Speaker 1: One.
Speaker 2: Welcome back one of the props and parlays. I'm your host,
Andy Lang, being joined as always by my fellow prop
betting expert Andrew mcguinnis. We've got two games to break down,
Buccaneers Lions. We got Texans at Seahawks. Andrew, Happy Monday.
How was your weekend, sir?
Speaker 1: Happy Monday, Andy, It was an okay weekend.
Speaker 3: You know, we hit some of the smaller plays, but
when you lose a five percent play, you're never happy.
So I'm kind of entering Monday and bounce back mode.
Super excited though. Got a four percent play up in
the NFL for props on a fifteen and six prop
run in the NFL, so.
Speaker 1: You love to have that. But got this bitter taste.
Speaker 3: In my mouth right now coming off a five percent play,
so full transparency. Not the best weekend, but we're ready
to bounce back. How about yourself? That UFC card man
talk about people get mad about early stoppages, how about
not a stoppage at all?
Speaker 2: Well, listen, you and I had mirror images of each other.
I lost my big play, but you know five and
four with NFL props, that's a seventeen and ten runs,
So we're seeing NFL really good. Just yeah, hey, everyone
in this industry, does you lose your five percent? Best
bet you're in a bad mood. So you can win
all the small ones you want, but if you don't
win the big one, that's that's the really, really disappointing one. Yeah, yeah,
we'll talk to UFC off air. We got props to
break down here. Let's go into it with Buccaneers at
the Lions. Great game on paper, absolutely fantastic game. You
do wish you were getting the full Mike Evans, Chris
Godwin and Buka. You wish you were getting all those
guys healthy. But what are you gonna do? So let's
talk this game out. Props wise spreads minus four and
a half over unders fifty two and a half. It's
a big, big number, and I get it. These are
two really good offenses. Let's start with passing props. I
will go over the first one. I really like Golf
over his passing yards tonight. I continue to watch a
lot of Buccaneers games, and their rush defense is just
a lot better than their pass defense. That's how you
get the Buccaneers is you can pass on him. He
averages over three hundred and ten yards in three games
against Tampa. So Golf has had a lot of success.
And then Tampa's a top five rush defense and a
bottom eleven pass defense, So this isn't that hard. We're
gonna target Golf. I'm gonna target a mon Ross, Saint Brown.
I'm gonna look at Laporter for touchdowns. I'm gonna look
a lot of these receiving props. Not to say Gibbs
and Montgomery aren't, you know, really good, But this is
the easiest game plan. This is the easiest attack. So
I'm gonna go with Golf over two sixty and a
half and then rinse and repeat. Baker Mayfield over one
and a half passing touchdowns. He's gone over in five
out of the last six games. The Lions have given
up thirteen passing touchdowns. This is getting pretty juicy, Andrew.
This is up around the minus one seventy. So if
you don't like laying juice, then you know, lay off
of it, or if you're a parlay player, put it
in the same game parlay or parlay. It was something
that you like tonight or later on the week. But
goff over his yards and Baker Mayfield over his passing touchdowns.
What do you like passing wise in this game?
Speaker 3: It's pretty much always hard to argue anybody off that
passing touchdowns prop for Baker Mayfield, that's for sure.
Speaker 1: Andy.
Speaker 3: Look, I mean when you're looking at this depth chart
right now for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, it's it's tough
to look at. You know, we're here doing a prop
show and you're wondering, Hey, where's this guy, where's that guy?
Speaker 1: What's the deal here with him?
Speaker 3: So when you look at Baker Mayfield, you know, overall, Andy,
he's had a ton more success with the passing yards
than he has with the completions. Entering this game against
the Lions, though, I'm going to transition from the passing
yards to the completions.
Speaker 1: You know, we saw him two.
Speaker 3: Hundred and fifty six yards in the last time out
three seventy nine, the game before that two eighty nine.
But when you look at this matchup, I feel like
the short yardage chunk plays, kind of the ten yard slants,
those are going to be the plays that Baker Mayfield
and the Buccaneers capitalize against this Lions team the most.
