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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in time for total basis. It's Wednesday.

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That means we've got a full slate. That means we've

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got day baseball. A lot to talk about here. If

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you're new, we go for an hour all major League baseball.

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Three picks, but really a deep dive, a lot of

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analysis here, So welcome in. If you've been here all year,

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appreciate you guys grinding it out with us. We won

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the parlay yesterday. We're back ahead on the parlays. We

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will have another one for you by the end of

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the show today. Brian Leonard, we got to start with

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the Yankees. Astros think that the panel kind of liked

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the Yankees last night. They get it done. There's another

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game today, and there was a situation last night where

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a pitcher very possibly may have thrown at his own

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catcher out of frustration. So I've also interested in the

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chats take on that because I think it was as

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cut and dry, one of the most intentional things I've

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ever seen. And then you've got these two guys like

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almost like they committed a crime, trying to cover it

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up after the game, like coordinating their stories and saying

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some of just the most non just just nonsense. Jaysar

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Salazer said, well, it's too many Yankee fans in the stadium.

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Excuse me, Like what what? There's so many Yankee fans

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that you can't hear your pitch. Com I must have

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pushed the wrong button. Haven't done that all year, So

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you did it the pitch after giving up a Grand

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Slam when you guys argued about the pitch. Very interesting

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to see what the chat has to say. If you

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want to weigh in on that, go ahead. But also

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we got to talk Yankees astros because there's a there's

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a baseball game today and who knows what.

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Speaker 2: That did inside the clubhouse.

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Speaker 1: Just a very interesting situation ahead of a huge game

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in Houston this after tonight.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it definitely is, and I'm thankful for the Yankees yesterday.

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That was our big winner for our clients. Four percent

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play a tremendous runout of four and five percent plays.

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We're now number two for the last seven days overall

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and number one for the last thirty days. So it's

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been a grind. I don't put a lot of plays,

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but we're back up there where I feel that we

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should be. We're looking at the Yankees in Houston here

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Warren against Alexander Warren and the Yankees about a one

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to twenty five favorite total of nine. I watched that

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game and I saw that pitch, and there's no doubt

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in my mind that he did that on purpose. That's

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all I got to say. It could be wrong, but

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I doubt it.

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Speaker 1: I'm just scrolling the comments that come in on the

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screen as they come in as you break down Yankees

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astros for today.

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Speaker 3: I've been doing this for a long time, and I

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don't buy into conspiracy theories. That was clearly on purpose. Okay,

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Will Warren four point three o era four point three,

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eight expected one point four all whip been a little

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bit up and down so far. His extension is great

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eighty second percentile walk or struck out right sixty eighth,

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but pretty much everything else is in the lower half

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of the league. This is a guy who throws five pitches.

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He's mostly the four seemer and he throws it less

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than the league average. He's at ninety three point two.

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The gavage from Ready is ninety five. So he's not

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a guy im running out and looking to back in

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the most situations. Houston going with Jason Alexander who continues

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to kind of flummes me a little bit his his season.

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He's got a four point six one ERA, four point

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seven to two expected, one point three to seven whip.

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The only thing he's better than league average in really

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is his ground ball ray sixty six percent hele But

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yet his numbers, he continues to get wins. He continues

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to goraes four and one on the season. You know,

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obviously wins don't don't tell much, but still four and

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one on the season. But with the four point sixty

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one array, his numbers are ugly. If you take a

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look at his base numbers third percent hele Chase rates

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six percent. How hard here rate? But he keeps his

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team in the game for some reason. Throws five pitches

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basically his sinker and is a change for what he

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uses what he do like his four His four seamer

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only throws ninety two miles an hour. I only throw

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that ten percent of the time. So he's been coached

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up pretty well. He's getting the best of what he has.

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Problem is, I don't think he has a lot here.

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My first glance at this would be the over we're

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looking at. Basically right now, we're looking at the nine

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and it's a he's a decent hitters ballparks, it's places

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more neutral, but there's a lot of Yankees have a

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lot of power, and Houston knows how to pull. And

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if you pull to left field, if you get ahead

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of the pitch, which is the big thing that's you know,

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the Crawford boxes are there, and that's what Houston is

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known for. That's why they brought in a few players

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in the offseason they could do that. So I kind

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of went the over in this one. I prefer the

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offense is better than the defenses. Even though Houston is

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not hit well over the last month or so, they're

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barely holding on. They're winning three to two ball games.

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But with these two pitchers on the mound, I kind

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of like the over.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I won my five dollars play. Yesterday I had

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the Mets. I went with McLain against Tigers and that

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came out all right for me. Swept MLB two and oh.

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I don't think two and oh you should say sweep

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though I think it should be at least three. But

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when two and o anyway, And I do have my

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spreadsheet with all my picture projections available for free download

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at my page at wagytalk dot com. So go check

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that out regarding this game. Yeah, that was just a

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that was that was a jerk move on Valdez part.

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He did that on purpose. He's a jerk move. You

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could see it on his face. He was ticked off.

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Pictures and catchers have a special relationship.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 4: Some teams actually changed the catcher for one game just

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to suit the picture. You know, they have a special relationship.

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And Valdez just a jerk. Good picture, but absolute jerk.

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I don't think it's gonna affect the team in today's game,

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though it'll probably affect him when he pitched next time.

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But they'll probably switch the catcher next time he pitches.

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But like Brian said, Alexander not a really good pitcher,

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but the numbers really like him. I mean, he does

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have a really good walk to strike out ratio, and

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he did go six innings and shut the Yankees out

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for zero runs in his was it a month ago,

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but that was in New York. So today it's at

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Houston and Will Warren has has a real discrepancy between

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his home and away numbers. Pretty bad road pitcher. Five

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plus e are on the road against Houston. No sample size,

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so can't really count that Alexander has good numbers against

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these Yankees. But that's mainly because he just pitched six

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shutout innings against him in New York. I don't think

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he's gonna be that lucky this time. Well, I don't

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know if i'll call it luck, but he had a

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good game. I don't think he'll have a good game

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this time though, I agree with Brian it would be

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over nothing for me here. You need both sides of

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contribute to and over and two days ago. I'd be

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concerned about Houston their bats, but they did have a

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couple games where their bats woke up, not yesterday per se,

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but a couple games before that. So I think their

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bats will wake up here today. I think they can

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hit Warren. I would go with an over here as well.

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Speaker 1: A couple comments before I get into my breakdown. First

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great call in the met yesterday TV. I won my

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five dollars play as well on the Pirates. But if

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you want to see something nasty and just a good

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image of why Nolan MacLean is as good as he is,

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go to my Twitter. I tweeted Rob Friedman's post of

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him tunneling his pitches, and it is very impressive. The

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armslaught and where the ball comes out on the sweeper

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and then the pitch that moves the other way is

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almost identical, and they end up nowhere near each other.

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And it's probably why he has been virtually unhittable since

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coming up. So great call there. Second thing, someone in

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the chat said, Triggs gotta lay off the twisted teas.

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I didn't even know twisted teas still existed. I didn't

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realize that twisted tea's is like the og that's like

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an oh.

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Speaker 2: I remember in a couple of those when I was

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in college. Think I've probably been It's probably been about

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ten years, Brian, since I've had a twisted tea, and

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it was like a tall boy from the gas station.

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I just just don't drink as much anymore.

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Speaker 1: The third thing, and I'll tie this back into this game,

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is I will say, like just one more common about

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the interaction between Valdez and Salazar. You can't tell me

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that there's not gonna be guys in that clubhouse that

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have opinions on the matter.

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Speaker 2: I don't.

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Speaker 1: I don't care like there are gonna be guys in

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that clubhouse that that lean one way or to the

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other based on what happened, and I don't. I don't

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see how in any way, shape or form, that that's

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a good thing for Houston going in going into this game. Now,

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I'll go back to what I talked about yesterday for

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a minute. I think the Yankees might be coming. I

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said I was gonna want to find a way to

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play in this series. I passed on the game yesterday

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proved to be a great spot to do, so I

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don't dislike the spot today. I think you're paying a

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little bit of a worse price, but you know, minus

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won twenty five, it's still pretty reasonable. Now, Will Warren's

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a guy that's been very hot and cool, super inconsistent.

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When he's bad, he's bad. When he's good, he can

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be pretty good. But you know he's he's got a

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nice fastball, good movement, locates it, you know, reasonably well.

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When when he locates it, well, it's good. When he doesn't,

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he gets in trouble. So I still lean toward the

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Yankees here, and I think that the I don't know

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if this will be like a play for me or

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even one I consider it was on a list for

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me of about eleven games today, so I really have

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some pairing gown to do.

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Speaker 2: But I'll sort of double down on what I said yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I think the Jays are going to have a heck

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of a time trying to hold off this Yankee team.

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They just it just feels like the Yankees are clicking.

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They're not making some of the same mistakes they made

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to cost them games a month ago. They have a

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one Their run differential is plus one hundred and forty

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right now. It's got to be one of the At

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a quick glance, it's got to be one of the

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best marks in the league. The team they're chasing down

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that now only has a two and a half game

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lead on the division, only fifty eight and having big

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time bullpen issues. Hate to say it, I'm kind of

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in on the Yankees right now. Could only play the

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Yankees here in this game.

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Speaker 4: Go ahead and making a quick comment about locker room stuff.

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Catchers are the most popular guys in any locker room.

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Everybody loves their catcher every team. I've never seen an

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exception to it. So, like you said, if it's gonna

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be split, it's gonna be split in favor of the

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catcher because everyone loves the catcher in every clubhouse.

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Speaker 1: Such an odd dynamic here because it's a young catcher

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that's unproven against a pitcher that's been around for a while,

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so it's as good.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, I just I.

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Speaker 1: Don't see that that creating decent, like good vibes in

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the Astros locker room, whereas like the vibes are high

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for the Yankees right now, they're playing as good as

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they've played season. I would have no interest trying to

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step in front of the Yankees here. Turbuckle Tommy says

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that Pirates plus one and a half was a beautiful

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thing as well.

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Speaker 2: Wish I would have just played at Moneyline.

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Speaker 1: I'm actually thinking about going back to Pirates plus one

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and a half today. Yeah, I'm kind of thinking the

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same thing too, except I don't know that the bullpen

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sets up quite as nicely today. Obviously, we had the

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benefit of getting Chandler, even though he wasn't as sharp

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as we've seen him in bulk previously. But I'm with you, Tommy,

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I'm still thinking about like and I'll probably be here

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all month. Pirates, I think are very undervalued team right now.

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Once again, the plus one and a half line. Get

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your minus one ten, minus one fifteen, very playable number.

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This is another one that's on my very long list today.

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Brian Leonard, any interest in going against the Dodgers after

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an outright loss here?

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Speaker 3: Yes, we've got the tiny listed in Tiny's from what

241
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I've been reading, is going to be art today. But

242
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when I go to the Statas page, they don't have

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a tiny list. They don't they have it blanks. So

244
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I can't comment too much on that. I will say

245
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that I agree Pittsburgh. I thought Ashcraft's a guy I

246
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want to bet on right now. And although Atani's is

247
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a great pitcher, he's been very good and he's extending

248
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his innings. H you still take a look at that

249
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what he's done, and is he really deserved to be

250
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that big of a road favorite here? You know, you

251
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mentioned the ren differentials earlier, and yes, the Yankees are

252
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number two on the season and still following Milwaukee, and

253
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the Dodgers aren't even up one hundred runs anymore. So

254
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it's a game that obviously it means a little very

255
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little to the Dodgers, and you know, it always means

256
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more of what the team plays. The Dodgers because they're

257
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the champs, and you know, big salary teams. So I

258
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kind of like Pittsburgh here too. I do like the

259
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situation with Ashcraft on the Mount. He's been nothing but

260
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great so far. Two point five eight ERA, three point

261
00:13:07,799 --> 00:13:11,039
one seven expected, one point one point five whip. Take

262
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a look at his techcast page, and really the worst

263
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thing he has is his forty four percent tile extension.

