1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,640 Speaker 1: So this is to do it. Now, this is from 2 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:06,120 a site that it's called box Office Theory and its sites. 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,160 There's something that people use for early early tracking, right, 4 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:12,759 So this is to say that, hey, this this type 5 00:00:12,759 --> 00:00:15,119 of tracking, because now we're gonna get real tracking soon 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:20,000 where it's ticket sales and purchases and you know, demand x, 7 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:22,120 y and z. But before the early tracking is all 8 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:26,839 based on like social media impressions and trailer review or 9 00:00:26,879 --> 00:00:31,440 trailer reviews and all this like advertisements and purchase of 10 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:34,200 said merch And what they do is they take it 11 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:37,880 and they go, Okay, let's say, uh, the Batman did 12 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:41,920 these numbers, Superman Stein doing these numbers kind of comparable. 13 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:44,759 Like let's say, if you're I don't know, let's just 14 00:00:44,759 --> 00:00:48,039 say trailer got one million, one billion views, right, didn't 15 00:00:48,039 --> 00:00:50,560 but let's just say Suaerman tril got one billion views. Oh, 16 00:00:50,719 --> 00:00:52,920 the Batman got one point five billion views, so it 17 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,240 might be a little less than that. Right. So now 18 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:57,280 we're gonna start getting more and more as we get closer. 19 00:00:57,280 --> 00:00:59,759 But it's early tracking, right, and the numbers of the 20 00:00:59,799 --> 00:01:02,920 earth aren't too surprising, even though I think they could change. 21 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:05,120 So right now we could break it down because I 22 00:01:05,159 --> 00:01:07,079 haven't looked at these, so I'm excited to talk about 23 00:01:07,079 --> 00:01:10,439 them on air. Uh, the early this is for the 24 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:15,000 opening weekend domestic. Okay, so the lowest of the guys, 25 00:01:16,599 --> 00:01:18,239 I don't want to say guys. I guess Drastic War 26 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:20,640 was led by Scritch show lowess of the July crew. 27 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:25,200 Fantastic four at one twenty five to one thirty five. 28 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:27,040 Now I know, I saw some stat I'm like, oh, 29 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:30,120 it's one of their biggest summer openings. Yeah, sure, I'm 30 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:32,319 sure it is, because I more about the May crew. 31 00:01:32,359 --> 00:01:33,920 But we'll get there. I'm gonna look at some of 32 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:38,040 the stuff and if git a second here, Superman was 33 00:01:38,079 --> 00:01:41,200 a second with one fifty and one seventy, and then 34 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:44,480 Drastic World was first place with one sixty five to 35 00:01:44,519 --> 00:01:48,959 one eighty five. Now one obviously Fantastic Four nowhere near. 36 00:01:49,079 --> 00:01:50,680 If these let's say the nummers are true, that's what 37 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:53,400 we're gonna do. It's like a Sea Tier thing. It's 38 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:55,239 for fun. We're talking about to see because these are 39 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:59,680 not the official tracking that'll come out. And just like Ballerina, 40 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,840 this right official tracking was like thirty five to forty 41 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,799 five May twenty five. Not good we'll see what happens 42 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:08,000 with that movie. You can check out our review top 43 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:10,159 because is a ninety million budget with all those reshoots 44 00:02:10,159 --> 00:02:13,919 and everything. But do you just push ahead and keep going? 45 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:15,960 I don't know. And these budgets we don't know because 46 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:18,479 Superman's been thrown around a bunch. And I think Drassic 47 00:02:18,479 --> 00:02:21,039 World's clocking at one eighty because they went cheap on 48 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,360 that one. It's like boom, They're they got not making 49 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:27,000 the most profit Drastic World, right, And I guess we 50 00:02:27,039 --> 00:02:32,159 could start there because let's see Drassic let's go. I 51 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:35,719 usually use the numbers thanks to Brent. Shout out of Brent, 52 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:37,879 hope you're doing well there. I gotta message and see 53 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:41,159 how you're doing. I feel like well, I was gonna say, 54 00:02:41,159 --> 00:02:42,520 I feel like we used to all time, but no, 55 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:44,479 it's just because