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Speaker 1: Cultural and financial change all wrapped up together has come

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to Washington, d C. And the people there don't like

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it that much. We'll talk with my friend and brother,

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Zach Abraham, chief investment officer Bulwarck Capital Management, will do

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this with the help of God Almighty.

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Speaker 2: But Todd Herman show is one disapproved by big pharma

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technocrats and tyrants everywhere from the high mountains of Free American.

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Here's the Emerald City exime.

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Speaker 3: How many else did you drink the Todd.

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Speaker 1: Herman Today is a day the Lord has made, and

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these are the times, so wish God is the saturitude

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we shall live. That was a hot mic moment. It

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was just Zach asking me how much water I drink

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per day. I drink for about four hundred and twenty ounces.

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Speaker 3: Of water a day, sweet mouses. Seriously, Yes, good golly.

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I thought I was getting crazy at like one thirty one. No.

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Speaker 1: And I'll tell you why I do that is because

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when I tried to put on muscle as an old man,

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and I worked with this guy I'd been a Seahawks'

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strength and fitness coach and nutrition coach. He said, in

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order for you to have any shot at doing this,

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You're gonna have to eat about three hundred and sixty

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grams of protein every day, which means you have to

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drink forward and sixty ounces of water. And I said,

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what if I don't, he goes, you will get kidney stones.

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I said, I'm not saying he said, I'm not saying

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you might. I'm saying if you do not have at

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least forwarded and sixty ounces of water every day, you're

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going to get kidney stones. It's not a it's a

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question of how many you get because.

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Speaker 3: Of the amount of protein.

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Speaker 1: That you got to eat, right, and that your kidneys

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are going to have trouble metabolizing. If you see me

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handing something off that's offset going to, Alex is going

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to actually be kind of to give me some of

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his water since I don't have any. Did you watch

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the President's by the way, It was performative, but think

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for a good reason. He is battling a counter cultural revolution.

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He's leading that, so I think we had to have

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these performative moments like name in this park after this

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young girl was killed by the illegal immigrants. Did you

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watch that? Watch clips of it.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna be completely honest with you, Yeah, so what

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my my other portfolio manager that lives in London was

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in town. Okay, so we were out of the dinner

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last night. I have read some summations, seen a couple

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of the clips here and there, but I didn't get

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a chance to watch it all.

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Speaker 1: Did you see the gorgeous moment though online of the

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Democrats who decided to meme themselves.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I read it. I read about it. Well, will

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you walked me through what you was? Like? I want

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to hear your version because I just saw a quick

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and dirty breakdown of it on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: Well, I'll tell you this. I think President Trump is

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the first president's, first Republican president to engage in the

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in in countering the culture, the cultural revolution. Our country

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has been pushed their cultural revolution. So he does these

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performative moments, like prior to this speech, they brought a

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young woman who had been given a traumatic brain injury

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when a man playing against her in volleyball, you know,

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basically assaulted her. That's performative. Okay, that's not policy. Trump

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has already created an executive order to you know, ban

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federal funds to states and schools that allow that to happen.

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Pam Bownie's not enforcing that, but maybe she will, so

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that's performative. I saw that, and I saw that the

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Democrats decided to take these signs that look like dilly bars,

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like back in the old days from Darey Queen, you

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remember didilly bars? Yeah, and write the little round messages,

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so little popstacles, sick and a round message. False is

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what it said, false false, And all people have to

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do is put on it. I don't know what a

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woman is. I'm voting for men in sports. I steal

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from taxpayers. And they were doing it live time as

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this thing is happening. These guys are being made memes.

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And this is so impressive because when you're fighting a

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cultural revolution, political means won't end it. In this culture

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you have people going, actually, they're actually right, they don't

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know what a woman is.

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Speaker 3: I thought it was bilant. Yeah, no, it is brilliant.

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And I think those are the those are the strings

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on the sweater that you need to pull from. And

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you know, this is one of the reasons why and

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I know you and I have talked about this, but

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it's one of the reasons why I appreciated Trump's tone,

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especially in the last three months of the election. And

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I hope he adheres to it because, like you and

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I have said, man soun sue, when your enemy is

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defeating himself or destroying himself, don't interrupt, right and just right.

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Just put a camera and a microphone in front of

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these people and do not interrupt. Let them speak stream

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of conscience, Do not get in the way of it,

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right right, because they will. You know, look at what

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they're doing. They're disagreeing with you, standing against a grown

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man giving brain injuries to a teenage girl. Right, So

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if that's the side of the argument that these people

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want to stand, let them right, right right, let him

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defend that ground.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 1: And there was another performative moment where and I don't know,

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I kind of bore false Wood this early this week

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where he was saying that al Green, Representative Green, was

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he it was his turn to get kicked out of

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the speech. And maybe he really was outraged because he

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is that you know, virtually brain damage or spiritually captured,

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that he thinks better women. But he he with his

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cane getting removed by the sergeant at arms. I think

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what they intended to do, if they did put him

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up to that was to get Trump on tilt, to

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get him to say something, to be aggressive, and instead

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the President stood there with a smug smirk on his face,

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a smug smile, doing nothing, just letting the process run

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its course. And Speaker Johnson had the guy removed, and

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to Green's credit, he didn't hit anybody with his cane.

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He didn't try to engineer it. I can't breathe moment,

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But that showed great restraint because President Trump hasn't always

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had that restraint. Right, Okay, that's always understandable.

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Speaker 3: Okay, I'm the guy where the lack of patrons come from,

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with what they've done to him. Oh, oh my goodness.

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Absolutely right, So that's the good.

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Speaker 1: There's a challenge ethically, and you warned us about this challenge,

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so I want to get to that. So we'll get

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to that with Zach Abraham, Chief and Jest Officer Capital Management,

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because we're going to tell truth about things related to

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the Trump administration, even when it's going to anger people

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who are huge fans of President Trump. I support his policies.

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I love ninety percent of what he's doing. But we're

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going to call things like this out. And we'll do

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this in just a second, because corruption is something we

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don't like in this program. I can't stand the corruption

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of the medical field. I just now confirmed through text

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with my friend Steve Anderson, who runs re New Healthcare.

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I'm going down there in April and I'm going to

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get stem cells in my left shoulder what never got

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stem cells because it's flording with an injury again. And

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you and me and Zach are going to go down

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in June. So we're going to go down in June.

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We're creating that date. Put that in your mind. Get

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down to Renewed Dout Healthcare and get your treatment plans

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started now, so you can hang out with me and

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Zach while we do a bunch of shows down there,

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hang out in the beach. What I'm gonna get in

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my shoulder are stem cells that are going to get

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in and destroy inflammation and then rebuild what is probably

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another tiny little tear in muscle intended tiny, May it

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stay tiny, because I'm in the midst of the CrossFit

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open those things. Those stem cells come from placentas in

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umbilical cords only. And the reason I use renew is

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because they are the best at this, proven by the

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fact that they culture these stem cells in a world

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class lab. They've got the largest hyperbaric chamber in North America.