264
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You know this, this is a guy who's really coming

265
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into his own throws five pitches, although his four seemery

266
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throw second thirty two, slider thirty three, and his Curt

267
00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,559
twenty that's really what he bases it mostly on. But

268
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his past basketball is ninety six point nine miles an hour.

269
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That's that's good. That's almost two miles an hour better

270
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Major League Baseball averge. So yeah, I like I like

271
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the Pirates here. I could play him plus the money,

272
00:13:42,879 --> 00:13:44,840
or I could take him on the on the run

273
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line here the total is only eight, so it's been

274
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beat down from a little slightly bet down from eight

275
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and a half hundred twenty to start it off. But yeah,

276
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I like Pittsburg. You finally got to find a way

277
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to bet Pittsburgh on this one. Maybe we played the

278
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Dodgers team total line under, maybe we play Pittsburgh, but

279
00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:04,200
maybe we play Pittsburgh plus one and a half. But

280
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I have no problem playing on the Pirates. Say that's

281
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a pretty good bed, I believe.

282
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Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, I have an MLB play out today already.

283
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I have not put a free play out yet, but

284
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I will after the show plus one hundred and five

285
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units in twenty twenty five, So go check out my

286
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play I'm sure these guys will have a play out

287
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as well. I'm gonna kind of say what I said yesterday,

288
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numbers love the Pirates, but my heart, I just can't

289
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do it because La has so much talent. They're just

290
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not They're just not that bullpen now, and that bullpen

291
00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:42,000
is just so bad. Every time the Dodgers get a lead,

292
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you just know they're going to give it away.

293
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Speaker 3: They you just know it.

294
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Speaker 4: And even Trina was bad yesterday, which I didn't expect.

295
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Then they got I mean, their bullpen is just a

296
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mess right now. Pirates looked sharp. This is a cover

297
00:14:57,799 --> 00:15:01,320
of the logo kind of thing. Pirates are hitting better,

298
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their bullpens playing better, and their starting pitcher is pitching

299
00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:09,120
better than Otani. I hate to say it, but one

300
00:15:09,159 --> 00:15:12,639
thing about Otani, his strikeout prop six and a half

301
00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,399
little high, I think, because we don't even know if

302
00:15:15,399 --> 00:15:18,320
he's going to finish five innings. Six and a half

303
00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,600
is high. But when you look at how he's been

304
00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:26,200
pitching this season, he's striking out thirteen guys per nine.

305
00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:31,720
Pittsburgh's striking out nine per nine, So I don't know

306
00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,039
if he's going to get to seven. It seems pretty

307
00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:36,960
high to me. So that's one way I might think

308
00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:41,000
about going. Looking at Braxton Ashcuff, Yes, he's pitching really well.

309
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Speaker 2: They slid him.

310
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Speaker 4: From a relief role to a starter role, and he's

311
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been the starter for looks like three starts now. He's

312
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gone five plus innings, five or more innings in every start,

313
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and he's only given up two earned That's pretty good.

314
00:15:57,360 --> 00:16:01,200
But one of those starts was the Rockies. He faced

315
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the Cardinals, very average hitting team, and then he faced

316
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the Cup which is a pretty good team. So yeah,

317
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he's been tested. I think three starts is enough to

318
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say he's a legit, pretty decent, legit pitcher. Will he

319
00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:17,240
get blown up today? It's possible because the Dodgers are angry,

320
00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:20,960
and even when they lose, they seem to score seven

321
00:16:21,039 --> 00:16:24,759
runs no matter what. So I don't know this could

322
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be a high scoring game. I think Otani strikeouts under

323
00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:29,279
six and a half would be a decent play, and

324
00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:32,080
I think over again would be a decent play.

325
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Speaker 1: I like the Pirates again here. I don't know if

326
00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:38,840
I'll throw it in the parlay. I don't know if

327
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,360
it'll make my client card, but it's certainly close. You

328
00:16:41,399 --> 00:16:45,639
talked about Braxton Ashcraft. He was always a starter that

329
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:48,320
was like, this is like what the Pirates, I guess

330
00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:50,919
are doing these days. Like Baba Chandler who came in

331
00:16:51,039 --> 00:16:53,799
relief yesterday, always a starter. They bring him up, they

332
00:16:53,799 --> 00:16:56,320
put him in the bullpen. Braxton Ashcraft was always a

333
00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,840
starter at Triple A. They brought him up, had him

334
00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:00,679
throw some long relief. I don't know if this is

335
00:17:00,799 --> 00:17:04,359
like something that they're doing from like a developmental standpoint.

336
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Speaker 2: I don't hate it.

337
00:17:05,599 --> 00:17:09,480
Speaker 1: Certainly helped Ashcraft because he kind of I feel like,

338
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got refocused a little bit because prior to prior to

339
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Ashcraft being called up, he had a couple of shakey outings.

340
00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:17,400
So maybe it's just something they're doing from a developmental

341
00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,759
standpoint to see how how guys respond and why not

342
00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:22,680
right like they're out of it, so like they had

343
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they had the ability to experiment a little bit. But

344
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I think what you've seen the last couple of times

345
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out is what Braxton Ashcraft is probably gonna be if this,

346
00:17:32,599 --> 00:17:35,119
if this organization didn't have a Paul Skins, didn't have

347
00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:38,480
up a Chandler, you know, we'd probably be talking about

348
00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:42,000
Braxton Ashcraft in the same sort of vein that Mets

349
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,000
fans are looking at, like a Nolan MacLean or someone

350
00:17:44,079 --> 00:17:44,319
like that.

351
00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:46,880
Speaker 2: Like he is that type of prospect.

352
00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,720
Speaker 1: It's just he's been buried a little bit because the Pirates,

353
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,079
I think Brian Leonard likes to say they've been so

354
00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:54,400
bad so long. They've got all these good young pitchers

355
00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:56,640
now because they draft went in the first round every

356
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:58,759
year and they and they've done a good job at

357
00:17:58,839 --> 00:18:01,920
drafting pitching. So I think ashcrap is the real deal.

358
00:18:02,079 --> 00:18:04,519
What I'll be looking for a couple things. So the

359
00:18:04,599 --> 00:18:07,599
other thing that's really important here, Pirates keep playing good ball.

360
00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:09,240
I think they're now nine to three in their last

361
00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:11,680
twelve games, and they're actually starting to hit a little bit,

362
00:18:11,839 --> 00:18:14,279
which is something the Pirates really hadn't done all year.

363
00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,920
I go back to you a couple of recent call ups,

364
00:18:18,319 --> 00:18:20,880
Camdevany up. Recently they brought Nick York up. These were

365
00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:22,799
guys I was waiting for them to call up. Maybe

366
00:18:22,799 --> 00:18:26,319
we'll see Rafael Floraz sooner than later. He's the catcher

367
00:18:26,599 --> 00:18:29,359
that they grab from the Yankees when they traded David Bedner.

368
00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,640
I think he's going to be really good, great big guy,

369
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:35,079
like he's going to be a right now what they

370
00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:37,640
have one of the worst offensive catchers in the history

371
00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:39,480
of Major League Baseball and Henry Davis. I know he

372
00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:41,960
doesn't play every day, but like man, I'd love to

373
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:45,480
see Floras at the bottom of that order, just making

374
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,720
the Pirates better. The guy I'll be looking for today

375
00:18:48,079 --> 00:18:49,920
to be called up, which might put me over the

376
00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:53,880
edge here is justin Lawrence. He's when he's healthy, he's

377
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:56,480
one of their best bullpen arms. He threw three times

378
00:18:56,519 --> 00:18:59,440
at Buffalo last week and in Triple A. He's on

379
00:18:59,519 --> 00:19:03,640
a rehab He's now been rehabbing for a month. Again,

380
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:06,519
no reason. They're kind of in this spot similar to

381
00:19:06,559 --> 00:19:08,720
the Orioles, like we talked about, well, where there's no

382
00:19:08,799 --> 00:19:11,799
reason to rush guys back. So he spent the entire

383
00:19:11,839 --> 00:19:15,200
month of August rehabbing, and I think the only reason

384
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,079
they hadn't called him up yet was the command was

385
00:19:17,079 --> 00:19:20,319
a little shaky. Had walked a couple of guys batting

386
00:19:20,319 --> 00:19:22,599
average against in the miners this month. For Lawrence won

387
00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:24,920
twenty five. It's kind of what I expect from him.

388
00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:28,160
And the last time out he threw all strikes, no walks.

389
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:30,599
He kind of looked like it was like, Okay, that's

390
00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:33,839
what we expected to see. That was Saturday, So I

391
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,799
wouldn't be at all surprised, especially after yesterday where they

392
00:19:36,839 --> 00:19:39,319
used some relief arms. If he's added to the roster,

393
00:19:39,559 --> 00:19:42,200
and I think I could get behind that ashcraft Lawrence.

394
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:45,440
Maybe one or two other bullpen guys probably back on

395
00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:47,519
the pirates here, and by the end of the show

396
00:19:47,559 --> 00:19:50,440
they may even be my parlay leg. But yeah, my

397
00:19:50,519 --> 00:19:53,039
opinion hasn't changed a whole lot from yesterday.

398
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:59,319
Speaker 2: All right, Duffel, he says, did you all talk about

399
00:19:59,319 --> 00:20:01,799
the fish yet? He likes him today? This is an

400
00:20:01,839 --> 00:20:02,519
early one.

401
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:07,720
Speaker 1: Brian Leonard Marlins nationals Uri Perez had a rough go of.

402
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,160
Speaker 2: It, to say the least.

403
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:12,920
Speaker 1: Over the weekend, he came to City Field in a

404
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,200
game that I think I actually ruined the parlay with

405
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:19,720
the under in that game, which has never lost so quickly.

406
00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,960
I don't think there's ever been an under in one

407
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:25,480
of our parlays that has killed a game so quickly

408
00:20:25,599 --> 00:20:29,319
than last Friday, when Uri Perez just got absolutely blown

409
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,880
up by the Mets. Much easier task for him today

410
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:36,480
in my opinion, not that anything's easy, but you know,

411
00:20:36,519 --> 00:20:39,599
the Mets are so hot right now. Now he turns

412
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,960
around heads to DC to face a Nationals team that

413
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:46,160
enters play at fifty five and eighty three. So, Brian Leonard,

414
00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:49,039
does Uri Perez bounce back today? Do you have any

415
00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,839
interest in taking the Marlins this afternoon? Yeah?

416
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,240
Speaker 3: I was on that with you on the under. That

417
00:20:54,319 --> 00:20:58,039
one was blown up early. It's nice when that happens,

418
00:20:58,079 --> 00:21:00,359
better than a stat the sweat one out. We're gonna

419
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:02,640
lose him as we'll get it over early. Plenty of

420
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:08,000
other games to watch Perez against Parker, who continues to

421
00:21:08,039 --> 00:21:12,559
get innings for Washington. They've lost their best player, last

422
00:21:12,559 --> 00:21:15,640
pitcher now for probably the season, so there's no reason

423
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:20,079
to bring him back. So this Washington staff is even

424
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:24,079
worse than it was before, and there's not a lot

425
00:21:24,079 --> 00:21:26,000
of talent to volley pitch well yesterday, he's the one.

