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Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we always start this show by

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being transparent, and yesterday was a good day for myself overall.

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I know I went five and two. Trying to think

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about all of the winners. I know the losers were

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two first half bets. I made the under first half

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minus nine and a half was very annoying, and Spurs

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first half. Those were the two losers, and I'm just

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looking really quick for the winners. Pacers plus four and

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a half was a winner. Heat minus six what was it?

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Heat minus six and a half and the under in

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that game were both winners. The Lakers minus six and

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a half, I got the early number that was a winner,

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and I did take the Seahawks. I think that's five

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right there. Five and two. Overall, I was a little

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disappointed because I have a list right in front of me. Robi,

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you know that six games long, they all won and

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I did not add to any of them. But it's

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a winning day. Hopefully you had a good day as well.

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Speaker 2: I did. It was three and one yesterday. The only

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loser was the hook in the Seattle game. I got

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to the party way too late. Laid one and a half.

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Seattle wins by one. That was the loss. Otherwise, college

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football was good with Arkansas State last night, minus the

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one they get there NBA. I had Rockets team total

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over one twenty two and a half, got the overtime,

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got there pretty easily, and I had Nicks pacers over

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to twenty six, which just skimmed by and got the

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two twenty seven. And of course the best bet I

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left here on the show yesterday. Just play it right,

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Nuggets team total over. They get there again last night.

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They're like a one twenty five machine. Crank them up

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and let them hit the floor.

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Speaker 1: Set it and forget it. Nuggets gonna score one twenty two,

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no doubt. All right, let's get to it. Five NBA games.

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We will start at Heat and Celtics and movement. It

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keeps moving. I guess maybe we have some injury stuff.

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I guess I should refresh as far as that's concerned.

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But open six and a half, I just saw seven

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and a half. Now I'm seeing six and a half

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or seven total keeps moving all around to it did

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open two thirty three and a half. I'll call it

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two thirty one right now. As far as the injury

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report and let me actually yes refresh. Willigains is questionable,

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Heroes out, Yovich, Larson both out, Davion Mitchell is probable

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for Boston. Looks like everybody is available. This is the

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second of a back to back for this Heat team,

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you know, but they did have some rest before that, right,

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I mean, I don't think they should be too exhausted.

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I don't think that was too hard of a game

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yesterday either. The Celtics team has three days rest and

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Celtics coming off back to back. Law. I don't know

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if you remember Rob, you know, but I kept saying,

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you know, I'm expecting some regression as far as it's

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shooting from the Celtics, and we got it a little

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bit with their last two games. Now you know, they've

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had another three days off. I don't know. I feel

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like we can see some kind of rust still, and

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you know, I don't know. I know the heater focused

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on playing defense. That makes me want to bit under.

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You know, the markets pushed it down a little bit,

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but I think we're going to continue to get a

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good defensive effort from the Miami Heat regardless of anything else.

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And I lean towards the Heat because they're not satisfied

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after just winning one game. They were on a five

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game losing streak. They were embarrassed, and you know, to

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start the year they look like a top team almost

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now they're playing almost looking looking out like. I think

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the Heat have a lot to play for. I don't

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think the Heat will be rusty because they just play yesterday.

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Maybe he'd early, but I do think Heat plus six

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and a half is a pilling as well. How do

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you view this one?

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Speaker 2: Be No, yeah, because the scheduling spot was the first

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thing I looked at this morning. Skin. It does favor

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Boston obviously, three days rest off, back to back losses,

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you're eager to get back out on the floor. It's

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a home game, et cetera. And Miami in the second

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of back to back says today, I talked about there

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was a theory I read a couple of times that

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potentially Miami had just turned from a turtle type pace

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to a greyhound type pace too quickly, and they ran

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too hard the first quarter of the season, And when

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will they get their their legs back underneath them? Bam

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out of Biyo calling out the defense, et cetera. Et cetera.

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So now we'll see them out a back to back.

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We'll see if they start scoring again here tonight. Boston

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in all likelihood should be ready for this game. However,

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jumping up to seven and a half now, I would

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have to say that's mostly due to the injury report

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that you just because that's the way NBA lines move.

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Speaker 1: Coming back down now though I even see six is

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still coming, so.

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Speaker 2: Maybe we get something else in managery report. The way

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these things bounce at this time of day, I didn't

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play it. I would have a slight lean towards Boston

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because I think that the rest advantage does help them here.

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The regression, they were like what they were, like nine

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and one or something crazy against the spread. They run

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that really big run and then came back to earth

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a little bit. We'll see what happens here. But I

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did have a slight lean towards Boston early. Did not

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play the game.

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Speaker 1: Hate or nothing for me and under and oh and

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I'm sorry I looked at the wrong game. No. Six

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is six and a half and sevens my bad on

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that fake news. Yeah yeah, yeah, my fault. I still

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ain't heat. I still ain't heat. I might get there

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with the heat and the under honestly, but I am

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going to get there with one or the other one,

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if not the other. I mean, all right, six Ers

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and Knicks opened up five, looks like six or six

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and a half for New York. Total has not moved

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very much. Knicks on a back to back now, I mean,

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damn Spot gets worse and worse for them each game.