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They have located themselves across the street from a luxury

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inclusive resort. And I will go down and I will

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walk five minutes for treatment. You can have the same

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thing for pain, carpal tunnel, even traumatic brain injuries. I've

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seen great results with this. Zach knows some people who

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couldn't get arthritis out of their hands. This stuff destroyed

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the arthritis. It's renew our E n U e dot Healthcare.

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Please tell them you're part of the Todd Hermer Show family.

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R E n ue dot Healthcare. So, Zach Abraham, chief

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investment Officer, Bobert Capital Management, we are not going to

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shy away from talking about some of the ethical challenges

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with President Trump, or at least occasions where this could

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be the case. So there's a crypto mogul and he

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made an interesting decision. This guy's name is Justin's son,

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thirty five year old, a Chinese crypto entrepreneur. He decided

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to invest seventy five million dollars into a certain coin

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and he'd been under investigation for corruption and the SEC

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has decided to stop to take a pause on that.

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What coin did he invest in?

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Speaker 3: The Trump coin?

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Speaker 1: You say, with reluctance and not a bit of pleasure.

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You warned us, You warned us about this.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it just like I said. And I thought your

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preamble was perfect, because the reason that I'm calling that

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out is because I'm cheering for him so much, cheering

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for the president. Yeah, one hundred percent. The reason I'm

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calling it out is because I think that the current

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situation is too dire to risk the optics, you know,

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And it was the analogy you and I used about

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it talking about it the other day about I can

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see the guys I'm blanking out scarface, uh, Chicago mobster, untouchable, elliot,

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alcohol clone right in alcohol, just complete brain brain freeze there.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 3: It was like in the Untouchables, the movie The Untouchables.

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You know, they went around and they found guys that

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were beyond reproach because you knew that if we're wading

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into this cesspool, we must have white hands, we must

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be clean, we must be beyond reproach. And when you

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look at what he's taking on, it just scares me

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to see these these types of things around him and

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around the administration that can so easily be taken advantage

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of situation. I mean, for instance, look at this situation

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right when and and quite honestly, I think the mainstream

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media is at this point is probably just too stupid

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to catch on to it. But but they will. They're

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you know, they're gonna come right out of the gate.

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Oh look at this obvious great Okay, most plausibly, Trump

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had absolutely no clue who was buying it. I bet

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you it's probably there's probably a situation where Trump, I

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bet you Trump doesn't even know the guy bought seventy

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five million dollars worth of coin. Okay, that's bet I'm

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willing to make the problem is the optics are off right,

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And what if he did know?

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Speaker 1: What if he did know, John that Junior knew and

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all the things we said about Hunter and we were

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right about Hunter.

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Speaker 3: Yep.

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Speaker 1: Hunter is an unregistered fore an agent. He should be

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in prison. Other people would be in prison. But what

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if Eric Trump or Laura Trump or someone in the

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Trump friendly Because at my understanding is they all have

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a piece of this that they knew. I don't want

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it to be the case because I'm rooting for the

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president to win the culture war because he's the first

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and only rep Publican president to ever understand there is

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a culture war and God's using him. I don't even

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think President Trump fully understands the way God's using him.

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Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah. I mean I don't know that any

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of us fully you know, well, I know that none

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of us fully understand it, right.

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Speaker 1: How God for him?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, oh yeah, right right. The chess means the chess

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pieces that are in movement right where they're going, the

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gambits that are being played right now on our behalf,

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and that we're a part of some or not, you know,

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all these different Indians and outs. What I do know though,

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in these scenarios, like I said, it's just you know,

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it's just common sense or it's all too uncommon. But

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in terms of leadership, in terms of tackling things like these,

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when you're going after dirt, cleanliness has never been more important.

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And just the optics around it, like I was saying,

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it does nothing but distract, It does nothing to pull away.

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And then like you said, the other part of it

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too is when you're talking about sums of money that

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are this large, and this is what I was concerned about,

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the day after this announcement got made that they were

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launching coins. Nothing's to stop anybody from going in there

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and buying two hundred million dollars three hundred million dollars, right, Okay,

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Now Trump is rich, but three hundred million dollars is

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three hundred million dollars, right? Even Trump's gonna across the

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street for three hundred million.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And so you and I if we lose twenty

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bucks for an ago, where the heck is that twenty yeah?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, yeah yeah, so yeah, so so you know

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I just did this stuff. Yeah, it just troubles me,

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and it scares me. And the other reason why we

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have to talk about it. And I was having this,

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you know, I was having a conversation with my children

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about this the other night, which is, you know, part

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of leadership and part of choosing the hard road or whatever,

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is that you're gonna hold yourself more importantly than anybody

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else to these standards, right exactly, and that I will

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not ask I remember my dad teaching me this. You know,

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one of the most important aspects of leadership in my opinion,

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is you know, I will not ask of you something

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that I'm not willing to do myself right. And what

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is the left not willing to do. They're not willing

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to be honest at all? Winning political right because if

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you don't believe, you're godless, and winning competitions on this

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earth is the only thing that matters. Right, when you

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believe in God and you fear God, you realize that

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we're going to win some, we're going to lose some.

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The important thing is how we do that because right

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because we know we win the war, we got to

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make sure we're on the right side. But it's how

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we do it that's the most you know, ends justify

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the means we're called to live oppicely exactly.

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Speaker 1: There's going to come a time, you know, and and

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where all the treasure you built up on earth, when

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you die and you go in before the Lord, before

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the throne of judgments, you are going to know at

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that point, oh that stuff is all gone, right, and

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these where's my lawyer? Now you don't get one. It's

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just you and Jesus. You don't get a lawyer. And secondly,

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God those everything has already made the judgment. And as

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I'm looking at this, I also look at this side

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by side analysis, Zach, I mean you're the chief investment

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officer Bold Capital Management. It's I mean, yes, it's a corporation.

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It's a separate thing from you. And something tells me

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that if you had, for instance, say you know, had

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a brother in law invest in a company, and suddenly

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you started talking about that company and suggesting that people

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invest in, I would think that the SEC might come

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along and say, hey, Zach, so why are you pumping

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this company your brother in law invested in? And I

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don't think I don't want to answer that question, would suffice, right,

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but for some reason, but then it extends further. So

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the SEC was all over this guy. They paused the case,

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but now the story thickens. This is something President Trump

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posted this past week. A US crypto reserve will elevate

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this critical industry after years of corrupt attacks by Biden administration,

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which is why my execut Cative Order on Digital Assets

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directed to Presidential Working Group to move forward on a

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crypto Strategic Reserve that includes X RP, S O, L

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and A D A I on make sure the US

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is the crypto cap of the world. We're making America

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great again. Okay, let's start first of all, you, as

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the chief investment Officer bower Kepital Management, Zach Abraham, you

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take just that temperature, what do you respond to that,

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it's just a financial mind and then we'll talk about

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more corruption.