426
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:27,799
He's the one guy that I would look to play

427
00:21:27,799 --> 00:21:32,480
out of this Washington rotation. But Perez against Parker Perez

428
00:21:32,559 --> 00:21:35,039
is about a one anywhere from one thirty to one

429
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:39,400
thirty five favorite here total of nine. I thought at

430
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:43,279
first glance, I thought all the same thing. I thought

431
00:21:43,319 --> 00:21:45,720
that the line was pretty cheap when you're taking a

432
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:50,000
look at Miami right here. My concern is, since he

433
00:21:50,079 --> 00:21:52,599
did get blown up so bad in that game yes

434
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:57,519
last time out, is it possibly an injury? We will see.

435
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:01,240
He'd cruised around so well before that, but he comes

436
00:22:01,279 --> 00:22:03,079
in with a four point oh four era, a three

437
00:22:03,079 --> 00:22:07,039
point one nine expected one point four whip, its ground

438
00:22:07,079 --> 00:22:10,039
bawl rate only in the eleventh percentile, all great, twenty

439
00:22:10,079 --> 00:22:12,920
eight percentile, harder at twenty eighth. A lot of that

440
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:15,519
game when he was just coming back, and it taken

441
00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:18,960
him a while to get his accuracy down and fine

442
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:22,799
get his pitches tones. So it looked really good until

443
00:22:22,839 --> 00:22:24,920
last time out. I'm hoping it's a it's a one

444
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:28,599
game thing, because there's really no reason for Miami to

445
00:22:28,599 --> 00:22:31,200
pitch him if he's injured. Definitely, no reason the pitch

446
00:22:31,279 --> 00:22:33,920
him was they're not going to the playoffs, so hopefully

447
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:37,559
he's not injured. If it's not, then then they're a

448
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,079
pretty good h pretty good bet today. The problem is,

449
00:22:40,079 --> 00:22:41,559
I don't know if I want to trust my money

450
00:22:41,599 --> 00:22:44,279
with him. As you mentioned, a pretty good looking card today.

451
00:22:44,279 --> 00:22:46,839
I think there's a lot of value here. Mitchell Parker

452
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,079
four point nine four era A four point eight nine expected,

453
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:54,720
one point four to seven whip. It's extension. He six

454
00:22:54,799 --> 00:22:58,119
foot four is in the eighty six percentile. Everything else stinks.

455
00:22:58,519 --> 00:23:02,079
It's it's really ridiculous here. He's got a first percentle

456
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:06,759
hard hit rate, first percentile average EXA velocity, second percent

457
00:23:06,839 --> 00:23:09,839
ile expected betting the average, third percent ile expected GIRA,

458
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:15,680
fourth percentile straight percent No, I'm not betting on Washington

459
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:17,880
anytime he pitches. At least they're gonna have to give

460
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:19,960
me a whole lot better line than what this is.

461
00:23:20,599 --> 00:23:22,519
And I'm not going to take it one fifteen to

462
00:23:22,559 --> 00:23:25,720
a peint twenty on Washington. This one, it's either Miami

463
00:23:25,799 --> 00:23:31,480
for me and hopefully I'm I'm not scared off by

464
00:23:31,559 --> 00:23:34,400
Perez and but that's the way I would play it.

465
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:38,200
And if it's something that maybe if he comes out

466
00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:40,279
in that first inning it looks like his old self,

467
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:43,359
maybe you can get you can join it later on

468
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:46,359
and get it in live betting and get a similar

469
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:49,319
number here. So that's what I'll be looking for here,

470
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,519
maybe maybe a live bet because I am concerned a

471
00:23:51,559 --> 00:23:54,000
little bit about the injury because it was so bad

472
00:23:54,079 --> 00:23:57,240
last time out. That's the way I'll treat this one.

473
00:23:58,799 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 4: Thanks guys for the live comments. Some of you said

474
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,799
you're downloading my uh my pitcher projections. Go ahead and

475
00:24:04,799 --> 00:24:07,519
get it. It's free today. And if you do download

476
00:24:07,559 --> 00:24:09,559
it and take a look, you'll see that Eurie Perez

477
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,559
has really good numbers against these National batters in his

478
00:24:13,599 --> 00:24:20,359
in his career. I think Mitchell Parker removed the Colorado

479
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:23,279
Rockies pitching staff. I think Mitchell Parker could be the

480
00:24:23,319 --> 00:24:27,039
worst starting pitcher in Major League Baseball who gets regular starts.

481
00:24:27,279 --> 00:24:33,160
I mean, sent Ittella is awful and so yeah, yeah,

482
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,839
well Cinctela came in in the what the first inning

483
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:36,960
when Freedlan got.

484
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:39,480
Speaker 2: Looked good.

485
00:24:39,839 --> 00:24:43,279
Speaker 4: I was watching that game. Censitela actually pitched really really

486
00:24:43,319 --> 00:24:44,880
well in that game. He looked great.

487
00:24:45,279 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 2: So I was kind of surprised.

488
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 4: Maybe he should be a middle reliever because he looked

489
00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:54,960
pretty good. But anyway, so Mitchell Parker allowed thirty one

490
00:24:55,039 --> 00:24:57,440
earned runs in his last eight starts. That's not good.

491
00:24:57,839 --> 00:25:01,960
He allows a lot of runs and he's just an

492
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:05,160
awful pitcher. The thing is, though, he has good numbers

493
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:09,440
against these guys in his career. So I'm a little

494
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:14,880
torn here. According to my rankings, Washington right now is

495
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:19,079
batting twenty eighth out of thirty in current form. Eury

496
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:22,279
Perez has really good numbers against him. I would either

497
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:26,839
take Miami or I would take the Nationals team total

498
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,160
in the first five it's two and a half. It's

499
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:30,960
a little juice to the under. I think it's minus

500
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:34,559
one fifty to the under Unpinnacle. I don't know what

501
00:25:34,559 --> 00:25:37,039
it is on other sites, but that seems like a

502
00:25:37,079 --> 00:25:38,880
decent play to me. I think I don't think they're

503
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,920
gonna get three earned off Eury Perez in five innings,

504
00:25:43,319 --> 00:25:45,640
so I might go that way. I might go Miami.

505
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:48,720
We'll see. I mean the game starts in what three

506
00:25:48,799 --> 00:25:50,240
or four hours, so we'll see.

507
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm interested in the Marlins here, so I'll speak

508
00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:58,359
on I guess Perez and the injury, if there was

509
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,400
any inkling that he was hurt, he would not be

510
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:03,880
pitching in this game. And the reason I'm gonna say

511
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:06,960
that is they were very, very cautious with him earlier

512
00:26:07,039 --> 00:26:09,400
this year when he was rehaving his injury. He spent

513
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,720
god two months in the minors, like there was and

514
00:26:13,759 --> 00:26:16,000
I even remember kind of talking to someone that that's

515
00:26:16,039 --> 00:26:18,799
pretty close to the Marlins team at the time, there

516
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:23,920
was zero interest to rush him back whatsoever. And right

517
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:28,160
now there are so many deserving arms at Jacksonville that

518
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,839
are at least like like deserving of a chance, that

519
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:33,880
have pitched well all year, even if they're like middle

520
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:37,400
relief guys, bullpen guys. There's just no way they're going

521
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:38,920
to send him out there. If he was even like

522
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,559
a little bit hurt. They would they would bring They

523
00:26:41,559 --> 00:26:44,519
would bring like Morgan McSweeney up. They would bring one

524
00:26:44,519 --> 00:26:46,319
of the six relievers that have been really good at

525
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:50,079
Jacksonville up. Like, There's just so many other options that

526
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,640
I just I just could not see a scenario where

527
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:57,279
he unless he just straightens up, straight up lied to

528
00:26:57,319 --> 00:26:59,960
the staff, like unless he was just like didn't disclose

529
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:03,920
anything that's the only way he's he's that would go

530
00:27:04,079 --> 00:27:06,319
unnoticed and that he'd be sent out there today. So

531
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:08,920
I think, and I watched every pitch of that game,

532
00:27:09,839 --> 00:27:11,880
I think the Mets are just on another level right

533
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,039
now in terms of locked in at the plate. I

534
00:27:14,079 --> 00:27:16,119
think they blew him up, and it is what it

535
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:20,200
is sometimes that happened City Field Friday night lights were

536
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:22,200
a little too bright for him, in my opinion, So

537
00:27:22,279 --> 00:27:24,200
I actually kind of like him to bounce back here.

538
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,279
I'm gonna echo what TV said, Mitchell Parker not someone

539
00:27:27,279 --> 00:27:27,920
I want to back.

540
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,799
Speaker 2: National's bullpen, not something I want to back.

541
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,279
Speaker 1: Terrible collection of pitchers might be as bad as you're

542
00:27:33,279 --> 00:27:35,160
gonna find in the league right now, So it would

543
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,279
be Marlins are past. My only concern with the Marlins

544
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:40,400
right now. I don't know if I love this lineup

545
00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:43,000
anymore like I did earlier in the year. Xavier Edwards,

546
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:44,839
I believe, went out with an injury the other day,

547
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,039
Kyle Stowers has been out with an injury.

548
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:50,680
Speaker 2: Yes, you have Norby back. Yes, there's still still a lot.

549
00:27:50,559 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 1: To like there in terms of like young talent, but

550
00:27:53,599 --> 00:27:57,720
like they went ice cold against Andrew Alvarez the other day. Like,

551
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:59,920
I think it's gonna be a very hit or miss

552
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,880
Marlin's offense, and so you're gonna have to kind of

553
00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:05,960
deal with that. I think for another ten cents, I

554
00:28:06,039 --> 00:28:07,680
might I might be down to deal with it. Here

555
00:28:07,839 --> 00:28:10,000
minus won thirty minus won thirty five was a little

556
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,039
bit pricey. But if this somehow got down to like

557
00:28:13,079 --> 00:28:15,720
the minus one fifteen minus won twenty range, I think

558
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:16,920
I could definitely take the Marlins.

559
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 2: And I wouldn't put anyone off taking the Marlins. It's

560
00:28:19,079 --> 00:28:19,799
just for me.

561
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:23,400
Speaker 1: As I've said, I've got eleven leads today and so

562
00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:26,039
I'm trying to like pare it down. Do I want

563
00:28:26,079 --> 00:28:27,920
to lay a dollar thirty five when I could potentially

564
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:29,759
bet something else that's a little bit better price.

565
00:28:30,079 --> 00:28:33,880
Speaker 2: I'm not sure, but yeah, I think Marlins are passed

566
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:35,839
for me here. Colin Gregory, Yes, we just walked it

567
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:37,480
off in the KT game. Let's go.

568
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:40,799
Speaker 1: That was a crazy game in Korea this morning. They

569
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,480
choked away a huge lead. They just wanted to walk off.

570
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:48,559
So we're fired up about that. Let's go, Travis, Yeah,

571
00:28:48,599 --> 00:28:51,720
let's go to This is another day game. I'm interested

572
00:28:51,759 --> 00:28:54,039
to see what people have to say about this one.

573
00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:58,000
Because the Mets are blowing up. Just about everyone TV

574
00:28:58,160 --> 00:28:59,680
was on the Mets yesterday. That was a win, and

575
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:01,359
that was a way easier win than I thought it

576
00:29:01,400 --> 00:29:03,720
was going to be because the Mets just did whatever

577
00:29:03,799 --> 00:29:08,799
they wanted. Crooked numbers everywhere. I mean, Brian, you mentioned

578
00:29:08,799 --> 00:29:11,519
this yesterday. The top of that order is so locked

579
00:29:11,559 --> 00:29:14,359
in right now. And those are guys that like when

580
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:18,039
those guys are locked in Soto Windor, I mean, these

581
00:29:18,039 --> 00:29:22,680
are not just anyone These are like all star NDP

582
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,880
caliber type players. When those guys are locked in, would

583
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,279
you even consider going against the Mets here?