So because of that reason, I like the over twenty
one and a half completions for him. You know, the
attempt numbers haven't been anything off the page by any means.
But I think in substituting a lot of rushing numbers,
we're gonna see just kind of like the running backs
and even some of the receivers just be used in
these short yardage plays. So I think this is an
opportunity to look at the depth Jarret and say, hey, look,
maybe the passing yards isn't the option for us tonight,
but maybe he's going to pass the ball a ton
just in very very short yardages.
Speaker 1: And I think that's the move here.
Speaker 3: Looking at Golf, I think that his longest pass completion
is something to look at. This Stampa Bay team seems
to give up at least one or two big bombs
per week, and Golf, with that offensive line holding him down,
and with the play calling that's so aggressive that we
see on the Lions, wouldn't pass. Wouldn't shock me whatsoever
to see a couple of deep plays go to him,
and with a Monra and some of these really talented receivers,
we know what they're doing over there with the Lions.
But looking at the injury report here, Andy, I just
think that that the Buccaneers completions is probably the move
here for Baker. Simply just don't think that it's going
to be one or two plays that end up getting
him over the passing yards. It'll be a ton of
passes to get him over that number.
Speaker 2: If he gets over it, Yeah, hard to argue with that.
I think you and I are both pretty heavy on
pass props. So just real quickly, when we're talking about
these props, we have to go through all the different categories.
We're not betting all of these plays, So the purpose
of the show is listen, if you if you've liked
a prop before and you get agreement from us, go
for it. These are plays for your own bank role
and your own stake. We're not betting. All of these
artificial plays are up at wager talk dot com, So
just a little disclaimer there. Let's go to receiving. I
already said I liked the Monroe Saint Brown and the
six and a half receptions is a big number. Who
cares five games in a row over seven receptions? And
I think this sets up for a massive game for
him tonight. I could see him getting open quite a
few times for some long play. I think this is
in a Manra Saint Brown type of game. And even
though six and a half is big, I can't argue
with the streak of going over five games in a
row and then Rashad White over his receiving total. I
got this at twenty and a half at time of
recording this. Since becoming the start, he's at twenty one
and twenty nine. And again, if you like Baker, you
like Baker's yards, you like Baker's completions. Rashad White's probably
going to be a big source of that. He's their
best receiving back. So a Manra and Rashad White a
couple pass catchers, I'll be targeting. What about you?
Speaker 3: Look, Annie, this is there's sometimes I come on the
show and I'm like, ah, you know you don't want
to take the obvious guy. I'm completely sold with you
on a Monro Saint Brown. I mean, this is gonna
be a big game for him. I think I'm you
could even look at some alt lines. The targets have
been there for him. But even more so, he has
been a really, really good bounce back player as far
as fantasy and as far as props wise thrown his
entire career.
Speaker 1: Really, coming off a game, he.
Speaker 3: Won't really be too happy about just forty five yards
there and a handful of targets that I think that
he probably could have done him a lot more with.
You know, forty five yards on ten targets is not
really up to his standards by any means.
Speaker 1: We've seen him have some unbelievable games.
Speaker 3: But I think that again, you talked about the receptions,
and I'm completely there with you on this one. I
think that this is the type of play where you
want to look at the high volume. You want to
look at just a number of times he's going to
be targeted, a number.
Speaker 1: Of times they're going to look towards him.
Speaker 3: He very well could get that yardage number, but I
think the receptions is the way to look at it.
Speaker 1: Which one was I like him here.
Speaker 3: I do like the rushing plus receiving for Jamier Gibbs.
And I know that you know me and you always
do we talk about it now or do we talk
about with the rushing? But I just think that, first
of all, I think it's going to be really important
after a tough outing last week for this Lions team.
They're going to want to establish the run, so I
do think he's gonna get the rushing yards, but the
spots that he catches the ball, those short yardage plays
kind of over the top or to the side, I
should say, that's where this actual defense is struggling for
the Bucks in the receiving position, and overall they haven't
been a great receiving team in the last handful of weeks.