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Speaker 3: Again. Brings me no pleasure to say this. I think

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it's completely nonsense. I don't. I don't think they look

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and here's why, a strategic reserve this stuff doesn't have IP.

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Speaker 1: Intellection.

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Speaker 3: What in the world do you need a strategic reserve

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of something that there's got no intellectual property of it.

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You could have a team, you could have a team

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of developers at any point you wanted just copying the

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IP say it's sponsored by the US and stick it

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out there. I like, there's no point to this. I

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just again, I again, I would just sit there and go,

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this is a potential distraction that could take away from

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what's really going on. The vast majority of coins he's

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talking about, and they're completely worthless. I think the vast

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majority of those coins are completely worthless. I think the

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only thing really valuable in cryptocurrency is the blockchain technology itself.

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I think that's the only thing that will really live

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on from this. Bitcoin I think might be a store

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of value, but you know, you're sitting there watching it

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right like, So you know, I mean, let's look at

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bitcoin and I and you know, I hate even bringing

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this up because people go Zach doesn't understand crypto. Yes, guys,

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I understand crypto more thoroughly than almost anybody you hear

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talk about it because I remember the day bitcoin was launched,

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we were looking for dollar alternatives. I love the idea

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of bitcoin. I love that, I love the blockchain. I

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love how elegant it is perfectly put together. That's not

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the issue. The issue with crypto has never been about

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is crypto good? Is the technology good enough? The issue

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with crypto is central banks have the soul ability to

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create money out of thin air. If you think that

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any elected body of people is going to forfeit that singular, right,

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you're out of your mind. So it just I just

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they should be staying as far away from the crypto

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universe as they possibly can because all of the greatest

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crooks and scoundrels in this industry have invaded that industry

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because it's the wild West. We've seen it before. It's

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like the junior mining days back in the early eighties

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on the Toronto Stock Exchange, right, ninety percent of every

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new issue was fraudulent in some way, and cryptos much

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the same way.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and this guy Ben Norton wrote this Benjamin Norton

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about this very event. This is on Twitter. Jaw dropping

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coruption into the US. Trump's billionaire cryptos ares heavily invested

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into fund whose top five holdings are in the five

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US Government Crypto Strategic Reserve. Mere hours before Trump announced

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that someone bought two hundred million dollars in ethereum and

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bitcoin on fifty times levelge So number one, if they're

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doing fifty times leverage, they're counting on that going up.

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It would seem to me.

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Speaker 3: So in the okay, So legitimately, if this was done

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in equity markets, that trade would get flagged by regulators automatically.

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Automatically because the like you just said, when somebody is

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making a bet with that much leverage, they're either insanely reckless,

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which if they're reckless, they'd have a hard time getting

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a marker that large, right, So they're probably not. But

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what it tells you is there's a high level of certainty.

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Where there is a high level of certainty, there is

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insider knowledge, like I cannot tell you literally, probably greater

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than eighty percent of inside trading prosecutions that occur occur

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because the first sign of trouble is they see a

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leverage bet like that. It's just it's telltale sign. So

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you don't go fifty to one leverage on something that

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you don't know is going to hit.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and if you're going fifty to one leverage, if

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there's any interest on that loan at all, you're going

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to pay back more than fifty times.

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Speaker 3: Oh and the margin calls, I mean, the amount of

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collateral you got to if that thing goes against you

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five percent, right, A five percent? Well yeah, because you're

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levered fifty to one, right, so if you you get

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a five percent move against you, you're down two hundred

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and fifty percent of you're originally invested capital. I mean

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that might not be the exact, but it's somewhere around them.

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So yeah, no, yeah, So I mean, yeah, I mean,

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if you if it, I mean, a one percent loss

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on a position that's levered fifty to one would trigger

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a margin call. A one percent, yeah, because a twenty

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five percent move against your basis triggers a margin call.

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So yeah, they you just wouldn't make that bet unless

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you knew.

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Speaker 1: In a nation that has the fiat currency for the world.

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This is one thing that's remarkable to me and it

386
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never o curds to me until you explain this to me.

387
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H and at Bulwark and you have to track to something.

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You know, It's not like you don't have a little

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bits of money here or there in crypto. You've told

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00:20:08,279 --> 00:20:09,799
me that from time to time bulwork.

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Speaker 3: Does you've made great money trading bitcoin? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Right, okay. But the other thing about this is that

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these things are these are fiat currencies themselves. They are

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designed to destroy a fiat currency, and they get more

395
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fiotic every day. I made that word up, but I

396
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think that's a pretty good I like that. I like,

397
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Am I wrong? Or have they become more fiotic? Particularly

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now that there's a strategic reserve? The United States is

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basically saying, hey, guys, we're buyers.

400
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Speaker 3: We're long.

401
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Speaker 1: Didn't he just announce we're long on this?

402
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Speaker 3: Yeah? Well. The other thing is too is in a

403
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world of fiat currency, who's the guy that rules. It's

404
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the guy. It's who's whose fiat currency is the least

405
00:20:46,839 --> 00:20:49,519
FIATI that everybody wants. It's it's the guy with the

406
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biggest military. Oh, I mean, right at the end of

407
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the day. I mean, think about it if we're ranking

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because I mean there's really right, there's what I mean,

409
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if we're ranking city states or or or you know,

410
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sovereign states in terms of power and ranking them. Right,

411
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there's two primary ways we're going to look at that,

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which is military might and financial you know, solvency financial

413
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wherewith all things that nature, Well, the best way to

414
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look at military and I might is look at the

415
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rank of their their military compared to everybody else out there,

416
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you know, especially those others that would be global players. Uh.

417
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:25,880
And then and then on the financial side, it's not perfect,

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but you know, a really easy way to judge who

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was the biggest financial player at any given time in

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the world look at whose currency was most widely utilized. Right,

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So yeah, I mean it's they are getting FIODI just

422
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it's they don't have they don't have a Congress, they

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don't have a Federal Reserve Bank, and they don't have

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a military and.

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Speaker 4: That.

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Speaker 1: Other than that, yeah, fantastic. I've had this conversation with

427
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tons of time with friends about this who are big

428
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into crypto and they'll say things like it todd, do

429
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you don't understand blockchain? And the fact is that government

430
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:03,440
can't replicate this. We can track all the trades, so

431
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:06,279
this has become worth something and there's nothing the government

432
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can do. And I'm like, wait, guys, wait for a second,

433
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,039
hold on, like to you don't how hard it is

434
00:22:12,079 --> 00:22:14,839
to crack this, to hack it? It's okay, but wait stop?