I used to hear you. We still did. 56 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,240 We still do talk on a good occasions. But I 57 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:48,080 think just because I would hear Marvel allance felt like 58 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:49,960 Brent was talking to me. But the only thing that 59 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:52,080 box office module is a bit better is at the 60 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:56,240 kind of breakdowns like opening weekends and whatnot. Sometimes the 61 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:59,199 numbers loses that. So and now I got police sirens 62 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,520 out there. Hopefully these strikes and stuff are okay, because 63 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,039 they're honestly over there, and I don't know if you 64 00:03:05,039 --> 00:03:07,960 hear the wind, we might just get to this topic. 65 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,759 It was. It's picking up big time, but it's it's 66 00:03:10,759 --> 00:03:14,719 feeling nice. Okay, Jurassic World. I'm gonna pull them all up. 67 00:03:14,759 --> 00:03:17,800 We're gonna start with the dinosaurs, right, let's see, not 68 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:19,800 gonna go with the classics, the old school one is 69 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:24,360 just gonna go with, uh, the the new trilogy, right, 70 00:03:25,199 --> 00:03:28,240 I suppose says the baby Joe Joey maniacs are running 71 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:30,120 wild to the box office. I thought you're gonna make 72 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:33,599 some iguana joke as spouse my god. Okay, so opening 73 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:41,840 weekend for let's see, whereas sometimes these movies once they 74 00:03:41,879 --> 00:03:44,520 start to get older, they don't really Okay, here we 75 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:48,240 go domestic opening of two oh eight for the first 76 00:03:48,319 --> 00:03:51,360 Drastic World, and the next one was one forty five 77 00:03:53,439 --> 00:03:55,080 or sorry, no, no sorry, The next one was one 78 00:03:55,159 --> 00:03:57,280 forty eight, and then the next one was one forty five, 79 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:01,319 so kind of still in the ball. All the made 80 00:04:01,319 --> 00:04:05,120 a billion dollars, give or take. I should have not 81 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:07,280 closed that. Let me pull that back up, my bad. 82 00:04:07,439 --> 00:04:10,560 But that's pretty good considering if that tracking was to 83 00:04:10,599 --> 00:04:14,080 be correct. So you got no not rebirth, don't fuck 84 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:17,040 me over, they're trying to fuck me over. Oh I 85 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:20,160 can smell the rain, man, if they could bottle the 86 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:21,560 rain to be a smell that I could have as 87 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:24,879 a car fresher, like genuine rain, I'd pay top top dollar. 88 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:32,480 Drastic World one point six billion, man. Uh, Drassic Domini, 89 00:04:32,519 --> 00:04:34,720 which was the third one, was just a billion, and 90 00:04:34,759 --> 00:04:39,879 then uh, let's see Drastic World Fall and King the 91 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:42,000 second one at one point three billion. The reason I 92 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,000 wanted to bring them up because you look at that 93 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:48,560 the second and third. The second was only three million 94 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:51,360 higher than the third one, so you would think, oh, 95 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:53,439 their box office run is gonna be pretty similar, right 96 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:55,839 obviously because they had a billion, But still there's still 97 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,160 a three hundred million missing there. Granted, again, these movies 98 00:04:59,199 --> 00:05:03,959 came out after like still not like comperative like COVID 99 00:05:03,959 --> 00:05:05,560 was an as bad, but still round, so a lots 100 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:08,279 of people stay at home. And granted they brought back 101 00:05:08,279 --> 00:05:10,600 the Legends as well, but still three hundred million dollars 102 00:05:10,959 --> 00:05:13,800 pretty good if it's tracking right now to what was 103 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:16,959 that one sixty five to one A five. If those 104 00:05:16,959 --> 00:05:20,160 were true numbers, that'd be the best opening since the 105 00:05:20,199 --> 00:05:22,600 first Drafted World, which makes sense. You're never gonna get that, right, 106 00:05:22,639 --> 00:05:25,279 That's like Forced Awakens. It was coming back big stars 107 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,959 that Chris Pratt were emerging and everything, so that would 108 00:05:27,959 --> 00:05:29,800 be a win. Now here's the thing that I feel 109 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,000 like is a lot different than and this is for 110 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,800 all these movies, right, A lot different than what Jurassic 111 00:05:35,879 --> 00:05:39,480 World came out Avengers. To me, those movies, it felt 112 00:05:39,519 --> 00:05:42,360 like and I think he's I don't know what it's called, 113 00:05:42,399 --> 00:05:45,199 but someone, if you're on Twitter, you're really curious what 114 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:48,079 I'm talking about. Hit up Stephen Colbert. He's been on. 115 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:51,680 He's up here on Giver's like briefly during a true 116 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,040 bat but his wife has been on a couple of times. 