584
00:29:29,519 --> 00:29:34,039
Speaker 3: Mets Holmes against Manes going for Detroit, and we're looking

585
00:29:34,039 --> 00:29:37,039
at basically a one fifteen favorite for the Mets total

586
00:29:37,079 --> 00:29:39,680
of nine, or you can get the eight and a

587
00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:44,000
half over at an extended price there. When I'm looking

588
00:29:44,039 --> 00:29:47,640
at this game, Clay Holmes is now pitched one hundred

589
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:49,240
and forty two and a third inning, so the last

590
00:29:49,279 --> 00:29:51,359
two years there was one hundred and twenty six combined.

591
00:29:52,119 --> 00:29:56,200
I'm still worried about him in this regard. I started

592
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:58,359
the year really well, and now was there is up

593
00:29:58,359 --> 00:30:02,039
to three point six to zero. His expecteds four point

594
00:30:02,079 --> 00:30:04,640
three five his whip is one point three to one.

595
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,359
That's about what he's had in his career, so I'm

596
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:10,839
not too worried about that. But his round ball rate

597
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:14,200
is great, ninety fourth percentile. But this is a ballpark

598
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,920
in which there's not many home runs here, so that

599
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:20,720
kind of evens it out a little bit. And if

600
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:25,279
he's playing in you know, Cincinnati, one of those ballparks

601
00:30:25,279 --> 00:30:27,440
that get a lot of home runs, Yankee Stadium, something

602
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:31,759
like that, I would love him better. But to lose that,

603
00:30:31,759 --> 00:30:34,960
that's with that being your main thing, and spare barrel

604
00:30:35,079 --> 00:30:37,799
it's seventy first percentle so everything else pretty much is

605
00:30:37,839 --> 00:30:41,240
below league average. We're looking at his whiff for eight

606
00:30:41,279 --> 00:30:44,720
twenty first percentile, strike got right twenty second, walk grade

607
00:30:44,759 --> 00:30:48,319
thirty first. So I really liked him earlier in the season.

608
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:51,759
I like him less as the year goes on. Casey

609
00:30:51,839 --> 00:30:55,599
Miz just the opposite. Coming into the season, I really

610
00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:57,799
didn't care for him, but he's pitched better than I thought.

611
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:01,160
So comes in with a three point nine five, three

612
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:03,480
point seven to seven expected one point three to one.

613
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:05,640
WHAI up a little high in that regard, but it

614
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:09,279
fits in with his career. His extension eighty eight percentile,

615
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:13,240
walk great eighty first percentile, and then everything else is

616
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:16,319
about league average or worse. So we've got two pictures

617
00:31:16,319 --> 00:31:19,799
here that I can go against in fate, try to

618
00:31:19,799 --> 00:31:22,359
fade here. Total of nine. It did open eight and

619
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:26,200
a half, so it's been up slightly. But that's the

620
00:31:26,279 --> 00:31:28,559
way I would take a look at it is look

621
00:31:28,599 --> 00:31:32,720
for the offenses. Detroit's obviously got a Detroit's one of

622
00:31:32,759 --> 00:31:35,400
the better offenses that goes from one to one to nine.

623
00:31:36,039 --> 00:31:37,799
They got enough guys to fill in there. They got

624
00:31:37,839 --> 00:31:39,519
some lot of guys that are injured right now, but

625
00:31:40,599 --> 00:31:44,279
I like their offense overall. Of THEO don't have fantastic players,

626
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,480
they are all pretty solid, pretty solid major league hitters.

627
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:52,559
And as you mentioned again from yesterday we talked about it,

628
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,480
the Mets are just so hot right now. They are

629
00:31:55,519 --> 00:31:57,880
burning hot. And with these two pitches on the mountain,

630
00:31:58,039 --> 00:32:01,039
I'll look for the over nine and I think that's

631
00:32:01,039 --> 00:32:06,160
a pretty decent play in afternoon baseball.

632
00:32:06,279 --> 00:32:11,039
Speaker 4: So on my free downloadable sheet, I do have Clay Holmes.

633
00:32:11,759 --> 00:32:14,559
I always want to say Chris Holmes because the guitarist

634
00:32:14,599 --> 00:32:17,319
for Watts. When I see Ce Holmes, I just automatically

635
00:32:17,359 --> 00:32:22,400
say Chris Holmes. But anyways, so Clay Holmes. Yeah, he's

636
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:24,920
got good numbers against these guys, but he compiled a

637
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:27,039
lot of those numbers when he was a relief pitcher,

638
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:29,880
and it wasn't this year, so and it was with

639
00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:34,279
a different team, So those numbers can't be one hundred

640
00:32:34,279 --> 00:32:36,359
percent trusted. But I do trust him a little bit.

641
00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:40,640
He's not a big strikeout guy, but I looked at

642
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:43,400
his strikeout prop three and a half seemed really low.

643
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,279
You'll see on my numbers, I'm projecting him at four

644
00:32:46,279 --> 00:32:50,839
point seven. Granted, that might be skewed a little because

645
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:53,559
most of those strikeouts he got against I took a

646
00:32:53,559 --> 00:32:57,480
deeper look, and I think last year against the Tigers,

647
00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:01,480
when he pitched for a different team, one inning he

648
00:33:01,559 --> 00:33:05,319
struck two guys out, and another inning he struck three

649
00:33:05,359 --> 00:33:07,480
guys out, So he got five strikeouts and two innings.

650
00:33:07,519 --> 00:33:11,079
So his numbers are little inflated there, but he is

651
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:15,200
capable of striking these guys out at that rate. Eight

652
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,559
point seven to nine is one projection and four point

653
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,160
seven is another projection. I think four point seven is

654
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,759
more around where we should be. His strikeouts is three

655
00:33:24,759 --> 00:33:26,720
and a half, So I think over three and a

656
00:33:26,759 --> 00:33:29,799
half strikeouts would be a decent play here. Mets are

657
00:33:29,799 --> 00:33:34,279
batting a lot better than the Tigers right now, but

658
00:33:34,319 --> 00:33:39,079
the Tigers have the better bullpen and the starters are comparable,

659
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,200
So I don't think I'll be playing aside.

660
00:33:43,359 --> 00:33:45,039
Speaker 1: My gut tells me this is going to be Clay

661
00:33:45,039 --> 00:33:49,759
holmes last start for the Mets. I think this, so,

662
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:51,680
going back to what Brian said, the innings are getting

663
00:33:51,759 --> 00:33:54,160
up there, but more importantly, I think he's going to

664
00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:56,839
be the key to the Mets playoff success because in

665
00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:59,640
the playoffs, you have to have a guy that can

666
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:04,039
come in in like the fifth inning when because remember

667
00:34:04,039 --> 00:34:06,240
in the playoffs you're facing elite lineups, you have to

668
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:07,720
have a guy that can come in the fifth inning

669
00:34:08,159 --> 00:34:10,320
when a guy's about to turn the lineup over for

670
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:13,000
like a third time, and then like lock it down

671
00:34:13,039 --> 00:34:15,239
for like two three innings so you don't burn every

672
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:17,920
leverage arm that you have. And I think right now

673
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:20,280
the Mets are sitting there like, all right, we're in

674
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:23,199
the playoffs. We're five and a half back of the Phillies,

675
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:25,880
so it's probably not realistic that we win the division.

676
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:26,760
Speaker 2: Maybe we'll change her.

677
00:34:27,079 --> 00:34:29,320
Speaker 1: I just don't think the Mets mindset is let's go

678
00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:30,920
all out to try to catch the Phillies.

679
00:34:31,039 --> 00:34:32,840
Speaker 2: I think if it happens, they'll be happy with it.

680
00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:35,239
Speaker 1: But like I really think that they're trying to spread

681
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,000
the innings around right now, set themselves up for the playoffs.

682
00:34:38,039 --> 00:34:40,320
Why do I bring that up because I think ultimately

683
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:41,719
they're going to move homes to the bullpen.

684
00:34:42,039 --> 00:34:43,159
Speaker 2: Why does that matter here?

685
00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:46,880
Speaker 1: Because they're in position to tell Holmes, hey, you're gonna start,

686
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:48,599
but like, go leave it all out there.

687
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:51,119
Speaker 2: We don't need six innings out of you today. Why

688
00:34:51,199 --> 00:34:53,119
is that? Because yesterday they didn't use anyone?

689
00:34:53,599 --> 00:34:56,039
Speaker 1: They use two throwaway guys right stand up right now,

690
00:34:56,199 --> 00:34:58,440
they might as well send to the move like he's useless,

691
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:01,360
they don't need him that he probably won't be on

692
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,320
the playoff roster. And I think Herget was the other

693
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,039
guy that came in. He's a triple A guy like

694
00:35:07,079 --> 00:35:09,400
he's he's not on the playoff roster either. So they're

695
00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:11,639
still sitting on Justin Hagenman, who hasn't pitched in a

696
00:35:11,679 --> 00:35:14,679
couple of days. Great long relief option, you know, I

697
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,159
mean he's he's hit or missed, but he's been good

698
00:35:17,199 --> 00:35:19,320
at the big league level. And if he's if he

699
00:35:19,639 --> 00:35:21,880
is in there and throwing the ball, well he'll go

700
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:23,880
two or three innings and then you've got all your

701
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:26,639
leverage guys. And and right now the Mets are playing

702
00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:30,199
so good, I don't think they're gonna like and they've

703
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,519
got a day off tomorrow, so like, there's really no

704
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:35,599
reason to not unload the clip here, if you will.

705
00:35:36,119 --> 00:35:37,880
At the end of this game, they got all the

706
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,199
bullpen arms, and and I'll go back to the beginning

707
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:41,960
of the season, and I feel like I've said this

708
00:35:42,039 --> 00:35:44,920
at times throughout the years. Throughout the year so far,

709
00:35:45,199 --> 00:35:48,280
this Mets bullpen should be it should be one of

710
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,199
the best bullpens in the league. I don't know how

711
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,800
they've pitched themselves out of that scenario.

712
00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:53,199
Speaker 2: And I don't know.

713
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:55,480
Speaker 1: I don't know what's wrong with Hellesley and some of

714
00:35:55,480 --> 00:36:00,280
these other guys on paper, and at their the top

715
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:02,880
of their potential, this should be like a top three

716
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:07,119
bullpen in Major League Baseball. My gut tells me they

717
00:36:07,119 --> 00:36:09,360
could trend in that direction going toward the playoffs. I

718
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:12,960
just think having McLean and Tong there to fill starters Roles,

719
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:15,480
maybe getting Holmes back to the bullpen. I really think

720
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:18,079
that this could be like an elite relief unit. And

721
00:36:18,119 --> 00:36:21,159
today you're gonna have Holmes, who's been pretty solid. I

722
00:36:21,199 --> 00:36:23,519
think he's been fine, and you're likely going to have

723
00:36:23,599 --> 00:36:28,280
him back by every top Mets reliever here because why not.

724
00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:31,400
They can't you have a day often then you have

725
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:33,559
a series coming up with the Reds. It would be

726
00:36:33,679 --> 00:36:35,800
very big if the Mets can grab another win here.

727
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:38,199
I'll go back to what the chat has kind of said.

728
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:40,760
You know, the Tigers have the luxury of going through.

729
00:36:40,679 --> 00:36:41,559
Speaker 2: The motions right now.