435
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:17,440
What about when the government comes along and says, yeah,

436
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we'll go and take your service or we'll just take

437
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:23,599
you Because I'm here to tell you if a president

438
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can seize gold.

439
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Speaker 3: I was just going to say, this is the same

440
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government that made gold ownership illegal in thirty three I believe. Yeah, right,

441
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So I mean, what are you guys talking about?

442
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Speaker 2: Right?

443
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Speaker 3: And if you don't think these people can, I mean,

444
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think about think about how they hacked Mount Dox. Remember that. Okay,

445
00:22:41,759 --> 00:22:46,039
why is anybody sure that that wasn't done by government actors?

446
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Speaker 1: Because I would never do that. That would be like,

447
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you know, wrong or something.

448
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Speaker 3: So I got something called the Twitter files that I'd

449
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like you to read. You know, no, and look, and

450
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what these people need to understand is I've taken so

451
00:22:59,759 --> 00:23:02,319
much blowback on this, and I look at them and

452
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:05,920
I go listen. I hope you're right. I'm cheering for

453
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,559
bitcoin when I tell you, I don't think it's going

454
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to be what everybody says it is. It's not because

455
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:15,519
I don't think it's superior to any fiat currency out there.

456
00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:19,720
I do. I think it's much superior. Okay, but there

457
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is an issue. It will never ever be a reserve

458
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:27,599
currency because it is a deflationary asset bar none, full stop.

459
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Anybody that argues that knows nothing about currencies or money, okay,

460
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it cannot be. The second if you're also betting that

461
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the central banks and the powers that be are going

462
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to either lose control or forfeit control over the international

463
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monetary system. If you think that's going to happen, I

464
00:23:47,839 --> 00:23:49,880
hope you're right. I hope you're right.

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Speaker 1: But it's not.

466
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Speaker 3: It never has, it never will. You're out of your mind.

467
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Speaker 1: Now, power never at that level surrenders power on its own.

468
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And Zach, you know at at Bulwark, you guys have

469
00:24:04,559 --> 00:24:06,960
to track this so carefully. And I love the fact

470
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that you're able to speak honestly about it and that

471
00:24:09,799 --> 00:24:12,000
you're able to actually do this from a perspective of

472
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,160
rooting for it to win. You can know more about

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Zach just going to know your Risk Radio dot com.

474
00:24:17,519 --> 00:24:19,720
And I want to just real quick, I want to

475
00:24:19,759 --> 00:24:22,079
I want to transfer topics a little bit Zach here,

476
00:24:22,279 --> 00:24:23,799
but I want to I want to keep on the

477
00:24:23,839 --> 00:24:26,759
track of corruption with this credit card move President Trump made.

478
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,799
But then there's something else. You said something the other

479
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:33,880
day about government spending, and I was reading the coverage

480
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,440
over you know, a lot of the economy, and I'm

481
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,759
trying to read leftists and people who are panic about

482
00:24:39,759 --> 00:24:42,480
the economy, and there are people pointing out that President

483
00:24:42,519 --> 00:24:48,599
Trump is crashing the economy by lowering government spending and right,

484
00:24:48,759 --> 00:24:51,200
And I want to address this from something you said

485
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:56,400
the other day about how government debts and government liabilities

486
00:24:56,559 --> 00:24:59,839
are actually sometimes things that can on the surface, appear

487
00:24:59,880 --> 00:25:01,839
to be helping the economy. So we'll talk about that

488
00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:04,400
was Zach Abraham, Chief and vestm officer bol Capital Management.

489
00:25:04,599 --> 00:25:06,880
There's many things you can do that appear to be

490
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,960
helping you. So one of the things that might appear

491
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,759
to be helping you is taking something like benadrill to sleep.

492
00:25:14,519 --> 00:25:16,839
So I've done this. I was just going through a

493
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:19,920
form I'm seeing my hormone doc coming up this week

494
00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:22,720
to I see her on a quarterly basis, and she

495
00:25:22,759 --> 00:25:24,319
always said, as we go through and do this form.

496
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,640
And I was down to the section on sleep. I thought,

497
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:30,000
that's right. I did used to abuse better drill to sleep.

498
00:25:30,079 --> 00:25:33,400
And guys, I get it. It knocks you out. I

499
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:37,480
get it. You're not alert. You have the illusion of sleep.

500
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:41,559
Let me explain what's actually going on. You are passed out.

501
00:25:41,839 --> 00:25:43,799
You don't have a rem cycle, you don't have a

502
00:25:43,839 --> 00:25:47,119
deep sleep cycle. You are unaware of things because your

503
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:51,680
brain has effectively been Deadn't that is not sleep. It's

504
00:25:51,839 --> 00:25:55,759
very similar with melatonin. That melatonin you can man and

505
00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,960
I ate melatonin for a while. I'd eat a couple tablets.

506
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:00,640
That was good. What if I eat four or five

507
00:26:01,079 --> 00:26:04,359
and I was completely unconscious to the world and then

508
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:07,319
all of a sudden, I'm confused and I'm anxious and

509
00:26:07,759 --> 00:26:11,079
I didn't get my refrag done in my brain. I

510
00:26:11,079 --> 00:26:15,240
didn't get this file stored. That's because it's not sleep. Okay,

511
00:26:15,279 --> 00:26:18,319
it's like being It's like being knocked out. Guys, just

512
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:22,720
do this. Go to magnesium breakthrough. It alleviates stress by

513
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:26,519
controlling a stress home or cortisol. That's my experience with it.

514
00:26:26,519 --> 00:26:30,000
It helps me fall asleep, the pleasure of just naturally

515
00:26:30,039 --> 00:26:32,720
losing consciousness. When I do wake up, I go back

516
00:26:32,759 --> 00:26:35,160
to sleep. And guys, if sleep is a super big problem,

517
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:39,480
buy Sleep Breakthrough along with Magnesium Breakthrough. Stack those two

518
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,279
things together. My experience has been it does not fail

519
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:44,960
to deliver sleep. So here's how to save ten percent.

520
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:48,160
Go to Bioptimizers dot com slash tod use promo code

521
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,880
tod to get tempercent off all the biptimizer's products, including

522
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:54,839
Magnesium Breakthrough and Sleep Breakthrough. When you subscribe. That way

523
00:26:54,839 --> 00:26:56,359
you don't run out of product. That way you don't

524
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:59,119
run out of sleep. They'll send you exclusive discounts and

525
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:02,359
free gifts when you subscribe Boptimizers dot com slash todd

526
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:06,319
promo code Todd. So Zach, President Trump did an extraordinary thing.