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Huh won the Cup at the fly to Indiana, Now

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got to fly to New York on the back to

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back heart probable Towns probable McBride and Shammitt out. I

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mean it's just a Spot versus recent performance, I mean

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versus season long. Knicks have been great at home. This

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is one of those games where it's just it's too

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much going on. I think for me to bet this one. Robie,

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know anything from you on six Ers and Knicks.

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Speaker 2: Well, very much. Unlike Steve Kerr, who we talked about yesterday,

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Mike Brown actually set this back to back up fairly

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nice by resting Towns in heart last night, so you're

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gonna get them at full full strength here. They didn't

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go in that game to combine with the rest, so

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maybe New York Spot won't be as bad fatigue wise

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as it could be coming back from winning the Cup.

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On Tuesday, we talked about it fly to Indiana. I

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think we both agreed Indiana was a live dog. Last night.

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You hit on it. I got there with the total,

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So I think the Knicks will probably be okay. The

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minutes last night Brunson and Ananobi thirty four each. It's

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not overly excessive for them. It was a tight game, though,

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so that those minutes were more taxing than just your

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normal minutes because they had to still win that ballgame.

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And I think it was Brunson who won it. But

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I don't know that the spot would be that bad.

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The question is, is Kim Philadelphia take advantage Tyrese Maxie

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back into the lineup he had been missing for a while.

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I don't know about or I didn't hear you say

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whether or not embiid is gonna play embid it come up.

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Speaker 1: I think he just got listed up out okay, uh

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and beat it is out. He beat out Oubray out,

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Whafford out.

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Speaker 2: Whenever he's out. It just picks up the pace for Philadelphia.

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And I know the Knicks are slow, but I'll say

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it again. I say it all the time. They're slow,

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but they're efficient. They should score on Philadelphia's defense, and

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Philly will try to run at the Knicks who are

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in this back to back situation. So it could be

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a possible overplay for me. No firm decision yet, but

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I'll be looking toward over in that contest.

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Speaker 1: Nick, Philly makes sense. I can understand that for sure.

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Bulls and Caves, we just saw this the other day.

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Now we have Kaves minus seven with a total of

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two forty and a half. I was about to say

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Davion Mitchell, Donovan Mitchell questionable, Merrill out, mobile out, nance out,

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Scruce out, Bulls, Collins probable, dissum probable, trade Jones was probable.

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I mean it just it's the same thing for me.

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I can't lay with this Cavs team. They stink and

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until they figure out or make some trades, do something,

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I'm just I'm not interested in laying with them right now.

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As bad as the Bulls have been, they still were

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able to, you know, do what they need to do

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versus the Calves. I think they can do it again.

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Just really just fade of the Cavaliers. Not that I

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don't want to fade the Bulls. But if the Bulls

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are laying seven, hey, look a look at the Cavaliers.

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But the Calves are the ones laying the points tonight.

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So it'll be Bulls. And if I was doing the

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proper it'll be Jalen Tyson. Again he's in the starting lineup.

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I mean, it worked out just like we talked about,

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either his his props over points, points, rebounds, and I'm

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not sure if you'll get the same numbers since it's

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known he's off the bench now, but his unders if

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you know anything from you here on bulls and casts.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel basically the same way Ski. I think

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I would isolate Chicago team total. There's not going to

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be a lot of defense in this game. Chicago got

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the like one twenty seventy other night at home here there,

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their number is one sixteen and a half. You're asking

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them to get the one seventeen against the Cavs team

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that plays no defense. I'll just add one thing here

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real quick, because it was in my notes and then

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you said it. You said, unless they make some trades

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or something, and all of a sudden you see all

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these things circulating. I mean, the Calves GM comes out

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yesterday and says everybody's available other than Donovan Mitchell and

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Evan Mobley. Otherwise they're the two untouchables. And the article

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went on to say that they've been fielding calls for

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their players for like the last two and a half weeks.

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So I don't know what's going on there, but it's

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not great. You can't bet on them because we don't

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know what's going on there. All we know is what

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we see as far as ats wins and losses are concerned,

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and it's just not good right now for Cleveland. So

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for me, if there's one thing Chicago does, it's scored

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the basketball fairly decently. I think if I were to play,

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I'd look at over one sixteen and a half thirteen total.

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Speaker 1: All right, I can get with that. Spurs and Hawks.

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This one open minus two for San Antonio looks like

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three or three and a half. Toto came down from

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two forty one, looks like as low as two thirty

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eight and a half. You have poor zingis out, Trey

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hung out for the Spurs. I don't see anybody on

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the injury report, at least not yet. The Spurs are

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on Odante also out for the Hawks. The Spurs also

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are on the back to back, so you could get

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people throughout the day. And you know, I'm thinking Winby's

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not gonna play here, honestly. I mean, he just came back.

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He's on a man's limit. Why is he gonna play

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in the back to back? He could, but that's just

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my line of thinking. And if he doesn't play, well,

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we know how that affects the Spurs defense and the Hawks.

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I like how he've been playing lately as far as

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like sharing the ball, and just like though they had

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been playing on offense has been really good. Whether it's

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Trey Young in or out, I don't really care. I

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think they'll be able to score. And when both teams

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are unrested like this, I feel like that affects the

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defense more than the offense. So I disagree with the

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market pushing it down like this one over. You know,

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what do you think here?

