there's a standard format. It's been

432
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:54,240
improved over the years, but it's not perfect. Obviously. One

433
00:21:54,279 --> 00:21:56,359
of the interesting things is the National Weather Services, an

434
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,839
agency in the last you know, ten to fifteen years,

435
00:21:58,839 --> 00:22:02,119
has an invested hea in doing a lot of social

436
00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:05,240
science research and bringing in social scientists to help them

437
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:09,720
craft messaging that is more useful to end users. It's

438
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,640
something that they recognized. I think a lot of This

439
00:22:11,759 --> 00:22:15,400
came in the wake of you know, Hurricane Katrina, Hurricane Sandy,

440
00:22:15,559 --> 00:22:20,240
the twenty eleven tornado outbreak in the Southeast. All these

441
00:22:20,279 --> 00:22:24,160
things kind of led to a real watershed moment and like,

442
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:27,359
how can we do this better? What are we missing?

443
00:22:28,279 --> 00:22:30,359
And so they've invested heavily in that. They're doing a

444
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:31,759
lot of work and there's a lot of research on

445
00:22:31,799 --> 00:22:34,400
the pipeline on that as well, which kind of I

446
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:37,039
think we could pivot into a conversation about proposed budget

447
00:22:37,039 --> 00:22:38,960
cuts and things like that, but you know, I'll save

448
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:42,400
that for now. That that's definitely a topic of concern,

449
00:22:43,319 --> 00:22:46,799
but it's important. You know, we always say as meteorologists

450
00:22:46,839 --> 00:22:50,440
that no forecast has any value whatsoever unless you give

451
00:22:50,519 --> 00:22:54,000
that value to an end user. So no warning has

452
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:56,359
any value unless the person receiving it knows what to

453
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,279
do about it. I do think that, you know, living

454
00:22:59,279 --> 00:23:01,200
in Texas, we do deal with flash flooding a lot.

455
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,079
We get a lot of flash flood warnings every year,

456
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,920
you know, we here in Houston. Happens all the time

457
00:23:07,279 --> 00:23:09,160
because we get a lot of street flooding, we get

458
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,160
a lot of nuisance floodings. Flooding that says, hey, you know,

459
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,160
maybe don't go out, Maybe don't go to your doctor's

460
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:16,880
appointment right now and reschedule it or or something like that.

461
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,640
Don't go to the grocery store. So I think the

462
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:21,759
question that maybe we need to ask ourselves is do

463
00:23:21,839 --> 00:23:25,519
we need to kind of raise that threshold a little

464
00:23:25,519 --> 00:23:27,079
bit to say, like, Okay, if you're going to issue

465
00:23:27,079 --> 00:23:29,880
a flash flood warning, maybe we do it when it's

466
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,119
something a little more significant. I think the flash flood

467
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:35,279
emergency is the right way to go. Clearly that was

468
00:23:35,279 --> 00:23:38,319
issued in a very timely manner, but clearly that didn't

469
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,920
necessarily matter. You know. I know as a meteorologists, when

470
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:45,079
a flash flood emergency is issued for any location, that's

471
00:23:45,079 --> 00:23:48,000
a big deal. They don't issue those lightly. Those are

472
00:23:48,039 --> 00:23:51,240
not handed out like candy. You know. Flash flood warning,

473
00:23:51,279 --> 00:23:54,559
severe thunderstorm warnings, even to some extent tornado warnings, there's

474
00:23:54,559 --> 00:23:57,480
a little bit of more pad that's built into them

475
00:23:57,559 --> 00:23:59,839
to be like, okay, well maybe this could you know,

476
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,359
do something. You know, and there's there's definitely a little

477
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:03,880
bit of a false alarm rate, but when you get

478
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:08,559
to the emergency level that there's no questioning that whatsoever.

479
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:11,440
That's a big deal, and those are only reserved for

480
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:14,640
the highest end cases. So I guess the questions I

481
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:18,960
would ask, are you know, do end users know that?