527
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:09,880
Probably a judge would tell him, you can't cancel people's

528
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:13,240
government credit cards. Not too legal. So he's lowered the

529
00:27:13,279 --> 00:27:17,039
spending limit to one dollar per card. And this is

530
00:27:17,079 --> 00:27:21,720
coming after we've seen people's spending. I think they said

531
00:27:21,759 --> 00:27:26,400
it was a total of ninety billion dollars in transactions. Ay,

532
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:31,079
I wonder if big banks love that. If they love that,

533
00:27:31,319 --> 00:27:34,559
and then B or C we're learning that they're actually

534
00:27:34,599 --> 00:27:37,680
been spending things money on things like getting cash out

535
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:43,839
of the cash machines at casitos. That seems that seems corrupt.

536
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:46,519
If you saw that on an expense report at Bulwark

537
00:27:46,559 --> 00:27:49,279
Capital and you pulled that up, or your wife she's

538
00:27:49,279 --> 00:27:54,599
the CFO and she sees cash withdrawal Bulwark card Las Vegas, Nevada.

539
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:55,640
That ends, How.

540
00:27:57,839 --> 00:27:58,079
Speaker 2: Wow?

541
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 3: It ends with some cardboard boxes and some taking a

542
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,559
long walk down the halls with the way that is. Yeah,

543
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:07,160
I mean when everybody's in the office, oh man, no, no, yeah,

544
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:08,960
And I know, And I mean to ask would fall

545
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:11,880
I wouldn't even ask questions, just see you later gone done,

546
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:16,039
just because not only is it's a betrayal, right, and

547
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,000
we take really good care of our people and pay

548
00:28:18,039 --> 00:28:20,079
them really well. And I'm like, yeah, if you're gonna

549
00:28:20,279 --> 00:28:22,200
and and and you and I were talking to offline

550
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:27,039
about this. This is the whole hilarity and ridiculousness of

551
00:28:27,319 --> 00:28:31,559
just the insanity of this whole situation. Listening to people

552
00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:35,359
like you know, throwing fits and freaking out about this

553
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:39,039
kind of stuff in corporate America. Okay, where where there's

554
00:28:39,079 --> 00:28:42,279
not a fiduciary responsibility to take care of tax older money,

555
00:28:42,599 --> 00:28:46,519
there there haven't been oaths to defend the constitution right

556
00:28:46,559 --> 00:28:52,759
always in corporate America. These you wouldn't find these charges

557
00:28:52,759 --> 00:28:55,359
on credit card statements. People be fired. You know, you

558
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:58,119
were talking about Microsoft, and there's actually a guy know,

559
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,000
uh who on the story you said, a guy I

560
00:29:02,039 --> 00:29:03,720
know for a company around here that went to a

561
00:29:03,759 --> 00:29:06,039
casino one night, well, cash out of the ATM at

562
00:29:06,039 --> 00:29:07,799
the casino, and got fired the.

563
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 1: Next day with this corporate card.

564
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, with this corporate card. And that's this goes again

565
00:29:12,079 --> 00:29:14,359
to what I was talking about, which is not only

566
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,960
is their waste that not only is there incredible amounts

567
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,319
of waste in the government, but I mean they're way

568
00:29:19,519 --> 00:29:24,279
behind even just normal baseline corporate America standards. That's why

569
00:29:24,279 --> 00:29:29,119
it's so ridiculous watching these complaints and these moronic media

570
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:31,960
members that are like You're sitting there listening to these

571
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:36,160
moronic media members give these like concerning interviews, and I

572
00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:37,839
want to like jump through the TV and look at

573
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:39,680
the person and go, hey, what would happen to your

574
00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:42,599
job if you did the same thing? Exactly. You'd be gone,

575
00:29:42,799 --> 00:29:45,160
what are we talking about? This is ridiculous.

576
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,359
Speaker 1: It goes, it goes to culture. And I've I've had

577
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:49,920
some complaints about Microsoft culture in the past. I talked

578
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:53,519
about when my boss tried to, you know, put write

579
00:29:53,559 --> 00:29:55,359
me up for refusing to sit in a room while

580
00:29:55,599 --> 00:29:59,680
there were girls and women who came in to provide

581
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:02,400
sec and they're you know, taking cocaine and stuff. And

582
00:30:02,799 --> 00:30:04,519
that was one thing. But there was another guy, and

583
00:30:04,559 --> 00:30:07,519
this was this was Microsoft looking out for us and shareholders.

584
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:10,720
I was in New York at an industry event and

585
00:30:11,119 --> 00:30:13,559
things got crazy and I don't A. I don't drink.

586
00:30:13,599 --> 00:30:16,000
B I certainly don't drink at work events. And he

587
00:30:16,079 --> 00:30:19,240
got pretty lit. He's pretty senior, pretty high up, and

588
00:30:19,319 --> 00:30:21,119
so then he's doing things like asking some of the

589
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,240
women if they might do a table dance for him,

590
00:30:24,599 --> 00:30:26,680
and a lot of us are going, I bet that's

591
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:28,599
not going to work because the lady who organized this

592
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:33,079
event is a lady. Then he decided to go and

593
00:30:33,319 --> 00:30:36,000
go ahead and pay for taking some of the fellers

594
00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:40,880
to a so called gentleman's club, a strip club, and

595
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:43,160
he kind of maxed out his card that night. So

596
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:45,200
what I heard later is he said, well, I'll put

597
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:46,799
it in the Microsoft card. I'll pay it off. They

598
00:30:46,839 --> 00:30:50,160
won't even notice it. So the story goes like this,

599
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:52,720
About two o'clock in the morning, he's in his hotel room.

600
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:58,519
He gets a phone call and wakes up. Yeah, you're fined. Wow,

601
00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:01,400
And they had a fraud alert. This is the sorts

602
00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:03,920
of businesses. Our cards don't go in. So that's what

603
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:06,960
you're saying. The government could have had this. Now that's fraud.

604
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,480
But I want to get into something of a more

605
00:31:09,519 --> 00:31:14,920
serious conversation that a guy Geiger Capital Markets, Economics, politics

606
00:31:15,039 --> 00:31:19,960
rip Paul Volker personal views not investment advice, posted and

607
00:31:20,039 --> 00:31:23,519
he wrote this, holy blank, and Lada fed is now

608
00:31:23,559 --> 00:31:28,079
predicted projecting that Q one GDP will be minus one

609
00:31:28,119 --> 00:31:30,759
point five percent, a contraction. Last week it was plus

610
00:31:30,799 --> 00:31:33,160
two point three. Four weeks ago it was plus three

611
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:38,720
point nine. And he tracks this and is blaming government

612
00:31:38,839 --> 00:31:41,960
spending and the cuts and spending on this. Elon Musk

613
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:43,799
responded to this, and I'll share with you what Elon

614
00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,559
said in the second. Then we'll hear what Zach Abraham,

615
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,599
chief investment officer for W Capital, says. They're going through

616
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,039
all of this big business, big fraud. Remember that you

617
00:31:51,079 --> 00:31:53,000
have a choice in something you're going to use for

618
00:31:53,039 --> 00:31:55,359
the rest of your entire life, unless you decide to

619
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:58,319
be disgusting hippie, and in that case, get out of

620
00:31:58,319 --> 00:32:02,039
here with your stick. Your body stink makes me sick.