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Speaker 2: And again it probably gets pushed down due to Trey Young? Right,

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he probably wouldn't going back to backs tonight. Right. I

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don't know if you had him listed as out or not,

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but it was it was crazy last night. Right, Charlotte

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makes eighteen threes in the first half. They scored eighty

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points against this team, and Atlanta scored sixty nine themselves,

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and so that first half was absolutely nuts. I don't know,

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you know it. Generally my thought would be Ski, that's

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embarrassing to give up eighty and a half, to give

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up eighteen threes in one half, it's just embarrassing, and

237
00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:00,519
you would bounce back with a good defense effort. But

238
00:13:01,399 --> 00:13:03,600
I don't know that I've seen enough defensively out of

239
00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,440
the Hawks. I do agree totally with what you said

240
00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:08,639
about the way the Hawks play offense even without Trey,

241
00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:11,360
because they got used to playing without Trey and still

242
00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,879
played pretty good offense last night. He had ten assists,

243
00:13:13,919 --> 00:13:17,000
but those numbers can be made up for, and if,

244
00:13:17,039 --> 00:13:19,440
in fact, when Minyama didn't go, I'd really be on

245
00:13:19,519 --> 00:13:23,039
over here because the number will get pushed down even further.

246
00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,000
If he doesn't go, it won't be two thirty eight

247
00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:26,600
and a half anymore. It'll be two thirty four and

248
00:13:26,639 --> 00:13:29,200
a half or whatever, however hard they hit it. So

249
00:13:29,639 --> 00:13:33,279
I'm gonna wait it out and see because San Antonio

250
00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:36,080
obviously has scoring threats on that side. If I had

251
00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:41,120
any belief that Atlanta could take what happened to them

252
00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:45,159
last week and respond defensively. I might not be looking over,

253
00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,039
but I don't know that they're capable of it. I

254
00:13:47,039 --> 00:13:49,039
really don't haven't shown us that, even though I thought

255
00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:52,399
to have some good defensive players. Dyson Daniels must feel

256
00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:54,279
like he's on an island out there by himself.

257
00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:59,759
Speaker 1: Yeah. I don't think we're gonna see too much defense tonight, honestly.

258
00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:03,840
And who knows. Maybe those guys want to go out

259
00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:06,399
there and you know, say we were winning before Tray

260
00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:08,480
showed up. Let's go out there and show when we

261
00:14:08,519 --> 00:14:11,200
can win again. Get blown out when this guy comes

262
00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:17,000
back in. We'll see how that one shakes out. Okay

263
00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:20,240
see and uh, Timberwolves opened up eight and a half

264
00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:25,480
looks like seven now or okay see, total went up

265
00:14:25,519 --> 00:14:28,919
from two twenty nine at two thirty three or two

266
00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:31,759
thirty three and a half. Let me switch over to

267
00:14:31,799 --> 00:14:39,840
these injuries. Clark questionable and questionable, No, Conley Hartenstein actually probable.

268
00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:48,240
Jalen Williams not. J Dove is questionable. This one is

269
00:14:48,879 --> 00:14:50,240
is a little bit tough for me. Robin know, I'm

270
00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,879
gonna just pass this one of you first here looked

271
00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:58,639
under and uh and Wolves.

272
00:14:56,559 --> 00:14:59,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can see where you were probably frustrated with

273
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:01,919
the first first half ticket last night, Ski, because that

274
00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:06,879
third quarter here Oklahoma City did what Oklahoma City does.

275
00:15:06,919 --> 00:15:09,279
I'm watching that game last night. In the third quarter,

276
00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:13,120
they're up five and San Antonio just excuse me. The

277
00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:16,519
Clippers had just gotten back to back buckets, and then

278
00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,159
three and a half minutes later they're up by twenty three.

279
00:15:19,519 --> 00:15:21,879
It's like they just hit them with a sledgehammer, and

280
00:15:21,919 --> 00:15:23,879
that was the end of the game. Right then and there.

281
00:15:23,919 --> 00:15:25,759
By the time the third quarter ended, you knew it

282
00:15:25,799 --> 00:15:29,679
was finished business. They outscored the Clippers seventy six to

283
00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,960
fifty in the second and third quarters, win by twenty six.

284
00:15:33,039 --> 00:15:36,320
So I guess moral of the story is, we just

285
00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:39,399
don't know when the OKC explosions are gonna come. Even

286
00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:43,600
though first half their numbers, their margin plus minus is

287
00:15:43,639 --> 00:15:45,720
really good. Last night, it happened to come in the

288
00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:49,840
third quarter. They could probably do the same to Minnesota

289
00:15:49,919 --> 00:15:52,440
if they wanted to. However, I think I saw Anthony

290
00:15:52,639 --> 00:15:56,080
Edwards was that shoot around this morning. Whether or not

291
00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:59,519
ant plays might make a difference here to how I

292
00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,519
think having Hertenstein back for Oklahoma City is huge where

293
00:16:03,919 --> 00:16:06,039
rim protection is concerned because when they have chet Ann

294
00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:09,720
Hartenstein on the floor in the same game, it's pretty

295
00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,039
tough duo. I don't really have a good way to

296
00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:14,360
look at it as of yet, Ski, but I would

297
00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:20,679
think that Oklahoma City again, they just they're so deep

298
00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:22,399
they don't tire. I don't know that we could treat

299
00:16:22,399 --> 00:16:23,879
I don't know what their back to back record is.

