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<v Speaker 1>Hey everybody, Welcome into the Thinking Crypto podcast. You're home

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<v Speaker 1>for cryptocurrency news and interviews. I'm your host, Tony Edward.

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<v Speaker 1>On your way in. Please hit that subscribe button as

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<v Speaker 1>well as a thumbs up button and leave a common blow.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're listening on a podcast platform such as Spotify

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<v Speaker 1>or Apple, please leave a five star rating and review. Folks,

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<v Speaker 1>Happy new Year. I hope you're all doing well. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>wishing you all a happy, healthy and prosperous twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 1>six and hopefully the markets deliver for us. And I

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<v Speaker 1>want to kick it off by looking at some bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>charts and what some analysts are saying, because we're getting

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<v Speaker 1>different information from different folks, and of course we want

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<v Speaker 1>to look at multiple point of views, not just one, right,

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<v Speaker 1>we want to make sure that we're covering all our bases.

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<v Speaker 1>So first up, I want to share what Credible Crypto

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<v Speaker 1>said on x He says one month later and nothing

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<v Speaker 1>has really changed as expected. We are simply chopping around

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<v Speaker 1>at these levels with zero breaks in the high timeframe

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<v Speaker 1>market structure. Despite many already claiming our cycle top is

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<v Speaker 1>in seventy four K remains unbroken and there are a

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<v Speaker 1>number of indications that we are forming a bottom here.

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<v Speaker 1>So of course we've been seeing that different signals like

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<v Speaker 1>the RSI, mac d's and so forth type signal we

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<v Speaker 1>are at the bottom. But you know, one of the

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<v Speaker 1>things I've been saying is that don't be surprised if

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<v Speaker 1>we see another flush and we go down to maybe

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<v Speaker 1>retest some loads, maybe we go retest seventy nine K

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<v Speaker 1>or eighty k, right, just be mentally prepared for that.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not guaranteed that it's going to happen, but markets

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<v Speaker 1>can do these things, and we just want to be

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<v Speaker 1>mentally prepared so we're not surprised, we're not caught flat footed.

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<v Speaker 1>And as Credible Crypto is saying here, seventy K is

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<v Speaker 1>that key support level. If we break the low there

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<v Speaker 1>and we go low, then yes, the thesis is invalidated.

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<v Speaker 1>So until that breaks, we are still remaining bullish, whether

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<v Speaker 1>it's a move to a relief rally or a dead

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<v Speaker 1>cat bounce or a new all time high. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>the big quest rush for many and we're gonna wait

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<v Speaker 1>to see. So here's what some other folks are saying.

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<v Speaker 1>Here's the headline. Bitcoin RSI demands breakout as exec says

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<v Speaker 1>our Ip to the four year bitcoin price cycle. So

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<v Speaker 1>of course we've been talking about the price cycle being

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<v Speaker 1>broken because this time is different. For the first time

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<v Speaker 1>ever after the having year, we closed the year on

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<v Speaker 1>a red or in the red, so the yearly candle

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<v Speaker 1>was red instead of green. Usually it's three green followed

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<v Speaker 1>by one red, which is the bear market. Now it's

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<v Speaker 1>only been two green followed by a red, which was

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty five. So this time is different, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>been different since the beginning of the bull market. If

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<v Speaker 1>you recall the bitcoin having the price hitting new all

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<v Speaker 1>time high before the having and that was because of

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<v Speaker 1>the Bitcoin ETF launch. So since then it's been different.

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<v Speaker 1>You can't argue with that because we've seen historically those

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<v Speaker 1>things have not happened, but they have happened this cycle.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is where some people who are calling the top,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, they have to take these things into consideration.