621
00:32:03,599 --> 00:32:06,160
Alan Soaps is an alternative to the big soap companies

622
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:09,119
who make their products probably with Chinese slave labor. But

623
00:32:09,279 --> 00:32:11,920
on the positive side, it's excellent soap. It's world class.

624
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:13,839
It's made by a family of three generations of soap

625
00:32:13,839 --> 00:32:17,720
making expertise. And that's all good. But here's the great part.

626
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:21,880
You're employing young people who were well in line for abortion.

627
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:24,720
Because that's what the world would have done to Alan.

628
00:32:25,279 --> 00:32:28,440
It's whatether they would have done to Ian and late

629
00:32:28,519 --> 00:32:32,559
on set autism happened to Amy, and literally people said

630
00:32:32,759 --> 00:32:35,440
to Amy's parents, well, looks like she can't work. Here's

631
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:39,000
a good institution. She is working, and she works fruitfully.

632
00:32:39,279 --> 00:32:41,839
All these things add up into try it. If the

633
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:44,240
soap is not world class, they're not a charity. They

634
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,920
don't want charity money. They want to work. They want

635
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:49,440
their kids to work. They want Amy to work. If

636
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:51,319
it's the greatest soap you've ever tried keep buying it

637
00:32:51,359 --> 00:32:54,079
Alan soaps, dot Com slash todd. So here's how Elon

638
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:56,440
Musk responded to this. He wrote, and this sounds like you,

639
00:32:56,559 --> 00:32:59,920
Zach Abraham. A more accurate measure of GDP in a

640
00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:03,720
America would exclude government spending. Otherwise, you can scale GDP

641
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:06,599
artificially high by spending money on things that don't make

642
00:33:06,599 --> 00:33:09,319
people's lives better. For example, you could shift everyone who's

643
00:33:09,319 --> 00:33:12,119
building cars to working at the DMV. That would result

644
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:14,440
in no cars and a much worse standard of living,

645
00:33:14,599 --> 00:33:17,400
but GDP would appear to be the same. That's a

646
00:33:17,519 --> 00:33:19,640
really good way to say that. That reminds me of

647
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:22,680
something you've said. So government spending is a friend to.

648
00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:26,359
Speaker 3: Charts, Yeah, one hundred percent because it adds to GDP.

649
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:28,119
But like must points.

650
00:33:27,839 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 4: Out, it's there's no value, like, there's no value add right,

651
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:37,880
because you're extracting that money from productive activities yep.

652
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:41,839
Speaker 3: And then you're recirculing that money into the definition of

653
00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:45,240
non productive activities. Right, So you can even make your

654
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,359
GDP go up, right, I mean, I mean you could

655
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:50,880
make it look like it's going up drastically just off

656
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:55,240
government spending. So what did he say about, First of all,

657
00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,240
the GDP now cast that the Atlanta Fed does is

658
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:01,920
probably one of the most accurate out there. The second

659
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,359
of all, it's he's not even under seat, like I'm

660
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:07,680
shocked at that guy's a job in economics, because that's

661
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,960
that is not what the GDP now cast is forecasting.

662
00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:15,880
It is taking a snapshot right now at this moment.

663
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:20,800
If these trends continue on this trajectory, it will add

664
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:23,800
up to a negative. So now that number has actually

665
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:25,880
gone it to negative two and a half. Okay, but

666
00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:27,400
like he points out, a week and a half ago

667
00:34:27,559 --> 00:34:30,039
was two and a half. So it's been very accurate,

668
00:34:30,079 --> 00:34:32,519
but it is also very noisy. Over the short run,

669
00:34:32,679 --> 00:34:37,880
a B Outside of COVID, this economy has now gone

670
00:34:38,039 --> 00:34:41,119
the longest period of time in our history, and it's

671
00:34:41,199 --> 00:34:44,000
not close. I want to say, it's about previous records,

672
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:46,840
like nine years you're looking at coming up on sixteen

673
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:49,920
years of not being in a recession. Okay, when you

674
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:55,400
see the orgy of government spending that has occurred post COVID, Okay,

675
00:34:55,440 --> 00:35:00,159
the minute you started normalizing spending, right, it's like it's

676
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:02,960
it'd be like a like a think of a seven

677
00:35:03,039 --> 00:35:06,239
forty seven getting up to altitude, it hits thirty three thousand,

678
00:35:06,559 --> 00:35:08,679
kind of settles back down at thirty two thousand, it

679
00:35:08,679 --> 00:35:12,519
begins cruising. Right. Well, that's what I to us. That

680
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:14,760
kind of looks what the economy is doing right now.

681
00:35:15,079 --> 00:35:17,079
And they're sitting there going, oh, they're going to cause

682
00:35:17,079 --> 00:35:20,679
a recession. We're like, look, the plane wasn't going to

683
00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,679
eighty thousand feet man, right, It's got to level off

684
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,199
at some point, hope. Yeah, And if you're pulling back

685
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:29,440
on any reins of government spending, it might show up

686
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:33,079
as a quasi recession. Yeah, okay, but you've got household

687
00:35:33,119 --> 00:35:35,599
net worth a record haze. The other side of it, too,

688
00:35:35,679 --> 00:35:38,360
is when you're talking about the level of spending that

689
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:42,800
he's pulling back the reins on if it's accompanied with

690
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:46,719
regulation cuts. But my point is this, what is going

691
00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:51,119
on underneath the surface in the underlying economy will either

692
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:56,039
make that will determine it, right, like the meaning if

693
00:35:56,119 --> 00:36:00,960
we're going into recession, which to his point, pretty much

694
00:36:01,039 --> 00:36:03,960
every single economic indicator we've been watching over the last

695
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:07,000
three to four weeks is moving down and moving down

696
00:36:07,039 --> 00:36:10,360
at a fairly quick pace. Okay, so, but but like

697
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:15,760
I said, I wouldn't say nearing recession at this point.

698
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:20,679
What I would say is that I would say more

699
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:24,119
indicators are pointed south at this point than at any

700
00:36:24,159 --> 00:36:28,239
time over the last three years. Okay, So, for for instance,

701
00:36:28,519 --> 00:36:31,320
let's go to like pending homes, pending home sales. You've

702
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:35,119
got less homes for sale and less home transactions happening

703
00:36:35,199 --> 00:36:40,639
right now than at any time in history, including including

704
00:36:40,679 --> 00:36:45,719
the financial crisis. Okay. Now you look at then you

705
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,400
flip over and look at where construction jobs are right now.

