1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: You are alive, my friend. 2 00:00:03,399 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 2: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet. 3 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:07,960 This is wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang, 4 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:12,279 and today is a special one. It is our eleventh 5 00:00:12,519 --> 00:00:15,800 birthday as a company and we couldnt be more excited 6 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,320 on this Monday to celebrate it with you, because honestly, 7 00:00:18,559 --> 00:00:20,480 we wouldn't be here without you guys. So first off, 8 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,399 thank you so much and happy birthday to wager Talk. 9 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,079 For more than a decade, we've been breaking down games, 10 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:30,160 recording videos, podcast cashing tickets, helping you guys turn your 11 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:33,159 bankrolls into a business. And we're just getting started. Eleven 12 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,840 more years sounds good. So on today's show, we'll get 13 00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:39,880 some thoughts on NFL preseason, if we can take anything 14 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:42,200 away into the regular season. We will have MLBN of 15 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:46,159 course college football look ahead. So let's celebrate eleven years 16 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,159 the right way by finding some winners. And let's start 17 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,240 off with Gianni and we're gonna talk to Steam Report 18 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:55,439 after that, crack Man's gonna join us, and then Steve 19 00:00:55,479 --> 00:00:58,359 Merrill's gonna join us for Padres, Mariners and college football 20 00:00:58,399 --> 00:01:02,000 Nebraska and Cincinnati. So hit the like button celebrate eleven 21 00:01:02,079 --> 00:01:04,319 years let's get off to a good start this week. Johnny, 22 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,319 Happy Monday. Hope you had a good weekend. How are 23 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:09,239 you today, excited? 24 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:12,120 Speaker 3: Man, great, great weekend. I'm just sending out a plus 25 00:01:12,159 --> 00:01:15,920 two forty tennis bet two subscribers. I'll make sure you 26 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:18,480 guys bet that quickly. You know, those lines don't stay 27 00:01:18,519 --> 00:01:21,040 up quick. But more importantly, we had college football Week 28 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:24,319 zero as expected. Man, I'm really in with this football 29 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:27,120 season in the NFL and college football groups that I'm 30 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,200 working with. I'm so excited. We released only eight bets 31 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:34,120 hit sixty four percent of those A nice ROI so 32 00:01:34,359 --> 00:01:37,799 great launch. Usually that's the toughest week that Week zero 33 00:01:37,879 --> 00:01:40,200 because those lines have been up for so long, but 34 00:01:40,239 --> 00:01:42,519 we were able to turn a profit, which is beautiful. 35 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:47,439 And yeah, UFC turned the profit there. So yeah, it's 36 00:01:47,439 --> 00:01:51,519 been a good seven days, good good week. And well 37 00:01:51,519 --> 00:01:52,480 here's what we got today. 38 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 2: I have a. 39 00:01:53,439 --> 00:01:56,719 Speaker 3: WMBA but there was only one big steam play that 40 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,079 confirmed on the side that I like, so I gave that. 41 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:02,040 I put that out to subscribers already as a four 42 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:05,359 percent best bet. I only have fifty WNBA bets the 43 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:08,599 entire twenty twenty five season. Number one in profit hitting 44 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:11,319 sixty nine percent of those and this is a four 45 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:15,439 percent and since we're having the eleventh anniversary, I put 46 00:02:15,479 --> 00:02:17,960 it for eleven dollars. That's over there at wage you're tall. 47 00:02:18,199 --> 00:02:21,240 We have college football. I'd like to go over to 48 00:02:21,319 --> 00:02:24,919 Thursday and Friday steam because I won't be here tomorrow 49 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:29,039 and Wednesday with Contender series and bed on it, and 50 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:31,120 then later in the week we could cover some of 51 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,199 the big board on Saturday. And then of course there's 52 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:35,759 Major League Baseball as well. 53 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,879 Speaker 2: Today, well, let's jump into college football. Let's go over 54 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:42,919 Thursday and Friday, seeing some pretty interesting moves, a couple 55 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,000 of aggressive ones through some key numbers. What are you 56 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:45,719 seeing on your end? 57 00:02:46,159 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 3: College football? 58 00:02:47,479 --> 00:02:49,039 Speaker 2: Yeah, college football Thursdayeah. 59 00:02:49,439 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 3: Here's what you got to remember with these with week one, 60 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,439 a lot of these lines have also been off for 61 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:59,120 a while, like back in July and early August, so 62 00:02:59,319 --> 00:03:01,560 a lot of the valley you've been extracted. And more importantly, 63 00:03:01,599 --> 00:03:05,280 like I talked about with Kansas and Fresno State, once 64 00:03:05,319 --> 00:03:09,960 the line moves significantly, you start seeing resistance or a 65 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:12,520 group coming in on the other side. You got to 66 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:15,560 pay attention to that, because again, the information continues to 67 00:03:15,599 --> 00:03:18,039 come in and when you're betting something in July, by 68 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:21,159 late August, a lot of things can change. But here's 69 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:25,199 what we have so far for Thursday and Friday, NC 70 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:27,400 State minus eleven and a half all the way to 71 00:03:27,439 --> 00:03:30,960 minus thirteen. Those got bet in late July and early August. 72 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:35,240 Also on Thursday, same situation. Rutgers from minus eleven all 73 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:39,080 the way to minus thirteen, but then on Friday. Michigan 74 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:43,080 State gets hit in July late July up minus seventeen 75 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:45,639 and a half and then hit again this morning at 76 00:03:45,639 --> 00:03:49,000 minus twenty. That's why you're seeing minus twenty one. That's 77 00:03:49,039 --> 00:03:52,159 when you want to see when you're betting these early 78 00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:57,520 moves in college football, and more importantly, when you're looking 79 00:03:57,639 --> 00:04:01,080 for confirmation, you want to see follows rule. That's key. 80 00:04:01,719 --> 00:04:04,000 When you don't see resistance and it gets through that 81 00:04:04,159 --> 00:04:06,919 number like a number like twenty twenty one and you're 82 00:04:06,919 --> 00:04:11,080 not seeing take back, that's a strong side for that move. 83 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,199 So that's what we have in college football. Again, it's light, 84 00:04:14,319 --> 00:04:17,720 but that's Thursday and Friday. We go over Saturday later 85 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:18,240 in the week. 86 00:04:19,079 --> 00:04:22,399 Speaker 2: Love it, love it. Listen. I only had one play 87 00:04:22,399 --> 00:04:24,920 in UFC and if you turn to profit UFC on 88 00:04:24,959 --> 00:04:26,879 this card that does it take your money and run. 89 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:29,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, and don't look back. Don't look for that. 90 00:04:29,319 --> 00:04:32,879 Speaker 2: At landminds all over it. So I was happy to 91 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:34,920 stick with UH, stick with one and O. I think 92 00:04:34,959 --> 00:04:37,240 as a company we did really good in UFC. So 93 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:40,279 that was that was good. Yeah, only a couple of 94 00:04:40,319 --> 00:04:42,839 games in w NBA. I'll do a prop here for 95 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,720 that later. Let's move to baseball and take a look 96 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:47,959 at UH at some of these lines. Only one that's 97 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:50,639 a little confusing to me. But interested on your take, 98 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:52,720 and I'll ask you about the about the about the 99 00:04:52,759 --> 00:04:54,519 line that confuses me. So what do you say? 100 00:04:54,639 --> 00:04:54,839 Speaker 1: Right? 101 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 3: Keep in mind nine am Pacific time in on the 102 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,040 West coast. But here's what we got with some of 103 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,199 the overnights in early Major League baseball moves. Nine fifty 104 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:09,800 one under eight Atlanta, Miami, nine fifty five under eight, Arizona, Milwaukee, 105 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:11,759 good the minus one twenty one to twenty five, both 106 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:14,600 of those nine fifty seven, Pittsburgh plus one twenty five 107 00:05:14,959 --> 00:05:18,720 nine sixty Dodgers minus one thirty one, nine sixty eight 108 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:22,639 White Sox plus one twenty nine sixty nine Angels plus 109 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:26,480 one sixty nine to seventy two the athletics at even money. 110 00:05:26,639 --> 00:05:28,720 Keep in mind, keep in mind, this is that time 111 00:05:28,759 --> 00:05:31,079 of the year where you're gonna see a lot of 112 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:35,240 two way action on the money lines, a lot of manipulation. 