117 00:05:54,079 --> 00:05:55,480 That they're good friends the show. I've talked to him 118 00:05:55,519 --> 00:05:58,839 on the Vogas stream. They're good people over there, and 119 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:01,800 he's a great writer. He he I don't know if 120 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:03,240 we have I guess to be probably that in calm. 121 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:05,079 I think we have different things. But he likes looking 122 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:07,439 at numbers and making charts, and he had this great 123 00:06:07,519 --> 00:06:10,560 article one time where he's like looking at the differences 124 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,480 of years based and like a opening weekend and the 125 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:15,279 drop offs, right, and he was one of the first 126 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:17,759 people to really point me out to the whole the 127 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:19,839 big Marvel fans come out for the opening weekend. I 128 00:06:19,879 --> 00:06:22,439 feel like to give him credit. He was on that 129 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:24,600 way before it was really starting to get bad of 130 00:06:24,639 --> 00:06:28,439 like the big sixty whatever drops. Right. So that's the 131 00:06:28,439 --> 00:06:31,959 thing though, where even twenty fifteen, you'd make this big 132 00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:35,240 bulk of money and you weren't expected. That's why when 133 00:06:35,319 --> 00:06:38,199 the bvs sixty percent drop or whatever happened or seventy 134 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:40,399 whatever was some big number. That's why it was so 135 00:06:40,519 --> 00:06:42,759 big because like, man, what a huge drop off for 136 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:45,360 a huge franchise. It is divisive, right, which I there's 137 00:06:45,399 --> 00:06:48,720 parts that I do agree with that for sure. And 138 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:51,160 there was big drop offs before, but it was because 139 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:55,040 either it was something like an Endgame where it was 140 00:06:55,199 --> 00:06:57,160 massive opening weekends, so the drop off, well, it's gonna 141 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:58,879 be huge, or it would be bigger drop offs but 142 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,279 still making big amounts of change. We've seen many movies 143 00:07:02,319 --> 00:07:06,040 have a massive opening, you can like an in Quantmania, 144 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:09,399 and then the next weekend the legs just fall out 145 00:07:09,439 --> 00:07:11,759 from under it right, So same thing where it's like 146 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:13,720 we could be in a situation let's say that tracking 147 00:07:13,759 --> 00:07:15,879 is true for Drastic World, it could make one eighty 148 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:19,839 five be only fifteen million less than Drastic World. Like 149 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:22,279 that's a one point six billion dollar movie. This is 150 00:07:22,319 --> 00:07:25,439 gonna be massive. But it's not the same way. The 151 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:27,639 law of the opening weekend is those core people like 152 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,360 myself and like a lot of you guys that just 153 00:07:30,399 --> 00:07:32,839 go for the opening week because you still love movies, right, 154 00:07:32,839 --> 00:07:34,680 and you want to see that event. There's lots of 155 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:37,480 people that now will wait or you know, I'm good, 156 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:40,079 don't care about theater, especially with things coming to streaming 157 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,439 so fast. If they know you can wait a little bit, eh, 158 00:07:42,519 --> 00:07:45,000 that's fine. Sure, Like even sinners like the fact that 159 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,040 it's like we haven't washed it at home because and 160 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:48,160 we want to see it, but the fact that it's on 161 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:51,519 view deal ready, it's like still like wow, that that's crazy. 