482
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,240
You know? Obviously does the public know that? I don't

483
00:24:22,279 --> 00:24:24,160
know that the public does. But at the same time

484
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:27,640
as the public's responsibility to know that is that more

485
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,200
on the emergency managers in the location. But then you

486
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,759
have a location that's a little more rural and doesn't

487
00:24:32,759 --> 00:24:35,519
necessarily have the resources that you know, a Houston or

488
00:24:35,519 --> 00:24:38,640
an Austin or a Dallas has, you know, can they

489
00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:40,400
do that? You know, the National Weather Service does a

490
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,559
ton of outreach and a ton of work with emergency managers,

491
00:24:43,599 --> 00:24:45,680
but you know, is it enough? Do we need to

492
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,359
be doing more? So I think there are all reasonable

493
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:49,920
questions to ask kind of in the wake of this,

494
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:54,759
and there's obviously room for improvement. But ultimately, in the end,

495
00:24:56,079 --> 00:24:59,440
it's it's a horrific tragedy that you know, hit in

496
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,279
the middle of night. Like you said, the top the

497
00:25:02,319 --> 00:25:05,319
worst possible time. I mean, this is like the worst

498
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:09,519
nightmare for any forecast or seeing something like this, obviously,

499
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:12,759
you know, impacting families, It's the worst possible nightmare you

500
00:25:12,759 --> 00:25:15,400
can think of. So you know, I think there's an

501
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:17,519
element of that that's at play here too. It's just,

502
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,240
you know, some of it is unavoidable, but some of

503
00:25:21,279 --> 00:25:23,599
it certainly is avoidable. And I think that that that's

504
00:25:23,759 --> 00:25:25,200
a conversation that needs to happen.

505
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've been thinking a lot about the Oregon coast.

506
00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:30,720
My wife has family up there. We go and we

507
00:25:30,799 --> 00:25:34,000
visit Seaside, Oregon, and there it is well known up

508
00:25:34,039 --> 00:25:36,240
there that there is a fault line, you know, out

509
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,880
in the ocean where there is going to be a

510
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:42,519
major earthquake sometime in the next hundred years, and that

511
00:25:42,559 --> 00:25:45,559
major earthquake is going to create a tsunami that is

512
00:25:45,599 --> 00:25:50,200
going to wash over Seaside Oregon, and it's extremely dangerous.

513
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,240
There's a New Yorker article that you should read about it.

514
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:57,119
It's terrifying crazy. But if you go, if you visit Seaside,

515
00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:01,400
Oregon or any of the towns along the coast, every airbnb,

516
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:05,680
every hotel, there's a posting on the door that says,

517
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,880
this is going to happen, and this is what you

518
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:11,880
need to do when it does happen. Here's the evacuation

519
00:26:12,039 --> 00:26:14,759
route to get to higher ground. Here's where there's like

520
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,400
food stored on this hill and like all these different

521
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:20,839
types of things, right, and like I'm thinking about like again,

522
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:23,599
like all these people on the Guadaloupe who are from

523
00:26:23,759 --> 00:26:26,039
Dallas and Houston and might not even have heard the

524
00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:30,240
term flash flood alley, you know, if they had, if

525
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:32,640
there had been some kind of requirement, some kind of

526
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:37,519
like posting there's signs everywhere in this rural Oregon town

527
00:26:37,559 --> 00:26:40,920
of like evacuation route, et cetera, et cetera, like it

528
00:26:41,039 --> 00:26:45,039
might have helped people understand what to what to kind

529
00:26:45,039 --> 00:26:47,640
of make of these alerts and these warnings and not

530
00:26:47,799 --> 00:26:50,000
just kind of wonder like should I get in my car?

531
00:26:50,079 --> 00:26:51,359
Is it safe to get in my car? Like all

532
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:52,480
those different types of things.

533
00:26:52,559 --> 00:26:54,319
Speaker 4: I think like this is a big part of it

534
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:56,319
is just like you know, I think a lot of

535
00:26:56,319 --> 00:26:58,119
people were there not knowing s flash flood alley. They

536
00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,519
come in from Houston, where they get a flash flood alert.

537
00:27:00,279 --> 00:27:00,799
Speaker 3: All the time.