113 00:05:35,959 --> 00:05:39,759 Most of the recreational betters attention has now shifted. It's 114 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:43,879 now on college football in NFL, which we are now 115 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:45,639 awaiting the regular season. 116 00:05:45,319 --> 00:05:45,959 Speaker 2: To kick off. 117 00:05:46,199 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 3: Because of that, it's more or less the betting synd 118 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:52,279 against sharps versus the books. That means you're gonna see 119 00:05:52,319 --> 00:05:54,720 a lot of manipulation. You're gonna see a lot of 120 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:58,759 lines moving in one direction then coming back the other way, 121 00:05:59,759 --> 00:06:02,199 some of them being dummied up for the real hit 122 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:05,600 to get bet later. You kind of saw that with Pittsburgh. 123 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:07,439 If you're just looking at the line, move where it opened, 124 00:06:07,439 --> 00:06:09,160 where it sits now, you're gonna say, wait, how did 125 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:12,600 Pittsburgh get hit? But if you check Odd's logic or 126 00:06:12,759 --> 00:06:14,600 at minimum the wage you talk three odds, and you 127 00:06:14,639 --> 00:06:17,000 click that game, you'll notice it did get that at 128 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:20,040 one twenty five mark one twenty seven. I think that's 129 00:06:20,079 --> 00:06:22,800 when they jumped in, took the one twenty sevens out 130 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,439 took the one twenty fives out and it almost looks 131 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:27,279 like there's no movement at all from the opener to 132 00:06:27,319 --> 00:06:29,879 where it sits now. But it's that dummying up that 133 00:06:29,959 --> 00:06:33,720 you can do for minimal amounts of money, especially with overnights. 134 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 2: I'm curious in this line move on the Atlanta Miami game. 135 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,759 If you have any information on this, why why would 136 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,279 it have moved just slightly to the under. You got 137 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:48,399 two pitchers that are getting shelled recently, and I see 138 00:06:48,439 --> 00:06:50,600 it opened at eight. Now it's down to seven and 139 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:53,480 a half. One book even has seven. Uh, if you 140 00:06:53,519 --> 00:06:55,800 have anything on that game, let me know, because that 141 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:56,800 one just confuses me. 142 00:06:56,879 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 3: Here's what I can tell you that right as of 143 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:03,360 break now you have about one I can't even say 144 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,160 like ninety nine. It's like one hundred percent of the 145 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:09,079 bets that have been booked on it not sharp accounts. 146 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:13,360 This isn't bots are on the over in Atlanta, so 147 00:07:13,519 --> 00:07:18,519 you know, so the betters are taken over, but that 148 00:07:18,759 --> 00:07:22,439 undergot hit got the respect. So that's one of those 149 00:07:23,639 --> 00:07:26,920 kind of games where you have the sharps on one 150 00:07:26,959 --> 00:07:30,800 side the public on the other, and it's tough to 151 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:32,639 make a reef because you're like, wait, The public seems 152 00:07:32,639 --> 00:07:35,120 to have this one right, right, Like, how are these 153 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,879 two teams going to put up less than eight runs? 154 00:07:38,439 --> 00:07:40,399 Especially when you look at this pitch and matchup with 155 00:07:40,439 --> 00:07:42,879 a guy for Atlanta has a ten point three e 156 00:07:43,079 --> 00:07:46,399 er in his last five starts and Miami's not too 157 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:50,959 much better. You know, gave up what four runs last start, 158 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:53,519 five earned runs to start before that, So at least 159 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:56,360 on paper, it looks like it's an over. But I 160 00:07:56,399 --> 00:07:59,680 think that maybe some recency bias there that they may 161 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:01,680 be look that, you know what I mean? Like, yeah, 162 00:08:01,839 --> 00:08:03,560 never as good as you look, as bad as you're looking. 163 00:08:03,560 --> 00:08:06,079 You have two pictures coming off games where they look horrific. 164 00:08:07,319 --> 00:08:10,920 And maybe again I'm not I'm just guessing right now, 165 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:12,839 but that's the only thing that could stick out to 166 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:15,720 me that maybe you see a little recency bias in 167 00:08:15,759 --> 00:08:18,839 that total. But yeah, I wouldn't be going under seven 168 00:08:18,839 --> 00:08:22,439 and a half right now. Eight maybe, But yeah, that 169 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:24,519 confuses me as well. 170 00:08:24,519 --> 00:08:26,879 Speaker 2: It's like we said last week, the public's on one side, 171 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:29,600 the line moves the other. What could possibly go wrong? Yeah, 172 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:34,399 it's not like it seems like a sufire thing. Yeah, 173 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:36,960 there's nothing to this. I couldn't get easier than that 174 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:39,840 real quick. Johnny mentioned it earlier, guys, but we do 175 00:08:39,879 --> 00:08:42,120 want to tell you all handicappers can put up a 176 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:46,320 play for eleven dollars today that we're celebrating the eleventh anniversary. 177 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:48,399 Giohnny has an eleven dollars play up. I have an 178 00:08:48,399 --> 00:08:51,240 eleven dollars play up as well. It's an MLB team total, 179 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:54,399 but you can you can grab any handicappers. This is 180 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:57,600 like an extension of a five dollars Tuesday so and 181 00:08:57,639 --> 00:09:00,960 then after tonight, for forty eight hours, you can take 182 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:03,679 eleven percent off of any package that you want. Use 183 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:06,559 a promo code eleven years, that's one to one year's, 184 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:10,399 three day passes, NFL, college football, you name it, take 185 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:15,000 eleven percent off. But we can start with eleven dollars today, Judy, 186 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:15,799 what was yours again? 187 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:16,799 Speaker 1: Yeah? 188 00:09:16,879 --> 00:09:21,279 Speaker 3: I have ANBA play up that just got discounted sixty 189 00:09:21,360 --> 00:09:24,879 seventy percent. All that I didn't know, but you could 190 00:09:24,919 --> 00:09:27,080 have it, and I hope we cash it. I also 191 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:31,000 have my Week one college football package already up four 192 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:33,559 percent in there, three percent in there. I have a 193 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:35,919 five percent, but I'm not until I confirm it. I'm 194 00:09:35,919 --> 00:09:37,919 not writing that there's a five percent on that because 195 00:09:37,919 --> 00:09:39,360 a bunch of people are gonna buy it, then they're 196 00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:41,639 gonna email support and say where's the five percent? So 197 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:45,480 until I get confirmation, it's a four percent package, which 198 00:09:45,639 --> 00:09:47,320 wink wink, you may want to be locking in for 199 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:49,759 twenty nine dollars because there'll be thirty nine dollars as 200 00:09:49,799 --> 00:09:52,559 soon as that five percent goes in there when confirmed. 201 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:55,919 And uh, yeah, season win totals are still up with 202 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:59,039 division winners and super Bowl futures for the NFL. That'll 203 00:09:59,039 --> 00:10:02,960 come down Thursday day when the regular season kicks off 204 00:10:03,120 --> 00:10:06,039 the following Thursday, that is. And yeah, I'll have my 205 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:08,600 baseball up in a little bit as well. So busy, busy, 206 00:10:08,639 --> 00:10:10,840 busy week ahead Contender series tomorrow. 207 00:10:10,879 --> 00:10:14,519 Speaker 2: Don't forget any takeaways real quick before we let you 208 00:10:14,519 --> 00:10:17,639 go on NFL preseason. I don't know anything we can 209 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,159 take into regular season. Do we learn anything? Is it 210 00:10:20,279 --> 00:10:23,440 business as usual? Just just curious your thoughts, I really do. 211 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:25,559 Speaker 3: I think you got to tuck it away, especially you 212 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:28,159 know after week one we're like, wait, everyone's approaching preseason 213 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:31,799 different this year. These teams care this amount, Like then 214 00:10:32,120 --> 00:10:33,960 it's a small sample size of a couple of games, 215 00:10:34,039 --> 00:10:36,519 So I think you need to tuck it away unless 216 00:10:36,519 --> 00:10:40,559 there's some key injuries that that matter, especially in teams 217 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,919 that aren't deep. You want to look at that to 218 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:45,200 kind of take advanced circle. Those teams that come into 219 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:47,440 the season may not be healthy. Those teams that are 220 00:10:47,440 --> 00:10:50,840 coming in extra healthy, maybe take advantage of that. Otherwise, 221 00:10:51,039 --> 00:10:53,879 tuck it away, start fresh with week one, but more importantly, 222 00:10:53,919 --> 00:10:56,320 be very patient because those Week one lines and NFL 223 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:59,519 have been up for months months months months months and 224 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,519 they even bet into buy a lot of short better, 225 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:03,720 So you want to be careful there. 