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<v Speaker 1>Dave, Happy New Year, Happy New Year, Mandy, welcome back

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<v Speaker 1>is as well. You had got some time off and

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<v Speaker 1>so did I.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's nice, you know, and I loved every bit

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<v Speaker 2>of every single bit of it. It was wonderful. But

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<v Speaker 2>I came back from Ohio where it was also quite nice.

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<v Speaker 2>It was the weather was not bad there until like

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<v Speaker 2>the last we Okay, Dave, this was kind of cool.

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<v Speaker 1>Can I just have like a.

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<v Speaker 2>Weather like a nerdy weather moment with you for a moment.

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<v Speaker 2>So we're driving back from northeast or northwest Ohio, right,

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<v Speaker 2>So we get in the car and it's like nine

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<v Speaker 2>o'clock in the morning and it's like sixty degrees. So

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<v Speaker 2>between where we ended up stopping on the west side

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<v Speaker 2>of Kansas City, No, we went beyond that. We went

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<v Speaker 2>to Manhattan, Kansas. So we drove to Manhattan, Kansas. We

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<v Speaker 2>drove to a cold front, so we stopped to eat.

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<v Speaker 2>We go in the restaurant, it's like sixty five degrees.

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<v Speaker 2>We come out of the restaurant, it's like thirty five degrees.

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<v Speaker 2>I love that kind of stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's fantastic. You know, we see those.

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<v Speaker 1>Temperature swings that drops here as well. But in the Midwest.

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<v Speaker 1>Sometimes that can be an ugly transition there because it

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<v Speaker 1>can be in ice and snow, especially if you're on

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<v Speaker 1>the roads traveling. That's never fun. I had to drive

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<v Speaker 1>one time. We've had the same thing. We left here

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<v Speaker 1>and everything was fine. We were chasing the back end

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<v Speaker 1>of a blizzard and I tried to time it out

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<v Speaker 1>as we were heading from here through Des Moines and

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<v Speaker 1>towards Milwaukee, and I tried to time it out that

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<v Speaker 1>we would stay on the back edge of the blizzard.

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<v Speaker 1>I got a little too aggressive in the driving and.

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<v Speaker 3>Got into the back edge of it, and boy, what

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<v Speaker 3>the difference it makes.

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<v Speaker 1>It was so bad.

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<v Speaker 3>I had to stop for gas.

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<v Speaker 1>It was so cold, so windy, snow was sideways. My

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<v Speaker 1>debit card got stuck in.

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<v Speaker 3>The gas because it was frozen.

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<v Speaker 1>I had to get the guy to shut the pump

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<v Speaker 1>off of my damn card back out. So I love that.

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<v Speaker 2>My first weather experience like that was I was laying

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<v Speaker 2>over in Minneapolis, Minnesota, as a matter of fact, and

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<v Speaker 2>we walked to the restaurant from the hotel. It was

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<v Speaker 2>like a two mile walk, No big deal, right, you know.

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<v Speaker 2>We walked down there, we eat, we come out it

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<v Speaker 2>was seventy degrees. I had on shorts, it was snowing.

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<v Speaker 2>So in the two and a half hours we were

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<v Speaker 2>in there, like it's just it was crazy. But anyway,

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<v Speaker 2>I do have questions about our actual weather tomorrow. So

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<v Speaker 2>what are we really looking at. Let's start with the

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<v Speaker 2>stalk show first of all, goes off at noon. Are

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<v Speaker 2>they going to be able to get that done before

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<v Speaker 2>they have to deal with foul weather?

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<v Speaker 1>You're talking the parade down. Yeah, yes, I do think

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<v Speaker 1>they'll get it off. They have dealt with weather in

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<v Speaker 1>the past when it deals with cold and snow.

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<v Speaker 3>Right now, there's a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>Of questions that still need to be answered, generally at

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<v Speaker 1>this time frame. You know, we're within the twelve to

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen hours of this event starting. We'd like more details finalized,

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<v Speaker 1>but we're still working out some final details. Here's the

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<v Speaker 1>bottom line. It's going to snow, and it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>turn colder. It's going to drop tomorrow into the upper

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<v Speaker 1>thirties and then slowly drop the low freezing late tomorrow afternoon. Thursdays,

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<v Speaker 1>Friday's high will only be around thirty three thirty four.