730
00:36:42,039 --> 00:36:43,599
Speaker 1: I thought we would see them play a little bit

731
00:36:43,599 --> 00:36:45,719
better in September because other guys are getting a chance,

732
00:36:46,199 --> 00:36:47,840
but they kind of have the luxury of going through

733
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,840
the motions the next couple of weeks. I don't know

734
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:52,400
how you can play against the Mets in this spot.

735
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:54,239
They're another one that's on my short list today.

736
00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, Yeah, I'm gonna throw out the next

737
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:01,559
game because we're halfway through the show. None of us

738
00:37:01,599 --> 00:37:06,840
putt but that point out what you pointed out there

739
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:09,920
is looking past. What a lot of people do is

740
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:12,000
they don't pay attention to what's going to happen tomorrow,

741
00:37:12,119 --> 00:37:14,119
and a lot of these games in the game I

742
00:37:14,159 --> 00:37:16,760
want to talking about has a similar effect. So that

743
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:19,039
was a great point in putting out that they're not

744
00:37:19,079 --> 00:37:21,239
going to play tomorrow and these guys haven't pitched for

745
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:24,800
the last two days. Great job on that, and that

746
00:37:24,920 --> 00:37:27,280
if you take anything the viewers take anything out of

747
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:30,599
this on the show. That's the one point that's very important.

748
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:33,079
Take a look at tomorrow's schedules to who's supposed to

749
00:37:33,119 --> 00:37:36,480
pitch and what they've got going on. I am going

750
00:37:36,559 --> 00:37:40,920
to use for my parlay play here. I'm gonna take

751
00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:44,880
a look at that San Francisco game that helped us

752
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:49,039
in the parlay yesterday. Thank you, Brandon. Robby Ray's going

753
00:37:49,199 --> 00:37:53,920
to pitch for San Francisco and Colorado's got Marquez going

754
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:57,880
right right now is about a two dollars favorite with

755
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:03,280
a total of eleven. I like the over ind this game.

756
00:38:03,679 --> 00:38:07,920
Robbie Ray is not pitching well right now. And it's

757
00:38:07,960 --> 00:38:11,760
not that he's not pitching well. He's also struggling mightily

758
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:17,360
with his velocity. The list is now two games in

759
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:20,280
a row in which he's been like three miles per

760
00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:24,440
hour down on his velocity. And it's really starting to show.

761
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:29,159
Keep in mind, this guy last year through thirty innings.

762
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:33,719
The year before, he threw three innings, So he's you know,

763
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:37,079
he's been a work cards in his career in twelve seasons,

764
00:38:37,119 --> 00:38:40,440
but he has not thrown this many innings in a while. Veloss,

765
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:43,320
he's going down, he's going through retired arm phase. I

766
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,960
don't want to bet him. I don't want to bet

767
00:38:46,039 --> 00:38:49,239
on him in Colorado. I'll tell you that three point

768
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:51,840
one ad or a three point sixty four expected one

769
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:56,000
point one six whip, but that was all earlier, earlier

770
00:38:56,079 --> 00:38:59,360
in the season. I take a look at his average

771
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:04,880
ex velosi eleventh percentile ur hit rate, eighteenth percentile ground

772
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,079
ball rate twenty six, so he throws a lot of

773
00:39:07,119 --> 00:39:10,519
fly balls. I think Colorado's gonna have some success in

774
00:39:10,519 --> 00:39:12,400
this game, and I want to fail to Robbie Ray.

775
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:18,039
The problem is Marquez six point one four ERA five

776
00:39:18,079 --> 00:39:21,000
point five to two expected. He's coming back from an injury,

777
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:27,039
by the way, but that was earlier in this last

778
00:39:27,119 --> 00:39:30,000
year and twenty twenty three very similar twenty innings and

779
00:39:30,679 --> 00:39:33,639
twenty twenty three four last year. Now he's at one

780
00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:36,159
hundred and two already and he's not even in a

781
00:39:36,199 --> 00:39:39,920
good one hundred and two this year. It look at

782
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:43,480
the stackass page, it's blue all over. There's nothing. His

783
00:39:43,559 --> 00:39:49,199
fastball velocity fifty ninth percentile, that's his best thing. Everything

784
00:39:49,199 --> 00:39:51,559
else single digits and just about everything. I'm not going

785
00:39:51,599 --> 00:39:54,760
to go through it in Borria. And as was just

786
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:57,119
pointed out in the last game, neither one of these

787
00:39:57,159 --> 00:39:59,920
teams play tomorrow. So normally a lot of times you

788
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:03,599
look at the getaway day. Well, we've got a similar

789
00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:07,159
total in this game. And we got Marquez who's been

790
00:40:07,159 --> 00:40:09,559
horrendous all year. We've got Ray who's been horrendous the

791
00:40:09,639 --> 00:40:13,960
last two weeks, both dealing with pitch counts that are

792
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:17,119
really high on the season as opposed to the last

793
00:40:17,119 --> 00:40:21,119
two years. I love this over in this game. I

794
00:40:21,159 --> 00:40:24,400
think over eleven is really solid beout here and I'll

795
00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:26,239
use that for my free play today.

796
00:40:29,119 --> 00:40:31,800
Speaker 4: I would agree with Brian on that that Robbie Ray

797
00:40:32,199 --> 00:40:36,360
is not exactly a great pitcher against these batters. As

798
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:40,880
a matter of fact, he gets tagged pretty good to

799
00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:45,119
eighty nine average against in his career. It's not great.

800
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:50,199
He's not the dealer that he was earlier in the season.

801
00:40:50,559 --> 00:40:55,000
He's fading a little. Marquez also doesn't have great numbers

802
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,360
against the San Francisco Batters in eight to twenty one

803
00:40:57,440 --> 00:41:01,199
ops against in his career. Add to the fact that

804
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:04,519
not all those games were in Colorado and this one is,

805
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:10,920
so I definitely would not argue against an over there.

806
00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:14,920
I have taken San Francisco for two days in a row,

807
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:19,039
but I'm not going to take them today because for

808
00:41:19,119 --> 00:41:22,719
some odd reason, it's so hard to win three games

809
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:26,000
in a row in this league. And hey, San Francisco

810
00:41:26,119 --> 00:41:28,480
is probably going to win it because they're the better team,

811
00:41:28,639 --> 00:41:31,280
but I'm not willing to put money on it today.

812
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:33,519
I was the last two days, but today I'm not.

813
00:41:36,079 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 1: I mean my number, I make this twelve and a

814
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:41,119
half on the total, so my numbers certainly agree with

815
00:41:41,159 --> 00:41:43,440
an over of eleven TV. I'm with you, like I

816
00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:45,840
bet the Giants was the best bet for me on

817
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,639
Monday yesterday. I loved the spot for them. It was

818
00:41:48,679 --> 00:41:50,679
just there was no value. But if I was fine

819
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:52,519
with you put it in the parlay that got the win.

820
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:55,480
If the Rockies were going to steal one, it would

821
00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:58,360
be here. But the reason I will sort of, you know,

822
00:41:59,079 --> 00:42:00,920
agree with Brian say the way I would go with

823
00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:04,760
the over. They got two batters out of Kyle Freeland

824
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:06,760
last night. That was their starter. And not only is

825
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:09,360
he their starter, he's a guy that typically if there's

826
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:12,079
one guy that sometimes eats innings up for them, it's

827
00:42:12,320 --> 00:42:15,960
it's Freeling. He lasted two hitters before he got thrown

828
00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:18,760
out of the game, ended up using sense of TAILA

829
00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:22,320
fine with that, but still's Viali. Hill is the one

830
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:25,360
guy I really liking that bullpench. Jayden Hill I think

831
00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:27,119
is actually going to be a pretty good reliever. He

832
00:42:27,159 --> 00:42:30,960
goes two innings last night, and so again you're gonna

833
00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:32,599
either you're looking at.

834
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:35,599
Speaker 2: Marquez Rockies relievers. There's got to be some runs there.

835
00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:38,400
Speaker 1: If the Rockies can contribute at all, which Brian thinks

836
00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:41,039
they will, this one should soar over. I'm with you,

837
00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:44,519
the over makes a lot of sense. Colin I want.

838
00:42:44,599 --> 00:42:48,440
He says that Mets reminds me of the twenty seventeen Astros.

839
00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:50,800
I was gonna say the whole time I'm sitting here thinking,

840
00:42:51,159 --> 00:42:54,320
reminds me of the twenty sixteen Indians. Brian, do you

841
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:57,159
remember who the MVP of the Alcs was in twenty

842
00:42:57,199 --> 00:42:59,800
sixteen top of your head, MVP.

843
00:43:00,079 --> 00:43:00,880
Speaker 3: Want ahead for lunch?

844
00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 2: Yesterday the MVP.

845
00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 1: Of the twenty sixteen ALCS was Andrew Miller, and I

846
00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:07,199
think Clays.

847
00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:10,199
Speaker 2: I think Clay Holmes could be that guy for the Mets.

848
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:13,800
Speaker 1: Just going back to that that last game on this game, Brian,

849
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:16,840
I agree with you. I'm all about the over here

850
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:19,840
and I love that you picked that for the parlay.

851
00:43:21,199 --> 00:43:27,559
All right, let's uh, let's go to I had a

852
00:43:27,599 --> 00:43:29,079
game I was going to go to here and I

853
00:43:29,119 --> 00:43:29,599
lost it.

854
00:43:30,679 --> 00:43:30,960
Speaker 2: TV.

855
00:43:31,119 --> 00:43:32,760
Speaker 1: Do you know what you want to put in the

856
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:35,400
parlay yet? Because I don't so I'm still kind of

857
00:43:35,679 --> 00:43:38,079
thinking about a couple of things we've already talked about already.

858
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:40,559
Or do you have a game that you want to

859
00:43:40,599 --> 00:43:42,280
talk about that we haven't touched on yet.

860
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,440
Speaker 4: Let me let me do this, let me go back.

861
00:43:47,159 --> 00:43:49,320
Did did someone take Miami in the parlay?

862
00:43:50,039 --> 00:43:50,519
Speaker 2: Not yet?

863
00:43:50,599 --> 00:43:51,119
Speaker 3: Yeah?

864
00:43:51,159 --> 00:43:54,639
Speaker 4: Okay, but I think I I think I will uh

865
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:57,039
give me Miami Marlins in the first five. I think

866
00:43:57,079 --> 00:43:59,280
that would be a good play. I think it's minus

867
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:01,840
one thirty right now. I think that's a decent play.

868
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:03,519
I'm gonna fade Mitchell Parker.

869
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 1: All right, so we'll we'll we'll go back to that

870
00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:08,639
at the end of the show, since we already talked

871
00:44:08,679 --> 00:44:10,280
that game. We have a couple of people I'm gonna

872
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:12,039
go to this game. We'll we'll get that at the

873
00:44:12,119 --> 00:44:13,440
end of the show when we lock in the Parlay

874
00:44:13,519 --> 00:44:16,119
Russell deck in like half the chat now that I'm

875
00:44:16,159 --> 00:44:20,000
seeing it, wants to talk Braves Cubs. So Brian Leonard,

876
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:23,400
Bryce eld Bryce Ell do our favorite four A pitcher

877
00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:26,320
right here on the mound against Kate Horton, who's actually

878
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:27,000
been really good.

879
00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 2: For the Cubs.

880
00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:30,840
Speaker 1: I I think he's had a great rookie season so far.

881
00:44:31,000 --> 00:44:33,760
I think he's sort of been like anything that they

882
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:35,639
could have could have wanted him to be at this

883
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:38,119
point when he was sort of like highly touted coming

884
00:44:38,199 --> 00:44:40,440
up through the ranks. The other thing I'll point out

885
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:43,840
about the Cubs, I mean, are they like they're really

886
00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:46,199
trying to catch lightning in the bottle? They grabbed Aaron Savalle.