226 00:11:04,399 --> 00:11:06,960 Speaker 2: All right, Giohnny, thank you so much. Glad you had 227 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:10,039 a great weekend. Uh, good luck on Contender series tomorrow. 228 00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:12,440 I'm not going to talk to you. Grab any swag 229 00:11:12,519 --> 00:11:12,840 you can. 230 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:15,440 Speaker 3: I told you, I got you, bro, I got you. 231 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:16,039 Speaker 2: I love it. 232 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:18,200 Speaker 3: I haven't put it up yet. They do it like 233 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:21,600 around week maybe up now I'll go into grad. I 234 00:11:21,639 --> 00:11:23,919 already got you one of these. You can't get these 235 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:30,159 perfect model day away from Tenders series water this I 236 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:32,159 got you from where I'm building you a little box. 237 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:36,639 Speaker 2: That's great. That's Greatni the Greek everybody, thank you so much. 238 00:11:36,879 --> 00:11:41,360 We'll see you luck. All right. The Greek hit the 239 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:44,039 like button, guys, uh hit it, hit it for Giohnny. 240 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:47,200 He's always bringing the bringing the energy. So let's go 241 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:49,919 to crack man. Let's keep it rolling here, Let's get 242 00:11:49,919 --> 00:11:53,320 some let's get some winners. He's got an MLB prop here. 243 00:11:53,519 --> 00:11:56,720 Uh Bill. I'll pose the same question to you, NFL preseason. 244 00:11:56,840 --> 00:12:00,000 Any takeaways from it or we done. It's out of 245 00:12:00,159 --> 00:12:01,919 our it's out of our it's out of our brains. 246 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 4: Yeah, No, it was a it was a different year, 247 00:12:04,399 --> 00:12:06,320 you know a lot. I'm used to the last since 248 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:09,720 I've been bet in preseason professionally on a professional level, 249 00:12:10,399 --> 00:12:13,080 because at first it wasn't years ago. 250 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:14,480 Speaker 1: There was so many questions about it. 251 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:16,720 Speaker 4: But now that social media is out and stuff and 252 00:12:16,759 --> 00:12:19,240 you can follow these beat reporters and stuff, things have 253 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:22,000 been really good. I listen, I had a thank god 254 00:12:22,039 --> 00:12:25,639 I recovered this week four and one on preseason football, 255 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:28,759 and they got me out for the season. So I'm 256 00:12:28,799 --> 00:12:30,519 happy to have that. You know, a lot of good 257 00:12:30,519 --> 00:12:33,240 first half information out there. In general, there's a lot 258 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:37,120 of good information out there, but the first weeks were listen, 259 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:41,000 a great line movement, you know, average three, four, five, 260 00:12:41,039 --> 00:12:44,480 sixty seven even eight point moves and just didn't get 261 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:47,720 the money. So you know, we're very open, very honest 262 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,240 about that kind of thing. And I'm always transparent. I 263 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:54,000 always had full write ups on everything. So I'm like 264 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:56,519 Keihanny just said, though it's in the books, it's out. 265 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:57,759 The customers didn't get hurt. 266 00:12:57,879 --> 00:12:59,879 Speaker 1: I'm glad about that. I'm happy about that. 267 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:04,759 Speaker 4: And we're onto the regular season, so you know, here 268 00:13:04,799 --> 00:13:07,240 we are. Like Gihanny made some great points about Week one, 269 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:09,759 these lines have been up for a while in the 270 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,519 college so even the NFL, the line have been up 271 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:13,000 for a while. 272 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: So you know, I may even make my Week. 273 00:13:16,279 --> 00:13:18,720 Speaker 4: Two and up bets a little bit higher, a little 274 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:22,080 bit stronger than I would on Week ones. But yet 275 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:25,120 I'm gonna have some some NFL stuff week one. 276 00:13:25,159 --> 00:13:29,080 Speaker 1: That's I'm sure I haven't. I haven't bet yet. So 277 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:31,399 as long as I haven't bet bet these games yet, 278 00:13:31,879 --> 00:13:33,519 the value is still going to be there. So I 279 00:13:33,519 --> 00:13:36,759 look forward to that perfect example. Like I bet like 280 00:13:36,799 --> 00:13:38,960 two totals two months ago. 281 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:41,960 Speaker 4: I bet a side, like I bet the Colts plus 282 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:45,159 like one and a half. I bet Minnesota plus two. 283 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:48,000 They're like minus two, So you can't bet them now, 284 00:13:48,039 --> 00:13:50,720 but and the move's already gone. So it's not like 285 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:52,919 a line comes up on a Sunday night and then 286 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:55,679 the next week you get the pounds on the line 287 00:13:55,799 --> 00:13:59,080 on Sunday night. I'll say more of Monday Mondays a day. 288 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:02,480 I'll be really some plays Monday and Tuesday when you're 289 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,360 betting into a softer market and it's not as efficient. 290 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:09,279 That's gonna be my my take this year on NFL 291 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:12,679 and also college, so college will have up early and 292 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:13,639 look forward to it. 293 00:14:15,279 --> 00:14:18,679 Speaker 2: MLB Gihanni mentioned, Hey, a lot of the public is 294 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:21,559 going to start, you know, not paying attention to baseball. 295 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:24,159 Do you see that out in out in Vegas as well, 296 00:14:24,159 --> 00:14:26,080 where the line movement is just going to be different. 297 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 1: It's funny. 298 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:29,159 Speaker 4: I had, I had, I had had a pretty big 299 00:14:29,159 --> 00:14:32,120 week in baseball too, So uh yeah, this was a 300 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:33,600 good It was a good week for me all around 301 00:14:33,639 --> 00:14:36,799 and baseball. Maybe that is the case, uh that that 302 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:39,679 you know, I love playoff baseball. I grew up with 303 00:14:39,799 --> 00:14:41,879 baseball and boxing. That was my two sports as a 304 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,840 kid back East. I enjoyed going to the events, going 305 00:14:44,879 --> 00:14:47,240 to the games, and I'm always going to be a 306 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,840 baseball guy, So playoff baseball nothing like it. 307 00:14:50,919 --> 00:14:54,320 Speaker 1: You really enjoy it. But football is everything. NFL is 308 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:56,759 where it's where it's at. That's rolling networks focus on 309 00:14:56,840 --> 00:14:57,679 and concentrate on. 310 00:14:59,159 --> 00:15:02,879 Speaker 4: Maybe there will be a little bit of extra value 311 00:15:02,919 --> 00:15:06,840 there that that baseball is not really looked at in 312 00:15:06,879 --> 00:15:10,120 that way, starting maybe in this, you know, coming up 313 00:15:10,159 --> 00:15:13,320 to this weekend here, of know, we have Thursday, Friday, 314 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,639 Saturday of college football action. So very good point, very 315 00:15:16,679 --> 00:15:19,480 good point. I love I love watching Giohnny. By the way, 316 00:15:19,679 --> 00:15:22,720 it's a cartoon character. I love him, you know, he 317 00:15:22,799 --> 00:15:26,080 really he's great. He's a great watch. And I just 318 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:28,000 listened to him because, you know, a lot of the 319 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,639 things I've been doing for the last twenty five plus 320 00:15:30,879 --> 00:15:34,440 i'll say thirty now thirty years, I follow the same 321 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:36,919 things he does. You know, I have some of the 322 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:40,279 sharpest groups in the world that that I have worked with, and. 323 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:41,519 Speaker 1: Giohnny understands that. 324 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 4: It's not a lot of people in his industry that 325 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,320 that that that's in our space that understands that. 326 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:49,919 Speaker 2: So really cool, let's do an MLB proper that. I 327 00:15:49,919 --> 00:15:51,559 got a couple of questions I want to ask you 328 00:15:51,639 --> 00:15:53,919 more broad You always give us an MLB prop Which 329 00:15:53,919 --> 00:15:54,679 one do you like today? 330 00:15:55,279 --> 00:15:58,919 Speaker 4: Okay, let's go to Cincinnati Reds Hunter Green over I 331 00:15:58,919 --> 00:16:00,559 almust want to make sure it's still the right number. 332 00:16:00,639 --> 00:16:03,679 Speaker 1: We want to make sure that. Okay, over six and 333 00:16:03,679 --> 00:16:05,000 a half it was mine. 334 00:16:05,159 --> 00:16:08,039 Speaker 4: Okay, Hunter Green over six and a half minus won 335 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:12,480 fifteen strikeouts. Green goes up against the struggling Dodgers team. 336 00:16:12,519 --> 00:16:15,440 Imagine someone's saying they're struggling Dodgers team. But you know, 337 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:17,399 this team was projected to win one hundred and four 338 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,720 and a half games, so which is insane that someone 339 00:16:20,799 --> 00:16:24,679 had that much regular season wins. But so yes, even 340 00:16:24,679 --> 00:16:26,480 though they're doing well on they're gonna be in the 341 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:30,200 playoffs and possibly you know, the World Series. I still 342 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:32,200 say they're struggling. So let's go back to this Hunter 343 00:16:32,279 --> 00:16:36,679 Green over six and a half strikeouts minus a dollar fifteen. Again, 344 00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:40,120 the Dodgers kind of struggling. They had the seventh highest 345 00:16:40,159 --> 00:16:43,720 strikeout rate in the last month since returning from an injury, 346 00:16:43,759 --> 00:16:47,039 has thrown eighty five ninety eight pitches two starts. 