162 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:56,399 That was a phenomenon, right, So that's hard to say. 163 00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:58,959 And with Jurassic World, I really don't know. That's what 164 00:07:59,000 --> 00:08:01,920 I've said before, so I'm sorry for repeating, but that's 165 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,199 what I love about all these franchises coming on in 166 00:08:04,319 --> 00:08:06,120 July is one, it's just gonna be interesting how the 167 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:09,600 box office reacts. But two they all have they're all 168 00:08:09,639 --> 00:08:14,000 in a pivot point. Right. Fantastic four is trying to 169 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,759 rebuild and regain trust of Marvel fans. Superman's trying to 170 00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:20,279 start anew and regain trust a little bit for some 171 00:08:20,279 --> 00:08:22,839 people that didn't like the old universe for whatever reason, right, 172 00:08:23,279 --> 00:08:25,040 And then Durassic World is one trying to see if 173 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:26,800 we can do without these biggest sup of stars. And 174 00:08:26,839 --> 00:08:31,079 two is it the new Transformers? Where is box all 175 00:08:31,199 --> 00:08:33,919 like it's full proof where no matter what if these 176 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:37,279 movies that to me, uh, dress World two and three 177 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:39,559 not great movies, and many people have talked to not 178 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:41,879 great movies, but it doesn't not matter because people want 179 00:08:41,879 --> 00:08:43,600 to see dinosaurs and you don't get them as much 180 00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:46,000 as a superhero movie right where you're gonna least at 181 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:50,320 least two of those a year minimum nowadays? Right? Or 182 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:52,240 is it a case where it is like the whatever 183 00:08:52,279 --> 00:08:54,519 it was, its age extinction to the Last Night, We're 184 00:08:54,519 --> 00:08:58,519 eventually Transformers the bad faith cut up to them feeling 185 00:08:58,639 --> 00:09:02,279 I'm not gonna go see those anymore? Right, even with 186 00:09:02,399 --> 00:09:04,600 like piet Scabian, same thing, it caught up to them. 187 00:09:04,639 --> 00:09:09,840 So I suppose says at Scargo is a big established star. Yes, okay, sorry, 188 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:12,440 you're completely right. I'll take back what I said. I 189 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:17,759 mean an established character in the sense of, hey, we 190 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:20,240 can get Chris Pratt and Bryce Dylece Howard Ian Brycedaluce 191 00:09:20,279 --> 00:09:23,840 Howard versus Scargo nowhere near the same tier level. But 192 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:26,919 she's playing a character that's been in three three billion 193 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:30,279 dollar movie No, three billion dollar movies. That's a bad 194 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:32,480 way to phrase it. So that's what I mean, not that, Yes, 195 00:09:32,519 --> 00:09:36,000 Scargo is a big star at lea like I won't 196 00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:37,639 say it's a big star for people known. But that's 197 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:40,159 more what I mean as far as absolutely, and Scargo 198 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,200 is way more bigger than I think Chris Brad brycetiuse 199 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:46,759 Howard was when they did the first one. Uh fu 200 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:50,200 get meaning maniacs own grady maniacs not showing rebirths. And 201 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:52,159 they might not write there's little people like Chris Bratt, right, 202 00:09:52,279 --> 00:09:54,559 or they just feel like, oh I was connected with 203 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:57,679 those characters. Now it's new characters. I'm good for a bit, right, 204 00:09:58,399 --> 00:10:00,559 So that's what I mean. But yeah, Scar definitely a 205 00:10:00,600 --> 00:10:02,679 big star and the same thing. We'll see her power. 206 00:10:02,799 --> 00:10:07,000 So curious to see how that one goes. And I 207 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:08,919 know too, a lot of people point out where they 208 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,399 used to make a lot of money in the international markets, 209 00:10:11,399 --> 00:10:15,559 where leveless international markets now don't pay out as big 210 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,600 now because they got their own movies. They figure out 211 00:10:18,639 --> 00:10:20,360 during COVID, like, hey, we got to do our own shit. 212 00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:22,559 And that's why the biggest movie year right now is 213 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:24,879 a movie from China, because it's like, oh, yeah, we 214 00:10:24,919 --> 00:10:27,799 did this and people loved him great, So that doesn't 215 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:30,799 surprise me. It's opening in a bigger weekend. We're gonna 216 00:10:30,799 --> 00:10:33,600 get to fantastic for in a second. But I do 217 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:35,840 have my money on Swerman for the bigger weekend as 218 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:41,360 well too. It's interesting because people say that about the 219 00:10:41,399 --> 00:10:46,399 internal national markets of Jurassic But to me, if you 220 00:10:48,159 --> 00:10:51,840 like and I should make an official prediction, my gut 221 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:54,639 would say that, hey, you should go drastic because even 222 00:10:54,639 --> 00:10:57,840 if they're paying out less big established