I feel like the over with rushing plus receiving is
a solid look. Ninety two and a half to the
over rushing plus receiving hasn't gotten this in last two
games against Casey and Cincy, but before that he had
ninety seven, ninety nine and one oh four, And I
think if he can get even we'll call it three
or four targets. Maybe three targets should get the job
done for us. With that one, there was one more
I wanted to throw back at you, which was Tes Johnson.
I mean, unbelievable back to back weeks for him, forty
five yards and sixty one yards.
Speaker 1: I still think that.
Speaker 3: You look towards the rushing receiving for him as well,
because he's actually gonna get the couple options on the ground,
and you know, you get one or two options on
the ground, it could help you boost it up a
little bit. And we got to just expol is this
s depth chart right now for the Bucks because they're
so banged up. It's like a hospital over in that team,
and you need to find other options to uh, you know,
to take advantage of.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's tough. I mean I'm looking at in Buka.
He's just a flat out game time decision. So we're
not gonna know anything about his status until a little
bit before. So apologize for that that we can't give
you an exact, exact, you know, way to place play
him or or anybody else receiving wise, you know, Mike
Evans and some of those other guys. But I do
like that tes. Look, he's looked pretty good in Baker,
So sus Baker has the smallest amount of confidence in you,
like you're in Like Baker is probably the most loyal
quarterback in the league' I would guess, yeah, let's move
to rushing props. I only have one, and I can't
say it's super strong, but David Montgomery under eleven and
a half rush attempts, He's gone under in four out
of six games this season and three games versus Tampa.
He hasn't He hasn't gone over this at all. So
again passing, I agree that Jamira Gibbs is the way
to go, not David Montgomery. It's it's not been a
great David Montgomery year. He's had a couple of you know,
real stinkers. So not sure what's going on there. I mean,
Dan Campbell and the staff love him, but I guess
when you got Jamira Gibbs, it's kind of hard to
kind of hard to go with anybody else. But I'll
go David Montgomery gets maybe to nine, maybe ten carries,
but I can't see him getting over eleven and a half.
Any rushing props you like.
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be a good Rashad White game.
I feel like he's gonna be This is gonna be
an absolute workhorse. This guy's gonna have to have an
oxygen mask on when he's on the bench because he's
gonna be doing so much in both the receiving and
the rushing game. So I feel like he gets opportunities.
I feel like, as much as I like the completions
prop there for Baker, he's got to mix it in
with the rushing, So I do think he gets utilized there.
And how about get Goff under because that guy, I.
Speaker 1: Mean, it reminds me.
Speaker 3: It reminds me of the the Tom Brady days. I mean,
this guy would be a half a yard or a
couple of yards. You know, you're not seeing that high
of numbers ever with Goff. And if they do win
the game, you're losing a few yards on the kneels
and things like that as well. So that's kind of
what I look at. But I like your lean there.
You know, Andy, we used to back in the day
on the show, we used to talk a lot about
the second option running backs. It feels like with some
teams like Detroit, there's almost like the number is too
high for those second option running backs, where you know,
they want us to think it's going to be more
of a spread out workload, but I'm with you, I
don't think it really is going to be.
Speaker 2: Let's move on to any time touchdowns again. These are
just these lines have just gotten worse and worse and
worse on some of these Like what somebody from Tennessee
scored a touchdown yesterday and they put on the graphic
it was like six to one, and I was like,
I have never heard of that human being. I have
never heard of that person in my life. How is
that person six to one to score? It should be
twenty to one on some of these. So these touchdown props,
these prices are just they're just laughing. But we still
talk about it. If I got to pick one, it's
Laporta plus one fifty, big body inside the red zone.
I love that he didn't have touchdowns earlier in the year,
but he has now won in two straight games and
Bucks have given up thirteen receiving touchdowns, So Laporta could
be a nice target once they get inside the red zone.
Other than that, not really too interested, which sucks because
at a total of fifty two and a half, there's
gonna be touchdown scores. It's just trying to pick the
right one and what's the right price. Any that you like?