347 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 1: So I think, you know, there should have been a 348 00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:52,720 restriction for this game, and they'll get the strikeouts there. 349 00:16:52,759 --> 00:16:55,559 So there's a free player for everybody love it. 350 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,919 Speaker 2: I need to get your thoughts on this. I mentioned 351 00:16:58,919 --> 00:17:02,080 this to Teddy, but I I really want to get 352 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,680 all your guys's thoughts of people I really respect in 353 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:08,799 this industry. They just casually released that Malik Beasley is 354 00:17:08,799 --> 00:17:11,880 completely cleared of any wrongdoing. He's not even the target 355 00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:16,319 of this gambling investigation, you know for the Detroit Pistons. 356 00:17:16,319 --> 00:17:20,799 He loses a forty million dollar contract and amazing. It 357 00:17:20,839 --> 00:17:25,000 was like a really really big deal when they announced it. 358 00:17:25,039 --> 00:17:27,279 But now that he now that he's been cleared, there's 359 00:17:27,319 --> 00:17:30,720 like nothing. Yeah, It's like this is just really really 360 00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,119 I don't even know where I'm going with it, but 361 00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:35,279 I jumped very conclusion, very good. 362 00:17:35,599 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 4: It's like it's like watching The Godfather when when literally 363 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:45,160 in court, so now you have you know, alcopones alcoholone, 364 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:47,640 sorry about that, and you have you literally have the 365 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:51,519 character of Michael Corleone in the courtroom, and you know, 366 00:17:51,559 --> 00:17:53,359 they it was big news when they were they were 367 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:55,920 going after him. And then when all of a sudden, 368 00:17:57,279 --> 00:17:59,400 all of a sudden, now you have Frankie five Angels 369 00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:03,880 forgets totally forgets about the scene and says, oh. 370 00:18:03,799 --> 00:18:06,400 Speaker 1: I uh yeah, I don't know. I was fooling around. 371 00:18:06,799 --> 00:18:09,039 Speaker 4: And now you have Tom Hagen standing. I'm saying, wait, 372 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:12,599 this court owes an apology. This court owes an apology. 373 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,799 And and that's exactly the case here. So no one 374 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:19,480 talks about anything after it's over. They want to make 375 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:21,599 a big deal of it ahead of time, because hey, 376 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:25,240 that makes for good press about sports betting, and of 377 00:18:25,279 --> 00:18:27,759 course it makes for a great great thing about Oh 378 00:18:27,839 --> 00:18:31,440 my god, there's a scandal involving NBA players and you're 379 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,319 a spot on about their excellent point, and now they 380 00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,240 kind of sweeping under the rug and they look for 381 00:18:36,279 --> 00:18:40,119 the next dirt on an an NBA or a Major 382 00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:43,400 League Baseball guy and put it out there. You know, 383 00:18:43,759 --> 00:18:47,000 it's it's social media, it's it's it's these network So 384 00:18:47,319 --> 00:18:49,559 it's the way they present things. It's it's terrible. You're 385 00:18:49,599 --> 00:18:51,839 a very good point, very good point. Swept it under 386 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:53,319 the rug. Now the guy was cleared. 387 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:57,079 Speaker 2: Yeah, I read one article that's it. It was like, 388 00:18:57,680 --> 00:18:59,720 why isn't people where are people jumping up and down 389 00:18:59,759 --> 00:19:02,359 about up was like, we wrecked the guy's contract wrecked. 390 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:07,039 I mean, hopefully another team will side. I don't know, 391 00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:08,359 I don't I don't know where. I don't know where 392 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,920 it was going, but somebody had asked about like how 393 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:14,200 did they like, how did they first catch it? And 394 00:19:15,599 --> 00:19:18,559 it's the sports books that alert. Do you want to 395 00:19:18,599 --> 00:19:20,440 you want to tell that how they how they kind 396 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:23,680 of get. 397 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:26,240 Speaker 4: Jimmy Vicaro has talked about that. Jimmy just retired. He 398 00:19:26,279 --> 00:19:30,039 talked about that on many networks. When the Boston College scandal, 399 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:33,839 Arizona scans, these things, are the bets come into these 400 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,599 towns at the time, back then it was only Vegas 401 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:40,519 taking bets legally. So it's the bets that are taking 402 00:19:40,519 --> 00:19:44,839 the unusual amounts on certain ways, certain teams, certain teams 403 00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:48,319 from certain players, And of course they're the ones that 404 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:50,359 are going to report to the leagues and to the 405 00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:52,839 officials and uh, you know, to to the people in 406 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:56,240 charge that hey, something's unusual going on here. We're getting 407 00:19:56,279 --> 00:19:59,200 betting activity only one way from many different groups. 408 00:19:59,559 --> 00:20:00,160 Speaker 1: And they're the. 409 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:04,160 Speaker 4: Ones that actually tell these leagues that. That's how they 410 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,640 find out, uh, and then it hits the press. 411 00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,279 Speaker 1: Though, very good point. Andy, you're on you're on today, buddy. 412 00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,440 Speaker 2: I try and be, I try and be, but yeah, 413 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:17,200 it's it's it's not like they're just looking at the 414 00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:19,359 game and being like, wait a minute, that that seemed 415 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,640 a little weird. Like they get the information from the 416 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:23,799 books and then they go back and look at the 417 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:27,960 look at the investigation and such. So last thing before 418 00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:30,880 we let you go. Uh, any any thoughts on college 419 00:20:31,039 --> 00:20:33,519 or NFL teams that you're looking forward to to trying 420 00:20:33,559 --> 00:20:36,119 to fade or support first couple of weeks of the 421 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:37,200 season right out of the gate. 422 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:40,319 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, everyone thinks these some of these teams 423 00:20:40,319 --> 00:20:41,640 are going to be so bad. I look at my 424 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,920 regular season unders. I look at my my my bets, 425 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:46,079 all my season wins. 426 00:20:46,519 --> 00:20:48,039 Speaker 1: Uh, you know under and overs. 427 00:20:48,079 --> 00:20:49,880 Speaker 4: I have a lot of unders, and I'm looking at 428 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,519 all these unders, I'm saying, well, someone's gotta win. I mean, 429 00:20:52,839 --> 00:20:55,079 I got like seven teams under. I have one team over, 430 00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:59,559 and you know, I like betting those season those season 431 00:20:59,599 --> 00:21:01,839 wins are under. I like looking against teams. It's going 432 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,880 to be the same teams I've talked about before. People 433 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:06,799 love the Bears this year. A lot of people, a 434 00:21:06,799 --> 00:21:08,920 lot of a lot of fans support here in Vegas, 435 00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:13,720 always on Chicago teams, and yeah, no I'm against the 436 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,720 Bears making the playoffs. I'm against the Bengals making the playoffs, 437 00:21:16,759 --> 00:21:20,680 so I think no, no, no playoffs for those teams. 438 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,119 Even though I love Joe Joe Burrow, it's all about 439 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:26,839 the money and making money. So I am probably not 440 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:31,880 that I'm anti Cincinnati. I'm more anti uh more anti Chicago, 441 00:21:32,079 --> 00:21:34,400 and I like Minnesota this year. I like Minnesota to 442 00:21:34,559 --> 00:21:37,279 make the playoffs. So there's two. But before I go, 443 00:21:37,599 --> 00:21:39,880 I really want to talk about my interview that just 444 00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:42,480 came up in the last hour on Wager Talk with 445 00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:47,160 Showe a Otani's assistance book maker. So John Orlando and 446 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,680 I went out to his house in Orange County, beautiful state. 447 00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:51,599 Speaker 1: Unbelievable. 