706
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:53,079
Construction jobs tend to be the number one leading indicator

707
00:36:53,599 --> 00:36:57,679
of a recession. Okay, You've got record employment in construction jobs,

708
00:36:57,719 --> 00:37:01,559
and you've got the housing market it standstill. My guess

709
00:37:01,679 --> 00:37:04,119
is those construction numbers are gonna fall. Okay. You just

710
00:37:04,159 --> 00:37:07,360
got a manufacturing survey from the Dallas Fed not good

711
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,360
at all. Okay, Now they're going to try to put

712
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,639
all this on Trump's plate at some point. Remember when

713
00:37:13,679 --> 00:37:16,039
we talked about when interest rates were gonna go up

714
00:37:16,519 --> 00:37:18,880
and we were expecting recession by the end of twenty

715
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:22,960
twenty three beginning of twenty twenty four. Okay, those same

716
00:37:23,079 --> 00:37:27,880
rules apply, meaning you cannot get the Kia GDP pop

717
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:31,880
we've had with the absolute delusion government spending, and when

718
00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:36,400
that normalizes, it's really hard to imagine you not dropping

719
00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:39,480
down one or two thousand feet, right, yep, leveling off

720
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:43,199
that drop will look like a recession. Okay, but are

721
00:37:43,199 --> 00:37:45,920
you going to see seven percent unemployment? I don't see that.

722
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:50,079
You know, you're still got record like I said, record

723
00:37:50,079 --> 00:37:53,360
household wealth. I don't see that really going away. But

724
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:55,400
this is something else that we've been saying is look,

725
00:37:55,519 --> 00:37:58,119
regardless of what you think about Trump and the economy,

726
00:37:58,599 --> 00:38:00,800
one of the biggest drivers of this market and this

727
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:03,480
financial system here in the United States has been the

728
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:08,039
fact that we've been the only real major economy because

729
00:38:08,079 --> 00:38:11,280
we are the world's reserve currency that has been printing

730
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:14,280
to the extent that we have over the last fifteen years. Now,

731
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:16,559
there's been some innovation too, but one of the biggest

732
00:38:16,639 --> 00:38:18,760
drivers that's been so much different than our market in

733
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:21,239
the rest of the world is that massive amount of

734
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:24,119
liquidity that was continually being injected by the FED with

735
00:38:24,199 --> 00:38:27,719
the world reserve currency. Okay, now you've got countries like

736
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:31,840
China and Germany announcing a very aggressive fiscal policy. When

737
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:34,440
you look at these the stock markets around the world.

738
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:38,000
They're just now breaking through levels that they peaked at

739
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:42,599
in seven and eight. Okay, you're looking at US markets

740
00:38:42,679 --> 00:38:45,760
trading at a record valuation compared to the rest of

741
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:49,480
the world right now. This is why we're guys. I

742
00:38:49,519 --> 00:38:52,760
love what Trump is doing. Okay, But one of the

743
00:38:52,840 --> 00:38:55,000
easiest trades I've seen in a long time, and one

744
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:57,440
of the biggestbay or opportunities Todd that I've seen in

745
00:38:57,480 --> 00:38:59,960
my career, is the opportunity that you have right now

746
00:39:00,079 --> 00:39:03,079
now with international assets as opposed to US.

747
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:05,760
Speaker 1: Okay, I want you to explain this because this is

748
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:07,519
going to freak people out. I can already feel it.

749
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:11,519
I'm sorry to be rude, but no, okay, I'm Zachs

750
00:39:11,559 --> 00:39:13,360
can explain this in a second. I'm going to remind

751
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,159
you that next week is Saint Patrick's Day. It's the seventeenth.

752
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:19,239
If you weren't paying attention on your screen for watching

753
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:21,840
the video version of this, you're going to see the

754
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:24,639
beautiful bag that's been created by Tim Krukshank, the founder

755
00:39:24,639 --> 00:39:27,239
and CEO Bonefrog Coffee, that is in fact the Celtic

756
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:30,480
Cross and it does obviously honor the Lord Jesus first

757
00:39:30,519 --> 00:39:32,519
and foremost, after all, it's across in which he died

758
00:39:32,639 --> 00:39:36,159
as appropreciation of payment for our debt are sins, and

759
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:38,480
Tim of course is a man of God. Every bag

760
00:39:38,519 --> 00:39:41,559
says God Country Team on it. It also honors the

761
00:39:41,559 --> 00:39:44,679
fighting heritage of the Irish people in that culture. Tim

762
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:47,519
loves his Celtic culture, so he had this roast created

763
00:39:47,559 --> 00:39:51,039
specifically for Saint Patrick's Day. He had the bag designed

764
00:39:51,039 --> 00:39:54,000
specifically for Saint Patrick's Day. You can read about this

765
00:39:54,119 --> 00:39:56,960
bag and the story and more about Tim's Celtic heritage.

766
00:39:57,159 --> 00:40:00,360
You go to Bonefrogcoffee dot com slash Todd by this

767
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:03,199
special roast, get the special bag, use it for Saint

768
00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:05,320
Patrick's Day. If you know people are really into their

769
00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:08,400
Celtic Irish heritage, buy it for them. You'll save ten

770
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:11,360
percent on the first purchase, fifteen percent off subscription coffee,

771
00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:15,159
Bonefrog Coffee dot com, slash Todd. So Zach, this is

772
00:40:15,199 --> 00:40:17,280
the part that's going to freak people out. So Zach

773
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:20,320
the patriot, Zach loves. What Trump is doing is saying

774
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:23,880
international assets. Guys, So you got to explain that to

775
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:26,000
people before everybody runs out of the room shrinking.

776
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:31,039
Speaker 3: Okay, right, So guys, first, of all financial markets are

777
00:40:31,079 --> 00:40:33,800
like think of Teeter Totter's okay, and they work the

778
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,360
best when most of the money is concentrated in the

779
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:39,519
middle and the teacher Tartter is balanced. Okay. What you're

780
00:40:39,559 --> 00:40:42,239
seeing right now is one side of the Teeter Totter

781
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,719
is lower and one side is higher than it has

782
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:49,360
ever been in recorded financial history. The United States economy

783
00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:53,719
makes up fifteen percent of global economic activity or GDPAY,

784
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:58,360
yet our stock market accounts for seventy percent of global

785
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:03,360
stock market capitalization. That is a record. Okay. So you've

786
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,480
got a scenario here in the United States where people

787
00:41:05,519 --> 00:41:10,800
are paying ridiculous prices for you, for US assets, and

788
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:13,960
you look in now, not all of them, but internationally,

789
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:19,159
we are finding some of the most ridiculously priced, great assets,

