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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your

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host Cory Evans. This Speaks show is titled Trust the

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Tape or folew the Usage. It's a two full conversation

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us as fantasy football players as well as analysts of data,

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have to decide we're going to trust the tape see

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what is unfolding on the NFL field and believing what

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the eye test tells us, or are we going to

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file the usage, foul the volume and put that above

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what may may not be actual long term talent to

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buy into. That's a dilemma of sports fantasy football is

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are you going to trust the process of allowing the

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best player to rise at the top or is a

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role specifically on each team in an offensive coordinator scheme

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more important than overall talent. And that's what the whole

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premise of this week's show is about. Let's get right

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to it up. First, Let's discuss Jayden Reid in his

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return to the field versus Chicago. Since his absence dating

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back two week two, when he sustained a broken collar bone,

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Reid had four catches thirty one yards, four targets, forty

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seven percent of snaps added two rushes for twenty two yards.

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He was used early and often, even though the snap

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share was below the fifty percent threshold. Matt Lafleur routinely

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manufacturers plays for Jayden Reid, and his limited usage in

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Week fourteen was no exception. There was a clear focal

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point or plan intention everyone to spin it to get

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the ball in Jayden Reid's hands.

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Speaker 2: We can't forget either.

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Speaker 1: He was the PPR wide receiver twenty five as a

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rookie in twenty twenty three, why receiver twenty nine as

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a sophomore in twenty twenty four, and represents his now

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wide receiver two to wide receiver three ceiling when it

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matters most in the Fantasy football playoffs. Jaden Reid is

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twenty five turned twenty six in April. The hype after

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his rookie season was a bit out of control in

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terms of dynasty cost. I faded him at said price. However,

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after his most recent injury stint being out for most

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of the regular season, the time to buy was during

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that lull. Hopefully you acquired some shares. And this is

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a reminder that if you trust the tape with Jayden Reed.

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As I mentioned, Matt Lafleur schemes around Jayden Reed in

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a sense reminds me of Deebo Samuel esque usage.

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Speaker 2: So if we filew the usage, four.

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Speaker 1: Targets, four percent of snaps, two rushes, six total opportunities

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in his debut since the abbreviated week one and week

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two stints.

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Speaker 2: Before that broken Calbourne are highly encouraging.

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Speaker 1: So Jaden Reed is showcasing we can trust the tape

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and we can filew the usage. He's checking both of

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those categories, and as an advisable buy in dynasty if

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the price in your league has not substantially increased upon

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his return. Up next is Woody Marx. Do we trust

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the tape? Do we follow the usage right off the bat?

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His volume has been exceptional case of point this past

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weekend twenty six for sixty eight on the ground, two catches,

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eight yards, a touchdown, three targets against Kansas City, eighty

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seven percent of snaps.

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Speaker 2: You love to see it. The efficiency is dreadful in.

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Speaker 1: Terms of rushing opportunities to actual yardage. Ultimately, who cares volume?

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Speaker 2: Is? King?

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Speaker 1: Marx served as Houston's feature running back after Nick Chubb

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left the contest with the rib injury. And for most

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of his rookie campaign, Woody has thrived off a volume,

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yet has not been effective on a per touch basis.

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At times, if you look and trust the tape, Woody

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Marx is running into his offensive lineman as if their

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walls or even sluggish off the line of scrimmage, as

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if he has a piano tied to his back or

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feet are stuck in mud or quicksand his initial burst

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is not always great. However, he is elusive and shifty.

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Suddenly out of nowhere, Woody marks can rip off larger

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chunk gains on the season so far one to sixty

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fifty four, two touchdowns on the ground, three and a

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half yards per totes, so that does point to his

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lack of efficiency when it comes to Russian football as

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a receiver twenty one to ninety six and three touchdowns

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thirty targets.

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Speaker 2: I am puzzled by Woody's lack of.