538
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:03,720
Speaker 4: Meaning some part of this giant county is like maybe

539
00:27:03,759 --> 00:27:07,000
gonna get you know that that has poor drainage is

540
00:27:07,039 --> 00:27:10,599
gonna you know, deal with flooded out overpasses. Like I'm

541
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:12,759
one of those, Like I mean, people keep saying like,

542
00:27:12,799 --> 00:27:14,640
I can't believe people don't know what these alerts mean.

543
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:16,960
I don't know which one is tornado watch, which one's

544
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:17,720
tornado warning.

545
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:22,359
Speaker 3: I just like, uh, assume either way. I'm sort of cooked.

546
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:26,119
But like this is I think there's maybe on the.

547
00:27:26,079 --> 00:27:30,680
Speaker 4: Part of you know, the experts writ large, whoever, you know,

548
00:27:30,839 --> 00:27:32,960
even like the people who are creating these alerts, people

549
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:36,640
who are results for implementing this, like a little bit

550
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:38,599
of a lack of awareness about like how much people

551
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:42,440
don't know and certainly like what they're sort of walking into.

552
00:27:42,839 --> 00:27:45,119
Speaker 1: And yeah, and then I think like you would hope

553
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:49,039
that there would be an awareness of the most vulnerable areas, right,

554
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:54,839
like like a summer camp where you know the it's

555
00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:58,599
going to take a herculean effort at any point to

556
00:27:59,079 --> 00:28:02,119
evacuate that whole group, right, And like what kind of

557
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,400
plans and things are you going to have in motion

558
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:08,119
when a place like that is endangered? And I think

559
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,920
we're still trying to get some answers from folks about

560
00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:14,720
what exactly, if anything was done, but a lot of

561
00:28:14,759 --> 00:28:17,319
the answers from the local officials so far have been

562
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:21,640
sort of like, you know, that's not what we do

563
00:28:22,079 --> 00:28:24,319
or used to do. And I think there's going to

564
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,640
be a lot of questions about whether that needs to change.

565
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 4: Right if you think about the last time there was

566
00:28:28,519 --> 00:28:30,759
a flood of this, I mean not even of this scale,

567
00:28:30,759 --> 00:28:32,960
but a flood like this was nineteen eighty seven, Like

568
00:28:33,319 --> 00:28:34,279
most people were not.

569
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:37,920
Speaker 3: You know, many people were not alive.

570
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:38,039
Speaker 2: Then.

571
00:28:38,079 --> 00:28:39,799
Speaker 4: I shouldn't say most, feel many people were not alive

572
00:28:39,839 --> 00:28:41,480
then they were not, like you know, sort of maybe

573
00:28:41,559 --> 00:28:43,799
aware of this. They're not making plans based on like

574
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,359
the memory of that, and for what it's worth in

575
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,319
this situation, like a big takeaway from nineteen eighty seven

576
00:28:50,359 --> 00:28:52,400
flood was that the people who died were those who

577
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:55,640
were on buses evacuating. And so it's sort of a

578
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,720
you know, I understand the paralysis you might face of

579
00:28:59,799 --> 00:29:03,440
do we evacuate or do we stay put? Of Like

580
00:29:04,359 --> 00:29:07,440
that's a really really difficult decision. A lot of questions now,

581
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:09,720
I mean, obviously still about how early they knew, should

582
00:29:09,799 --> 00:29:10,960
are there things they could done earlier?

583
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,319
Speaker 3: Of course, but Matt, you know.

584
00:29:13,559 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Yeah, I was just gonna say, I mean,

585
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:18,480
think about also how many people have moved to Texas

586
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:20,839
in recent years, and particularly in Austin area, in the

587
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:23,519
San Antonio area, in the Houston area, they don't They

588
00:29:23,519 --> 00:29:26,240
don't necessarily know anything about hurricanes. They don't know anything

589
00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:28,359
about flash flooding. They may have moved from a dry

590
00:29:28,359 --> 00:29:32,039
part of the country to come to Texas, and so

591
00:29:32,079 --> 00:29:34,599
there's there's there's a learning curve in the state that

592
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,000
you know. I don't know that anybody when you move

593
00:29:38,079 --> 00:29:41,000
to Texas. There's no welcome guide waiting for you to explain.