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<v Speaker 1>Overnight lows will be in the teams in twenties, so

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<v Speaker 1>we've got the cold component, we've got enough moist that

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<v Speaker 1>we will get snow. Always in these situations, the questions

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<v Speaker 1>becomes the how much, and it's the how much that

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<v Speaker 1>we're still struggling with a little bit as computer models

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<v Speaker 1>range widely, and it has to do with the windflow

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<v Speaker 1>that you and I talk about all the time. For

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<v Speaker 1>the stock show parade, I do think there could be

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<v Speaker 1>some light snowshowers around. My forecast right now, just finalizing

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<v Speaker 1>it is. I do think we'll have some light snow

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<v Speaker 1>in the morning, and then there could be a low

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<v Speaker 1>for many hours in the afternoon before things kick back

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<v Speaker 1>in around four o'clock. So with the stock show parade,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it could be cold and there could be

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<v Speaker 1>some flurries of light snowshowers, but I don't think they're

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<v Speaker 1>going to be in the brunt of the snow.

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<v Speaker 3>I think that happens after four.

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<v Speaker 1>O'clock tomorrow afternoon and then continues till about two to

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<v Speaker 1>four in the morning, so about a twelve hour e bend.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's that duration if we can sustain the right

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<v Speaker 1>wind direction that will give us our snow totals, which

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<v Speaker 1>we think right now may you're about one to four

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<v Speaker 1>typical upslope one as you go up towards Fort Collins,

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<v Speaker 1>two swards Lovelands, threes and fourth that you come into Denver.

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<v Speaker 1>And then the heaviest totals will be south and west

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<v Speaker 1>of I seventy, where we see those favored numbers get

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<v Speaker 1>a little deeper.

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<v Speaker 2>So basically, this texter said, Mandy Weather, I'm traveling by

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<v Speaker 2>car west on I seventy from Denver Friday. And now

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<v Speaker 2>Dan and I kids just updated, so they basically they're asking,

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<v Speaker 2>so Friday, you should have what snow on the roads.

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<v Speaker 3>But no snow to deal with exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's just going to depend. This storm should lift

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<v Speaker 1>out very early Friday morning, leaving us with little snow

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<v Speaker 1>to deal with after about eight to ten. And that

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<v Speaker 1>includes the mountains. But it will come down to what

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<v Speaker 1>do the roads look like? What does it look like

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<v Speaker 1>getting up Floyd Hill and into the mountains. Are there

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<v Speaker 1>any pass considerations veil pass and stuff like that. So

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<v Speaker 1>if you're driving from Denver and heading west, I would say.

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<v Speaker 3>You're you're okay, but just be prepared.

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<v Speaker 1>For any you know, road condition that may have deteriorated

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<v Speaker 1>the night before.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about the bigger weather picture over the next

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<v Speaker 2>six weeks. I know, you guys always look out. It's

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<v Speaker 2>it's very imprecise science at this point. But we've had

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<v Speaker 2>such a dry fall, we're well below snowpack. Are we

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<v Speaker 2>looking to make Is there anything on the you know,

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<v Speaker 2>on the horizon that is going to change that for us?

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<v Speaker 3>So you know that that has been a concern.

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<v Speaker 1>You know. It's interesting the calendar year twenty twenty five

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<v Speaker 1>actually ended up right where it should be for moisture.

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<v Speaker 1>And what that tells me is it.

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<v Speaker 3>Was short for snow for the early snow months that we've.

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<v Speaker 1>Had, so September, October, November, December, December, Mandy actually came

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<v Speaker 1>out right on track. And what people may forget is

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<v Speaker 1>that on the third of December we had a four

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<v Speaker 1>point three snow in snowstorm, and then on the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>eighth we had another two point three for six point

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<v Speaker 1>sixth total, which is the average for the month of December.

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<v Speaker 3>So December actually ended up okay, and for the entire.

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<v Speaker 1>Year we ended up right where we should be for moisture.