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Speaker 1: Receiving usage since that's an area he excelled in the

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college level with both Mississippi State and USC two hundred

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and sixty one college receptions. I do not understand why

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Houston is committing to Woody Marx as a picture back

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yet not using him.

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Speaker 2: Extensively in the passing game.

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Speaker 1: Is it a byproduct of Houston being more run oriented

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as opposed to utilize running backs in space or as

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outlets in the passing game. Possibly we're not seeing necessarily

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a ton out of Nick Chubb or dari Ogmbale in

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that aspect either. What the issue is though, is that

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Woody Marks, if you trust the tape again, doesn't look

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exceptional as a rusher, But filew the usage and it

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is outstanding. It is in our M one workload that

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is not translating to RB one value. And I do

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think the path that is the receiving capability, let alone

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potential that he has not earned or seen in twenty

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twenty five. Over Houston's past five games, wood He Marks

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has averaged twenty touches per game and a seventy one

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percent snapshare. With such ample volume, he is a positive

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regression touchdown candidate five total touchdowns to rushing through receiving

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to date. I am again shocked that he only has

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twenty receptions and thirty targets as he enters now week fifteen,

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when one of his top traits or best resume checkboxes

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at the college level was his receiving ability, so that

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hopefully changes in the interim. We cannot trust the tape

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what he marks, because I believe if you're watching film,

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he is an average to below average rusher when given

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all this opportunity of volume. But if you follow the usage,

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this should turn around and eventually if the receiving output increases,

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then Wood he has the upside to be a set it,

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forget it RB two until then more of an RB

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three or flex due to the volatility of his per

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touch efficiency. Let's talk about Jacoby Myers trade to Jacksonville.

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He left the Las Vegas situation where he was not

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necessarily seeing eye to eye with the organization or his

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role long term penny free agent in twenty twenty six.

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It sounds like Jacksonville made this trade in hopes to

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sign Myers to an extension. What's interestin is that you'd

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think on paper with Travis Hunter, Brian Thomas Junior, Parker Washington,

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there's a lot to like on the depth Charter ready,

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So Addie Myers into the mix is a bit puzzling

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and makes for sort of a logjam with a luxury

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of riches at the position. But let's look up what

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Myers has done is joining the Jaguars organization. Week ten

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against Houston three for forty one, three targets, Week eleven

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versus Chargers five sixty four six targets, Week twelve against

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Arizona four to fifteen a touchdown, six targets, Week thirteen

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against Tennessee six for ninety in a touchdown, six targets,

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and Week fourteen versus Indianapolis four thirty nine out of

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touchdown ten targets.

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Speaker 2: That's for those keeping score.

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Speaker 1: Three consecutive games with the touchdown at least six targets

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and four straight games. What a turnaround from his lackluster

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usage and consistency in Las Vegas this season to now

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arguably being the most, if not one of the most

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important pieces of the Jacksonville passing attack on the year.

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Collectively fifty five six thirty six three scores, levet point

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six yards per catch, eighty targets. The thing about it,

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whether you're trusting a tape or following the usage, is actual.

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Kobe Myers gets done in both avenues. His record of

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success producing has been annually undervalued in both real life

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and fantasy circles. With New England, Las Vegas and now Jacksonville.

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His best fantasy campaign was last year in twenty twenty

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four with the Raiders as the PPR wide receiver nineteen

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until he's maxed out as sort of a mid range

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wide receiver two. But in PPR that's about as consistent

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as you could ask for for someone who's priced out

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as a wide receiver three or even worse because of

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his age. He turned twenty nine in this past November,

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So I trust to tape with Jacobe.

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Speaker 2: He's a fluid route runner.

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Speaker 1: He knows where to be on the field, reliable in shorts,

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intermediate routes. Trevor Lawrence has I believe, become a better

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quarterback because of Myers over the past month, and then

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Jacoby also you can follow this usage again. Three consecutive

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games with a touchdown at least six targeted four straight games.

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Speaker 2: He's performing as what.