300
00:16:23,919 --> 00:16:26,279
I didn't look it up this morning, but back to

301
00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:28,559
backs don't seem to phase that team whatsoever.

302
00:16:29,279 --> 00:16:32,480
Speaker 1: They're actually one in three ats on a back to back.

303
00:16:32,679 --> 00:16:34,480
Not to say that they don't win. I mean, obviously

304
00:16:34,519 --> 00:16:35,679
we know they can win, it's just.

305
00:16:37,879 --> 00:16:40,279
Speaker 2: There's a low number for them. Two seven. They're usually

306
00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:44,879
laying fourteen and a half twelve eighteen one thing.

307
00:16:44,919 --> 00:16:48,879
Speaker 1: I can't ignore her. I mean, I feel like this

308
00:16:48,919 --> 00:16:52,519
could be one where you know, you you miss a

309
00:16:52,519 --> 00:16:55,919
bet one time. Sometimes there's just that wrong day you

310
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:58,039
gotta bet it again. I feel like this could be

311
00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:00,200
one of those days. Rob. You know where that Okaye,

312
00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:03,279
first half, you've got to go back to it. You're

313
00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:08,400
getting a discount because it's the back to back. Okay,

314
00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:10,319
see first half on the back to back. I had

315
00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:12,799
it right here. Let's see there are two and two.

316
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:19,000
Nothing crazy, but I mean they've looking at the Timberwolves.

317
00:17:19,519 --> 00:17:21,799
They've been slow started for a while now. I mean

318
00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:26,240
they've covered one of their last ten first half. It's

319
00:17:26,279 --> 00:17:29,720
another one where I mean, just I don't know why

320
00:17:29,759 --> 00:17:32,799
I can't remember the Timberwolves. They played the Grizzlies on

321
00:17:32,799 --> 00:17:36,240
the seventeenth. Okay, yeah, I just I think I could

322
00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:40,119
absolutely see another slow start from the Timberwolves. The first

323
00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:44,799
half is four, could even three and a half. At

324
00:17:44,839 --> 00:17:48,160
a couple of shops, it's like the cheapest Okay, see

325
00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:49,319
first half, you'll see.

326
00:17:49,839 --> 00:17:51,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, you don't see that hardly.

327
00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,400
Speaker 1: Ever, I don't know if you know, I feel like

328
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,000
I might have to go back one more time.

329
00:18:00,039 --> 00:18:02,599
Speaker 2: I tell you, I'm the king of that. I will

330
00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:04,960
bang my head into the brick wall until I right.

331
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:08,680
I'm telling you right now. So I totally admire that.

332
00:18:08,799 --> 00:18:10,839
And isn't it crazy? I'm just thinking in my head,

333
00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:14,480
not that there's any substance to it at all. I'm

334
00:18:14,519 --> 00:18:17,400
just saying this as a matter of fact. Is it

335
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,039
a Minnesota thing? Remember how the Links would always be

336
00:18:20,079 --> 00:18:22,319
slow starters in the first half like the Laks for

337
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,119
a second half team It's like in Minnesota, they don't

338
00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:26,519
wake up until the second half.

339
00:18:27,279 --> 00:18:29,440
Speaker 1: That is a that is a good, good call out.

340
00:18:29,559 --> 00:18:34,319
The Links were definitely second half team. That's the NBA,

341
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,599
you know. So I like we did a pretty good job.

342
00:18:38,559 --> 00:18:42,359
Oh times eleven fourteen. I guess we have a little

343
00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:43,839
bit of time. We can talk a little bit of

344
00:18:43,839 --> 00:18:51,880
football here. Let's see what we got well, I mean

345
00:18:52,279 --> 00:18:54,440
we usually do, you know, we usually do every week.

346
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:58,119
I guess we'll just we'll look for that start. You

347
00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:04,079
have Charters and Dallas. Dallas minus two and a half

348
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:08,640
was an opener. It looks like two you know, let

349
00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:13,079
me ask you. Just just refresh my mind right here. Dallas,

350
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:16,480
they made a trade and they have a solid defensive line.

351
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:19,960
Speaker 2: Now right, personnel wise, they do yes.

352
00:19:22,799 --> 00:19:27,119
Speaker 1: Chargers offensive line, you know how I always talk about them.

353
00:19:27,559 --> 00:19:31,839
They cannot pass protect, they can run block? Are they

354
00:19:31,839 --> 00:19:34,160
going to be able to run on this Cowboys team?