franchise. But I 223 00:10:57,840 --> 00:10:59,600 think it's gonna fall enough. And that's where I think 224 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:01,440 I'm gonna pussy foot around because I don't know if 225 00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:03,279 we'll do this topic again in the future when we 226 00:11:03,279 --> 00:11:07,039 get closer we'll do predictions, but I'm gonna say Superman 227 00:11:07,159 --> 00:11:09,320 is gonna win the summer. Now, that's what it all's 228 00:11:09,399 --> 00:11:12,639 with context, right, because it's all about trailers and showings 229 00:11:12,679 --> 00:11:16,279 where I think fantastic. For for me, the last year 230 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:18,440 there was better, and I think they've had some good showings, 231 00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:22,360 but I don't think they're capturing the huge mainstream audience. 232 00:11:22,399 --> 00:11:24,120 And I think obviously there's tons of people that are 233 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:26,399 iffy on the Marvel brand. I think Superman is doing 234 00:11:26,399 --> 00:11:30,000 a great job of I said that feels like the 235 00:11:30,039 --> 00:11:32,879 event movie of the summer. But I still could see 236 00:11:32,919 --> 00:11:35,320 a world where Superman has the bigger opening weekend, but 237 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:37,679 Durssic makes more overall. So I'm saying that, but I 238 00:11:37,799 --> 00:11:40,519 still say these three, who's gonna win. I think it's 239 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:42,399 gonna be Superman. Now. I think it's gonna beat that 240 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,519 opening week and I think it's tough for me, right 241 00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:47,679 because let's see, I always go back to this, the 242 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:52,320 Batman opening weekend. We talked about this the last week 243 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:54,360 League Geek, which someone made a good point right where 244 00:11:55,360 --> 00:12:00,320 let's see here made but not too lower than I thought. 245 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:03,440 Is one twenty eight, one twenty nine. Uh. But the 246 00:12:03,519 --> 00:12:06,000 thing is this, So I think it can definitely be 247 00:12:06,159 --> 00:12:08,000 that that was still a little bit of COVID and 248 00:12:08,039 --> 00:12:10,639 that's a bit darker movie as a family movie. I'm 249 00:12:10,639 --> 00:12:13,919 trying to I had them last week. I think it 250 00:12:14,159 --> 00:12:18,080 was May. It was a budgets. I can't remember what 251 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:21,480 it was, but I think it was. You would put 252 00:12:21,519 --> 00:12:25,080 it in like the top ten or fifteen opening weekends 253 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,480 of supermovie since COVID, which is not like a bad 254 00:12:27,519 --> 00:12:31,279 thing because like, you know, yeah, I should have pulled 255 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:33,120 that up. It's I had. I did the homework weeks 256 00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:35,200 ago and then got rid of it. But either way, 257 00:12:36,879 --> 00:12:39,120 all those numbers are good. But same thing. It's about 258 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:42,519 the weekends after the fact, right, There's many movies have 259 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:44,960 great open the weekend and then they peter out and 260 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:47,200 will peter out. I don't know. I still think this 261 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:50,519 is gonna be, for the most part, more talked about 262 00:12:50,519 --> 00:12:52,200 than Fantastic Four, and I do think it's gonna be 263 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:54,639 a better move than Fantastic four. I definitely think it 264 00:12:54,639 --> 00:12:57,000 will be a better movie than Drastic World and talked 265 00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:58,799 about who knows because maybe again people just went I 266 00:12:58,879 --> 00:13:03,200 love talking about dinosaurs, but I think that's really good 267 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:08,159 tracking if I can try and find let's see biggest 268 00:13:08,399 --> 00:13:11,919 opening weekends post COVID. Let's see if I can come 269 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:15,759 on Google. Don't share me now, Okay, read it, thank 270 00:13:15,799 --> 00:13:17,879 you very much. This is from nine months ago. Okay, 271 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:21,240 so this is the top. I think something. These could 272 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:24,240 be wrong, but anyways, these are the top twelve. Taco 273 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:27,240 Maverick one twenty six, The Batman says one thirty four. 274 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:29,960 So I thought that was wrong about Avatar one thirty four, 275 00:13:30,639 --> 00:13:33,360 Love and Thunder one forty four, Drafts World Dominion one 276 00:13:33,399 --> 00:13:36,559 forty five, Super Mario Bros. One forty six, Inside Out 277 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:39,679 one fifty four, Barbie at one sixty two, Black Panther 278 00:13:39,759 --> 00:13:42,679 at one eighty one, and then Strange at one eighty seven, 279 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:45,759 Deple Wolvering at two eleven, and