448 00:21:52,039 --> 00:21:54,400 Speaker 4: Uh, he made it really made us really feel comfortable 449 00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:56,599 there for him. We did the interview in his backyard 450 00:21:57,000 --> 00:22:01,319 and I found some things very feeling. People are really 451 00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:04,519 going to appreciate his honesty and his candor. The guy's 452 00:22:04,519 --> 00:22:05,039 going to jail. 453 00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: What can you say. 454 00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:09,119 Speaker 4: He's going to get at least fifteen months at sentencing 455 00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:12,880 this Friday, and he's going to jail. 456 00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:17,519 Speaker 1: If this wasn't Otani, the big name involved, I don't know. 457 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 4: If he'd go to jail because he paid a lot 458 00:22:19,519 --> 00:22:22,319 of money back, gave him one point six million already. 459 00:22:22,799 --> 00:22:25,440 They took three million in cash and stuff from his 460 00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:28,680 house and he's very open about it. But you know, 461 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:30,440 he wanted people to rat him out, so I'm giving 462 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,599 away somebody interview here. He wanted, I'm sorry, they wanted. 463 00:22:33,599 --> 00:22:35,960 The government wanted him to rite out people and he 464 00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:38,759 would have had zero jail time. So they wanted him 465 00:22:38,759 --> 00:22:42,319 to rat out other bookmakers, agents and things, and he 466 00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:43,119 didn't do any of that. 467 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:44,599 Speaker 1: So that's why he's going away. 468 00:22:45,559 --> 00:22:50,200 Speaker 4: Otani's assistant ibe, he got fifty seven months, I believe. 469 00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:52,960 For you know, I think that's that's the sentence he got. 470 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,839 He's away already. So this was a really cool interview 471 00:22:55,920 --> 00:23:00,359 about how a bookmaker became living in a nice area 472 00:23:01,079 --> 00:23:04,200 on the California coast. People don't think California has bookmakers. 473 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,599 Ah up and down that coach from top to bottom 474 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:09,720 from San Diego all the way up to the top 475 00:23:09,759 --> 00:23:14,559 past San France. The bookmakers everywhere. So this because there's 476 00:23:14,599 --> 00:23:16,920 no legal sports betting in California. So that's why the 477 00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:21,319 need for bookmakers also are out there. So there is 478 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,799 a great interview up just came up. I'm gonna put 479 00:23:23,839 --> 00:23:25,480 it on Twitter. I didn't put it on Twitter yet. 480 00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:26,720 Speaker 1: It's about an hour. 481 00:23:26,519 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 4: And twenty minutes, and he was great on there. He 482 00:23:30,039 --> 00:23:32,359 was great, talked about, like I said, his upbringing, what 483 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,039 he did his whole life, how he became a street bookmaker. 484 00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,000 And I've known him for almost twenty years. I've been 485 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:39,680 next to him when he was betting two hundred three 486 00:23:39,759 --> 00:23:41,880 hundred thousand dollars a hand a baker. I couldn't believe 487 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,799 that they took bets like that. I didn't realize the bet. 488 00:23:45,039 --> 00:23:47,000 He made a bet on the on the Super Bowl. 489 00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:48,680 He was a big gambler. He get by the way. 490 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:50,640 He gambled all his money away. In the end, the 491 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,480 casinos got all the money. That Otani paid him, or 492 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:54,799 Toni's assistant paid. 493 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:56,759 Speaker 1: Him, the casinos got all the money. It's just like 494 00:23:57,079 --> 00:23:57,680 the East. 495 00:23:57,519 --> 00:24:00,559 Speaker 4: Rutstein character says. In the end, they get it. They're 496 00:24:00,559 --> 00:24:02,559 the ones that profited. What do you see his big 497 00:24:02,559 --> 00:24:05,160 super Bowl? He bet seven figures on the Super Bowl. 498 00:24:06,599 --> 00:24:08,319 He's one of the biggest cameras I've ever seen. 499 00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:08,680 Speaker 1: In my life. 500 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 2: Wow, that's like the scene and Goodfellas when they get done. 501 00:24:13,519 --> 00:24:16,599 It's like you didn't talk the big crowd of people 502 00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:21,359 and Henry didn't talk right in the movie, right, Bill, 503 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:23,160 what do you have up? It's eleven dollars Monday. We 504 00:24:23,279 --> 00:24:26,759 celebrating eleven years eleven year aunniversary for wage you're talking. 505 00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:29,200 Speaker 4: I just went to the site because I didn't know. 506 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:30,440 I find out from you guys. 507 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:32,640 Speaker 1: It's eleven dollars Monday. So yeah, you can even get 508 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:36,799 me on there for eleven bucks. So yeah, So last. 509 00:24:36,559 --> 00:24:39,759 Speaker 4: Week it says that the sixteen units win, which is 510 00:24:39,759 --> 00:24:41,359 people hate their they hate the report. 511 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:42,759 Speaker 1: A lot of people hate. They only want to talk 512 00:24:42,759 --> 00:24:45,880 about your losers. So anyway, big week. Last week, Football's 513 00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:47,680 here you guys. 514 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:50,759 Speaker 4: Like I said, I've I've been selling for many years, 515 00:24:50,759 --> 00:24:52,640 and this is the greatest deal ever. 516 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,160 Speaker 1: I see. Look at Teddy with the little hat. How cute. 517 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:58,960 I know this is how cute he is. So anyway, yeah, so. 518 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,240 Speaker 4: This should be U This should be a big season 519 00:25:02,279 --> 00:25:05,200 for us all though. And we got some good baseball 520 00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:08,000 up on deck right now. And of course football, you 521 00:25:08,039 --> 00:25:12,599 guys have the almost unbelievable deal for the grab right now. 522 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,680 You should grab a month so start. I'll even say, 523 00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,160 wait until like Friday and grab a whole month. 524 00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:19,519 Speaker 1: That's the best thing. To do. 525 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,519 Speaker 4: You'll be part of the NFL College football this this 526 00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:25,960 is really gonna be I'm really pumped up for this season. 527 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:28,160 Thank you guys for watching and listening, and thank you 528 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:29,119 Andy for having me on. 529 00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:33,680 Speaker 2: Thanks Bill, Bill crack Man continued success. Bill's number one. 530 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,440 Last three days, I'm number two. Darn it. If Bill 531 00:25:36,519 --> 00:25:39,480 wasn't here, I'd be number one. Let's do all around 532 00:25:39,519 --> 00:25:43,960 the world here, Chris Dana is on his honeymoon. The 533 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,599 great Chris Allen, Chris Chris big Dog. He goes by 534 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,759 big Dog. So when I refer to big Dog, I'm 535 00:25:49,799 --> 00:25:53,160 talking about Chris. All right, let's do these all have 536 00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:56,599 a theme here? The free play today, it's pretty obvious. 537 00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:57,839 Let's see if you can figure it out. All right, 538 00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:01,640 let's do a season total. Jamier Gibbs over eleven rushing 539 00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:04,920 touchdowns this season. The Lions have rushed for fifty six 540 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,279 touchdowns the last two years. When they get in close, 541 00:26:07,599 --> 00:26:10,279 they run it. Gibbs had ten his rookie year sixteen. 542 00:26:10,519 --> 00:26:13,960 Last year. David Montgomery has missed time. If Montgomery misses 543 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,559 more time, Gibbs is just gonna shoulder the load and 544 00:26:16,599 --> 00:26:19,079 get all those touchdowns. So let's go eleven plus rushing 545 00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:24,119 touchdowns aces at the Sky WNBA. Asia Wilson eleven plus 546 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,279 rebounds She's had twelve or more and seven out of 547 00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:29,480 last eight games, last three games against the Sky forty 548 00:26:29,599 --> 00:26:33,680 six rebounds. She's averaging over fifteen boards per game. So 549 00:26:33,799 --> 00:26:37,319 let's do Asia Wilson over eleven and a half rebounds. 550 00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:41,279 Women's US Open Jacqueline Christian eleven plus games won. She 551 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,319 faces Daniel Collins. They played once last year. She won 552 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:47,319 exactly eleven games. Four of Collins's last five opponents have 553 00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:49,680 won eleven or more, and the last three losses for 554 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:53,000 Collins were to opponents ranked higher than Collins. Let's do 555 00:26:53,079 --> 00:26:57,880 Diamondbacks and Brewers take the all line over eleven runs 556 00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:01,599 plus two to seventy eight. Rodriguez Diamondbacks last eight starts 557 00:27:01,599 --> 00:27:04,599 giving up thirty runs. Woodruff has been good, but he 558 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,240 gave up three runs and four and one third innings. 559 00:27:07,279 --> 00:27:10,039 Last Star only pitch four innings the last two starts. 