355
00:19:34,519 --> 00:19:39,200
Cowboys pretty much, you know, all but eliminated. Chargers pretty

356
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:40,880
much have made the playoffs. I guess they still could

357
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:45,400
win the division. But to see this line Cowboys as

358
00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:48,160
a favorite, I feel like it's pretty telling. And I

359
00:19:48,279 --> 00:19:54,359
just think that I think that the Cowboys. I think

360
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:56,799
that their offense can have success against the Chargers defense,

361
00:19:57,319 --> 00:20:00,200
and I just wonder how well the offensive line going

362
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:02,759
to hold up for the Chargers in this one. I

363
00:20:02,759 --> 00:20:05,359
would not bet the Chargers. It'll be Dallas or nothing

364
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:08,000
for me. What do you think? You know?

365
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, where Dallas is concerned, they'll know their fate right

366
00:20:11,599 --> 00:20:15,240
Philly plays the day before. If Philadelphia beach Washington, Dallas

367
00:20:15,319 --> 00:20:18,480
is done. They can't make the playoffs. If Philadelphia loses,

368
00:20:19,519 --> 00:20:21,519
then maybe you get a little bit more of a

369
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:27,480
inklink to play the Dallas side. I don't think it's

370
00:20:27,519 --> 00:20:30,960
gonna matter Ski whether Philadelphia wins or loses. I think

371
00:20:31,039 --> 00:20:33,359
Dallas is gonna go all out in this game at

372
00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,400
home against LA And I kind of agree with you

373
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:40,119
and the fact that as solid as the Chargers defense is,

374
00:20:41,079 --> 00:20:45,480
Dallas basically can move the ball on anybody when they're right,

375
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:47,319
and they're pretty much right at this point in time.

376
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:51,279
The offensive line is real good. George Pickens has not

377
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:55,000
been the same since cdee Lamb came back, Little Moody,

378
00:20:55,079 --> 00:20:57,279
He's not getting the ball as much, et cetera. But

379
00:20:57,319 --> 00:20:59,640
I still think they can move it. And I don't

380
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,920
know how the Chargers. Honestly, I don't know how they

381
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:05,599
do it. Justin Herbert, every time I look up the

382
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:07,960
last two weeks, is absolutely running for his life. Yet

383
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:14,200
they win games. They can run the football. Vidal and

384
00:21:14,599 --> 00:21:17,400
Amari and Hampton have been pretty good at running the football.

385
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:19,759
Even though Dallas has improved in that area, I think

386
00:21:19,799 --> 00:21:22,279
they might be able to start there. And maybe just

387
00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:24,960
in Herbert's hand, it's been like three weeks now, maybe

388
00:21:25,039 --> 00:21:27,039
that left hand is in a little bit better shape

389
00:21:27,039 --> 00:21:30,960
at this point in time, Dallas's defense still doesn't strike

390
00:21:31,039 --> 00:21:33,319
me as one that can stop anybody. I might look

391
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:35,000
toward the over in that one. It's kind of a

392
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,599
low price where Dallas is concerned. Forty nine and a

393
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:41,079
half Chargers should be able to score points in that game.

394
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,519
We'll see. But as for the side, I just don't

395
00:21:46,559 --> 00:21:49,240
believe that the Philadelphia result is going to affect how

396
00:21:49,319 --> 00:21:52,400
Dallas plays either way. I think they're going to go

397
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,000
all out in this one. It's not their season. I

398
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,519
don't know if it's their season home finale or not,

399
00:21:59,039 --> 00:22:00,759
but I think there's a bad taste in their mouth

400
00:22:00,759 --> 00:22:02,680
from last week losing on this field.

401
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 1: I would I would be on the Cowboys, and then

402
00:22:07,519 --> 00:22:12,240
we have your Broncos and the Jaguars. I mean, he's

403
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,200
gonna keep he keeps getting me. Man, bo Nicks got

404
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:21,799
away with another fast one. I'm just I want to

405
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:25,279
I'm not a believer. I'm not a believer. Then I

406
00:22:25,319 --> 00:22:28,079
say that, and I don't really like jackson and Trevor

407
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:31,799
Lawrence either. But you get another low spread here. I mean,

408
00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:33,440
I guess it did go to three and a half.

409
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:38,359
It went through the key number, right, is it Denver

410
00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,119
team total overtime? Rovin or what are you doing with

411
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:42,200
this one?

412
00:22:42,519 --> 00:22:45,880
Speaker 2: Well? The problem for me with Jacksonville, it seems like

413
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:49,680
Jacksonville is a runaway bandwagon this week. And we both

414
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:53,640
talked to a lot of people. Everybody I talked to Jacksonville, Jacksonville, Jacksonville,

415
00:22:54,279 --> 00:22:57,319
Denver off a huge win. They won't bounce back. Jacksonville

416
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:01,000
so improved, Liam Cohen, et cetera, et cetera. The problem

417
00:23:01,079 --> 00:23:02,920
for me is there the entire left side of their

418
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:05,880
offensive line might be out here, and you don't want

419
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,359
your left guard and your left tackle who protect Trevor

420
00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:12,559
Lawrence not there against this pass rush. Trevor Lawrence could

421
00:23:12,599 --> 00:23:15,599
just as easily, you know, do the Cinderella and turn

422
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:18,559
back into a pumpkin under pressure that Denver can apply,

423
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:21,720
so that love affair could go away real quick if

424
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:25,799
in fact they don't play. At worst, they're banged up

425
00:23:25,839 --> 00:23:28,119
against a really good pass rush. I'm with you, you

426
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,440
know how I feel about this, Denver offers, and will

427
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,119
I had to admit now, I'm texting with a couple

428
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:34,599
of people last week, I says, you know what, I

429
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,599
gotta say it. He looks really good today against a

430
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:41,119
really good defense, and some will say that, well, Michaeh

431
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,759
Parsons got hurt. Denver did have two hundred and forty

432
00:23:43,759 --> 00:23:47,359
five yards worth of offense before Micah Parsons left the game.