887
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:48,800
I saw Austin Gomber down at Triple A pitching for

888
00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:50,760
Iowa last night, but they must have signed him off,

889
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:52,960
you know, when the Rockies released him the other day.

890
00:44:53,519 --> 00:44:56,559
Speaker 2: So talk about that for a minute. Do the Cubs

891
00:44:56,559 --> 00:44:58,519
have enough pitching, and and it's hort and a guy

892
00:44:58,559 --> 00:45:00,519
that you would lay a dollar fifty you would in

893
00:45:00,559 --> 00:45:01,280
a spot like this.

894
00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:04,400
Speaker 3: First of all, just for Brandon. And keep in mind

895
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:06,800
he said one thirty, it's one forty five at this point.

896
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:09,400
I don't know if that changes anything or not, Okay,

897
00:45:10,559 --> 00:45:15,679
Elder and Horton. Horton's about one fifty and a total

898
00:45:15,679 --> 00:45:18,920
of eight and a half, slightly to the under in

899
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:23,920
this one. And Bryce Elder a big punching bag of

900
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:27,840
us all season long. But he memory serves me right.

901
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:30,360
He's been pitching a little bit better lately. Five point

902
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:33,400
eight five ERA, four point nine eight expected, one point

903
00:45:33,440 --> 00:45:35,280
four eight whip And that's where he gets in trouble.

904
00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:38,639
His grand ball rate's good, in fact, is very good

905
00:45:38,639 --> 00:45:41,840
at eighty six percentile, but all his numbers are in

906
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:45,360
the blue on stack cast, none of them single digits.

907
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:49,280
So he's just generally bad. But he's not a guy

908
00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:52,039
I want. And he only throw us four pitches. If

909
00:45:52,079 --> 00:45:54,760
you are a starter in major of the baseball, the

910
00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:59,079
more pitches you have the better. And he's because you

911
00:45:59,159 --> 00:46:00,920
see a lot of these younger as ms Arrowski and

912
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:02,679
some of these other guys that come out and they've

913
00:46:02,679 --> 00:46:06,400
only got three pitches. Some even comes to the majors

914
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:08,880
with two, and they're so good on those two pitches

915
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:11,039
they can get away with it, but not very often.

916
00:46:11,519 --> 00:46:13,840
So Elider is a guy usually try to fade. Kate

917
00:46:13,960 --> 00:46:18,519
Horten is a guy that he's He's been good, but

918
00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:22,559
he hasn't been great, and he's been a pretty highly

919
00:46:22,679 --> 00:46:25,840
tied to prospect for years for the Cubs. Comes in

920
00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:27,639
not a nice nine to four record, of course, comes

921
00:46:27,679 --> 00:46:30,639
are a good baseball team, but two point nine two ERA,

922
00:46:31,039 --> 00:46:34,159
but four point oh four expected one point one to

923
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:37,360
nine whip. I would think at this point the rest

924
00:46:37,400 --> 00:46:40,559
of the season he would play more towards they expected

925
00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:43,960
than the actual barrel red. He's only in the fourteenth

926
00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:49,039
percentile extension, twenty six strike up percent, thirty second. Everything

927
00:46:49,079 --> 00:46:52,760
I'm really on his statcast page is mediocre. It's not bad,

928
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:55,440
it's not good. It's just right down the middle of

929
00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:58,920
an average major league baseball pitcher. He does throw five

930
00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:01,519
different pitches, so the the Sinkers only throwing five percent

931
00:47:01,559 --> 00:47:04,320
of the time. It's for Sanery throws fifty percent of

932
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:07,039
the time. And I'm not a huge fastball guy. If

933
00:47:07,079 --> 00:47:11,039
you ever watched this before, especially when you don't have

934
00:47:11,079 --> 00:47:13,840
a great fastball. Now, the average for a right hander

935
00:47:13,880 --> 00:47:16,719
is ninety five. He's in ninety five point seven. It's

936
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,639
been enough to get him by right now. But in

937
00:47:19,679 --> 00:47:23,360
the future he's gonna lose velocity and he doesn't have

938
00:47:23,559 --> 00:47:26,519
enough of his other pitches that he throws enough, so

939
00:47:26,599 --> 00:47:29,760
eventually he's going to have to expand a little bit.

940
00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:33,840
But out of the two, yes, obviously I would prefer

941
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:37,199
him over Elder. And you're getting him in that one

942
00:47:37,199 --> 00:47:41,320
to fifty range, that may be a little bit too

943
00:47:41,679 --> 00:47:44,840
expensive for me. Chicago has not been playing well, and

944
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:47,639
I know they've got the better players, but that's probably

945
00:47:47,679 --> 00:47:49,760
going to be something I'm gonna sit on the side for.

946
00:47:53,039 --> 00:47:57,000
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, the Cubs are just a better team. I mean,

947
00:47:57,079 --> 00:47:59,559
I don't think anyone could argue with that. I mean,

948
00:48:00,719 --> 00:48:05,519
Horton's been pitching well. Elder is just atrocious. He's awful,

949
00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:10,480
and this Atlanta bullpen is even more awful. I got

950
00:48:10,559 --> 00:48:12,719
him ranked twenty four out of thirty in Current Form.

951
00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:16,400
That's just awful. Cubs, I got them ranked eleven for

952
00:48:16,519 --> 00:48:19,039
bullpen in current Form.

953
00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:19,480
Speaker 2: Hitting.

954
00:48:19,559 --> 00:48:22,800
Speaker 4: I got them both pretty even, but even with the

955
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:24,000
hitting being even.

956
00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:25,480
Speaker 2: I have the.

957
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:29,760
Speaker 4: Cubs ten points better than the Braves in this one.

958
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:31,559
Doesn't mean they're going to win by ten runs. It's

959
00:48:31,559 --> 00:48:34,320
just on my scale. If it's ten or more points,

960
00:48:34,400 --> 00:48:37,440
I'm comfortable taking a side if all the other things

961
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:42,280
pass the eye test. And I agree with Brian that

962
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:45,480
the Cubs are not playing well. So I'm very hesitant

963
00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:48,119
to do this, But if I were about it, the

964
00:48:48,159 --> 00:48:49,840
Cubs would be the only way to go for me.

965
00:48:51,920 --> 00:48:54,480
Speaker 1: Same just no way I could, no way I could

966
00:48:54,519 --> 00:48:56,559
take Bryce Elder at this point.

967
00:48:56,639 --> 00:48:58,880
Speaker 2: I know he's pitched a little bit better, but like.

968
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:02,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'll go back to what I've been saying

969
00:49:02,519 --> 00:49:05,199
about the Braves for weeks, like this, this is not

970
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:07,840
the team that I think is gonna play spoiler like

971
00:49:07,920 --> 00:49:09,800
this is the Braves are the team that I think

972
00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:13,960
got off the mat, had a nice month of August,

973
00:49:14,039 --> 00:49:19,639
which I wasn't necessarily expecting. Like they have played pretty

974
00:49:19,639 --> 00:49:22,199
good ball to this point, seven and three in their

975
00:49:22,239 --> 00:49:25,199
last ten games, and yet there's still thirteen games back

976
00:49:25,199 --> 00:49:26,920
of the wild Card, and there there's gonna be a

977
00:49:26,920 --> 00:49:30,079
point in time where I think they just call it

978
00:49:30,119 --> 00:49:32,840
a day, like I said it would be in September

979
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:34,960
at some point, because hey, like the Atlanta had a

980
00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:37,960
pretty a pretty solid August and I'm sorry I read

981
00:49:38,000 --> 00:49:39,760
that wrong. They're four and six in their last ten

982
00:49:40,039 --> 00:49:42,360
and they lost. They've now lost back to back, so

983
00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:46,039
it is so it's starting. In my opinion, I think

984
00:49:46,079 --> 00:49:49,880
you're gonna see the Braves fade drastically this this month.

985
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:52,639
The reason I say that is they just don't have

986
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:55,360
so like I'm looking at two teams and the standings

987
00:49:55,519 --> 00:49:57,760
that are that have the same record in the National League,

988
00:49:58,199 --> 00:50:02,320
Braves Pirates. They're both six seventy seven. The Pirates have

989
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:05,280
all these young guys that are eager to get up

990
00:50:05,320 --> 00:50:08,360
show what they can do. They want to get the experience,

991
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:12,639
and they actually have like highly rated, good young talent.

992
00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:18,079
The Braves have veteran players who are not having great

993
00:50:18,119 --> 00:50:21,079
seasons who thought that what they were signing up for

994
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:24,280
was was being on a team that was put potentially

995
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:27,320
gonna go to the playoffs and that have had like

996
00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:32,679
guys like Akuna, Marcelo Zuna, like the Olsen, like these

997
00:50:32,719 --> 00:50:34,079
type of guys have won before.

998
00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:35,800
Speaker 2: So like there's just.

999
00:50:36,199 --> 00:50:37,239
Speaker 1: How do you get out of the bed in the

1000
00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:38,760
morning if you're the Braves, right, you got to you

1001
00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:40,239
gotta go to work for the next three weeks.

1002
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:43,280
Speaker 2: I think this team is ready to call it a season.

1003
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:45,920
Speaker 1: And then you look at the Okay, so are they

1004
00:50:45,920 --> 00:50:47,840
gonna play the young guys? The Braves don't have those

1005
00:50:47,880 --> 00:50:52,159
young guys outside of like Drake Baldwin maybe I don't

1006
00:50:52,159 --> 00:50:54,800
even know who else I would consider like really good, young,

1007
00:50:55,000 --> 00:50:56,360
unproven talent on the Braves.

1008
00:50:56,360 --> 00:50:59,920
Speaker 2: They just don't have it. And Herston Waldrip's.

1009
00:50:59,440 --> 00:51:02,559
Speaker 1: Pretty good, you know, maybe a couple of pitchers, but

1010
00:51:02,639 --> 00:51:04,719
the Braves just don't have that type of talent right now.

1011
00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:06,119
So I think it's gonna be a bad month of

1012
00:51:06,159 --> 00:51:09,199
September for the Braves. Back to back losses already. I

1013
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:11,920
think they take another loss here. Not sure I can

1014
00:51:11,920 --> 00:51:14,239
play that, but I think they take another loss here

1015
00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:17,199
to the Cubs, who I do think. You know, if

1016
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:18,960
the Cubs come to play, they're gonna win this game.

1017
00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:22,880
I don't know how to put that. Any doesn't need

1018
00:51:23,079 --> 00:51:26,239
more sugarcoating than that. The Cubs show up with Horton here,

1019
00:51:26,400 --> 00:51:28,119
and they can and they have good at bats against

1020
00:51:28,159 --> 00:51:29,440
Bryce Eldert, they will score.

1021
00:51:29,519 --> 00:51:31,800
Speaker 2: They will win. It's that simple, all right. I want

1022
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:32,639
to go to Brian.

1023
00:51:32,760 --> 00:51:34,880
Speaker 1: I know the game I want to talk about, and

1024
00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:37,840
I'll see if either of you talk me out of

1025
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:39,000
this or agree with me.

1026
00:51:39,119 --> 00:51:42,079
Speaker 2: But I have an opinion in Angels Royals that will

1027
00:51:42,519 --> 00:51:45,760
likely close out our parlay. So let's talk about that game,

1028
00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:47,039
Angels Royals.

1029
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:50,320
Speaker 1: I believe the Angels are gonna start Cayden Dana here,

1030
00:51:51,199 --> 00:51:52,960
who's been up a couple of times and has not

1031
00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:58,920
been very good, and it's probably burget Berger, Ryan Berger

1032
00:52:00,119 --> 00:52:05,599
for Burgett for the Royals who desperately need this one

1033
00:52:05,599 --> 00:52:07,199
two and a half out of the wild card and

1034
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:09,960
they can't afford to lose games like this.