560 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:13,799 Diamondbacks bullpen fifth highest ERA and we're going to the 561 00:27:13,799 --> 00:27:17,440 Premier League Newcastle at Liverpool. Sala will have a point. 562 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:20,759 This is minus one forty seventeen games against Newcastle, he 563 00:27:20,839 --> 00:27:24,079 has eighteen points and he scored a goal last week. 564 00:27:24,759 --> 00:27:28,680 All those props all involved the number eleven. Sala is 565 00:27:28,759 --> 00:27:32,079 number eleven. So that's that's your that's your eleven year 566 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:38,400 anniversary all around the world tribute. Let's bring on Steve Merrill. Steve, 567 00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,519 you have to bring a free play involving the number eleven. Now, 568 00:27:42,559 --> 00:27:43,680 I just I just did. 569 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,759 Speaker 5: I was hustling here scrambling today two eleven dollars best 570 00:27:46,759 --> 00:27:49,039 bets on the MLB board up there. But I meant 571 00:27:49,039 --> 00:27:50,640 to bring my eleven dollar bill, and I was like, 572 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,119 if I bring a ten and a one or two 573 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:54,519 five in a one, I was gonna say. 574 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 6: It's eleven dollar money. And then I'll do one fifth 575 00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:02,200 of a five. That's eleven. Here you go five eleven. 576 00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:06,160 Speaker 2: All right, so you've got eleven dollars plays up wager talk. 577 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:09,000 Speaker 5: Correct, I've got two of them, so if you get both, 578 00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,680 it's a double deuce. Mickey's big Mouth, for those of 579 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,000 our gods in the nineties used to like to drink 580 00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,680 the hand grenades Mickey's. Actually the hand grenades weren't twenty 581 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:20,039 two ounce Mickey's big Mouth malt liquor. Google it if 582 00:28:20,039 --> 00:28:22,920 they're still in existence. But Yeah, it's a great special 583 00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:27,759 happy eleven years almost a teenager. It's fitting the press 584 00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:29,680 was one of the people that started eleven years ago 585 00:28:29,839 --> 00:28:33,400 speaking the teenagers, and then Marco was the other one. Yeah, 586 00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:35,680 Teddy's photo is great there. But there's some things I 587 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:37,400 could say about Brian Leonard but probably get me in 588 00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:40,400 trouble with that photo. It's a little special looking with 589 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:41,160 the thumbs. 590 00:28:41,039 --> 00:28:44,240 Speaker 2: Like how they just put a party favor in Ronald's mouth. 591 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 5: Which one was fabricated? It all looks so real. I know, 592 00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:53,839 I know, I hope Brian's was. 593 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 6: Brian looks a little fabricated there too. 594 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:57,759 Speaker 5: It's kind of like, I don't know, he looks special 595 00:28:57,799 --> 00:28:59,200 to believe it at that. 596 00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 2: That's great. So Steve, we're gonna talk Padres Mariders. We're 597 00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,839 also going to talk Nebraska and Cincinnati, and let's start there. 598 00:29:07,319 --> 00:29:11,720 Nebraska in Cincinnati. Matt Rule. I believe third season for Nebraska, 599 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,920 but he's got some new coordinators. Bearcats return their coaches, 600 00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:17,599 but boy, they were not good down the stretch last year. 601 00:29:18,279 --> 00:29:20,640 Looks like Nebraska's pretty big favorites. I haven't reached that 602 00:29:20,759 --> 00:29:23,839 seven number, but holding steady at six and a half 603 00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,519 over under fifty three and a half. What's your breakdown 604 00:29:26,599 --> 00:29:28,160 on Nebraska and Cincinnati here. 605 00:29:29,039 --> 00:29:31,599 Speaker 5: Yeah, we had Week zero, you know, five one A 606 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:33,799 games and one Double A games as well, but Week 607 00:29:33,839 --> 00:29:36,279 one really starts this Thursday night. We have a huge 608 00:29:36,319 --> 00:29:38,759 card on the betting board for Thursday night and this 609 00:29:38,799 --> 00:29:40,960 is probably the spotlight game at nine o'clock Eastern. It's 610 00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:44,200 a neutral field, by the way, Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. 611 00:29:44,599 --> 00:29:47,880 Nebraska and Cincinnati. I really don't think there's a home 612 00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,119 field obviously for either team here. It's a true neutral. 613 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,599 Nebraska opened six and a half, and as you said, Andy, 614 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:54,119 it's holding six and a half. But if you look 615 00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:57,440 at some of the leading indicator books, that'll line minus 616 00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:01,720 one seventeen Bookmaker minus won sixteen pinnacles sitting at six 617 00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:03,759 and a half flat. So but it does look like 618 00:30:03,839 --> 00:30:05,839 it's more likely to hit seven than six. If you 619 00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,359 like Nebraska, I think you jump in. You lay the 620 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:10,319 six and a half. Now, if you do like Cincinnati, 621 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,559 you wait the risk reward of getting seven versus six, 622 00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:15,480 which I don't think is gonna happen anyway, it's definitely 623 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,240 worth waiting. So once you gonna play in Nebraska now 624 00:30:17,319 --> 00:30:20,160 play Cincinnati in near kickoff. If I had to play now, 625 00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,200 I would lean Nebraska minus is six and a half. 626 00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:25,480 They're the more the better team overall, and I'm always 627 00:30:25,519 --> 00:30:29,160 gonna side towards the better teams in Week one, especially 628 00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:33,359 with the transfer portal, the uncertainty new defensive coordinator for Nebraska. 629 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,480 That's kind of the uncertainty in this game. Both teams 630 00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:39,200 that do return quarterbacks. Neither team was very explosive on offense. 631 00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:41,240 They were both on decent on defense last year. But 632 00:30:41,279 --> 00:30:43,240 if you look at Nebraska, they got ten starters back 633 00:30:43,279 --> 00:30:45,720 on this offensive side. I think they're gonna be pretty 634 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:47,720 tough there. And we have seen sharp money come in 635 00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,319 on the over in this game. Opened at fifty and 636 00:30:50,359 --> 00:30:52,480 a half this summer, it's now up to fifty three 637 00:30:52,519 --> 00:30:54,680 and a half. And I talk about those sharp books. 638 00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,880 Bet Online is fifty four and a half, Pinnacle fifty 639 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,400 three and a half, juice to the over. I'd say 640 00:31:00,839 --> 00:31:02,640 the sharp money is leaning Nebraska in the over. I 641 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,640 would agree with both, but it looks like the sharpest 642 00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:07,680 is on the Cincinnati Nebraska total over. If you just 643 00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,559 did some row maths from last year, the total would 644 00:31:09,559 --> 00:31:11,319 be in the mid forty ragns, so this is a 645 00:31:11,359 --> 00:31:14,559 bump hire. But once again, both teams return some offensive 646 00:31:14,599 --> 00:31:18,920 firepower veteran quarterbacks, and you got a new defensive coordinator 647 00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:20,920 for Nebraska, which maybe that's a plus, but I think 648 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,599 early in the season, without a preseason, without any other games, 649 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,519 they might be a little step behind there. We don't 650 00:31:26,519 --> 00:31:28,359 talk a lot about team totals in college football. I 651 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,519 know you do extremely well with them. But if I 652 00:31:30,559 --> 00:31:32,920 like Nebraska and I've liked the over, hey, why not 653 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,599 play the team total over and right now I'm seeing 654 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:38,480 that around twenty nine and a half, So once again 655 00:31:38,519 --> 00:31:40,640 that key number of thirty thirty one would be working 656 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,279 in your favors. Nebraska team total over twenty nine and 657 00:31:43,319 --> 00:31:45,000 a half actually might be the best way to attack 658 00:31:45,039 --> 00:31:45,880 this on Thursday night. 659 00:31:47,319 --> 00:31:49,400 Speaker 2: Don't you think for one second I haven't had my 660 00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:54,599 eye on that Nebraska team total over. Yes, absolutely that 661 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:56,599 I got that one circle. I'll do a little bit 662 00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,680 more research on it. But yeah, team totals have been great. 663 00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:01,720 Just I just love team But we hit seventy three 664 00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:04,480 percent of our team totals in college football lifetime. 665 00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:06,240 Speaker 5: And Andy, let me ask you real quick, I mean 666 00:32:06,279 --> 00:32:08,319 I need did great with them last year. What is 667 00:32:08,319 --> 00:32:10,400 your short like you know your you know, back of 668 00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,000 a napkin handicap. When you're looking at team totals, I mean, 669 00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:14,720 like for me, if I'm looking at a side and 670 00:32:14,759 --> 00:32:17,240 a total in the game, obviously whether it's baseball, ay sport, 671 00:32:17,799 --> 00:32:19,799 that gives you some value, probably with the team total. 