433
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,240
I think it was one forty six after that. But

434
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,680
Nicks made some really good throws. I don't know if

435
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:57,880
it's sustainable ski I really don't against good teams, but

436
00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:00,680
they have themselves in the driver's seat right now. We

437
00:24:00,799 --> 00:24:05,119
shall see. This could be a game where it stays.

438
00:24:05,759 --> 00:24:07,799
I don't know. I really I didn't bet it because

439
00:24:07,799 --> 00:24:09,680
I don't have a good feel. I was on another

440
00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:13,640
show this week, or I said, potentially an underplay, but

441
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:16,759
you know how my mind works, and I kind of

442
00:24:16,759 --> 00:24:18,920
think of every reason not to play under. This game

443
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:22,920
has been bet up pretty substantially forty three and a

444
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,119
half to forty seven. That runs through a lot of

445
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,079
key numbers where totals are concerned. Through forty four through

446
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:31,039
forty five, and up to forty seven. You only get

447
00:24:31,039 --> 00:24:35,200
a push now, so value may be gone where that's concerned.

448
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:41,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's uh, let's talk a little Saturday. I mean,

449
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:46,079
I don't I feel like I mean, is it this easy? Rovino?

450
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:49,359
I feel like it is. Honestly, Green Bay no Parsons,

451
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:53,759
the offense just sucks. I mean, Bears just keep rolling.

452
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:57,960
I mean, is it just Bears to win?

453
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what the money tells us that right,

454
00:25:02,599 --> 00:25:04,480
three and a half or three one way all the

455
00:25:04,519 --> 00:25:06,319
way to Bears one and a half? Now four and

456
00:25:06,319 --> 00:25:09,640
a half point move. You know, I'm probably going to

457
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:11,720
be on the under here ski forty six and a

458
00:25:11,759 --> 00:25:16,599
half because Ben Johnson, the new head coach for Chicago,

459
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,200
just has shown us that they love to run the

460
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:24,240
football and overpower you with that offensive line. And Green Bay,

461
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,839
as you mentioned, now without Michaeh. Parsons a lot easier

462
00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:30,720
to run against, a lot easier to pass protect against

463
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,279
I don't know that I trust Caleb to be throwing

464
00:25:33,279 --> 00:25:35,359
the ball all over the lot, but I do think

465
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:38,279
Chicago's going to play a ball control style here. And

466
00:25:38,319 --> 00:25:43,079
for Green Bay, like you said, it's not just Micah Parsons.

467
00:25:43,079 --> 00:25:45,400
It's the fact that the right tackle, Zach Tom is hurt.

468
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:47,480
It's the fact that Josh Jacobs is hurt. It's the

469
00:25:47,519 --> 00:25:51,200
fact that Christian Watson got hurt. And on the other side,

470
00:25:51,599 --> 00:25:54,359
you know, DeAndre Swift, your lead running back for the

471
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:58,799
Bears out, Roma Dunza out. There's too many skill positioned

472
00:25:58,839 --> 00:26:01,559
people out of this game for me to think it's

473
00:26:01,559 --> 00:26:05,400
going to be high scoring in Chicago in December. So

474
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,119
I think I'm gonna be on under forty six and

475
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,079
a half plus a divisional game which kind of has

476
00:26:10,079 --> 00:26:13,599
a playoff atmosphere to it because these two teams are

477
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:15,599
still fighting for NFC North supremacy.

478
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:22,200
Speaker 1: A rare under from mister Ravino on that one. All right,

479
00:26:23,319 --> 00:26:28,720
let's see going down the list here, manners. There is

480
00:26:28,759 --> 00:26:31,079
a lot of games to talk about this week, honestly.

481
00:26:32,079 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're in action.

482
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:39,440
Speaker 1: Baltimore and New England opened up minus one, went to

483
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:42,079
the minus three. I mean Baltimore has to keep winning

484
00:26:42,079 --> 00:26:47,039
every single week. New England is still to be determined

485
00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:50,519
how good of a team they are. But I think

486
00:26:50,559 --> 00:26:55,559
I trust Baltimore's defense more than New England, and I

487
00:26:55,599 --> 00:26:59,400
know they're going to play desperate. I don't necessarily trust Lamar,

488
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:03,720
but I think the Ravens are the right side in

489
00:27:03,759 --> 00:27:06,200
that game. ROB you any thoughts from you.

490
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 2: Well, my first question was going to be do you

491
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:10,799
get any more Lamar dms constantly?

492
00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:12,920
Speaker 1: Because oh, I don't get any of those.

493
00:27:13,799 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 2: You know, as a guy who does not play fantasy football.