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Speaker 1: We hoped he would have been with the Raiders in

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twenty twenty five, let alone what we were expecting Brian

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Thomas Junor to be for the sake of Jacksonville's offense.

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So Myers is someone who passes the eye test and

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also as the usage to back it up. As a

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penning free agent, I'm curious to see where he ends

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up with a new contract. If it's in Jacksonville, he

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know its a fit, but it could become quite crowded,

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so there could be a short cell high window here.

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Or if you need that push in the postseason, invest

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in him now, or if you're get to head to

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acquiring free agent's real life heading to the offseason, then

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I don't think Myers will cost much more than a

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late projected second or third in twenty twenty six rookie.

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Speaker 2: Draft capital, and I'll be right back with.

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Speaker 1: Two more players fitting that trusted tape or file the

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usage mold. Don't forget about my content over on Patreon

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three tier levels at five, twelve or twenty five dollars

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per month. You know by now we're to find it

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all either on Patreon's app or website itself. The links

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are in my social media bio, which is Dynasty, UPOD

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and most platforms also.

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Speaker 2: He scrolled down.

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Speaker 1: In your podcast directory you're listening to right now, a

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link says joined. Patreon can gain access from that directly.

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Be right back after that short break.

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Speaker 2: Up.

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Speaker 1: Next is Shador Sanders, who was named Cleveland's starting quarterback

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rest of season with matchups of against Chicago. The weather

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forecast looks brutal and cold this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Verst Buffalo versus Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 1: And at Cincinnati, so that four game stretch will be

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quite the test for Sanders. Rest of the way, he

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went twenty three or forty two for three sixty four

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through the air, three touchdowns, one interception, three rushes twenty

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one yards and a score versus Tennessee. He's actually one

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of three quarterbacks this year to pass for at least

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three yards with three passing touchdowns and a rushing score

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in the same contest. The other two quarterbacks to do

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it in twenty twenty five good company josh Allen Dak Prescott.

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Not saying Sanders is or will be anywhere near those

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two in terms of career arc, but still notable. Four

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games played to date for Shad and Drinky campaign seven

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sixty nine three yards passing, five touchdowns and three picks,

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a fifty two point four complete percentage rate, seven point

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five yards PSS attempt, and eight rushes fifty yards and

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a score not allowed to work with in terms of

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extrap latness stats. The highlights would be the seven and

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a half yards pass attempt he is moving the ball

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down field, whereas the low lights would be the completion percentage.

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And that's what I'm surprised by the lack of accuracy

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is it was Shuder's calling card with Jackson State's and

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Colorado at collegiate level. In fact, Sanders seventy point one

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complete percentag rate across one thousand injurgy of three college

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passing attempts. I'm not sure if this is the result

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of Cleveland's offense or if Sanders was simply benefiting from

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low level competition in school and was digging and dunking.

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Time will tell as a Day three pick, fifth round

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one forty four overall, where he slid far than expected

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after being viewed as a possible Day one or Day

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two prospect.

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Speaker 2: At times.

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Speaker 1: The odds are surely stacked against Sanders becoming Cleveland's long

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term solution at quarterback. So if you trust the tape,

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it's been an up and down rookie season abbreviate example

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size of course for Sanders, if you follow the usage,

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everything seems to be going according to plan in terms

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of negative game script, especially against Tennessee where he was

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literally now one to three quarterbacks to have that three

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hundred yard passing, three touchdown through the air, and one

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Russian score. Performance other than josh Allen de Prescott this season,

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But again it's one game and the periphial stats showcase

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that she do. There's a lot of work to do

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when it comes to touchdowns, interceptions, that effectiveness, decision making,

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the accuracy, and overall he dances too much in the pocket,

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tries to extend plays when he should be looking at

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his reads and making faster and more precise decisions. But

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let's give him the benefit of the doubt and see

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how this goes the rest of the way. If I

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had to make a judgment, got check call right now,

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I'd be selling in super flex leagues and cashing out

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while he's the quote unquote starter for the time being,

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because Cleveland should probably allocate more resources to find a

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long term solution at the position. And last, but not least,

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twenty powered he turned back the clock against Cleveland in

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a shocky performance of twenty five totes for a buck,

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sixty one on the ground, two Russian touchdowns, fifty nine

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percent of snaps, which included Russian touchdowns of sixty five.