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<v Speaker 1>You can't ignore them, right, So this is why I'm

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<v Speaker 1>sharing with you, and we're looking at which scenario has

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<v Speaker 1>the highest probability of playing out. Okay, So Bitcoin open

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<v Speaker 1>the year twenty twenty six at eighty seven five hundred

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<v Speaker 1>dollars as markets geared up for the year's first Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street trading session. The key points Bitcoin lies in wait

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<v Speaker 1>at eighty seven thousand, five hundred for the start of

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<v Speaker 1>trent fied trading on global markets. RSI and Ballinger bands

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<v Speaker 1>signals imply major bitcoin price volatility is due. Market participants

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<v Speaker 1>say goodbye to the four year price cycle theory. So again,

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<v Speaker 1>highlighting the RSI even the Ballinger band signal, highlighting a

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<v Speaker 1>reversal is due right now. Timing is of course hard

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<v Speaker 1>because the market could chop for another two weeks, right.

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<v Speaker 1>This is just the nature of markets. And I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>saying that to be bears or to feel make you

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<v Speaker 1>feel depressed. Just the reality. Let's look at the data

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<v Speaker 1>and let's accept reality of what's happening and follow the day.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think people on different fronts, using different signals

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<v Speaker 1>are recognizing things are due for a reversal. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday I shared the bitcoin mvr V from multiple levels

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<v Speaker 1>three the yearly, the two year, even the monthly, and

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<v Speaker 1>they're all in the loss right now. So again, I

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<v Speaker 1>think a reversal is coming soon. Now here's some very

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<v Speaker 1>interesting statements from Bohines. Many of you may recall I

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<v Speaker 1>interviewed bow Hines when he was working at the White

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<v Speaker 1>House under David Sachs as one of the crypto advisors. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>he now works for Tether right, he's going to be

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<v Speaker 1>leading the Tether US stable coin USD stable coin, which

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<v Speaker 1>is us base. He tweeted out yesterday, Guys, anyone bearish

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<v Speaker 1>on bitcoin heading into twenty twenty six is foolish. Now

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<v Speaker 1>this came from someone else, some random guy, I wouldn't care,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's coming from someone very credible, someone who has

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<v Speaker 1>close ties to the Trump administration. Obviously he's working at

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<v Speaker 1>Teather right, So I have to put some value in this,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think this is a big statement here. A

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<v Speaker 1>lot of different folks are saying, you know, this year

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be big for crypto, and that could

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<v Speaker 1>be along the thesis of what we've been talking about,

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<v Speaker 1>one final leg for the stock market and crypto blow

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<v Speaker 1>off top then we actually roll into the bear market.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's see. Let's see. This is a big statement

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<v Speaker 1>come from Bo and I hope to have him back

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<v Speaker 1>on the podcast soon as Teather launches their USD stable coin.

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<v Speaker 1>And speaking of Tether, they bought in Q four twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five, eight and eighty eight bitcoin worth seven hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and seventy nine million dollars. So I pose the question

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<v Speaker 1>that I've been posing, you know, highlighting the news of

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<v Speaker 1>digital acid treasury companies and these different firms buying crypto.

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<v Speaker 1>Why the hell would they be buying if the price

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<v Speaker 1>is on its way down as some people are saying,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a bear market, it's on its way down, a

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<v Speaker 1>downward slope, right, why would they here? It doesn't make sense?

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<v Speaker 1>And in addition, why are we seeing crypto companies looking

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<v Speaker 1>to go public in twenty twenty six? Again the prices

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<v Speaker 1>are about to go down. People are depressed, right, There's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of fear in the market. No one wants

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<v Speaker 1>to touch anything or invest anything. So why are these

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<v Speaker 1>companies and non crypto companies as well tech companies, AI

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<v Speaker 1>companies and so we're looking to go public? I pose

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<v Speaker 1>the question for you to think about it. Look at

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<v Speaker 1>this XRP ETFs have pulled in one billion dollars plus

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<v Speaker 1>in just fifty days, locking seven hundred and forty six

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<v Speaker 1>million XRP one point one four percent of the circulan supply,

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<v Speaker 1>with only one zero inflow day since launch. At the

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<v Speaker 1>current twenty seven point seven million dollars per day pace.