Speaker 3: Well, if I'm look, if I'm so high volume on
Rashad White, I feel like whether it's receiving or rushing,
I feel like he could he definitely finds the end zone.
But I talked about this guy a few moments ago.
He's plus four hundred for any time touchdown, and you
know first touchdown twenty eight to one Tesz Johnson.
Speaker 1: That's gonna be a little crinkle for me.
Speaker 3: That is, like you talk about game time decision, this
is the ultimate depth chart finds the ultimate You look
at the depth shart, you're figuring out who's going to
be picking up the slack for their other teammates. And
I feel like he's the guy right now you're scrolling
down the list. You can't find him. You've got guys
on the list right now that are in the minus
two hundreds. When you got a plus four hundred here,
that might be very much so moving his way up
as far as the target share is concerned. So plus
four hundred, Andy, I don't mind that. And as you mentioned,
some of these prices are getting so ridiculous on And
you know what's funny too, is that you know you
talk about it's not that you parlay, it's what you parlay.
Speaker 1: I like that you say that.
Speaker 3: And with hockey, I've been doing different stuff where it's
like player point like same gamers, like these two guys
on the same line. And you know the worst part
is some books are actually catching onto that and they
won't let you correlate to guys that are on the
power play and different things together. But when you look
at some of these, you know, parlays people are putting
out there these days. I get it if someone has
a really good track record and they're doing super well,
but like, how upset would you be if you had
a really really good day today prop betting wise and
Gibbs just somehow didn't find the end zone and you
bet him like minus two ten to score, Like you
could say, oh, yeah, you know what, just to finish
out my parlay, I'm going to toss Gibbs on there
and somebody could tell me the opposite. Don't get me wrong,
someone could fight the good fight and tell me the opposite,
but that would be a real shitty way to lose
your parlay.
Speaker 1: Just from where I'm.
Speaker 2: Sitting, Yeah, I've the only touchdown props we played this
year is Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown. Somehow we've
managed to pick him right in every game, even though
somehow we laid off when he didn't score, which is
a miracle. So we're probably taking our probably taking our
ball and going home after that, that lucky thing. We're
gonna do a same game parlay here in a bit
real quick Andrew, tell over what you have of for
clients at wage.
Speaker 3: You talk one play and one play only in the
NFL fifteen and six NFL prop run, And as you
talked about the start of the show, Andy, it's not
just one, but two good opportunities tonight. So you know
you're going through all kinds of props and you look
at the bord You're like, man, I really want to
have a lot of plays tonight. Nope, just one, you know,
the fifteen and six run. We try and be selective.
Pick my favorite one. You guys can get that over
at wagertalk dot com. It is a four percent play.
It's my best bet of the day. And as far
as hockey got off to a real, real good start
to the season, still number one in hockey here this
regular season. But we had a bad Saturday, so looking
to bounce back and get back on track and it
will be one four percent best bet up on Monday.
So super excited. And I'll tell you what, Andy, Some
people say to me that don't understand the betting industry
or what I.
Speaker 1: Tell people what I do?
Speaker 3: They ask, do you ever get blinded by your teams,
and I'll tell you I wish I'd been releasing the
Blue Jays more. I have to shut out the sweater
because they're Game seven right now and hopefully one went
away from the World Series, and I haven't taken the
Blue Jays once all playoffs long. So I honestly think,
I don't know if you've ever heard this, I think
that my team negatively impacts me, like I am, like,
I'm like pessimistic about my own teams, Like I know
some people that are like always on their own teams.
Speaker 1: For me, I'm just like, nah, I don't know how
I feel about it.
Speaker 3: So as far as the baseball, I'm off, but we're
in action tonight in hockey and in football.
Speaker 2: I am. The season I'm having with the Colts is
for some reason, I still don't believe in them, and
I have no reason to not too. They've been incredible.
Daniel Jones is literally playing like an MVP. Jonathan Taylor's
probably the favorite for offensive player right now. Every time
he plays a bad day, he brushes for three touchdowns.
And yet I'm still like.