672 00:32:21,359 --> 00:32:26,279 Speaker 2: I like teams that are very aggressive, even in blowouts. 673 00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:29,920 So I hammered Indiana last year with that coach and 674 00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:34,119 that quarterback and army early in the season. They continue 675 00:32:34,119 --> 00:32:36,119 in the fourth quarter, there is no let up on them. 676 00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:39,359 So I'm immediately looking for aggressive teams, teams that want 677 00:32:39,359 --> 00:32:42,160 to make a statement. And then I'm looking at overs 678 00:32:42,359 --> 00:32:44,519 and a lot of a lot of times when you're 679 00:32:44,519 --> 00:32:48,359 looking at team totals, look at the opponent first. Fade 680 00:32:48,359 --> 00:32:51,759 these teams with terrible defenses, like I'll tell you right now, 681 00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:56,079 the Cincinnati Bengals opponent their team total. The opponent of 682 00:32:56,119 --> 00:32:57,640 the Bengals team total is just going to be an 683 00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:00,119 overplay Like you play it all season. It's probably going 684 00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,519 to hit sixty seventy percent of the time. At defense 685 00:33:02,519 --> 00:33:04,720 can't stop anyone. So a lot of times I'm looking 686 00:33:04,759 --> 00:33:06,640 at a defense I want to fade and then I'll 687 00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:10,480 look and see if the offense can can take advantage 688 00:33:10,519 --> 00:33:10,680 of it. 689 00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:12,920 Speaker 5: So, but you're looking mostly at team total overs and 690 00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:13,920 it sounds like, right. 691 00:33:14,519 --> 00:33:17,880 Speaker 2: I've tried to do unders, and those garbage time unders 692 00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:21,240 are just nauseating. Just like a game's all blowout and 693 00:33:21,279 --> 00:33:23,440 the backup comes in and throws a touchdown, You're like, 694 00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:24,480 how did I lose this one? 695 00:33:24,559 --> 00:33:24,640 Speaker 1: So? 696 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I also find Steve, and I know you 697 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,880 do this too, like narrow what you're looking for, Like 698 00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,400 like I'm only gonna do overs and team totals. That way, 699 00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:34,359 I don't have to worry about the unders. It's less 700 00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:36,599 to research, and you can get a lot more detailed 701 00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:38,000 in that researching. 702 00:33:38,119 --> 00:33:40,279 Speaker 5: Yeah, it's funny, Andy, because you know when we're growing up, 703 00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:42,920 you know, it's always like the public plays favorites and 704 00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:46,200 over sharps play underdogs and unders. Right, my I went 705 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,160 ten and three last year to start college football, and 706 00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:49,880 I'll do it again this year. What I'm looking for 707 00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:52,559 is blowouts. I think almost every one of my plays 708 00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:55,119 was a four or five touchdown favorite the first four 709 00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:58,160 weeks in September last year. So I have that same 710 00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,759 mindset and what I love about overs as well in 711 00:34:00,799 --> 00:34:03,960 all sports, especially the NFL. Nowadays, it's the only bet 712 00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,079 in all of sports as long as the electricity stays 713 00:34:06,079 --> 00:34:08,480 on in the game goes fifty five minutes that you 714 00:34:08,519 --> 00:34:10,039 can win it by like the third quarter. And you 715 00:34:10,079 --> 00:34:12,360 get NFL games where you're almost within three points of 716 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:15,159 the over by halftime, like some Lions games, you know, Bengals, 717 00:34:15,199 --> 00:34:18,599 like you mentioned, whereas you're always sweating those unders. And 718 00:34:19,159 --> 00:34:20,920 you know, back in the nineties when I started, it 719 00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:23,119 was square if you're playing over as Sharp played unders. 720 00:34:23,119 --> 00:34:24,800 But I don't think that's the case anymore. I'm with 721 00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:25,159 you on that. 722 00:34:26,039 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, everything's changed. The transfer portal has changed everything along 723 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:35,320 with nil. So yeah, it's a new age here. Let's 724 00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:37,639 go to MLB. Don't forget about MLB, guys, there's still 725 00:34:37,679 --> 00:34:39,840 money to be made here. Let's talk about the Padres 726 00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:44,000 and the Mariners. You got Sears for Padres, Miller for Mariners. Man, 727 00:34:44,039 --> 00:34:48,280 if we're just looking short term these Miller's been awful 728 00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:51,199 for the Mariners and Sears has actually gotten a little 729 00:34:51,199 --> 00:34:54,039 bit better, but both of them high e ras. What's 730 00:34:54,079 --> 00:34:55,880 your breakdown here for Padres Mariners? 731 00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:58,639 Speaker 5: Yeah, if you actually look a Seattle struggle a bit 732 00:34:58,679 --> 00:35:00,679 over the years against Sears. So if I had to 733 00:35:00,679 --> 00:35:03,199 back one of these guys who have mediocre eras, I'd 734 00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:04,960 rather have series, and we're getting them in an underdog 735 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,880 price plus one O five with the Padres here. And 736 00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:09,960 it's also a team that's been in pretty good current 737 00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:12,079 form over the last couple months. In fact, just the 738 00:35:12,119 --> 00:35:14,960 last thirty games, the Padres are nineteen and eleven, one 739 00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:17,440 of the better records in baseball. We do still have 740 00:35:17,519 --> 00:35:19,400 the better pitcher on the mound. All things equal here, 741 00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:22,079 series a four point ninety RA, but Miller terrible as 742 00:35:22,079 --> 00:35:24,679 you mentioned, five point ninety RA this season, and what 743 00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:26,559 I'd like to look at now later in the season 744 00:35:26,599 --> 00:35:28,679 as guys that might be wearing down now, Miller's only 745 00:35:28,679 --> 00:35:32,280 pitched fifty three innings, but he hasn't been very good. 746 00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:34,440 In fact, he had the injury back in late May 747 00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,320 or early June. Actually his last start was June sixth. 748 00:35:37,599 --> 00:35:40,039 He came back for his first start last week on 749 00:35:40,079 --> 00:35:43,599 the nineteenth, gave out four runs in five innings, four strikeouts, 750 00:35:43,639 --> 00:35:46,320 two walks, gave up two home runs. Need to see 751 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,079 something from him, Maybe he turns it around in the 752 00:35:48,119 --> 00:35:50,440 second or third start, but definitely not gonna lay juice 753 00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:54,079 hoping that happens. And I think we get the better team, 754 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,599 better pitcher overall. Here is a slight dog tonight, So 755 00:35:56,599 --> 00:35:58,960 I do like the Padres plus one oh five in 756 00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:01,519 this matchup. And one thing I'll mentioned about baseball is 757 00:36:01,559 --> 00:36:04,639 football starts this week, the full college football season starts, 758 00:36:05,079 --> 00:36:06,840 but we still have a third of the baseball season. 759 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:08,960 We have over two months of baseball remaining. It's not 760 00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:12,079 anywhere close to being over. So this is a great 761 00:36:12,119 --> 00:36:13,760 time to get on board. And last year I finished 762 00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:15,920 on a fifty seven and twenty eight run on baseball 763 00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,559 best bets of the final few months. So don't sleep 764 00:36:18,599 --> 00:36:21,400 on baseball just because football is beginning. And right now 765 00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:23,519 you get the rest of August for free still when 766 00:36:23,519 --> 00:36:25,440 you sign up for September, that's this next week of 767 00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:28,320 August for free. When you buy September all sports, no 768 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:32,159 promo co need at Steve merrillwager talk dot com. 769 00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:36,159 Speaker 2: Yeah, I listen my eleven dollars plays in baseball today. 770 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,480 It's just a it's a fantastic way to build the 771 00:36:38,519 --> 00:36:42,480 bank roll, even though you're not paying attention to baseball. 772 00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:45,159 Maybe you're focusing a little bit more on football. I mean, 773 00:36:45,199 --> 00:36:48,119 the money still spends the same, and like Giohanny and Crack, 774 00:36:48,159 --> 00:36:51,320 we're talking a lot of the public's out on baseball, 775 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:53,320 so you almost end up with better lines and a 776 00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:56,159 little bit more predicting on the line movement here. So 777 00:36:57,119 --> 00:37:00,679 I just I will throw out Steve Padres. Team totals 778 00:37:00,679 --> 00:37:03,360 only three and a half. That seems like a mistake, 779 00:37:04,119 --> 00:37:06,960 So that seems mighty enticing. 780 00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, Andy, it's funny you say that because I did 781 00:37:09,039 --> 00:37:12,079 a video last week for the Dodger Rocky game. I 782 00:37:12,079 --> 00:37:14,159 forget which one it was. You do the Monday or Tuesday. 