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<v Speaker 1>What that tells me is that while we were lacking

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<v Speaker 1>in snow, we made up for the moisture in the

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<v Speaker 1>calendar year because of a wet spring and periodic rains

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<v Speaker 1>over the summer. And if you'll remember our conversations going

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<v Speaker 1>back to September, and you know, everything's still being green

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<v Speaker 1>and the fall was looking in October, and should we

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<v Speaker 1>blow the sprinklers out because it's dry and everything still

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<v Speaker 1>looks lush. That had to do with all that early

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<v Speaker 1>season moisture that kept us looking pretty good. Where we

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<v Speaker 1>are lacking is snow. The snowpack is only at about

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<v Speaker 1>sixty percent fots. And I always like to listen, we

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<v Speaker 1>still got all of January, all of February and marching

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<v Speaker 1>April our snow is month. And so for the snowpack

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<v Speaker 1>and our snow concerns, we load now. We want to

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<v Speaker 1>load as much snow as we can up through about

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<v Speaker 1>April seventh, and then after that we start to melt

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<v Speaker 1>the snow, and that's our water supply and reservoirs, so

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<v Speaker 1>we've got time to make up.

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<v Speaker 3>For the shortfalls.

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<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't give up on the season this year, this early.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to say this.

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<v Speaker 2>The ski resorts have been having a terrible time because

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<v Speaker 2>there's the lack of snow. Are they going to get

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<v Speaker 2>a good guy. Are they going to get a soaking here.

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<v Speaker 1>With this storm? Yes, yeah, this will be good. The

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<v Speaker 1>last one they got there was if you were following

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<v Speaker 1>any of the resorts like Loveland and Aspmen, Snowmass and

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<v Speaker 1>all those guys, they were rejoicing in the last snow.

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<v Speaker 1>They got really deep fresh powder of eight to ten

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<v Speaker 1>inches some places. We're twelve thirteen. They'll get similar totals here.

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<v Speaker 1>We're looking at a good eight to twelve inches in

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<v Speaker 1>the mountain, So great for them. Should help with the snowpack.

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<v Speaker 3>Overall, this is a.

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<v Speaker 1>Good storm moisture equivalent. I will tell you this that

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<v Speaker 1>the month of January, our total moisture is around four

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<v Speaker 1>tenths of an inch. This storm coming in has the

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<v Speaker 1>ability to deliver about a quarter of an inch, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>a little more, and that obviously equates to two to

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<v Speaker 1>four to two to five to maybe two to six

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<v Speaker 1>inches on the south side of town that would be here.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, we're what eight days into the.

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<v Speaker 1>Month, nine days into the month, almost a whole month's moisture.

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<v Speaker 1>So again, you know, you look at the bigger picture,

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<v Speaker 1>you think December was the second Warmistan record. It's long, long,

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<v Speaker 1>stretches of dry and warm and windy conditions, but then

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<v Speaker 1>you sprinkle in these decent snowstorms and when you average

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<v Speaker 1>it out at the end of the month, it actually

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't look that bad on paper.

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<v Speaker 3>It's just that we go through these long stretches. And

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<v Speaker 3>by the way, this is exactly where we were last year.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a classic Laminia pattern where we get these long, dry,

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<v Speaker 1>windy stretches, fire concerns get elevated, and then all of

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<v Speaker 1>a sudden, banged, you get hit with a storm. Those

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<v Speaker 1>concerns go away for several days, and then you get

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<v Speaker 1>back into that pattern. And I do think that's what

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see following this event. Thursday Fridays, we go back

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<v Speaker 1>to warm and dry.

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<v Speaker 2>From your lips for God's ears. Dave Frasier Fox thirty

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<v Speaker 2>one is chief Meteorologist's good to talk to you, my friend,

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<v Speaker 2>and I'm looking forward to another exciting year of weather Wednesday.

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<v Speaker 1>And so am I and a Rod get better and

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<v Speaker 1>everybody else stay healthy because that cred.

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<v Speaker 3>Going around too, and it is not fun.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, it is not. You need to. I could

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<v Speaker 2>have given you my witchcraft tips that I got from

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<v Speaker 2>natural grocers. It worked, man, It works. So all right man,

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<v Speaker 2>I'll talk to you next week. That Stave Frasier. We'll

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<v Speaker 2>be right back