494
00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:21,119
I mean, I'm in the league because it's family run

495
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:23,920
and Lamar's is one of my quarterbacks and there hasn't

496
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:25,759
been a good game out of him in five weeks.

497
00:27:26,319 --> 00:27:29,200
Their offense ski was it was like pulling teeth to

498
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:33,160
score points last week against Cincinnati, arguably the worst defense

499
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:36,599
in the NFL, and they got the twenty four And

500
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:40,079
because they shut Joe Burrow out. I guess people think

501
00:27:40,079 --> 00:27:43,960
they've turned the corner. I'm not so sure. It's funny

502
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:45,720
when you and I were talking in the beginning of

503
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:48,160
the year, we didn't trust New England's past defense, right

504
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:50,720
they were getting passed on by everybody, and now the

505
00:27:50,799 --> 00:27:54,279
run defense becomes the weak spot. The pass defense numbers

506
00:27:54,319 --> 00:27:57,559
are getting a little better simply because teams like Buffalo

507
00:27:57,599 --> 00:28:00,039
figured out we can hand off against these guys. A

508
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:02,279
lot of injuries on that side of the ball, and

509
00:28:02,319 --> 00:28:06,680
you have Derrick Henry. So to your point, Baltimore might

510
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,640
be able to grind out a point spread cover here.

511
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:13,440
I don't trust them offensively though, to win by you

512
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,119
know margin, not that this is any huge margin, but

513
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:19,519
if you have to win by four, it's difficult to do.

514
00:28:20,799 --> 00:28:23,440
I have no faith in Lamar in that offense this year.

515
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:26,720
Something's wrong with him. Obviously he's injured a little bit.

516
00:28:26,839 --> 00:28:30,759
Not one hundred percent. Sunday Night game, I don't know.

517
00:28:30,839 --> 00:28:33,319
In New England often embarrassing loss. Maybe they show you

518
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,319
some effort. We shall see. I just don't have a

519
00:28:36,319 --> 00:28:37,359
good opinion on that game.

520
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:43,039
Speaker 1: I'll say that the Lions seem like they should steamroll

521
00:28:43,079 --> 00:28:46,759
the Steelers. The Steelers don't really have a good run defense,

522
00:28:46,799 --> 00:28:50,759
don't have a good defense at all, and Lions I

523
00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:52,599
just think they can name or number in that game.

524
00:28:53,359 --> 00:28:55,680
So an you talking off of.

525
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 2: That, no, because remember how you're going to get back

526
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:03,240
up on that ok, see horse listen. I had my

527
00:29:04,359 --> 00:29:08,480
I had Miami's team total Monday night, and they just

528
00:29:08,559 --> 00:29:12,720
couldn't expose anything about that Pittsburgh defense which is just

529
00:29:12,799 --> 00:29:16,880
there to be exposed, especially without TJ. Watt. Detroit's team

530
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:18,759
total is twenty eight and a half. Ski. It was

531
00:29:18,759 --> 00:29:20,720
the first bet I made this week. They're gonna get

532
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,920
to thirty against this team. Everything Miami couldn't do, they'll do.

533
00:29:24,279 --> 00:29:27,079
And if they don't pressure Jared Goff, if TJ. Watt

534
00:29:27,079 --> 00:29:29,839
can't go again and they can't get to him with

535
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,160
the running game that they have with Gibbs in Montgomery,

536
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:36,039
I mean to me it was again we like logic school,

537
00:29:36,079 --> 00:29:38,680
and maybe it's too simple, but twenty eight and a

538
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:41,640
half against this defense, that just you know, sign me up.

539
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:49,920
Speaker 1: I've an agreement. Last one Taba Bay and Carolina. That's

540
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,079
pretty much. I mean, they do play two more times,

541
00:29:52,119 --> 00:29:55,920
but pretty important game. Right, teams tied up for the division?

542
00:29:56,720 --> 00:30:01,640
Who can we trust? I mean, I don't trust Bryshan,

543
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,799
I don't trust trust br I'm just gonna say that

544
00:30:05,039 --> 00:30:07,799
you got a Bucks team who, yes, they've looked bad lately,

545
00:30:07,839 --> 00:30:11,480
but they've gotten a lot healthier. Right, You got Mike

546
00:30:11,519 --> 00:30:14,079
Evans back out there, but Garvan's been back out there

547
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:18,160
and getting back up to you know, that healthier offensive side.

548
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:20,519
At least I would trust them at baker More and

549
00:30:20,559 --> 00:30:23,240
not trust Bryceshan and the Panthers. How do you feel

550
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:23,680
about it?

