Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your
host Cory Evans. This Speaks show is titled Trust the
Tape or folew the Usage. It's a two full conversation
us as fantasy football players as well as analysts of data,
have to decide we're going to trust the tape see
what is unfolding on the NFL field and believing what
the eye test tells us, or are we going to
file the usage, foul the volume and put that above
what may may not be actual long term talent to
buy into. That's a dilemma of sports fantasy football is
are you going to trust the process of allowing the
best player to rise at the top or is a
role specifically on each team in an offensive coordinator scheme
more important than overall talent. And that's what the whole
premise of this week's show is about. Let's get right
to it up. First, Let's discuss Jayden Reid in his
return to the field versus Chicago. Since his absence dating
back two week two, when he sustained a broken collar bone,
Reid had four catches thirty one yards, four targets, forty
seven percent of snaps added two rushes for twenty two yards.
He was used early and often, even though the snap
share was below the fifty percent threshold. Matt Lafleur routinely
manufacturers plays for Jayden Reid, and his limited usage in
Week fourteen was no exception. There was a clear focal
point or plan intention everyone to spin it to get
the ball in Jayden Reid's hands.
Speaker 2: We can't forget either.
Speaker 1: He was the PPR wide receiver twenty five as a
rookie in twenty twenty three, why receiver twenty nine as
a sophomore in twenty twenty four, and represents his now
wide receiver two to wide receiver three ceiling when it
matters most in the Fantasy football playoffs. Jaden Reid is
twenty five turned twenty six in April. The hype after
his rookie season was a bit out of control in
terms of dynasty cost. I faded him at said price. However,
after his most recent injury stint being out for most
of the regular season, the time to buy was during
that lull. Hopefully you acquired some shares. And this is
a reminder that if you trust the tape with Jayden Reed.
As I mentioned, Matt Lafleur schemes around Jayden Reed in
a sense reminds me of Deebo Samuel esque usage.
Speaker 2: So if we filew the usage, four.
Speaker 1: Targets, four percent of snaps, two rushes, six total opportunities
in his debut since the abbreviated week one and week
two stints.
Speaker 2: Before that broken Calbourne are highly encouraging.
Speaker 1: So Jaden Reed is showcasing we can trust the tape
and we can filew the usage. He's checking both of
those categories, and as an advisable buy in dynasty if
the price in your league has not substantially increased upon
his return. Up next is Woody Marx. Do we trust
the tape? Do we follow the usage right off the bat?
His volume has been exceptional case of point this past
weekend twenty six for sixty eight on the ground, two catches,
eight yards, a touchdown, three targets against Kansas City, eighty
seven percent of snaps.
Speaker 2: You love to see it. The efficiency is dreadful in.
Speaker 1: Terms of rushing opportunities to actual yardage. Ultimately, who cares volume?
Speaker 2: Is? King?
Speaker 1: Marx served as Houston's feature running back after Nick Chubb
left the contest with the rib injury. And for most
of his rookie campaign, Woody has thrived off a volume,
yet has not been effective on a per touch basis.
At times, if you look and trust the tape, Woody
Marx is running into his offensive lineman as if their
walls or even sluggish off the line of scrimmage, as
if he has a piano tied to his back or
feet are stuck in mud or quicksand his initial burst
is not always great. However, he is elusive and shifty.
Suddenly out of nowhere, Woody marks can rip off larger
chunk gains on the season so far one to sixty
fifty four, two touchdowns on the ground, three and a
half yards per totes, so that does point to his
lack of efficiency when it comes to Russian football as
a receiver twenty one to ninety six and three touchdowns
thirty targets.
Speaker 2: I am puzzled by Woody's lack of.
Speaker 1: Receiving usage since that's an area he excelled in the
college level with both Mississippi State and USC two hundred
and sixty one college receptions. I do not understand why
Houston is committing to Woody Marx as a picture back
yet not using him.
Speaker 2: Extensively in the passing game.
Speaker 1: Is it a byproduct of Houston being more run oriented
as opposed to utilize running backs in space or as
outlets in the passing game. Possibly we're not seeing necessarily
a ton out of Nick Chubb or dari Ogmbale in
that aspect either. What the issue is though, is that
Woody Marks, if you trust the tape again, doesn't look
exceptional as a rusher, But filew the usage and it
is outstanding. It is in our M one workload that
is not translating to RB one value. And I do
think the path that is the receiving capability, let alone
potential that he has not earned or seen in twenty
twenty five. Over Houston's past five games, wood He Marks
has averaged twenty touches per game and a seventy one
percent snapshare. With such ample volume, he is a positive
regression touchdown candidate five total touchdowns to rushing through receiving
to date. I am again shocked that he only has
twenty receptions and thirty targets as he enters now week fifteen,
when one of his top traits or best resume checkboxes
at the college level was his receiving ability, so that
hopefully changes in the interim. We cannot trust the tape
what he marks, because I believe if you're watching film,
he is an average to below average rusher when given
all this opportunity of volume. But if you follow the usage,
this should turn around and eventually if the receiving output increases,
then Wood he has the upside to be a set it,
forget it RB two until then more of an RB
three or flex due to the volatility of his per
touch efficiency. Let's talk about Jacoby Myers trade to Jacksonville.