then Inspire Man Knowing 280 00:13:45,799 --> 00:13:48,480 Home at two sixty. And that is always the funny thing, 281 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:50,879 right where we talk about and we'll get to them 282 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:53,120 doom and gloom of oh Marvel and Disney, like I've 283 00:13:53,159 --> 00:13:55,240 heard that before. It's like, oh man, if this isn't 284 00:13:55,279 --> 00:13:57,440 hit for them, they're in mag troll. I don't think that. 285 00:13:57,720 --> 00:13:59,679 I think it just shows a Hey, it's what I've 286 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,399 been saying. For fucking years. Fantastic four is not a draw, 287 00:14:02,519 --> 00:14:05,840 and I think that okay, So let's say, because like 288 00:14:05,879 --> 00:14:07,960 I said, what is that the top four out of 289 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,039 five or Marvel films, you know, and then they got 290 00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:13,320 another one with the Woman under in the top ten, 291 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:20,759 Like that's pretty considering, Like multiple brands are down or 292 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,480 not making money or having issues, right, so everybody, So 293 00:14:23,519 --> 00:14:25,840 when you're in that scope of hey, biggest openings of 294 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:28,840 COVID top five, you got four of the top slots. 295 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:31,600 That's pretty good. Of course you want me doing better, 296 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,000 I get it, right, They've had lots of bumps in 297 00:14:33,039 --> 00:14:36,039 the road. But that's why for me, I don't necessarily 298 00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:39,759 to me that the Fantastic four is a turning point. 299 00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:43,919 But the biggest indicator is vendors, which I think Avengers 300 00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:47,639 Doomsday clears a billion easy. I think you even get 301 00:14:47,679 --> 00:14:49,360 to the two billion. I think I'm more in the 302 00:14:49,399 --> 00:14:51,879 run of like a one point five. I think if 303 00:14:51,879 --> 00:14:54,480 it's as good as an Infinity War or even an Endgame, 304 00:14:54,519 --> 00:14:56,440 then I'm actually in the two point billion camp. I 305 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,840 don't think any of them will be because Endgame nearly 306 00:14:58,879 --> 00:15:03,279 got to three right Game box Office, and I totally 307 00:15:03,399 --> 00:15:07,879 misspelled endgame awesome. Let's say two, yeah, two point seven 308 00:15:08,039 --> 00:15:10,360 nine to nine billion, So let's just say two point eight. 309 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:13,039 I don't think either of them would do that. My 310 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:15,639 thing would be, I would say, because Secret Wars were 311 00:15:15,679 --> 00:15:17,559 just assuming he has those returning stars, right, So that's 312 00:15:17,559 --> 00:15:19,360 why I feel like that clears an easy two billion. 313 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:22,840 To me, My trajectory is like Doomsday. Let's just say, 314 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:24,759 like on the base of it, they're just fine, like 315 00:15:24,799 --> 00:15:27,639 they're seven to at tens. Doomsday is a one point five, 316 00:15:27,759 --> 00:15:30,360 and then Secret Wars is a two bill if they're better, 317 00:15:30,879 --> 00:15:34,120 I could see Doomsday being at two, and I could 318 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:36,480 see Secret Wars being a two point five. But I 319 00:15:36,519 --> 00:15:38,799 don't think they'll get up to endgame. Even two point 320 00:15:38,799 --> 00:15:40,639 five seems like a lot like I'd be more comfortable 321 00:15:40,639 --> 00:15:44,080 saying like two two twenty five or something like that. Right, So, 322 00:15:45,639 --> 00:15:47,000 but if you look at that, let's say, on the 323 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:49,039 high even in the low on let's say the low 324 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,279 end of this tracking is right one point fifty, that 325 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:55,759 would put it at the seventh biggest opening, just under 326 00:15:55,799 --> 00:15:58,639 Inside Out to Barbie Black, Panther Dock Trains, dead Pool, 327 00:15:58,679 --> 00:16:03,159 Renning Home, great As Ins and Out too, Poplar Pixar 328 00:16:03,279 --> 00:16:05,759 sequel Barbie won the biggest brands world and then a 329 00:16:05,799 --> 00:16:08,960 bunch of Poplar Marvel characters. Right, And that's where to 330 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,320 get to Fantastic four, where I agree to an extent 331 00:16:12,399 --> 00:16:14,759 when I do say it is pivotal moment because it's 332 00:16:14,759 --> 00:16:17,200 supposed to be leading it is a big franchise. I 333 00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:20,759 think there's just two types of pivotal moments. To me, 334 00:16:20,879 --> 00:16:22,960 I think it's pivotal as far as what they can 335 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:25,519 make going forward, even more so, or just even if 336 00:16:25,559 --> 00:16:28,559 they have another big brand winner, because same thing one 337 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:31,240 twenty five, one thirty five. That's a pretty good opening 338 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:33,320 week And let's look at that with the Marvels. Let's 339 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:40,519 see more MCU biggest opening weekends. Let's take a look. 340 00:16:40,559 --> 00:16:43,759 Don't fail me, Google, last time you helped me out, franchise. 