1035
00:52:10,119 --> 00:52:12,400
Speaker 2: So, Brian, Royal's Angels, how are you seeing this one?

1036
00:52:14,280 --> 00:52:17,840
Speaker 3: We're looking at? Burget is basically a one seventy five

1037
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:21,119
favorite and a total of nine, And there's no way

1038
00:52:21,159 --> 00:52:23,639
the hell I'm laying one seventy five with Ryan Burgett.

1039
00:52:24,880 --> 00:52:29,320
Cayden Dana comes in, Kip in mind, this kid is

1040
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:34,280
twenty one years old. He pitched last year for the Angels.

1041
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:36,639
They brought him up through ten innings, as you mentioned,

1042
00:52:36,679 --> 00:52:39,679
did not go well. They brought him up twice this

1043
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:43,199
year in a really for all it did not go well.

1044
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:45,960
But if you've got a twenty twenty one year old

1045
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:50,920
guy that's getting major league experience, that tells you what

1046
00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:55,079
they think of him. Overall, his numbers are ugly. I

1047
00:52:55,119 --> 00:52:57,199
won't get into all that, but this is a guy

1048
00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:58,800
I've been waiting to get up there and to get

1049
00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:01,440
a chance. So I'm looking any chance I get to

1050
00:53:01,559 --> 00:53:06,519
play Canaan Dan Cayden Dana. He's there currently their number

1051
00:53:06,559 --> 00:53:10,119
five draft pick or excuse me, prospect. But he's a guy,

1052
00:53:10,159 --> 00:53:13,320
he's the future of this pitching staff. I believe Ryan Bergett.

1053
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:16,360
His numbers are great, two point sixty seven e r

1054
00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:19,880
A four point h nine unfortunately expected one point one

1055
00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:23,440
one web, but if you look at his stash cast page,

1056
00:53:23,519 --> 00:53:27,159
he's lower, a lower volume. If a scale of one

1057
00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:30,559
to ten from an average major league it would be five,

1058
00:53:30,639 --> 00:53:33,440
he would be a four. And yet he's gotten off

1059
00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:36,199
to this great start. And that's why this line is

1060
00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:40,679
so high. Along with Kansas City. The need factor, and

1061
00:53:41,000 --> 00:53:45,079
I always say, if a team is in the need factor,

1062
00:53:45,199 --> 00:53:47,719
the need to win this game, they're just not very good.

1063
00:53:48,199 --> 00:53:50,000
That's the whole point. They've had a whole season to

1064
00:53:50,039 --> 00:53:53,639
put themselves in this position. He's in the fourth percentile

1065
00:53:53,920 --> 00:53:58,800
ground ball rate, which is excellent in this ballpark. For

1066
00:53:58,800 --> 00:54:01,000
the most part, this year's there's been more home runs,

1067
00:54:01,000 --> 00:54:04,800
but normally it hasn't. But he hasn't been that good.

1068
00:54:04,840 --> 00:54:06,679
He's not as good as what he is. And you're

1069
00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:10,000
going up against kayd and Dana who's better than what

1070
00:54:10,079 --> 00:54:14,719
he has shown, and you're getting dollar fifty dollars fifty eight.

1071
00:54:15,039 --> 00:54:17,320
Come on, this is the one way you find a

1072
00:54:17,320 --> 00:54:19,119
way to play the Angels. So you don't play this game.

1073
00:54:21,599 --> 00:54:23,880
Speaker 4: I'll make this nice, short and sweet. I'm not going

1074
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:26,199
to play the game because there's too many X factors.

1075
00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:31,960
The Royals rank higher in hitting in bullpen, but again,

1076
00:54:32,320 --> 00:54:34,960
too many unknown factors here, so I am not going

1077
00:54:35,039 --> 00:54:37,760
to play it. I'll probably play tomorrow when Lugo goes

1078
00:54:37,760 --> 00:54:39,440
for the Royals, so I don't think he'll have too

1079
00:54:39,440 --> 00:54:42,280
bad starts in a row. But for today, I'm going

1080
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:46,000
to lay off. Go download my picture projections sheet from

1081
00:54:46,000 --> 00:54:47,480
my page at wages talk dot com.

1082
00:54:47,519 --> 00:54:48,119
Speaker 2: It's free.

1083
00:54:50,599 --> 00:54:53,360
Speaker 1: I was I was not expecting Brian to disagree with

1084
00:54:53,400 --> 00:54:56,039
me that bad. I get where the price is, totally

1085
00:54:56,119 --> 00:54:59,559
understand that. But so here's my opinion. On the Kate

1086
00:54:59,639 --> 00:55:02,360
on Kate Dana, and I think there's two guys in

1087
00:55:02,400 --> 00:55:05,199
my opinion that I hope their organization at the end

1088
00:55:05,199 --> 00:55:08,280
of the season calls them into the coach's offices and says.

1089
00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:11,920
Speaker 2: Hey, we fed up, that's are bad, Like We're sorry.

1090
00:55:12,400 --> 00:55:14,480
Speaker 1: Did he or Fuentes on the Braves is an odin

1091
00:55:14,559 --> 00:55:18,360
apology from his from from Braves management. The other guy

1092
00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:22,480
is Caden Dana, because Cad and Dana last year was

1093
00:55:22,519 --> 00:55:25,079
as touted of a like. He was as high on

1094
00:55:25,119 --> 00:55:28,119
my Triple A pitcher power ratings when he came up

1095
00:55:28,159 --> 00:55:30,000
from Double A as anyone. And what the what the

1096
00:55:30,039 --> 00:55:33,119
Angels have done is maybe what they're as good as

1097
00:55:33,159 --> 00:55:35,400
any team in the league and doing, and that's ruining pitching.

1098
00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:39,159
This Angels team just ruins pitchers. And Caden Dana is

1099
00:55:39,199 --> 00:55:43,239
another example. There was a there was a scenario so

1100
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:46,800
earlier this year they called him up April fourth, which

1101
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:49,320
was probably always always too soon. It's one of those

1102
00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:51,360
things where you should have just had him on the

1103
00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:54,159
big league roster out of camp. I think they like,

1104
00:55:54,320 --> 00:55:57,880
I think he was possibly on it, they went a

1105
00:55:57,920 --> 00:56:01,000
different way. He went into the and then of course

1106
00:56:01,199 --> 00:56:04,639
Angels needed a pitcher, so they called him up, gets crushed.

1107
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:07,400
It was a bad spot for him, goes back down.

1108
00:56:07,599 --> 00:56:09,280
He's pitching, okay, he's pitching okay.

1109
00:56:09,280 --> 00:56:12,199
Speaker 2: Then he has a scenario where I bet the game,

1110
00:56:12,320 --> 00:56:13,119
so I remember this.

1111
00:56:13,199 --> 00:56:15,639
Speaker 1: He didn't have it in the first inning, so they

1112
00:56:15,719 --> 00:56:18,320
like took him out after a third of an inning

1113
00:56:18,360 --> 00:56:20,079
and try to give him a start a couple of

1114
00:56:20,159 --> 00:56:24,400
days later against the same team, gets bombed. Shocker, like

1115
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:27,280
that was ever gonna work out. Then he gets called

1116
00:56:27,360 --> 00:56:29,360
up again to face the Marlins.

1117
00:56:29,400 --> 00:56:29,840
Speaker 2: Crushed.

1118
00:56:29,920 --> 00:56:32,840
Speaker 1: So that's is two times now he's gone back down

1119
00:56:33,440 --> 00:56:38,039
injured mid middle of June, probably because they're dicking him around.

1120
00:56:38,039 --> 00:56:39,800
He's a starter. Now he's out of the bullpen. We've

1121
00:56:39,800 --> 00:56:41,559
got him out of the bullpen here. Now we're gonna

1122
00:56:41,559 --> 00:56:44,079
start him. Now, we're gonna start him after letting him

1123
00:56:44,079 --> 00:56:45,360
throw an inning when he didn't have it.

1124
00:56:45,440 --> 00:56:47,599
Speaker 2: Just a total shit show. Should have never happened.

1125
00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:51,119
Speaker 1: Hurt on the il for a month, comes back crushed

1126
00:56:51,159 --> 00:56:53,519
every single game since he's been back. It's just a

1127
00:56:53,599 --> 00:56:56,079
bit a total dick around for him. His era at

1128
00:56:56,159 --> 00:57:00,159
Salt Lake this month is six in five starts with

1129
00:57:00,239 --> 00:57:02,320
a two fifty three batting average against in a one

1130
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:05,039
point four to two whip. So what did they say

1131
00:57:05,039 --> 00:57:09,159
on short notice here, fitt, let's let's let's let's fly

1132
00:57:09,239 --> 00:57:11,440
out to Kansas City. We'll give you, We'll give you

1133
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:13,519
the start here. It just like this is what I'm

1134
00:57:13,519 --> 00:57:15,960
talking about. Like, I don't think he was even I

1135
00:57:15,960 --> 00:57:18,719
didn't hear he was starting until until like a few

1136
00:57:18,719 --> 00:57:19,199
minutes ago.

1137
00:57:20,000 --> 00:57:20,079
Speaker 2: Uh.

1138
00:57:20,239 --> 00:57:22,480
Speaker 1: But the reason he's probably gonna come up and make

1139
00:57:22,519 --> 00:57:25,559
this start is the Angels cook through their bullpen In

1140
00:57:25,679 --> 00:57:27,679
last night's win. They used a lot of bullpen arms,

1141
00:57:27,719 --> 00:57:31,079
so they probably looked at who was coming up and said, well,

1142
00:57:31,119 --> 00:57:33,280
we already ruined this guy enough. Let's just throw him

1143
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:35,840
back out there and see what he can do. Not

1144
00:57:36,039 --> 00:57:39,760
fair tough spot for him, and then after him no

1145
00:57:39,840 --> 00:57:42,360
bullpen arms because you used all the good ones last night.

1146
00:57:42,440 --> 00:57:44,639
So I don't see if they listen. The Royals stuck

1147
00:57:44,639 --> 00:57:46,199
it to me twice last week, so I won't be

1148
00:57:46,239 --> 00:57:48,880
surprised if they just vomit on themselves here for taking

1149
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:52,480
one of Tokyo Brandon's terms. If they puke all over

1150
00:57:52,519 --> 00:57:54,480
themselves in an inn a spot where they need to win,

1151
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:57,760
won't surprise me. But this is as good of a

1152
00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:00,559
spot as you're gonna find for the Royals on their

1153
00:58:00,599 --> 00:58:02,880
home field. There's no way I can play it straight

1154
00:58:02,920 --> 00:58:05,440
at the price. So to get some action here, I

1155
00:58:05,480 --> 00:58:07,719
gotta I gotta put it in the parlay. So what

1156
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:09,440
are we looking at for a Royals money line?

1157
00:58:09,480 --> 00:58:09,880
Speaker 2: Right here?

1158
00:58:10,599 --> 00:58:12,760
Speaker 3: He worried. He just said, I'm not going to play

1159
00:58:12,800 --> 00:58:15,519
it straight. That's where the value is in the in

1160
00:58:15,599 --> 00:58:20,760
the the line. Great, great back and forth. I love that.

1161
00:58:20,800 --> 00:58:27,519
I appreciate it. Right now you're looking at in the parlay,

1162
00:58:27,519 --> 00:58:31,920
we're looking at about it? What one seventy five? It's

1163
00:58:31,920 --> 00:58:35,400
all over the place right now. But one seventy five is.