594
00:29:41,119 --> 00:29:44,599
These are your risks, this is your concern. I'll never forget.

595
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:48,119
I was attending a talk from Jim Blackburn down at

596
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,160
Rice University, and and he was saying how once upon

597
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:54,720
a time they had wanted to put markers up near

598
00:29:54,759 --> 00:29:57,880
the near the Bay in the Houston area to show

599
00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,920
how high the water could get during a storm sturge

600
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:05,000
during a certain category level storm. But a lot of

601
00:30:05,559 --> 00:30:08,160
real estate folks and development folks didn't really like that

602
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:10,599
because you see that and you're like, oh, that's not good,

603
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,519
and so they stopped doing it. Right, So I think

604
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:16,039
there really needs to be we got to be honest

605
00:30:16,079 --> 00:30:19,720
with ourselves after this about where we live. Fine, that

606
00:30:19,759 --> 00:30:22,359
we live somewhere that is extremely vulnerable, but we have

607
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:25,119
to be honest about the risks and understanding those risks,

608
00:30:25,519 --> 00:30:28,400
and really, you know, as Texans, particularly those that have

609
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:31,880
been here for a while, helping newcomers to understand those

610
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:32,599
risks as well.

611
00:30:33,079 --> 00:30:34,680
Speaker 4: Right, I mean I just briefly, like when I was

612
00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:36,880
in Kirk County, Like I first of all, to your

613
00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:39,759
point about people moving here. Our editors were like, ask

614
00:30:39,839 --> 00:30:42,200
people what they remember the nineteen eighty seven flood, and

615
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,599
I didn't meet one person who lived in Kirk County

616
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:46,920
during the nineteen eighty seven flood. But also when I

617
00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:50,039
was leaving, you know, it was the rain had stopped it,

618
00:30:50,079 --> 00:30:53,000
the flood waters had receded, but I missed a turn

619
00:30:53,039 --> 00:30:56,160
onto the highway leaving the county or leaving Kerville, and

620
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,319
Google Map just automatically rerouted me on like a real

621
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:02,240
back road that was through all these counties that had

622
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:02,880
gotten flooded.

623
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:04,720
Speaker 3: And then no point was like also.

624
00:31:04,519 --> 00:31:06,279
Speaker 4: By the way, like these are low roads, you're going

625
00:31:06,319 --> 00:31:07,680
to be driving through it, like there was nowhere to

626
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:10,559
turn around. I was kind of like if I had

627
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:12,720
had to evacuate Kirk County in a hurry and I

628
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:14,839
missed the one turn onto the highway that I needed

629
00:31:14,839 --> 00:31:16,960
to be on I would have been driving directly into

630
00:31:17,839 --> 00:31:20,319
you know, into a disaster. And so I think we're

631
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:22,240
we leave a lot to the individual to sort of

632
00:31:22,279 --> 00:31:23,839
figure out. And I mean, I don't know what a

633
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:27,000
scaled solution to that looks like, but it's just a reality.

634
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I mean I think there is a big

635
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:34,119
question that state and local leaders and I you know,

636
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:36,720
national leaders as well, are going to need to face about,

637
00:31:36,759 --> 00:31:39,359
like what kind of investment do we have in our

638
00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:43,039
emergency management resources. I think one thing that's like slightly

639
00:31:43,119 --> 00:31:46,160
frustrating to me is we in the media and just

640
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:49,200
as society as a whole, we all sort of something

641
00:31:49,319 --> 00:31:51,839
terrible happens and we talk about like what they should

642
00:31:51,839 --> 00:31:55,200
have known about that terrible thing, and like why invests

643
00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:57,400
in all that? And then the next terrible thing happens

644
00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,720
and we haven't talked at all about that one. You know,

645
00:32:01,079 --> 00:32:04,519
what kind of effort, you know, in a state where

646
00:32:04,519 --> 00:32:06,880
there's been a lot of extra money lately, there's an

647
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,119
awareness that climate change might be making these things worse.