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Speaker 2: And thirty two yards out.

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Speaker 1: It was a massive surprise and welcoming for those that

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still were starting powered weekend week out on the year,

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it's actually not as bad as you might think. For

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production one seventy five seven forty three four touchdowns on

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the ground, four point two yards per clip in twenty

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seven for one seventy one thirty four targets. He's on

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pace for another thousand yards in season. This past weekend's performance,

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of course, puts helium into his otherwise pedestrian season. I

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credit a lot of it though to how bad Tennessee's

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offensive line and overall offensive scheme has been in twenty

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twenty five Week fourteen's effort. Of course, as I mentioned,

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inflates Poward's collective stats. Even so, I don't think he's

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been that bad or lost that large of a step

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from twenty twenty four with Tennessee. From what I've seen

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on tape, so trusting a tape, I'm seeing a lot

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of the same year over year for Poward if you're

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following the usage it has been in RBBC with Tajy

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Spears among others, even when Spears was injured. The largest

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gap of success is how bad again the Titans have

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been across the board this season with cam Ward in

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a true developmental type rookie season. Now Poward is under

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contract with the Titans till twenty twenty seven. I would

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not be shocked if he is released and or traded

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as a cap casualty because of the direction the Titans

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franchise is headed for an aging back of his caliber.

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He's twenty nine this upcoming April. Now Poward's day is

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performing as the PPRRB eight in twenty twenty two, or

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RB fourteen and twenty twenty three with Dallas, those are over. However,

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his PPRRB twenty one one season with Tennessee last year,

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or even his current RB twenty five standing enter Meek fifteen,

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that's still within the realm of possibilities or value outcomes

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right in RB two or an RB three somewhere on

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that map or borderline. So if you trust the tape

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like I have proclaimed, I think that Powered looks pretty

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similar to last season, has not lost all that much burst,

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and it goes to show against a stout Cleveland defense

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with those two touchdowns sixty five thirty two yards out

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that there's still some juice left in Power to tank.

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And then you follow the usage you see a different story.

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He has not been the same quality of running back

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as he was in his prime of Dallas or even

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in twenty twenty four to Tennessee, volume for running backs

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truly does matter, and even though this year's off his

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career norms, he's still in the range of exceeding or

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hitting a thousand yards in the ground. So don't give

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up on powered, just realize that he's no longer in

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his prime. But for Tenny dynasty rosters or those who

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getting cash out for respectable price, I put that between

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the second and third round of twenty twenty six rookie

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draft capital. This is the time to be a buyer seller,

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and it's okay to doubt his future value coming off

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his best game of the season and in quite some time.

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Speaker 2: That will do it.

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Speaker 1: If you all enjoy this BIG's theme topic of trust

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the tape or follow the usage. I had fun conducting

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it behind the scenes and coming up the concept. If

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you enjoyed it, please drop a five star review on

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Apple or Spotify. Helps me out a lot as an

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independent podcast host. Until next time, this is the dynas

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to do drinking out. Good luck to all who made

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it to their fantasy football postseason.

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Speaker 2: Hope.

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Speaker 1: This show has been a huge part of your success

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and I wish you luck in your pursuit of a

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championship or multiple championships this year, and always keep me

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posted if you do win a title, that's what it's

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all about.

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Speaker 2: And if you're out of the playoff picture, it's okay.

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Speaker 1: We're resetting, we're refocusing in shifting gears. Before you know

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it to twenty twenty six rookie drafts as well as

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a free agent market. Thanks again, talk to you all

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next week.

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Speaker 2: See you