790
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,679
great companies, And you know, it's one of the it's

791
00:41:21,679 --> 00:41:23,440
early in the year, but it's one of the reasons

792
00:41:23,519 --> 00:41:25,320
we're up five percent on the year in the stock

793
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:28,079
market's negative right now. It's early in the year, a

794
00:41:28,119 --> 00:41:32,559
lot to go. But right now, when we're looking at

795
00:41:32,559 --> 00:41:35,960
these international names and so much remember these think just

796
00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:39,280
think about this. These stock markets are at levels they

797
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:43,440
were at in two thousand and seven. Okay. Meanwhile, our

798
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,760
stock market is four and a half x that level. Okay,

799
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:52,280
those countries are now announcing aggressive fiscal stimulus, like Germany,

800
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:56,039
like China. Guys, one of the biggest drivers of US

801
00:41:56,079 --> 00:41:59,079
markets over the last ten years has been the inflow

802
00:41:59,119 --> 00:42:01,719
of outside capital from the rest of the world. Okay,

803
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:07,039
when you start talking about China and European governments like

804
00:42:07,159 --> 00:42:12,480
Germany announcing not only stimulus but fiscal Okay, what made

805
00:42:12,559 --> 00:42:16,800
our economy go ballistic during COVID It was fiscal stimulus,

806
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:20,519
not monetary fiscal meaning money was actually getting put into

807
00:42:20,519 --> 00:42:23,719
people's hands. That is happening in Germany, that is happening

808
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,519
in China. Their stock markets are trading it like one

809
00:42:26,679 --> 00:42:30,840
fourth or one fifth evaluation of ours. And so you're

810
00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:33,920
looking at this scenario where the teeter totter's got to

811
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:38,199
tip back. And we're not saying that US markets are

812
00:42:38,199 --> 00:42:42,119
about ready to collapse. But in investing, Buffett talks about

813
00:42:42,119 --> 00:42:46,280
this all the time. Usually investing is hard, sometimes it's easy.

814
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:50,039
Sometimes there are layoups. Right, this is one of those

815
00:42:50,079 --> 00:42:54,400
times where these are layups. You're buying companies at valuations

816
00:42:54,440 --> 00:42:57,400
and prices where you're sitting there going, look, I don't

817
00:42:57,440 --> 00:42:59,519
know if this is gonna win or not. But I

818
00:42:59,639 --> 00:43:02,639
can't figure out if this company is around five years

819
00:43:02,639 --> 00:43:04,920
from now, I can't figure out how I'm not sitting

820
00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:09,599
on a double okay, and we've got our portfolio. I

821
00:43:09,639 --> 00:43:11,920
mean it is a It's a shooting fish in a barrel,

822
00:43:12,199 --> 00:43:15,159
it really is. The problem is is that in investing,

823
00:43:15,199 --> 00:43:17,599
all too often people want to do what's hard. The

824
00:43:17,639 --> 00:43:19,280
equivalent of that I use the other day, and I'll

825
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:21,360
finish this up real quick with the analogy I use

826
00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:23,360
the other day. It's like a guy, a Carnival Barker,

827
00:43:23,679 --> 00:43:25,760
standing out there and he's saying, all right, I'm gonna

828
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,760
pay a million bucks whoever's willing to step in the ring,

829
00:43:29,079 --> 00:43:31,159
but you got to fight one of two guys either way,

830
00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:33,079
if you win or lose, whatever it is. If you

831
00:43:33,119 --> 00:43:35,039
get in the ring and you're willing to fight this guy,

832
00:43:35,519 --> 00:43:37,719
you're gonna get a million bucks. You're like, Okay, well,

833
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:40,079
who are the two guys I have picked from. They're like, well,

834
00:43:40,199 --> 00:43:43,159
on one side, Mike Tyson and now on the other side,

835
00:43:43,159 --> 00:43:46,000
Steve Rkle, Right, who do you want to fight? And

836
00:43:46,039 --> 00:43:50,199
I'm like, give me the stever right now. US investors

837
00:43:50,199 --> 00:43:52,599
are saying no, no, no, no, give me Tyson, And I'm

838
00:43:52,599 --> 00:43:56,320
looking at him, going, uh okay, I'll take Steve all

839
00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:58,280
day long. You can have Iron Mike all you want,

840
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:00,480
right I no, no, I I'm going to make a

841
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:03,119
million dollars too. I just know for a fact I'm

842
00:44:03,119 --> 00:44:05,880
not coming out of here with CTE right right or

843
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:10,320
alive here right and right now. In US investors, in

844
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,800
my opinion, are making this way too hard when you're

845
00:44:13,800 --> 00:44:17,239
buying single pe stocks that are growing at solid double digits,

846
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:19,280
that are trading at a discount to book value and

847
00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:21,280
paying you seven or eight percent dividends to sit there

848
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:25,159
and wait. Back up the truck, baby.

849
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:26,800
Speaker 1: I got it. That's a solid explanation. Appreciate that. And

850
00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:29,000
Zach and I are going to be together. We have

851
00:44:29,079 --> 00:44:30,599
to figure out a date and you and I actually

852
00:44:30,639 --> 00:44:32,800
have to put together a phone call to figure out

853
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:35,719
a date in June. And I'm just giving people heads up.

854
00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:37,639
Zach and I going to do shows in part of ourself.

855
00:44:37,639 --> 00:44:39,840
We're going to hang out. We want you to come.

856
00:44:40,119 --> 00:44:42,280
We're going to do this reefly new dot Healthcare. At

857
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:45,400
this point, please get in line. If you're thinking about

858
00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:49,840
treatment for the stem cell, treatment for carpal tunnel, for arthritis,

859
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:53,599
traumatic brain injury, to avoid surgery, to recover from surgery.

860
00:44:54,119 --> 00:44:56,440
Please get in line now, because last time, there are

861
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:59,000
a bunch of people who wanted to be there while

862
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:00,719
we were down there, and they couldn't make it. They

863
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,280
went and got treatment. Praise God. I'm glad they did that,

864
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:06,239
and I'm glad it worked for a business partner. But

865
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:08,639
you have to make sure you get your treatment approved

866
00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:10,280
so you can be down there together. I look forward

867
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:13,320
to that. Zach, thanks for Wise counsel day, and say

868
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:14,400
hi to your beloved family.

869
00:45:15,079 --> 00:45:16,199
Speaker 3: I will thanks for having me.

870
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:18,639
Speaker 1: And this is a Todd Herman show. Remember we do

871
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:21,679
seek wise counsel. God tells us to do that. Now,

872
00:45:21,679 --> 00:45:24,920
please go be well, be strong, be kind, and don't

873
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:27,480
make an effort. I mean, just walk in the light

874
00:45:27,559 --> 00:45:33,480
of Christ. Like Zach said, choose the easy way.