648
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:12,720
What kind of investment do we need to make as

649
00:32:12,759 --> 00:32:16,039
a state to really look at individual communities and what

650
00:32:16,079 --> 00:32:20,559
their risks are in order to prevent You know, bad

651
00:32:20,599 --> 00:32:23,359
things are going to happen, but how can we minimize

652
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:26,519
the damage of those bad things to the extent that's

653
00:32:26,559 --> 00:32:27,400
that's reasonable?

654
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:28,200
Speaker 3: Right.

655
00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:30,319
Speaker 1: One thing I would ask you, Matt, is that you

656
00:32:30,359 --> 00:32:33,960
know this Governor Abbot has indicated that this will be

657
00:32:34,119 --> 00:32:36,680
something that they will talk about during the special session

658
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:41,920
on starting July twenty first, there's been some conversation in

659
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:44,960
the Senate about, you know, investing some money in sirens

660
00:32:45,079 --> 00:32:49,119
in rural areas that are prone to flooding. What would

661
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:52,880
you tell the legislature to invest in and think about

662
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:53,839
in this moment.

663
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 2: I think that there's always after a disaster, there is

664
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:02,359
a a tendency or a desire that we have to

665
00:33:02,359 --> 00:33:04,880
do something. We have to do something, and we have

666
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:07,119
to show that we're doing something. And that's that right.

667
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:10,799
It's not always the best solution. It's it's kind of like, hey,

668
00:33:10,839 --> 00:33:13,279
we look, we did something. After the fact, we can

669
00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:15,039
pat ourselves on the back that you know, hey, we

670
00:33:15,559 --> 00:33:19,279
did something. I think that this is a discussion that

671
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:23,079
is nuanced. Everything is nuanced, right. We we live in

672
00:33:23,079 --> 00:33:26,839
a society and in a time of society where nuanced

673
00:33:26,839 --> 00:33:29,039
doesn't necessarily get the time of day that it should.

674
00:33:29,559 --> 00:33:32,160
But this is a very nuanced discussion that has to

675
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,880
happen because every part of Texas is different. The needs

676
00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:38,200
in Houston are far different than the needs in Krek County,

677
00:33:38,279 --> 00:33:41,160
than the needs of the Panhandle, you know, and on

678
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:46,640
and on. So I think it's important for the legislature

679
00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:49,480
to act, but to do so deliberately, and if that

680
00:33:49,559 --> 00:33:53,400
takes a little extra time, I think that's okay. And

681
00:33:53,839 --> 00:33:56,680
you know, I think that you know, just based on

682
00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,279
how you know, we interact with people, just ourselves as

683
00:34:00,359 --> 00:34:03,920
meteorologists and forecasters. What one thing that people really like

684
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:06,079
about the way we do is we talk to them

685
00:34:06,559 --> 00:34:09,480
very plainly, like we're not trying to pretend like we're

686
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,519
above them, like we're one of them, right, And I

687
00:34:12,559 --> 00:34:15,400
think that too often when you get into these political issues,

688
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:18,519
like a lot of times this ends up being it

689
00:34:18,599 --> 00:34:20,280
just ends up being a political issue and it goes

690
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:22,320
through the political process, and to some extent, yeah, that

691
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:25,199
has to happen. But at the same time, I think

692
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:29,840
that more people in the state would be appreciative if

693
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:31,920
this is a well thought out plan, so we're not

694
00:34:32,079 --> 00:34:34,440
just throwing resources of the problem to say, we're throwing

695
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:36,920
resources the problem, right. I know there was the build

696
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:40,519
that was proposed in the main session that was talking about,

697
00:34:40,639 --> 00:34:44,320
you know, upgrades to emergency management, emergency communication and things

698
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:47,760
like that. I think it was the representative from Canadian

699
00:34:47,800 --> 00:34:49,920
that had proposed that in the wake of the smoke

700
00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:53,960
house fire out there. And these are great ideas. We

701
00:34:54,079 --> 00:34:56,360
just need to make sure that they work for the

702
00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:58,440
people that live in these places and the people that

703
00:34:58,559 --> 00:35:01,000
visit these places, right, And that requires a lot of

704
00:35:01,000 --> 00:35:03,800
community input, and I think it requires really a united

705
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:07,639
effort at the state, local, and federal level to some extent.