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<v Speaker 1>ETF assets could hit five billion dollars by mid May

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty six, potentially locking two point six billion XRP

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<v Speaker 1>four percent of the supply, as the exchange balances are

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<v Speaker 1>all ready down fifty eight percent and twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 1>So one of the things I've been highlighting recently is

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<v Speaker 1>that if you have coins leaving the exchanges, people are buying,

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<v Speaker 1>that's very positive. Is less cell pressure? Right when whales

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<v Speaker 1>are moving the coins back on, that's when you get

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<v Speaker 1>to worry because they're looking to exit the distribute, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So very good sign here for XRP, and the accumulation

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<v Speaker 1>and the ETFs continue, and then you know, as far

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<v Speaker 1>as the XRP chart still looks good, nothing necessarily bearersh here. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>there could be some more downward pressure, but still holding

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<v Speaker 1>key support levels. And you know, it looks like it's

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<v Speaker 1>set up for that one more move to the blow

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<v Speaker 1>off top right in my opinion, And I could be wrong.

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<v Speaker 1>I could be wrong. You know, I have no problem

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<v Speaker 1>in saying I'm wrong. What I want to know is

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<v Speaker 1>what is the data, Not the emotions, not the fairy tales,

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<v Speaker 1>not the stories, Just what is the data showing us

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<v Speaker 1>and not just charts, but the macro and on chain

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<v Speaker 1>as well. You have to look at all of those things.

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<v Speaker 1>There are some people who are chart only and I

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<v Speaker 1>don't believe in that because markets move by liquidity. If

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<v Speaker 1>there's no liquidity, markets don't do anything right. But on

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<v Speaker 1>top of liquidity is sentiment. Right, So you may have

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<v Speaker 1>tons of liquidity in the market, but it's a cyclical patterns.

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<v Speaker 1>Market don't go up forever, markets don't go down forever, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and sentiment drives a lot of that. So this is

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<v Speaker 1>where I've learned throughout the year, is how to navigate

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<v Speaker 1>the markets and make money. Obviously, this time around is

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<v Speaker 1>a bit rough. We've been throwing some curveballs. Obviously twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five very different. But you know, there's a saying

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<v Speaker 1>time in the markets is better than trying to time

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<v Speaker 1>the markets. Okay, folks, This episode is brought to you

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<v Speaker 1>by v chain, which is one of the top layer

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<v Speaker 1>one enterprise blockchains out there. Folks. V chain is getting

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<v Speaker 1>tons of adoption from big brands and companies across the

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<v Speaker 1>globe who are building Web three and decentralized applications on

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<v Speaker 1>this blockchain. Now I'm a VET token holder and have

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<v Speaker 1>been since twenty eighteen, folks, so I'm very bullished on

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<v Speaker 1>this project. I continue to hold the token. They have

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<v Speaker 1>five million plus active users, three hundred and fifty applications

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<v Speaker 1>that are built on them, and they were founded back

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty fifteen. Their partner with Dana White and the UFC.

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<v Speaker 1>Dana White in twenty twenty five said he bought a

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<v Speaker 1>million dollars of the VET token, and they're working with

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<v Speaker 1>big firms like Walmart, like your PwC, Boston Consulting Group BMW,

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<v Speaker 1>and much more. So I'm a big fan of v chain,

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<v Speaker 1>a big believer in this project. And you know, some

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<v Speaker 1>of the key features of the v chain blockchain includes

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<v Speaker 1>it's scalable, secureable, fast, and compliant. So if you'd like

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<v Speaker 1>to learn more about v chain, go to vchain dot org.

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<v Speaker 1>Link would be in the description. Okay, folks, look at

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<v Speaker 1>this crypto dash from continues. Turkmenistan rings in the new

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<v Speaker 1>year with crypto exchanges and miners. So it looks like

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<v Speaker 1>they gave some approvals here. So crypto mining and trading

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<v Speaker 1>is now legal in Turkmenistan after a new law signed

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<v Speaker 1>by President Siddar oh My Gosh. I can't pronounce his

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<v Speaker 1>last name. I'm not going to try. In late November,

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<v Speaker 1>took effect on Thursday. Implementation of the new laws could

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<v Speaker 1>see these Central Asian countries' economy expand beyond its heavy

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<v Speaker 1>reliance on natural gas exports by tapping surplus energy for

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<v Speaker 1>crypto mining, following the lead of neighboring country Kazakhstan. A

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<v Speaker 1>couple of things here. See the game theory that's playing out.