1164
00:58:35,519 --> 00:58:36,280
Speaker 2: Uh, that's fine?

1165
00:58:36,280 --> 00:58:38,599
Speaker 1: And and and real quick turnbuckle, Tommy. We we've hit

1166
00:58:38,639 --> 00:58:41,440
back to back parlays multiple times so far. I just

1167
00:58:41,440 --> 00:58:43,559
want to I just want to update everyone since we

1168
00:58:43,559 --> 00:58:45,480
we went through it a little bit in the parlays

1169
00:58:45,519 --> 00:58:48,159
the last couple of weeks. Someone says they barely hit

1170
00:58:48,199 --> 00:58:50,800
parlays on the show. You must be new, because we

1171
00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:52,719
got so what he Here's what happened. If you're new

1172
00:58:52,760 --> 00:58:54,639
to the show, we got out to a hot star

1173
00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:57,639
in the parlays, as you know, hitting three teamers.

1174
00:58:57,639 --> 00:58:59,199
Speaker 2: This is something we kind of do for fun on

1175
00:58:59,239 --> 00:58:59,639
the show.

1176
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:03,079
Speaker 1: We lost most of what we were up yesterday, we win,

1177
00:59:03,159 --> 00:59:06,320
so coming into today just to update everyone, and this,

1178
00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:08,559
in my opinion, is pretty impressive. We have fired a

1179
00:59:08,599 --> 00:59:12,920
parlay on this show every single day since April and

1180
00:59:13,159 --> 00:59:15,400
coming into today, if you were to play them for

1181
00:59:15,480 --> 00:59:18,119
a dollar for the same amount, so for you know,

1182
00:59:18,239 --> 00:59:20,800
let's say you played them for one unit or every

1183
00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:23,440
every dollar, let's say you put ten dollars on each one.

1184
00:59:24,159 --> 00:59:28,960
For every dollar that has been risked, we're up one

1185
00:59:29,000 --> 00:59:31,239
point one to two units, which means it's hey, it's

1186
00:59:31,239 --> 00:59:34,960
not much, but we're kind of showing that, like we're

1187
00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:38,119
able to grind a little bit in and listen, Like,

1188
00:59:38,159 --> 00:59:40,079
I don't think any of the three of us would say, hey,

1189
00:59:40,199 --> 00:59:42,960
parlay betting is smart. This is something we do for

1190
00:59:43,000 --> 00:59:45,159
fun to just add some little little bit of value

1191
00:59:45,159 --> 00:59:47,400
for the show. Oftentimes that yesterday I told you the

1192
00:59:47,400 --> 00:59:49,400
pirates were my four percenter, so you could have just

1193
00:59:49,480 --> 00:59:50,280
hit that straight and.

1194
00:59:50,559 --> 00:59:51,199
Speaker 2: Cash with that.

1195
00:59:52,000 --> 00:59:53,480
Speaker 1: But I think we've done a pretty good job on

1196
00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:56,280
the parlays overall the fact that we are up ahead

1197
00:59:56,599 --> 01:00:00,119
in September Betting three Team parlays on a show or

1198
01:00:00,119 --> 01:00:02,440
we're essentially just putting our leans in a parlay.

1199
01:00:02,760 --> 01:00:05,320
Speaker 2: It's pretty impressive, So shout out to us. That's all

1200
01:00:05,320 --> 01:00:05,519
I had.

1201
01:00:05,719 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 4: And Brian can probably attest to this because Brian knows

1202
01:00:08,880 --> 01:00:12,119
more about casinos in Vegas. But I heard somewhere that

1203
01:00:12,199 --> 01:00:15,000
they make most of their money on parlays too, because

1204
01:00:15,000 --> 01:00:16,119
people always lose them.

1205
01:00:16,239 --> 01:00:20,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, they make all their money on parlays and parlay cards.

1206
01:00:21,000 --> 01:00:22,880
Not saying it's not good bets once in a while,

1207
01:00:22,920 --> 01:00:28,199
but yeah, in fact, generally, anybody out there that there's

1208
01:00:28,199 --> 01:00:30,440
a new show on our network. I watched it the

1209
01:00:30,519 --> 01:00:33,199
other day Press. I believe as the host he started

1210
01:00:33,199 --> 01:00:36,320
doing the parlays based on what we do here, because

1211
01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:39,280
it's so much like by you guys. Go back and

1212
01:00:39,280 --> 01:00:41,039
look at them at the end of the football season,

1213
01:00:41,719 --> 01:00:44,280
and nothing against those guys are all very good and

1214
01:00:44,280 --> 01:00:46,559
one of them is a book maker, but see what

1215
01:00:46,599 --> 01:00:51,000
their record is after the season. On three I want

1216
01:00:51,039 --> 01:00:53,079
to go I don't. I don't have time to watch

1217
01:00:53,079 --> 01:00:56,000
that show, but somebody tracked that. I was watching it

1218
01:00:56,079 --> 01:00:59,000
yesterday and they're doing the exact same thing as we are.

1219
01:01:00,679 --> 01:01:06,440
Speaker 1: I don't have time to either to be honest with

1220
01:01:06,480 --> 01:01:09,280
you like it. But but again, if you when we

1221
01:01:09,519 --> 01:01:12,239
threw out the idea to do this early April, I

1222
01:01:12,280 --> 01:01:14,760
think we're all like shit, like we're tracking that, like

1223
01:01:14,840 --> 01:01:15,800
this is going to be hard.

1224
01:01:16,039 --> 01:01:17,199
Speaker 2: It's going to be hard.

1225
01:01:18,119 --> 01:01:21,119
Speaker 1: The fact that we are sitting here on September fifth

1226
01:01:21,159 --> 01:01:24,800
in the plus to me is a major accomplishment.

1227
01:01:25,159 --> 01:01:26,320
Speaker 2: But we're not done yet.

1228
01:01:26,440 --> 01:01:28,599
Speaker 1: We need to have a good September because I really

1229
01:01:28,599 --> 01:01:30,519
want to get to the end of this this show

1230
01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:32,320
and be in the plus on the parlay.

1231
01:01:32,360 --> 01:01:33,480
Speaker 2: So, Brian, I know we know.

1232
01:01:33,639 --> 01:01:36,559
Speaker 4: That show, but could you imagine if you bet, if

1233
01:01:36,599 --> 01:01:39,519
you bet our bets separately as three, how much you'd

1234
01:01:39,559 --> 01:01:40,800
be up? Probably quite a bit.

1235
01:01:40,880 --> 01:01:43,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was gonna say, we've definitely got two of

1236
01:01:43,119 --> 01:01:46,719
three on a number of occasions, so many many times.

1237
01:01:46,639 --> 01:01:48,480
Speaker 3: About three, and all more than we've gone on three.

1238
01:01:48,519 --> 01:01:52,000
Speaker 1: Also, yes, Brian, what is it? What is the juice

1239
01:01:52,000 --> 01:01:54,440
on that over in the Giant Rockeys game.

1240
01:01:54,639 --> 01:01:58,840
Speaker 3: That is minus one fifteen The Miami first half is

1241
01:01:58,840 --> 01:02:01,960
minus one forty five and your Royals are minus one

1242
01:02:02,079 --> 01:02:02,679
seventy five.

1243
01:02:03,480 --> 01:02:05,360
Speaker 1: And also I want to make sure that like set

1244
01:02:05,440 --> 01:02:08,239
like the other thing to point out it has nothing

1245
01:02:08,280 --> 01:02:11,360
against the other show. It's that baseball is just it

1246
01:02:11,400 --> 01:02:13,440
is a more a little bit more of a beatable

1247
01:02:13,480 --> 01:02:16,440
market than like I'm assuming they're doing, like NFL sides

1248
01:02:16,480 --> 01:02:20,519
and college football totals really really tough to beat the NFL.

1249
01:02:20,559 --> 01:02:24,440
Speaker 2: It just against on sides and stuff. Just very very difficult.

1250
01:02:24,519 --> 01:02:28,000
Speaker 1: But anyway, let me run, let me get a let

1251
01:02:28,039 --> 01:02:30,800
me get a number for that. As my screen just

1252
01:02:31,000 --> 01:02:34,000
shut down after I had it punched in, so I

1253
01:02:34,039 --> 01:02:36,039
will read it as I as I punched this in,

1254
01:02:36,119 --> 01:02:40,920
you said minus one fifteen on that total. Brian, Yes, beautiful, Okay,

1255
01:02:41,239 --> 01:02:43,320
So that is gonna so the parlay is gonna come

1256
01:02:43,360 --> 01:02:44,800
out to plus three ninety six.

1257
01:02:44,880 --> 01:02:48,159
Speaker 2: That's actually not terrible considering TV and I went a

1258
01:02:48,159 --> 01:02:50,159
little juice on our legs.

1259
01:02:50,480 --> 01:02:55,079
Speaker 1: So Tokyo, Brandon is going with Marlins first five money line.

1260
01:02:55,320 --> 01:02:57,920
I'm going with the Royals for the full game on

1261
01:02:57,960 --> 01:03:00,679
the money line, and Brian Leonard's going with a total

1262
01:03:01,000 --> 01:03:04,960
over eleven Giants Rockies. So one more time on the

1263
01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:10,480
three teamer Marlin's first five money line, Royal's money line,

1264
01:03:10,679 --> 01:03:15,360
and Bryan says Giants Rockies over eleven pace plus three

1265
01:03:15,440 --> 01:03:19,360
ninety six. So we need to now I feel like

1266
01:03:19,400 --> 01:03:21,480
we're the challenges. Can we hit them back to back?

1267
01:03:21,559 --> 01:03:23,639
Day three teamers. I will say this, I don't think

1268
01:03:23,639 --> 01:03:25,880
it's happened in a little bit, so I'd love to

1269
01:03:25,920 --> 01:03:29,239
do it today. Let's hit another parlay, win or lose.

1270
01:03:29,679 --> 01:03:32,320
We'll be back at nine am tomorrow morning. All the

1271
01:03:32,320 --> 01:03:34,400
guys are gonna have stuff up on their page today.

1272
01:03:34,559 --> 01:03:37,239
TV's already got stuff up. I'll be probably locking in

1273
01:03:37,280 --> 01:03:40,639
a place shortly here. I think everyone's on a pretty

1274
01:03:40,679 --> 01:03:43,400
good run, so check out the different specials right now.

1275
01:03:43,400 --> 01:03:45,760
I think we've got a seven day all access that

1276
01:03:45,920 --> 01:03:49,760
is pretty discounted, and that's for all handicappers, so take

1277
01:03:49,760 --> 01:03:50,320
a look at that.

1278
01:03:50,880 --> 01:03:53,760
Speaker 2: We appreciate you guys tuning in. This show has been

1279
01:03:55,119 --> 01:03:58,079
probably the most fun I've had on a Wager talk

1280
01:03:58,119 --> 01:04:02,119
show maybe ever since, you know, since I've been working here.

1281
01:04:02,199 --> 01:04:05,039
Speaker 1: So uh, it's been great. We'll be here all September

1282
01:04:05,079 --> 01:04:06,719
in all playoffs. As far as I know, we're gonna

1283
01:04:06,760 --> 01:04:08,960
be here all playoffs, so uh, we'll be.

1284
01:04:09,079 --> 01:04:11,000
Speaker 2: We'll be. We'll be with you guys for the long haul,

1285
01:04:11,320 --> 01:04:13,960
and we'll be back tomorrow morning. Win or lose. Have

1286
01:04:14,039 --> 01:04:15,920
a great day everyone. We'll see you guys in the morning.

1287
01:04:17,280 --> 01:04:17,519
Speaker 1: Yeah,