He left the Las Vegas situation where he was not
necessarily seeing eye to eye with the organization or his
role long term penny free agent in twenty twenty six.
It sounds like Jacksonville made this trade in hopes to
sign Myers to an extension. What's interestin is that you'd
think on paper with Travis Hunter, Brian Thomas Junior, Parker Washington,
there's a lot to like on the depth Charter ready,
So Addie Myers into the mix is a bit puzzling
and makes for sort of a logjam with a luxury
of riches at the position. But let's look up what
Myers has done is joining the Jaguars organization. Week ten
against Houston three for forty one, three targets, Week eleven
versus Chargers five sixty four six targets, Week twelve against
Arizona four to fifteen a touchdown, six targets, Week thirteen
against Tennessee six for ninety in a touchdown, six targets,
and Week fourteen versus Indianapolis four thirty nine out of
touchdown ten targets.
Speaker 2: That's for those keeping score.
Speaker 1: Three consecutive games with the touchdown at least six targets
and four straight games. What a turnaround from his lackluster
usage and consistency in Las Vegas this season to now
arguably being the most, if not one of the most
important pieces of the Jacksonville passing attack on the year.
Collectively fifty five six thirty six three scores, levet point
six yards per catch, eighty targets. The thing about it,
whether you're trusting a tape or following the usage, is actual.
Kobe Myers gets done in both avenues. His record of
success producing has been annually undervalued in both real life
and fantasy circles. With New England, Las Vegas and now Jacksonville.
His best fantasy campaign was last year in twenty twenty
four with the Raiders as the PPR wide receiver nineteen
until he's maxed out as sort of a mid range
wide receiver two. But in PPR that's about as consistent
as you could ask for for someone who's priced out
as a wide receiver three or even worse because of
his age. He turned twenty nine in this past November,
So I trust to tape with Jacobe.
Speaker 2: He's a fluid route runner.
Speaker 1: He knows where to be on the field, reliable in shorts,
intermediate routes. Trevor Lawrence has I believe, become a better
quarterback because of Myers over the past month, and then
Jacoby also you can follow this usage again. Three consecutive
games with a touchdown at least six targeted four straight games.
Speaker 2: He's performing as what.
Speaker 1: We hoped he would have been with the Raiders in
twenty twenty five, let alone what we were expecting Brian
Thomas Junor to be for the sake of Jacksonville's offense.
So Myers is someone who passes the eye test and
also as the usage to back it up. As a
penning free agent, I'm curious to see where he ends
up with a new contract. If it's in Jacksonville, he
know its a fit, but it could become quite crowded,
so there could be a short cell high window here.
Or if you need that push in the postseason, invest
in him now, or if you're get to head to
acquiring free agent's real life heading to the offseason, then
I don't think Myers will cost much more than a
late projected second or third in twenty twenty six rookie.
Speaker 2: Draft capital, and I'll be right back with.
Speaker 1: Two more players fitting that trusted tape or file the
usage mold. Don't forget about my content over on Patreon
three tier levels at five, twelve or twenty five dollars
per month. You know by now we're to find it
all either on Patreon's app or website itself. The links
are in my social media bio, which is Dynasty, UPOD
and most platforms also.
Speaker 2: He scrolled down.
Speaker 1: In your podcast directory you're listening to right now, a
link says joined. Patreon can gain access from that directly.
Be right back after that short break.
Speaker 2: Up.
Speaker 1: Next is Shador Sanders, who was named Cleveland's starting quarterback
rest of season with matchups of against Chicago. The weather
forecast looks brutal and cold this weekend.
Speaker 2: Verst Buffalo versus Pittsburgh.
Speaker 1: And at Cincinnati, so that four game stretch will be
quite the test for Sanders. Rest of the way, he
went twenty three or forty two for three sixty four
through the air, three touchdowns, one interception, three rushes twenty
one yards and a score versus Tennessee. He's actually one
of three quarterbacks this year to pass for at least
three yards with three passing touchdowns and a rushing score
in the same contest. The other two quarterbacks to do
it in twenty twenty five good company josh Allen Dak Prescott.
Not saying Sanders is or will be anywhere near those
two in terms of career arc, but still notable. Four
games played to date for Shad and Drinky campaign seven
sixty nine three yards passing, five touchdowns and three picks,
a fifty two point four complete percentage rate, seven point
five yards PSS attempt, and eight rushes fifty yards and
a score not allowed to work with in terms of
extrap latness stats. The highlights would be the seven and
a half yards pass attempt he is moving the ball
down field, whereas the low lights would be the completion percentage.