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<v Speaker 1>One country moves in that region, the others follow right. Second,

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<v Speaker 1>what have I been saying? Any country that bans crypto

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<v Speaker 1>is signing its economic death sentence because this technology will

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<v Speaker 1>be a big contributor to economic growth and how the

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<v Speaker 1>new financial system will be running. I've said it at nauseum.

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<v Speaker 1>The future governments, markets and economies will all be running

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<v Speaker 1>on blockchain rails. That is what's being built here. That's

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<v Speaker 1>why you're seeing sometimes these countries which we've never even

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<v Speaker 1>heard of, or it's not top of mine at all. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>I can't remember the last time I've heard anything about Turkmenistan.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying anything bad or negative, just it's, you know, somebody,

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<v Speaker 1>smaller countries, you don't hear much about them. But all

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<v Speaker 1>of a sudden, Hey, we're implementing crypto, We're embracing the technology.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to use excess energy to mind crypto. This

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<v Speaker 1>is just incredible, incredible stuff. So, Turkmenistan is considered to

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<v Speaker 1>be one of the more closed off countries in the world,

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<v Speaker 1>but has taken several steps to open up its economy

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<v Speaker 1>in recent years, including to tourism and energy sectors. See

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<v Speaker 1>what I mean, guys, countries that have been closed off,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you don't hear much about them, all of

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<v Speaker 1>a sudden opening up to crypto. This, this is really incredible. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>look at this news. Bit Wise files for eleven strategy

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<v Speaker 1>ETFs tracking tokens including ave z cash and how so

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<v Speaker 1>bit Wise, well, I should say I often have Matt

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<v Speaker 1>Hogan from Bitwise on the podcast. I probably had him

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<v Speaker 1>on the podcast like twenty times over the years. They're

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<v Speaker 1>a great company. They've issued some great financial products. Even

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<v Speaker 1>before the ETF approvals, they've been launching a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>crypto products, and now they're of course doing ETFs. So

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<v Speaker 1>the ETFs will invest up to sixty percent in the

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<v Speaker 1>underlying token, with the rest in exchange traded products and derivatives.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know they're not the only one. Gray Scale

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<v Speaker 1>and a bunch of the other issuers have been filing

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<v Speaker 1>for these different ets folks. They're going down there all coinless,

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<v Speaker 1>so pretty cool. And of course these ETFs are a

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<v Speaker 1>great on ram so bringing more capital into the ecosystem.

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<v Speaker 1>And the other tokens that are mentioned in the filing

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<v Speaker 1>includes hype near tron Athena Stark, and canton Coin. Many

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<v Speaker 1>of you know I recently added that to my portfolio.

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<v Speaker 1>I've been telling y'all watch that coin, right, It's actually

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<v Speaker 1>been performing really well after the DTCC announced they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to be building on the Canton network, So be sure

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<v Speaker 1>to check them out, folks. And that's not financial advice, right,

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<v Speaker 1>do your research. Not because I'm investing in something means

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<v Speaker 1>you have to go invest Don't do anything like that blindly.

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<v Speaker 1>Don't cult follow me, right, I hope you guys appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want you to cult follow me. And I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not here to try to pump certain coins or whatever

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<v Speaker 1>like that. I invest, I buy the lows, I look

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<v Speaker 1>for opportunities. I did that with AI tokens at the

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<v Speaker 1>beginning of twenty twenty three with fetch and render. And

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<v Speaker 1>now I recognize Canton network as a great privacy token

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<v Speaker 1>that's new, built by big institutions, backed by Goldman, Sachs,

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<v Speaker 1>Citadel and much more so. And I interviewed, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the founder and CEO of Digital Assets, which is working

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<v Speaker 1>on the Canton network, and I was like, wait a minute,

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<v Speaker 1>I see something here that's going to be big. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's why I invested in a token. And of course

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<v Speaker 1>the big news we got recently to DTCC. All right, folks,

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<v Speaker 1>here's the next news item. Vitalic booter In on the

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<v Speaker 1>two goals Etherorem must meet to become the world computer.