Speaker 4: They got to prove it to me when you're talking
about I don't know why I can't mentally get over
the huddle that my team is a hurdle, that my
team is good.
Speaker 2: Uh, but I'll get there. My problem is as soon
as I get there, they'll rip off three straight losses
and I'll be like, see told Jim.
Speaker 1: So's I knew.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's fun. My college went from a basketball school
to a football school in one year. My mate and
up as Colts football team went from we we drafted
a complete bust for quarterback, and yet now we've somehow
found our franchise quarterback. It's very, very strange.
Speaker 3: Hey, you've been pretty sassy on Twitter these days. I've
been seeing you.
Speaker 1: But the whole football school thing, I like it. I
like it. You're getting fired up.
Speaker 2: It's not sassy, it's just stunt. I can't, I just can't.
I can't explain to people how insane it is that,
I you went from a basketball school to a football school,
you would have just never you would have five percent
of that at minus ten thousand, No way, no way.
So I only had one play up as well, Andrew.
We're five and four this week, so I would love
to get this win tonight, move to six and four.
I still don't know why. We're seeing primetime games as
good as we are, but we're now eight and one.
We hit Thursday, we hit last night, like like primetime games.
It doesn't make any sense, but we're well in primetime game.
So if it ain't broke, don't fix it. We have
one play tonight. Absolutely love it. This is a play
that's hit every single game this player has played this season.
So we're riding the streak. Invite you to join us
and profit off of Monday night football. Here, let's do
the same game parlay. These are fun. These are a
lot of fun. We've come very close to hitting one
this year, we have not gotten across the finish line.
So let's go for it this week. I'm gonna start
with a guy that we both like. I'm gonna take
a Monroue Saint Brown to have one hundred plus receiving yards.
Pretty surprised. This is around the plus one ninety mark
here on DraftKings. He's done it only twice this year.
But again, this is a top five, top six rush defense,
and a bottom eleven, So I'm just kind of a
big believer that this is a big Monroe Saint Brown game,
and I know that's not breaking news like, oh wow, Wow,
he's picking one of the best receivers. But I really
do think this could be an incredible game where the
allt lines come into play. So one hundred plus yards
from Monroe site Brown, what's your first leg?
Speaker 3: Well, since you gave that, Andy, I'm gonna counter with
an aut line the opposite and we'll go Baker Mayfield
two hundred and twenty plus passing yards. You gotta start
it with a good number, so I'll go the other way.
We'll play a little bit safer with that one.
Speaker 2: All right, two twenty. What's fun about this is you
get to give your next leg because you took mine.
I was gonna do a worker, I was gonna do
a Baker yard So yeah, give me your segue. I
gotta find another one here, all right?
Speaker 3: For my next one here, you know what I'll do
is we're gonna go over to receptions and we're gonna
take Rashad White four plus receptions. I just feel like
I like the completions for Baker, and I feel like
whether it's in the rushing game or it's in the
short yardage receiving game, I think Rashad White has a
big part of this game here today on Monday. So
that's not really a huge plus money, not like an
autline or anything like that. We're just taking my shaw
White four plus receptions here on the night. And I
love these correlated stuff here, right, and we do it
all the time here on the show. I like the
completions for Baker. We're taking the running back on receptions.
It think works pretty well together.
Speaker 2: I guess one of the questions that I have is
how good is this Detroit Lions defense. I mean, they
just gave up thirty to Cincinnati, twenty four since ten
to Cleveland, thirty to Baltimore. They're winning these games, but
they're giving them up. I'm gonna go with a Buccaneers
team total. I'm gonna take their over twenty six and
a half at plus one forty two. I think this
is a shootout. I mean, if if you're telling me
this over unders fifty two and a half, I think
I can get four touchdowns from Tampa or three scores
and a couple of field goals, so it gets us
to nine to one here. So going over this, we've
got a monro Saint Brown one hundred plus receiving yards,
yet Baker feet Baker at Mayfield two hundred and twenty
plus passing yards, Rashad White four plus receptions, and the
Buccaneers over twenty six and a half on the team total,
and that pretty brings it to nine to one. Pretty good,
pretty good? Uh so job graphics department always on top
of it.