706
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:11,559
You know. However, that's possible now to do that, to

707
00:35:11,599 --> 00:35:14,039
implement that, and to come forth with a solution that

708
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:20,199
is vetted and works, because there's no one answer to

709
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,559
this problem. It's not like you install sirens. If you

710
00:35:22,559 --> 00:35:25,519
would installed sirens five years ago, there's no guarantee that

711
00:35:25,519 --> 00:35:28,199
you wouldn't have had a catastrophic death hole this time.

712
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:30,239
It probably would have lowered it, It probably would have

713
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,880
helped a lot, but it may not be the magic

714
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,760
bullet that everyone's looking for. Right, So we really do

715
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:38,159
need to think about these things in a depth that

716
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:40,360
sometimes the political process doesn't have.

717
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:43,199
Speaker 1: Time for I have a question which you might not

718
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:45,599
know the answer to, and so if you don't apologize,

719
00:35:45,679 --> 00:35:52,360
But we talk about this idea that the Hill country,

720
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:54,840
this area is the most dangerous area for flash flanding

721
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:58,119
in the country. How much of that is because of

722
00:35:58,159 --> 00:36:01,880
the specific terrain and way there, and how much of

723
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:05,559
it is is it due to other factors? Right? Like

724
00:36:05,679 --> 00:36:07,559
I think about like the fact that you know, in

725
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:11,159
unincorporated areas of Texas you can build wherever you want to,

726
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:14,400
and and some of those things like is Texas Is

727
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:21,519
this part of Texas uniquely situated geographically to be prone

728
00:36:21,559 --> 00:36:24,360
to flash floods or is there something else going on

729
00:36:24,599 --> 00:36:27,400
that's making it more dangerous for for people?

730
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:32,079
Speaker 2: No, it is. It is a geographic and geological and

731
00:36:32,159 --> 00:36:35,480
meteorological combination of factors. That's that's why the term flash

732
00:36:35,519 --> 00:36:37,400
flown alley has been around for a long time. It's

733
00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:39,880
it's you know, you just it is hits in a

734
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,920
spot that is uniquely situated to kind of have the

735
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:50,039
wrong combination of elements come together in very relatively frequent,

736
00:36:50,559 --> 00:36:53,280
you know, time periods. It happens a lot over history. It's,

737
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:54,880
you know, not something that's going to happen every year,

738
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,000
but every few years you're going to have something that

739
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,360
that that happens there. And the thing that kind of

740
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,840
unnerves me a little bit is, you know, that's not changing,

741
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:07,159
and if anything, as we talk about with climate change,

742
00:37:07,159 --> 00:37:09,039
you know, the rate, the rate of the rain that

743
00:37:09,079 --> 00:37:12,000
falls is going to increase more. Right. We saw rainfall

744
00:37:12,119 --> 00:37:16,280
rates during these storms of like five or six inches

745
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,679
an hour. That's what we had during Harvey and Houston.

746
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:23,760
So I mean, you know, this was just an incredible

747
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:27,000
rainfall event. And what unnerves me is that we've got

748
00:37:27,079 --> 00:37:29,800
a lot of people moving to this place. So not

749
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:33,639
only was the risk already there and people already vulnerable,

750
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:36,679
now a whole lot more people are vulnerable. And a

751
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:40,159
lot of what we've done in terms of infrastructure and

752
00:37:40,159 --> 00:37:43,119
building is based on what the world was like in

753
00:37:43,159 --> 00:37:47,000
the nineteen fifties to the nineteen eighties, right, and in

754
00:37:47,159 --> 00:37:50,519
the same world that it was then today by any

755
00:37:50,519 --> 00:37:54,519
stretch of the imagination. So I think that going back

756
00:37:54,559 --> 00:37:56,719
to the whole idea of being nuanced about what we

757
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,039
need to do, I think that plays a big role

758
00:37:59,079 --> 00:38:01,159
in it, because so much has changed, and I think

759
00:38:01,199 --> 00:38:04,000
that there's there's a backlog of things that probably need

760
00:38:04,039 --> 00:38:05,599
to be addressed. I don't know what those are, but

761
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:10,159
it's a lot. It's a big, big issue, and you know,

762
00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:13,159
I see it as it's an insurance policy on ourselves.