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<v Speaker 1>So we want to pay attention to what's happening with

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<v Speaker 1>Etherorem because we need Etherorem to perform. The rest of

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<v Speaker 1>the all coin market moves with Etherorem. I don't make

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<v Speaker 1>the rules, this is just how we've seen things move

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<v Speaker 1>in the past. A lot of tokens are actually ERC

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<v Speaker 1>twenty built on the etherreum blockchain, so we want to

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<v Speaker 1>look at upgrades that will benefit the Etherorem ecosystem, bring

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<v Speaker 1>in more liquidity, and this will be beneficial for the

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<v Speaker 1>all coins. So Metallic Booterin says Ethereum made significant technical

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<v Speaker 1>progress in twenty twenty five, but still falls short of

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<v Speaker 1>its broader mission. He pushes back against short term crypto

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<v Speaker 1>narratives in favor of durable, censorship resistant applications. The message

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<v Speaker 1>reframes Ethereum as long term Internet infrastructure rather than a

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<v Speaker 1>platform chasing market trends. Now, what we've seen is that

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<v Speaker 1>etherorem usually is the first smart contract blockchain. A lot

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<v Speaker 1>of TRAAD five builders launch their tokenized funds and much

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<v Speaker 1>more on and then they go to other chains. We

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<v Speaker 1>know it's going to be a multichain world, right, but

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<v Speaker 1>eth has a strong reputation, great security. Obviously, its speed

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<v Speaker 1>and fees are still a challenge, but many institutions don't

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<v Speaker 1>really mind that. If this security is top of the level,

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<v Speaker 1>and then they also look at you know, Layer twos,

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<v Speaker 1>they go build on Layer twos on top of Etherorem,

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<v Speaker 1>or they launch their own Layer two. So a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of upgrades are slated. I believe like two for twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty six free theorem. So let's see how that plays out,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think it will continue to get more adoption. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>final news item. The trust wallet browser extension knocked offline

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<v Speaker 1>by Chrome store bugs CEO says, so recently, the trust

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<v Speaker 1>wallet has had an exploit and they did make it

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<v Speaker 1>right by making sure they're going to help victims with

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<v Speaker 1>these seven million dollar Christmas hacks reimbursement. So though it

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<v Speaker 1>looks like it's been kicked out of the Chrome Google

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<v Speaker 1>Chrome web stores or is temporary unavailable, so just heads up,

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<v Speaker 1>I would avoid using this the wallet obviously, if you

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<v Speaker 1>got hacked, I'm sorry, but at least you're you know

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<v Speaker 1>you're gonna be made whole with the funds they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to restore. But if you're a new user, yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>would stay away from now. Stay away from now. Just

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<v Speaker 1>be careful, right as always, don't trust verifies, guys, because

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<v Speaker 1>we need to make sure this is not an ongoing issue.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm not saying it trust Wallet is bad or

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<v Speaker 1>it is an ongoing issue, but just we want to

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<v Speaker 1>be smart here. We don't want to lose our funds,

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<v Speaker 1>right folks. All right, guys, that's the news. Let me

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<v Speaker 1>know what to think. Be sure to sign up for

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<v Speaker 1>my free email newsletter. I'll be putting out a write

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<v Speaker 1>up tomorrow. Once again, one hundred percent free on substack.

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<v Speaker 1>We have over seven two hundred followers and subscribers on substack,

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<v Speaker 1>so be sure to check it out. I include a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of chart data and analysis in there, and again

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<v Speaker 1>it's free, so it's a great resource to learn and

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<v Speaker 1>to run through things and just keep up to date

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<v Speaker 1>with what's happening. Also, check out my book on Amazon.

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<v Speaker 1>It's available in paperback in digital. Be sure to grab

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<v Speaker 1>a copy. And if you want to expand your crypto knowledge,

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<v Speaker 1>check out my course at mycrypto course dot com. Folks,

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<v Speaker 1>I appreciate you all, thank you for tuning in, and

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<v Speaker 1>I'll talk to you all later. M