341 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:47,080 Let's see, can we get the opening perfect endgame number 342 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:50,240 at one fifty seven? It's or three fifty seven, just 343 00:16:50,279 --> 00:16:58,360 fucking nuts. So it's like, that's it. That's such a 344 00:16:58,399 --> 00:17:02,000 weird window. There's a window of like Captain America Civil 345 00:17:02,039 --> 00:17:04,720 War at one seventy nine and then the next one 346 00:17:04,759 --> 00:17:07,640 at thirteen, Inspire Men at ninety two. Such almost like 347 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,440 one hundred thousand different, right, but oh wait, no, that's 348 00:17:10,519 --> 00:17:12,880 not it's not ranked. Hang on, my bad there, let's 349 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:16,759 say opening. There we go. Now it's right, that's better. Okay, 350 00:17:16,839 --> 00:17:18,960 so let's go the high and for fentimes score to 351 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:20,519 help him out, right, let's say it's those one, three 352 00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,000 five get early tracking. This could because they came out 353 00:17:23,039 --> 00:17:25,240 after saying, oh, best pre sales day. This could be 354 00:17:25,559 --> 00:17:27,279 higher or could be lower. Maybe I had those pre 355 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:29,319 sales for day one, but after be like, eh, I've 356 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:31,839 seen the Superman stuff. I want to go that. Let's see. 357 00:17:31,839 --> 00:17:34,920 So if it was one we were saying one thirty five, 358 00:17:35,519 --> 00:17:38,680 that would place it under four eleven thunder so that 359 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:43,960 would place it what is that fucking box office mojo? 360 00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:46,079 I did the sorting, didn't change the number. So I 361 00:17:46,079 --> 00:17:54,640 gotta count myself one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven, twelve, thirteen, fourteen, fifteen, okay, fifteen, 362 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:59,319 and there has been don't put the reel of releases 363 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,000 in here, fifteen out of thirty six. It has been 364 00:18:02,039 --> 00:18:04,079 thirty six films and there's been fifteen, so it would 365 00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:10,119 be above not above average, it'd be in the past halfway. 366 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:15,119 So actually, I would say above, it's Toughually what above averages? 367 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:16,759 I guess we'd have to get the average of that, right, 368 00:18:16,799 --> 00:18:21,160 But what was that? Let's do some quick math here, 369 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:29,440 DA Let's say fifteen divided by thirty six is forty 370 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:31,680 one to forty two percent, so it'd be in that 371 00:18:31,759 --> 00:18:36,440 top forty two percentile there. Let's see. I'm trying to 372 00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:38,640 think of there's anything else to use this page four. 373 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:43,000 But yeah, and then you know, not too bad, like 374 00:18:43,079 --> 00:18:46,319 I think again, tough to go off, like I think 375 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,720 that for Fantastic four in a time when the MCU 376 00:18:49,839 --> 00:18:53,880 is rocky top fifteen sixteen opening, I think that's pretty good. 377 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:57,559 It's again about what happens after. Luckily, there's two signs 378 00:18:57,599 --> 00:18:59,240 you can say this is that their last film. I 379 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:02,000 mean people save their money for it, or August comes 380 00:19:02,079 --> 00:19:03,480 up and people go and see it over and over, 381 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:06,720 or people have paid all their money and they don't 382 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:10,720 need to see another superhero movie. Right, So for me, 383 00:19:10,759 --> 00:19:13,440 it's not the be all end all. It's definitely a 384 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:15,319 pivot point of can they get fans back and can 385 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:18,000 they make them care about new big franchise like f four. 386 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,240 But to me, if this were to Bomber underperform. Let's 387 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:24,519 say it gets the same amount, just like a little 388 00:19:24,559 --> 00:19:26,880 bit above Brave New World, even five hundred something like that, Right, 389 00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:32,279 I wonder what they look at. It's like, what's their 390 00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:35,119 sequel rate? Right, because even to me saying five hundred, 391 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,920 I would say, yeah, that's good, like give it another 392 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:40,400 chance to go. A seql F four is not a 393 