783 00:37:14,199 --> 00:37:16,559 It was the first one, I think, and the total 784 00:37:16,679 --> 00:37:19,480 was like eleven and a half or so, and the 785 00:37:19,519 --> 00:37:22,159 team totals were seven and a half and three and 786 00:37:22,159 --> 00:37:25,360 a half because the Dodgers were a three hundred favorite's 787 00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:27,000 and it was Monday, because they lost out right. It 788 00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:28,400 was the game they lost out right as a three 789 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:31,079 dollars favorite. Last week, they were minus one and a 790 00:37:31,079 --> 00:37:33,440 half minus one ninety, minus two and a half minus 791 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:35,159 one thirty could get the Rockies at plus two and 792 00:37:35,159 --> 00:37:37,440 a half plus money. Rockies had won five of their 793 00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:40,280 previous six games. They're playing the best baseball they've played 794 00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:42,280 all season, which isn't saying much, and they're in the 795 00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:44,239 thin air and altitude and their team total was three 796 00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:44,719 and a half. 797 00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:47,039 Speaker 6: Now I only got the four, but it won. 798 00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:48,960 Speaker 5: But I'm thinking to you when I saw that, because 799 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:52,119 once again, I think people overthink things. Right, like a 800 00:37:52,159 --> 00:37:54,039 three and a half, we're not playing the under. It's 801 00:37:54,079 --> 00:37:56,599 over or pass. Maybe there is no value with the over, 802 00:37:56,639 --> 00:37:58,719 but you could only play the over. And I just 803 00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:02,440 mentioned the Miller has an er almost six this season. Yeah, 804 00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:04,760 I mean that's the only possible way. With that said, 805 00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:06,760 it probably a one nothing game now, But yeah, that's 806 00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,079 how you have to look at these things. Don't don't 807 00:38:09,079 --> 00:38:11,360 think that Sometimes it seems too obvious because a lot 808 00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:13,280 of times it's just common sense three and a halfs 809 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:14,679 you're looking to play over or pass. 810 00:38:15,599 --> 00:38:18,320 Speaker 2: I'm laughing because I did have a team total in 811 00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:21,239 a game and the final score was one zero last week. 812 00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:24,800 That happened and Yankees, it does. It's baseball. You're you're like, 813 00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:27,440 you're you're trying to hit fifty five fifty seven percent 814 00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:29,000 of your betch you'll be best in the world. So 815 00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:31,360 real quick before we let you go. Did you happen 816 00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:33,920 to see the end of the NASCAR race? And what 817 00:38:34,079 --> 00:38:34,480 I did not? 818 00:38:35,119 --> 00:38:37,199 Speaker 5: I know Saturday in Daytona, and I usually turn on 819 00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:38,920 to watch the last two laps and then the. 820 00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:41,079 Speaker 6: Overtime because that's all you need to see, but I 821 00:38:41,079 --> 00:38:42,679 did not see it this weekend. 822 00:38:42,960 --> 00:38:45,559 Speaker 2: So Alex Bowman was the only Hendrick's car that wasn't 823 00:38:45,599 --> 00:38:47,159 going to be in the playoffs because he doesn't have 824 00:38:47,199 --> 00:38:49,800 a win, but he was ahead in points, but he 825 00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:52,880 got in a wreck earlier. So at the end they 826 00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:56,000 needed somebody to win the race who had already won. 827 00:38:57,119 --> 00:38:59,639 So Kyle Larson and Chase Eliot up front and they're 828 00:38:59,679 --> 00:39:01,840 bub up and dudes out of the way that haven't 829 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:04,679 won a race, and they pushed Ryan Blaney to the 830 00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:07,559 win because he had a win, and they snuck their 831 00:39:07,559 --> 00:39:08,760 teammate into the playoffs. 832 00:39:09,119 --> 00:39:10,440 Speaker 6: Got in Boma. 833 00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:10,679 Speaker 1: Good. 834 00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:13,039 Speaker 2: People were livid. It was hilarious. 835 00:39:13,079 --> 00:39:15,360 Speaker 5: It was well it will Nascar, I mean, will NASCAR 836 00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:16,119 do something about that? 837 00:39:16,159 --> 00:39:18,840 Speaker 2: You think, of course not. It's a race at Daytona 838 00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:20,679 and they got a big name in like you. 839 00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,280 Speaker 5: Plus exactly what it goes back to, like the conversation 840 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:26,159 you and crack were just having is that they got 841 00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,880 Bowman in versus some no name winning the race exactly. 842 00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:36,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, you want it's pretty pretty easy. So absolutely absolutely 843 00:39:37,079 --> 00:39:39,199 one more time televim what you have up, Steve, great job. 844 00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:41,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, So, speaking of the NASCAR, Andy and I started 845 00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:43,559 over five years ago. You know, eleven seemed like a 846 00:39:43,559 --> 00:39:45,199 long time Indy, and then I realized you and I've 847 00:39:45,199 --> 00:39:46,840 been doing this for over five years. We've been there 848 00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:48,880 half of the time at wager talk. But seriously, it's 849 00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:52,360 the eleventh anniversary of wager talk dot com and to 850 00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:55,039 celebrate all best bets or eleven dollars. So I've got 851 00:39:55,039 --> 00:39:57,079 my two Baseball best bets and onrly it'd be fifty 852 00:39:57,119 --> 00:39:58,960 dollars to get both of them. You get them each 853 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:02,639 for just eleven dollars tonight on Monday, or if you'd 854 00:40:02,639 --> 00:40:04,000 like to get them for free. The only thing better 855 00:40:04,039 --> 00:40:06,840 than eleven dollars Monday is free Monday the rest of 856 00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:09,480 August free when you buy September All Sports All Access. 857 00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:12,159 That's football and Baseball every day, no promo codes. Need 858 00:40:12,159 --> 00:40:13,840 to check it out. Oh and by the way, bonus 859 00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:16,119 free play every day. Bonus free play on my page 860 00:40:16,119 --> 00:40:19,079 Tonight's is in the Twins Blue Jays game. Free playing 861 00:40:19,119 --> 00:40:21,199 the Twins Blue Jays as well on my page Steve 862 00:40:21,199 --> 00:40:24,760 merrillwager Talk dot Com. Get there quicker with shortcut WT 863 00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:28,960 dot buzz slash sm. 864 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:30,760 Speaker 2: Steve Merrill, Everyone closing out a great show on Monday. 865 00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:33,840 Good luck Steves, any brother, all right, let's go to 866 00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:35,719 do it for Monday show. My eleven dollars play is 867 00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,360 an MLB team total. Last play we had was on 868 00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:40,760 Saturday in the team total. It gets over and we're 869 00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:43,079 looking to do it again. Laid off of team totals 870 00:40:43,159 --> 00:40:44,960 just today. I don't play them on Sundays. I've already 871 00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:47,760 played this one with my own money. So eleven dollars 872 00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:51,119 over there, WT dot buzz slash al is the shortcut. 873 00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:53,719 Don't forget to join us tomorrow, same time, same place. 874 00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:56,360 We're gonna go over some more college football MLB. I'll 875 00:40:56,360 --> 00:40:59,320 do Dana White Contender Series on tomorrow's show, but the 876 00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:01,880 full video for Contender Series we'll be up later today 877 00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:03,760 once we get through with wag Ins. I know you 878 00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:05,800 guys are excited for that. All right, thanks so much 879 00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:07,400 for joining us. Hit the like button to make sure 880 00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:08,559 you subscribe. To the channel. 881 00:41:08,599 --> 00:41:08,960 Speaker 1: Amazing. 882 00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:10,880 Speaker 2: When Steve and I got here, I think we were 883 00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:15,039 celebrating like thirty thousand subscribers an hour at two hundred 884 00:41:15,079 --> 00:41:18,639 and twelve thousand. So we are pumping out a ton 885 00:41:19,199 --> 00:41:22,920 of videos individual game breakdowns for college football, for NFL, 886 00:41:23,079 --> 00:41:26,320 still for MLB. So he hit the bell. You get 887 00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:28,360 notified when these videos come up. That way, you get 888 00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:30,079 the best of the number as soon as these videos 889 00:41:30,119 --> 00:41:33,199 come out. Thanks everyone for joining us. Great show. Shout 890 00:41:33,199 --> 00:41:36,320 out to Jeohnny Crack and Steve. Thank you so much 891 00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:39,880 guys in the chat, great job as always. We're gonna 892 00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:41,559 do it again tomorrow. Good luck on your bet tonight 893 00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:42,280 and take care