And that's what I'm surprised by the lack of accuracy
is it was Shuder's calling card with Jackson State's and
Colorado at collegiate level. In fact, Sanders seventy point one
complete percentag rate across one thousand injurgy of three college
passing attempts. I'm not sure if this is the result
of Cleveland's offense or if Sanders was simply benefiting from
low level competition in school and was digging and dunking.
Time will tell as a Day three pick, fifth round
one forty four overall, where he slid far than expected
after being viewed as a possible Day one or Day
two prospect.
Speaker 2: At times.
Speaker 1: The odds are surely stacked against Sanders becoming Cleveland's long
term solution at quarterback. So if you trust the tape,
it's been an up and down rookie season abbreviate example
size of course for Sanders, if you follow the usage,
everything seems to be going according to plan in terms
of negative game script, especially against Tennessee where he was
literally now one to three quarterbacks to have that three
hundred yard passing, three touchdown through the air, and one
Russian score. Performance other than josh Allen de Prescott this season,
But again it's one game and the periphial stats showcase
that she do. There's a lot of work to do
when it comes to touchdowns, interceptions, that effectiveness, decision making,
the accuracy, and overall he dances too much in the pocket,
tries to extend plays when he should be looking at
his reads and making faster and more precise decisions. But
let's give him the benefit of the doubt and see
how this goes the rest of the way. If I
had to make a judgment, got check call right now,
I'd be selling in super flex leagues and cashing out
while he's the quote unquote starter for the time being,
because Cleveland should probably allocate more resources to find a
long term solution at the position. And last, but not least,
twenty powered he turned back the clock against Cleveland in
a shocky performance of twenty five totes for a buck,
sixty one on the ground, two Russian touchdowns, fifty nine
percent of snaps, which included Russian touchdowns of sixty five.
Speaker 2: And thirty two yards out.
Speaker 1: It was a massive surprise and welcoming for those that
still were starting powered weekend week out on the year,
it's actually not as bad as you might think. For
production one seventy five seven forty three four touchdowns on
the ground, four point two yards per clip in twenty
seven for one seventy one thirty four targets. He's on
pace for another thousand yards in season. This past weekend's performance,
of course, puts helium into his otherwise pedestrian season. I
credit a lot of it though to how bad Tennessee's
offensive line and overall offensive scheme has been in twenty
twenty five Week fourteen's effort. Of course, as I mentioned,
inflates Poward's collective stats. Even so, I don't think he's
been that bad or lost that large of a step
from twenty twenty four with Tennessee. From what I've seen
on tape, so trusting a tape, I'm seeing a lot
of the same year over year for Poward if you're
following the usage it has been in RBBC with Tajy
Spears among others, even when Spears was injured. The largest
gap of success is how bad again the Titans have
been across the board this season with cam Ward in
a true developmental type rookie season. Now Poward is under
contract with the Titans till twenty twenty seven. I would
not be shocked if he is released and or traded
as a cap casualty because of the direction the Titans
franchise is headed for an aging back of his caliber.
He's twenty nine this upcoming April. Now Poward's day is
performing as the PPRRB eight in twenty twenty two, or
RB fourteen and twenty twenty three with Dallas, those are over. However,
his PPRRB twenty one one season with Tennessee last year,
or even his current RB twenty five standing enter Meek fifteen,
that's still within the realm of possibilities or value outcomes
right in RB two or an RB three somewhere on
that map or borderline. So if you trust the tape
like I have proclaimed, I think that Powered looks pretty
similar to last season, has not lost all that much burst,
and it goes to show against a stout Cleveland defense
with those two touchdowns sixty five thirty two yards out
that there's still some juice left in Power to tank.
And then you follow the usage you see a different story.
He has not been the same quality of running back
as he was in his prime of Dallas or even
in twenty twenty four to Tennessee, volume for running backs
truly does matter, and even though this year's off his
career norms, he's still in the range of exceeding or
hitting a thousand yards in the ground. So don't give
up on powered, just realize that he's no longer in
his prime. But for Tenny dynasty rosters or those who
getting cash out for respectable price, I put that between
the second and third round of twenty twenty six rookie
draft capital. This is the time to be a buyer seller,
and it's okay to doubt his future value coming off
his best game of the season and in quite some time.
Speaker 2: That will do it.
Speaker 1: If you all enjoy this BIG's theme topic of trust
the tape or follow the usage. I had fun conducting
it behind the scenes and coming up the concept. If
you enjoyed it, please drop a five star review on
Apple or Spotify. Helps me out a lot as an
independent podcast host. Until next time, this is the dynas
to do drinking out. Good luck to all who made
it to their fantasy football postseason.
Speaker 2: Hope.
Speaker 1: This show has been a huge part of your success
and I wish you luck in your pursuit of a
championship or multiple championships this year, and always keep me
posted if you do win a title, that's what it's
all about.
Speaker 2: And if you're out of the playoff picture, it's okay.
Speaker 1: We're resetting, we're refocusing in shifting gears. Before you know
it to twenty twenty six rookie drafts as well as
a free agent market. Thanks again, talk to you all
next week.
Speaker 2: See you