551
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 2: Yeah? I really hope Mike Gevans he still got that

552
00:30:28,839 --> 00:30:31,200
question mark next to him for this week. What a

553
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,720
great game he plays last week and then you know

554
00:30:33,839 --> 00:30:36,359
he has to leave because he gets a little bit

555
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,119
banged up in that game. I don't I didn't see

556
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:42,680
if he practiced today. Hopefully he did. If he did,

557
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:46,319
I trust points in this game. Ski to separate Carolina's

558
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:51,200
home results and road results kind of paint two different

559
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:55,119
stories here. They've been able to score at home. They've

560
00:30:55,119 --> 00:30:57,680
been able to beat a couple of teams they shouldn't

561
00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:01,839
have be at home, including the Rams. So I like

562
00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:05,640
them on that particular field to score points, especially since

563
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:09,200
what's what's really alarming to me about Tampa Bay is

564
00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:11,079
they used to be one of the best run defenses

565
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:13,359
constantly in the NFL, and then you watch them now

566
00:31:13,359 --> 00:31:15,720
and they just get run over. I mean, Bjon Robinson

567
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:18,160
in Atlanta move the ball at will, with Kirk Cousins,

568
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,640
and it's kind of like, where'd that defense go? But

569
00:31:21,759 --> 00:31:24,519
I do think Baker is now. I think he's about

570
00:31:24,599 --> 00:31:29,519
four weeks removed from that shoulder injury. Should be better.

571
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:33,200
Like you mentioned Bucky Irving, third game back should be

572
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:36,480
pretty good now. Tristan Wurf's I don't think he played

573
00:31:36,559 --> 00:31:40,440
last week. Probably gonna go here left tackle. That helps,

574
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,599
And if you can include Evans, I think they're gonna score.

575
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:45,680
So to me, I thought the total was too low.

576
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:48,319
Good weather because it's Tampa and I don't see any

577
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,599
rain in the forecast, But forty five and a half

578
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:55,519
in a Tampa Carolina game, that should be It should

579
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:57,079
land at least on forty seven.

580
00:31:58,559 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 1: All right, Gust, We're going to un up with that,

581
00:32:01,319 --> 00:32:03,319
and I'm not going to put everything up, but I

582
00:32:03,319 --> 00:32:05,599
will put this up because it's changed and it's the

583
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:09,319
time you should think about it. At least Weekend Warrior

584
00:32:09,799 --> 00:32:14,680
is changed to. Now you'll get every play Saturday and

585
00:32:14,759 --> 00:32:18,359
Sunday across all sports just forty nine dollars. So good

586
00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:22,599
way to get involved in NFL, college sports, NBA, whatever

587
00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:24,720
you want to get involved with for the weekend. That's

588
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:26,960
a good way to do it, and all the usual

589
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:33,000
specials that we do have. You know, if there's anything

590
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:35,160
else you would like to promote, feel free and if

591
00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:36,599
you have a best bet for the show, we'd love

592
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:36,960
to hear it.

593
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 2: I think promotions are good. Ski. Obviously, college football playoffs

594
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:47,599
starts tonight with Alabama Oklahoma and then you get the

595
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,519
remainder of those games tomorrow afternoon. So huge college football

596
00:32:51,559 --> 00:32:55,599
weekend Weekend Warrior Past probably a good way to go

597
00:32:55,680 --> 00:33:02,000
here with all this football going on. Wow, I can't

598
00:33:02,039 --> 00:33:04,559
give a basketball best bet simply, I haven't played one.

599
00:33:04,799 --> 00:33:07,519
I don't know that I'll have a client release. Maybe

600
00:33:07,559 --> 00:33:10,359
later I will, as we soared through these injuries and whatnot.

601
00:33:10,519 --> 00:33:14,039
But I could go back to football for the for

602
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:16,880
the viewers here, Ski, real quick and just say what

603
00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:20,759
I said earlier. I think Detroit is almost like legalized

604
00:33:20,799 --> 00:33:22,960
stealing at twenty eight and a half team total, So

605
00:33:23,039 --> 00:33:24,559
I'll leave that as a best bet for the show.

606
00:33:24,599 --> 00:33:27,240
I know, we don't know if I'm use NFL as

607
00:33:27,319 --> 00:33:29,359
best bets, but we do talk about it here on

608
00:33:29,559 --> 00:33:32,119
Profit Picks. So I'm going to go Detroit team total

609
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:33,119
over twenty eight and a half.

610
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that. I haven't played too much and

611
00:33:36,319 --> 00:33:38,880
I only have the one player I put up as

612
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:42,359
my best bet on Wedger Talk, so it's just fair

613
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,960
to give it out. So I can't leave with a

614
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:48,720
best bet for today, but I will throw this up

615
00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:51,480
there one more time. I did forget. You can lock

616
00:33:51,559 --> 00:33:54,880
in my NBA season for four ninety nine if you

617
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:57,599
would like to. I'm up. I think one hundred and

618
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:01,400
eighty something units since December twenty twenty one, and on

619
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:03,519
a nice basketball run right now. What did I say

620
00:34:03,559 --> 00:34:06,640
to start the show? Seventy four? So I'll be making

621
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:09,199
plays throughout the day, just haven't made enough to share

622
00:34:09,519 --> 00:34:13,440
right this second, and that's the way I've been having

623
00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:15,000
a success with that run, so I don't want to

624
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:20,440
mess it up, all right. You know I'm always enjoy

625
00:34:21,159 --> 00:34:24,199
appreciate you taking the time to break these games down

626
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:26,920
with me. Everybody in the chat, we appreciate you all

627
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:30,960
as well. We'll be back again Monday, so best of

628
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:32,760
luck on all your action and we'll catch you all then.