Speaker 3: And you mentioned that total in the team total as well,
Like there's got to be some opportunities for touchdown scores
like we're talking about, like there's some decent prices out there.
You look at the Bucks, you look at the depth
chart like there's some you know that four to one
on test, like that's talking about your.
Speaker 1: Team total there. I like it even more, you know,
you taking that team total?
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely so. I mean they even listed in at
Buka as a touchdown score even though he's a game
time decision. So if you guys could hit the like
button while you're watching this, if you're enjoying the content,
we appreciate it. Leave a comment below, tell us your
favorite prop. Tell us what props you agree disagree with tonight.
If you've got the same game parlay, go ahead and
put that in the chat as well. And we move
on to the Texans at the Seahawks. I have a
strong opinion on this game, Andrew. I am not a
believer in this Houston Texans team, and I am a
believer in the Seahawks. In my Pick five mega contest
on bet Online, I'm two and two this week and
my last play is actually Seattle. I have high hopes
for Seattle this week. So coming to you first, what's
your take on passing props in this one? Sam Donold's
look really good. CJ. Stroud's been a little bit hit
or miss when you.
Speaker 3: Like, yeah, I mean you talked about your take on
the game here. I think Houston's going to be down.
I feel like they're going to have to pass it
quite a bit. We've seen the passing defensive statistics be
either twenty sixth or twenty seventh for the Seahawks team,
depending on the statistics you're looking at.
Speaker 1: I like CJ.
Speaker 3: Stroud here, Andy, this is a guy averaging seventy percent
completion rate. Here, he's give or take twenty nine passing
attempts per game, coming off of two hundred and forty
four yard performance two hundred and thirty three before that.
I locked in two hundred and twenty four and a half.
Speaker 1: I feel like this is a game where they're gonna
have to pass the ball.
Speaker 3: They're gonna be in positions where they have to answer,
and Seattle has been weirdly impressive in some games, especially
when they've been able to stay healthy. So CJ. Stroud's
my guy here. I don't think the run game is
too utilized, and I feel like CJ. Stroud is passing
the ball a ton.
Speaker 1: We've seen.
Speaker 3: What's funny about this, We've seen his attempts. They started
off super high, and then we've seen them kind of
just level off and be pretty consistent. When you look
at some quarterbacks there are attempts are a little bit
more of like a different up and down pattern.
Speaker 1: Here with CJ.
Speaker 3: Stroud, it's been very stagnant, so obviously the results are
gonna be a little bit different. The attempts don't necessarily
equate to yards every time, but it is interesting as
a prop better to look at those attempts and see
how consistent they are, because it lets you know that
you're pretty confident no matter what really to score is,
you know what you're going to get andy, which is
kind of cool. I mean, the last three or four
games have been all different scorers for Houston games, and
he's had pretty much the same number of attempts in
all of those games.
Speaker 2: I had CJ. Stroud over his passing yards written down
as number one. I agree with you completely on this.
The Seahawks secondary on paper, they're good, but they are
banged up. In the last two games, they've given up
some pretty big yards to quarterbacks. And yeah, if I
like the Texans to be down, I think they're think
they're going to be passing And got a good one
for you, Sam Donald over thirty five and a half
on his longest completion. He's done this in every single
game this season. I went and looked in the Texans,
believe or not, they've got a good defense, you know,
that's the strong point of their team. They've given up
a pass over this in four out of the last
five games. There's only been one year and they played
teams like the Titans that you know like they have
not played like the elite passing team. So I like
Darnald over his longest completion. I like c J. Stroud
over his passing yards. I think it's a two twenty
six and a half this morning, but I still think
that's incredibly low. So let's go to receiving props. I
got a wild one for AJ Barner over one and
a half receptions. Yes, yes, we're going with AJ Barner. Listen,
he's kind of emerged out of nowhere, three seven and
three the last three weeks, first three games of the
season only four combined. But for whatever reason, he's being
targeted and the Texans give up four point four receptions
per game to tight ends. This could be a really
really sneaky one. Impress your friends and give out AJ
Barner today over over your group text, let them know
what you think. And then I.