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,599 big brand. People think that all the time because the 394 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:46,119 First Family have been around forever. Nah, Like I've not 395 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:48,599 met one fucker in real life that had the Fantastic 396 00:19:48,599 --> 00:19:51,839 for as her favorite team or comic right, So that's 397 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:53,599 to me, it's like, I don't think that tracks. I 398 00:19:53,599 --> 00:19:56,759 think that's like comic book you know, jargon for fans 399 00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,000 like oh yeah I love these characters. Yeah, I'm sure 400 00:19:59,039 --> 00:20:01,839 you do, of course, psych but that doesn't just because 401 00:20:01,839 --> 00:20:04,480 you love them. Mike, I fucking loved the Hobb golbum. 402 00:20:04,519 --> 00:20:06,119 But that doesn't mean he should be get his own spin 403 00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:08,400 off movie it's gonna make a billion dollars. No, It 404 00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:12,400 all depends on what the public likes. And also, at 405 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,519 least with all these other characters, Spider Man, X, Me 406 00:20:14,559 --> 00:20:16,359 and Blaye, they got some good films to start off 407 00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:20,319 with they had very the first three Runner three bad, 408 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,160 med mediocre, like I said, Kyle said that, which like 409 00:20:23,319 --> 00:20:25,319 Kyle because I think he's just out of practice. When 410 00:20:25,319 --> 00:20:28,119 I'm like against MCU, it's different, like, oh, I've seen 411 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:30,359 those before and they sucked. There will be people like that. 412 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,880 They oh those fantastic war movies, Yeah, those suck. I 413 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:36,519 don't even know one of those. So I think it's 414 00:20:36,559 --> 00:20:40,119 just to prove for this brand. As I've said, Avengers 415 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:46,720 is the That's the true point to me. If that's 416 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,759 a movie that does anything below a billion, which I 417 00:20:49,799 --> 00:20:52,400 don't think it would because we have no way home 418 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,000 and Deadpool will rain to prove us. But for some 419 00:20:54,039 --> 00:20:57,160 reason it did blow a billion. That's where I'd say, officially, okay, 420 00:20:57,799 --> 00:21:00,519 MS you big trouble. But I think both those are 421 00:21:00,519 --> 00:21:02,599 like easy a billion and we'll see. But I just 422 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:07,799 jurastic world people love and you know they starting to 423 00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:12,559 pour out here. Listen to that. Oh that smells good. 424 00:21:12,599 --> 00:21:14,640 We're on our last topic. Because good, I can feel 425 00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:16,279 some win push and I don't want the laptop to 426 00:21:16,319 --> 00:21:18,640 get fucked up. Well, maybe this will be last topic. 427 00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:22,519 I think we're good. But anyways, I think I'll speed 428 00:21:22,559 --> 00:21:25,839 through the horror stuff. But last point is, I'm not 429 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,839 surprised by this tracking. Even if it's an old biggest 430 00:21:28,839 --> 00:21:31,160 pre sales for twenty twenty five, Well then I'm so 431 00:21:31,319 --> 00:21:35,000 sure Soupman's gonna cross that. You know, I just don't 432 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:38,119 think that has as much hype with the GA as 433 00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,480 the other two do. I'm getting more and more excited 434 00:21:41,519 --> 00:21:43,920 for it. But to me, this just makes us, especially 435 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:46,920 once we've seen everything right, because Superman could have had 436 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:48,799 just like a bunch of really bad trayers. Even if 437 00:21:48,799 --> 00:21:50,519 there's some stuff I questioned him, I never thought anything 438 00:21:50,559 --> 00:21:53,119 was bad. Think I had some bad showings and they go, okay, 439 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,960 Souper Fantastic four, they their prime, and who knows, maybe 440 00:21:56,039 --> 00:21:59,319 get closer and things swaped, maybe F four gets better reception. 441 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:01,799 I know there's tests screens out there, but that doesn't 442 00:22:01,839 --> 00:22:04,279 matter to me because I remember a test screening of 443 00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:06,640 BVS and someone's saying it is better than the Dark Knight, 444 00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:11,759 It's just as good, and well, you know, I'd say 445 00:22:11,799 --> 00:22:14,720 for myself it was a far cry from the Dark Knight. 446 00:22:14,839 --> 00:22:18,200 So let's take our last ad break and yeah, we 447 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:19,759 should we should be able to get through this topic. 448 00:22:19,759 --> 00:22:23,000 Hopefully I don't get stormed out. We'll be right back, 449 00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:26,640 and we're back, so