763
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,880
That's really what we're talking about here, and to keep

764
00:38:16,119 --> 00:38:18,960
Texas thriving and moving forward, you need to invest in

765
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:19,960
that insurance policy.

766
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:23,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, it just feels like in the coastal areas you

767
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:26,880
have this sort of whole infrastructure set up to be

768
00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:31,559
prepared for hurricanes, and it doesn't prevent everything bad that

769
00:38:31,559 --> 00:38:34,760
could come from a hurricane, but it feels like maybe

770
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:37,440
there's a conversation we need to have in this region

771
00:38:37,519 --> 00:38:41,320
about building up a similar type of infrastructure around floods

772
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:41,840
as well.

773
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:43,880
Speaker 4: It does seem like these floods and like for an

774
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:46,280
area called flash flood Alley, like you know, like you said,

775
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:49,920
like we've built up like evacuation routes and infrastructure on

776
00:38:49,960 --> 00:38:52,760
the coast a little bit more for hurricanes in tornado

777
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:54,719
prone areas, we have tornado sirens.

778
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:54,920
Speaker 1: You know.

779
00:38:55,039 --> 00:38:55,599
Speaker 3: I think.

780
00:38:57,039 --> 00:38:59,719
Speaker 4: This hopefully, you know what will spark a conversation about

781
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:03,079
like what what can be different to your point, Matt, like,

782
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:05,320
is it do we rush in and do something and

783
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:08,679
solve this little problem and install sirens, and then you know,

784
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:10,880
it turns out the you know, we sort of missed

785
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:14,719
that the bigger point, the bigger issue that I wouldn't

786
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:17,360
accuse the text legislature of doing that, but you know,

787
00:39:17,519 --> 00:39:19,800
it is a thing a legislative body could do in

788
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:22,719
the you know, excitement of trying to do something.

789
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:25,639
Speaker 2: And really it's just human nature, right. It's human nature

790
00:39:25,679 --> 00:39:27,960
to number one, want to blame something or someone, right,

791
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,400
and it's number two to come up with a solution

792
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:31,840
to say, hey, we did something so we can pat

793
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:34,400
ourselves on the back and feel good that we addressed

794
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:38,239
whatever the issue was that that happened in the first place.

795
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:40,519
So that's why I you know, I really do think

796
00:39:40,599 --> 00:39:43,519
I really hope that this is a conversation that is

797
00:39:43,639 --> 00:39:46,679
very bipartisan in nature, because it should be. This affects

798
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:50,440
all Texans, blue, red, and purple, and you know, I

799
00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:54,679
think that it's just it's an opportunity for Texas to

800
00:39:54,760 --> 00:39:57,559
show itself off as a leader in Hey, look, we

801
00:39:57,639 --> 00:40:01,199
had something horrible happen. We understand our risks. Now we're

802
00:40:01,199 --> 00:40:03,840
working to address them and make our state even stronger

803
00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:04,760
than it was before.

804
00:40:05,639 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 1: Well, our hearts go out to everyone affected. It's just

805
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:12,400
a terrible thing that's happened in our state.

806
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:13,599
Speaker 3: You know.

807
00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:18,679
Speaker 1: Encourage folks listening. If you want to contribute, google the

808
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,400
Community Foundation of the Texas Hill Country. They have a

809
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,880
complicated website, so I think googling that Google again is

810
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,880
the best way to find the flood relief fun Community

811
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:31,239
Foundation of the Texas Hill Country. Hopefully we don't go

812
00:40:31,639 --> 00:40:35,480
through anything like this for a long time. Matt, thank

813
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:38,880
you so much for taking the time to walk us through.

814
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,960
This has been very enlightening. Thank you to our producers,

815
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:45,079
Rob and Chris. We will talk to you all next week.