Speaker 1: Actually love that. I actually love that. You're like, hey,
if you want to really throw somebody off.
Speaker 3: Guard that you're hanging out with, just give him this.
Speaker 2: Bet got a big one for tonight.
Speaker 1: Oh is it?
Speaker 2: Jackson Smith and jig Aman Raight, No, AJ Barner, let's go.
Speaker 3: I feel like we all have that friend too, Like
I've got a buddy that, like I literally have no
clue what he's going to tell me that he's on.
It kind of makes it a lot more interesting at least.
Speaker 2: And these are the props that hit. I'm sorry, these
are just the weird ones that hit like Barner gets
gets one early and then one of the second quarter
in your kickback relaxing, what do you like receiving props.
Speaker 1: Wise, I'm going to go with.
Speaker 3: And Jigma under his receiving guards here in this one.
I feel like this is going to be more of
a spread out of offense. I think with the success
that he's had as of late Andy and we've seen
him just have such high volume, that the market is
starting to catch up a little bit to him, you know.
And I think he's a guy that's become so popular
for everybody to take every single game. But when I
look at this depth chart for the Seahawks, there are
a ton of guys, a ton of opportunities, a ton
of other guys to hit. Not to mention Cooper Cup there,
I know it's not the same he once was. I
think like the market is tried starting to catch up
a little bit. So current number we've got here for
this one is eighty eight and a half. It was
ninety and a half, so it has slipped down. I'm
still comfortable at that here, but I feel like this
is a game where Seattle wins with how do I
say this, with a team effort collective, a lot of
the guys. I don't think it's one guy that's just
you know, getting the bulk of the work.
Speaker 1: Here.
Speaker 2: I gotta tell you, I'm looking at an article. AJ
Barner talks about what he's learning from Cooper Cup. Oh,
I love this. He loved this, taking him under his wing.
I see something in you, kid. Let's do this. Caught
one hundred percent of his targets the last three weeks. Incredible.
Speaker 1: All right, you'll love the mentorship, you love the mentor, Yes,
I do.
Speaker 2: Let's do rushing props. This one's gross. Nick Chubb over
thirty six and a half rushing It's it just seems
too low. He's getting nine or more carries in every game. Which,
first off, I'm so happy for Nick Chubb. I thought
like we may never see him in the NFL again, Like,
how many devastating knee injuries can you come back from.
He's at eleven and thirteen rush attempts the last two games,
and he's had thirty eight plus rushing yards in every
single game. This is a good defense, so I certainly
wouldn't make this a big play. But Nick Chubb by
hooker Byck Crook he's getting over this total, He's getting
the carries. They just can't get away from him. He's
you know, so Nick Chubb over his rushing. Can't say
it's my most favorite on the board. You got any
rushing props you like?
Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, look the chart on Nick Chubb.
Speaker 3: But if you're based, if you if you're just like
even like a trend's guy, or just looking at production,
it's unbelievable. I was talking about buying or selling high,
you know on a jigbo. Well, this to me is
almost like buying low on Chubb. And it's still hitting
at a really good number there. So I couldn't talk
anybody off that.
Speaker 1: Look.
Speaker 3: I did talk about c J. Stroud and liking his
is his arm today and liking the passing yards, but
it doesn't make me think he's not going to be
able to run the ball as well.
Speaker 1: And the funny thing.
Speaker 3: Is about him is that with some quarterbacks, you you
really are like, okay. In order for him to hit
this prop, I'm gonna need a couple attempts. I'm gonna
need not just one scramble that can get you there. Well,
in his last game, he had one rushing attempt that
resulted in thirty yards. Andy, you know, I love quarterbacks
that are capable of doing that because they when you
look at the number here and you're seeing that it's
seventeen and a half, you're you're.
Speaker 1: Not worried that maybe you only need one or two.
Speaker 3: So the attempts before that last game, which obviously you're
not hoping to just get one, four, four, four, five,
six and six, he's getting his opportunities. You're talking about
seventeen and a half yards averaging you know, four or
five rushing attempts per game in those games twenty seven,
thirty two, forty two, and he specifically does better on
the road. Looking at some of these these trends as well,
so it's it's so weird, you know, some of some
people don't take those stuff into account. And more and
more I am with props than I ever have, Andy,
I used to think some of this stuff was stupid,
But when you look at a guy on the road
versus at home and certain things, and I've been looking
at it a lot in the NHL as well, and
with the NHL there's the last change and stuff. But
like here's a good example, Like at home, it didn't
hit back to back in the road. It hit back
to back at home. It didn't hit like it doesn't
make any sense really, Maybe play scheme that the you
know the teams they're playing, of course, but whatever it
might be, it sounds like I need to order a CJ.
Stroud jersey after this show because I'm in on him tonight.
Speaker 2: There are worst quarterbacks you can have a jersey for,
so I mean, listen, I live in Indianapolis. There are
a lot of Anthony Richardson erseys jersey sitting in the
back of closets right now.
Speaker 3: So I bet you never thought you'd see Daniel Jones
jerseys walking around there though, like I didn't.
Speaker 2: I didn't think he would be this good. But I
will say, as soon as we picked him up, my
friends and I all said he's probably gonna be starting
for us. Like that's how bad Anthony Richardson's health has been.
That's how bad. I mean. This is a man that
was hurt pregame when a resistance band broke and hit
him in the face and broke his orbital I'm not
saying you're fragile, but how can you take on middle
linebackers when a resistance span takes you out. So it's
just been it's it's it's been pleasant surprise because this
never happens. Like, seriously, what has a quarterback been horrible
for another team and all of a sudden they're just
amazing on a new team.
Speaker 3: It's no offense to Daniel Jones. But you know what,
you know what the Colts needed. They they just needed
like mediocrity. They needed like an average like and this
isn't like a no offense.
Speaker 2: Town compliment that.
Speaker 3: They needed someone that's not going to try and do
too much really like he does what he does, like
he's not gonna scramble around and fumble the ball. He's
not gonna go for a sixty yard bomb downfield if
it's not there. He just kind of makes the safe play.
And there's a lot of talented players on that Colts team,
so all you need to do is put the ball
in their hands.
Speaker 2: You know, It's it's a very funny statement. All they
needed was someone to be mediocre. But it's like hand
the ball to Jonathan Taylor, throw it to Tyler Warren,
then throw it to Michael Pittman, rinse and repeat.
Speaker 1: So thanks for the backup. Thanks for the backup.
Speaker 2: That's what I mean, Yes, absolutely absolutely, all right, that's
gonna do it for us, guys. Good looking on all
your props. Andrew, once again, tell her and what you
have up for everyone tonight?
Speaker 1: Yeah, Andy looked fired up.
Speaker 3: Just one play, one play only as two games you
and I are having a lot of fun with these
two games, but just one play. Fifteen and six NFL
Prop run. It was hard to choose from the one
I liked, but this one stood out four percent best
bet for me in the NFL. Cannot wait for tonight,
and of course hockey is always there and we're in
bounce back mode. Love being in bounced back mode. We're motivated,
been working on tonight's card. Can't wait to get back
on track. And Andy, despite just two games, just one play
for you as well, Right, yep.
Speaker 2: Just one play, it's all I really need. Going for
a sixty percent week in NFL props, I've told everyone
my goal is fifty eight to fifty nine percent. That's
what I want to finish the year at. We're doing good.
We're about fifty six percent, so I would love to
tick that up. Great week of football, Dan and I
advanced in survivor. Thank you very much to the Chiefs
and the Patriots. So it's been a pretty decent weekend.
Pretty decent weekend. Don't have a whole lot to complain about,
but very very excited to cash tonight in NFL with
my one prop. We're on an eight to one prime
time props run. After cashing on Thursday and on Sunday,
leave a comment in the comment section tell us what
you like. Thank you so much, guys, Good luck on
all your plays tonight. We'll see everyone next week. Take care,